Career Averages - Junior dos Santos
Career Averages - Stipe Miocic
Junior dos Santos - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciryl Gane | 0 | 10 of 35 | 28% | 11 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Junior dos Santos | 1 | 59 of 80 | 73% | 61 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:25 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciryl Gane | 0 | 9 of 23 | 39% | 9 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Junior dos Santos | 0 | 37 of 47 | 78% | 37 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 | |
| 2 | Ciryl Gane | 0 | 1 of 12 | 8% | 2 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Junior dos Santos | 1 | 22 of 33 | 66% | 24 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciryl Gane | 10 of 35 | 28% | 6 of 26 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Junior dos Santos | 59 of 80 | 73% | 13 of 28 | 17 of 20 | 29 of 32 | 53 of 74 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciryl Gane | 9 of 23 | 39% | 5 of 15 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Junior dos Santos | 37 of 47 | 78% | 7 of 16 | 12 of 12 | 18 of 19 | 36 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ciryl Gane | 1 of 12 | 8% | 1 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Junior dos Santos | 22 of 33 | 66% | 6 of 12 | 5 of 8 | 11 of 13 | 17 of 28 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
The main card opens up with a matchup as old as time, when the old lion and former champ dos Santos (21-8, 15-7 UFC) squares off with the young, hungry unbeaten up-and-comer Gane (6-0, 3-0 UFC). Keeping tabs on this heavyweight contest with two men combining for 21 stoppages across their 27 wins will be referee Jerin Valel. The glove touch checks in the bout, and we are underway! Both men are light on their feet in the early going, with neither committing on their strikes until Gane lands a leg kick. Gane reaches forward to try to lock on to a front choke from a standing position, but there is nothing to it so dos Santos shoves Gane away. Gane connects with several effective leg kicks, and dos Santos sits down on two punches but neither land flush. The Brazilian absorbs another leg kick and scores an overhand right, but he takes a hard body kick along the way. Gane lets loose a head kick, and dos Santos is barely able to block it and he returns with a leg kick of his own. The former champ marches him down and lands a punch to the body, but Gane circles out and does the same. Dos Santos sneaks in a heavy leg kick, but Gane returns fire with the same strike. Gane again fires off a head kick, and dos Santos blocks it once more but cannot make his opponent pay for it. Gane aims a leg kick while dos Santos swings a looping left hand, but the foot of the Frenchman slams into the cup and pauses the fight. Dos Santos recovers, and Valel warns Gane to close his fists as well. Gane starts up with leg kicks to both sides, and dos Santos walks through them and absorbs a front kick to the body as well. Gane chips away from a distance with leg kicks, and he scores a body kick as well, but dos Santos comes back at him with one. Gane stomps at the knee, and he drops his shin into dos Santos’ body. Dos Santos tries to grab his leg and toss him over, but Gane recovers and keeps his kicks going. Dos Santos crowds him and whiffs with a massive overhand right, so Gane targets the body and gets drilled with a spinning back kick. Two huge punches get Gane’s attention, and the Frenchman scrambles out of the way until the horn separates the two strikers.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gane
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gane
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gane
Round 2
The glove touch kicks off the second stanza, and Gane is ready to chop down the lead leg of the ex-champ early. Dos Santos tries to return fire, and he ducks a left hand only to miss with his own. Gane digs the kicks into dos Santos’s leg, forcing a brief stance switch. Gane ducks down to throw a bit punch, and dos Santos does the same but neither can connect. Gane smashes his foot into dos Santos’’ torso, and dos Santos spins with a back fist that is feet away of his target. Dos Santos checks a kick and dings Gane with a right hand as Gane crashes forward. The Brazilian separates and gets stomp kicked in the leg. Gane works the leg with more kicks as dos Santos stalks him down, and dos Santos is unable to find his range as he swings and misses with a left hook. Gane hurts dos Santos with another leg kick, and he follows it with a piston-like jab that rocks “Cigano.” Gane steps forward with an elbow that makes dos Santos’ knees weak. A knee up the middle, and one more huge elbow lands behind dos Santos’ ear, and dos Santos falls forward and is done as Gane hammers him with a few academic punches. Valel calls the fight, and dos Santos pops up to protest the strike that may have landed on the mohawk line on the back of the head. Dos Santos calls Gane and Valel over to watch the replay, and the spot of the strike may be questionable and might draw further review at a later date. Regardless of the position of the strike – dos Santos was turning as Gane landed the blow, and Valel ruled it legal in the cage – this is a stellar performance for Gane, notching by far the biggest win of his career over a former champion.
The Official Result
Ciryl Gane def. Junior dos Santos R2 2:34 via TKO (Elbows)
Big Brady picks Ciryl Gane to win by second-round knockout. He notes Gane's reach advantage and JDS's declining chin, having been knocked out in three straight fights. He believes Gane's power will be enough to finish JDS and sees the fight staying on the feet. He thinks the line is fair and Gane is a solid parlay piece.
Daniel is very high on Gane, calling him the best heavyweight prospect on earth. He praises Gane's composure, kickboxing background, stance switching, and finishing ability. He believes Gane will knock out dos Santos, noting dos Santos's decline and chin issues. He suggests Gane might be a nice parlay piece.
Gane is younger, faster, and more athletic with excellent movement and striking. Dos Santos is on a three-fight losing streak and has been knocked out in his last two. Gane should be able to pick JDS apart from the outside and avoid the clinch. The -410 line is steep, but Gane is a safe parlay piece. Expect a decision win for Gane.
The MMA Guru picks Ciryl Gane, citing Junior dos Santos' recent KO losses and Gane's year-long training camp. He believes Gane will put power behind his shots and finish JDS in the first two rounds by TKO. He notes Gane's ability to turn it on when he wants and expects a dominant performance.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 0 | 24 of 44 | 54% | 24 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Junior dos Santos | 1 | 42 of 66 | 63% | 42 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 0 | 13 of 23 | 56% | 13 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Junior dos Santos | 0 | 18 of 27 | 66% | 18 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 0 | 11 of 21 | 52% | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Junior dos Santos | 1 | 24 of 39 | 61% | 24 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 24 of 44 | 54% | 6 of 22 | 13 of 15 | 5 of 7 | 24 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Junior dos Santos | 42 of 66 | 63% | 21 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 20 of 23 | 30 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 17 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 13 of 23 | 56% | 2 of 10 | 7 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 13 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Junior dos Santos | 18 of 27 | 66% | 4 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 15 | 18 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jairzinho Rozenstruik | 11 of 21 | 52% | 4 of 12 | 6 of 6 | 1 of 3 | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Junior dos Santos | 24 of 39 | 61% | 17 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 8 | 12 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 17 |
Big Brady picks Rozenstruik to knock out dos Santos in the first round. He cites dos Santos' declining chin and poor fight IQ, while Rozenstruik has power and durability. He dismisses dos Santos' takedown threat due to lack of recent takedowns.
Daniel Levi picks Jairzinho Rozenstruik to knock out Junior dos Santos. He believes JDS is past his prime, fighting for a paycheck, and showed a lack of heart in the Curtis Blaydes loss. He notes that JDS hasn't landed a takedown since 2014 and will likely stand and trade with Rozenstruik, who is the better striker at this point. He also mentions that Rozenstruik's clinch and ground game are weak, but JDS won't exploit them.
Rozenstruik is the more calculated and educated striker with power and youth advantage. Dos Santos has declining chin and poor striking defense, often keeping his hands down. Rozenstruik will set up shots with leg kicks and counters, eventually clipping JDS. Dos Santos is a bad matchup for JDS stylistically, as he struggles against pure strikers with power.
The MMA Guru picks Junior dos Santos by first-round TKO via ground and pound. He believes JDS will use his technical striking to earn respect, then shoot for a double-leg takedown and dominate on the ground. He notes Rozenstruik is coming off a quick KO loss and may be rushed back.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Blaydes | 0 | 28 of 60 | 46% | 29 of 62 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Junior dos Santos | 0 | 7 of 30 | 23% | 7 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curtis Blaydes | 0 | 14 of 38 | 36% | 15 of 40 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Junior dos Santos | 0 | 5 of 23 | 21% | 5 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Curtis Blaydes | 0 | 14 of 22 | 63% | 14 of 22 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Junior dos Santos | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Blaydes | 28 of 60 | 46% | 20 of 51 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 6 | 19 of 51 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Junior dos Santos | 7 of 30 | 23% | 3 of 23 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curtis Blaydes | 14 of 38 | 36% | 8 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 14 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Junior dos Santos | 5 of 23 | 21% | 2 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Curtis Blaydes | 14 of 22 | 63% | 12 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 13 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Junior dos Santos | 2 of 7 | 28% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel picks Curtis Blaydes to win via ground-and-pound TKO in the third round. He notes that Blaydes' grappling is dominant and that JDS has historically struggled with wrestlers. He acknowledges JDS's puncher's chance but believes Blaydes will avoid getting caught and wear him down.
The MMA Guru picks Curtis Blaydes, citing his dominant wrestling game and recent TKO wins over Shamil Abdurakhimov and Aleksei Oleinik. He notes Junior dos Santos is coming off a KO loss to Francis Ngannou and questions his commitment. He predicts Blaydes will rag-doll dos Santos and finish him by TKO in the second or third round via ground-and-pound.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Ngannou | 1 | 9 of 19 | 47% | 9 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Junior dos Santos | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francis Ngannou | 1 | 9 of 19 | 47% | 9 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Junior dos Santos | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Ngannou | 9 of 19 | 47% | 5 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 |
| Junior dos Santos | 4 of 6 | 66% | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francis Ngannou | 9 of 19 | 47% | 5 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 |
| Junior dos Santos | 4 of 6 | 66% | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior dos Santos | 0 | 7 of 25 | 28% | 7 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Derrick Lewis | 1 | 29 of 55 | 52% | 29 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Junior dos Santos | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Derrick Lewis | 0 | 18 of 37 | 48% | 18 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 2 | Junior dos Santos | 0 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Derrick Lewis | 1 | 11 of 18 | 61% | 11 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior dos Santos | 7 of 25 | 28% | 2 of 17 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Derrick Lewis | 29 of 55 | 52% | 15 of 37 | 7 of 10 | 7 of 8 | 20 of 35 | 6 of 11 | 3 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Junior dos Santos | 6 of 16 | 37% | 2 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Derrick Lewis | 18 of 37 | 48% | 6 of 21 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 7 | 13 of 27 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Junior dos Santos | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Derrick Lewis | 11 of 18 | 61% | 9 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 9 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
We’ve finally arrived at the main event, a five-round heavyweight bout between knockout artists Junior dos Santos and Derrick Lewis. The referee for the main event is Herb Dean. Lewis lands a hard leg kick and dos Santos returns with one of his own. Lewis with a high kick but dos Santos blocks it. Dos Santos accidentally poked Lewis in the eye and Herb Dean pauses the fight. Dean gives dos Santos a stern warning to keep his hand closed. Lewis with a body kick. Dos Santos with a spinning back fist. Lewis catches him with a counter straight right that knocks dos Santos backwards, though he doesn’t fall down. Dos Santos with a massive overhand right that rocks Lewis. As Dos Santos moves in lewis lands a right hook of his own that sends dos Santos backwards. Crazy heavyweight action here. Lewis just misses landing an overhand right as dos Santos ducks under it. Dos Santos with a straight right. Low kick by dos Santos. Lewis just misses landing a high kick. Spinning back kick by dos Santos that hurts Lewis. He is clutching over in pain. As dos Santos rushes in Lewis lands a right hook on him. It looks like he may be playing possum but Lewis is covering up now and dos Santos is teeing off on Lewis. He doesn't get the finish and the round is over. This is wild. What a round.
Sherdog Scores
Adam Martin scores the round: 10-9 dos Santos
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 dos Santos
Cole Shelton scores the round: 10-9 dos Santos
Round 2
Round two begins. Lewis with another high kick that is partially blocked by dos Santos. Lewis lands a hard low kick. He nearly catches dos Santos with an overhand right but dos Santos scoots away. Another high kick by Lewis but again it’s partially blocked by dos Santos.
Dos Santos moves in and lands an overhand right that badly hurts Lewis. He’s teeing off on Lewis now with punches. Lewis falls to the mat and dos Santos continues to land ground and pound as Herb Dean rushes in and stops the fight
. Fantastic performance by the former champion.
The Official Result
Junior dos Santos def. Derrick Lewis via TKO (Punches) R2, 1:58
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior dos Santos | 1 | 26 of 65 | 40% | 37 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Tai Tuivasa | 0 | 16 of 42 | 38% | 16 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Junior dos Santos | 0 | 10 of 23 | 43% | 12 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tai Tuivasa | 0 | 12 of 32 | 37% | 12 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:57 | |
| 2 | Junior dos Santos | 1 | 16 of 42 | 38% | 25 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Tai Tuivasa | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior dos Santos | 26 of 65 | 40% | 20 of 55 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 15 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 11 of 27 |
| Tai Tuivasa | 16 of 42 | 38% | 9 of 33 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 5 | 10 of 32 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Junior dos Santos | 10 of 23 | 43% | 4 of 14 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tai Tuivasa | 12 of 32 | 37% | 6 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 22 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Junior dos Santos | 16 of 42 | 38% | 16 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 11 of 27 |
| Tai Tuivasa | 4 of 10 | 40% | 3 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Tuivasa lunges forward aggressively and stumbles into the cage after missing a combination. Tuivasa is getting a little wild in his pursuit early on, as he falls forward again. Dos Santos circles on the outside, looking to jab the body. Tuivasa ties up his opponent and presses him into the fence. Dos Santos breaks free and comes up short on a spinning back kick. “Cigano” whiffs on a massive overhand. A short right from JDS catches Tuivasa coming in. “Bam Bam” is unfazed and he clinches, landing an elbow on the break. A spinning back kick up high glances past Tuivasa’s head. A right uppercut lands for dos Santos, but Tuivasa remains in pursuit. A low kick by Tuivasa makes JDS stumble. Tuivasa moves into the clinch, and he goes to the body and then lands a big punch upstairs. Tuivasa finds the Brazilian’s chin once more before forcing another clinch. Strong close to the round for Tuivasa. 10-9 Tuivasa.
Round 2
Dos Santos’ mobility already looks hindered at the outset of the period due to the leg kick from the previous round. Tuivasa punches his way into the clinch. then they separate. Tuivasa follows an overhand right back into the clinch once again. Dos Santos checks a leg kick and lands one of his own. Tuivasa lands a right to the body and presses the Brazilian back into the fence. The former heavyweight champ rocks Tuivasa, who shakes it off and waves his foe on. Dos Santos tags an onrushing Tuivasa with a left hook to the chin, then drops him with a short right. JDS follows his foe to the mat and ends up in side control, where he drops short elbows to the head. “Cigano” moves to mount. He postures up and unloads with punches and hammerfists. Herb Dean is taking a close look, and after watching a flurry of unanswered ground-and-pound, he calls off the heavyweight fight.
The Result
Junior dos Santos def. Tai Tuivasa via TKO (Punches) R2 2:30
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior dos Santos | 0 | 110 of 248 | 44% | 110 of 248 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 51 of 229 | 22% | 51 of 229 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Junior dos Santos | 0 | 8 of 28 | 28% | 8 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 5 of 26 | 19% | 5 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Junior dos Santos | 0 | 26 of 48 | 54% | 26 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 6 of 38 | 15% | 6 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Junior dos Santos | 0 | 19 of 48 | 39% | 19 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 8 of 45 | 17% | 8 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 4 | Junior dos Santos | 0 | 20 of 57 | 35% | 20 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 15 of 59 | 25% | 15 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Junior dos Santos | 0 | 37 of 67 | 55% | 37 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 17 of 61 | 27% | 17 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior dos Santos | 110 of 248 | 44% | 66 of 170 | 41 of 75 | 3 of 3 | 110 of 248 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 51 of 229 | 22% | 40 of 213 | 10 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 49 of 227 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Junior dos Santos | 8 of 28 | 28% | 2 of 11 | 5 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 5 of 26 | 19% | 4 of 23 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Junior dos Santos | 26 of 48 | 54% | 16 of 30 | 9 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 26 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 6 of 38 | 15% | 3 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Junior dos Santos | 19 of 48 | 39% | 16 of 38 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 8 of 45 | 17% | 6 of 40 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Junior dos Santos | 20 of 57 | 35% | 12 of 43 | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 15 of 59 | 25% | 13 of 57 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Junior dos Santos | 37 of 67 | 55% | 20 of 48 | 16 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 37 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 17 of 61 | 27% | 14 of 58 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 59 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stipe Miocic | 1 | 26 of 56 | 46% | 26 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Junior dos Santos | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stipe Miocic | 1 | 26 of 56 | 46% | 26 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Junior dos Santos | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stipe Miocic | 26 of 56 | 46% | 23 of 50 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 15 of 39 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 13 |
| Junior dos Santos | 12 of 18 | 66% | 4 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stipe Miocic | 26 of 56 | 46% | 23 of 50 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 15 of 39 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 13 |
| Junior dos Santos | 12 of 18 | 66% | 4 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Stipe Miocic - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Jones | 1 | 96 of 119 | 80% | 104 of 128 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:51 |
| Stipe Miocic | 0 | 37 of 89 | 41% | 42 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Jones | 0 | 42 of 48 | 87% | 49 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:37 |
| Stipe Miocic | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 11 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jon Jones | 0 | 20 of 28 | 71% | 20 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Stipe Miocic | 0 | 16 of 37 | 43% | 16 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jon Jones | 1 | 34 of 43 | 79% | 35 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Stipe Miocic | 0 | 15 of 39 | 38% | 15 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Jones | 96 of 119 | 80% | 70 of 91 | 16 of 18 | 10 of 10 | 54 of 70 | 2 of 3 | 40 of 46 |
| Stipe Miocic | 37 of 89 | 41% | 24 of 75 | 7 of 8 | 6 of 6 | 32 of 83 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Jones | 42 of 48 | 87% | 36 of 42 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 37 of 42 |
| Stipe Miocic | 6 of 13 | 46% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Jon Jones | 20 of 28 | 71% | 9 of 16 | 7 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 19 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Stipe Miocic | 16 of 37 | 43% | 9 of 29 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jon Jones | 34 of 43 | 79% | 25 of 33 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 30 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 4 |
| Stipe Miocic | 15 of 39 | 38% | 12 of 36 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 34 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Jon Jones, citing his all-around greatness, youth, and activity compared to Stipe Miocic, who is a full-time fireman on a four-year layoff. He expects Jones to take Miocic down early and dominate. He thinks Jones should be -1500 and will win easily.
Big Brady picks Jon Jones but expects a slow, disappointing fight. He notes that Stipe Miocic is old and washed, having looked slow against Francis Ngannou four years ago, but he doesn't think Jones will finish him early. He cites Jones' recent lackluster performances against Dominick Reyes and Thiago Santos. He predicts a decision win for Jones and likes the over on 40.5 significant strikes for Jones on PrizePicks.
Cody picks Jon Jones, citing Jones' legendary durability and distance management. He notes Stipe is 43, hasn't fought in 3.5 years, and looked slow against Ngannou. Cody expects Jones to win a 49-46 decision or possibly get a late submission, but sees the fight going the distance. He mentions the over 2.5 rounds as a potential prop.
Connor also picks Jones, emphasizing that Stipe is old and likely shot, and that Jones's wrestling and size will be too much. He notes that Stipe's last performance against Ngannou was poor and he looked aimless. Connor expects Jones to take Stipe down and submit him, possibly after a tentative first round.
Daniel Vreeland picks Jon Jones to win, citing Jones' superior MMA wrestling, takedown defense (95%), reach advantage, and younger age. He believes Jones will use oblique kicks to immobilize Stipe, mix in takedowns, and dictate the pace. He acknowledges Stipe's boxing and wrestling credentials but thinks Jones' overall MMA game is superior. He notes that Stipe hasn't fought since 2021 and may have declined.
Vreeland picks Jones emphatically, calling it tragic that this fight is happening. He notes Stipe hasn't fought anyone well-rounded since 2018, is 42, semi-retired, and was knocked out badly by Ngannou. Vreeland believes Jones will win by knockout, possibly with a 12-to-6 elbow, and that Stipe will look old when he gets knocked out.
Fox picks Jones, agreeing that Stipe has no chance. He notes Jones is younger, has a reach advantage, and is the better fighter everywhere. Fox expects Jones to win by knockout, possibly with a 12-to-6 elbow, and thinks Stipe's chin is compromised after the Ngannou KO.
Lucrative James picks Jon Jones to win, citing Stipe Miocic's age (42) and four-year layoff as major concerns. He believes Stipe will look stiff and has lost athleticism, while Jones has an iron chin, superior striking at all ranges, and much better MMA wrestling and grappling. He predicts Jones will win inside the distance, likely within the first two rounds, and notes that Jones can win however he wants if Stipe is a shell of his former self.
The host expects Jones to continue his dominant ways as he did against Gane, getting to his grappling and keeping Miocic on his back. He mentions Jones might use 12-to-6 elbows but ultimately finds the neck and gets a submission victory.
Paul picks Jon Jones, calling it a freak show fight. He argues Jones has fought weak competition and had close fights with lesser opponents, but Stipe is faded and hasn't fought in three years. Paul expects Jones to win by decision, possibly 49-46, and likes the over 2.5 rounds. He notes Jones' distance management and Stipe's age and inactivity.
The MMA Guru picks Jon Jones, expecting a finish in the first or second round. He describes Jones's oblique kicks and clinch work breaking down the 42-year-old Miocic. He predicts a guillotine choke after a takedown, noting Stipe's tendency to scramble into submissions.
Zane picks Jones, noting that Stipe is old and inactive, having not fought in over three years and showing no interest in fighting. He expects a slog for a round or two, then Jones will take Stipe down and finish him via submission or ground-and-pound. Zane mentions Jones's wrestling and size advantage, and that Stipe's chin and durability are questionable at this stage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Ngannou | 0 | 12 of 13 | 92% | 12 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Stipe Miocic | 2 | 36 of 56 | 64% | 38 of 58 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francis Ngannou | 0 | 8 of 8 | 100% | 8 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Stipe Miocic | 0 | 23 of 37 | 62% | 24 of 38 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 2 | Francis Ngannou | 0 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Stipe Miocic | 2 | 13 of 19 | 68% | 14 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Ngannou | 12 of 13 | 92% | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 7 | 12 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Stipe Miocic | 36 of 56 | 64% | 28 of 46 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 17 of 36 | 8 of 8 | 11 of 12 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francis Ngannou | 8 of 8 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 7 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Stipe Miocic | 23 of 37 | 62% | 16 of 28 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 11 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 10 | |
| 2 | Francis Ngannou | 4 of 5 | 80% | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Stipe Miocic | 13 of 19 | 68% | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 12 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
Big Brady picks Stipe Miocic to win by fifth-round TKO. He believes Stipe is the more well-rounded fighter with better cardio and fight IQ. He expects Stipe to survive the early rounds by clinching and attempting takedowns to tire Ngannou, then take over as the fight progresses. He notes that Ngannou only landed two significant strikes after the second round in their first fight. However, he acknowledges Ngannou's one-shot knockout power and says he would not bet the fight at current odds.
Cody backs Ngannou, citing his generational power and the fact that he has been training wrestling defense with Kamaru Usman. He believes Ngannou's strategy is to go out and kill his opponent early, and if he lands, it's over. He acknowledges the cardio concerns but thinks Ngannou's durability held up in the first fight and that he has improved mentally since the Lewis loss.
Daniel Levi picks Francis Ngannou to win by first-round knockout. He emphasizes that Ngannou is now focused, has the right team, and has learned from his first fight with Stipe. He notes that Stipe has absorbed over 300 head strikes since their first fight, including a knockout loss, while Ngannou has taken minimal damage. Levi believes Ngannou's power and improved mental approach will lead to a violent finish.
The host believes Stipe Miocic will retain his title by third-round TKO. He notes that Stipe has improved his cardio and fight IQ since their first fight, as seen in the Cormier trilogy. He expects Stipe to use head movement, smart takedown entries to the weak side, and mix in grappling to wear down Ngannou, who he thinks will gas after a round and a half if he doesn't get the knockout. He compares the matchup to Lewis vs Blaydes and Gane vs Rozenstruik, where the more skilled fighter won. He advises that if backing Ngannou, take the KO prop because he won't win by decision.
Paul picks Stipe Miocic, emphasizing his wrestling advantage, cardio advantage, and later-round experience. He notes that Stipe has shown he can take Ngannou's punches and grind him down, as seen in the first fight. He also highlights Stipe's success in rematches, having avenged losses to JDS and Cormier. Paul is confident that if Ngannou doesn't knock him out early, Stipe will take over.
The Guru picks Stipe Miocic, emphasizing that Stipe has improved since the first fight: better footwork, cardio, wrestling, and clinch work from his camps against Daniel Cormier. He argues that Stipe's wrestling is the key difference, as he can take Ngannou down and control him, unlike other heavyweights who tried to stand and trade. He predicts Ngannou will be hesitant and gas out, leading to a TKO in the third or fourth round. He acknowledges the puncher's chance for Ngannou but relies on evidence over guesswork.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stipe Miocic | 1 | 115 of 187 | 61% | 171 of 244 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 5:52 |
| Daniel Cormier | 0 | 105 of 183 | 57% | 145 of 223 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 20 of 33 | 60% | 22 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Daniel Cormier | 0 | 14 of 25 | 56% | 14 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 | |
| 2 | Stipe Miocic | 1 | 24 of 39 | 61% | 38 of 54 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Daniel Cormier | 0 | 26 of 53 | 49% | 26 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 28 of 48 | 58% | 46 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:53 |
| Daniel Cormier | 0 | 16 of 32 | 50% | 34 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 16 of 32 | 50% | 23 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Daniel Cormier | 0 | 30 of 43 | 69% | 41 of 54 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 27 of 35 | 77% | 42 of 50 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:27 |
| Daniel Cormier | 0 | 19 of 30 | 63% | 30 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stipe Miocic | 115 of 187 | 61% | 67 of 136 | 31 of 34 | 17 of 17 | 101 of 169 | 14 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Cormier | 105 of 183 | 57% | 70 of 132 | 11 of 24 | 24 of 27 | 95 of 171 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stipe Miocic | 20 of 33 | 60% | 7 of 19 | 7 of 8 | 6 of 6 | 20 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Cormier | 14 of 25 | 56% | 7 of 14 | 2 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 11 of 22 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Stipe Miocic | 24 of 39 | 61% | 13 of 28 | 7 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 24 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Cormier | 26 of 53 | 49% | 14 of 36 | 4 of 9 | 8 of 8 | 23 of 50 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Stipe Miocic | 28 of 48 | 58% | 18 of 38 | 8 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 41 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Cormier | 16 of 32 | 50% | 13 of 27 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Stipe Miocic | 16 of 32 | 50% | 12 of 26 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 29 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Cormier | 30 of 43 | 69% | 21 of 31 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 9 | 29 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Stipe Miocic | 27 of 35 | 77% | 17 of 25 | 7 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 19 of 27 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Cormier | 19 of 30 | 63% | 15 of 24 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 16 of 27 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Cormier to win by decision, expecting him to implement more wrestling and have better cardio. He thinks Cormier is the better fighter and will fight smarter. He wants to see weigh-ins before betting.
Daniel Levi picks Stipe Miocic to win the trilogy. He argues that Stipe made Cormier work hard in the first fight and that Cormier's pace is unsustainable in championship rounds, especially at age 41 with retirement looming. He notes that Stipe is willing to dig deeper and that body shots have historically troubled Cormier. He also points out that if Cormier wrestles more, it will tire him out faster, leading to a Stipe finish.
Cormier is the better wrestler with superior fight IQ and will use a grapple-heavy approach, taking Miocic down repeatedly and wearing him out. He learned from the second fight where he abandoned his wrestling and gassed out; this time he will chain-wrestle and finish via ground-and-pound in the later rounds. Miocic's gas tank has shown issues when forced to wrestle, as seen in the Ngannou fight, and Cormier's top pressure is crushing.
The MMA Guru picks Stipe Miocic by TKO in the third round. He believes Miocic will start body shots earlier than the second fight and that Cormier won't get away with eye pokes. He dismisses arguments that Cormier will wrestle more, noting Miocic stuffed takedowns in previous fights.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stipe Miocic | 0 | 181 of 263 | 68% | 230 of 317 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:02 |
| Daniel Cormier | 1 | 123 of 229 | 53% | 135 of 244 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 37 of 46 | 80% | 71 of 83 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:44 |
| Daniel Cormier | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 9 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 2 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 56 of 82 | 68% | 59 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Daniel Cormier | 0 | 46 of 82 | 56% | 48 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 | |
| 3 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 57 of 86 | 66% | 69 of 100 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Daniel Cormier | 0 | 34 of 67 | 50% | 40 of 73 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:01 | |
| 4 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 31 of 49 | 63% | 31 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Daniel Cormier | 1 | 36 of 67 | 53% | 38 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stipe Miocic | 181 of 263 | 68% | 162 of 243 | 9 of 9 | 10 of 11 | 139 of 209 | 21 of 27 | 21 of 27 |
| Daniel Cormier | 123 of 229 | 53% | 86 of 188 | 27 of 30 | 10 of 11 | 102 of 195 | 19 of 28 | 2 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stipe Miocic | 37 of 46 | 80% | 25 of 34 | 7 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 13 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 21 of 27 |
| Daniel Cormier | 7 of 13 | 53% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Stipe Miocic | 56 of 82 | 68% | 56 of 81 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 45 of 68 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Cormier | 46 of 82 | 56% | 37 of 72 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 42 of 76 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Stipe Miocic | 57 of 86 | 66% | 53 of 82 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 50 of 76 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Cormier | 34 of 67 | 50% | 28 of 61 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 50 | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Stipe Miocic | 31 of 49 | 63% | 28 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 31 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Cormier | 36 of 67 | 53% | 18 of 47 | 14 of 16 | 4 of 4 | 30 of 57 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 5 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Cormier | 0 | 24 of 51 | 47% | 29 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:21 |
| Stipe Miocic | 1 | 25 of 37 | 67% | 31 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Cormier | 0 | 24 of 51 | 47% | 29 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:21 |
| Stipe Miocic | 1 | 25 of 37 | 67% | 31 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Cormier | 24 of 51 | 47% | 15 of 41 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 19 of 42 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Stipe Miocic | 25 of 37 | 67% | 20 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 19 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Cormier | 24 of 51 | 47% | 15 of 41 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 19 of 42 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Stipe Miocic | 25 of 37 | 67% | 20 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 19 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stipe Miocic | 0 | 70 of 95 | 73% | 200 of 244 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 15:02 |
| Francis Ngannou | 0 | 21 of 113 | 18% | 33 of 126 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 16 of 25 | 64% | 24 of 33 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:57 |
| Francis Ngannou | 0 | 15 of 62 | 24% | 18 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 2 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 17 of 24 | 70% | 29 of 37 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:17 |
| Francis Ngannou | 0 | 4 of 27 | 14% | 4 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 12 of 16 | 75% | 47 of 58 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:47 |
| Francis Ngannou | 0 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 7 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 4 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 18 of 21 | 85% | 82 of 95 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:39 |
| Francis Ngannou | 0 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 18 of 21 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:22 |
| Francis Ngannou | 0 | 1 of 13 | 7% | 4 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stipe Miocic | 70 of 95 | 73% | 45 of 67 | 9 of 11 | 16 of 17 | 37 of 52 | 5 of 6 | 28 of 37 |
| Francis Ngannou | 21 of 113 | 18% | 17 of 106 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 105 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stipe Miocic | 16 of 25 | 64% | 13 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 4 |
| Francis Ngannou | 15 of 62 | 24% | 14 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 55 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Stipe Miocic | 17 of 24 | 70% | 7 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 6 | 14 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 |
| Francis Ngannou | 4 of 27 | 14% | 2 of 23 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Stipe Miocic | 12 of 16 | 75% | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 9 |
| Francis Ngannou | 1 of 8 | 12% | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Stipe Miocic | 18 of 21 | 85% | 15 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 20 |
| Francis Ngannou | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Stipe Miocic | 7 of 9 | 77% | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Francis Ngannou | 1 of 13 | 7% | 0 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stipe Miocic | 1 | 26 of 56 | 46% | 26 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Junior dos Santos | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stipe Miocic | 1 | 26 of 56 | 46% | 26 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Junior dos Santos | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stipe Miocic | 26 of 56 | 46% | 23 of 50 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 15 of 39 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 13 |
| Junior dos Santos | 12 of 18 | 66% | 4 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stipe Miocic | 26 of 56 | 46% | 23 of 50 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 15 of 39 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 13 |
| Junior dos Santos | 12 of 18 | 66% | 4 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stipe Miocic | 0 | 34 of 60 | 56% | 34 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Alistair Overeem | 1 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 34 of 60 | 56% | 34 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Alistair Overeem | 1 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stipe Miocic | 34 of 60 | 56% | 31 of 55 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 36 | 6 of 9 | 12 of 15 |
| Alistair Overeem | 9 of 17 | 52% | 5 of 10 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 14 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stipe Miocic | 34 of 60 | 56% | 31 of 55 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 36 | 6 of 9 | 12 of 15 |
| Alistair Overeem | 9 of 17 | 52% | 5 of 10 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 14 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
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