Malcolm Gordon

Angelo sees both fighters as chinny grapplers with poor takedown defense and mediocre takedown offense. He believes Flick is the more dangerous grappler and that if Flick can get past Gordon's 9% takedown defense, he will have a significant advantage. However, he calls the fight super close and advises not betting on it due to too many variables.

Big Brady picks Jimmy Flick despite acknowledging both fighters have terrible durability. He notes Flick's wrestling looked better than expected in past fights and believes Flick is the better grappler against Malcolm Gordon's 9% takedown defense. However, he expresses major concerns about Flick's mentality after a retirement and two knockout losses. He says he is not betting Flick but predicts a first-round submission.

Cody picks Flick as an underdog, citing his wrestling advantage and Gordon's 9% takedown defense. He believes Flick will take Gordon down and submit him or control the fight. He notes Flick's motivation and improved cardio.

Daniel Vreeland refuses to pick a winner, calling both fighters fragile and untrustworthy at the UFC level. He notes both have no chins and are black belts who can submit each other, but he does not trust either. He advises against betting on this fight.

This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Flick vs Gordon.

I'm leaning with the underdog Jimmy Flick here. I don't think Gordon provides enough issues on the feet for Flick, and it's just a matter of time before the fight hits the mat. Even though Gordon might think he has the advantage there, I think Flick is a little too crafty for him and should get the better of him on the mat. I expect a submission finish within the first two rounds.

Paul picks Gordon but is not confident, noting his chin issues and lack of knockout power. He thinks Gordon's striking and jiu-jitsu should be enough, but he won't bet the -190. He acknowledges Flick's grappling threat.

Angelo is confident Jake Hadley wins and thinks the odds should be wider. He notes Hadley has solid boxing and aggressive BJJ, while Malcolm Gordon is chinny and gets finished. He thinks Gordon's performance against Makayev is misleading because Makayev is not dangerous. He expects Hadley to beat Gordon up on the feet and survive any submission attempts.

Big Brady picks Jake Hadley, citing Malcolm Gordon's poor durability (all losses inside distance) and 9% takedown defense. He notes Hadley's takedown defense is a concern (37%), but believes Hadley can finish via KO or submission. He predicts a second-round submission, but acknowledges Gordon is a solid fighter otherwise.

Cody picks Hadley, citing his significant advantages in boxing and wrestling. He notes Gordon has durability issues and has been submitted recently. He thinks Hadley can dictate where the fight goes and will likely finish Gordon by knockout or submission. He says Hadley is more refined and has beaten better competition.

Connor picks Hadley, citing Gordon's severe durability issues. He notes that Gordon's aggressive style leaves him open to counters, and Hadley has the chin to absorb punishment and keep fighting. Connor believes Hadley's pressure and volume will eventually break Gordon, who has a history of getting knocked out.

Jacob thinks Jake Hadley is the better fighter and should win, but he is worried about Malcolm Gordon's wildness and aggression. He notes Gordon goes out on his shield and takes chances, which could lead to a submission or scramble that catches Hadley. He has Hadley in a parlay but is a bit worried about it.

Hadley has crisp boxing and a dangerous submission game, as shown in his last win over Candelario. Gordon is a BJJ black belt but his striking is uncomfortable and he crashes the pocket recklessly to get takedowns. Hadley is the better striker and grappler, and should be able to dictate where the fight goes. A finish inside the distance is likely, either by knockout or club-and-sub.

Paul picks Hadley but is more interested in the plus money on fight goes to decision. He notes Hadley hasn't shown huge power and Gordon is durable enough to go the distance. He likes Hadley by decision at plus 400 and thinks it could grow to plus 500. He says Hadley at home should get the nod in a close fight.

The MMA Guru picks Jake Hadley to win by TKO or submission, praising his composure and improvement since his debut. He notes Gordon's chin is suspect and Hadley has the striking and grappling advantage. He predicts Hadley will pressure Gordon, hurt him on the feet, and potentially latch on a rear-naked choke after dropping him.

Angelo picks Muhammad Mokaev as the largest favorite on the card, citing his non-stop wrestling pace and Malcolm Gordon's 0% takedown defense. He notes Mokaev's insane cardio and pressure, but also points out that Mokaev struggles to hold opponents down. He mentions that Gordon has a BJJ black belt but doesn't think it will matter.

Big Brady is extremely confident in Mokaev, calling him the biggest favorite on the card. He highlights Gordon's poor chin (knocked out four times, finished in all five losses) and zero percent takedown defense. He believes Mokaev can win by knockout or submission, predicting a first-round finish, likely by knockout on the feet.

Cody is confident in Mokaev, noting his youth and improvement. He thinks Mokaev's wrestling and submission game will be too much for Gordon, who has durability issues. Cody expects a finish, likely by TKO or submission in the first or second round.

Daniel Levi picks Muhammad Mokaev to win dominantly, possibly by knockout. He is impressed by Mokaev's record-setting takedown performance and finishing ability. Levi questions Malcolm Gordon's chin and heart, noting Gordon has been finished before and made mistakes. He thinks Mokaev can win by any method he chooses.

Mokaev has relentless wrestling and cardio, as shown against Charles Johnson. Gordon's best path is grappling, but Mokaev is safe with his jiu-jitsu and can dominate on top. Gordon is less durable than Johnson, so Mokaev inside the distance is a strong play. The under 1.5 rounds is also appealing.

Paul is confident in Mokaev, noting Gordon's poor chin and durability. He thinks Mokaev will spam takedowns and finish. Paul likes the TKO prop at +260 to +280.

Angelo picks Denys Bondar for his wild, aggressive style and offensive wrestling. He notes Bondar's wild punches and old-school slams, while Gordon has a suspect chin and low takedown accuracy. Despite Gordon's speed and technique advantage on the feet, Bondar's power and wrestling should secure the win.

Cody agrees with Paul, noting that Bondar has better wrestling and cardio, and Gordon has a weak chin. He thinks Bondar will take him down and grind him out or knock him out. He is confident Bondar wins and likes the round one prop.

Daniel Levi picks Denys Bondar, citing his devastating ground and pound, forward pressure, and dog mentality. He questions Malcolm Gordon's chin and mental toughness, noting that Gordon folds when put in bad spots. Levi acknowledges Bondar's competition level is questionable but likes his skills and progression. He expects Bondar to win his UFC debut, likely by finish.

Lock of the Night picks Bondar, citing his grappling advantage and Gordon's fragility. He expects Bondar to take the fight to the ground and finish. He likes Bondar inside the distance at +100.

Paul thinks Bondar is being set up for a win. He notes that Gordon has a weak chin and has been knocked out multiple times. Bondar has power and good wrestling. He is confident Bondar wins, likely by knockout in round one.

Cody is confident in Francisco Figueiredo, but he prefers prop bets. He has placed bets on Figueiredo inside the distance and under 2.5 rounds, citing Malcolm Gordon's poor chin and durability issues. He acknowledges Figueiredo's lack of power but believes Gordon's susceptibility to getting knocked out makes this a good prop play.

Big Brady is confident in Gordon as an underdog, believing he is better everywhere: striking (harder hits, improved technique) and grappling (BJJ black belt, excellent scrambles). He thinks Gordon's 83% finish rate and hunger make him a live dog, and predicts a second-round submission. He notes Gordon's three KO losses but doesn't think Albazi has the power to exploit that.

Daniel Levi picks Amir Albazi, noting that he has been solid and his only losses are to top flyweights outside the UFC. He mentions that Gordon has a questionable chin but can scramble. He expects an exciting fight but leans toward the Swede.