UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · Nov 03, 2018 · Middleweight · Completed
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Age N/A
Height N/A
Reach N/A
Weight N/A
Stance N/A
Age 41
Height 6' 2"
Reach 78.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Jacare Souza

No career stats available

Career Averages - Chris Weidman
3.11 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
3.37 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
3.27 TD Avg
42.0% TD Acc.
72.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Jacare Souza - Fight History
LOSS vs André Muniz
Technical Submission (armbar) R1 3:59 · UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · May 15, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
André Muniz 0 11 of 19 57% 15 of 23 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:53
Jacare Souza 0 7 of 12 58% 19 of 26 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 André Muniz 0 11 of 19 57% 15 of 23 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:53
Jacare Souza 0 7 of 12 58% 19 of 26 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
André Muniz 11 of 19 57% 5 of 13 4 of 4 2 of 2 7 of 13 0 of 0 4 of 6
Jacare Souza 7 of 12 58% 3 of 8 2 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 André Muniz 11 of 19 57% 5 of 13 4 of 4 2 of 2 7 of 13 0 of 0 4 of 6
Jacare Souza 7 of 12 58% 3 of 8 2 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 11, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jacare Souza

Souza has fought much better competition and is levels above Muniz. Muniz has poor takedown defense and has been knocked out in all four losses. Souza is a BJJ black belt who won't get submitted, and he has power. I think Souza takes Muniz down and finishes him by knockout, as Muniz's chin is suspect.

by KO
"I actually like jockery quite a bit in this fight i'm kind of shocked by the line ... i do like uh jockery sosa to get it done and i'm going to say by knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 12, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jacare Souza

Cody picks Souza, arguing that Muniz's takedown defense is poor and Souza can take him down. He notes that Muniz's striking is not good enough to knock out Souza, and Souza has the advantage in both striking and grappling. Cody believes Souza will win by controlling the fight on the ground.

"jacare souza i think he can dictate it wherever the fight takes place"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
André Muniz

Daniel Levi picks André Muniz, citing Jacare's age (41) and recent decline, especially the Kevin Holland loss. He notes that Muniz is a credentialed jiu-jitsu player and younger (31), and believes Muniz can attack off his back and outgrapple the older Jacare. Levi thinks Jacare's durability and ability to break opponents have diminished, and expects Muniz to win by decision or submission.

mentions Muniz's jiu-jitsu medals and Jacare's age
"i'm gonna go with andre muniz to just kind of be younger fresher"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jacare Souza

The host picks Jacare Souza, giving him the jiu-jitsu advantage and noting his heavy strikes should get the fight to the ground. He acknowledges Souza is 41 and has a questionable chin after the Holland KO, but thinks he still has enough to grind out Muniz. He predicts a decision win and says he is not going to the betting window on this one.

Souza by decision
"i'm going with jakarta here as long as his chin isn't completely shot as some people make it out to be i do think that he grinds our moon is here uh and i think he wins this fight by …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 12, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jacare Souza

Paul picks Souza, believing he still has one good fight left. He notes that Souza's grappling is elite and Muniz's striking is poor. Paul thinks Souza can dictate where the fight takes place and has the advantage on the ground. He acknowledges Souza's recent KO loss but points out that prior to that, Souza was competitive with top guys.

"i'm going to take jacquez who's in the spot"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 9, 2021 (6 days before fight)
André Muniz

The MMA Guru picks André Muniz to win by submission in the first round. He believes Jacare is too old and has declined significantly, as evidenced by Kevin Holland making his grappling look good. He thinks Muniz's athleticism on the ground will be too much for the slower Jacare, and predicts Muniz will catch Jacare on the feet or in a scramble and secure an armbar.

Muniz wins by submission in round 1 (armbar)
"i'm gonna have to pick andre muniz and i think i'm gonna pick andre muniz by submission"
LOSS vs Kevin Holland
KO (punches) R1 1:45 · UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · Dec 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kevin Holland 0 15 of 18 83% 21 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Jacare Souza 0 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kevin Holland 0 15 of 18 83% 21 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Jacare Souza 0 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:27
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kevin Holland 15 of 18 83% 14 of 17 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 2 12 of 14
Jacare Souza 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kevin Holland 15 of 18 83% 14 of 17 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 2 12 of 14
Jacare Souza 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ronaldo Souza vs. Kevin Holland

Round 1
In a potential middleweight passing of the torch match – see also the previous bout – Holland (20-5, 7-2 UFC) will look to earn his fifth UFC win of the year against “Jacare” Souza (26-8, 1 NC; 9-5, 1 NC UFC). Thirteen years separate these two contenders, and referee Mark Smith will keep charge of the cage in this one. They touch gloves, and Holland lets loose a huge overhand right and a leg kick. Souza grabs his leg and hits a takedown, where Holland pulls his leg up to trap Souza and elbow him in the head like Anderson Silva did to Travis Lutter. Souza turns to try to get out of this position, and Holland powers back to his feet. Souza grips hold of a double, and then a single as Holland elbows his way out of danger. Holland latches on to a guillotine choke, and Souza pulls his head out and drops his opponent down. Holland starts talking trash while on his back, and Souza laughs and punches him in the face. Holland from his back nails Souza in the face with a huge right hand, and Souza falls to his back and gets blasted with another big right hand. “Jacare” leans backward as he is incredibly hurt while on his knees, and Holland springs up and drills Souza in the face with three lethal punches to completely shut Souza’s lights out. A few moments later, Souza manages to slump to his stool, and he nearly passes out again from the massive damage he received. Incredible! Holland has now won five fights this year, and done so in just seven impressive months. In his post-fight interview, Holland calls out Khamzat Chimaev to come up to greet him at 185 pounds next week.

The Official Result
Kevin Holland def. Ronaldo Souza R1 1:45 via KO (Punches)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 9, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Jacare Souza

Big Brady picks Jacare Souza to win by submission. He is concerned about Holland's poor takedown defense and submission history, and believes if Souza gets the fight to the mat, it's over. He notes Souza's superior competition and Holland's negative fight IQ. He passes on betting due to line movement but leans Souza.

submission
"i'm going so easy i'm taking the dog well i'm taking the probably going to be the favorite but i'm going so is a pie i'm going to go by submission"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Dec 11, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Kevin Holland

Daniel is torn, acknowledging Holland's youth, reach, and hunger, but worried about his takedown defense and submission vulnerability. He notes Jacare's age and potential decline, but respects his jiu-jitsu. He picks Holland as a contrarian play since the line flipped, but calls it a very unconfident pick.

close decision
"i'ma go with holland but it's not a confident pick like"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 7, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Jacare Souza

Souza is a high-level jiu-jitsu player who should be able to take Holland down and submit him. Holland has shown poor takedown defense and was submitted by Brendan Allen. Souza is older but still competitive, and his grappling is a huge threat. The line should be flipped; Souza is the better fighter here.

Souza via submission (first or second round); already bet 1.5 units at +140
"i do have a bet on jacqueline's souls already i've uh plugged it in at plus 140... i do like jock right here i got him at plus 140 already got a unit and a half on him"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Jacare Souza

The MMA Guru picks Jacare Souza as an underdog, despite liking Kevin Holland. He believes Souza's chin, experience, and full camp will be key. He expects Holland to have a good first round but Souza to wear on him and get a submission win in the third round. He criticizes Holland's rapid fight schedule and lack of improvement.

submission win in the third round
"i'm gonna go with jackaraca and it really hurts me to say that and i really want that to be very clear here"
LOSS vs Jan Błachowicz
Decision (split) (48–47, 47–48, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · Nov 16, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jan Błachowicz 0 71 of 170 41% 105 of 205 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Jacare Souza 0 20 of 48 41% 56 of 88 0 of 5 0% 0 0 8:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jan Błachowicz 0 8 of 16 50% 17 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jacare Souza 0 2 of 5 40% 7 of 14 0 of 1 0% 0 0 3:30
2 Jan Błachowicz 0 15 of 38 39% 21 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jacare Souza 0 9 of 15 60% 16 of 22 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:28
3 Jan Błachowicz 0 16 of 44 36% 22 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Jacare Souza 0 7 of 14 50% 14 of 21 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:26
4 Jan Błachowicz 0 17 of 34 50% 23 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jacare Souza 0 1 of 9 11% 15 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:22
5 Jan Błachowicz 0 15 of 38 39% 22 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jacare Souza 0 1 of 5 20% 4 of 8 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jan Błachowicz 71 of 170 41% 38 of 121 13 of 20 20 of 29 59 of 154 12 of 16 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 20 of 48 41% 8 of 28 3 of 10 9 of 10 18 of 45 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jan Błachowicz 8 of 16 50% 2 of 9 3 of 3 3 of 4 4 of 12 4 of 4 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 2 of 5 40% 0 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jan Błachowicz 15 of 38 39% 8 of 29 2 of 4 5 of 5 15 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 9 of 15 60% 3 of 7 2 of 4 4 of 4 8 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Jan Błachowicz 16 of 44 36% 7 of 30 4 of 7 5 of 7 13 of 40 3 of 4 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 7 of 14 50% 4 of 10 0 of 1 3 of 3 7 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Jan Błachowicz 17 of 34 50% 10 of 24 4 of 5 3 of 5 14 of 30 3 of 4 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 1 of 9 11% 0 of 5 0 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0
5 Jan Błachowicz 15 of 38 39% 11 of 29 0 of 1 4 of 8 13 of 34 2 of 4 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 1 of 5 20% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Jack Hermansson
Decision (unanimous) (49–45, 48–47, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Jacaré vs. Hermansson · Apr 27, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Hermansson 0 90 of 175 51% 120 of 205 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:29
Jacare Souza 0 148 of 372 39% 256 of 496 3 of 10 30% 1 0 6:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Hermansson 0 7 of 17 41% 26 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:29
Jacare Souza 0 26 of 44 59% 29 of 47 0 of 1 0% 1 0 1:32
2 Jack Hermansson 0 8 of 12 66% 10 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jacare Souza 0 9 of 25 36% 107 of 139 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:59
3 Jack Hermansson 0 30 of 50 60% 30 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jacare Souza 0 28 of 81 34% 28 of 81 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:05
4 Jack Hermansson 0 19 of 40 47% 22 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jacare Souza 0 50 of 123 40% 50 of 123 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:32
5 Jack Hermansson 0 26 of 56 46% 32 of 62 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jacare Souza 0 35 of 99 35% 42 of 106 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Hermansson 90 of 175 51% 65 of 141 24 of 33 1 of 1 74 of 154 15 of 20 1 of 1
Jacare Souza 148 of 372 39% 96 of 313 32 of 36 20 of 23 120 of 339 24 of 29 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Hermansson 7 of 17 41% 5 of 14 2 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 15 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 26 of 44 59% 9 of 25 10 of 10 7 of 9 18 of 36 8 of 8 0 of 0
2 Jack Hermansson 8 of 12 66% 7 of 10 0 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jacare Souza 9 of 25 36% 6 of 20 0 of 2 3 of 3 5 of 21 0 of 0 4 of 4
3 Jack Hermansson 30 of 50 60% 21 of 37 9 of 13 0 of 0 27 of 47 3 of 3 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 28 of 81 34% 14 of 67 5 of 5 9 of 9 26 of 78 2 of 3 0 of 0
4 Jack Hermansson 19 of 40 47% 16 of 37 3 of 3 0 of 0 15 of 33 4 of 7 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 50 of 123 40% 41 of 112 9 of 10 0 of 1 44 of 113 6 of 10 0 of 0
5 Jack Hermansson 26 of 56 46% 16 of 43 10 of 13 0 of 0 20 of 48 6 of 8 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 35 of 99 35% 26 of 89 8 of 9 1 of 1 27 of 91 8 of 8 0 of 0
WIN vs Chris Weidman
KO (punches) R3 2:46 · UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · Nov 03, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jacare Souza 0 68 of 193 35% 76 of 201 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:43
Chris Weidman 1 74 of 132 56% 100 of 158 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jacare Souza 0 23 of 68 33% 23 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Weidman 0 14 of 30 46% 15 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jacare Souza 0 26 of 64 40% 34 of 72 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:43
Chris Weidman 0 31 of 59 52% 50 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jacare Souza 0 19 of 61 31% 19 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Weidman 1 29 of 43 67% 35 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jacare Souza 68 of 193 35% 52 of 171 14 of 20 2 of 2 61 of 182 7 of 11 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 74 of 132 56% 42 of 89 24 of 31 8 of 12 57 of 109 15 of 21 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jacare Souza 23 of 68 33% 21 of 65 2 of 3 0 of 0 21 of 66 2 of 2 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 14 of 30 46% 5 of 16 5 of 7 4 of 7 11 of 27 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Jacare Souza 26 of 64 40% 16 of 50 8 of 12 2 of 2 23 of 58 3 of 6 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 31 of 59 52% 19 of 43 10 of 13 2 of 3 21 of 46 9 of 12 1 of 1
3 Jacare Souza 19 of 61 31% 15 of 56 4 of 5 0 of 0 17 of 58 2 of 3 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 29 of 43 67% 18 of 30 9 of 11 2 of 2 25 of 36 3 of 6 1 of 1
LOSS vs Kelvin Gastelum
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · May 12, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kelvin Gastelum 0 64 of 115 55% 78 of 129 1 of 9 11% 1 1 3:28
Jacare Souza 1 53 of 145 36% 57 of 149 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kelvin Gastelum 0 21 of 22 95% 32 of 33 0 of 2 0% 1 1 2:57
Jacare Souza 0 7 of 7 100% 9 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
2 Kelvin Gastelum 0 24 of 56 42% 24 of 56 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:01
Jacare Souza 1 24 of 73 32% 24 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
3 Kelvin Gastelum 0 19 of 37 51% 22 of 40 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:30
Jacare Souza 0 22 of 65 33% 24 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kelvin Gastelum 64 of 115 55% 42 of 84 21 of 30 1 of 1 42 of 90 8 of 11 14 of 14
Jacare Souza 53 of 145 36% 44 of 133 7 of 10 2 of 2 41 of 125 9 of 10 3 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kelvin Gastelum 21 of 22 95% 14 of 14 7 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 1 7 of 7 14 of 14
Jacare Souza 7 of 7 100% 3 of 3 3 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Kelvin Gastelum 24 of 56 42% 15 of 40 9 of 16 0 of 0 24 of 54 0 of 2 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 24 of 73 32% 20 of 67 3 of 5 1 of 1 21 of 63 0 of 0 3 of 10
3 Kelvin Gastelum 19 of 37 51% 13 of 30 5 of 6 1 of 1 18 of 35 1 of 2 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 22 of 65 33% 21 of 63 1 of 2 0 of 0 20 of 62 2 of 3 0 of 0
WIN vs Derek Brunson
KO (head kick and punches) R1 3:50 · UFC on Fox: Jacaré vs. Brunson 2 · Jan 27, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jacare Souza 1 9 of 21 42% 9 of 21 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Derek Brunson 0 8 of 34 23% 8 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jacare Souza 1 9 of 21 42% 9 of 21 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Derek Brunson 0 8 of 34 23% 8 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jacare Souza 9 of 21 42% 7 of 10 2 of 11 0 of 0 6 of 17 1 of 1 2 of 3
Derek Brunson 8 of 34 23% 5 of 28 2 of 4 1 of 2 8 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jacare Souza 9 of 21 42% 7 of 10 2 of 11 0 of 0 6 of 17 1 of 1 2 of 3
Derek Brunson 8 of 34 23% 5 of 28 2 of 4 1 of 2 8 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
TKO (head kick and punches) R2 3:28 · UFC on Fox: Johnson vs. Reis · Apr 15, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Robert Whittaker 0 9 of 36 25% 13 of 40 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:48
Jacare Souza 1 55 of 110 50% 57 of 112 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Robert Whittaker 0 5 of 24 20% 8 of 27 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:48
Jacare Souza 0 18 of 39 46% 19 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
2 Robert Whittaker 0 4 of 12 33% 5 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jacare Souza 1 37 of 71 52% 38 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Robert Whittaker 9 of 36 25% 6 of 31 3 of 5 0 of 0 6 of 32 3 of 4 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 55 of 110 50% 47 of 97 7 of 12 1 of 1 40 of 85 1 of 4 14 of 21
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Robert Whittaker 5 of 24 20% 4 of 21 1 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 20 3 of 4 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 18 of 39 46% 15 of 34 3 of 5 0 of 0 17 of 38 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Robert Whittaker 4 of 12 33% 2 of 10 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jacare Souza 37 of 71 52% 32 of 63 4 of 7 1 of 1 23 of 47 0 of 3 14 of 21
Chris Weidman - Fight History
LOSS vs Eryk Anders
TKO (punches) R2 4:51 · UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · Dec 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Eryk Anders 1 16 of 36 44% 27 of 50 0 of 1 0% 1 0 2:15
Chris Weidman 0 62 of 102 60% 121 of 193 0 of 6 0% 0 0 4:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Eryk Anders 1 13 of 26 50% 20 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:10
Chris Weidman 0 11 of 23 47% 12 of 29 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:41
2 Eryk Anders 0 3 of 10 30% 7 of 14 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:05
Chris Weidman 0 51 of 79 64% 109 of 164 0 of 2 0% 0 0 3:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Eryk Anders 16 of 36 44% 11 of 30 5 of 6 0 of 0 12 of 23 0 of 2 4 of 11
Chris Weidman 62 of 102 60% 56 of 96 6 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 25 7 of 12 48 of 65
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Eryk Anders 13 of 26 50% 8 of 20 5 of 6 0 of 0 9 of 13 0 of 2 4 of 11
Chris Weidman 11 of 23 47% 8 of 20 3 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 10 7 of 12 1 of 1
2 Eryk Anders 3 of 10 30% 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 51 of 79 64% 48 of 76 3 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 15 0 of 0 47 of 64
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Nov 30, 2024 (7 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Angelo flips his pick from Chris Weidman to Eryk Anders. He cites Weidman's age (40), potential frustration from not getting paid after the canceled fight, and the loss of the Madison Square Garden atmosphere. He believes Anders' physicality, power, and aggression will overwhelm Weidman, who has a questionable chin. Angelo acknowledges the fight is at 195 lbs, which may favor Anders.

"I am going to go Eric Anders here I flip my pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chris Weidman

Cody picks Weidman, citing his wrestling advantage and experience. He notes Anders' inconsistency and recent losses. He expects a close decision win for Weidman, possibly by outworking Anders.

Weidman by decision
"Widman by decision... I'm in agreement."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Eryk Anders

Connor is very confident in Anders, stating he will never pick Chris Weidman to win again. He notes that Weidman is washed and that his recent win over Bruno Silva was against a shot fighter. Connor points out that Anders has been slowly improving technically over the years, while Weidman has not shown any improvement and is only getting older. He believes Anders' athleticism and steady development will be too much for Weidman.

Connor explicitly says: 'I'm telling you if you have money to spare and you like to bet, bet a little on eric anders.' He also notes the odds are near even, with Anders at -101.
"I don't care what happened in this last fight I don't care what the official result is i'm never picking chris wide men to win a fight again."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chris Weidman

Daniel picks Weidman, noting Anders' tendency to choke in big fights and his recent knockdowns. He expects a clinch-heavy fight and believes Weidman's grappling will be the difference. He mentions he previously bet Weidman at better odds.

"I'm still going to go with Widman. I'm not going to change my pick."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Chris Weidman

This is a tough matchup to predict given both fighters are further along in their careers. However, Weidman showed impressive activity and comfort in the striking realm against Bruno Silva earlier this year. He will utilize that to mix in his clinch grappling and striking to win on the scorecards.

"I was impressed with wiman's activity and comfort in the Striking R against Bruno Silva earlier this year and I expect him to utilize that here to mix in his clinch grappling and striking game alt together to win this …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chris Weidman

Paul picks Weidman, noting his superior wrestling and fight IQ. He criticizes Anders' cardio and durability, and thinks Weidman can grind out a decision. He acknowledges Weidman's age but believes he has enough left.

"I think Weidman... it's Weidman for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chris Weidman

The MMA Guru picks Weidman, noting the fight is at a catchweight which benefits the older Weidman. He thinks Weidman's wrestling and game plan will be too much for Anders, who he considers a B-level middleweight. He predicts Weidman out-wrestles Anders and wins by decision 30-27.

"I'm going with widman I think he's good I think weidman's good in general"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Eryk Anders

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Anders confidently. He notes that Weidman is completely washed and that Anders has been getting better year after year, albeit slowly. Zane points out that Weidman's only recent win was against a similarly shot Bruno Silva, and that his other recent fights have been close against aging opponents. He believes Anders' athleticism and improved technique will be enough to beat Weidman.

"We're both picking eric anders that's all we did not pick chris wide man."
WIN vs Bruno Silva
Technical Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 2:18 · UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Mar 30, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Weidman 1 75 of 111 67% 88 of 129 1 of 4 25% 0 0 3:15
Bruno Silva 0 30 of 88 34% 30 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Weidman 0 20 of 30 66% 32 of 46 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:09
Bruno Silva 0 4 of 8 50% 4 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Chris Weidman 0 45 of 64 70% 45 of 64 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Bruno Silva 0 19 of 63 30% 19 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Chris Weidman 1 10 of 17 58% 11 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Bruno Silva 0 7 of 17 41% 7 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Weidman 75 of 111 67% 44 of 74 14 of 19 17 of 18 56 of 88 5 of 7 14 of 16
Bruno Silva 30 of 88 34% 28 of 81 2 of 4 0 of 3 29 of 86 1 of 1 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Weidman 20 of 30 66% 9 of 16 2 of 4 9 of 10 6 of 13 5 of 7 9 of 10
Bruno Silva 4 of 8 50% 3 of 6 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Chris Weidman 45 of 64 70% 25 of 42 12 of 14 8 of 8 45 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bruno Silva 19 of 63 30% 18 of 59 1 of 1 0 of 3 18 of 61 1 of 1 0 of 1
3 Chris Weidman 10 of 17 58% 10 of 16 0 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 11 0 of 0 5 of 6
Bruno Silva 7 of 17 41% 7 of 16 0 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bruno Silva vs. Chris Weidman
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-285), Weidman (+230)

Round 1
The feature fight of “UFC Atlantic City” features former middleweight champ Weidman, fighting near his Long Island home turf and looking to reverse the fortunes that have seen him go 2-7 since his title loss to Luke Rockhold eight years ago. His foe, Silva, will attempt to reclaim some of the shine he earned after knocking out his first three UFC foes upon his arrival in 2021, before embarking on a dismal 1-4 run of his own. Overseeing the proceedings will be referee Gary Copeland. Weidman is orthodox, Silva southpaw. Weidman is reaching out with the lead hand, looking to tie up or parry the hand of Silva. Weidman throws a right kick, then another, getting some work for the leg he broke against Uriah Hall a couple of years ago. Weidman goes upstairs with the left leg, then throws a pair of punches up the middle that hurt Silva. Silva ties Weidman up and looks for a takedown. Weidman takes a front headlock and throws some knees to the head of Silva. Weidman moves to the back, holding Silva with a rear waistlock and dragging him to his knees. Silva posts his hands on the ground, forestalling any more knees to the head, and builds back up to all fours. Silva uses the fence to deny Weidman full back control, but Weidman is throwing short strikes and keeping the Brazilian completely corralled. Under a minute to go and it’s all Weidman, as Silva is parked against the fence, defending himself but doing nothing else. Weidman is throwing knees to the back of Silva’s legs, and the round ends in that position.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Weidman
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Weidman
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Weidman

Round 2
Silva is bouncing on his toes, showing both stances. He catches a Weidman kick and pushes him over onto his seat, but Weidman pops back up. Weidman comes forward, reaching with the left hand and throwing kicks with both legs. Weidman lands a right kick to the body. Silva comes back with a pair of punches that land. Silva steps in and throws a pair of big hooks that glance off of Weidman’s arms. Weidman lands a body punch, then in the next collision, thumbs Silva right in the eye. Copeland calls time and gives Silva time to recover. There is a moment of confusion as Copeland requests a towel to clear the eye, but thankfully it arrives and they go back to work a few seconds later. Weidman immediately goes back to the right body kick, and Silva answers with a pair of punches. Weidman changes levels but Silva is all over it. Weidman catches Silva with a punch that makes him stumble, but Silva recovers quickly. Silva throws a huge hook that misses by a mile, nearly spinning him around. Silva rushes forward with hooks, all of them wild, but several land nonetheless. Weidman answers with punches of his own. Both men have been rocked. Weidman catches Silva with another left hook, backs him up to the fence and lets fly. Silva is in some trouble, even as he tries to throw back, but the round expires before either man can capitalize.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Weidman
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Weidman
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Weidman

Round 3
Silva throws a lead right hook, which Weidman slips and counters with a left. Seconds later, each man pokes the other in the eye almost simultaneously, though Silva appears to get much the worse of it, going to his hands and knees in pain as Weidman steps away blinking. During the ensuing time-out, Copeland tries to determine whether both blows were fingers or one was a fist. It turns out that both strikes were fouls, and the fighters go back to work after a warning. Weidman goes back to reaching with the left hand, and Silva goes upstairs with a huge head kick that misses high. Two minutes gone in the rounds and Weidman steps in with a straight right.
Silva leaps in with a pair of punches, and Weidman levels him with a short counter punch. Silva goes down pawing at his eye, but Weidman swings away and Copeland is there in seconds for the stoppage. Weidman celebrates to the roars of the crowd as Silva protests.
Replay shows that Weidman actually managed to poke Silva in both eyes—one with each hand!—rather than any clean punch. This is going one of the weirdest endings to a fight on a card full of weird fight endings.
The fight result is initially announced as a TKO win for Weidman. A few minutes later, however, the UFC booth states that the result will go down as a unanimous decision win for Weidman, based on the scorecards up to the point of the fight-ending foul. No individual scores are announced, nor is it clear whether the third round was scored at all, or if any point deduction was assessed for the final pair of eye pokes.

The Official Result
Chris Weidman def. Bruno Silva via Technical Decision (Unanimous).
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Angelo picks Bruno Silva despite being a Chris Weidman fan. He notes Silva hits hard and is tough, while Weidman looked old and slow in his last fight after a broken leg. He thinks this is one of Weidman's last winnable fights but believes Silva will get it done. He does not bet because he would be rooting against Weidman.

"I still got to pick Bruno Silva I am going to be cheering for Chris Weidman the entire time so don't expect to see a bet on Bruno"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Big Brady picks Bruno Silva to win by first-round knockout. He acknowledges Weidman has a path via submission due to Silva's poor ground game, but believes Silva's power will be too much for the aging Weidman, who has been knocked out multiple times. Brady notes Weidman hasn't had a good performance since 2017 and expects Silva to land a knockout.

"I'm going to take Bruno Silva to knock him out give Chris wman like his seventh knockout loss in his career Give me Bruno Silva to win this fight by give me first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Cody believes Weidman is completely shot, citing his age, injuries, and poor recent performances. He thinks Silva's power and aggression will overwhelm Weidman early, possibly by leg kicks or overhand rights. He notes Silva's cardio issues but expects a finish before that becomes a factor.

"I think something just hurts why early whether it be a leg kick that just demobilizes him again hobbles him up whether it be an overhand right that just crashes in on him"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Daniel Vreeland picks Bruno Silva, citing his 20-0 knockout ratio and Weidman's age, leg break, and history of getting knocked out. He believes Weidman will fatigue after early takedown attempts and that Silva will land a knockout. He notes Silva's submission losses but thinks Weidman won't be able to submit him due to Silva's ability to survive and get back up.

"I got Bruno blindado and it's like I said I was already fading Wyman prior to the leg break"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Weidman is 1-4 in his last five, aging, and his body can't absorb damage like before. Silva has knockout power and should time Weidman's entries for an uppercut or explosion. Weidman may get a takedown or two but lacks finishing ability at this stage. Silva by knockout in the second or third rounds is likely, but the minus 285 line is too wide to bet.

Silva by knockout; minus 175 KO prop is still too wide
"I do think that we see Silva find that knockout in the spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Paul picks Silva but without much enthusiasm, calling Weidman 'beyond beyond dead.' He notes Silva's inconsistent performances and high price (-260) but sees no reason to back Weidman given his decline.

"I guess I'll pick Bruno Silva but I don't really have much intention of betting this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

The host picks Bruno Silva to win by TKO, citing Weidman's age (39), compromised leg, and lack of finishing potential on the feet. He believes Silva's low kicks will be effective and that Weidman will be hesitant. He predicts a TKO, though he initially considered a decision.

TKO
"Bruno is going to win by TKO Weidman has no finishing potential on the feet in my opinion"
LOSS vs Brad Tavares
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · Aug 19, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brad Tavares 0 37 of 92 40% 39 of 94 0 of 8 0% 0 0 1:21
Chris Weidman 0 70 of 115 60% 71 of 116 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brad Tavares 0 7 of 20 35% 7 of 20 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:12
Chris Weidman 0 16 of 29 55% 16 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Brad Tavares 0 20 of 41 48% 22 of 43 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:54
Chris Weidman 0 27 of 44 61% 28 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Brad Tavares 0 10 of 31 32% 10 of 31 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:15
Chris Weidman 0 27 of 42 64% 27 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brad Tavares 37 of 92 40% 30 of 77 5 of 12 2 of 3 35 of 90 2 of 2 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 70 of 115 60% 21 of 61 8 of 9 41 of 45 68 of 113 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brad Tavares 7 of 20 35% 5 of 17 1 of 2 1 of 1 7 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 16 of 29 55% 8 of 21 0 of 0 8 of 8 16 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Brad Tavares 20 of 41 48% 16 of 32 3 of 8 1 of 1 18 of 39 2 of 2 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 27 of 44 61% 8 of 23 5 of 5 14 of 16 25 of 42 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Brad Tavares 10 of 31 32% 9 of 28 1 of 2 0 of 1 10 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 27 of 42 64% 5 of 17 3 of 4 19 of 21 27 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Aug 13, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

Angelo picks Brad Tavares despite believing Chris Weidman is the better fighter everywhere. He cites Weidman's two-year layoff, age (39), and horrific leg injury as major unknowns. He thinks Tavares will be a step ahead and faster, but admits he could be wrong and hopes Weidman wins. He advises against betting this fight due to the uncertainty.

"I still think that line is wide... Brad Tavares is going to win this fight... save your money just watch this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

Big Brady picks Brad Tavares to win by third-round knockout, calling it his hot take. He believes Weidman's takedown attempts will be stuffed by Tavares' elite takedown defense, wearing on Weidman's gas tank. Brady notes Weidman hasn't impressed since 2017 and has been knocked out in all six losses, while Tavares is tough and has never been knocked out.

win by KO, round 3
"my hot take for the week is actually think uh Brad Tavares knocks out Chris Weidman... third round finish"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 15, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Chris Weidman

Cody argues that Tavares is a gatekeeper with no knockout power and all his wins are by decision against lower-level opponents. Weidman, despite the leg break and layoff, has a wrestling advantage and could control Tavares. He thinks the line is too favorable to Tavares and likes Weidman as a value underdog, likely by decision.

over 1.5 rounds at -200; fight time over 11 minutes; Weidman by decision
"I will take that plus money on Chris Weidman but Whiteman on the PRP don't be a coward"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 17, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

Daniel Levi confidently picks Brad Tavares, arguing that Weidman has been washed up since pre-pandemic and has declined significantly since USADA testing. He notes that Weidman has been knocked out in six of his last eight fights and gasses after round one. Levi praises Tavares' takedown defense and balance, and believes Tavares will stuff takedowns, get Weidman to a fatigue state, and either out-volume or knock him out. He is waiting for a better price but is comfortable with Tavares.

Waiting for minus 250 or better; Tavares by knockout or decision
"I think Brad's close to the end but I think Chris is past the end... I'm gonna go Brad Tavares"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Brad Tavares

Lucrative James confidently picks Brad Tavares, citing Chris Weidman's horrific leg injury, age (39), and being washed before the injury. He believes Tavares will finish Weidman, as Weidman has been finished in six of his last seven fights. He sees no value on the underdog here.

"I think Tavares is going to go out there and finish him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Chris Weidman

Weidman has a clear path to victory via grappling. Tavares is not a knockout threat and has been taken down by wrestlers before. Weidman's durability has held up recently, and at +220 the line is too wide. He should be able to grind out a decision or possibly find a submission.

"I'm going to take a shot on the All-American for him to go out there and get his hand raised by a decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

The MMA Guru picks Brad Tavares over Chris Weidman. He cites Weidman's long layoff after a leg break and doubts his KO ability. He praises Tavares' takedown defense and durability, noting he hung in with Dricus du Plessis. He expects Tavares to outpoint Weidman on the feet, possibly winning by TKO in rounds 2-3 or a 30-27 decision.

TKO in round 2 or 3, or decision 30-27
"I'm gonna have to go with Brad Tavarez over Weidman"
LOSS vs Uriah Hall
TKO (leg injury) R1 0:17 · UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · Apr 24, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Uriah Hall 0 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Weidman 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Uriah Hall 0 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Weidman 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Uriah Hall 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Uriah Hall 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 20, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Uriah Hall

Big Brady picks Hall to win by third-round knockout. He notes Weidman's chin is questionable after five KO losses, and his cardio looked poor in his last fight. Hall has power and a good gas tank. He expects Weidman to have early success but eventually get caught. He suggests looking at Hall by KO props.

Hall by KO in round 3
"i'm going to take hole to win by third round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Uriah Hall

Cody leans toward Hall as a dog, noting Hall's late-fight finishing ability and Weidman's durability concerns. He thinks Weidman's cardio and chin are questionable and that Hall can find a knockout in the later rounds. He suggests a third-round prop for Hall and live betting after round one if Weidman tires. He acknowledges Weidman's wrestling but believes Hall's striking and resilience give him a path.

Uriah Hall by KO in round 3 (+1500), live betting on Hall after round 1
"i almost feel like i want to take a dog or pass type approach to this fight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Uriah Hall

Daniel picks Uriah Hall, expecting him to catch Weidman in the second or third round after Weidman fatigues. He notes Weidman's tendency to win the first round but fade, and that Hall has power and a better gas tank. He believes Weidman cannot eat Hall's shots.

"i just really think that uri hall is gonna catch him in the second or third round after probably getting taken down in the first"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Uriah Hall

I'm leaning Hall by knockout. Weidman's chin is a huge concern, and Hall has power. Weidman will likely try to take the fight to the ground, but if he can't finish early, he tends to fade. Hall's best chance is to keep it standing and land a big shot. I like Hall by KO at +250, but I'm not confident enough to bet heavily due to Hall's low volume.

Hall by KO +250
"i'm going to ride hall i'm going knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Apr 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Chris Weidman

Paul picks Weidman but is hesitant, citing Weidman's wrestling and grappling advantage. He notes Hall's flashy striking and comeback ability but thinks Weidman can secure takedowns and control the fight. He acknowledges Weidman's compromised chin and cardio issues but believes his top control will be enough to win a decision. He also mentions a potential Hall third-round prop as a live underdog play.

Uriah Hall by KO in round 3 (+1500), live betting on Hall after round 1
"i have to go with weidman because why because if he secures takedowns in two rounds i'm pretty confident he can probably maintain position"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Chris Weidman

The MMA Guru picks Chris Weidman by decision, 30-27. He notes that Weidman out-grappled Hall in their first fight and rates Weidman's grappling higher than Antonio Carlos Jr.'s, who took Hall down multiple times. He thinks in a three-round fight, Weidman can sprint with his grappling and smother Hall, though Hall might win the third round. He plans to wait for better odds on Weidman.

waiting for better odds on Weidman
"i'm gonna go with chris weidman here and i'm gonna wait to put my money on it"
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · Aug 08, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Weidman 0 33 of 91 36% 60 of 118 4 of 8 50% 0 0 1:34
Omari Akhmedov 0 29 of 56 51% 67 of 98 5 of 16 31% 0 0 8:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Weidman 0 6 of 25 24% 19 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Omari Akhmedov 0 5 of 15 33% 13 of 24 2 of 7 28% 0 0 2:59
2 Chris Weidman 0 25 of 62 40% 32 of 69 4 of 7 57% 0 0 1:34
Omari Akhmedov 0 15 of 30 50% 23 of 40 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:37
3 Chris Weidman 0 2 of 4 50% 9 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Omari Akhmedov 0 9 of 11 81% 31 of 34 3 of 4 75% 0 0 4:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Weidman 33 of 91 36% 25 of 81 7 of 9 1 of 1 21 of 74 8 of 11 4 of 6
Omari Akhmedov 29 of 56 51% 25 of 50 4 of 6 0 of 0 17 of 42 1 of 2 11 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Weidman 6 of 25 24% 4 of 23 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 22 2 of 3 0 of 0
Omari Akhmedov 5 of 15 33% 4 of 13 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Chris Weidman 25 of 62 40% 20 of 55 5 of 7 0 of 0 16 of 49 5 of 7 4 of 6
Omari Akhmedov 15 of 30 50% 12 of 26 3 of 4 0 of 0 12 of 26 0 of 0 3 of 4
3 Chris Weidman 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0
Omari Akhmedov 9 of 11 81% 9 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 1 8 of 8
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 5, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Chris Weidman

Big Brady picks Weidman despite his recent losing streak, citing advantages in wrestling, submission game, and reach. He believes Weidman can take Akhmedov down and avoid a brawl, using a smart game plan similar to Stephen Thompson's. However, he is concerned about Weidman's durability and history of getting knocked out. He predicts a decision win for Weidman.

Maybe Akhmedov KO prop if odds are right
"i like chris weidman to win this fight by decision i think he's going to really tire out akhmed off and if you fight smart this is a such a winnable fight for white men"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Omari Akhmedov

Daniel Levi picks Omari Akhmedov to win, possibly by left hook knockout. He argues that Chris Weidman is 'damaged goods' with five knockout losses in his last six fights, and that Akhmedov has underrated power and durability. Levi dismisses the narrative that Akhmedov gasses in the third round, noting that at middleweight he has shown better cardio and even wobbled Ian Heinisch in the third. He also points out that Weidman's chin is suspect and that Akhmedov's wrestling and pressure will be too much.

left hook knockout
"i got omari ahmeda be a left hook knockout here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Aug 4, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Omari Akhmedov

Weidman's chin is a major concern after multiple KO losses, and Akhmedov has power even if he lacks finishes on his record. Akhmedov's wrestling is solid and he has cardio to push the pace. Weidman has advantages in striking and size, but if he gets hit, he could go down. Akhmedov by KO in the second round is the pick, but it's a risky bet.

Akhmedov inside distance +200, Akhmedov by KO
"I'm going with Omari to win this fight by second round ko"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Chris Weidman

The MMA Guru picks Chris Weidman to win by second-round submission via arm triangle. He notes that Omari Akhmedov has a gas tank problem and slows down dramatically, while Weidman has five-round experience and a five-inch reach advantage. He believes Weidman can take Akhmedov down, drain his power, and finish him in the second round. He worries about Weidman's chin but thinks Akhmedov won't have a chance to land cleanly.

second round submission, arm triangle
"wideman's going to go in there get a double leg ride out the first round and then in the second round go for the takedown again akhmadov's going to be way more gassed out and wideman is going to sink …"
LOSS vs Dominick Reyes
KO (punches) R1 1:43 · UFC on ESPN: Reyes vs. Weidman · Oct 18, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dominick Reyes 1 8 of 11 72% 9 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Chris Weidman 0 3 of 6 50% 10 of 13 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dominick Reyes 1 8 of 11 72% 9 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Chris Weidman 0 3 of 6 50% 10 of 13 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dominick Reyes 8 of 11 72% 7 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 4 2 of 2 4 of 5
Chris Weidman 3 of 6 50% 1 of 4 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dominick Reyes 8 of 11 72% 7 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 4 2 of 2 4 of 5
Chris Weidman 3 of 6 50% 1 of 4 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 2
LOSS vs Jacare Souza
KO (punches) R3 2:46 · UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · Nov 03, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jacare Souza 0 68 of 193 35% 76 of 201 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:43
Chris Weidman 1 74 of 132 56% 100 of 158 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jacare Souza 0 23 of 68 33% 23 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Weidman 0 14 of 30 46% 15 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jacare Souza 0 26 of 64 40% 34 of 72 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:43
Chris Weidman 0 31 of 59 52% 50 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jacare Souza 0 19 of 61 31% 19 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Weidman 1 29 of 43 67% 35 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jacare Souza 68 of 193 35% 52 of 171 14 of 20 2 of 2 61 of 182 7 of 11 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 74 of 132 56% 42 of 89 24 of 31 8 of 12 57 of 109 15 of 21 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jacare Souza 23 of 68 33% 21 of 65 2 of 3 0 of 0 21 of 66 2 of 2 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 14 of 30 46% 5 of 16 5 of 7 4 of 7 11 of 27 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Jacare Souza 26 of 64 40% 16 of 50 8 of 12 2 of 2 23 of 58 3 of 6 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 31 of 59 52% 19 of 43 10 of 13 2 of 3 21 of 46 9 of 12 1 of 1
3 Jacare Souza 19 of 61 31% 15 of 56 4 of 5 0 of 0 17 of 58 2 of 3 0 of 0
Chris Weidman 29 of 43 67% 18 of 30 9 of 11 2 of 2 25 of 36 3 of 6 1 of 1
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R3 3:45 · UFC on Fox: Weidman vs. Gastelum · Jul 22, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Weidman 0 36 of 76 47% 75 of 124 7 of 13 53% 2 0 7:35
Kelvin Gastelum 1 26 of 47 55% 28 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Weidman 0 9 of 25 36% 16 of 35 2 of 4 50% 1 0 1:43
Kelvin Gastelum 1 13 of 20 65% 14 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
2 Chris Weidman 0 10 of 15 66% 33 of 43 3 of 5 60% 0 0 3:47
Kelvin Gastelum 0 2 of 7 28% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Chris Weidman 0 17 of 36 47% 26 of 46 2 of 4 50% 1 0 2:05
Kelvin Gastelum 0 11 of 20 55% 11 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Weidman 36 of 76 47% 25 of 59 6 of 12 5 of 5 24 of 59 6 of 9 6 of 8
Kelvin Gastelum 26 of 47 55% 21 of 42 4 of 4 1 of 1 14 of 34 2 of 3 10 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Weidman 9 of 25 36% 5 of 17 1 of 5 3 of 3 7 of 22 2 of 3 0 of 0
Kelvin Gastelum 13 of 20 65% 12 of 19 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 9 0 of 1 10 of 10
2 Chris Weidman 10 of 15 66% 7 of 11 2 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 5 1 of 3 5 of 7
Kelvin Gastelum 2 of 7 28% 0 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Chris Weidman 17 of 36 47% 13 of 31 3 of 4 1 of 1 13 of 32 3 of 3 1 of 1
Kelvin Gastelum 11 of 20 55% 9 of 18 2 of 2 0 of 0 10 of 19 1 of 1 0 of 0