UFC on ESPN: The Korean Zombie vs. Ige · Jun 19, 2021 · Women's Strawweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: The Korean Zombie vs. Ige Next Fight
Age 38
Height 5' 3"
Reach 64.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 32
Height 5' 1"
Reach 62.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Virna Jandiroba
2.27 SLpM
41.0% Str. Acc.
2.86 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
3.13 TD Avg
39.0% TD Acc.
72.0% TD Def.
1.4 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Kanako Murata
2.15 SLpM
56.0% Str. Acc.
2.4 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
3.38 TD Avg
56.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Virna Jandiroba
Moneyline
BetWay -138
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1100
Submission
BetMGM +290
Decision
BetRivers +240
Kanako Murata
Moneyline
Caesars +120
KO/TKO
BetWay +1200
Submission
BetRivers +1100
Decision
BetWay +175
Virna Jandiroba - Fight History
WIN vs Tabatha Ricci
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · Apr 04, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Virna Jandiroba 0 26 of 64 40% 122 of 174 6 of 12 50% 0 0 8:00
Tabatha Ricci 0 37 of 82 45% 89 of 144 1 of 2 50% 0 1 1:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Virna Jandiroba 0 3 of 10 30% 26 of 34 3 of 6 50% 0 0 3:00
Tabatha Ricci 0 7 of 13 53% 9 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Virna Jandiroba 0 9 of 16 56% 61 of 79 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:33
Tabatha Ricci 0 6 of 14 42% 50 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
3 Virna Jandiroba 0 14 of 38 36% 35 of 61 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:27
Tabatha Ricci 0 24 of 55 43% 30 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:47
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Virna Jandiroba 26 of 64 40% 19 of 56 7 of 8 0 of 0 24 of 60 1 of 3 1 of 1
Tabatha Ricci 37 of 82 45% 27 of 68 5 of 7 5 of 7 33 of 77 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Virna Jandiroba 3 of 10 30% 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tabatha Ricci 7 of 13 53% 5 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Virna Jandiroba 9 of 16 56% 8 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 13 1 of 2 1 of 1
Tabatha Ricci 6 of 14 42% 3 of 10 1 of 1 2 of 3 4 of 12 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Virna Jandiroba 14 of 38 36% 8 of 31 6 of 7 0 of 0 14 of 37 0 of 1 0 of 0
Tabatha Ricci 24 of 55 43% 19 of 47 3 of 5 2 of 3 22 of 52 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 29, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Angelo picks Virna Jandiroba, believing she is the better wrestler and can control the fight. He criticizes Tabatha Ricci's striking, saying she thinks she's a boxer but isn't, and her takedowns are poor. He notes Jandiroba is one judge away from being champion and expects her to grind out a win. He placed a half-unit bet on Jandiroba at +115.

Angelo says 'I threw a half a unit on Verna at plus 115.'
"Vera's going to get all the takedowns, have all the control time."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 30, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Big Brady leans toward Tabatha Ricci but with low confidence. He acknowledges Jandiroba is a higher-level grappler but thinks Ricci is stronger, has better wrestling, and is the better striker. He sees a path where Ricci stuffs takedowns and wins on the feet. He also notes Jandiroba's age (37) and potential lack of motivation after a title loss. He will not bet this fight.

No bet
"I'm leaning Ricci here. Not with a ton of confidence cuz Verna is a tricky tricky fighter to pick and bet against. I will not be betting this fight."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 2, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Cody picks Ricci because she is the better striker and has excellent takedown defense, making it hard for Jandiroba to hold her down. He believes the judges will favor damage over control time, and Ricci's striking will leave a lasting impression.

"Rei just maybe lands a few more damaging blows. Reachi's last fight with Hebas, you saw those elbows from the clinch, big shots against the cage. That's probably what's going to be the lasting impression on the judg's minds."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Apr 4, 2026 (fight day)

The host is torn on the winner, seeing strong cases for both. He initially leaned Ricci due to youth and volume, but after research, he sees Jandiroba's power and ground advantage as significant. He concludes the fight is too close to bet pre-fight and prefers live betting. However, he does bet Ricci +3.5 on the fight spread.

Bet on Tabatha Ricci +3.5 (fight spread).
"I do like Richie plus 3.5 just because I think with how much Janderroa slows down and the pace at which Richie fights at, I think no matter what happens, Richie will make Jander Robba work very hard."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 30, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

James leans toward Virna Jandiroba as the underdog, surprised by the odds given Jandiroba's recent title fight and superior grappling. He believes Jandiroba's top control and submission threat are the best in the division, and that Ricci hasn't faced such a test. He notes Ricci's striking advantage but doubts her power, calling her knockout of Amanda Ribas a fluke. However, he hesitates due to Jandiroba's age (37) and potential post-title-fight letdown, and mentions he might bet the over instead. He picks Jandiroba via decision but is not confident enough to bet.

Considering over 2.5 rounds; no bet placed
"I have to pick Vera for that reason. I don't know if I'm going to bet her though honestly, boys."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Apr 1, 2026 (3 days before fight)

James mentions the co-main event but does not give a pick for either fighter. He only describes the matchup as interesting.

"We have a co-main event that doesn't light your hair on fire, but it's probably going to be a interesting match-up at least."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 31, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

The host believes Jandiroba's grappling will be too much for Ricci, as she can get takedowns and keep Ricci in defensive positions. He notes Ricci's improved striking but doubts she can provide enough danger to keep Jandiroba from her game. He expects Jandiroba to win by decision, controlling the fight with top pressure.

"I think Janji Doba is a good enough grappler that she'll be able to keep Reachi in defensive positions for the most part... I like Jangidoba here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 2, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Paul leans towards Ricci, noting that Jandiroba's grappling-heavy style may not score well if judges prioritize damage. He acknowledges Jandiroba's takedown ability but thinks Ricci's striking and ability to get back up will be key.

"I don't know. It's basically a pick them and it's going to be a fight for who can get top control and really nobody's been getting top control and and and being able to win that type of fight against …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2026 (fight day)
Tabatha Ricci

The MMA Guru picks Tabatha Ricci, predicting a controversial decision win. He believes Ricci will be out-grappled but the judges will favor her, possibly setting up a future fight with Mackenzie Dern. He notes Jandiroba looked bad against Dern and that Ricci is coming off a TKO win.

Controversial decision predicted
"I'm going to go with Tabatha Ricci, man. I can see this being a weird scorecard, 29-28. They give it a win."
LOSS vs Mackenzie Dern
Decision R5 5:00 · UFC 321 · Oct 25, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Virna Jandiroba 0 106 of 217 48% 208 of 331 9 of 17 52% 0 0 9:07
Mackenzie Dern 0 118 of 231 51% 249 of 372 2 of 8 25% 0 0 3:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Virna Jandiroba 0 27 of 45 60% 41 of 60 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:57
Mackenzie Dern 0 20 of 36 55% 38 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:29
2 Virna Jandiroba 0 14 of 34 41% 45 of 72 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:24
Mackenzie Dern 0 19 of 44 43% 50 of 77 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:17
3 Virna Jandiroba 0 14 of 27 51% 38 of 53 2 of 6 33% 0 0 2:09
Mackenzie Dern 0 18 of 32 56% 52 of 68 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:14
4 Virna Jandiroba 0 28 of 58 48% 42 of 73 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:13
Mackenzie Dern 0 26 of 62 41% 38 of 74 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:30
5 Virna Jandiroba 0 23 of 53 43% 42 of 73 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:24
Mackenzie Dern 0 35 of 57 61% 71 of 95 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Virna Jandiroba 106 of 217 48% 72 of 177 20 of 25 14 of 15 83 of 192 20 of 21 3 of 4
Mackenzie Dern 118 of 231 51% 84 of 193 21 of 25 13 of 13 89 of 199 8 of 10 21 of 22
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Virna Jandiroba 27 of 45 60% 9 of 25 13 of 15 5 of 5 18 of 36 8 of 8 1 of 1
Mackenzie Dern 20 of 36 55% 12 of 27 4 of 5 4 of 4 16 of 30 2 of 3 2 of 3
2 Virna Jandiroba 14 of 34 41% 11 of 31 1 of 1 2 of 2 12 of 32 1 of 1 1 of 1
Mackenzie Dern 19 of 44 43% 16 of 40 3 of 4 0 of 0 13 of 38 2 of 2 4 of 4
3 Virna Jandiroba 14 of 27 51% 14 of 25 0 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 19 6 of 6 1 of 2
Mackenzie Dern 18 of 32 56% 13 of 26 4 of 5 1 of 1 12 of 26 2 of 2 4 of 4
4 Virna Jandiroba 28 of 58 48% 20 of 49 3 of 4 5 of 5 26 of 55 2 of 3 0 of 0
Mackenzie Dern 26 of 62 41% 17 of 52 4 of 5 5 of 5 25 of 60 1 of 2 0 of 0
5 Virna Jandiroba 23 of 53 43% 18 of 47 3 of 3 2 of 3 20 of 50 3 of 3 0 of 0
Mackenzie Dern 35 of 57 61% 26 of 48 6 of 6 3 of 3 23 of 45 1 of 1 11 of 11
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Oct 19, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Angelo picks Virna Jandiroba based on gut feeling, despite the line moving against her. He expects the fight to be entirely on the ground, where Virna's wrestling and safe jiu-jitsu will grind out a win. He notes Mackenzie's only path is submission, but Virna won't take risks like Amanda Ribas did. Angelo plans to bet Virna if the line rebounds.

The line sliding in the opposite direction will probably have me placing a bet on Verna by the end of this week. ... I'll probably have some action on Verna.
"I'm going to go with the gut here. ... Verna is going to be the pick. The line sliding in the opposite direction will probably have me placing a bet on Verna by the end of this week."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mackenzie Dern

Big Brady picks Mackenzie Dern, highlighting her massive improvements in striking and wrestling. He notes Dern's striking looked incredible against Angela Hill and that she now has power and aggression. He believes Dern's pressure and volume will overwhelm Virna Jandiroba on the feet, as Jandiroba lacks power and may be hesitant to grapple. Brady also cites the five-round distance favoring Dern's cardio and toughness, predicting a fourth-round TKO.

Dern by fourth round TKO; line flipped from plus money; Dern to become strawweight champion
"I got to go Dern here. I think the five rounds heavily favors Mackenzie Dern. Give me Dern here. I'm going to say Dern wins this fight by fourth round TKO."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mackenzie Dern

Cody picks Mackenzie Dern, arguing that over five rounds, Dern's volume, speed, and willingness to engage will outpace Jandiroba's control-heavy style. He notes that Jandiroba's wrestling is elite but she lacks striking output, and Dern's submission defense and scrambling make her dangerous off her back. Cody believes Dern's path is a decision win, as she lands more and is faster.

"I think over five rounds, she's just going to be doing a lot more. She lands more. She's faster."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Connor picks Jandiroba, taking a chance on her improvements in confidence and physicality since the first fight. He believes her wrestling-focused BJJ, reminiscent of Damien Maia, can neutralize Dern's guard attacks if she commits to grappling. He admits it's a hopeful pick but thinks Jandiroba has the tools to win if she doesn't repeat her negative game plan.

"I'm going to take the silly chance pick on Verna Jan Girova, cause I really want her to win and I really do feel like she's put in the work to be a more confident fighter, but I, you know, …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mackenzie Dern

Daniel Vreeland believes Mackenzie Dern's striking evolution and power give her the edge, especially as the fight progresses and Jandiroba slows down. He thinks the ground game will cancel out early, but Dern's improved hands and cardio will allow her to take over in later rounds. He also notes that the winner of the first fight often wins the rematch, especially with an age gap.

"I think in the early going, the ground game is going to kind of cancel itself out. But as the fight progresses and as Janji Doba starts to slow down, that's where I see McKenzie really letting her combinations go."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Mackenzie Dern

Lucrative James picks Mackenzie Dern, citing her multiple paths to victory: she can win on the feet, by submission, or by outscrambling. He believes Dern has improved her boxing and wrestling, while Jandiroba's usual path of outgrappling opponents will be neutralized because Dern is dangerous from bottom and can sweep or submit her. He also notes Dern's better cardio and power, and predicts Jandiroba will get rocked at some point. He sees Dern as the underdog with value.

"I'm going to side with Mackenzie Durn here. ... I think she grits out a win here. TKO submission decision. I don't care. I'm picking McKenzie Durn money line."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mackenzie Dern

The host expects Dern to replicate her 2020 win by putting together better striking, scrambling well in grappling, and winning a clear decision to become the new strawweight champion.

decision
"I expect her to replicate that performance... and new strawweight champion McKenzie Durn."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mackenzie Dern

Paul agrees with Cody, adding that Dern has a great chin and throws more volume. He notes that Jandiroba's path to victory relies on takedowns and control, but Dern is crafty off her back. Paul also mentions that Jandiroba has never fought five rounds in the UFC and is 37, suggesting that if she wins early rounds, she may fade, making Dern a strong live bet as well.

"Dern just kind of if it turns into a slobberknocker on the feet, one Dern's got a great chin."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

The MMA Guru picks Virna Jandiroba by decision, expecting a split decision. He believes Jandiroba is more focused on her career than Dern, who has personal distractions. He notes that Jandiroba has been winning against top competition (Yan Xiaonan, Amanda Lemos) and has good takedowns and control. He references their first fight where Jandiroba had control time and takedowns. He expects a low-paced fight with Jandiroba dragging Dern around, winning clearly but with one judge giving Dern a round.

split decision; Jandiroba wins 49-46
"I'm going to go with Virna Jandiroba getting this one done. She'll win it clearly, but it'll be a split decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Oct 23, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mackenzie Dern

Zane picks Dern, citing a sinking feeling that Jandiroba will repeat her first fight mistake of being too respectful of Dern's ground game. He notes Dern's confidence and power on the feet, and believes Jandiroba's negative game plan will lead to her being outworked. However, he acknowledges Jandiroba's improvements and calls it a hope-based pick.

"I'm going to pick Mackenzie Dern, cause I just have a sinking feeling that Verna is, this is going to be the rare opponent where she actually has respect for her ground game and it's going to trick herself into …"
WIN vs Yan Xiaonan
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · Apr 12, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yan Xiaonan 0 17 of 44 38% 64 of 103 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:27
Virna Jandiroba 0 11 of 20 55% 96 of 131 3 of 11 27% 3 1 9:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yan Xiaonan 0 6 of 17 35% 31 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Virna Jandiroba 0 4 of 9 44% 18 of 31 1 of 5 20% 0 0 3:03
2 Yan Xiaonan 0 4 of 6 66% 14 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:27
Virna Jandiroba 0 0 of 1 0% 40 of 51 1 of 1 100% 2 1 4:14
3 Yan Xiaonan 0 7 of 21 33% 19 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Virna Jandiroba 0 7 of 10 70% 38 of 49 1 of 5 20% 1 0 2:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yan Xiaonan 17 of 44 38% 13 of 34 3 of 7 1 of 3 12 of 38 0 of 0 5 of 6
Virna Jandiroba 11 of 20 55% 11 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0 8 of 16 0 of 1 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yan Xiaonan 6 of 17 35% 4 of 11 2 of 4 0 of 2 5 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1
Virna Jandiroba 4 of 9 44% 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 7 0 of 1 1 of 1
2 Yan Xiaonan 4 of 6 66% 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 5
Virna Jandiroba 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Yan Xiaonan 7 of 21 33% 5 of 17 1 of 3 1 of 1 7 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Virna Jandiroba 7 of 10 70% 7 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 2
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2025 (fight day)
Virna Jandiroba

Daniel Levi credits Yan Xiaonan for surviving three rounds on the mat with Virna Jandiroba despite being a blue belt, but acknowledges Jandiroba's victory. He states Jandiroba earned her title shot and should face Zhang Weili next.

"Verna Jeanji Doba and Yan Jean. Yeah. You know, firstly, credit to Yan Jean. you know, you're a blue belt and you survived three rounds on the mat with arguably one of the best black belts... And for Verna, congrats, …"
WIN vs Amanda Lemos
Submission (armbar) R2 4:48 · UFC on ESPN: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · Jul 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Virna Jandiroba 0 2 of 9 22% 5 of 12 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:51
Amanda Lemos 0 2 of 8 25% 20 of 27 1 of 5 20% 4 1 6:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Virna Jandiroba 0 1 of 1 100% 3 of 3 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:26
Amanda Lemos 0 0 of 1 0% 8 of 9 1 of 1 100% 2 0 3:42
2 Virna Jandiroba 0 1 of 8 12% 2 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:25
Amanda Lemos 0 2 of 7 28% 12 of 18 0 of 4 0% 2 1 2:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Virna Jandiroba 2 of 9 22% 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
Amanda Lemos 2 of 8 25% 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 1 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Virna Jandiroba 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1
Amanda Lemos 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Virna Jandiroba 1 of 8 12% 1 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Amanda Lemos 2 of 7 28% 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Angelo picks Virna Jandiroba because she will grind and get takedowns, neutralizing Amanda Lemos's striking. He notes that Lemos is the better mixed martial artist but cannot defend takedowns. He plans to wait for prop bets, especially the takedown line, and considers Jandiroba affordable at even money.

waiting for prop bets, especially takedown line
"I've got to pick Verna here this is definitely a steep test it'll be her first five round fight at first Main Event she is Affordable at even money"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Cody picks Jandiroba, emphasizing her freakish strength, takedown ability, and durability. He notes Lemos has cardio issues and has been taken down repeatedly by lesser grapplers. He expects Jandiroba to bank rounds with top control as Lemos fades, though he admits the fight likely goes to decision and could be a weird judging outcome. He suggests live betting Jandiroba after Lemos wins early rounds.

"I'm gonna chase the other side and go Verna."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Daniel Vreeland leans with Virna Jandiroba due to her world-class Jiu-Jitsu and unorthodox takedown entries, believing she can take down Amanda Lemos and possibly secure a submission early. He notes that Lemos has a significant power edge and could get a late knockout if Jandiroba gasses, but he trusts Jandiroba's early dominance. He also mentions that Lemos has shown vulnerability to submissions, referencing the standing arm triangle loss to Andrade.

"I'm GNA lean with Verna janida because I do think she's going to have that early um upside you know in terms of getting those takedowns in terms of those near submission attempts possibly getting a submission attempt and wearing …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Jandiroba is a -130 favorite. She has a smothering grappling style and excellent cardio, which should wear down Lemos in the later rounds. Lemos has power but questionable takedown defense and cardio. Jandiroba's chin has held up, and she can take Lemos down, take her back, and eventually find a submission in the third or fourth round. Lemos could finish early, but if she doesn't, Jandiroba will dominate.

submission
"I'm going to say jandi Roba by submission"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Lemos

Paul thinks Lemos is the better striker and can hang on the mat against Jandiroba, citing her durability in going five rounds with Zhang Weili and surviving takedowns from Mackenzie Dern. He acknowledges Jandiroba's grappling edge but believes Lemos can avoid submissions and win rounds with damage. He calls it close to a pick 'em fight but leans Lemos at plus money.

"I'm kind of tempted by Amanda Lemos in this spot... close to a pick 'em fight but give me Amanda Lemos at plus 110."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

The MMA Guru picks Virna Jandiroba after initially considering Lemos. He recalls Lemos' grappling being exposed by Zhang Weili, who had 16 minutes of control time. He notes Jandiroba has never been finished and had close fights with Amanda Ribas and Marina Rodriguez. He trusts the favorite Jandiroba despite not wanting her to succeed.

"I'll go jander Roba I'll Trust in a favorite here I'll go jandera"
WIN vs Loopy Godinez
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Mar 30, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Virna Jandiroba 0 30 of 108 27% 86 of 180 2 of 9 22% 3 1 6:35
Loopy Godinez 0 38 of 95 40% 50 of 116 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Virna Jandiroba 0 12 of 45 26% 18 of 53 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:47
Loopy Godinez 0 13 of 34 38% 17 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
2 Virna Jandiroba 0 5 of 21 23% 38 of 63 0 of 1 0% 0 1 2:31
Loopy Godinez 0 9 of 26 34% 15 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:57
3 Virna Jandiroba 0 13 of 42 30% 30 of 64 1 of 4 25% 3 0 2:17
Loopy Godinez 0 16 of 35 45% 18 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:33
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Virna Jandiroba 30 of 108 27% 27 of 100 3 of 8 0 of 0 30 of 106 0 of 2 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 38 of 95 40% 25 of 79 11 of 14 2 of 2 30 of 82 7 of 11 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Virna Jandiroba 12 of 45 26% 12 of 44 0 of 1 0 of 0 12 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 13 of 34 38% 9 of 28 4 of 6 0 of 0 10 of 30 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Virna Jandiroba 5 of 21 23% 5 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 9 of 26 34% 6 of 23 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 22 1 of 2 1 of 2
3 Virna Jandiroba 13 of 42 30% 10 of 35 3 of 7 0 of 0 13 of 41 0 of 1 0 of 0
Loopy Godinez 16 of 35 45% 10 of 28 6 of 7 0 of 0 13 of 30 3 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Angelo picks Loopy Godinez, believing she is better everywhere, including wrestling. He notes Virna Jandiroba is a grinder with a one-dimensional game plan of shooting takedowns. He thinks Godinez's striking improvements and defensive wrestling will be enough to win, though he acknowledges Jandiroba's relentless takedown attempts could be a problem.

"lupy is better than Verna janer Roba literally everywhere even wrestling"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 25, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Big Brady picks Loopy Godinez to win by decision, but expresses concern about her fight IQ. He believes Godinez should keep the fight standing to avoid Jandiroba's dangerous BJJ, but worries she might wrestle unnecessarily. He thinks Godinez is the much better striker and should stuff takedowns, but is not fully confident due to her past poor decisions.

minus 180
"give me loopy I'll take it to win by decision um minus 180 uh I don't know I don't know if I can trust her but I'll take her to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Cody believes Godinez is the better boxer and wrestler, with superior cardio and durability. He thinks Jandiroba's one-dimensional grappling won't be enough, and even if she gets takedowns, Godinez will survive and win rounds with striking volume.

"would have to go lupy ginz"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Daniel Vreeland picks Loopy Godinez, citing her superior striking, power, and athleticism. He thinks she can keep the fight standing and use a sprawl-and-brawl game plan to avoid Jandiroba's dangerous jiu-jitsu. He notes Jandiroba's willingness to stand and trade, which plays into Godinez's hands. He predicts Godinez by decision.

"official pick loopy decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Godinez has improved striking and wrestling advantage. Jandiroba's hands are poor; she got outboxed by McKenzie Dern and Amanda Lemos. Godinez should keep the fight standing and land punches, potentially earning her first UFC knockout. The plus 750 KO prop is worth a sprinkle. Godinez controls pace and location.

Godinez by knockout (+750)
"I believe the last I saw was plus 750 H her to win by knockout worth a little bit of a Sprinkle"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

Paul sees Godinez as the more versatile fighter, able to win on the feet or with wrestling. He notes Jandiroba's aging and limited striking, and expects Godinez to outwork her over three rounds, likely by decision.

"loopy by decision is how I kind of see this one shaking out"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Loopy Godinez

The host picks Loopy Godinez, stating he never picks Virna Jandiroba. He believes Godinez can keep the fight on the feet and has a boxing and grit advantage. He thinks Godinez's grappling is good enough to defend takedowns and that she will win a decision, possibly 29-28. He notes that close decisions tend to go against Jandiroba.

decision win
"I am gonna go lupy godinez because I'm never picking Vera jander Roba to win a fight there's a rule I have not picking her"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · May 06, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Virna Jandiroba 0 33 of 62 53% 115 of 150 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Marina Rodriguez 0 27 of 43 62% 91 of 116 3 of 7 42% 0 1 12:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Virna Jandiroba 0 7 of 9 77% 18 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marina Rodriguez 0 4 of 7 57% 31 of 40 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:36
2 Virna Jandiroba 0 5 of 11 45% 27 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Marina Rodriguez 0 11 of 16 68% 34 of 40 1 of 4 25% 0 1 4:06
3 Virna Jandiroba 0 21 of 42 50% 70 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marina Rodriguez 0 12 of 20 60% 26 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Virna Jandiroba 33 of 62 53% 27 of 52 5 of 8 1 of 2 10 of 37 3 of 3 20 of 22
Marina Rodriguez 27 of 43 62% 25 of 41 1 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 22 5 of 5 15 of 16
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Virna Jandiroba 7 of 9 77% 6 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 6
Marina Rodriguez 4 of 7 57% 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 4
2 Virna Jandiroba 5 of 11 45% 2 of 7 3 of 3 0 of 1 0 of 6 2 of 2 3 of 3
Marina Rodriguez 11 of 16 68% 11 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 5 3 of 3 8 of 8
3 Virna Jandiroba 21 of 42 50% 19 of 37 2 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 28 1 of 1 11 of 13
Marina Rodriguez 12 of 20 60% 10 of 18 1 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 14 2 of 2 3 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Marina Rodriguez

Angelo picks Marina Rodriguez but warns it feels like a trap and advises not to bet on it. He believes Marina has a clear striking advantage and will land cleanly, while Virna Jandiroba's head movement is poor. The fight comes down to Marina's takedown defense; if she can keep it standing, she wins. Angelo thinks Virna will have some success diving for legs, but judges will favor Marina's clean striking. He is not touching this fight with his money.

do not bet on this fight - feels like a trap
"Marina's gonna be the pick but for just absolute shit's sake do not bet on this fight this feels like a trap"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Big Brady picks Jandiroba, citing her superior wrestling and grappling. He notes Rodriguez has poor takedown defense and get-up game, and Jandiroba is dangerous on top. He believes Jandiroba will get takedowns and submit Rodriguez, predicting a second-round submission. He dismisses Rodriguez's takedown defense against Mackenzie Dern as irrelevant because Dern has poor wrestling.

Second round submission prediction
"I'm actually going to go with we're going to generobo to win this fight by submission I think she's going to get a ton of opportunities here to get that submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 3, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Cody sees a clear path for Jandiroba via her superior wrestling. He notes that Rodriguez gives up takedowns in every fight, and Jandiroba is a strong wrestler with good top game. He expects Jandiroba to take her down, control her, and win a decision or possibly a submission. He likes the plus money.

"I would take the plus money shot here on gender Robo"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Marina Rodriguez

Connor agrees, noting Jandiroba's striking is awkward and she reaches for strikes, while Rodriguez is durable and has never been submitted. He sees the fight getting harder for Jandiroba as it goes on, similar to Rodriguez's fight with Ribas where Ribas got knocked out after an early takedown.

Rodriguez opened -190, now -128; Jandiroba opened +169, now +116.
"I think I have to agree with that with not a whole lot to add."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Marina Rodriguez

The host picks Marina Rodriguez by decision. He believes Rodriguez's improved takedown defense and striking will keep the fight standing, where she can land significant strikes. He acknowledges Jandiroba's BJJ threat but trusts Rodriguez's recent improvements to nullify it.

"I'm hoping from the improvements that we've been seeing from Rodriguez over our last several fights she'll be able to keep this fight upright land the more significant strikes and get her hand raised by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 3, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Paul has already bet Jandiroba at +140. He agrees that her wrestling is the key, as Rodriguez has been taken down by everyone. He expects Jandiroba to make it ugly, hold her against the cage, and win a close decision.

"I took a stale plus 140 the market moved a little bit but I still think I like plus 125s"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Marina Rodriguez

The Guru picks Rodriguez, stating she is better in all areas, especially on the feet. He believes her grappling has improved enough to survive Jandiroba's ground game, and that she is a better version of Amanda Ribas, who beat Jandiroba. He predicts a decision win.

decision win
"I'm gonna side with Marina Rodriguez here ... bouncing back with a decision win"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Marina Rodriguez

Zane picks Rodriguez because Jandiroba is unlikely to get an early submission, and Rodriguez gets harder to take down as fights go on. He notes Jandiroba's striking is awkward and she struggles on the back foot, while Rodriguez's pressure and durability should take over in later rounds. He compares it to Rodriguez's win over Amanda Ribas.

Rodriguez opened -190, now -128; Jandiroba opened +169, now +116; odds tightening but Zane thinks it's not deserved.
"I just don't trust Jandiroba to get into the kind of insane exchanges that Rodriguez creates one way or the other."
WIN vs Angela Hill
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · May 14, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Virna Jandiroba 0 14 of 60 23% 92 of 151 3 of 8 37% 0 0 7:04
Angela Hill 0 21 of 55 38% 44 of 86 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Virna Jandiroba 0 5 of 21 23% 16 of 32 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:17
Angela Hill 0 4 of 17 23% 11 of 25 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:39
2 Virna Jandiroba 0 6 of 27 22% 30 of 57 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:44
Angela Hill 0 12 of 27 44% 16 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:13
3 Virna Jandiroba 0 3 of 12 25% 46 of 62 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:03
Angela Hill 0 5 of 11 45% 17 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Virna Jandiroba 14 of 60 23% 13 of 52 1 of 8 0 of 0 13 of 58 1 of 2 0 of 0
Angela Hill 21 of 55 38% 14 of 42 7 of 13 0 of 0 19 of 52 2 of 2 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Virna Jandiroba 5 of 21 23% 4 of 16 1 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
Angela Hill 4 of 17 23% 3 of 11 1 of 6 0 of 0 4 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Virna Jandiroba 6 of 27 22% 6 of 24 0 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 26 0 of 1 0 of 0
Angela Hill 12 of 27 44% 6 of 20 6 of 7 0 of 0 10 of 25 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Virna Jandiroba 3 of 12 25% 3 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Angela Hill 5 of 11 45% 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Angela Hill vs. Virna Jandiroba
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jandiroba (-165), Hill (+145)

Round 1
For the victor, a spot will remain in the top 15 of the tumultuous strawweight division, while the defeated may tumble out of the rankings – and the company itself – altogether. Even though Jandiroba (17-3, 3-3 UFC) and Hill (13-11, 8-11 UFC) swam in the same circles of
Invicta Fighting Championships
’ and the UFC’s 115-pound category, their paths never crossed until tonight. These two ex-Invicta champs will receive oversight from referee Mark Smith, and do not touch ‘em up before proceeding to try and bludgeon, strangle or otherwise inflict great bodily harm on the other. Hill takes the center of the cage with one hand lower, perhaps anticipating a takedown while not remotely concerned with the Brazilian’s striking. If history is any indication, this might be a solid strategy. The stance allows Hill to stave off a takedown setup, and when she is paying attention to this, Jandiroba has two punches land across the bow. Jandiroba absorbs a right hand back, and as soon as Hill commits to punches, “Carcara” bullies her way into a takedown attempt. Jandiroba pushes Hill back across the cage to the fence, and Hill stuffs her and pushes Jandiroba over. This is not to her best interest, as Jandiroba falls to her seat and hunts for a leglock of some sort. Going for a kneebar, an ankle lock or anything she can snatch up, Hill is quickly in danger, with Hill’s left leg extended outward as Jandiroba is hanging on to it. Hill grimaces in pain as she hangs on to Jandiroba’s wrists, and Hill sits up to attempt to punch her way out of the sub and successfully does so. Jandiroba considers another submission setup, but she cannot keep Hill grounded. They stay tied up in the clinch when standing up again, and they both try to whip the other around for a takedown. Hill starts letting loose with knees to the body as Jandiroba is happy to remain tied up, and Hill looks to break off but Jandiroba is not letting go. Hill finally explodes her way out, and Jandiroba throws out a few hands while Hill is hesitant to engage. Hill swats away offense before ducking down and goes for a double, and she hits it only to get reversed as soon as they hit the mat. Jandiroba ends the round on top in an odd position.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jandiroba
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jandiroba
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jandiroba

Round 2
Hill strikes first to begin the second round, and Jandiroba is more active and meets her in the middle with several more strikes in volume. They trade punches until Jandiroba closes in for a clinch, and after landing one knee up the middle, she abandons it and lets Hill swing back hitting air. Jandiroba goes over the top with a surprisingly effective right hand, and Hill blitzes into a tie-up so that she can hammer the midsection with a veritable bouquet of knees. Jandiroba scores a single elbow on the break, but Hill is energized, stringing three punches together as she gives chase. Hill presses forward to clinch, and they jockey for position and meet with knees on the sternum. Jandiroba breaks, and she looks for a one-two while Hill counters with a clean right hand. In the open cage, Jandiroba dives down for a takedown and practically tackles Hill over to plop her on the ground. Hill defends with a single butterfly hook as Jandiroba is on top heavily in half guard, and she cinches her own lets around Hill’s to shut down any possible escapes from “Overkill.” Jandiroba steps over to a dominant position, but instead of taking it, she snags hold of Hill’s left arm in search of an armbar or a kimura lock. Jandiroba turns it to an armbar as she falls to her back to lock it up, and Hill steps over and stacks Jandiroba up to keep the arm safe from harm. Jandiroba keeps that submission tied up as Hill’s knee crushes on Jandiroba’s jaw, and this posture of Hill along with her rocking back and forth allows Hill to make it to the third round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jandiroba
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jandiroba
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jandiroba

Round 3
Hill is aggressive to start the third round, and she throws hands fast and lets them go to nail Jandiroba upside the head. Jandiroba is stunned momentarily, and Hill rolls through to rip an uppercut. The punches get Jandiroba’s attention, forcing the Brazilian to shoot for a double that presses Hill to the wall. Hill keeps herself upright thanks to the fence behind her, but Jandiroba turns the corner and yanks her down to the canvas. “Overkill” instantly attacks with elbows off her back while Jandiroba is slithering her way through gain better top position, and she lines up north-south before taking Hill’s back as Hill looks to stand. Jandiroba holds on to a leg tightly to wrench Hill right back down to the ground almost as soon as Hill stands, and “Carcara” gladly lowers herself into Hill’s guard as Hill closes it around her. Time is ticking away from Hill’s chances at pulling off a comeback, and Jandiroba is comfortable wearing on Hill and working the body with short, stay-busy punches. Hill hangs on with a lock around Jandiroba’s shoulder, possibly for a straight armlock off her back, and Jandiroba wriggles her arm out and continues her smothering top control. With Jandiroba clinging to half guard, Hill explodes in an effort to get up. This does not work to her benefit, as Jandiroba follows her all the way through to take Hill’s back. With 10 seconds to spare, Hill turns Jandiroba around and gets on top, and Jandiroba throws her legs up high to prevent any offense from “Overkill” in the remainder of the match. The fight ends in this stalemate position, and as the horn sounds, Jandiroba hoots and shouts in celebration after a likely victory.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jandiroba (30-27 Jandiroba)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jandiroba (30-27 Jandiroba)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jandiroba (30-27 Jandiroba)

The Official Result
Virna Jandiroba def. Angela Hill via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked May 11, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Angela Hill

Cody picks Hill as a dog, noting her fights are always close and competitive. He thinks Jandiroba's cardio is suspect and she may not be able to maintain takedown pressure for three rounds. He believes Hill can out-volume her on the feet and make it a close decision, though he's not highly confident.

"i'm gonna take angela hill that'll be my dog number two"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked May 11, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Angela Hill

Paul also leans toward Hill, calling it a dogger pass. He notes Hill's volume striking and that Jandiroba struggles to get takedowns against good grapplers. He thinks if Hill can keep it standing, she wins the volume game. However, he acknowledges Jandiroba's BJJ from top is nasty and she could bank the first two rounds.

"i think it's dogger pass though it's like you have to be really confident that vern is going to be able to get to this to the mat otherwise i think angel angela hill just out volume sir"
LOSS vs Amanda Ribas
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · Oct 30, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Ribas 0 88 of 233 37% 124 of 273 1 of 5 20% 1 0 0:43
Virna Jandiroba 1 50 of 155 32% 119 of 224 1 of 8 12% 0 0 3:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Ribas 0 8 of 18 44% 36 of 50 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:05
Virna Jandiroba 1 12 of 23 52% 79 of 90 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:06
2 Amanda Ribas 0 26 of 83 31% 33 of 90 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:35
Virna Jandiroba 0 12 of 62 19% 14 of 64 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Amanda Ribas 0 54 of 132 40% 55 of 133 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:03
Virna Jandiroba 0 26 of 70 37% 26 of 70 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Ribas 88 of 233 37% 59 of 194 15 of 24 14 of 15 84 of 227 4 of 6 0 of 0
Virna Jandiroba 50 of 155 32% 46 of 141 4 of 14 0 of 0 46 of 148 1 of 4 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Ribas 8 of 18 44% 5 of 13 1 of 3 2 of 2 7 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0
Virna Jandiroba 12 of 23 52% 12 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0 8 of 18 1 of 2 3 of 3
2 Amanda Ribas 26 of 83 31% 18 of 71 6 of 10 2 of 2 24 of 80 2 of 3 0 of 0
Virna Jandiroba 12 of 62 19% 9 of 57 3 of 5 0 of 0 12 of 61 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Amanda Ribas 54 of 132 40% 36 of 110 8 of 11 10 of 11 53 of 130 1 of 2 0 of 0
Virna Jandiroba 26 of 70 37% 25 of 61 1 of 9 0 of 0 26 of 69 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 26, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Big Brady slightly leans towards Virna Jandiroba to win a close decision. He acknowledges Ribas has the striking advantage, but Jandiroba's wrestling and ground game are next level. He thinks Jandiroba will get takedowns and control the fight on the mat, squeaking out a decision. He notes Ribas's takedown defense may be misleading and Jandiroba's confidence on the ground is high.

"I'm going to slightly lean with jandarova here and i'm actually going to say i'll say i'll be i'll save my decision i'll say she wins a very close decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Cody leans towards Jandiroba as a dog, noting her wrestling and grappling advantage. He thinks her striking has improved (shown against Kanako Murata). He questions Ribas's level of competition (soft wins) and thinks Jandiroba could grind out a decision if she gets top control. He calls it a pass but sees value on the dog.

"if i was gonna take that first underdog shot it might be an averted chandranova"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Daniel slightly leans with Amanda Ribas, citing her athleticism and cleaner striking. He acknowledges her chin is a concern and that Jandiroba has improved stand-up and strong jiu-jitsu. Daniel thinks Ribas can keep the fight on the outside and out-hustle Jandiroba to a decision, but he is not fully confident due to Ribas's durability issues.

"i still am slightly leaning with a amanda heba so give me her for the dub"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Jandiroba is the better grappler and will likely take Ribas down and control her. Ribas' striking is flashy but she gets in trouble against pressure. Jandiroba should land takedowns and grind out a decision, especially if she trusts her jiu-jitsu.

Jandiroba by decision.
"I like the januaroba side here plus 145 and it looks like the money is coming in on amanda hebas."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Paul picks Ribas by decision, citing her speed and striking ability. He thinks her ability to get in and out of the pocket will be the difference. He sees the line as close to correct.

"i got rebus winning probably by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

The MMA Guru picks Amanda Ribas clearly. He states she is better on the feet and on the ground. He notes that Jandiroba was outstruck by Mackenzie Dern, while Ribas danced around Dern. He dismisses Jandiroba's grappling threat and cardio. He predicts Ribas will win by unanimous decision, dancing around for three rounds, 30-27.

"this is ribassa's fight in my opinion pretty clearly"
Kanako Murata - Fight History
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · Oct 07, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Vanessa Demopoulos 0 31 of 65 47% 86 of 144 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:42
Kanako Murata 0 34 of 64 53% 70 of 116 5 of 6 83% 0 0 10:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 17 of 35 48% 27 of 49 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:20
Kanako Murata 0 9 of 16 56% 17 of 27 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:44
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 9 of 23 39% 35 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kanako Murata 0 9 of 19 47% 30 of 46 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:11
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 5 of 7 71% 24 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:22
Kanako Murata 0 16 of 29 55% 23 of 43 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Vanessa Demopoulos 31 of 65 47% 21 of 49 10 of 13 0 of 3 10 of 36 7 of 10 14 of 19
Kanako Murata 34 of 64 53% 27 of 55 4 of 5 3 of 4 10 of 23 1 of 1 23 of 40
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 17 of 35 48% 10 of 22 7 of 10 0 of 3 5 of 20 5 of 7 7 of 8
Kanako Murata 9 of 16 56% 3 of 8 3 of 4 3 of 4 7 of 14 1 of 1 1 of 1
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 9 of 23 39% 8 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 13 1 of 1 5 of 9
Kanako Murata 9 of 19 47% 8 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 12
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 5 of 7 71% 3 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 3 1 of 2 2 of 2
Kanako Murata 16 of 29 55% 16 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 16 of 27
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

Angelo picks Kanako Murata despite a two-year layoff, reasoning that she is young (30) and likely to be the same or better. He highlights her great wrestling, solid BJJ defense, and constant forward pressure with takedown threats. He believes the same version of Murata from a few years ago dominates Vanessa Demopoulos. He has a small parlay including Murata, though he admits it's risky.

Small parlay with Murata (other half not specified yet)
"I do have a small parlay with her I threw her and uh I'll tell you the other half when I get to that fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

Big Brady is confident in Kanako Murata, praising her wrestling and grappling as some of the best in the division. He notes that Vanessa Demopoulos has poor takedown defense and is content to fight off her back, which plays into Murata's strengths. He expects Murata to control the fight on the ground and eventually find a submission, predicting a second-round submission win.

second round submission for Kanako Murata
"I'm going to take kanak and Morada to win this fight I'll take her to win this fight by by second round uh submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

Cody picks Demopoulos as a dog, citing Murata's long layoff, broken arm, and lack of a Plan B if wrestling fails. He believes Demopoulos's BJJ and forward pressure could cause problems, and that Murata may be hesitant. He sees value in the plus money.

Demopoulos by submission
"I'm almost forced into a Vanessa Demopolis... I am taking demopolistic"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

Daniel Levi picks Kanako Murata but is not confident at -360. He notes Murata's grinding top control and ability to neutralize opponents, but also acknowledges Vanessa Demopoulos's dangerous armbar from guard and her high effort. He sees Murata winning by decision but says it's a dog-or-pass situation and he wouldn't parlay it.

dog or pass situation; not parlaying
"I'll go with Morata by decision but I don't know"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2023 (fight day)
Kanako Murata

Lucrative James is confident Murata wins easily, citing her youth, prime condition, and all-around tools. He thinks Demopoulos is old and relies on low-percentage submissions like an armbar from guard. He predicts Murata by decision, as both are tough enough to survive.

"I think Morata is going to win this fight kind easily to be honest"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Oct 6, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Kanako Murata

Murata has been out for over two years, but she is a strong wrestler with top pressure. She should be able to close the distance, drag Demopoulos to the ground, and control her from top position. Demopoulos has shown holes in her striking and has been submitted before. However, the long layoff makes me hesitant on the chalky line. Expect Murata to win by decision.

"I'm going to take Morata here a little bit hesitant on her chalky money line at -300 or -350 considering the fact that she's been offered two plus years"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

Paul picks Demopoulos, agreeing with Cody. He notes Murata's low striking volume and long layoff, and believes Demopoulos can win a volume striking fight or via submission. He likes the plus 275 price and considers a submission prop.

Demopoulos by submission
"Demopolis plus 275 like it because I could see her winning a volume based uh striking Affair"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

The MMA Guru picks Kanako Murata over Vanessa Demopoulos. He likes that Murata took time off after an injury and likely improved. He notes Murata's win over Emily Ducote on the regional scene and her confidence in fighting a veteran early in her career. He criticizes Demopoulos for being 'coddled' and having questionable decisions, and believes Murata is more consistent. He predicts a close competitive decision but mentions potential finish.

potentially by finish, but likely a close competitive decision
"I'm gonna have to go against Vanessa Demopolis here I don't mind kanako Morata in comparison"
LOSS vs Virna Jandiroba
TKO (arm injury) R2 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: The Korean Zombie vs. Ige · Jun 19, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Virna Jandiroba 0 23 of 44 52% 26 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:34
Kanako Murata 0 36 of 80 45% 39 of 83 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Virna Jandiroba 0 14 of 21 66% 17 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:19
Kanako Murata 0 11 of 26 42% 12 of 27 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:46
2 Virna Jandiroba 0 9 of 23 39% 9 of 23 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Kanako Murata 0 25 of 54 46% 27 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Virna Jandiroba 23 of 44 52% 15 of 33 5 of 7 3 of 4 12 of 32 3 of 3 8 of 9
Kanako Murata 36 of 80 45% 32 of 73 4 of 7 0 of 0 35 of 77 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Virna Jandiroba 14 of 21 66% 10 of 16 4 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 9 3 of 3 8 of 9
Kanako Murata 11 of 26 42% 8 of 23 3 of 3 0 of 0 10 of 25 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Virna Jandiroba 9 of 23 39% 5 of 17 1 of 2 3 of 4 9 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kanako Murata 25 of 54 46% 24 of 50 1 of 4 0 of 0 25 of 52 0 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

Angelo picks Kanako Murata, citing her judo and wrestling background. He believes Murata can take Jandiroba down and control her, avoiding submissions. He notes Jandiroba's submission threat but thinks Murata's defensive grappling is sufficient. He placed a bet on Jandiroba to win by submission with decision no action, essentially hedging.

Jandiroba wins by submission, decision equals no action (1 unit, bet online)
"my pick is kanako."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Big Brady is confident in Jandiroba's submission skills, noting she is a BJJ wizard with 13 submission wins. He points out Murata puts herself in bad positions and has a submission loss. He expects Jandiroba to find a submission within 15 minutes.

win by submission
"I'll take jen and january to win by submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

Cody picks Murata as an underdog, citing her wrestling advantage and youth (27). He notes Jandiroba's non-existent striking and believes Murata can win by decision through takedowns and control. He acknowledges Jandiroba's submission threat but thinks Murata's improved grappling will keep her safe.

Murata by decision
"i went with uh kanako murata uh yeah it just comes down to the wrestling advantage again she's still pretty young in 27"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Daniel Levi picks Virna Jandiroba, citing her elite jiu-jitsu and higher level of competition. He believes she is the better grappler and can pull guard, sweep, and get into dominant positions. He notes that wrestlers like Murata don't like being on their backs, and that Jandiroba has fought tougher opponents like Carla Esparza and Mackenzie Dern. He expects a submission or decision win, but acknowledges that if it becomes a striking fight, he is less sure.

"i think that virna janjidova is just more seasoned man and fought the better competition and i like her jiu jitsu game i think it's very elite"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Jacob does not make a clear pick for this fight. He finds it a toss-up between the wrestler and grappler. He leans slightly towards Jandiroba if it goes to the ground but stayed away from picking. He did not include either fighter in his lineup.

"i didn't even pick this fight because i have no idea what's going to happen in this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

The host leans slightly with Kanako Murata, believing her wrestling and strength will allow her to dictate where the fight takes place. He thinks Murata's defensive grappling has improved and that she can nullify Jandiroba's jiu-jitsu. He expects a grappling-heavy fight where both cancel out, leading to a decision. He likes the over 2.5 rounds most, as finishes are unlikely given the skill level. He notes Murata's only loss was early in her career to a more experienced fighter.

Over 2.5 rounds at -200 range; Murata by decision at +245 mentioned
"i'm going to be going with kanako murata by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Paul picks Jandiroba by submission as a small play, noting her superior BJJ and ability to take down wrestlers (as seen against Esparza). He is concerned about Murata's submission defense but thinks Jandiroba can catch her if the fight goes to the ground.

Jandiroba by submission +275
"i ended up taking a shot on verna by sub plus 275 i don't know if the math really checks out all that much"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Virna Jandiroba

The MMA Guru picks Virna Jandiroba to win by submission (arm triangle) in the second round. He expects Murata to push Jandiroba against the cage early and use her strength, but Jandiroba will use jiu-jitsu positions and submission attempts to win scrambles. He predicts Jandiroba will attack many submissions, eventually catching Murata in an arm triangle after transitioning from a leg lock.

submission win, second round, arm triangle
"i'm going to go verna jandarova getting a submission win in the second round... arm triangle"
WIN vs Randa Markos
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. dos Anjos · Nov 14, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kanako Murata 0 29 of 61 47% 37 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Randa Markos 0 29 of 43 67% 79 of 95 4 of 9 44% 2 0 9:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kanako Murata 0 7 of 11 63% 8 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Randa Markos 0 15 of 20 75% 36 of 42 2 of 5 40% 0 0 3:34
2 Kanako Murata 0 15 of 33 45% 22 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Randa Markos 0 8 of 15 53% 20 of 27 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:13
3 Kanako Murata 0 7 of 17 41% 7 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Randa Markos 0 6 of 8 75% 23 of 26 1 of 2 50% 2 0 3:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kanako Murata 29 of 61 47% 12 of 36 10 of 12 7 of 13 19 of 50 9 of 10 1 of 1
Randa Markos 29 of 43 67% 24 of 36 5 of 7 0 of 0 11 of 22 1 of 3 17 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kanako Murata 7 of 11 63% 2 of 5 4 of 4 1 of 2 3 of 7 4 of 4 0 of 0
Randa Markos 15 of 20 75% 14 of 19 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 1 of 1 13 of 13
2 Kanako Murata 15 of 33 45% 6 of 20 4 of 5 5 of 8 10 of 27 5 of 6 0 of 0
Randa Markos 8 of 15 53% 4 of 9 4 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 12 0 of 2 1 of 1
3 Kanako Murata 7 of 17 41% 4 of 11 2 of 3 1 of 3 6 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1
Randa Markos 6 of 8 75% 6 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 4
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

Big Brady picks Murata due to her wrestling pedigree and top control, though he is wary of Markos' submission threat from guard. He notes Markos' poor fight IQ and takedown defense. He expects Murata to win a decision but is not betting due to the sketchy vibe.

decision prop mentioned as a possible look; not betting
"i like morata here i like her by decision but i'm not going to touch it from a betting perspective"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 13, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Kanako Murata

Daniel slightly leans with Murata, noting her disciplined game plan, strength, forward pressure, and ability to mix in takedowns. He thinks she can edge a decision if she stays disciplined. He acknowledges Markos has shown mental lapses and inconsistency, but warns that Murata is not a lock and the fight could be close. He advises not going crazy at the betting window.

"i'll slightly lean with her for that reason"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Randa Markos

The MMA Guru picks Randa Markos, despite her 10-10 record, because she has fought much better competition than Kanako Murata. He notes that Murata went to a split decision against a girl with an 8-5 record and hasn't beaten anyone notable. He believes Markos will piece up Murata on the feet for three rounds and win a unanimous decision.

Unanimous decision; mentions Markos' wins over Angela Hill and Carla Esparza
"I'm going to be going with Randa Markos getting the job done, I think she'll piece up Kanako Murata on the feet for three rounds earning herself a unanimous decision victory."
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

Angelo picks Kanako Murata, citing her judo and wrestling background. He believes Murata can take Jandiroba down and control her, avoiding submissions. He notes Jandiroba's submission threat but thinks Murata's defensive grappling is sufficient. He placed a bet on Jandiroba to win by submission with decision no action, essentially hedging.

Jandiroba wins by submission, decision equals no action (1 unit, bet online)
"my pick is kanako."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Big Brady is confident in Jandiroba's submission skills, noting she is a BJJ wizard with 13 submission wins. He points out Murata puts herself in bad positions and has a submission loss. He expects Jandiroba to find a submission within 15 minutes.

win by submission
"I'll take jen and january to win by submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

Cody picks Murata as an underdog, citing her wrestling advantage and youth (27). He notes Jandiroba's non-existent striking and believes Murata can win by decision through takedowns and control. He acknowledges Jandiroba's submission threat but thinks Murata's improved grappling will keep her safe.

Murata by decision
"i went with uh kanako murata uh yeah it just comes down to the wrestling advantage again she's still pretty young in 27"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Daniel Levi picks Virna Jandiroba, citing her elite jiu-jitsu and higher level of competition. He believes she is the better grappler and can pull guard, sweep, and get into dominant positions. He notes that wrestlers like Murata don't like being on their backs, and that Jandiroba has fought tougher opponents like Carla Esparza and Mackenzie Dern. He expects a submission or decision win, but acknowledges that if it becomes a striking fight, he is less sure.

"i think that virna janjidova is just more seasoned man and fought the better competition and i like her jiu jitsu game i think it's very elite"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
No clear pick

Jacob does not make a clear pick for this fight. He finds it a toss-up between the wrestler and grappler. He leans slightly towards Jandiroba if it goes to the ground but stayed away from picking. He did not include either fighter in his lineup.

"i didn't even pick this fight because i have no idea what's going to happen in this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

The host leans slightly with Kanako Murata, believing her wrestling and strength will allow her to dictate where the fight takes place. He thinks Murata's defensive grappling has improved and that she can nullify Jandiroba's jiu-jitsu. He expects a grappling-heavy fight where both cancel out, leading to a decision. He likes the over 2.5 rounds most, as finishes are unlikely given the skill level. He notes Murata's only loss was early in her career to a more experienced fighter.

Over 2.5 rounds at -200 range; Murata by decision at +245 mentioned
"i'm going to be going with kanako murata by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Paul picks Jandiroba by submission as a small play, noting her superior BJJ and ability to take down wrestlers (as seen against Esparza). He is concerned about Murata's submission defense but thinks Jandiroba can catch her if the fight goes to the ground.

Jandiroba by submission +275
"i ended up taking a shot on verna by sub plus 275 i don't know if the math really checks out all that much"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Virna Jandiroba

The MMA Guru picks Virna Jandiroba to win by submission (arm triangle) in the second round. He expects Murata to push Jandiroba against the cage early and use her strength, but Jandiroba will use jiu-jitsu positions and submission attempts to win scrambles. He predicts Jandiroba will attack many submissions, eventually catching Murata in an arm triangle after transitioning from a leg lock.

submission win, second round, arm triangle
"i'm going to go verna jandarova getting a submission win in the second round... arm triangle"