UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · Mar 16, 2019 · Welterweight · Completed
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Age 43
Height 5' 11"
Reach 71"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 38
Height 6' 1"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Cláudio Silva
2.48 SLpM
42.0% Str. Acc.
3.0 SApM
46.0% Str. Def.
2.85 TD Avg
26.0% TD Acc.
44.0% TD Def.
1.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Danny Roberts
3.18 SLpM
39.0% Str. Acc.
3.73 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
0.24 TD Avg
9.0% TD Acc.
57.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Cláudio Silva - Fight History
LOSS vs Nicolas Dalby
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · Jul 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nicolas Dalby 0 11 of 21 52% 46 of 59 4 of 12 33% 0 0 7:17
Cláudio Silva 0 45 of 94 47% 61 of 114 1 of 1 100% 1 1 4:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nicolas Dalby 0 0 of 2 0% 25 of 30 1 of 4 25% 0 0 4:11
Cláudio Silva 0 0 of 1 0% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Nicolas Dalby 0 6 of 10 60% 10 of 14 2 of 6 33% 0 0 1:50
Cláudio Silva 0 31 of 57 54% 38 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:58
3 Nicolas Dalby 0 5 of 9 55% 11 of 15 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:16
Cláudio Silva 0 14 of 36 38% 21 of 44 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nicolas Dalby 11 of 21 52% 4 of 13 4 of 5 3 of 3 11 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0
Cláudio Silva 45 of 94 47% 32 of 78 9 of 12 4 of 4 21 of 59 16 of 21 8 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nicolas Dalby 0 of 2 0% 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cláudio Silva 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Nicolas Dalby 6 of 10 60% 3 of 7 2 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 9 0 of 1 0 of 0
Cláudio Silva 31 of 57 54% 21 of 45 7 of 9 3 of 3 14 of 34 15 of 20 2 of 3
3 Nicolas Dalby 5 of 9 55% 1 of 5 2 of 2 2 of 2 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cláudio Silva 14 of 36 38% 11 of 32 2 of 3 1 of 1 7 of 24 1 of 1 6 of 11
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Nicolas Dalby vs. Claudio Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dalby (-250), Silva (+210)

Round 1
The venue isn’t completely full for the first prelim of the card in London, but those who are present seem to be fully engaged. Lukasz Bosacki will be the third man in the cage for this welterweight bout. Silva takes the center of the cage and shoots for a takedown, driving Dalby into the fence. Silva clings to a single leg, but Dalby hops around and maintains his balance while fighting his opponent’s hands. “Hannibal” finally yanks his foe down and passes quickly to full mount. Silva stays heavy on top as Dalby attempts to buck him off. Thus far, those efforts are unsuccessful. Dalby stays active and recaptures half guard, but Silva is still in control. Dalby posts in hopes of standing, but Silva grabs the arm and plants the Dane on his back with time winding down. Silva ends the round on top with mild ground-and-pound, much to the displeasure of the crowd. 10-9 Silva.

Round 2
Silva steps in with a front kick and Dalby responds with a leg kick that makes the Brazilian wobble. Silva has seen enough as he shoots and takes Dalby down near the fence. Dalby gives up his back as he stands, and “Hannibal” secures a body triangle and drags him right back down. Silva looks for openings to slide his arm underneath Dalby’s chin. Dalby resists and is able to turn out of the predicament, setting up in Silva’s full guard. Dalby creates some space and drops a heavy elbow that draws a roar from the London throng. Silva works his way up and eats a right hand. Dalby sprawls on a shot and lands a knee to the head. Silva looks tired as he circles away, but the Brazilian resets and pushes Dalby into the fence. Dalby defends and lands another solid right hand. Dalby is gaining momentum, and he tees off with a head kick and more punches. Dalby shoves Silva into the fence and lands a hard series of knees to the midsection. The tide has turned completely at this point, and Dalby keeps the knees going. Silva is exhausted, holding his hands low. Silva ties up Dalby in the waning seconds and absorbs a knee and a left hook before the horn. 10-9 Dalby.

Round 3
Dalby just misses on a head kick, but a low kick finds the mark. Silva shoots and Dalby defends, shoving “Hannibal” down to the mat with ease. Dalby follows his man down to the mat and sets up in his foe’s full guard. Dalby works to create space for elbows while Silva controls his wrists. Another short elbow lands on the chest of Silva. Dalby drops an elbow and grinds his forearm into Silva’s neck. Silva appears to just be holding on for dear life. One of those elbows appears to have opened a cut on Silva, and blood is dripping on the Octagon floor. Dalby frees himself from guard and stands up. Silva is slow to rise and Dalby lands a glancing head kick. Silva steps in with an elbow, but his offense is mostly slow and fatigued. A left hand lands clean for Dalby. Silva executes a beautiful level change behind a winging hook and gets Dalby down. Dalby attempts an omoplata sweep, and at the very least, it stops Silva from advancing position. After a brief stalemate, a scramble ensues and Silva lands mild ground-and-pound. Dalby is able to scramble back up just before the horn. 10-9 Dalby (29-28 Dalby).

The Official Result
Nicolas Dalby def. Claudio Silva via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-27) R3 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 17, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Nicolas Dalby

Angelo picks Dalby despite acknowledging it's a tough fight with both guys having long layoffs. He notes Dalby is the better striker with real power but is hittable, while Silva has relentless grappling pressure but only 25% takedown accuracy and cardio issues. He believes Dalby's toughness will keep him alive and Silva will gas, allowing Dalby to win.

"i got to go dolby here because even though he is hittable he's very tough and unlike other opponents who out grappled him like tim means peter sabatta claudio will gasp and keep dolby live this entire fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Nicolas Dalby

Big Brady picks Nicolas Dalby to win by decision. He notes that Cláudio Silva is 39, has a poor gas tank, and is essentially 'round one submission or bust.' Dalby is the much better striker and should survive the first round, then pick Silva apart. He also mentions Silva has never been finished and Dalby has never been submitted, so a decision is likely.

Dalby by decision
"give me nicholas dalby to win um nicolas dalby to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Nicolas Dalby

Cody picks Nicolas Dalby, calling Silva a bum. He notes Silva has poor cardio, low volume, and is 39 years old. Cody thinks Dalby's cardio and pressure will be too much. He suggests live betting Dalby if he loses the first round but doesn't get submitted. Cody is confident Dalby wins.

live betting: if Dalby loses first round but doesn't get submitted, hammer Dalby moneyline
"i gotta say this is ain't gonna go well for him"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Nicolas Dalby

Daniel Levi picks Nicolas Dalby, arguing that Cláudio Silva is past his prime at 41-42 years old. He acknowledges Silva's dangerous grappling and striking power in his prime, but believes Dalby's forward pressure and high kicks will be too much. Levi notes that Dalby has a history of surviving early trouble and coming back, and has been competitive with tough opponents.

"i think he gets this one a couple of years ago i would have taken the shot on claudio silva i just think that he's past that point in his career now"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Nicolas Dalby

Dalby should win if he manages his gas tank and keeps the fight standing, but I don't trust him at -250. Silva is a dangerous submission threat and Dalby has a history of sketchy wins. I'm picking Dalby to win but he'll make you sweat for your money.

Claudio Silva round 1 submission +1000 mentioned as a possible sprinkle
"I do not trust Nicholas dalby at minus 250 he should win this fight... but I'm gonna pick him to win this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cláudio Silva

Paul picks Cláudio Silva by submission at +500, calling it a dogger pass. He doesn't love Silva's stand-up but thinks if Silva can get the fight to the ground, he has a chance. Paul notes Dalby has been submitted before. He is hesitant and will watch weigh-ins.

Silva by submission +500
"dogger pass for me what about you"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Nicolas Dalby

The MMA Guru picks Nicolas Dalby to win by unanimous decision. He criticizes Cláudio Silva's recent performances, noting Silva looks like a man without testosterone and has shown no skill since 2019. Dalby is a physical athlete who rarely gets finished and can push the pace. The Guru expects Dalby to dominate positional control and win on the feet.

unanimous decision
"i'm going to go if nicolas dalby winning this one unanimous decision dominating positional control over claudio silva"
LOSS vs Court McGee
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · May 22, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Court McGee 0 37 of 74 50% 110 of 157 3 of 5 60% 1 0 8:03
Cláudio Silva 0 21 of 56 37% 81 of 126 1 of 10 10% 0 0 1:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Court McGee 0 10 of 30 33% 29 of 50 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:51
Cláudio Silva 0 6 of 24 25% 13 of 33 0 of 5 0% 0 0 1:09
2 Court McGee 0 16 of 25 64% 36 of 48 0 of 1 0% 1 0 3:35
Cláudio Silva 0 3 of 11 27% 15 of 25 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:22
3 Court McGee 0 11 of 19 57% 45 of 59 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:37
Cláudio Silva 0 12 of 21 57% 53 of 68 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Court McGee 37 of 74 50% 22 of 53 9 of 14 6 of 7 23 of 58 2 of 3 12 of 13
Cláudio Silva 21 of 56 37% 8 of 36 9 of 15 4 of 5 19 of 52 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Court McGee 10 of 30 33% 4 of 19 3 of 7 3 of 4 10 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cláudio Silva 6 of 24 25% 2 of 16 1 of 4 3 of 4 6 of 23 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Court McGee 16 of 25 64% 13 of 22 2 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 13 1 of 2 9 of 10
Cláudio Silva 3 of 11 27% 1 of 8 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Court McGee 11 of 19 57% 5 of 12 4 of 5 2 of 2 7 of 15 1 of 1 3 of 3
Cláudio Silva 12 of 21 57% 5 of 12 6 of 8 1 of 1 11 of 19 1 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 18, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Court McGee

Big Brady picks McGee, expecting him to survive Silva's dangerous first round and take over in rounds 2 and 3 due to superior cardio and output. He notes Silva's cardio fades, McGee's never been submitted, and his takedown defense and get-up game are solid. He predicts a 29-28 decision or late finish.

McGee by decision or late finish
"i will take court mckee to survive that first round not get submitted"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Court McGee

Cody Saftic picks Court McGee, expressing frustration with Cláudio Silva's ugly style but acknowledging Silva's ability to win. He believes McGee's cardio and durability will allow him to survive Silva's early takedowns and win the later rounds. Saftic notes that Silva has poor striking and takedowns, and that McGee is a good gatekeeper who should be able to sprawl and brawl. He suggests a live bet on McGee if Silva wins the first round.

live bet McGee
"i'm gonna go with court mcgee uh but there's not a whole lot of guys in the ufc i would bet court mcgee over at this point"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 20, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Cláudio Silva

Daniel Levi picks Cláudio Silva, citing Silva's aggression, opportunistic style, and world-class jiu-jitsu. He notes that Court McGee's style hasn't evolved, he's been getting dropped in fights, and he's 3-7 in his last 10. He predicts Silva will take McGee down and submit him, possibly becoming the first man to submit McGee. He also thinks Silva could win a decision if it goes three rounds.

first round submission
"i personally think claudio is going to take him down one time and the fight's going to be over shortly after but if it becomes a three-round war i also take lajo there as well but i'm going to say …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Court McGee

Matt picks Court McGee by decision, but with very low confidence, calling it a stay-away fight. He notes McGee has looked past his prime, while Silva has a poor gas tank. He thinks McGee can nullify Silva's takedowns and pick him apart on the feet as Silva fades. However, he acknowledges Silva's elite jiu-jitsu is a threat, and McGee has never been submitted. He mentions a possible third-round finish for McGee at +1600 but is not confident.

Court McGee round 3 (+1600)
"i'll go core mcgee i think he ends up staying away from the takedowns and just picks apart claudio silva"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 19, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Court McGee

Paul Shaughnessy agrees with McGee, noting that Silva is frustrating to watch and that McGee has better cardio and durability. He believes McGee will win the second and third rounds after surviving Silva's early grappling. He mentions that Silva's wins are often close decisions and that McGee is the logical choice.

"for that reason i gotta go with court mcgee am i super pumped up about that no um but to me it's the logical and it's the right choice"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked May 22, 2021 (fight day)
Cláudio Silva

The MMA Guru predicts Cláudio Silva will win by split decision in a very close fight. He expects McGee to outstrike Silva on the feet, but Silva will time takedowns and have close submission attempts that sway the rounds in his favor. He compares it to the Bobby Green vs Thiago Moises fight, but with Silva winning this time.

"i'm going to be going with claudio silva by split decision"
LOSS vs James Krause
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · Oct 18, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
James Krause 0 64 of 214 29% 66 of 216 2 of 12 16% 0 0 0:58
Cláudio Silva 0 94 of 159 59% 96 of 162 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 James Krause 0 17 of 57 29% 19 of 59 2 of 7 28% 0 0 0:58
Cláudio Silva 0 31 of 52 59% 33 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
2 James Krause 0 18 of 65 27% 18 of 65 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Cláudio Silva 0 31 of 49 63% 31 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
3 James Krause 0 29 of 92 31% 29 of 92 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Cláudio Silva 0 32 of 58 55% 32 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
James Krause 64 of 214 29% 30 of 143 11 of 43 23 of 28 64 of 214 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cláudio Silva 94 of 159 59% 73 of 135 18 of 21 3 of 3 94 of 159 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 James Krause 17 of 57 29% 7 of 33 3 of 15 7 of 9 17 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cláudio Silva 31 of 52 59% 20 of 41 9 of 9 2 of 2 31 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 James Krause 18 of 65 27% 11 of 47 2 of 11 5 of 7 18 of 65 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cláudio Silva 31 of 49 63% 24 of 41 6 of 7 1 of 1 31 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 James Krause 29 of 92 31% 12 of 63 6 of 17 11 of 12 29 of 92 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cláudio Silva 32 of 58 55% 29 of 53 3 of 5 0 of 0 32 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 14, 2020 (4 days before fight)
James Krause

Big Brady picks Krause due to his high volume striking and significant advantage on the feet. He acknowledges Silva's submission threat but notes Krause is a BJJ black belt who hasn't been submitted in a decade. He expects Krause to win by decision, as Silva is tough and has never been knocked out or submitted.

"give me james krause to win by decision silva is very tough he's never been knocked out obviously he's never been submitted"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2020 (7 days before fight)
James Krause

The MMA Guru picks James Krause because he believes Krause can evade Silva's submissions and take over in the later rounds. He notes that Silva has struggled to finish durable grapplers like Danny Roberts, and Krause has good jiu-jitsu and cardio, having fought up a weight class on short notice. He predicts a TKO in the third round.

tko in the third round
"i think he'll have a good time against claudio silva and i could see him getting a tko in the third round"
WIN vs Cole Williams
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 2:35 · UFC on ESPN: Covington vs. Lawler · Aug 03, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cláudio Silva 0 32 of 37 86% 32 of 38 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:24
Cole Williams 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cláudio Silva 0 32 of 37 86% 32 of 38 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:24
Cole Williams 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cláudio Silva 32 of 37 86% 25 of 29 5 of 6 2 of 2 8 of 12 1 of 1 23 of 24
Cole Williams 2 of 6 33% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cláudio Silva 32 of 37 86% 25 of 29 5 of 6 2 of 2 8 of 12 1 of 1 23 of 24
Cole Williams 2 of 6 33% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Danny Roberts
Submission (armbar) R3 2:37 · UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · Mar 16, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cláudio Silva 0 26 of 45 57% 29 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 3 3:12
Danny Roberts 0 19 of 38 50% 35 of 56 3 of 5 60% 4 0 6:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cláudio Silva 0 6 of 12 50% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:20
Danny Roberts 0 10 of 21 47% 20 of 32 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:07
2 Cláudio Silva 0 6 of 12 50% 6 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 2 0:56
Danny Roberts 0 9 of 15 60% 15 of 22 2 of 4 50% 1 0 3:07
3 Cláudio Silva 0 14 of 21 66% 16 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:56
Danny Roberts 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cláudio Silva 26 of 45 57% 24 of 43 2 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 18 2 of 2 18 of 25
Danny Roberts 19 of 38 50% 10 of 28 2 of 3 7 of 7 11 of 26 1 of 1 7 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cláudio Silva 6 of 12 50% 6 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 7 0 of 0 5 of 5
Danny Roberts 10 of 21 47% 4 of 14 1 of 2 5 of 5 8 of 17 0 of 0 2 of 4
2 Cláudio Silva 6 of 12 50% 6 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 9 2 of 2 0 of 1
Danny Roberts 9 of 15 60% 6 of 12 1 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 7 1 of 1 5 of 7
3 Cláudio Silva 14 of 21 66% 12 of 19 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 13 of 19
Danny Roberts 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Nordine Taleb
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 4:31 · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · May 27, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cláudio Silva 0 18 of 39 46% 25 of 51 1 of 3 33% 1 0 1:48
Nordine Taleb 0 6 of 12 50% 6 of 12 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cláudio Silva 0 18 of 39 46% 25 of 51 1 of 3 33% 1 0 1:48
Nordine Taleb 0 6 of 12 50% 6 of 12 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cláudio Silva 18 of 39 46% 11 of 27 6 of 9 1 of 3 6 of 16 3 of 4 9 of 19
Nordine Taleb 6 of 12 50% 1 of 6 3 of 4 2 of 2 4 of 9 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cláudio Silva 18 of 39 46% 11 of 27 6 of 9 1 of 3 6 of 16 3 of 4 9 of 19
Nordine Taleb 6 of 12 50% 1 of 6 3 of 4 2 of 2 4 of 9 2 of 3 0 of 0
WIN vs Leon Edwards
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Saint Preux · Nov 08, 2014
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cláudio Silva 0 34 of 81 41% 98 of 162 3 of 9 33% 1 0 7:09
Leon Edwards 0 33 of 61 54% 42 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 2 1:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cláudio Silva 0 9 of 25 36% 35 of 54 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:51
Leon Edwards 0 15 of 27 55% 19 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:11
2 Cláudio Silva 0 15 of 40 37% 23 of 52 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:21
Leon Edwards 0 14 of 26 53% 14 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
3 Cláudio Silva 0 10 of 16 62% 40 of 56 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:57
Leon Edwards 0 4 of 8 50% 9 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cláudio Silva 34 of 81 41% 18 of 59 9 of 11 7 of 11 16 of 46 3 of 5 15 of 30
Leon Edwards 33 of 61 54% 25 of 52 8 of 9 0 of 0 22 of 49 6 of 7 5 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cláudio Silva 9 of 25 36% 6 of 20 3 of 3 0 of 2 6 of 16 2 of 2 1 of 7
Leon Edwards 15 of 27 55% 12 of 23 3 of 4 0 of 0 7 of 19 4 of 4 4 of 4
2 Cláudio Silva 15 of 40 37% 7 of 28 1 of 3 7 of 9 10 of 27 1 of 3 4 of 10
Leon Edwards 14 of 26 53% 9 of 21 5 of 5 0 of 0 13 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Cláudio Silva 10 of 16 62% 5 of 11 5 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 10 of 13
Leon Edwards 4 of 8 50% 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 6 1 of 1 1 of 1
WIN vs Brad Scott
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Manuwa · Mar 08, 2014
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cláudio Silva 0 41 of 75 54% 61 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:08
Brad Scott 0 36 of 73 49% 114 of 158 3 of 15 20% 0 0 5:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cláudio Silva 0 9 of 19 47% 12 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brad Scott 0 15 of 24 62% 38 of 49 2 of 8 25% 0 0 1:56
2 Cláudio Silva 0 28 of 46 60% 38 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:37
Brad Scott 0 17 of 38 44% 19 of 40 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:20
3 Cláudio Silva 0 4 of 10 40% 11 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
Brad Scott 0 4 of 11 36% 57 of 69 1 of 4 25% 0 0 3:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cláudio Silva 41 of 75 54% 26 of 60 11 of 11 4 of 4 37 of 70 4 of 5 0 of 0
Brad Scott 36 of 73 49% 23 of 55 4 of 5 9 of 13 33 of 67 1 of 4 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cláudio Silva 9 of 19 47% 6 of 16 2 of 2 1 of 1 9 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brad Scott 15 of 24 62% 6 of 14 4 of 4 5 of 6 13 of 22 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 Cláudio Silva 28 of 46 60% 16 of 34 9 of 9 3 of 3 24 of 41 4 of 5 0 of 0
Brad Scott 17 of 38 44% 13 of 31 0 of 0 4 of 7 16 of 34 1 of 4 0 of 0
3 Cláudio Silva 4 of 10 40% 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brad Scott 4 of 11 36% 4 of 10 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danny Roberts - Fight History
LOSS vs Jonny Parsons
TKO (punches) R2 4:57 · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Jul 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jonny Parsons 0 44 of 133 33% 44 of 134 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
Danny Roberts 2 63 of 124 50% 69 of 133 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jonny Parsons 0 25 of 60 41% 25 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Danny Roberts 0 20 of 50 40% 20 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jonny Parsons 0 19 of 73 26% 19 of 74 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
Danny Roberts 2 43 of 74 58% 49 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jonny Parsons 44 of 133 33% 27 of 111 14 of 19 3 of 3 44 of 132 0 of 1 0 of 0
Danny Roberts 63 of 124 50% 42 of 95 12 of 19 9 of 10 51 of 101 7 of 15 5 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jonny Parsons 25 of 60 41% 13 of 45 10 of 13 2 of 2 25 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danny Roberts 20 of 50 40% 7 of 32 6 of 10 7 of 8 19 of 48 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Jonny Parsons 19 of 73 26% 14 of 66 4 of 6 1 of 1 19 of 72 0 of 1 0 of 0
Danny Roberts 43 of 74 58% 35 of 63 6 of 9 2 of 2 32 of 53 6 of 13 5 of 8
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Danny Roberts

Angelo picks Danny Roberts as the more technical striker, citing his footwork as the difference. However, he acknowledges Johnny Parsons' danger and the possibility of a comeback knockout. He notes that if Parsons is an underdog, he might be worth a sprinkle.

if Johnny Parsons is underdog, may sprinkle
"the pick is going to be Danny Roberts I'm going to go with the more technical guy in this fist fight essentially"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jonny Parsons

Big Brady picks Jonny Parsons to knock out Danny Roberts in the first round. He notes Roberts is the better fighter in every area except durability, which is terrible. He says Roberts has been finished six times and his chin is gone. He thinks Parsons just needs to land one hard shot. He is concerned about Parsons' long layoff and injury history.

first round knockout
"give me Johnny Parsons to win this fight... first round knockout here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Danny Roberts

Cody picks Roberts despite his history of losing bets on him. He thinks Roberts has skill advantages in speed, technique, and grappling. He notes Roberts's chin is a red flag but believes he can win by takedowns if needed. He will not bet him though.

"I'll still pick them but there is no way I can back him with my money"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jonny Parsons

Daniel picks Jonny Parsons, citing his durability and pressure style, comparing him to Bryan Barberena. He notes that Danny Roberts has a suspect chin and has been stopped more as he ages. He is concerned about Parsons' two-year layoff due to concussion issues but thinks if Parsons can absorb Roberts' shots and land his own, he has an edge. He admits he doesn't have a strong read and hopes his co-host is right about Roberts, but goes with Parsons so one of them is correct.

Daniel says 'I'm gonna go with Parsons' but does not mention a bet. The line is a pick'em.
"I'm gonna go with Parsons so that one of us is right"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jonny Parsons

The host picks Jonny Parsons but expresses skepticism due to Parsons' concussion history. He believes Parsons' power and forward pressure will overcome Roberts' durability issues. He suggests looking at the Parsons by knockout prop as the likely path to victory.

Parsons via knockout prop
"I might would look to just kind of hone in on that Parsons via knockout prop as I think if he does look you know like the favorite in this spot it likely comes due to his uh you know …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Danny Roberts

Paul picks Roberts, citing his superior skill set and recent activity. He criticizes Parsons's level of competition and long layoff. He thinks Roberts's speed and technique will be too much, though he expects Roberts to make it difficult.

"I gotta go with the guy with the better skill that's been training"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Danny Roberts

The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Danny Roberts, acknowledging his chinny reputation but noting his superior striking technique and experience. He criticizes Jonny Parsons' inactivity and low-level competition, and mentions Roberts' controversial loss to Claudio Silva. The Guru expects Roberts to win on basic striking but worries about his chin.

"I'm gonna have to go Danny Roberts as chinny as I know he's gonna get chinned if I pick him though"
TKO (punches) R1 3:24 · UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · Nov 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Della Maddalena 2 33 of 60 55% 41 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Danny Roberts 0 5 of 33 15% 5 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Della Maddalena 2 33 of 60 55% 41 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Danny Roberts 0 5 of 33 15% 5 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Della Maddalena 33 of 60 55% 23 of 41 9 of 16 1 of 3 27 of 50 2 of 2 4 of 8
Danny Roberts 5 of 33 15% 2 of 29 1 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Della Maddalena 33 of 60 55% 23 of 41 9 of 16 1 of 3 27 of 50 2 of 2 4 of 8
Danny Roberts 5 of 33 15% 2 of 29 1 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jack Della Maddalena vs. Danny Roberts
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Della Maddalena (-490), Roberts (+330)

Round 1
The fists are sure to fly in this welterweight affair. Winner of 12 straight fights, with 11 going down inside the distance, Maddalena (12-2, 2-0 UFC) is keen on rising up the rankings fast. His next test comes in the form of British brawler Roberts (18-6, 7-5 UFC), who will almost certainly meet him in the middle. For as long as this match lasts, referee Mart Smith will be here for it. Like most of the fights thus far, there is no glove touch to initiate the proceedings. Maddalena measures himself, and he works his way in to close the distance and smack Roberts in the face with a right hand. Roberts tries to back him off with kicks, but Maddalena is on him with a fire and a fury. Maddalena rips the body in the midst of a lengthy combination, but Roberts has the wherewithal to dodge a high kick. As he dips down, he eats a knee on the chin, and his knees wobble but he keeps his bearings. As Roberts escapes, Maddalena gives chase and slams his fists into the face of his adversary. The Brit topples to the mat in big trouble, and Maddalena climbs down in hopes of finishing the job. Roberts protects himself from further harm and fights back to his feet. Maddalena is there to meet him with punches and a high kick, but the latter gets blocked. The Aussie lines up a knee and a right hook, and Roberts is taking a pounding but still in the fight. Roberts swings with a few looping shots before charging in from across the cage for a double, and Maddalena defends it with the wall to his back. Roberts checks a kick, and he unloads a combination of brutalizing blows.
Roberts backs up to the wall, and Maddalena swarms him with a long salvo that breaks Roberts with a left to the liver. Roberts’ legs give way beneath him, and Maddalena only needs a few pulverizing punches until Smith has seen enough and calls it.
This stellar performance for the man that has now won 13 fights in a row makes him absolutely one to watch in the welterweight division, and he calls for a fight at UFC 284 against anyone who will take it in his home city of Perth, Australia, in February.

The Official Result
Jack Della Maddalena def. Danny Roberts R1 3:24 via TKO (Punches)
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · May 07, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Francisco Trinaldo 0 80 of 124 64% 91 of 137 0 of 1 0% 1 0 4:21
Danny Roberts 0 36 of 118 30% 44 of 128 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Francisco Trinaldo 0 23 of 37 62% 25 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Danny Roberts 0 16 of 57 28% 16 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
2 Francisco Trinaldo 0 34 of 48 70% 41 of 57 0 of 1 0% 1 0 3:14
Danny Roberts 0 7 of 17 41% 9 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Francisco Trinaldo 0 23 of 39 58% 25 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:46
Danny Roberts 0 13 of 44 29% 19 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Francisco Trinaldo 80 of 124 64% 62 of 102 16 of 20 2 of 2 51 of 86 21 of 26 8 of 12
Danny Roberts 36 of 118 30% 15 of 92 12 of 15 9 of 11 27 of 103 8 of 14 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Francisco Trinaldo 23 of 37 62% 15 of 27 8 of 10 0 of 0 20 of 33 3 of 4 0 of 0
Danny Roberts 16 of 57 28% 6 of 44 4 of 7 6 of 6 15 of 55 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Francisco Trinaldo 34 of 48 70% 28 of 40 5 of 7 1 of 1 14 of 21 12 of 15 8 of 12
Danny Roberts 7 of 17 41% 5 of 15 1 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 10 3 of 6 1 of 1
3 Francisco Trinaldo 23 of 39 58% 19 of 35 3 of 3 1 of 1 17 of 32 6 of 7 0 of 0
Danny Roberts 13 of 44 29% 4 of 33 7 of 7 2 of 4 9 of 38 4 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

Angelo picks Francisco Trinaldo, continuing to ride the Trinaldo train. He likes the matchup because Danny Roberts won't initiate takedowns and has poor takedown defense. He acknowledges Trinaldo's age but believes his chin is still intact, though he notes Roberts has the power to test it.

"I like ronaldo to stay in robert's face and grind out a win"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Danny Roberts

Big Brady picks Danny Roberts to win by decision, but he is leaning and not confident. He notes that Trinaldo is 43 years old and small for welterweight, while Roberts is nine years younger, taller, and has a reach advantage. However, Roberts has shown poor fight IQ and durability issues, being finished in all his losses. Brady thinks the youth and size advantage will be decisive, but it's a close fight and he cannot be confident. He expects a competitive decision.

decision
"I decide with that youth and that length that reach and tornado's gotta fall off a cliff at some point right like 43 years old almost 44. too small for the weight class I I like roberts here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Danny Roberts

Cody picks Danny Roberts as his second underdog. He notes that Roberts is faster, has better footwork, and higher output. Cody believes Roberts can win the first two rounds and survive the third. He acknowledges Roberts' history of bonehead decisions but thinks the big cage and Sanford MMA game plan will help. Cody sees it as a close fight that could go either way.

"i think my official uh goal here is going to be with the underdog danny roberts"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 5, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Danny Roberts

Daniel Levi leans toward Danny Roberts as a slight underdog, citing Roberts' size, power, and prime age versus the 44-year-old Trinaldo. He acknowledges Trinaldo's durability and experience but thinks age may finally catch up. He plans to bet one unit on Roberts if the line improves to around +105 or +110, but has not placed the bet yet.

Daniel considers a one-unit bet on Roberts moneyline if the line improves. No other props mentioned.
"If you give me dog odds on him, just give me like plus 105, give me a plus 110, I'll take a one unit shot."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 6, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Danny Roberts

The host picks Danny Roberts but is not betting the fight. He believes Roberts is the better fighter at this stage, younger and faster, and should outpoint Trinaldo. However, he acknowledges Trinaldo's knockout power and Roberts' questionable chin. He mentions a possible Trinaldo KO prop at +450 to +550 as a small shot. He is staying away from betting due to the volatility.

Trinaldo by KO +450 to +550
"i hate myself for picking him but i'm going danny roberts"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

Paul picks Francisco Trinaldo, despite acknowledging that Roberts will likely be winning early. He believes Trinaldo's durability and power will eventually catch Roberts, similar to the Jai Herbert fight. Paul notes that Roberts has a suspect chin and Trinaldo can land a big left hand late. He expects Trinaldo to be losing on the scorecards before getting a finish.

"grandpa t for me i'll never pick against him"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Danny Roberts

The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Danny Roberts as an underdog, acknowledging Roberts' history of being KO'd but noting Trinaldo's age (43) and lack of power at welterweight. He believes Roberts' reach and rangy style will allow him to fight patiently and win a close decision. He mentions Roberts has momentum with a couple of wins and confidence, while Trinaldo hasn't had many finishes recently. He predicts a razor-close 29-28 decision.

"i'm gonna have to take the good underdog here in danny roberts in my opinion so i'm gonna swag with danny roberts"
WIN vs Ramazan Emeev
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · Oct 16, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Danny Roberts 0 34 of 94 36% 42 of 102 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:38
Ramazan Emeev 0 40 of 79 50% 67 of 112 2 of 7 28% 1 0 2:57
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Danny Roberts 0 4 of 22 18% 5 of 23 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:26
Ramazan Emeev 0 7 of 18 38% 11 of 24 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:04
2 Danny Roberts 0 7 of 17 41% 12 of 22 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:22
Ramazan Emeev 0 13 of 20 65% 25 of 33 1 of 4 25% 1 0 1:00
3 Danny Roberts 0 23 of 55 41% 25 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:50
Ramazan Emeev 0 20 of 41 48% 31 of 55 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Danny Roberts 34 of 94 36% 17 of 71 16 of 21 1 of 2 14 of 64 20 of 29 0 of 1
Ramazan Emeev 40 of 79 50% 32 of 68 8 of 11 0 of 0 28 of 65 11 of 13 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Danny Roberts 4 of 22 18% 0 of 14 3 of 6 1 of 2 1 of 19 3 of 3 0 of 0
Ramazan Emeev 7 of 18 38% 6 of 15 1 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Danny Roberts 7 of 17 41% 4 of 13 3 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 14 3 of 3 0 of 0
Ramazan Emeev 13 of 20 65% 10 of 17 3 of 3 0 of 0 9 of 16 3 of 3 1 of 1
3 Danny Roberts 23 of 55 41% 13 of 44 10 of 11 0 of 0 9 of 31 14 of 23 0 of 1
Ramazan Emeev 20 of 41 48% 16 of 36 4 of 5 0 of 0 13 of 32 7 of 9 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ramazan Emeev

Angelo picks Emeev confidently, citing his well-rounded game and ability to dictate where the fight goes. Emeev is a solid kickboxer who can chain wrestle when needed. Danny Roberts has power and boxing but poor takedown defense and a two-year layoff. Angelo sees the fight going either Roberts by KO or Emeev by decision, and he favors Emeev's versatility. He likes the more more on monkey knife fight and considers a win inside distance/decision no action prop on Roberts.

Danny Roberts wins inside distance/decision no action, more more on monkey knife fight
"I like him eve here and his ability to dictate where the fight goes"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Ramazan Emeev

Big Brady picks Emeev by decision, citing Roberts' poor takedown defense (53%) and long layoff. He notes Emeev averages over two takedowns per 15 minutes and will grind out a decision. He sees Roberts' only path to victory as a finish, but Emeev is durable and fights smart.

by decision
"i'm gonna go with the more active guy in ramazan amir i'm gonna go with ramazan and me because he has a a clear clear path to victory and that path to victory he's just taking him down"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Danny Roberts

Cody picks Roberts as a live underdog, arguing that Roberts has improved his wrestling at Stanford MMA and that Emeev's grinding style is vulnerable if Roberts can stuff takedowns and create space. He notes Roberts' striking advantage and believes his talent may finally catch up. He acknowledges it's a scary bet but sees value.

"danny roberts pulls this one off it's like a long time coming"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 14, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Danny Roberts

Daniel picks Danny Roberts as an underdog, noting that Emeev is not a power puncher and tends to grind out decisions. Roberts has pop in his punches and is always in a dogfight. He questions Roberts' long layoff but thinks at +250 the value is on Roberts to pull off the upset, though he acknowledges Emeev could stall against the fence.

"give me danny hot chocolate for the upset here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ramazan Emeev

Emeev's wrestling is the key; Roberts has poor takedown defense and fight IQ. Emeev will take Roberts down and control him for a decision win. Roberts' only path is if Emeev stands and strikes, but Emeev is durable and will likely grind out a win.

Emeev by decision +125, fight goes to decision -160
"i'm gonna take uh the official prediction is actually a move by decision which is uh plus 125"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 13, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ramazan Emeev

Paul leans toward Emeev, citing his grinding style and control against the cage. He notes that Roberts has poor durability and a history of mental lapses. He expects Emeev to win by decision, possibly with a late finish due to Roberts' chin.

"i don't trust any hot chocolate roberts durability to hold up"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ramazan Emeev

The MMA Guru calls this a 'lock of the card,' picking Ramazan Emeev due to Danny Roberts' chinny nature and recent KO losses. He expects Emeev to outgrapple Roberts to a decision win, possibly losing the third round when Emeev slows. He notes Roberts' damage from past fights and Emeev's grappling advantage.

decision win, outgrappling
"i'm going to go over amazon and eve here i think this is a lock of the card"
WIN vs Zelim Imadaev
KO (punch) R2 4:54 · UFC Fight Night: Magomedsharipov vs. Kattar · Nov 09, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Danny Roberts 0 28 of 71 39% 38 of 84 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:31
Zelim Imadaev 1 37 of 61 60% 42 of 68 1 of 8 12% 0 0 2:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Danny Roberts 0 15 of 42 35% 18 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:01
Zelim Imadaev 0 18 of 28 64% 21 of 31 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:41
2 Danny Roberts 0 13 of 29 44% 20 of 36 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:30
Zelim Imadaev 1 19 of 33 57% 21 of 37 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Danny Roberts 28 of 71 39% 15 of 54 10 of 12 3 of 5 19 of 58 9 of 11 0 of 2
Zelim Imadaev 37 of 61 60% 10 of 34 17 of 17 10 of 10 18 of 40 19 of 21 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Danny Roberts 15 of 42 35% 8 of 31 5 of 7 2 of 4 10 of 35 5 of 7 0 of 0
Zelim Imadaev 18 of 28 64% 4 of 14 7 of 7 7 of 7 11 of 21 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Danny Roberts 13 of 29 44% 7 of 23 5 of 5 1 of 1 9 of 23 4 of 4 0 of 2
Zelim Imadaev 19 of 33 57% 6 of 20 10 of 10 3 of 3 7 of 19 12 of 14 0 of 0
LOSS vs Michel Pereira
KO (flying knee and punch) R1 1:47 · UFC Fight Night: dos Anjos vs. Lee · May 18, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michel Pereira 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Danny Roberts 1 6 of 11 54% 6 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michel Pereira 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Danny Roberts 1 6 of 11 54% 6 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michel Pereira 2 of 4 50% 0 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danny Roberts 6 of 11 54% 4 of 9 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michel Pereira 2 of 4 50% 0 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danny Roberts 6 of 11 54% 4 of 9 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
LOSS vs Cláudio Silva
Submission (armbar) R3 2:37 · UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · Mar 16, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cláudio Silva 0 26 of 45 57% 29 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 3 3:12
Danny Roberts 0 19 of 38 50% 35 of 56 3 of 5 60% 4 0 6:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cláudio Silva 0 6 of 12 50% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:20
Danny Roberts 0 10 of 21 47% 20 of 32 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:07
2 Cláudio Silva 0 6 of 12 50% 6 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 2 0:56
Danny Roberts 0 9 of 15 60% 15 of 22 2 of 4 50% 1 0 3:07
3 Cláudio Silva 0 14 of 21 66% 16 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:56
Danny Roberts 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cláudio Silva 26 of 45 57% 24 of 43 2 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 18 2 of 2 18 of 25
Danny Roberts 19 of 38 50% 10 of 28 2 of 3 7 of 7 11 of 26 1 of 1 7 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cláudio Silva 6 of 12 50% 6 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 7 0 of 0 5 of 5
Danny Roberts 10 of 21 47% 4 of 14 1 of 2 5 of 5 8 of 17 0 of 0 2 of 4
2 Cláudio Silva 6 of 12 50% 6 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 9 2 of 2 0 of 1
Danny Roberts 9 of 15 60% 6 of 12 1 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 7 1 of 1 5 of 7
3 Cláudio Silva 14 of 21 66% 12 of 19 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 13 of 19
Danny Roberts 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs David Zawada
Decision (split) (27–30, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · Jul 22, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Danny Roberts 0 45 of 87 51% 68 of 117 0 of 2 0% 1 0 8:47
David Zawada 0 33 of 64 51% 63 of 99 2 of 5 40% 5 1 2:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Danny Roberts 0 19 of 40 47% 21 of 42 0 of 0 --- 1 0 3:29
David Zawada 0 14 of 24 58% 26 of 37 0 of 2 0% 1 0 0:03
2 Danny Roberts 0 5 of 12 41% 16 of 27 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:31
David Zawada 0 8 of 21 38% 20 of 37 2 of 2 100% 2 1 1:44
3 Danny Roberts 0 21 of 35 60% 31 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:47
David Zawada 0 11 of 19 57% 17 of 25 0 of 1 0% 2 0 0:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Danny Roberts 45 of 87 51% 32 of 73 6 of 6 7 of 8 14 of 45 1 of 1 30 of 41
David Zawada 33 of 64 51% 21 of 51 10 of 11 2 of 2 18 of 48 10 of 11 5 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Danny Roberts 19 of 40 47% 12 of 33 5 of 5 2 of 2 7 of 22 1 of 1 11 of 17
David Zawada 14 of 24 58% 7 of 17 5 of 5 2 of 2 7 of 17 6 of 6 1 of 1
2 Danny Roberts 5 of 12 41% 5 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 9 0 of 0 3 of 3
David Zawada 8 of 21 38% 7 of 19 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 16 1 of 1 4 of 4
3 Danny Roberts 21 of 35 60% 15 of 28 1 of 1 5 of 6 5 of 14 0 of 0 16 of 21
David Zawada 11 of 19 57% 7 of 15 4 of 4 0 of 0 8 of 15 3 of 4 0 of 0