Career Averages - Joseph Morales
Career Averages - Alibi Idiris
Joseph Morales
Alibi Idiris
Joseph Morales - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Schnell | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 5 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0:15 |
| Joseph Morales | 0 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 1:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Schnell | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 5 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0:15 |
| Joseph Morales | 0 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 1:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Schnell | 4 of 11 | 36% | 1 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Joseph Morales | 5 of 11 | 45% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Schnell | 4 of 11 | 36% | 1 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Joseph Morales | 5 of 11 | 45% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Morales (-270); Schnell (+220)
Round 1
The year is 2025 and it will be ending in less than two months, and the promotion has the matchmaking wherewithal to jam a pair of very unranked .500 fighters together and plop it on the co-main event slot intentionally. Schnell (17-9, 1 NC; 7-7, 1 NC UFC) has established himself as a “live by the sword, die by the sword” competitor with way more stoppages on his win-loss ledger than decisions. “Bopo” Morales (13-2, 2-2 UFC) is looking to make the most of his second stint with the promotion, having won his return in August by submission to capture the trophy of Season 33 of “The Ultimate Fighter.” Taking charge of the cage for this no-nonsense flyweight affair where the winner may not get a number next to their name on Monday is referee Keith Peterson. Gloves are touched.
Schnell moves to the center of the cage, keeping his hands outstretched and measuring with a body kick. Schnell trades hands with his opponent, and Morales clips him with punches and a high kick. “Bopo” crashes forward behind a right hand, and Schnell trips him up and puts him on the ground. Morales quickly reverses him by tripping out the ankle, and he races over to climb into side control just 75 seconds into the round. Morales maintains heavy, tight chest and shoulder pressure, grinding on Schnell’s face with his elbow and otherwise keeping him from scrambling. Schnell throws his legs up high for a possible reversal, and Morales counters by going two-on-one to control Schnell’s left arm. Morales fights out of a triangle choke and hooks up a crucifix position from the back.
Schnell explodes to turn over and claim top position, and “Bopo” answers him flawlessly.
Schnell puts himself in the worst possible place when pursuing a counter takedown, placing his neck practically into the jaws of a guillotine choke setup from the Team Alpha Male fighter. Morales tightens his grip without having to adjust much, and Schnell promptly surrenders.
Commentator Paul Felder promptly questions the strategy of Schnell on the broadcast, raising other questions that came up last week during the infamous Dulgarian vs. Del Valle match. We won’t touch on those here, and will instead note that a member of TAM landed one of their vaunted guillotines, the first in how long? It is the third sub in a row for Morales, and his second back-to-back in the UFC cage.
The Official Result
Joseph Morales def. Matt Schnell R1 2:54 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Angelo picks Joseph Morales because he has good takedowns and Matt Schnell has poor takedown defense. He notes that even though Schnell has good jiu-jitsu, Morales is also good on top and can avoid submissions. He calls the fight straightforward: one guy can get takedowns, the other can't defend them.
Big Brady is very confident in Morales, predicting a submission win via double tap. He notes Schnell has been finished eight times, has poor takedown defense, and a weak chin. He believes Morales will hurt Schnell on the feet, take him down, and lock up a submission, causing Schnell to double tap.
Cody is confident in Morales, citing his improved skills at Team Alpha Male, his dominant TUF run, and his win over Alibi Idris. He notes Schnell's poor durability, cardio, and ring IQ, and believes Morales will find a finish via submission or knockout.
Lucrative James is confident in Joseph Morales. He highlights Morales' superior wrestling and grappling, noting that Matt Schnell has been taken down and submitted throughout his career. He believes Morales can replicate Jimmy Flick's game plan but with better cardio, and predicts a submission finish. He also mentions Morales' good guard and ability to finish from top or bottom.
The host believes Morales is underrated and will showcase dominance in grappling, taking advantage of Schnell's submission defense issues. He expects Morales to find a submission within two rounds.
Paul agrees, highlighting Morales's youth, improved striking and wrestling, and Schnell's tendency to make mistakes and get finished. He thinks Morales can outwork Schnell and that the fight ending inside the distance is a good parlay piece.
The Guru picks Joseph Morales to win by TKO. He believes Morales has better striking, a more reliable chin, and good takedown defense, while Matt Schnell is hittable and prone to getting stunned. He expects Schnell to shoot failing takedowns and get finished on the feet.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morales | 0 | 28 of 56 | 50% | 50 of 82 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:04 |
| Alibi Idiris | 0 | 29 of 63 | 46% | 44 of 86 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 | 0 | 3:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joseph Morales | 0 | 18 of 27 | 66% | 37 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Alibi Idiris | 0 | 10 of 24 | 41% | 19 of 40 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 2:55 | |
| 2 | Joseph Morales | 0 | 10 of 29 | 34% | 13 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:41 |
| Alibi Idiris | 0 | 19 of 39 | 48% | 25 of 46 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:43 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morales | 28 of 56 | 50% | 9 of 35 | 17 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 48 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Alibi Idiris | 29 of 63 | 46% | 15 of 44 | 13 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 47 | 9 of 12 | 2 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joseph Morales | 18 of 27 | 66% | 6 of 15 | 10 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 21 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Alibi Idiris | 10 of 24 | 41% | 7 of 18 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 16 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Joseph Morales | 10 of 29 | 34% | 3 of 20 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Alibi Idiris | 19 of 39 | 48% | 8 of 26 | 10 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 31 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 3 |
The host considers Idiris the best flyweight on the show, praising his striking and grappling. He expects Idiris to have Morales covered everywhere and predicts a finish within two rounds.
The Guru picks Alibi Idiris to beat Joseph Morales. He thought Morales looked mediocre in his last fight on The Ultimate Fighter and believes he robbed his opponent. The Guru sees Idiris as a dynamic fighter with finishing ability, similar to Asu Almabaev, and thinks he will seize his opportunity to enter the UFC.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Shelton | 0 | 24 of 67 | 35% | 28 of 71 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 4 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Joseph Morales | 0 | 16 of 57 | 28% | 45 of 90 | 7 of 10 | 70% | 0 | 1 | 6:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eric Shelton | 0 | 7 of 27 | 25% | 8 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Joseph Morales | 0 | 7 of 24 | 29% | 16 of 35 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 | |
| 2 | Eric Shelton | 0 | 12 of 26 | 46% | 13 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Joseph Morales | 0 | 6 of 22 | 27% | 14 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:40 | |
| 3 | Eric Shelton | 0 | 5 of 14 | 35% | 7 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Joseph Morales | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 15 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 1 | 2:48 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Shelton | 24 of 67 | 35% | 14 of 56 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 55 | 1 of 4 | 7 of 8 |
| Joseph Morales | 16 of 57 | 28% | 7 of 46 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 13 of 53 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eric Shelton | 7 of 27 | 25% | 3 of 23 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Joseph Morales | 7 of 24 | 29% | 2 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | 7 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Eric Shelton | 12 of 26 | 46% | 8 of 21 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 7 |
| Joseph Morales | 6 of 22 | 27% | 3 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Eric Shelton | 5 of 14 | 35% | 3 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Joseph Morales | 3 of 11 | 27% | 2 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deiveson Figueiredo | 1 | 31 of 62 | 50% | 44 of 76 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 6:03 |
| Joseph Morales | 0 | 9 of 32 | 28% | 11 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deiveson Figueiredo | 0 | 13 of 23 | 56% | 22 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:15 |
| Joseph Morales | 0 | 2 of 10 | 20% | 3 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Deiveson Figueiredo | 1 | 18 of 39 | 46% | 22 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:48 |
| Joseph Morales | 0 | 7 of 22 | 31% | 8 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deiveson Figueiredo | 31 of 62 | 50% | 25 of 51 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 35 |
| Joseph Morales | 9 of 32 | 28% | 5 of 24 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 4 | 7 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 11 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deiveson Figueiredo | 13 of 23 | 56% | 9 of 18 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 21 |
| Joseph Morales | 2 of 10 | 20% | 2 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 9 | |
| 2 | Deiveson Figueiredo | 18 of 39 | 46% | 16 of 33 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 |
| Joseph Morales | 7 of 22 | 31% | 3 of 15 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Figueiredo tries a spinning kick, defends a takedown attempt and hustles Morales against the fence. The Brazilian trips up Morales and plants him on the floor about a foot away from the fence, setting up on top in half guard. Morales shifts and puts Figueiredo in butterfly guard, so "Deus da Guerra" stands over his prone opponent. Figueiredo dodges a few upkicks and drops hammerfists on Morales, who's now stacked up against the fence. Referee Eduardo Herdy twice warns Morales for grabbing the fence as he kicks upward. Figueiredo comes down to Morales' closed guard, where the pace slows as the Team Alpha Male fighter wraps up tight. Referee Herdy orders the fighters back to their feet with 50 seconds on the clock. Morales steps into the pocket with his hands low and gets decked with a stiff jab to the grill. Figueiredo follows him to the floor and tries a one-armed guillotine, but Morales survives -- and dodges a few heavy hammerfists -- to hear the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round 10-9 Figueiredo
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Figueiredo
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Figueiredo
Round 2
Figueiredo flashes a jab in Morales' face, then quickly slides out of the pocket to make Morales whiff on the counter. Superman punch lands for Figueiredo, followed by a body shot that puts Morales on his back foot. Figueiredo drops for a takedown attempt, appears to get stuffed, but overpowers Morales and drives him to the floor with his second effort. Morales puts Figueiredo in guard as they fight at the base of the fence, now begins shifting and pulling on Figueiredo's head, hunting for a triangle or armbar. Figueiredo lands a hard elbow from the top, opening a cut underneath Morales' righr eye. Morales once again grabs the fence and has his hand slapped away by the ref. Back up jumps Morales, and the flyweights resume striking with two minutes left in the round. Figueiredo shifts to southpaw stance and puts a hard kick across Morales' midsection. Morales throws a low kick and gets countered with a right hand over the top, and Figueiredo follows with a lead uppercut a few seconds later.
Morales gets backed up to the fence, where Figueiredo floors him with a beautiful right hook-left uppercut combo. Four or five follow-up punches on the ground later, referee Herdy steps in to stop the fight.
The Official Result
Deiveson Figueiredo def. Joseph Morales via TKO (Punches) R2 4:34
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morales | 1 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 15 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:01 |
| Robert Sanchez | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 12 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joseph Morales | 1 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 15 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:01 |
| Robert Sanchez | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 12 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morales | 12 of 22 | 54% | 12 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 16 |
| Robert Sanchez | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joseph Morales | 12 of 22 | 54% | 12 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 16 |
| Robert Sanchez | 2 of 6 | 33% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
Alibi Idiris - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ode' Osbourne | 0 | 32 of 90 | 35% | 48 of 107 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:58 |
| Alibi Idiris | 0 | 30 of 75 | 40% | 62 of 117 | 5 of 15 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 6:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ode' Osbourne | 0 | 8 of 26 | 30% | 8 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alibi Idiris | 0 | 12 of 30 | 40% | 19 of 37 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 2:00 | |
| 2 | Ode' Osbourne | 0 | 14 of 33 | 42% | 15 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alibi Idiris | 0 | 7 of 23 | 30% | 19 of 41 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:15 | |
| 3 | Ode' Osbourne | 0 | 10 of 31 | 32% | 25 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:58 |
| Alibi Idiris | 0 | 11 of 22 | 50% | 24 of 39 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:55 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ode' Osbourne | 32 of 90 | 35% | 21 of 74 | 11 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 27 of 84 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Alibi Idiris | 30 of 75 | 40% | 22 of 58 | 1 of 5 | 7 of 12 | 22 of 64 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ode' Osbourne | 8 of 26 | 30% | 6 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alibi Idiris | 12 of 30 | 40% | 8 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 | 12 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Ode' Osbourne | 14 of 33 | 42% | 7 of 23 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 29 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Alibi Idiris | 7 of 23 | 30% | 5 of 17 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 18 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | |
| 3 | Ode' Osbourne | 10 of 31 | 32% | 8 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Alibi Idiris | 11 of 22 | 50% | 9 of 18 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
Angelo picks Ode' Osbourne, despite his poor takedown defense, because Alibi Idiris prefers to strike rather than wrestle. He believes Osbourne's superior striking and power will dominate if Idiris doesn't exploit the takedown weakness. He expresses frustration with Osbourne's lack of improvement in takedown defense.
Big Brady picks Alibi Idiris to defeat Ode' Osbourne, citing Osbourne's tendency to fade after a round and a half. He notes Osbourne is dangerous early but has poor cardio and suspect submission defense. He likes Idris's cardio, ability to mix in takedowns, and believes he can hurt Osbourne on the feet. He predicts a second-round knockout for Idris, though he acknowledges a submission is possible.
Cody thinks Osbourne's experience and reach advantage will be key. He notes Idiris looked poor against Joseph Morales and questions his heart. He expects Osbourne to edge a decision or get a late finish.
Connor takes a flyer on Idiris, noting that the style matchup is different from the Morales fight—Idiris will get to strike with Osbourne, which suits him better. He points out Idiris has actual pocket fighting feel and Osbourne is tense at range. However, he acknowledges Idiris may still not be ready.
James picks Alibi Idiris to win by finish, likely submission, citing Osbourne's struggles with grappling. He notes that Idiris trains with Asu Almabayev, who dominated Osbourne with takedowns and submissions. James believes Idiris will mix in grappling and eventually submit or ground-and-pound Osbourne.
Idiris is the better grappler and wrestler, and he should have a cardio advantage. Osbourne has power but fades after the first round and struggles with grappling. Idiris can survive the first round and then dominate with takedowns and control in the later rounds. The line has moved due to Osbourne's recent performance, but Idiris should win a decision.
Paul agrees, citing Osbourne's five-inch reach advantage and experience against tougher competition. He thinks Idiris is unproven and that Osbourne's speed and length will cause problems. He expects Osbourne to win.
The MMA Guru picks Alibi Idiris, believing his grappling will be the difference. He notes that Idiris is well-rounded with good kicks, boxing, and grappling, and that Osbourne can be held down by grapplers. He references Idiris' fight with Vince Morales and thinks he can keep Osbourne on the ground.
Zane picks Osbourne, believing Idiris is not ready for a veteran like Osbourne. He notes that Idiris gassed quickly against Morales and was overwhelmed by being the nail. Zane thinks Osbourne can make Idiris the nail for a round and a half, and Idiris won't handle it.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morales | 0 | 28 of 56 | 50% | 50 of 82 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:04 |
| Alibi Idiris | 0 | 29 of 63 | 46% | 44 of 86 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 | 0 | 3:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joseph Morales | 0 | 18 of 27 | 66% | 37 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Alibi Idiris | 0 | 10 of 24 | 41% | 19 of 40 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 2:55 | |
| 2 | Joseph Morales | 0 | 10 of 29 | 34% | 13 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:41 |
| Alibi Idiris | 0 | 19 of 39 | 48% | 25 of 46 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:43 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morales | 28 of 56 | 50% | 9 of 35 | 17 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 48 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Alibi Idiris | 29 of 63 | 46% | 15 of 44 | 13 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 47 | 9 of 12 | 2 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joseph Morales | 18 of 27 | 66% | 6 of 15 | 10 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 21 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Alibi Idiris | 10 of 24 | 41% | 7 of 18 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 16 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Joseph Morales | 10 of 29 | 34% | 3 of 20 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Alibi Idiris | 19 of 39 | 48% | 8 of 26 | 10 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 31 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 3 |
The host considers Idiris the best flyweight on the show, praising his striking and grappling. He expects Idiris to have Morales covered everywhere and predicts a finish within two rounds.
The Guru picks Alibi Idiris to beat Joseph Morales. He thought Morales looked mediocre in his last fight on The Ultimate Fighter and believes he robbed his opponent. The Guru sees Idiris as a dynamic fighter with finishing ability, similar to Asu Almabaev, and thinks he will seize his opportunity to enter the UFC.
Expert Picks (2)
The host considers Idiris the best flyweight on the show, praising his striking and grappling. He expects Idiris to have Morales covered everywhere and predicts a finish within two rounds.
The Guru picks Alibi Idiris to beat Joseph Morales. He thought Morales looked mediocre in his last fight on The Ultimate Fighter and believes he robbed his opponent. The Guru sees Idiris as a dynamic fighter with finishing ability, similar to Asu Almabaev, and thinks he will seize his opportunity to enter the UFC.
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