Adam Fugitt

Angelo picks Ty Miller, praising his clean boxing, length, and scramble skills. He notes Miller's takedown defense is poor but believes if Miller focuses on striking and doesn't get obsessed with defending takedowns, he should win. He acknowledges Fugitt's strength and wrestling but thinks Miller's forward pressure and volume will be enough.

Big Brady is impressed with Ty Miller's Contender Series performance, noting his length, rangy striking, and slick combinations. He criticizes Adam Fugitt as a 'walking punching bag' with poor striking defense and no clear strengths. Brady predicts Miller will piece him up and potentially knock him out in the third round, though he hesitates to lay -415 on a debutant.

Cody is confident in Jim Miller, citing his length, boxing, and youth. He notes Miller's reach advantage and technical striking should be too much for Fugitt, who has durability issues. Cody expects Miller to win by knockout or decision and will include him in parlays.

Connor picks Miller, seeing him as a young athlete with potential, good form, and pressure. He notes that Miller is a sniper who can one-shot people, but worries about his lack of a next gear. However, he thinks Miller's size and power could overwhelm Fugitt, who is a mediocre fighter.

Daniel Vreeland picks Jim Miller (Tai Miller) to win by knockout. He notes that Miller is younger, taller, and has a reach advantage, while Fugitt is 37, chinny, and has been lucky in recent fights. Vreeland believes Miller's sharp striking and viciousness will be too much for Fugitt, predicting a knockout.

James picks Miller, comparing his style to Petr Yan's data-downloading approach. He believes Miller will stalk Fugitt, get his reads, and knock him out with boxing combinations. He predicts a knockout in round two.

The host picks Miller by decision, believing his technical striking will outpoint Fugitt. However, he notes the odds are too wide and that Fugitt has value at +355 due to his experience and pressure. He expects Miller to win but warns against the chalky price.

Paul also picks Jim Miller, noting his striking combinations and southpaw stance. He believes Fugitt's Muay Thai stance and lack of wrestling will be exploited. Paul expects Miller to land clean shots and finish Fugitt, and he likes Miller by KO.

The MMA Guru picks Ty Cole Miller, citing his length and rangy style, as well as his win over Eric Nolan on the regional scene. He notes that Adam Fugitt has been humbled and dominated in recent fights, and that Miller is an undefeated prospect making his debut. He predicts a TKO finish.

Angelo picks Islam Dulatov, calling him the much better striker with good takedown defense. He notes that Adam Fugitt is tough but too hittable. He acknowledges the year of busted prospects but still leans on Dulatov's skills.

Big Brady is high on Islam Dulatov, calling him the real deal with aggressive finishing ability. He notes Dulatov has 11 first-round wins in a row and believes Fugitt is hittable with a questionable chin. He predicts Dulatov wins by first-round knockout.

The host believes Dulatov is 'the truth' and expects him to make his UFC debut in emphatic fashion, finishing Fugitt within a round and a half. This indicates strong confidence in a dominant performance.

Angelo picks Josh Quinlan, noting his power and striking advantage over Adam Fugitt's loose boxing. He thinks Josh can defend takedowns and land meaningful shots. He also notes Adam's year layoff and submission loss, and that Vegas judges don't favor wrestlers. He considers it a close fight but leans Josh.

Cody picks Josh Quinlan, citing his power and ability to knock out Fugitt, who has been knocked down before. He notes that Quinlan is a BJJ black belt but relies on power punching. Cody is concerned about Quinlan's cardio and volume but thinks he can catch Fugitt early. He calls it a 'dogger pass' and is not highly confident.

Daniel Vreeland is critical of Adam Fugitt's athleticism, speed, and chin, calling him too slow and hittable for the UFC level. He favors Josh Quinlan for his power and athleticism advantage, despite Quinlan's past steroid failures and brutal loss. He believes Quinlan is the harder hitter and more athletic, and that Fugitt is the least athletic guy on the roster.

Jacob picks Josh Quinlan but is not betting it. He thinks Josh is the better striker and may use his jiu-jitsu if taken down. He notes Josh has been hard to trust since the USADA issues but considers this a step down in competition. He expects a close fight.

Fugitt is coming off a year-long layoff but has changed training camps to Fight Ready in Arizona. His pace, movement, and overall game should be too much for Quinlan's power punching style, leading to a decision win.

Paul picks Fugitt for the purpose of the show but states he has no intention of betting the fight. He notes that Fugitt's durability is questionable and Quinlan's power may be overrated. Paul thinks Fugitt could win if he pushes the pace and uses wrestling, but he is not confident.

Angelo picks Mike Malott, believing he is better everywhere except straight wrestling. He notes that Malott is a well-rounded prospect with three stoppage wins in the UFC. He expects a fun fight and thinks Malott will get it done. He plans to bet on Adam Fugitt to have more takedowns when prop lines drop.

Big Brady picks Mike Malott to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Malott is dangerous everywhere, with solid striking and high-level BJJ, while Fugitt is hittable and not as skilled. Malott has never been past the first round (all wins in round 1), and Brady expects an early finish. However, if the fight extends, Fugitt could take over if Malott gasses.

Cody picks Mike Malott, highlighting his well-rounded skills (BJJ black belt, good striker) and smart fight IQ. He thinks Malott will use his speed advantage and stay on the outside, avoiding wrestling with Fugitt. He notes that Malott's cardio is unproven beyond the first round, as most of his wins are early finishes. He expects Malott to land a big shot or secure a submission if the fight goes to the ground.

Connor picks Malott, noting that Fugitt reacts poorly to getting hit and has bad body language when eating strikes. He believes Malott's aggressive pocket boxing will overwhelm Fugitt, who is technically limited. He also notes that Malott is a credible submission threat on the ground.

Daniel Levi picks Mike Malott but with almost zero faith, acknowledging that Malott has holes in his striking defense and that the fade is coming. He notes that Malott is a better athlete and has first-round finishing upside, but he sees openings that could be exploited. He mentions that he played Fugitt at plus odds for value, but thinks Malott will still find a way to win. He warns against parlaying Malott heavily.

James picks Adam Fugitt, despite having lost money fading Malott in the past. He thinks Fugitt has a good chance to win, especially if the fight goes past round one. Malott is a strong round-one finisher but tends to fade. James believes Fugitt is the perfect archetype to break Malott. He sees the fight as a pick'em: Malott has a 50% chance to win early, Fugitt 50% to win late. He also includes Fugitt inside the distance in a degenerate parlay.

Malott has a Muay Thai base and improving jiu-jitsu, and he's on a hot streak since moving to welterweight. Fugitt is a solid fighter but may be capped at this level. Both have finishing upside, making the under 2.5 rounds attractive. Malott should find a submission after getting the fight to the ground, but Fugitt's power makes this a risky chalk play.

Paul picks Mike Malott but with hesitancy, noting that Fugitt is being overlooked. He points out that Malott's cardio is unproven beyond the first round, and Fugitt is a bigger, rugged welterweight with a reach advantage. However, he believes Malott's superior footwork and striking will allow him to chip away or find a finish. He expects Malott to win but is not fully confident.

The MMA Guru picks Mike Malott, noting he is a Canadian prospect given a favorable matchup. He praises Malott's easy wins over tricky opponents and his great grappling. He believes Fugitt lacks the ability to knock out or out-grapple Malott. He predicts a first-round submission via arm triangle.

Big Brady likes Kinoshita's power and finishing ability, noting his 100% finish rate. He thinks Fugitt is hittable and has been knocked out before. He predicts a first-round knockout for Kinoshita.

Cody picks Fugitt as a dog for the show, but is not confident enough to bet. He notes Fugitt's size and wrestling, but acknowledges Kinoshita's speed advantage. He thinks Fugitt could exploit wrestling but the speed differential is massive. He prefers to live bet if Fugitt gets an early takedown.

Connor picks Yusaku Kinoshita, praising his pressure striking and weight transfer. He notes that Fugitt is not durable or fast, and that Kinoshita's chaotic style will overwhelm him. Connor expects a knockout, as Fugitt has been shaken by big shots before. He compares Kinoshita's style to Dan Henderson's.

Paul picks Kinoshita, calling him a legitimate prospect with better skills. He notes Kinoshita's speed, power, and finishing ability, though he is unproven at 22. He thinks Fugitt is durable but limited, and that Kinoshita will likely finish him. He acknowledges the risk of betting a young debutant but believes the skill gap is real.

Big Brady picks Michael Morales to win by first-round knockout. He is very high on Morales, citing his physical strength, offensive wrestling, takedown defense, and power. He notes Fugitt is on short notice and outmatched. He acknowledges Morales is hittable but believes he runs through Fugitt.

Cody picks Morales, describing him as a promising young fighter with a judo brown belt, BJJ brown belt, and national wrestling team experience. He notes that Fugitt is a short-notice replacement who shouldn't be in the UFC. He thinks Morales will take him out inside the distance, likely by TKO/KO, because Fugitt is not durable. He also mentions that Morales is strong, physical, and improving quickly.

Daniel is high on Morales, calling him a very talented prospect with wrestling, knockout power, and size. He notes the massive speed and athleticism advantage over Fugitt. He warns about Morales' maturity after receiving a $50k bonus, but thinks as long as he stays focused, he will win. He predicts a knockout, saying Fugitt is too slow. He calls the -600 line justified but does not bet due to the price.

Preet took a shot on the over 1.5 rounds at -103, banking on Fugitt's durability and ability to make it a clinchy, grinding fight. He acknowledges Morales should win but sees value on Fugitt's side, noting his wrestling background and pressure. He may also place a half-unit on Fugitt's moneyline if it reaches +500.

Paul also picks Morales, agreeing that Fugitt is a short-notice replacement who shouldn't be in the UFC. He notes that Morales is young, strong, and has a promising future. He thinks Morales will win, possibly inside the distance, but the price is steep. He also mentions that the over/under is 1.5 rounds with juice to the under.