UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder · Jul 26, 2025 · Featherweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder Next Fight
Age 32
Height 5' 9"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Switch
Age 33
Height 5' 11"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Switch
Career Averages - Mohammad Yahya
3.5 SLpM
39.0% Str. Acc.
6.39 SApM
43.0% Str. Def.
0.5 TD Avg
20.0% TD Acc.
42.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Steven Nguyen
7.47 SLpM
42.0% Str. Acc.
7.1 SApM
60.0% Str. Def.
0.24 TD Avg
100.0% TD Acc.
88.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Mohammad Yahya
Moneyline
BetWay +300
KO/TKO
Unibet +1000
Submission
Unibet +1500
Decision
Unibet +650
Steven Nguyen
Moneyline
FanDuel -320
KO/TKO
BetRivers +210
Submission
FanDuel +390
Decision
FanDuel +270
Mohammad Yahya - Fight History
LOSS vs Steven Nguyen
KO R2 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder · Jul 26, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mohammad Yahya 0 57 of 151 37% 60 of 154 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:05
Steven Nguyen 6 92 of 174 52% 108 of 194 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mohammad Yahya 0 33 of 86 38% 33 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Steven Nguyen 5 59 of 112 52% 65 of 120 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:53
2 Mohammad Yahya 0 24 of 65 36% 27 of 68 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:02
Steven Nguyen 1 33 of 62 53% 43 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:50
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mohammad Yahya 57 of 151 37% 41 of 126 14 of 21 2 of 4 57 of 151 0 of 0 0 of 0
Steven Nguyen 92 of 174 52% 76 of 156 4 of 4 12 of 14 50 of 111 7 of 7 35 of 56
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mohammad Yahya 33 of 86 38% 22 of 69 9 of 13 2 of 4 33 of 86 0 of 0 0 of 0
Steven Nguyen 59 of 112 52% 47 of 98 2 of 2 10 of 12 35 of 70 4 of 4 20 of 38
2 Mohammad Yahya 24 of 65 36% 19 of 57 5 of 8 0 of 0 24 of 65 0 of 0 0 of 0
Steven Nguyen 33 of 62 53% 29 of 58 2 of 2 2 of 2 15 of 41 3 of 3 15 of 18
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Steven Nguyen

Angelo picks Steven Nguyen confidently, calling Mohammad Yahya a fighter who doesn't belong in the UFC. He notes Nguyen's well-rounded skills, heavy hands, slick submissions, and composed striking. He expects a decision but hopes for an over 1.5 rounds line to bet the over, as Yahya is tough enough to take a beating for a while.

Hoping for over 1.5 rounds line to bet over
"I am picking Steven W to get the win. Full pun intended."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Steven Nguyen

Big Brady picks Steven Nguyen by default, calling Muhammad Yahya one of the worst fighters in the UFC. He notes Nguyen is not great but has solid volume, wrestling, and cardio, while Yahya has no power, volume, or grappling. He expects Nguyen to finish Yahya in the later rounds, predicting a third-round knockout.

third round knockout
"I would pick literally anybody against Muhammad Yaya. So, by default, I'm taking Steven Win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 23, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Steven Nguyen

Both fighters have left a lot to be desired in recent fights, but Nguyen is expected to stop the takedowns of Yahya and pick him apart on the feet, winning on the scorecards.

"I have to lean with Win as I think he'll be able to stop the takedowns of Yaya. pick him apart on the feet and win this fight on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Steven Nguyen

The MMA Guru picks Steven Nguyen over Mohammad Yahya, calling Yahya 'dog [__]' and suggesting he was only signed because he's from Abu Dhabi. He notes Nguyen's well-roundedness and lack of clear weaknesses, while Yahya has been beaten badly in his UFC fights. He predicts a 30-27 decision win for Nguyen, outclassing Yahya in every round.

"I'm going to go with Steven to win this fight. I think he's a little bit more well-rounded, a little bit better on the feet, a little bit more disciplined um and composed in there. So, I'm going to say …"
LOSS vs Kauê Fernandes
TKO (punches) R1 4:45 · UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kauê Fernandes 0 4 of 18 22% 4 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mohammad Yahya 1 37 of 63 58% 37 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kauê Fernandes 0 4 of 18 22% 4 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mohammad Yahya 1 37 of 63 58% 37 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kauê Fernandes 4 of 18 22% 2 of 15 0 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mohammad Yahya 37 of 63 58% 21 of 44 6 of 9 10 of 10 29 of 49 0 of 0 8 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kauê Fernandes 4 of 18 22% 2 of 15 0 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mohammad Yahya 37 of 63 58% 21 of 44 6 of 9 10 of 10 29 of 49 0 of 0 8 of 14
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Angelo is very confident in Fernandes, calling Yahya terrible and noting he falls over for no reason. He thinks Fernandes is better everywhere and should win a straightforward decision due to Yahya's toughness. He made the pick without much tape study.

"caio Fernandez is going to be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Big Brady is confident in Fernandes, calling Yahya's performance against Trevor Peak one of the worst he's ever seen. He thinks Yahya is not UFC level, while Fernandes has solid striking, power, and a sneaky submission game. He predicts Fernandes wins by first-round knockout, noting the line is steep but the pick is clear.

"I think Fernandez is really solid striking I think he has a lot of power I think he has a very sneaky submission game as well"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Cody picks Kauê Fernandes, noting that Yahya was outwrestled by Trevor Peek and has poor takedown defense. He thinks Fernandes can keep the fight standing and use his superior striking. However, Cody worries about Fernandes's cardio and notes that if he doesn't finish early, Yahya could take over. He also mentions that Yahya is the hometown fighter and could get a favorable decision.

"The reason I'm going to end up going with Fernandez not just because he's some big favorite."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Daniel leans towards Fernandes, viewing him as a better version of Yahya with more physicality and experience. However, he is not confident enough to lay -400 on an unproven fighter, so he calls it a pass but gives a lean.

"I'm a lean CWI because I see them as similar Fighters and CWI just being more physical"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Mohammad Yahya

Yahya can grind out Fernandes, who has been grinded out in past fights and spends too much time on his back. At +340, Yahya is worth a sprinkle to win on the scorecards.

sprinkle at +340
"I feel Yaya at plus 340 is worth a bit of a sprinkle here to go out there and grind Fernandez out and win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Paul picks Kauê Fernandes, noting that Yahya was dominated by Trevor Peek and has poor wrestling. He thinks Fernandes can implement a similar game plan and possibly find a submission. Paul acknowledges Fernandes's cardio issues but believes he can win early. He also mentions that the line is wide but Fernandes is the better striker.

"Yeah probably um yeah Fernandez makes this fight easier for himself by by Leon the wrestling."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

The MMA Guru picks Kauê Fernandes over Mohammad Yahya, despite Yahya being the local Abu Dhabi fighter. He thinks Fernandes is more technical and composed, and can take advantage of Yahya's sloppy style. He notes Yahya got bruised up by Trevor Peek and that Fernandes is sharper. He mentions the split decision loss to Mark O. Madsen as a good sign.

"I'm gonna go Fernandez over Yaya I think yeah I don't like Yaya feel like he got bruised around a bit too much"
LOSS vs Trevor Peek
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · Oct 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Trevor Peek 0 43 of 92 46% 47 of 96 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:24
Mohammad Yahya 0 61 of 97 62% 83 of 123 4 of 7 57% 0 0 5:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Trevor Peek 0 8 of 13 61% 12 of 17 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:18
Mohammad Yahya 0 16 of 25 64% 25 of 34 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:13
2 Trevor Peek 0 21 of 46 45% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mohammad Yahya 0 23 of 39 58% 23 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
3 Trevor Peek 0 14 of 33 42% 14 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Mohammad Yahya 0 22 of 33 66% 35 of 50 3 of 4 75% 0 0 2:44
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Trevor Peek 43 of 92 46% 28 of 70 14 of 21 1 of 1 41 of 90 2 of 2 0 of 0
Mohammad Yahya 61 of 97 62% 32 of 61 16 of 23 13 of 13 50 of 83 6 of 9 5 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Trevor Peek 8 of 13 61% 5 of 10 2 of 2 1 of 1 8 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mohammad Yahya 16 of 25 64% 6 of 13 4 of 6 6 of 6 13 of 20 1 of 3 2 of 2
2 Trevor Peek 21 of 46 45% 16 of 35 5 of 11 0 of 0 20 of 45 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mohammad Yahya 23 of 39 58% 12 of 26 6 of 8 5 of 5 21 of 36 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Trevor Peek 14 of 33 42% 7 of 25 7 of 8 0 of 0 13 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0
Mohammad Yahya 22 of 33 66% 14 of 22 6 of 9 2 of 2 16 of 27 3 of 3 3 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Angelo picks Trevor Peek after initially wanting to bet on Yahya. He notes Yahya gets hit too often and doesn't wrestle well, while Peek has a granite chin and relentless pressure. He thinks Peek's toughness and forward pressure will be enough to win, even though Peek is not very skilled.

"Trevor peak's going to be the pick he has had the biggest line movement on this card"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Big Brady picks Trevor Peek to win by first round knockout. He describes Peek as a wild, durable brawler with incredible toughness and cardio, while Yahya is just okay and has been finished in all three of his losses. Brady expects Peek to set a pace Yahya cannot handle and win a chaotic brawl. He also likes the prop of Peek over 77.5 fantasy score on PrizePicks.

first round knockout, over 77.5 fantasy score
"give me Trevor Peak to win this fight by first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Cody picks Peek, emphasizing his toughness and power. He notes that Yahya is a one-dimensional striker with no grappling, and that Peek's pressure will eventually land. Cody expects a KO, possibly in the second round after Yahya tires.

Peek by KO, under 1.5 rounds
"I'm in on Peak too he's my boy I'm not going to go against my boy"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Daniel picks Trevor Peek to win, describing him as an elite brawler with durability and power. He notes that Mohammad Yahya has been dropped by lower-level competition and thinks Peek's firepower will be too much. He acknowledges that Peek can fade and is not technically sound, but believes Peek's durability and brawling style will prevail. He also mentions the possibility of hometown judging but thinks a finish would negate that.

Peek minus 155, Yahya plus 130; mentions possibility of Peek fading but still winning
"I think Trevor peak's gonna win this fight... I think that the durability of Trevor Peak is GNA be a big difference here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Yahya is hittable and leaves his chin on the center line, which plays into Peek's power. Peek is durable and has better grappling defense than expected. Expects Peek to land big shots and find a knockout within the first two rounds. However, he feels queasy playing Peek at short odds due to his skill shortage.

inside the distance, round 1 or 2
"I feel like Peak is going to go out there and and find that chin probably within the first two rounds"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

Paul picks Peek, noting that Yahya is a local fighter with limited skills and poor grappling. He believes Peek's pressure, durability, and power will overwhelm Yahya, who has a weak chin and no plan B. Paul expects a KO finish, likely in the first two rounds.

Peek by KO (+120), under 1.5 rounds
"I also think Trevor Peek could take him down the thing is is I don't think Trevor Peek has got great top control yet so like even though he can get takedowns they're mostly muscle"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Trevor Peek

The MMA Guru picks Trevor Peek by first-round KO. He was initially leaning towards Yahya but was unimpressed by Yahya's regional fight where he was dropped and outgrappled. He trusts Peek's chin and believes the fight will be a sloppy brawl that favors Peek. He notes Peek has good takedown defense and Yahya's grappling isn't good enough to win.

Peek wins in round 1 by KO
"I'm going Trevor Peak by KO so I'm going to go by I'm going to go Trevor Peak their Rens in odds and I'm going to take him by KO here in the first round over Muhammad Yaya"
Steven Nguyen - Fight History
KO R2 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder · Jul 26, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mohammad Yahya 0 57 of 151 37% 60 of 154 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:05
Steven Nguyen 6 92 of 174 52% 108 of 194 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mohammad Yahya 0 33 of 86 38% 33 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Steven Nguyen 5 59 of 112 52% 65 of 120 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:53
2 Mohammad Yahya 0 24 of 65 36% 27 of 68 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:02
Steven Nguyen 1 33 of 62 53% 43 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:50
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mohammad Yahya 57 of 151 37% 41 of 126 14 of 21 2 of 4 57 of 151 0 of 0 0 of 0
Steven Nguyen 92 of 174 52% 76 of 156 4 of 4 12 of 14 50 of 111 7 of 7 35 of 56
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mohammad Yahya 33 of 86 38% 22 of 69 9 of 13 2 of 4 33 of 86 0 of 0 0 of 0
Steven Nguyen 59 of 112 52% 47 of 98 2 of 2 10 of 12 35 of 70 4 of 4 20 of 38
2 Mohammad Yahya 24 of 65 36% 19 of 57 5 of 8 0 of 0 24 of 65 0 of 0 0 of 0
Steven Nguyen 33 of 62 53% 29 of 58 2 of 2 2 of 2 15 of 41 3 of 3 15 of 18
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Steven Nguyen

Angelo picks Steven Nguyen confidently, calling Mohammad Yahya a fighter who doesn't belong in the UFC. He notes Nguyen's well-rounded skills, heavy hands, slick submissions, and composed striking. He expects a decision but hopes for an over 1.5 rounds line to bet the over, as Yahya is tough enough to take a beating for a while.

Hoping for over 1.5 rounds line to bet over
"I am picking Steven W to get the win. Full pun intended."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Steven Nguyen

Big Brady picks Steven Nguyen by default, calling Muhammad Yahya one of the worst fighters in the UFC. He notes Nguyen is not great but has solid volume, wrestling, and cardio, while Yahya has no power, volume, or grappling. He expects Nguyen to finish Yahya in the later rounds, predicting a third-round knockout.

third round knockout
"I would pick literally anybody against Muhammad Yaya. So, by default, I'm taking Steven Win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 23, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Steven Nguyen

Both fighters have left a lot to be desired in recent fights, but Nguyen is expected to stop the takedowns of Yahya and pick him apart on the feet, winning on the scorecards.

"I have to lean with Win as I think he'll be able to stop the takedowns of Yaya. pick him apart on the feet and win this fight on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Steven Nguyen

The MMA Guru picks Steven Nguyen over Mohammad Yahya, calling Yahya 'dog [__]' and suggesting he was only signed because he's from Abu Dhabi. He notes Nguyen's well-roundedness and lack of clear weaknesses, while Yahya has been beaten badly in his UFC fights. He predicts a 30-27 decision win for Nguyen, outclassing Yahya in every round.

"I'm going to go with Steven to win this fight. I think he's a little bit more well-rounded, a little bit better on the feet, a little bit more disciplined um and composed in there. So, I'm going to say …"
LOSS vs Jarno Errens
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Ribas vs. Namajunas · Mar 23, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jarno Errens 1 105 of 207 50% 106 of 208 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Steven Nguyen 0 63 of 226 27% 63 of 227 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jarno Errens 0 39 of 71 54% 40 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Steven Nguyen 0 21 of 63 33% 21 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:10
2 Jarno Errens 1 33 of 72 45% 33 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Steven Nguyen 0 22 of 91 24% 22 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jarno Errens 0 33 of 64 51% 33 of 64 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:12
Steven Nguyen 0 20 of 72 27% 20 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jarno Errens 105 of 207 50% 51 of 139 29 of 38 25 of 30 103 of 203 2 of 4 0 of 0
Steven Nguyen 63 of 226 27% 47 of 187 8 of 16 8 of 23 59 of 219 1 of 1 3 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jarno Errens 39 of 71 54% 15 of 43 13 of 17 11 of 11 39 of 69 0 of 2 0 of 0
Steven Nguyen 21 of 63 33% 13 of 45 4 of 6 4 of 12 21 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 2
2 Jarno Errens 33 of 72 45% 13 of 46 11 of 15 9 of 11 31 of 70 2 of 2 0 of 0
Steven Nguyen 22 of 91 24% 17 of 75 3 of 7 2 of 9 21 of 90 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Jarno Errens 33 of 64 51% 23 of 50 5 of 6 5 of 8 33 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0
Steven Nguyen 20 of 72 27% 17 of 67 1 of 3 2 of 2 17 of 68 0 of 0 3 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Steven Nguyen

Angelo is confident in Steven Nguyen, believing he is better everywhere in the fight with superior skills, power, and grappling. He notes that Nguyen is a real prospect with heavy hands and slick submissions, while Errens is durable but sets himself up to be taken down. He would include Nguyen in parlays but not the safety parlay due to his UFC debut status.

"I love Steven win in this spot I think he is literally better everywhere in this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Steven Nguyen

Big Brady picks Steven Nguyen by default due to Jarno Errens' extremely low volume (1.67 significant strikes per minute). He notes Nguyen is high volume and active, landing over 8 strikes per minute on the contender series. He thinks Nguyen's toughness and activity will lead to a decision win, though he is not in love with Nguyen as a fighter.

"I'm going with wi here like I said I'm not in love with the guy as a fighter but I'm going to pick him to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Steven Nguyen

Cody picks Nguyen, citing his high volume and cardio. He notes that Errens has low output and poor cardio, often gassing after a strong start. Cody believes Nguyen's constant pressure and striking volume will overwhelm Errens.

"Steve newn seems like a very very clear clear forward obvious pick."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Steven Nguyen

Daniel Vreeland picks Steven Nguyen by decision, citing his high output and durability. He criticizes Errens for poor fight IQ, often dropping opponents then ending up on his back. He believes Nguyen's volume will overwhelm Errens over three rounds.

Nguyen by decision
"I'm a G St by decision here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Steven Nguyen

Nguyen is the better overall fighter with high-level striking and good combinations. However, his striking defense is lacking and he is hittable. Errens could make it close, but Nguyen should win a decision by putting together a better body of work. The line at -180 is too wide for comfort, so no bet is recommended.

"I think minus 180 a little bit too wide for me to be comfortable... I'll pass on this fight all in all but I still think that win is the better overall fighter here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Steven Nguyen

Paul agrees, highlighting Nguyen's volume (over 100 significant strikes in fights) and Errens' inability to keep pace. He notes Errens' lack of urgency and poor takedown defense. Paul sees Nguyen as a clear play.

"Volume reain Supreme for me as well here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Steven Nguyen

The MMA Guru picks Steven Nguyen over Jarno Errens, citing Nguyen's composure, willingness to push a pace, and ability to handle pressure. He criticizes Errens for not committing to winning and leaving fights to decisions. He thinks Nguyen will be the larger opponent and will push forward, leading to a decision win in the later rounds.

decision win
"I'm gonna go Steven over Jon o erins... decision win uh Works him in the later two rounds"
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Steven Nguyen

Angelo picks Steven Nguyen confidently, calling Mohammad Yahya a fighter who doesn't belong in the UFC. He notes Nguyen's well-rounded skills, heavy hands, slick submissions, and composed striking. He expects a decision but hopes for an over 1.5 rounds line to bet the over, as Yahya is tough enough to take a beating for a while.

Hoping for over 1.5 rounds line to bet over
"I am picking Steven W to get the win. Full pun intended."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Steven Nguyen

Big Brady picks Steven Nguyen by default, calling Muhammad Yahya one of the worst fighters in the UFC. He notes Nguyen is not great but has solid volume, wrestling, and cardio, while Yahya has no power, volume, or grappling. He expects Nguyen to finish Yahya in the later rounds, predicting a third-round knockout.

third round knockout
"I would pick literally anybody against Muhammad Yaya. So, by default, I'm taking Steven Win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 23, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Steven Nguyen

Both fighters have left a lot to be desired in recent fights, but Nguyen is expected to stop the takedowns of Yahya and pick him apart on the feet, winning on the scorecards.

"I have to lean with Win as I think he'll be able to stop the takedowns of Yaya. pick him apart on the feet and win this fight on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Steven Nguyen

The MMA Guru picks Steven Nguyen over Mohammad Yahya, calling Yahya 'dog [__]' and suggesting he was only signed because he's from Abu Dhabi. He notes Nguyen's well-roundedness and lack of clear weaknesses, while Yahya has been beaten badly in his UFC fights. He predicts a 30-27 decision win for Nguyen, outclassing Yahya in every round.

"I'm going to go with Steven to win this fight. I think he's a little bit more well-rounded, a little bit better on the feet, a little bit more disciplined um and composed in there. So, I'm going to say that he wins a 30-27 decision."