vs
+400 -490
UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder · Jul 26, 2025 · Welterweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder Next Fight
Age 42
Height 5' 11"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 32
Height 5' 11"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Muslim Salikhov
3.37 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
2.96 SApM
62.0% Str. Def.
1.07 TD Avg
32.0% TD Acc.
72.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Carlos Leal
8.75 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
7.78 SApM
48.0% Str. Def.
0.43 TD Avg
11.0% TD Acc.
90.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Muslim Salikhov
Moneyline
Caesars +400
KO/TKO
Unibet +950
Submission
Unibet +2900
Decision
FanDuel +850
Carlos Leal
Moneyline
FanDuel -490
KO/TKO
FanDuel -120
Submission
Unibet +1150
Decision
BetRivers +340
Muslim Salikhov - Fight History
CANCEL vs Jake Matthews
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 29, 2026 (fight day)
Jake Matthews

Angelo picks Jake Matthews to win and finish, noting that his original opponent Muslim Salikhov was replaced by Carlston Harris. He believes Harris is past his prime, less durable, and stepping up on short notice, while Matthews is well-rounded and should find a finish.

finish predicted; Jake Matthews in lineup
"Not only do I think Jake Matthews wins, I think Jake Matthews finds a finish. And I will put Jake Matthews in a lineup."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked May 23, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jake Matthews

Lucrative James picks Jake Matthews, citing his youth (31 vs 38), better boxing, head movement, and overall skill set compared to Carlston Harris. He notes Matthews' unfortunate last loss due to a referee error but believes he is the better fighter everywhere. He highlights Harris's poor durability, cardio, and recent knockout losses, and expects Matthews to land clean shots and get a knockout. He also mentions Matthews' improved chin and comfort in the UFC.

Jake Matthews via knockout
"I think Jake Matthews gets a knockout in this fight. I don't see Carson Harris lasting."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 20, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Jake Matthews

The MMA Guru picks Jake Matthews to win by knockout. He notes that Muslim Salikhov is a one-dimensional grappler at 39 years old with poor striking, while Matthews is a good offensive boxer and grappler. He believes Matthews will keep the fight on the feet and land a knockout.

odds glitched, Matthews between -3000 and -150
"I think we're going to see Jack Matthews win this fight and win the fight by knockout."
LOSS vs Uroš Medić
KO R1 1:03 · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · Nov 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muslim Salikhov 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Uroš Medić 1 8 of 13 61% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muslim Salikhov 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Uroš Medić 1 8 of 13 61% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muslim Salikhov 2 of 5 40% 0 of 1 0 of 1 2 of 3 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Uroš Medić 8 of 13 61% 5 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 1 5 of 9 0 of 0 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muslim Salikhov 2 of 5 40% 0 of 1 0 of 1 2 of 3 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Uroš Medić 8 of 13 61% 5 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 1 5 of 9 0 of 0 3 of 4
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Uros Medic vs. Muslim Salikhov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Medic (-180); Salikhov (+150)

Round 1
If rankings and relevant pairings do not litter the lineup, at least the matchmakers have lined up a few bangers. At 41, Salikhov (22-5, 9-4 UFC) may be looking as good as ever, with three wins in a row including two knockouts making his twilight years quite something. He will have to contend with brick-fisted Serb Medic (11-3, 5-3 UFC), who has come from Alaska to train down in California at Kings MMA. The two welterweights will be joined in the Octagon by referee Kerry Hatley, who has already donned his proverbial hard hat, fully cognizant that this one could be a doozey. There is a touch of gloves to open things up.
Medic tries early to swat away Salikhov’s staging left hand, stomping his way forward to threaten with strikes to the lead knee. Both men lash out with blows at the same time, and they need some time before re-engaging. They kick simultaneously, with Medic putting a scare in the Dagestan native by going upstairs. Medic tosses one out with his other leg, wrapping it around the back of the Russian’s melon.
Salikhov has to back off, and Medic rifles off a straight left hand that puts Salikhov on his seat. Salikhov tries to scoot around to grab hold of the leg of “The Doctor,” but Medic slams him in the side of the head with his angry Alaskan fist a few times until Salikhov shells up.
Hatley sees that Salikhov has physically surrendered at that point and steps in to save the Russian from any further harm. That is two knockouts in a row for Medic right around one minute, as he iced Gilbert Urbina in August in 63 seconds. The 100% finish rate remains intact as well, as Medic calls for bigger opportunities in the future.

The Official Result
Uros Medic def. Muslim Salikhov R1 1:03 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Angelo picks Uros Medic because he is younger, faster, and more technical, but he is not confident. He notes that Muslim Salikhov hits extremely hard and has wrestling, making him a phenomenal underdog. He acknowledges that Medic was almost finished by Gilbert Urbina, which raises concerns about his chin.

"I'm going to pick the younger, faster, more technical striker, but damn, like this is a tough-ass fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Big Brady has a hot take predicting Salikhov wins by spinning wheel kick knockout in the first round. He highlights Salikhov's patented spinning wheel kick, which he has used to knock out multiple opponents, including Carlos Leia. He questions Medić's durability, noting he got knocked down by Gilbert Urbina, which is a bad sign. He expects an early knockout.

spinning wheel kick knockout, first round, under 1.5 rounds
"I'm gonna go Salakov here. Salakov spinning old kick. First round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Cody picks Salikhov, noting his power and counter-striking ability. He thinks Medić's aggressive, forward-moving style plays into Salikhov's hands, and that Salikhov will land a knockout early.

"It's a solo play for me as well."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Lucrative James picks Muslim Salikhov despite acknowledging the volatility of the matchup. He notes Salikhov's higher level of competition and experience, as well as his recent training camp improvements. However, he admits both fighters have poor chins and heavy hands, making it a coin flip. He predicts Salikhov wins by knockout in round one, but also considers betting on the under or 'doesn't go to decision'.

KO in round 1
"I will pick Muslim Salikov for those reasons I just mentioned. I will pick him via knockout in round one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

The host expects a firecracker fight and loves the under 1.5 rounds. He believes Medic will snipe Salikhov from distance and win by knockout within five minutes.

Under 1.5 rounds, knockout
"I love the under one and a half in this fight, but I ultimately think it's going to be Medic from distance who ends up sniping Salakov and getting him out of there within five minutes."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Paul also picks Salikhov, calling the fight a 'car crash' and expecting a knockout. He likes the plus money on the older fighter and thinks Medić's durability issues will be exposed.

"Give me the old man Salikov because he's plus money."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

The Guru picks Muslim Salikhov to win by first-round KO. He believes Uroš Medić is too easily hit and erratic, lunging in with punches, while Salikhov has powerful spinning attacks and counters. He expects Salikhov to catch Medić coming in and finish him early.

round 1 KO
"I'm going to go with Muslim Salakov getting this one done by KO victory in the first round."
WIN vs Carlos Leal
KO R1 0:42 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder · Jul 26, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muslim Salikhov 1 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Carlos Leal 0 5 of 9 55% 5 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muslim Salikhov 1 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Carlos Leal 0 5 of 9 55% 5 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muslim Salikhov 3 of 9 33% 1 of 4 1 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 5 of 9 55% 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muslim Salikhov 3 of 9 33% 1 of 4 1 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 5 of 9 55% 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Muslim Salikhov vs. Carlos Leal
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Leal (-400); Salikhov (+320)

Round 1
The old guard of the UFC is not entirely falling apart as of late. The example in this matchup is Salikhov (21-5, 8-4 UFC), who has won two in a row—his last victory via his beloved spinning wheel kick—and now is at the tender age of 41. He will be trying to show Leal (22-6, 1-1 UFC), 10 years his junior, that age is nothing but a number. The welterweight strikers will be joined in the Octagon by referee Dan Movahedi, who initiates the proceedings and bears witness to a brief fist bump.
Salikhov gets right on his bike firing off kicks to the lead leg and body. Leal marches him down to reach boxing range, where he intends on lining up one-twos down Broadway. The Brazilian swings hard, not giving Salikhov much space, and a straight left hand gets Salikhov’s attention.
The 41-year-old bites down on his mouthpiece to give his foe back some fire, slipping a jab and lobbing a massive right hand from his hip that careens into the forehead of Lean. The Brazilian hits the deck, devoid of his senses, and Salikhov walks away knowing that his work here is done.
He strides over to the commentary team to remind them of his age, and it is hard to say if he knows that he just became the first fighter to ever knock out the ultra-durable Leal. This marks the first time since 2019 that “The King of Kung Fu” picked up back-to-back consciousness-depriving knockouts, as he obliterated Kenan Song last November with a spinning wheel kick. To stick the landing, Salikhov calls for a matchup against Stephen Thompson that would undoubtedly display some traditional martial arts fireworks.

The Official Result
Muslim Salikhov def. Carlos Leal R1 0:42 via KO (Punch)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Carlos Leal

Angelo picks Carlos Leal, citing his dangerous Muay Thai, forward pressure, durability, and power. He notes Muslim Salikhov is 41 with a declining chin, and Leal's pressure will prevent Salikhov from using his unorthodox karate. He considers -400 odds appropriate but will parlay Leal rather than bet straight.

Will parlay Leal; odds -400
"Carlos is going to be the pick. I do think if Muslim has success with the unorthodox striking, then Carlos is just going to start to wrestle."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Carlos Leal

Big Brady picks Carlos Leal Miranda, citing his pressure style and power. He notes Salikhov is old (calls him 60+), needs space to throw spinning attacks, and does not like being pressured. He compares it to the Leech fight where pressure led to a finish. He predicts a second-round knockout, warning only about a potential spinning wheel kick.

second round knockout
"I like Carlos Liao here. ... I think he should go out there and knock out Salakov."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Carlos Leal

Connor also picks Leal, emphasizing that Salikhov's most dangerous strikes come against opponents who give him space, and Leal's constant pressure will negate that. He compares Leal to Nicholas Dalby, who beat Salikhov by being rugged and busy. Connor notes that Salikhov has won similar fights before but is older now and less likely to keep pace.

"I think Leal is going to force Salikov into a disgusting series of brawling exchanges where he comes out on top."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 23, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Leal

Leal is a big favorite and deservedly so. He is expected to walk down Salikhov, take his best shots, but throw even harder in return, leading to a knockout victory.

knockout
"Lal big favorite here and deservedly so. Expect him to walk down Salakov, take some of his best shots, but throw even harder in return leading to a Lal knockout victory."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Carlos Leal

The MMA Guru picks Carlos Leal, calling him a 'monster' and noting his physicality and pressure. He believes Salikhov is aging and has a reach disadvantage, and that Leal will get in his face and beat him up against the cage. He predicts a second-round TKO after a tricky first round.

Round 2 TKO
"I'm going to go with Liao. ... Carlos Liao round two TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Carlos Leal

Zane picks Carlos Leal, believing his pressure and durability will overwhelm the aging Salikhov. He notes that Salikhov is crafty but tends to get worn down by persistent fighters, and Leal has never been stopped. Zane sees Leal's brute force and constant forward movement as the key to forcing Salikhov into brawling exchanges where Leal will come out on top.

"I think there's a wrong way for Leal to approach this fight where he takes a lot of damage. There's a right way for him to approach it where... Salikov's not going to sleep him on the counter. And Leal …"
WIN vs Song Kenan
KO (spinning wheel kick) R1 3:49 · UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · Nov 23, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muslim Salikhov 0 9 of 21 42% 11 of 23 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:19
Song Kenan 1 20 of 28 71% 20 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muslim Salikhov 0 9 of 21 42% 11 of 23 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:19
Song Kenan 1 20 of 28 71% 20 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muslim Salikhov 9 of 21 42% 4 of 15 1 of 2 4 of 4 8 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
Song Kenan 20 of 28 71% 7 of 14 3 of 4 10 of 10 19 of 27 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muslim Salikhov 9 of 21 42% 4 of 15 1 of 2 4 of 4 8 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
Song Kenan 20 of 28 71% 7 of 14 3 of 4 10 of 10 19 of 27 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kenan Song vs. Muslim Salikhov

Round 1
Two welterweights with finish rates of 75% or above collide as the main card continues, with two relative elder statesmen in the weight class plying their trade against one another. Song (22-8, 6-4 UFC) celebrates an equal number of knockouts to submissions, while “King of Kung Fu” Salikhov (20-5, 7-4 UFC) is all about the former. Referee Mark Craig will serve as the cage commander for a tense showdown, one that kicks off as the fighters clap hands. Song comes in, and before he can throw, Salikhov kicks his front leg. Song tries again, this time reaching out with a left hand first. Salikhov chops at the leg again, and he blocks a high kick. They both attempt leg kicks, and Salikhov doubles up on his efforts. Song guards against a few punches and throws a few back to counter, and he is driven away with a spinning back kick that lands square on his ribs. Salikhov kicks and then opens up with two left hooks, and as there are lulls in the action, the crowd begins riling up in support of the Chinese competitor. Salikhov darts in and out to attack, picking his shots until getting met with a spinning back kick coming back his way. Salikhov grits it out and blasts the lead wheel with a kick. Song does not like this, and he blitzes forward, drilling Salikhov in the side of the head and stunning him. As Song closes in, he clinches, and a knee bangs into Salikhov’s cup. Song backs away apologetically to allow Craig to call time, and Salikhov takes 40 seconds to get his wind back. They restart, and Salikhov picks up where he left off with calf kicks. Salikhov scores a right hand, catches a head kick and dumps Song to the mat. Salikhov backs off, with no interest in exploring the ground game, and instead he keeps adding money in the bank with these vicious calf kicks. Song shakes his leg out and hops away from a spinning back fist, and he races forward with a left hand.
The Russian, known for his spinning arsenal, dips into the well with a wheel kick that smashes cleanly into the melon of Song. “The Assassin” crumples to the ground in a heap, rolling to his side as he is bordering on the edge of consciousness. Salikhov drums him out with two hammerfists that are academic at best, and Craig gets between them to tend to the defeated fighter.
Song comes to before long and he graciously accepts the loss. Meanwhile, Salikhov becomes the first fighter in company history to deliver multiple knockouts via wheel kick. The “King of Kung Fu” is for real, even at the ripe age of 40.

The Official Result
Muslim Salikhov def. Kenan Song via R1 3:49 via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Angelo picks Muslim Salikhov, criticizing Song Kenan's low fight IQ and lack of killer instinct. He notes Salikhov's wrestling and striking power, and expects him to capitalize on Song's mistakes. He calls Song 'one punch or bust' and an idiot inside the cage.

"salov has to be the pick when you're fighting an idiot it is what it is"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Big Brady picks Muslim Salikhov to win by knockout. He admits he usually picks against Salikhov due to his age (40, possibly older), low volume, and questionable cardio, but he sees Song Kenan as a walking punching bag with low volume and poor durability. Brady thinks Salikhov can knock out Song, who has been knocked out four times. However, he is hesitant and wants to stay away from this fight.

Salikhov wins by KO
"I'll take salikov to to get the win here but we are in China which uh wouldn't very favor s Canan um sakov is 40 at this point or he's actually probably like 80 but I don't know just just …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Cody picks Salikhov but with low confidence, citing Song Kenan's poor defensive striking and tendency to absorb high volume. He thinks Salikhov's flashy, low-volume style can land the more significant shots and potentially clip Song. He expects a close decision or a late knockout for Salikhov, but warns that Song could outwork him if he walks into the fire.

"I'm going to take Muslim solakov but quite honestly that could be I would call it the PRP pick but some of these road to the UFC guys will probably be down there because I just don't care"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Song Kenan's pace is exactly what Salikhov thrives on—slow and methodical, allowing Salikhov to use feints and set up his strikes. He also points out that Salikhov's traditional martial arts background gives him a soft landing for aging, and he remains uninjury-prone. Connor acknowledges Song's power but thinks Salikhov's technical edge wins.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"Song Kenan's pace is the kind of pace that Salikhov will absolutely eat up. He will get the faint love hurts. It's so relaxing."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Daniel Vreeland picks Muslim Salikhov but expresses concern about his age (40). He acknowledges Salikhov's superior skills, spinning attacks, and counter striking, but worries about durability and slowing down. He notes Song Kenan has heavy hands but lacks volume and takedown defense. Vreeland thinks Salikhov has more ways to win and should stay at range to avoid exchanges.

"pure pick I'm going Muslim sakov here I think he's way better than this guy"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Song Kenan

James confidently picks Song Kenan as an underdog, believing Muslim Salikhov is washed at 40 years old with declining durability and cardio. He thinks Song's power and youth can lead to a knockout, and sees value at +160.

"plus 160 Underdog I think that's a good Underdog on the card"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 22, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Song Kenan

Song is closer to his prime and will take advantage of Salikhov's durability issues. He will thwart Salikhov's sanda style and find a big knockout in the second or third round.

knockout in round 2 or 3
"Look for song to thwart the Sando woa sty Wu style of salikov and eventually find that big knockout in the second or third round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Paul also picks Salikhov, noting that Song Kenan is hittable and Salikhov is more defensively sound. He acknowledges Salikhov is 40 years old but believes his experience and ability to land flashy techniques will edge him a close decision. He expects a low-volume, tactical fight where Salikhov steals rounds with significant strikes.

"I'll go with the guy who's a little bit more defensively sound even though he is a 40 he is like 40 years old now"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

The MMA Guru picks Muslim Salikhov over Song Kenan, despite initially considering Song. He notes Song has been tricky but has losses to Max Griffin and a split decision with Santiago Ponzinibbio. He criticizes Song's win over Ricky Glenn as not dominant. He acknowledges Salikhov is 40 but coming off a win and active. He believes Salikhov is powerful and faster.

"I'm going to go Muslim salikov"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Zane picks Salikhov, arguing that Song Kenan's one-punch-at-a-time striking style will be neutralized by Salikhov's educated jab and range control. He notes that Song loses to good strikers who can out-volume him, and Salikhov's feints and kicking game will keep Song guessing. Zane also mentions Salikhov's durability and consistent activity despite being 40.

Salikhov opened -153, now -178; Song opened +137, now +157. Zane says 'it does feel like Salikhov should be the favorite in general.'
"I gotta pick him here. Salikhov is 40 but he's a very wonder boy kind of 40."
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Jul 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muslim Salikhov 0 41 of 117 35% 42 of 118 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:29
Santiago Ponzinibbio 0 46 of 121 38% 69 of 146 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muslim Salikhov 0 14 of 43 32% 14 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Santiago Ponzinibbio 0 17 of 37 45% 17 of 37 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Muslim Salikhov 0 16 of 45 35% 16 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:22
Santiago Ponzinibbio 0 14 of 48 29% 16 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Muslim Salikhov 0 11 of 29 37% 12 of 30 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:01
Santiago Ponzinibbio 0 15 of 36 41% 36 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muslim Salikhov 41 of 117 35% 31 of 102 5 of 7 5 of 8 40 of 116 1 of 1 0 of 0
Santiago Ponzinibbio 46 of 121 38% 20 of 87 20 of 27 6 of 7 45 of 120 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muslim Salikhov 14 of 43 32% 9 of 36 4 of 5 1 of 2 14 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
Santiago Ponzinibbio 17 of 37 45% 7 of 27 8 of 8 2 of 2 16 of 36 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Muslim Salikhov 16 of 45 35% 13 of 41 0 of 1 3 of 3 16 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
Santiago Ponzinibbio 14 of 48 29% 7 of 37 4 of 8 3 of 3 14 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Muslim Salikhov 11 of 29 37% 9 of 25 1 of 1 1 of 3 10 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
Santiago Ponzinibbio 15 of 36 41% 6 of 23 8 of 11 1 of 2 15 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Muslim Salikhov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ponzinibbio (-205), Salikhov (+170)

Round 1
From one pair of knockout artists to another we go, this time in the welterweight division. The co-main event presents powerful Argentinian Ponzinibbio (29-7, 11-6 UFC) against the self-proclaimed “King of Kung Fu” Salikhov (19-5, 6-4 UFC), and both men celebrate the majority of their victories via strikes. Unfortunately for the aging 170ers, they have each gone 1-3 in their last four, so a win would mean keeping things going while a defeat might push them closer towards the end. Referee Dan Miragliotta will be the third man in the Octagon, and he steps back as the heavy hitters touch ‘em up. Ponzinibbio pushes the pace early, jabbing his way forward only to get pushed back by a front kick. Salikhov delivers a solid kick to the body as he shifts to the side, and he lands one on the lead leg and has a head kick blocked right after. Ponzinibbio whiffs on a low kick, and Salikhov leaps at him with a left hook that grazes the jaw. Salikhov tries that strike again, and Ponzinibbio sees it coming and parries it, following with a high kick. Salikhov blocks it and gives him one back, and that too bounces off the guard. Salikhov lands a body kick backing up, and he cannot get away from a jab to his ribs. Salikhov spins with no telegraphing and has it ricochet off the shoulder, and he bursts his way into a short combo of punches. Ponzinibbio lands with two of three punches on his way forward, catching the Russian and bullying him back to the wire. Ponzinibbio lands a calf kick and protects his mug from an overhand right, and he ducks a spinning back fist and stumbles—not from absorbing the blow, but from dodging it. Ponzinibbio wags his finger to signal the strike did not land, and he recovers and stays evasive to not get caught with subsequent strikes from the “King of Kung Fu.” Salikhov connects with a left hand, and Ponzinibbio counters and drops Salikhov. The Russian gets back to his feet, and Ponzinibbio is marching him down winding up with serious power. Salikhov drives him back with a solid uppercut, but not before a cut opens up on the inner eyebrow. Both men appear to slip on the canvas surface but not because of damage, and they race at one another to trade. Salikhov lands a heavy right hand, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ponzinibbio
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ponzinibbio
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ponzinibbio

Round 2
The fighters clap hands to begin the second stanza, and Salikhov takes two attempts to blitz forward and pulls back each time. He then spins with a wheel kick that buzzes past the jaw, and he keeps spinning, this time with a back fist. Ponzinibbio backs him away with a few jabs and a head kick, and he pushes aside a front kick to wing a right hand. Salikhov scores two left hooks before spinning with a back kick to the ribs, and Ponzinibbio no-sells it and tries to respond with a left. Salikhov has another spin broken up when Ponzinibbio rushes him, and they bounce off one another and reset. Salikhov jabs out with his toes outstretched, and they tag one another with punches. Ponzinibbio appears to get the worse of a left hand, and Salikhov gives chase and swarms him with big punches. Ponzinibbio absorbs a spinning wheel kick, where even while blocked it further staggers him. Ponzinibbio rebounds off the fencing and finds his footing again, and he swings his way forward to close the distance and stay out of kicking range. Salikhov responds with a looping right hook that does not connect and a low kick that does. Salikhov tries another wheel kick, but Ponzinibbio is wise to it and gets up close and personal. The Russian allows him to do this so he can time an uppercut, and he plants the ball of his foot on Ponzinibbio’s sternum for good measure. Ponzinibbio drives home a one-two, and Salikhov trips him up with a takedown effort. Salikhov cannot keep him down, and they return upright to trade hands. The Argentinian fighter swings inaccurately with two hooks, and his foe answers him with a front kick and a leaping punch. Salikhov has a left hook parried, and he jumps forward with a second that is ducked. Spinning with a kick to the body, Salikhov lands the strike but finds himself on his seat a moment later when Ponzinibbio surprises him with a takedown. Ponzinibbio hangs on until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov

Round 3
The fighters shake hands and bro-hug to commence the last round, and strikes are soon to follow. Salikhov lands a swiping left hook and hops back to avoid a low kick, and the Argentinian ducks to avoid a second. Salikhov spams front kicks, and Ponzinibbio lets fly a right hook that bangs into the temple. Salikhov wears it well and is jabbed back by subsequent strikes, but he gathers steam and marches forward landing a front kick. Both fighters trade hooks, and Salikhov dodges a leg kick and spins with a wheel kick that does not connect. A trio of punches from the Russian do not find their home, and he whips a left hook that grazes the top of his foe’s head. Ponzinibbio rushes after him with a pair of punches and is pushed back by a teep kick, only to crash the pocket and push “King of Kung Fu” to the cage wall. Salikhov breaks away and strafes one direction and then the other, and he has a telegraphed left hook miss the mark by a wide margin. Ponzinibbio attempts a single that is easily stopped, although he does manage to put Salikhov against the cage wall. A second attempt manages to bring Salikhov to his knees, and he drapes himself over Salikhov while keeping him on a single knee. Salikhov takes a seat, and Ponzinibbio thinks about moving around to take the back but decides instead to pursue top position. Ponzinibbio slows the fight to a crawl by holding the Russian down, and Salikhov sucks wind and tries with all his might to stand. He eventually gets back to his feet, and Ponzinibbio is dead set on getting that takedown again. The last try fails, and the close fight ends in a clinch while the crowd showers them with boos.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ponzinibbio (29-28 Ponzinibbio)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ponzinibbio (29-28 Ponzinibbio)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ponzinibbio (29-28 Ponzinibbio)

The Official Result
Muslim Salikhov def. Santiago Ponzinibbio via Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Santiago Ponzinibbio

Angelo picks Santiago Ponzinibbio, believing he will dominate the striking exchanges and that Muslim Salikhov will fade at elevation. He notes that both fighters are older and coming off losses, but Ponzinibbio's volume and range management should be key. He thinks the odds are too wide for a favorite and would only bet if the line moves to around -120.

Would consider betting if odds move to around -120.
"I'm going to pick ponan nibio here I do think he's going to own the Striking exchanges"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Santiago Ponzinibbio

Cody picks Ponzinibbio but is hesitant, noting both fighters are past their prime and have cardio issues at altitude. He thinks Ponzinibbio's speed and volume will outwork Salikhov, but fears Salikhov could land a big shot late. He calls it a dog-or-pass situation.

"I think pwn and nio more often than not gets the job done."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Daniel Vreeland picks Muslim Salikhov to upset Santiago Ponzinibbio. He believes Ponzinibbio has never been the same after a severe bacterial infection, losing speed and durability. He notes that both fighters are past their primes, but at the odds, he prefers the underdog Salikhov. He mentions that Ponzinibbio's recent performances have been poor, including a life-and-death fight with Miguel Baeza and knockout losses. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation and goes with Salikhov.

"I'm going go salikov here to uh upset ponan nibio at these odds."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Santiago Ponzinibbio

Santiago Ponzinibbio is slightly favored. He is a bit faster and slicker with his shots. Durability is shaky on both sides, but Ponzinibbio's speed should allow him to land the first big shot and put Salikhov away. The line has dropped from -220 to -180, still a bit wide.

"I do believe Pon nio is a little bit faster and a little bit slicker with the shots and I think that'll eventually allow him to land that big shot on salikov and put him away"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jul 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Santiago Ponzinibbio

Paul picks Ponzinibbio but is cautious, citing Salikhov's power and cardio concerns for both. He believes Ponzinibbio's speed and volume will be key, but acknowledges the fight could end violently for either. He expects a competitive fight.

"I think pwn and nio more often than not gets the job done."
LOSS vs Randy Brown
KO (punches) R1 3:17 · UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · Feb 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Randy Brown 1 13 of 46 28% 13 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Muslim Salikhov 0 10 of 22 45% 10 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Randy Brown 1 13 of 46 28% 13 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Muslim Salikhov 0 10 of 22 45% 10 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Randy Brown 13 of 46 28% 6 of 33 1 of 5 6 of 8 12 of 45 0 of 0 1 of 1
Muslim Salikhov 10 of 22 45% 0 of 9 1 of 2 9 of 11 10 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Randy Brown 13 of 46 28% 6 of 33 1 of 5 6 of 8 12 of 45 0 of 0 1 of 1
Muslim Salikhov 10 of 22 45% 0 of 9 1 of 2 9 of 11 10 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Randy Brown vs. Muslim Salikhov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brown (-245), Salikhov (+200)

Round 1
A killer welterweight matchup originally scheduled for UFC 296 in December, rescheduled due to Brown falling ill, now blesses “UFC Vegas 85.” While Brown and Salikhov lose the full-arena vibe, they do see their scrap promoted from curtain-jerker to feature fight. Lubbock, Texas’ own Kerry Hatley draws his final referee assignment of the night. The “Rude Boy” and “King of Kung Fu” immediately begin exchanging kicks. Salikhov goes low with quick calf kicks, which Brown counters with long flicking front kicks to the midsection. Salikhov tries a spinning wheel kick which falls short, but had murderous speed on it. A minute and a half in, not much has landed outside of low kicks, but it feels as though either man might bust this fight—and maybe his foe—wide open at any moment. Salikhov’s chopping kicks to Brown’s lead leg are starting to land with increasing frequency and force. Brown reaches out with his left hand and the extended fingers swipe Salikhov’s eye. The two touch hands in recognition of the foul before Hatley even calls time, but Salikhov does take his time to blink it out. They go back to work and Brown stocks out a fast jab, feints with his right hip and then comes back with a kick from the other side.
Out of nowhere, Brown crushes Salikhov with a jab and a blistering right cross. Salikhov goes down and Brown appears to hesitate before following up. With no stoppage forthcoming Brown lands a single standing-to-ground right on the turtled Russian, and that’s enough to spur Hatley into action.
Highlight-reel knockout from Randy Brown.

The Official Result
Randy Brown def. Muslim Salikhov R1 3:17 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Angelo picks Randy Brown, citing his length and range management. He notes that Muslim Salikhov is dangerous but slowing down at 39, losing cardio and power. He expects Brown to use his reach, work takedowns, and out-technique the aging veteran.

"Randy Brown's going to be the pick I'm pretty confident in him"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Big Brady picks Randy Brown to win by second-round submission (club and sub). He notes that Brown is younger, bigger, has a massive reach advantage, better cardio, and better grappling. He questions Salikhov's age (believes he's older than 39) and notes his low volume, poor cardio, and grappling holes. Brady has been burned by Brown as a favorite before but thinks this is a good matchup.

second round, submission (club and sub)
"I'm going to take Brown here um last time these two fought I did pick like a club and sub I'll stick with that give me Randy Brown Club and sub second round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Cody picks Brown, citing Salikhov's age (39), poor cardio, and low volume. Brown's reach and movement should keep him safe, and he expects Brown to win a decision or possibly a late finish. He notes Salikhov's only path is an early KO.

Randy Brown by decision
"I'm gonna take Randy Brown probably by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Brown uses his long reach and distance striking to pick opponents apart, and should be able to circle away from Salikhov's power. Salikhov is 39 and slowing down, with a speed disadvantage. Brown's takedown defense and ability to get back to his feet if taken down will be key. The host expects Brown to win decisively by decision.

"I think we'll see brown win this fight pretty decisively and I think it comes in the form of him outp pointing outworking and out striking salikov on the feed on route to a decision Victory."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Paul picks Brown, agreeing with Cody. He notes Brown's 9-inch reach advantage and Salikhov's decline. He likes Brown by decision at +120 but says the market is accurate and he may not bet it heavily.

Randy Brown by decision +120
"Randy Brown by decision I mean it's plus 120 plus 125 like definitely gets you off of that money line"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Randy Brown

The MMA Guru picks Randy Brown over Muslim Salikhov, predicting a late TKO. He notes Salikhov is 39 and has looked his age, while Brown has an 8-inch reach advantage. He believes Brown can keep Salikhov at range with jabs, teeps, and low kicks, and that Salikhov's power is limited to a few shots. He trusts Brown's ability to avoid Salikhov's right hand, as he did against Khaos Williams.

late TKO
"I'm gonna go with Randy Brown over Muslim salikov... I am going to go with Randy Brown actually getting a late TKO here."
LOSS vs Nicolas Dalby
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Vettori vs. Cannonier · Jun 17, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nicolas Dalby 0 86 of 140 61% 104 of 158 2 of 5 40% 0 0 6:36
Muslim Salikhov 0 57 of 88 64% 70 of 101 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nicolas Dalby 0 21 of 44 47% 22 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Muslim Salikhov 0 27 of 45 60% 27 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:18
2 Nicolas Dalby 0 17 of 27 62% 24 of 34 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:21
Muslim Salikhov 0 10 of 14 71% 18 of 22 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:27
3 Nicolas Dalby 0 48 of 69 69% 58 of 79 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:08
Muslim Salikhov 0 20 of 29 68% 25 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nicolas Dalby 86 of 140 61% 41 of 84 36 of 43 9 of 13 43 of 91 36 of 41 7 of 8
Muslim Salikhov 57 of 88 64% 34 of 58 21 of 28 2 of 2 47 of 78 10 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nicolas Dalby 21 of 44 47% 7 of 25 6 of 8 8 of 11 17 of 40 4 of 4 0 of 0
Muslim Salikhov 27 of 45 60% 14 of 26 11 of 17 2 of 2 27 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Nicolas Dalby 17 of 27 62% 9 of 17 7 of 9 1 of 1 6 of 13 8 of 10 3 of 4
Muslim Salikhov 10 of 14 71% 5 of 9 5 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 12 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Nicolas Dalby 48 of 69 69% 25 of 42 23 of 26 0 of 1 20 of 38 24 of 27 4 of 4
Muslim Salikhov 20 of 29 68% 15 of 23 5 of 6 0 of 0 12 of 21 8 of 8 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Nicolas Dalby vs. Muslim Salikhov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Salikhov (-190), Dalby (+160)

Round 1
A potential all-action welterweight tilt will kick off the main card, as blood-and-guts Dalby (21-4-1, 2 NC; 5-3-1, 1 NC UFC) stands across the cage from “King of Kung Fu” Salikhov (19-3, 6-2 UFC). This will be the eldest bout on the billing, as Dalby is over 38 while Salikhov just turned 39, so the clock is absolutely ticking for these two 170-pound competitors in hopes of making a run. They do not plan on touching gloves, and referee Mark Smith sits back to observe the proceedings. Dalby slings a high kick early, and Salikhov replies with a solid calf kick as if he had watched the last bout and wanted to replicate that success. Dalby goes for another head kick that is blocked, and he puts a jab in the Russian’s face. Salikhov rifles out a left hand, and he absorbs a kick on the inside of his knee. Salikhov aims a front kick to the chest, and Dalby is quick to kick low again. Salikhov scores a pair of dangerous leg kicks, and they trade punches until Dalby decides to give Salikhov a taste of his own medicine with a kick. Salikhov reaches out with a left hook, and he pushes out with a front kick. The two trade leg kicks, and Dalby ducks a Superman punch right in time. Salikhov spins suddenly with a back fist, and Dalby raises his guard and takes a clean spinning back kick right after to the chest. Dalby picks at the lead leg with a kick, and they both go after one another with heavy right hooks. Dalby aims a shin to the midsection, and he walks into a solid right hand. When Dalby tries to kick low, Salikhov stands him up with an overhand right. Both men crash together with thudding fists, and Salikhov reaches his man in a subsequent strike. “King of Kung Fu” beats Dalby to the punch, and he clips him with a left hand to stagger Dalby. Dalby gathers his thoughts and retaliates with a right hand and a huge head kick. Salikhov is damaged from the blow, and he pursues a takedown to drag Dalby to the ground to recover. The two both stand up in the clinch, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov

Round 2
The welterweights come together in the center of the cage, and Dalby initiates offense with a head kick that is blocked. Salikhov replies with a front kick, leading Dalby into a charge that pushes him against the cage to the wall. Salikhov turns him around, and Dalby reaches him with high knees even with his back against the fence. Salikhov breaks off, and he defends a body kick and spins with a back kick to the midsection. The two measure one another with one-twos, and Dalby ducks straight into a knee when pursuing a takedown. Salikhov keeps his back to the wire as he stays upright, and Dalby lifts up a high knee. This is the worst thing Dalby can do, as Salikhov grabs hold of it, turns Dalby around and deposits him to the canvas. Dalby calmly works his way back up with the fence behind him, and he spams short knees to the side. Dalby wrenches the Dagestan native to the mat, and he moves straight into mount. Salikhov turns to the side and ends up giving up his back, and Dalby gets a hook in and drapes his arm around the chest. Salikhov turns enough to free himself from a hook, and Dalby traps Salikhov’s left leg while turning the torso. Dalby nearly has a twister set up, and he threatens with a choke that transitions from a rear-naked choke to an arm-triangle choke. This is a means to an end, as Dalby steps over into half guard and looks for ground-and-pound. Salikhov explodes back to his feet with a minute to go, and Dalby presses on the Russian when standing up and knees him a few times. Dalby fishes for a trip with his foot, and Salikhov breaks away with an elbow. Dalby chases after him with a head kick, and Salikhov replies with one and falls to his knees. The round ends as Dalby jumps on top.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dalby
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Dalby
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dalby

Round 3
Dalby picks up where he left off, with a head kick attempt. Salikhov backs away and holds his arms high to block it and one that follows, but he cannot stop a few punches from Dalby. The Danish fighter attempts a third head kick, and he races forward to either change levels or settle for a clinch. Salikhov looks to muscle out, but Dalby turns him back to the wall, as Salikhov appears frustrated. Dalby grinds and works the body with several active knees, until Salikhov breaks away and gets to striking range. Dalby rushes after him and spears the Russian with a right hand and looks for a head kick. Salikhov is not fazed by the blows, and he jams his foot into Dalby’s midsection. Dalby punches his way into a clinch, but he cannot hold Salikhov there for long. Salikhov escapes, and he rushes backwards. Dalby practically sprints at him, tossing up a head kick and a right hand before engaging in the tie-up once more. When Salikhov drags them away from the cage, Dalby elbows him several times before kneeing him and pushing him to the fencing. Dalby slips a punch over the top and does not lose his clinch grip, and they both give one another mean elbows on the chin. Dalby slings a high kick, and he re-engages Salikhov before dragging him to his knee. Dalby jumps into mount with a little under 15 seconds left, and he beats down on Salikhov with hammerfists and an elbow until the final horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dalby (29-28 Dalby)
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Dalby (29-28 Dalby)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dalby (29-28 Dalby)

The Official Result
Nicolas Dalby def. Muslim Salikhov via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 11, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Angelo has a slight lean to Muslim Salikhov because he has better wrestling, but he calls this a 50/50 fight. Both are older strikers with traditional martial arts backgrounds. Dalby's 65% takedown defense could be a factor. Angelo is waiting for props to drop and is not betting the moneyline.

"the only reason the slight lean from me is going to be Muslim salkov is because he has the better wrestling but dalby's 65 takedown defense could end up playing parlay Buster for this card"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 10, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Nicolas Dalby

Big Brady picks Nicolas Dalby to win by decision, but he is low on both fighters. He criticizes Salikhov for low volume, poor cardio, and being 39 years old. Dalby is slightly younger and showed high volume in his last fight against Warlley Alves, landing 119 strikes. Brady thinks Dalby can push Salikhov against the cage, tire him out, and be more active. He notes Dalby has never been knocked out and is very tough. However, he admits he is very low on both guys and this is not an exciting fight.

"I'm gonna take Dolby here I think he's gonna be more active on the feet he's a touch younger he's gonna have the better cardio."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Cody has a tough time reading this fight. He notes Salikhov is a low-volume counter puncher with heavy power, and that opponents often freeze up against him. He thinks Dalby's wrestling is not good enough to take Salikhov down, and if Dalby tries to out-volume him, he risks walking into a big shot. Cody leans Salikhov to land the better strikes and possibly get a knockout, but he doesn't want much exposure. He likes Salikhov by knockout at +240.

Salikhov by knockout at +240 (small bet)
"I'm gonna go with Muslim I like salukov and I actually like style club by knockout"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Nicolas Dalby

Connor picks Dalby, citing his grinding approach as effective against a fighter like Salikhov who needs space. He notes that Salikhov has not been tested by wrestling since Alex Garcia, and Dalby's physicality should be a problem. Connor sees Dalby muscling his way to a win.

"I'll take Dolby here."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Daniel Levi picks Muslim Salikhov, citing a significant firepower advantage and Salikhov's ability to land damaging shots. He notes Dalby's history of being dropped and his lower volume, while Salikhov can knock him out. He gives the cardio edge to Dalby but thinks Salikhov's power will be decisive. He has a good betting history with Salikhov and plans to bet him as long as the line stays under -200.

bet if line under -200, potential knockout
"I'm going to go back to the well and I'm looking to fade uh dalby again just as long as it doesn't go to minus 200"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Nicolas Dalby

Dalby has a speed and athleticism advantage, a good output game, and decent takedowns to mix in. Salikhov is one-dimensional with a kung fu striking style and has shown durability issues. Dalby's awkward striking and volume should outwork Salikhov over three rounds. However, Dalby's durability is a slight concern. Dalby wins by decision.

"I think Dobby wins this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Dalby's pitter-patter striking won't work against Salikhov, who hits hard. He points out that Dalby has been knocked down by lesser fighters and that Salikhov's power is a real threat. Paul sees Salikhov by knockout at +240 as a potential small bet, though he wishes the price were higher.

Salikhov by knockout at +240 (small bet)
"I see a plus 240 out there which I was hoping would be a little bit higher to be perfectly honest maybe I'll wait"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

The MMA Guru picks Muslim Salikhov over Nicolas Dalby, stating Salikhov is simply better. He notes Dalby lacks finishing potential, submission ability, and great grappling, while Salikhov has momentum and can finish or win a decision. He mentions Dalby was KO'd by Jesse Ronson, and expects Salikhov to catch Dalby with a right hand.

"I'm gonna definitely be going with Muslim salakov over Nicholas dalbyn... Muslim salakov is just better than him flat out"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Nicolas Dalby

Zane picks Dalby because he believes Dalby's grinding pressure will overwhelm Salikhov. He notes that Salikhov is a sniper who needs time and space, and that Dalby's high output and physicality will not allow that. Zane acknowledges Salikhov could crack Dalby early, but favors Dalby's consistency.

"I'm definitely taking Dolby though."
WIN vs André Fialho
TKO (spinning wheel kick and punches) R3 1:03 · UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · Nov 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muslim Salikhov 0 17 of 66 25% 29 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
André Fialho 0 56 of 95 58% 77 of 123 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muslim Salikhov 0 11 of 38 28% 20 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
André Fialho 0 11 of 22 50% 19 of 35 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:19
2 Muslim Salikhov 0 5 of 18 27% 7 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
André Fialho 0 37 of 57 64% 50 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:48
3 Muslim Salikhov 0 1 of 10 10% 2 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
André Fialho 0 8 of 16 50% 8 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muslim Salikhov 17 of 66 25% 10 of 55 4 of 6 3 of 5 14 of 60 3 of 6 0 of 0
André Fialho 56 of 95 58% 38 of 70 14 of 21 4 of 4 35 of 60 3 of 8 18 of 27
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muslim Salikhov 11 of 38 28% 6 of 29 3 of 5 2 of 4 8 of 34 3 of 4 0 of 0
André Fialho 11 of 22 50% 5 of 12 2 of 6 4 of 4 9 of 17 1 of 4 1 of 1
2 Muslim Salikhov 5 of 18 27% 3 of 16 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
André Fialho 37 of 57 64% 28 of 47 9 of 10 0 of 0 18 of 28 2 of 3 17 of 26
3 Muslim Salikhov 1 of 10 10% 1 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 8 0 of 2 0 of 0
André Fialho 8 of 16 50% 5 of 11 3 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Andre Fialho vs. Muslim Salikhov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fialho (-110), Salikhov (-110)

Round 1
Striker faces striker in what has slotted itself in the “featured fight of the night” spot, although their approaches could scarcely be more different even if the end result is the same. The heavy-handed Portugal native Fialho (16-5, 1 NC; 2-2 UFC) will throw down with a spinning specialist nicknamed “King of Kung Fu” in Salikhov (18-3, 5-2 UFC), and referee Chris Tognoni will have his hands full here. The respect is ample with a clap of hands to begin the scheduled melee, and Salikhov strikes first with a calf kick. Fialho responds with two. A front kick from the Dagestan native pushes Fialho back as Fialho delivers a third kick to the lead leg. Fialho gets his balance and leaps forward with a left hook, but it hits the guard of his opponent. Fialho looks to sweep the leg, and Salikhov responds with his own low kick. A left hand from Salikhov splits the guard, and he sits down on a loud low kick to follow. The tense striking match largely consists of single-shot offerings, and Salikhov spins with a wheel kick but misses the mark. Fialho slips a winging right hand and drives Salikhov back with a straight left hand, and he finds the mark with an uppercut shortly thereafter. Salikhov absorbs a right hand and spins with a back kick, and he surprisingly grabs hold of Fialho’s leg and drags him down to the floor. Salikhov wades into the closed guard of his opponent, and Fialho defends with hacking elbows off his back. The fighter from Portugal defends himself from danger as he swats at Salikhov while on his back, and he jumps up and absorbs a spinning back kick right to the midsection. Fialho drives a right hand into the eye socket, and Salikhov blinks it out and swelling develops quickly. Fialho blasts him with an uppercut, with Salikhov grabbing hold of his foe and ramming a few knees to the midsection to slow Fialho down. Fialho settles for a clinch as he gets his back turned to the wall, and he frees himself right as the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fialho
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fialho

Round 2
The gloves are touched to start off the second round, and within seconds, Salikhov bull-rushes forward to get a body lock and attempt a takedown. Fialho turns around and protects against a subsequent single, and this too fails from the Russian. Fialho lands a right hand on the break, but Salikhov replies with a kick to the liver. A left hand wraps around the guard of the Portugal native, and Salikhov gets on his bike and takes potshots of front kicks and reaching punches. Fialho prepares himself to take a flush spinning back kick as he plods forward, with his offense falling off a cliff while Salikhov is still swinging for the fences. Salikhov jabs the body and stays light on his feet, and Fialho returns fire with a jab and a low kick. “King of Kung Fu” spins with a back fist that pounds into the side of the head, and Fialho wobbles and takes a clean spinning wheel kick on the neck as well. Fialho bites down on his mouthpiece and throws hammers, leading to Salikhov clinching him up and pursuing some form of takedown. Fialho takes several punches on the chin as he slowly walks forward, still offensively muted as Salikhov picks and rips with single effective strikes. Salikhov is able to put a front kick on the body and a superman punch on the side of the head, and Fialho’s balance is shot as he swings so hard that he falls down to the ground. The Russian looks to finish the job by raining down a long series of powerful hammerfists, and Tognoni implores Fialho to fight back or show some signs of life. Salikhov slows down and makes sure not to fully gas himself out, and the damage on Fialho's face shows his nose is busted up and leaking crimson fluid on the mat. The ground strikes continue until the bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Salikhov
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Salikhov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Salikhov

Round 3
The final round begins with an aggressive Fialho, who leaps forward to swing his fists at his opponent. Salikhov hops and springs away from the brunt of the damaging strikes, and he chambers and fires a high kick. Salikhov spins with a perfect spinning back kick to the body, and Fialho falls back against the wall but does not go down. He leans back and allows Salikhov to advance, and he might be playing possum as he suddenly springs to action with huge punches in response.
“King of Kung Fu” showcases his skills to the finest with a magnificent spinning wheel kick that smashes into the side of Fialho’s head, and Fialho clutches his head and is in a bad way. Tognoni thinks about intervening, but allows Salikhov to bludgeon Fialho with a couple more punches before stepping in for the standing TKO.
Fialho immediately protests the stoppage, but his body language before the finish was anything but positive as he was getting destroyed by the flashier striker. For the fifth time in his career, Salikhov has pulled off a finish with a spinning kick, with this one bigger than any he had registered in the past.

The Official Result
Muslim Salikhov def. Andre Fialho R3 1:03 via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches)
Carlos Leal - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · Feb 21, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chidi Njokuani 0 120 of 205 58% 124 of 210 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:06
Carlos Leal 0 115 of 276 41% 126 of 287 0 of 5 0% 0 0 2:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chidi Njokuani 0 46 of 70 65% 46 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Carlos Leal 0 60 of 131 45% 60 of 131 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Chidi Njokuani 0 22 of 35 62% 26 of 40 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Carlos Leal 0 5 of 20 25% 16 of 31 0 of 4 0% 0 0 2:17
3 Chidi Njokuani 0 52 of 100 52% 52 of 100 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Carlos Leal 0 50 of 125 40% 50 of 125 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chidi Njokuani 120 of 205 58% 45 of 110 39 of 57 36 of 38 105 of 187 14 of 16 1 of 2
Carlos Leal 115 of 276 41% 71 of 226 29 of 35 15 of 15 112 of 271 3 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chidi Njokuani 46 of 70 65% 8 of 23 19 of 27 19 of 20 39 of 62 7 of 8 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 60 of 131 45% 28 of 95 21 of 25 11 of 11 58 of 128 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Chidi Njokuani 22 of 35 62% 6 of 16 9 of 11 7 of 8 17 of 29 5 of 5 0 of 1
Carlos Leal 5 of 20 25% 4 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Chidi Njokuani 52 of 100 52% 31 of 71 11 of 19 10 of 10 49 of 96 2 of 3 1 of 1
Carlos Leal 50 of 125 40% 39 of 112 8 of 10 3 of 3 49 of 123 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Angelo picks Chidi Njokuani, noting he bet him at +165 and the line has moved. He praises Njokuani's striking, speed, power, and distance control, while criticizing Carlos Leal's porous defense and recent knockout loss. He expects Njokuani to chew up Leal's legs and win a striking match.

Bet on Chidi at +165; mentions line movement.
"I'm picking Cheaty, for [__] sake."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Carlos Leal

Big Brady picks Carlos Leal to defeat Chidi Njokuani, citing Njokuani's poor durability and tendency to quit under adversity. He notes Njokuani has been finished nine times and cannot battle through bad spots. He trusts Leal's chin more, despite a recent knockout loss to Muslim Salikhov, as that was the first time Leal was ever hurt. He predicts Leal will break Njokuani late in the first round with a knockout.

Carlos Leal by first-round knockout
"I got to go Carlos Leal in this type of fight... I think Carlos Leal's going to come out here and make it a war. ... Give me Carlos Leal by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Leal

Cody is tempted to follow the line movement and pick Njokuani, but ultimately leans Leal because of his forward pressure and power. He thinks Leal's style will overwhelm Njokuani, who has tall man defense and has been knocked out before. He expects a TKO finish within a round and a half.

Leal under 1.5 rounds
"Leel under one and a half. Leel by TKO."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Carlos Leal

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Leal. He notes that Njokuani is all over the place under pressure—easy to take down, breaks stance and posture against the fence. Connor also mentions Njokuani's 'Paul Felder syndrome' of waiting for the perfect strike instead of doing damage, which costs him rounds.

"I think i'll ride with you. I would really like to see I always enjoy seeing cheetie win... but i'll take leal. I I trust him to just go in there and run at and jacwani"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The host believes Chidi Njokuani has a significant striking advantage due to his size, reach, and technical precision. He highlights Carlos Leal's reckless style, poor head movement, and defensive flaws, which have led to him being knocked out by lesser strikers. The host caps Njokuani's win probability at 60-65%, giving a 13-18% margin over the implied probability of 47% from the odds. He acknowledges Njokuani's age (37) and ground game weakness but considers them mitigated by Leal's lack of wrestling.

Njokuani by KO/TKO is likely; host mentions he could knock Leal out by punishing his recklessness.
"I would personally cap Chidi Enja Kawwani at 60 to 65% in this matchup based on the footage I'm about to show you which gives us a very nice you know 13% plus margin over the bookies as high as …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

James picks the underdog Chidi Njokuani to win by KO in round one, citing Njokuani's elite Muay Thai clinch and knees. He notes that Carlos Leal Miranda's aggressive style leaves him open to being caught, as seen in his last fight. James believes Njokuani's range and clinch work will nullify Miranda's boxing and lead to a finish.

"I'm actually going to pick the underdog in this one, boys. I'm going to overall pick Chitty and Juani via KO in round one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Njokuani is the more skilled striker with a significant reach advantage, and he has good durability at welterweight. Leal is a power puncher but was knocked out in his last fight and may be hesitant. Njokuani can eat shots and counter, and his Muay Thai should allow him to land damaging elbows and knees. Expect a knockout within two rounds.

"I expect this fight to last maybe a round and a half, maybe two rounds tops. But I think Angela Kawani is constantly going to be able to thwart the forward pressure of Laya, land those counters, and eventually one …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Paul notes the significant line movement and thinks there may be an undisclosed injury to Leal. He prefers to avoid the fight but picks Njokuani based on reach and Muay Thai. He admits it's a low-confidence pick.

"I'm still going with cheaty."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The MMA Guru picks Chidi Njokuani by TKO, noting that Leal is coming off a KO loss and may be gun-shy. He believes Njokuani's tight hook can catch Leal, who has a tendency to come forward with his hands wide. He also thinks Leal won't grapple offensively, playing into Njokuani's striking strengths.

TKO in round one or two
"I'm going to go with Chidi Njokuani TKO'ing Carlos Leal in round one or two."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Carlos Leal

Zane picks Leal because he trusts Leal to pressure Njokuani relentlessly. He notes that Njokuani tends to fall apart under sustained pressure, getting finished in most of his losses. Zane believes Leal will be in the fight all the way, while Njokuani could spiral if things go wrong.

"i'm gonna pick leal still just because and jacwani does get finished so often when he loses"
LOSS vs Muslim Salikhov
KO R1 0:42 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder · Jul 26, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muslim Salikhov 1 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Carlos Leal 0 5 of 9 55% 5 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muslim Salikhov 1 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Carlos Leal 0 5 of 9 55% 5 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muslim Salikhov 3 of 9 33% 1 of 4 1 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 5 of 9 55% 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muslim Salikhov 3 of 9 33% 1 of 4 1 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 5 of 9 55% 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Muslim Salikhov vs. Carlos Leal
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Leal (-400); Salikhov (+320)

Round 1
The old guard of the UFC is not entirely falling apart as of late. The example in this matchup is Salikhov (21-5, 8-4 UFC), who has won two in a row—his last victory via his beloved spinning wheel kick—and now is at the tender age of 41. He will be trying to show Leal (22-6, 1-1 UFC), 10 years his junior, that age is nothing but a number. The welterweight strikers will be joined in the Octagon by referee Dan Movahedi, who initiates the proceedings and bears witness to a brief fist bump.
Salikhov gets right on his bike firing off kicks to the lead leg and body. Leal marches him down to reach boxing range, where he intends on lining up one-twos down Broadway. The Brazilian swings hard, not giving Salikhov much space, and a straight left hand gets Salikhov’s attention.
The 41-year-old bites down on his mouthpiece to give his foe back some fire, slipping a jab and lobbing a massive right hand from his hip that careens into the forehead of Lean. The Brazilian hits the deck, devoid of his senses, and Salikhov walks away knowing that his work here is done.
He strides over to the commentary team to remind them of his age, and it is hard to say if he knows that he just became the first fighter to ever knock out the ultra-durable Leal. This marks the first time since 2019 that “The King of Kung Fu” picked up back-to-back consciousness-depriving knockouts, as he obliterated Kenan Song last November with a spinning wheel kick. To stick the landing, Salikhov calls for a matchup against Stephen Thompson that would undoubtedly display some traditional martial arts fireworks.

The Official Result
Muslim Salikhov def. Carlos Leal R1 0:42 via KO (Punch)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Carlos Leal

Angelo picks Carlos Leal, citing his dangerous Muay Thai, forward pressure, durability, and power. He notes Muslim Salikhov is 41 with a declining chin, and Leal's pressure will prevent Salikhov from using his unorthodox karate. He considers -400 odds appropriate but will parlay Leal rather than bet straight.

Will parlay Leal; odds -400
"Carlos is going to be the pick. I do think if Muslim has success with the unorthodox striking, then Carlos is just going to start to wrestle."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Carlos Leal

Big Brady picks Carlos Leal Miranda, citing his pressure style and power. He notes Salikhov is old (calls him 60+), needs space to throw spinning attacks, and does not like being pressured. He compares it to the Leech fight where pressure led to a finish. He predicts a second-round knockout, warning only about a potential spinning wheel kick.

second round knockout
"I like Carlos Liao here. ... I think he should go out there and knock out Salakov."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Carlos Leal

Connor also picks Leal, emphasizing that Salikhov's most dangerous strikes come against opponents who give him space, and Leal's constant pressure will negate that. He compares Leal to Nicholas Dalby, who beat Salikhov by being rugged and busy. Connor notes that Salikhov has won similar fights before but is older now and less likely to keep pace.

"I think Leal is going to force Salikov into a disgusting series of brawling exchanges where he comes out on top."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 23, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Leal

Leal is a big favorite and deservedly so. He is expected to walk down Salikhov, take his best shots, but throw even harder in return, leading to a knockout victory.

knockout
"Lal big favorite here and deservedly so. Expect him to walk down Salakov, take some of his best shots, but throw even harder in return leading to a Lal knockout victory."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Carlos Leal

The MMA Guru picks Carlos Leal, calling him a 'monster' and noting his physicality and pressure. He believes Salikhov is aging and has a reach disadvantage, and that Leal will get in his face and beat him up against the cage. He predicts a second-round TKO after a tricky first round.

Round 2 TKO
"I'm going to go with Liao. ... Carlos Liao round two TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Carlos Leal

Zane picks Carlos Leal, believing his pressure and durability will overwhelm the aging Salikhov. He notes that Salikhov is crafty but tends to get worn down by persistent fighters, and Leal has never been stopped. Zane sees Leal's brute force and constant forward movement as the key to forcing Salikhov into brawling exchanges where Leal will come out on top.

"I think there's a wrong way for Leal to approach this fight where he takes a lot of damage. There's a right way for him to approach it where... Salikov's not going to sleep him on the counter. And Leal …"
WIN vs Alex Morono
KO R1 4:16 · UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · Mar 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Morono 0 40 of 95 42% 41 of 96 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:20
Carlos Leal 0 79 of 120 65% 81 of 123 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Morono 0 40 of 95 42% 41 of 96 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:20
Carlos Leal 0 79 of 120 65% 81 of 123 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Morono 40 of 95 42% 32 of 82 4 of 9 4 of 4 35 of 87 5 of 8 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 79 of 120 65% 49 of 89 28 of 29 2 of 2 54 of 91 25 of 29 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Morono 40 of 95 42% 32 of 82 4 of 9 4 of 4 35 of 87 5 of 8 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 79 of 120 65% 49 of 89 28 of 29 2 of 2 54 of 91 25 of 29 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 109 of 222 49% 119 of 236 2 of 19 10% 0 0 3:14
Carlos Leal 0 107 of 246 43% 146 of 292 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 24 of 53 45% 28 of 59 1 of 7 14% 0 0 1:57
Carlos Leal 0 28 of 63 44% 56 of 95 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 33 of 68 48% 37 of 73 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:53
Carlos Leal 0 37 of 86 43% 44 of 94 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 52 of 101 51% 54 of 104 0 of 8 0% 0 0 0:24
Carlos Leal 0 42 of 97 43% 46 of 103 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rinat Fakhretdinov 109 of 222 49% 82 of 184 15 of 26 12 of 12 96 of 197 13 of 25 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 107 of 246 43% 72 of 207 16 of 20 19 of 19 94 of 231 13 of 15 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 24 of 53 45% 17 of 43 3 of 6 4 of 4 24 of 47 0 of 6 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 28 of 63 44% 19 of 53 5 of 6 4 of 4 24 of 59 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 33 of 68 48% 24 of 56 5 of 8 4 of 4 31 of 65 2 of 3 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 37 of 86 43% 25 of 72 3 of 5 9 of 9 35 of 83 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 52 of 101 51% 41 of 85 7 of 12 4 of 4 41 of 85 11 of 16 0 of 0
Carlos Leal 42 of 97 43% 28 of 82 8 of 9 6 of 6 35 of 89 7 of 8 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Big Brady picks Fakhretdinov, emphasizing his dominant wrestling. He acknowledges Leal has good striking and takedown defense but believes Fakhretdinov will implement his will with cage pushing and control time. He predicts a decision win, possibly boring.

"I got to go ferin off here um I just think he's going to implement his will I think he's going to push out against the cage"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Cody picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, believing his wrestling will be the difference. He notes that Leal has questionable takedown defense and that Fakhretdinov can grind out a decision. However, Cody is not confident because Fakhretdinov has gassed in recent fights and struggled against strikers. He expects a decision win.

Fakhretdinov by decision
"I got R Faker enough Rea Faker Enough by decision"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Connor picks Fakhretdinov, agreeing that Leal is a good veteran but his game is not modern MMA. Leal relies on kicks and clinch wrestling but lacks pace and volume. Fakhretdinov's pressure and wrestling will overwhelm Leal, and this fight was made to give Fakhretdinov a decisive win.

"Yeah. Fakardinov is not Fakardinov is going to clash with him. And if that, if that means a clinch wrestling exchange, great. Yeah. I Fakardinov loves that. And if it means that Leal is forced to go onto the back …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Daniel Vreeland sees Rinat Fakhretdinov as a tough matchup for Carlos Leal, especially on short notice. He notes that Leal lost twice to Magomed Umalatov in PFL, who used clinch and takedowns to outmuscle him, and Fakhretdinov has similar skills. Vreeland believes Fakhretdinov will grind out a win via takedowns and control, and thinks the -250 line is still low.

higher than 3 takedowns for Fakhretdinov (Underdog fantasy pick)
"give me rat ferin off here I think negative 250 probably still low for him"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Daniel Vreeland picks Rinat Fakhretdinov to win, but with low confidence due to Fakhretdinov's recent performances and questionable gas tank. He notes that Fakhretdinov has dominant top-time upside and that Leal is taking the fight on short notice. Vreeland would need a better price to bet Fakhretdinov, but expects him to get takedowns and potentially grind out a win.

"I'm going renat here"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Jeff Fox agrees with Vreeland, calling Fakhretdinov a tough matchup for anyone. He notes that Leal has weight-cutting issues and is making his UFC debut on short notice, which makes it even harder. Fox expects Fakhretdinov to grind out a win, though he doesn't provide additional technical detail.

"he's pretty much he's a tough match up for anyone at this point"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Fakhretdinov has a wrestling and grappling advantage over the short-notice UFC debutant Leal. He should be able to grind out a decision victory by controlling the fight on the ground. Leal deserves to be in the UFC but this is a bad stylistic matchup for him.

"look for fard of to win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Paul picks Fakhretdinov, citing his wrestling and control. He notes that Leal is a good striker but has been taken down before. Paul believes Fakhretdinov can implement a grappling-heavy game plan and win by decision. He is not highly confident due to Fakhretdinov's cardio issues.

"I think Faker dinov just takes him down and grinds on him"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

The Guru picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, believing his pressure and well-rounded game will be too much for Carlos Leal, who took the fight on short notice. He notes Fakhretdinov's win over Brian Battle was impressive and that Leal's preparation was for a different opponent. He predicts Fakhretdinov will win by decision or submission, possibly facing some danger early.

Decision or submission
"I'm going to go with Rinat Fakhretdinov getting this one done by decision or submission maybe a tough fight maybe some danger in the first round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Zane picks Fakhretdinov because he is a pressure fighter who will clash with Leal and win the clinch wrestling exchanges. Leal is awkward, flat-footed, and lacks pace and volume, while Fakhretdinov keeps pushing and is tough to dissuade. Zane sees this as a clear matchup made for Fakhretdinov to get a statement win.

"Fakardinov is not Fakardinov is going to clash with him. And if that, if that means a clinch wrestling exchange, great. Yeah. I Fakardinov loves that. And if it means that Leal is forced to go onto the back foot, …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2024 (fight day)
Carlos Leal

Zane clearly picked Leal, calling the decision a robbery. He argued that Fakhretdinov was doing less damage and fighting from behind in every round, while Leal fought well and was in control. Zane dismissed the idea that the crowd influenced the judges, noting there was no crowd. He called it one of the worst robberies of the year.

"this is a straight up robbery might be one of the worst robberies of the year"
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Carlos Leal

Angelo picks Carlos Leal, citing his dangerous Muay Thai, forward pressure, durability, and power. He notes Muslim Salikhov is 41 with a declining chin, and Leal's pressure will prevent Salikhov from using his unorthodox karate. He considers -400 odds appropriate but will parlay Leal rather than bet straight.

Will parlay Leal; odds -400
"Carlos is going to be the pick. I do think if Muslim has success with the unorthodox striking, then Carlos is just going to start to wrestle."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Carlos Leal

Big Brady picks Carlos Leal Miranda, citing his pressure style and power. He notes Salikhov is old (calls him 60+), needs space to throw spinning attacks, and does not like being pressured. He compares it to the Leech fight where pressure led to a finish. He predicts a second-round knockout, warning only about a potential spinning wheel kick.

second round knockout
"I like Carlos Liao here. ... I think he should go out there and knock out Salakov."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Carlos Leal

Connor also picks Leal, emphasizing that Salikhov's most dangerous strikes come against opponents who give him space, and Leal's constant pressure will negate that. He compares Leal to Nicholas Dalby, who beat Salikhov by being rugged and busy. Connor notes that Salikhov has won similar fights before but is older now and less likely to keep pace.

"I think Leal is going to force Salikov into a disgusting series of brawling exchanges where he comes out on top."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 23, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Leal

Leal is a big favorite and deservedly so. He is expected to walk down Salikhov, take his best shots, but throw even harder in return, leading to a knockout victory.

knockout
"Lal big favorite here and deservedly so. Expect him to walk down Salakov, take some of his best shots, but throw even harder in return leading to a Lal knockout victory."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Carlos Leal

The MMA Guru picks Carlos Leal, calling him a 'monster' and noting his physicality and pressure. He believes Salikhov is aging and has a reach disadvantage, and that Leal will get in his face and beat him up against the cage. He predicts a second-round TKO after a tricky first round.

Round 2 TKO
"I'm going to go with Liao. ... Carlos Liao round two TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Carlos Leal

Zane picks Carlos Leal, believing his pressure and durability will overwhelm the aging Salikhov. He notes that Salikhov is crafty but tends to get worn down by persistent fighters, and Leal has never been stopped. Zane sees Leal's brute force and constant forward movement as the key to forcing Salikhov into brawling exchanges where Leal will come out on top.

"I think there's a wrong way for Leal to approach this fight where he takes a lot of damage. There's a right way for him to approach it where... Salikov's not going to sleep him on the counter. And Leal is going to force Salikov into a disgusting series of …"
Comments (2)
BR
brian 10 months ago

Got knock the fuck out hunting for a KO

BR
brian 10 months, 3 weeks ago

Carlos Leal Miranda pulled off a yoked pose in the ceremonial weigh-ins