Career Averages - Germaine de Randamie
Career Averages - Julianna Peña
Germaine de Randamie - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norma Dumont | 0 | 11 of 29 | 37% | 49 of 76 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 10:04 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 16 of 33 | 48% | 91 of 126 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norma Dumont | 0 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 15 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:49 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 23 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 2 | Norma Dumont | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 28 of 41 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 9 of 20 | 45% | 32 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:12 | |
| 3 | Norma Dumont | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 6 of 13 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:31 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 36 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norma Dumont | 11 of 29 | 37% | 6 of 21 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 20 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 3 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 16 of 33 | 48% | 7 of 21 | 7 of 8 | 2 of 4 | 8 of 24 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norma Dumont | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Norma Dumont | 8 of 18 | 44% | 3 of 12 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 10 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 9 of 20 | 45% | 4 of 14 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 11 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Norma Dumont | 3 of 6 | 50% | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 4 of 9 | 44% | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dumont (-175), de Randamie (+145)
Round 1
For the first time in years, Dumont (10-2, 6-2 UFC) successfully made the bantamweight limit, hitting the scales at 136 pounds. In her return to the division still maintained by the organization, she draws former featherweight champ de Randamie (10-4, 7-2 UFC), who is coming back after nearly a four-year layoff. The victor could be right in the title picture, and they have the next 15 minutes or less to make their case. Referee Keith Peterson will keep things on the up-and-up and not allow any nonsense in the Apex, and the bout starts with a sporting clap of hands. De Randamie leads off with a front kick up the middle, and she follows it with a low kick after Dumont misses with a right up top. Dumont whiffs on a leg kick, and de Randamie steps in and spins her around with a thudding calf kick. Dumont flicks out a jab, and she catches a leg kick and tackles de Randamie down to the ground. De Randamie hits her back and threatens with a heel hook, but the Brazilian is quick to push past it and climb into the half guard. Dumont keeps de Randamie pressed flat on her back, and de Randamie tries to scoot her way towards the fence to sit up. The Dutchwoman regains full guard and closes it, and Dumont tries to break out of it with a short burst of ground-and-pound. Dumont leans one side to pursue an arm-triangle choke, but the leverage is not right and she bails on it. Dumont keeps smothering without landing any offense, and de Randamie shrugs and looks to Peterson to do something. Peterson asks for more activity from the Brazilian, and she stands up and tries to pass guard but is stopped from getting anywhere while lowering herself down. Dumont steps over at the same time that de Randamie explodes back to her feet, and she dumps de Randamie down to the ground to end the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Round 2
The ladies clap hands to get things started, and de Randamie follows it with a jab. Dumont sits down on a big right hand, and she shoots in for a takedown. De Randamie stands her up and pops her with a jab, and when she looks to come after it with an overhand right, Dumont shoots in on her hips. The Dutchwoman again thwarts the takedown, and she turns Dumont towards the wall and starts landing short knees to the thigh and body. Dumont gives her one back before attempting to turn and throw her, but she bails when de Randamie keeps her balance. De Randamie finds the midsection with a few knees, and Dumont keeps a knee shield up to defend from a few more of them. De Randamie opens up with two clean right hands that make Dumont turn around, and Dumont gets away with a fence grab to turn herself in a more advantageous position. De Randamie keeps working the body with knees, and Dumont’s efforts to free herself or turn the tables largely fall short. Dumont does manage to put “The Iron Lady” and her back to the cage, but de Randamie responds with a knee up the middle that makes Dumont rethink her approach. De Randamie walks Dumont down and kicks her in the head, and Dumont shakes her head at her. De Randamie chains a few punches together, and she allows Dumont to throw hands because hers are more accurate and powerful. De Randamie looses a body kick, and the Brazilian catches it and slings her to the mat. Dumont lands and hacks down with an elbow, and she lifts de Randamie up and slams her on her back again to open up the guard around her waist. De Randamie maintains a high guard to keep Dumont honest, all while throwing elbows or punches off her back. De Randamie looks for butterfly hooks, and Dumont stands up and finds herself in immediate armbar danger. The round ends with Dumont surviving the sudden submission setup.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 de Randamie
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 de Randamie
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 de Randamie
Round 3
The bantamweights hug it out to start the final frame, and de Randamie is ready and willing to strike from her preferred range. Dumont swings back with bad intentions, but the straight, sharp strikes from the Dutchwoman keep her at bay. Dumont charges like a bull, grabbing hold of a double leg and sending de Randamie from one side of the cage to the other. De Randamie urgently moves to her knees and stands up with the wall at her back, and Dumont manages to hit a body lock and trip to dump her back down. De Randamie gives up her back when escaping, and Dumont sets up a rear-naked choke and stays with it while de Randamie turns to her back. Dumont lets the choke go and shifts to side control, where she sets up an arm-triangle choke. Dumont presses her shoulder down when the choke is not locked up, as she is on the other side. Dumont looks to pass as de Randamie turns to her side, and in the process she gives her back up. Dumont jumps on and sneaks a hook in, and she hand-fights while de Randamie protects against a potential choke. De Randamie keeps moving, turning all the way around and back to her knees. The Dutchwoman nearly slides Dumont off of her, but she manages to work to her feet and lean against the fence. Dumont laces one leg between her foe’s and wrangles de Randamie back down to the mat. A desperate de Randamie hacks with elbows or punches as Dumont lays on her, and this continues until time expires.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (29-28 Dumont)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (29-28 Dumont)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (29-28 Dumont)
The Official Result
Norma Dumont def. Germaine de Randamie via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Norma Dumont but acknowledges that Germaine de Randamie is much better than people give her credit for, with only losses to Amanda Nunes and wins over three champions. However, he notes that those wins are old (3.5 to 7 years ago) and that Germaine is 39. He thinks Norma's technical striking and sound takedown defense will be enough. He also mentions that Germaine might be a good plus 3.5 spread bet if she can win one round.
Big Brady picks Germaine de Randamie despite a 3.5-year layoff and many question marks. He notes that de Randamie has only lost to Amanda Nunes in the last 10 years and is the better striker. However, he worries about her takedown defense and the layoff, and acknowledges that the line has moved from +180 to +115, making it less attractive. He is not confident and would not bet on this fight.
Cody agrees, noting Dumont's low output and reliance on clinch control, which doesn't score well. He highlights de Randamie's striking, body work, and improved cardio. Cody also mentions that Dumont will likely miss weight, which could affect her performance. He sees de Randamie as the better athlete and striker.
Daniel Vreeland picks Germaine de Randamie despite her four-year layoff, citing her championship-level resume and improvements in takedown defense before the break. He notes Norma Dumont has been dropped by lesser fighters like Megan Anderson and has only one path to win: extended top control. Vreeland believes even 70% of de Randamie is enough to beat Dumont, given the massive step down in competition.
De Randamie is more skilled overall with striking advantages and improved grappling. She has size and reach advantages and can keep the fight upright. However, the three-and-a-half-year layoff and recent pregnancy are major concerns. If she comes in shape, she should win by decision.
Paul picks de Randamie as a dog, citing her superior striking and experience. He notes Dumont is a decision fighter with low volume and no power, and that she will likely miss weight. Paul thinks de Randamie's cardio and durability are solid, and that her striking will be the difference. He calls it a quintessential dogger pass.
The host uses a mayonnaise bottle flip to decide, but then provides reasoning. He notes Dumont had a close fight with Macy Chiasson, nearly finishing her, showing good grappling. He criticizes de Randamie for being 39, inactive since 2020, and not impressive on the feet. He predicts Dumont will take her down and win on the ground.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 37 of 91 | 40% | 57 of 119 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 27 of 91 | 29% | 58 of 125 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 5:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 20 of 58 | 34% | 23 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 8 of 43 | 18% | 12 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 | |
| 2 | Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 19 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 30 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:41 | |
| 3 | Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 11 of 24 | 45% | 15 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 8 of 25 | 32% | 16 of 35 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:45 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germaine de Randamie | 37 of 91 | 40% | 32 of 86 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 32 of 84 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
| Julianna Peña | 27 of 91 | 29% | 19 of 79 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 18 of 75 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 14 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germaine de Randamie | 20 of 58 | 34% | 18 of 56 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 8 of 43 | 18% | 7 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Germaine de Randamie | 6 of 9 | 66% | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Julianna Peña | 11 of 23 | 47% | 6 of 17 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 14 | |
| 3 | Germaine de Randamie | 11 of 24 | 45% | 8 of 21 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 8 of 25 | 32% | 6 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady leans towards Germaine de Randamie to win by decision. He notes the striking discrepancy favors de Randamie, and while Peña's path is takedowns, he thinks de Randamie can stop them. He is worried about cage control but expects the fight to stay on the feet.
Daniel picks de Randamie, emphasizing the massive striking gap and Peña's ugly stand-up. He believes de Randamie will clip Peña coming in and possibly knock her out, similar to the Aspen Ladd fight. He acknowledges concern if Peña gets on top but thinks de Randamie's takedown defense has improved and she will pull the trigger.
The host picks Peña as the underdog, believing her wrestling and trip takedowns will be effective against de Randamie's takedown defense. He notes that de Randamie has struggled against grapplers like Nunes and that Peña's style is similar. He predicts a decision win for Peña and thinks the line should be closer to -120.
The Guru picks Germaine de Randamie, believing she can survive on the ground and will keep the fight standing to beat Peña with leg kicks and eventually finish by TKO. He notes Peña couldn't submit Nico Montano and thinks de Randamie is too big and dangerous.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 79 of 184 | 42% | 199 of 337 | 8 of 11 | 72% | 2 | 0 | 18:29 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 40 of 73 | 54% | 126 of 175 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 42 of 87 | 48% | 43 of 88 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 2:53 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 22 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:48 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 9 of 26 | 34% | 33 of 51 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 16 of 30 | 53% | 29 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 16 of 44 | 36% | 47 of 80 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:21 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 8 of 10 | 80% | 17 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 22 of 39 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 4:16 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 28 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 54 of 79 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:46 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 30 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 79 of 184 | 42% | 63 of 162 | 4 of 6 | 12 of 16 | 15 of 46 | 2 of 3 | 62 of 135 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 40 of 73 | 54% | 19 of 48 | 11 of 15 | 10 of 10 | 19 of 42 | 12 of 13 | 9 of 18 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 42 of 87 | 48% | 38 of 81 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 37 of 70 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 11 of 23 | 47% | 2 of 11 | 4 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 10 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 9 of 26 | 34% | 4 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 8 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 16 of 30 | 53% | 10 of 24 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 22 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 16 of 44 | 36% | 13 of 39 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 36 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 8 of 10 | 80% | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 12 of 24 | 50% | 8 of 19 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 19 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 4 of 6 | 66% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
| Germaine de Randamie | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germaine de Randamie | 1 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Aspen Ladd | 0 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germaine de Randamie | 1 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Aspen Ladd | 0 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germaine de Randamie | 4 of 5 | 80% | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Aspen Ladd | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germaine de Randamie | 4 of 5 | 80% | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Aspen Ladd | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 24 of 84 | 28% | 52 of 130 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 6:05 |
| Raquel Pennington | 0 | 42 of 107 | 39% | 91 of 159 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 14 of 24 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:45 |
| Raquel Pennington | 0 | 9 of 22 | 40% | 29 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:01 | |
| 2 | Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 12 of 37 | 32% | 20 of 48 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
| Raquel Pennington | 0 | 13 of 45 | 28% | 24 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 3 | Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 8 of 36 | 22% | 18 of 58 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:53 |
| Raquel Pennington | 0 | 20 of 40 | 50% | 38 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germaine de Randamie | 24 of 84 | 28% | 4 of 55 | 11 of 17 | 9 of 12 | 13 of 71 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Raquel Pennington | 42 of 107 | 39% | 17 of 73 | 17 of 24 | 8 of 10 | 25 of 84 | 17 of 23 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germaine de Randamie | 4 of 11 | 36% | 0 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Raquel Pennington | 9 of 22 | 40% | 3 of 13 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 15 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Germaine de Randamie | 12 of 37 | 32% | 4 of 25 | 1 of 3 | 7 of 9 | 9 of 34 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Raquel Pennington | 13 of 45 | 28% | 9 of 37 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 39 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Germaine de Randamie | 8 of 36 | 22% | 0 of 23 | 7 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 29 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Raquel Pennington | 20 of 40 | 50% | 5 of 23 | 9 of 11 | 6 of 6 | 12 of 30 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 77 of 182 | 42% | 122 of 235 | 0 of 9 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 8:16 |
| Holly Holm | 0 | 80 of 150 | 53% | 144 of 223 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 18 of 42 | 42% | 19 of 45 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
| Holly Holm | 0 | 12 of 25 | 48% | 15 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 13 of 30 | 43% | 28 of 45 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:21 |
| Holly Holm | 0 | 19 of 34 | 55% | 36 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 | |
| 3 | Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 18 of 42 | 42% | 19 of 43 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Holly Holm | 0 | 16 of 39 | 41% | 19 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 | |
| 4 | Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 12 of 34 | 35% | 19 of 44 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:33 |
| Holly Holm | 0 | 16 of 26 | 61% | 32 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 5 | Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 16 of 34 | 47% | 37 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:39 |
| Holly Holm | 0 | 17 of 26 | 65% | 42 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germaine de Randamie | 77 of 182 | 42% | 18 of 99 | 21 of 37 | 38 of 46 | 61 of 161 | 16 of 21 | 0 of 0 |
| Holly Holm | 80 of 150 | 53% | 28 of 88 | 34 of 40 | 18 of 22 | 49 of 113 | 31 of 36 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germaine de Randamie | 18 of 42 | 42% | 4 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 14 | 17 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Holly Holm | 12 of 25 | 48% | 5 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 11 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Germaine de Randamie | 13 of 30 | 43% | 2 of 17 | 6 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 23 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Holly Holm | 19 of 34 | 55% | 8 of 20 | 10 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 21 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Germaine de Randamie | 18 of 42 | 42% | 3 of 21 | 4 of 8 | 11 of 13 | 18 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Holly Holm | 16 of 39 | 41% | 8 of 30 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 6 | 12 of 34 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Germaine de Randamie | 12 of 34 | 35% | 1 of 15 | 6 of 12 | 5 of 7 | 8 of 27 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Holly Holm | 16 of 26 | 61% | 1 of 7 | 11 of 13 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 18 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Germaine de Randamie | 16 of 34 | 47% | 8 of 21 | 3 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 11 of 29 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Holly Holm | 17 of 26 | 65% | 6 of 15 | 7 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 9 of 18 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germaine de Randamie | 1 | 18 of 29 | 62% | 23 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Anna Elmose | 0 | 6 of 10 | 60% | 32 of 43 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:54 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germaine de Randamie | 1 | 18 of 29 | 62% | 23 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Anna Elmose | 0 | 6 of 10 | 60% | 32 of 43 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:54 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germaine de Randamie | 18 of 29 | 62% | 9 of 19 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 16 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Anna Elmose | 6 of 10 | 60% | 2 of 3 | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germaine de Randamie | 18 of 29 | 62% | 9 of 19 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 16 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Anna Elmose | 6 of 10 | 60% | 2 of 3 | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 8 of 60 | 13% | 13 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Larissa Pacheco | 0 | 29 of 84 | 34% | 31 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 6 of 43 | 13% | 11 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Larissa Pacheco | 0 | 16 of 57 | 28% | 18 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 2 | Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 2 of 17 | 11% | 2 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Larissa Pacheco | 0 | 13 of 27 | 48% | 13 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germaine de Randamie | 8 of 60 | 13% | 4 of 48 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 8 | 8 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Larissa Pacheco | 29 of 84 | 34% | 26 of 76 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 6 | 28 of 83 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germaine de Randamie | 6 of 43 | 13% | 4 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 6 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Larissa Pacheco | 16 of 57 | 28% | 14 of 50 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 5 | 15 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Germaine de Randamie | 2 of 17 | 11% | 0 of 10 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Larissa Pacheco | 13 of 27 | 48% | 12 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Julianna Peña - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 9 of 30 | 30% | 15 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kayla Harrison | 0 | 30 of 54 | 55% | 59 of 88 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 6:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 6 of 17 | 35% | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kayla Harrison | 0 | 8 of 24 | 33% | 24 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 3 of 13 | 23% | 6 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kayla Harrison | 0 | 22 of 30 | 73% | 35 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 9 of 30 | 30% | 8 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
| Kayla Harrison | 30 of 54 | 55% | 17 of 39 | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 15 of 36 | 6 of 7 | 9 of 11 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 6 of 17 | 35% | 5 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
| Kayla Harrison | 8 of 24 | 33% | 5 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 3 of 13 | 23% | 3 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kayla Harrison | 22 of 30 | 73% | 12 of 19 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 15 | 6 of 7 | 6 of 8 |
Angelo picks Kayla Harrison based on her Olympic judo credentials and physicality. He acknowledges Peña's toughness and ability to survive, but thinks relying on Kayla gassing is not a real strategy. He notes Kayla has fought 25 minutes before and can win the first three rounds. He finds the odds too wide and is hesitant to bet on Kayla.
Big Brady is confident in Kayla Harrison, citing her ability to take down anyone, including Ketlen Vieira who has great takedown defense. He notes Peña's 23% takedown defense and questions her motivation. He expects Harrison to get the fight to the ground, mix in ground and pound, and eventually submit Peña in the second round. He mentions weight cut concerns but thinks Harrison will dominate if she makes weight.
Connor picks Peña, citing the potential for Harrison to get anxious and gas if Peña pressures her. He notes that Peña's chaotic, relentless style could rattle Harrison, who has shown discomfort in striking exchanges. Connor admits it's a risky pick but thinks the funnier outcome and Peña's ability to exploit Harrison's unease make it plausible.
Harrison is much better than Peña in every area. She will utilize her physicality, judo, and grappling to get Peña to the ground, wear her out, and ground and pound her for a TKO victory, becoming the new bantamweight champion.
The MMA Guru picks Kayla Harrison by decision, citing her physicality and grappling advantage. He criticizes Peña's standup as abysmal and notes Harrison's strength will be too much. He acknowledges Harrison's standup is not great but believes she will out-grapple Peña. He thinks Peña is tough but difficult to finish, so he predicts a decision win. He notes the odds of -600 are too high, suggesting value on Peña by submission.
Zane picks Kayla Harrison, reasoning that Peña's takedown defense is poor and Harrison's judo and top control should be enough to dominate. He acknowledges Harrison's striking is awkward and she can panic, but believes Peña's wild aggression will play into Harrison's strengths. Zane notes the odds are too wide and the fight should be closer to -200.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 1 | 92 of 317 | 29% | 112 of 345 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Raquel Pennington | 0 | 92 of 260 | 35% | 123 of 308 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 5:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 17 of 60 | 28% | 17 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Raquel Pennington | 0 | 25 of 59 | 42% | 25 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 6 of 24 | 25% | 23 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Raquel Pennington | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 18 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:00 | |
| 3 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 8 of 34 | 23% | 11 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Raquel Pennington | 0 | 18 of 33 | 54% | 35 of 53 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:20 | |
| 4 | Julianna Peña | 1 | 26 of 84 | 30% | 26 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Raquel Pennington | 0 | 16 of 67 | 23% | 18 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 | |
| 5 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 35 of 115 | 30% | 35 of 115 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Raquel Pennington | 0 | 27 of 85 | 31% | 27 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 92 of 317 | 29% | 57 of 277 | 29 of 33 | 6 of 7 | 88 of 308 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 3 |
| Raquel Pennington | 92 of 260 | 35% | 82 of 248 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 90 of 256 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 17 of 60 | 28% | 12 of 53 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 17 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Raquel Pennington | 25 of 59 | 42% | 24 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 25 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 6 of 24 | 25% | 2 of 19 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Raquel Pennington | 6 of 16 | 37% | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Julianna Peña | 8 of 34 | 23% | 5 of 31 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Raquel Pennington | 18 of 33 | 54% | 14 of 28 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 16 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Julianna Peña | 26 of 84 | 30% | 12 of 69 | 12 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 25 of 80 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 3 |
| Raquel Pennington | 16 of 67 | 23% | 14 of 65 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Julianna Peña | 35 of 115 | 30% | 26 of 105 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 34 of 113 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Raquel Pennington | 27 of 85 | 31% | 24 of 81 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 84 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Raquel Pennington to win by grinding against the cage, using her technical striking and control. He notes Julianna Peña is coming off a two-year layoff and a severe beating, which often leads to poor performances. He believes Pennington's durability and preparation at elevation will be key, and that Peña's chaotic style won't be enough. He also mentions that Pennington's wife Tisha Torres fights earlier, which could affect her mentally if Tisha loses.
Big Brady picks Raquel Pennington, citing her recent activity and impressive wins over Macy Chiasson, Ketlen Vieira, and Mayra Bueno Silva. He notes Peña has been inactive for two years and lost to Amanda Nunes. He believes Pennington is the better striker and has strong clinch work, and expects her to win a decision.
Cody picks Pennington due to Peña's two-year layoff, age, and tendency to fatigue. He highlights Pennington's durability, volume striking, and ability to fight five rounds. He expects Pennington to pressure Peña against the cage and win a decision.
Connor picks Pennington, but hesitantly. He thinks Pennington's crafty boxing and durability will allow her to survive Peña's initial onslaught and win rounds in the clinch. He notes that Pennington is comfortable in long clinches and can land knees and front headlock chokes. However, he acknowledges Peña's athleticism and aggression make it a tough fight.
Daniel Vreeland picks Raquel Pennington. He cites multiple factors: Pennington trains at elevation and has amazing cardio, while Peña has not fought since July 2022 and has a history of poor preparation for elevation. Vreeland notes that Pennington's style is exhausting to fight, as seen in her win over Mayra Bueno Silva. He also points out that Pennington's boxing looked good in her last fight, while Peña's boxing looked terrible with wild swings. He believes Pennington will grind out a win, likely by decision or late TKO.
Daniel Vreeland leans toward Raquel Pennington, citing her superior boxing and clinch work. He believes Pennington can keep the fight standing and piece up Peña, possibly even choking her out if Peña shoots a sloppy takedown. He is not confident in Peña's evolution since her loss to Amanda Nunes and thinks Pennington's takedown defense will be key.
Jeff Fox picks Raquel Pennington. He agrees with Vreeland on the elevation advantage and Peña's layoff. He notes that Pennington is a tough out, especially if Peña doesn't properly prepare. Fox thinks Pennington will grind out a win, though it may not be pretty.
The host thinks Peña is the overall better fighter and that her wrestling advantage will nullify Pennington's game. He believes people are overlooking Peña due to her loss to Amanda Nunes, but notes Pennington is nowhere near Nunes's level. He expects Peña to lean on her wrestling and grappling and open up a submission opportunity within 10 to 15 minutes.
Paul agrees with Cody, citing Peña's two-year layoff and Pennington's cardio advantage. He notes Pennington's recent procedure as a minor concern but believes her durability and wrestling will carry her to a decision win.
The MMA Guru picks Raquel Pennington over Julianna Peña, citing Peña's long layoff (over two years) and inactivity. He notes Pennington trains at altitude and has a cage control game. He acknowledges Peña's win over Nunes but questions her deserving a title shot. He is not confident, calling it a tough pick, but goes with Pennington due to Peña's ring rust.
Zane picks Peña, arguing that Pennington is slow-footed and will get stuck on the cage, allowing Peña to impose her physicality and wrestling. He believes Peña's aggression and strength will overwhelm Pennington, despite Pennington's improved boxing and durability. Zane thinks Peña will win the belt and set up a fight with Kayla Harrison.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 60 of 154 | 38% | 130 of 239 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 3 | 85 of 152 | 55% | 126 of 201 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 1 | 0 | 11:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 21 of 51 | 41% | 21 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 25 of 47 | 53% | 25 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 25 of 66 | 37% | 31 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 3 | 19 of 48 | 39% | 24 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 6 of 21 | 28% | 31 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 23 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:02 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 33 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 16 of 20 | 80% | 34 of 40 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:54 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 14 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 11 of 14 | 78% | 20 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 4:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Nunes | 60 of 154 | 38% | 54 of 144 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 59 of 151 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 85 of 152 | 55% | 67 of 128 | 10 of 14 | 8 of 10 | 57 of 117 | 0 of 1 | 28 of 34 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Nunes | 21 of 51 | 41% | 20 of 49 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 25 of 47 | 53% | 17 of 37 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 7 | 25 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Amanda Nunes | 25 of 66 | 37% | 21 of 59 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 19 of 48 | 39% | 13 of 40 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Amanda Nunes | 6 of 21 | 28% | 5 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 14 of 23 | 60% | 12 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 9 | |
| 4 | Amanda Nunes | 4 of 10 | 40% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 16 of 20 | 80% | 15 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 14 | |
| 5 | Amanda Nunes | 4 of 6 | 66% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 11 of 14 | 78% | 10 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 10 |
Big Brady picks Amanda Nunes to win by first-round submission. He believes Nunes is better everywhere and that the first fight was a one-off due to injury or motivation issues. He expects Nunes to finish early, but if it extends, he has concerns about her cardio. He is not betting this fight.
Cody believes Peña is the right pick because she already exposed Nunes' cardio and quit rate. He notes Nunes has suspect cardio, has shown red flags in fights against Germaine de Randamie and Felicia Spencer, and may be unmotivated after becoming a multi-millionaire and mother. He also points out that Peña is durable, pressures well, and the odds (+245) are too juicy to pass up given she just choked Nunes out. He expects Peña to win again, possibly taking a bit longer this time.
Daniel argues that Julianna Peña's ability to stand up to the bully and absorb Nunes' power is the key factor. He notes that Peña's iron jaw and willpower broke Nunes mentally in the first fight, causing her to tap to a choke that wasn't locked in. He believes Nunes has a history of struggling when opponents don't back down, citing the Cat Zingano fight and the Valentina Shevchenko fights. He acknowledges Nunes could win via calf kicks or a submission, but he trusts Peña's heart and durability. He also points out that long-reigning champions rarely regain their belt in immediate rematches, citing a 11-2 record for the new champion.
Preet leans Nunes to win but won't lay -260; instead he likes the over 2.5 rounds at +100. He expects a more cautious, methodical fight that goes into the later rounds, noting that rematches of first-round finishes often go the distance. He thinks Nunes will be more disciplined and use leg kicks and combinations, but Peña's durability and pressure could extend the fight.
Paul picks Peña as well, citing the narrative that Nunes emptied her tank early in the first fight and quit. He thinks Nunes can win a striking match if she paces herself, but he's terrified to bet the fight. He notes that Peña is super durable and that the odds (+245) are attractive. He compares it to Ronda Rousey's loss to Holly Holm, where people still believed in Rousey, but here Peña already beat Nunes.
The MMA Guru predicts Julianna Peña wins by submission (rear-naked choke) in round four. He expects Nunes to win the first two rounds with takedowns and jabs, but Peña will threaten submissions throughout. In round four, Peña times a takedown, passes to half guard, takes the back, and chokes Nunes out.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 46 of 99 | 46% | 58 of 112 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:35 |
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 79 of 135 | 58% | 90 of 147 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:25 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 10 of 14 | 71% | 22 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:35 |
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 5 of 20 | 25% | 16 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 36 of 85 | 42% | 36 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Amanda Nunes | 0 | 74 of 115 | 64% | 74 of 115 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:17 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 46 of 99 | 46% | 36 of 85 | 1 of 3 | 9 of 11 | 44 of 97 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Amanda Nunes | 79 of 135 | 58% | 69 of 122 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 78 of 134 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 10 of 14 | 71% | 4 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Amanda Nunes | 5 of 20 | 25% | 5 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 36 of 85 | 42% | 32 of 78 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 36 of 85 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Nunes | 74 of 115 | 64% | 64 of 103 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 73 of 114 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady is very confident in Amanda Nunes winning early, likely by first-round submission. He notes that Nunes is the GOAT and has advantages everywhere: striking, grappling, and cardio. Peña has poor takedown defense (23%) and was submitted by GDR, which is concerning. Nunes can finish by knockout or submission, and Brady expects a quick finish.
Daniel Levi picks Amanda Nunes to win by submission in the first round. He notes that Peña's striking is sloppy and she has been submitted in two of her last four fights. Levi believes Nunes will establish her jab and calf kicks, and when Peña shoots a sloppy takedown, Nunes will sprawl and lock in a d'arce or anaconda choke. He thinks Peña's trash talk will motivate Nunes to make a statement.
Nunes is the far superior fighter and should win, but the method is uncertain. Peña will try to grapple, which could slow the fight and push it past 1.5 rounds. Nunes has KO power, but Peña's durability and grappling could extend the fight. The over 1.5 rounds is a lean, but Nunes inside the distance is the most likely outcome.
The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes to win by first-round TKO, dismissing Julianna Peña's chances. He criticizes Peña's striking technique and notes she was submitted by a standing guillotine against Jermaine de Randamie. He believes Nunes is on a different level in strength and skill.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 38 of 76 | 50% | 140 of 192 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:55 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 21 of 54 | 38% | 28 of 63 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 7:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 5 of 20 | 25% | 37 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 12 of 30 | 40% | 15 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:58 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 70 of 93 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 11 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:11 | |
| 3 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 20 of 27 | 74% | 33 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:47 |
| Sara McMann | 0 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 38 of 76 | 50% | 27 of 65 | 11 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 57 | 10 of 10 | 8 of 9 |
| Sara McMann | 21 of 54 | 38% | 10 of 39 | 7 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 12 of 43 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 5 of 20 | 25% | 5 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sara McMann | 12 of 30 | 40% | 7 of 23 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 13 of 29 | 44% | 7 of 23 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 23 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Sara McMann | 8 of 17 | 47% | 3 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 4 | |
| 3 | Julianna Peña | 20 of 27 | 74% | 15 of 22 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 9 |
| Sara McMann | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Sara McMann by decision, citing her wrestling advantage and Peña's poor takedown defense (28%). He notes McMann lands 4.5 takedowns per 15 minutes with 60% accuracy. He expects McMann to control Peña on the ground for at least two rounds. He is not confident enough to bet but leans towards McMann.
Daniel Levi picks Sara McMann, highlighting her superior wrestling and power. He criticizes Julianna Peña's poor takedown defense (28%) and lack of submissions. Levi believes McMann can dominate with top control and avoid Peña's comeback attempts, as long as she stays focused for 15 minutes.
McMann is the better wrestler and should be able to get takedowns and control Peña on the ground. Peña has poor takedown defense and her jiu-jitsu off her back is not great. However, McMann is 40 years old and has cardio issues, which is a concern. I think McMann grinds out a decision, but I'm not confident enough to bet on her.
The MMA Guru picks Sara McMann to win by controlling Peña on the ground with top control. He criticizes Peña's submission game, noting she hasn't submitted anyone of note and has been submitted herself. He believes McMann's wrestling and top control will be effective, especially since women's fights are not stood up quickly. He predicts a 30-27 decision via ground control.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 37 of 91 | 40% | 57 of 119 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 27 of 91 | 29% | 58 of 125 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 5:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 20 of 58 | 34% | 23 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 8 of 43 | 18% | 12 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 | |
| 2 | Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 19 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 30 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:41 | |
| 3 | Germaine de Randamie | 0 | 11 of 24 | 45% | 15 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 8 of 25 | 32% | 16 of 35 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:45 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germaine de Randamie | 37 of 91 | 40% | 32 of 86 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 32 of 84 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
| Julianna Peña | 27 of 91 | 29% | 19 of 79 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 18 of 75 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 14 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germaine de Randamie | 20 of 58 | 34% | 18 of 56 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 8 of 43 | 18% | 7 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Germaine de Randamie | 6 of 9 | 66% | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Julianna Peña | 11 of 23 | 47% | 6 of 17 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 14 | |
| 3 | Germaine de Randamie | 11 of 24 | 45% | 8 of 21 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 8 of 25 | 32% | 6 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady leans towards Germaine de Randamie to win by decision. He notes the striking discrepancy favors de Randamie, and while Peña's path is takedowns, he thinks de Randamie can stop them. He is worried about cage control but expects the fight to stay on the feet.
Daniel picks de Randamie, emphasizing the massive striking gap and Peña's ugly stand-up. He believes de Randamie will clip Peña coming in and possibly knock her out, similar to the Aspen Ladd fight. He acknowledges concern if Peña gets on top but thinks de Randamie's takedown defense has improved and she will pull the trigger.
The host picks Peña as the underdog, believing her wrestling and trip takedowns will be effective against de Randamie's takedown defense. He notes that de Randamie has struggled against grapplers like Nunes and that Peña's style is similar. He predicts a decision win for Peña and thinks the line should be closer to -120.
The Guru picks Germaine de Randamie, believing she can survive on the ground and will keep the fight standing to beat Peña with leg kicks and eventually finish by TKO. He notes Peña couldn't submit Nico Montano and thinks de Randamie is too big and dangerous.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 45 of 90 | 50% | 108 of 158 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:36 |
| Nicco Montaño | 0 | 38 of 79 | 48% | 59 of 103 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 6:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 9 of 19 | 47% | 14 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Nicco Montaño | 0 | 11 of 25 | 44% | 25 of 42 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 4:07 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 16 of 27 | 59% | 42 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:17 |
| Nicco Montaño | 0 | 13 of 22 | 59% | 17 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 | |
| 3 | Julianna Peña | 0 | 20 of 44 | 45% | 52 of 78 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 |
| Nicco Montaño | 0 | 14 of 32 | 43% | 17 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianna Peña | 45 of 90 | 50% | 32 of 73 | 12 of 14 | 1 of 3 | 21 of 64 | 8 of 9 | 16 of 17 |
| Nicco Montaño | 38 of 79 | 48% | 13 of 50 | 10 of 10 | 15 of 19 | 26 of 57 | 6 of 11 | 6 of 11 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianna Peña | 9 of 19 | 47% | 4 of 13 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 12 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Nicco Montaño | 11 of 25 | 44% | 5 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 8 | 5 of 14 | 2 of 5 | 4 of 6 | |
| 2 | Julianna Peña | 16 of 27 | 59% | 13 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 14 |
| Nicco Montaño | 13 of 22 | 59% | 3 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 9 | 7 of 12 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 5 | |
| 3 | Julianna Peña | 20 of 44 | 45% | 15 of 38 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Nicco Montaño | 14 of 32 | 43% | 5 of 23 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 13 of 17 | 76% | 46 of 51 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:42 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 27 of 35 | 77% | 78 of 99 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 6:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 8 of 12 | 66% | 25 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:42 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 20 of 24 | 83% | 46 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:53 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 5 of 5 | 100% | 21 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julianna Peña | 0 | 7 of 11 | 63% | 32 of 46 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 4:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 13 of 17 | 76% | 5 of 9 | 7 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 7 of 7 | 5 of 6 |
| Julianna Peña | 27 of 35 | 77% | 2 of 5 | 22 of 27 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 2 | 25 of 30 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 8 of 12 | 66% | 5 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 6 |
| Julianna Peña | 20 of 24 | 83% | 0 of 0 | 17 of 21 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 24 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 5 of 5 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Julianna Peña | 7 of 11 | 63% | 2 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 3 |
Expert Picks (4)
Big Brady leans towards Germaine de Randamie to win by decision. He notes the striking discrepancy favors de Randamie, and while Peña's path is takedowns, he thinks de Randamie can stop them. He is worried about cage control but expects the fight to stay on the feet.
Daniel picks de Randamie, emphasizing the massive striking gap and Peña's ugly stand-up. He believes de Randamie will clip Peña coming in and possibly knock her out, similar to the Aspen Ladd fight. He acknowledges concern if Peña gets on top but thinks de Randamie's takedown defense has improved and she will pull the trigger.
The host picks Peña as the underdog, believing her wrestling and trip takedowns will be effective against de Randamie's takedown defense. He notes that de Randamie has struggled against grapplers like Nunes and that Peña's style is similar. He predicts a decision win for Peña and thinks the line should be closer to -120.
The Guru picks Germaine de Randamie, believing she can survive on the ground and will keep the fight standing to beat Peña with leg kicks and eventually finish by TKO. He notes Peña couldn't submit Nico Montano and thinks de Randamie is too big and dangerous.
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