vs
+130 -130
UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · Mar 26, 2022 · Featherweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Daukaus
Age 35
Height 5' 11"
Reach 73"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 30
Height 5' 10"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Luis Saldaña
5.16 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
3.65 SApM
60.0% Str. Def.
0.64 TD Avg
17.0% TD Acc.
44.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Bruno Souza
3.73 SLpM
39.0% Str. Acc.
5.3 SApM
45.0% Str. Def.
0.5 TD Avg
16.0% TD Acc.
60.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Luis Saldaña
Moneyline
DraftKings +130
KO/TKO
FanDuel +480
Submission
DraftKings +1200
Decision
FanDuel +260
Bruno Souza
Moneyline
FanDuel -130
KO/TKO
FanDuel +700
Submission
BetRivers +1000
Decision
BetMGM +175
Luis Saldaña - Fight History
LOSS vs Sean Woodson
Draw (split) (29–27, 27–29, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards 2 · Aug 20, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sean Woodson 0 73 of 157 46% 86 of 170 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:22
Luis Saldaña 2 91 of 176 51% 96 of 181 1 of 7 14% 0 0 3:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sean Woodson 0 34 of 55 61% 34 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Luis Saldaña 2 44 of 80 55% 44 of 80 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
2 Sean Woodson 0 15 of 38 39% 23 of 46 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Luis Saldaña 0 18 of 33 54% 20 of 35 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:22
3 Sean Woodson 0 24 of 64 37% 29 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Luis Saldaña 0 29 of 63 46% 32 of 66 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sean Woodson 73 of 157 46% 53 of 133 17 of 19 3 of 5 70 of 154 3 of 3 0 of 0
Luis Saldaña 91 of 176 51% 46 of 108 14 of 24 31 of 44 85 of 166 3 of 5 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sean Woodson 34 of 55 61% 23 of 41 9 of 11 2 of 3 33 of 54 1 of 1 0 of 0
Luis Saldaña 44 of 80 55% 22 of 49 6 of 11 16 of 20 39 of 72 2 of 3 3 of 5
2 Sean Woodson 15 of 38 39% 12 of 34 3 of 3 0 of 1 15 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luis Saldaña 18 of 33 54% 9 of 19 3 of 5 6 of 9 18 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Sean Woodson 24 of 64 37% 18 of 58 5 of 5 1 of 1 22 of 62 2 of 2 0 of 0
Luis Saldaña 29 of 63 46% 15 of 40 5 of 8 9 of 15 28 of 61 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Sean Woodson

Angelo picks Sean Woodson over Luis Saldaña. He praises Woodson's boxing and range management, noting that he actually knows how to use his reach effectively. He acknowledges Saldaña is a versatile striker with good movement, but doubts his 20% takedown accuracy will be enough to get the fight to the ground. Without the takedown threat, Angelo sees this as a kickboxing match where Woodson is the superior striker. He mentions Woodson's 81% takedown defense and recent power showcase.

"the pick is definitely gonna be sean woodson here but saldana has a very clear albeit tough but clear path to victory with the grappling i just don't think he's going to be able to do it"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Sean Woodson

Big Brady is confident in Sean Woodson. He notes that Luis Saldaña has a horrendous gas tank, gassing out in the second round in multiple fights, and puts his hands on his hips or knees when tired. Woodson has a huge reach advantage (79 vs 73 inches) and excellent cardio. Brady expects Woodson to mix in body shots and finish Saldaña in the second or third round by knockout. He believes Saldaña's cardio issues will be his downfall.

Woodson by KO, round 2-3
"i like what's in here i like the reach advantage i think he's gonna have the cardio advantage by a mile um and i think he puts saldana out here in that second or third round so late finish here …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 17, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Sean Woodson

Cody picks Woodson, emphasizing his reach and boxing. He thinks Woodson's jab and range control will be key, and that Saldaña's kicks will be countered. He notes Woodson's output and thinks Saldaña will drown under the pace.

"i got woodson you know that's why i tweet stuff out on saturday because it's like nothing's ever locked in but woodson's gonna need to be one of these guys that's likely high up because he's a relatively okay price …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 17, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Sean Woodson

Daniel Levi picks Sean Woodson to win, citing Woodson's massive physical advantages (6'2" with 78-inch reach at featherweight). He notes that Luis Saldaña has cardio issues even at sea level, and in the elevation of Salt Lake City, Saldaña will fade in the second and third rounds. Levi believes Woodson will pull away down the stretch and has been paying his dues against good competition.

Mentions that Saldaña has cardio dumps in his fights and that elevation will exacerbate that. No specific odds or bet size mentioned.
"I got Sean Woodson to win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Sean Woodson

Woodson's long-range boxing and takedown defense should be too much for Saldaña, who has poor cardio and is not a strong grappler. Woodson will work the body and likely finish late or win a decision. The host likes Woodson inside the distance at +175 or decision at +130.

Mentions Woodson inside the distance (+175) and Woodson decision (+130) as possible props.
"I think woodson kind of rolls in the spot you know his long-range boxing style is going to be tough for us deldonia to get much success with."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 17, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Sean Woodson

Paul picks Woodson, citing his reach advantage and boxing. He thinks Woodson can counter Saldaña's kicks and dictate range. He notes Woodson's output and thinks Saldaña's cardio will be an issue. He likes Woodson as a parlay piece.

"i got woodson you know that's why i tweet stuff out on saturday because it's like nothing's ever locked in but woodson's gonna need to be one of these guys that's likely high up because he's a relatively okay price …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2022 (fight day)
Sean Woodson

The Guru predicts Sean Woodson wins by early second-round TKO. He describes Woodson beating Saldaña with a jab and leg kicks, threatening submissions, and landing body shots and knees. He sees Woodson finishing Saldaña with body shots against the cage in round two.

TKO via body shots in round 2
"sean woodson via early second round tko here"
WIN vs Bruno Souza
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · Mar 26, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luis Saldaña 0 84 of 168 50% 88 of 173 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:36
Bruno Souza 0 66 of 178 37% 68 of 180 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luis Saldaña 0 26 of 57 45% 27 of 58 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:29
Bruno Souza 0 15 of 48 31% 15 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Luis Saldaña 0 24 of 53 45% 25 of 54 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:52
Bruno Souza 0 28 of 70 40% 30 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
3 Luis Saldaña 0 34 of 58 58% 36 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Bruno Souza 0 23 of 60 38% 23 of 60 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luis Saldaña 84 of 168 50% 41 of 109 14 of 22 29 of 37 78 of 161 3 of 4 3 of 3
Bruno Souza 66 of 178 37% 37 of 134 17 of 30 12 of 14 64 of 174 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luis Saldaña 26 of 57 45% 9 of 33 3 of 7 14 of 17 23 of 54 2 of 2 1 of 1
Bruno Souza 15 of 48 31% 6 of 31 4 of 10 5 of 7 15 of 47 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Luis Saldaña 24 of 53 45% 16 of 41 3 of 5 5 of 7 22 of 51 0 of 0 2 of 2
Bruno Souza 28 of 70 40% 13 of 52 9 of 12 6 of 6 27 of 68 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Luis Saldaña 34 of 58 58% 16 of 35 8 of 10 10 of 13 33 of 56 1 of 2 0 of 0
Bruno Souza 23 of 60 38% 18 of 51 4 of 8 1 of 1 22 of 59 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Mar 20, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Luis Saldaña

Angelo picks Luis Saldaña but calls it razor thin. He likes Saldaña's volume and pressure, noting that Bruno Souza's lack of urgency could cost him another decision. He acknowledges Souza's karate-style striking and countering ability but thinks Saldaña's volume will win him a decision if he picks his shots while applying pressure.

"i like louis saldina literally because of the volume"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Luis Saldaña

Big Brady picks Luis Saldaña to win a greasy decision. He notes that Souza has very low volume and doesn't do enough to win minutes, while Saldaña is the better striker with more tools. However, he is concerned about Saldaña's gas tank, as he slows down after the first round. He thinks Saldaña will still throw more volume than Souza and win a close decision.

"I'm going to take luis saldana to win... by probably a really greasy decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Luis Saldaña

Cody picks Saldaña, disagreeing with Paul. He criticizes Souza's low volume and lack of impressive wins. He thinks Saldaña's reach and kicks will be effective. He expects Saldaña to outpoint Souza in the first two rounds and survive the third.

"i think saldana will win and he's close to even"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Mar 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Luis Saldaña

Daniel Levi picks Luis Saldaña hesitantly, giving him one last chance. He notes Saldaña looks great early but fades, but thinks Souza's low-output karate style may not push the pace and cause Saldaña to gas. He is not betting the fight but picks Saldaña to win a decision if his cardio holds.

"I'm willing to give luis saldana one last chance nick"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Luis Saldaña

The host likes Saldaña slightly, noting that Souza tends to fight on the back foot, which will allow Saldaña to set the pace. He expects Saldaña's leg kicks and blitzing to be effective, and thinks Saldaña's durability will hold up. However, he acknowledges Saldaña's gas tank issues when pressured, but believes Souza won't pressure him. He predicts a decision win.

fight goes to decision at -200
"i do like saldana just a little bit here i do think it will be you know a mediocre paste fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Bruno Souza

Paul picks Souza as an underdog, citing his karate style and ability to stay on the outside. He thinks Saldaña's cardio and takedown defense are concerns. He expects Souza to frustrate Saldaña and win a decision.

"he'll be my pick in this situation"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Bruno Souza

The MMA Guru picks Bruno Souza over Luis Saldaña, citing Saldaña's fundamental issues with takedown defense and lack of strength for the featherweight division. He notes that Souza kept it competitive against a much better striker in Melcik Magnussarian, while Saldaña tends to slow down as fights progress. The Guru believes Souza's grappling advantage and ability to build into fights will earn him a split decision win, with Saldaña's only path being a TKO.

"i am gonna go with bruno souza here over luis saldana"
LOSS vs Austin Lingo
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · Aug 21, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Austin Lingo 1 73 of 181 40% 74 of 185 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:31
Luis Saldaña 0 77 of 160 48% 81 of 165 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Austin Lingo 0 24 of 56 42% 24 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luis Saldaña 0 34 of 66 51% 34 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Austin Lingo 0 33 of 81 40% 33 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Luis Saldaña 0 29 of 61 47% 29 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Austin Lingo 1 16 of 44 36% 17 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:19
Luis Saldaña 0 14 of 33 42% 18 of 38 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Austin Lingo 73 of 181 40% 45 of 143 23 of 32 5 of 6 73 of 179 0 of 2 0 of 0
Luis Saldaña 77 of 160 48% 34 of 111 26 of 31 17 of 18 75 of 158 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Austin Lingo 24 of 56 42% 16 of 46 6 of 8 2 of 2 24 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luis Saldaña 34 of 66 51% 16 of 45 11 of 13 7 of 8 34 of 66 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Austin Lingo 33 of 81 40% 20 of 64 10 of 13 3 of 4 33 of 79 0 of 2 0 of 0
Luis Saldaña 29 of 61 47% 12 of 43 10 of 11 7 of 7 27 of 59 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Austin Lingo 16 of 44 36% 9 of 33 7 of 11 0 of 0 16 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luis Saldaña 14 of 33 42% 6 of 23 5 of 7 3 of 3 14 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 17, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Austin Lingo

Big Brady picks Austin Lingo as a dog, but with low confidence. He likes Lingo's pressure and power, and notes both fighters are finishers. He thinks the fight will end in a knockout and picks Lingo to close the distance and land a hard shot. He also mentions the under 2.5 rounds as a solid bet.

under 2.5 rounds
"i'm actually going to take the dog shot on the lingo as far as the pick goes i don't think i'll get there from a betting perspective if anything i think the under two and a half's a solid look"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 18, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Luis Saldaña

Cody leans toward Saldaña, citing his flashy striking, mobility, and ability to stay at range. He notes Lingo's power but questions his cardio and experience in longer fights. He expects a close decision and sees value on Saldaña.

Fight goes to decision; over 2.5 rounds (-140)
"luis saldana is my pick no bet"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Luis Saldaña

Saldana is a great striker with good combinations and kicks, and he can fight off his back foot. Lingo has knockout power but tends to follow opponents rather than cut off the cage, which plays into Saldana's matador style. I think Saldana cruises to a decision unless Lingo lands a clean shot early.

"i like saldana here uh again one of my stronger reads as long as he doesn't get knocked out early here i do think that he cruises and absolutely beats up osceola"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Luis Saldaña

Paul picks Saldaña, highlighting his kick-heavy range game and ability to matador Lingo. He notes Lingo's tendency to load up and tire, and believes Saldaña can maintain distance and outpoint him. He expects the fight to go the distance.

Over 2.5 rounds (-135); fight goes the distance (-125)
"i honestly think he gets matador saldana stays at the outside chips away again this thing's gonna be close it's gonna be competitive"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Austin Lingo

The MMA Guru picks Austin Lingo as an underdog. He sees red flags in Saldaña's game, especially poor takedown defense and losses to lower-level opponents. Lingo is well-rounded with good cardio, grappling, and a good chin. He believes Lingo can exploit Saldaña's holes and get an upset win.

"i'm gonna go over austin lingo here as an underdog in all honesty i think he's well-rounded he's got good cardio he's got good grappling he's got a good chin"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Vettori vs. Holland · Apr 10, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luis Saldaña 0 36 of 88 40% 40 of 94 0 of 0 --- 1 1 2:18
Jordan Griffin 0 33 of 69 47% 39 of 77 4 of 7 57% 2 1 6:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luis Saldaña 0 19 of 48 39% 19 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jordan Griffin 0 18 of 42 42% 20 of 45 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:13
2 Luis Saldaña 0 9 of 15 60% 10 of 16 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:30
Jordan Griffin 0 4 of 10 40% 4 of 11 2 of 2 100% 1 0 3:17
3 Luis Saldaña 0 8 of 25 32% 11 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:48
Jordan Griffin 0 11 of 17 64% 15 of 21 0 of 2 0% 1 1 0:48
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luis Saldaña 36 of 88 40% 19 of 67 8 of 10 9 of 11 30 of 79 6 of 9 0 of 0
Jordan Griffin 33 of 69 47% 22 of 55 9 of 11 2 of 3 27 of 60 4 of 6 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luis Saldaña 19 of 48 39% 10 of 37 3 of 4 6 of 7 17 of 45 2 of 3 0 of 0
Jordan Griffin 18 of 42 42% 14 of 36 4 of 5 0 of 1 16 of 39 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Luis Saldaña 9 of 15 60% 4 of 9 4 of 5 1 of 1 6 of 12 3 of 3 0 of 0
Jordan Griffin 4 of 10 40% 2 of 7 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 7 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Luis Saldaña 8 of 25 32% 5 of 21 1 of 1 2 of 3 7 of 22 1 of 3 0 of 0
Jordan Griffin 11 of 17 64% 6 of 12 4 of 4 1 of 1 9 of 14 0 of 0 2 of 3
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jordan Griffin

Big Brady picks Griffin to win by decision, leaning on the underdog. He notes that Saldaña has limited available tape and has faced poor competition, while Griffin has more UFC experience and a solid grappling game. Brady expects Griffin to use takedowns and grind out a close decision, though he is not overly confident. He thinks the line should be closer to a pick'em.

"i'm kind of going to go with jordan griffin by decision not overly confident in it"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jordan Griffin

Cody leans Griffin as a dog, citing his experience and grappling advantage. He notes Saldaña's wins are over lower competition and that Griffin has fought tougher opponents. He thinks Griffin can win if he gets takedowns.

"isn't it dogger pass as much as saul has straight up a dog"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Apr 9, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Luis Saldaña

Daniel Levi picks Luis Saldaña, citing the 'Fight Ready' gym effect and Saldaña's improved kickboxing. He notes that Jordan Griffin makes questionable mistakes and has poor wrestling defense. Levi thinks Saldaña will separate himself in the later rounds with his kickboxing and win a close decision. He acknowledges that Griffin could be a live dog but goes with Saldaña.

"I'm gonna go to luis saldana here via a very close competitive decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jordan Griffin

The host thinks Griffin's best path is to make it a grinding, dirty fight by clinching and taking Saldaña down. He notes that Saldaña looked great on the Contender Series but that Griffin has more UFC experience and a better chance of getting the fight to the ground. He picks Griffin to win by decision, though he acknowledges that Saldaña is a flashy striker who could land a head kick.

Griffin by decision
"i'm actually going to side with griffin here i think he's going to be able to do that against saldana"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jordan Griffin

Paul leans Griffin, noting his grappling advantage and Saldaña's lack of notable wins. He thinks Griffin's experience and ability to take rounds could be key. He calls it a dogger pass.

"i think there is a massive grappling advantage for griffin"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Apr 4, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Luis Saldaña

The MMA Guru picks Luis Saldaña but expresses doubt. He notes Saldaña has been submitted before but has improved his takedown defense with Henry Cejudo's help. He thinks Saldaña's front kicks to the body will be effective against Griffin, who is a great grappler. He predicts Saldaña will lose the first round but win the next two for a 29-28 decision.

"i'm going to say louis saudarna but trust me if you see jordan griffin beat this man know that i question myself"
Bruno Souza - Fight History
LOSS vs Luis Saldaña
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · Mar 26, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luis Saldaña 0 84 of 168 50% 88 of 173 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:36
Bruno Souza 0 66 of 178 37% 68 of 180 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luis Saldaña 0 26 of 57 45% 27 of 58 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:29
Bruno Souza 0 15 of 48 31% 15 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Luis Saldaña 0 24 of 53 45% 25 of 54 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:52
Bruno Souza 0 28 of 70 40% 30 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
3 Luis Saldaña 0 34 of 58 58% 36 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Bruno Souza 0 23 of 60 38% 23 of 60 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luis Saldaña 84 of 168 50% 41 of 109 14 of 22 29 of 37 78 of 161 3 of 4 3 of 3
Bruno Souza 66 of 178 37% 37 of 134 17 of 30 12 of 14 64 of 174 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luis Saldaña 26 of 57 45% 9 of 33 3 of 7 14 of 17 23 of 54 2 of 2 1 of 1
Bruno Souza 15 of 48 31% 6 of 31 4 of 10 5 of 7 15 of 47 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Luis Saldaña 24 of 53 45% 16 of 41 3 of 5 5 of 7 22 of 51 0 of 0 2 of 2
Bruno Souza 28 of 70 40% 13 of 52 9 of 12 6 of 6 27 of 68 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Luis Saldaña 34 of 58 58% 16 of 35 8 of 10 10 of 13 33 of 56 1 of 2 0 of 0
Bruno Souza 23 of 60 38% 18 of 51 4 of 8 1 of 1 22 of 59 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Mar 20, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Luis Saldaña

Angelo picks Luis Saldaña but calls it razor thin. He likes Saldaña's volume and pressure, noting that Bruno Souza's lack of urgency could cost him another decision. He acknowledges Souza's karate-style striking and countering ability but thinks Saldaña's volume will win him a decision if he picks his shots while applying pressure.

"i like louis saldina literally because of the volume"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Luis Saldaña

Big Brady picks Luis Saldaña to win a greasy decision. He notes that Souza has very low volume and doesn't do enough to win minutes, while Saldaña is the better striker with more tools. However, he is concerned about Saldaña's gas tank, as he slows down after the first round. He thinks Saldaña will still throw more volume than Souza and win a close decision.

"I'm going to take luis saldana to win... by probably a really greasy decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Luis Saldaña

Cody picks Saldaña, disagreeing with Paul. He criticizes Souza's low volume and lack of impressive wins. He thinks Saldaña's reach and kicks will be effective. He expects Saldaña to outpoint Souza in the first two rounds and survive the third.

"i think saldana will win and he's close to even"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Mar 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Luis Saldaña

Daniel Levi picks Luis Saldaña hesitantly, giving him one last chance. He notes Saldaña looks great early but fades, but thinks Souza's low-output karate style may not push the pace and cause Saldaña to gas. He is not betting the fight but picks Saldaña to win a decision if his cardio holds.

"I'm willing to give luis saldana one last chance nick"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Luis Saldaña

The host likes Saldaña slightly, noting that Souza tends to fight on the back foot, which will allow Saldaña to set the pace. He expects Saldaña's leg kicks and blitzing to be effective, and thinks Saldaña's durability will hold up. However, he acknowledges Saldaña's gas tank issues when pressured, but believes Souza won't pressure him. He predicts a decision win.

fight goes to decision at -200
"i do like saldana just a little bit here i do think it will be you know a mediocre paste fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Bruno Souza

Paul picks Souza as an underdog, citing his karate style and ability to stay on the outside. He thinks Saldaña's cardio and takedown defense are concerns. He expects Souza to frustrate Saldaña and win a decision.

"he'll be my pick in this situation"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Bruno Souza

The MMA Guru picks Bruno Souza over Luis Saldaña, citing Saldaña's fundamental issues with takedown defense and lack of strength for the featherweight division. He notes that Souza kept it competitive against a much better striker in Melcik Magnussarian, while Saldaña tends to slow down as fights progress. The Guru believes Souza's grappling advantage and ability to build into fights will earn him a split decision win, with Saldaña's only path being a TKO.

"i am gonna go with bruno souza here over luis saldana"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · Nov 06, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Melsik Baghdasaryan 0 75 of 124 60% 77 of 126 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Bruno Souza 0 46 of 103 44% 47 of 104 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Melsik Baghdasaryan 0 21 of 36 58% 23 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Bruno Souza 0 11 of 24 45% 12 of 25 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:40
2 Melsik Baghdasaryan 0 31 of 43 72% 31 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Bruno Souza 0 16 of 37 43% 16 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Melsik Baghdasaryan 0 23 of 45 51% 23 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bruno Souza 0 19 of 42 45% 19 of 42 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Melsik Baghdasaryan 75 of 124 60% 26 of 63 25 of 32 24 of 29 68 of 117 7 of 7 0 of 0
Bruno Souza 46 of 103 44% 27 of 70 13 of 24 6 of 9 41 of 96 5 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Melsik Baghdasaryan 21 of 36 58% 4 of 14 8 of 10 9 of 12 18 of 33 3 of 3 0 of 0
Bruno Souza 11 of 24 45% 5 of 14 5 of 8 1 of 2 10 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Melsik Baghdasaryan 31 of 43 72% 13 of 21 8 of 11 10 of 11 29 of 41 2 of 2 0 of 0
Bruno Souza 16 of 37 43% 12 of 27 2 of 6 2 of 4 14 of 35 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Melsik Baghdasaryan 23 of 45 51% 9 of 28 9 of 11 5 of 6 21 of 43 2 of 2 0 of 0
Bruno Souza 19 of 42 45% 10 of 29 6 of 10 3 of 3 17 of 38 2 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Bruno Souza (148.4: Missed Weight)

Round 1
Just like the last fight, a newcomer trying to introduce themselves to the promotion misses weight, as Souza (10-1, 0-0 UFC) clocked in at 148.4 pounds for his featherweight tilt against Baghdasaryan (6-1, 1-0 UFC). The young man out of Glendale Fighting Club will undoubtedly try to make the Brazilian pay for coming in heavy, but there is still a slight sign of respect when they touch gloves. Referee Todd Anderson takes charge of the cage, and Baghdasaryan starts off with a sweeping leg kick. The two strikers get back to kicking range, with Baghdasaryan swiping out low with leg kicks. Souza leads off with a right hand and ducks away before getting countered. The Brazilian lets loose with a body kick, and he loudly kiais after throwing it. Baghdasaryan targets the calf of his opponent with a thudding kick, and he ducks when Souza swings a right hand at him. Baghdasaryan calmly walks towards his opponent, making the newcomer circle around the cage as the crowd is not enjoying the lack of action. Out of nowhere, Souza leaps in the air with a flying knee, and it gets blocked and he returns to circling away. As Souza throws a body kick, Baghdasaryan counters him with a clean left hand. Baghdasaryan’s advancement has led to him dropping his hands, not afraid of what Souza throws at him. Baghdasaryan gets off a single punch to the body, and he just misses with a high kick. Souza fires a pair of kick at his opponent to back him away, but Baghdasaryan continues stalking him and slings a spinning back kick. “The Gun” shoots off a leg kick, and Souza’s lead leg is showing some serious damage. A big leg kick from Baghdasaryan makes Souza shoot in for a single, and he picks Baghdasaryan’s leg up in the air while Baghdasaryan tries to defend with a choke attempt. Souza ties his foe’s leg up but he cannot hit the trip he is seeking, and instead eats a few knees for his effort. Baghdasaryan gets away with a fence grab, and Anderson slaps his hand away from it to let go. This forces them to break apart, and Souza scores a stabbing body kick and a right hand on his way outside. Souza spins with a wheel kick, and although it gets blocked, the impact of the strike knocks Souza into the wall as he stumbles back. Souza gets back up and lands a body kick, and he fires a right hand that misses. Baghdasaryan slaps him in the face – open-handed strikes are so hot right now – and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan

Round 2
They think to touch gloves, but instead, Baghdasaryan is ready to throw a kick at him. This allows Souza to preemptively tag him in the face with a right hand and wobble his legs. Souza pushes through a kick to knock Baghdasaryan on his back, but he lets him up instead of pursuing any ground strikes of merit. A kick from Baghdasaryan makes Souza take several steps back, as if he is hurt, but the Brazilian is quick to get back to his active movement and circling. The strategic nature of Souza’s style has grown ire from the crowd, as the lack of engagement is boring to their eyes. The chess match continues as Souza keeps circling and taking potshots, while Baghdasaryan swings and misses. A low kick grazes into Souza’s cup, but he does not want to slow down. Instead, he swarms Baghdasaryan with punches, and Baghdasaryan greets him with a right hand counter to stop that salvo in its tracks. They come together, and Baghdasaryan just misses with a knee. Baghdasaryan continues to sporadically target the lead leg with kicks, and Souza’s leg appears badly damaged. One kick from “The Gun” makes Souza’s knee buckle, and he falls forward to try to take the fight down. When it is not there, he hops back and is limping. Baghdasaryan crashes the pocket, and he gets stopped when Souza defends with a standing guillotine choke. They resume distance kickboxing range, and Baghdasaryan clips his opponent with a left hand after Souza misses with strikes. Souza boots the body with his shin, and he sticks out a sharp jab to intercept a kicking Baghdasaryan. They both kick at the same time, and Souza lands and gets off a straight right hand. Baghdasaryan has his fingers outstretched, and Anderson has gotten tired warning him for it. This lights a fire under Souza, who starts throwing caution to the wind and tagging Baghdasaryan. The Californian by way of Armenia returns fire and staggers Souza with a right hand, but he does not follow it up and lets Souza get himself back in the fight. The round ends as Baghdasaryan retreats.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Baghdasaryan

Round 3
Anderson gives Baghdasaryan one final warning for outstretched fingers before the start of the round, and they get after it. Souza throws kicks with body legs, and he eats a left hand and starts grinning. Two heavy punches slam into Baghdasaryan’s chin from a one-two, and Souza backs away before counters can reach him. Baghdasaryan goes over the top with a kick, and he misses by an inch. Souza chips away with leg kicks and stays elusive, as fans and Baghdasaryan are similarly frustrated by his approach. Souza darts in, lands a punch, and backs off. Suddenly, he sneaks in with a takedown try, but Baghdasaryan stops it standing and pushes him away. A big leg kick from Baghdasaryan draws a visible reaction out of his opponent, and Souza chomps on his gumshield to sling a pair of wide hooks. Baghdasaryan targets the lead leg again, and Souza takes it back before returning to southpaw for more punishment. The Brazilian steps in with a knee, and they exchange hands, with Baghdasaryan answering with a knee after they trade. Souza blitzes forward with punches, and they hit nothing but air. Baghdasaryan swings a kick to the body, and when it misses, Souza returns fire with one that connects. Souza is able to block a head kick, and he counters a subsequent kick try with a left hand over the top. Souza stays on his bike away from the more dangerous strikes that come at him, ducking and dodging strikes before ducking into a single. Souza lifts his foe’s leg up, but he cannot ground him, with Baghdasaryan hopping out of harm’s way and returning to the middle of the Octagon. Souza swings wildly, and Baghdasaryan sees the blows coming and avoids them. The number of inaccurate strikes by both men has drawn unease from the crowd, as they are giving it to them during inactive stretches. Souza swings a high kick and tags Baghdasaryan with a right hand, only to get nailed with one of his own on the way out. Souza eats a punch and returns with one of his own, and when the final horn bells and they hug it out, the crowd rains down boos.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Souza (29-28 Baghdasaryan)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Souza (29-28 Baghdasaryan)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Souza (29-28 Baghdasaryan)

The Official Result
Melsik Baghdasaryan def. Bruno Souza via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Souza

Angelo picks Bruno Souza, the counter-striker with a karate style, to weather Baghdasaryan's early storm and win a decision. He notes Souza's timing, takedowns, submissions, and champion experience. However, he admits he is not confident enough to place a moneyline bet, as Baghdasaryan's power and forward pressure are real threats. He sees this as a clash of styles where Souza's matador approach could work.

"i'm gonna take the counter striker to weather the early storm and ride out a decision literally just hopping in and out staying away from the big power"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Melsik Baghdasaryan

Big Brady is high on Melsik Baghdasaryan, praising his striking and power. He notes Baghdasaryan's takedown defense and get-up game are solid, and he doesn't think Bruno Souza will pose a threat on the feet. Brady watched four of Souza's fights and was unimpressed, calling him a low-volume, kick-heavy fighter who doesn't go for takedowns. He predicts Baghdasaryan will knock Souza out, as the line could be even wider.

win by knockout
"give me a message in bagassarine to win give me melzering baghdasarian to win by knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Melsik Baghdasaryan

Cody picks Baghdasaryan, citing his power and finishing ability. He notes Souza's hittable karate style and lack of power. He expects Baghdasaryan to catch Souza and KO him inside the distance.

"give me a melsic vegetarian by ko inside the distance"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 4, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Melsik Baghdasaryan

Daniel Levi picks Melsik Baghdasaryan, favoring his Muay Thai over Bruno Souza's karate style. He notes that Baghdasaryan is a K-1 striker with over 100 kickboxing matches, and that his left kick and straight left are powerful. Levi acknowledges that Souza is a Machida protege with good experience, but believes Baghdasaryan has a higher ceiling and can handle grappling. He expects a late knockout or decision win.

third round knockout
"i see him getting the uh a win here it could be a late knockout"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Melsik Baghdasaryan

Jacob strongly disagrees with Angelo, picking Melsik Baghdasaryan. He calls Souza a 'weirdo' with a slow, awkward karate style, noting that three of his wins are split decisions and one is a DQ. He believes Baghdasaryan's aggression, power, and finishing ability will overwhelm Souza, especially if he pressures him against the fence where the karate stance becomes ineffective. Jacob expects an early finish.

"i like milsic to absolutely dominate dominate this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Melsik Baghdasaryan

The host likes Baghdasaryan's power and aggression but worries about his gas tank. He thinks Baghdasaryan will likely win by knockout early, but if it goes past the first round, Souza's elusiveness could cause problems. He prefers the KO prop at +150 or round 1 prop at +300 rather than the moneyline. He also considers a small sprinkle on Souza round 3 at +2000.

Baghdasaryan by KO (+150), Baghdasaryan round 1 (+300), Souza round 3 (+2000)
"i'm going bhagasarian first round ko"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Melsik Baghdasaryan

Paul picks Baghdasaryan, expecting a KO. He notes Souza's hittable style and Baghdasaryan's power. He bets under 2.5 rounds, fight doesn't go to decision, and Baghdasaryan by KO.

under 2.5 rounds (+115), fight doesn't go to decision (+100), Baghdasaryan by KO (+160)
"melsic by knockouts like plus 160 right now"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Melsik Baghdasaryan

The Guru trusts Melsik Baghdasaryan, noting his kickboxing and boxing background, and his impressive Contender Series wins. He believes Baghdasaryan is superior on the feet and has adequate ground game to work back up. He also factors in Souza taking the fight on short notice, which may affect his cardio. The Guru predicts a TKO finish for Baghdasaryan.

"I trust melcyk baghdasarian here to get this one done against bruno silva his short notice replacement."
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Mar 20, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Luis Saldaña

Angelo picks Luis Saldaña but calls it razor thin. He likes Saldaña's volume and pressure, noting that Bruno Souza's lack of urgency could cost him another decision. He acknowledges Souza's karate-style striking and countering ability but thinks Saldaña's volume will win him a decision if he picks his shots while applying pressure.

"i like louis saldina literally because of the volume"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Luis Saldaña

Big Brady picks Luis Saldaña to win a greasy decision. He notes that Souza has very low volume and doesn't do enough to win minutes, while Saldaña is the better striker with more tools. However, he is concerned about Saldaña's gas tank, as he slows down after the first round. He thinks Saldaña will still throw more volume than Souza and win a close decision.

"I'm going to take luis saldana to win... by probably a really greasy decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Luis Saldaña

Cody picks Saldaña, disagreeing with Paul. He criticizes Souza's low volume and lack of impressive wins. He thinks Saldaña's reach and kicks will be effective. He expects Saldaña to outpoint Souza in the first two rounds and survive the third.

"i think saldana will win and he's close to even"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Mar 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Luis Saldaña

Daniel Levi picks Luis Saldaña hesitantly, giving him one last chance. He notes Saldaña looks great early but fades, but thinks Souza's low-output karate style may not push the pace and cause Saldaña to gas. He is not betting the fight but picks Saldaña to win a decision if his cardio holds.

"I'm willing to give luis saldana one last chance nick"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Luis Saldaña

The host likes Saldaña slightly, noting that Souza tends to fight on the back foot, which will allow Saldaña to set the pace. He expects Saldaña's leg kicks and blitzing to be effective, and thinks Saldaña's durability will hold up. However, he acknowledges Saldaña's gas tank issues when pressured, but believes Souza won't pressure him. He predicts a decision win.

fight goes to decision at -200
"i do like saldana just a little bit here i do think it will be you know a mediocre paste fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Bruno Souza

Paul picks Souza as an underdog, citing his karate style and ability to stay on the outside. He thinks Saldaña's cardio and takedown defense are concerns. He expects Souza to frustrate Saldaña and win a decision.

"he'll be my pick in this situation"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Bruno Souza

The MMA Guru picks Bruno Souza over Luis Saldaña, citing Saldaña's fundamental issues with takedown defense and lack of strength for the featherweight division. He notes that Souza kept it competitive against a much better striker in Melcik Magnussarian, while Saldaña tends to slow down as fights progress. The Guru believes Souza's grappling advantage and ability to build into fights will earn him a split decision win, with Saldaña's only path being a TKO.

"i am gonna go with bruno souza here over luis saldana"