UFC 178: Johnson vs. Cariaso · Sep 27, 2014 · Women's Bantamweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 178: Johnson vs. Cariaso Next Fight
Age 43
Height 5' 6"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 38
Height 5' 8"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Cat Zingano
2.57 SLpM
61.0% Str. Acc.
1.63 SApM
47.0% Str. Def.
2.77 TD Avg
65.0% TD Acc.
42.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Amanda Nunes
4.55 SLpM
51.0% Str. Acc.
2.62 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
2.73 TD Avg
54.0% TD Acc.
82.0% TD Def.
0.7 Sub. Avg
Cat Zingano - Fight History
LOSS vs Megan Anderson
TKO (eye injury) R1 1:01 · UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · Dec 29, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Megan Anderson 0 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cat Zingano 0 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Megan Anderson 0 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cat Zingano 0 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Megan Anderson 3 of 6 50% 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 5 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cat Zingano 3 of 9 33% 2 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Megan Anderson 3 of 6 50% 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 5 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cat Zingano 3 of 9 33% 2 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Marion Reneau
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: dos Santos vs. Ivanov · Jul 14, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cat Zingano 0 33 of 57 57% 94 of 123 6 of 10 60% 0 0 8:54
Marion Reneau 0 14 of 39 35% 35 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cat Zingano 0 14 of 24 58% 20 of 30 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:13
Marion Reneau 0 9 of 23 39% 16 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:16
2 Cat Zingano 0 10 of 19 52% 29 of 41 3 of 5 60% 0 0 3:04
Marion Reneau 0 4 of 13 30% 11 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Cat Zingano 0 9 of 14 64% 45 of 52 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:37
Marion Reneau 0 1 of 3 33% 8 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cat Zingano 33 of 57 57% 14 of 32 10 of 13 9 of 12 12 of 23 8 of 9 13 of 25
Marion Reneau 14 of 39 35% 10 of 34 3 of 4 1 of 1 8 of 33 6 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cat Zingano 14 of 24 58% 2 of 8 7 of 8 5 of 8 6 of 15 6 of 6 2 of 3
Marion Reneau 9 of 23 39% 6 of 19 3 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 17 6 of 6 0 of 0
2 Cat Zingano 10 of 19 52% 4 of 11 3 of 5 3 of 3 4 of 6 2 of 3 4 of 10
Marion Reneau 4 of 13 30% 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Cat Zingano 9 of 14 64% 8 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 12
Marion Reneau 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Ketlen Vieira
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · Mar 03, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ketlen Vieira 0 59 of 106 55% 77 of 128 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:14
Cat Zingano 0 41 of 71 57% 96 of 139 2 of 2 100% 1 0 10:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ketlen Vieira 0 22 of 45 48% 24 of 47 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Cat Zingano 0 17 of 39 43% 28 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:41
2 Ketlen Vieira 0 9 of 14 64% 14 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cat Zingano 0 15 of 18 83% 39 of 45 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:36
3 Ketlen Vieira 0 28 of 47 59% 39 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Cat Zingano 0 9 of 14 64% 29 of 41 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:50
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ketlen Vieira 59 of 106 55% 33 of 70 17 of 25 9 of 11 31 of 69 19 of 24 9 of 13
Cat Zingano 41 of 71 57% 32 of 60 6 of 8 3 of 3 17 of 43 9 of 13 15 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ketlen Vieira 22 of 45 48% 11 of 29 6 of 11 5 of 5 18 of 37 4 of 8 0 of 0
Cat Zingano 17 of 39 43% 14 of 35 3 of 4 0 of 0 12 of 31 5 of 8 0 of 0
2 Ketlen Vieira 9 of 14 64% 7 of 11 2 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 9 0 of 0 5 of 5
Cat Zingano 15 of 18 83% 13 of 16 0 of 0 2 of 2 1 of 4 0 of 0 14 of 14
3 Ketlen Vieira 28 of 47 59% 15 of 30 9 of 11 4 of 6 9 of 23 15 of 16 4 of 8
Cat Zingano 9 of 14 64% 5 of 9 3 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 8 4 of 5 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cat Zingano vs. Ketlen Vieira

Round 1
Zingano lands an outside leg kick and reaches out with a long right hand, but Vieira is waiting with a quicker counter right hand that lights up the American in the opening seconds. Zingano tries to clinch and is denied by Vieira, who quickly disengages and circles to her right. Switching stances, Zingano gets blasted with a right hand as she stands southpaw, then goes back to orthodox. Zingano looks to clinch again but can't keep hold of Vieira as they fight on the fence. Now it's Vieira pressing forward, backing up Zingano to the wall. Zingano reverses momentum for a trip takedown -- but Vieira barely hits the ground before she jumps back to her feet. Zingano is finding success with some body kicks, but her right hands are wild and flailing, easily dodged and countered by the speedier, more technical Brazilian. The bantamweights clinch up with 1:45 on the clock, and Zingano stings Vieira with a sharp knee to the midsection. Vieira hits a trip takedown, landing in Zingano's butterfly guard and rapidly advancing to mount. Zingano pushes her back to half guard, but Vieira can still land right hands from this position. Vieira goes for a mounted crucifix but can't secure it before the end of the round.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round 10-9 Vieira
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Vieira
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Vieira

Round 2
Zingano touches Vieira with a lunging left hand, then tries to clinch up in the center of the cage. Vieira, however, takes the opportunity to toss Zingano over her hip, sending "Alpha Cat" crashing to the mat in the middle of the Octagon. Vieira moves straight to full mount, where she begins framing up an arm-triangle choke, squeezing Zingano's head and left arm. Zingano bucks and explodes out of the dangerous position, so Vieira stands and tries to advance again. Vieira winds up coming down to Zingano's half-butterfly guard, once again wrapping up the American's head and left arm. Zingano tries a kimura from the bottom, can't get it but manages to stall Vieira's advances on top. Vieira stands with 1:35 on the clock, now comes down to Zingano's butterfly guard. Zingano is shifting on the bottom, trying to secure Vieira's left arm for another kimura try, but Vieira has the arm buried. Vieira pulls out the left arm with 20 seconds left and socks Zingano in the face.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round 10-9 Vieira
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Vieira
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Vieira

Round 3
Zingano lands her first strike of the round, a slapping left high kick to the face, then tries to tack on some follow-up punches. Zingano throws an inside leg kick, it gets checked, and the BJJ stylist comes up limping on her left foot. Vieira immediately recognizes that her opponent is injured and takes Zingano straight to the ground at the base of the fence. Vieira stands, dodges upkicks from Zingano and then comes down to half guard on Zingano's right side. Vieira flattens out Zingano with chest-to-chest top control, once again coming close to an arm-triangle choke. Referee Jason Herzog calls for work, so Vieira stands again and kicks at the prone Zingano's legs. Vieira kneels down in Zingano's guard and feeds the American short left hands as they hit the halfway point of the final round. Thirty seconds later, Zingano picks the ankle of Vieira and trips the Brazilian to her knees. Zingano tries to capitalize on the mistake, but Vieira recovers quickly and takes outside position in a clinch on the fence. Zingano lands a few knees to the body in the clinch but can't escape the heavy pressure of Vieira, who takes a look up at the clock with 70 seconds remaining. Referee Herzog restarts the bantamweights in the center with 40 seconds left to fight. Vieira is looking slow and tired as Zingano throws wild arm punches in her direction. Vieira clinches and copes with Zingano's last-gasp offense to send this one to the judges.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round 10-9 Vieira (30-27 Vieira)
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Vieira (30-27 Vieira)
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Vieira (30-27 Vieira)

The Official Result
Ketlen Vieira def. Cat Zingano via Split Decision (29-28, 29-28, 28-29) R3 5:00
LOSS vs Julianna Peña
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 200: Tate vs. Nunes · Jul 09, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julianna Peña 0 11 of 23 47% 23 of 37 3 of 4 75% 0 2 9:04
Cat Zingano 0 12 of 21 57% 129 of 150 2 of 3 66% 1 1 4:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julianna Peña 0 9 of 17 52% 16 of 24 1 of 2 50% 0 1 1:15
Cat Zingano 0 3 of 9 33% 53 of 61 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:13
2 Julianna Peña 0 1 of 2 50% 5 of 7 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:15
Cat Zingano 0 0 of 1 0% 25 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:30
3 Julianna Peña 0 1 of 4 25% 2 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 1 4:34
Cat Zingano 0 9 of 11 81% 51 of 61 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julianna Peña 11 of 23 47% 6 of 18 4 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 12 2 of 3 6 of 8
Cat Zingano 12 of 21 57% 8 of 17 4 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 7 2 of 3 9 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julianna Peña 9 of 17 52% 5 of 13 3 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 9 2 of 3 5 of 5
Cat Zingano 3 of 9 33% 2 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Julianna Peña 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1
Cat Zingano 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Julianna Peña 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2
Cat Zingano 9 of 11 81% 6 of 8 3 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 9 of 11
LOSS vs Ronda Rousey
Submission (straight armbar) R1 0:14 · UFC 184: Rousey vs. Zingano · Feb 28, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ronda Rousey 0 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:05
Cat Zingano 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ronda Rousey 0 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:05
Cat Zingano 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ronda Rousey 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cat Zingano 0 of 1 0% 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ronda Rousey 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cat Zingano 0 of 1 0% 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Amanda Nunes
TKO (elbows and punches) R3 1:21 · UFC 178: Johnson vs. Cariaso · Sep 27, 2014
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cat Zingano 0 40 of 60 66% 93 of 116 3 of 3 100% 3 0 6:57
Amanda Nunes 0 22 of 37 59% 36 of 54 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cat Zingano 0 3 of 4 75% 14 of 18 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:27
Amanda Nunes 0 21 of 35 60% 32 of 49 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:08
2 Cat Zingano 0 20 of 29 68% 55 of 64 1 of 1 100% 2 0 4:28
Amanda Nunes 0 1 of 1 100% 4 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Cat Zingano 0 17 of 27 62% 24 of 34 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:02
Amanda Nunes 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cat Zingano 40 of 60 66% 31 of 49 7 of 9 2 of 2 1 of 5 7 of 8 32 of 47
Amanda Nunes 22 of 37 59% 19 of 34 1 of 1 2 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 3 20 of 32
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cat Zingano 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2
Amanda Nunes 21 of 35 60% 19 of 33 0 of 0 2 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 2 20 of 32
2 Cat Zingano 20 of 29 68% 13 of 20 5 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 2 3 of 3 17 of 24
Amanda Nunes 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Cat Zingano 17 of 27 62% 15 of 25 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2 3 of 4 13 of 21
Amanda Nunes 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Miesha Tate
TKO (knees and elbow) R3 2:55 · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · Apr 13, 2013
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cat Zingano 0 23 of 42 54% 54 of 80 3 of 7 42% 3 0 4:58
Miesha Tate 0 35 of 42 83% 107 of 120 1 of 1 100% 1 2 5:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cat Zingano 0 19 of 34 55% 33 of 49 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:56
Miesha Tate 0 12 of 17 70% 18 of 24 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:44
2 Cat Zingano 0 3 of 6 50% 19 of 28 1 of 2 50% 3 0 2:02
Miesha Tate 0 13 of 13 100% 29 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:35
3 Cat Zingano 0 1 of 2 50% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Miesha Tate 0 10 of 12 83% 60 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cat Zingano 23 of 42 54% 21 of 40 2 of 2 0 of 0 16 of 30 2 of 4 5 of 8
Miesha Tate 35 of 42 83% 23 of 30 8 of 8 4 of 4 16 of 22 8 of 9 11 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cat Zingano 19 of 34 55% 18 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0 14 of 26 2 of 4 3 of 4
Miesha Tate 12 of 17 70% 7 of 12 5 of 5 0 of 0 10 of 14 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Cat Zingano 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 4
Miesha Tate 13 of 13 100% 6 of 6 3 of 3 4 of 4 5 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 8
3 Cat Zingano 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 10 of 12 83% 10 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 6 of 6 3 of 3
Amanda Nunes - Fight History
WIN vs Irene Aldana
Decision (unanimous) (50–44, 50–44, 50–43) R5 5:00 · UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · Jun 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Nunes 0 142 of 267 53% 196 of 323 6 of 13 46% 0 0 7:00
Irene Aldana 0 41 of 143 28% 57 of 159 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Nunes 0 21 of 56 37% 21 of 56 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Irene Aldana 0 8 of 31 25% 8 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Amanda Nunes 0 31 of 61 50% 31 of 61 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:05
Irene Aldana 0 11 of 38 28% 11 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Amanda Nunes 0 23 of 47 48% 25 of 49 3 of 4 75% 0 0 2:05
Irene Aldana 0 8 of 22 36% 8 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
4 Amanda Nunes 0 48 of 77 62% 49 of 78 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:13
Irene Aldana 0 13 of 48 27% 13 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
5 Amanda Nunes 0 19 of 26 73% 70 of 79 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:36
Irene Aldana 0 1 of 4 25% 17 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Nunes 142 of 267 53% 97 of 198 28 of 49 17 of 20 115 of 234 5 of 8 22 of 25
Irene Aldana 41 of 143 28% 25 of 118 3 of 7 13 of 18 36 of 133 3 of 3 2 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Nunes 21 of 56 37% 9 of 35 9 of 18 3 of 3 21 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Irene Aldana 8 of 31 25% 5 of 27 0 of 0 3 of 4 8 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 1
2 Amanda Nunes 31 of 61 50% 16 of 40 7 of 11 8 of 10 30 of 60 1 of 1 0 of 0
Irene Aldana 11 of 38 28% 4 of 27 0 of 0 7 of 11 11 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Amanda Nunes 23 of 47 48% 20 of 40 3 of 7 0 of 0 18 of 40 1 of 1 4 of 6
Irene Aldana 8 of 22 36% 7 of 21 0 of 0 1 of 1 7 of 20 0 of 0 1 of 2
4 Amanda Nunes 48 of 77 62% 36 of 61 6 of 9 6 of 7 45 of 71 3 of 6 0 of 0
Irene Aldana 13 of 48 27% 9 of 41 2 of 5 2 of 2 10 of 43 3 of 3 0 of 2
5 Amanda Nunes 19 of 26 73% 16 of 22 3 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 7 0 of 0 18 of 19
Irene Aldana 1 of 4 25% 0 of 2 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Angelo picks Amanda Nunes but expresses hesitation. He notes that Nunes is the GOAT and should win, but questions her motivation due to her age, wealth, and new family. He thinks she may need to rely on wrestling, and hopes she is in shape. He acknowledges Irene Aldana's technical boxing and takedown defense, but believes Nunes' power and wrestling will prevail.

"I think Amanda Nunes gets this done"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Big Brady picks Amanda Nunes to win by first-round submission. He believes Nunes is the far superior fighter and that Aldana's wins are against lower-level competition. Aldana struggled with Macy Chiasson and had her back taken. Even if Nunes is not fully motivated, she should dominate. He advises against betting Nunes due to the high price and potential motivation issues, but still picks her to finish early.

first round submission; advises against betting Nunes due to high price and motivation concerns
"give me Nunez to finish aldana I think it comes in the very first round and I'll say it's by submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Cody picks Amanda Nunes, citing her wrestling game plan as the key. He notes that Holly Holm and Macy Chiasson both took Aldana down multiple times, and if Nunes sticks to that approach, it should be easy work. He acknowledges Aldana's boxing and lateral movement but believes Nunes's takedowns will neutralize her. He also mentions that Nunes's motivation and conditioning looked career-best in the Peña rematch.

Over 1.5 takedowns for Nunes on PrizePicks
"if Amanda Nunes comes out here sticks to a game plan that she did in the second fight against Pena I struggle to see how Eldon is able to fight that off"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Connor believes Nunes will win due to her athletic advantage and wrestling. He notes that Aldana is easy to take down and has a bad habit of pulling guard, similar to Dern. He expects Nunes to use her wrestling to control the fight, as she did against de Randamie.

Nunes opened at -360, currently -308; Aldana opened at +308, currently +260. Connor mentions the odds are getting tighter and he would not be surprised if they continue to move.
"I'm still going to pick her."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Daniel Levi picks Amanda Nunes, citing that all film and stats point to Nunes having Aldana covered in every part of the game. He notes that the line is driven down by the first Pena fight, but Nunes dominated the rematch. He acknowledges Aldana's power and cleaner hands than Pena, but believes Nunes is the better fighter with more ways to win, including superior wrestling, Jiu-Jitsu, striking, and power. He sees the grappling gap as 10 worlds apart and expects Nunes to finish the fight.

"all indications lead to Amanda having her covered pretty much everywhere"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Jun 10, 2023 (fight day)
Amanda Nunes

James picks Amanda Nunes to win but is hesitant due to volatility. He notes Nunes is 35, talking about retirement, and had an off night against Pena. He thinks if Nunes is focused, she submits Aldana within three rounds. Aldana is a good boxer but weak elsewhere. James prefers not to bet the moneyline at -350, suggesting props instead. He predicts Nunes finishes in round four or five.

Amanda Nunes to finish Irene Aldana in round 4 or 5 (official prediction)
"I'm gonna pick Amanda Nunes I think she's clearly the better Striker"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Nunes has a clear grappling advantage and should take Aldana down repeatedly. Aldana's best chance is a knockout on the feet, but Nunes will likely close the distance and control the fight on the mat. The over 2.5 rounds is likely as Aldana is tough off her back. Nunes by decision is the most probable outcome, though the moneyline is accurate.

Over 2.5 rounds (even money), Nunes wins by decision
"I'm still gonna go with the champion here ... give me Nunes by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Paul picks Amanda Nunes, acknowledging the line already factors in her inconsistency. He notes that Nunes has a minus-500 skill set but the line is discounted due to her personal life and past performances. He highlights that Aldana doesn't have big KO power, so if Nunes closes distance and gets takedowns, she should dominate. He suggests hedging by betting Nunes and then taking Aldana live after a couple rounds if Nunes fades.

Hedge suggestion: bet Nunes pre-fight, then bet Aldana live after round 2 or 3 if Nunes gasses
"I honestly feel like the line makers factored that into making this line minus 320 because Amanda Nunez probably should be a minus 500 she's got a minus 500 skill set"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes, acknowledging Aldana's KO power but citing a skill gap. He notes Aldana was schooled by Holly Holm and struggled against Macy Chiasson, while Nunes is a different level. He predicts Nunes will mix in takedowns and finish Aldana via standing TKO in the second round after some back-and-forth on the feet.

prediction of second round TKO, notes Aldana is a decent underdog
"I'm going with Amanda Nunes over Irene aldana"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Zane agrees with Connor that Nunes will win. He emphasizes that Aldana's wrestling is a huge problem, as she gave up three takedowns to Macy Chiasson. He notes that Nunes is not a great wrestler but Aldana is worse, and her instinct to pull guard will be exploited.

"The wrestling is just the crux. Like if she can't stop the takedowns, and really she should be able to. Like Nunez isn't even that good of a wrestler."
Decision (unanimous) (50–45, 50–44, 50–43) R5 5:00 · UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · Jul 30, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Nunes 0 60 of 154 38% 130 of 239 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Julianna Peña 3 85 of 152 55% 126 of 201 6 of 8 75% 1 0 11:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Nunes 0 21 of 51 41% 21 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julianna Peña 0 25 of 47 53% 25 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Amanda Nunes 0 25 of 66 37% 31 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julianna Peña 3 19 of 48 39% 24 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
3 Amanda Nunes 0 6 of 21 28% 31 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julianna Peña 0 14 of 23 60% 23 of 35 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:02
4 Amanda Nunes 0 4 of 10 40% 33 of 42 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Julianna Peña 0 16 of 20 80% 34 of 40 3 of 3 100% 0 0 3:54
5 Amanda Nunes 0 4 of 6 66% 14 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julianna Peña 0 11 of 14 78% 20 of 26 2 of 3 66% 1 0 4:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Nunes 60 of 154 38% 54 of 144 6 of 10 0 of 0 59 of 151 1 of 3 0 of 0
Julianna Peña 85 of 152 55% 67 of 128 10 of 14 8 of 10 57 of 117 0 of 1 28 of 34
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Nunes 21 of 51 41% 20 of 49 1 of 2 0 of 0 21 of 50 0 of 1 0 of 0
Julianna Peña 25 of 47 53% 17 of 37 3 of 3 5 of 7 25 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Amanda Nunes 25 of 66 37% 21 of 59 4 of 7 0 of 0 24 of 65 1 of 1 0 of 0
Julianna Peña 19 of 48 39% 13 of 40 4 of 6 2 of 2 19 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 1
3 Amanda Nunes 6 of 21 28% 5 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0
Julianna Peña 14 of 23 60% 12 of 20 2 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 13 0 of 1 7 of 9
4 Amanda Nunes 4 of 10 40% 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julianna Peña 16 of 20 80% 15 of 19 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 6 0 of 0 11 of 14
5 Amanda Nunes 4 of 6 66% 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julianna Peña 11 of 14 78% 10 of 12 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 10 of 10
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Big Brady picks Amanda Nunes to win by first-round submission. He believes Nunes is better everywhere and that the first fight was a one-off due to injury or motivation issues. He expects Nunes to finish early, but if it extends, he has concerns about her cardio. He is not betting this fight.

"i'm going to take nunes here... i'll say nunez first round finish"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Julianna Peña

Cody believes Peña is the right pick because she already exposed Nunes' cardio and quit rate. He notes Nunes has suspect cardio, has shown red flags in fights against Germaine de Randamie and Felicia Spencer, and may be unmotivated after becoming a multi-millionaire and mother. He also points out that Peña is durable, pressures well, and the odds (+245) are too juicy to pass up given she just choked Nunes out. He expects Peña to win again, possibly taking a bit longer this time.

Nunes under 2 takedowns on PrizePicks; odds are too juicy for Peña at +245
"i just think that the pace at some point will cause amanda to quit... the odds are just way too juicy to look away here's a girl that just choked her out in the second round standing feels like crap …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 27, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Julianna Peña

Daniel argues that Julianna Peña's ability to stand up to the bully and absorb Nunes' power is the key factor. He notes that Peña's iron jaw and willpower broke Nunes mentally in the first fight, causing her to tap to a choke that wasn't locked in. He believes Nunes has a history of struggling when opponents don't back down, citing the Cat Zingano fight and the Valentina Shevchenko fights. He acknowledges Nunes could win via calf kicks or a submission, but he trusts Peña's heart and durability. He also points out that long-reigning champions rarely regain their belt in immediate rematches, citing a 11-2 record for the new champion.

1 unit bet at +245; mentions that Peña could win by ground and pound from full mount this time
"I'm taking Juliana Peña. I only put one unit on it, um I think I got it plus 245."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2022 (fight day)
Amanda Nunes

Preet leans Nunes to win but won't lay -260; instead he likes the over 2.5 rounds at +100. He expects a more cautious, methodical fight that goes into the later rounds, noting that rematches of first-round finishes often go the distance. He thinks Nunes will be more disciplined and use leg kicks and combinations, but Peña's durability and pressure could extend the fight.

over 2.5 rounds +100
"the spot that i think that is being overlooked here is the the over uh over one and a half minus 190 not bad but even the over two and a half plus 100"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Julianna Peña

Paul picks Peña as well, citing the narrative that Nunes emptied her tank early in the first fight and quit. He thinks Nunes can win a striking match if she paces herself, but he's terrified to bet the fight. He notes that Peña is super durable and that the odds (+245) are attractive. He compares it to Ronda Rousey's loss to Holly Holm, where people still believed in Rousey, but here Peña already beat Nunes.

Nunes under 2 takedowns on PrizePicks; odds are too juicy for Peña at +245
"i'll pick pena if i was going to bet but like i'm terrified to bet this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2022 (fight day)
Julianna Peña

The MMA Guru predicts Julianna Peña wins by submission (rear-naked choke) in round four. He expects Nunes to win the first two rounds with takedowns and jabs, but Peña will threaten submissions throughout. In round four, Peña times a takedown, passes to half guard, takes the back, and chokes Nunes out.

submission in round 4
"juliana pena choked her around on round four"
LOSS vs Julianna Peña
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 3:26 · UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · Dec 11, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julianna Peña 0 46 of 99 46% 58 of 112 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:35
Amanda Nunes 0 79 of 135 58% 90 of 147 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julianna Peña 0 10 of 14 71% 22 of 27 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:35
Amanda Nunes 0 5 of 20 25% 16 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
2 Julianna Peña 0 36 of 85 42% 36 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Amanda Nunes 0 74 of 115 64% 74 of 115 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julianna Peña 46 of 99 46% 36 of 85 1 of 3 9 of 11 44 of 97 0 of 0 2 of 2
Amanda Nunes 79 of 135 58% 69 of 122 10 of 13 0 of 0 78 of 134 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julianna Peña 10 of 14 71% 4 of 7 1 of 2 5 of 5 8 of 12 0 of 0 2 of 2
Amanda Nunes 5 of 20 25% 5 of 19 0 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Julianna Peña 36 of 85 42% 32 of 78 0 of 1 4 of 6 36 of 85 0 of 0 0 of 0
Amanda Nunes 74 of 115 64% 64 of 103 10 of 12 0 of 0 73 of 114 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 8, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Big Brady is very confident in Amanda Nunes winning early, likely by first-round submission. He notes that Nunes is the GOAT and has advantages everywhere: striking, grappling, and cardio. Peña has poor takedown defense (23%) and was submitted by GDR, which is concerning. Nunes can finish by knockout or submission, and Brady expects a quick finish.

Nunes by submission in round 1
"i think amanda nunez is going to get it done i think she's going to get it done early very early in the first round whether it's a first round knockout or a first round submission"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 9, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Daniel Levi picks Amanda Nunes to win by submission in the first round. He notes that Peña's striking is sloppy and she has been submitted in two of her last four fights. Levi believes Nunes will establish her jab and calf kicks, and when Peña shoots a sloppy takedown, Nunes will sprawl and lock in a d'arce or anaconda choke. He thinks Peña's trash talk will motivate Nunes to make a statement.

submission, first round, d'arce or anaconda choke
"i think that amanda nunes is going to sprawl on her and i'm thinking a darcer anaconda choke finish in the first round"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 10, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Nunes is the far superior fighter and should win, but the method is uncertain. Peña will try to grapple, which could slow the fight and push it past 1.5 rounds. Nunes has KO power, but Peña's durability and grappling could extend the fight. The over 1.5 rounds is a lean, but Nunes inside the distance is the most likely outcome.

over 1.5 rounds, Nunes inside the distance
"i'm going nunez nunes by let's say third round tko"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes to win by first-round TKO, dismissing Julianna Peña's chances. He criticizes Peña's striking technique and notes she was submitted by a standing guillotine against Jermaine de Randamie. He believes Nunes is on a different level in strength and skill.

first-round TKO
"i'm gonna go with amanda nunez here she's on a different level she's too strong she's too manly she's too lesbian juliana pena is too heterosexual i'm going with amanda nunez by tko in the first round"
Submission (triangle armbar) R1 2:03 · UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · Mar 06, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Nunes 0 18 of 25 72% 19 of 26 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:42
Megan Anderson 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Nunes 0 18 of 25 72% 19 of 26 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:42
Megan Anderson 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Nunes 18 of 25 72% 15 of 22 0 of 0 3 of 3 10 of 16 0 of 0 8 of 9
Megan Anderson 2 of 5 40% 0 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Nunes 18 of 25 72% 15 of 22 0 of 0 3 of 3 10 of 16 0 of 0 8 of 9
Megan Anderson 2 of 5 40% 0 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Big Brady picks Amanda Nunes confidently, citing her massive advantages in striking volume, takedown ability, and competition level. He notes Anderson's poor striking defense (38%) and takedown defense (53%). He predicts a first-round submission, but passes on betting the moneyline due to the high price.

first round submission
"give me a man of nunes here give me a man of nunes i'm gonna say first round um submission"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Daniel picks Amanda Nunes, stating she is on a completely different level than Megan Anderson. He notes Anderson's weakness on the mat and suggests looking at the under for betting, expecting an early stoppage.

under
"she's just on a completely different level than uh megan anderson so for that reason she's winning this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lock picked Mar 4, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Nunes is the greatest female fighter ever and should dominate everywhere. Anderson's only chance is a lucky KO, but Nunes's takedowns and ground game are too much. The host predicts a submission in the second round and recommends the under 2.5 rounds.

under 2.5 rounds minus 220, fight does not start round three minus 175, round two nunes plus 300
"i think that the lock of the night play for ufc 259 would easily be the under two and a half in this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes to win, likely by decision. He dismisses Megan Anderson's competition and notes Nunes has improved her grappling, taking down top opponents. He believes Nunes will take Anderson down and outgrapple her, as Anderson was ragdolled by Holly Holm and Felicia Spencer.

"nunez is going to get the job done taking her down out grappling her it's food chain stuff"
Decision (unanimous) (50–44, 50–44, 50–45) R5 5:00 · UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · Jun 06, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Nunes 0 124 of 214 57% 132 of 222 6 of 7 85% 1 0 8:01
Felicia Spencer 0 42 of 130 32% 70 of 161 0 of 7 0% 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Nunes 0 21 of 34 61% 24 of 37 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:05
Felicia Spencer 0 2 of 8 25% 8 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
2 Amanda Nunes 0 23 of 39 58% 24 of 40 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:34
Felicia Spencer 0 11 of 26 42% 12 of 27 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Amanda Nunes 0 29 of 57 50% 29 of 57 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:07
Felicia Spencer 0 10 of 46 21% 11 of 47 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
4 Amanda Nunes 0 34 of 59 57% 35 of 60 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:34
Felicia Spencer 0 13 of 37 35% 15 of 41 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
5 Amanda Nunes 0 17 of 25 68% 20 of 28 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:41
Felicia Spencer 0 6 of 13 46% 24 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Nunes 124 of 214 57% 90 of 170 13 of 20 21 of 24 91 of 173 1 of 1 32 of 40
Felicia Spencer 42 of 130 32% 24 of 106 7 of 9 11 of 15 36 of 118 4 of 9 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Nunes 21 of 34 61% 14 of 26 5 of 6 2 of 2 9 of 18 1 of 1 11 of 15
Felicia Spencer 2 of 8 25% 1 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Amanda Nunes 23 of 39 58% 17 of 30 3 of 5 3 of 4 18 of 33 0 of 0 5 of 6
Felicia Spencer 11 of 26 42% 5 of 19 3 of 3 3 of 4 10 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 1
3 Amanda Nunes 29 of 57 50% 21 of 44 2 of 6 6 of 7 29 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Felicia Spencer 10 of 46 21% 6 of 40 1 of 1 3 of 5 9 of 42 1 of 4 0 of 0
4 Amanda Nunes 34 of 59 57% 24 of 48 3 of 3 7 of 8 29 of 53 0 of 0 5 of 6
Felicia Spencer 13 of 37 35% 8 of 30 1 of 2 4 of 5 11 of 34 1 of 2 1 of 1
5 Amanda Nunes 17 of 25 68% 14 of 22 0 of 0 3 of 3 6 of 12 0 of 0 11 of 13
Felicia Spencer 6 of 13 46% 4 of 10 1 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Big Brady confidently picks Amanda Nunes by third-round knockout, believing her striking and power will overwhelm Spencer. He notes Spencer's striking is poor and she is overrated for lasting with Cyborg. He expects Nunes to finish early, though he acknowledges Spencer's toughness and top game could be a concern if it goes late. He sees no reason to pick against the GOAT.

Nunes by third-round knockout
"I'm gonna go man in Nunez give me a third-round knockout I just think she's in a good Spencer out of here I think Spencer's very tough but I don't think she's going to withstand all the all the volume …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Daniel sees a complete mismatch on the feet, with Nunes' striking far superior. He notes that people overlook Nunes' black belt, but she submitted Miesha Tate and has serious grappling credentials. He predicts a first-round knockout, comparing it to Nunes vs Rousey, and dismisses Spencer's path to victory via grappling because Nunes is also a black belt.

finish within three rounds, first round knockout
"I think it's gonna be a first round knockout man I think Amanda Nunez is gonna come out here tee off on her calf kicks the boxing pop her head back stuff every takedown attempt go out there put her …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Amanda Nunes is the women's GOAT with power and a black belt in jiu-jitsu. Felicia Spencer is tough and has a grappling-heavy approach, but Nunes should be able to stuff takedowns and win on the feet. However, Spencer's durability and clinch game could make it a long fight. The over 1.5 rounds is a better bet than Nunes straight at -600.

Over 1.5 rounds (-190); Amanda Nunes by decision
"i still will pick amanda nunes i think that she'll be able to you know uh stifle the takedowns um i think that she'll be able to to win off of points"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 29, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes over Felicia Spencer. He dismisses Spencer's wins as coming against weak competition in a shallow women's featherweight division. He believes Nunes has too much power and skill on the feet, and that Spencer's only chance is to push Nunes against the cage, which he doubts she can do. He expects Nunes to dominate and win.

"Nunez gets the job done over Felicia Spencer she's too much too much power too much"
Decision (unanimous) (49–44, 49–46, 49–45) R5 5:00 · UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · Dec 14, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Nunes 0 79 of 184 42% 199 of 337 8 of 11 72% 2 0 18:29
Germaine de Randamie 0 40 of 73 54% 126 of 175 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Nunes 0 42 of 87 48% 43 of 88 2 of 2 100% 2 0 2:53
Germaine de Randamie 0 11 of 23 47% 22 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
2 Amanda Nunes 0 9 of 26 34% 33 of 51 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:13
Germaine de Randamie 0 16 of 30 53% 29 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
3 Amanda Nunes 0 16 of 44 36% 47 of 80 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:21
Germaine de Randamie 0 8 of 10 80% 17 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
4 Amanda Nunes 0 12 of 24 50% 22 of 39 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:16
Germaine de Randamie 0 4 of 6 66% 28 of 33 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:16
5 Amanda Nunes 0 0 of 3 0% 54 of 79 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:46
Germaine de Randamie 0 1 of 4 25% 30 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Nunes 79 of 184 42% 63 of 162 4 of 6 12 of 16 15 of 46 2 of 3 62 of 135
Germaine de Randamie 40 of 73 54% 19 of 48 11 of 15 10 of 10 19 of 42 12 of 13 9 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Nunes 42 of 87 48% 38 of 81 1 of 1 3 of 5 4 of 16 1 of 1 37 of 70
Germaine de Randamie 11 of 23 47% 2 of 11 4 of 7 5 of 5 4 of 9 4 of 4 3 of 10
2 Amanda Nunes 9 of 26 34% 4 of 20 0 of 0 5 of 6 5 of 17 1 of 1 3 of 8
Germaine de Randamie 16 of 30 53% 10 of 24 5 of 5 1 of 1 9 of 22 7 of 8 0 of 0
3 Amanda Nunes 16 of 44 36% 13 of 39 1 of 2 2 of 3 2 of 8 0 of 0 14 of 36
Germaine de Randamie 8 of 10 80% 5 of 7 1 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 5
4 Amanda Nunes 12 of 24 50% 8 of 19 2 of 3 2 of 2 4 of 4 0 of 1 8 of 19
Germaine de Randamie 4 of 6 66% 2 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 1
5 Amanda Nunes 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2
Germaine de Randamie 1 of 4 25% 0 of 2 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 2
WIN vs Holly Holm
TKO (head kick and punches) R1 4:10 · UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · Jul 06, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Nunes 1 17 of 35 48% 17 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Holly Holm 0 11 of 14 78% 14 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Nunes 1 17 of 35 48% 17 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Holly Holm 0 11 of 14 78% 14 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Nunes 17 of 35 48% 8 of 23 6 of 9 3 of 3 11 of 27 3 of 4 3 of 4
Holly Holm 11 of 14 78% 3 of 4 0 of 1 8 of 9 11 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Nunes 17 of 35 48% 8 of 23 6 of 9 3 of 3 11 of 27 3 of 4 3 of 4
Holly Holm 11 of 14 78% 3 of 4 0 of 1 8 of 9 11 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
KO (punch) R1 0:51 · UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · Dec 29, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Nunes 0 3 of 15 20% 3 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Cristiane Justino 2 13 of 21 61% 13 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Nunes 0 3 of 15 20% 3 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Cristiane Justino 2 13 of 21 61% 13 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Nunes 3 of 15 20% 1 of 12 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0
Cristiane Justino 13 of 21 61% 12 of 20 0 of 0 1 of 1 12 of 19 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Nunes 3 of 15 20% 1 of 12 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0
Cristiane Justino 13 of 21 61% 12 of 20 0 of 0 1 of 1 12 of 19 1 of 2 0 of 0