Ibo Aslan
"The Last Ottoman"Career Averages
Win Methods (2)
Loss Methods (3)
Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iwo Baraniewski | 2 | 22 of 32 | 68% | 28 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Ibo Aslan | 1 | 30 of 53 | 56% | 31 of 54 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iwo Baraniewski | 2 | 22 of 32 | 68% | 28 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Ibo Aslan | 1 | 30 of 53 | 56% | 31 of 54 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iwo Baraniewski | 22 of 32 | 68% | 18 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 14 | 6 of 6 | 10 of 12 |
| Ibo Aslan | 30 of 53 | 56% | 29 of 47 | 0 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 19 of 35 | 11 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iwo Baraniewski | 22 of 32 | 68% | 18 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 14 | 6 of 6 | 10 of 12 |
| Ibo Aslan | 30 of 53 | 56% | 29 of 47 | 0 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 19 of 35 | 11 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Baraniewski (-185), Aslan (+154)
Round 1
Marc Goddard is the referee. Baraniewski wades forward winging punches but can’t find the range. Aslan lands a front kick to the midsection and then follows up with a leg kick. Baraniewski shoots for a takedown, but it leads to a chaoctic punching exchange in close quarters. Both men are swinging wildly, and both are landing significant leather. Baraniewski drops Aslan with a clean right hook and flurries with punches. Aslan gets to his feet and rocks Baraniewski with power punches near the fence. It’s been a wild brawl with little regard for defense — a bar fight in the cage, in other words. Aslan marches forward carelessly, slinging punches at his Polish foe. Aslan’s hands are extremely low and
Baraniewski capitalizes, as he drops his adversary with a clean counter right hook to the chin. Aslan falls to his back, and Baraniewski dives into top position with a vengeance, flattening the Turkish fighter out with a punishing finishing salvo.
Baraniewski extends his first-round finishing streak to seven in his promotional debut.
The Official Result
Iwo Baraniewski def. Ibo Aslan via KO (Punches) R1 1:29
Expert Picks (10)
Angelo picks Iwo Baraniewski, a UFC debutant with only six pro fights, but notes he has well-rounded skills including wrestling, striking, and jiu-jitsu. He contrasts him with Ibo Aslan, who relies on power but has poor cardio and was inactive in his last fight. Angelo expects Baraniewski to push the pace, shoot takedowns, and potentially overwhelm Aslan. He mentions he placed a half-unit bet on Baraniewski at -140 earlier.
Big Brady picks Iwo Baraniewski, noting his judo, ground and pound, and submission game. He highlights Aslan's poor ground game and cardio, referencing Aslan's submission loss to Iwan Cudalaba. He expects Baraniewski to take Aslan down and submit him in the first round.
Cody picks Baraniewski, citing his power, aggression, and amateur experience. He notes that Aslan looked terrible in his last fight against Billy Alakana, showing no urgency. He believes Baraniewski will come forward and finish Aslan. He mentions that Aslan is petrified of being taken down and doesn't commit to his punches.
Connor picks Iwo Baraniewski, noting that he is a knockout artist with a long amateur career and seems like a real lifetime fighter. He contrasts Aslan, who he views as a beach muscles guy who doesn't actually do MMA for the right reasons. Connor believes Baraniewski has potential as a grimy clinch mauler.
Daniel is uncertain, noting Aslan's unusual performance in his last fight (gunshy) and Baraniewski's lack of octagon time past round one. He needs more information on both fighters' durability and game plans before making a pick.
Lucrative James believes Iwo Baraniewski's judo base and power will be too much for Ibo Aslan, who has poor grappling and defensive holes. He expects Baraniewski to take the fight to the ground and finish early, possibly via ground and pound or submission. He predicts a first-round stoppage.
The host views this as a fun fight between two raw light heavyweights but gives Baraniewski the edge due to having more tools. Despite a weaker strength of schedule, he expects Baraniewski to get the fight to the ground, land big shots from top position, and find a finish within a round and a half.
Paul agrees, noting that Aslan's last performance was abysmal and he showed no desire to win. He believes Baraniewski is a powerful finisher who will overwhelm Aslan. He thinks Baraniewski wins by TKO.
The Guru picks Iwo Baraniewski over Ibo Aslan, citing Baraniewski's extensive amateur experience (16-3) and his KO of a hyped prospect. He notes that Aslan has been fraud-checked and that Baraniewski has a ground game. The Guru predicts a first-round finish by TKO or submission.
Zane picks Iwo Baraniewski, agreeing that he has potential as a grimy clinch mauler, a style not well represented at light heavyweight. He notes that Aslan has been dusted by better competition and seems more interested in selfies. Zane picks the guy with potential.
Expert Picks (2)
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Aslan. He emphasizes that Tafa's record is terrible and that he has never won a fight past two minutes. Connor notes that Aslan has never been knocked out and is capable of throwing power combos and low kicks. He thinks Aslan's pressure and durability will overwhelm Tafa, who is purely a reactive striker with no control.
Zane picks Aslan, reasoning that Aslan is a nuts-and-bolts slugger who will pressure Tafa and throw combinations. He notes that Tafa is a reactive striker who throws one big punch at a time and has poor durability. Zane believes Aslan's willingness to blitz with power combos and his ability to go past the first round give him the edge, as Tafa has never won a fight that went past two minutes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibo Aslan | 0 | 28 of 78 | 35% | 29 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Billy Elekana | 0 | 35 of 68 | 51% | 35 of 68 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ibo Aslan | 0 | 8 of 19 | 42% | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Billy Elekana | 0 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 10 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Ibo Aslan | 0 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 9 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Billy Elekana | 0 | 10 of 21 | 47% | 10 of 21 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Ibo Aslan | 0 | 12 of 36 | 33% | 12 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Billy Elekana | 0 | 15 of 31 | 48% | 15 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibo Aslan | 28 of 78 | 35% | 10 of 57 | 8 of 10 | 10 of 11 | 28 of 78 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Billy Elekana | 35 of 68 | 51% | 18 of 46 | 17 of 21 | 0 of 1 | 35 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ibo Aslan | 8 of 19 | 42% | 1 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Billy Elekana | 10 of 16 | 62% | 3 of 8 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ibo Aslan | 8 of 23 | 34% | 3 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Billy Elekana | 10 of 21 | 47% | 6 of 14 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 10 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ibo Aslan | 12 of 36 | 33% | 6 of 28 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Billy Elekana | 15 of 31 | 48% | 9 of 24 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aslan (-260); Elekana (+215)
Round 1
Sherdog’s Devin Tejada has expressed quite a few words about the state of the UFC’s light heavyweight division, namely that the combatants are still able to not just succeed but flourish despite being specialists in a field. In the era of the sport where well-rounded athletes tend to claim belts more often than single-skill experts, 205 pounds may be one of the exceptions. To wit, Aslan (14-2, 2-1 UFC) has earned 14 wins, all 14 by knockout. His losses are both by submission, and California’s Elekana (7-2, 0-1 UFC) would like nothing more than to add a third submission defeat to his ledger. Before the fists fly, referee Jim Perdios gets hold of the situation and starts the clock. The 205ers touch gloves.
Aslan takes the center of the cage and offers distance strikes early, but he remains out of range. They hand-fight while in alternate stances, with Aslan in orthodox to Elekana’s southpaw. Elekana lands first with a front kick to the stomach, and he misses a second that he uses to keep Aslan from reaching him with his hands. Aslan slaps his foe back in the lead thigh with a kick. He strikes the same leg on the inside, but it is one-and-done as he has to dodge a straight right hand from his foe. Elekana just misses a left hand down the pipe, and these two are approaching one another with an abundance of caution. They do not engage much, resulting in boos from the crowd. Elekana lands a front kick, Aslan gets him back with a left, and they take turns attacking one another.
The fighters bounce around without fighting much, offering the occasional single strike while the power is out of range on both sides. Elekana gets off a few front kicks to disallow Aslan from closing the distance, and he has his left hand coiled back ready to strike. Instead of throwing a left, he pitches a head kick from that side that is blocked in time. Elekana shoots for a single, and he cannot keep hold of the limb as he releases it. Both men share a laugh at the feeble takedown effort. Elekana stabs the midsection with his toes extended for another kick, and this and his feinted left hand has kept Aslan from throwing caution to the wind. Elekana lands a body kick and guards against a high kick as the slow round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Elekana
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Elekana
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Elekana
Round 2
After a fist bump, the two pick up right where they left off with shadowboxing and too many feints and fakes. The first actual strike connects 33 seconds in when Aslan scores a short low kick, and Elekana pays him back immediately with a front kick. They land single punches, and then reset and bob around for a while without fighting. Elekana probes out with a straight left hand, and it is a single attack that does not merit follow-up attention. Aslan surges forward behind fists, but Elekana dodges and counters with a right hook. An Aslan kick brushes the cup, and Elekana talks to him about it and gives him a front kick in the stomach to think about.
Elekana lands at the end of a one-two, but Aslan ignores it and lobs an overhand right at him that goes wide. Aslan tries to reach his foe with overhand rights, but Elekana sees them coming and slips to the side. There is the occasional potshot from either side, but nothing significant that gets the other’s attention. Elekana shoots for a single that fails almost as soon as he grabs hold of the Turkish fighter’s leg, and front kicks from the fighters brush the cup again. Aslan shakes his cup and they do not stop, although given their lack of activity through nearly 10 minutes, it is tough to say they ever started. Aslan plods forward, looping a head kick at his foe that is easily blocked, and Elekana goes for a single that does not get completed because the round ends. Scores may be all over the place in these two rounds given the sheer lack of offense to tabulate.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Elekana
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Elekana
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Elekana
Round 3
After two rounds of frantic, frenetic combat with maybe a dozen strikes landed from either fighter, they share an embrace. Aslan leads off with multiple low and body kicks, one of which jams into the groin cup. Elekana frowns, and after a few seconds of recovery time, he gets back to business, where Aslan kicks him nearly in the same spot. Elekana lands a body kick and wipes his feet, and he snaps out a jab as both fighters start chatting. Elekana kicks his foe, Aslan kicks him back, and the less-than-stellar action continues. Elekana winds up with wider arcs to his blows, but they only result in getting blocked sooner because they are seen coming. The same goes for Aslan, who goes for a haymaker that is feet off the mark. Elekana reaches him with a big left hook, and Aslan rolls with it to take the brunt out of it.
As Aslan moves in, Elekana tries to time a head kick, but Aslan leans back to sway away from it. When Aslan commits to a punch, Elekana counters him with a left on the eyebrow that splits it open. Elekana plants a one-two on the same spot, wobbling Aslan back, and he does not go for more. As Aslan is allowed time to get his head right, he smiles. “The Last Ottoman” hurls a right hand over the top, but Elekana dodges and gives him a left hand back to think about. As Aslan slowly walks forward, the fans shower the two with boos after almost 15 minutes of shadowboxing. In hopes of going home slightly early, Elekana wings a big left hand, but Aslan is out of the way. The two decided to slug it out with seconds to go, but time expires before it heats up. At least it is over.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Elekana (30-27 Elekana)
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Elekana (30-27 Elekana)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Elekana (30-27 Elekana)
The Official Result
Billy Elekana def. Ibo Aslan via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Expert Picks (4)
Angelo picks Billy Elekana as an underdog, despite being shaken by the +235 odds. He notes Ibo Aslan has immense power but cardio issues, while Billy is durable, can wrestle, and can survive early to take over. He suggests betting the over 1.5 rounds if available.
Big Brady picks Ibo Aslan, citing his power and takedown defense. He notes Aslan is one-dimensional but that dimension is knocking people out, and he believes Aslan's power will be too much for Elekana, who is hittable and has poor striking defense. He predicts a second-round knockout, though he cautions that Aslan is not someone you want to lay -250 on.
Despite public love for Aslan, who is capable of landing an early finishing shot, Elekana's BJJ improvements are expected to get the fight to the ground and find a submission under one and a half rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Billy Elekana, noting his dynamic grappling and ability to get positions like the back, as seen in his debut against Bogdan Guskov. He criticizes Ibo Aslan's technical flaws and susceptibility to mixing it up. He predicts a submission win, specifically a rear-naked choke in the second round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ion Cuțelaba | 0 | 14 of 31 | 45% | 17 of 39 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:06 |
| Ibo Aslan | 0 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 15 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ion Cuțelaba | 0 | 14 of 31 | 45% | 17 of 39 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:06 |
| Ibo Aslan | 0 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 15 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ion Cuțelaba | 14 of 31 | 45% | 10 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
| Ibo Aslan | 15 of 30 | 50% | 14 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 27 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ion Cuțelaba | 14 of 31 | 45% | 10 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
| Ibo Aslan | 15 of 30 | 50% | 14 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 27 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
If this prelim headliner does not end violently, it will be quite the surprise. “The Hulk” Cutelaba (18-10-1, 1 NC; 7-9-1 UFC) has claimed 13 of his 18 wins via strikes, while Aslan (14-1, 2-0 UFC) presents a 100% knockout rate. Referee Kevin MacDonald keeps his head on a swivel for the mayhem that is about to ensue. Nothing more needs to be said other than buckle up, buckaroos. Cutelaba is so intense, security has to keep him from putting his hands on Aslan before the opening bell rings. The power-punching 205ers do not touch gloves. Aslan walks Cutelaba down with his right hand chambered, and he pitches a front kick instead. Cutelaba responds in kind, and he wings an overhand right that buzzes the beard of his foe. Aslan slings back with fire, and the two turn their hips into mighty low kick that crash together. A furious brawl suddenly erupts out of nowhere, with both men bashing each other in the face with ridiculously arced punches. When Cutelaba gets clipped, he shoots for a takedown, and it is rebuffed. Aslan tags him a few more times, and a second takedown effort from the Moldovan succeeds to get his wits back about him. Aslan climbs back to his feet, and he ducks to dodge a spinning back fist from “The Hulk,” who is bleeding already. Aslan tees off with strikes, and Cutelaba steels himself and releases a bomb of a right hand that sends Aslan staggering back. With his balance barely beneath him, Aslan stumbles away and gets taken to the floor by a beautiful double. Cutelaba sits up and smashes Aslan with a number of right hands, forces Aslan to turn over and jumps into dominant position.
Rather than keep smashing, “The Hulk” in mount steps to the side to wrap up an unexpected arm-triangle choke. Aslan hangs on tough as MacDonald checks on him, and he signals he is ok and shows resistance on his arm. As the submission is not wavering, Aslan is about to go out, and he taps out.
Cutelaba stands up and roars repeatedly. In his post-fight interview, the Moldovan declares, “Who now is power,” and that he is a “f---ing crazy guy.” With that, the prelims are violently completed, but who expected the hard-swinging Cutelaba to wrap up a submission?
The Official Result
Ion Cutelaba def. Ibo Aslan R1 2:51 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
Expert Picks (3)
Big Brady picks Ibo Aslan (Eduard Oslan) despite wanting to back Ion Cuțelaba. He notes Cuțelaba is untrustworthy with poor cardio, often gassing after three minutes of wrestling. He believes Aslan has good takedown defense from training at Extreme Couture and Tiger Muay Thai, carries power late, and will stuff takedowns, causing Cuțelaba to slow down. He predicts a second-round knockout.
The host is intrigued by Cuțelaba as an underdog, noting the fight could be a car crash or a grind. He thinks if Cuțelaba avoids getting knocked out early, he can match Aslan's aggression and power and finish him within the first two rounds.
Despite a bias toward Cuțelaba, the Guru picks Aslan, citing Cuțelaba's rough recent wins and low success rate. He notes Aslan is 2-0 in the UFC with finishes, has momentum, and has fought tricky grapplers. He expects Aslan to TKO Cuțelaba in the first or second round, though he mentions Aslan's 'gynoed up' physique as a potential concern.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibo Aslan | 0 | 28 of 36 | 77% | 28 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Raffael Cerqueira | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ibo Aslan | 0 | 28 of 36 | 77% | 28 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Raffael Cerqueira | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibo Aslan | 28 of 36 | 77% | 26 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 28 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Raffael Cerqueira | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ibo Aslan | 28 of 36 | 77% | 26 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 28 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Raffael Cerqueira | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (12)
Angelo picks Ibo Aslan but is hesitant due to lack of tape on Cerqueira and Aslan's cardio issues. He notes Aslan is a heavy-handed striker with power but has holes in his game and cardio problems. Cerqueira is patient and athletic but not aggressive, and it's unknown how he handles getting hit. Angelo will likely avoid betting on this fight.
Big Brady picks Cerqueira due to the unknowns and his potential paths to win. He notes that Cerqueira is a black belt in BJJ and could submit Aslan if he gets the fight to the mat. However, he acknowledges there is little tape on Cerqueira and that both fighters are front-loaded. He predicts a first-round submission for Cerqueira.
Cody picks Ibo Aslan, believing his UFC experience and cardio will be key against a debuting opponent. He notes that Cerqueira is 34, started late, and has fought low-level competition. Cody thinks Aslan's power and ability to push the pace will lead to a finish in the second round. However, he is not highly confident.
Connor picks Cerqueira, noting that Aslan seems like a guy used to dominating with strength but crumbles when pushed back. Cerqueira is more of a fighter who enjoys the fight and has a better defensive feel, though it's hard to have a strong feeling either way.
Daniel Vreeland picks Aslan, noting that Cerqueira gets hit a lot and relies on home-run punches. He points out that Aslan showed durability in his last fight, taking punishment but not getting finished. Vreeland expects Aslan's volume to overwhelm Cerqueira, and thinks the line may move in Aslan's favor by fight time.
Daniel Vreeland picks Ibo Aslan to win, but with low confidence due to limited tape on Cerqueira. He notes that Aslan has shown power that carries into later rounds and that Cerqueira's unorthodox striking and lack of high-level competition make him a risk. Vreeland would be more interested if Aslan returns to underdog odds.
Jeff Fox also picks Aslan, though he initially considered Cerqueira. After film study, he saw Cerqueira getting hit a lot and relying on a spinning backfist knockout against a regional opponent. Fox doubts that will work against Aslan, who has proven durable. He also notes Cerqueira's body kicks but questions their effectiveness against higher-level competition.
Cerqueira will get the fight to the ground and use his BJJ black belt to put Aslan in bad positions, opening up a submission opportunity. Look for Cerqueira to wrap up a submission within five minutes.
Paul picks Aslan, citing Cerqueira's lack of high-level competition and telegraphing of strikes. He believes Aslan's power and durability will be too much, and that Cerqueira's late start and age are disadvantages. Paul is not fully confident but leans Aslan.
The Guru picks Raffael Cerqueira, citing his dynamic finishing ability and size advantage. He notes that Ibo Aslan was hit a lot by Anton Turkalj, and believes Cerqueira's power and athleticism will put Aslan away. He acknowledges Cerqueira's unimpressive regional competition but is swayed by his vicious body kicks and spinning elbows. The Guru predicts Cerqueira will catch Aslan at some point and finish him.
Zane picks Cerqueira because he seems like an actual fighter who enjoys fighting, whereas Aslan is a strong guy who doesn't like fighting and panics when pushed back. Cerqueira has a better feel for navigating exchanges and is more willing to scrap, though neither is a clean technician.
Zane admitted he was wrong about this fight, having doubted Aslan due to his loss to Anton Turkalj. He credited those who said Aslan would crush Cerqueira, noting Cerqueira is clearly not ready for this level. However, Zane remains unsold on Aslan, describing him as a guy who took up MMA just to get chicks, but acknowledged that's a better base than Cerqueira's.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibo Aslan | 1 | 74 of 180 | 41% | 76 of 183 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Anton Turkalj | 0 | 55 of 157 | 35% | 58 of 162 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ibo Aslan | 0 | 17 of 53 | 32% | 17 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Anton Turkalj | 0 | 21 of 49 | 42% | 21 of 50 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 2 | Ibo Aslan | 0 | 44 of 96 | 45% | 46 of 99 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Anton Turkalj | 0 | 23 of 74 | 31% | 26 of 77 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 | |
| 3 | Ibo Aslan | 1 | 13 of 31 | 41% | 13 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Anton Turkalj | 0 | 11 of 34 | 32% | 11 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibo Aslan | 74 of 180 | 41% | 57 of 153 | 4 of 8 | 13 of 19 | 65 of 163 | 8 of 15 | 1 of 2 |
| Anton Turkalj | 55 of 157 | 35% | 36 of 126 | 11 of 18 | 8 of 13 | 49 of 146 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ibo Aslan | 17 of 53 | 32% | 11 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 9 | 15 of 49 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 |
| Anton Turkalj | 21 of 49 | 42% | 10 of 31 | 5 of 8 | 6 of 10 | 20 of 47 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ibo Aslan | 44 of 96 | 45% | 36 of 83 | 3 of 6 | 5 of 7 | 38 of 85 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Anton Turkalj | 23 of 74 | 31% | 17 of 64 | 4 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 69 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ibo Aslan | 13 of 31 | 41% | 10 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Anton Turkalj | 11 of 34 | 32% | 9 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 10 of 30 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo leans Ibo Aslan, noting he beat Anton Turkalj in their first fight before gassing. He thinks if Aslan has improved his gas tank, he wins easily. He mentions Aslan has knocked out four opponents since their last fight, while Turkalj has been finished twice. He has a half-unit bet on Aslan at -115.
Cody thinks Aslan has improved since their first fight, with better cardio and training. He believes Aslan's power and leg kicks will be too much for Turkalj, who has been knocked out recently and has poor wrestling entries.
Daniel Vreeland picks Ibo Aslan by knockout, citing his revenge motivation and physicality. He notes Aslan was winning their first fight before gassing and getting submitted, and believes Aslan has improved his pacing. He thinks Turkalj takes too much damage and will be overwhelmed early.
Aslan showed discipline in his Contender Series win, waiting for the knockout. He has improved since his loss to Turkalj years ago. Turkalj is on a 3-fight losing streak and has been knocked out by Tyson Pedro. Aslan's power should finish Turkalj early, but if Turkalj gets a takedown, he could submit Aslan. The under 1.5 rounds at -125 is the preferred play, as both have finishing ability inside a round and a half.
Paul picks Aslan based on the first fight where Aslan dominated before gassing. He thinks Aslan has made adjustments and will finish Turkalj early, though he acknowledges the cardio risk.
The host picks Ibo Aslan, liking his momentum and four-fight finish streak. He notes Aslan's good low kicks and hands, and that Turkalj has looked poor in the UFC, especially against Tyson Pedro. He believes Turkalj's hands drop when pressured, leading to a KO. He predicts Aslan wins, possibly by KO.
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