Career Averages - Gabriel Santos
Career Averages - Yi Zha
Gabriel Santos - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Jenkins | 1 | 34 of 48 | 70% | 39 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:20 |
| Gabriel Santos | 0 | 39 of 61 | 63% | 96 of 123 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 2 | 0 | 6:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Jenkins | 1 | 28 of 36 | 77% | 33 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:17 |
| Gabriel Santos | 0 | 9 of 20 | 45% | 22 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:50 | |
| 2 | Jack Jenkins | 0 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 5 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Gabriel Santos | 0 | 24 of 32 | 75% | 58 of 69 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:48 | |
| 3 | Jack Jenkins | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabriel Santos | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 16 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 1:41 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Jenkins | 34 of 48 | 70% | 22 of 35 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 7 | 13 of 22 | 5 of 6 | 16 of 20 |
| Gabriel Santos | 39 of 61 | 63% | 26 of 44 | 6 of 9 | 7 of 8 | 23 of 45 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 13 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Jenkins | 28 of 36 | 77% | 19 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 7 of 10 | 5 of 6 | 16 of 20 |
| Gabriel Santos | 9 of 20 | 45% | 3 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jack Jenkins | 5 of 11 | 45% | 2 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Santos | 24 of 32 | 75% | 19 of 25 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 12 | |
| 3 | Jack Jenkins | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Santos | 6 of 9 | 66% | 4 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady is a big fan of Gabriel Santos, believing he is much better than his 1-2 UFC record indicates. He notes Santos's well-rounded skills, power, and BJJ black belt. He thinks Santos has a significant grappling advantage over Jack Jenkins, who was taken down and controlled by Jamal Emmers. Brady predicts Santos will win a decision, possibly with a submission.
Santos is considered the better fighter, slicker with Muay Thai and more aggressive with BJJ. His Muay Thai will allow him to check Jenkins' kicks and counter with straight shots. The fight is expected to go to decision with Santos winning.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Santos | 0 | 41 of 92 | 44% | 96 of 160 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Yi Zha | 1 | 76 of 112 | 67% | 110 of 150 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 6:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Santos | 0 | 23 of 41 | 56% | 23 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Yi Zha | 1 | 46 of 73 | 63% | 46 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 2 | Gabriel Santos | 0 | 15 of 40 | 37% | 23 of 51 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Yi Zha | 0 | 19 of 27 | 70% | 32 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:23 | |
| 3 | Gabriel Santos | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 50 of 68 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Yi Zha | 0 | 11 of 12 | 91% | 32 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Santos | 41 of 92 | 44% | 26 of 71 | 8 of 13 | 7 of 8 | 40 of 90 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Yi Zha | 76 of 112 | 67% | 45 of 79 | 17 of 18 | 14 of 15 | 53 of 85 | 5 of 5 | 18 of 22 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Santos | 23 of 41 | 56% | 14 of 31 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 23 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Yi Zha | 46 of 73 | 63% | 23 of 48 | 12 of 13 | 11 of 12 | 34 of 57 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 12 | |
| 2 | Gabriel Santos | 15 of 40 | 37% | 11 of 33 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yi Zha | 19 of 27 | 70% | 12 of 20 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | |
| 3 | Gabriel Santos | 3 of 11 | 27% | 1 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Yi Zha | 11 of 12 | 91% | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 |
Angelo picks Yi Zha as an underdog because he is a powerful grappler who averages almost five takedowns per fight and is always looking for submissions. He believes Yi can find success even if Gabriel Santos gets the first takedown, and that Yi's grappling is good enough to stay safe and make something happen. He notes that Yi is plus 214 and may have value in prop bets like plus 3.5 rounds or win inside distance.
Big Brady picks Gabriel Santos to win by decision. He is very high on Santos despite his 0-2 UFC record, believing he was robbed against Murphy. Brady thinks Santos is better everywhere: better striker, and his BJJ black belt should neutralize Yi Zha's grappling. He notes Yi Zha's record is misleading and that Santos is much better than his record indicates.
Cody agrees with Paul, citing Santos' strong wrestling and striking. He notes Zha's takedown defense is poor and Santos has fought tougher competition. He expects Santos to neutralize Zha and win a decision or get a finish.
Daniel is a big fan of Santos's exciting style but acknowledges his defensive flaws. He criticizes Yi Zha's padded record and boring wrestling style. He thinks Santos's volume, pressure, and activity off his back will overwhelm Zha, and that Zha's takedowns won't be enough to win. He expects Santos to get his first UFC win.
Santos is the better mixed martial artist despite being 0-2 in the UFC. He has slick BJJ and striking, and should be able to handle Yi Zha's pressure and wrestling. Yi Zha is aggressive but leaves openings. Santos can reverse positions and win on the feet. The under 2.5 rounds at plus money is also favored due to both fighters' pace.
Paul picks Santos, noting his wrestling and striking are superior to Zha's. He believes Santos can take Zha down and control him, and has a better plan B if the wrestling fails. He acknowledges Santos' cardio concerns but thinks he can win two of three rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Gabriel Santos over Yi Zha. He dismisses Yi Zha's record as inflated from the Road to UFC show, noting that anyone good has beaten him. He praises Santos for taking Lerone Murphy to a split decision on short notice and for his training at a good gym. He notes Santos is on a two-fight losing streak but believes this is his last chance and he will win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Onama | 1 | 53 of 104 | 50% | 59 of 118 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:53 |
| Gabriel Santos | 0 | 39 of 73 | 53% | 56 of 90 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 1:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Onama | 0 | 27 of 52 | 51% | 30 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Gabriel Santos | 0 | 25 of 50 | 50% | 33 of 58 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 0:36 | |
| 2 | David Onama | 1 | 26 of 52 | 50% | 29 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:30 |
| Gabriel Santos | 0 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 23 of 32 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Onama | 53 of 104 | 50% | 47 of 95 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 42 of 86 | 3 of 5 | 8 of 13 |
| Gabriel Santos | 39 of 73 | 53% | 22 of 46 | 9 of 14 | 8 of 13 | 36 of 70 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Onama | 27 of 52 | 51% | 23 of 48 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 47 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 |
| Gabriel Santos | 25 of 50 | 50% | 14 of 32 | 5 of 8 | 6 of 10 | 23 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | David Onama | 26 of 52 | 50% | 24 of 47 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 39 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 11 |
| Gabriel Santos | 14 of 23 | 60% | 8 of 14 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 13 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Gabriel Santos, citing his aggression and ability to back Onama up and grind him down like Nate Landwehr did. He notes Santos is fast, strong, and has slick submissions. He mentions David Onama is a great underdog at +195/+200 and hits hard, but Santos gets hit. He would bet the over 1.5 rounds if available.
Big Brady picks Gabriel Santos, impressed by his performance against Lerone Murphy despite the loss. He describes Santos as a killer with next-level grappling and dangerous striking, comparing him to Charles Oliveira. He notes Onama's poor performance against Nate Landwehr where he gassed out. He expects Santos to weather an early storm and finish Onama in the second round, possibly by submission.
Cody picks Santos, emphasizing his explosive style and wrestling. He notes Santos's ability to take down and control opponents, and thinks Onama's striking will be neutralized by Santos's pressure and takedowns. He expects Santos by decision.
Connor picks Santos, agreeing with Zane. He highlights Santos's impressive debut against Laron Murphy on short notice and his superior technique. Onama is reactive and lacks discipline, while Santos is a solid professional who will take advantage of Onama's mistakes. Connor notes that Onama's best wins are against lesser competition and that he struggles against disciplined fighters.
Daniel Levi picks Gabriel Santos, citing his technical soundness, heart, and grappling upside. He thinks Onama is athletic but defensively vulnerable, and Santos can win on feet or mat. He notes Santos's close fight with Lerone Murphy and his LFA title. He is not interested at -230 but picks Santos.
The host picks Gabriel Santos to win by submission in the second or third round. He believes Santos is the far superior fighter with great aggression, forward pressure, and a solid Jiu-Jitsu game. He thinks Santos will wear on Onama and eventually get him out of there, while Onama's only path to victory is a Hail Mary knockout. He expects Santos to dominate.
Paul picks Santos, impressed by his debut performance against Lauren Murphy on short notice. He highlights Santos's takedowns and grappling, and questions Onama's takedown defense. He expects Santos to win by decision and considers betting Santos by decision.
The Guru picks Gabriel Santos based on his performance against Lerone Murphy, which he believes Santos arguably won. He notes Santos has a good chin, took the Murphy fight on short notice, and showed grit. He criticizes Onama's cardio, saying he falls off after the first round, and points to Onama's losses to Mason Jones and Nate Landwehr as evidence. He predicts Santos wins by third-round finish or decision.
Zane picks Santos, praising his discipline, well-roundedness, and technical striking. He notes that Onama is talented but lacks control and makes terrible decisions, often turning fights into brawls. Santos is a finished product who controls pace, works the body, and has good wrestling. Zane expects Santos to exploit Onama's tendency to gas and scramble wildly.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lerone Murphy | 0 | 93 of 161 | 57% | 115 of 183 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:18 |
| Gabriel Santos | 0 | 69 of 122 | 56% | 87 of 141 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 4:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lerone Murphy | 0 | 33 of 58 | 56% | 37 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:59 |
| Gabriel Santos | 0 | 36 of 54 | 66% | 37 of 55 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 | |
| 2 | Lerone Murphy | 0 | 25 of 44 | 56% | 36 of 55 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
| Gabriel Santos | 0 | 13 of 32 | 40% | 26 of 46 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:45 | |
| 3 | Lerone Murphy | 0 | 35 of 59 | 59% | 42 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Gabriel Santos | 0 | 20 of 36 | 55% | 24 of 40 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:36 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lerone Murphy | 93 of 161 | 57% | 59 of 117 | 27 of 37 | 7 of 7 | 77 of 144 | 12 of 12 | 4 of 5 |
| Gabriel Santos | 69 of 122 | 56% | 32 of 73 | 24 of 34 | 13 of 15 | 55 of 105 | 14 of 15 | 0 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lerone Murphy | 33 of 58 | 56% | 18 of 39 | 12 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 29 of 54 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Gabriel Santos | 36 of 54 | 66% | 16 of 31 | 13 of 16 | 7 of 7 | 29 of 45 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Lerone Murphy | 25 of 44 | 56% | 13 of 30 | 10 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 36 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 3 |
| Gabriel Santos | 13 of 32 | 40% | 8 of 22 | 3 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 27 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Lerone Murphy | 35 of 59 | 59% | 28 of 48 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 30 of 54 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriel Santos | 20 of 36 | 55% | 8 of 20 | 8 of 10 | 4 of 6 | 17 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo thinks Murphy should win because he is the better striker with good footwork and power, and he has a full camp. However, he is wary of Murphy's layoff and the short-notice opponent. He notes Murphy's takedown defense is low but he scrambles well. He is staying away from betting due to the uncertainty.
Big Brady picks Murphy, citing his power (knockout wins over Makwan Amirkhani and Ricardo Ramos) and Santos' hittability and questionable durability. He notes Santos is dangerous everywhere but took the fight on short notice and is making a long flight. He predicts a second-round knockout, but acknowledges Santos could have success early.
Cody picks Murphy, citing his precise striking, lateral movement, and high ring IQ. He notes Murphy has fought good wrestlers and defended takedowns well. He thinks Santos, on short notice, won't be able to take Murphy down and will lose a decision. He mentions Murphy's 16-month layoff is a concern but believes he's still a good fighter.
Connor picks Murphy but expects a close fight. He notes that Murphy starts slow but is resourceful and has great cardio, often coming back to win. Santos is a solid, well-rounded fighter but may run out of ideas as the fight goes on. Connor also mentions the short-notice factor favoring Murphy.
Jacob picks Murphy but with low confidence due to his defensive wrestling holes. He thinks Murphy is the better striker but if Santos gets the fight to the ground, it could be trouble. He notes Murphy's takedown defense has been improving. He is not betting but would feel better if Murphy stuffs the first takedown.
Murphy is explosive with big power and a good calf kick, but has grappling flaws and a layoff due to head injury. Santos is a short-notice replacement with a wild pressure style and defensive holes. Murphy's speed and power should exploit Santos's striking deficiencies, leading to a knockout. The fight doesn't go to decision is the favorite spot.
Paul picks Murphy but hesitantly, as he hasn't done full research on Santos. He says Murphy is a solid fighter on a good run, but the layoff and short-notice opponent are unknowns. He says the pick is Murphy but could change after looking at tape.
The MMA Guru picks Lerone Murphy over Gabriel Santos, acknowledging Santos is a dangerous prospect but noting he is on short notice. Murphy has a full camp and has shown composure against tough opponents like Zubaira Tukhugov. He predicts Murphy will win a 29-28 decision after a rough first round, trusting his experience and well-rounded game.
Zane also picks Murphy, noting that Murphy's ability to adapt and his physicality will be key. He points out that Santos looked good in his LFA fight but may struggle with Murphy's pressure and clinch work. Zane expects momentum shifts and a competitive fight.
Yi Zha - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaan Ofli | 0 | 48 of 107 | 44% | 53 of 114 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:57 |
| Yi Zha | 1 | 68 of 124 | 54% | 75 of 133 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaan Ofli | 0 | 23 of 38 | 60% | 28 of 44 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:20 |
| Yi Zha | 0 | 19 of 34 | 55% | 22 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 2 | Kaan Ofli | 0 | 10 of 38 | 26% | 10 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Yi Zha | 1 | 31 of 57 | 54% | 34 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 | |
| 3 | Kaan Ofli | 0 | 15 of 31 | 48% | 15 of 31 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
| Yi Zha | 0 | 18 of 33 | 54% | 19 of 34 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaan Ofli | 48 of 107 | 44% | 22 of 78 | 19 of 22 | 7 of 7 | 38 of 91 | 7 of 11 | 3 of 5 |
| Yi Zha | 68 of 124 | 54% | 44 of 93 | 17 of 24 | 7 of 7 | 58 of 109 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaan Ofli | 23 of 38 | 60% | 10 of 24 | 12 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 26 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 5 |
| Yi Zha | 19 of 34 | 55% | 14 of 26 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 18 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Kaan Ofli | 10 of 38 | 26% | 5 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yi Zha | 31 of 57 | 54% | 20 of 44 | 9 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 26 of 48 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 7 | |
| 3 | Kaan Ofli | 15 of 31 | 48% | 7 of 21 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 27 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Yi Zha | 18 of 33 | 54% | 10 of 23 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 28 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Kaan Ofli as a slight lean, stating he is the better grappler and if he shoots first, he can have success because Yi Zha's takedown defense sucks. He acknowledges Yi Zha is the better striker and offensive grappler, but thinks Ofli's jiu-jitsu is better on the ground. He says betting moneyline would be dumb, but plus 3.5 might make sense.
Big Brady picks Yi Zha based on activity, as Kaan Ofli does nothing in fights. He notes Zha is aggressive with wrestling and grappling, while Ofli has shown no output. He expects a decision win for Zha, though he doesn't love the -215 price.
Cody is picking Ofli as a value underdog, noting that Yi Zha has been outmuscled by stronger opponents and that Ofli has shown durability and a strong clinch game. He expects Ofli to win by decision or late stoppage.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Ofli. He notes that Yi Zha's competition is weak and Ofli's power and bullying style should be effective. Connor also comments that the odds are not too bothersome, as both fighters are similar in level.
Daniel Vreeland picks Yi Zha, viewing him as a tough, battle-tested journeyman who is hungrier and more durable than Ofli. He dismisses Ofli as a mid-level fighter and believes Yi Zha's experience and toughness will carry him to victory.
James picks Yi Zha, citing his better boxing, takedown ability, and veteran savvy. He believes Yi Zha can reverse Ofli's takedowns and win scrambles, and that his experience will lead to a decision victory.
Ofli is a BJJ black belt with good wrestling and striking, though he has had some losses. Yi Zha is a grappler but not as aggressive or dominant as Ofli's previous opponents. Ofli should be able to stuff takedowns and have success on the feet, where he has an edge in explosiveness. The host is surprised Ofli is an underdog and expects him to win by decision, possibly pulling off the upset.
Paul also leans toward Ofli, noting that Yi Zha was knocked out by Myron Santos and that Ofli has shown he will cheat to win. He sees value in the underdog.
The Guru picks Yi Zha, calling him underrated and noting his impressive debut knockout of Weston Wilson. He highlights Yi's grappling ability, chin advantage, and striking power. He predicts a first-round TKO, citing Yi's aggression and experience from Road to UFC.
Zane picks Kaan Ofli because he is a powerful, bullying fighter who will overwhelm Yi Zha with aggression. He notes that Yi Zha's record is padded with low-level competition and he does not have applicable skills for the UFC. Ofli's power and athleticism should be too much for Yi Zha.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yi Zha | 2 | 13 of 18 | 72% | 17 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Westin Wilson | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yi Zha | 2 | 13 of 18 | 72% | 17 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Westin Wilson | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yi Zha | 13 of 18 | 72% | 10 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 |
| Westin Wilson | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yi Zha | 13 of 18 | 72% | 10 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 |
| Westin Wilson | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is picking Yi Zha but with low confidence, calling the -400 odds an atrocity. He describes Yi Zha as a powerful grappler who uses kicks to manage range and is constantly looking for submissions, but can struggle to maintain position. He notes Westin Wilson is a karate-style striker who is very tall and can be hesitant. He ultimately picks Yi Zha because of his insane toughness shown in his last fight, but warns against betting on this fight.
Big Brady picks Yi Zha to win by first-round submission, noting that Yi Zha is a grappler who will take the fight to the mat and that Westin Wilson has been submitted four times by questionable competition. He acknowledges the -1200 line is ridiculous but believes Yi Zha should get the win. He predicts an armbar or rear-naked choke.
The host sees Yi Zha as a big favorite and expects him to wear down Wilson and eventually find a finish within a round and a half. He believes the finish will likely come by submission.
The MMA Guru picks Yi Zha to win by KO, citing his competitive performance against Gabriel Santos and a close fight with Lerone Murphy. He criticizes Westin Wilson's side-on stance, which leaves him open to fast lower-weight fighters. He notes that Wilson has been finished early before and is older (36-38), while Yi Zha has more experience and a better record. He concludes that he simply won't pick Wilson to win fights.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Santos | 0 | 41 of 92 | 44% | 96 of 160 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Yi Zha | 1 | 76 of 112 | 67% | 110 of 150 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 6:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Santos | 0 | 23 of 41 | 56% | 23 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Yi Zha | 1 | 46 of 73 | 63% | 46 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 2 | Gabriel Santos | 0 | 15 of 40 | 37% | 23 of 51 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Yi Zha | 0 | 19 of 27 | 70% | 32 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:23 | |
| 3 | Gabriel Santos | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 50 of 68 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Yi Zha | 0 | 11 of 12 | 91% | 32 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Santos | 41 of 92 | 44% | 26 of 71 | 8 of 13 | 7 of 8 | 40 of 90 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Yi Zha | 76 of 112 | 67% | 45 of 79 | 17 of 18 | 14 of 15 | 53 of 85 | 5 of 5 | 18 of 22 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Santos | 23 of 41 | 56% | 14 of 31 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 23 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Yi Zha | 46 of 73 | 63% | 23 of 48 | 12 of 13 | 11 of 12 | 34 of 57 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 12 | |
| 2 | Gabriel Santos | 15 of 40 | 37% | 11 of 33 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yi Zha | 19 of 27 | 70% | 12 of 20 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | |
| 3 | Gabriel Santos | 3 of 11 | 27% | 1 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Yi Zha | 11 of 12 | 91% | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 |
Angelo picks Yi Zha as an underdog because he is a powerful grappler who averages almost five takedowns per fight and is always looking for submissions. He believes Yi can find success even if Gabriel Santos gets the first takedown, and that Yi's grappling is good enough to stay safe and make something happen. He notes that Yi is plus 214 and may have value in prop bets like plus 3.5 rounds or win inside distance.
Big Brady picks Gabriel Santos to win by decision. He is very high on Santos despite his 0-2 UFC record, believing he was robbed against Murphy. Brady thinks Santos is better everywhere: better striker, and his BJJ black belt should neutralize Yi Zha's grappling. He notes Yi Zha's record is misleading and that Santos is much better than his record indicates.
Cody agrees with Paul, citing Santos' strong wrestling and striking. He notes Zha's takedown defense is poor and Santos has fought tougher competition. He expects Santos to neutralize Zha and win a decision or get a finish.
Daniel is a big fan of Santos's exciting style but acknowledges his defensive flaws. He criticizes Yi Zha's padded record and boring wrestling style. He thinks Santos's volume, pressure, and activity off his back will overwhelm Zha, and that Zha's takedowns won't be enough to win. He expects Santos to get his first UFC win.
Santos is the better mixed martial artist despite being 0-2 in the UFC. He has slick BJJ and striking, and should be able to handle Yi Zha's pressure and wrestling. Yi Zha is aggressive but leaves openings. Santos can reverse positions and win on the feet. The under 2.5 rounds at plus money is also favored due to both fighters' pace.
Paul picks Santos, noting his wrestling and striking are superior to Zha's. He believes Santos can take Zha down and control him, and has a better plan B if the wrestling fails. He acknowledges Santos' cardio concerns but thinks he can win two of three rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Gabriel Santos over Yi Zha. He dismisses Yi Zha's record as inflated from the Road to UFC show, noting that anyone good has beaten him. He praises Santos for taking Lerone Murphy to a split decision on short notice and for his training at a good gym. He notes Santos is on a two-fight losing streak but believes this is his last chance and he will win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Jeong-yeong | 0 | 25 of 57 | 43% | 66 of 105 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:50 |
| Yi Zha | 0 | 24 of 58 | 41% | 37 of 74 | 5 of 21 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 8:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Jeong-yeong | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 27 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Yi Zha | 0 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 8 of 11 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 4:15 | |
| 2 | Lee Jeong-yeong | 0 | 12 of 31 | 38% | 18 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Yi Zha | 0 | 9 of 28 | 32% | 12 of 31 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 1:19 | |
| 3 | Lee Jeong-yeong | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 21 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Yi Zha | 0 | 12 of 27 | 44% | 17 of 32 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 2:45 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Jeong-yeong | 25 of 57 | 43% | 18 of 50 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 49 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Yi Zha | 24 of 58 | 41% | 17 of 48 | 6 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 46 | 7 of 7 | 4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Jeong-yeong | 3 of 6 | 50% | 1 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Yi Zha | 3 of 3 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lee Jeong-yeong | 12 of 31 | 38% | 10 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 27 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Yi Zha | 9 of 28 | 32% | 7 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Lee Jeong-yeong | 10 of 20 | 50% | 7 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yi Zha | 12 of 27 | 44% | 8 of 20 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 4 |
Big Brady highlights Lee's power and finishing ability, noting his quick finishes on Road to UFC. He thinks Yi Zha is uncomfortable on the feet and will be knocked out. He predicts a first-round knockout for Lee.
Cody picks Yi Zha as an underdog, noting his experience and wrestling advantage. He thinks Lee is untested and may struggle if taken down. He acknowledges Yi Zha's split decision win over Matsushima was controversial, but sees value at +210. He is not confident enough to bet but picks him for the show.
Connor agrees, adding that Korean fighters tend to cut weight well and Lee is a big, solidly built featherweight. He notes that Yi Zha's wrestling is aimless and lacks physicality, and that Lee's size will make it difficult for Yi to get takedowns. He expects Lee to shrug off grappling and land punches consistently.
Paul picks Lee for the show but is not confident. He notes Lee's quick finishes and power, but has many question marks due to lack of tape. He thinks Yi Zha is a guard puller who loses positions, but the line is too high. He prefers to pass on betting.
Zane sees Lee as a prototypical Korean prospect who plants his feet and trades, confident in his ability to land punches while accepting hits. He notes that Yi Zha is a wrestle-grappler with poor athleticism and shot wrestling, and that Lee's size and physicality will allow him to shrug off takedowns and land punches. He believes Lee's takedown defense is sufficient because he is expecting everything.
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Yi Zha as an underdog because he is a powerful grappler who averages almost five takedowns per fight and is always looking for submissions. He believes Yi can find success even if Gabriel Santos gets the first takedown, and that Yi's grappling is good enough to stay safe and make something happen. He notes that Yi is plus 214 and may have value in prop bets like plus 3.5 rounds or win inside distance.
Big Brady picks Gabriel Santos to win by decision. He is very high on Santos despite his 0-2 UFC record, believing he was robbed against Murphy. Brady thinks Santos is better everywhere: better striker, and his BJJ black belt should neutralize Yi Zha's grappling. He notes Yi Zha's record is misleading and that Santos is much better than his record indicates.
Cody agrees with Paul, citing Santos' strong wrestling and striking. He notes Zha's takedown defense is poor and Santos has fought tougher competition. He expects Santos to neutralize Zha and win a decision or get a finish.
Daniel is a big fan of Santos's exciting style but acknowledges his defensive flaws. He criticizes Yi Zha's padded record and boring wrestling style. He thinks Santos's volume, pressure, and activity off his back will overwhelm Zha, and that Zha's takedowns won't be enough to win. He expects Santos to get his first UFC win.
Santos is the better mixed martial artist despite being 0-2 in the UFC. He has slick BJJ and striking, and should be able to handle Yi Zha's pressure and wrestling. Yi Zha is aggressive but leaves openings. Santos can reverse positions and win on the feet. The under 2.5 rounds at plus money is also favored due to both fighters' pace.
Paul picks Santos, noting his wrestling and striking are superior to Zha's. He believes Santos can take Zha down and control him, and has a better plan B if the wrestling fails. He acknowledges Santos' cardio concerns but thinks he can win two of three rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Gabriel Santos over Yi Zha. He dismisses Yi Zha's record as inflated from the Road to UFC show, noting that anyone good has beaten him. He praises Santos for taking Lerone Murphy to a split decision on short notice and for his training at a good gym. He notes Santos is on a two-fight losing streak but believes this is his last chance and he will win.
Comments (1)
Iza is your typical Chinese fighter with chin that's suspicious took a beaten, commentary noted that Gabriel Santos has cardio issues
Jack Jenkins is probably on the drugs
Gabriel looked in great shape and his performance matched. Jack clinched early into rd2 and paid.