William Gomis

Angelo picks Pat Sabatini, citing his dominant wrestling and takedown ability. He notes Sabatini took down Chepe Mariscal seven times and expects similar against Gomis. He says Gomis can be taken down and lacks one-punch knockout power, so Sabatini faces no risk of being KO'd. He loves the minus 133 odds and thinks it's a dominant win.

Angelo is confident in Pat Sabatini, noting his incredible grappling and control. He believes Sabatini will take down William Gomez repeatedly and that Gomez's slow technical style won't be enough to stop the takedowns. He mentions that Sabatini has looked incredible lately and that the odds are good value.

Big Brady is confident Pat Sabatini wins, citing his elite wrestling and control. He notes Gomis lacks power and has been taken down and put in bad spots before. Brady expects Sabatini to get takedowns and secure a submission, specifically a second-round submission, as Gomis has shown vulnerability to submissions.

Cody picks Sabatini, citing his wrestling and submission skills. He notes Gomis's takedown defense issues and thinks Sabatini can control him on the ground. Cody expects Sabatini to win by submission or decision.

Connor picks Sabatini, believing his wrestling is good enough to get takedowns and control the fight. He notes that Sabatini is a better wrestler than others who have had success against Gomis. Connor expects a razor-thin decision, possibly a split, but thinks Sabatini's dedication to his game plan will earn him the nod.

Daniel picks Sabatini, reasoning that Gomis is a point fighter who doesn't dish out much damage, so Sabatini will take him down and control him on the ground. He believes Sabatini's grappling will be the difference.

Sabatini has home advantage and a relentless grappling style that will smother Gomis. Gomis is a volume striker who needs distance, but Sabatini will either be far outside or in the clinch/takedown range. Gomis has poor takedown defense and takes a long time to get back up; he's been in many split decisions. Sabatini's cardio allows him to grapple for three rounds. Unless Gomis has significantly improved his takedown defense, Sabatini should control the fight.

Predicted method: Submission Round 2. Sabatini's grappling-heavy style (4.48 takedowns per round, 1.5 submission average) is a clear path to victory against Gomis, who has only 72% takedown defense and has been taken down multiple times. Gomis has a reach advantage (73" vs 70") and solid striking, but Sabatini's pressure and top control will neutralize that. Sabatini has won three straight and is a proven finisher on the ground. Expect Sabatini to secure takedowns and win by submission or decision.

Jacob agrees with Angelo, stating that Gomez will either land a knee or headkick on an entry or get taken down and controlled. He praises Sabatini's wrestling and control, noting that Gomez is comfortable fighting off his back foot but that Sabatini's pressure and takedowns will be too much. He thinks the price is about right.

Lucrative James picks Pat Sabatini because he believes Sabatini's grappling will be too much for William Gomis, who is a pure striker without power or strong takedown defense. He notes that Gomis prefers to stay on the outside, which plays into Sabatini's game of closing distance and taking the fight to the ground. He predicts Sabatini wins by submission in round two.

The host picks Sabatini, emphasizing his dominant grappling and ability to control opponents on the ground. He notes that Sabatini's striking is a liability but believes his wrestling will be too much for Gomis, who has shown defensive grappling improvements but may struggle to keep the fight standing. He expects Sabatini to win by decision, possibly at a better price if the line moves.

Paul picks Sabatini, citing his grappling advantage and Gomis's vulnerability. He thinks Sabatini will get takedowns and control the fight. Paul expects Sabatini to win by decision.

The MMA Guru picks Pat Sabatini, praising his elite grappling. He notes Sabatini dominated Shep Mariscal and Joe Anderson Britto, while Gomis had close fights with Britto and others. He worries about Sabatini's chin on the feet but believes his takedowns and top control will secure a decision win, possibly 30-27 or 30-26.

Angelo picks William Gomis, believing he can win either by aggression or point fighting. He notes that Ruchała is hittable and that Gomis has good defense and smooth movement. He also mentions that Gomis might get a favorable decision in France. He thinks the odds are widening too much and that Ruchała is not a bad fighter.

Big Brady picks William Gomis despite calling him boring. He believes Gomis is defensively sound and will make the fight ugly, which is his path to victory. He thinks Ruchała is not UFC caliber and will struggle to hit Gomis. He predicts a decision win, possibly split.

The host acknowledges Ruchała's successful KSW run but thinks he will be behind as Gomis is the sharper, faster, and slicker striker. He expects Gomis to shut down Ruchała's early grappling threat and win on the scorecards.

Despite his personal dislike for Gomis, Angelo picks him because he is more tactical and well-rounded everywhere except raw power. He believes Gomis will outpoint Hyder Amil with his Muay Thai and opportunistic grappling, though he admits Amil's forward pressure could steal rounds. He suggests betting on Gomis to overcome his bias.

Big Brady leans toward Hyder Amil, despite the wide line. He notes Amil's high volume, pressure, and ability to win in multiple ways (KO, submission, decision). He criticizes William Gomis for being boring and defensively responsible but lacking offense. He predicts Amil will put a pace on Gomis and finish him in the third round by KO.

Connor picks Amil as a fun flyer, noting that Amil is a violent, unthinking aggressor who can hurt Gomis early. He compares Amil to Sean Porter and notes that if Amil fights the fight that Joanderson Brito should have fought, Gomis can lose. Connor admits Gomis is a better neutralizer but takes the chance on Amil's power.

The host expects Amil to use his high pace and pressure to keep Gomis on the defensive. He predicts either a third-round finish or a decision win for Amil.

The Guru picks William Gomis over Hyder Amil. He dismisses Amil's undefeated record, calling his wins unimpressive. He praises Gomis's performance against Joanderson Brito and his win over Francis Marshall. He predicts Gomis will pick Amil apart at range and get a late finish in the second or third round.

Angelo picks Joanderson Brito, calling him the most dangerous guy at this weight class. He notes Brito's ability to finish by KO, submission, or leg kicks. He worries about Brito's cardio since he hasn't been to a decision in a long time, but believes his insane pressure will overwhelm Gomis, who is low volume and may not handle the pace.

Big Brady picks Joanderson Brito by first-round submission, calling him a killer with dangerous striking and a huge grappling advantage. He criticizes Gomis for doing nothing in fights and having poor submission defense. He expects Brito to take Gomis down and submit him quickly.

Cody picks Brito due to his physicality, power, and grappling advantage. He notes that Brito is always aggressive and finishes fights early. However, he expresses concern about Brito's cardio and the possibility of Gomis evading him with footwork. Despite the trap potential, Cody believes Brito's strength and pressure will overwhelm Gomis.

Connor picks Brito because he believes Brito's overwhelming physicality and pressure will be too much for Gomis, who relies on a range striking game without a jab. He notes that Gomis has struggled against fighters who simply storm forward, as seen in his close fights with Yannis Ghemmouri and Frank Marshall. Connor points out that Brito is a game-breaking athlete who has crushed technically superior fighters like Jack Shore. He sees no clear path to victory for Gomis.

Daniel Vreeland picks William Gomis for the upset. He believes Gomis is better than he has shown, with good footwork, speed, and takedown defense. He thinks the big cage and home crowd will help Gomis frustrate Brito at distance. He notes Brito's cardio issues and that Gomis has a path to victory if he avoids getting bullied.

JP picks Joanderson Brito because he thinks Brito has more paths to victory, including power and submissions. He notes Gomis is a one-trick pony kickboxer and Brito has impressive wins over Diego Lopes and Chape. He thinks Brito's pressure and grappling will be too much.

Paul picks Brito, citing his physicality and power. He notes that Gomis is a low-volume point striker who may struggle with Brito's pressure. However, Paul acknowledges the risk of Gomis using movement to frustrate Brito, especially in a big cage in Paris. He still expects Brito to find a takedown or land a big shot.

The MMA Guru picks Joanderson Brito over William Gomis, praising Brito's power and explosiveness. He notes Brito's wins over Diego Lopez and Shep Mariscal. He believes Gomis' rangey, low-threat style will not work against Brito's pressure. He predicts a TKO win for Brito.

Angelo picks Caolán Loughran due to his explosiveness and takedown style, comparing it to Jordan Burroughs. He is surprised Loughran is a 3-to-1 favorite given his stationary stance. He notes Yanis Ghemmouri has nice leg kicks and technique, but Loughran's power and wrestling give him the edge. He avoids betting on this fight.

Big Brady hesitantly picks Gomis, despite being a self-proclaimed 'hater'. He notes Gomis' size advantage, range management, and excellent striking defense. However, he criticizes Gomis' low volume and unexciting style, expecting an ugly decision win. He acknowledges Ghemmouri is also French, but believes Gomis should win.

Cody picks Gomis but notes the price is terrible (-300). He describes Gomis's style as low-output, lateral movement, and mixing in takedowns, which often leads to close decisions. Ghemmouri is moving up from 135, which is a disadvantage. Cody expects a decision and suggests Gomis by decision prop. He warns that Gomis could get screwed on scorecards due to low volume.

Daniel Levi picks William Gomis, citing Gomis's size and athleticism advantage. He notes that Gomis is a tall featherweight who switches stances well and has a nasty left kick and straight. Levi acknowledges that Gomis has low volume and has nearly been submitted in both his UFC fights, but he believes the physicality will be too much for Ghemmouri, who is moving up from bantamweight on short notice. Levi expresses frustration that he missed a great dog spot on Ghemmouri against a different opponent, but here he favors the bigger man.

Lucrative James is fading Gomis, having bet on Ghemmouri at +210. He feels Gomis's style doesn't warrant being a -300 favorite, especially against a power striker. He notes the fight is competitive and that Gomis wins on slim margins, as seen in his fight against Francis Marshall where he almost got finished. He also bet on Ghemmouri in his previous fight against Lofran.

I'm picking Gomis to win by decision. He has a good mix of striking and grappling, and I expect him to use his grappling to overwhelm Ghemmouri. However, this fight is a pass for me because Gomis went from a +200 underdog to a -250 favorite, which feels like a market overcorrection. Ghemmouri is still a question mark. I'd rather take Gomis over 2.5 rounds.

Angelo picks Francis Marshall, citing his power, speed, and wrestling. He notes Marshall's blast doubles and power in his hands. He acknowledges Gomis' counter-striking and sneaky power, but thinks Marshall's aggression and power will prevail. He is undecided on betting but may include Marshall in small parlays.

Big Brady picks Francis Marshall to win by decision. He notes that Marshall has more forward pressure and aggression on the feet, and is the harder hitter. He also thinks Marshall will be the better wrestler, as he has seen Gomis taken down before. Brady acknowledges that Gomis is solid but believes Marshall has more dog in him and will pressure, take down, and control the fight to a decision win.

Cody picks Marshall, praising his youth, potential, and training under Kurt Pellegrino. He notes Marshall has power and grappling skills, and his takedown defense is better than Gomis'. Cody believes Marshall will pressure Gomis and win exchanges, possibly by finish. He acknowledges Gomis could use movement and jabs, but doubts he can maintain it for 15 minutes.

Connor picks Francis Marshall, describing him as a super aggressive swarmer who leads with his jab and has good shot selection. He notes that Marshall is well-schooled in his aggression and has takedown defense. Connor contrasts this with Gomis, who is a slick but lackadaisical striker who relies on clinch work. He believes Marshall will overwhelm Gomis and not let himself be controlled.

Francis Marshall has superior North American wrestling and should be able to shut down William Gomis' clinch-based takedowns. Marshall showed improved striking in his UFC debut and has power. Gomis relies on kicks and clinch grappling, but Marshall's underhooks and reversals will neutralize that. Gomis has been hurt in previous fights and his desperation takedowns won't work against Marshall. Marshall should control the fight and win by decision, with a possible finish.

Paul also picks Marshall, agreeing that Gomis' wrestling advantage from his debut is gone in this matchup. He thinks Marshall is young and developing, and this should be a manageable victory. However, he is not keen on the minus 205 price.

The MMA Guru picks Francis Marshall, though he notes it's not a lock. He was unimpressed by William Gomis's debut and thinks Marshall is a more promising prospect. He believes Gomis leaves himself open with unorthodox techniques and that Marshall can catch him with a straight punch. He predicts a KO in the second round after a competitive first round.

Angelo picks William Gomis because Gomis is a counter-striker and Errens likes to come forward, which plays directly into Gomis's strength. He notes Gomis has solid clinch work and is well-rounded, but warns the odds are too wide and Errens is legitimately good. He advises not to look at the betting line and make a decision, and does not consider Gomis a parlay piece.

Big Brady picks William Gomis to win by decision. He notes that Jarno Errens has poor takedown defense and get-up game, and Gomis has a clear path to victory by taking him down and controlling him on the mat. He warns that if Gomis chooses to strike, it could be close, but trusts the wrestling advantage.

Cody picks Jarno Errens as a dog, arguing that William Gomis is a green prospect who was signed on short notice to fill a local spot. He notes that Gomis backs straight up to the cage and swings wild, while Errens has better experience, cardio, and a more well-rounded game. Cody believes the line is too wide and that Errens has a solid chance to win.

Daniel Levi leans toward William Gomis, citing his African physicality and explosiveness, but is cautious due to Gomis's low volume and the fact that both are debutants. He notes that Errens has more volume and leg kicks, but Gomis has the edge in power and grappling. He is not confident in the -215 price.

The host picks Gomis due to his persistent grappling and cardio, expecting him to land takedown after takedown and grind out a decision. He notes Errens has striking advantages but poor defensive grappling. He finds the over 2.5 rounds at plus 100 intriguing.

Paul changes his pick to Jarno Errens after hearing Cody's reasoning, admitting he was initially leaning toward Gomis. He agrees that Gomis is unproven and that Errens has a better chance than the odds suggest. Paul says he may not bet it but will pick Errens for the show.