Career Averages - Quillan Salkilld
Career Averages - Yanal Ashmouz
Quillan Salkilld
Yanal Ashmouz
Quillan Salkilld - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beneil Dariush | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 4 of 10 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:32 |
| Quillan Salkilld | 1 | 12 of 19 | 63% | 15 of 24 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beneil Dariush | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 4 of 10 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:32 |
| Quillan Salkilld | 1 | 12 of 19 | 63% | 15 of 24 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beneil Dariush | 3 of 9 | 33% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Quillan Salkilld | 12 of 19 | 63% | 11 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beneil Dariush | 3 of 9 | 33% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Quillan Salkilld | 12 of 19 | 63% | 11 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
In the co-main event, perennial contender Dariush (23-7-1; 17-7-1 UFC) will look to slow the rise of the red-hot Aussie Salkilld (11-1; 4-0 UFC), who has racked up quite the highlight reel since graduating from the Contender Series two years ago. Rich Mitchell draws his final referee assignment of the evening. Salkilld is orthodox, Dariush southpaw, and they exchange awkward pawing jabs with their lead hands. Out of nowhere, Dariush blasts Salkilld with a left hand, buckling his knees! Dariush is all over him but Salkilld recovers quickly, nailing Dariush with a left hand on his way in. Dariush shoves Salkilld into the fence, mugs him with a couple of punches and tries to secure a takedown. Salkilld goes to a knee but doesn’t give up the takedown, and he returns to his feet a moment later. Salkilld reverses the position and drives Dariush into the fence, only to be reversed again. Dariush works for a single-leg against the fence, but Salkilld patiently defends. They separate and Salkilld briefly changes levels, then comes back up and blasts him with a right hand.
Dariush is hurt badly, trying to get his hands on the youngster and recover, but Salkilld crushes him with another right hand that drops him. Salkilld follows up with a stream of big lefts until Mitchell interposes himself, awarding the TKO, and the biggest win of his career, to Quillan Salkilld.
The Official Result
Quillan Salkilld def. Beneil Dariush R1 3:29 via TKO (Punches)
Angelo picks Quillan Salkilld, acknowledging that Beneil Dariush is past his prime with a compromised chin and cardio. He believes Salkilld is the better striker and should win, but hopes Dariush doesn't get knocked out badly. He notes that if Salkilld tries to grapple, Dariush might have an advantage.
Big Brady picks Quillan Salkilld to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Beneil Dariush has elite skills but a completely compromised chin, and that Salkilld has power and has knocked out durable opponents. Brady believes Dariush will get touched early and finished, especially given his age and weight cut issues.
Cody picks Salkilld by knockout, citing Dariush's declining durability and history of getting knocked out. He notes Salkilld's power and length, and believes Dariush's chin is no longer reliable.
Daniel Vreeland picks Quillan Salkilld, believing he is catching Beneil Dariush at a good time. He notes Salkilld's well-rounded skills and momentum, while Dariush has shown vulnerability to knockouts and may be past his prime. He expects a competitive fight but sees Salkilld's damage as decisive.
Odds feel very wide; Salkilld is a big favorite but unproven. Dariush is declining but skilled. The fight spread on Dariush (+3.5) and over 1.5 rounds are interesting but not committed. No bet on moneyline; dog or pass.
Lucrative James picks Quillan Salkilld to win via knockout in round one. He cites Beneil Dariush's declining chin and recent knockout losses, and believes the UFC is setting up Salkilld as a prospect. He notes Dariush's weight cut issues and desire to move up to welterweight.
The host picks Salkilld due to his youth, durability, and well-rounded skills. He expects Salkilld to strike first and find a knockout, likely early in round one. The host notes Dariush's chin issues and recent knockout loss, making it hard to trust him despite his grappling prowess.
Paul agrees with Cody, stating Dariush has all the skills but can't take a punch anymore. He highlights Salkilld's power and the fact that Dariush has been knocked out repeatedly, making Salkilld by KO the likely outcome.
The MMA Guru picks Quillan Salkilld, citing his first-round finishing potential and the pattern of younger athletes beating Dariush. He notes Dariush's recent chin issues and believes Salkilld will get a first-round TKO. He acknowledges Salkilld's grappling skills but expects a striking finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quillan Salkilld | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 18 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Jamie Mullarkey | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 6 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quillan Salkilld | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 18 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Jamie Mullarkey | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 6 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quillan Salkilld | 5 of 8 | 62% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamie Mullarkey | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quillan Salkilld | 5 of 8 | 62% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamie Mullarkey | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Salkilld (-850), Mullarkey (+500)
Round 1
The UFC knows exactly what it did matching these two Aussies together. On the one hand, rising talent Salkilld (10-1, 3-0 UFC) is coming off a huge knockout and the biggest win of his career. On the other is a chinny, off-and-on striker in Mullarkey (18-8, 6-6 UFC) whose last four defeats have all come from punches in bunches. Betting odds are massively lopsided in favor of the 26-year-old, and referee Dan Movahedi will serve as the arbiter of what some have called a mismatch. In the sport of MMA, there are no sure things, other than that these two countrymen will touch gloves—and do—to begin.
Salkilld keeps a wide berth early to find his range, slapping the lead leg with a few kicks before shooting for a double. He puts Mullarkey down on his hands and knees, but Mullarkey is able to get up thanks to the wall behind him. Salkilld dings him with a short punch and an elbow, and Mullarkey shuts down the additional takedown effort and turns him about in the clinch. Mullarkey lifts up a single, and he dumps the younger man to the floor. Salkilld bounces up and counters with his own single, and Mullarkey connects with several punches before Salkilld bails on it. Salkilld then puts his arms up in the air to signal that he was not harmed by any of the blows, so Mullarkey runs at him and lifts up a knee on the way. He closes the distance to get hold of Salkilld, wrapping his arms around the waist and looking for some takedown, and Salkilld turns the tables of him and drops him square on his head.
Salkilld wraps his legs around the body to lock up a triangle, and he grabs hold of a rear-naked choke that is on the chin.
He elects to crank the neck to the side rather than get a choke, and with a full head of steam, he squeezes. The torque from the sub is too much for Mullarkey to bear, and because of the excruciating neck crank, he forces Mullarkey to tap out.
The victorious Salkilld promptly climbs to the top of the cage to celebrate, while declaring that he is now 4-0 in the promotion with his sights set high.
The Official Result
Quillan Salkilld def. Jamie Mullarkey R1 3:02 via Submission (Neck Crank)
Angelo picks Quillan Salkilld, citing his well-rounded skills, good takedown defense, and BJJ black belt. He notes that Jamie Mullarkey has no chin and will likely look to wrestle, but Salkilld's takedown defense and jiu-jitsu are good. He acknowledges Mullarkey's volume but says without a chin he can't hang. He plans to bet on Salkilld once odds are available.
Big Brady is very confident in Quillan Salkilld, calling Jamie Mullarkey's chin the second worst in the UFC. He notes Mullarkey was running from Rolando Bedoya and is likely finished. Salkilld has first-round knockouts in his last two fights, and Brady expects the same here.
Cody is very confident in Salkilld, citing his well-rounded game, takedown defense, and power. He notes that Mullarkey has a weak chin and has been knocked out by lesser punchers. He expects Salkilld to win by knockout, likely in the second round.
Connor picks Salkilld, describing him as a creative counter puncher with good eyes and diverse tools. He notes that Mullarkey is slow, not durable, and relies on crashing into opponents, which plays into Salkilld's strengths. He also mentions that Salkilld finished Haqparast, who also finished Mullarkey, indicating a clear stylistic advantage.
Daniel Vreeland confidently picks Salkilld to dominate and likely finish Mullarkey. He praises Salkilld's durability, knockout power, and wrestling, while noting that Mullarkey is a veteran past his prime. Vreeland expects Salkilld to either knock him out or outwork him en route to a clear win.
James picks Salkilld to win by finish, calling him a rising force in the lightweight division. He believes Mullarkey is an aging veteran with durability issues and that Salkilld will run through him in round one or two.
Salkilld is a BJJ black belt with dangerous striking, as shown by his headkick knockout of Nazaret Hackparast. He is on a 10-fight win streak and has good cardio. Mullarkey is a veteran but has durability issues and is on short notice. The host expects Salkilld to win but thinks the line is too high; he prefers the over 2.5 rounds at +125 because Mullarkey may grapple and make it competitive early. Salkilld should pull away late for a decision or late finish.
Paul agrees, highlighting Mullarkey's history of getting knocked out and Salkilld's impressive wrestling and striking. He notes that Salkilld is younger, bigger, and more durable. He expects a finish, possibly by knockout.
The Guru picks Quillan Salkilld, calling him a level above Jamie Mullarkey. He notes Salkilld's finishing ability and predicts a first-round TKO, comparing it to Ruffy's win over Mullarkey. He acknowledges the odds are excessive but agrees with the pick.
Zane picks Salkilld, agreeing that Mullarkey is a bad matchup for himself. He notes that Mullarkey has to be able to crash into opponents with strikes, clinch, and wrestling, but Salkilld can stop him at any point and strand him in a vulnerable position. He also points out that Mullarkey's wins are against older or slower fighters, while dynamic athletes tend to catch him.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasrat Haqparast | 0 | 10 of 13 | 76% | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Quillan Salkilld | 1 | 14 of 36 | 38% | 14 of 36 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nasrat Haqparast | 0 | 10 of 13 | 76% | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Quillan Salkilld | 1 | 14 of 36 | 38% | 14 of 36 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasrat Haqparast | 10 of 13 | 76% | 7 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Quillan Salkilld | 14 of 36 | 38% | 6 of 24 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 14 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nasrat Haqparast | 10 of 13 | 76% | 7 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Quillan Salkilld | 14 of 36 | 38% | 6 of 24 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 14 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Haqparast (-112), Salkilld (-108)
Round 1
Styles clash quite aggressively in the UFC 321 preliminary headliner, with one man in Haqparast (18-5, 10-4 UFC) a knockout enthusiast and his Australian rival Salkilld (9-1, 2-0 UFC) capable of finish the fight anywhere it takes them. The former’s power may be a bit overstated as of late, with one strike stoppage across his last seven wins, but the younger Salkilld is as ready as referee Kerry Hatley is to face the fire. There is a sporting touch of gloves to precede the lightweight action.
Salkilld strikes first with a front kick and shoots in for an early takedown. Haqparast shucks it aside and cracks Salkilld with a left hand, marching the Aussie down with his left hand cocked back for further punishment. Haqparast stands his man up with two more concussive lefts, and a naked shot from Salkilld comes up way too short. He tries again, and once more, Haqparast dances out of the way. Salkilld catches a body kick, but he has to set it down rather than doing something else with it. Salkilld unleashes a heavy left hand that bounces off the shoulder, and the Aussie responds with a front kick to the chest and a whipping body kick. Salkilld punches his way into a shot, and Haqparast springs away to avoid it. Salkilld plants a kick on the lead leg and leans back as a left hand soars at his face. Haqparast keeps loading up on power, shaking Salkilld up with his single concussive power blows.
The Aussie chambers and fires a booming head kick, and Haqparast cannot get his guard up in time. The shin collides as cleanly as one possibly can into Haqparast’s dome, and the Moroccan goes down like a sack of bricks. Landing on his face, Haqparast lays lifelessly until his right leg starts twitching uncontrollably, the fighter unconscious and his body working of its own volition. Hatley knows that there is nothing more for Salkilld to do today and makes sure Salkilld is not about to throw anything else.
Salkilld puts his hands up and walks away, and Hatley and the medical professionals race to tend to the destroyed athlete, who is still out. The doctors roll him over and try to wake up the UFC veteran, who stays unconscious for an uncomfortable amount of time. Thankfully, Haqparast is able to come to, and he speaks to coach Firas Zahabi and sits up, even managing to eventually get to his feet without needing to be stretchered out of the cage. With Haqparast seemingly alright—he will of course need to go to the hospital to get checked out—Salkilld is able to celebrate his handiwork, having registered an instant “Knockout of the Year” contender with his shin-to-chin jamboree.
The Official Result
Quillan Salkilld def. Nasrat Haqparast R1 2:30 via KO (Head Kick)
Angelo picks Nasrat Haqparast as a slight underdog, citing his high striking volume (over 6 significant strikes per minute) and excellent 84% takedown defense. He notes that Quillan Salkilld's wrestling approach against Yanal Ashmouz won't work here because Nasrat is a better wrestler. Angelo acknowledges it's a tight fight and won't bet it unless he sees a plus sign on Nasrat's moneyline.
Big Brady slightly favors Nasrat Haqparast, despite acknowledging Quillan Salkilld's relentless pace, cardio, and grappling. He is concerned about Salkilld taking the fight on short notice (made a week ago) and traveling from Australia to Abu Dhabi, which may affect his performance. Brady also notes Haqparast often gets close decisions, especially in Abu Dhabi, and expects a decision win for Haqparast.
Cody picks Nasrat Haqparast, citing his takedown defense (84%) and volume striking. He notes that Salkilld relies heavily on takedowns and may struggle if they are stuffed, as he has dropped rounds to lesser competition. Cody believes Haqparast's experience against top fighters and ability to outwork Salkilld on the feet will lead to a decision win.
Connor sees Haqparast as a reliable, durable fighter who has only lost to elite action fighters like Drew Dober, Dan Hooker, and Bobby Green. He views Salkilld as too green, with a collapsing defensive style and a game that isn't cohesive yet. Connor believes Haqparast's pressure and power will overwhelm Salkilld, and he considers the even odds a huge value on Haqparast.
Daniel Vreeland is impressed by Salkilld's weaponized cardio and high-volume takedown style, which he believes will be too much for Haqparast. He notes that Haqparast hasn't faced multiple takedown attempts in a long time and that Salkilld's length and pressure will be problematic. He acknowledges the short notice and travel but thinks Salkilld's style will carry him to a decision win.
Lucrative James picks Quillan Salkilld, but notes he hasn't done tape study and this is a last-minute addition. He believes Salkilld is the better all-around fighter with elite pace and takedowns, and that Haqparast's takedown defense is unproven against relentless wrestlers. However, he acknowledges the short notice and travel disadvantage for Salkilld, making this a close fight.
The host notes Haqparast is on a five-fight winning streak but believes he is declining and will struggle against Salkilld's Muay Thai and BJJ. He predicts Salkilld wins by decision.
Paul agrees with Cody, adding that Salkilld's takedown-heavy style may not work against Haqparast's takedown defense. He notes that Haqparast has fought tougher competition and has a volume advantage. Paul also mentions that the Abu Dhabi crowd may favor Haqparast, and he expects a decision win.
The MMA Guru picks Nasrat Haqparast by decision, expecting a 29-28 win. He believes Haqparast's pace, takedown defense, and experience will be too much for Quillan Salkilld, who is on short notice. He notes that Salkilld's wins (over Anshul Jubli, Unal Ashmaev) are not impressive, and that he may tire in later rounds. He predicts Salkilld may win the first round, but Haqparast will take over in the second and third.
Zane agrees with Connor that Salkilld is too inexperienced and that Haqparast's pressure and durability will be too much. He notes that Salkilld's defensive striking collapses under pressure and that Haqparast is a significant step up in competition. Zane also highlights that Haqparast has beaten solid fighters outside the elite level and that Salkilld's game isn't ready for this level.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quillan Salkilld | 0 | 79 of 124 | 63% | 89 of 135 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 0 | 0 | 7:35 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 41 of 78 | 52% | 65 of 106 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quillan Salkilld | 0 | 19 of 27 | 70% | 24 of 32 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 0 | 0 | 2:45 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 14 of 25 | 56% | 26 of 41 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:19 | |
| 2 | Quillan Salkilld | 0 | 20 of 37 | 54% | 23 of 41 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:30 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 8 of 12 | 66% | 15 of 19 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 | |
| 3 | Quillan Salkilld | 0 | 40 of 60 | 66% | 42 of 62 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 19 of 41 | 46% | 24 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quillan Salkilld | 79 of 124 | 63% | 54 of 98 | 18 of 19 | 7 of 7 | 51 of 82 | 15 of 22 | 13 of 20 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 41 of 78 | 52% | 31 of 64 | 7 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 22 of 54 | 14 of 17 | 5 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quillan Salkilld | 19 of 27 | 70% | 11 of 19 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 18 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 14 of 25 | 56% | 11 of 21 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 18 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Quillan Salkilld | 20 of 37 | 54% | 16 of 32 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 13 | 2 of 6 | 12 of 18 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 8 of 12 | 66% | 5 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Quillan Salkilld | 40 of 60 | 66% | 27 of 47 | 11 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 33 of 51 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 2 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 19 of 41 | 46% | 15 of 35 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 30 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 4 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Salkilld (-485), Ashmouz (+370)
Round 1
Lightweight action continues with Gasper Oliver as the referee. Salkilld and his mustache open the fight with a jab. Ashmouz wastes no time getting in close and clinching. Salkilld gets back to his feet after being tossed to the ground, but can't exit the clinch. Not a problem as Salkilld gets a takedown as Ashmouz gives up his back before standing back up. Ashmouz uses a fence grab to prevent another takedown. Salkilld now controlling the grappling exchange, landing knees and short elbows. Ashmouz eats a knee and finally backs off. Salkilld lands a hard low kick. A nice uppercut from Salkilld, who then gets a brief takedown. Ashmouz works his way back to his feet. Salkilld then carries Ashmouz and slams his foe down, showing that he's dominant in all facets of this match. Ashmouz is trying to get back up but is eating punches. Another fence grab from Ashmouz. Nice knee to the body from Salkilld as they're both against the fence. Beautiful throw by Salkilld, who then takes the back of Ashmouz. Salkilld loses position with 20 seconds left and then gets back to his feet. Both men throw wildly, and Ashmouz lands a nice left hook before the round expires.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Salkilld
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Salkilld
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Salkilld
Round 2
Salkilld eats a heavy leg kick to start the second frame. Ashmouz then gives up yet another takedown as Salkilld enters half guard. Ashmouz is able to get back to his feet but is dragged back down. Salkilld sneaking punches under the arm to the face of Ashmouz. Salkilld can't keep his opponent down, but stuffs a takedown attempt from Ashmouz and then drags him down again. This round is all Salkilld, who takes the back of his opponent and lands some punishing punches. Ashmouz is able to get back up but is still in the clinch. The grappling of Salkilld is smothering, and he gets yet another takedown as he throws his opponent to the ground. They're back on their feet, and Ashmouz uses leg kicks to manage distance. Ashmouz grabs the neck of Salkilld during a takedown attempt, and the round expires with the two clinched against the fence.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Salkilld
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Salkilld
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Salkilld
Round 3
Ashmouz lands a big left hook. Salkilld answers back with a kick to the body and uses his range to land a standing elbow. Big left hook and a straight right from Ashmouz hurts him! Salkilld composes himself and lands a knee. Ashmouz gets reckless and gives up the takedown. That might've been his best chance in the fight. Ashmouz gets back up, but Salkilld is kneeing his legs and looking to drag him back down. A big right hook lands for Ashmouz. Salkilld is being backed up to the cage and is eating shots as a result. Another left hook for Ashmouz lands before a leg kick. Nice uppercut from Ashmouz, who is looking to finish this fight. Salkilld answers back with a left hook to the body. Ashmouz walks into a right hand, but follows it up with two swinging hooks that find their mark. Salkilld can't get a takedown and then eats a left hand. Ashmouz throws a head kick but slips, costing him precious time. One minute left, and Ashmouz is throwing hands while Salkilld is desperate to grapple. They clinch with Salkilld being able to slow this fight down. Ashmouz rolls to the ground and lands some punches in desperation as the round expires.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ashmouz (29-28 Salkilld)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ashmouz (29-28 Salkilld)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Ashmouz (29-28 Salkilld)
The Official Result
Quillan Salkilld def. Yanal Ashmouz via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28); R3, 5:00.
Angelo picks Quillan Salkilld, citing his striking advantage and ability to defend takedowns. He thinks Yanal will be forced to shoot early due to Quillan's striking. He warns Quillan not to pull guard. He has reservations about the 4-to-1 odds but still picks Quillan.
Big Brady picks Quillan Salkilld, liking his striking, volume, cardio, and size. He thinks Salkilld will win handily, likely by 30-27 decision, but notes the line is wide. He believes Ashmouz is a decent fighter but will be undersized and at a grappling disadvantage. He does not expect a finish.
Salkilld has a skill advantage that should be the difference maker. He needs to maintain distance to avoid Ashmouz's physicality and grinding. The pick is for Salkilld to outdamage and outpoint Ashmouz on the way to a decision victory.
The MMA Guru picks Quillan Salkilld to win, but criticizes the odds of -455 as too high, suggesting he should be around -200. He expects Salkilld to get a finish in the later rounds or win a decision, noting that Yanal Ashmouz has power and knocked out Sam Patterson. He acknowledges Salkilld is not invincible and has been hit before, but believes his technical skills will prevail.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quillan Salkilld | 1 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Anshul Jubli | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quillan Salkilld | 1 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Anshul Jubli | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quillan Salkilld | 6 of 7 | 85% | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Anshul Jubli | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quillan Salkilld | 6 of 7 | 85% | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Anshul Jubli | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Salkilld (-575), Jubli (+425)
Round 1
As it loves to do, the UFC has stacked the deck for local audiences, putting on eight different matchups on this pay-per-view pitting an Australian against a foreign foe. UFC 312 might not end with anyone from the area in the cage, but it starts off with a matchup that could send a loud message. Unbeaten newcomer Salkilld (7-1, 0-0 UFC) out of Perth will try to stave off once-beaten Indian Jubli (7-1, 1-1 UFC), with international bragging rights up for grabs in this lightweight card opener. Referee Jim Perdios will take charge of the Octagon in the first matchup, and it kicks off with no glove touch. Salkilld introduces himself with a quick low kick, and Jubli counters him with a right hand to the body. Salkilld laughs that strike off and
retaliates by loading up and hammering the Indian fighter with a massive right hook flush on the ear. Jubli hits the deck on his side, and he leans up and searches for a leg but is clearly still frazzled by the huge blow. Seeing something the screens may not have caught, Perdios leaps on to wave the fight off and pull Jubli off of the celebrating Aussie.
Jubli clings to the victor’s leg, either still out on his seat or seriously pursuing a single-leg takedown, but it does not matter. When Perdios drags him away, Jubli loudly complains, but they fall on deaf ears. It is a sweet sub-20-second knockout to start off the card, with Australia up one to zip early.
Advertisement
The Official Result
Quillan Salkilld def. Anshul Jubli R1 0:19 via TKO (Punch)
Big Brady is high on Quillan Salkilld, citing his reach and cardio advantages, as well as his slick grappling ability. He notes that Salkilld can get takedowns and has a significant grappling edge. He points out that Jubli quit in his last fight against Mike Breeden, and if he slows down, Salkilld will finish him. Brady predicts a third-round submission.
Salkilld is seen as the far superior striker and grappler. The host expects him to lean on his grappling to find a dominant position and secure a submission victory. This suggests a clear path to victory through his ground game.
Yanal Ashmouz - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quillan Salkilld | 0 | 79 of 124 | 63% | 89 of 135 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 0 | 0 | 7:35 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 41 of 78 | 52% | 65 of 106 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quillan Salkilld | 0 | 19 of 27 | 70% | 24 of 32 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 0 | 0 | 2:45 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 14 of 25 | 56% | 26 of 41 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:19 | |
| 2 | Quillan Salkilld | 0 | 20 of 37 | 54% | 23 of 41 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:30 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 8 of 12 | 66% | 15 of 19 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 | |
| 3 | Quillan Salkilld | 0 | 40 of 60 | 66% | 42 of 62 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 19 of 41 | 46% | 24 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quillan Salkilld | 79 of 124 | 63% | 54 of 98 | 18 of 19 | 7 of 7 | 51 of 82 | 15 of 22 | 13 of 20 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 41 of 78 | 52% | 31 of 64 | 7 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 22 of 54 | 14 of 17 | 5 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quillan Salkilld | 19 of 27 | 70% | 11 of 19 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 18 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 14 of 25 | 56% | 11 of 21 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 18 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Quillan Salkilld | 20 of 37 | 54% | 16 of 32 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 13 | 2 of 6 | 12 of 18 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 8 of 12 | 66% | 5 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Quillan Salkilld | 40 of 60 | 66% | 27 of 47 | 11 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 33 of 51 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 2 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 19 of 41 | 46% | 15 of 35 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 30 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 4 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Salkilld (-485), Ashmouz (+370)
Round 1
Lightweight action continues with Gasper Oliver as the referee. Salkilld and his mustache open the fight with a jab. Ashmouz wastes no time getting in close and clinching. Salkilld gets back to his feet after being tossed to the ground, but can't exit the clinch. Not a problem as Salkilld gets a takedown as Ashmouz gives up his back before standing back up. Ashmouz uses a fence grab to prevent another takedown. Salkilld now controlling the grappling exchange, landing knees and short elbows. Ashmouz eats a knee and finally backs off. Salkilld lands a hard low kick. A nice uppercut from Salkilld, who then gets a brief takedown. Ashmouz works his way back to his feet. Salkilld then carries Ashmouz and slams his foe down, showing that he's dominant in all facets of this match. Ashmouz is trying to get back up but is eating punches. Another fence grab from Ashmouz. Nice knee to the body from Salkilld as they're both against the fence. Beautiful throw by Salkilld, who then takes the back of Ashmouz. Salkilld loses position with 20 seconds left and then gets back to his feet. Both men throw wildly, and Ashmouz lands a nice left hook before the round expires.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Salkilld
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Salkilld
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Salkilld
Round 2
Salkilld eats a heavy leg kick to start the second frame. Ashmouz then gives up yet another takedown as Salkilld enters half guard. Ashmouz is able to get back to his feet but is dragged back down. Salkilld sneaking punches under the arm to the face of Ashmouz. Salkilld can't keep his opponent down, but stuffs a takedown attempt from Ashmouz and then drags him down again. This round is all Salkilld, who takes the back of his opponent and lands some punishing punches. Ashmouz is able to get back up but is still in the clinch. The grappling of Salkilld is smothering, and he gets yet another takedown as he throws his opponent to the ground. They're back on their feet, and Ashmouz uses leg kicks to manage distance. Ashmouz grabs the neck of Salkilld during a takedown attempt, and the round expires with the two clinched against the fence.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Salkilld
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Salkilld
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Salkilld
Round 3
Ashmouz lands a big left hook. Salkilld answers back with a kick to the body and uses his range to land a standing elbow. Big left hook and a straight right from Ashmouz hurts him! Salkilld composes himself and lands a knee. Ashmouz gets reckless and gives up the takedown. That might've been his best chance in the fight. Ashmouz gets back up, but Salkilld is kneeing his legs and looking to drag him back down. A big right hook lands for Ashmouz. Salkilld is being backed up to the cage and is eating shots as a result. Another left hook for Ashmouz lands before a leg kick. Nice uppercut from Ashmouz, who is looking to finish this fight. Salkilld answers back with a left hook to the body. Ashmouz walks into a right hand, but follows it up with two swinging hooks that find their mark. Salkilld can't get a takedown and then eats a left hand. Ashmouz throws a head kick but slips, costing him precious time. One minute left, and Ashmouz is throwing hands while Salkilld is desperate to grapple. They clinch with Salkilld being able to slow this fight down. Ashmouz rolls to the ground and lands some punches in desperation as the round expires.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ashmouz (29-28 Salkilld)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ashmouz (29-28 Salkilld)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Ashmouz (29-28 Salkilld)
The Official Result
Quillan Salkilld def. Yanal Ashmouz via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28); R3, 5:00.
Angelo picks Quillan Salkilld, citing his striking advantage and ability to defend takedowns. He thinks Yanal will be forced to shoot early due to Quillan's striking. He warns Quillan not to pull guard. He has reservations about the 4-to-1 odds but still picks Quillan.
Big Brady picks Quillan Salkilld, liking his striking, volume, cardio, and size. He thinks Salkilld will win handily, likely by 30-27 decision, but notes the line is wide. He believes Ashmouz is a decent fighter but will be undersized and at a grappling disadvantage. He does not expect a finish.
Salkilld has a skill advantage that should be the difference maker. He needs to maintain distance to avoid Ashmouz's physicality and grinding. The pick is for Salkilld to outdamage and outpoint Ashmouz on the way to a decision victory.
The MMA Guru picks Quillan Salkilld to win, but criticizes the odds of -455 as too high, suggesting he should be around -200. He expects Salkilld to get a finish in the later rounds or win a decision, noting that Yanal Ashmouz has power and knocked out Sam Patterson. He acknowledges Salkilld is not invincible and has been hit before, but believes his technical skills will prevail.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 55 of 107 | 51% | 63 of 115 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 42 of 66 | 63% | 85 of 124 | 9 of 18 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 8:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 16 of 33 | 48% | 18 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 12 of 23 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:29 | |
| 2 | Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 22 of 33 | 66% | 23 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 36 of 48 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:41 | |
| 3 | Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 17 of 41 | 41% | 22 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 28 of 39 | 71% | 37 of 53 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yanal Ashmouz | 55 of 107 | 51% | 29 of 78 | 18 of 21 | 8 of 8 | 48 of 99 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 42 of 66 | 63% | 26 of 48 | 9 of 11 | 7 of 7 | 19 of 41 | 18 of 20 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yanal Ashmouz | 16 of 33 | 48% | 6 of 21 | 4 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 15 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 4 of 11 | 36% | 4 of 9 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 8 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Yanal Ashmouz | 22 of 33 | 66% | 11 of 21 | 9 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 28 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 10 of 16 | 62% | 7 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 10 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Yanal Ashmouz | 17 of 41 | 41% | 12 of 36 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 28 of 39 | 71% | 15 of 26 | 7 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 12 of 23 | 11 of 11 | 5 of 5 |
Angelo picks Yanal Ashmouz because he is the better fighter skill-for-skill, with technique everywhere, but he is hesitant because Trevor Peek is incredibly durable and has insane pressure. He notes that Yanal is still a dog and he has a bet on him, but he has buyer's remorse after watching Peek's toughness. He hopes Yanal doesn't break.
Big Brady picks Yanal Ashmouz as the underdog but says he wants nothing to do with betting on this fight. He describes it as a chaotic, back-and-forth war that likely goes to decision, with both guys having moments. Brady likes Ashmouz's ability to land big shots and mix in takedowns, but admits the fight could go either way.
Cody echoes Paul's sentiment, praising Peek's chin, heart, and relentless pressure. He notes Ashmouz's lack of grappling and tendency to get taken down, while Peek's wrestling has improved. He expects Peek to walk through Ashmouz's strikes and land a knockout.
Daniel is a fan of Trevor Peek's fighting style and believes Ashmouz is KO-or-bust. He criticizes Ashmouz's low volume and reliance on one big shot, and thinks Peek can outwork him to a decision or catch him. He notes that Ashmouz struggled when he couldn't get the knockout against Chris Duncan. Daniel sees multiple paths to victory for Peek.
Peek is durable, aggressive, and has never been finished. Ashmouz hits hard but may struggle to keep the fight at range. In a pocket exchange, Peek's power and chin could prevail. However, the host prefers to watch rather than bet heavily, as this fight reveals ceilings for both.
Paul is a fan of Peek's style and believes his durability, pressure, and power will overwhelm Ashmouz, who is more technical but lacks grappling and has shown vulnerability to pressure. He notes Ashmouz's poor takedown defense and tendency to fade. He picks Peek by KO.
The MMA Guru picks Yanal Ashmouz over Trevor Peek. He praises Ashmouz's power and notes he fought Chris Duncan with a broken arm and still went to a decision. He believes Peek is too hittable and that Ashmouz is primed to land big KO blows. He predicts a TKO win for Ashmouz, though he admits he will be rooting for Peek.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Duncan | 0 | 85 of 206 | 41% | 87 of 209 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 35 of 98 | 35% | 36 of 100 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Duncan | 0 | 19 of 60 | 31% | 19 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 9 of 28 | 32% | 9 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Chris Duncan | 0 | 26 of 60 | 43% | 26 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 14 of 36 | 38% | 14 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Chris Duncan | 0 | 40 of 86 | 46% | 42 of 89 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 12 of 34 | 35% | 13 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Duncan | 85 of 206 | 41% | 54 of 161 | 23 of 30 | 8 of 15 | 82 of 200 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 35 of 98 | 35% | 15 of 68 | 8 of 14 | 12 of 16 | 34 of 96 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Duncan | 19 of 60 | 31% | 11 of 46 | 2 of 5 | 6 of 9 | 19 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 9 of 28 | 32% | 4 of 20 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Chris Duncan | 26 of 60 | 43% | 12 of 41 | 12 of 14 | 2 of 5 | 26 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 14 of 36 | 38% | 6 of 26 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 14 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Chris Duncan | 40 of 86 | 46% | 31 of 74 | 9 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 37 of 80 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Yanal Ashmouz | 12 of 34 | 35% | 5 of 22 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 8 | 12 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo likes Chris Duncan's forward pressure and grit, noting that Duncan has been dropped but never out of a fight. He questions Yanal Ashmouz's takedown defense and thinks Duncan's wrestling will be a factor. He has placed a half-unit bet on Duncan at near even money.
Big Brady picks Shauna Bannon as a dog, but admits he hates the pick and won't bet it. He thinks Bannon has a path to victory through wrestling, as Brasil has poor takedown defense (45%). He notes Brasil is the more skilled striker but looked awful in her debut. He is not high on either fighter.
Cody picks Ashmouz, citing his power and aggression. He notes Duncan was knocked out by Borshchev and has suspect durability. He thinks Ashmouz's wrestling and power are advantages, and likes the plus money.
Daniel leans toward Chris Duncan, citing his improved grappling and cage work shown in his last fight, as well as his physicality. He notes Duncan is training at ATT and getting high-level looks. However, he is not sold on Duncan's durability and thinks he is hittable. He is not interested in betting Duncan at -140 due to the unknowns about Ashmouz. He says he needs to see more from both fighters.
James picks Chris Duncan to win. He thinks Duncan is a better striker overall, with size and reach advantages. He believes Ashmouz will struggle to wrestle Duncan, making it a striking fight where Duncan has the edge. James notes that Ashmouz was a +300 underdog in his last fight and is now -110, which he sees as a market overcorrection. He acknowledges that both fighters have knockout power and the fight is volatile, but he favors Duncan.
The host picks Yanal Ashmouz, citing his durability, explosiveness, and power to find an early finish. He expects both to grapple initially but thinks it becomes a fistfight where Ashmouz's power prevails. He suggests the fight doesn't go to decision and that unders are safe.
Paul picks Ashmouz, recalling his KO of Sam Patterson. He thinks Duncan is stiff and hittable, and Ashmouz's power is a real threat. He notes Duncan's wrestling looked good against Morales but still favors the dog.
The MMA Guru picks Yanal Ashmouz, calling Chris Duncan's favorite status 'straight up incorrect odds'. He criticizes Duncan's UFC debut as one of the worst, showing no skill on the feet and a slow grappling game against an older Omar Morales. He notes Duncan has been finished before on the Contender Series. The Guru highlights Ashmouz's explosiveness and KO power, predicting a first-round TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Patterson | 0 | 15 of 20 | 75% | 15 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Patterson | 0 | 15 of 20 | 75% | 15 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yanal Ashmouz | 2 of 7 | 28% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Patterson | 15 of 20 | 75% | 14 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 16 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yanal Ashmouz | 2 of 7 | 28% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Patterson | 15 of 20 | 75% | 14 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 16 |
Angelo is on the underdog Ashmouz, having placed a quarter-unit bet at +230. He thinks Patterson is overrated because he is tall but does not use his length well in striking and is very hittable. He notes Ashmouz is well-rounded, comes forward, and has a solid chin. He believes Ashmouz can overwhelm Patterson.
Big Brady picks Patterson despite many red flags (poor striking defense, poor takedown defense). He is impressed by Patterson's submission game and believes he will find a submission win. He predicts a second-round submission, but notes he will look to fade Patterson in the future. He will not bet this fight at -260.
Cody picks Patterson, citing his size (6'3", 78" reach) and well-rounded skills. He notes Patterson has fought good competition on the regional scene and has a nasty guillotine. He thinks Ashmouz will struggle to get inside and take Patterson down, and even if he does, Patterson can get back up. He says minus 270 is a bit steep for a UFC debut but Patterson should win.
Connor picks Ashmouz, citing his violent grappling and punching power. He notes that Patterson is a tall, gangly fighter with gaps in his game, especially when pressured. Connor expects Ashmouz to close the distance, take Patterson down, and punish him on the ground, despite the significant size disadvantage.
Jacob is also on Ashmouz, criticizing Patterson's striking as resembling a high schooler with no power and a chin up in the air. He thinks Ashmouz's pressure and wrestling will be too much, and Patterson does not like to get hit. He expects Ashmouz to control the fight on the feet and on the ground.
Patterson uses his long frame to pick opponents apart from distance and has a dangerous guillotine choke when they shoot. Ashmouz is wild and reckless, crashing the pocket with overhands, which could lead to a desperation takedown. Patterson should eventually snatch up a submission. The fight doesn't go to decision is the preferred bet.
Paul picks Patterson, noting Ashmouz didn't impress in his PFL fight. He says Patterson's size and reach are huge advantages, and Ashmouz is giving up tons of size. He says there is some action on Ashmouz but it won't be him. He says Patterson is the pick but minus 270 is not a great price.
The MMA Guru picks Sam Patterson to win by late-round submission, likely a guillotine. He praises Patterson's calmness and ability to latch on finishes, despite early trouble. He notes Patterson has faced tough competition outside the UK, including a draw with Ahmed Amir and a loss to a Dagestani fighter, which gives him valuable experience. He expects Patterson to weather early adversity and find a choke.
Zane also picks Ashmouz, agreeing that Patterson's defensive flaws and tendency to get hit will be exploited. He notes that Patterson has some interesting tall-man skills but is too uncoordinated and hittable. Zane believes Ashmouz's takedown game and top pressure will be decisive.
Expert Picks (4)
Angelo picks Quillan Salkilld, citing his striking advantage and ability to defend takedowns. He thinks Yanal will be forced to shoot early due to Quillan's striking. He warns Quillan not to pull guard. He has reservations about the 4-to-1 odds but still picks Quillan.
Big Brady picks Quillan Salkilld, liking his striking, volume, cardio, and size. He thinks Salkilld will win handily, likely by 30-27 decision, but notes the line is wide. He believes Ashmouz is a decent fighter but will be undersized and at a grappling disadvantage. He does not expect a finish.
Salkilld has a skill advantage that should be the difference maker. He needs to maintain distance to avoid Ashmouz's physicality and grinding. The pick is for Salkilld to outdamage and outpoint Ashmouz on the way to a decision victory.
The MMA Guru picks Quillan Salkilld to win, but criticizes the odds of -455 as too high, suggesting he should be around -200. He expects Salkilld to get a finish in the later rounds or win a decision, noting that Yanal Ashmouz has power and knocked out Sam Patterson. He acknowledges Salkilld is not invincible and has been hit before, but believes his technical skills will prevail.
Comments (1)
Black belt for Quillan. Yanal held the fence a little. Some nice wrestling moves Quillan. Joe rogan, "he looks like a prospect" for so young is a nod to the talent of the newcomers.
Maybe the KO is value -162