Career Averages - Jacare Souza
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Career Averages - Chris Weidman
Jacare Souza - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Muniz | 0 | 11 of 19 | 57% | 15 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Jacare Souza | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 19 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 1:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | André Muniz | 0 | 11 of 19 | 57% | 15 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Jacare Souza | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 19 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 1:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Muniz | 11 of 19 | 57% | 5 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 |
| Jacare Souza | 7 of 12 | 58% | 3 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | André Muniz | 11 of 19 | 57% | 5 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 |
| Jacare Souza | 7 of 12 | 58% | 3 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Souza has fought much better competition and is levels above Muniz. Muniz has poor takedown defense and has been knocked out in all four losses. Souza is a BJJ black belt who won't get submitted, and he has power. I think Souza takes Muniz down and finishes him by knockout, as Muniz's chin is suspect.
Cody picks Souza, arguing that Muniz's takedown defense is poor and Souza can take him down. He notes that Muniz's striking is not good enough to knock out Souza, and Souza has the advantage in both striking and grappling. Cody believes Souza will win by controlling the fight on the ground.
Daniel Levi picks André Muniz, citing Jacare's age (41) and recent decline, especially the Kevin Holland loss. He notes that Muniz is a credentialed jiu-jitsu player and younger (31), and believes Muniz can attack off his back and outgrapple the older Jacare. Levi thinks Jacare's durability and ability to break opponents have diminished, and expects Muniz to win by decision or submission.
The host picks Jacare Souza, giving him the jiu-jitsu advantage and noting his heavy strikes should get the fight to the ground. He acknowledges Souza is 41 and has a questionable chin after the Holland KO, but thinks he still has enough to grind out Muniz. He predicts a decision win and says he is not going to the betting window on this one.
Paul picks Souza, believing he still has one good fight left. He notes that Souza's grappling is elite and Muniz's striking is poor. Paul thinks Souza can dictate where the fight takes place and has the advantage on the ground. He acknowledges Souza's recent KO loss but points out that prior to that, Souza was competitive with top guys.
The MMA Guru picks André Muniz to win by submission in the first round. He believes Jacare is too old and has declined significantly, as evidenced by Kevin Holland making his grappling look good. He thinks Muniz's athleticism on the ground will be too much for the slower Jacare, and predicts Muniz will catch Jacare on the feet or in a scramble and secure an armbar.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Holland | 0 | 15 of 18 | 83% | 21 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Jacare Souza | 0 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Holland | 0 | 15 of 18 | 83% | 21 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Jacare Souza | 0 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Holland | 15 of 18 | 83% | 14 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 14 |
| Jacare Souza | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Holland | 15 of 18 | 83% | 14 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 14 |
| Jacare Souza | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
In a potential middleweight passing of the torch match – see also the previous bout – Holland (20-5, 7-2 UFC) will look to earn his fifth UFC win of the year against “Jacare” Souza (26-8, 1 NC; 9-5, 1 NC UFC). Thirteen years separate these two contenders, and referee Mark Smith will keep charge of the cage in this one. They touch gloves, and Holland lets loose a huge overhand right and a leg kick. Souza grabs his leg and hits a takedown, where Holland pulls his leg up to trap Souza and elbow him in the head like Anderson Silva did to Travis Lutter. Souza turns to try to get out of this position, and Holland powers back to his feet. Souza grips hold of a double, and then a single as Holland elbows his way out of danger. Holland latches on to a guillotine choke, and Souza pulls his head out and drops his opponent down. Holland starts talking trash while on his back, and Souza laughs and punches him in the face. Holland from his back nails Souza in the face with a huge right hand, and Souza falls to his back and gets blasted with another big right hand. “Jacare” leans backward as he is incredibly hurt while on his knees, and Holland springs up and drills Souza in the face with three lethal punches to completely shut Souza’s lights out. A few moments later, Souza manages to slump to his stool, and he nearly passes out again from the massive damage he received. Incredible! Holland has now won five fights this year, and done so in just seven impressive months. In his post-fight interview, Holland calls out Khamzat Chimaev to come up to greet him at 185 pounds next week.
The Official Result
Kevin Holland def. Ronaldo Souza R1 1:45 via KO (Punches)
Big Brady picks Jacare Souza to win by submission. He is concerned about Holland's poor takedown defense and submission history, and believes if Souza gets the fight to the mat, it's over. He notes Souza's superior competition and Holland's negative fight IQ. He passes on betting due to line movement but leans Souza.
Daniel is torn, acknowledging Holland's youth, reach, and hunger, but worried about his takedown defense and submission vulnerability. He notes Jacare's age and potential decline, but respects his jiu-jitsu. He picks Holland as a contrarian play since the line flipped, but calls it a very unconfident pick.
Souza is a high-level jiu-jitsu player who should be able to take Holland down and submit him. Holland has shown poor takedown defense and was submitted by Brendan Allen. Souza is older but still competitive, and his grappling is a huge threat. The line should be flipped; Souza is the better fighter here.
The MMA Guru picks Jacare Souza as an underdog, despite liking Kevin Holland. He believes Souza's chin, experience, and full camp will be key. He expects Holland to have a good first round but Souza to wear on him and get a submission win in the third round. He criticizes Holland's rapid fight schedule and lack of improvement.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Błachowicz | 0 | 71 of 170 | 41% | 105 of 205 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Jacare Souza | 0 | 20 of 48 | 41% | 56 of 88 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 8:25 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan Błachowicz | 0 | 8 of 16 | 50% | 17 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jacare Souza | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 7 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:30 | |
| 2 | Jan Błachowicz | 0 | 15 of 38 | 39% | 21 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jacare Souza | 0 | 9 of 15 | 60% | 16 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:28 | |
| 3 | Jan Błachowicz | 0 | 16 of 44 | 36% | 22 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Jacare Souza | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 14 of 21 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:26 | |
| 4 | Jan Błachowicz | 0 | 17 of 34 | 50% | 23 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jacare Souza | 0 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 15 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:22 | |
| 5 | Jan Błachowicz | 0 | 15 of 38 | 39% | 22 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jacare Souza | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 4 of 8 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Błachowicz | 71 of 170 | 41% | 38 of 121 | 13 of 20 | 20 of 29 | 59 of 154 | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 |
| Jacare Souza | 20 of 48 | 41% | 8 of 28 | 3 of 10 | 9 of 10 | 18 of 45 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan Błachowicz | 8 of 16 | 50% | 2 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jacare Souza | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jan Błachowicz | 15 of 38 | 39% | 8 of 29 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 15 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jacare Souza | 9 of 15 | 60% | 3 of 7 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jan Błachowicz | 16 of 44 | 36% | 7 of 30 | 4 of 7 | 5 of 7 | 13 of 40 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jacare Souza | 7 of 14 | 50% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Jan Błachowicz | 17 of 34 | 50% | 10 of 24 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 5 | 14 of 30 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jacare Souza | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 of 5 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Jan Błachowicz | 15 of 38 | 39% | 11 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 8 | 13 of 34 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jacare Souza | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Hermansson | 0 | 90 of 175 | 51% | 120 of 205 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Jacare Souza | 0 | 148 of 372 | 39% | 256 of 496 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 1 | 0 | 6:51 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Hermansson | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 26 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Jacare Souza | 0 | 26 of 44 | 59% | 29 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 1:32 | |
| 2 | Jack Hermansson | 0 | 8 of 12 | 66% | 10 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jacare Souza | 0 | 9 of 25 | 36% | 107 of 139 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:59 | |
| 3 | Jack Hermansson | 0 | 30 of 50 | 60% | 30 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jacare Souza | 0 | 28 of 81 | 34% | 28 of 81 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 4 | Jack Hermansson | 0 | 19 of 40 | 47% | 22 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jacare Souza | 0 | 50 of 123 | 40% | 50 of 123 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 5 | Jack Hermansson | 0 | 26 of 56 | 46% | 32 of 62 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jacare Souza | 0 | 35 of 99 | 35% | 42 of 106 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Hermansson | 90 of 175 | 51% | 65 of 141 | 24 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 74 of 154 | 15 of 20 | 1 of 1 |
| Jacare Souza | 148 of 372 | 39% | 96 of 313 | 32 of 36 | 20 of 23 | 120 of 339 | 24 of 29 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Hermansson | 7 of 17 | 41% | 5 of 14 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jacare Souza | 26 of 44 | 59% | 9 of 25 | 10 of 10 | 7 of 9 | 18 of 36 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jack Hermansson | 8 of 12 | 66% | 7 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Jacare Souza | 9 of 25 | 36% | 6 of 20 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | |
| 3 | Jack Hermansson | 30 of 50 | 60% | 21 of 37 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 47 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jacare Souza | 28 of 81 | 34% | 14 of 67 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 9 | 26 of 78 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Jack Hermansson | 19 of 40 | 47% | 16 of 37 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 33 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Jacare Souza | 50 of 123 | 40% | 41 of 112 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 44 of 113 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Jack Hermansson | 26 of 56 | 46% | 16 of 43 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 48 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Jacare Souza | 35 of 99 | 35% | 26 of 89 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 27 of 91 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacare Souza | 0 | 68 of 193 | 35% | 76 of 201 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Chris Weidman | 1 | 74 of 132 | 56% | 100 of 158 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacare Souza | 0 | 23 of 68 | 33% | 23 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chris Weidman | 0 | 14 of 30 | 46% | 15 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jacare Souza | 0 | 26 of 64 | 40% | 34 of 72 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Chris Weidman | 0 | 31 of 59 | 52% | 50 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jacare Souza | 0 | 19 of 61 | 31% | 19 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chris Weidman | 1 | 29 of 43 | 67% | 35 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacare Souza | 68 of 193 | 35% | 52 of 171 | 14 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 61 of 182 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Weidman | 74 of 132 | 56% | 42 of 89 | 24 of 31 | 8 of 12 | 57 of 109 | 15 of 21 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacare Souza | 23 of 68 | 33% | 21 of 65 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 66 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Weidman | 14 of 30 | 46% | 5 of 16 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 7 | 11 of 27 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jacare Souza | 26 of 64 | 40% | 16 of 50 | 8 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 23 of 58 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Weidman | 31 of 59 | 52% | 19 of 43 | 10 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 21 of 46 | 9 of 12 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Jacare Souza | 19 of 61 | 31% | 15 of 56 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 58 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Weidman | 29 of 43 | 67% | 18 of 30 | 9 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 25 of 36 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelvin Gastelum | 0 | 64 of 115 | 55% | 78 of 129 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 | 1 | 3:28 |
| Jacare Souza | 1 | 53 of 145 | 36% | 57 of 149 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kelvin Gastelum | 0 | 21 of 22 | 95% | 32 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 2:57 |
| Jacare Souza | 0 | 7 of 7 | 100% | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 | |
| 2 | Kelvin Gastelum | 0 | 24 of 56 | 42% | 24 of 56 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Jacare Souza | 1 | 24 of 73 | 32% | 24 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 | |
| 3 | Kelvin Gastelum | 0 | 19 of 37 | 51% | 22 of 40 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
| Jacare Souza | 0 | 22 of 65 | 33% | 24 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelvin Gastelum | 64 of 115 | 55% | 42 of 84 | 21 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 42 of 90 | 8 of 11 | 14 of 14 |
| Jacare Souza | 53 of 145 | 36% | 44 of 133 | 7 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 41 of 125 | 9 of 10 | 3 of 10 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kelvin Gastelum | 21 of 22 | 95% | 14 of 14 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 7 | 14 of 14 |
| Jacare Souza | 7 of 7 | 100% | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Kelvin Gastelum | 24 of 56 | 42% | 15 of 40 | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 54 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jacare Souza | 24 of 73 | 32% | 20 of 67 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 63 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 10 | |
| 3 | Kelvin Gastelum | 19 of 37 | 51% | 13 of 30 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jacare Souza | 22 of 65 | 33% | 21 of 63 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 62 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacare Souza | 1 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 9 of 21 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Derek Brunson | 0 | 8 of 34 | 23% | 8 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacare Souza | 1 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 9 of 21 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Derek Brunson | 0 | 8 of 34 | 23% | 8 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacare Souza | 9 of 21 | 42% | 7 of 10 | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 |
| Derek Brunson | 8 of 34 | 23% | 5 of 28 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacare Souza | 9 of 21 | 42% | 7 of 10 | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 |
| Derek Brunson | 8 of 34 | 23% | 5 of 28 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Whittaker | 0 | 9 of 36 | 25% | 13 of 40 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Jacare Souza | 1 | 55 of 110 | 50% | 57 of 112 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:25 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Whittaker | 0 | 5 of 24 | 20% | 8 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Jacare Souza | 0 | 18 of 39 | 46% | 19 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Robert Whittaker | 0 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 5 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jacare Souza | 1 | 37 of 71 | 52% | 38 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Whittaker | 9 of 36 | 25% | 6 of 31 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 32 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jacare Souza | 55 of 110 | 50% | 47 of 97 | 7 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 40 of 85 | 1 of 4 | 14 of 21 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Whittaker | 5 of 24 | 20% | 4 of 21 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jacare Souza | 18 of 39 | 46% | 15 of 34 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Robert Whittaker | 4 of 12 | 33% | 2 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jacare Souza | 37 of 71 | 52% | 32 of 63 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 47 | 0 of 3 | 14 of 21 |
Chris Weidman - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eryk Anders | 1 | 16 of 36 | 44% | 27 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 2:15 |
| Chris Weidman | 0 | 62 of 102 | 60% | 121 of 193 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 4:24 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eryk Anders | 1 | 13 of 26 | 50% | 20 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:10 |
| Chris Weidman | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 12 of 29 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 | |
| 2 | Eryk Anders | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Chris Weidman | 0 | 51 of 79 | 64% | 109 of 164 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:43 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eryk Anders | 16 of 36 | 44% | 11 of 30 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 23 | 0 of 2 | 4 of 11 |
| Chris Weidman | 62 of 102 | 60% | 56 of 96 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 25 | 7 of 12 | 48 of 65 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eryk Anders | 13 of 26 | 50% | 8 of 20 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 2 | 4 of 11 |
| Chris Weidman | 11 of 23 | 47% | 8 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 10 | 7 of 12 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Eryk Anders | 3 of 10 | 30% | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Weidman | 51 of 79 | 64% | 48 of 76 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 47 of 64 |
Angelo flips his pick from Chris Weidman to Eryk Anders. He cites Weidman's age (40), potential frustration from not getting paid after the canceled fight, and the loss of the Madison Square Garden atmosphere. He believes Anders' physicality, power, and aggression will overwhelm Weidman, who has a questionable chin. Angelo acknowledges the fight is at 195 lbs, which may favor Anders.
Cody picks Weidman, citing his wrestling advantage and experience. He notes Anders' inconsistency and recent losses. He expects a close decision win for Weidman, possibly by outworking Anders.
Connor is very confident in Anders, stating he will never pick Chris Weidman to win again. He notes that Weidman is washed and that his recent win over Bruno Silva was against a shot fighter. Connor points out that Anders has been slowly improving technically over the years, while Weidman has not shown any improvement and is only getting older. He believes Anders' athleticism and steady development will be too much for Weidman.
Daniel picks Weidman, noting Anders' tendency to choke in big fights and his recent knockdowns. He expects a clinch-heavy fight and believes Weidman's grappling will be the difference. He mentions he previously bet Weidman at better odds.
This is a tough matchup to predict given both fighters are further along in their careers. However, Weidman showed impressive activity and comfort in the striking realm against Bruno Silva earlier this year. He will utilize that to mix in his clinch grappling and striking to win on the scorecards.
Paul picks Weidman, noting his superior wrestling and fight IQ. He criticizes Anders' cardio and durability, and thinks Weidman can grind out a decision. He acknowledges Weidman's age but believes he has enough left.
The MMA Guru picks Weidman, noting the fight is at a catchweight which benefits the older Weidman. He thinks Weidman's wrestling and game plan will be too much for Anders, who he considers a B-level middleweight. He predicts Weidman out-wrestles Anders and wins by decision 30-27.
Zane agrees with Connor, picking Anders confidently. He notes that Weidman is completely washed and that Anders has been getting better year after year, albeit slowly. Zane points out that Weidman's only recent win was against a similarly shot Bruno Silva, and that his other recent fights have been close against aging opponents. He believes Anders' athleticism and improved technique will be enough to beat Weidman.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Weidman | 1 | 75 of 111 | 67% | 88 of 129 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 3:15 |
| Bruno Silva | 0 | 30 of 88 | 34% | 30 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Weidman | 0 | 20 of 30 | 66% | 32 of 46 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:09 |
| Bruno Silva | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Chris Weidman | 0 | 45 of 64 | 70% | 45 of 64 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Bruno Silva | 0 | 19 of 63 | 30% | 19 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Chris Weidman | 1 | 10 of 17 | 58% | 11 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Bruno Silva | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Weidman | 75 of 111 | 67% | 44 of 74 | 14 of 19 | 17 of 18 | 56 of 88 | 5 of 7 | 14 of 16 |
| Bruno Silva | 30 of 88 | 34% | 28 of 81 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 3 | 29 of 86 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Weidman | 20 of 30 | 66% | 9 of 16 | 2 of 4 | 9 of 10 | 6 of 13 | 5 of 7 | 9 of 10 |
| Bruno Silva | 4 of 8 | 50% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Chris Weidman | 45 of 64 | 70% | 25 of 42 | 12 of 14 | 8 of 8 | 45 of 64 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Bruno Silva | 19 of 63 | 30% | 18 of 59 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 3 | 18 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Chris Weidman | 10 of 17 | 58% | 10 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 |
| Bruno Silva | 7 of 17 | 41% | 7 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-285), Weidman (+230)
Round 1
The feature fight of “UFC Atlantic City” features former middleweight champ Weidman, fighting near his Long Island home turf and looking to reverse the fortunes that have seen him go 2-7 since his title loss to Luke Rockhold eight years ago. His foe, Silva, will attempt to reclaim some of the shine he earned after knocking out his first three UFC foes upon his arrival in 2021, before embarking on a dismal 1-4 run of his own. Overseeing the proceedings will be referee Gary Copeland. Weidman is orthodox, Silva southpaw. Weidman is reaching out with the lead hand, looking to tie up or parry the hand of Silva. Weidman throws a right kick, then another, getting some work for the leg he broke against Uriah Hall a couple of years ago. Weidman goes upstairs with the left leg, then throws a pair of punches up the middle that hurt Silva. Silva ties Weidman up and looks for a takedown. Weidman takes a front headlock and throws some knees to the head of Silva. Weidman moves to the back, holding Silva with a rear waistlock and dragging him to his knees. Silva posts his hands on the ground, forestalling any more knees to the head, and builds back up to all fours. Silva uses the fence to deny Weidman full back control, but Weidman is throwing short strikes and keeping the Brazilian completely corralled. Under a minute to go and it’s all Weidman, as Silva is parked against the fence, defending himself but doing nothing else. Weidman is throwing knees to the back of Silva’s legs, and the round ends in that position.
Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Weidman
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Weidman
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Weidman
Round 2
Silva is bouncing on his toes, showing both stances. He catches a Weidman kick and pushes him over onto his seat, but Weidman pops back up. Weidman comes forward, reaching with the left hand and throwing kicks with both legs. Weidman lands a right kick to the body. Silva comes back with a pair of punches that land. Silva steps in and throws a pair of big hooks that glance off of Weidman’s arms. Weidman lands a body punch, then in the next collision, thumbs Silva right in the eye. Copeland calls time and gives Silva time to recover. There is a moment of confusion as Copeland requests a towel to clear the eye, but thankfully it arrives and they go back to work a few seconds later. Weidman immediately goes back to the right body kick, and Silva answers with a pair of punches. Weidman changes levels but Silva is all over it. Weidman catches Silva with a punch that makes him stumble, but Silva recovers quickly. Silva throws a huge hook that misses by a mile, nearly spinning him around. Silva rushes forward with hooks, all of them wild, but several land nonetheless. Weidman answers with punches of his own. Both men have been rocked. Weidman catches Silva with another left hook, backs him up to the fence and lets fly. Silva is in some trouble, even as he tries to throw back, but the round expires before either man can capitalize.
Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Weidman
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Weidman
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Weidman
Round 3
Silva throws a lead right hook, which Weidman slips and counters with a left. Seconds later, each man pokes the other in the eye almost simultaneously, though Silva appears to get much the worse of it, going to his hands and knees in pain as Weidman steps away blinking. During the ensuing time-out, Copeland tries to determine whether both blows were fingers or one was a fist. It turns out that both strikes were fouls, and the fighters go back to work after a warning. Weidman goes back to reaching with the left hand, and Silva goes upstairs with a huge head kick that misses high. Two minutes gone in the rounds and Weidman steps in with a straight right.
Silva leaps in with a pair of punches, and Weidman levels him with a short counter punch. Silva goes down pawing at his eye, but Weidman swings away and Copeland is there in seconds for the stoppage. Weidman celebrates to the roars of the crowd as Silva protests.
Replay shows that Weidman actually managed to poke Silva in both eyes—one with each hand!—rather than any clean punch. This is going one of the weirdest endings to a fight on a card full of weird fight endings.
The fight result is initially announced as a TKO win for Weidman. A few minutes later, however, the UFC booth states that the result will go down as a unanimous decision win for Weidman, based on the scorecards up to the point of the fight-ending foul. No individual scores are announced, nor is it clear whether the third round was scored at all, or if any point deduction was assessed for the final pair of eye pokes.
The Official Result
Chris Weidman def. Bruno Silva via Technical Decision (Unanimous).
Angelo picks Bruno Silva despite being a Chris Weidman fan. He notes Silva hits hard and is tough, while Weidman looked old and slow in his last fight after a broken leg. He thinks this is one of Weidman's last winnable fights but believes Silva will get it done. He does not bet because he would be rooting against Weidman.
Big Brady picks Bruno Silva to win by first-round knockout. He acknowledges Weidman has a path via submission due to Silva's poor ground game, but believes Silva's power will be too much for the aging Weidman, who has been knocked out multiple times. Brady notes Weidman hasn't had a good performance since 2017 and expects Silva to land a knockout.
Cody believes Weidman is completely shot, citing his age, injuries, and poor recent performances. He thinks Silva's power and aggression will overwhelm Weidman early, possibly by leg kicks or overhand rights. He notes Silva's cardio issues but expects a finish before that becomes a factor.
Daniel Vreeland picks Bruno Silva, citing his 20-0 knockout ratio and Weidman's age, leg break, and history of getting knocked out. He believes Weidman will fatigue after early takedown attempts and that Silva will land a knockout. He notes Silva's submission losses but thinks Weidman won't be able to submit him due to Silva's ability to survive and get back up.
Weidman is 1-4 in his last five, aging, and his body can't absorb damage like before. Silva has knockout power and should time Weidman's entries for an uppercut or explosion. Weidman may get a takedown or two but lacks finishing ability at this stage. Silva by knockout in the second or third rounds is likely, but the minus 285 line is too wide to bet.
Paul picks Silva but without much enthusiasm, calling Weidman 'beyond beyond dead.' He notes Silva's inconsistent performances and high price (-260) but sees no reason to back Weidman given his decline.
The host picks Bruno Silva to win by TKO, citing Weidman's age (39), compromised leg, and lack of finishing potential on the feet. He believes Silva's low kicks will be effective and that Weidman will be hesitant. He predicts a TKO, though he initially considered a decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Tavares | 0 | 37 of 92 | 40% | 39 of 94 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:21 |
| Chris Weidman | 0 | 70 of 115 | 60% | 71 of 116 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Tavares | 0 | 7 of 20 | 35% | 7 of 20 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Chris Weidman | 0 | 16 of 29 | 55% | 16 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Brad Tavares | 0 | 20 of 41 | 48% | 22 of 43 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
| Chris Weidman | 0 | 27 of 44 | 61% | 28 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Brad Tavares | 0 | 10 of 31 | 32% | 10 of 31 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Chris Weidman | 0 | 27 of 42 | 64% | 27 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Tavares | 37 of 92 | 40% | 30 of 77 | 5 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 35 of 90 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Weidman | 70 of 115 | 60% | 21 of 61 | 8 of 9 | 41 of 45 | 68 of 113 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Tavares | 7 of 20 | 35% | 5 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Weidman | 16 of 29 | 55% | 8 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 8 | 16 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Brad Tavares | 20 of 41 | 48% | 16 of 32 | 3 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Weidman | 27 of 44 | 61% | 8 of 23 | 5 of 5 | 14 of 16 | 25 of 42 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Brad Tavares | 10 of 31 | 32% | 9 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 10 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Weidman | 27 of 42 | 64% | 5 of 17 | 3 of 4 | 19 of 21 | 27 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Brad Tavares despite believing Chris Weidman is the better fighter everywhere. He cites Weidman's two-year layoff, age (39), and horrific leg injury as major unknowns. He thinks Tavares will be a step ahead and faster, but admits he could be wrong and hopes Weidman wins. He advises against betting this fight due to the uncertainty.
Big Brady picks Brad Tavares to win by third-round knockout, calling it his hot take. He believes Weidman's takedown attempts will be stuffed by Tavares' elite takedown defense, wearing on Weidman's gas tank. Brady notes Weidman hasn't impressed since 2017 and has been knocked out in all six losses, while Tavares is tough and has never been knocked out.
Cody argues that Tavares is a gatekeeper with no knockout power and all his wins are by decision against lower-level opponents. Weidman, despite the leg break and layoff, has a wrestling advantage and could control Tavares. He thinks the line is too favorable to Tavares and likes Weidman as a value underdog, likely by decision.
Daniel Levi confidently picks Brad Tavares, arguing that Weidman has been washed up since pre-pandemic and has declined significantly since USADA testing. He notes that Weidman has been knocked out in six of his last eight fights and gasses after round one. Levi praises Tavares' takedown defense and balance, and believes Tavares will stuff takedowns, get Weidman to a fatigue state, and either out-volume or knock him out. He is waiting for a better price but is comfortable with Tavares.
Lucrative James confidently picks Brad Tavares, citing Chris Weidman's horrific leg injury, age (39), and being washed before the injury. He believes Tavares will finish Weidman, as Weidman has been finished in six of his last seven fights. He sees no value on the underdog here.
Weidman has a clear path to victory via grappling. Tavares is not a knockout threat and has been taken down by wrestlers before. Weidman's durability has held up recently, and at +220 the line is too wide. He should be able to grind out a decision or possibly find a submission.
The MMA Guru picks Brad Tavares over Chris Weidman. He cites Weidman's long layoff after a leg break and doubts his KO ability. He praises Tavares' takedown defense and durability, noting he hung in with Dricus du Plessis. He expects Tavares to outpoint Weidman on the feet, possibly winning by TKO in rounds 2-3 or a 30-27 decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uriah Hall | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chris Weidman | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uriah Hall | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chris Weidman | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uriah Hall | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Weidman | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uriah Hall | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Weidman | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Hall to win by third-round knockout. He notes Weidman's chin is questionable after five KO losses, and his cardio looked poor in his last fight. Hall has power and a good gas tank. He expects Weidman to have early success but eventually get caught. He suggests looking at Hall by KO props.
Cody leans toward Hall as a dog, noting Hall's late-fight finishing ability and Weidman's durability concerns. He thinks Weidman's cardio and chin are questionable and that Hall can find a knockout in the later rounds. He suggests a third-round prop for Hall and live betting after round one if Weidman tires. He acknowledges Weidman's wrestling but believes Hall's striking and resilience give him a path.
Daniel picks Uriah Hall, expecting him to catch Weidman in the second or third round after Weidman fatigues. He notes Weidman's tendency to win the first round but fade, and that Hall has power and a better gas tank. He believes Weidman cannot eat Hall's shots.
I'm leaning Hall by knockout. Weidman's chin is a huge concern, and Hall has power. Weidman will likely try to take the fight to the ground, but if he can't finish early, he tends to fade. Hall's best chance is to keep it standing and land a big shot. I like Hall by KO at +250, but I'm not confident enough to bet heavily due to Hall's low volume.
Paul picks Weidman but is hesitant, citing Weidman's wrestling and grappling advantage. He notes Hall's flashy striking and comeback ability but thinks Weidman can secure takedowns and control the fight. He acknowledges Weidman's compromised chin and cardio issues but believes his top control will be enough to win a decision. He also mentions a potential Hall third-round prop as a live underdog play.
The MMA Guru picks Chris Weidman by decision, 30-27. He notes that Weidman out-grappled Hall in their first fight and rates Weidman's grappling higher than Antonio Carlos Jr.'s, who took Hall down multiple times. He thinks in a three-round fight, Weidman can sprint with his grappling and smother Hall, though Hall might win the third round. He plans to wait for better odds on Weidman.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Weidman | 0 | 33 of 91 | 36% | 60 of 118 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
| Omari Akhmedov | 0 | 29 of 56 | 51% | 67 of 98 | 5 of 16 | 31% | 0 | 0 | 8:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Weidman | 0 | 6 of 25 | 24% | 19 of 38 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Omari Akhmedov | 0 | 5 of 15 | 33% | 13 of 24 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 2:59 | |
| 2 | Chris Weidman | 0 | 25 of 62 | 40% | 32 of 69 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
| Omari Akhmedov | 0 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 23 of 40 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 | |
| 3 | Chris Weidman | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Omari Akhmedov | 0 | 9 of 11 | 81% | 31 of 34 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 4:41 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Weidman | 33 of 91 | 36% | 25 of 81 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 74 | 8 of 11 | 4 of 6 |
| Omari Akhmedov | 29 of 56 | 51% | 25 of 50 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 42 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 12 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Weidman | 6 of 25 | 24% | 4 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Omari Akhmedov | 5 of 15 | 33% | 4 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Chris Weidman | 25 of 62 | 40% | 20 of 55 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 49 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 6 |
| Omari Akhmedov | 15 of 30 | 50% | 12 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | |
| 3 | Chris Weidman | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Omari Akhmedov | 9 of 11 | 81% | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 8 |
Big Brady picks Weidman despite his recent losing streak, citing advantages in wrestling, submission game, and reach. He believes Weidman can take Akhmedov down and avoid a brawl, using a smart game plan similar to Stephen Thompson's. However, he is concerned about Weidman's durability and history of getting knocked out. He predicts a decision win for Weidman.
Daniel Levi picks Omari Akhmedov to win, possibly by left hook knockout. He argues that Chris Weidman is 'damaged goods' with five knockout losses in his last six fights, and that Akhmedov has underrated power and durability. Levi dismisses the narrative that Akhmedov gasses in the third round, noting that at middleweight he has shown better cardio and even wobbled Ian Heinisch in the third. He also points out that Weidman's chin is suspect and that Akhmedov's wrestling and pressure will be too much.
Weidman's chin is a major concern after multiple KO losses, and Akhmedov has power even if he lacks finishes on his record. Akhmedov's wrestling is solid and he has cardio to push the pace. Weidman has advantages in striking and size, but if he gets hit, he could go down. Akhmedov by KO in the second round is the pick, but it's a risky bet.
The MMA Guru picks Chris Weidman to win by second-round submission via arm triangle. He notes that Omari Akhmedov has a gas tank problem and slows down dramatically, while Weidman has five-round experience and a five-inch reach advantage. He believes Weidman can take Akhmedov down, drain his power, and finish him in the second round. He worries about Weidman's chin but thinks Akhmedov won't have a chance to land cleanly.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominick Reyes | 1 | 8 of 11 | 72% | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Chris Weidman | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 10 of 13 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dominick Reyes | 1 | 8 of 11 | 72% | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Chris Weidman | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 10 of 13 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominick Reyes | 8 of 11 | 72% | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 |
| Chris Weidman | 3 of 6 | 50% | 1 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dominick Reyes | 8 of 11 | 72% | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 |
| Chris Weidman | 3 of 6 | 50% | 1 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacare Souza | 0 | 68 of 193 | 35% | 76 of 201 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Chris Weidman | 1 | 74 of 132 | 56% | 100 of 158 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacare Souza | 0 | 23 of 68 | 33% | 23 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chris Weidman | 0 | 14 of 30 | 46% | 15 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jacare Souza | 0 | 26 of 64 | 40% | 34 of 72 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Chris Weidman | 0 | 31 of 59 | 52% | 50 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jacare Souza | 0 | 19 of 61 | 31% | 19 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chris Weidman | 1 | 29 of 43 | 67% | 35 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacare Souza | 68 of 193 | 35% | 52 of 171 | 14 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 61 of 182 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Weidman | 74 of 132 | 56% | 42 of 89 | 24 of 31 | 8 of 12 | 57 of 109 | 15 of 21 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacare Souza | 23 of 68 | 33% | 21 of 65 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 66 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Weidman | 14 of 30 | 46% | 5 of 16 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 7 | 11 of 27 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jacare Souza | 26 of 64 | 40% | 16 of 50 | 8 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 23 of 58 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Weidman | 31 of 59 | 52% | 19 of 43 | 10 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 21 of 46 | 9 of 12 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Jacare Souza | 19 of 61 | 31% | 15 of 56 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 58 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Weidman | 29 of 43 | 67% | 18 of 30 | 9 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 25 of 36 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Weidman | 0 | 36 of 76 | 47% | 75 of 124 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 2 | 0 | 7:35 |
| Kelvin Gastelum | 1 | 26 of 47 | 55% | 28 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Weidman | 0 | 9 of 25 | 36% | 16 of 35 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:43 |
| Kelvin Gastelum | 1 | 13 of 20 | 65% | 14 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 2 | Chris Weidman | 0 | 10 of 15 | 66% | 33 of 43 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 3:47 |
| Kelvin Gastelum | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Chris Weidman | 0 | 17 of 36 | 47% | 26 of 46 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 2:05 |
| Kelvin Gastelum | 0 | 11 of 20 | 55% | 11 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Weidman | 36 of 76 | 47% | 25 of 59 | 6 of 12 | 5 of 5 | 24 of 59 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 8 |
| Kelvin Gastelum | 26 of 47 | 55% | 21 of 42 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 34 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 10 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Weidman | 9 of 25 | 36% | 5 of 17 | 1 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Kelvin Gastelum | 13 of 20 | 65% | 12 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 10 of 10 | |
| 2 | Chris Weidman | 10 of 15 | 66% | 7 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 3 | 5 of 7 |
| Kelvin Gastelum | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Chris Weidman | 17 of 36 | 47% | 13 of 31 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 32 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Kelvin Gastelum | 11 of 20 | 55% | 9 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
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