vs
+188 -200
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 Next Fight
Age 38
Height 6' 1"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 31
Height 5' 7"
Reach 72"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Jai Herbert
3.07 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
3.26 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
0.43 TD Avg
21.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Ľudovít Klein
3.76 SLpM
53.0% Str. Acc.
3.48 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
1.37 TD Avg
51.0% TD Acc.
76.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Jai Herbert
Moneyline
FanDuel +188
KO/TKO
BetRivers +430
Submission
FanDuel +1600
Decision
BetMGM +500
Ľudovít Klein
Moneyline
BetWay -200
KO/TKO
BetWay +175
Submission
FanDuel +700
Decision
BetRivers +360
Jai Herbert - Fight History
WIN vs Mandel Nallo
KO R1 2:05 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · Apr 18, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mandel Nallo 1 16 of 31 51% 16 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Jai Herbert 2 19 of 28 67% 30 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mandel Nallo 1 16 of 31 51% 16 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Jai Herbert 2 19 of 28 67% 30 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mandel Nallo 16 of 31 51% 13 of 28 1 of 1 2 of 2 15 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jai Herbert 19 of 28 67% 18 of 27 0 of 0 1 of 1 7 of 14 0 of 1 12 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mandel Nallo 16 of 31 51% 13 of 28 1 of 1 2 of 2 15 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jai Herbert 19 of 28 67% 18 of 27 0 of 0 1 of 1 7 of 14 0 of 1 12 of 13
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jai Herbert vs. Mandel Nallo
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Nallo (-180); Herbert (+150)

Round 1
A youthful 36 years of age, lightweight finisher Nallo (19-5, 1 NC; 0-0 UFC) finally reached the top echelon of the sport after wallowing in the ranks of Bellator with seemingly little to show for it. To succeed in his UFC debut, he will have to get through “The Black Country Banger” Herbert (13-6-1, 3-5-1 UFC) and his iron fists. Before those fists meet faces, they are bumped together ceremoniously to kick off the bout.
Jason Herzog will be the referee for the promotional debut of “Rat Garbage.” That is his nickname, no matter if he calls himself “Mango” now. It does not take long for Nallo to get Herbert’s attention, kicking him in the face. Herbert stumbles and tries to fire back, but the high kick is finding the dome of the Brit cleanly. Nallo blasts Herbert with another and knocks him back to the wall, nearly dropping him with a clean right hand behind the ear. Herbert takes the punches on the chin and somehow steels himself to swing back with everything he has. He catches Nallo with a thunderous right hand, and shockingly puts Nallo on his seat. Herbert beats down his opponent with hammerfists as Herzog is about to step in, but Nallo rolls for a leglock to show he is still with it and manages to fight his way back to his feet. When Herbert separates and lands again, Nallo’s legs are still not beneath him. Herbert walks Nallo down and drills him with a right hand, resulting in Nallo raising his eyebrow at him.
Nallo goes after a body kick, and three crisp punches from Herbert knock him back down again. Nallo turns to his side in hopes of defending himself, but this time as an onslaught of fists relentlessly rain down, Herzog has no choice but to wave things off while Nallo’s mouth sprays blood from the oncoming fire.
Nallo lays on his back and screams a disappointed profanity, but he is fine with the stoppage and nods to Herzog that he is ultimately ok—or will be soon enough. The Canadian crowd, seeing their athlete getting smoked, does not appear upset as the few minutes of their battle was that thrilling and engaging.

The Official Result
Jai Herbert def. Mandel Nallo R1 2:05 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mandel Nallo

Angelo picks Mandel Nallo, citing his diverse striking, kicks, and finishing ability. He criticizes Jai Herbert for hesitating and not throwing enough, noting his only notable moment was almost knocking out Ilia Topuria. He believes Mandel's counter-striking and grappling will secure the win.

"Mandel has incredible kicks, great counter-striking. I see Mandel controlling the striking, getting the win."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mandel Nallo

Big Brady confidently picks Mandel Nallo, criticizing Jai Herbert's boring, point-fighting style and lack of chin. He notes Nallo has 14 wins, all under 1.5 rounds, and expects a first-round knockout. Brady expresses hope that Herbert gets cut after the fight.

first round knockout
"Give me Manel Nalo to take off the head cleanly of Jai Herbert, and hopefully Jai Herbert gets the hell out of the UFC."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mandel Nallo

Cody picks Mandel Nallo, citing his higher volume and better ground game compared to Jai Herbert's low output. He notes that Herbert tends to fade and that Nallo has been training with high-level fighters. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds prop.

under 2.5 rounds
"I think Manuel Nolo gets it gets the job done, gets the victory."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Mandel Nallo

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Nallo's low kicks are the difference maker. He says Herbert is out there looking to box almost exclusively and has never learned to check low kicks. Connor adds that Nallo throws them, and that's enough. He also notes that both are sniper fighters, but Nallo's low kicks give him the edge.

Same odds as Zane.
"I agree"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mandel Nallo

Daniel is impressed by Nallo's striking and believes Herbert's chin is questionable. He thinks Nallo's power will be too much for Herbert, despite Nallo's history of fading in longer fights. He predicts a devastating knockout win for Nallo.

"I'm going to pick Nala to win his UFC debut by devastating knockout."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Apr 18, 2026 (fight day)

Nallo is a complete unknown after three years away; his last fights were low-level. Herbert is more experienced but chinny. No strong opinion; if forced, lean Herbert due to value. Not betting this fight.

"I'm not going to be betting this fight this weekend cuz he is a big unknown."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)

The host mentions Mandel Nallo getting a big stage but does not make a pick for the fight.

"They're giving Mandel Nallo a massive stage to get a big highlight knockout over UFC veteran Jai Herbert in the main card as well."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mandel Nallo

James picks Mandel Nallo to win via knockout in round one. He believes Nallo's funky striking and early power will be too much for Jai Herbert, who has chin issues. If the fight goes past round one, he leans Herbert, but he expects an early finish.

"I pick Mandalo to win this fight via KO. I think he's just going to try and land a knockout early and I'm actually going to predict him to do it here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mandel Nallo

The host is surprised by the love on Nallo but thinks he has more paths to victory, including power striking and a BJJ black belt. He expects Nallo to land a big shot and put Herbert away, but thinks the fight will be closer than the odds indicate. He would stay off the fight unless Nallo's line drops to around -125.

"I'm going to go Nallo. I think he eventually lands that big shot and puts Herbert away. But I think it plays out a little bit closer than the odds are indicating as of now."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mandel Nallo

Paul leans towards Mandel Nallo but prefers the under 2.5 rounds prop. He notes that Nallo is a finisher and that Herbert's fights often go to decision, but this matchup might end inside the distance.

under 2.5 rounds
"My preferred play in this fight is the under two and a half. Um, rather than a side, but N is the pick for the purposes of this program."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Mandel Nallo

Zane picks Nallo because he throws low kicks, which alone is probably enough to break Herbert down. Herbert is a choosy sniper who never learned to check low kicks and is inactive. Nallo is a seasoned fighter who finishes every fight he wins, though he takes chances. Zane notes that Herbert's only UFC knockout is against a fighter with a terrible chin, and he tends to be inactive.

Nallo opened at -185, now -170; Herbert opened at +160, now +145.
"Reason enough for me"
LOSS vs Chris Padilla
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · Mar 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jai Herbert 0 38 of 122 31% 59 of 143 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Chris Padilla 0 39 of 98 39% 88 of 147 0 of 6 0% 0 0 3:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jai Herbert 0 3 of 16 18% 17 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Padilla 0 9 of 24 37% 29 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:51
2 Jai Herbert 0 7 of 42 16% 12 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Chris Padilla 0 13 of 32 40% 32 of 51 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:34
3 Jai Herbert 0 28 of 64 43% 30 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Padilla 0 17 of 42 40% 27 of 52 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jai Herbert 38 of 122 31% 19 of 92 10 of 19 9 of 11 37 of 120 1 of 2 0 of 0
Chris Padilla 39 of 98 39% 20 of 60 6 of 9 13 of 29 35 of 94 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jai Herbert 3 of 16 18% 0 of 9 1 of 5 2 of 2 3 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chris Padilla 9 of 24 37% 3 of 11 1 of 2 5 of 11 9 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jai Herbert 7 of 42 16% 4 of 33 0 of 5 3 of 4 7 of 41 0 of 1 0 of 0
Chris Padilla 13 of 32 40% 6 of 17 3 of 4 4 of 11 11 of 30 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Jai Herbert 28 of 64 43% 15 of 50 9 of 9 4 of 5 27 of 63 1 of 1 0 of 0
Chris Padilla 17 of 42 40% 11 of 32 2 of 3 4 of 7 15 of 40 2 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jai Herbert vs. Chris Padilla
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Herbert (-125), Padilla (+105)

Round 1
Lukasz Bosacki will ref this featured preliminary bout at lightweight. It’s a very deliberate opening minute. Padilla lands a right over the top during an initial exchange. Halfway through the round and not much in the way of offense has landed. A Herbert kick hits Padilla’s forearm. A kick from Herbert lands below the belt, but Padilla doesn’t need a pause. A front kick finds the range for Herbert. Padilla shoots for a takedown and pushes Herbet into the fence. Padilla with some knees to the thighs late in the round. Padilla keeps the position, landing periodic knees until the end of the round.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Padilla
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Padilla
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Padilla

Round 2
Herbert probes with a front kick. A Herbert head kick partially lands as Padilla throws a body kick at the same time. Padilla steps in with a body kick. Once again, offense is coming at a premium. Padilla sticks a jab. Padilla grabs a body lock after an ill-advised spinning kick by Herbert. Padilla has underhooks against the fence and he’s content to grind away her. Herbert tries for a hip toss, and while it doesn’t work, it gets the fight to the center of the cage. Herbert pumps out his jab and Padilla claims his eyes are poked, but there’s no stop in the fight. Herbert steps in with a right. An inside leg kick lans for the Brit, but Padilla shoves his foe into the cage. Padilla with some short punches and knees in close. Herbert lands a knee as they separate, but he can’t find the range on anything else before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Padilla
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Padilla
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Padilla

Round 3
Herbert opens with a pair of inside low kicks. A right over the top gets through for Padilla. Herbert threatens with a leaping knee but Padilla sidesteps without issue. Padilla shoots after a Herbert low kick and pushes his adversary into the fence. Padilla lands a short elbow on the break. Herbert lands a 1-2 as he stalks his foe. Herbert has picked up his volume this round, which isn’t saying much. Herbert pressures and is putting some straight punches together. Padilla lands a body kick. Padilla changes levels and secures a body lock. Herbert defends the takedown against the fence, briefly threatening with a guillotine. Herbert lands a knee in the clinch as Padilla drops low for a takedown. Herbert revreses and sperarates. Herbert follows a jab with a knee. The Englishman is doing better mixing in punches and knees, but Padilla, who was busted open at some point during the round, stumbles his foe with an overhand right on the temple during an exchange. Herbert doesn’t seem any worse for wear, though, as he keeps the pressure on. They trade leg kicks as time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Herbert (29-28 Padilla)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Herbert (29-28 Padilla)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Herbert (29-28 Padilla)

The Official Result
Chris Padilla def. Jai Herbert via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28) R3 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Chris Padilla

Angelo picks Chris Padilla, calling Jai Herbert overrated and noting his mediocre takedown defense. He believes Padilla's pressure, durability, and explosiveness will be key. He hopes Padilla wrestles more in this fight. He mentions the line is moving and he's picking Padilla while he's still a slight underdog.

"I keep picking Chris Pilla here... I'm picking him now while he's a slight Underdog"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Chris Padilla

Brady sees Padilla as a live dog who has improved a lot. He notes Herbert is hesitant and low-volume now, and Padilla has finishing upside with grappling and durability. Brady predicts a close decision win for Padilla, possibly with big moments and takedowns.

Padilla by decision
"give me taba to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by a very close decision"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Mar 21, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chris Padilla

Connor picks Padilla despite being unconvinced of his quality. He notes Padilla is formlessly aggressive and has survived in the UFC, but his wins are against poor competition. Connor thinks Padilla might be able to take Herbert down or mix it up, and Herbert is very destroyable. He calls it a coin flip.

"I'm gonna take padilla here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

The host disagrees with the betting public moving towards Padilla. He believes Herbert is a cleaner striker with improved striking defense and durability, allowing him to operate at distance and win on the scorecards.

"I think Herbert is a cleaner striker and I think we've been seeing an improvement in his striking defense and durability as of late."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Mar 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Chris Padilla

The Guru leans towards Chris Padilla as a slight underdog, citing his finishing streak and ability to get to dominant positions. He notes that Jai Herbert often has close decisions and may be nearing the end of his career at 36. He believes Padilla's dynamism and finishing potential will be the difference, and that Herbert's tendency to let fights get away will cost him.

"I'm going to take a slight Underdog of Chris Padilla to be honest with you"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Mar 21, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jai Herbert

Zane picks Herbert but is not sold on Padilla either. He notes Herbert is dangerous early with his height and power, but has a fatal weakness in defensive wrestling and is fragile in the pocket. Zane thinks Herbert will do serious damage early, but Padilla might get a takedown or mix it up. He calls it a coin flip.

"I'm gonna take herbert here, but it is if ever a man was bound to just have somebody fall on him and fall over and then not be able to get back to his feet it's giant herbert."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jai Herbert 1 82 of 178 46% 89 of 185 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:33
Rolando Bedoya 0 67 of 199 33% 71 of 206 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jai Herbert 1 16 of 34 47% 17 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Rolando Bedoya 0 21 of 58 36% 22 of 60 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
2 Jai Herbert 0 29 of 60 48% 29 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rolando Bedoya 0 30 of 78 38% 30 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Jai Herbert 0 37 of 84 44% 43 of 90 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:27
Rolando Bedoya 0 16 of 63 25% 19 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jai Herbert 82 of 178 46% 47 of 132 27 of 36 8 of 10 79 of 173 3 of 4 0 of 1
Rolando Bedoya 67 of 199 33% 29 of 134 10 of 23 28 of 42 64 of 192 3 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jai Herbert 16 of 34 47% 7 of 24 8 of 9 1 of 1 14 of 31 2 of 2 0 of 1
Rolando Bedoya 21 of 58 36% 4 of 27 3 of 10 14 of 21 21 of 55 0 of 3 0 of 0
2 Jai Herbert 29 of 60 48% 16 of 38 11 of 18 2 of 4 28 of 58 1 of 2 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 30 of 78 38% 12 of 51 7 of 11 11 of 16 27 of 74 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Jai Herbert 37 of 84 44% 24 of 70 8 of 9 5 of 5 37 of 84 0 of 0 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 16 of 63 25% 13 of 56 0 of 2 3 of 5 16 of 63 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Rolando Bedoya vs. Jai Herbert
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Herbert (-155), Bedoya (+130)

Round 1
Like the last pairing, these two combatants have their backs against the wall here. Winner of just two of his seven UFC outings, Herbert (12-5-1, 2-4-1 UFC) needs to get his hand raised today, but the same can be said for Chute Boxe’s Bedoya (14-3, 0-2 UFC), who wants the third time to be a charm. Something’s gotta give between these lightweights, and referee Lukasz Bosacki will be the first to know. There is a quick glove touch between the two, and Bedoya takes to the center of the cage pushing out a front kick and a body kick to find his range. Bedoya lands with a low kick as he bounces from stance to stance, keeping Herbert guessing early. Herbert paws out a jab that is at least two feet away, and Bedoya pitches a few kicks his way. Herbert gets one leg kick back, and he counters a leg kick with a jab to the body as the kick bounces into his cup. Herbert adjusts his athletic supporter and does not need a pause, and Bedoya takes a moment before drilling him in the face with an overhand right. Bedoya remains busy with low kicks, and Herbert looks for overhand right counters. One lands perfectly, briefly short-circuiting “The Machine,” who drops to a knee. Bedoya is able to get his bearings before Herbert can finish the job, and he works his way upright but is still not totally clear. Herbert pins a one-two on the jaw, forcing the Peruvian to tie him up against the fencing. Herbert gets off a pair of knees and escapes from the clinch, and he puts out a front kick that slaps off the chest of his opponent. Herbert slips from side to side, a cut suddenly developed under his right eye, and Bedoya walks him down throwing hands. Herbert replies with a big knee that is caught, and Bedoya slugs him backwards. Bedoya leaps in with a right hand that misses, and a leg kick does connect. Bedoya goes for another low kick that is not accurate, and he has a winging right hand ricochet off the shoulder. Herbert just misses on a counter right, and he takes two low kicks from the Chute Boxe Diego Lima fighter. Bedoya jams more kicks on the front leg, and Herbert replies with a combination ending with a stiff body kick. Bedoya does not slow kicking the front leg of the Brit, with it glowing red, but he eats another power right hand before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 2
Any bleeding beneath Herbert’s right eye is ceased between rounds, but some serious swelling has developed. Bedoya is quick to target that damage, going after straight left hands and following them with leg kicks. Bedoya gets off a right hook and a left on the eye socket, and he parries a body kick and skirts away. Bedoya loads up on power punches as Herbert tries to keep him at bay with a push kick, resulting in some damage on the Brit’s nose. Bedoya gives chase with a few lunging kicks, and he snaps the head back with a right hand when Bedoya gets careless. Bedoya gets excited and wants to brawl, and Herbert clips him two more times when Bedoya comes at him. Herbert gets caught with a right hand as Bedoya corners him, but he manages to pay him back. As Bedoya rushes at him, they tie up, and he knees Herbert square in the groin. Bosacki calls time and warns Bedoya for the foul, and gives Herbert 30 seconds to recover before Herbert is good to go. Herbert is active at the restart with jabs and front kicks, and Bedoya responds with similar strikes and some to the front leg. Herbert uses a number of jabs to catch Bedoya coming at him with his hands down, and he kicks the ribs and just misses with a high kick. Bedoya strides towards him, belts him with an elbow and escapes. Bedoya kicks at the same time as his opponent, but Herbert doubles up on the body kick. Herbert quadruples his jab and dances away from a looping punch, although he does absorb a low kick. Herbert gets a sneaky left hook in when Bedoya is bearing down on him, and Bedoya tanks it and swings back with reckless abandon. Bedoya assaults the front leg and kicks the body, and they trade heavy punches. Herbert backs him off with a thudding knee, and he ducks the swarming punches when Bedoya approaches him again. Herbert zings a right hand that catches Bedoya flush, and a second stuns Bedoya for a moment. Herbert drills the front leg and rips a left to the ribs, and Bedoya replies with a heavy low kick. They clash together, and the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Bedoya
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 3
The fighters pick up right where they left off, trading strikes from kickboxing range. Bedoya is a bit more reckless than before, swinging just a little harder and slower. Herbert is accurate and quick, beating Bedoya to the punch and mixing things up to throw Bedoya to the mat. The Peruvian springs back up without issue and looks for a trip and throw, only for Herbert to thwart it in part due to a fence grab. Herbert counters with a throw, and Bedoya pulls himself back to his feet by grabbing the fence too—offsetting fouls, but a not particularly thrilled Bosacki. They resume striking, with Herbert jabbing his way into twos, and Bedoya gets his chin checked a few times but is able to take them cleanly. Herbert’s boxing remains crisp, and he mixes in body kicks and slides away from counters. Bedoya reaches him with a low kick, and Herbert doubles up on it and backs off with a right hand. Herbert stumbles, but that might be more due to an awkward step on the edge of the cage, and he recovers. Bedoya closes in on him and tries to take advantage of the moment, but Herbert gets out of danger. Bedoya slips several punches but walks into jabs, and Herbert scoots away from him and again takes a funny step. Bedoya clips Herbert with a right hand, and he lands it again after absorbing a jab. Herbert steps in with a knee, and he chops at the front leg. Bedoya walks him down consistently, keeping his guard up to block a pair of punches. Bedoya connects with a low kick, eats a knee and comes back with a right hand. Bedoya attempts to check a kick and eats a few punches for his effort. Herbert gets in a few punches, and Bedoya goes wide with responsive strikes. Bedoya loads up on a right hand that is easily dodged, and he gets blasted with a right hand but wears it shockingly well. Bedoya misses with a lumbering hook and runs into the wall, and when he recovers, he catches Herbert with a left. Bedoya attempts a spinning back fist, and Herbert boxes him up to the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert (30-27 Herbert)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Herbert (29-28 Herbert)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Herbert (30-27 Herbert)

The Official Result
Jai Herbert def. Rolando Bedoya via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Angelo picks Bedoya because of his high output and pressure, noting Herbert is a low-volume technical striker who often stares at opponents. He expects Bedoya to land over 100 significant strikes and win a decision. He placed a half-unit bet on Bedoya at +145, expecting the line to tighten.

Bet half a unit at +145
"Rolando's the pick and I threw a half a unit on him at plus 145"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Big Brady is taking another underdog here, citing Jai Herbert's low volume and poor durability. He notes Herbert has become tentative and lacks the chin for brawls, while Bedoya is cutting to lightweight for the first time and has volume and durability advantages. He predicts Bedoya wins by decision.

"I'm going with Boya here ji Herbert is a guy that I've never really been high on"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Cody picks Rolando Bedoya, citing his high volume and pressure. He notes that Bedoya lands over 100 significant strikes per fight, while Herbert has low output and tends to fade under pressure. Cody thinks Bedoya's durability and pace will overwhelm Herbert, who has been knocked out in three of four losses. He also mentions that Bedoya arguably beat Chas Skelly and should have won.

"Rolando bedya is my pick too."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Daniel picks Bedoya, viewing him as a high-volume brawler who can close the distance and overwhelm Herbert. He criticizes Herbert's low output and compares him to a poor man's Leon Edwards. He believes Bedoya's pace and pressure will be too much, especially now that he's at his natural weight class.

"I'm gonna go shoot the Box shoot the Box"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Herbert is the technically better fighter. If his durability holds up, he should out-volume and outpace Bedoya to win on the scorecards.

"ji Herbert if his durability can hold up for him I expect him to go out there out volume and outpace bedya and win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Paul picks Rolando Bedoya, noting that Herbert has low volume and has been knocked out multiple times. He thinks Bedoya's volume and pressure will be too much for Herbert. Paul also mentions that Herbert was not booked for the UK card, which suggests the UFC doesn't value him highly. He believes Bedoya can win a decision or even stop Herbert.

"I'm going to be taking another Underdog here in Rolando badya."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

The MMA Guru picks Jai Herbert over Rolando Bedoya, noting Bedoya's lack of power and that he is moving down in weight. He believes Herbert's record is forged within the UFC and that Herbert will hurt Bedoya, possibly getting a TKO. He criticizes Bedoya's body and power, suggesting Herbert could land a front kick or knee to the body.

TKO
"I'm going to go J Herber over Rolando bedya... I just don't think Rolando badya has the power to get respect from ji Herber"
LOSS vs Farès Ziam
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Jul 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Farès Ziam 0 49 of 134 36% 58 of 150 0 of 6 0% 0 0 4:12
Jai Herbert 0 61 of 113 53% 96 of 153 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Farès Ziam 0 14 of 42 33% 15 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:08
Jai Herbert 0 20 of 32 62% 34 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:34
2 Farès Ziam 0 15 of 44 34% 22 of 53 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:04
Jai Herbert 0 20 of 38 52% 34 of 54 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:16
3 Farès Ziam 0 20 of 48 41% 21 of 51 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:00
Jai Herbert 0 21 of 43 48% 28 of 52 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:40
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Farès Ziam 49 of 134 36% 7 of 79 23 of 31 19 of 24 38 of 119 11 of 15 0 of 0
Jai Herbert 61 of 113 53% 29 of 74 19 of 23 13 of 16 45 of 93 16 of 20 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Farès Ziam 14 of 42 33% 1 of 24 6 of 9 7 of 9 12 of 38 2 of 4 0 of 0
Jai Herbert 20 of 32 62% 8 of 17 8 of 9 4 of 6 13 of 24 7 of 8 0 of 0
2 Farès Ziam 15 of 44 34% 2 of 28 11 of 14 2 of 2 9 of 36 6 of 8 0 of 0
Jai Herbert 20 of 38 52% 12 of 28 6 of 8 2 of 2 14 of 30 6 of 8 0 of 0
3 Farès Ziam 20 of 48 41% 4 of 27 6 of 8 10 of 13 17 of 45 3 of 3 0 of 0
Jai Herbert 21 of 43 48% 9 of 29 5 of 6 7 of 8 18 of 39 3 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jai Herbert vs. Fares Ziam
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ziam (-155), Herbert (+135)

Round 1
Moving right along on this main card, two lightweights hovering around the .500 threshold in the UFC will come to blows. Looking to lift his record to that even mark, Herbert (12-4-1, 2-3-1 UFC) almost certainly wishes to turn this fight into a brawl. Kill Cliff FC rep Ziam (13-4, 3-2 UFC) should mind his P’s and Q’s in this one, as should referee Jason Herzog. Before the melee commences, the fighters touch gloves. Ziam claims the center of the cage, and he measures jabs only to get jabbed in response. Ziam plants a heavy leg kick down low early, and he sneaks out a body kick while getting countered. Herbert swipes out with a left hook, and he splits the guard with a jab. Ziam reaches his man with a body kick, and he skirts away when Herbert kicks him in the calf. Herbert chambers and fires another leg kick, and Ziam reacts poorly from it. Ziam steels himself and lunges with straight punches, and his straight left finds the target a few times. Herbert comes up short by a matter of inches with two looping hooks, but his leg kicks do hit the mark much to the dismay of the Frenchman. As they both try to swing hard at one another, their chests clap together and this results in a clinch. The corner of Herbert continues to shout “head position” like Tito Ortiz shouting for his fighter on “The Ultimate Fighter” to get up. As they jockey for position against the wall, they break off and end up clinched on the other side of the cage wall. Both men think about a potential level change, and this results in a positional stalemate of failed attempts. Herbert gets cracked with a short elbow as he tries to separate, and he walks Ziam down and puts a jab in his face. The French fighter responds in kind, and they proceed to let go with single strikes one after the other. Herbert lands a body kick, and Ziam clips him with a left hook. A front kick from Ziam punctuates the close round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 2
There is a brief fist bump to start off the round, and the two lightweights ply their trade with jabs. Herbert fires off a left hook in a series of punches, driving Ziam back to the fence. Herbert ups his output, laying into Ziam with strikes to the head and body. Herbert mixes things up with a leg kick, and he dodges a counter and plants his fist on Ziam’s forehead. The momentum from Herbert results in a clinch, but they break out of it and trade fists. Ziam lands the heavier of a strike with a right hand, but “The Black Country Banger” relishes this and wings a right hook back. Herbert again pushes into a clinch, and after a lull, Herbert pushes off and elbows Ziam in the face. Ziam pokes out several jabs, and he blocks a head kick as Herbert comes at him. Again, Herbert ties Ziam up, considering a takedown but unable to get it. Herbert knees the body several times, and Ziam decides to do the same. Ziam gains a full head of steam, and he is able to turn the tables on Herbert by taking him down with ease. Herbert hits a sweep, briefly puts Ziam on his back, and the two scramble back to their feet. Herbert returns to pressing his full weight on his opponent, and Ziam manages to eventually get out of the grip. Ziam knocks the advancing Herbert back with two punches, only to get popped by counters from the Brit. They trade punches, and Herbert jabs his way in and follows it with a head kick. When Herbert charges him, Ziam sneaks up an uppercut, and the grueling round ends in the clinch.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 3
Coming into the last round, scores could be all over the map. They greet in the center of the cage spamming kicks, trading them one after the other fearlessly. Ziam throws the first punch, and Herbert leans back and kicks at him. Ziam sticks out a jab and takes one back on the chin, and he swipes out with a short hook. Ziam comes up shy of the mark with two big punches, and Herbert sits back and smacks him with a kick on either side of his calf. “Smile Killer” jabs and whips a left hook over the top, and the crowd is growing restless by the relative sparring match after a fairly lackluster event thus far. The fighters proceed to take turns striking at one another, and Ziam connects with a big leg kick that makes Herbert hobble back and shake his leg out. Ziam ends another combination with a thudding kick, and Herbert rushes towards him and ties him up before looking for a body lock takedown. The Frenchman keeps his balance and leans himself against the chain-link fencing, and he manages to turn himself around and stop Herbert from taking his back. Ziam counters with an inside trip, and they both topple to the ground for a second before jumping back up, locked together in a mean-spirited embrace. Ziam secures another trip, and once more Herbert falls over and gets back up. The two split up with 90 seconds to go in the fight, and neither man engages with anything of note. After the lull in activity, they trade leg kicks and jabs, and Ziam wipes his eye as if he was reacting from an eye poke. Herbert does not let him have a moment to take care of it, as he turns his hips into a heavy leg kick. Ziam drops to a knee in a takedown shot, and Herbert easily stands him up and bullies him towards the fence. Ziam spins him around, and he hangs on until this disappointing affair comes to a close after 15 slogging minutes pass. It’s anyone’s guess who will get the nod after this one.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ziam (29-28 Herbert)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ziam (29-28 Ziam)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ziam (29-28 Herbert)

The Official Result
Fares Ziam def. Jai Herbert via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Angelo thinks Jai Herbert will win by out-pointing in a boring striking match, citing Herbert's power and danger. However, he is concerned about Herbert's poor takedown defense and will not bet on him because of that vulnerability.

"I think Jai Herbert's gonna get it done uh I think he'll out point in a boring striking match"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

Big Brady picks Farès Ziam by decision, but says it's his least favorite fight on the card. He notes Ziam is a point fighter with no power but good defense, while Herbert has power but has become tentative after being knocked out multiple times. He thinks Ziam's youth and improvements give him the edge, but expects a boring fight.

by decision
"give me Zion to win like a decision but it's not a fight I'm really looking forward to"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Cody sees the fighters as similar but notes Ziam showed improved wrestling against Figlak. However, he thinks Herbert's reach advantage and home crowd could sway a close decision. He likes Herbert at +140 as a dog or pass.

"I think a plus 140 can do a lot worse uh in and Underdog than Jai Herbert"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

Daniel picks Farès Ziam, citing his durability advantage over Jai Herbert, who has been dropped multiple times. He notes both are long, low-output strikers but Ziam has better defense and more impact. He has been waiting for a highlight-reel KO from Ziam and thinks this could be the fight. He also mentions Ziam's improved grappling and training in jiu-jitsu. He acknowledges Herbert's power but believes Ziam's durability and defense will be the difference.

Daniel says he has been waiting for a highlight-reel KO from Ziam and thinks this weekend might be the time. He mentions the line: Ziam -155, Herbert +135.
"I've been waiting for this highlight reel KO from ferez yam and I think this weekend might be the time he finally gets it"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

The host picks Farès Ziam, citing his youth, improvements, and ability to mix striking with takedowns. He believes Herbert is slowing down and that Ziam will put the hurting on him. He predicts a decision win for Ziam.

"give me Mr ziam to win this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

Paul picks Ziam, citing his youth (26 vs 34), improvement, and cardio advantage. He thinks Ziam's volume and durability will overcome Herbert's power. He notes Ziam's similar reach negates Herbert's length advantage.

"I think the French kid's gonna put a beating on him"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

The MMA Guru picks Jai Herbert as an underdog, citing his talent and training at Team Renegades with Leon Edwards. He criticizes Farès Ziam for not impressing and notes Herbert's head kick knockdown of Ilia Topuria. The Guru believes Herbert's finishing potential and momentum will lead to a TKO win on the feet, despite his chinny reputation.

TKO
"I'm going with another Underdog I'm going with dry Herbert"
LOSS vs Ľudovít Klein
Draw (majority) (29–27, 28–28, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jai Herbert 0 43 of 90 47% 96 of 168 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:54
Ľudovít Klein 0 47 of 97 48% 78 of 132 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jai Herbert 0 11 of 30 36% 32 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Ľudovít Klein 0 11 of 24 45% 23 of 38 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:53
2 Jai Herbert 0 15 of 28 53% 20 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
Ľudovít Klein 0 11 of 29 37% 17 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:49
3 Jai Herbert 0 17 of 32 53% 44 of 77 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:26
Ľudovít Klein 0 25 of 44 56% 38 of 59 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jai Herbert 43 of 90 47% 15 of 59 17 of 19 11 of 12 24 of 68 12 of 13 7 of 9
Ľudovít Klein 47 of 97 48% 30 of 75 11 of 15 6 of 7 30 of 76 15 of 19 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jai Herbert 11 of 30 36% 5 of 23 5 of 6 1 of 1 3 of 20 5 of 5 3 of 5
Ľudovít Klein 11 of 24 45% 7 of 19 3 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 16 5 of 6 2 of 2
2 Jai Herbert 15 of 28 53% 2 of 14 7 of 7 6 of 7 12 of 25 3 of 3 0 of 0
Ľudovít Klein 11 of 29 37% 7 of 23 1 of 2 3 of 4 7 of 24 4 of 5 0 of 0
3 Jai Herbert 17 of 32 53% 8 of 22 5 of 6 4 of 4 9 of 23 4 of 5 4 of 4
Ľudovít Klein 25 of 44 56% 16 of 33 7 of 9 2 of 2 19 of 36 6 of 8 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jai Herbert vs. Ludovit Klein
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Klein (-190), Herbert (+160)

Round 1
The two men set to hit the cage next combine for just five decision wins across their 31 victories. Referee Rich Mitchell is going to need to be ready to jump in at a moment’s notice once “The Black Country Banger” Herbert (12-4, 2-3 UFC) and “Mr. Highlight” Klein (19-4, 3-2 UFC) start throwing down. The all-action lightweights elect to touch gloves before swinging for the bleachers, and Herbert immediately slings a head kick. Klein blocks it and fires right back, causing him to tumble to the mat. The Slovakian fighter gets back up without issue, and he faces long jabs coming from Herbert when he resets. Herbert quickly reaches him with a head kick, only for the kick to bounce off the guard. Herbert lets loose a kick to the body, and he leaves it out too long to allow Klein to grab it. Klein trips “The Black Country Banger” down to the canvas, and he lands in the guard and looks to get some ground offense going. The Brit stays active, using a butterfly sweep to keep Klein honest until he rolls for a quick armbar. Klein slides out of it and jumps back into the guard, but he finds himself struggling to get low as Herbert’s butterfly looks keep him elevated. Herbert chew up his man with punches from below, and he stings Klein with an upkick and rips open a huge cut on Klein’s left eyebrow. Klein backs off after getting rocked, and he stands back up to stop the unexpected assault. Herbert aims a head kick to that busted eye, and Klein advances to clinch up and trade knees. Herbert wings an elbow on the inside, and a knee from the Brit skims off the cup but is not called. Herbert hurts Klein again with a knee up the middle, and he lets go of the tie-up to admire his work. Herbert waits, and slips a head kick to hope to disrupt the timing, but the guard is there is time. Klein tries to reply in kind, but he misses the target by a wide margin. Klein threads the needle with his fists, breaking through Herbert’s guard, but they are few and far between. The round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Shane Clifford scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 2
A quick touch of gloves is followed by Klein trying to throw a strike, but Herbert is well out of harm’s way. Klein misses with a swinging head kick, and Herbert does the same as they still look for their range. A body kick from Herbert is up too close, so Klein can counter him over the top with a short left. Herbert moves forward to clinch up, where he pats Klein’s thighs with light knees until Klein turns him about. Klein escapes, and he keeps a close range with Herbert to not allow the Brit to get off his rangy kicks. A body kick from Herbert is countered with a left, and Klein pushes up tightly again to trade knees. Klein aims an elbow during the break, and he slides it off the top of the forehead. The two trade leg kicks, and Herbert mixes up with a head kick before skirting away when Klein bears down on him. Klein blocks two successive head kicks and tries to pay him back with one, but Herbert is far busier with low kicks and distance strikes. A right hand from the Brit opens up an additional cut around Klein’s right eye, and Klein pays it no mind as he continues to advance cautiously. Klein crashes the pocket and manages to get off an elbow, leading Herbert to push off and circle away. Klein continues to push forward, and he wobbles Herbert momentarily with a standing elbow. Herbert separates and kicks the side a few times before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Shane Clifford scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 3
Klein walks out of his corner a man on a mission, launching an immediate head kick and chasing his man around the cage. Herbert circles to aim a high kick back at him, and Klein keeps his guard up safely. Klein punches his way into a clinch, and he rips the body with a knee. “The Black Country Banger” spins him around and drills a knee square in the cup, and Klein lets out a yelp and crouches down as Mitchell steps in to pause the fight. After 40 seconds of recovery time, the fight is reset in the middle of the cage, and Klein is fired up. Klein charges out, blasting the body with a knee that lifts Herbert off the ground. They tie up, and Herbert gets one back on the dome as they are putting big power into their strikes. Klein blitzes in, leading to a clinch, and knees are spammed. Herbert belts Klein in the groin again, and Klein doubles over in pain as Mitchell stops the action. Due to the second foul in rapid succession, Mitchell deducts a point from Herbert, and they restart after a minute. Herbert swings a head kick at his man when they resume, and when that misses, he advances to hit a picturesque sweep to dump Klein to the mat. Klein sits up close on the ground to protect his mug from strikes, and Herbert asks Mitchell if he can throw elbows from his particular position without it being another foul. Herbert lands a few before Klein rolls to his back, and Herbert welcomes this so that he can continue mounting offense and controlling his opponent. Klein bursts back to his feet, and he turns the tables and tackles Klein to the canvas. Herbert hits his back and utilizes his butterfly hooks to keep Klein from settling on top, but he eats a few elbows. Herbert stands back up and attempts a hip toss, but they both land on their knees and climb back up. Herbert looks to try to take the back standing, and he lowers Klein back to his knees and works him over with left hands. Herbert fights off one last takedown, and the horn sounds to end this close fight.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 9-9 (29-27 Herbert)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 9-9 (29-27 Herbert)
Shane Clifford scores the round: 9-9 (29-27 Herbert)

The Official Result
Jai Herbert vs. Ludovit Klein is Ruled a Majority Draw (29-27, 28-28, 28-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Angelo believes Klein is the more technical striker and can lean on grappling if needed. He notes Klein has a nice kick behind his jab and is never out of position. He thinks Jai Herbert has a size and power advantage but finds ways to lose. He likes Klein to win but thinks -190 is a bit wide given Klein's vulnerability.

significant strikes prop on Klein (over/under not specified)
"I like Ludovic Klein to get the win here minus 190 seems a bit wide because this is two Strikers and ludovic's not Invincible."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Big Brady picks Klein, citing his power in hands and head kicks, and Herbert's poor striking defense (42%) and questionable chin. He notes Klein has more ways to win, including takedowns if needed, as Herbert's takedown defense is 55%. He predicts a second-round knockout, but acknowledges Herbert's size and reach advantage.

"I'm gonna take Klein to win this fight by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Cody picks Klein by knockout, citing his power and athleticism. He notes Klein is a finisher on the regional scene and has improved his wrestling and cardio. He thinks Herbert's durability is suspect and Klein will land a straight shot up the middle. He says Klein likes fighting taller opponents and can find gaps in Herbert's guard.

Ľudovít Klein by knockout
"I'm thinking Klein by knockout to be honest with you... I think this has got the recipe for a highlight reel KO for Ludovic Klein"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Connor picks Klein, noting that Herbert is fragile and lacks assertiveness in the clinch. He points out that Klein is durable, hits hard, and is comfortable at the same range Herbert wants to fight. Connor believes Klein's power and durability will overwhelm Herbert, who tends to fall apart when pressured.

"I'm gonna pick Klein just for being a harder hitting, tough, more durable fighter."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Jacob thinks Klein is the play but is not putting money on it because he sees better value elsewhere. He notes Jai Herbert is a very good striker when confident, but his confidence has been shaken since the Ilia fight. He thinks Klein has wrestling as an ace in the hole and should withstand Herbert's striking, but Herbert could land a sniper shot.

"ludovic's the play but there's better places to put your money."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Herbert is a good distance striker with height and reach advantages, but has durability issues and has been knocked out before. Klein has a two-fight winning streak but his grappling success came against opponents who gave up positions. If Herbert stays safe at distance and avoids getting flatlined, he should outpoint Klein over 15 minutes. The comparison is made to Jonathan Martinez's recent upset win.

"if he can stay safe calm in bad positions he can put together a very good body of work to take home a decision Victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Paul picks Klein, noting he can utilize wrestling and top control to win a decision. He says Klein's takedowns and top game are effective, and Herbert's takedown defense is a question. He thinks Klein by decision is a likely outcome, but also acknowledges Klein's power. He says the prop prices for Klein by KO and by decision are both plus 225.

"I'm thinking Klein by decision somewhat of a snooze Fest... takedowns holds top control and wins the fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

The MMA Guru picks Ľudovít Klein over Jai Herbert, praising Klein's toughness and explosiveness on the feet. He notes Herbert is underrated but has a suspect chin and ground game, while Klein has better durability and can win in multiple areas including striking and grappling. He believes Herbert cannot pressure Klein over the distance like others have, and Klein's regional submission wins give him an edge.

"I'm gonna go with Ludovic Klein over Jai Herbert"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Zane also picks Klein, emphasizing that Herbert's style is not tuned to beat Klein. He notes that Klein is a specialist at middle-distance striking and has never been knocked out. Zane believes Herbert's lack of control and fragility will be exploited, and Klein's power will be the difference.

"I'm picking Klein in that."
WIN vs Kyle Nelson
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · Jul 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jai Herbert 0 36 of 64 56% 84 of 116 0 of 1 0% 0 0 5:57
Kyle Nelson 0 41 of 62 66% 55 of 77 0 of 4 0% 0 0 3:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jai Herbert 0 7 of 19 36% 17 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:18
Kyle Nelson 0 19 of 27 70% 21 of 30 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:18
2 Jai Herbert 0 24 of 36 66% 35 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:11
Kyle Nelson 0 17 of 29 58% 21 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:59
3 Jai Herbert 0 5 of 9 55% 32 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:28
Kyle Nelson 0 5 of 6 83% 13 of 14 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:49
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jai Herbert 36 of 64 56% 16 of 43 17 of 18 3 of 3 22 of 50 13 of 13 1 of 1
Kyle Nelson 41 of 62 66% 15 of 34 11 of 13 15 of 15 28 of 47 13 of 15 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jai Herbert 7 of 19 36% 1 of 13 6 of 6 0 of 0 3 of 15 4 of 4 0 of 0
Kyle Nelson 19 of 27 70% 8 of 14 4 of 6 7 of 7 12 of 20 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Jai Herbert 24 of 36 66% 11 of 22 11 of 12 2 of 2 15 of 27 9 of 9 0 of 0
Kyle Nelson 17 of 29 58% 5 of 17 6 of 6 6 of 6 11 of 21 6 of 8 0 of 0
3 Jai Herbert 5 of 9 55% 4 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
Kyle Nelson 5 of 6 83% 2 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 2 5 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jai Herbert vs. Kyle Nelson
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Herbert (-265), Nelson (+225)

Round 1
Both Herbert and Nelson have lost three of their last four promotional appearances, so jobs could be at stake in this lightweight affair, which will be governed by veteran official Herb Dean. They touch gloves and we’re underway, with Nelson moving up from featherweight. Nelson lands a hard body kick to start out. Herbert extends a long jab. Nelson with a body kick followed by a calf kick. Nelson lands another low kick. Nelson grabs a leg as Herbert lands a knee to the midsection. The Canadian is in on a takedown and he shoves Herbert into the fence. Herbert is defending well so far, but Nelson is persistent in his approach. Nelson lands a knee before Herbert reverses position. Nelson creates space and lands a big elbow with his back to the fence. They continue to battle in the clinch, with Herbert currently controlling position. Another elbow for Nelson, but not as powerful as the first. Nelson with a short elbow before breaking free. Nelson throws a high kick but it’s blocked. A calf kick from the Canadian finds its mark, though. Nelson ends the period with another low kick. 10-9 Nelson.

Round 2
Herbert opens up with a kick to the body as he circles on the outside of the cage. Nelson stalks his man and lands a body kick. Herbert answers with a jab. Nelson dodges a pair of high kicks and then attacks with the calf kick again. The action picks up as both men trade low kicks and Herbert opens up a little bit more. Herbert jab the body and then lands a left hook to the body. They clinch and Nelson drives a knee into the midsection before shoving his foe into the cage. Herbert circles off the fence, but Nelson reverses and goes high with a knee. Nelson defends a trip attempt by Herbert as the clinch battle wages on. Herbert connects with an elbow in close quarters, and he defends a hip toss and continues to control position. Herbert with a nice right hand on the break. Nelson appears to be slowing down somewhat. Herbert pressures and absorbs a low kick. Herbert tags Nelson with a right before clinching with Nelson. After a spirited exchange in close quarters, Herbert sprawls nicely on a Nelson shot, and the lightweights end the round in the clinch. 10-9 Herbert.

Round 3
They trade leg kicks early, but Herbert appeared to be more affected by the blow. Nelson with a body kick and Herbert answers with a combination. Herbert defends a takedown and powers his way into top position, where he sets up in Nelson’s half guard and drops a shoulder strike. Nelson holds Herbert close to neutralize his offense from above. Herbert seems content to remain in half guard rather than looking to advance to mount. A few short right hands land for the Englishman. Nelson recovers full guard. Nelson is able to work his way to a knee as Herbert attempts to circle his way to the Canadian’s back. Nelson is now up with a minute left. He turns off the fence and shoves Herbert into the cage. Nelson works for a takedown but Herbert defends all the way until the horn. A late shot from Nelson at the horn draws a displeased reaction from “The Black Country Banger.” 10-9 Herbert (29-28 Herbert).

The Official Result
Jai Herbert def. Kyle Nelson via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) R3 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 17, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Angelo picks Jai Herbert but expresses concern about Kyle Nelson's two-year layoff, noting it's hard to know what version of Nelson will show up. He highlights Herbert's technical striking and movement, and that he looked sharp before being knocked out by Ilia Topuria. He advises leaving Herbert out of parlays due to the uncertainty.

leave out of parlays
"i gotta go with jai here because even in that loss to ilia he looked sharp before the knockout"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Big Brady picks Jai Herbert to win by first-round knockout. He loves Herbert's striking and power but notes his poor striking defense and chin. He thinks Kyle Nelson has power but a bad gas tank, and if the fight goes past the first round, Herbert takes over. He expects a knockout in the first round.

Herbert by KO in round 1
"i'll take jai herbert to knock out kyle nelson to do it in the very first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Cody picks Jai Herbert, citing his length, reach advantage, and excellent jab. He notes Nelson has been inactive for two years, moving up in weight, and has poor cardio and takedown defense. Cody thinks Herbert will dictate the outside and jab Nelson's face off. He predicts a first or second round knockout for Herbert.

"j herbert catches them that seems all pretty uh pretty well balanced"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Daniel Levi picks Jai Herbert, noting that this is a massive step down in competition for Herbert, who has been fighting tough opponents. He believes Herbert has better technique, length, and shot selection. Levi points out that Kyle Nelson is essentially knockout or bust, having only one KO since 2018, and questions Nelson's toughness relative to other UFC fighters.

"i think herbert's got him covered across the board so i think kyle is basically knockout or bust"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Herbert is technically better, has a six-inch reach advantage, and should touch Nelson up. However, Herbert has a glass chin and Nelson has power. I think Herbert finishes him in the second or third round. The fight doesn't go to decision is a good parlay piece.

fight doesn't go to decision (parlay piece); Jai Herbert second or third round finish
"I'm gonna go dry Herbert try Herbert probably second or third round finish but I don't mind that fight doesn't go to decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Kyle Nelson

Paul picks Kyle Nelson at +235, calling it a dogger pass. He notes Nelson throws absolute hammers and Herbert's chin is questionable. Paul thinks the fight is high variance and Herbert has been rocked many times. He likes Nelson inside the distance at +350 or by KO at +600.

Nelson inside the distance +350, Nelson by KO +600
"dogger pass for me i'll take kyle nelson"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

The MMA Guru confidently picks Jai Herbert to win by first-round TKO. He believes Herbert is a much better fighter than Kyle Nelson, who has been out since September 2020. Herbert has been active and will start fast. Nelson has power in the first round but fades, and Herbert can weather the storm and finish him.

first round TKO
"joy herbert's got this one in the bag i do believe um i feel like he's gonna get it done yeah nelson's been out for too long herbert's been active i think he's gonna start fast and put away nelson …"
LOSS vs Ilia Topuria
KO (punches) R2 1:07 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · Mar 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ilia Topuria 1 22 of 63 34% 50 of 94 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Jai Herbert 1 20 of 41 48% 31 of 55 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ilia Topuria 1 19 of 47 40% 47 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Jai Herbert 0 12 of 27 44% 23 of 41 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:38
2 Ilia Topuria 0 3 of 16 18% 3 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jai Herbert 1 8 of 14 57% 8 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ilia Topuria 22 of 63 34% 20 of 60 1 of 2 1 of 1 19 of 59 1 of 1 2 of 3
Jai Herbert 20 of 41 48% 17 of 37 3 of 4 0 of 0 14 of 35 2 of 2 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ilia Topuria 19 of 47 40% 18 of 45 0 of 1 1 of 1 16 of 43 1 of 1 2 of 3
Jai Herbert 12 of 27 44% 11 of 25 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 21 2 of 2 4 of 4
2 Ilia Topuria 3 of 16 18% 2 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jai Herbert 8 of 14 57% 6 of 12 2 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jai Herbert vs. Ilia Topuria

Round 1
Kicking off the main card is a classic stylistic battle when the appropriately titled “Black Country Banger” Herbert (11-3, 1-2 UFC) faces off against Spanish submission threat Topuria (11-0, 3-0 UFC) in the lightweight division. Trying to keep a lid on what is sure to be a fast-paced tilt will be referee Marc Goddard, although he does not need to worry about disrespect as the two touch gloves first. Herbert bounces up and down before snapping out a jab, and he steps in with a knee when Topuria advances towards him. Herbert keeps his opponent at bay with long, rangy strikes, getting the smaller Topuria’s attention quickly. Herbert lets his hands go and follows it with a head kick, dropping Topuria in the opening minute, and the audience bursts into cheers for their local man. “El Matador” springs back to his feet and crashes forward to go after a takedown, pushing Herbert all the way back to the cage but not getting him down. After multiple fence grabs from Herbert, Topuria is finally able to lift him up off the ground and slam him to the mat with emphasis. Topuria lands in side control, where he starts to isolate Herbert’s right arm and set up a crucifix. The scrambling Brit is able to recover his position, and he drags Topuria all the way back to his guard. Topuria madly dashes to try to pass guard, smashing Herbert in the face a few times, and he gets kicked off briefly but dives back on top. Herbert ties Topuria up, defending himself from much offense and keeping Topuria in his guard, but Topuria slowly works his way to open up on punches. Herbert scrambles, and he forces his way back to his feet and blasts Topuria with a back-elbow. Topuria is wobbled, and Herbert drills him with a long combination that knocks Topuria back. Goddard stops the fight for a second to replace Topuria’s mouthpiece, as it had been knocked out from the heavy punches from the Brit. Topuria gathers himself, as Herbert lets him off the hook and allows the Georgian to attack with winging punches. Herbert intercepts his man with a knee as Topuria comes in, and the mouthpiece goes flying again in a cinematic fashion. Topuria’s chin holds up, and the two lightweights furiously slug it out to the bell. What a round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 2
The second round begins with Topuria aggressive, stalking Herbert down and trying to take the Brit’s reach advantage away from him. Topuria wings a right hand that just misses as Herbert kicks the body, and Herbert ducks back by an inch to avoid the massive blow. Herbert aims an uppercut that comes up short, and he strafes back and forth while Topuria comes after him.
With bad intentions in his eyes, Topuria stalks Herbert down and wings a few punches at him. Herbert reaches out with a jab, and “El Matador” unleashes a right behind the ear, a thudding left to the body and an earthshattering right hand flush on the chin that sends Herbert collapsing to the ground in a crumpled heap.
As the crowd goes completely silent, Topuria walks away without bothering to deliver a follow-up blow, with Herbert out cold beneath him. Making the most of his post-fight interview moment, Topuria does not call for bonus money – his work should speak for itself – but instead sets his sights on “that blonde b---ch” Paddy Pimblett. Should Pimblett win later tonight, matchmakers can take the day off as that came together without them having to budge.

The Official Result
Ilia Topuria def. Jai Herbert R2 1:07 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Angelo picks Ilia Topuria to win by stoppage, citing his well-rounded game and ability to win on the feet or via wrestling. He notes that Jai Herbert has been taken down multiple times by opponents like Moicano and Trinaldo, and expects Topuria to do the same. He plans to bet on an Ilia Topuria wins inside the distance prop.

wins inside the distance prop bet
"i'm probably going to be looking for an iliad supporia wins inside the distance prop bet here when those lines drop"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Big Brady picks Ilia Topuria to win by first-round submission. He notes Topuria is moving up a weight class on short notice and faces a massive size disadvantage, but he believes Topuria's grappling is elite and Jai Herbert has shown horrendous takedown defense and a weak chin. Brady expects Topuria to take the fight to the mat and submit Herbert quickly, as Herbert has little ground game and poor durability.

first round submission
"give me deforia first round submission i think there are levels to this"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lock picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Cody picks Topuria as a lock, citing his superior grappling and Herbert's weak chin. He thinks Topuria can win by submission or KO, and notes that Herbert has been knocked out by lesser fighters. He calls Topuria the top ticket.

"topuria is your top ticket and i can't really argue against that in any way shape or form"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Daniel Levi picks Ilia Topuria, but with reservations. He notes that Topuria has finished all his UFC fights in the first round except against a short-notice opponent, where he gassed. Levi believes Topuria's ground game is a huge advantage, as Herbert has poor wrestling and chin issues. However, he warns against overhyping Topuria, as Herbert has a puncher's chance with his reach and power. Levi expects a finish inside the distance.

Herbert by KO/TKO +700; Topuria by submission +100
"give me toporia to win this fight but i think we need to kind of pump the brakes on this future top five talk"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Topuria should replicate what Moicano did to Herbert: get the fight to the ground and use superior jiu-jitsu for a finish. Herbert is a good striker but struggles against grapplers with heavy top pressure. 23 of 25 fights for these two haven't gone to decision, and that trend should continue. The fight doesn't go to decision at -350 is a better bet than Topuria straight. I'm picking Topuria via first-round submission.

Fight doesn't go to decision (-350); Topuria via submission round 1
"I like Topuria quite a bit here I think he goes out there runs through Jai Herbert and gets that first round finish."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lock picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Paul picks Topuria as a lock, emphasizing Herbert's defensive liabilities and Topuria's all-around game. He notes that Herbert has been knocked out by lesser punchers and that Topuria's grappling is a major threat. He agrees Topuria is the top ticket.

"he's a top ticket guy he's our play this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

The Guru picks Ilia Topuria but thinks the odds are too wide; he should be around -200. He notes Jai Herbert's weak chin and lack of physical strength, calling him a 'malnourished lightweight.' He believes Topuria's grappling and power will be too much, predicting a first-round TKO. He acknowledges an upset is possible but favors Topuria's skill set.

first round TKO, odds should be -200
"i'm going to go with ilya superior... the odds should not be what they are... i'll say first round tko"
WIN vs Khama Worthy
TKO (punches) R1 2:47 · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Oct 23, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jai Herbert 0 11 of 21 52% 11 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khama Worthy 1 24 of 46 52% 25 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jai Herbert 0 11 of 21 52% 11 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khama Worthy 1 24 of 46 52% 25 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jai Herbert 11 of 21 52% 5 of 13 1 of 1 5 of 7 11 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Khama Worthy 24 of 46 52% 21 of 40 1 of 1 2 of 5 19 of 39 2 of 2 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jai Herbert 11 of 21 52% 5 of 13 1 of 1 5 of 7 11 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Khama Worthy 24 of 46 52% 21 of 40 1 of 1 2 of 5 19 of 39 2 of 2 3 of 5
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Khama Worthy vs. Jai Herbert

Round 1
Hold on to your hats, because a lightweight banger is on deck when “The Deathstar” Worthy (16-8, 2-2 UFC) seeks to become the ultimate power in the universe at the expense of “The Black Country Banger” Herbert (10-3, 0-2 UFC). Fists and feet are sure to fly, and referee Chris Tognoni may need to keep his head on a swivel from the exchanges that follow the glove touch. Worthy is jittery as he starts off the round, with his hands shaking back and forth as he tries to counter Herbert. With both preparing to counter the other, very little happens the first 30 seconds of the match. Worthy steps in with a punch to the body, and he blocks an overhand right that comes at him. The Brit fires off a body kick, and he steps out of the way from a prodding jab. Herbert slings a high kick that is blocked in time, and he chambers a body kick that collides loudly to the midsection. Worthy walks through a punch to try to land a heavy front kick, but he settles for a slapping leg kick instead. Worthy sneaks a right hand around the guard, and thumps a low calf kick to follow. As Herbert tries to pay him back, a low kick of his own gets checked. “The Deathstar” blasts Herbert with a heavy leg kick that makes Herbert do a little spin, but he gathers himself to start slinging leather. Herbert catches Worthy as he starts to unload with a brutal punching combination and a head kick in the middle. A right hand wobbles Worthy, and the continuous strikes of Herbert appear to have found the thermal exhaust port of his opponent, detonating one by one as Worthy’s legs betray him. The onslaught continues, and a left hook puts Worthy face-down down on the mat. As Worthy rolls to his side, barely grasping on to his consciousness, “The Black Country Banger” continues to bang with ferocious punches from on high. As Tognoni notices that Worthy may be out, he intervenes to stop the fight and award Herbert with his first UFC win in three tries.

The Official Result
Jai Herbert def. Khama Worthy R1 2:47 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Oct 20, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Khama Worthy

Angelo calls this a razor-thin pick. He notes that Khama has power and a good counter-striking game, while Jai is technical but gets hit a lot (1.3 strikes landed vs 2.66 absorbed). He thinks the odds are wide due to recency bias from Khama's knockout losses. He's not confident and won't bet the round line, but he likes Khama by a hair.

won't bet the 1.5 round line; considers 'does not go the distance'; likes less on Jai, more on Khama for monkey knife fight
"i do like camera here but my god is it a razor thin pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Big Brady picks Herbert as the younger, more talented fighter with height and reach advantages. He notes both fighters have poor striking defense and chins, but believes Worthy's chin is shot after seven knockout losses. He predicts a first-round knockout by Herbert, though acknowledges Worthy's power makes him live.

first round knockout
"i've gotta pick herbert here because he is the better fighter he's younger he's going to have a height advantage"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Cody picks Jai Herbert by knockout, citing Herbert's reach advantage and Worthy's notorious inability to take a punch. He notes that Worthy has been knocked out in seven of his eight losses, often in the first minute. Cody believes Herbert will find his range and land a straight right to knock Worthy out. He expects the fight to end inside one and a half rounds.

Herbert by KO/TKO; under 1.5 rounds
"i gotta go with jay herbert i think he's a talented enough guy he looked awesome in cage warriors where he was the welterweight champion"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jai Herbert

Lock picks Herbert based on technical striking. He notes Herbert is the better boxer and should be able to outpoint Worthy. He expects Herbert to finish later in the fight as Worthy fades. He likes Herbert inside the distance.

Herbert inside the distance +100, Worthy by KO +380
"i like herbert but it's going to be difficult for me to pull the trigger here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Paul leans towards Jai Herbert, noting his reach advantage and better cardio. He expects a high-variance fight where someone gets knocked out, and he believes it will be Worthy. However, Paul acknowledges that Herbert's chin is questionable and that he could get knocked out as well. He sees this as a firefight.

Under 1.5 rounds
"i think jai herbert probably wins on volume has better cardio i think from what we have seen and has a bit of a reach advantage so i will lean towards him here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

The MMA Guru picks Jai Herbert, citing Khama Worthy's recent KO losses and questionable chin. He notes Herbert's reach advantage, first-round KO power, and better competition faced. He believes Herbert's cardio and striking will be too much for Worthy, predicting a first-round KO.

first round ko
"i'm gonna trust joy herbert to get this one done by first round ko"
Ľudovít Klein - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 321 · Oct 25, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ľudovít Klein 0 82 of 140 58% 90 of 149 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mateusz Rębecki 0 72 of 159 45% 113 of 208 3 of 12 25% 0 0 5:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ľudovít Klein 0 25 of 45 55% 25 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mateusz Rębecki 0 21 of 50 42% 21 of 50 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:47
2 Ľudovít Klein 0 38 of 67 56% 41 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mateusz Rębecki 0 21 of 61 34% 22 of 62 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:23
3 Ľudovít Klein 0 19 of 28 67% 24 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mateusz Rębecki 0 30 of 48 62% 70 of 96 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ľudovít Klein 82 of 140 58% 69 of 127 9 of 9 4 of 4 72 of 126 0 of 2 10 of 12
Mateusz Rębecki 72 of 159 45% 55 of 139 11 of 14 6 of 6 45 of 130 4 of 4 23 of 25
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ľudovít Klein 25 of 45 55% 22 of 42 2 of 2 1 of 1 25 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mateusz Rębecki 21 of 50 42% 11 of 40 6 of 6 4 of 4 19 of 48 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Ľudovít Klein 38 of 67 56% 28 of 57 7 of 7 3 of 3 37 of 65 0 of 1 1 of 1
Mateusz Rębecki 21 of 61 34% 16 of 53 3 of 6 2 of 2 21 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ľudovít Klein 19 of 28 67% 19 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0 10 of 16 0 of 1 9 of 11
Mateusz Rębecki 30 of 48 62% 28 of 46 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 21 2 of 2 23 of 25
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ludovit Klein vs. Mateusz Rebecki
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Klein (-135), Rebecki (+114)

Round 1
As this relatively deep event keeps rolling on, a pair of talented 155ers on the edge of lightweight contention with hopes that the victor earns a number next to their name on Monday. Whether it will be “Mr. Highlight” Klein (23-5-1, 7-3-1 UFC) or Polish powerhouse Rebecki (20-3, 4-2 UFC), referee Marc Goddard will be the first to know. There is a fist bump before the two men throw down.
Klein sticks his man with a jab and slips back, watching out for a short right hook coming at him. Rebecki probes with a front kick as he presses forward, and the two crash into one another as Klein gets off a left hand that marks the Polish fighter up already. Klein stings Rebecki with a one-two, and Rebecki’s knees buckle but he steels himself and fires back with a vengeance. Klein retreats, evading a big few strikes as Rebecki wants blood. Klein potshots him with distant strikes, using his jab to try to keep Rebecki back. Rebecki ignores it and loads up on power left hands, and he jumps and misses with a knee with leaping forward. Both fighter swing it out, with Klein able to move and prepare for Rebecki’s advances. Rebecki rushes in for a double, and Klein belts him in the guts with a flush knee. Rebecki completely no-sells it so he can transition to a single, and he lifts Klein’s leg up but is unable to sling him down on his first efforts.
Rebecki lets go of the leg of his opponent to loop a left hand upstairs, and he attacks the other leg and still cannot take the fight down. Klein springs back, and he potshots the Polish man with his sharp jab. Rebecki pushes out with a front kick and uses it to hurl a right hand behind it, only for Klein to get to him first. Rebecki runs forward, stepping on Klein’s foot and tripping him up. Klein bounces off his seat and gets right back up, allowing Rebecki to swing way past him as Rebecki is putting everything into his punches while Klein is much more content to touch and stay evasive. Rebecki walks into a left hand, and he dips down directly into a head kick. They both trade low kicks, with Klein’s jab opening a cut on the cheek and eyebrow of the left side of Rebecki’s face. Rebecki stutter-steps his way in, takes a one-two on the chin and gives back a hard right hand offering. Klein catches Rebecki on the way in with a check right hook, and he uses his jab to end the round with Rebecki’s face a mess.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Klein
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Klein
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Klein

Round 2
The lightweights touch gloves to get started in the second stanza, and Rebecki is the aggressor again outright. Klein sticks him with a solid left hand, and leg kicks fly from both men. Klein wraps his shin up and around Rebecki’s noggin, and Rebecki takes it cleanly and engages in a brief brawl. Klein tries to keep out of the direct slugfests, instead using his range and reach to peck at his man. Klein slips something and nails Rebecki with an uppercut, and Rebecki’s eyes go wide as he is compromised but still more than willing to trade hands. Rather than go after Rebecki and try to put him away, Klein has to watch out for the looping strikes zooming his way regularly. Rebecki may be bloodied and stung, but he is still putting everything into his punches and uses them to secure a clean double-leg. Klein rebounds off the floor and walks his way up, so Rebecki mat returns him with emphasis. Rebecki drives down a few punches before Klein climbs back up, and Klein uses a sharp elbow to further blood Rebecki up on the way up.
Rebecki keeps plodding forward, throwing everything into his hooks, and he gets intercepted by the Slovakian’s sharp offense. Klein’s offense further shreds open the cut around Rebecki’s eye, and he chains a few punches into it and kicks him on the other side of the dome to ring his bell. Rebecki’s face has become festive as Halloween is coming up, a bloody mask but still plenty of life behind his eyes. Klein watches Rebecki swing for the bleachers and intercepts him or dips out of the way in time. Rebecki connects with a jump knee, and Klein shrugs off a few strikes to further connect with damaging punches. Klein kicks Rebecki square in the face, and Rebecki barely budgets. Klein styles on his man with punches and a head kick, and Rebecki is stuck with a lot of damage and five minutes left to work.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Klein
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Klein
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Klein

Round 3
Despite taking untold damage, Rebecki is loaded for bear and comes out of his corner accordingly. Rebecki walks Klein down and even shoots for a takedown, all while Klein is marking him up with straight, long punches. Klein resets and rolls with an overhand right to swing back with a booming right of his own, and he snaps out his jab to solid effect. Rebecki pursues a single, pushing Klein to the wall until he suddenly spins the other direction and yanks Klein to the floor. “Mr. Highlight,” as if he has springs in his shorts, bounces off the mat. Rebecki drags him down again, and he starts to bash and brutalize Klein with power punches. Suddenly, Klein’s body language changes as he starts to get hurt from the heavy blows, and he is no longer as eager and able to bounce back up. Whether injured, rung up or something else, Klein suddenly is practically disabled on his back.
Rebecki, seated in half guard, rains down a seemingly unending stream of left hands. Klein rips him open with a nasty elbow off his back, and blood from the Polish athlete almost immediately covers Klein’s face. The eternally tough Rebecki steps over to the side, and he looks to crucify Klein by putting Klein’s right arm between his legs. Klein bucks, and he briefly finds himself in crucifix position taking damage. Rebecki sits up and starts punishing Klein with elbows, the two lightweights become a horror show of blood, violence and high-amplitude limbs flying. Rebecki keeps pounding on the deflated Klein, who manages to hang on to the bell somehow. Klein motions to his corner that his right ankle is trashed, which could explain why he suddenly seemed to shut off in the third round as if he was shot with a tranquilizer dart.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rebecki (29-28 Klein)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rebecki (29-28 Klein)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rebecki (29-28 Klein)

The Official Result
Ludovit Klein def. Mateusz Rebecki via Majority Decision (29-28, 28-27, 28-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Oct 19, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Angelo picks Ludovit Klein despite loving Mateusz Rebecki's relentless style and heart. He notes that Rebecki bleeds excessively and cuts easily, which will be a problem against a technical striker like Klein. Angelo thinks Rebecki could win if he didn't wear damage so badly, but the blood will sway judges. He considers Rebecki a phenomenal underdog and might bet him on a round handicap if the line widens.

I'm going to wait for these prop bets, and if I get lucky, the line widens and widens and widens, and then I can bet Mateusz Rebecki at plus three and a half
"Mateusz Rebecki, unfortunately, cannot be the pick with how bloody this dude was a month ago heading into this fight. I think he's a phenomenal underdog. If you want to take the shot, I'm going to pick Ludovit Klein."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Big Brady picks Ľudovít Klein, primarily due to concerns about Mateusz Rębecki's activity and accumulated damage. He notes Rębecki has fought frequently, taking severe facial damage in recent fights, and is returning just two months after a brutal war with Chris Duncan. Brady believes Rębecki's face will swell and bleed, influencing judges, and that Klein will win a damage-based decision. He calls it a war but avoids betting on it.

Klein by decision; fight will be a war; not touching it from a betting perspective
"I'm going to go Klein. I don't love it, but I'm going to go Klein to win this fight with a damage base decision. I think this is going to be an absolute war."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Cody picks Ľudovít Klein, citing his reach advantage (6 inches) and precise striking. He notes that Rębecki has short arms (66-inch reach) and tends to overswing, leaving himself open. Klein's takedown defense is solid, and he fights well at range. Cody believes Klein will win a decision by staying on the outside and picking Rębecki apart.

"for me, it's Ludovit Klein."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mateusz Rębecki

Connor finds this fight hard to call but leans toward Rębecki. He notes that Klein is a dynamic but low-output range striker who struggles when pressured. Rębecki is pathologically aggressive and physically strong, which could overwhelm Klein. However, Connor acknowledges that Klein has one-shot KO power and that Rębecki may run into danger. He compares Rębecki favorably to Mason Jones, who lost to Klein, citing Rębecki's superior athleticism and durability.

Odds moving in the wrong direction; Klein is the favorite at -148, but Connor thinks Rębecki is the right pick.
"I'm kind of thinking I'll pick Rębecki here. Yeah, I think that's where I land as well, but it is tough because he will run into these sniping shots that Klein throws."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Daniel Vreeland believes Klein's high kick and technical striking will be the difference against the durable but damage-prone Rębecki. He notes that Rębecki absorbs a lot of damage and has been finished before, and that Klein's reach and disguised high kick could catch him. He also thinks the narrative that Klein can't handle a dog fight is exaggerated, citing wins over Mason Jones and Ignacio Bahamondes.

wins by KO (head kick)
"I'm going to pick him to come out here and actually highkick knock out the ultra tough Matteo Rambky."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Lucrative James picks Ľudovít Klein to win by KO, citing his superior striking and head kicks. He believes Rębecki is coming back too soon after a war with Chris Duncan and will be compromised. He notes Rębecki's path to victory is wrestling, but doubts he can take Klein down and control him. He predicts body shots will drop Rębecki's hands, setting up a head kick knockout.

KO
"I think Ludvik Klein headkick knockout. I I really do, man. Body shots are going to add up and when the hands drop, the headkick is coming."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

The host is not a big Klein fan but believes Klein's precision striking, movement, and takedown defense will allow him to batter Rębecki on the feet, similar to what Chris Duncan did. He predicts a decision win.

decision
"I think that Klein has the perfect style of precision striking, good movement, and good enough takedown defense to batter Romeki on the feet..."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mateusz Rębecki

Paul leans towards Rębecki but is hesitant due to his inconsistency. He notes that Rębecki has cost him money in the past, but at plus money, he sees value. Paul acknowledges Klein's low volume and Rębecki's ability to make it a dogfight, but admits he can't fully trust Rębecki.

"I'm going to lean Rebecki, but I don't think I'm going to bet it, because this guy has cost me a whole bunch of money as well."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

The MMA Guru picks Ľudovít Klein by TKO in round two. He argues that Mateusz Rębecki has taken too much damage in his last two fights and is predictable, circling into the same hooks. Klein is a sharpshooter with a reach advantage and good takedown defense. He expects Klein to sting Rębecki with something big and finish him, possibly breaking his nose or swelling his eye. He notes that Klein has had stinkers but is technical and should not get outgrappled.

TKO in round two
"I'm going to take Ludovit Klein by TKO here over Mateusz Rebequi, who's just a little bit too predictable."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mateusz Rębecki

Zane also picks Rębecki, citing Klein's lack of a consistent range striking game and his tendency to be a 'powerful potshotter' without the connective tissue. He believes Rębecki's relentless aggression and physicality will be too much for Klein, despite the risk of running into a big shot. Zane notes that Klein's finishes in the UFC have come against subpar competition.

"Rębecki is just too reliable an aggressor. So I think I'm going to take Rębecki, but it is a tough fight to call."
LOSS vs Mateusz Gamrot
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · May 31, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mateusz Gamrot 0 65 of 110 59% 142 of 224 6 of 11 54% 0 0 8:45
Ľudovít Klein 0 24 of 74 32% 85 of 145 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mateusz Gamrot 0 10 of 19 52% 27 of 43 4 of 7 57% 0 0 3:06
Ľudovít Klein 0 2 of 14 14% 6 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mateusz Gamrot 0 17 of 26 65% 46 of 73 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:05
Ľudovít Klein 0 2 of 11 18% 48 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Mateusz Gamrot 0 38 of 65 58% 69 of 108 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:34
Ľudovít Klein 0 20 of 49 40% 31 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mateusz Gamrot 65 of 110 59% 53 of 98 7 of 7 5 of 5 38 of 73 3 of 4 24 of 33
Ľudovít Klein 24 of 74 32% 10 of 49 13 of 23 1 of 2 23 of 73 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mateusz Gamrot 10 of 19 52% 3 of 12 4 of 4 3 of 3 4 of 13 2 of 2 4 of 4
Ľudovít Klein 2 of 14 14% 2 of 11 0 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Mateusz Gamrot 17 of 26 65% 15 of 24 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 7 0 of 1 13 of 18
Ľudovít Klein 2 of 11 18% 1 of 7 1 of 3 0 of 1 2 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Mateusz Gamrot 38 of 65 58% 35 of 62 2 of 2 1 of 1 30 of 53 1 of 1 7 of 11
Ľudovít Klein 20 of 49 40% 7 of 31 12 of 17 1 of 1 19 of 48 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 18, 2025 (13 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Angelo picks Ľudovít Klein, citing his smooth striking, accuracy, and 90% takedown defense. He notes that Gamrot is chinny and gets dropped often, and that Klein will do damage on the feet while Gamrot holds on. He prefers a prop bet of 'inside the distance/decision no action' because Klein has finishing upside and Gamrot could win a takedown-heavy decision.

Prefers 'inside the distance/decision no action' bet on Klein; mentions plus 3.5 round spread.
"Ludovit's going to be the pick. But because I'm a scaredy-cat instead of outright betting on Ludovit, I'll probably do a win inside the distance decision no action."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 26, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

Big Brady picks Mateusz Gamrot, noting this is a massive step down in competition for Gamrot compared to his recent fights. He expects Gamrot to wrestle for 15 minutes, using the small cage to his advantage. He worries about judges in a damage-over-control era but still believes Gamrot wins a decision.

by decision
"I got to go Gamerot. I'm going to take Gameamro by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

Connor agrees with Zane that Gamrot is the clear pick. He emphasizes that Klein's tendency to be a back-foot, pot-shot striker will not work against Gamrot's pressure and wrestling. Connor also notes that Klein's wrestling, when he uses it, will only lead him into Gamrot's world, where Gamrot is superior. He compares the matchup to Klein's fight with Michael Trizano, where Klein was out-jabbed, and expects a similar outcome with Gamrot's wrestling being the difference.

"I think it'll look probably a little bit like that, uh, trisano fight with single legs. Mm-hmm. And that sounds like a gamrott wind to me. It really does odds on the fight camera is the favorite of a minus …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Matt picks Ľudovít Klein as an underdog. He believes Klein's 91% takedown defense and power striking will neutralize Gamrot's wrestling. Klein lands damaging shots and should win the first two rounds, potentially pulling off the upset. Matt likes Klein by decision at +330.

Klein by decision +330, Gamrot by decision -105
"I'm going to go Klein. Uh, Klein by decision currently sits at plus 330."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 28, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

The MMA Guru picks Mateusz Gamrot, though he acknowledges Klein's danger. He believes Gamrot's size and grappling will be key, especially after getting hurt. He notes Klein's cardio issues and that Gamrot is world-class. He predicts Gamrot wins the later rounds, possibly by finish or decision.

Third round finish or decision
"I'm gonna go with Mattesh Gamro over Ludovic Klein... I think he'll win this one against Ludvic Klein."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

Zane picks Gamrot because he believes Klein's style is a poor matchup for him. Klein tends to fight on the back foot, picking shots one at a time, and relies on either a wrestling advantage or a tempo advantage to win. Against Gamrot, who is a high-pressure wrestler with excellent grappling, Klein's wrestling will likely lead him into trouble. Zane also notes that Klein's recent opponents have been low-output, and Gamrot's pace and ability to wrestle will overwhelm him, similar to how Michael Trizano out-jabbed Klein.

"So it looks like a Gamrot win. It does. Gamrot. He, what the big thing that Dan Hooker showed him is that Gamrot came out and he looked more deft with his lead hand with it or his left hand. …"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · Sep 28, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ľudovít Klein 0 45 of 95 47% 107 of 181 2 of 3 66% 0 0 8:51
Roosevelt Roberts 0 24 of 60 40% 58 of 104 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ľudovít Klein 0 18 of 42 42% 28 of 54 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:18
Roosevelt Roberts 0 12 of 34 35% 14 of 38 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
2 Ľudovít Klein 0 9 of 20 45% 41 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:47
Roosevelt Roberts 0 1 of 6 16% 17 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ľudovít Klein 0 18 of 33 54% 38 of 66 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:46
Roosevelt Roberts 0 11 of 20 55% 27 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ľudovít Klein 45 of 95 47% 22 of 65 15 of 22 8 of 8 28 of 66 9 of 10 8 of 19
Roosevelt Roberts 24 of 60 40% 10 of 43 10 of 12 4 of 5 19 of 50 4 of 9 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ľudovít Klein 18 of 42 42% 7 of 27 7 of 11 4 of 4 12 of 36 6 of 6 0 of 0
Roosevelt Roberts 12 of 34 35% 4 of 23 6 of 8 2 of 3 10 of 30 2 of 4 0 of 0
2 Ľudovít Klein 9 of 20 45% 6 of 16 1 of 2 2 of 2 2 of 5 1 of 1 6 of 14
Roosevelt Roberts 1 of 6 16% 0 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 3 0 of 0
3 Ľudovít Klein 18 of 33 54% 9 of 22 7 of 9 2 of 2 14 of 25 2 of 3 2 of 5
Roosevelt Roberts 11 of 20 55% 6 of 15 3 of 3 2 of 2 8 of 17 2 of 2 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 22, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Angelo picks Ľudovít Klein with high confidence, calling him a level above Roosevelt Roberts. He notes Klein's superior speed, technique, hands, jiu-jitsu, wrestling, and takedown defense. He believes Klein will win easily and even at -700 odds, he feels it's a discount.

"Ludovit is literally better than Roosevelt everywhere... Ludovit wins this fight... even at these current odds of minus 700, Ludovit Klein feels like a discount."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Big Brady picks Ľudovít Klein by decision, calling him a much better fighter everywhere. He notes Klein has phenomenal striking and durability, while Roberts has struggled in the UFC and lost to lower-level competition. He expects Klein to win convincingly, possibly by decision.

Klein by decision
"give me Klein here I'll take Klein to win by a pretty pretty convincing decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Cody picks Klein, noting his improved wrestling and striking since moving up to lightweight. He highlights Klein's win over Thiago Moises and his ability to mix in takedowns. Roberts is on short notice and has not won in the UFC in over four years, with poor takedown defense and grappling.

"Ludi Klein that that that's for me this week"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Connor agrees, stating that Roberts has a broad but not deep game, and the core of that game is a phase where he is not physically on par with opponents. He thinks Roberts will be unable to physically stop Klein from doing what he wants, and that Klein will likely knock him out.

"I don't even know the client's going to knock him out. Roberts is tough."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Daniel Vreeland picks Ľudovít Klein to win by knockout. He thinks Klein's speed, power, and technique are on another level, and that Roberts is a step down in competition. He notes Klein's improved cardio and takedown defense since moving to 155. He believes the price is justified and expects a finish.

wins by KO
"I think Klein just an opportunity to knock this guy out and add another name to the resumate so I think you should knock knock him out"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

JP picks Ľudovít Klein because he thinks Klein is skilled and will dominate. He notes Roosevelt Roberts is a mid-level fighter who was cut and brought back, and he expects Klein to submit him. He says the line at -800 is deserved.

"ludovi Klein on the other hand he's really skilled he's a good fighter I honestly think he works Roosevelt Roberts in this one I don't think it's close whatsoever"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Paul agrees, calling Klein a massive favorite for a reason. He notes Roberts' short notice and lack of recent success. Klein's physicality and wrestling should be too much, and he expects a finish or dominant decision.

"Klein should absolutely roll"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

The MMA Guru picks Ľudovít Klein over Roosevelt Roberts, stating Klein is levels above. He criticizes Roberts' UFC performances, noting he was finished by Jim Miller and Ignacio Bahamondes. He predicts Klein will be too powerful and win by first-round KO.

first round KO
"I think he's going to be too powerful too strong and I think he'll actually smoke him in the first round get a first round KO"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Zane believes Klein is a bad matchup for Roberts because Roberts is not athletic enough, not strong enough, and not technical enough from range. He notes that Roberts' game is too clinch-dependent and that Klein is more powerful and slicker at range. Zane expects Klein to dominate, possibly with a knockout.

"Roberts is just not that guy. He's not going to take anything away from Klein on the outside."
WIN vs Thiago Moises
DEC R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Jun 08, 2024
WIN vs AJ Cunningham
TKO (front kick to the body and punches) R1 4:36 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · Mar 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ľudovít Klein 1 60 of 91 65% 63 of 95 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:27
AJ Cunningham 0 36 of 75 48% 36 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ľudovít Klein 1 60 of 91 65% 63 of 95 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:27
AJ Cunningham 0 36 of 75 48% 36 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ľudovít Klein 60 of 91 65% 38 of 66 21 of 23 1 of 2 54 of 84 2 of 2 4 of 5
AJ Cunningham 36 of 75 48% 15 of 49 10 of 14 11 of 12 34 of 72 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ľudovít Klein 60 of 91 65% 38 of 66 21 of 23 1 of 2 54 of 84 2 of 2 4 of 5
AJ Cunningham 36 of 75 48% 15 of 49 10 of 14 11 of 12 34 of 72 2 of 3 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Big Brady picks Klein, noting Cunningham is very hittable and took a lot of damage on the Contender Series. He thinks Klein can land bigger shots and mix in takedowns. He predicts a decision win for Klein, acknowledging Cunningham's toughness but expecting Klein to control the fight.

"I'll say Klein by decision I I do think AJ Cunningham's tough but yeah glad we we get to see Klein stick on the card here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Cody picks Klein, detailing Cunningham's weaknesses: no head movement, poor wrestling, and a history of taking damage. He notes Klein's southpaw stance and straight left will be a problem for Cunningham. Cody believes Klein can dictate where the fight goes and will likely finish Cunningham, who has been knocked out before.

"Cunningham's going to get knocked out if Cunningham shows unbelievable toughness and resiliency he takes a 3026 style beating"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Paul picks Klein, calling it a mismatch. He notes Cunningham is a short-notice replacement moving up a weight class with poor striking defense. Paul believes Klein's straight left will land all night and that Cunningham's only chance is a lucky punch. He expects Klein to win by knockout or dominant decision.

"Klein is Bonafide him Umar and Javi BOS Rod like they're bonafied they should they should win"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

The MMA Guru is very confident in Klein, citing that Cunningham has not beaten a single good opponent in his career and lost to known opponents. He believes Klein will dominate and beat Cunningham badly.

"Ludovic Klein is going to beat AJ Cunningham because AJ Cunningham has not beat a single good opponent in his entire career"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Font · Aug 05, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ľudovít Klein 0 43 of 139 30% 62 of 166 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Ignacio Bahamondes 0 56 of 108 51% 94 of 151 3 of 5 60% 0 0 6:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ľudovít Klein 0 7 of 33 21% 16 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ignacio Bahamondes 0 20 of 34 58% 48 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:45
2 Ľudovít Klein 0 29 of 76 38% 35 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ignacio Bahamondes 0 19 of 41 46% 25 of 47 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:04
3 Ľudovít Klein 0 7 of 30 23% 11 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Ignacio Bahamondes 0 17 of 33 51% 21 of 39 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ľudovít Klein 43 of 139 30% 29 of 114 9 of 16 5 of 9 41 of 133 2 of 6 0 of 0
Ignacio Bahamondes 56 of 108 51% 36 of 82 11 of 16 9 of 10 43 of 88 1 of 1 12 of 19
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ľudovít Klein 7 of 33 21% 5 of 26 1 of 3 1 of 4 7 of 31 0 of 2 0 of 0
Ignacio Bahamondes 20 of 34 58% 17 of 28 0 of 3 3 of 3 10 of 20 0 of 0 10 of 14
2 Ľudovít Klein 29 of 76 38% 21 of 68 5 of 5 3 of 3 28 of 75 1 of 1 0 of 0
Ignacio Bahamondes 19 of 41 46% 8 of 27 6 of 8 5 of 6 19 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ľudovít Klein 7 of 30 23% 3 of 20 3 of 8 1 of 2 6 of 27 1 of 3 0 of 0
Ignacio Bahamondes 17 of 33 51% 11 of 27 5 of 5 1 of 1 14 of 27 1 of 1 2 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Angelo picks Ignacio Bahamondes, citing his massive size at lightweight, incredible volume, decent power, and 95% takedown defense. He notes that Bahamondes uses his length well to keep distance and snatch submissions. He believes Klein is a technical striker but will struggle with Bahamondes's size and grappling, and may shoot sloppy takedowns that lead to a submission. Angelo thinks -200 is appropriate and expects Bahamondes to dominate.

"I love Ignacio in this fight I think the minus 200 odds are appropriate"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Big Brady is very high on Bahamondes, noting his size (6'3" at lightweight), volume, and improved takedown defense as seen against Roosevelt Roberts. He thinks Klein has stagnated and shown poor cardio and durability. He expects Bahamondes to keep the fight standing and outpoint Klein over 15 minutes, possibly by decision, with a sneaky submission chance.

Bahamondes by decision; potential submission
"I gotta go bahamona's here I mean like what is what is Klein's path to Victory"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Cody is confident in Bahamondes, citing his volume, height advantage (6'3" vs 5'7"), and youth. He notes Klein's low output and struggles against taller opponents. He expects Bahamondes to outland Klein significantly and win a decision, possibly with a late finish. He also likes the over 83.5 significant strikes prop for Bahamondes.

Bahamondes over 83.5 significant strikes
"Ignacio Baja manda's top ticket play... I think he beats up Klein"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Daniel Levi is very confident in Ignacio Bahamondes, calling him his first bet of the night. He praises Bahamondes' striking, length (6'3" at lightweight), and durability, citing praise from Belal Muhammad. Levi notes that Klein is explosive but breaks when he's the nail, while Bahamondes has no quit. He expects Bahamondes to double Klein up on strikes and potentially finish him. Levi parlayed Bahamondes with Bobby Green to win 3.5 units at effective even money.

Parlayed Bahamondes with Bobby Green to win 3.5 units. No specific prop bet on Bahamondes alone.
"I parlayed Ignacio at minus 185 with Bobby green ... to win 3.5 units."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

James thinks Bahamondes is the better striker and more dangerous submission threat. He notes Klein can catch him but doesn't hit extremely hard. Bahamondes is improving and James expects him to break Klein late, similar to how Madge did.

"I think Bahamondes is going to win... I think he can probably break Ludovic late."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Bahamondes can snipe from distance and rack up significant strikes, possibly finishing Klein. Klein may try grappling, but Bahamondes has good takedown defense and can work back to his feet. The Jai Herbert fight is a perfect example of what happens when Klein faces a distance striker, and Bahamondes is cleaner than Herbert. I like Bahamondes to win by decision.

"give me Baja mundes to win this by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Bahamondes' volume and size advantage. He is concerned about Klein's takedowns but believes Bahamondes will cruise to a decision victory. He also likes the over 83.5 significant strikes prop.

Bahamondes over 83.5 significant strikes
"I think Ignacio just beats him up a cruise significant strikes and it'll be a pretty easy decision victory"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

The host is high on Ignacio Bahamondes, calling him 'the truth' with phenomenal kickboxing and range. He notes Bahamondes has a 95% takedown defense and should keep the fight standing. He believes Bahamondes will outland Klein and possibly land a big kick. He acknowledges Klein has power but thinks Bahamondes' ceiling is much higher. He is comfortable with the line up to -260.

line opened -210, now -222; expects line to reach -240/-250
"Baja Mendes man he's the truth I'm really high on him"
LOSS vs Jai Herbert
Draw (majority) (29–27, 28–28, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jai Herbert 0 43 of 90 47% 96 of 168 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:54
Ľudovít Klein 0 47 of 97 48% 78 of 132 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jai Herbert 0 11 of 30 36% 32 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Ľudovít Klein 0 11 of 24 45% 23 of 38 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:53
2 Jai Herbert 0 15 of 28 53% 20 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
Ľudovít Klein 0 11 of 29 37% 17 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:49
3 Jai Herbert 0 17 of 32 53% 44 of 77 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:26
Ľudovít Klein 0 25 of 44 56% 38 of 59 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jai Herbert 43 of 90 47% 15 of 59 17 of 19 11 of 12 24 of 68 12 of 13 7 of 9
Ľudovít Klein 47 of 97 48% 30 of 75 11 of 15 6 of 7 30 of 76 15 of 19 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jai Herbert 11 of 30 36% 5 of 23 5 of 6 1 of 1 3 of 20 5 of 5 3 of 5
Ľudovít Klein 11 of 24 45% 7 of 19 3 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 16 5 of 6 2 of 2
2 Jai Herbert 15 of 28 53% 2 of 14 7 of 7 6 of 7 12 of 25 3 of 3 0 of 0
Ľudovít Klein 11 of 29 37% 7 of 23 1 of 2 3 of 4 7 of 24 4 of 5 0 of 0
3 Jai Herbert 17 of 32 53% 8 of 22 5 of 6 4 of 4 9 of 23 4 of 5 4 of 4
Ľudovít Klein 25 of 44 56% 16 of 33 7 of 9 2 of 2 19 of 36 6 of 8 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jai Herbert vs. Ludovit Klein
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Klein (-190), Herbert (+160)

Round 1
The two men set to hit the cage next combine for just five decision wins across their 31 victories. Referee Rich Mitchell is going to need to be ready to jump in at a moment’s notice once “The Black Country Banger” Herbert (12-4, 2-3 UFC) and “Mr. Highlight” Klein (19-4, 3-2 UFC) start throwing down. The all-action lightweights elect to touch gloves before swinging for the bleachers, and Herbert immediately slings a head kick. Klein blocks it and fires right back, causing him to tumble to the mat. The Slovakian fighter gets back up without issue, and he faces long jabs coming from Herbert when he resets. Herbert quickly reaches him with a head kick, only for the kick to bounce off the guard. Herbert lets loose a kick to the body, and he leaves it out too long to allow Klein to grab it. Klein trips “The Black Country Banger” down to the canvas, and he lands in the guard and looks to get some ground offense going. The Brit stays active, using a butterfly sweep to keep Klein honest until he rolls for a quick armbar. Klein slides out of it and jumps back into the guard, but he finds himself struggling to get low as Herbert’s butterfly looks keep him elevated. Herbert chew up his man with punches from below, and he stings Klein with an upkick and rips open a huge cut on Klein’s left eyebrow. Klein backs off after getting rocked, and he stands back up to stop the unexpected assault. Herbert aims a head kick to that busted eye, and Klein advances to clinch up and trade knees. Herbert wings an elbow on the inside, and a knee from the Brit skims off the cup but is not called. Herbert hurts Klein again with a knee up the middle, and he lets go of the tie-up to admire his work. Herbert waits, and slips a head kick to hope to disrupt the timing, but the guard is there is time. Klein tries to reply in kind, but he misses the target by a wide margin. Klein threads the needle with his fists, breaking through Herbert’s guard, but they are few and far between. The round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Shane Clifford scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 2
A quick touch of gloves is followed by Klein trying to throw a strike, but Herbert is well out of harm’s way. Klein misses with a swinging head kick, and Herbert does the same as they still look for their range. A body kick from Herbert is up too close, so Klein can counter him over the top with a short left. Herbert moves forward to clinch up, where he pats Klein’s thighs with light knees until Klein turns him about. Klein escapes, and he keeps a close range with Herbert to not allow the Brit to get off his rangy kicks. A body kick from Herbert is countered with a left, and Klein pushes up tightly again to trade knees. Klein aims an elbow during the break, and he slides it off the top of the forehead. The two trade leg kicks, and Herbert mixes up with a head kick before skirting away when Klein bears down on him. Klein blocks two successive head kicks and tries to pay him back with one, but Herbert is far busier with low kicks and distance strikes. A right hand from the Brit opens up an additional cut around Klein’s right eye, and Klein pays it no mind as he continues to advance cautiously. Klein crashes the pocket and manages to get off an elbow, leading Herbert to push off and circle away. Klein continues to push forward, and he wobbles Herbert momentarily with a standing elbow. Herbert separates and kicks the side a few times before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Shane Clifford scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 3
Klein walks out of his corner a man on a mission, launching an immediate head kick and chasing his man around the cage. Herbert circles to aim a high kick back at him, and Klein keeps his guard up safely. Klein punches his way into a clinch, and he rips the body with a knee. “The Black Country Banger” spins him around and drills a knee square in the cup, and Klein lets out a yelp and crouches down as Mitchell steps in to pause the fight. After 40 seconds of recovery time, the fight is reset in the middle of the cage, and Klein is fired up. Klein charges out, blasting the body with a knee that lifts Herbert off the ground. They tie up, and Herbert gets one back on the dome as they are putting big power into their strikes. Klein blitzes in, leading to a clinch, and knees are spammed. Herbert belts Klein in the groin again, and Klein doubles over in pain as Mitchell stops the action. Due to the second foul in rapid succession, Mitchell deducts a point from Herbert, and they restart after a minute. Herbert swings a head kick at his man when they resume, and when that misses, he advances to hit a picturesque sweep to dump Klein to the mat. Klein sits up close on the ground to protect his mug from strikes, and Herbert asks Mitchell if he can throw elbows from his particular position without it being another foul. Herbert lands a few before Klein rolls to his back, and Herbert welcomes this so that he can continue mounting offense and controlling his opponent. Klein bursts back to his feet, and he turns the tables and tackles Klein to the canvas. Herbert hits his back and utilizes his butterfly hooks to keep Klein from settling on top, but he eats a few elbows. Herbert stands back up and attempts a hip toss, but they both land on their knees and climb back up. Herbert looks to try to take the back standing, and he lowers Klein back to his knees and works him over with left hands. Herbert fights off one last takedown, and the horn sounds to end this close fight.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 9-9 (29-27 Herbert)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 9-9 (29-27 Herbert)
Shane Clifford scores the round: 9-9 (29-27 Herbert)

The Official Result
Jai Herbert vs. Ludovit Klein is Ruled a Majority Draw (29-27, 28-28, 28-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Angelo believes Klein is the more technical striker and can lean on grappling if needed. He notes Klein has a nice kick behind his jab and is never out of position. He thinks Jai Herbert has a size and power advantage but finds ways to lose. He likes Klein to win but thinks -190 is a bit wide given Klein's vulnerability.

significant strikes prop on Klein (over/under not specified)
"I like Ludovic Klein to get the win here minus 190 seems a bit wide because this is two Strikers and ludovic's not Invincible."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Big Brady picks Klein, citing his power in hands and head kicks, and Herbert's poor striking defense (42%) and questionable chin. He notes Klein has more ways to win, including takedowns if needed, as Herbert's takedown defense is 55%. He predicts a second-round knockout, but acknowledges Herbert's size and reach advantage.

"I'm gonna take Klein to win this fight by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Cody picks Klein by knockout, citing his power and athleticism. He notes Klein is a finisher on the regional scene and has improved his wrestling and cardio. He thinks Herbert's durability is suspect and Klein will land a straight shot up the middle. He says Klein likes fighting taller opponents and can find gaps in Herbert's guard.

Ľudovít Klein by knockout
"I'm thinking Klein by knockout to be honest with you... I think this has got the recipe for a highlight reel KO for Ludovic Klein"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Connor picks Klein, noting that Herbert is fragile and lacks assertiveness in the clinch. He points out that Klein is durable, hits hard, and is comfortable at the same range Herbert wants to fight. Connor believes Klein's power and durability will overwhelm Herbert, who tends to fall apart when pressured.

"I'm gonna pick Klein just for being a harder hitting, tough, more durable fighter."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Jacob thinks Klein is the play but is not putting money on it because he sees better value elsewhere. He notes Jai Herbert is a very good striker when confident, but his confidence has been shaken since the Ilia fight. He thinks Klein has wrestling as an ace in the hole and should withstand Herbert's striking, but Herbert could land a sniper shot.

"ludovic's the play but there's better places to put your money."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Herbert is a good distance striker with height and reach advantages, but has durability issues and has been knocked out before. Klein has a two-fight winning streak but his grappling success came against opponents who gave up positions. If Herbert stays safe at distance and avoids getting flatlined, he should outpoint Klein over 15 minutes. The comparison is made to Jonathan Martinez's recent upset win.

"if he can stay safe calm in bad positions he can put together a very good body of work to take home a decision Victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Paul picks Klein, noting he can utilize wrestling and top control to win a decision. He says Klein's takedowns and top game are effective, and Herbert's takedown defense is a question. He thinks Klein by decision is a likely outcome, but also acknowledges Klein's power. He says the prop prices for Klein by KO and by decision are both plus 225.

"I'm thinking Klein by decision somewhat of a snooze Fest... takedowns holds top control and wins the fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

The MMA Guru picks Ľudovít Klein over Jai Herbert, praising Klein's toughness and explosiveness on the feet. He notes Herbert is underrated but has a suspect chin and ground game, while Klein has better durability and can win in multiple areas including striking and grappling. He believes Herbert cannot pressure Klein over the distance like others have, and Klein's regional submission wins give him an edge.

"I'm gonna go with Ludovic Klein over Jai Herbert"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Zane also picks Klein, emphasizing that Herbert's style is not tuned to beat Klein. He notes that Klein is a specialist at middle-distance striking and has never been knocked out. Zane believes Herbert's lack of control and fragility will be exploited, and Klein's power will be the difference.

"I'm picking Klein in that."
WIN vs Mason Jones
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · Jul 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ľudovít Klein 0 43 of 105 40% 78 of 141 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:17
Mason Jones 1 50 of 87 57% 70 of 112 0 of 1 0% 0 0 6:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ľudovít Klein 0 20 of 55 36% 33 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:10
Mason Jones 0 21 of 44 47% 22 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
2 Ľudovít Klein 0 16 of 33 48% 26 of 43 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:49
Mason Jones 1 20 of 25 80% 28 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:56
3 Ľudovít Klein 0 7 of 17 41% 19 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Mason Jones 0 9 of 18 50% 20 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ľudovít Klein 43 of 105 40% 16 of 70 23 of 31 4 of 4 21 of 75 21 of 27 1 of 3
Mason Jones 50 of 87 57% 37 of 68 10 of 16 3 of 3 31 of 63 7 of 9 12 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ľudovít Klein 20 of 55 36% 6 of 39 10 of 12 4 of 4 13 of 47 7 of 8 0 of 0
Mason Jones 21 of 44 47% 14 of 34 6 of 9 1 of 1 16 of 38 5 of 6 0 of 0
2 Ľudovít Klein 16 of 33 48% 5 of 17 11 of 16 0 of 0 5 of 18 10 of 13 1 of 2
Mason Jones 20 of 25 80% 16 of 20 3 of 4 1 of 1 10 of 13 1 of 1 9 of 11
3 Ľudovít Klein 7 of 17 41% 5 of 14 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 10 4 of 6 0 of 1
Mason Jones 9 of 18 50% 7 of 14 1 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 12 1 of 2 3 of 4
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Big Brady picks Mason Jones to win by third-round submission. He notes Klein has power and head kicks but poor cardio and output. Jones has great cardio, output, and is well-rounded with a black belt in BJJ and judo. He expects Jones to break Klein in the later rounds and submit him.

Jones by submission in round 3
"give me a mason jones to win i'll say mason jones by third round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Cody picks Mason Jones, highlighting his wrestling, grappling, cardio, and chin. He notes Klein has cardio issues and doesn't fight well going backwards. Cody thinks Jones will overwhelm Klein with pressure and takedowns. He predicts a decision win for Jones.

"i got mason jones i got mason jones by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Daniel Levi picks Mason Jones, comparing him to a lightweight Marvin Vettori with a great chin and relentless pressure. He believes Jones will break Klein down as the fight goes on, especially since Klein has succumbed to pressure before. Levi notes that Klein is fast early but fades, and as long as Jones doesn't get caught by a high kick, he should win.

"i think that as this fight enters the second and third round the pressure is going to be too much"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Jones is more active, has good striking volume, takedowns, and ground game. He should win everywhere as long as he doesn't get knocked out. Klein relies on his left straight and head kick, but Jones has great cardio and durability. Jones likely finishes later in the fight.

fight doesn't go to decision -180 (mentioned as a possibility)
"Jones will outward Klein and possibly finish him later on in this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Paul picks Mason Jones, citing his pressure, wrestling, and cardio. He notes Klein struggles with forward pressure and fights poorly off his back foot. Paul thinks Jones will take Klein down and grind him out. He mentions Jones' good chin and volume. Paul also likes Jones over 53.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks.

Jones over 53.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks
"i got mason jones i got mason jones by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The MMA Guru believes Mason Jones will win by late-round TKO. He notes that Klein is good at stalling against the cage and has explosivity on the feet, but he doesn't see Klein finishing Jones, who has a good chin and cardio. As the fight goes on, Jones will pressure Klein against the cage, land body shots and knees, and eventually get a TKO in the third round.

third round TKO
"i'm gonna say that he's gonna get a tko against a cage with body shots with knees to the body knees to the face"
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Angelo believes Klein is the more technical striker and can lean on grappling if needed. He notes Klein has a nice kick behind his jab and is never out of position. He thinks Jai Herbert has a size and power advantage but finds ways to lose. He likes Klein to win but thinks -190 is a bit wide given Klein's vulnerability.

significant strikes prop on Klein (over/under not specified)
"I like Ludovic Klein to get the win here minus 190 seems a bit wide because this is two Strikers and ludovic's not Invincible."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Big Brady picks Klein, citing his power in hands and head kicks, and Herbert's poor striking defense (42%) and questionable chin. He notes Klein has more ways to win, including takedowns if needed, as Herbert's takedown defense is 55%. He predicts a second-round knockout, but acknowledges Herbert's size and reach advantage.

"I'm gonna take Klein to win this fight by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Cody picks Klein by knockout, citing his power and athleticism. He notes Klein is a finisher on the regional scene and has improved his wrestling and cardio. He thinks Herbert's durability is suspect and Klein will land a straight shot up the middle. He says Klein likes fighting taller opponents and can find gaps in Herbert's guard.

Ľudovít Klein by knockout
"I'm thinking Klein by knockout to be honest with you... I think this has got the recipe for a highlight reel KO for Ludovic Klein"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Connor picks Klein, noting that Herbert is fragile and lacks assertiveness in the clinch. He points out that Klein is durable, hits hard, and is comfortable at the same range Herbert wants to fight. Connor believes Klein's power and durability will overwhelm Herbert, who tends to fall apart when pressured.

"I'm gonna pick Klein just for being a harder hitting, tough, more durable fighter."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Jacob thinks Klein is the play but is not putting money on it because he sees better value elsewhere. He notes Jai Herbert is a very good striker when confident, but his confidence has been shaken since the Ilia fight. He thinks Klein has wrestling as an ace in the hole and should withstand Herbert's striking, but Herbert could land a sniper shot.

"ludovic's the play but there's better places to put your money."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Herbert is a good distance striker with height and reach advantages, but has durability issues and has been knocked out before. Klein has a two-fight winning streak but his grappling success came against opponents who gave up positions. If Herbert stays safe at distance and avoids getting flatlined, he should outpoint Klein over 15 minutes. The comparison is made to Jonathan Martinez's recent upset win.

"if he can stay safe calm in bad positions he can put together a very good body of work to take home a decision Victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Paul picks Klein, noting he can utilize wrestling and top control to win a decision. He says Klein's takedowns and top game are effective, and Herbert's takedown defense is a question. He thinks Klein by decision is a likely outcome, but also acknowledges Klein's power. He says the prop prices for Klein by KO and by decision are both plus 225.

"I'm thinking Klein by decision somewhat of a snooze Fest... takedowns holds top control and wins the fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

The MMA Guru picks Ľudovít Klein over Jai Herbert, praising Klein's toughness and explosiveness on the feet. He notes Herbert is underrated but has a suspect chin and ground game, while Klein has better durability and can win in multiple areas including striking and grappling. He believes Herbert cannot pressure Klein over the distance like others have, and Klein's regional submission wins give him an edge.

"I'm gonna go with Ludovic Klein over Jai Herbert"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Zane also picks Klein, emphasizing that Herbert's style is not tuned to beat Klein. He notes that Klein is a specialist at middle-distance striking and has never been knocked out. Zane believes Herbert's lack of control and fragility will be exploited, and Klein's power will be the difference.

"I'm picking Klein in that."