Career Averages - Lauren Murphy
Career Averages - Kelly Faszholz
Lauren Murphy - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 38 of 145 | 26% | 67 of 179 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 2 | 0 | 1:03 |
| Eduarda Moura | 0 | 64 of 235 | 27% | 74 of 248 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 6 of 33 | 18% | 13 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Eduarda Moura | 0 | 19 of 58 | 32% | 26 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:32 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 11 of 51 | 21% | 27 of 70 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Eduarda Moura | 0 | 20 of 77 | 25% | 22 of 79 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 21 of 61 | 34% | 27 of 68 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 2 | 0 | 0:59 |
| Eduarda Moura | 0 | 25 of 100 | 25% | 26 of 101 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 38 of 145 | 26% | 38 of 144 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 34 of 140 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Eduarda Moura | 64 of 235 | 27% | 52 of 221 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 12 | 64 of 234 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 6 of 33 | 18% | 6 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Eduarda Moura | 19 of 58 | 32% | 14 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 6 | 19 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 11 of 51 | 21% | 11 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 47 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Eduarda Moura | 20 of 77 | 25% | 17 of 74 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 20 of 77 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 21 of 61 | 34% | 21 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Eduarda Moura | 25 of 100 | 25% | 21 of 96 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 25 of 100 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo believes Eduarda Moura is younger, faster, and a better grappler than the 41-year-old Lauren Murphy, who hasn't fought in two years. He thinks Murphy's toughness won't be enough against Moura's aggressive grappling and solid takedowns. He hates the -600 odds but thinks Moura wins 95% of the time and is okay to parlay.
Big Brady is disgusted by the -600 line on Eduarda Moura. He notes Moura's poor cardio and low volume, and Lauren Murphy's 70% takedown defense. However, he picks Moura by decision because Murphy is 41, hasn't fought in 2.5 years, and this is her retirement fight. He is not confident in the line.
The host is hesitant about this pick, noting that he doesn't understand why Moura is such a heavy favorite. He acknowledges Moura's grappling strength but also points out that Murphy has a physicality and striking advantage and could make the fight close. Ultimately, he expects Moura to win bits and pieces of the fight and get her hand raised on the scorecards.
The MMA Guru picks Eduarda Moura, citing her better grappling entries and fight IQ in knowing when to shoot for takedowns. He heavily criticizes Lauren Murphy's last performance against Jessica Andrade, where she took a record amount of damage and had no answer. He notes Murphy's long layoff and age, and expects Moura to outwrestle and outstrike her for a 30-27 decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 100 of 293 | 34% | 103 of 296 | 0 of 15 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 231 of 369 | 62% | 237 of 375 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 22 of 91 | 24% | 24 of 93 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 61 of 107 | 57% | 62 of 108 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 29 of 95 | 30% | 29 of 95 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 75 of 121 | 61% | 78 of 124 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:21 | |
| 3 | Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 49 of 107 | 45% | 50 of 108 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 95 of 141 | 67% | 97 of 143 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:50 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jéssica Andrade | 100 of 293 | 34% | 81 of 268 | 14 of 19 | 5 of 6 | 90 of 276 | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| Lauren Murphy | 231 of 369 | 62% | 161 of 292 | 23 of 27 | 47 of 50 | 208 of 338 | 22 of 30 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jéssica Andrade | 22 of 91 | 24% | 17 of 85 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 22 of 90 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Lauren Murphy | 61 of 107 | 57% | 31 of 75 | 3 of 3 | 27 of 29 | 58 of 101 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jéssica Andrade | 29 of 95 | 30% | 21 of 83 | 6 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 23 of 86 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Lauren Murphy | 75 of 121 | 61% | 52 of 96 | 12 of 13 | 11 of 12 | 62 of 103 | 12 of 17 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Jéssica Andrade | 49 of 107 | 45% | 43 of 100 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 45 of 100 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Lauren Murphy | 95 of 141 | 67% | 78 of 121 | 8 of 11 | 9 of 9 | 88 of 134 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Andrade with good confidence, noting she has only lost to the best (Valentina, Rose, Zhang, Weili). He is not high on Murphy, calling her lucky and noting she has lost fights that went her way. Andrade is younger, more powerful, has takedown upside, and will pressure with volume. He respects Murphy's toughness and durability, predicting a decision win for Andrade, but won't lay -450.
Cody picks Jéssica Andrade confidently, expecting her to smash Lauren Murphy. He notes Andrade's power, aggression, strength, and well-rounded skills. He says Murphy is scrappy but not on Andrade's level, and that Andrade will either finish via guillotine or win a brawl. He warns about women's MMA and big favorites, but thinks Andrade's skill advantage is clear. He also mentions Andrade's cardio is not half bad.
Connor picks Andrade, noting that Murphy is glacially slow and Andrade is much faster and harder hitting. He thinks Andrade's physicality will be too much, even if she can't overpower Murphy in the clinch. Connor also points out that good athletes can take Murphy down, and Andrade is a good athlete.
Paul picks Jéssica Andrade but with some hesitation. He notes Andrade's power, aggression, and strength, and says Murphy's best version still struggles with Andrade's worst. He mentions Murphy's durability and cardio but thinks Andrade's skill set is superior. He warns about women's MMA and big favorites, and says there is a world where Andrade gets tired. He thinks Andrade wins but wouldn't put a huge bet on her.
The Guru confidently picks Andrade, saying she 'throws punches like a man' and has finished top competition like Chookagian, Calvillo, and Lemos in the first round. He criticizes Murphy's fighting ability, calling her 'fighting blind.' Despite Murphy doing better against Shevchenko on paper, the Guru sees a clear difference in performance and predicts Andrade will KO Murphy.
Zane picks Andrade but with hesitation. He notes Andrade has made wrong moves lately, regressing to a cautious style, but her physicality, speed, and power should be enough against the slower Murphy. Zane worries about Andrade's approach and Murphy's strength and durability, but believes Andrade is more likely to finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 102 of 184 | 55% | 128 of 211 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:18 |
| Miesha Tate | 0 | 85 of 164 | 51% | 121 of 201 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 26 of 48 | 54% | 35 of 57 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Miesha Tate | 0 | 25 of 47 | 53% | 38 of 60 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:04 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 38 of 66 | 57% | 53 of 82 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Miesha Tate | 0 | 32 of 55 | 58% | 46 of 69 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 38 of 70 | 54% | 40 of 72 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Miesha Tate | 0 | 28 of 62 | 45% | 37 of 72 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 102 of 184 | 55% | 77 of 154 | 24 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 68 of 142 | 31 of 39 | 3 of 3 |
| Miesha Tate | 85 of 164 | 51% | 61 of 122 | 18 of 34 | 6 of 8 | 67 of 138 | 18 of 26 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 26 of 48 | 54% | 17 of 37 | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 33 | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
| Miesha Tate | 25 of 47 | 53% | 12 of 26 | 10 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 34 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 38 of 66 | 57% | 31 of 57 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 26 of 52 | 9 of 11 | 3 of 3 |
| Miesha Tate | 32 of 55 | 58% | 27 of 44 | 4 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 25 of 46 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 38 of 70 | 54% | 29 of 60 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 57 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Miesha Tate | 28 of 62 | 45% | 22 of 52 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 26 of 58 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Miesha Tate but is hesitant due to her flyweight debut. He believes Tate's wrestling and grappling will be key, and that she can avoid being bullied by Murphy. He notes Murphy's losses came via grappling dominance, and assumes Tate will be strong at 125. He is unsure about betting.
Big Brady picks Miesha Tate to win by decision. He notes that Tate is the more skilled fighter overall and can get takedowns to control the fight on the mat. He is not impressed by Murphy's wins and thinks the striking will be competitive. He says he would not bet Tate at -220 odds but picks her to win.
Cody picks Tate, citing her wrestling advantage, strength, and experience. He notes that Tate has been preparing for this fight for a long time and has been in great shape. He believes Tate's clinch work and takedowns will be too much for Murphy, and that Murphy's only path is to bully Tate, which he doubts she can do.
Daniel Levi leans Miesha Tate but expresses disinterest in the fight. He notes Tate is past her prime and coming off a loss, while Murphy is coming off a title fight loss and has health issues. He considers it a dog-or-pass situation and won't lay the -220 price on Tate.
Paul leans towards Murphy as an underdog, citing the uncertainty of Tate's weight cut to 125 and the fact that Murphy is a natural 125er. He notes that Murphy has decent striking and could potentially outwork Tate. However, he admits he is not confident and will wait until weigh-ins before betting.
The MMA Guru picks Miesha Tate over Lauren Murphy, criticizing Murphy's lack of skill and Tate's experience. He believes Tate will win grappling exchanges and has slightly better striking. He predicts a unanimous decision win for Tate, with Tate winning the first two rounds clearly before slowing down due to weight cut.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 98 of 170 | 57% | 132 of 204 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 4:04 |
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 11 of 91 | 12% | 19 of 100 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 20 of 39 | 51% | 24 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 3 of 24 | 12% | 3 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 10 of 17 | 58% | 30 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 |
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 1 of 18 | 5% | 8 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:41 | |
| 3 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 21 of 48 | 43% | 25 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 5 of 30 | 16% | 6 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 47 of 66 | 71% | 53 of 72 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:12 |
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 2 of 19 | 10% | 2 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 98 of 170 | 57% | 62 of 126 | 19 of 24 | 17 of 20 | 72 of 137 | 6 of 8 | 20 of 25 |
| Lauren Murphy | 11 of 91 | 12% | 4 of 73 | 3 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 11 of 91 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 20 of 39 | 51% | 9 of 24 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 8 | 19 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Lauren Murphy | 3 of 24 | 12% | 2 of 21 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 10 of 17 | 58% | 6 of 13 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Lauren Murphy | 1 of 18 | 5% | 1 of 15 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Valentina Shevchenko | 21 of 48 | 43% | 9 of 33 | 6 of 8 | 6 of 7 | 20 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Lauren Murphy | 5 of 30 | 16% | 0 of 23 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Valentina Shevchenko | 47 of 66 | 71% | 38 of 56 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 25 of 38 | 4 of 6 | 18 of 22 |
| Lauren Murphy | 2 of 19 | 10% | 1 of 14 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Shevchenko, calling her one of the best fighters ever. He highlights her technical striking, grappling, and championship composure. He notes that Murphy's path to victory is narrow and that Shevchenko can win anywhere. Angelo expects a dominant performance.
Big Brady picks Valentina Shevchenko to win by fourth-round TKO. He believes Shevchenko has every advantage: striking, wrestling, and grappling. He notes Murphy is tough and has never been finished, but she has never faced anyone near Shevchenko's caliber. He expects Shevchenko to find a finish late in the fight.
Cody is confident Shevchenko wins anywhere the fight goes, citing her superior kickboxing, speed, footwork, and grappling. He notes Murphy's durability and never being knocked out, but believes Shevchenko's patience and skill will lead to a late stoppage, possibly becoming the first to finish Murphy. He leans over 2.5 rounds due to Murphy's toughness.
Daniel Levi confidently picks Valentina Shevchenko, stating that Lauren Murphy's toughness and durability are not enough to overcome the massive skill gap. He notes that Murphy has never been finished, but Shevchenko's technique is superior. Levi believes it would take a fluke for Murphy to win, and he expects Shevchenko to win, though he is unsure whether it will be by decision or finish.
Jacob picks Shevchenko, noting she's running out of opponents and should fight Nunes again. He praises her judo and grappling. Jacob is confident Shevchenko wins easily.
The host picks Valentina Shevchenko by fourth-round TKO. He believes Shevchenko will eventually set up the crucifix position and finish Murphy. He notes that Murphy is durable and may survive early, but Shevchenko's pressure will increase. He likes the over 2.5 rounds at even money. He thinks Murphy's takedown success will be temporary and Shevchenko will adapt.
Paul picks Shevchenko confidently, noting her dominance and the large talent gap. He mentions she could finish inside the distance but also acknowledges she can be patient. He is unsure about betting the moneyline due to the price and considers the over 2.5 rounds, but has no bet yet.
The MMA Guru picks Valentina Shevchenko over Lauren Murphy, citing Shevchenko's vast superiority in all areas. He notes that Murphy is on a five-fight winning streak but lost her last two fights (split decisions) and is 38 years old. He expects Shevchenko to win by second-round crucifix TKO, similar to her fight against Andrade, as Murphy will likely shoot for a takedown and get reversed. He dismisses Murphy's chances entirely.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 80 of 148 | 54% | 121 of 195 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 4:54 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 123 of 228 | 53% | 153 of 259 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 29 of 57 | 50% | 40 of 69 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 55 of 97 | 56% | 64 of 106 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 16 of 22 | 72% | 43 of 54 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:15 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 26 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 35 of 69 | 50% | 38 of 72 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joanne Wood | 0 | 59 of 114 | 51% | 63 of 118 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 80 of 148 | 54% | 66 of 131 | 14 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 55 of 119 | 10 of 13 | 15 of 16 |
| Joanne Wood | 123 of 228 | 53% | 62 of 137 | 30 of 41 | 31 of 50 | 99 of 201 | 23 of 25 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 29 of 57 | 50% | 25 of 51 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 26 of 52 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Joanne Wood | 55 of 97 | 56% | 22 of 50 | 16 of 22 | 17 of 25 | 43 of 85 | 12 of 12 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 16 of 22 | 72% | 14 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 16 |
| Joanne Wood | 9 of 17 | 52% | 4 of 9 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 35 of 69 | 50% | 27 of 60 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 28 of 61 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Joanne Wood | 59 of 114 | 51% | 36 of 78 | 13 of 16 | 10 of 20 | 48 of 101 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Joanne Wood, citing her significant striking volume and accuracy advantage. He is concerned about Wood's takedown defense (58%) and the possibility of Murphy grinding out rounds with control time. He expects a competitive fight but ultimately sees Wood out-striking Murphy to a decision win.
Cody leans towards Murphy as an underdog, citing her strength, grit, and takedown ability. He thinks she can grind out a decision if she mixes in takedowns. He notes Calderwood's tendency to fall apart in big spots and her poor takedown defense.
Daniel Levi picks Lauren Murphy for the upset, citing her toughness and will to win. He acknowledges Joanne Wood is more talented but inconsistent. He notes Murphy's takedowns have improved and that Wood has a history of poor performances. He expects a close fight and thinks Murphy's durability and pressure will edge out a split decision.
Wood is faster and a better striker, with superior Muay Thai and combinations. Murphy is stronger and may try to clinch, but Wood should outstrike her at range. Murphy doesn't take damage well, and Wood's speed should allow her to land cleanly. Wood likely wins a decision, though Murphy's strength is a slight concern.
Paul picks Calderwood but is not betting it. He thinks Calderwood's striking and reach advantage will be key, and that she can keep the fight standing and outpoint Murphy. He acknowledges Murphy's toughness but believes Calderwood's technical skills will prevail.
The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood, stating she looks technically sound with good knees in the clinch, while Murphy does not look good technically. He notes Wood's recent performance against Jessica Eye and believes Wood's technical edge will be decisive. He dismisses Murphy's wins as unimpressive.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 22 of 85 | 25% | 32 of 96 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:10 |
| Liliya Shakirova | 0 | 23 of 75 | 30% | 27 of 80 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 12 of 48 | 25% | 18 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Liliya Shakirova | 0 | 15 of 47 | 31% | 16 of 48 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 10 of 37 | 27% | 14 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:05 |
| Liliya Shakirova | 0 | 8 of 28 | 28% | 11 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 22 of 85 | 25% | 16 of 78 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 72 | 8 of 11 | 2 of 2 |
| Liliya Shakirova | 23 of 75 | 30% | 7 of 45 | 7 of 17 | 9 of 13 | 23 of 75 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 12 of 48 | 25% | 10 of 46 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 41 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Liliya Shakirova | 15 of 47 | 31% | 4 of 27 | 6 of 12 | 5 of 8 | 15 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 10 of 37 | 27% | 6 of 32 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 31 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
| Liliya Shakirova | 8 of 28 | 28% | 3 of 18 | 1 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Lauren Murphy but is hesitant due to the unpredictability of women's MMA. He notes Murphy's experience against better competition and good takedown defense, but acknowledges Shakirova looks decent on tape. He predicts a decision win.
Daniel Levi picks Lauren Murphy confidently, noting her transformation under a new doctor and her recent knockout wins. He believes Shakirova is a talented newcomer but is outclassed and outsized, and that Murphy's pressure and clinch work will be too much. He expects a unanimous decision or a TKO stoppage.
The host picks Lauren Murphy but is not confident, citing her experience, volume, and physicality. He notes that Shakirova is making her UFC debut on short notice and may struggle with the step up in competition. He sees value on Shakirova if she is a big dog.
The MMA Guru picks Lauren Murphy to win, noting that Shakirova is taking the fight on short notice and has lost to a fighter with a 4-4 record. He respects Murphy's technical fighting style and believes she will get the job done.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 44 of 174 | 25% | 71 of 206 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 4:08 |
| Roxanne Modafferi | 0 | 72 of 158 | 45% | 92 of 178 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 12 of 54 | 22% | 18 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
| Roxanne Modafferi | 0 | 19 of 48 | 39% | 22 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 10 of 45 | 22% | 20 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:44 |
| Roxanne Modafferi | 0 | 23 of 48 | 47% | 36 of 61 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 22 of 75 | 29% | 33 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:10 |
| Roxanne Modafferi | 0 | 30 of 62 | 48% | 34 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 44 of 174 | 25% | 34 of 152 | 5 of 15 | 5 of 7 | 39 of 163 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Roxanne Modafferi | 72 of 158 | 45% | 46 of 127 | 8 of 12 | 18 of 19 | 65 of 150 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 12 of 54 | 22% | 9 of 46 | 1 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 51 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Roxanne Modafferi | 19 of 48 | 39% | 11 of 36 | 0 of 4 | 8 of 8 | 19 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 10 of 45 | 22% | 8 of 37 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 41 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Roxanne Modafferi | 23 of 48 | 47% | 13 of 37 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 18 of 42 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 22 of 75 | 29% | 17 of 69 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 19 of 71 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Roxanne Modafferi | 30 of 62 | 48% | 22 of 54 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 28 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Big Brady favors Lauren Murphy to win by decision, believing she can stuff Roxanne Modafferi's takedowns and out-strike her on the feet. He notes Murphy's strong takedown defense and ability to get back up if taken down. He acknowledges Modafferi's recent wins as an underdog but thinks Murphy is the better striker and will land more shots.
Daniel Levi picks Lauren Murphy, arguing that Modafferi is one-dimensional and relies on takedowns. He believes Murphy's improved aggression and takedown defense will be key. Levi notes that Murphy looked great against Andrea Lee and should be a slight favorite, not an underdog. He expects a close decision win for Murphy.
Modafferi has better grappling and a reach advantage. She was winning against Barber before the injury. Murphy hasn't shown much. Modafferi will win by decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 80 of 197 | 40% | 107 of 228 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 2:31 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 104 of 267 | 38% | 107 of 271 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 32 of 80 | 40% | 33 of 82 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 43 of 104 | 41% | 44 of 106 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 33 of 73 | 45% | 41 of 84 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 38 of 103 | 36% | 39 of 104 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 15 of 44 | 34% | 33 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:40 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 23 of 60 | 38% | 24 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:34 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 80 of 197 | 40% | 70 of 181 | 9 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 75 of 190 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 104 of 267 | 38% | 51 of 194 | 34 of 51 | 19 of 22 | 99 of 261 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 32 of 80 | 40% | 28 of 74 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 31 of 77 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 43 of 104 | 41% | 18 of 74 | 16 of 20 | 9 of 10 | 41 of 101 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 33 of 73 | 45% | 30 of 68 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 31 of 71 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 38 of 103 | 36% | 21 of 77 | 11 of 20 | 6 of 6 | 38 of 103 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 15 of 44 | 34% | 12 of 39 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 42 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 23 of 60 | 38% | 12 of 43 | 7 of 11 | 4 of 6 | 20 of 57 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel Levi picks Andrea Lee by decision, stating she is the better striker with more volume. He notes that Lauren Murphy has improved but still has a basic fighting style. He warns against betting at -365, but expects Lee to win a decision, possibly with close rounds.
The host picks Andrea Lee by decision, citing her speed, striking, and improved grappling. He believes she is the quicker fighter and can outpoint Lauren Murphy, though he is not willing to bet her straight at -340. He considers her as a parlay piece with Jon Jones.
The MMA Guru picks Andrea Lee because she is younger, more technical, and will light up Lauren Murphy with combinations on the feet. He notes Murphy's questionable losses and expects Lee to win a unanimous decision.
Kelly Faszholz - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketlen Vieira | 0 | 44 of 104 | 42% | 113 of 178 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
| Kelly Faszholz | 0 | 13 of 57 | 22% | 67 of 120 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 8:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ketlen Vieira | 0 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 32 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Kelly Faszholz | 0 | 4 of 14 | 28% | 30 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:05 | |
| 2 | Ketlen Vieira | 0 | 11 of 32 | 34% | 35 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kelly Faszholz | 0 | 2 of 19 | 10% | 24 of 44 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:05 | |
| 3 | Ketlen Vieira | 0 | 25 of 58 | 43% | 46 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Kelly Faszholz | 0 | 7 of 24 | 29% | 13 of 31 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketlen Vieira | 44 of 104 | 42% | 26 of 79 | 14 of 21 | 4 of 4 | 30 of 79 | 11 of 18 | 3 of 7 |
| Kelly Faszholz | 13 of 57 | 22% | 11 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 50 | 0 of 4 | 1 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ketlen Vieira | 8 of 14 | 57% | 3 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 1 |
| Kelly Faszholz | 4 of 14 | 28% | 2 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 3 | |
| 2 | Ketlen Vieira | 11 of 32 | 34% | 5 of 20 | 5 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 24 | 1 of 4 | 2 of 4 |
| Kelly Faszholz | 2 of 19 | 10% | 2 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 17 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ketlen Vieira | 25 of 58 | 43% | 18 of 50 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 46 | 6 of 10 | 1 of 2 |
| Kelly Faszholz | 7 of 24 | 29% | 7 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Vieira catches an early body kick and uses the leg to shove Faszholz against the fence, where the Brazilian leans on her opponent for 20 seconds or so. Faszholz breaks away, dodging a sweeping punch from Vieira on her way out of the clinch. Faszholz whiffs on a high kick and gets popped with a right hook on the turn-around. Now it’s Faszholz looking to pin Vieira to the wall, but Vieira turns the tables with a lovely throw that puts Faszholz on the floor at the base of the fence. Vieira lands short body punches as she works to pass Faszholz’s guard at the midway point of the round. Faszholz slows the fight by entangling Vieira from the bottom, but Vieira opts to stand in the final minute. Vieira still can’t pass the guard but finishes the round kneeling atop Faszholz.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round 10-9 Vieira
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Vieira
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Vieira
Round 2
Faszholz gets off to a good start, sticking her right hand in Vieira’s face and placing a kick across the Brazilian’s midsection. Vieira catches another kick, and again she uses it to her advantage by tripping Faszholz to the floor. Faszholz closes her guard and looks to lock down Vieira’s arms, so Vieira stands up and tries to shuck the legs. Vieira still can’t find a pass and winds up kneeling back down in Faszholz’s guard. Back up comes Vieira, having to dodge the swirling and upkicking legs of the grounded Faszholz. Two minutes remain in the middle round and the fighters have settled into a stalemate, with neither able to improve their position. Referee Dan Miragliotta brings the bantamweights back to their feet. Vieira blocks a kick aimed at her head, then catches one to her body and brings Faszholz straight back to the ground. Ref Miragliotta doesn’t let them stay down for long, but a stand-up of the fighters in the final 20 seconds proves fruitless.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round 10-9 Vieira
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Vieira
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Vieira
Round 3
Faszholz spends the first minute of the final frame chasing Vieira around the cage, swinging punches as the Brazilian backpeddles away. Ninety seconds in, Faszholz traps Vieira against the fence and scores with a knee to the body. Vieira tries to reverse and trip, but Faszholz blocks it and separates. The fighters are apart only for a few seconds before Vieira grabs hold of Faszholz and brings her back to the wall. Faszholz blocks another throw attempt and creates some space, now with half a round remaining. She continues to chase Vieira around the perimeter, but once she catches up, it’s Vieira controlling the fight by hurling Faszholz to the canvas. Faszholz throws up a triangle from her back, but she can’t get hold of Vieira, who’s standing over her. Vieira catches Faszholz rolling to her knees and tries to take her back; Faszholz sits up against the wall to block the back-take, and they finish the fight grappling at the foot of the fence.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round 10-9 Faszholz (29-28 Vieira)
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Faszholz (29-28 Vieira)
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Faszholz (29-28 Vieira)
The Official Result
Ketlen Vieira def. Kelly Faszholz via Split Decision (29-28, 29-28, 28-29) R3 5:00
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 0 | 95 of 171 | 55% | 188 of 272 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 6:17 |
| Kelly Faszholz | 0 | 76 of 145 | 52% | 96 of 167 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 32 of 65 | 49% | 52 of 87 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:05 |
| Kelly Faszholz | 0 | 41 of 72 | 56% | 54 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:35 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 25 of 56 | 44% | 35 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Kelly Faszholz | 0 | 29 of 62 | 46% | 35 of 70 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 0 | 38 of 50 | 76% | 101 of 118 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:21 |
| Kelly Faszholz | 0 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murphy | 95 of 171 | 55% | 67 of 141 | 16 of 18 | 12 of 12 | 47 of 112 | 12 of 16 | 36 of 43 |
| Kelly Faszholz | 76 of 145 | 52% | 50 of 111 | 21 of 28 | 5 of 6 | 67 of 130 | 9 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauren Murphy | 32 of 65 | 49% | 17 of 49 | 7 of 8 | 8 of 8 | 23 of 53 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Kelly Faszholz | 41 of 72 | 56% | 27 of 55 | 14 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 35 of 64 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lauren Murphy | 25 of 56 | 44% | 19 of 49 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 22 of 52 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Kelly Faszholz | 29 of 62 | 46% | 18 of 47 | 7 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 26 of 55 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Lauren Murphy | 38 of 50 | 76% | 31 of 43 | 6 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 36 of 43 |
| Kelly Faszholz | 6 of 11 | 54% | 5 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
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