Career Averages - Veronica Hardy
Career Averages - Juliana Miller
Veronica Hardy
Juliana Miller
Veronica Hardy - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 1 | 39 of 75 | 52% | 53 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 2:36 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 22 of 60 | 36% | 30 of 70 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 2:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 9 of 20 | 45% | 23 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 2:36 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 15 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 1 | 16 of 29 | 55% | 16 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 8 of 25 | 32% | 8 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 14 of 26 | 53% | 14 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 7 of 20 | 35% | 7 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 39 of 75 | 52% | 31 of 65 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 32 of 65 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 6 |
| Brogan Walker | 22 of 60 | 36% | 12 of 49 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 8 | 16 of 49 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 9 of 20 | 45% | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 |
| Brogan Walker | 7 of 15 | 46% | 1 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 5 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 16 of 29 | 55% | 12 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Brogan Walker | 8 of 25 | 32% | 5 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 14 of 26 | 53% | 11 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Brogan Walker | 7 of 20 | 35% | 6 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Veronica Hardy, calling her a 5-to-1 favorite who should be 10-to-1. He highlights her Taekwondo background, good footwork, technical striking, and ability to cut angles. He notes she also has clean takedowns and high fight IQ, while Brogan Walker is described as not very good at fighting, with a gifted BJJ black belt and infrequent fights. He expects an easy win for Hardy.
Big Brady is very confident in Veronica Hardy, calling her the second biggest favorite at -825. He notes that Brogan Walker is 36 years old, hasn't fought in two and a half years, and looked awful in her last two fights. He believes Hardy is better everywhere—striking, wrestling, and grappling—and that Hardy would have to try really hard to lose. He predicts a decision win for Hardy.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Hardy because Walker is uncoordinated and has not shown improvement. He notes that Hardy is a good athlete with a technical base, and even though she used to fall apart early in her career, she has become a more competitive fighter. He expects Hardy to win easily.
Hardy is a heavy favorite at minus 800, but the host does not consider it bet-worthy. He expects Hardy to chip away at Walker and win on the scorecards, noting Walker's extended layoff of two and a half years.
The MMA Guru picks Veronica Hardy, citing her technical striking and submission game. He notes that while she struggles against physical opponents, Brogan Walker hasn't shown enough to win. He expects a close 29-28 decision, with Hardy's technical kicks and submissions being the difference.
Zane picks Hardy confidently, stating that Brogan Walker is really bad and uncoordinated, and has not fought in over two years. He notes that Hardy is fast, technical, and has become a consistent round-to-round fighter with good conditioning and well-rounded skills. He believes Hardy will easily outclass Walker.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduarda Moura | 0 | 46 of 103 | 44% | 61 of 119 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 26 of 76 | 34% | 41 of 96 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 4:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eduarda Moura | 0 | 13 of 39 | 33% | 13 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 10 of 35 | 28% | 11 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 2 | Eduarda Moura | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 27 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 21 of 31 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 4:02 | |
| 3 | Eduarda Moura | 0 | 21 of 46 | 45% | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 9 of 28 | 32% | 9 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduarda Moura | 46 of 103 | 44% | 16 of 61 | 16 of 26 | 14 of 16 | 39 of 94 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 8 |
| Veronica Hardy | 26 of 76 | 34% | 22 of 71 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 68 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eduarda Moura | 13 of 39 | 33% | 5 of 28 | 6 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 13 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Veronica Hardy | 10 of 35 | 28% | 8 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Eduarda Moura | 12 of 18 | 66% | 5 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 8 |
| Veronica Hardy | 7 of 13 | 53% | 6 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 | |
| 3 | Eduarda Moura | 21 of 46 | 45% | 6 of 23 | 6 of 13 | 9 of 10 | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Veronica Hardy | 9 of 28 | 32% | 8 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Veronica Hardy, citing her superior striking, speed, and power. He notes that Eduarda Moura is a grappler with sloppy striking who may lose the same way she lost to Denise Gomes—by being outstruck. He acknowledges that Moura may get takedowns but believes Hardy's striking will be too much. He also mentions Hardy's marriage to Dan Hardy as a positive for her fight IQ and evolution.
Big Brady picks the underdog Eduarda Moura, citing Veronica Hardy's poor takedown defense (60%) and tendency to be controlled on the ground. He notes that Hardy has been taken down and controlled by nearly every opponent except Juliana Miller, and believes Moura can use her physicality to get the fight to the mat and win minutes on top. He acknowledges Hardy's striking advantage but thinks Moura's grappling will be the difference, predicting a decision win.
Cody picks Veronica Hardy, citing her speed, footwork, and improved training with Dan Hardy. He notes Moura is a weight bully moving up who has missed weight and has poor takedown efficiency. Cody expects Hardy to counter-strike and avoid takedowns, winning a decision.
Connor agrees, noting that Hardy has become a good fighter under Dan Hardy's coaching. He mentions that Hardy's anxiety issues have improved and that she is now a fast, powerful athlete. Connor thinks Moura's toolkit is only effective against bad athletes and that Hardy will win.
Daniel Vreeland leans towards Veronica Hardy via decision, citing her speed, footwork, and improved takedown defense. He notes Moura's one-dimensional grappling and tendency to gas. He acknowledges Moura's strength and submission threat but believes Hardy can avoid takedowns and win on the feet. He calls it a 'lean' and not confident.
The host expects Hardy's matured game plan to come through, citing her speed and agility on the feet to touch up Moura. He also notes Hardy's active guard off her back could allow a submission in the second or third round, but officially picks her by decision.
Paul picks Veronica Hardy, agreeing with Cody. He notes Hardy's three-fight winning streak, improved training, and speed advantage. Paul expects Hardy to use her range and counter-striking to win a decision, possibly by outworking Moura.
The MMA Guru picks Veronica Hardy, noting that Eduarda Moura is big but lacks skill. He mentions Moura took Denise Gomes to a split decision, but he still favors Hardy's overall ability.
Zane picks Hardy, impressed by her recent maturation and athleticism. He notes that Moura is slow and one-dimensional, relying solely on takedowns. Zane believes Hardy's speed, power, and improved confidence will allow her to stuff takedowns and punish Moura on the feet.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 27 of 63 | 42% | 38 of 76 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 5:09 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 36 of 78 | 46% | 69 of 113 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 9 of 24 | 37% | 10 of 25 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 26 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:12 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 15 of 35 | 42% | 21 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 10 of 21 | 47% | 18 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:23 |
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 7 of 19 | 36% | 22 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 27 of 63 | 42% | 19 of 51 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 15 of 47 | 8 of 9 | 4 of 7 |
| JJ Aldrich | 36 of 78 | 46% | 22 of 60 | 3 of 6 | 11 of 12 | 30 of 68 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 9 of 24 | 37% | 8 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 19 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 14 of 24 | 58% | 10 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 19 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 8 of 18 | 44% | 5 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| JJ Aldrich | 15 of 35 | 42% | 10 of 28 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 31 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 10 of 21 | 47% | 6 of 14 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 |
| JJ Aldrich | 7 of 19 | 36% | 2 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Angelo picks JJ Aldrich as an underdog, citing her improved striking and takedown defense in her last two fights. He notes she has an experience edge and a willingness to move forward. He acknowledges Veronica Hardy's technical striking and wrestling but believes Aldrich is more well-rounded. He also bets the over 2.5 rounds.
Big Brady picks Veronica Hardy because she is younger and has shown improvement since her layoff, looking like a completely different fighter. He notes that Hardy beat Juliana Miller decisively and had a competitive split decision win over Jamey-Lyn Horth. However, he acknowledges the fight is extremely close and expects it to go to a split decision, with the judges being unreliable. He prefers Hardy's upside over Aldridge's decent but limited game.
Cody picks Hardy, citing her improvements since marrying Dan Hardy. He notes that she has shown a well-rounded game, including takedowns and smart game plans. He believes she can mix in takedowns to keep Aldrich guessing and outwork her on the feet. Cody also mentions that Hardy trained at Renzo Gracie's for this camp, indicating a focus on grappling. He expects Hardy to win a competitive decision.
Daniel Vreeland picks Veronica Hardy, noting her improvements in strength and conditioning and her ability to get back up from bottom. He believes Hardy has leveled up, while JJ Aldrich has remained the same. He predicts a decision win for Hardy, though he doesn't like the short price.
The host leans Hardy due to her movement and speed, which will allow her to land effective damage in the first 6-7 minutes. He notes that Aldrich is not as aggressive as Hardy's previous opponent, allowing Hardy to dictate range. He expects Hardy to win on the scorecards, though Aldrich's countering ability could catch up later. The pick is a lean, not a strong bet.
Paul picks Hardy, noting that she was his first bet of the week. He highlights her takedown game and improved grappling since her return. He thinks Aldrich's takedown defense is inconsistent and that Hardy can exploit it. Paul also notes that Hardy's striking is competitive and that the threat of takedowns will slow Aldrich's volume. He is confident in Hardy.
The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Veronica Hardy, citing Aldrich's superior competition, size, reach, and aggression. He notes Hardy's recent wins came against lower-level opponents and that Aldrich is a career fighter with more to prove. He also mentions Aldrich's takedown defense and physicality in the clinch as key factors.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 43 of 101 | 42% | 61 of 122 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 43 of 87 | 49% | 74 of 125 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:59 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 17 of 37 | 45% | 17 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 16 of 34 | 47% | 16 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 13 of 33 | 39% | 19 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 7 of 21 | 33% | 23 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 13 of 31 | 41% | 25 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 0 | 20 of 32 | 62% | 35 of 51 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 43 of 101 | 42% | 29 of 86 | 11 of 11 | 3 of 4 | 30 of 81 | 13 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 43 of 87 | 49% | 16 of 49 | 20 of 26 | 7 of 12 | 23 of 59 | 20 of 28 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 17 of 37 | 45% | 12 of 31 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 31 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 16 of 34 | 47% | 5 of 17 | 6 of 8 | 5 of 9 | 12 of 30 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 13 of 33 | 39% | 10 of 30 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 26 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 7 of 21 | 33% | 0 of 12 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 16 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 13 of 31 | 41% | 7 of 25 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 24 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth | 20 of 32 | 62% | 11 of 20 | 8 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 13 | 13 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hardy (-112), Horth (-108)
Round 1
Women’s flyweights get the ball rolling, as Hardy (7-4-1, 2-4 UFC) takes on the undefeated Horth at 125 pounds. The 33-year-old Horth (6-0, 1-0 UFC) has finished five of her first six opponents. Mark Smith draws the officiating assignment. They touch gloves, and we are underway in the Texas capital. They spend the first 45 seconds sizing up one another. Horth slips on a kick and eats a right hand for her troubles. The Canadian has a significant size advantage. They trade body kicks, and Hardy circles on the perimeter. The Venezuelan lands an inside leg kicks, and Horth returns fire with one of her own. Not much in terms of meaningful offense from either women in what has been a tepid start. Hardy unleashes and overhand left, setting off a brief flurry between the two. She then pins Horth along the fence and scores with punches from both hands. Hardy initiating a majority of the exchanges. She sits down an off-balance Horth with a one-two, then engages the Canadian in the clinch. Hardy complains about an eye poke, and Smith decides to pause the action. Horth declines attention from the cageside physician, and the two women get back to business.
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Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Round 2
Hardy pumps out her jab in a bid to gauge distance, then fires a few left hands over the top. Horth not doing much to maximize her physical advantages. Hardy darts in and out of the pocket, punctuating a combination with a kick to the body. Speed a definite factor in the Venezuelan’s favor. Hardy gets in and gets out with punches before the Canadian can answer. Horth pulls guard, but Hardy lifts her back to her feet and engages her in the clinch. She lands a close-range elbow over the top but absorbs a few knees to the body. They continue to jockey for position in the clinch, then separate. Horth closes the distance and completes a takedown, setting up shop in full guard with a minute to go. She scores with body-head combinations from the top but not yet connecting with anything significant. Horth stands up and absorbs a upkick to the chest that knocks her off-balance for an instant. She finishes the round in top position.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Round 3
Hardy steps into a two-punch combination from her southpaw stance, then fires a kick to the body and another to the leg. Horth lands an elbow over the top that gets Hardy’s attention, then sticks the Venezuelan with a right hand. Hardy follows a body kick with a left hook. Horth turning to elbows in the standup exchanges, making her first noticeable adjustment on the feet. She once again ties up Hardy along the fence, fires a knee to the body and separates. They both connect on the break. Hardy slams another kick into the Canadian’s midsection. Horth closes the distance, plants an elbow upstairs and moves into the clinch. They trade knees to the legs. Hardy doing everything she can to stay upright. Horth hacks away with elbows to the head and eats a few punches. She drops an off-balance Hardy with a stepping elbow, but the Venezuelan gets back to her feet. They engage one another in the clinch. Hardy counters a takedown into top position, and they scramble back to a standing position, trading along the fence to close it out.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Hardy)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Hardy)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Hardy)
The Official Result
Veronica Hardy def. Jamey Lyn-Horth—Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
Big Brady believes Jamey-Lyn Horth is being undervalued after the line flipped from Hardy being a big underdog. He notes Horth has a three-inch height and reach advantage, plus a strength advantage, and should be able to dictate where the fight takes place. He thinks Horth is the better striker and can stuff takedowns or get her own. He predicts a decision win for Horth.
Cody picks Hardy as an underdog. He thinks Hardy's speed, footwork, and game plan with Dan Hardy can overcome Horth's size. He notes Hardy looked great in her last fight after a layoff. He believes if Hardy uses lateral movement and mixes in takedowns, she can win. He acknowledges Horth's strength but thinks Hardy's technique and game plan are key.
Lucrative James picks Veronica Hardy, citing her improved striking and speed advantage. He notes that while Jamey-Lyn Horth is a decent fighter with good wins, Hardy's in-and-out movement and early-round success should carry her. He acknowledges that Horth may grow into the fight later, but believes Hardy will have enough gas to win the early rounds and secure the victory.
Hardy's lateral footwork, speed, and striking from distance, combined with improved grappling from training with Dan Hardy, should allow her to exploit Horth's weaknesses on the ground. Horth is undefeated but has shown vulnerability when put in bad positions. Hardy's fight IQ and cardio will be key to wearing Horth down over three rounds. The plus 155 underdog price is seen as a good value spot.
Paul picks Horth, citing her size and strength. He thinks she can grind out Hardy. He notes the line movement is strange but he's going with the Canadian. He acknowledges Hardy's speed and game plan but believes Horth's physicality will be too much.
The MMA Guru picks Jamey-Lyn Horth over Veronica Hardy, citing Horth's physicality advantage and post-30-year-old female rage. He acknowledges Hardy may be more technical but believes Horth's size and reach will be decisive. He expects a close decision, likely 29-28, and goes with the larger fighter.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 30 of 79 | 37% | 49 of 98 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 3 | 0 | 1:19 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 62 of 77 | 80% | 78 of 95 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 7:36 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 19 of 45 | 42% | 25 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 26 of 35 | 74% | 32 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 8 of 20 | 40% | 12 of 24 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 16 of 19 | 84% | 20 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:45 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 3 of 14 | 21% | 12 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 20 of 23 | 86% | 26 of 30 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 30 of 79 | 37% | 20 of 63 | 9 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 22 of 65 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 5 |
| Juliana Miller | 62 of 77 | 80% | 39 of 52 | 12 of 14 | 11 of 11 | 32 of 43 | 5 of 6 | 25 of 28 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 19 of 45 | 42% | 12 of 35 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 14 of 39 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Juliana Miller | 26 of 35 | 74% | 19 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 6 | 18 of 27 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 3 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 8 of 20 | 40% | 7 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 |
| Juliana Miller | 16 of 19 | 84% | 14 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 12 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 3 of 14 | 21% | 1 of 10 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 |
| Juliana Miller | 20 of 23 | 86% | 6 of 8 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 13 of 13 |
Angelo acknowledges Juliana Miller is ferocious and has impressive scramble skills, but he notes she is not very polished and only has four professional fights. He is wary of betting on women's MMA after JJ Aldrich's loss and refuses to lay -450 on a fighter he considers not very good. He sees this as a setup win for Miller but is staying away from betting.
Big Brady picks Juliana Miller, noting she made improvements in her last fight against Brogan Walker, especially in wrestling. He is concerned about Miller's striking defense and hittability, but believes she can take the fight down and finish. He is not confident enough to lay -450, but sees Miller's path to victory via TKO or submission. He mentions Hardy has not fought in three years and looked awful in her last UFC stint.
Cody picks Miller, citing her grappling advantage and Hardy's susceptibility to takedowns. He notes Miller's striking is poor but if she gets the fight to the ground, she should win. He worries about Miller's mental lapses and the crowd atmosphere, but thinks she is the better fighter. He says minus 450 is scary but Miller should roll.
Connor picks Miller, citing Hardy's inefficiency and poor fight IQ. He notes that Hardy burns energy quickly and makes bad decisions, while Miller is relentless with her wrestling and top pressure. Connor believes Miller will take Hardy down and grind her out, despite Miller's own technical flaws.
Jacob thinks Juliana Miller should win but has low confidence due to the unpredictability of women's MMA. He notes Veronica Hardy has been away for three years and could look great or rusty. He likes the under 2.5 rounds at even money because Miller should steamroll Hardy, but he is not betting the moneyline.
Miller's grappling is her calling card, but her striking is technically deficient and leaves openings. Hardy has a long layoff and is poor off her back unless she throws up a Hail Mary submission. Miller's relentless pace and top control should lead to a finish in the latter half. The fight doesn't go to decision is the favorite spot.
Paul picks Miller, noting Hardy's strange career path and long layoff. He says Hardy is surprisingly only 27 but has been doing broadcasting and may not be fully committed. He thinks Miller's tenacity and grappling will be too much. He says minus 450 scares him but he sees more upside from Miller.
The MMA Guru picks Juliana Miller over Veronica Hardy, citing Hardy's lack of commitment and long layoffs. He notes Hardy has not been active and seems to treat MMA as a hobby, while Miller has more recent experience including fights on The Ultimate Fighter. He predicts Miller will win by decision, acknowledging Hardy's dangerous submission game off her back but favoring Miller's mindset and activity.
Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Hardy's taekwondo-based style leaves her vulnerable to pressure. He points out that Hardy gasses quickly and cannot manage distance well. Zane expects Miller's aggressive wrestling and top control to be too much for Hardy, who has no answer for a relentless grappler.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bea Malecki | 0 | 93 of 258 | 36% | 106 of 271 | 0 of 9 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 130 of 247 | 52% | 190 of 326 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:23 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bea Malecki | 0 | 37 of 112 | 33% | 37 of 112 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 36 of 81 | 44% | 36 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Bea Malecki | 0 | 24 of 70 | 34% | 28 of 74 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 48 of 87 | 55% | 84 of 139 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:54 | |
| 3 | Bea Malecki | 0 | 32 of 76 | 42% | 41 of 85 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 46 of 79 | 58% | 70 of 106 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:29 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bea Malecki | 93 of 258 | 36% | 67 of 213 | 14 of 30 | 12 of 15 | 90 of 246 | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Veronica Hardy | 130 of 247 | 52% | 92 of 191 | 34 of 50 | 4 of 6 | 107 of 214 | 11 of 13 | 12 of 20 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bea Malecki | 37 of 112 | 33% | 19 of 83 | 10 of 21 | 8 of 8 | 36 of 106 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Veronica Hardy | 36 of 81 | 44% | 25 of 59 | 9 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 35 of 78 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Bea Malecki | 24 of 70 | 34% | 18 of 61 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 6 | 24 of 67 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Veronica Hardy | 48 of 87 | 55% | 35 of 70 | 13 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 32 of 64 | 6 of 6 | 10 of 17 | |
| 3 | Bea Malecki | 32 of 76 | 42% | 30 of 69 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 30 of 73 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Veronica Hardy | 46 of 79 | 58% | 32 of 62 | 12 of 14 | 2 of 3 | 40 of 72 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 3 |
Daniel sees this as a 50/50 fight and likes the dog. He notes Malecki's size advantage and Muay Thai skills, and thinks she can keep the fight at range. He's not confident in Macedo's ability to take over in the third round, so he sides with the underdog.
The host picks Veronica Hardy (referred to as Veronica Macedo) over Bea Malecki. He notes that Malecki was destroyed by Duda Santana but managed a Hail Mary submission, while Hardy has fought better opponents and is 6-3. He expects Hardy to win by unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:04 |
| Polyana Viana | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:04 |
| Polyana Viana | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Polyana Viana | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Polyana Viana | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Kicking off the
Ultimate Fighting Championship's
debut in Uruguay is a flyweight fight between two women desperately seeking a win in Macedo (5-3-1, 0-3 UFC) and Viana (10-3, 1-2 UFC). Our referee for this first contest is Keith Peterson. Viana comes out with a body kick to start off the night, and then scores one more. Macedo tries for a spinning back kick but misses and ends up on her back, where Viana takes half guard. Viana advances position by trapping Macedo's arm under her knee for a moment, but Macedo slips out.
Out of nowhere, Macedo throws her legs up to snatch an armbar, and Viana rolls to try to defend it but ends up on her back, and Viana has no choice but to tap out!
Macedo earns the first win of her UFC career, and in the process becomes the first fighter to ever finish Viana.
The Official Result
Veronica Macedo def. Polyana Viana R1 1:09 via Submission (Armbar)
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gillian Robertson | 0 | 23 of 41 | 56% | 35 of 59 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 2 | 1:50 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 10 of 14 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 3 | 4:26 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gillian Robertson | 0 | 19 of 33 | 57% | 27 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 2 | 0:46 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 7 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 2 | 2:55 | |
| 2 | Gillian Robertson | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:04 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 3 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 1:31 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gillian Robertson | 23 of 41 | 56% | 21 of 38 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 25 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 14 |
| Veronica Hardy | 5 of 8 | 62% | 5 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gillian Robertson | 19 of 33 | 57% | 18 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 14 |
| Veronica Hardy | 5 of 6 | 83% | 5 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Gillian Robertson | 4 of 8 | 50% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Veronica Hardy | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Juliana Miller - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carli Judice | 0 | 36 of 122 | 29% | 46 of 138 | 2 of 13 | 15% | 1 | 0 | 3:38 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 79 of 185 | 42% | 104 of 214 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carli Judice | 0 | 10 of 25 | 40% | 15 of 32 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:58 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 18 of 40 | 45% | 37 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:52 | |
| 2 | Carli Judice | 0 | 17 of 58 | 29% | 18 of 61 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 35 of 89 | 39% | 36 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Carli Judice | 0 | 9 of 39 | 23% | 13 of 45 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 1:40 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 26 of 56 | 46% | 31 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carli Judice | 36 of 122 | 29% | 24 of 100 | 11 of 20 | 1 of 2 | 29 of 109 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Juliana Miller | 79 of 185 | 42% | 53 of 143 | 20 of 34 | 6 of 8 | 75 of 180 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carli Judice | 10 of 25 | 40% | 6 of 19 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 19 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Juliana Miller | 18 of 40 | 45% | 11 of 29 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 36 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Carli Judice | 17 of 58 | 29% | 12 of 50 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 53 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Juliana Miller | 35 of 89 | 39% | 26 of 72 | 8 of 14 | 1 of 3 | 35 of 88 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Carli Judice | 9 of 39 | 23% | 6 of 31 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Juliana Miller | 26 of 56 | 46% | 16 of 42 | 7 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 26 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Carli Judice, citing her superior striking, good volume, and takedown defense. He notes Juliana Miller has heart but lacks skill and hasn't improved. He mentions a potential prop bet on Miller plus 3.5 if she wins a round, but his clear pick is Judice.
Big Brady picks Carli Judice to defeat Juliana Miller, calling it a 'sanctioned murder.' He notes Miller has terrible striking defense (36%) and was pieced up by Luana Santos, who is not a good striker. He believes Judice is physically strong, has good takedown defense, and superior striking with phenomenal volume. He predicts a first-round knockout, possibly by head kick or knee, and thinks it could be a mercy stoppage.
Cody thinks Judice's striking and athleticism will be too much for Miller. He notes Miller's poor wrestling and linear movement. He expects Judice to win by decision or TKO.
Connor picks Judice, comparing her technical footwork to Duane Ludwig. He notes she shifts to cut angles and outmaneuver opponents, which has improved since her debut. Miller is tough but can't strike or wrestle, and Judice will easily outclass her.
James picks Carli Judice to win by knockout, citing her massive striking advantage over Miller. He notes that Miller is multiple levels below Judice on the feet and that her only hope is grappling, which Judice has defended well. James expects Judice to land a TKO.
Judice is a talented striker with good takedown defense, as shown in her recent wins. She should be able to keep the fight standing and pick apart Miller, who is mediocre on the feet. Miller will try to grapple, but Judice has improved her grappling defense and should get back to her feet. Expect a TKO in the second or third round as Miller fades.
Paul agrees, citing Judice's improvement and Miller's lack of wrestling. He thinks Miller's only path is takedowns, but Judice's striking will be too much. He expects Judice to win comfortably.
The MMA Guru believes Carli Judice is a much more technical fighter with a significant striking advantage over Juliana Miller. He notes that Judice arguably won her Contender Series fight and her UFC debut, and has since finished her last two opponents via TKO. He expects Judice to break Miller down with body work, specifically knees, front kicks, and teeps, leading to a second or third round TKO.
Zane picks Judice emphatically, noting she has improved dramatically as a technician, especially her footwork. She runs circles around opponents and negates power disadvantages. Miller can't strike or wrestle, and Judice will tear her apart. Zane expects Judice to style on Miller.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 22 of 55 | 40% | 54 of 101 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 8:10 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 25 of 53 | 47% | 57 of 87 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juliana Miller | 0 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 11 of 20 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:04 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 32 of 39 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:48 | |
| 2 | Juliana Miller | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 24 of 38 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:33 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 8 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 | |
| 3 | Juliana Miller | 0 | 14 of 32 | 43% | 19 of 43 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:33 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 12 of 26 | 46% | 17 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juliana Miller | 22 of 55 | 40% | 11 of 41 | 8 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 46 | 1 of 3 | 5 of 6 |
| Ivana Petrović | 25 of 53 | 47% | 8 of 33 | 9 of 12 | 8 of 8 | 25 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juliana Miller | 4 of 12 | 33% | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 9 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ivana Petrović | 7 of 12 | 58% | 0 of 3 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Juliana Miller | 4 of 11 | 36% | 2 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Ivana Petrović | 6 of 15 | 40% | 2 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Juliana Miller | 14 of 32 | 43% | 5 of 21 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
| Ivana Petrović | 12 of 26 | 46% | 6 of 19 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo acknowledges both fighters are low-level and tough, but he expects Ivana Petrović to win because she is more well-rounded and has better grappling. He notes that Juliana Miller is inexperienced and fights on instinct, which often fails her. However, he strongly advises against betting on this fight because the odds are too wide and the outcome is unpredictable.
Big Brady picks Ivana Petrović but is not confident, calling it a fight to stay away from. He notes Petrović has a significant striking advantage by default because Miller's striking defense is terrible (32%). However, he worries that both fighters accept bottom position and are submission over position, making the fight potentially messy. He expects a close competitive decision going to the judges, and he questions Miller's motivation after a long layoff and multiple surgeries.
Miller is coming off a poor performance but that was against Luana Santos, a different style opponent. She has since changed camps to Sik Jitsu and claims to be healthier than ever. I expect her to take Petrović down and grind out a decision win, surprising many.
The MMA Guru picks Ivana Petrović because Juliana Miller is 'absolutely awful' and has no business in the UFC. He notes that while Petrović isn't great either, she is more technical, bigger, and stronger. He expects a 30-27 decision win for Petrović.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Santos | 0 | 24 of 75 | 32% | 25 of 77 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 63 of 105 | 60% | 64 of 106 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Santos | 0 | 24 of 75 | 32% | 25 of 77 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 63 of 105 | 60% | 64 of 106 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Santos | 24 of 75 | 32% | 15 of 61 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 18 of 64 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Juliana Miller | 63 of 105 | 60% | 44 of 82 | 16 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 53 of 88 | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Santos | 24 of 75 | 32% | 15 of 61 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 18 of 64 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Juliana Miller | 63 of 105 | 60% | 44 of 82 | 16 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 53 of 88 | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Santos (-155), Miller (+130)
Round 1
Fight fans have now passed the midpoint of what will be the longest stretch of consecutive UFC weekends, and there are only seven to go including UFC on ESPN 51. This will be the last event in the Apex until its streak-ending Sept. 23 show, and it is certainly a fight card. As mentioned in a previous article, 15 of the 26 fighters tonight are coming in having lost their last bouts, and eight of those have dropped two in a row or more. It all starts with grappler-on-grappler action in the women’s flyweight division, as “The Ultimate Fighter” Season 30 victor Miller (3-2, 1-1 UFC) looks to lift her promotional record above .500. She takes on promotional newcomer Santos (5-1, 0-0 UFC), who made her way to the UFC not through the Contender Series or any of the other feeder programs, but from the LFA. This opening bout draws the assignment of referee Jason Herzog, and it begins without a touch of gloves as Miller charges like a bull. The two ladies immediately start swinging, and Miller snaps the head back with a few heavy blows. Miller’s aggression leads her into a clinch, where she immediately presses onto her opponent while kneeing her in the gut. Santos turns the corner and splits apart, and she resets. Miller walks her down, stutter-stepping her way in and throwing hammers. Santos sits down on a right hand to catch her on the way in, but Miller completely ignores it and keeps on storming forward. Miller puts her hands on Santos’ face, not landing with any individually damaging blow, but getting Santos’ attention. The Brazilian woman steels herself and launches a bomb of a right hand that bangs right into Miller’s temple, rocking “Killer.” Santos does not let her foe off the hook, as she slugs away and even mixes in a head kick as Miller leans her back to the wall to stay upright. Miller leans forward to try to slow things down, and Santos snatches up a guillotine choke that ends up with the two ladies landing on the mat. Santos releases her grip to allow them back to their feet, and she stays right in Miller’s grill throwing hands. Santos belts her foe in the jaw a few times, and Miller wobbles back to the wall and tries to counter but is only flailing. Santos smashes Miller in the face, and Miller reels and is in big trouble. Santos pours it on with fists flying, and she connects repeatedly and does not care about anything Miller gives back to her. Herzog is taking a close eye on the action, and Santos tries to force a stoppage by laying into Miller with everything she has.
The punches keep coming, and Miller drops to a knee and fights her way back up. Miller may be out on her feet, and Santos continues busting her in the chops until Herzog has seen enough.
This is a statement performance for the debuting Santos, who earns her first career knockout in her biggest fight to date. Meanwhile, she also becomes the first fighter to finish the TUF victor as a professional.
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The Official Result
Luana Santos def. Juliana Miller R1 3:41 via TKO (Punches)
Angelo picks Santos confidently, citing her judo background and slick grappling versus Miller's lack of skill and poor takedown defense. He notes Miller was a terrible -450 favorite who couldn't defend takedowns. He already placed a quarter unit at -140 and expects the line to move further.
Big Brady picks Juliana Miller to win by decision, but is not confident. He notes Miller's terrible striking defense but good grappling. He thinks Santos's head-and-arm throws could be reversed by Miller, leading to back takes. He calls the line a 'massive over correction' and sees Miller as a live dog. However, he admits he doesn't want to bet it.
Cody picks Santos, citing her judo black belt and solid takedown entries. He criticizes Miller's wrestling and striking, noting she was taken down four times by Veronica Hardy. He thinks Santos can get the fight to the mat and control it. He also notes Santos' only losses are to a high-level grappler (Jenna Bishop). He believes Santos would have won The Ultimate Fighter season if she were on it.
James leans toward Miller as a potential underdog, noting Santos didn't look great in her last fight and Miller is gritty. However, he hasn't done full tape and is not confident. He sees possible value on Miller but needs to study more.
Miller is a BJJ black belt who does her best work on the ground, but her striking is lacking. Santos is a newcomer with a BJJ and Judo black belt, but she is not the type of striker that Hardy was, who used lateral movement to avoid takedowns. Miller should be able to drag the fight to the ground and grind out a decision. The recency bias has made Miller a plus 140 dog after being a minus 400 favorite in her last fight, which is a value spot.
Paul picks Santos, agreeing that Miller is overrated. He notes Miller's poor wrestling and striking, and that Santos is the better striker and grappler. He thinks Santos' judo will neutralize Miller's wrestling and that Santos can win by decision or submission. He also mentions that the line opened with the wrong fighter favored.
The MMA Guru picks Luana Santos based on Juliana Miller's poor performance in her last fight, where she showed no skill, bad stand-up, and poor submission attempts. He notes that women's MMA is unpredictable but trusts Santos's age (23) and regional wins. He emphasizes that after watching Miller's last fight, he cannot logically pick her again.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 30 of 79 | 37% | 49 of 98 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 3 | 0 | 1:19 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 62 of 77 | 80% | 78 of 95 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 7:36 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 19 of 45 | 42% | 25 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 26 of 35 | 74% | 32 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 8 of 20 | 40% | 12 of 24 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 16 of 19 | 84% | 20 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:45 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 3 of 14 | 21% | 12 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 20 of 23 | 86% | 26 of 30 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 30 of 79 | 37% | 20 of 63 | 9 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 22 of 65 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 5 |
| Juliana Miller | 62 of 77 | 80% | 39 of 52 | 12 of 14 | 11 of 11 | 32 of 43 | 5 of 6 | 25 of 28 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 19 of 45 | 42% | 12 of 35 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 14 of 39 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Juliana Miller | 26 of 35 | 74% | 19 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 6 | 18 of 27 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 3 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 8 of 20 | 40% | 7 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 |
| Juliana Miller | 16 of 19 | 84% | 14 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 12 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 3 of 14 | 21% | 1 of 10 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 |
| Juliana Miller | 20 of 23 | 86% | 6 of 8 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 13 of 13 |
Angelo acknowledges Juliana Miller is ferocious and has impressive scramble skills, but he notes she is not very polished and only has four professional fights. He is wary of betting on women's MMA after JJ Aldrich's loss and refuses to lay -450 on a fighter he considers not very good. He sees this as a setup win for Miller but is staying away from betting.
Big Brady picks Juliana Miller, noting she made improvements in her last fight against Brogan Walker, especially in wrestling. He is concerned about Miller's striking defense and hittability, but believes she can take the fight down and finish. He is not confident enough to lay -450, but sees Miller's path to victory via TKO or submission. He mentions Hardy has not fought in three years and looked awful in her last UFC stint.
Cody picks Miller, citing her grappling advantage and Hardy's susceptibility to takedowns. He notes Miller's striking is poor but if she gets the fight to the ground, she should win. He worries about Miller's mental lapses and the crowd atmosphere, but thinks she is the better fighter. He says minus 450 is scary but Miller should roll.
Connor picks Miller, citing Hardy's inefficiency and poor fight IQ. He notes that Hardy burns energy quickly and makes bad decisions, while Miller is relentless with her wrestling and top pressure. Connor believes Miller will take Hardy down and grind her out, despite Miller's own technical flaws.
Jacob thinks Juliana Miller should win but has low confidence due to the unpredictability of women's MMA. He notes Veronica Hardy has been away for three years and could look great or rusty. He likes the under 2.5 rounds at even money because Miller should steamroll Hardy, but he is not betting the moneyline.
Miller's grappling is her calling card, but her striking is technically deficient and leaves openings. Hardy has a long layoff and is poor off her back unless she throws up a Hail Mary submission. Miller's relentless pace and top control should lead to a finish in the latter half. The fight doesn't go to decision is the favorite spot.
Paul picks Miller, noting Hardy's strange career path and long layoff. He says Hardy is surprisingly only 27 but has been doing broadcasting and may not be fully committed. He thinks Miller's tenacity and grappling will be too much. He says minus 450 scares him but he sees more upside from Miller.
The MMA Guru picks Juliana Miller over Veronica Hardy, citing Hardy's lack of commitment and long layoffs. He notes Hardy has not been active and seems to treat MMA as a hobby, while Miller has more recent experience including fights on The Ultimate Fighter. He predicts Miller will win by decision, acknowledging Hardy's dangerous submission game off her back but favoring Miller's mindset and activity.
Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Hardy's taekwondo-based style leaves her vulnerable to pressure. He points out that Hardy gasses quickly and cannot manage distance well. Zane expects Miller's aggressive wrestling and top control to be too much for Hardy, who has no answer for a relentless grappler.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 30 of 48 | 62% | 52 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:16 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 54 of 85 | 63% | 110 of 156 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 9:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juliana Miller | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 17 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 28 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:29 | |
| 2 | Juliana Miller | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 18 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:51 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 13 of 20 | 65% | 27 of 37 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:04 | |
| 3 | Juliana Miller | 0 | 15 of 26 | 57% | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 33 of 52 | 63% | 55 of 81 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juliana Miller | 30 of 48 | 62% | 16 of 33 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 10 | 28 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Brogan Walker | 54 of 85 | 63% | 43 of 72 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 25 of 41 | 4 of 5 | 25 of 39 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juliana Miller | 3 of 4 | 75% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brogan Walker | 8 of 13 | 61% | 8 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 | |
| 2 | Juliana Miller | 12 of 18 | 66% | 6 of 12 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Brogan Walker | 13 of 20 | 65% | 9 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 13 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 4 | |
| 3 | Juliana Miller | 15 of 26 | 57% | 8 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 15 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Brogan Walker | 33 of 52 | 63% | 26 of 43 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 14 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 18 of 27 |
Angelo picks Brogan Walker based on experience. He notes Miller's intensity and pressure but believes Walker's composure and high-level experience will prevail. He thinks Walker can weather the storm and impose her will, while Miller might be overwhelmed by the moment. He plans to just enjoy the fight without betting.
Big Brady leans toward Brogan Walker, citing her experience advantage over the green Juliana Miller, who has only three professional fights. He notes that Walker has faced tougher competition and is a black belt in BJJ, though Miller is a more dangerous submission grappler. He believes Walker is the better striker and can keep the fight on the feet to win a decision. He acknowledges Miller's upside but favors Walker's current skill set.
Cody is confident in Miller, calling her a 'junkyard dog' with a grinding style. He praises her flexibility, funky jiu-jitsu, and willingness to scrap. Cody notes that Walker is a striker who tends to tire, and that Miller's pace and grappling will break her down. He sees multiple paths to victory for Miller, whether by submission or decision.
Paul leans toward Miller, citing her aggression and grappling ability. He notes that Miller is younger and less experienced but can push a pace that Walker may not handle. Paul thinks Miller's body lock takedowns and ground game give her an edge, and that Walker's experience may not be enough.
The MMA Guru picks Brogan Walker, citing her more experience and better technique from watching TUF. He thinks Walker is more technical and will win 30-27. He notes the UFC might want Miller to win for promotional reasons, but he still goes with Walker.
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo acknowledges Juliana Miller is ferocious and has impressive scramble skills, but he notes she is not very polished and only has four professional fights. He is wary of betting on women's MMA after JJ Aldrich's loss and refuses to lay -450 on a fighter he considers not very good. He sees this as a setup win for Miller but is staying away from betting.
Big Brady picks Juliana Miller, noting she made improvements in her last fight against Brogan Walker, especially in wrestling. He is concerned about Miller's striking defense and hittability, but believes she can take the fight down and finish. He is not confident enough to lay -450, but sees Miller's path to victory via TKO or submission. He mentions Hardy has not fought in three years and looked awful in her last UFC stint.
Cody picks Miller, citing her grappling advantage and Hardy's susceptibility to takedowns. He notes Miller's striking is poor but if she gets the fight to the ground, she should win. He worries about Miller's mental lapses and the crowd atmosphere, but thinks she is the better fighter. He says minus 450 is scary but Miller should roll.
Connor picks Miller, citing Hardy's inefficiency and poor fight IQ. He notes that Hardy burns energy quickly and makes bad decisions, while Miller is relentless with her wrestling and top pressure. Connor believes Miller will take Hardy down and grind her out, despite Miller's own technical flaws.
Jacob thinks Juliana Miller should win but has low confidence due to the unpredictability of women's MMA. He notes Veronica Hardy has been away for three years and could look great or rusty. He likes the under 2.5 rounds at even money because Miller should steamroll Hardy, but he is not betting the moneyline.
Miller's grappling is her calling card, but her striking is technically deficient and leaves openings. Hardy has a long layoff and is poor off her back unless she throws up a Hail Mary submission. Miller's relentless pace and top control should lead to a finish in the latter half. The fight doesn't go to decision is the favorite spot.
Paul picks Miller, noting Hardy's strange career path and long layoff. He says Hardy is surprisingly only 27 but has been doing broadcasting and may not be fully committed. He thinks Miller's tenacity and grappling will be too much. He says minus 450 scares him but he sees more upside from Miller.
The MMA Guru picks Juliana Miller over Veronica Hardy, citing Hardy's lack of commitment and long layoffs. He notes Hardy has not been active and seems to treat MMA as a hobby, while Miller has more recent experience including fights on The Ultimate Fighter. He predicts Miller will win by decision, acknowledging Hardy's dangerous submission game off her back but favoring Miller's mindset and activity.
Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Hardy's taekwondo-based style leaves her vulnerable to pressure. He points out that Hardy gasses quickly and cannot manage distance well. Zane expects Miller's aggressive wrestling and top control to be too much for Hardy, who has no answer for a relentless grappler.
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