Jimmy Flick

Angelo picks Matt Schnell, calling him the better fighter despite his compromised chin. He notes that Schnell is a solid striker with good BJJ, while Jimmy Flick is a one-dimensional grappler with terrible striking stats (5.43 significant strikes absorbed per minute). He compares the choice to cat poop vs. dog poop, but concludes Schnell is the real fighter.

Big Brady picks Jimmy Flick, citing Matt Schnell's poor chin, takedown defense, and submission defense. He notes Schnell has been submitted three times and has no knockout power. He expects Flick to get a takedown and submit Schnell, predicting a first-round submission. He is shocked Schnell is a -300 favorite.

The host got Flick at plus 200 and believes his unorthodox grappling and jiu-jitsu will allow him to catch Schnell in a submission, despite Flick's absent striking game.

Angelo picks Nate Maness confidently, calling it a mismatch. He notes Nate is well-rounded with good submissions, power, and takedown defense, while Jimmy Flick is a one-dimensional grappler with poor striking and takedowns. He believes Nate wins 29 out of 30 times and should dominate, possibly by finish. He suggests parlaying Nate.

Cody picks Nate Maness, highlighting his takedown defense, power, and cardio. He notes that Maness has fought tough competition at 135 and is now at his natural weight class of 125. Cody believes Flick is one-dimensional (submission or bust) and that Maness will avoid submissions and knock him out or win a decision. He warns that flyweight fights can be unpredictable but is confident in Maness.

Daniel Vreeland picks Nate Maness, citing his length and range striking. He expects Maness to pick Flick apart and make him shoot sloppy shots. He notes Flick's pattern of getting beaten up before finishing or being finished, and believes Maness will pound him out as Flick fatigues and pulls guard.

Jacob picks Nate, emphasizing he should not grapple with Jimmy and should stay on the feet to avoid submissions. He notes Nate's length and striking advantage, and that Jimmy is dangerous only if he gets a hold on the ground. He expects Nate to win easily by keeping the fight standing.

Maness should win by knockout if he keeps the fight upright, but Flick is squirmy and dangerous in the clinch and on the back. This makes me hesitant to take the chalk on Maness. I'll predict Maness by knockout but a small sprinkle on Flick by submission is not bad.

Paul picks Nate Maness, noting that Flick's only path to victory is a submission and that Maness has good takedown defense. He points out that Flick has been knocked out multiple times and that Maness has power. Paul thinks Maness will win, possibly by knockout.

Angelo sees both fighters as chinny grapplers with poor takedown defense and mediocre takedown offense. He believes Flick is the more dangerous grappler and that if Flick can get past Gordon's 9% takedown defense, he will have a significant advantage. However, he calls the fight super close and advises not betting on it due to too many variables.

Big Brady picks Jimmy Flick despite acknowledging both fighters have terrible durability. He notes Flick's wrestling looked better than expected in past fights and believes Flick is the better grappler against Malcolm Gordon's 9% takedown defense. However, he expresses major concerns about Flick's mentality after a retirement and two knockout losses. He says he is not betting Flick but predicts a first-round submission.

Cody picks Flick as an underdog, citing his wrestling advantage and Gordon's 9% takedown defense. He believes Flick will take Gordon down and submit him or control the fight. He notes Flick's motivation and improved cardio.

Daniel Vreeland refuses to pick a winner, calling both fighters fragile and untrustworthy at the UFC level. He notes both have no chins and are black belts who can submit each other, but he does not trust either. He advises against betting on this fight.

This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Flick vs Gordon.

I'm leaning with the underdog Jimmy Flick here. I don't think Gordon provides enough issues on the feet for Flick, and it's just a matter of time before the fight hits the mat. Even though Gordon might think he has the advantage there, I think Flick is a little too crafty for him and should get the better of him on the mat. I expect a submission finish within the first two rounds.

Paul picks Gordon but is not confident, noting his chin issues and lack of knockout power. He thinks Gordon's striking and jiu-jitsu should be enough, but he won't bet the -190. He acknowledges Flick's grappling threat.

Big Brady picks Alessandro Costa to win by late first-round knockout. He is high on Costa, praising his BJJ black belt, grappling, and knockout power. He thinks Costa can dictate where the fight takes place and has good takedown defense. Flick's path is an early submission, but Brady doubts he can submit Costa. He questions Flick's cardio, toughness, and chin, noting Flick has five knockout losses. Brady expects Costa to land a big shot and finish Flick after weathering an early storm.

Cody is confident in Costa, citing Flick's poor durability and cardio. He notes that Flick has been knocked out in five of his six losses, often early, and that his boxing is poor. Costa showed good takedown defense against Amir Albazi, and Cody thinks he can stuff Flick's takedowns and win on the feet. He also plans to live bet Costa if Flick takes him down early and fails to submit him.

Connor picks Costa, citing his more functional and modern MMA game compared to Flick's one-dimensional grappling. He notes that Costa is a cleaner puncher and that Flick's success depends entirely on landing a submission. Connor is concerned that Flick's aggression could be neutralized if Costa stays standing, as seen in Flick's loss to Charles Johnson. He acknowledges Costa's downside is matching Flick's aimlessness but believes Costa's power and takedown defense give him the edge.

Daniel Levi picks Alessandro Costa, citing his BJJ black belt under Diego Lopez and ability to defend submissions. He views Flick as submission-or-bust and believes Costa can handle that threat. He notes Flick's poor durability and that Costa should win if he avoids submissions. He acknowledges the high juice but sees it as a slam dunk.

Flick is a high-level BJJ player who is crafty from top position. Costa is a solid striker but his takedown defense and control on the ground are not impressive. Flick's stationary style of Costa should allow takedown opportunities. Even though Costa is a BJJ black belt, Flick's submission threat is real. The plus 210 line offers value. Flick wins by submission.

Paul is hesitant to lay -255 on Costa, given the question marks around him, but he picks Costa because Flick's cardio and durability are major issues. He notes that Flick looked terrible in his return against Charles Johnson and that Costa held his own against Albazi. Paul would not bet the moneyline but expects Costa to win.

The MMA Guru picks Alessandro Costa over Jimmy Flick, questioning Flick's return after a retirement and a first-round TKO loss to Charles Johnson. He notes Costa's loss to Amir Albazi is no shame, and that Costa has fought good opponents and learned lessons. He predicts Costa will finish Flick by TKO.

Angelo picks Johnson, citing his well-roundedness and cardio. He thinks Flick's two-year layoff will be a factor and Johnson's takedown defense and boxing will prevail. He notes Johnson's power and pressure, but acknowledges Flick's submission threat. He considers -305 appropriate.

Big Brady picks Charles Johnson confidently, citing Johnson's takedown defense shown against Muhammad Mokaev and his striking advantage. He notes that Jimmy Flick is a submission specialist but struggles to get fights to the mat, and if he can't, he fades after the first round. He believes Johnson will keep the fight standing and finish Flick by knockout in the second round, as Flick has been knocked out before.

Cody picks Johnson, citing his submission defense and cardio. He notes Flick's poor chin and tendency to fade after the first round. He expects Johnson to survive early submission attempts and win by TKO in rounds 2 or 3. He likes Johnson by TKO props.

Connor also picks Johnson, agreeing that Johnson has built-in advantages and is hard to outgrapple. However, he is not confident it will be decisive and notes that Flick could pull off a submission. Connor emphasizes that Johnson's passivity is a concern and that Flick's weird grappling could create opportunities.

Jacob picks Flick as an underdog, citing Johnson's overconfidence and potential grappling vulnerability. He notes Johnson's close fight with Zalgas and his cocky attitude. He thinks Flick's submission threat and layoff could lead to a surprise. He is not betting the moneyline but has bets on Flick for premium members.

Paul picks Flick as a value underdog, having bet him at +385 and +420. He notes Johnson's poor takedown defense and believes Flick's submission game can cause problems. He acknowledges the line has corrected and sees it as a hedge play.

Big Brady picks Jimmy Flick over Cody Durden, citing Durden's double weight cut as a concern and his tendency to go for takedowns, which plays into Flick's submission game. He notes Flick's questionable chin but believes the fight will hit the mat, where Flick has the advantage. Brady predicts a first-round submission.

The host picks Flick but is very hesitant, calling it a toss-up. He believes Flick's submission threat will be key if he can initiate grappling, but notes Durden's wrestling background and power. He recommends the fight doesn't go to decision prop as the best play.