UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · Sep 07, 2024 · Featherweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady Next Fight
Age 29
Height 5' 9"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 29
Height 5' 7"
Reach 71"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Gabriel Santos
4.35 SLpM
60.0% Str. Acc.
4.31 SApM
45.0% Str. Def.
3.8 TD Avg
54.0% TD Acc.
87.0% TD Def.
1.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Yi Zha
3.25 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
2.88 SApM
49.0% Str. Def.
3.42 TD Avg
33.0% TD Acc.
64.0% TD Def.
0.9 Sub. Avg
Gabriel Santos - Fight History
WIN vs Jack Jenkins
Submission R3 2:06 · UFC 312: du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · Feb 09, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jack Jenkins 1 34 of 48 70% 39 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:20
Gabriel Santos 0 39 of 61 63% 96 of 123 4 of 7 57% 2 0 6:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jack Jenkins 1 28 of 36 77% 33 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:17
Gabriel Santos 0 9 of 20 45% 22 of 34 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:50
2 Jack Jenkins 0 5 of 11 45% 5 of 11 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Gabriel Santos 0 24 of 32 75% 58 of 69 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:48
3 Jack Jenkins 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gabriel Santos 0 6 of 9 66% 16 of 20 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jack Jenkins 34 of 48 70% 22 of 35 5 of 6 7 of 7 13 of 22 5 of 6 16 of 20
Gabriel Santos 39 of 61 63% 26 of 44 6 of 9 7 of 8 23 of 45 3 of 3 13 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jack Jenkins 28 of 36 77% 19 of 26 3 of 4 6 of 6 7 of 10 5 of 6 16 of 20
Gabriel Santos 9 of 20 45% 3 of 12 2 of 3 4 of 5 9 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jack Jenkins 5 of 11 45% 2 of 8 2 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gabriel Santos 24 of 32 75% 19 of 25 3 of 5 2 of 2 9 of 17 3 of 3 12 of 12
3 Jack Jenkins 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gabriel Santos 6 of 9 66% 4 of 7 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Big Brady is a big fan of Gabriel Santos, believing he is much better than his 1-2 UFC record indicates. He notes Santos's well-rounded skills, power, and BJJ black belt. He thinks Santos has a significant grappling advantage over Jack Jenkins, who was taken down and controlled by Jamal Emmers. Brady predicts Santos will win a decision, possibly with a submission.

"I'm going to say Gabriel Santos wins a decision here and what should be a fun fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Santos is considered the better fighter, slicker with Muay Thai and more aggressive with BJJ. His Muay Thai will allow him to check Jenkins' kicks and counter with straight shots. The fight is expected to go to decision with Santos winning.

decision
"I believe Santos is the better fighter here in terms of being more dangerous I think he's a little bit Slicker with his Muay Thai a little bit more aggressive with his BJJ"
WIN vs Yi Zha
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · Sep 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabriel Santos 0 41 of 92 44% 96 of 160 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:04
Yi Zha 1 76 of 112 67% 110 of 150 2 of 2 100% 0 0 6:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabriel Santos 0 23 of 41 56% 23 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yi Zha 1 46 of 73 63% 46 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
2 Gabriel Santos 0 15 of 40 37% 23 of 51 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
Yi Zha 0 19 of 27 70% 32 of 41 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:23
3 Gabriel Santos 0 3 of 11 27% 50 of 68 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Yi Zha 0 11 of 12 91% 32 of 36 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabriel Santos 41 of 92 44% 26 of 71 8 of 13 7 of 8 40 of 90 0 of 0 1 of 2
Yi Zha 76 of 112 67% 45 of 79 17 of 18 14 of 15 53 of 85 5 of 5 18 of 22
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabriel Santos 23 of 41 56% 14 of 31 3 of 4 6 of 6 23 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 1
Yi Zha 46 of 73 63% 23 of 48 12 of 13 11 of 12 34 of 57 4 of 4 8 of 12
2 Gabriel Santos 15 of 40 37% 11 of 33 3 of 6 1 of 1 15 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yi Zha 19 of 27 70% 12 of 20 5 of 5 2 of 2 15 of 23 1 of 1 3 of 3
3 Gabriel Santos 3 of 11 27% 1 of 7 2 of 3 0 of 1 2 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1
Yi Zha 11 of 12 91% 10 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 5 0 of 0 7 of 7
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 1, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Yi Zha

Angelo picks Yi Zha as an underdog because he is a powerful grappler who averages almost five takedowns per fight and is always looking for submissions. He believes Yi can find success even if Gabriel Santos gets the first takedown, and that Yi's grappling is good enough to stay safe and make something happen. He notes that Yi is plus 214 and may have value in prop bets like plus 3.5 rounds or win inside distance.

Angelo mentions he may bet on Yi Zha plus 3.5 rounds or win inside distance (decision no action) if the props are plus money.
"I do think yea can get it done he's proven that he doesn't even need to get a takedown to find a submission"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Big Brady picks Gabriel Santos to win by decision. He is very high on Santos despite his 0-2 UFC record, believing he was robbed against Murphy. Brady thinks Santos is better everywhere: better striker, and his BJJ black belt should neutralize Yi Zha's grappling. He notes Yi Zha's record is misleading and that Santos is much better than his record indicates.

"I'm taking Santos for sure I'm going to take him to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Cody agrees with Paul, citing Santos' strong wrestling and striking. He notes Zha's takedown defense is poor and Santos has fought tougher competition. He expects Santos to neutralize Zha and win a decision or get a finish.

"Gabriel Santos I I take Gabriel Santos"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Daniel is a big fan of Santos's exciting style but acknowledges his defensive flaws. He criticizes Yi Zha's padded record and boring wrestling style. He thinks Santos's volume, pressure, and activity off his back will overwhelm Zha, and that Zha's takedowns won't be enough to win. He expects Santos to get his first UFC win.

"I think Gabriel Santos has a massive Edge standing... I'm going Gabrielle moscarino Santos to come out here and get that long awaited first UFC win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Santos is the better mixed martial artist despite being 0-2 in the UFC. He has slick BJJ and striking, and should be able to handle Yi Zha's pressure and wrestling. Yi Zha is aggressive but leaves openings. Santos can reverse positions and win on the feet. The under 2.5 rounds at plus money is also favored due to both fighters' pace.

Under 2.5 rounds at plus money
"I do think that Santos will end up being a little bit too slick and more technical than yah... my favorite spot in this matchup would be the under two and a half at plus money."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Paul picks Santos, noting his wrestling and striking are superior to Zha's. He believes Santos can take Zha down and control him, and has a better plan B if the wrestling fails. He acknowledges Santos' cardio concerns but thinks he can win two of three rounds.

"Gabriel Santos I I take Gabriel Santos it is what it is you're just gonna have to bite the bullet on it for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

The MMA Guru picks Gabriel Santos over Yi Zha. He dismisses Yi Zha's record as inflated from the Road to UFC show, noting that anyone good has beaten him. He praises Santos for taking Lerone Murphy to a split decision on short notice and for his training at a good gym. He notes Santos is on a two-fight losing streak but believes this is his last chance and he will win.

"I'm gonna have to go with Gabriel Santos in this fight... Gabriel Santos is very underrated... he took the guy to a split decision and this is aone Murphy"
LOSS vs David Onama
KO (punch) R2 4:13 · UFC on ABC: Emmett vs. Topuria · Jun 24, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
David Onama 1 53 of 104 50% 59 of 118 0 of 1 0% 0 1 2:53
Gabriel Santos 0 39 of 73 53% 56 of 90 2 of 4 50% 2 0 1:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 David Onama 0 27 of 52 51% 30 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:23
Gabriel Santos 0 25 of 50 50% 33 of 58 1 of 2 50% 2 0 0:36
2 David Onama 1 26 of 52 50% 29 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:30
Gabriel Santos 0 14 of 23 60% 23 of 32 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:55
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
David Onama 53 of 104 50% 47 of 95 3 of 6 3 of 3 42 of 86 3 of 5 8 of 13
Gabriel Santos 39 of 73 53% 22 of 46 9 of 14 8 of 13 36 of 70 1 of 1 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 David Onama 27 of 52 51% 23 of 48 3 of 3 1 of 1 24 of 47 2 of 3 1 of 2
Gabriel Santos 25 of 50 50% 14 of 32 5 of 8 6 of 10 23 of 48 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 David Onama 26 of 52 50% 24 of 47 0 of 3 2 of 2 18 of 39 1 of 2 7 of 11
Gabriel Santos 14 of 23 60% 8 of 14 4 of 6 2 of 3 13 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Angelo picks Gabriel Santos, citing his aggression and ability to back Onama up and grind him down like Nate Landwehr did. He notes Santos is fast, strong, and has slick submissions. He mentions David Onama is a great underdog at +195/+200 and hits hard, but Santos gets hit. He would bet the over 1.5 rounds if available.

over 1.5 rounds (if available)
"the pick here is going to be Gabriel he's an absolute dog"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Big Brady picks Gabriel Santos, impressed by his performance against Lerone Murphy despite the loss. He describes Santos as a killer with next-level grappling and dangerous striking, comparing him to Charles Oliveira. He notes Onama's poor performance against Nate Landwehr where he gassed out. He expects Santos to weather an early storm and finish Onama in the second round, possibly by submission.

second round submission
"I'm going to say uh Gabriel Santos weather's the early storm ... and gets a second round finish here against David ornament"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Cody picks Santos, emphasizing his explosive style and wrestling. He notes Santos's ability to take down and control opponents, and thinks Onama's striking will be neutralized by Santos's pressure and takedowns. He expects Santos by decision.

Santos by decision mentioned.
"I think Santos is one of the rare guys that loses a fight and his stock just incredibly skyrockets."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Connor picks Santos, agreeing with Zane. He highlights Santos's impressive debut against Laron Murphy on short notice and his superior technique. Onama is reactive and lacks discipline, while Santos is a solid professional who will take advantage of Onama's mistakes. Connor notes that Onama's best wins are against lesser competition and that he struggles against disciplined fighters.

"Yeah. You got to pick Santos."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Daniel Levi picks Gabriel Santos, citing his technical soundness, heart, and grappling upside. He thinks Onama is athletic but defensively vulnerable, and Santos can win on feet or mat. He notes Santos's close fight with Lerone Murphy and his LFA title. He is not interested at -230 but picks Santos.

Leans under 2.5 rounds; not betting Santos at -230.
"pure pick for me is Santos but just not interested at that price"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

The host picks Gabriel Santos to win by submission in the second or third round. He believes Santos is the far superior fighter with great aggression, forward pressure, and a solid Jiu-Jitsu game. He thinks Santos will wear on Onama and eventually get him out of there, while Onama's only path to victory is a Hail Mary knockout. He expects Santos to dominate.

"give me Gabrielle Santos and I think he actually pulls off a submission Victory here probably in the second or third round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Paul picks Santos, impressed by his debut performance against Lauren Murphy on short notice. He highlights Santos's takedowns and grappling, and questions Onama's takedown defense. He expects Santos to win by decision and considers betting Santos by decision.

Santos by decision considered; Santos over 2.5 takedowns mentioned.
"I loved Santos in his debut and I think that was a tougher fight frankly."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

The Guru picks Gabriel Santos based on his performance against Lerone Murphy, which he believes Santos arguably won. He notes Santos has a good chin, took the Murphy fight on short notice, and showed grit. He criticizes Onama's cardio, saying he falls off after the first round, and points to Onama's losses to Mason Jones and Nate Landwehr as evidence. He predicts Santos wins by third-round finish or decision.

Predicts third-round finish or decision win.
"I'm actually gonna go with Gabriel Santos because I was re-watching his fight with larone Murphy... he could arguably win that fight"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Zane picks Santos, praising his discipline, well-roundedness, and technical striking. He notes that Onama is talented but lacks control and makes terrible decisions, often turning fights into brawls. Santos is a finished product who controls pace, works the body, and has good wrestling. Zane expects Santos to exploit Onama's tendency to gas and scramble wildly.

"I got to pick Gabriel Santos. Absolutely."
LOSS vs Lerone Murphy
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lerone Murphy 0 93 of 161 57% 115 of 183 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:18
Gabriel Santos 0 69 of 122 56% 87 of 141 5 of 11 45% 0 0 4:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lerone Murphy 0 33 of 58 56% 37 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:59
Gabriel Santos 0 36 of 54 66% 37 of 55 2 of 4 50% 0 0 0:39
2 Lerone Murphy 0 25 of 44 56% 36 of 55 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:14
Gabriel Santos 0 13 of 32 40% 26 of 46 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:45
3 Lerone Murphy 0 35 of 59 59% 42 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Gabriel Santos 0 20 of 36 55% 24 of 40 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:36
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lerone Murphy 93 of 161 57% 59 of 117 27 of 37 7 of 7 77 of 144 12 of 12 4 of 5
Gabriel Santos 69 of 122 56% 32 of 73 24 of 34 13 of 15 55 of 105 14 of 15 0 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lerone Murphy 33 of 58 56% 18 of 39 12 of 16 3 of 3 29 of 54 2 of 2 2 of 2
Gabriel Santos 36 of 54 66% 16 of 31 13 of 16 7 of 7 29 of 45 7 of 8 0 of 1
2 Lerone Murphy 25 of 44 56% 13 of 30 10 of 12 2 of 2 18 of 36 5 of 5 2 of 3
Gabriel Santos 13 of 32 40% 8 of 22 3 of 8 2 of 2 9 of 27 4 of 4 0 of 1
3 Lerone Murphy 35 of 59 59% 28 of 48 5 of 9 2 of 2 30 of 54 5 of 5 0 of 0
Gabriel Santos 20 of 36 55% 8 of 20 8 of 10 4 of 6 17 of 33 3 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Angelo thinks Murphy should win because he is the better striker with good footwork and power, and he has a full camp. However, he is wary of Murphy's layoff and the short-notice opponent. He notes Murphy's takedown defense is low but he scrambles well. He is staying away from betting due to the uncertainty.

"I do think larone Murphy wins this fight these odds are probably where they should be minus 275 was a little steep."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Big Brady picks Murphy, citing his power (knockout wins over Makwan Amirkhani and Ricardo Ramos) and Santos' hittability and questionable durability. He notes Santos is dangerous everywhere but took the fight on short notice and is making a long flight. He predicts a second-round knockout, but acknowledges Santos could have success early.

"I'm leaning towards Murphy to get that knockout win here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Cody picks Murphy, citing his precise striking, lateral movement, and high ring IQ. He notes Murphy has fought good wrestlers and defended takedowns well. He thinks Santos, on short notice, won't be able to take Murphy down and will lose a decision. He mentions Murphy's 16-month layoff is a concern but believes he's still a good fighter.

"I like Laurel Murphy because all those facts are true... I think that Murphy just moves laterally stays out of the way sticks and moves lands the more precise shots and uh eventually wins the fight"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Connor picks Murphy but expects a close fight. He notes that Murphy starts slow but is resourceful and has great cardio, often coming back to win. Santos is a solid, well-rounded fighter but may run out of ideas as the fight goes on. Connor also mentions the short-notice factor favoring Murphy.

"I'm gonna take Murphy, but I like the fight a lot."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Jacob picks Murphy but with low confidence due to his defensive wrestling holes. He thinks Murphy is the better striker but if Santos gets the fight to the ground, it could be trouble. He notes Murphy's takedown defense has been improving. He is not betting but would feel better if Murphy stuffs the first takedown.

"my confidence level right now I think those odds are correct it's probably like a five or or six for larone."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Murphy is explosive with big power and a good calf kick, but has grappling flaws and a layoff due to head injury. Santos is a short-notice replacement with a wild pressure style and defensive holes. Murphy's speed and power should exploit Santos's striking deficiencies, leading to a knockout. The fight doesn't go to decision is the favorite spot.

fight doesn't go to decision
"I think it's going to be that speed and an explosiveness of LaRon Murphy that'll allow him to take advantage of the Striking defense deficiencies in Gabriel Santos's game"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Paul picks Murphy but hesitantly, as he hasn't done full research on Santos. He says Murphy is a solid fighter on a good run, but the layoff and short-notice opponent are unknowns. He says the pick is Murphy but could change after looking at tape.

"for the purpose of the show I'll pick Laurel Murphy but uh that could change based on me looking up some tape"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

The MMA Guru picks Lerone Murphy over Gabriel Santos, acknowledging Santos is a dangerous prospect but noting he is on short notice. Murphy has a full camp and has shown composure against tough opponents like Zubaira Tukhugov. He predicts Murphy will win a 29-28 decision after a rough first round, trusting his experience and well-rounded game.

Murphy wins by decision 29-28
"I'm going with Lerone Murphy over Gabriel Santos"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Zane also picks Murphy, noting that Murphy's ability to adapt and his physicality will be key. He points out that Santos looked good in his LFA fight but may struggle with Murphy's pressure and clinch work. Zane expects momentum shifts and a competitive fight.

"I'll take Murphy as well."
Yi Zha - Fight History
LOSS vs Kaan Ofli
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 325 · Feb 01, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kaan Ofli 0 48 of 107 44% 53 of 114 0 of 7 0% 0 1 2:57
Yi Zha 1 68 of 124 54% 75 of 133 3 of 3 100% 0 0 1:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kaan Ofli 0 23 of 38 60% 28 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 1 2:20
Yi Zha 0 19 of 34 55% 22 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
2 Kaan Ofli 0 10 of 38 26% 10 of 39 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Yi Zha 1 31 of 57 54% 34 of 61 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:35
3 Kaan Ofli 0 15 of 31 48% 15 of 31 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:37
Yi Zha 0 18 of 33 54% 19 of 34 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kaan Ofli 48 of 107 44% 22 of 78 19 of 22 7 of 7 38 of 91 7 of 11 3 of 5
Yi Zha 68 of 124 54% 44 of 93 17 of 24 7 of 7 58 of 109 5 of 7 5 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kaan Ofli 23 of 38 60% 10 of 24 12 of 13 1 of 1 15 of 26 5 of 7 3 of 5
Yi Zha 19 of 34 55% 14 of 26 1 of 4 4 of 4 18 of 33 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Kaan Ofli 10 of 38 26% 5 of 33 2 of 2 3 of 3 10 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yi Zha 31 of 57 54% 20 of 44 9 of 11 2 of 2 26 of 48 1 of 2 4 of 7
3 Kaan Ofli 15 of 31 48% 7 of 21 5 of 7 3 of 3 13 of 27 2 of 4 0 of 0
Yi Zha 18 of 33 54% 10 of 23 7 of 9 1 of 1 14 of 28 4 of 5 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kaan Ofli vs. Zha Yi
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Yi (-218), Ofli (+180)

Round 1
The promotion itself handled the first three matches tonight differently, even going so far as to declare they were the Road to UFC 4 finals while the rest are UFC 325—for Fight Finder purposes, we consider them all as UFC fights, and do not separate the two cards for record keeping. Those out of the way, we move on to the reason most fans are here as Jon Anik takes over on the mic. Giving locals someone to root for early, Ofli (12-4-1, 1-2 UFC) reps his home country against China’s Yi (26-5, 1-2 UFC). The third man in the Octagon will be referee Jim Perdios, and the featherweights touch ‘em up before proceeding.
Yi gets right to the center of the cage, aiming his jab to the head and body and landing once to the latter. Yi swipes out a right to the body, and Ofli replies with four speedy hooks. Ofli punches his way into a takedown, and Yi slips out of the way and forces Ofli to abandon it. Ofli keeps after Yi, belting him with a right hand and using a body lock to drag the fight down. Yi flips him around, and the ensuing scramble between the energized athletes leads to Ofli winding up on top. Yi tries to utilize butterfly hooks to keep Ofli off of him, and he even flirts with an armbar off his back, but it is all for naught when Ofli smashes him in the face with a vicious right hand. Just like that, Yi turns to the side as he does not want to eat another one of those shots, and he leans on the fencing so that Ofli cannot take his back. Yi postures in hopes of standing, and Ofli controls him and knees him flush to the body. Yi is wrangled back to the canvas, with Ofli tripping the Chinese fighter up to keep him grounded.
Ofli clasps his hands around the waist, letting them go so he can wind up and smack Yi in the face with several left hands. Yi ignores them and fights back to his feet, taking a couple knees to the stomach and an elbow that irritates him. Yi breaks off, and Ofli chases after him with a push kick and a punch. They loose hooks at the same time, with Ofli taking Yi off-balance with a ferocious hook. Yi stumbles and gathers his thoughts, getting right back up but notably retreating. Yi looks for a counter while Ofli is advancing, and Ofli falls over when landing a kick and takes a right hand on the way up. Yi clips the Aussie with a left and waves him on, and Ofli backs off and absorbs a few kicks to the body and legs. Ofli suddenly surges into action, but he is met by a stone wall in Yi who does not take many steps back. Ofli digs a kick to the body and is wobbled by a left hand, and Yi shrugs at him like a Diaz brother and headhunts him to the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ofli
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ofli
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ofli

Round 2
Before the round begins, Perdios issues Yi a stern warning to close his fists, as he has had his fingers outstretched towards his opponent—as a reminder, this is a foul under the Unified Rules, with pokes/gouges a second foul. Yi acknowledges this and is fired up, and he proceeds to go right after Ofli when the round begins. As Yi swarms the Aussie, he knocks Ofli clean off his feet with a left hand. Ofli rolls to the side, protects himself from further damage, and gets back upright. Yi does not let him get a moment to breathe, splitting his guard with a piston-like left hand that forces Ofli to check on his nose to make sure it is not broken. Yi runs at his opponent and tees off on him, and when Ofli hits the deck trying to escape, Yi sprints and knees him in the side while grounded. Ofli is tough and stands up once more, but he is firmly in the Danger Zone and has not offered much offense back since getting clubbed. When Ofli tries to give off something, Yi counters him with a left to shut him down again.
Ofli grits his teeth and bats Yi upside the head with a right hand, ignoring the opposing right at his dome so he can keep swinging. It is Yi who lands the cleaner of the two, and his left hand continues to find its mark and make Ofli backpedal. Yi goes to the head, opens up the body and blasts the liver with a left hand to double over his opponent. Ofli gathers any remaining steam and shoots for a takedown, one the Chinese fighter tosses out of the way like a father wrestling with his kid. Yi has Ofli on the proverbial ropes, knocking him down or seemingly hurting him every time he connects. Ofli hits the deck and bounces off the floor as if he had springs in his torso, and Yi knows Ofli may not have much left and keeps after him. Ofli offers a sign of life with a pair of punches and a low kick, but he is far down on the scorecards in this one. Yi probes his guard with jabs rather than selling out as the bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Yi
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Yi
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-8 Yi

Round 3
Yi offers a hug, and Ofli gladly accepts it as it gives him a few more seconds to get his wits about him. Ofli starts off hot, chasing Yi down and swinging hard but not catching him with much. Ofli does land a body kick with a resounding slap, and Yi taunts him as if to say “is that all you got?” Ofli lets loose with a calf kick, and Yi’s response is far less jovial. Instead, he appears compromised, so Ofli goes after it again and draws a slight limp. Yi changes stances, and Ofli kicks him in the other knee. Ofli keeps pressing the action, swinging hard in hopes of catching Yi concerned about the kicks, and he mixes in a takedown effort. When that fails, he punches his way into another attempt, where he jams Yi against the wall but goes no further as Yi breaks free. Yi splits the guard with a left to further irritate the damaged beak of the Aussie, and he ducks a telegraphed hook but walks square into a body kick.
Yi slings a left hand down the pipe, and Ofli meets him in the middle and slugs him in the jaw. Ofli ducks a hook and shoots for a double, and Yi scampers away. On the reset, Yi marches after the fading Ofli, and he knocks him back a way with a solid left. Yi’s own energy reserves are not particularly high after 13-plus minutes of fist fighting, and he takes a calf kick that makes him frown. Yi stonewalls another takedown that comes at him, turning the tables immediately to shoot for a double-leg takedown that Ofli can only defend with a guillotine setup. Yi easily pulls his neck free, and the two scramble for position until Ofli stands up and Yi follows him. Ofli uses the close range to crack Yi with an elbow, and he drives a right hand through after it. Yi replies with a tackling takedown, putting Ofli on his face for a moment until Ofli jumps back up. Yi dodges a spinning back elbow, and both men spin with back kicks and laugh when their legs collide. The horn sounds to end the close fight, one where a draw could be in play depending on how judges assessed the action.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Yi (29-27 Yi)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Yi (29-27 Yi)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Yi (29-27 Yi)

The Official Result
Kaan Ofli def. Zha Yi via Majority Decision (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jan 25, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Angelo picks Kaan Ofli as a slight lean, stating he is the better grappler and if he shoots first, he can have success because Yi Zha's takedown defense sucks. He acknowledges Yi Zha is the better striker and offensive grappler, but thinks Ofli's jiu-jitsu is better on the ground. He says betting moneyline would be dumb, but plus 3.5 might make sense.

plus 3.5 might make sense
"Slight lean Khan Offley. Betting a money line here would be dumb as hell, even though the odds are are solid. plus three and a half might make some sense."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 25, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Yi Zha

Big Brady picks Yi Zha based on activity, as Kaan Ofli does nothing in fights. He notes Zha is aggressive with wrestling and grappling, while Ofli has shown no output. He expects a decision win for Zha, though he doesn't love the -215 price.

"Give me EA to win by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 28, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Cody is picking Ofli as a value underdog, noting that Yi Zha has been outmuscled by stronger opponents and that Ofli has shown durability and a strong clinch game. He expects Ofli to win by decision or late stoppage.

"I don't want a two to one yet play and then have him just flop around... I'm going to go with Kane Ole. Don't love it, but that is going to be the play for me."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Ofli. He notes that Yi Zha's competition is weak and Ofli's power and bullying style should be effective. Connor also comments that the odds are not too bothersome, as both fighters are similar in level.

Same odds commentary.
"Yeah, probably I agree, you know. Yep, just a just a absolute bully. Yep."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2026 (17 days before fight)
Yi Zha

Daniel Vreeland picks Yi Zha, viewing him as a tough, battle-tested journeyman who is hungrier and more durable than Ofli. He dismisses Ofli as a mid-level fighter and believes Yi Zha's experience and toughness will carry him to victory.

"Pure pick, I'm going to go Yha to win this fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 25, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Yi Zha

James picks Yi Zha, citing his better boxing, takedown ability, and veteran savvy. He believes Yi Zha can reverse Ofli's takedowns and win scrambles, and that his experience will lead to a decision victory.

"I got Yizar as the winner."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 27, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Ofli is a BJJ black belt with good wrestling and striking, though he has had some losses. Yi Zha is a grappler but not as aggressive or dominant as Ofli's previous opponents. Ofli should be able to stuff takedowns and have success on the feet, where he has an edge in explosiveness. The host is surprised Ofli is an underdog and expects him to win by decision, possibly pulling off the upset.

Ofli by decision
"I'm going to go off. I I think he pulls off the upside here. I think he wins by decision and I think plus 165 is more than good enough to to take a shot on the Turkish uh Australian …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 28, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Paul also leans toward Ofli, noting that Yi Zha was knocked out by Myron Santos and that Ofli has shown he will cheat to win. He sees value in the underdog.

"Confly kind of showed us that he will cheat to get the win, too. And at plus 170 plus 180, I mean, I think you could do worse."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Yi Zha

The Guru picks Yi Zha, calling him underrated and noting his impressive debut knockout of Weston Wilson. He highlights Yi's grappling ability, chin advantage, and striking power. He predicts a first-round TKO, citing Yi's aggression and experience from Road to UFC.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with YA by first round TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Zane picks Kaan Ofli because he is a powerful, bullying fighter who will overwhelm Yi Zha with aggression. He notes that Yi Zha's record is padded with low-level competition and he does not have applicable skills for the UFC. Ofli's power and athleticism should be too much for Yi Zha.

Ofli opened at +160, now +168; Yi Zha opened at -185, now -193. Zane says he doesn't see it but is not bothered by the odds.
"I have to pick con awfully. He's not nuanced in any way shape or form, but he is a he is like the prototypical regional power MMA fighter a strong athlete who has decided to strong man their way through …"
WIN vs Westin Wilson
KO R1 0:37 · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · Aug 23, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yi Zha 2 13 of 18 72% 17 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Westin Wilson 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yi Zha 2 13 of 18 72% 17 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Westin Wilson 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yi Zha 13 of 18 72% 10 of 15 0 of 0 3 of 3 9 of 12 2 of 3 2 of 3
Westin Wilson 0 of 2 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yi Zha 13 of 18 72% 10 of 15 0 of 0 3 of 3 9 of 12 2 of 3 2 of 3
Westin Wilson 0 of 2 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Aug 17, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Yi Zha

Angelo is picking Yi Zha but with low confidence, calling the -400 odds an atrocity. He describes Yi Zha as a powerful grappler who uses kicks to manage range and is constantly looking for submissions, but can struggle to maintain position. He notes Westin Wilson is a karate-style striker who is very tall and can be hesitant. He ultimately picks Yi Zha because of his insane toughness shown in his last fight, but warns against betting on this fight.

Odds are -400, which Angelo calls an atrocity; he advises not gambling on this fight.
"I am going to pick Yiza just because of how insanely tough he is and we saw that in his last fight. But if you're gambling on this fight that you have genuine issues that need to be looked after …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Yi Zha

Big Brady picks Yi Zha to win by first-round submission, noting that Yi Zha is a grappler who will take the fight to the mat and that Westin Wilson has been submitted four times by questionable competition. He acknowledges the -1200 line is ridiculous but believes Yi Zha should get the win. He predicts an armbar or rear-naked choke.

Yi Zha by first round submission
"Give me EA to win this fight. I'll take him to win this fight by first round submission, but the minus, 1200, it just kind of ridiculous, but yeah, he should get the win."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert picked Aug 22, 2025 (1 day before fight)

Connor does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses both fighters' flaws but does not state a preference, calling it a coin flip. He notes that Yi Zha can't wrestle at the UFC level and Westin Wilson is fragile, but does not commit to a pick.

"I mean, honestly, like flip a coin."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Yi Zha

The host sees Yi Zha as a big favorite and expects him to wear down Wilson and eventually find a finish within a round and a half. He believes the finish will likely come by submission.

win by submission, inside 1.5 rounds
"Big favorite here for Eha and I expect him to come through with it as he wears down Wilson and eventually finds that finish within a round and a half and I think it probably comes by submission."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Yi Zha

The MMA Guru picks Yi Zha to win by KO, citing his competitive performance against Gabriel Santos and a close fight with Lerone Murphy. He criticizes Westin Wilson's side-on stance, which leaves him open to fast lower-weight fighters. He notes that Wilson has been finished early before and is older (36-38), while Yi Zha has more experience and a better record. He concludes that he simply won't pick Wilson to win fights.

Yi Zha by KO
"I'm going to go with Yiza to get a KO over Weston Wilson. To be honest with you, there's just certain fighters I won't take to win fights and Weston Wilson's one of them."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Aug 22, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Yi Zha

Zane picks Yi Zha, reasoning that he is bad in a 'reasonably MMA in a normal MMA way' and has shown he can take a beating. He notes that Westin Wilson is too fragile and relies on a chaotic guard and clinch game. Zane believes Yi Zha's more conventional approach will win, though he admits both fighters are not UFC caliber.

"I'm taking him because he's bad in a way that's like reasonably MMA in a normal MMA way."
LOSS vs Gabriel Santos
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · Sep 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabriel Santos 0 41 of 92 44% 96 of 160 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:04
Yi Zha 1 76 of 112 67% 110 of 150 2 of 2 100% 0 0 6:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabriel Santos 0 23 of 41 56% 23 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yi Zha 1 46 of 73 63% 46 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
2 Gabriel Santos 0 15 of 40 37% 23 of 51 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
Yi Zha 0 19 of 27 70% 32 of 41 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:23
3 Gabriel Santos 0 3 of 11 27% 50 of 68 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Yi Zha 0 11 of 12 91% 32 of 36 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabriel Santos 41 of 92 44% 26 of 71 8 of 13 7 of 8 40 of 90 0 of 0 1 of 2
Yi Zha 76 of 112 67% 45 of 79 17 of 18 14 of 15 53 of 85 5 of 5 18 of 22
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabriel Santos 23 of 41 56% 14 of 31 3 of 4 6 of 6 23 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 1
Yi Zha 46 of 73 63% 23 of 48 12 of 13 11 of 12 34 of 57 4 of 4 8 of 12
2 Gabriel Santos 15 of 40 37% 11 of 33 3 of 6 1 of 1 15 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yi Zha 19 of 27 70% 12 of 20 5 of 5 2 of 2 15 of 23 1 of 1 3 of 3
3 Gabriel Santos 3 of 11 27% 1 of 7 2 of 3 0 of 1 2 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1
Yi Zha 11 of 12 91% 10 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 5 0 of 0 7 of 7
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 1, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Yi Zha

Angelo picks Yi Zha as an underdog because he is a powerful grappler who averages almost five takedowns per fight and is always looking for submissions. He believes Yi can find success even if Gabriel Santos gets the first takedown, and that Yi's grappling is good enough to stay safe and make something happen. He notes that Yi is plus 214 and may have value in prop bets like plus 3.5 rounds or win inside distance.

Angelo mentions he may bet on Yi Zha plus 3.5 rounds or win inside distance (decision no action) if the props are plus money.
"I do think yea can get it done he's proven that he doesn't even need to get a takedown to find a submission"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Big Brady picks Gabriel Santos to win by decision. He is very high on Santos despite his 0-2 UFC record, believing he was robbed against Murphy. Brady thinks Santos is better everywhere: better striker, and his BJJ black belt should neutralize Yi Zha's grappling. He notes Yi Zha's record is misleading and that Santos is much better than his record indicates.

"I'm taking Santos for sure I'm going to take him to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Cody agrees with Paul, citing Santos' strong wrestling and striking. He notes Zha's takedown defense is poor and Santos has fought tougher competition. He expects Santos to neutralize Zha and win a decision or get a finish.

"Gabriel Santos I I take Gabriel Santos"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Daniel is a big fan of Santos's exciting style but acknowledges his defensive flaws. He criticizes Yi Zha's padded record and boring wrestling style. He thinks Santos's volume, pressure, and activity off his back will overwhelm Zha, and that Zha's takedowns won't be enough to win. He expects Santos to get his first UFC win.

"I think Gabriel Santos has a massive Edge standing... I'm going Gabrielle moscarino Santos to come out here and get that long awaited first UFC win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Santos is the better mixed martial artist despite being 0-2 in the UFC. He has slick BJJ and striking, and should be able to handle Yi Zha's pressure and wrestling. Yi Zha is aggressive but leaves openings. Santos can reverse positions and win on the feet. The under 2.5 rounds at plus money is also favored due to both fighters' pace.

Under 2.5 rounds at plus money
"I do think that Santos will end up being a little bit too slick and more technical than yah... my favorite spot in this matchup would be the under two and a half at plus money."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Paul picks Santos, noting his wrestling and striking are superior to Zha's. He believes Santos can take Zha down and control him, and has a better plan B if the wrestling fails. He acknowledges Santos' cardio concerns but thinks he can win two of three rounds.

"Gabriel Santos I I take Gabriel Santos it is what it is you're just gonna have to bite the bullet on it for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

The MMA Guru picks Gabriel Santos over Yi Zha. He dismisses Yi Zha's record as inflated from the Road to UFC show, noting that anyone good has beaten him. He praises Santos for taking Lerone Murphy to a split decision on short notice and for his training at a good gym. He notes Santos is on a two-fight losing streak but believes this is his last chance and he will win.

"I'm gonna have to go with Gabriel Santos in this fight... Gabriel Santos is very underrated... he took the guy to a split decision and this is aone Murphy"
LOSS vs Lee Jeong-yeong
Decision (split) (27–30, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · Feb 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lee Jeong-yeong 0 25 of 57 43% 66 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:50
Yi Zha 0 24 of 58 41% 37 of 74 5 of 21 23% 0 0 8:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lee Jeong-yeong 0 3 of 6 50% 27 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Yi Zha 0 3 of 3 100% 8 of 11 1 of 5 20% 0 0 4:15
2 Lee Jeong-yeong 0 12 of 31 38% 18 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Yi Zha 0 9 of 28 32% 12 of 31 2 of 7 28% 0 0 1:19
3 Lee Jeong-yeong 0 10 of 20 50% 21 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Yi Zha 0 12 of 27 44% 17 of 32 2 of 9 22% 0 0 2:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lee Jeong-yeong 25 of 57 43% 18 of 50 7 of 7 0 of 0 18 of 49 7 of 8 0 of 0
Yi Zha 24 of 58 41% 17 of 48 6 of 9 1 of 1 13 of 46 7 of 7 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lee Jeong-yeong 3 of 6 50% 1 of 4 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 2 3 of 4 0 of 0
Yi Zha 3 of 3 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Lee Jeong-yeong 12 of 31 38% 10 of 29 2 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 27 4 of 4 0 of 0
Yi Zha 9 of 28 32% 7 of 26 2 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 26 1 of 1 1 of 1
3 Lee Jeong-yeong 10 of 20 50% 7 of 17 3 of 3 0 of 0 10 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yi Zha 12 of 27 44% 8 of 20 4 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 20 3 of 3 3 of 4
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Lee Jeong-yeong

Big Brady highlights Lee's power and finishing ability, noting his quick finishes on Road to UFC. He thinks Yi Zha is uncomfortable on the feet and will be knocked out. He predicts a first-round knockout for Lee.

first round knockout
"I think Young Lee's going to knock this guy out I'll say it's early as well I think he knocks him out in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Yi Zha

Cody picks Yi Zha as an underdog, noting his experience and wrestling advantage. He thinks Lee is untested and may struggle if taken down. He acknowledges Yi Zha's split decision win over Matsushima was controversial, but sees value at +210. He is not confident enough to bet but picks him for the show.

"I'm gonna take zai as my first Underdog on the card... I thought he lost the matsushima fight I thought she was decent"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Lee Jeong-yeong

Connor agrees, adding that Korean fighters tend to cut weight well and Lee is a big, solidly built featherweight. He notes that Yi Zha's wrestling is aimless and lacks physicality, and that Lee's size will make it difficult for Yi to get takedowns. He expects Lee to shrug off grappling and land punches consistently.

Odds: Lee opened -225, now -257; Yi opened +175, now +205.
"I think lee is going to be the one shrugging off the wrestling and and just trying to keep landing punches."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lee Jeong-yeong

Paul picks Lee for the show but is not confident. He notes Lee's quick finishes and power, but has many question marks due to lack of tape. He thinks Yi Zha is a guard puller who loses positions, but the line is too high. He prefers to pass on betting.

"for the purposes of the show for people who track the uh the picks that we make I'll take the favorite in Lee"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Lee Jeong-yeong

Zane sees Lee as a prototypical Korean prospect who plants his feet and trades, confident in his ability to land punches while accepting hits. He notes that Yi Zha is a wrestle-grappler with poor athleticism and shot wrestling, and that Lee's size and physicality will allow him to shrug off takedowns and land punches. He believes Lee's takedown defense is sufficient because he is expecting everything.

Odds: Lee opened -225, now -257; Yi opened +175, now +205.
"I think this is a probably a pretty good matchup for jeongyeon lee."
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 1, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Yi Zha

Angelo picks Yi Zha as an underdog because he is a powerful grappler who averages almost five takedowns per fight and is always looking for submissions. He believes Yi can find success even if Gabriel Santos gets the first takedown, and that Yi's grappling is good enough to stay safe and make something happen. He notes that Yi is plus 214 and may have value in prop bets like plus 3.5 rounds or win inside distance.

Angelo mentions he may bet on Yi Zha plus 3.5 rounds or win inside distance (decision no action) if the props are plus money.
"I do think yea can get it done he's proven that he doesn't even need to get a takedown to find a submission"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Big Brady picks Gabriel Santos to win by decision. He is very high on Santos despite his 0-2 UFC record, believing he was robbed against Murphy. Brady thinks Santos is better everywhere: better striker, and his BJJ black belt should neutralize Yi Zha's grappling. He notes Yi Zha's record is misleading and that Santos is much better than his record indicates.

"I'm taking Santos for sure I'm going to take him to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Cody agrees with Paul, citing Santos' strong wrestling and striking. He notes Zha's takedown defense is poor and Santos has fought tougher competition. He expects Santos to neutralize Zha and win a decision or get a finish.

"Gabriel Santos I I take Gabriel Santos"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Daniel is a big fan of Santos's exciting style but acknowledges his defensive flaws. He criticizes Yi Zha's padded record and boring wrestling style. He thinks Santos's volume, pressure, and activity off his back will overwhelm Zha, and that Zha's takedowns won't be enough to win. He expects Santos to get his first UFC win.

"I think Gabriel Santos has a massive Edge standing... I'm going Gabrielle moscarino Santos to come out here and get that long awaited first UFC win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Santos is the better mixed martial artist despite being 0-2 in the UFC. He has slick BJJ and striking, and should be able to handle Yi Zha's pressure and wrestling. Yi Zha is aggressive but leaves openings. Santos can reverse positions and win on the feet. The under 2.5 rounds at plus money is also favored due to both fighters' pace.

Under 2.5 rounds at plus money
"I do think that Santos will end up being a little bit too slick and more technical than yah... my favorite spot in this matchup would be the under two and a half at plus money."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Paul picks Santos, noting his wrestling and striking are superior to Zha's. He believes Santos can take Zha down and control him, and has a better plan B if the wrestling fails. He acknowledges Santos' cardio concerns but thinks he can win two of three rounds.

"Gabriel Santos I I take Gabriel Santos it is what it is you're just gonna have to bite the bullet on it for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

The MMA Guru picks Gabriel Santos over Yi Zha. He dismisses Yi Zha's record as inflated from the Road to UFC show, noting that anyone good has beaten him. He praises Santos for taking Lerone Murphy to a split decision on short notice and for his training at a good gym. He notes Santos is on a two-fight losing streak but believes this is his last chance and he will win.

"I'm gonna have to go with Gabriel Santos in this fight... Gabriel Santos is very underrated... he took the guy to a split decision and this is aone Murphy"
Comments (1)
BR
brian 1 year ago

Iza is your typical Chinese fighter with chin that's suspicious took a beaten, commentary noted that Gabriel Santos has cardio issues