Alejandro Pérez

Big Brady picks Jonathan Martinez to win by decision. He praises Martinez's striking volume, accuracy, and takedown defense. He criticizes Perez's recent performance against a 45-year-old Johnny Eduardo, where Perez was outlanded and looked poor on the feet. Brady believes Martinez is younger, improving, and training at a good camp. He thinks Perez's takedown attempts will be ineffective and that Martinez will pick him apart on the feet.

Cody picks Martinez confidently, citing his striking, takedown defense, and youth. He notes Pérez's declining chin, low volume, and poor takedown accuracy. Cody believes Martinez wins by volume and suggests watching weigh-ins due to Martinez's past weight issues.

Daniel Levi picks Jonathan Martinez to win, possibly by knockout. He notes Martinez has superior striking and range control, and that Pérez has looked older and less durable. Levi warns that Martinez can be complacent and Pérez could weasel a split decision, but believes Martinez's technique and knees will be the difference. He calls it a dog-or-pass situation betting-wise.

The host is confident in Martinez, citing his length, striking from the outside, and 72% takedown defense. He expects Martinez to keep the fight standing and pick apart Pérez with kicks and punches, similar to his performance against Zviad Lazishvili. He notes Pérez is flat-footed and may struggle to close distance. He predicts a decision win for Martinez.

Paul agrees with Martinez, noting his superior striking and takedown defense. He points out Pérez's poor volume and recent KO loss. Paul thinks the line is fair and expects Martinez to win by decision or late stoppage.

Angelo picks Alejandro Pérez despite the long layoff, citing his fresher chin, better striking, and wrestling backup plan. He notes that Pérez has good boxing and speed, though not insane power, and that his wrestling background is used defensively to keep the fight standing. Angelo is hesitant because both fighters have been out for years and are coming off two losses, making this a high-variance matchup. He explicitly says he is not betting on Pérez due to too many unknowns, but he did bet on the fight not going the distance at -115.

Big Brady picks Alejandro Pérez to win by finish, citing Eduardo's age (43 years old) and long layoff (3 years 3 months). He notes Eduardo is dangerous early but fades, and Pérez is over 10 years younger. He expects Pérez to survive the first round and then take over for a finish, possibly by submission given Eduardo has been submitted nine times.

Cody picks Perez but is not confident. He notes that Eduardo is 41 and hasn't fought in three years, but Perez has chin issues and poor takedown accuracy. He expects Perez to win by decision or inside the distance, but acknowledges Eduardo's early power. He suggests betting Perez inside the distance or the under.

Daniel Levi picks Alejandro Pérez, citing Eduardo's age (42 at bantamweight) and tendency to fade after the first round. He notes Pérez is younger, fresher, and coming off a long layoff after a KO loss, which may have allowed him to heal. Levi warns that Eduardo is dangerous early with his Muay Thai power, but if Pérez survives the first five minutes, he can win a decision or get a late finish. He has a soft spot for Eduardo but picks Pérez.

I think Pérez's durability will carry him through Eduardo's early aggression. Eduardo tends to fade as the fight goes on, and Pérez should take over later. I'm not worried about Eduardo's power compared to Song Yadong, who finished Pérez. I like Pérez by decision at +250 as a prop, but the moneyline is fine too.

Paul picks Perez, noting that Eduardo is 41 and has been out for three years. He believes Perez's youth and activity will be key. He expects Perez to win by decision or late stoppage. He also mentions that Eduardo has poor fight IQ, as seen in his submission loss to Nathaniel Wood.