Career Averages - Justine Kish
Career Averages - Lucie Pudilová
Justine Kish - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy Cortez | 0 | 66 of 112 | 58% | 84 of 138 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 | 0 | 6:26 |
| Justine Kish | 1 | 55 of 119 | 46% | 72 of 140 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tracy Cortez | 0 | 20 of 30 | 66% | 34 of 52 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:11 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 12 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 | |
| 2 | Tracy Cortez | 0 | 22 of 44 | 50% | 24 of 46 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 29 of 57 | 50% | 38 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 3 | Tracy Cortez | 0 | 24 of 38 | 63% | 26 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:22 |
| Justine Kish | 1 | 21 of 54 | 38% | 22 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy Cortez | 66 of 112 | 58% | 40 of 78 | 19 of 24 | 7 of 10 | 39 of 73 | 7 of 7 | 20 of 32 |
| Justine Kish | 55 of 119 | 46% | 30 of 86 | 8 of 14 | 17 of 19 | 50 of 111 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tracy Cortez | 20 of 30 | 66% | 18 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 25 |
| Justine Kish | 5 of 8 | 62% | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Tracy Cortez | 22 of 44 | 50% | 9 of 26 | 8 of 10 | 5 of 8 | 19 of 41 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Justine Kish | 29 of 57 | 50% | 15 of 38 | 4 of 8 | 10 of 11 | 27 of 54 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Tracy Cortez | 24 of 38 | 63% | 13 of 24 | 9 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 7 |
| Justine Kish | 21 of 54 | 38% | 12 of 42 | 4 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 19 of 51 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
The lone catchweight contest of this evening and the second of two women’s bouts is officially at 126.5 pounds as Cortez (8-1, 2-0 UFC) missed weight before taking on Kish (7-3, 3-3 UFC). Our referee is Keith Peterson, and the nonsense level in the arena just dropped to dangerously low levels. There is no glove touch offered or exchanged, and Cortez takes the center of the cage to engage. It is Kish that lands the first offense, with a barrage of punches leading to a head kick and a follow-up takedown attempt. Cortez stuffs the try, and the two muscle one another around on the fencing. Both score short knees, and Kish aims for a trip only to get reversed and put on her back. Cortez postures up and stands up in high guard to blast Kish in the face with heavy hands. Kish arches her back to try to tie up Cortez or set up a submission off her back, but Cortez ignores it and slams her in the face with repeated fists and elbows. Kish aims for an armbar, and Cortez breaks it up with stern ground-and-pound. This same situation happens again, and Kish cannot get the leverage nor the angle to set up any serious submission. Instead, Kish hacks with elbows from her back, all while Cortez busts her in the face. When Cortez stands up to rain down shots, Kish nails her in the face with an upkick but Cortez darts back down to take top position. As Kish scrambles, she returns to her knees and gives up her back, and Cortez gets both hooks in. Kish defends with two-on-one wrist control all while trying to break the body lock that Cortez takes, and Cortez keeps the body triangle tightly secured. Cortez flirts with a choke attempt and gets punched, and the round ends in this position.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cortez
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Cortez
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cortez
Round 2
Cortez rushes out of her corner to begin the second frame, and both trade single jabs early. They commit to body kicks, and Kish sits down on a right hand to back her foe off. Kish aims another kick, and Cortez wades forward with a combination. Kish returns fire, and they close the distance but Cortez cannot grab her. Cortez sweeps with a kick, and blocks low to aim to take the fight down. Kish gives up her back in an exchange, and Cortez drags her down to set up the body triangle like she ended the previous stanza. Kish throws no-look punches, and she breaks the body lock to burst out of the position, on top, and then back up. Kish slashes at her with a standing elbow, and Cortez replies with a solid right hand. Two punches from Kick get off, Cortez does not let her off the hook, and they continue to trade one after the other. Both get off leg kicks, and they reach out with jabs. A low kick turns into a hook kick for Kish, and Cortez avoids the latter. Cortez marches forward with a one-two, and the head kick that comes after it gets blocked. Kish stings Cortez with a one-two, and she lands to the body with a punch and a few kicks. When Cortez aims her own kick to the body, Kish is there with an overhand right counter. Kish lands an inside calf kick when Cortez comes at her, and Kish avoids the strikes that flow towards her. Kish takes a leg kick and comes up short of her intended target. A pair of leg kicks from Kish conclude the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kish
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kish
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Kish
Round 3
When Cortez starts the round aggressively, Kish is there to greet her with several punches and a leg kick. Cortez pursues a takedown, and Kish sees it coming and staves her off. A right hand connects to the jaw for Kish, and Cortez counters her effectively. Cortez leaves a kick out too long, which allows for Kish to nail her on the jaw with a right hand. Kish shrugs off a front kick to smack Cortez with a few right hands, and she follows them with two lefts. Cortez rushes in to clinch up and hit a body lock takedown, and on the second effort, she gets Kish down to her back. Cortez sits up to land strikes, and Kish pushes off and may have gotten away with a upkick with Cortez’ knees down. As Kish rolls to her knees, Cortez nails her with heavy ground-and-pound. Kish scrambles and gives up her neck, and as they stand up, Cortez grips on to a guillotine choke. Kish does not panic, and instead wriggles her neck free. Kish thanks her by landing a few punches, and they go body kick for body kick. Kish attempts a standing back fist, but she misses. When Cortez throws a body kick, Kish times a huge right hook that plants her square on her backside. Kish does not want to play on the ground, so she allows Cortez to get up. Cortez thanks her for this by landing a few punches when she gets her feet beneath her again. Kish eats an uppercut to score a right hand counter, and she catches a body kick but cannot make Cortez pay for it. Cortez shoots in to take the fight down, and Kish stuffs it, eats a knee up the middle and scores a few right hands. Kish paws out with punches, landing another right as Cortez throws a naked body kick. A few more from Kish end this very close fight.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kish (29-28 Kish)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kish (29-28 Kish)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Kish (29-28 Kish)
The Official Result
Tracy Cortez def. Justine Kish via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
Big Brady picks Tracy Cortez to win by decision. He highlights Cortez's excellent wrestling (3 takedowns per 15 minutes) against Kish's poor takedown defense (55%). He notes that Kish has not faced a wrestler of Cortez's caliber and that Cortez should have no problem getting takedowns and controlling the fight. He expects a dominant decision with multiple takedowns and top control. He suggests the decision prop at -120 as a better value than the moneyline.
Cody believes Cortez will secure takedowns and grind Kish down. He notes Kish is raw, makes mistakes, and has poor takedown defense. He thinks Cortez's wrestling is her bread and butter and that she will win by decision. He is confident in the pick.
Daniel Levi picks Tracy Cortez, citing her disciplined style and takedown ability. He notes that Justine Kish is aggressive but leaves openings for takedowns, and Cortez will stay true to her game plan. Levi believes Cortez will take Kish down and control the fight, winning a unanimous decision. He also mentions that Cortez has a higher ceiling and is working with a good team.
Manpreet is confident Cortez will win by decision, citing her superior wrestling and top control. He notes that Kish is durable but has poor takedown defense and struggles off her back, as seen in the Felice Herrig fight. He believes Cortez will grind out a decision, making the decision prop a safe play.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Kish has lost to grapplers and has not improved. He thinks Cortez's wrestling will be even better at 125 lbs. He expects a 29-28 decision for Cortez.
The MMA Guru picks Tracy Cortez to win by unanimous decision. He notes Cortez is younger, has a reach advantage, and a better record with good competition. He criticizes Justine Kish's recent losses and lack of impressive wins. He expects Cortez to secure takedowns at the end of rounds to win close rounds, possibly 30-27.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Mazo | 1 | 131 of 275 | 47% | 131 of 275 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 93 of 210 | 44% | 94 of 212 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 37 of 85 | 43% | 37 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 34 of 72 | 47% | 35 of 74 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 2 | Sabina Mazo | 0 | 42 of 88 | 47% | 42 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 28 of 67 | 41% | 28 of 67 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Sabina Mazo | 1 | 52 of 102 | 50% | 52 of 102 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 31 of 71 | 43% | 31 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Mazo | 131 of 275 | 47% | 45 of 158 | 27 of 38 | 59 of 79 | 123 of 264 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 1 |
| Justine Kish | 93 of 210 | 44% | 25 of 118 | 23 of 38 | 45 of 54 | 88 of 199 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabina Mazo | 37 of 85 | 43% | 8 of 46 | 12 of 16 | 17 of 23 | 37 of 85 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Justine Kish | 34 of 72 | 47% | 6 of 36 | 3 of 8 | 25 of 28 | 33 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | |
| 2 | Sabina Mazo | 42 of 88 | 47% | 13 of 48 | 9 of 13 | 20 of 27 | 38 of 84 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Justine Kish | 28 of 67 | 41% | 9 of 37 | 11 of 18 | 8 of 12 | 24 of 61 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sabina Mazo | 52 of 102 | 50% | 24 of 64 | 6 of 9 | 22 of 29 | 48 of 95 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 1 |
| Justine Kish | 31 of 71 | 43% | 10 of 45 | 9 of 12 | 12 of 14 | 31 of 69 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Sabina Mazo, noting she is young and improving, with a reach advantage. He thinks Mazo will bring more volume and out-strike Kish. He predicts Mazo by decision and would be surprised if the fight ends inside the distance. He is not betting it due to the price.
The host believes the line is too wide for Mazo at -250, as Kish has a solid kickboxing background and high output. He notes Mazo has trouble when opponents close distance and with leg kicks, and expects Kish to be the busier fighter, potentially winning a close decision. He advises against parlaying Mazo at such short odds.
The MMA Guru picks Sabina Mazo because he was embarrassed by Justine Kish's boring performance against Lucie Pudilova, where nothing happened. He notes that Mazo is younger (23 vs 32), hungrier, and improving more between fights. He expects Mazo to keep Kish at range and out-strike her for three rounds, winning by unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justine Kish | 0 | 62 of 129 | 48% | 66 of 135 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 29 of 143 | 20% | 47 of 165 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justine Kish | 0 | 21 of 43 | 48% | 22 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 11 of 46 | 23% | 17 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Justine Kish | 0 | 23 of 41 | 56% | 24 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 11 of 51 | 21% | 16 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 3 | Justine Kish | 0 | 18 of 45 | 40% | 20 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 7 of 46 | 15% | 14 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justine Kish | 62 of 129 | 48% | 17 of 70 | 16 of 23 | 29 of 36 | 50 of 108 | 10 of 14 | 2 of 7 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 29 of 143 | 20% | 22 of 131 | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 25 of 137 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justine Kish | 21 of 43 | 48% | 5 of 25 | 6 of 7 | 10 of 11 | 16 of 38 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 11 of 46 | 23% | 7 of 41 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 42 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Justine Kish | 23 of 41 | 56% | 6 of 20 | 7 of 10 | 10 of 11 | 20 of 34 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 11 of 51 | 21% | 9 of 47 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Justine Kish | 18 of 45 | 40% | 6 of 25 | 3 of 6 | 9 of 14 | 14 of 36 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 7 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 7 of 46 | 15% | 6 of 43 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel picks Justine Kish to win by decision, believing she is motivated and can return to her early UFC form with forward pressure. He notes that Pudilová has lapses in her fights and that Kish has experience against top-15 opponents. He thinks Kish's intensity will be the difference.
The MMA Guru picks Lucie Pudilová, citing her better record and lesser reach advantage. He doesn't show much interest in the fight, noting the women's flyweight division is thin and that being in the top 15 is basically the standard.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 96 of 203 | 47% | 96 of 203 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 68 of 215 | 31% | 68 of 216 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 23 of 54 | 42% | 23 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 14 of 50 | 28% | 14 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 31 of 61 | 50% | 31 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 18 of 69 | 26% | 18 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 42 of 88 | 47% | 42 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 36 of 96 | 37% | 36 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ji Yeon Kim | 96 of 203 | 47% | 43 of 132 | 22 of 31 | 31 of 40 | 93 of 197 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Justine Kish | 68 of 215 | 31% | 60 of 201 | 5 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 66 of 210 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ji Yeon Kim | 23 of 54 | 42% | 9 of 31 | 5 of 9 | 9 of 14 | 23 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Justine Kish | 14 of 50 | 28% | 10 of 46 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ji Yeon Kim | 31 of 61 | 50% | 13 of 40 | 7 of 8 | 11 of 13 | 30 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Justine Kish | 18 of 69 | 26% | 16 of 66 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 68 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ji Yeon Kim | 42 of 88 | 47% | 21 of 61 | 10 of 14 | 11 of 13 | 40 of 83 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Justine Kish | 36 of 96 | 37% | 34 of 89 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 34 of 92 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felice Herrig | 0 | 47 of 93 | 50% | 131 of 182 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 | 0 | 9:24 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 40 of 72 | 55% | 50 of 84 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Felice Herrig | 0 | 10 of 17 | 58% | 32 of 40 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:10 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 8 of 13 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:06 | |
| 2 | Felice Herrig | 0 | 16 of 47 | 34% | 23 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:35 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 26 of 48 | 54% | 35 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:37 | |
| 3 | Felice Herrig | 0 | 21 of 29 | 72% | 76 of 87 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:39 |
| Justine Kish | 0 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felice Herrig | 47 of 93 | 50% | 40 of 86 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 63 | 1 of 2 | 22 of 28 |
| Justine Kish | 40 of 72 | 55% | 28 of 57 | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 28 of 58 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Felice Herrig | 10 of 17 | 58% | 9 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 8 |
| Justine Kish | 8 of 13 | 61% | 6 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | |
| 2 | Felice Herrig | 16 of 47 | 34% | 11 of 42 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Justine Kish | 26 of 48 | 54% | 19 of 39 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 19 of 41 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 | |
| 3 | Felice Herrig | 21 of 29 | 72% | 20 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 18 of 20 |
| Justine Kish | 6 of 11 | 54% | 3 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justine Kish | 0 | 51 of 107 | 47% | 59 of 117 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 2 | 5:27 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 44 of 116 | 37% | 77 of 156 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 3 | 2:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justine Kish | 0 | 23 of 47 | 48% | 23 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:09 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 14 of 48 | 29% | 21 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0:26 | |
| 2 | Justine Kish | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 2:51 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 12 of 28 | 42% | 32 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:46 | |
| 3 | Justine Kish | 0 | 21 of 43 | 48% | 26 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
| Ashley Yoder | 0 | 18 of 40 | 45% | 24 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:49 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justine Kish | 51 of 107 | 47% | 17 of 54 | 19 of 33 | 15 of 20 | 40 of 92 | 10 of 13 | 1 of 2 |
| Ashley Yoder | 44 of 116 | 37% | 31 of 84 | 12 of 30 | 1 of 2 | 35 of 98 | 4 of 10 | 5 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justine Kish | 23 of 47 | 48% | 5 of 19 | 12 of 19 | 6 of 9 | 14 of 36 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 1 |
| Ashley Yoder | 14 of 48 | 29% | 8 of 34 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 12 of 41 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Justine Kish | 7 of 17 | 41% | 1 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 14 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ashley Yoder | 12 of 28 | 42% | 11 of 23 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 18 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 8 | |
| 3 | Justine Kish | 21 of 43 | 48% | 11 of 26 | 4 of 10 | 6 of 7 | 20 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Ashley Yoder | 18 of 40 | 45% | 12 of 27 | 5 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justine Kish | 0 | 72 of 135 | 53% | 91 of 155 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 2:51 |
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 92 of 174 | 52% | 107 of 194 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 2:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justine Kish | 0 | 41 of 77 | 53% | 41 of 77 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 57 of 104 | 54% | 61 of 108 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 2 | Justine Kish | 0 | 16 of 35 | 45% | 20 of 39 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 29 of 53 | 54% | 33 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Justine Kish | 0 | 15 of 23 | 65% | 30 of 39 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 6 of 17 | 35% | 13 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 2:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justine Kish | 72 of 135 | 53% | 45 of 94 | 12 of 19 | 15 of 22 | 50 of 106 | 17 of 23 | 5 of 6 |
| Nina Nunes | 92 of 174 | 52% | 50 of 117 | 20 of 34 | 22 of 23 | 76 of 150 | 15 of 22 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justine Kish | 41 of 77 | 53% | 27 of 56 | 6 of 9 | 8 of 12 | 26 of 58 | 14 of 17 | 1 of 2 |
| Nina Nunes | 57 of 104 | 54% | 33 of 69 | 16 of 26 | 8 of 9 | 44 of 89 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Justine Kish | 16 of 35 | 45% | 8 of 23 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 7 | 16 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Nina Nunes | 29 of 53 | 54% | 13 of 36 | 3 of 4 | 13 of 13 | 28 of 49 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Justine Kish | 15 of 23 | 65% | 10 of 15 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 15 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 4 |
| Nina Nunes | 6 of 17 | 35% | 4 of 12 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 12 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 2 |
Lucie Pudilová - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 94 of 167 | 56% | 114 of 199 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 43 of 114 | 37% | 62 of 145 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 33 of 51 | 64% | 38 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 6 of 32 | 18% | 14 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 24 of 50 | 48% | 28 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 22 of 43 | 51% | 27 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 0 | 37 of 66 | 56% | 48 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 15 of 39 | 38% | 21 of 53 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Carolina | 94 of 167 | 56% | 45 of 101 | 23 of 35 | 26 of 31 | 73 of 142 | 21 of 25 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 43 of 114 | 37% | 25 of 86 | 16 of 23 | 2 of 5 | 27 of 93 | 16 of 21 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Carolina | 33 of 51 | 64% | 14 of 29 | 6 of 9 | 13 of 13 | 25 of 41 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 6 of 32 | 18% | 5 of 25 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 3 | 5 of 29 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Luana Carolina | 24 of 50 | 48% | 13 of 36 | 7 of 9 | 4 of 5 | 16 of 41 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 22 of 43 | 51% | 12 of 33 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 28 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Luana Carolina | 37 of 66 | 56% | 18 of 36 | 10 of 17 | 9 of 13 | 32 of 60 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 15 of 39 | 38% | 8 of 28 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is surprised that Luana Carolina is a plus-money underdog, as he believes she is the better striker with solid takedown defense and clinch work. He notes that Lucie Pudilová has poor takedown defense and is not the better wrestler or striker. He has placed a half-unit bet on Luana at plus money, expecting the line to move.
Cody picks Carolina, highlighting her better competition, volume, and ability to defend takedowns. He notes Pudilová's poor takedown accuracy and that she struggles when taken down. He thinks Carolina will win with damage in the clinch and on the ground, and that judges will favor her output.
Daniel Vreeland picks Luana Carolina, citing Pudilová's poor record with judges and her increased hesitancy. He notes Carolina's Muay Thai background and recent submission win. Vreeland expects a kickboxing match that goes to decision, with Carolina getting the nod.
Pudilová is a slight underdog at +100. She has improved her grappling since her first UFC stint and can use her striking to set up takedowns, unlike Stoliarenko who pulls guard. Pudilová's aggressiveness and ability to mix in takedowns should keep Carolina uncomfortable at distance. I think Pudilová is the better overall fighter and can grind out a decision win.
Paul agrees, saying Carolina is the pick all day. He thinks wrestling will be negated and that Carolina's striking and clinch work will be key. He was impressed with her win over Stoliarenko.
The MMA Guru picks Luana Carolina, calling Lucie Pudilová 'garbage'. He notes Carolina stuffed takedowns from Lupita Godinez, who has good wrestling, and believes Carolina can out-grapple or out-strike Pudilová. He compares Pudilová's win over Yanan Wu unfavorably to Carolina's similar style, and cites Carolina's size and reach advantage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ailín Pérez | 0 | 20 of 42 | 47% | 41 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 4:09 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 42 of 74 | 56% | 123 of 180 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 8:36 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ailín Pérez | 0 | 2 of 10 | 20% | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 12 of 26 | 46% | 48 of 64 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:49 | |
| 2 | Ailín Pérez | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 25 of 37 | 67% | 66 of 100 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:26 | |
| 3 | Ailín Pérez | 0 | 16 of 24 | 66% | 36 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 4:09 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ailín Pérez | 20 of 42 | 47% | 13 of 31 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 2 | 5 of 25 | 9 of 10 | 6 of 7 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 42 of 74 | 56% | 31 of 57 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 10 | 12 of 27 | 3 of 6 | 27 of 41 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ailín Pérez | 2 of 10 | 20% | 1 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 12 of 26 | 46% | 7 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 6 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 10 | |
| 2 | Ailín Pérez | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 25 of 37 | 67% | 22 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 31 | |
| 3 | Ailín Pérez | 16 of 24 | 66% | 10 of 17 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 9 of 10 | 6 of 7 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 5 of 11 | 45% | 2 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Ailín Pérez, citing her incredible cardio and wrestling pressure from her last fight where she set the bantamweight record for takedowns. He notes Lucie Pudilová can be taken down and that -150 feels like a good deal. He plans to bet on her.
Big Brady finds Perez's nickname change to 'Nurmagomedov' hilarious but thinks she earned it with 10 takedowns in her last fight. He sees Perez as a bully who will come forward, push Pudilová against the cage, and take her down repeatedly. He notes Pudilová has better striking but has struggled with takedowns and control in the past. He believes the odds flip is correct and Perez should be the favorite, winning a grinding decision.
Cody picks Ailín Pérez, citing her takedown volume and pressure. He notes that Pudilová has poor takedown defense and low striking volume. Pérez can grind out a decision with takedowns and control. Cody also mentions a PrizePicks play on Pérez over 2.5 takedowns.
Pudilová has improved her grappling significantly since her first UFC stint, now using it offensively. She is the cleaner striker and can cut up Pérez on the feet. Even on the ground, Pudilová can throw up submissions and reverse positions. Pérez relies on strength and bullying, which may not work against a technically better grappler like Pudilová. Pudilová wins by decision.
Paul picks Pérez, noting her physical strength and relentless pressure. He highlights Pudilová's inability to defend takedowns and her tendency to lose decisions. Paul expects Pérez to control the fight with takedowns and cage work.
The MMA Guru picks Lucie Pudilová over Ailín Pérez, noting Pudilová's height and reach advantage as a rangier striker. He rates Pudilová's wins higher, including a close fight with Joselyne Edwards and a win over Yanan Wu, while criticizing Pérez's decision win over Ashley Evans-Smith as unimpressive. He believes Pudilová's improvement and range will be key if the fight stays standing, and doesn't see Pérez out-grappling her.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joselyne Edwards | 0 | 56 of 114 | 49% | 90 of 153 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:29 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 39 of 98 | 39% | 74 of 138 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 7:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joselyne Edwards | 0 | 17 of 36 | 47% | 31 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:11 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 8 of 27 | 29% | 17 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:11 | |
| 2 | Joselyne Edwards | 0 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 23 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 12 of 25 | 48% | 24 of 38 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:19 | |
| 3 | Joselyne Edwards | 0 | 27 of 56 | 48% | 36 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 19 of 46 | 41% | 33 of 60 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:59 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joselyne Edwards | 56 of 114 | 49% | 19 of 65 | 11 of 19 | 26 of 30 | 46 of 98 | 5 of 9 | 5 of 7 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 39 of 98 | 39% | 27 of 82 | 9 of 10 | 3 of 6 | 21 of 67 | 7 of 10 | 11 of 21 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joselyne Edwards | 17 of 36 | 47% | 10 of 25 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 7 | 10 of 25 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 7 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 8 of 27 | 29% | 5 of 22 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 2 | 4 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 8 | |
| 2 | Joselyne Edwards | 12 of 22 | 54% | 2 of 10 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 10 of 19 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 12 of 25 | 48% | 10 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 13 | |
| 3 | Joselyne Edwards | 27 of 56 | 48% | 7 of 30 | 4 of 9 | 16 of 17 | 26 of 54 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 19 of 46 | 41% | 12 of 37 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 15 of 39 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Pudilova (-135), Edwards (+115)
Round 1
For the first time in six years to the day, the UFC is back in Kansas City, Missouri, with a Fight Night offering. In the building formerly known as the Sprint Center and now the T-Mobile Center, the promotion throws 14 fights in rapid succession at fans in the building and those watching on ESPN and ESPN+. Of note, the prelims will bring eight bouts in the span of three hours, so the pace should be higher. This presumably speedy slate of matches begins outside of normal weight categories, as Edwards (12-4, 3-2 UFC) missed weight ahead of her bantamweight bout with Pudilova (14-7, 3-5 UFC). The 137-pound catchweight affair will be overseen by referee Dwayne Bess, and there is no interest in a glove touch to start off the night. Instead, the ladies immediately begin to brawl, throwing hands in volume and tagging the other right out of the gate. One particular right hand from Edwards draws a telegraphed double-leg attempt from her opponent, and Edwards stuffs it and gets back up. Pudilova counters a leg kick with a right hand, and Edwards loads up on a pair of overhand rights in response. Pudilova scores a low kick and paws at her nose, which is already showing some damage from the few absorbed blows thus far. Pudilova surges forward and lifts Edwards off her feet to take her down to the mat, where she lands right in half guard. Pudilova controls her adversary, flattening her to the floor and not throwing much of note. A few punches to the rib cage do connect for Pudilova, who is dragged back to the guard when Edwards looks to buck her off. Pudilova is comfortable from this position as well, even with Edwards clutching both of her hands, so that she can posture up and drop down some decent ground-and-pound. Pudilova rains down hammerfists from high up until Edwards boots her off, and the Panamanian even gets off an upkick that stuns Pudilova momentarily. Instead of standing, Edwards remains on her back, and Pudilova adjusts her mouthguard and top and dives back down into the half guard. The boos begin to rain down from crowd, and this spurs Pudilova into action. Pudilova looks to pass to a dominant position, and Edwards turns to her side and slides out the back door to stand back up. Pudilova gives chase, and she swings her way into the clinch. The round closes as Edwards tries to toss her foe down.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pudilova
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Pudilova
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Pudilova
Round 2
Pudilova advances calmly out of her corner, watching Edwards lob inaccurate bombs at her, until she rushes forward to close up. Edwards shuts down a takedown, and she makes Pudilova pay for it with multiple leg kicks. Pudilova’s offense stalls out while Edwards pecks at her with kicks, and she barely dodges a spinning back fist in time. Edwards sinks in a few body kicks, and Pudilova takes a moment after the second one lands. Pudilova ducks a few punches to pursue a double, and she drags “La Pantera” to the mat while simultaneously turning to land in side control. Pudilova grinds her elbow on Edwards’ face as she maintains heavy top control, with chest-to-chest pressure to keep Edwards flat on her back. Bess asks Pudilova to start working, as the action lulls. Pudilova drops down a few solid elbows on the cheek, and she moves to claim mount. As she does, Edwards flips over to her knees, and Pudilova does not fall off this time. Instead, Pudilova takes her back, where she gets in both hooks and threatens immediately with a rear-naked choke. Edwards fights the hands off from the first choke try, and she attempts to slip Pudilova off of her. Pudilova softens her up with a few punches, and Edwards keeps her stuck from trying anything with a two-on-one wrist lock. Edwards turns to her back, and Pudilova follows her and gets into mount. With 10 seconds to spare, Pudilova sits up and batters Edwards with vicious elbows until the horn saves the Panama native.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pudilova
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Pudilova
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Pudilova
Round 3
The last round opens up with Edwards aiming heavy kicks to the calf and big overhand rights up top. Pudilova stays composed and does not walk into anything harmful, and she flicks out a few jabs to keep Edwards honest. Pudilova shoots in from afar for a double, and she gets stood up as she pushes Edwards to the fence. Edwards slowly muscles her around, but Pudilova breaks off and separates. “La Pantera” shoots for her own takedown, and Pudilova tosses it aside and throws out a few kicks. Edwards strikes with several kicks to the thigh and upper calf, and Pudilova intercepts one with a straight left hand. Edwards punches her way into a spinning back fist, and Pudilova retreats and blocks both strikes. Edwards continues to work on the lead leg with pitter-patter kicks, and she smacks Pudilova with a clean left. “Bullet” charges for a takedown, and Edwards stands her up and kicks her in the body with a spinning kick. Edwards circles away on the outside, countering the advancing Pudilova and landing effectively. Pudilova crashes the pocket briefly with an overhand right, and Edwards is met with a knee before she swings a right hand back. Pudilova slams Edwards in the face with a knee, and she level changes to grab hold of Edwards. Edwards turns around, and Pudilova drags her to the floor. Edwards springs back up instantly, and the two remain clinched up. Pudilova misses with an elbow on the break, and Edwards tags her with two right hands. Pudilova surges forward with a few punches, and they trade short shots until the final bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Edwards (29-28 Pudilova)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Edwards (29-27 Pudilova)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Edwards (29-28 Pudilova)
The Official Result
Joselyne Edwards def. Lucie Pudilova via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Angelo picks Joselyne Edwards based on her range management and volume striking. He notes that Edwards is a good kickboxer who uses range well, and her 63% takedown defense should ward off Pudilová's takedown attempts. He expects a boring fight but sees Edwards winning with volume and distance control. He is super confident in her but probably won't include her in a parlay.
Big Brady picks Joselyne Edwards as a dog, citing her striking volume and improved takedown defense. He doubts Lucie Pudilová's wrestling, which she only showed in her last fight, and doesn't trust her as a favorite. He expects Edwards to win by decision, but is not betting on the fight.
Cody notes Pudilová has improved her grappling and wrestling, and her aggression and volume should overwhelm Edwards. He thinks Edwards' pitter-patter striking won't be enough. He likes Pudilová by decision.
Connor picks Pudilová because he likes a newly controlled fighter who relies on her reach intelligently. He notes that Pudilová has takedowns and Edwards is a bad wrestler. He acknowledges that Edwards is powerful and the fight could get chaotic, but thinks Pudilová's experience in crazy fights will help.
Pudilová's improved grappling and BJJ will be key against Edwards, who struggles when taken down. Edwards relies on kicks and distance, but Pudilová is a good enough striker to close the distance and get takedowns. Pudilová's submission defense and top control should allow her to grind out a decision. She has evolved her game since returning to the UFC.
Paul agrees, noting Pudilová's improved grappling and the fact that Edwards' wins are over low-level competition. He thinks Pudilová's aggression and takedowns will secure a decision.
The MMA Guru leans toward Lucie Pudilová, citing her improved grappling and overall development since her return to the UFC. He notes Edwards' striking volume but thinks Pudilová's X-factor of potentially using grappling could edge a close decision. He calls it a close fight and says the line is accurate.
Zane picks Edwards because he hasn't seen Pudilová handle physical pushback well. He believes Edwards is tough and strong, and will land the bigger shots. He acknowledges that Edwards doesn't do enough work continually but thinks she'll land more damaging shots.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 26 of 42 | 61% | 32 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Wu Yanan | 0 | 39 of 81 | 48% | 51 of 96 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 4:53 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 13 of 18 | 72% | 17 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Wu Yanan | 0 | 9 of 22 | 40% | 16 of 30 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:19 | |
| 2 | Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 13 of 24 | 54% | 15 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Wu Yanan | 0 | 30 of 59 | 50% | 35 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:34 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucie Pudilová | 26 of 42 | 61% | 7 of 18 | 5 of 8 | 14 of 16 | 22 of 38 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Wu Yanan | 39 of 81 | 48% | 29 of 65 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 9 | 14 of 50 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 27 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucie Pudilová | 13 of 18 | 72% | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 9 | 9 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Wu Yanan | 9 of 22 | 40% | 6 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 | |
| 2 | Lucie Pudilová | 13 of 24 | 54% | 3 of 11 | 3 of 6 | 7 of 7 | 13 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Wu Yanan | 30 of 59 | 50% | 23 of 49 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 7 | 12 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 23 |
Angelo picks Wu Yanan over Lucie Pudilová. He notes that Pudilová is a UFC vet on a second stint but had a four-fight losing skid before being cut. He believes Wu is genuinely better everywhere, with better striking and grappling, and that her losses were competitive against higher-level competition. However, he expresses caution about betting low-level women's MMA and says he might only bet if the odds move to plus money around +200.
Big Brady picks the underdog Wu Yanan. He sees the fight as extremely close on the feet, slightly favoring Lucie Pudilová, but notes that Wu Yanan has shown takedown ability in recent fights. He believes Wu Yanan can mix in a takedown to seal a round and win a close decision. He mentions that Pudilová has poor takedown defense and no answer when taken down. Brady is not confident but sees a sneaky path for Wu Yanan.
Cody also picks Wu Yanan, agreeing with Paul that grappling will be key. He notes Pudilova's limited takedown defense and thinks Wu Yanan can take her down. He is not confident and says he won't bet it heavily.
Pudilová is the better striker with more power, but the fight is a toss-up. The host would only bet if Pudilová becomes plus money, and would then consider a small play on her by decision. He is not confident enough to bet at current odds.
Paul picks Wu Yanan, citing her grappling edge and the fact that Pudilova has poor takedown defense. He notes it's a low-level women's MMA fight and expects grappling to be key. He admits he's not confident and calls it a 'dogger pass'.
The Guru initially forgot his pick and had to check, eventually settling on Lucie Pudilová by decision. He thinks she will minorly outstrike Yanan in every round and mix in takedowns at the end of rounds to secure them. He calls her very good and underrated, and believes her experience against decent competition will allow her to win 27-30 via unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justine Kish | 0 | 62 of 129 | 48% | 66 of 135 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 29 of 143 | 20% | 47 of 165 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justine Kish | 0 | 21 of 43 | 48% | 22 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 11 of 46 | 23% | 17 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Justine Kish | 0 | 23 of 41 | 56% | 24 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 11 of 51 | 21% | 16 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 3 | Justine Kish | 0 | 18 of 45 | 40% | 20 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 7 of 46 | 15% | 14 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justine Kish | 62 of 129 | 48% | 17 of 70 | 16 of 23 | 29 of 36 | 50 of 108 | 10 of 14 | 2 of 7 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 29 of 143 | 20% | 22 of 131 | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 25 of 137 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justine Kish | 21 of 43 | 48% | 5 of 25 | 6 of 7 | 10 of 11 | 16 of 38 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 11 of 46 | 23% | 7 of 41 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 42 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Justine Kish | 23 of 41 | 56% | 6 of 20 | 7 of 10 | 10 of 11 | 20 of 34 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 11 of 51 | 21% | 9 of 47 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Justine Kish | 18 of 45 | 40% | 6 of 25 | 3 of 6 | 9 of 14 | 14 of 36 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 7 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 7 of 46 | 15% | 6 of 43 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel picks Justine Kish to win by decision, believing she is motivated and can return to her early UFC form with forward pressure. He notes that Pudilová has lapses in her fights and that Kish has experience against top-15 opponents. He thinks Kish's intensity will be the difference.
The MMA Guru picks Lucie Pudilová, citing her better record and lesser reach advantage. He doesn't show much interest in the fight, noting the women's flyweight division is thin and that being in the top 15 is basically the standard.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 16 of 23 | 69% | 36 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 0 | 1:54 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 12 of 24 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 16 of 21 | 76% | 34 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 1:37 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 11 of 18 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:40 | |
| 2 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 1 of 6 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonina Shevchenko | 16 of 23 | 69% | 3 of 6 | 9 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 3 | 15 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 6 of 16 | 37% | 3 of 12 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 8 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonina Shevchenko | 16 of 21 | 76% | 3 of 4 | 9 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 6 of 11 | 54% | 3 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Carmouche | 0 | 14 of 29 | 48% | 40 of 56 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 5:59 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 33 of 105 | 31% | 57 of 133 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liz Carmouche | 0 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 25 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:10 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 6 of 20 | 30% | 18 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Liz Carmouche | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 5 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 8 of 35 | 22% | 9 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:45 | |
| 3 | Liz Carmouche | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 10 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 0:56 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 19 of 50 | 38% | 30 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Carmouche | 14 of 29 | 48% | 3 of 12 | 4 of 8 | 7 of 9 | 9 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 33 of 105 | 31% | 13 of 77 | 3 of 6 | 17 of 22 | 15 of 81 | 2 of 4 | 16 of 20 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liz Carmouche | 4 of 4 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 6 of 20 | 30% | 5 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 15 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Liz Carmouche | 3 of 10 | 30% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 8 of 35 | 22% | 4 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | |
| 3 | Liz Carmouche | 7 of 15 | 46% | 1 of 6 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 19 of 50 | 38% | 4 of 30 | 0 of 2 | 15 of 18 | 7 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 12 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irene Aldana | 0 | 119 of 226 | 52% | 121 of 228 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 105 of 329 | 31% | 110 of 336 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irene Aldana | 0 | 27 of 51 | 52% | 27 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 28 of 102 | 27% | 28 of 102 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Irene Aldana | 0 | 36 of 73 | 49% | 38 of 75 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 27 of 92 | 29% | 28 of 95 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Irene Aldana | 0 | 56 of 102 | 54% | 56 of 102 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 0 | 50 of 135 | 37% | 54 of 139 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irene Aldana | 119 of 226 | 52% | 80 of 164 | 10 of 23 | 29 of 39 | 111 of 216 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 105 of 329 | 31% | 81 of 289 | 11 of 20 | 13 of 20 | 99 of 319 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irene Aldana | 27 of 51 | 52% | 18 of 39 | 2 of 4 | 7 of 8 | 25 of 49 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 28 of 102 | 27% | 20 of 90 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 8 | 25 of 98 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Irene Aldana | 36 of 73 | 49% | 21 of 50 | 4 of 8 | 11 of 15 | 34 of 71 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 27 of 92 | 29% | 20 of 79 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 7 | 26 of 90 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Irene Aldana | 56 of 102 | 54% | 41 of 75 | 4 of 11 | 11 of 16 | 52 of 96 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Lucie Pudilová | 50 of 135 | 37% | 41 of 120 | 5 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 48 of 131 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (2)
Daniel picks Justine Kish to win by decision, believing she is motivated and can return to her early UFC form with forward pressure. He notes that Pudilová has lapses in her fights and that Kish has experience against top-15 opponents. He thinks Kish's intensity will be the difference.
The MMA Guru picks Lucie Pudilová, citing her better record and lesser reach advantage. He doesn't show much interest in the fight, noting the women's flyweight division is thin and that being in the top 15 is basically the standard.
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