UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs. Penne · Jun 20, 2015 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs. Penne Next Fight
Age 37
Height 5' 9"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 42
Height 5' 11"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Mairbek Taisumov
2.98 SLpM
39.0% Str. Acc.
3.03 SApM
64.0% Str. Def.
1.34 TD Avg
63.0% TD Acc.
88.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Alan Patrick
1.82 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
2.95 SApM
43.0% Str. Def.
3.01 TD Avg
33.0% TD Acc.
43.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Mairbek Taisumov - Fight History
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · Sep 07, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Carlos Diego Ferreira 0 51 of 160 31% 51 of 160 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:01
Mairbek Taisumov 0 109 of 326 33% 112 of 329 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Carlos Diego Ferreira 0 19 of 53 35% 19 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mairbek Taisumov 0 12 of 73 16% 12 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Carlos Diego Ferreira 0 18 of 49 36% 18 of 49 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:01
Mairbek Taisumov 0 33 of 108 30% 36 of 111 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:19
3 Carlos Diego Ferreira 0 14 of 58 24% 14 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mairbek Taisumov 0 64 of 145 44% 64 of 145 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Carlos Diego Ferreira 51 of 160 31% 40 of 139 5 of 13 6 of 8 51 of 160 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mairbek Taisumov 109 of 326 33% 77 of 271 25 of 46 7 of 9 107 of 323 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Carlos Diego Ferreira 19 of 53 35% 14 of 41 0 of 6 5 of 6 19 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mairbek Taisumov 12 of 73 16% 7 of 62 4 of 9 1 of 2 12 of 73 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Carlos Diego Ferreira 18 of 49 36% 13 of 42 4 of 5 1 of 2 18 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mairbek Taisumov 33 of 108 30% 22 of 90 9 of 16 2 of 2 33 of 108 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Carlos Diego Ferreira 14 of 58 24% 13 of 56 1 of 2 0 of 0 14 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mairbek Taisumov 64 of 145 44% 48 of 119 12 of 21 4 of 5 62 of 142 2 of 3 0 of 0
WIN vs Desmond Green
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · Sep 15, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mairbek Taisumov 0 27 of 82 32% 28 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Desmond Green 0 27 of 83 32% 27 of 83 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mairbek Taisumov 0 10 of 26 38% 10 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Desmond Green 0 9 of 30 30% 9 of 30 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Mairbek Taisumov 0 10 of 29 34% 11 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Desmond Green 0 14 of 30 46% 14 of 30 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Mairbek Taisumov 0 7 of 27 25% 7 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Desmond Green 0 4 of 23 17% 4 of 23 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mairbek Taisumov 27 of 82 32% 11 of 52 5 of 16 11 of 14 26 of 80 1 of 2 0 of 0
Desmond Green 27 of 83 32% 16 of 59 4 of 12 7 of 12 27 of 81 0 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mairbek Taisumov 10 of 26 38% 2 of 13 3 of 6 5 of 7 10 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Desmond Green 9 of 30 30% 3 of 17 1 of 5 5 of 8 9 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Mairbek Taisumov 10 of 29 34% 5 of 18 1 of 6 4 of 5 9 of 27 1 of 2 0 of 0
Desmond Green 14 of 30 46% 9 of 20 3 of 6 2 of 4 14 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Mairbek Taisumov 7 of 27 25% 4 of 21 1 of 4 2 of 2 7 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Desmond Green 4 of 23 17% 4 of 22 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 22 0 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Felipe Silva
KO (punch) R1 1:24 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · Sep 02, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mairbek Taisumov 1 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Felipe Silva 0 0 of 7 0% 0 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mairbek Taisumov 1 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Felipe Silva 0 0 of 7 0% 0 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mairbek Taisumov 2 of 4 50% 1 of 2 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Felipe Silva 0 of 7 0% 0 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mairbek Taisumov 2 of 4 50% 1 of 2 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Felipe Silva 0 of 7 0% 0 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
TKO (punch) R1 3:44 · UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs. dos Santos · Apr 10, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mairbek Taisumov 1 25 of 59 42% 25 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Damir Hadžović 0 11 of 43 25% 11 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mairbek Taisumov 1 25 of 59 42% 25 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Damir Hadžović 0 11 of 43 25% 11 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mairbek Taisumov 25 of 59 42% 18 of 48 1 of 5 6 of 6 25 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
Damir Hadžović 11 of 43 25% 9 of 40 1 of 2 1 of 1 11 of 42 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mairbek Taisumov 25 of 59 42% 18 of 48 1 of 5 6 of 6 25 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
Damir Hadžović 11 of 43 25% 9 of 40 1 of 2 1 of 1 11 of 42 0 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Alan Patrick
TKO (head kick and punches) R2 1:30 · UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs. Penne · Jun 20, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mairbek Taisumov 1 23 of 43 53% 24 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Alan Patrick 0 17 of 38 44% 17 of 38 0 of 7 0% 0 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mairbek Taisumov 0 10 of 21 47% 11 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Alan Patrick 0 14 of 27 51% 14 of 27 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:23
2 Mairbek Taisumov 1 13 of 22 59% 13 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Alan Patrick 0 3 of 11 27% 3 of 11 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mairbek Taisumov 23 of 43 53% 15 of 34 7 of 8 1 of 1 14 of 29 1 of 1 8 of 13
Alan Patrick 17 of 38 44% 5 of 24 8 of 10 4 of 4 15 of 35 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mairbek Taisumov 10 of 21 47% 5 of 15 5 of 6 0 of 0 9 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
Alan Patrick 14 of 27 51% 4 of 15 7 of 9 3 of 3 13 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Mairbek Taisumov 13 of 22 59% 10 of 19 2 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 9 0 of 0 8 of 13
Alan Patrick 3 of 11 27% 1 of 9 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 9 1 of 2 0 of 0
KO (punches) R2 0:38 · UFC on Fox: Gustafsson vs. Johnson · Jan 24, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mairbek Taisumov 0 37 of 59 62% 37 of 59 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:00
Anthony Christodoulou 0 9 of 38 23% 9 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mairbek Taisumov 0 29 of 51 56% 29 of 51 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:57
Anthony Christodoulou 0 8 of 34 23% 8 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mairbek Taisumov 0 8 of 8 100% 8 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Anthony Christodoulou 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mairbek Taisumov 37 of 59 62% 26 of 44 5 of 6 6 of 9 28 of 44 1 of 3 8 of 12
Anthony Christodoulou 9 of 38 23% 6 of 33 0 of 0 3 of 5 9 of 36 0 of 1 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mairbek Taisumov 29 of 51 56% 18 of 36 5 of 6 6 of 9 26 of 42 1 of 3 2 of 6
Anthony Christodoulou 8 of 34 23% 5 of 29 0 of 0 3 of 5 8 of 32 0 of 1 0 of 1
2 Mairbek Taisumov 8 of 8 100% 8 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 6
Anthony Christodoulou 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Marcin Bandel
TKO (punches) R1 1:01 · UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Story · Oct 04, 2014
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mairbek Taisumov 1 9 of 10 90% 9 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Marcin Bandel 0 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mairbek Taisumov 1 9 of 10 90% 9 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Marcin Bandel 0 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mairbek Taisumov 9 of 10 90% 8 of 9 0 of 0 1 of 1 6 of 7 0 of 0 3 of 3
Marcin Bandel 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mairbek Taisumov 9 of 10 90% 8 of 9 0 of 0 1 of 1 6 of 7 0 of 0 3 of 3
Marcin Bandel 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Michel Prazeres
Decision (unanimous) (30–25, 30–25, 30–25) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Henderson 2 · Mar 23, 2014
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michel Prazeres 1 35 of 67 52% 66 of 106 3 of 11 27% 0 0 5:00
Mairbek Taisumov 0 26 of 91 28% 40 of 106 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michel Prazeres 0 11 of 15 73% 32 of 44 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:23
Mairbek Taisumov 0 1 of 5 20% 14 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
2 Michel Prazeres 1 15 of 29 51% 17 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Mairbek Taisumov 0 9 of 37 24% 10 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
3 Michel Prazeres 0 9 of 23 39% 17 of 31 1 of 6 16% 0 0 1:27
Mairbek Taisumov 0 16 of 49 32% 16 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michel Prazeres 35 of 67 52% 26 of 58 4 of 4 5 of 5 24 of 53 5 of 7 6 of 7
Mairbek Taisumov 26 of 91 28% 16 of 79 6 of 8 4 of 4 23 of 81 3 of 5 0 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michel Prazeres 11 of 15 73% 7 of 11 2 of 2 2 of 2 3 of 6 3 of 3 5 of 6
Mairbek Taisumov 1 of 5 20% 0 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 2
2 Michel Prazeres 15 of 29 51% 12 of 26 2 of 2 1 of 1 13 of 27 1 of 1 1 of 1
Mairbek Taisumov 9 of 37 24% 6 of 34 2 of 2 1 of 1 9 of 33 0 of 1 0 of 3
3 Michel Prazeres 9 of 23 39% 7 of 21 0 of 0 2 of 2 8 of 20 1 of 3 0 of 0
Mairbek Taisumov 16 of 49 32% 10 of 41 4 of 6 2 of 2 13 of 45 3 of 4 0 of 0
Alan Patrick - Fight History
LOSS vs Michael Johnson
KO (punches) R2 3:22 · UFC on ESPN: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · May 14, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michael Johnson 1 30 of 48 62% 40 of 61 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:01
Alan Patrick 0 22 of 47 46% 30 of 56 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michael Johnson 0 11 of 22 50% 18 of 32 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:33
Alan Patrick 0 13 of 21 61% 17 of 26 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:12
2 Michael Johnson 1 19 of 26 73% 22 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:28
Alan Patrick 0 9 of 26 34% 13 of 30 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michael Johnson 30 of 48 62% 18 of 35 9 of 9 3 of 4 25 of 43 2 of 2 3 of 3
Alan Patrick 22 of 47 46% 7 of 30 9 of 11 6 of 6 20 of 42 2 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michael Johnson 11 of 22 50% 5 of 15 4 of 4 2 of 3 9 of 20 1 of 1 1 of 1
Alan Patrick 13 of 21 61% 4 of 10 6 of 8 3 of 3 11 of 18 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Michael Johnson 19 of 26 73% 13 of 20 5 of 5 1 of 1 16 of 23 1 of 1 2 of 2
Alan Patrick 9 of 26 34% 3 of 20 3 of 3 3 of 3 9 of 24 0 of 2 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked May 11, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Michael Johnson

Cody picks Johnson but is hesitant, noting Johnson is a serial 'stunt artist' who finds ways to lose. He acknowledges Johnson's takedown defense is poor and Patrick could take him down. However, he thinks Patrick quit in his last fight and Johnson at least goes out on his shield. He says it's a dogger pass and not a top ticket fight.

"i'll pick michael johnson here but patrick could take him down at literally any point and i'm not sure who has the better jiu jitsu game probably patrick who trains with carl uh charles oliveira on a daily basis so …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked May 11, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Michael Johnson

Paul leans slightly toward Johnson but is very hesitant. He notes Johnson's pattern of losing fights he should win, but thinks the UFC is giving him a winnable fight against Patrick, who quit in his last outing. He says there are better dogs on the card and it's a pass for him unless weigh-ins change his mind.

"i think everest was slightly with johnson but you kicked off the preview of this fight by saying not the kind of fight you'd want on the top of your ticket i just lost it that's true that that holds …"
LOSS vs Mason Jones
No Contest (accidental eye poke) R2 2:14 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · Jun 05, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alan Patrick 0 10 of 32 31% 14 of 39 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:02
Mason Jones 0 46 of 85 54% 57 of 100 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alan Patrick 0 7 of 28 25% 7 of 30 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Mason Jones 0 38 of 71 53% 44 of 78 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:00
2 Alan Patrick 0 3 of 4 75% 7 of 9 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Mason Jones 0 8 of 14 57% 13 of 22 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alan Patrick 10 of 32 31% 5 of 25 5 of 7 0 of 0 7 of 29 3 of 3 0 of 0
Mason Jones 46 of 85 54% 32 of 67 13 of 17 1 of 1 11 of 37 9 of 13 26 of 35
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alan Patrick 7 of 28 25% 3 of 22 4 of 6 0 of 0 4 of 25 3 of 3 0 of 0
Mason Jones 38 of 71 53% 28 of 58 10 of 13 0 of 0 10 of 32 8 of 12 20 of 27
2 Alan Patrick 3 of 4 75% 2 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mason Jones 8 of 14 57% 4 of 9 3 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 5 1 of 1 6 of 8
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Big Brady is very confident in Mason Jones, calling him the biggest favorite on the card for a reason. He notes Jones is well-rounded with great striking and a black belt in BJJ, while Patrick is 37, has poor striking defense, and gets wobbled by every shot. He believes Jones will win the striking exchanges by a mile and predicts a knockout, as Patrick's chin is not there.

"i'll take jones by knockout biggest favorite on the card for a reason"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Cody picks Jones confidently, noting his durability and improvement. He thinks Jones will stop Patrick's takedowns and win on the feet. Cody sees Jones as one of the safer favorites on the card.

"jones is gonna be top ticket so keep an eye out for that"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Daniel picks Mason Jones to finish the fight, likely by body shot knockout in the second or third round. He notes that Alan Patrick is almost 40, has slowed down, and his athleticism has diminished. Daniel points out that Patrick's takedown defense and get-up game have declined, and he cannot keep up with Jones's pace. He praises Jones's volume, calf kicks, and durability, and believes Jones will overwhelm Patrick and eventually land a fight-ending body shot.

"i'm going to say second or third round body shot knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Mason Jones

Patrick is one-dimensional and relies on takedowns, but Jones has good takedown defense and get-up ability. Jones has power and will finish Patrick, likely by TKO.

Jones by KO +100, Jones inside distance -110, under 2.5 rounds -115
"I'd actually like mason jones to win inside the distance here probably even by ko"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Paul picks Jones confidently, citing his youth, momentum, and well-rounded skills. He notes Patrick's one-dimensional wrestling and inability to get takedowns against better competition. Paul thinks Jones will stuff takedowns and win on the feet. He sees Jones as a safe parlay piece.

"i don't see a world where alan patrick wins"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 30, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The Guru picks Mason Jones, believing Alan Patrick is past his prime and lacks cardio. He thinks Jones is younger, hungrier, and better in all areas, with good jiu-jitsu to neutralize Patrick's grappling. He predicts a third-round TKO via knees against the cage after Patrick fades, though he notes risky moments early where Patrick might get a takedown.

TKO round 3, knees against cage
"i think mason jones goes out there gets it done good uh cardio i think you'll win 29-28 i think there's going to be some risky moments in round one i actually might call a third round tko for mason …"
LOSS vs King Green
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Sep 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 0 61 of 95 64% 109 of 149 4 of 6 66% 0 0 7:31
Alan Patrick 0 19 of 69 27% 38 of 89 1 of 6 16% 0 0 1:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 16 of 20 80% 35 of 41 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:52
Alan Patrick 0 2 of 4 50% 8 of 10 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:50
2 King Green 0 15 of 28 53% 32 of 46 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:03
Alan Patrick 0 8 of 30 26% 20 of 43 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:26
3 King Green 0 30 of 47 63% 42 of 62 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:36
Alan Patrick 0 9 of 35 25% 10 of 36 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:27
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 61 of 95 64% 41 of 74 18 of 19 2 of 2 35 of 63 17 of 18 9 of 14
Alan Patrick 19 of 69 27% 8 of 50 7 of 15 4 of 4 18 of 68 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 16 of 20 80% 6 of 10 10 of 10 0 of 0 2 of 2 10 of 10 4 of 8
Alan Patrick 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 King Green 15 of 28 53% 13 of 25 2 of 3 0 of 0 9 of 20 2 of 3 4 of 5
Alan Patrick 8 of 30 26% 2 of 20 2 of 6 4 of 4 8 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 King Green 30 of 47 63% 22 of 39 6 of 6 2 of 2 24 of 41 5 of 5 1 of 1
Alan Patrick 9 of 35 25% 5 of 27 4 of 8 0 of 0 9 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Big Brady picks King Green, believing this is a winnable fight for him. He notes Green has a huge advantage on the feet and decent takedown defense and get-up game. He is fairly confident but acknowledges Green tends to lose close decisions. He predicts Green by decision, as Patrick has never lost by decision.

potential parley piece
"I actually do like this believe it or not as a potential parley piece minus 255 i think that's a fair line"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 11, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Alan Patrick

The host likes Patrick's grinding style and believes he can push Green against the cage and secure takedowns, but is hesitant due to Patrick's two-year layoff. He thinks the line is too wide on Green and would prefer Green at -150, but ultimately picks Patrick by decision while staying away from betting the fight.

Patrick by decision; line too wide on Green
"I'm gonna take patrick to win this fight via decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2020 (5 days before fight)
King Green

The MMA Guru picks Bobby Green (King Green) due to his excellent takedown defense and superior striking. He notes that Alan Patrick has a good ground game but hasn't fought since 2018 and has had multiple cancellations, while Green has been active and looked great against Lando Vannata. He expects Green to stuff takedowns, jab Patrick's face, and win a competitive unanimous decision.

"bobby green's gonna get the job done in my opinion ali adam patrick's very good fighter very good ground game takes a lot of guys to ground that's his main weapon is to take guys down bobby green's got absolutely …"
LOSS vs Scott Holtzman
KO (elbows) R3 3:42 · UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · Oct 06, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Scott Holtzman 1 73 of 111 65% 96 of 138 1 of 2 50% 0 0 5:33
Alan Patrick 0 25 of 62 40% 27 of 65 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Scott Holtzman 0 19 of 34 55% 20 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:13
Alan Patrick 0 11 of 25 44% 12 of 26 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Scott Holtzman 0 23 of 35 65% 34 of 48 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:13
Alan Patrick 0 11 of 25 44% 12 of 26 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:13
3 Scott Holtzman 1 31 of 42 73% 42 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:07
Alan Patrick 0 3 of 12 25% 3 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Scott Holtzman 73 of 111 65% 55 of 91 8 of 10 10 of 10 27 of 56 6 of 6 40 of 49
Alan Patrick 25 of 62 40% 16 of 45 8 of 14 1 of 3 22 of 58 3 of 3 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Scott Holtzman 19 of 34 55% 10 of 25 4 of 4 5 of 5 13 of 26 1 of 1 5 of 7
Alan Patrick 11 of 25 44% 5 of 15 5 of 7 1 of 3 9 of 22 2 of 2 0 of 1
2 Scott Holtzman 23 of 35 65% 16 of 26 3 of 5 4 of 4 9 of 18 5 of 5 9 of 12
Alan Patrick 11 of 25 44% 8 of 19 3 of 6 0 of 0 10 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Scott Holtzman 31 of 42 73% 29 of 40 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 12 0 of 0 26 of 30
Alan Patrick 3 of 12 25% 3 of 11 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (30–25, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · Feb 03, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alan Patrick 0 28 of 45 62% 91 of 129 9 of 15 60% 0 0 12:29
Damir Hadžović 0 20 of 25 80% 67 of 81 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alan Patrick 0 17 of 22 77% 45 of 65 6 of 9 66% 0 0 3:33
Damir Hadžović 0 12 of 14 85% 24 of 27 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:48
2 Alan Patrick 0 5 of 12 41% 26 of 39 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:41
Damir Hadžović 0 1 of 2 50% 27 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Alan Patrick 0 6 of 11 54% 20 of 25 2 of 4 50% 0 0 4:15
Damir Hadžović 0 7 of 9 77% 16 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alan Patrick 28 of 45 62% 20 of 35 5 of 7 3 of 3 8 of 18 3 of 4 17 of 23
Damir Hadžović 20 of 25 80% 5 of 8 15 of 17 0 of 0 6 of 9 11 of 12 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alan Patrick 17 of 22 77% 14 of 18 2 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 4 2 of 3 12 of 15
Damir Hadžović 12 of 14 85% 4 of 6 8 of 8 0 of 0 2 of 2 7 of 8 3 of 4
2 Alan Patrick 5 of 12 41% 4 of 10 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 8 0 of 0 3 of 4
Damir Hadžović 1 of 2 50% 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alan Patrick 6 of 11 54% 2 of 7 3 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 6 1 of 1 2 of 4
Damir Hadžović 7 of 9 77% 1 of 2 6 of 7 0 of 0 3 of 5 4 of 4 0 of 0
WIN vs Stevie Ray
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · Sep 24, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alan Patrick 0 7 of 12 58% 60 of 75 5 of 8 62% 1 0 12:12
Stevie Ray 0 2 of 9 22% 56 of 65 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alan Patrick 0 2 of 4 50% 12 of 16 3 of 5 60% 0 0 4:29
Stevie Ray 0 1 of 1 100% 17 of 17 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:19
2 Alan Patrick 0 3 of 4 75% 18 of 24 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:22
Stevie Ray 0 0 of 5 0% 27 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
3 Alan Patrick 0 2 of 4 50% 30 of 35 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:21
Stevie Ray 0 1 of 3 33% 12 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alan Patrick 7 of 12 58% 7 of 11 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 0 4 of 6
Stevie Ray 2 of 9 22% 2 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 7 0 of 0 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alan Patrick 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 3
Stevie Ray 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Alan Patrick 3 of 4 75% 3 of 3 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1
Stevie Ray 0 of 5 0% 0 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alan Patrick 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2
Stevie Ray 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
WIN vs Damien Brown
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Mir · Mar 20, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alan Patrick 0 25 of 39 64% 117 of 147 5 of 7 71% 1 0 12:24
Damien Brown 0 15 of 25 60% 51 of 64 1 of 3 33% 1 0 0:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alan Patrick 0 8 of 13 61% 37 of 45 2 of 2 100% 1 0 3:26
Damien Brown 0 8 of 12 66% 19 of 24 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:37
2 Alan Patrick 0 10 of 18 55% 61 of 81 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:50
Damien Brown 0 3 of 6 50% 28 of 33 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
3 Alan Patrick 0 7 of 8 87% 19 of 21 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:08
Damien Brown 0 4 of 7 57% 4 of 7 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alan Patrick 25 of 39 64% 23 of 36 1 of 2 1 of 1 7 of 12 0 of 0 18 of 27
Damien Brown 15 of 25 60% 13 of 21 2 of 3 0 of 1 6 of 11 1 of 2 8 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alan Patrick 8 of 13 61% 7 of 11 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 7 0 of 0 4 of 6
Damien Brown 8 of 12 66% 7 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 7
2 Alan Patrick 10 of 18 55% 9 of 17 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 16
Damien Brown 3 of 6 50% 3 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 3 of 5
3 Alan Patrick 7 of 8 87% 7 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 5
Damien Brown 4 of 7 57% 3 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 1 3 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
TKO (head kick and punches) R2 1:30 · UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs. Penne · Jun 20, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mairbek Taisumov 1 23 of 43 53% 24 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Alan Patrick 0 17 of 38 44% 17 of 38 0 of 7 0% 0 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mairbek Taisumov 0 10 of 21 47% 11 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Alan Patrick 0 14 of 27 51% 14 of 27 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:23
2 Mairbek Taisumov 1 13 of 22 59% 13 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Alan Patrick 0 3 of 11 27% 3 of 11 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mairbek Taisumov 23 of 43 53% 15 of 34 7 of 8 1 of 1 14 of 29 1 of 1 8 of 13
Alan Patrick 17 of 38 44% 5 of 24 8 of 10 4 of 4 15 of 35 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mairbek Taisumov 10 of 21 47% 5 of 15 5 of 6 0 of 0 9 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
Alan Patrick 14 of 27 51% 4 of 15 7 of 9 3 of 3 13 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Mairbek Taisumov 13 of 22 59% 10 of 19 2 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 9 0 of 0 8 of 13
Alan Patrick 3 of 11 27% 1 of 9 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 9 1 of 2 0 of 0