King Green

16-12-1
Record
Age / DOB 39
(Sep 09, 1986)
Height 5' 10"
Weight 155 lbs.
Reach 71.0"
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages
6.38 Sig. Strikes / Min
53.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
3.58 Absorbed / Min
62.0% Strike Defense
1.31 TD Avg / 15 min
42.0% TD Accuracy
72.0% TD Defense
0.3 Sub. / Fight
Win Methods (16)
KO/TKO 4
Submission 3
Decision 9
Loss Methods (12)
KO/TKO 5
Submission 1
Decision 6

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
UFC 328
May 09, 2026
Submission R1 4:20
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 0 57 of 87 65% 64 of 95 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:34
Jeremy Stephens 0 5 of 13 38% 7 of 15 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 57 of 87 65% 64 of 95 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:34
Jeremy Stephens 0 5 of 13 38% 7 of 15 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 57 of 87 65% 44 of 69 9 of 14 4 of 4 22 of 41 0 of 0 35 of 46
Jeremy Stephens 5 of 13 38% 3 of 10 0 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 57 of 87 65% 44 of 69 9 of 14 4 of 4 22 of 41 0 of 0 35 of 46
Jeremy Stephens 5 of 13 38% 3 of 10 0 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
King Green vs. Jeremy Stephens (160: Missed Weight)
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Green (-340), Stephens (+270)

Round 1
They may have nothing in common, but Green (34-17-1, 1 NC; 15-12-1, 1 NC UFC) and Stephens (29-22, 1 NC; 15-19, 1 NC UFC) are both grizzled, battle-tested veterans—not the type who would be saving Private Ryan, mind you, but gladiators who have faced a veritable who’s who in the sport over the years. Both men celebrate exactly 15 wins inside of the Octagon, and they would very much like one more. Referee Gary Copeland will supervise the proceedings of this catchweight affair, one outside of standard weight classes because Stephens biffed weight by four pounds. He gives up 30% of his purse to Green but no glove touch.
Green’s hands are down the moment the fight begins, and he already is chattering at Stephens trying to encourage him to come in at him. Green points at Stephens after Stephens whiffs. He sneaks in a right hand, and he circles to the side towards Stephens’ power side. Green takes a punch off the forehead and pauses, but it does not take long for him to get going again. Stephens misses by a mile with a haymaker, and Green is comfortable hanging out in boxing range. Stephens kicks his for in the front leg, and Green kicks him in the side and gets clinched. Stephens drills Green with a right hand on the break, and Green signals that it did not land flush. Green stabs a kick to the liver, and he pump-fakes his way in to draw reactions. Green staggers Stephens with a left hand, and he knows it and rifles off three more fists in a hurry. Green winds up with a body kick, but it smashes into Stephens’ groin. Stephens grimaces and Copeland calls time. Stephens looks to work out the pain, and Green immediately goes to apologize. Copeland issues a hard warning to Green, and Stephens is good to go after about 80 seconds. Green again apologizes, and Stephens is good with it as they resume. Stephens stalks Green down, and Green’s hands remain down while he is chirping at him. Green lands a right hand and a kick to the body, and he points at Stephens’ stomach and leaps at him to hit a quick double and put Stephens on his back.
Green starts bombing on Stephens when on top, unleashing a long stream of punches and elbows while sitting on his leg in a quasi-half guard. Green keeps thumping up Stephens with his free left hand, and Stephens doubles up his wrist control on Green’s left arm for a straight armlock or kimura. He twists it to become a kimura to go for a sweep, and Green fights it off and steps into mount to batter Stephens with ground-and-pound.
Green transitions into a rear-naked choke in the blink of an eye when Stephens turns, and he rolls to the back to lock it down. Green only has one hook in as he wrenches on the submission, but it is so complete that he does not need the other. Stephens briefly considers going out on his shield but that would be silly. Stephens gives up
, and it is not so much a train that ran him over as it is the Polar Express, with this one-sided shellacking ending with a mean choke. Falling short again, Stephens removes his gloves and may have left him in the center of the Octagon to say farewell to the sport. It is hard to tell with the promotion wholly focused on the triumphant Green.

The Official Result
King Green def. Jeremy Stephens R1 4:20 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Expert Picks (14)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Angelo picks King Green, noting he is the better overall fighter and has shown wrestling in his last fight. He acknowledges concerns about the judges not liking his style and that Jeremy Stephens is always dangerous, but believes Green wins the majority of the time.

"I'm picking Bobby Green here or King Green. He's the better overall fighter."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 3, 2026 (6 days before fight)
King Green

Angelo picks King Green, stating he is the better striker and can shoot takedowns if needed. He notes Green's volume and defense, and that Stephens is tough but can be taken down. He is surprised by the 3-to-1 odds and thinks they are too wide for a 39-year-old. He says he will probably leave the bet alone.

Angelo says he does not like the odds and will probably leave it alone.
"Bobby being a three to one favorite here is a little bit surprising. I'm going to pick him. I think he does win this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Big Brady picks King Green, though he admits he can't lay the -325 odds. He notes Green has looked good recently, while Stephens hasn't won in years and looks done. Brady expects Green to outpoint Stephens, mixing in wrestling if needed, and win a decision. He acknowledges Stephens could knock Green out, but considers that a hot take.

"For me it's Green and I think it's Green probably by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Cody picks Green, citing his superior skills and Stephens' decline. He notes Green's volume and movement, and thinks Stephens is past his prime and not a threat. Cody expects Green to win by decision or submission, but is wary of the minus 400 price.

Green by submission (10 to 1)
"I got Bobby Green. That much is for sure. But yeah, at minus 400, you got Bobby Green is a little bit older."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 7, 2026 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Connor picks Green, agreeing with Zane. He notes Green is slicker on the feet with better footwork, though his reaction times have slowed. Connor points out that Stephens' recent KO losses are to real sluggers, and Green is not that. He expects Green to make Stephens chase and overthrow, and use takedowns to slow him down.

Odds: Green opened -200, now -375; Stephens opened +170, now +310.
"I like it as a matchup. I like Bobby Green getting a chance to shine again."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
King Green

Daniel picks Green, citing his slick striking, speed, and ability to mix in takedowns. He notes Stephens' knockout power but believes Green is too slick and will avoid getting caught. Daniel expects Green to win via output or submission.

"I'm going Bobby Green to beat Jeremy Stevens."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
No clear pick

The host passes on this fight. He favors Green but considers the odds too wide (1.30). He notes Green's inconsistency and poor fight IQ, and Stephens' power. He mentions the +3.5 fight spread on Stephens as interesting but decides to keep money safe.

No bet. Mentions Stephens +3.5 fight spread as interesting but passes.
"I'm going to be passing on this one because I do think Bobby Green is more likely to win and I don't like Stevens enough in this matchup to take a shot on him at underdog odds."
FI
FightingPost AI Expert Confident picked May 9, 2026 (fight day)
King Green

Predicted method: Decision. Green is the younger, more active fighter with superior striking volume (6.38 SLpM) and accuracy (53%) compared to Stephens, who is 38 and has lost four straight. Stephens has power but is hittable (3.14 SApM) and has poor takedown defense (62%). Green's 72% takedown defense should keep the fight standing, where he can outwork Stephens with combinations and movement. Stephens' only path is an early KO, but Green's durability and pace should carry him to a clear decision or late stoppage.

Green by decision +120
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Jacob is confident in King Green, citing that Jeremy Stephens is 1-8 in his last nine fights and hasn't had a knockout since 2018. He believes Green's wrestling and smarter fighting style will be too much, and that Stephens looked clueless on the ground against Mason Jones.

"I like King Green in this fight. People are going to say like, 'Oh, he could get knocked out and stuff.' And yeah, anybody can get knocked out."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked May 3, 2026 (6 days before fight)
King Green

Lucrative James confidently picks King Green because he sees Jeremy Stephens as a knockout-or-bust fighter who is 1-8 in his last nine MMA fights. He believes Green's boxing and volume will overwhelm Stephens, who lacks the cardio and durability to win a decision. He predicts Green wins by decision, noting Stephens' toughness but inability to keep up with Green's pace.

"I'm definitely taking Bobby Green to get the win. Decision is my prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 5, 2026 (4 days before fight)
King Green

The host picks Green, citing his striking clinic and ability to outbox Stephens. He notes that Stephens lost a boxing match to Chris Avila, which indicates Green should dominate on the feet. He expects Green to win by decision, though he acknowledges Stephens' power and chin. He may look at the decision prop.

Decision prop for Green
"I think Green outstrikes uh Stevens here, wins this fight on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Paul picks Green, citing his technical striking and Stephens' lack of recent success. He thinks Green's volume and movement will overwhelm Stephens, who is fighting for a payday. Paul expects Green to win by decision.

"I got Bobby Green winning. Probably by decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2026 (2 days before fight)
King Green

The MMA Guru picks Bobby Green, expecting him to pick apart Jeremy Stephens with boxing. He notes Green's recent wins over Daniel Zellhuber and close fight with Fiziev. He thinks Stephens is past his prime and Green will mix in takedowns. He predicts a decision win, though he initially says TKO then corrects to decision.

"I'm going to go with Bobby Bobbert Baratheon Green over Jeremy Stevens by TKO in the second or Nah. Decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 7, 2026 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Zane picks Green confidently, citing his speed, length, and footwork advantage over the older Stephens. He notes Stephens has lost his kicking and wrestling, and is no longer a knockout artist. Zane believes Green can use reactive takedowns like against Zell Hoover to neutralize Stephens. He sees it as a slow-down version of Green's win over Nasrud Hockbrost.

Odds: Green opened -200, now -375; Stephens opened +170, now +310.
"I like it as a matchup. I like Bobby Green getting a chance to shine again."
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Zellhuber 0 17 of 78 21% 17 of 78 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
King Green 1 86 of 134 64% 100 of 148 3 of 3 100% 0 0 2:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Zellhuber 0 11 of 46 23% 11 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
King Green 0 41 of 64 64% 41 of 64 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:04
2 Daniel Zellhuber 0 6 of 32 18% 6 of 32 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
King Green 1 45 of 70 64% 59 of 84 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Zellhuber 17 of 78 21% 7 of 59 4 of 10 6 of 9 17 of 77 0 of 1 0 of 0
King Green 86 of 134 64% 39 of 72 21 of 29 26 of 33 71 of 119 5 of 5 10 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Zellhuber 11 of 46 23% 3 of 32 3 of 7 5 of 7 11 of 45 0 of 1 0 of 0
King Green 41 of 64 64% 10 of 23 15 of 19 16 of 22 36 of 59 5 of 5 0 of 0
2 Daniel Zellhuber 6 of 32 18% 4 of 27 1 of 3 1 of 2 6 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
King Green 45 of 70 64% 29 of 49 6 of 10 10 of 11 35 of 60 0 of 0 10 of 10
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bobby Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Zellhuber (-500); Green (+375)

Round 1
“Golden Boy” Zellhuber (15-3, 3-3 UFC) has appeared a bit gold-plated as of late with two straight losses on his ledger. He will be 13 years the younger of grizzled veteran Green (33-17-1, 1 NC; 14-12-1, 1 NC UFC), who never shies away from a firefight. Before they bang it out, referee Herb Dean clocks them in and the lightweights do not tap gloves together as Green has his mean mug in full display.
Green, hands down by his side as is his custom, swats away Zellhuber’s reaching lead hand a few times. Green steps back as Zellhuber lunges with an overhand right, and the Mexican stumbles, Green catches him, resets and times a takedown to put the two on the mat. Zellhuber spins around as the two wind back up on their feet, where Green starts chattering at him. Zellhuber backs Green to the fence but walks into a straight left hand, and Green follows with a one-two before Zellhuber can get to him. Zellhuber kicks his lead leg, and Green says, “please sir, may I have another.” We’re paraphrasing, but you get the gist. Green keeps goading Zellhuber on, and Zellhuber sells out for a few swings and ends up getting taken down again. Zellhuber once more turns about to escape the ground game and works back to his feet, and once more Green pounds him in the face with a power jab.
Green’s alternating stances and awkward footwork make Zellhuber struggle, and when he lets off offense, he lands it fairly often. Zellhuber is not sure how to proceed, winging a huge right hand in hopes of knocking Green out with one blow, but he does not land it. Green dings him with two punches and slips the counters, brushing off his shoulder mockingly. Zellhuber swings at him, and Green retreats and laughs at him. Zellhuber keeps giving chase, walking into a barrage of punches from “King” and landing some of his own. Green shakes his head and no-sells anything, signaling that nothing has landed flush on him, and he suddenly spins with a back kick that bangs into the shoulder. Green reaches out and slaps the younger man in the face, and Zellhuber answers by kicking him in the face. Zellhuber rips a left to the body, and Green doubles over and has to regain his poker face. Green gets back into his element, grooving back and forth and jamming Zellhuber up with short punches and a hard low kick. He stands before a motionless Zellhuber until the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Green
Christian Stein scores the round: 10-9 Green
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Green

Round 2
Zellhuber starts off the round aggressively, and Green’s head movement and footwork protect him from anything overtly harmful. Green shrugs off the big swings and uses Zellhuber’s offense against him, tackling the Mexican to the floor. Zellhuber wraps up his right leg around Green’s neck to set up an extremely rare and fairly new buggy choke, and Dean checks on Green a few times to make sure he’s still fine. Green gives a thumbs-up and briefly frees his neck from the clutch of Zellhuber’s right arm cinched with his right leg—look it up, because it’s not easy to describe setting up—but Zellhuber commits to it again. Green slowly, methodically wriggles his neck out of danger, and he pops back to his feet. Zellhuber hurries back after him, and Green wants to take him back down.
Zellhuber stops the effort this time, so Green pushes out front kicks and slugs his man in the face with a hard right hand. Green laughs off what flies his way and fires back heavy left hands, and he mixes in obnoxious kicks to the front leg that partially hyperextend the lead knee. Zellhuber has a left hand skim the top of Green’s head, and Green shakes his head and keeps doing his thing. Green does not swing for the fences with his strikes, and Zellhuber’s volume is low while he still tries to figure out a way in. Green hits any target that is open, including the temple, where he clubs Zellhuber and wobbles him. Zellhuber stumbles back on baby der legs, but he manages to get his footing while Green largely showboats in front of him.
Green wings two hooks that bounce off the nose that is now leaking, and he nails “Golden Boy” with a flush salvo of fiery fists. Zellhuber goes out and is snapped back online, and he hits the ground and is in a bad way. Green does not let him off the hook and proceeds to violently batter him on the sides of the head. As “King” continues his final bombardment, Dean saves the Mexican fighter from his own toughness and waves the fight off.
As if he knew he was going to do that the whole time, Green walks off, cool as a cucumber, and has words with the closest camera. At the age of 39, “King” Green can still put on performances like that, dropping Zellhuber’s UFC record below .500 with a vintage knockout.

The Official Result
Bobby Green def. Daniel Zellhuber R2 4:55 via TKO (Punches)
Expert Picks (11)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Angelo hesitantly picks Daniel Zellhuber despite his recent poor performance against Michael Johnson. He reasons that Zellhuber cannot possibly 'do nothing' two fights in a row, especially in Mexico. He also notes that King Green (Bobby Green) sometimes is not serious enough and may not score well with Mexican judges. He acknowledges the risk but believes Zellhuber's Mexican spirit and Green's showboating could lead to a Zellhuber win.

"I'm going to pick Zel Huber here because literally ... sometimes Bobby Green is not serious enough and he's too busy dancing around and showboating."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Big Brady picks Daniel Zellhuber but with strong hesitation, calling him the biggest 'ball dropper' in the UFC after losing as a heavy favorite twice. He notes Zellhuber should win against King Green, who struggled against Lance Gibson Jr., but is wary of another poor performance. He predicts a second-round knockout if Zellhuber shows up.

second round knockout
"So, give me Zel Huber minus 500. ... Zel Huber by second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Cody strongly fades Zellhuber at -500, pointing out his recent losses and lack of finishing ability. He believes Green's pressure and durability will cause problems, and that Zellhuber's jab won't be enough. He recommends betting Green or passing.

"I'm out on that. So, uh, yeah, it's either a dog or pass here."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Connor agrees with Zane, but notes that Zellhuber could still lose if he has a slow start and lets Green get comfortable. He points out that Green is crafty and can throw off any fighter with his unorthodox style. However, Connor believes Green's inability to handle fast range strikers and his age make Zellhuber the clear pick.

Green's craftiness; Zellhuber's slow starts; Green's losses to fast strikers
"But I can't pick Bobby green to win any fight anymore."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2024 (739 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Daniel picks Daniel Zellhuber, praising his size, reach, sharp hands, and takedown defense. He notes Zellhuber's chin and recovery, and believes he will outrange Prado and avoid ground-and-pound. He sees Zellhuber as a future top-15 fighter, while Prado is still unproven at this level.

"I'm going Daniel Z Huber here"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2026 (fight day)
Daniel Zellhuber

The host is very confident in Zellhuber, calling him the safest bet on the card. He cites Zellhuber's youth (26 vs 39), massive reach advantage (6 inches), home advantage in Mexico City, and Green's lack of finishing ability. Green is a volume striker who is old and smaller, and will likely be outworked. The host plans to parlay Zellhuber with Moreno.

Parlaying him with Brandon Moreno.
"I think he's the safest bet on the card. I think he wins a very high percentage of the time. ... I'd be amazed if Zel Huba loses this."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

James expects Zellhuber to rebound from his loss to Michael Johnson, citing Green's less dangerous boxing style. He believes Zellhuber's kicks, durability, and aggression will overwhelm Green, leading to a finish. James predicts Zellhuber wins inside the distance.

"I got Daniel Zel Huba to win this fight and semi redeem himself... Daniel Zel Huba inside the distance is my official prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Feb 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

The host picks Daniel Zellhuber but is hesitant due to the -500 price and Zellhuber's recent losses. He notes Zellhuber's height and reach advantages and believes he can land the better strikes. However, he warns that Green is an educated striker and that Zellhuber's striking defense is suspect. He prefers the KO prop over the moneyline.

KO prop
"I'm still going to go with the Mexican here to show out in front of a hometown crowd and give me a Huber by knockout, but minus 500 is just way too wide."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Paul is leaning towards Green at +375, citing Zellhuber's inconsistency and lack of power. He notes Green's forward pressure and durability, and believes the price is too high on Zellhuber. He hasn't bet yet but is close to clicking Green.

"I know I'm a lot closer to click kick uh clicking green plus 375 than considering Zel Huber a safe minus500 parlay piece."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2026 (fight day)
Daniel Zellhuber

The MMA Guru picks Daniel Zellhuber, citing Bobby Green's struggles against taller opponents and his habit of fighting with his hands down. He notes that Green had trouble with Lance Gibson Jr. and was destroyed by Jalin Turner. He predicts Zellhuber will TKO Green, as Green is open to shots and Zellhuber is a big favorite.

TKO
"I think Zelhuber's going to TKO him. ... I'm going to go with Daniel Zelhuber getting this one done by TKO over a Green pretty confidently."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Zane picks Zellhuber because Bobby Green is clearly past his prime at 39 and has lost his speed and defensive instincts. He notes that Green's style relies on head movement and baiting, which no longer works against younger fighters. Zellhuber has problems with discipline and can lose rounds, but Green's decline is too severe to pick him.

Green's age (39); Green's losses to Pimblett and Turner; Zellhuber's inconsistency; odds too wide
"I have to pick him. Oh yeah. Absolutely. Like I just, I don't think green, like he should not be fighting at this level anymore."
Decision R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 0 65 of 141 46% 74 of 150 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:44
Lance Gibson 0 30 of 72 41% 35 of 77 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 22 of 51 43% 22 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Lance Gibson 0 12 of 35 34% 12 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 King Green 0 15 of 37 40% 19 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Lance Gibson 0 13 of 25 52% 18 of 30 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:04
3 King Green 0 28 of 53 52% 33 of 58 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:44
Lance Gibson 0 5 of 12 41% 5 of 12 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 65 of 141 46% 25 of 77 24 of 40 16 of 24 56 of 129 1 of 1 8 of 11
Lance Gibson 30 of 72 41% 9 of 39 8 of 14 13 of 19 27 of 66 3 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 22 of 51 43% 8 of 26 5 of 14 9 of 11 21 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 0
Lance Gibson 12 of 35 34% 4 of 22 2 of 4 6 of 9 11 of 32 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 King Green 15 of 37 40% 5 of 22 6 of 8 4 of 7 15 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Lance Gibson 13 of 25 52% 4 of 11 3 of 6 6 of 8 11 of 22 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 King Green 28 of 53 52% 12 of 29 13 of 18 3 of 6 20 of 42 0 of 0 8 of 11
Lance Gibson 5 of 12 41% 1 of 6 3 of 4 1 of 2 5 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Lance Gibson Jr. vs. Bobby Green
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Green (-210); Gibson Jr. (+170)

Round 1
In an unexpected catchweight delight, “King” Green (32-17-1, 1 NC; 13-12-1, 1 NC UFC) will sneak in his second fight of 2025 right before the buzzer. He takes this match at a 160-pound catchweight likely due to it being put together about a week ago. Matching up in the cage will be Bellator expat Gibson Jr. (9-1, 0-0 UFC)—for the purposes of this play-by-play, his “junior” name suffix will be omitted—who will be competing for the first time in over a year. It should be noted that Gibson now completes the third father-son duo to both compete in the Octagon, joining Randy and Ryan Couture as well as Gilbert and Elijah Smith. Accompanying the athletes in the Octagon will be referee Mark Smith, who watches on as the two elect not to touch gloves.
Green walks the newcomer down flexing his pectorals, hands down by his hips. Gibson lands first with a thudding calf kick, and Green stares at him like a disappointed father. Gibson fires off kicks at his opponent, and Green showboats and wipes off his shoulder to suggest nothing landed. Green gets off a body kick, and Gibson has another high kick blocked in the nick of time. Green stays evasive and starts motioning like he is dribbling a basketball and otherwise goofing around in the midst of a fist fight. This makes Gibson back off, so Green points at the ground and says, “come here!” Gibson obliges, rushing at him for a possible clinch, but Green slides to the side to stay in striking range. The American jabs the body with his foot, and he stomp kicks at the knee to hyperextend Gibson’s lead leg.
Green’s hands remain as low as they can go, and he connects with a body kick and is well out of range before Gibson can get him back with anything but his own kick to the ribs. Green slips to score a right hand, and Gibson cracks him with a left that stands Green up. Green tries to play it off like he is fine, and Gibson picks up on the tell and charges him. Green shakes it off and starts getting in Gibson’s head again, chattering at him and telling him to come at him. Green walks Gibson around the cage, and Gibson pitches a kick at him that Green catches. Green slips in a short left hand and splits the guard with a front kick, and he has Gibson flustered with his approach. Green ducks down to land a right hand, and Gibson buzzes him behind the ear. Green tells to keep throwing with him, and Gibson looks for knees instead and a possible clinch. Green shakes his head, dodges a few punches and salutes. The strange round ends, and scores could go either way.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Green
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Green
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Green

Round 2
Green wades out of his corner fearlessly, hands characteristically by his hips, and he uses head movement and footwork to avoid the early offense coming his direction. He gets in close to force Gibson off-balance from a front kick, and Green’s overhand right knocks Gibson to the floor. Gibson leaps back up and hurls a left hand at him, Green dodges and goes “woo,” and he proceeds to mess with Gibson while tossing one-twos at him. Gibson tosses out a low kick, and Green’s front kick response ricochets off the cup. Smith calls time, and Green starts clapping and saying “we gotta get this thing going” as if to hurry Gibson back to combat. The Canadian keeps ignoring him, so Green apologizes to Gibson’s father for the accidental foul. Smith warns Green to avoid kicking the low body, because it is the second kick he has gotten away with there. Gibson marches back and forth adjusting his cup, and Green is hanging out waiting for the recovery time to elapse and talking to anyone without earshot who bothers listening. The roughly two-minute break concludes with a clap of hands from the two fighters. When they resume, Green aims a side kick to the chest, and he wraps a kick around the guard. Gibson rushes him and throws a high kick to open up a level change, and he puts “King” on the floor and advances to side control in a hurry. Gibson clings with his right arm around the back of Green’s head, until Green scrambles to get back to his feet. Gibson holds him from behind in hopes of a mat return.
Gibson knees him in the chin and stomps at his toes, staying up close in the clinch to not give Green any space. Green nearly grabs the fence a few times, and Gibson drops down for a single. Green recovers his footing and pushes off Gibson’s face, and he mean mugs him while walking him down. A jab from Gibson opens a tiny cut on Green’s right cheek, one he ignores as he lumbers forward pitching long punches at him. Gibson sits down on a strong right hand, and Green partially rolls with it and offers back a body kick while Gibson is strafing to the side. They clash low kicks, and Green scores a left hand and points at his foe. Gibson throws back only to be well out of range, while Green can get to him with a long front kick to the sternum. Green clips his man with two crisp punches, and he looks for a hook third but is caught on the way in with a solid inside low kick that stumbles him. Green gathers his thoughts and puts on his poker face to start bombing Gibson with a barrage of punches. Gibson barely misses a spin right before the bell, and Green wipes his brow in a sign of relief that he did not get tagged with it. The round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Green
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Gibson
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Gibson

Round 3
Like the previous rounds, Green is not remotely concerned about what comes his direction, even though Gibson landed flush on him a few times towards the end of the round. Gibson keeps his back to the fence, and Green further drives him back with a push kick to the solar plexus. Green aims a low kick and misses on his other, flashier kicks. Gibson reaches out with his own kick, and Green no-sells it. Green lands a couple more front kicks while Gibson is still processing, and he blocks a high kick and points to his arm as if to tell someone watching—like a judge—that it hit him on the arm. Green’s trash talk starts to get louder, and he starts to get a bit more amped up. Gibson stays on his bike, timing a kick from Green to shoot for a takedown. He takes Green to his seat, but Green pushes off and scampers back up within seconds.
Green goes for a right to the ribs, and he scores another right over the top in rapid succession. Gibson’s offense is limited to single strikes, like a huge right hand that Green barely dodges in time. Green strings together a number of punches ending with a solid left, and he starts to walk Gibson down doing the typical Diaz brother strut. Gibson narrowly avoids a one-two, but a second lands on his nose. He has a kick caught, and Green throws him to the wall and then surprises the Canadian by completing a sudden takedown. Green moves himself to north-south position and starts unleashing heavy right hands to the body, and Gibson is warned repeatedly for hooking his toes in the fence links. Smith has to slap at them a few times, all while Green is hammering “Fearless” with concussive hammerfists. The oddball fight ends with Green letting Gibson have it.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Green (30-27 Green)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Green (29-28 Green)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Green (29-28 Green)

The Official Result
Bobby Green def. Lance Gibson Jr. via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Expert Picks (2)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Cody picks Green, citing his experience and superior striking. He notes Gibson's lack of activity and short notice, and expects Green to keep the fight standing and outwork Gibson as he fades in later rounds. He sees a live betting opportunity.

"I'll take King Bobby Green."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Paul also picks Green, emphasizing the step down in competition for Green. He thinks Gibson's grappling threat is neutralized by Green's takedown defense and that Green's striking will be too much. He recommends waiting for a better price.

"Bobby Green's side for me, too."
Expert Picks (3)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 10, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Carlos Diego Ferreira

Angelo sees Ferreira as more dangerous and durable at this point, with more ways to win. He notes Green is a cleaner striker but Ferreira has power and BJJ. He is surprised Ferreira is almost a 2-to-1 favorite, as the fight feels closer on paper. He picks Ferreira but is not sure what to do with betting, possibly looking at the over 1.5 rounds.

Maybe over 1.5 rounds
"Diego is going to be the pick. He's a little bit older, but he's durable, he's dangerous, and he has more ways to win this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Carlos Diego Ferreira

Big Brady picks Diego Ferreira to win by first-round knockout. He is very worried about King Green's decline, citing the brutal Jalin Turner stoppage, his age (38), and poor recent performances. He notes Green has taken a lot of damage and doesn't look the same. In contrast, Ferreira is older but has less tread on the tires, barely fights, and still performs at a high level. He mentions Ferreira's power, citing knockouts of Michael Johnson and Mateusz Rębecki, and thinks he can finish Green by any method.

Ferreira by KO, round 1
"Give me FRA here. And I'm going to take FRA to win this fight by first round knockout."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Diego Ferreira

The Guru picks Carlos Diego Ferreira to beat Bobby Green, citing Ferreira's underrated skills and power. He believes Green is prone to getting knocked out, especially in big spots, and that Ferreira can finish him. The Guru notes Ferreira's close split decision with Beneil Dariush and his knockout of Michael Johnson. He predicts Green will have a decent first round but then get caught in the second or third.

Knockout in round two or three; CDF finishes Green
"I'm going with Carlos Diego Fea. ... I think CDF's got Bobby Green and plus Bobby Green, how many more KO losses can we see?"
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 0 4 of 15 26% 4 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maurício Ruffy 1 4 of 9 44% 4 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 4 of 15 26% 4 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maurício Ruffy 1 4 of 9 44% 4 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 4 of 15 26% 1 of 7 1 of 3 2 of 5 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maurício Ruffy 4 of 9 44% 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 2 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 4 of 15 26% 1 of 7 1 of 3 2 of 5 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maurício Ruffy 4 of 9 44% 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 2 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bobby Green vs. Mauricio Ruffy
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ruffy (-470), Green (+360)

Round 1
Two 155-pound strikers will light up the T-Mobile Arena to open up the main card. Green (31-16-1, 1 NC; 13-11-1, 1 NC UFC) has seen better days but is still dangerous even at the age of 38, but he will have to mind his P’s and Q’s against the man 10 years his younger in Ruffy (11-1, 2-0 UFC). Before the frenetic action, referee Chris Tognoni makes sure to keep things official and starts the fight. Ruffy offers a glove, but Green would rather just fight. Green backs himself intentionally to the wall, hands low, ready to counter. Ruffy is composed rather than a marauder, and he blocks a push kick when standing in front of his opponent. Ruffy is keeping Green confused with his rangy punches and movement, and this results in a stalemate and stretches of inactivity. When Green kicks low, Ruffy rings his bell with a straight right hand. Green bounces off the wall and gives a right hand back, but it has far less mustard on it than the one that shook him up. Green surges forward with a left high and a right to the ribs, and chants for “Let’s Go Ruffy” start spreading. The Brazilian absorbs all of this energy from the audience and channels it like a Spirit Bomb, only instead of into his hand, he puts it into his right foot. A picture-perfect spin from Ruffy delivers the wheel kick square into the side of Green’s head, and Green is immediately unconscious and slumps face-first the ground like he got shot by a sniper. Absolutely incredible! Forget “Knockout of the Year,” that wheel kick is up there when it comes to “Knockout of the Decade,” much less one of the best in company history. Unreal. The crowd is electric, no one can hear anyone think. Knowing that there is nothing else he needs to do tonight, Ruffy stands stoically above his fallen opponent, while Tognoni sprints in to make sure Green does not take any more damage. Meanwhile, blood pours out of the nose of the flattened Green, who manages to come to and eventually makes it back to his feet. With plenty of energy left in the tank, Ruffy goes off to perform several flips and capoeira moves, sticking the landing each and every time to further wow the fans. The Fighting Nerds have one more highlight on the reel, and the victorious Ruffy dons his team’s famed glasses and gives commentator Joe Rogan a pair to sport as well. Knowing exactly what he wants next, Ruffy calls for a headlining opportunity against Beneil Dariush. The UFC would be hard pressed to pass that up. Wow. What a knockout. Mauricio Ruffy is for real.

The Official Result
Mauricio Ruffy def. Bobby Green R1 2:07 via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick)
Expert Picks (2)
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Maurício Ruffy

Connor picks Ruffy despite acknowledging that stylistically, Green should be able to outbox him. He notes that Green has been getting hurt more often and fighting in a way that leaves him vulnerable to big punchers. Connor believes that even if Green has a good first round, he is likely to get knocked out eventually. He admits the line is too wide and that Ruffy has yet to prove himself against veteran talent.

Odds: Green opened at +405, now +345; Ruffy opened at -654, now -468. Connor thinks the line is too wide.
"I think at this point, I have to feel like even a veteran performance out of Bobby Green is going to be him doing really well for a round, a round and a half, whatever, and just getting melted by something."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Zane picks Green, hoping for a vintage performance. He believes that if Green doesn't get knocked out, he can outwork Ruffy with smarter reads and better cardio. Zane points out that Ruffy struggled against James Llontop, who is slow and clumsy, and that Green is a much more technical boxer. He acknowledges the risk but wants to see Green replicate his win over Nasrat Haqparast.

Odds: Green opened at +405, now +345; Ruffy opened at -654, now -468. Zane thinks the line is too wide.
"I'm picking it openly because I want it to happen. Yes. I think it's actually, it's a, you know, it is actually quite possible that Bobby Green can can look. Okay. If he, if he doesn't get knocked out, I think that Bobby Green wins."
Technical Submission (triangle choke) R1 3:22
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paddy Pimblett 0 15 of 21 71% 15 of 21 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:34
King Green 0 8 of 13 61% 10 of 16 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paddy Pimblett 0 15 of 21 71% 15 of 21 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:34
King Green 0 8 of 13 61% 10 of 16 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paddy Pimblett 15 of 21 71% 2 of 6 3 of 5 10 of 10 15 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
King Green 8 of 13 61% 2 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 9 8 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paddy Pimblett 15 of 21 71% 2 of 6 3 of 5 10 of 10 15 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
King Green 8 of 13 61% 2 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 9 8 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Bobby Green vs. Paddy Pimblett
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Green (-120), Pimblett (+100)

Round 1
While the last two fights are championship affairs with a Brit defending their throne, fans might be here for the people’s main event that is the “featured fight of the night.” No matter his new first name, for play-by-play purposes this Strikeforce veteran will be called by his surname, Green (32-15-1, 1 NC; 13-10-1, 1 NC UFC). He will try to take all the wind out of the sails of the raucous Manchester crowd, which is going bananas for Pimblett (21-3, 5-0 UFC). Referee Lukasz Bosacki can scarcely hear himself think, but he knows it is time and starts the fight between the beloved lightweights. Even having said earlier this week it is all business, the two choose not to touch gloves before slugging it out. Green’s hands are low as always, and he pokes at the front leg with a kick. Pimblett winds up with a much heavier kick on the inside, and he lands a second with emphasis. Pimblett sticks out a jab and checks a kick, and he sits down on an especially powerful calf kick. Green marches forward and starts talking trash, and Pimblett catches him with a counter as he backs off. Green brushes his shoulder when Pimblett lands on him, and the Brit lands a low kick as well. Green connects with a pair of stomping kicks to the knee, and he reaches a left hand to the midsection. Green kicks the front leg and is tripped up, and he acknowledges the strike and kicks at him. Green points at his adversary as he walks him down, and he tells Pimblett to hit him. Pimblett elects to kick the calf instead, and Green kicks him in the ribs in response. Green keeps jabbing with his front leg, and he shoots for a takedown and falls straight into a guillotine choke attempt. Green slips out of it, and Pimblett adjusts and locks down a triangle choke. Green rolls to the side but is still dangerously caught in the submission, and Pimblett starts celebrating as he leans back. Green struggles and gets rolled to his back, and he wrenches on the arm while crushing on Green’s carotid artery. Life leaves Green’s eyes as the submission deprives him completely of his consciousness, and Bosacki recognizes this and rescues the snoozing Green from further harm. Pimblett immediately lets go and leaps to the top of the cage as the audience explodes to celebrate the stoppage win for their star. He jumps out of the Octagon to high-five UFC chief Hunter Campbell, and the crowd is absolutely deafening. “The Baddy” passed the biggest test of his career with flying colors, putting the dangerous Green to sleep and becoming the first fighter to submit Green since 2009.

The Official Result
Paddy Pimblett def. Bobby Green R1 3:22 via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke)
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 21, 2024 (6 days before fight)
King Green

Angelo picks King Green (Bobby Green) as the better striker with good takedown defense. He notes that Green's volume and defense are excellent, but he only bets half a unit because Green is fighting in enemy territory, could face a sketchy decision, and if taken down by Pimblett, he may not get back up. Angelo acknowledges Pimblett's grappling control but believes Green's striking will be the difference.

half unit bet on King Green
"I still think Bobby's going to win this fight I think he's going to be the better Striker and I think his takedown defense is going to be good enough"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Cody is confident in King Green, citing his well-rounded skills and veteran savvy. He notes that Paddy Pimblett has looked unimpressive in his UFC fights, often losing rounds before getting finishes, and that his lifestyle and mindset are not conducive to long-term success. Cody believes Green's boxing and takedown defense will be too much, and that Paddy's path to victory is narrow. He predicts Green by decision.

King Green by decision
"Bobby green by decision that seems fairs to me Patty pimin could take a hell of a punch Patty Pimp's not getting submitted I don't think no so Bobby by decision."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Paddy Pimblett

Daniel notes Paddy's early explosiveness but worries about his cardio, citing him pulling guard against Tony Ferguson. He thinks Bobby Green's age (37) and hands-down style could lead to him getting caught early. He leans Paddy but wants underdog odds to bet, expecting a close decision or early finish.

"I'm gonna go Patty here to to squeak one out or to potentially get an early finish"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2024 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Daniel picks King Green, impressed by his performance against Jim Miller where he overwhelmed a durable opponent. He believes Green's wrestling defense will hold up against Pimblett, and that Green's volume and power will be too much. He notes Pimblett gets hit often and Green can exploit that.

"I like Bobby green here I I had kind of written him off and I'd faded him a couple of times times too just if we're being honest but like that Jim Miller fight was really impressive"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2024 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Jeff picks King Green, citing Green's volume and power. He thinks Pimblett will eventually get caught and knocked out, though he's not sure if it happens this week. He believes Green's wrestling defense is adequate and that Pimblett won't get him down.

"give me King got to go with King here Bobby green he's going to put it on uh piml piml gets hit"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Paul agrees with Cody, calling it a horrible matchup for Paddy. He highlights Green's takedown defense (only taken down once in last 10 fights) and his advantage on the feet. Paul expects Green to cruise to a decision, though he acknowledges the risk of a bad split decision in the UK. He also mentions the possibility of betting Green by decision at plus money.

King Green by decision
"I think Bobby green should absolutely Cruise here so I'm 100% with you I love Bobby green um I'm prepared for disappointment but yeah him by decision at plus 160."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 22, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Paddy Pimblett

The MMA Guru picks Paddy Pimblett by submission (rear-naked choke), likely in the first or second round. He believes Pimblett can exploit Bobby Green's tendency to give up his back when defending takedowns. The Guru notes that Green was easily controlled on the ground by Islam Makhachev and that Pimblett has a size and strength advantage. He also thinks Pimblett will use kicks at range and wait for grappling opportunities, rather than brawling. The Guru is influenced by a recent interview with Pimblett, which increased his confidence.

submission, rear-naked choke, round 1-2
"I'm going to go with Patty piml I reckon he's got this one the stars are aligning for this one I reckon and also he went on my channel and I think there's a gift of the guru interview moo drias dupi Paddy piml it's going to happen guys"
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 30–25, 29–26) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 1 186 of 319 58% 187 of 320 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:54
Jim Miller 0 57 of 144 39% 58 of 145 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 43 of 83 51% 43 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jim Miller 0 17 of 46 36% 17 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 King Green 0 61 of 115 53% 61 of 115 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jim Miller 0 20 of 53 37% 20 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 King Green 1 82 of 121 67% 83 of 122 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:54
Jim Miller 0 20 of 45 44% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 186 of 319 58% 136 of 245 40 of 56 10 of 18 167 of 295 7 of 8 12 of 16
Jim Miller 57 of 144 39% 29 of 103 10 of 18 18 of 23 55 of 141 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 43 of 83 51% 26 of 57 12 of 19 5 of 7 43 of 82 0 of 1 0 of 0
Jim Miller 17 of 46 36% 9 of 35 2 of 4 6 of 7 17 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 King Green 61 of 115 53% 45 of 88 13 of 19 3 of 8 60 of 114 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jim Miller 20 of 53 37% 9 of 37 3 of 6 8 of 10 20 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 King Green 82 of 121 67% 65 of 100 15 of 18 2 of 3 64 of 99 6 of 6 12 of 16
Jim Miller 20 of 45 44% 11 of 31 5 of 8 4 of 6 18 of 42 2 of 3 0 of 0
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Apr 7, 2024 (6 days before fight)
King Green

Angelo leans Bobby Green based on skill set, noting Green's better striking and takedown defense. However, he is not confident due to Green's recent knockout losses and Miller's resurgence. He calls the -200 odds absurd and advises staying away from betting.

Odds comment: -200 is absurd for this fight
"I am going to lean Bobby green very very slightly minus 200 is absolutely absurd for this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Cody picks Bobby Green, citing his superior footwork, volume, and jab. He notes that Jim Miller is slower and more flat-footed now, and no longer relies on wrestling. Green's takedown defense is solid, and Miller is unlikely to wrestle. Cody thinks the fight will resemble a sparring match where Green picks Miller apart with the jab. He warns that Miller is a fan favorite and the crowd could influence judges, but on paper, Green's style defeats Miller. Cody expects a decision win for Green.

"On paper Bobby green has a style to defeat him so the pick is Green."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
King Green

Connor picks Green, arguing that Miller's game is not suited to track down a mobile striker like Green. He notes that Miller is best when he can plant his feet in the middle distance, but Green will keep moving and counter. Connor believes Green's ability to fire back with better offense will be the difference, though Miller's kicks could be troublesome.

Odds: Miller opened +160, now +155; Green opened -208, now -175. Connor mentions the line movement.
"I got to take green to just be able to have a competitive interesting fight, maybe eat a couple of shots that he lunges in and Miller is sitting and waiting on a counter."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Daniel Vreeland picks Bobby Green, citing his speed, volume, and higher level of competition. He believes Green's striking and cardio will outpace Miller, despite concerns about Green's recent knockout loss. Vreeland notes Miller's momentum but trusts Green's technical edge.

"I'm gonna pick Bobby Green to get it done"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Apr 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
No clear pick

Lucrative James does not make a pick for this fight. He calls it a feel-good fight and is excited because Jim Miller is fighting on UFC 100, 200, and 300. He says Bobby Green always brings hype and entertainment. No prediction is given.

"Jim Miller versus Bobby Green that's just a feel-good fight Jim Miller for UFC 100 UFC 200 and UFC 300 well is going to fight UFC 300 so I'm excited for that fight as well"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
King Green

Green is the better technical striker and his defensive grappling is good enough to keep the fight upright. Miller might land some big shots early but Green will roll with them and put it on Miller in rounds two and three, winning on the scorecards.

decision
"I think for the most part green will roll with them well enough to take the brunt of it off and then really start to put it on Jim Miller through rounds two and three winning this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Paul agrees, noting that Green's footwork and jab should keep Miller at bay. He mentions that Green is coming off a bad knockout loss to Jalin Turner, but Miller doesn't have the power to replicate that. Paul thinks Miller's best chance is to land a right hand and get a takedown, but Green's takedown defense is good. He expects Green to win a decision, possibly a clear one.

"I like Bobby green too."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Jim Miller

The MMA Guru picks Jim Miller to defeat Bobby Green by TKO in the second round. He predicts Miller will chop at Green's lead leg, find the chin after making Green hesitant, and notes Green's recent knockout loss to Jalin Turner may have affected him. He emphasizes Miller's momentum and ability to shoot takedowns.

"Jim Miller is going to destroy the lead leg of Bobby green he's going to hack it to Pieces."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
King Green

Zane picks Green, believing his defensive awareness and skill will allow him to adjust as the fight goes on. He notes that Miller's meat-and-potatoes style is effective early but predictable, and Green's footwork and counters will take over. Zane acknowledges that Green has looked shaky recently but trusts his technical edge over Miller's plodding pressure.

Odds: Miller opened +160, now +155; Green opened -208, now -175. Zane mentions the line movement.
"I am going to pick Bobby Green because I think Jim Miller is so meat and potato potatoes that he is going to have all the success he's ever going to have in the fight in like the first six minutes."
KO (punches) R1 2:49
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jalin Turner 1 33 of 60 55% 33 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
King Green 0 15 of 26 57% 15 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jalin Turner 1 33 of 60 55% 33 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
King Green 0 15 of 26 57% 15 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jalin Turner 33 of 60 55% 26 of 48 2 of 4 5 of 8 18 of 41 0 of 0 15 of 19
King Green 15 of 26 57% 5 of 14 3 of 4 7 of 8 14 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jalin Turner 33 of 60 55% 26 of 48 2 of 4 5 of 8 18 of 41 0 of 0 15 of 19
King Green 15 of 26 57% 5 of 14 3 of 4 7 of 8 14 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 0
Expert Picks (6)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Big Brady picks Jalin Turner despite short notice, citing his size advantage and danger everywhere. He thinks Turner's reach and height will be a problem for Green, and that Green's hands-down style could get him caught. He expects an early finish but notes cardio concerns if the fight extends. He calls it a step down in competition for Turner.

"give me Jaylen Turner here on short notice to get an early finish"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Cody is torn but tentatively picks Turner. He acknowledges Turner's weight cut issues and short notice, but thinks Turner is faster, longer, and the better striker. He worries about Turner's cardio in later rounds but believes if Turner minds his distance, he can win. He considers waiting for weigh-ins and possibly betting Green live after the first round.

considering Bobby Green live after first round
"tentatively I'm going to take Jaylen Turner but I am not disagreeing with any of your points I see them all"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Lucrative James leans towards Bobby Green as a dog, noting that Jalin Turner has never won a decision and has a questionable chin. He believes if Green survives round one, the fight becomes 50-50, with Green having an edge in later rounds. He is not confident but sees value in Green at plus money.

"I don't mind a dog shot on Bobby green"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Green is on a two-fight winning streak and has a volume-heavy style that could overwhelm Turner. Turner has lost two in a row and has had weight issues, plus he took this fight on short notice. Green's durability and pressure should allow him to outwork Turner, especially if the fight goes into deep waters. A decision win is predicted.

decision win predicted
"give me Bobby green here and I think he ends up pulling off a decision Victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Paul already bet Bobby Green at plus money. He cites Green's durability, cardio, and the fact that Turner missed weight last time and is on short notice. He thinks Green can go hard three rounds and that Turner's cardio falls off. He also likes Green round three prop at +2000. He notes Green is historically a slow starter but believes he can take over late.

Bobby Green round three at +2000 considered; already bet Green moneyline at +188
"I already bet Bobby green why well Bobby green was already getting ready for this card he's supposed to take on Dan hooker Dan hooker pulls out Jaylen Turner I mean missed weight last time out at 155 pounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

The MMA Guru picks Jalin Turner, citing his reach advantage, versatility, and ability to chop the legs and body. He believes Bobby Green struggles without a reach advantage and that Turner's dynamic striking will be too much. He expects a decision win for Turner, 30-27.

decision win 30-27
"I'm gonna go Jalin Turner... he's more versatile... he'll chop low, he'll front kick the body, he'll kick the head... I'll say it will be a decision win 30-27."
KO (punches) R1 0:33
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 0 0 of 6 0% 0 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Grant Dawson 1 7 of 11 63% 7 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 0 of 6 0% 0 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Grant Dawson 1 7 of 11 63% 7 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 0 of 6 0% 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Grant Dawson 7 of 11 63% 7 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 0 of 6 0% 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Grant Dawson 7 of 11 63% 7 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 7
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Grant Dawson vs. Bobby Green
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dawson (-425), Green (+300)

Round 1
It’s time for the main event of the evening. A spot in the lightweight rankings is on the line, as top-10 Dawson (20-1-1, 8-0-1 UFC) fights to keep his place against unranked divisional stalwart Green (30-14-1, 1 NC; 11-9-1, 1 NC UFC). The classic stylistic matchup will play out across a maximum of five rounds with absolutely zero nonsense, and referee Keith Peterson receives the final assignment of the evening. There is no interest in a glove touch, and Dawson even offers a handshake that is rebuffed, as these Green would rather get right down to business. Green walks out of his corner with his hands low at his waist, and he backs Dawson up. Dawson swings with several wide punches, and every one misses the mark as Green dodges and weaves.
Calm as a cucumber, Green lances his opponent with a straight left hand, and Dawson collapses to the mat in grave danger. Green rains down two vicious right hands, forcing Dawson to turn to his side. “King” punishes Dawson with a few hammerfists as Dawson turns belly-down, completely defeated. Peterson intervenes to call a halt to the main event
, and Green has just secured the enormous upset to shatter Dawson’s lengthy unbeaten streak. Unbelievable! In his post-fight interview, the soon-to-be-ranked Green elects not to call for an individual name, and instead asks for a slot on a December card. If that ends up coming together, we will be there for it. We hope you are too.

The Official Result
Bobby Green def. Grant Dawson R1 0:33 via KO (Punches)
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Grant Dawson

Angelo picks Grant Dawson very confidently, highlighting his relentless wrestling and grappling. He notes that Bobby Green has abandoned his wrestling, making him one-dimensional and easy to take down. Dawson will likely ride out a boring wet blanket win. Angelo suggests Dawson can be parlayed.

Suggests parlay
"very confident Grant Dawson I think you can parlay Grant Dawson"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Grant Dawson

Big Brady is confident in Grant Dawson, citing his recent improvements since moving to ATT and his dominant performance against Damir Ismagulov. He believes Dawson's wrestling and grappling will be too much for Bobby Green, who he thinks will not be able to stuff takedowns. He acknowledges Dawson's past cardio issues but thinks he has improved and will finish the fight before the fourth round, predicting a second-round submission.

second round submission for Grant Dawson
"I'm going to take Dawson to win this fight I'm GNA take Dawson to win this fight by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Grant Dawson

Cody picks Grant Dawson, citing his improved cardio since moving to ATT, his wrestling ability, and his success against similar opponents like Damir Ismagulov. He notes that Bobby Green's takedown defense is good but hasn't been tested by elite wrestlers, and that Dawson's pressure and top control should be decisive. He acknowledges the line is high but believes Dawson is coming into his own.

Over 60.5 significant strikes for Dawson, Over 3 takedowns for Dawson
"I gotta go with Grant Dawson... I think the takedowns will be there and once he does get the fight to the ground I think he either slanks onto the back..."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Daniel Levi picks Bobby Green as a +325 underdog. He argues that Grant Dawson is one-dimensional, relying solely on grappling, while Bobby Green can grapple, strike, and has experience. He notes that Dawson's striking is a C-minus and that Green has never been dominated on the ground except by Islam Makhachev, who is on another level. Levi also questions Dawson's price at -425, pointing out that he was only -200 against Mark Madsen. He trusts his gut that Green can compete and is willing to take a one-unit shot.

one unit bet at +325; questions whether Dawson should be -425 favorite
"I'm gonna go Bobby green here for this upset man"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2023 (fight day)
Grant Dawson

Lucrative James picks Dawson to win by TKO, liking the +550 for Dawson by KO. He thinks the fight won't go five rounds and likes the under 4.5 rounds at -230. He believes Dawson will get top position and unleash ground and pound, as seen in past fights. He notes Green has good submission defense but Dawson's wrestling is overwhelming.

under 4.5 rounds -230, Dawson KO +550
"I think the under four and a half round is a very good spot in this one guys"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Grant Dawson

Dawson has a clear grappling advantage and should be able to take Green down and control him. Green has poor takedown defense and Dawson has shown improved cardio. Dawson likely grinds out a decision win, as Green is tough to finish. The over 4.5 rounds and Dawson by decision are good prop plays. I'm not hot on the moneyline but expect Dawson to win.

Dawson by decision, over 4.5 rounds
"I think we're going to see Dawson grind this fight out over 25 minutes win this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Paul is tempted by Bobby Green at +320, noting that Green is difficult to take down and that Dawson's striking volume is low. He suggests Green could win by decision and that the value is appealing, but he is not fully committed. He mentions that if the number climbs, he might put a little on Green.

Bobby Green by decision
"I'm kind of tempted right out of the gate Cody to take Bobby green... plus 320 seems a little bit Wild"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Grant Dawson

The MMA Guru picks Grant Dawson over Bobby Green, predicting a rear-naked choke in round three. He believes Dawson is improving, coming into his prime at 29, and training at ATT. He notes Green is 37 and giving up reach, and that a full grappling camp for an older fighter risks injury. He thinks Dawson's elusiveness on the feet will allow him to time takedowns and land shots, unlike Green's previous opponents who charged forward. He references Jared Gordon's success by being on the back foot against Green.

rear naked choke round three
"I'm gonna go Grant Dawson real naked joke round three"
Technical Submission (arm-triangle choke) R3 4:54
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 0 54 of 123 43% 62 of 138 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:13
Tony Ferguson 0 137 of 217 63% 145 of 227 0 of 0 --- 1 0 3:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 14 of 42 33% 15 of 43 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Tony Ferguson 0 40 of 72 55% 40 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 King Green 0 16 of 36 44% 23 of 48 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Tony Ferguson 0 49 of 77 63% 57 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:36
3 King Green 0 24 of 45 53% 24 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tony Ferguson 0 48 of 68 70% 48 of 68 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:49
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 54 of 123 43% 38 of 98 11 of 18 5 of 7 50 of 118 2 of 2 2 of 3
Tony Ferguson 137 of 217 63% 95 of 166 24 of 31 18 of 20 115 of 183 1 of 1 21 of 33
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 14 of 42 33% 11 of 33 2 of 6 1 of 3 14 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tony Ferguson 40 of 72 55% 23 of 50 7 of 10 10 of 12 39 of 71 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 King Green 16 of 36 44% 14 of 32 2 of 4 0 of 0 13 of 32 1 of 1 2 of 3
Tony Ferguson 49 of 77 63% 38 of 66 8 of 8 3 of 3 31 of 48 0 of 0 18 of 29
3 King Green 24 of 45 53% 13 of 33 7 of 8 4 of 4 23 of 44 1 of 1 0 of 0
Tony Ferguson 48 of 68 70% 34 of 50 9 of 13 5 of 5 45 of 64 0 of 0 3 of 4
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 23, 2023 (6 days before fight)
King Green

Angelo is very confident in Bobby Green, mainly due to Tony Ferguson being a shell of his former self after taking severe beatings. He notes Green's volume, accuracy, and takedown defense, and believes Green will outpoint Ferguson. He also suggests a sneaky bet on over 1.5 rounds because Green is not a one-punch KO artist and Ferguson is durable.

over 1.5 rounds
"Bobby is a very confident pick here I think a sneaky good bet is going to be over one and a half though if we're lucky enough to get a one and a half round line I think the over one and a half here should be solid."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2023 (5 days before fight)
King Green

Big Brady picks Bobby Green to win by third-round knockout. He believes Tony Ferguson is washed after taking life-changing damage and looking terrible in recent fights. He notes Green is not a finisher but expects him to finish Ferguson, possibly by mercy stoppage. He thinks this fight should not be sanctioned and predicts the end of Ferguson's UFC run.

third round knockout
"give me Bobby green third round knockout and I think this will be the end of Tony Ferguson in the UFC"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Cody picks Green, citing Ferguson's decline after taking life-changing damage from Gaethje and Chandler. He notes Ferguson's takedown defense is poor (only one takedown in eight years) and his wrestling hasn't materialized. Green's boxing, takedown defense, and volume should outpoint Ferguson. He likes the prop of Green and over 1.5 rounds at -132.

Bobby Green and over 1.5 rounds -132
"I like Bobby green one of the sites that I bet at had like a Bobby green and over one and a half rounds at minus 132"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2023 (4 days before fight)
King Green

James believes Ferguson is done, having lost five in a row and showing diminished durability and submission defense. He thinks Green can win, possibly by knockout, but is not confident enough to bet the moneyline. He leans under due to Green's recent finishes and Ferguson's decline.

under 2.5 rounds at plus money
"I can't put my money on Tony Ferguson at this stage of his career the guy's done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2023 (5 days before fight)
King Green

Ferguson is on a five-fight losing streak and looks done. Green is a much more effective boxer than Diaz and will be aggressive after his last fight ended in a no contest. Green should outpoint Ferguson and possibly get a late stoppage. I'm leaning Green by decision but he might be more aggressive.

"I'm still going to lean with him to winning by decision as my final prediction but I think that we'll see him be a little bit more aggressive than we've seen in the past"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Paul agrees, arguing Ferguson's wins haven't aged well and his style is outdated. He highlights Green's counter-punching and takedown defense, and Ferguson's lack of power and inability to overwhelm Green. He expects a decision win for Green with Ferguson bleeding and behind on the scorecards.

"I gotta go with Bobby green everybody seems like they're on the same page"
No Contest (accidental clash of heads) R1 4:35
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 0 23 of 69 33% 23 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Jared Gordon 0 17 of 53 32% 17 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 23 of 69 33% 23 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Jared Gordon 0 17 of 53 32% 17 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 23 of 69 33% 15 of 56 6 of 9 2 of 4 17 of 62 0 of 1 6 of 6
Jared Gordon 17 of 53 32% 9 of 34 5 of 11 3 of 8 17 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 23 of 69 33% 15 of 56 6 of 9 2 of 4 17 of 62 0 of 1 6 of 6
Jared Gordon 17 of 53 32% 9 of 34 5 of 11 3 of 8 17 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
King Green

Angelo picks Bobby Green confidently, citing his superior striking and 72% takedown defense. He notes that Green has been tested by top lightweights and even in his recent loss to Drew Dober, he won the first round. He thinks Jared Gordon is undersized for lightweight and lacks one-punch knockout power, making Green a safe parlay piece.

"Bobby all day he's gonna be the much better Striker... Bobby is the pick and I think he's a safe parlay piece."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
King Green

Big Brady picks Bobby Green to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Green is a much better striker than Gordon, who has only fought grapplers in his career. Green has incredible takedown defense and good wrestling, so Gordon's path to victory is limited. Brady expects Green to put a ton of volume on Gordon, hurt him, and knock him out early. He also mentions that Gordon has been knocked out five times before and that the judges could screw up a decision, so he prefers the finish.

first round knockout
"I'm actually going to take Bobby green to win this fight by knockout I think he's going to put it on Jared Gordon very early and I think Bobby green knocks him out within the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Cody picks Bobby Green despite the high price, praising his elite boxing, wrestling, and cardio. He notes Green's ability to outwork opponents and his durability, having only been knocked out by top power punchers. Cody believes Green's volume and pressure will be too much for Jared Gordon, who has a questionable chin and has been knocked out by lesser power punchers. He even suggests a Green by KO prop, as Gordon tends to get hit a lot.

Bobby Green by KO
"I will be picking Bobby green but at mine is 255. you know if Jared Gordon lands a shot and Bobby green starts going like uh shaking his head no no no that didn't hurt me"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Connor picks Green, emphasizing that Green is a superior athlete and technician. He notes that Gordon's best win was against Danny Chavez, but Green is a much tougher puzzle. He points out that Green has been schooling tough opponents and that Gordon's lack of speed and power will be exposed. He also mentions that Gordon's mental game might be off after the Pimblett fight.

"I have to pick King green here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
King Green

Bobby Green is the better striker with a significant speed advantage. His takedown defense is good enough to keep the fight standing, where he can pick apart Jared Gordon with combinations. Gordon may have success pushing Green against the cage, but Green's footwork and movement should allow him to escape and land shots at distance. Green is motivated after a knockout loss to Drew Dober and could finish Gordon, who has shown durability issues. Green by knockout in round 2 or 3.

Green by KO in round 2 or 3
"Bobby green normally just a decision machine has the potential to land a knockout in this fight considering the striking advantage and speed advantage... I'm going to say Bobby Green Round Two or round three by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Paul also picks Bobby Green, arguing he should be an even bigger favorite. He highlights Green's elite boxing, footwork, and ability to avoid takedowns, noting that no one has submitted him in the UFC. Paul believes Green's volume and pressure will overwhelm Gordon, who has a weak chin and has been knocked out by lesser punchers. He thinks Green could even get a knockout.

"I think you should be a bigger favorite as far as I'm concerned I think he wins this fight fairly handily Bobby green is an elite level fighter"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
King Green

The MMA Guru picks Bobby Green despite his recent KO loss. He argues Green's takedown defense is good and he is levels above Paddy Pimblett on the feet, whom Gordon struggled with. He thinks Green will stuff takedowns and land at will, dominating on the feet. He predicts a decision win, possibly 30-27 or 30-26.

decision
"I'm gonna go with Bobby green over Jared Gordon... I think if you even make it look close against pimlet you ain't really that good"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Zane picks Green confidently, noting that Green is a slick, creative striker with excellent defensive wrestling. He points out that Gordon's best chance is to pressure and grind, but Green has shown he can handle that and counter effectively. He also mentions that Gordon lacks knockout power and that Green's recent performances show he's assertive and accurate.

"I have to pick King green here."
Loss
KO (punch) R2 2:45
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Drew Dober 1 34 of 121 28% 34 of 121 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
King Green 0 73 of 142 51% 75 of 145 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Drew Dober 0 17 of 71 23% 17 of 71 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
King Green 0 39 of 87 44% 40 of 89 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
2 Drew Dober 1 17 of 50 34% 17 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
King Green 0 34 of 55 61% 35 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Drew Dober 34 of 121 28% 16 of 86 9 of 21 9 of 14 33 of 119 0 of 1 1 of 1
King Green 73 of 142 51% 50 of 113 17 of 22 6 of 7 72 of 141 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Drew Dober 17 of 71 23% 5 of 50 7 of 13 5 of 8 17 of 70 0 of 1 0 of 0
King Green 39 of 87 44% 27 of 71 7 of 10 5 of 6 38 of 86 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Drew Dober 17 of 50 34% 11 of 36 2 of 8 4 of 6 16 of 49 0 of 0 1 of 1
King Green 34 of 55 61% 23 of 42 10 of 12 1 of 1 34 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Dec 11, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Drew Dober

Angelo picks Drew Dober hesitantly, acknowledging that this is a very tough fight to call. He notes Dober has a great chin and power, while Bobby Green is more technically sound with higher volume and better defense. He worries that Dober might get touched up like in the Nazrat fight. He plans to stay away from betting on this fight due to low confidence.

Will not bet on this fight; staying away
"I'm going with Drew Dover here because I think he's the more dangerous guy but this could look a lot like Bobby vs nazrat where Drew dober's just getting touched up"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Big Brady picks Bobby Green as an underdog, citing his recent impressive performances and high volume. He worries about Green's fight IQ and the judges, but thinks Green will outland Dober. He notes Dober will land the harder shots but Green's volume should win rounds. He also mentions Green could wrestle but likely won't. He predicts a close decision win for Green.

Green wins by decision
"I will take Bobby green for the upset I'll take him to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Drew Dober

Cody picks Dober, believing his power and durability will sway judges. He notes Dober sits down on his punches and has good leg kicks. He thinks Green's flat-footed boxing style and head-shaking may not impress judges. He expects a close decision win for Dober and considers Dober by decision.

Dober by decision
"I'm gonna go with Drew Dober... I think Drew dope is going to get his hand raised so I will play Dober and then to sweeten the action a little bit because minus 150 just not good enough for me um I would Chase it by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 17, 2022 (fight day)
King Green

Green is a solid spot here. Dober has recency bias from two straight KOs, but Green is much more durable than those opponents (Rafael Alves, Terrence McKinney). Green will outstrike Dober, throw more combinations, and take home a decision. The line stayed around +130 to +135.

Bet at +130 to +135 range
"Bobby green is not those last two guys right Bobby green um why am I blinking on him well just a complete brain fart right there Rafael Alves you know I mean he's not Raphael office he's better than Raphael and then he's much better than Terence McKenney much durable much more durable than those guys as well"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Paul leans Green, thinking he is a cleaner, more dynamic boxer who can win on volume. He notes Green has insane durability and will outland Dober. However, he is hesitant because Dober lands bigger shots and judges may favor damage. He says if the lines were flipped he wouldn't touch it, but at plus money he considers it.

"I kind of want to bet Bobby green Cody... I think he ends up winning the volume and then it comes down to like when this goes to a scorecard"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
King Green

The MMA Guru picks King Green over Drew Dober, despite many picking Dober. He compares Dober to Rafael Fiziev, whom Green nearly beat, and believes Green's style of straight punches and range control will trouble Dober. He notes Green's reach and height advantages and expects him to pepper Dober, swelling his eye and nose, and win a 29-28 decision. He also thinks Dober may not react well to Green's taunting.

"I'ma go Bobby green"
TKO (punches) R1 3:23
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Islam Makhachev 0 14 of 32 43% 30 of 51 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:57
King Green 0 9 of 13 69% 11 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Islam Makhachev 0 14 of 32 43% 30 of 51 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:57
King Green 0 9 of 13 69% 11 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Islam Makhachev 14 of 32 43% 10 of 27 2 of 2 2 of 3 3 of 10 2 of 2 9 of 20
King Green 9 of 13 69% 2 of 5 6 of 6 1 of 2 4 of 8 3 of 3 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Islam Makhachev 14 of 32 43% 10 of 27 2 of 2 2 of 3 3 of 10 2 of 2 9 of 20
King Green 9 of 13 69% 2 of 5 6 of 6 1 of 2 4 of 8 3 of 3 2 of 2
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Islam Makhachev

Angelo picks Islam Makhachev, believing he will dominate Bobby Green with his wrestling and grappling. He notes that while Green is a better striker, Makhachev has enough striking to avoid getting hurt and will then take the fight to the ground where he can control and finish. Angelo acknowledges that Makhachev hasn't faced top-ranked opponents yet, but he expects him to blow through Green as a heavy favorite. He also mentions a two-unit parlay with Makhachev and Arman Tsarukyan at around -180.

Two-unit parlay with Islam Makhachev and Arman Tsarukyan at approximately -180
"i think he absolutely dismantles bobby green i think he blows through bobby green islam is absolutely my pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Islam Makhachev

Big Brady picks Islam Makhachev to win by submission. He notes that Makhachev absorbs only 0.79 significant strikes per minute and no opponent has landed more than 13 strikes on him in the UFC. He highlights that Bobby Green has never faced a wrestler or grappler of Makhachev's caliber and has been taken down by lesser fighters. Brady believes Green's path to victory is a knockout, but Green hasn't knocked anyone out since 2013. He respects Green for stepping in on short notice but sees this as a terrible matchup for him.

Makhachev by submission; line is accurate but Brady won't bet at -700
"I got mahachev no hot take um but i think he gets it done and i will not be betting on bobby green like a lot of people seem to be doing but i can tell you i will also not be betting on mahachev at -700 but i do think the line is about accurate there to be honest so uh i'm going to take mahachev to win i'll take him to win by submission at some point in this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Islam Makhachev

Cody is confident in Makhachev's grappling dominance, citing his wins over Dan Hooker, Drew Dober, and Thiago Moises. He notes that Makhachev's style mirrors Khabib's and that Bobby Green's path to victory is a knockout, which is unlikely given Green's lack of one-punch power. Cody acknowledges the wide odds but still picks Makhachev as a top parlay piece, though he mentions hedging with a small bet on Green by KO at +1100.

Green by KO +1100 (DraftKings), hedge suggestion
"i like islam i like him a lot you know he's just like your boy could be nurmagomedov"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Islam Makhachev

Daniel Levi picks Islam Makhachev to win via submission or ground-and-pound TKO. He notes that Bobby Green is durable and will stuff early takedowns, but Makhachev's relentless pressure will eventually wear him down. Levi mentions the fight goes the distance is plus 250 but does not think Green can survive five rounds. He emphasizes Makhachev's point to prove and expects a statement finish.

fight goes the distance +250 (does not think it hits)
"i think he does make a statement i think he submits bobby green and i think he gets his title shot"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Islam Makhachev

Jacob picks Islam Makhachev but is hesitant, stating that if Bobby Green had a full camp, he would have been his lock of the week. He believes Green's pressure and volume are the best defense against takedowns, and that Green's unorthodox boxing could trouble Makhachev. Jacob thinks Makhachev might try to stand and prove a point, but ultimately expects him to win via wrestling. He also mentions placing a half-unit bet on Green at +550, showing his uncertainty.

Half-unit bet on Bobby Green at +550
"my pick's gonna be islam i'm not gonna pick bobby green but i'm just saying if there was ever anyone that could beat islam outside that top five it's gonna be bobby green"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Islam Makhachev

Makhachev is a heavy favorite at -800, and the host believes he will dominate with his wrestling. He expects Makhachev to repeatedly take Green down and control him on the ground, though he thinks Green's defensive grappling may prevent a finish. The host notes Green's lack of power and predicts Makhachev wins by decision, also suggesting a bet on over 1.5 rounds.

over 1.5 rounds
"i'm gonna go islam hachev and uh in terms of a method of victory since you guys are putting a gun to my head i have a hypothetical gun to my head i'm going to go with this lama chevy a decision in this spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Islam Makhachev

Paul agrees that Makhachev is the clear winner but is tempted to sprinkle on Bobby Green at +600 due to the wide line. He notes Green's volume and pace could make it competitive if he avoids takedowns, but ultimately sees Makhachev's grappling as too much. Paul mentions the line has moved from -700 to -900, making it less appealing for a straight bet.

sprinkle on Bobby Green +600, Green by KO +1100
"i'm kind of tempted cody to wait and see how how wide this line gets and then maybe just sprinkle on bobby green a little bit"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Islam Makhachev

The MMA Guru picks Islam Makhachev to win by third-round rear-naked choke. He acknowledges Bobby Green's counter-grappling and durability but believes Makhachev's size, physicality, and superior grappling will be too much. He notes that Green's output drops significantly when facing wrestlers, as seen against Thiago Moises and Francisco Trinaldo. The Guru also highlights that the catchweight of 160 lbs benefits Makhachev by easing his weight cut, potentially improving his chin and conditioning. He expects Makhachev to wear Green down against the cage, take his back in a scramble, and secure the choke in the third round.

third round rear-naked choke submission; odds are -800 (implied from 'eight to one favorite'); Makhachev by submission in round 3
"i'm going to go the third round very naked choke for islam makashev over bobby green"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 0 188 of 355 52% 188 of 355 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Nasrat Haqparast 0 76 of 193 39% 76 of 193 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 38 of 71 53% 38 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Nasrat Haqparast 0 17 of 51 33% 17 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 King Green 0 71 of 141 50% 71 of 141 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Nasrat Haqparast 0 38 of 72 52% 38 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 King Green 0 79 of 143 55% 79 of 143 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Nasrat Haqparast 0 21 of 70 30% 21 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 188 of 355 52% 152 of 313 26 of 32 10 of 10 188 of 355 0 of 0 0 of 0
Nasrat Haqparast 76 of 193 39% 48 of 150 21 of 30 7 of 13 76 of 193 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 38 of 71 53% 28 of 60 5 of 6 5 of 5 38 of 71 0 of 0 0 of 0
Nasrat Haqparast 17 of 51 33% 9 of 37 7 of 10 1 of 4 17 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 King Green 71 of 141 50% 57 of 127 11 of 11 3 of 3 71 of 141 0 of 0 0 of 0
Nasrat Haqparast 38 of 72 52% 25 of 56 11 of 13 2 of 3 38 of 72 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 King Green 79 of 143 55% 67 of 126 10 of 15 2 of 2 79 of 143 0 of 0 0 of 0
Nasrat Haqparast 21 of 70 30% 14 of 57 3 of 7 4 of 6 21 of 70 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Feb 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
King Green

Angelo picks Bobby Green in a razor-thin decision, citing his toughness and grappling advantage. He worries that Green may fall in love with his hands after knocking out Al Iaquinta and not wrestle, which he believes is necessary to win. He notes that Haqparast is dangerous on the feet and may have improved his takedown defense after the Hooker loss.

"bobby green is my pick it's a razor thin close pick because i am worried about his mindset and if he's gonna wrestle or not"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
King Green

Big Brady likes Green's recent form, noting his high volume and improved striking. He mentions Green outlanded Fiziev 143-104 in a close loss. He believes Green's wrestling will be key, as he can mix in takedowns to seal rounds. He expects a close fight but thinks Green will edge it by decision. He notes Haqparast has power but Green's volume and takedowns should be enough.

Green by decision
"i think bobby green's gonna slightly edge this one out and edge it out by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Cody picks Green, citing Haqparast's recent poor performances and lack of confidence. He thinks Green's antics and pressure will cause Haqparast to freeze. He notes the line is playable and should be closer to -200.

Bobby Green by decision
"i'm off the hack brass train as well bobby green will be making the car for me"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Daniel Levi picks Bobby Green, citing his experience, volume, and well-rounded game. He notes that Nasrat Haqparast relies heavily on his left hand and has been backing away since the Dober loss. Levi believes Green's volume and ability to mix in takedowns will overwhelm Haqparast. He bet Green at -135.

bet at -135
"give me bobby green and i bet him at minus 135"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
King Green

Green is a slick boxer who should outland Haqparast in exchanges. Haqparast is a striker but has been outclassed by better boxers. Green's chin is solid, and he should win a decision. The over 2.5 rounds at -225 is a better bet than the moneyline, as Green often fights close decisions.

over 2.5 rounds at -225; Green by decision
"i do like bobby green here uh not enough to bet it the interesting line here is actually over two and a half which is a minus 225"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Paul picks Green, noting Haqparast has looked gun-shy and inconsistent. He thinks Green's volume and pressure will be too much, and that Haqparast may freeze up. He warns that judges often score against Green, but believes Green should win a decision.

Bobby Green by decision
"i'm gonna be killing myself when somehow he gets robbed again because the judges as you said earlier just absolutely hate bobby green"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
King Green

The MMA Guru picks Bobby Green by decision, believing his striking and range control will be too much for Nasrat Haqparast. He notes Green's close fights with top lightweights and Haqparast's one-dimensional boxing.

unanimous decision 29-28
"i'm going to go with bobby green here"
TKO (punches) R1 2:25
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 0 10 of 30 33% 10 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Al Iaquinta 1 28 of 40 70% 29 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 10 of 30 33% 10 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Al Iaquinta 1 28 of 40 70% 29 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 10 of 30 33% 5 of 21 3 of 6 2 of 3 10 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Al Iaquinta 28 of 40 70% 23 of 35 2 of 2 3 of 3 16 of 26 0 of 0 12 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 10 of 30 33% 5 of 21 3 of 6 2 of 3 10 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Al Iaquinta 28 of 40 70% 23 of 35 2 of 2 3 of 3 16 of 26 0 of 0 12 of 14
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
No clear pick

Angelo picks Bobby Green, citing his superior striking, takedown defense, and recent impressive performance against Rafael Fiziev. He believes Al Iaquinta is coming back after a two-year layoff and may not be fully prepared, as he was feuding with the UFC and became a real estate agent. He expects a three-round striking match with Green winning a decision.

"i think bobby's superior striking al's willingness to get into a brawl uh it'll be great for us as fans it'll be really bad for al though"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2021 (5 days before fight)
King Green

Big Brady picks Bobby Green to win by decision, despite concerns about judges not favoring Green. He notes Green's high volume and striking advantage, while Al Iaquinta has a two-year layoff and questionable motivation. Brady points out that Green outlanded his last opponent and has been in close fights, but Iaquinta hasn't fought in two years and looked poor in his last outing. He expects Green to outwork Iaquinta over three rounds.

win by decision
"i do like bobby green here to get the job done and get it done by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Al Iaquinta

Cody picks Iaquinta as a dog, citing Green's tendency to lose close decisions due to arrogance and poor judge perception. He notes Iaquinta's technical striking and local advantage in New York. He expects a close fight going to decision and favors Iaquinta.

"in new york i want ally quinto over bobby green"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 4, 2021 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Daniel Levi picks Bobby Green via decision, citing Green's activity and output advantage. He notes that Al Iaquinta has been inactive and may have one foot out the door, while Green is still hungry. Levi expects Green to outwork Iaquinta with volume, but warns that the fight could be close and that New York judges might give a split decision. He mentions that Green's last two losses were to younger, better fighters, and that Iaquinta has hit a wall in development.

decision
"give me bobby green via decision"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
No clear pick

Jacob picks Bobby Green and goes further, predicting a finish. He notes Green's jiu-jitsu skills and sees potential for a submission if Iaquinta shoots sloppy takedowns. He points to prop bets for submission wins at high odds. He believes Green will dominate regardless of whether it goes to decision.

Submission win props (round 1 +3500, round 2 +4000, round 3 +4500)
"i feel like he's going to get a finished versus ally aquinta... i think there's some sloppy shots i think there's a guillotine there"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)
King Green

The host picks Green by decision, noting Iaquinta's inactivity and one-foot-out approach. He expects Green's striking and veteran savvy to win rounds. He prefers the decision prop at -110/-120 over the moneyline.

Green by decision (-110/-120)
"i'm going bobby green and i'm taking him to win this fight via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Paul leans Green but refuses to bet him at -180, citing Green's history of close fights and poor betting value. He doesn't trust Iaquinta's motivation and layoff. He picks Green but advises passing the fight.

"i'm gonna lean towards bobby green even though uh yeah i'm gonna i'm gonna take the coward howard's way out pick him but i will not bet bobby green at minus 180"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2021 (6 days before fight)
King Green

The Guru picks Bobby Green (King Green), arguing he is underrated and still hungry, while Al Iaquinta may lack motivation. He notes Green's close fights with top opponents and believes he will outwork Iaquinta with volume, kicks, and jabs. The Guru predicts a dominant decision, possibly 30-26 with a 10-8 round in the third.

30-26, 10-8 round
"Bobby green is really good bobby green beat thiago moyeses."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rafael Fiziev 0 143 of 263 54% 143 of 263 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
King Green 0 104 of 223 46% 104 of 223 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rafael Fiziev 0 32 of 48 66% 32 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
King Green 0 25 of 62 40% 25 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Rafael Fiziev 0 45 of 94 47% 45 of 94 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
King Green 0 36 of 82 43% 36 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
3 Rafael Fiziev 0 66 of 121 54% 66 of 121 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
King Green 0 43 of 79 54% 43 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rafael Fiziev 143 of 263 54% 93 of 197 34 of 45 16 of 21 138 of 257 5 of 6 0 of 0
King Green 104 of 223 46% 47 of 132 26 of 44 31 of 47 96 of 212 8 of 11 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rafael Fiziev 32 of 48 66% 15 of 28 9 of 10 8 of 10 32 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
King Green 25 of 62 40% 9 of 30 10 of 17 6 of 15 23 of 60 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Rafael Fiziev 45 of 94 47% 30 of 71 10 of 17 5 of 6 42 of 90 3 of 4 0 of 0
King Green 36 of 82 43% 20 of 57 6 of 12 10 of 13 31 of 74 5 of 8 0 of 0
3 Rafael Fiziev 66 of 121 54% 48 of 98 15 of 18 3 of 5 64 of 119 2 of 2 0 of 0
King Green 43 of 79 54% 18 of 45 10 of 15 15 of 19 42 of 78 1 of 1 0 of 0
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2021 (fight day)
Rafael Fiziev

Angelo picks Fiziev to win but is not confident in a stoppage. He calls Fiziev the most dangerous striker in the division and a world-class striker. He acknowledges Green is tough and can grapple, but thinks Fiziev's striking and cardio will be too much. He has a prop bet on Fiziev winning by decision.

Rafael Fiziev wins a decision; Bobby Green +3.5 points (win one round)
"Fiziev is probably the most dangerous striker in that division... I think Fiziev wins a decision."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Rafael Fiziev

Big Brady thinks Fiziev is legit with powerful striking but notes he has slowed in third rounds. He respects Green's durability and wrestling, but believes Fiziev's takedown defense is solid. He predicts Fiziev will win rounds 1 and 2, possibly dropping the third, and win a 29-28 decision. He calls the -310 line disrespectful to Green.

decision win; line seems off
"I'll take him to win by decision don't think he knocks out Bobby Green."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Rafael Fiziev

Cody picks Fiziev, arguing that Bobby Green's lackadaisical style and poor ring IQ will be his downfall. He notes Fiziev's improvements in wrestling defense and his powerful striking. Cody thinks Fiziev will land big shots and chop Green's legs, leading to a finish or clear decision.

"i would think raphael fazaya would absolutely have a walk in the park with bobby green i don't really know where bobby green threatens this man anywhere"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Rafael Fiziev

Daniel Levi picks Rafael Fiziev to stop Bobby Green, citing Fiziev's superior speed, power, and clean striking. He notes that Green plays with fire with his head movement and hands-down style, which will be punished by a precise kickboxer like Fiziev. He also mentions that Green has been stopped by strikes only twice before (Dustin Poirier and Tim Means) and expects Fiziev to add to that list. He is a huge fan of Green but believes the matchup favors Fiziev heavily.

Says Fiziev by stoppage
"I'm gonna go with Rafael Fiziev here to get it done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 5, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Rafael Fiziev

Fiziev is a technical striker with great Muay Thai and improving MMA game. Green is durable and will pressure, but Fiziev can mix in takedowns and control the fight. Green is hard to finish, so a decision is likely. The line has moved due to hype, but Fiziev should win a close decision. He is slowly entering the top tier.

over 2.5 rounds; Fiziev by decision
"I do think he wins this fight I think he wins a va decision as I said bobby green very hard to put away."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 4, 2021 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Paul disagrees with Cody and picks Bobby Green as a dog. He thinks Green is underrated and that Fiziev's price is too high. Paul believes Green's durability and boxing could lead to a decision win, and likes the plus money on Green by decision.

Green by decision +400
"i actually think it's a dogger pass situation i think it's bobby green bobby green by decision what does that pay"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Rafael Fiziev

The MMA Guru picks Rafael Fiziev over Bobby Green. He highlights Fiziev's speed, power, takedown defense, and body kicks. He predicts Fiziev will win the first two rounds with his striking, and Green may take the third but it won't be enough. He expects a 29-28 unanimous decision for Fiziev.

"i'm gonna go over raphael physio being a little bit too quick and powerful for bobby green"
Decision (unanimous) R3 5:00
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 0 61 of 95 64% 109 of 149 4 of 6 66% 0 0 7:31
Alan Patrick 0 19 of 69 27% 38 of 89 1 of 6 16% 0 0 1:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 16 of 20 80% 35 of 41 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:52
Alan Patrick 0 2 of 4 50% 8 of 10 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:50
2 King Green 0 15 of 28 53% 32 of 46 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:03
Alan Patrick 0 8 of 30 26% 20 of 43 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:26
3 King Green 0 30 of 47 63% 42 of 62 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:36
Alan Patrick 0 9 of 35 25% 10 of 36 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:27
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 61 of 95 64% 41 of 74 18 of 19 2 of 2 35 of 63 17 of 18 9 of 14
Alan Patrick 19 of 69 27% 8 of 50 7 of 15 4 of 4 18 of 68 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 16 of 20 80% 6 of 10 10 of 10 0 of 0 2 of 2 10 of 10 4 of 8
Alan Patrick 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 King Green 15 of 28 53% 13 of 25 2 of 3 0 of 0 9 of 20 2 of 3 4 of 5
Alan Patrick 8 of 30 26% 2 of 20 2 of 6 4 of 4 8 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 King Green 30 of 47 63% 22 of 39 6 of 6 2 of 2 24 of 41 5 of 5 1 of 1
Alan Patrick 9 of 35 25% 5 of 27 4 of 8 0 of 0 9 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Big Brady picks King Green, believing this is a winnable fight for him. He notes Green has a huge advantage on the feet and decent takedown defense and get-up game. He is fairly confident but acknowledges Green tends to lose close decisions. He predicts Green by decision, as Patrick has never lost by decision.

potential parley piece
"I actually do like this believe it or not as a potential parley piece minus 255 i think that's a fair line"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 11, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Alan Patrick

The host likes Patrick's grinding style and believes he can push Green against the cage and secure takedowns, but is hesitant due to Patrick's two-year layoff. He thinks the line is too wide on Green and would prefer Green at -150, but ultimately picks Patrick by decision while staying away from betting the fight.

Patrick by decision; line too wide on Green
"I'm gonna take patrick to win this fight via decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2020 (5 days before fight)
King Green

The MMA Guru picks Bobby Green (King Green) due to his excellent takedown defense and superior striking. He notes that Alan Patrick has a good ground game but hasn't fought since 2018 and has had multiple cancellations, while Green has been active and looked great against Lando Vannata. He expects Green to stuff takedowns, jab Patrick's face, and win a competitive unanimous decision.

"bobby green's gonna get the job done in my opinion ali adam patrick's very good fighter very good ground game takes a lot of guys to ground that's his main weapon is to take guys down bobby green's got absolutely amazing takedown defense"
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 0 54 of 127 42% 64 of 139 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:27
Lando Vannata 1 115 of 195 58% 136 of 219 3 of 3 100% 0 0 3:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 29 of 59 49% 29 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:12
Lando Vannata 0 35 of 71 49% 37 of 73 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:23
2 King Green 0 12 of 37 32% 16 of 42 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
Lando Vannata 0 34 of 61 55% 38 of 67 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:46
3 King Green 0 13 of 31 41% 19 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Lando Vannata 1 46 of 63 73% 61 of 79 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:56
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 54 of 127 42% 31 of 99 16 of 21 7 of 7 45 of 115 9 of 12 0 of 0
Lando Vannata 115 of 195 58% 67 of 135 20 of 30 28 of 30 89 of 160 11 of 12 15 of 23
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 29 of 59 49% 19 of 48 9 of 10 1 of 1 25 of 54 4 of 5 0 of 0
Lando Vannata 35 of 71 49% 20 of 53 5 of 7 10 of 11 32 of 66 2 of 2 1 of 3
2 King Green 12 of 37 32% 5 of 28 3 of 5 4 of 4 9 of 33 3 of 4 0 of 0
Lando Vannata 34 of 61 55% 16 of 36 6 of 13 12 of 12 32 of 59 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 King Green 13 of 31 41% 7 of 23 4 of 6 2 of 2 11 of 28 2 of 3 0 of 0
Lando Vannata 46 of 63 73% 31 of 46 9 of 10 6 of 7 25 of 35 7 of 8 14 of 20
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

Big Brady picks Lando Vannata to win by second-round knockout. He recalls their first fight where Vannata nearly finished Green and argues that Vannata has improved his composure and technique. He criticizes Bobby Green's poor fight IQ and tendency to keep his hands down, which he believes will lead to a knockout. He mentions he missed getting Vannata at pick'em odds and is considering a bet at -150.

second round knockout
"i'm gonna pick fanata to win by uh i'm gonna say second round knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2020 (1 day before fight)
King Green

Daniel picks Bobby Green, noting his heart and ability to take over in later rounds. He points out that Lando fades after the first round and that Green went toe-to-toe with Clay Guida. He expects Green to land crisper shots in rounds 2 and 3 and win a decision.

decision
"i think that bobby probably you know lands the crisper shots on the feet in the second and third round and edges the decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 29, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

The host picks Vannata, expecting him to use his groovy style with hands down and movement to outpoint Green. He notes that Green is a low-output, one-and-done puncher and that Vannata's confidence from the Yancy Medeiros fight will carry over. He also mentions the first fight ended in a draw due to an illegal knee, but believes Vannata will win a clear decision this time.

"i do like lando vana in this fight i do think we see him dance around a little bit and i do think we see him uh you know get the judge's decision here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Lando Vannata

The host picks Lando Vannata to win by second-round TKO. He was not impressed with Bobby Green's performance against Clay Guida and believes Vannata has improved his cardio and pacing since their first fight. He thinks Vannata's movement and output will be too much for Green, and that Vannata will avoid brawling and instead outpoint or finish Green.

second round TKO
"i'm gonna be going with land overnight getting the job done he's younger in my opinion he's improved more since their last fight he gets the job done by second round tko"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 0 23 of 65 35% 27 of 69 3 of 12 25% 0 0 4:32
Clay Guida 0 85 of 150 56% 90 of 158 2 of 3 66% 2 0 1:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 8 of 23 34% 10 of 25 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:11
Clay Guida 0 25 of 37 67% 25 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
2 King Green 0 6 of 23 26% 6 of 23 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:20
Clay Guida 0 31 of 66 46% 33 of 68 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:17
3 King Green 0 9 of 19 47% 11 of 21 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:01
Clay Guida 0 29 of 47 61% 32 of 53 1 of 1 100% 2 0 0:40
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 23 of 65 35% 10 of 46 1 of 5 12 of 14 23 of 64 0 of 1 0 of 0
Clay Guida 85 of 150 56% 38 of 95 36 of 44 11 of 11 55 of 119 16 of 17 14 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 8 of 23 34% 3 of 17 0 of 1 5 of 5 8 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Clay Guida 25 of 37 67% 12 of 24 10 of 10 3 of 3 16 of 28 5 of 5 4 of 4
2 King Green 6 of 23 26% 3 of 16 0 of 3 3 of 4 6 of 22 0 of 1 0 of 0
Clay Guida 31 of 66 46% 12 of 40 14 of 21 5 of 5 20 of 54 11 of 12 0 of 0
3 King Green 9 of 19 47% 4 of 13 1 of 1 4 of 5 9 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Clay Guida 29 of 47 61% 14 of 31 12 of 13 3 of 3 19 of 37 0 of 0 10 of 10
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 17, 2020 (3 days before fight)
King Green

Big Brady picks Bobby Green to win by submission in the third round, citing Green's underrated BJJ and Guida's history of being submitted. He thinks Green is better everywhere, especially on the feet with higher volume, and expects Green to hurt Guida and then secure a submission. He notes Guida has been submitted seven times.

pick by submission in third round
"I'm gonna go green with third round submission we've seen weed has submitted many times before"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2020 (2 days before fight)
King Green

Daniel Levi picks Bobby Green, emphasizing his speed, striking volume, and underrated wrestling. He notes that Green has fought tougher competition recently and that Guida is a step down. Levi believes Green's flashy style and takedown defense will be too much for Guida, and he expects a finish or dominant performance.

King Green by finish
"I got Bobby Green here, man."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2020 (6 days before fight)
No clear pick

Green has fought better opponents and stayed competitive even in losses. Guida has been completely smoked against top competition recently. Green will out-strike Guida every round and win by decision.

"I think Bobby Green gets it done by decision in a close competitive fight but Green just out strikes in every round"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Francisco Trinaldo 0 31 of 122 25% 36 of 127 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:04
King Green 0 50 of 115 43% 67 of 135 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Francisco Trinaldo 0 4 of 13 30% 8 of 17 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:19
King Green 0 9 of 18 50% 25 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:15
2 Francisco Trinaldo 0 15 of 58 25% 15 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
King Green 0 24 of 50 48% 24 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Francisco Trinaldo 0 12 of 51 23% 13 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:45
King Green 0 17 of 47 36% 18 of 48 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Francisco Trinaldo 31 of 122 25% 20 of 100 5 of 14 6 of 8 26 of 109 5 of 13 0 of 0
King Green 50 of 115 43% 27 of 77 13 of 24 10 of 14 43 of 106 1 of 2 6 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Francisco Trinaldo 4 of 13 30% 4 of 12 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 10 2 of 3 0 of 0
King Green 9 of 18 50% 3 of 10 4 of 5 2 of 3 4 of 12 0 of 0 5 of 6
2 Francisco Trinaldo 15 of 58 25% 4 of 41 5 of 10 6 of 7 13 of 54 2 of 4 0 of 0
King Green 24 of 50 48% 14 of 32 5 of 12 5 of 6 24 of 49 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Francisco Trinaldo 12 of 51 23% 12 of 47 0 of 3 0 of 1 11 of 45 1 of 6 0 of 0
King Green 17 of 47 36% 10 of 35 4 of 7 3 of 5 15 of 45 1 of 1 1 of 1
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Drakkar Klose 0 92 of 154 59% 110 of 176 1 of 4 25% 1 0 3:41
King Green 0 58 of 131 44% 69 of 143 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Drakkar Klose 0 30 of 47 63% 32 of 49 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:09
King Green 0 18 of 40 45% 22 of 44 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:46
2 Drakkar Klose 0 22 of 32 68% 38 of 52 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:57
King Green 0 7 of 17 41% 13 of 24 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:05
3 Drakkar Klose 0 40 of 75 53% 40 of 75 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:35
King Green 0 33 of 74 44% 34 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Drakkar Klose 92 of 154 59% 39 of 91 27 of 31 26 of 32 69 of 126 13 of 15 10 of 13
King Green 58 of 131 44% 26 of 89 12 of 16 20 of 26 45 of 114 9 of 11 4 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Drakkar Klose 30 of 47 63% 4 of 17 12 of 13 14 of 17 24 of 41 6 of 6 0 of 0
King Green 18 of 40 45% 2 of 19 5 of 7 11 of 14 15 of 37 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Drakkar Klose 22 of 32 68% 13 of 22 6 of 6 3 of 4 10 of 17 2 of 2 10 of 13
King Green 7 of 17 41% 4 of 12 2 of 3 1 of 2 4 of 14 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Drakkar Klose 40 of 75 53% 22 of 52 9 of 12 9 of 11 35 of 68 5 of 7 0 of 0
King Green 33 of 74 44% 20 of 58 5 of 6 8 of 10 26 of 63 3 of 5 4 of 6
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 0 56 of 146 38% 60 of 150 1 of 1 100% 0 1 1:57
Erik Koch 0 110 of 194 56% 134 of 220 1 of 5 20% 0 1 3:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 22 of 45 48% 26 of 49 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:29
Erik Koch 0 27 of 40 67% 29 of 42 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:43
2 King Green 0 25 of 72 34% 25 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Erik Koch 0 34 of 77 44% 36 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
3 King Green 0 9 of 29 31% 9 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:28
Erik Koch 0 49 of 77 63% 69 of 98 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:29
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 56 of 146 38% 45 of 129 7 of 10 4 of 7 45 of 129 3 of 6 8 of 11
Erik Koch 110 of 194 56% 48 of 116 43 of 56 19 of 22 55 of 128 37 of 42 18 of 24
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 22 of 45 48% 17 of 38 1 of 1 4 of 6 13 of 33 1 of 2 8 of 10
Erik Koch 27 of 40 67% 8 of 16 7 of 12 12 of 12 13 of 25 14 of 15 0 of 0
2 King Green 25 of 72 34% 19 of 64 6 of 7 0 of 1 23 of 68 2 of 4 0 of 0
Erik Koch 34 of 77 44% 12 of 45 18 of 25 4 of 7 20 of 61 14 of 16 0 of 0
3 King Green 9 of 29 31% 9 of 27 0 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 1
Erik Koch 49 of 77 63% 28 of 55 18 of 19 3 of 3 22 of 42 9 of 11 18 of 24
Draw (split) (29–27, 27–29, 28–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lando Vannata 1 104 of 232 44% 111 of 239 4 of 5 80% 1 0 1:08
King Green 0 93 of 232 40% 104 of 246 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lando Vannata 1 31 of 58 53% 35 of 62 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:42
King Green 0 23 of 48 47% 24 of 50 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:54
2 Lando Vannata 0 29 of 65 44% 30 of 66 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:15
King Green 0 32 of 77 41% 38 of 84 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:40
3 Lando Vannata 0 44 of 109 40% 46 of 111 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:11
King Green 0 38 of 107 35% 42 of 112 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lando Vannata 104 of 232 44% 67 of 180 19 of 32 18 of 20 89 of 206 6 of 9 9 of 17
King Green 93 of 232 40% 66 of 195 15 of 22 12 of 15 74 of 210 19 of 22 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lando Vannata 31 of 58 53% 22 of 47 4 of 6 5 of 5 17 of 36 5 of 5 9 of 17
King Green 23 of 48 47% 10 of 31 7 of 9 6 of 8 16 of 41 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Lando Vannata 29 of 65 44% 16 of 47 7 of 10 6 of 8 29 of 64 0 of 1 0 of 0
King Green 32 of 77 41% 24 of 66 4 of 7 4 of 4 24 of 66 8 of 11 0 of 0
3 Lando Vannata 44 of 109 40% 29 of 86 8 of 16 7 of 7 43 of 106 1 of 3 0 of 0
King Green 38 of 107 35% 32 of 98 4 of 6 2 of 3 34 of 103 4 of 4 0 of 0
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rashid Magomedov 0 75 of 143 52% 104 of 176 0 of 6 0% 0 0 2:29
King Green 0 75 of 189 39% 88 of 202 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rashid Magomedov 0 26 of 39 66% 36 of 50 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:16
King Green 0 17 of 47 36% 25 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Rashid Magomedov 0 24 of 42 57% 33 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:42
King Green 0 26 of 72 36% 29 of 75 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Rashid Magomedov 0 25 of 62 40% 35 of 74 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:31
King Green 0 32 of 70 45% 34 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rashid Magomedov 75 of 143 52% 14 of 71 27 of 33 34 of 39 60 of 124 15 of 19 0 of 0
King Green 75 of 189 39% 43 of 140 28 of 41 4 of 8 69 of 180 5 of 8 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rashid Magomedov 26 of 39 66% 2 of 13 9 of 10 15 of 16 15 of 27 11 of 12 0 of 0
King Green 17 of 47 36% 11 of 35 6 of 10 0 of 2 13 of 42 3 of 4 1 of 1
2 Rashid Magomedov 24 of 42 57% 6 of 22 8 of 8 10 of 12 22 of 38 2 of 4 0 of 0
King Green 26 of 72 36% 12 of 50 11 of 17 3 of 5 26 of 71 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Rashid Magomedov 25 of 62 40% 6 of 36 10 of 15 9 of 11 23 of 59 2 of 3 0 of 0
King Green 32 of 70 45% 20 of 55 11 of 14 1 of 1 30 of 67 2 of 3 0 of 0
KO (punches) R1 2:53
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Poirier 2 36 of 66 54% 36 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
King Green 0 16 of 35 45% 17 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Poirier 2 36 of 66 54% 36 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
King Green 0 16 of 35 45% 17 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Poirier 36 of 66 54% 31 of 58 1 of 4 4 of 4 25 of 46 6 of 14 5 of 6
King Green 16 of 35 45% 13 of 29 2 of 3 1 of 3 15 of 32 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Poirier 36 of 66 54% 31 of 58 1 of 4 4 of 4 25 of 46 6 of 14 5 of 6
King Green 16 of 35 45% 13 of 29 2 of 3 1 of 3 15 of 32 1 of 3 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Edson Barboza 0 50 of 123 40% 50 of 123 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:02
King Green 0 54 of 133 40% 54 of 133 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Edson Barboza 0 17 of 40 42% 17 of 40 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
King Green 0 24 of 52 46% 24 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Edson Barboza 0 17 of 43 39% 17 of 43 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
King Green 0 16 of 41 39% 16 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Edson Barboza 0 16 of 40 40% 16 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
King Green 0 14 of 40 35% 14 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Edson Barboza 50 of 123 40% 27 of 86 10 of 19 13 of 18 50 of 123 0 of 0 0 of 0
King Green 54 of 133 40% 25 of 87 10 of 21 19 of 25 52 of 129 0 of 2 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Edson Barboza 17 of 40 42% 10 of 25 3 of 7 4 of 8 17 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
King Green 24 of 52 46% 6 of 28 6 of 11 12 of 13 22 of 50 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 Edson Barboza 17 of 43 39% 8 of 32 3 of 5 6 of 6 17 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
King Green 16 of 41 39% 10 of 29 1 of 4 5 of 8 16 of 39 0 of 2 0 of 0
3 Edson Barboza 16 of 40 40% 9 of 29 4 of 7 3 of 4 16 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
King Green 14 of 40 35% 9 of 30 3 of 6 2 of 4 14 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 0 45 of 120 37% 45 of 120 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:19
Josh Thomson 0 59 of 141 41% 63 of 145 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 12 of 37 32% 12 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Josh Thomson 0 18 of 51 35% 18 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 King Green 0 18 of 49 36% 18 of 49 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:09
Josh Thomson 0 23 of 48 47% 23 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 King Green 0 15 of 34 44% 15 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Josh Thomson 0 18 of 42 42% 22 of 46 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 45 of 120 37% 25 of 91 5 of 10 15 of 19 40 of 111 2 of 5 3 of 4
Josh Thomson 59 of 141 41% 18 of 79 23 of 37 18 of 25 56 of 135 3 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 12 of 37 32% 6 of 28 0 of 1 6 of 8 12 of 35 0 of 2 0 of 0
Josh Thomson 18 of 51 35% 3 of 25 5 of 12 10 of 14 18 of 49 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 King Green 18 of 49 36% 11 of 38 2 of 5 5 of 6 17 of 47 1 of 2 0 of 0
Josh Thomson 23 of 48 47% 9 of 29 10 of 14 4 of 5 23 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 King Green 15 of 34 44% 8 of 25 3 of 4 4 of 5 11 of 29 1 of 1 3 of 4
Josh Thomson 18 of 42 42% 6 of 25 8 of 11 4 of 6 15 of 38 3 of 4 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 0 80 of 138 57% 93 of 152 3 of 6 50% 0 0 2:30
Pat Healy 0 59 of 227 25% 105 of 285 2 of 9 22% 0 0 3:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 31 of 60 51% 36 of 65 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:09
Pat Healy 0 18 of 90 20% 25 of 102 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:02
2 King Green 0 24 of 39 61% 29 of 44 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:33
Pat Healy 0 17 of 70 24% 39 of 93 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:14
3 King Green 0 25 of 39 64% 28 of 43 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:48
Pat Healy 0 24 of 67 35% 41 of 90 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:49
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 80 of 138 57% 68 of 119 8 of 14 4 of 5 68 of 126 10 of 10 2 of 2
Pat Healy 59 of 227 25% 45 of 188 13 of 37 1 of 2 43 of 199 7 of 13 9 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 31 of 60 51% 25 of 49 5 of 9 1 of 2 26 of 55 3 of 3 2 of 2
Pat Healy 18 of 90 20% 13 of 76 5 of 14 0 of 0 17 of 87 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 King Green 24 of 39 61% 22 of 36 0 of 1 2 of 2 22 of 37 2 of 2 0 of 0
Pat Healy 17 of 70 24% 15 of 57 2 of 12 0 of 1 13 of 62 4 of 8 0 of 0
3 King Green 25 of 39 64% 21 of 34 3 of 4 1 of 1 20 of 34 5 of 5 0 of 0
Pat Healy 24 of 67 35% 17 of 55 6 of 11 1 of 1 13 of 50 2 of 2 9 of 15
TKO (body kick) R1 3:50
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 1 20 of 54 37% 20 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
James Krause 0 22 of 64 34% 22 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 1 20 of 54 37% 20 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
James Krause 0 22 of 64 34% 22 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 20 of 54 37% 5 of 29 7 of 16 8 of 9 20 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
James Krause 22 of 64 34% 14 of 51 2 of 3 6 of 10 21 of 63 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 20 of 54 37% 5 of 29 7 of 16 8 of 9 20 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
James Krause 22 of 64 34% 14 of 51 2 of 3 6 of 10 21 of 63 1 of 1 0 of 0
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 4:25
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
King Green 0 6 of 51 11% 11 of 60 4 of 12 33% 0 0 5:38
Jacob Volkmann 0 54 of 90 60% 69 of 106 1 of 1 100% 1 2 4:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 King Green 0 3 of 23 13% 8 of 32 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:50
Jacob Volkmann 0 3 of 13 23% 3 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 King Green 0 1 of 8 12% 1 of 8 1 of 6 16% 0 0 1:15
Jacob Volkmann 0 20 of 27 74% 32 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:35
3 King Green 0 2 of 20 10% 2 of 20 2 of 5 40% 0 0 0:33
Jacob Volkmann 0 31 of 50 62% 34 of 54 1 of 1 100% 1 2 1:59
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
King Green 6 of 51 11% 4 of 37 1 of 6 1 of 8 3 of 44 0 of 0 3 of 7
Jacob Volkmann 54 of 90 60% 34 of 64 14 of 19 6 of 7 17 of 44 9 of 9 28 of 37
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 King Green 3 of 23 13% 3 of 15 0 of 4 0 of 4 0 of 16 0 of 0 3 of 7
Jacob Volkmann 3 of 13 23% 0 of 7 1 of 3 2 of 3 3 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 King Green 1 of 8 12% 0 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jacob Volkmann 20 of 27 74% 12 of 19 5 of 5 3 of 3 5 of 8 5 of 5 10 of 14
3 King Green 2 of 20 10% 1 of 16 1 of 2 0 of 2 2 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jacob Volkmann 31 of 50 62% 22 of 38 8 of 11 1 of 1 9 of 23 4 of 4 18 of 23