UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont

Angelo picks Norma Dumont confidently, citing her technical striking, 100% takedown defense, and composure. Aspen Ladd is wild, tough, and has a two-year layoff due to injury. Dumont will pick Ladd apart on the feet and defend takedowns. Angelo already has a moneyline bet on Dumont at even money and may double down. He likes Dumont in DraftKings and notes the odds may move in her favor.

Big Brady picks Norma Dumont as a dog, citing her striking advantage and Ladd's many red flags: long layoff, injuries, weight miss, and short notice. He notes Dumont has never been taken down and has good takedown defense. However, he questions Dumont's gas tank after slowing in the Spencer fight. He prefers the plus money on Dumont.

Cody picks Norma Dumont as a dog, citing Aspen Ladd's long history of weight-cutting struggles, a two-year layoff, and a major knee injury. He notes Dumont has 100% takedown defense in the UFC, a judo background, and improved striking, while Ladd's poor head movement and lack of wrestling will leave her exposed on the feet. He believes if Ladd can't get the fight to the ground, Dumont will pull the upset.

Daniel picks Norma Dumont as an underdog, flipping a coin. He notes Dumont has never been taken down in the UFC and has good takedown defense, while Ladd's striking is ugly and she relies on ground-and-pound. If Dumont keeps it standing, she can light Ladd up, but if Ladd gets top position, she will ground-and-pound. He sees it as a coin flip and goes with Dumont.

Dumont is the bigger fighter with better striking and fight IQ. She can stuff takedowns and keep the fight standing, where she has the advantage. Ladd's striking is poor and her takedowns rely on body locks, which may be harder against a larger opponent. However, Dumont has never gone five rounds and could fade.

Paul leans toward Dumont, emphasizing Ladd's chronic weight issues and the difficulty of moving up to featherweight on short notice. He notes Ladd's poor striking defense and the fact that Dumont is a natural featherweight with size and strength advantages. He also mentions the five-round distance as a challenge for Ladd's cardio.

The MMA Guru picks Norma Dumont by first-round KO, citing Aspen Ladd's recent weight cut issues and inactivity. He notes Dumont's size, strength, and counter-striking, comparing her to Germaine de Randamie who KO'd Ladd. He predicts Ladd will rush in and get caught with a counter right hand, and emphasizes Dumont's full camp and natural featherweight frame.

Angelo picks Arlovski reluctantly due to his age (42) but believes his new bouncing style, footwork, and jab will allow him to outpoint Felipe. Felipe is a young boxer with good volume and cardio but lacks power. Arlovski can also initiate grappling if needed. Angelo is concerned about Arlovski's chin but thinks he can avoid danger. He likes Arlovski at 8200 in DraftKings and the more more on monkey knife fight.

Big Brady leans toward Carlos Felipe by decision, citing Felipe's youth, durability, and volume. He notes Arlovski is 42 and inconsistent, sometimes low-volume. However, he dislikes Felipe's close split decisions and showboating. He has no interest in betting this fight.

Cody picks Arlovski as a slight lean, arguing that Arlovski has become the ultimate gatekeeper who beats young up-and-comers who aren't the real deal. He points out that Felipe's wins have been close split decisions against low-level competition, and that Arlovski's smart game plan of smothering Felipe against the cage and outpointing him at distance should work. He expects the fight to go to decision.

Daniel picks Carlos Felipe, noting the odds are close and everyone is on Arlovski. He sees Felipe as a young, improving fighter who likes to bang, and he dismisses the controversial Jake Collier fight as a win for Felipe. He acknowledges Arlovski's veteran savvy and speed but thinks Felipe can win a close, possibly controversial split decision.

Arlovski will use his outside striking, jabs, and leg kicks to outpoint Felipe, who lacks finishing ability in the UFC. Felipe's success comes in the pocket, but Arlovski will avoid brawling. The fight is likely to go the distance, with Arlovski winning a decision.

Paul leans toward Felipe edging out a decision based on volume and forward pressure, but admits he's not confident. He notes that Arlovski is the more technical striker but Felipe throws more volume and is durable. He says he's not willing to step in front of it with his money.

The MMA Guru picks Andrei Arlovski by decision, noting the even odds and Felipe's lack of KO power. He argues that only fighters who obliterate competition beat Arlovski, and Felipe's close fights with Jake Collier and Justin Tafa are red flags. He expects Arlovski's footwork and jab to neutralize Felipe's body shots, leading to a 30-27 decision.

Angelo picks Jim Miller confidently, noting his veteran savvy, toughness, and superior grappling. Gonzalez is a long striker who relies on range, but Miller will close the distance, make it dirty, and take the fight to the ground where he has a huge advantage. Miller's path is clear: get in Gonzalez's face, grind him against the cage, and work for a submission or control. Angelo likes Miller at 8700 in DraftKings and the more more on monkey knife fight.

Big Brady picks Jim Miller by first-round submission, citing Gonzalez's poor takedown defense and Miller's recent first-round submissions. He notes Miller's gas tank is a concern if the fight goes longer, but expects an early finish. Gonzalez has been taken down easily in past fights.

Cody picks Jim Miller to win by submission, noting that Gonzalez has poor grappling and has been wrestle-pounded in the past. He believes Miller's jiu-jitsu will dominate on the ground, and he likes the prop bets of Miller inside the distance, by submission, and a sprinkle on Miller round one. He is less inclined to bet the moneyline at -225 due to Miller's age and recent COVID recovery.

Daniel picks Jim Miller to win by first-round submission, believing this is Miller's retirement fight. He notes Miller's nasty submission game and ability to go balls-to-the-wall in the first round, though his cardio fades after due to Lyme disease. He expects Miller to take Gonzalez down, take his back, and choke him out, leaving his gloves in the octagon.

The host is conflicted; he sees Fiorot as more technical but questions her grappling and durability against Silva's pressure. He leans toward Silva as a live underdog but ultimately wants to watch and learn. No clear pick is made.

Paul picks Jim Miller, emphasizing the massive experience gap and Miller's ability to secure takedowns and control the fight on the ground. He notes that Gonzalez's grappling has let him down repeatedly and that Miller should be able to exploit that. He also mentions that Miller is always in shape despite his age and health issues.

The MMA Guru picks Jim Miller by first-round guillotine choke, citing Gonzalez's lackluster competition and short-notice fight. He notes Miller's experience and ability to beat decent fighters, predicting he will catch Gonzalez with a counter and submit him. He dismisses Gonzalez's record as padded.

Angelo picks Manon Fiorot confidently, highlighting her elite striking differential (lands 8, gets hit less than 2). She has killer instinct, solid fight IQ, and works back to her feet quickly if taken down. Mayra Bueno Silva is a good striker and grappler but her wrestling is not great, making it hard to get the fight to the ground. Angelo likes Fiorot at 8900 in DraftKings and the more more on monkey knife fight.

Big Brady picks Fiorot by third-round knockout, citing her striking advantage and Silva's poor striking defense. He notes Silva has attempted zero takedowns in the UFC, which is a major concern. If Silva doesn't grapple, Fiorot will dominate on the feet. He acknowledges Silva's dangerous ground game but doubts she can get the fight there.

Cody is very confident in Fiorot, citing her high-level kickboxing background, lateral movement, and improved clinch and takedown defense. He believes Bueno Silva's aggressive, forward-marching style plays into Fiorot's strengths of kicking from distance and moving laterally. His only concern is if the fight goes to the ground, but he thinks Fiorot's jiu-jitsu is good enough to survive.

Paul agrees with Cody, calling Fiorot the pick of the week. He notes her impressive UFC wins, including a head-kick KO, and her maturity at 31 years old. He thinks she will chew Bueno Silva up on the feet and that the only way it gets greasy is if it goes to the mat.

The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot by late second-round TKO, citing her takedown defense and striking. He expects Bueno Silva to pressure and attempt takedowns but fail, leading to Fiorot lighting her up on the feet. He notes Fiorot's recent head-kick KOs and believes she will finish as Bueno Silva tires.

Angelo is confident Klein wins, likely by stoppage. He praises Klein's phenomenal striking, footwork, and smooth movement, which will allow him to dance around Landwehr's wild pressure. Landwehr is feast-or-famine and puts himself in harm's way. Klein also showed new wrestling elements in his last fight. Angelo thinks Klein's footwork and clean striking will lead to a finish, though he acknowledges Landwehr's chaos could cause an upset.

Big Brady is confident Klein wins by knockout, likely a head kick, given Landwehr's poor striking defense and history of being knocked out. He notes Klein has multiple head kick KOs on his record and Landwehr is hittable and reckless. He sees no clear path to victory for Landwehr.

Cody picks Landwehr as a dog, acknowledging his durability issues but believing his pressure and cardio will overwhelm Klein if he survives the first round. He notes that Klein faded in his last fight against Trizano and that Landwehr's all-action style and track record of pushing a pace make him live as an underdog. He plans to use it as a PRP shot at the bottom of parlays.

Daniel picks Klein to win early, citing his dangerous high kick and first-round explosiveness. He worries about Klein's cardio if the fight goes past the first round, as seen in the Mike Trizano fight. Landwehr gets hit a lot (8 strikes per minute), which is a recipe for disaster against a sharp striker like Klein. However, if Klein doesn't finish early, Landwehr's toughness and deep-water experience could make it interesting.

Klein is a precise, powerful striker who will land a fight-ending shot on Landwehr, whose chin is deteriorating. Landwehr has poor striking defense and has been knocked out recently. Klein by KO is the most likely outcome, likely in the first two rounds.

Paul does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses both fighters' strengths and weaknesses but does not state a definitive choice.

The MMA Guru picks Ľudovít Klein by first-round KO, citing Landwehr's recent chin issues and tendency to get knocked down by any shot. He notes Klein's head-kick KOs and fast starts, predicting a head kick to combination finish. He acknowledges Landwehr's past success but attributes recent losses to a deteriorating chin.

Angelo is very confident in Bruno Silva, citing his insane power on the feet and ground, and his ability to finish. He notes Sanchez has a suspect chin and is well-rounded but not great at anything. Silva's takedown defense and grappling are good enough to survive. Angelo likes the moneyline at -135 and plans to bet it. He also likes Silva in DraftKings at 8300 and the less less on monkey knife fight.

Big Brady picks Bruno Silva by knockout, citing Silva's power and improved takedown defense. He notes Sanchez is hittable, has been knocked out four times, and may gas if he wrestles. Silva's 85% finish rate and Sanchez's poor striking defense make this a favorable matchup for Silva.

Cody picks Sanchez as an underdog, citing his excellent wrestling and the fact that Bruno Silva has six submission losses and is vulnerable on the ground. He believes if Sanchez uses his wrestling to control the fight and avoid Silva's power, he can pull off the upset. He acknowledges Sanchez's history of blowing leads but thinks the path to victory is clear.

Daniel is high on Bruno Silva, a former M-1 champion with devastating power. He notes Silva has addressed past grappling issues by reversing position and knocking out a black belt from his guard. He expects Silva to find Sanchez's chin eventually and knock him out, even if Sanchez gets a takedown or two.

Sanchez is a superior wrestler with good boxing and distance control. Silva has poor takedown defense and relies on KO power, but Sanchez can grind him out for 15 minutes. Sanchez by decision is the most likely outcome, though Silva's power is a threat.

Paul does not make a clear pick. He discusses the matchup but does not state a definitive choice.

The MMA Guru picks Bruno Silva by second-round TKO, citing Silva's experience against tough opponents and Sanchez's history of being KO'd. He notes Silva's ground game and cardio, and predicts Sanchez will have early moments but Silva will land big shots and finish with ground-and-pound. He emphasizes Silva's five-round experience.

Angelo picks Emeev confidently, citing his well-rounded game and ability to dictate where the fight goes. Emeev is a solid kickboxer who can chain wrestle when needed. Danny Roberts has power and boxing but poor takedown defense and a two-year layoff. Angelo sees the fight going either Roberts by KO or Emeev by decision, and he favors Emeev's versatility. He likes the more more on monkey knife fight and considers a win inside distance/decision no action prop on Roberts.

Big Brady picks Emeev by decision, citing Roberts' poor takedown defense (53%) and long layoff. He notes Emeev averages over two takedowns per 15 minutes and will grind out a decision. He sees Roberts' only path to victory as a finish, but Emeev is durable and fights smart.

Cody picks Roberts as a live underdog, arguing that Roberts has improved his wrestling at Stanford MMA and that Emeev's grinding style is vulnerable if Roberts can stuff takedowns and create space. He notes Roberts' striking advantage and believes his talent may finally catch up. He acknowledges it's a scary bet but sees value.

Daniel picks Danny Roberts as an underdog, noting that Emeev is not a power puncher and tends to grind out decisions. Roberts has pop in his punches and is always in a dogfight. He questions Roberts' long layoff but thinks at +250 the value is on Roberts to pull off the upset, though he acknowledges Emeev could stall against the fence.

Emeev's wrestling is the key; Roberts has poor takedown defense and fight IQ. Emeev will take Roberts down and control him for a decision win. Roberts' only path is if Emeev stands and strikes, but Emeev is durable and will likely grind out a win.

Paul leans toward Emeev, citing his grinding style and control against the cage. He notes that Roberts has poor durability and a history of mental lapses. He expects Emeev to win by decision, possibly with a late finish due to Roberts' chin.

The MMA Guru calls this a 'lock of the card,' picking Ramazan Emeev due to Danny Roberts' chinny nature and recent KO losses. He expects Emeev to outgrapple Roberts to a decision win, possibly losing the third round when Emeev slows. He notes Roberts' damage from past fights and Emeev's grappling advantage.

Angelo picks Sijara Eubanks but is hesitant due to her cardio issues and age. He notes Eubanks has good wrestling and a BJJ black belt, and her cardio seemed fixed in her last fight. Luana Carolina is a striker with good clinch work and 90% takedown defense, but Angelo questions the quality of opponents. He believes Eubanks will eventually get takedowns and control the fight, but the odds are too wide. He considers prop bets but is unsure.

Big Brady picks Loopy Godinez (referred to as Eubanks) as the clear winner, citing her superior striking and ground game. He notes Godinez is a black belt with submissions, while Carolina has questionable ground game but good takedown defense. He has concerns about Godinez's age and weight cut affecting her gas tank, but still expects a win.

Cody is high on Godinez, noting her improved grappling and boxing. He believes she can win on the feet with clean technical boxing or take the fight to the ground where Carolina is weak. He points out Carolina's poor grappling and suspect cardio, and thinks Godinez's skills translate well regardless of the weight class.

Daniel picks Luana Carolina as a slight underdog, feeling the line is too wide. He notes that Luana has paid more dues in the UFC and showed improvement in her last fight against Poliana Botelho. He compares Loopy Godinez to Jessica Andrade but thinks Luana's Muay Thai and experience with power punchers (like Priscila Cachoeira) give her a chance. He calls it a dog-or-pass situation and expects a close decision.

Godinez is a much better wrestler than anyone Carolina has faced, and Carolina's takedown defense is untested against high-level grappling. Godinez will close the distance, take the fight to the ground, and likely finish via submission or ground-and-pound. The inside distance prop at +255 is excellent value.

Paul does not make a clear pick, expressing concern about the size disparity and the possibility of the fight being scrapped due to weight issues. He notes Carolina's reach advantage and that Godinez is moving up in weight on short notice.

The MMA Guru picks Loopy Godinez (referred to as Ciara Eubanks) due to her tougher competition and physical strength. He criticizes Luana Carolina's ground game and predicts Godinez will make it messy, get takedowns, and win by ground-and-pound TKO in the first or second round. He emphasizes Godinez's masculinity and power.

Angelo picks Batgerel but is hesitant because the fight is closer than the odds suggest. He notes Batgerel is a sniper on the feet with speed and power, and his scrambling ability allows him to get back up if taken down. Brandon Davis has a path to victory via wrestling and jiu-jitsu, but his takedown offense is just okay. Angelo believes Batgerel's speed and power on the feet will be the difference, but he sees value in Davis if his wrestling has improved.

Big Brady picks Brandon Davis as an underdog, citing Davis's size advantage, reach, and takedown ability. He notes Batgerel has power but weaker competition, and Davis can mix in takedowns as seen against Giga Chikadze. He expects a close decision win for Davis.

Cody picks Davis as a live underdog, citing his durability, cardio, and well-rounded skills. He notes that Batgerel is an explosive banger who has not fought past the first round in two years, while Davis has fought high-level competition and has a never-say-die mindset. He believes Davis can weather the early storm and take over as the fight goes on.

Daniel slightly leans with Batgerel because he has been more active in the UFC and handled lower-level opponents decisively. However, he sees Brandon Davis as a live dog due to his size (3 inches taller, 72-inch reach) and durability—Davis has never been knocked out. Daniel expects a competitive stand-up fight and suggests the line may be too wide, making it a dog-or-pass situation.

Davis has veteran savvy, a good chin (never KO'd), and a takedown advantage. Batgerel is a muay Thai striker but his overall MMA game is lacking, and Davis can mix in takedowns and submissions. Davis by decision is the main prediction, but a submission prop at plus money is also attractive.

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Batgerel has zero takedown accuracy and is primarily a striker, while Davis is a well-rounded generalist who can mix in takedowns. He thinks Davis's durability and experience against tough opponents give him an edge.

The MMA Guru initially leans toward Danaa Batgerel but switches to Brandon Davis after reconsidering. He notes Davis's cardio, reach advantage, and ability to handle power, while questioning Batgerel's loss to Hiyala Teng. He predicts a third-round submission or decision win for Davis, but admits uncertainty.

Angelo picks Nunes as an underdog but is hesitant due to her three-year layoff and USADA suspension. He notes Nunes is the more technical striker with speed and versatility, while Carnelossi is aggressive and strong but sloppy. He worries about Nunes' timing after the layoff but believes if she finds a rhythm, she will out-strike Carnelossi. He does not bet the moneyline but considers prop bets like plus 3.5 points or win inside distance/decision no action.

Big Brady picks Istela Nunes as a dog, citing her Muay Thai background and technical striking advantage. He notes Carnelossi is hittable with poor striking defense, but acknowledges Nunes has a three-year layoff and questions about her ground game. He is hesitant to bet due to the unknowns, but picks Nunes by decision.

Cody leans toward Carnelossi, noting her strength and physicality. He mentions that Nunes has fought only once in three years due to contract issues with ONE Championship, making her ring rust a concern. He acknowledges Carnelossi's reach disadvantage but thinks her tank-like build and cardio can carry her.

Daniel picks Carnelossi due to her UFC experience and power, comparing her style to Jessica Andrade. He notes that Carnelossi has one-hitter-quitter power that can trouble strawweights, and she rebounded well after a cut stoppage loss. He acknowledges Istela Nunes is scrappy and has finishes, but the USADA suspension and debut questions make him lean toward Carnelossi.

Carnelossi is a forward-pressure brawler who moves forward and throws big bombs, similar to a female John Lineker. Nunes has a long layoff and USADA suspension, making her a question mark. Carnelossi by decision is the play because Nunes is durable and likely to eat shots for 15 minutes.

Paul does not make a clear pick, admitting he is not familiar with Nunes and needs to study the fight more. He provides background on both fighters but does not state a preference.

The MMA Guru picks Ariane Carnelossi due to her superior experience and competition level. He highlights her 'man arms' and physical strength, as well as her proven ground game and stand-up, including a body kick KO. He predicts a ground-and-pound TKO in the second round, noting Carnelossi's cardio and ability to finish late.