Cristian Quiñonez

Angelo picks Cristian Quiñonez because Kris Moutinho is a 'human punching bag' who has absorbed 283 strikes and been knocked out three times in the UFC. He acknowledges Quiñonez is not great either, but at least he has won in the UFC. He warns against betting at -650 odds, calling it not worth it.

Big Brady picks Cristian Quiñonez, calling Kris Moutinho a non-UFC-level fighter with terrible striking defense (29%). He notes Moutinho has been knocked out five times and finished in all losses. Brady believes Quiñonez will hit Moutinho hard and knock him out, predicting a first-round knockout.

Cody also fades Quiñonez at -700, pointing out his inactivity and lack of recent wins. He sees Moutinho as a live dog if he can push the pace and exploit Quiñonez's potential cardio issues.

Connor picks Quiñonez, noting that Moutinho is a sacrificial lamb who has been knocked out in every UFC fight. Quiñonez is not a big step up but is still a step up, and his pressure and size should be too much for Moutinho's limited game.

Daniel does not discuss this fight in the transcript.

The host considers this a clear dog-or-pass fight. Quiñonez is a heavy favorite at -687, but the host cannot bet him at that price. Moutinho is tough but gets rocked often, lacks knockout power, and is unlikely to outgrapple Quiñonez. The host doubts Moutinho has a realistic path to victory and will not bet this fight.

James believes Quiñonez is far more skilled and powerful than Moutinho, who has a suspect chin after recent KOs. He predicts an early KO for Quiñonez, possibly in round one.

The host picks Quiñonez but is hesitant due to the high price and altitude concerns. He notes Quiñonez's skill advantage but worries about his cardio and past submission losses. He thinks Moutinho's pressure and pace could cause issues if Quiñonez fades. He suggests a flyer on Moutinho by late finish but officially picks Quiñonez by decision.

Paul is leaning towards Moutinho at +500, citing Quiñonez's long layoff, ring rust, and recent losses. He notes Moutinho's pressure and durability, and plans to bet Moutinho despite the risk.

The MMA Guru picks Cristian Quiñonez, calling Kris Moutinho 'garbage' and noting that Moutinho has no wins over good fighters, while Quiñonez has beaten Khalid Taha and Vinicius Oliveira. He predicts an easy TKO finish in the early rounds, citing Moutinho's lack of skill and Quiñonez's superior competition.

Angelo picks Quiñonez as the underdog, citing Barcelos' age (36) and recent skid. He notes that Barcelos has lost to fighters he shouldn't have and that lower weight classes age out faster. He believes Quiñonez is younger, fresher, and more durable.

Big Brady picks Cristian Quiñonez to win by first-round knockout, but with low confidence. He notes that if this fight were three years ago, he would max bet Barcelos, but Barcelos is now 36, looks older, and has durability and cardio issues. Quiñonez has power and is nine years younger, and Barcelos has been finished multiple times. However, both fighters have questionable durability, and Brady expects someone to get finished.

Cody picks Barcelos, citing his superior boxing, wrestling, and experience. He notes Quiñonez has been finished in all his losses, has poor takedown defense, and gives up his back. Barcelos is a seven-time Brazilian national wrestling team member and has sharp counter-punching. He thinks Barcelos can make mistakes and still win.

The host believes Quiñonez's volume striking and footwork from distance will give Barcelos trouble. He notes Quiñonez's speed advantage and output, and his ability to stay away from pocket exchanges where Barcelos is dangerous. He also mentions Quiñonez's takedown defense and get-ups, and cautions that he must not get overzealous like in the Kong fight. He predicts a decision victory for Quiñonez.

Angelo picks Alessandro Costa, noting that if Jimmy Flick looks like he did in his last fight, Costa should be a much heavier favorite. Costa is a patient striker with power and good takedown defense, while Flick had nothing to offer on his feet in his return. Angelo also mentions he would bet the under 2.5 rounds if that line becomes available, expecting a stoppage.

Big Brady picks Cristian Quiñonez to win by decision. He was initially not high on Quiñonez but was impressed by his knockout of Khaos Williams and his overall skills. Quiñonez is a high-volume striker with solid grappling, though he can make mistakes on the mat. Kang is a solid fighter but typically low volume, though he showed improvement in his last fight. Brady thinks Quiñonez is the better striker and as long as he isn't held down for long periods, he should win a decision. He has some concerns about Quiñonez's chin and cardio.

Cody agrees with Paul that Kang at plus money is the pick. He notes Kang has legitimate skills in wrestling and striking, but his ring IQ is poor and he makes stupid mistakes. However, at 35 and coming off a layoff, Kang still has the volume and wrestling edge over Quiñonez. Cody thinks Kang can win striking exchanges and mix in takedowns, and at +140, he's willing to take the chance.

Connor picks Quiñonez, arguing that while Kang is a sharp boxer, he doesn't press advantages and lacks layers behind his striking. Quiñonez, on the other hand, is willing to sit in the pocket and throw combinations with vigor. Connor notes that Quiñonez's low kicks and ability to mix in wrestling could trouble Kang. He acknowledges Quiñonez can get messy but believes his recent improvements under Brandon Moreno's tutelage are durable enough to win a close fight.

Daniel Levi leans toward Cristian Quiñonez, but only at the underdog price he got (opener +145). He sees it as a 50-50 fight and notes Kang's experience and close fights. He likes Quiñonez's volume and style but wouldn't bet him at current juice. He expects the fight to go the distance.

Quiñonez is a long, lanky striker with great footwork and a solid jab. Kang is a solid all-around fighter but will have trouble dealing with Quiñonez's range and movement. Quiñonez has power and can keep the fight standing where he has the advantage. Kang has a slight edge in grappling but Quiñonez should be able to avoid takedowns. Quiñonez wins by decision.

Paul is stunned that Kang is the underdog, given his experience and skills. He notes that the market moved from Kang -180 to +160, which he finds surprising. Paul thinks Kang has skills in every aspect and has been in there with every style. He picks Kang to bring the upset.