Career Averages - Abubakar Nurmagomedov
Career Averages - Gadzhi Omargadzhiev
Abubakar Nurmagomedov
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev
Abubakar Nurmagomedov - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 29 of 54 | 53% | 48 of 76 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 6:16 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 42 of 113 | 37% | 50 of 132 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 12 of 16 | 75% | 15 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:39 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 10 of 34 | 29% | 10 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 5 of 16 | 31% | 20 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:20 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 14 of 32 | 43% | 19 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 3 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 13 of 23 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 18 of 47 | 38% | 21 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 29 of 54 | 53% | 13 of 37 | 6 of 7 | 10 of 10 | 23 of 48 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 42 of 113 | 37% | 16 of 75 | 13 of 22 | 13 of 16 | 27 of 87 | 15 of 26 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 12 of 16 | 75% | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 10 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 10 of 34 | 29% | 3 of 21 | 5 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 22 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 5 of 16 | 31% | 2 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 14 of 32 | 43% | 3 of 17 | 4 of 6 | 7 of 9 | 10 of 26 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 12 of 22 | 54% | 6 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 18 of 47 | 38% | 10 of 37 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 39 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Nurmagomedov, citing the long layoff for Zaleski (1.5 years) and Nurmagomedov's wrestling pressure. He thinks Zaleski tends to lose to wrestlers and has been taken down by non-wrestlers. Angelo bet Nurmagomedov at +120 for a quarter unit. He acknowledges the line is tightening but still favors the active fighter.
Cody picks Nurmagomedov, citing Zaleski's poor takedown defense (67%) and history of being taken down by wrestlers. He notes Zaleski has never faced a wrestler like Nurmagomedov, and that his long layoff and past drug test issues are red flags. Cody thinks Nurmagomedov's wrestling will be enough to grind out a win, even if he's not a high-volume takedown artist.
Connor picks Zaleski despite acknowledging Abubakar's wrestling advantage, because he believes Abubakar's poor athleticism and tendency to gas will lead to a fade. He notes that Zaleski is a physical freak who doesn't fall apart easily, and that Abubakar's wrestling often leads to his own cardio issues. Connor expects Zaleski to rally after an initial tough round, possibly winning by KO as Abubakar tires.
Daniel picks Abubakar, citing Zaleski's age (36) and recent PED suspension as reasons he may not look the same. He believes Abubakar is catching him at the perfect time and can outwork him with a grinding decision. He notes that Zaleski has historically been a violence king, but the suspension and age are major concerns.
Jacob picks Zaleski, believing his leg kicks and striking will neutralize Nurmagomedov's takedowns. He thinks Zaleski's performance against Saint Denis showed improved takedown defense. Jacob notes Nurmagomedov is flat-footed and not overly dominant in wrestling. He expects Zaleski to light up the lead leg and win by finish or decision.
Nurmagomedov has shown improved striking and a reliable grappling game. Zaleski is dangerous but coming off a long layoff and suspension. Nurmagomedov will land takedowns, control from top, and grind out a decision. Zaleski could pull off a submission or knockout, but the Dagestani wrestler is the safer pick.
Paul picks Zaleski dos Santos as a slight underdog. He notes the line movement to Nurmagomedov as favorite is undeserved, and that Zaleski is the more dangerous striker with freakish power. Paul mentions Zaleski's takedown defense is a concern, but he thinks if the fight stays standing, Zaleski has a significant advantage. He also notes Zaleski's long layoff and past drug test issues but still sides with him.
The MMA Guru picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov, comparing the matchup to a knockoff Khabib vs Edson Barboza. He notes that Zaleski dos Santos throws a lot of kicks on the back foot and lacks pace, and hasn't fought since October 2021 (over a year and a half off). He believes Nurmagomedov's grappling, pressure, and pace will be the difference, though he acknowledges Nurmagomedov has had iffy performances. He thinks the grappling of Nurmagomedov gets the win.
Zane picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov based on his strong positional grappling and wrestling advantage. He notes that Zaleski has poor takedown defense, having been taken down six times by Nicolas Dalby, and that few opponents have tested his wrestling since. Zane believes Abubakar's takedowns and top control will be decisive, though he acknowledges Abubakar's cardio issues could be a factor if he fails to finish early.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 40 of 67 | 59% | 76 of 104 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 7:55 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 0 | 38 of 99 | 38% | 79 of 142 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 33 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:57 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 0 | 13 of 25 | 52% | 36 of 49 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 | |
| 2 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 5 of 15 | 33% | 13 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:51 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 23 of 35 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 3 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 28 of 38 | 73% | 30 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 0 | 16 of 53 | 30% | 20 of 58 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 40 of 67 | 59% | 29 of 55 | 5 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 36 of 61 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 2 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 38 of 99 | 38% | 22 of 69 | 13 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 25 of 81 | 12 of 14 | 1 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 7 of 14 | 50% | 5 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 13 of 25 | 52% | 7 of 16 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 16 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 5 of 15 | 33% | 4 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 9 of 21 | 42% | 2 of 11 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | |
| 3 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 28 of 38 | 73% | 20 of 29 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 27 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 16 of 53 | 30% | 13 of 42 | 2 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 48 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks the underdog Omargadzhiev, citing Nurmagomedov's inactivity (only two fights in three years) and tendency to drop the ball as a favorite. He notes Omargadzhiev looked impressive outside the UFC but had a poor debut; he expects a better version to show up. He predicts Omargadzhiev catches Nurmagomedov in a submission, possibly a 'club and sub' off his back.
Cody leans Omargadzhiev, noting that Abubakar is the weakest of the Nurmagomedov family. He thinks Omargadzhiev has better stand-up and power, and that Abubakar's takedowns may not be effective. Cody is not confident and says it's a dog-or-pass situation.
Daniel Levi picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov to win by decision. He thinks Abubakar's fundamentally sound Russian style will be enough against Gadzhi Omargadzhiev, who he is not sold on. Levi notes that Omargadzhiev's regional fights are suspect and that Abubakar showed a jab-heavy game plan in his last fight. He expects Abubakar to grind out a decision.
Paul is confident in Omargadzhiev, calling Abubakar overrated. He notes Omargadzhiev's submission skills and that Abubakar has been submitted before. Paul likes the plus money and has already bet Omargadzhiev at +150. He also likes Omargadzhiev by submission at +1050.
The MMA Guru picks underdog Gadzhi Omargadzhiev over Abubakar Nurmagomedov. He believes Abubakar is past his prime and not as skilled as other Nurmagomedovs, while Omargadzhiev is moving to a more suitable weight class (170 lbs). He predicts a late-round submission win, likely a rear-naked choke, as the fight gets sloppy.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 43 of 136 | 31% | 111 of 207 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jared Gooden | 0 | 60 of 120 | 50% | 100 of 164 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 4:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 14 of 49 | 28% | 14 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jared Gooden | 0 | 23 of 42 | 54% | 23 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 2 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 17 of 62 | 27% | 17 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jared Gooden | 0 | 30 of 63 | 47% | 30 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 3 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 12 of 25 | 48% | 80 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jared Gooden | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 47 of 59 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 4:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 43 of 136 | 31% | 30 of 110 | 12 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 35 of 127 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 6 |
| Jared Gooden | 60 of 120 | 50% | 45 of 105 | 9 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 56 of 115 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 14 of 49 | 28% | 12 of 42 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jared Gooden | 23 of 42 | 54% | 12 of 31 | 7 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 17 of 62 | 27% | 9 of 47 | 7 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 62 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jared Gooden | 30 of 63 | 47% | 28 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 27 of 60 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 12 of 25 | 48% | 9 of 21 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 |
| Jared Gooden | 7 of 15 | 46% | 5 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov to win by dominant decision (30-27). He believes Nurmagomedov's wrestling will be the key, as Gooden can be taken down and controlled easily. He notes that Gooden has submissions on his record but thinks Nurmagomedov will avoid playing on the feet. However, he says he probably wouldn't bet the -235 line due to Nurmagomedov's mistakes in his last fight.
Cody leans towards Gooden as a live underdog, noting that Abubakar's price is inflated by his last name. He thinks Gooden has better striking and a reach advantage, and that Abubakar's chin is questionable. He is considering a play on Gooden but wants to see weigh-ins first.
Daniel Levi picks Jared Gooden to get his first UFC win. He acknowledges Gooden's struggles with wrestlers but believes he has worked tirelessly to patch that hole in his game at ATT. Levi criticizes Abubakar as a lesser version of the Dagestani style with no stand-up and a questionable chin. He thinks Gooden will get back to his feet and knock Abubakar out.
The host hesitantly picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov to win by decision. He notes that Abubakar has a 'Nurmagomedov tax' on his line and is not impressed with his grappling or cardio. He thinks Abubakar will struggle to get Gooden down and keep him there, but Gooden's cardio and durability are also question marks. He mentions Gooden's KO power at +650 as a potential sprinkle, but ultimately expects Abubakar to grind out a decision if he can get takedowns.
Paul leans towards Abubakar but thinks the price is way off. He notes that Abubakar has good wrestling and cardio, and that Gooden is hittable. However, he is not confident because Abubakar's chin is suspect and he has been knocked out before. He calls it a dogger pass situation.
The Guru picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov by unanimous decision, citing his takedown advantage and better competition. He criticizes Jared Gooden's takedown defense and lack of impressive wins. He expects a sloppy fight with Nurmagomedov dictating the pace with wrestling, taking Gooden down whenever it gets risky on the feet. He notes Nurmagomedov is the worst of the Nurmagomedovs but still good enough to win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Zawada | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 22 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 25 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Zawada | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 22 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 25 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Zawada | 4 of 9 | 44% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 2 of 11 | 18% | 0 of 7 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Zawada | 4 of 9 | 44% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 2 of 11 | 18% | 0 of 7 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 40 of 67 | 59% | 76 of 104 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 7:55 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 0 | 38 of 99 | 38% | 79 of 142 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 33 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:57 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 0 | 13 of 25 | 52% | 36 of 49 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 | |
| 2 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 5 of 15 | 33% | 13 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:51 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 23 of 35 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 3 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 28 of 38 | 73% | 30 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 0 | 16 of 53 | 30% | 20 of 58 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 40 of 67 | 59% | 29 of 55 | 5 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 36 of 61 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 2 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 38 of 99 | 38% | 22 of 69 | 13 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 25 of 81 | 12 of 14 | 1 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 7 of 14 | 50% | 5 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 13 of 25 | 52% | 7 of 16 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 16 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 5 of 15 | 33% | 4 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 9 of 21 | 42% | 2 of 11 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | |
| 3 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 28 of 38 | 73% | 20 of 29 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 27 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 16 of 53 | 30% | 13 of 42 | 2 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 48 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks the underdog Omargadzhiev, citing Nurmagomedov's inactivity (only two fights in three years) and tendency to drop the ball as a favorite. He notes Omargadzhiev looked impressive outside the UFC but had a poor debut; he expects a better version to show up. He predicts Omargadzhiev catches Nurmagomedov in a submission, possibly a 'club and sub' off his back.
Cody leans Omargadzhiev, noting that Abubakar is the weakest of the Nurmagomedov family. He thinks Omargadzhiev has better stand-up and power, and that Abubakar's takedowns may not be effective. Cody is not confident and says it's a dog-or-pass situation.
Daniel Levi picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov to win by decision. He thinks Abubakar's fundamentally sound Russian style will be enough against Gadzhi Omargadzhiev, who he is not sold on. Levi notes that Omargadzhiev's regional fights are suspect and that Abubakar showed a jab-heavy game plan in his last fight. He expects Abubakar to grind out a decision.
Paul is confident in Omargadzhiev, calling Abubakar overrated. He notes Omargadzhiev's submission skills and that Abubakar has been submitted before. Paul likes the plus money and has already bet Omargadzhiev at +150. He also likes Omargadzhiev by submission at +1050.
The MMA Guru picks underdog Gadzhi Omargadzhiev over Abubakar Nurmagomedov. He believes Abubakar is past his prime and not as skilled as other Nurmagomedovs, while Omargadzhiev is moving to a more suitable weight class (170 lbs). He predicts a late-round submission win, likely a rear-naked choke, as the fight gets sloppy.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caio Borralho | 0 | 31 of 49 | 63% | 63 of 86 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 10:11 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 0 | 12 of 38 | 31% | 61 of 90 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caio Borralho | 0 | 18 of 26 | 69% | 32 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 4:06 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 31 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 2 | Caio Borralho | 0 | 7 of 11 | 63% | 24 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:54 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 0 | 1 of 12 | 8% | 17 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Caio Borralho | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 7 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:11 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 13 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caio Borralho | 31 of 49 | 63% | 23 of 35 | 4 of 10 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 22 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 12 of 38 | 31% | 6 of 28 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 34 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caio Borralho | 18 of 26 | 69% | 15 of 20 | 1 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 18 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 5 of 10 | 50% | 3 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Caio Borralho | 7 of 11 | 63% | 4 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 1 of 12 | 8% | 1 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Caio Borralho | 6 of 12 | 50% | 4 of 7 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 6 of 16 | 37% | 2 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Gadzhi Omargadzhiev as a slight favorite. He notes that Caio Borralho is a slick grappler with good submissions, but Gadzhi has more power, better wrestling, and better cardio to maintain a wrestling pace. He expects Gadzhi to push forward, get takedowns, and avoid submissions to win a decision. He cautions that Caio's bottom grappling is solid and he has nice sweeps.
Big Brady slightly edges with Caio Borralho (Kyle) as the underdog. He notes Borralho has an eight-inch reach advantage and better striking volume, and he likes his defensive grappling and takedown defense as a BJJ black belt. He sees two paths: either Omargadzhiev takes him down and controls, or Borralho keeps it standing and outstrikes him. Brady leans toward the latter, predicting a decision win for Borralho, but calls it a very tough fight.
Cody picks Borralho as a slight dog, praising his fight IQ, striking, and grappling. He notes Borralho's BJJ and judo black belts and thinks he can survive takedowns and take over as the fight progresses. He sees the line as closer to a pick'em and likes the value.
Daniel Levi leans with Caio Borralho as a +110 underdog, citing Borralho's karate-style striking, activity on the feet, and black belt under Demian Maia which should help his takedown defense and submission defense. He questions Omargadzhiev's undefeated record due to a possible amateur loss after turning pro, and notes that Russian fighters have been getting unfavorable decisions recently. Levi is concerned about Borralho's hands-low defense and lack of proven takedown defense against high-level wrestlers, but believes his training with Maia gives him confidence. He sees it as a 50/50 fight and prefers the dog.
Paul leans towards Omargadzhiev, citing his Dagestani grappling style and ability to take opponents down and grind them out. He thinks Omargadzhiev can neutralize Borralho and win by decision, though he admits he's not highly confident.
The MMA Guru picks Caio Borralho as an underdog, citing his reach advantage and grappling defense. He notes Borralho's grappling match with Jailton Almeida, where he wasn't submitted, and believes he has power to finish. He expects a late first-round TKO.
Expert Picks (5)
Big Brady picks the underdog Omargadzhiev, citing Nurmagomedov's inactivity (only two fights in three years) and tendency to drop the ball as a favorite. He notes Omargadzhiev looked impressive outside the UFC but had a poor debut; he expects a better version to show up. He predicts Omargadzhiev catches Nurmagomedov in a submission, possibly a 'club and sub' off his back.
Cody leans Omargadzhiev, noting that Abubakar is the weakest of the Nurmagomedov family. He thinks Omargadzhiev has better stand-up and power, and that Abubakar's takedowns may not be effective. Cody is not confident and says it's a dog-or-pass situation.
Daniel Levi picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov to win by decision. He thinks Abubakar's fundamentally sound Russian style will be enough against Gadzhi Omargadzhiev, who he is not sold on. Levi notes that Omargadzhiev's regional fights are suspect and that Abubakar showed a jab-heavy game plan in his last fight. He expects Abubakar to grind out a decision.
Paul is confident in Omargadzhiev, calling Abubakar overrated. He notes Omargadzhiev's submission skills and that Abubakar has been submitted before. Paul likes the plus money and has already bet Omargadzhiev at +150. He also likes Omargadzhiev by submission at +1050.
The MMA Guru picks underdog Gadzhi Omargadzhiev over Abubakar Nurmagomedov. He believes Abubakar is past his prime and not as skilled as other Nurmagomedovs, while Omargadzhiev is moving to a more suitable weight class (170 lbs). He predicts a late-round submission win, likely a rear-naked choke, as the fight gets sloppy.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!