Career Averages - You Su-young
Career Averages - Xiao Long
You Su-young
Xiao Long
You Su-young - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Smith | 1 | 16 of 27 | 59% | 18 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 1:35 |
| You Su-young | 0 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 21 of 27 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elijah Smith | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:19 |
| You Su-young | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 18 of 24 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 2:42 | |
| 2 | Elijah Smith | 1 | 13 of 21 | 61% | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:16 |
| You Su-young | 0 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Smith | 16 of 27 | 59% | 14 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 13 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 11 |
| You Su-young | 3 of 3 | 100% | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elijah Smith | 3 of 6 | 50% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| You Su-young | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Elijah Smith | 13 of 21 | 61% | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 11 |
| You Su-young | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Elijah Smith but is worried about takedown defense against a relentless wrestler. He notes that Smith is more powerful, faster, and well-rounded, but Su-young's constant takedown threats could be problematic. He thinks Vegas may not reward wrestling, so Smith could win even if taken down multiple times. He is not betting the moneyline but may look at props.
Big Brady picks Elijah Smith to win by decision, believing Smith will stuff takedowns and be the better striker. He acknowledges Smith's takedown defense (57%) is a concern but notes his improved submission defense and ability to battle adversity. He favors Smith's volume, power, and cleaner striking on the feet.
Cody picks Smith, citing his youth, athleticism, and wrestling. He notes Su-young's age and limited ceiling. He expects Smith to win a close decision or get a finish.
Connor also picks Smith, emphasizing that Smith has real physicality and the rumblings of a natural pocket fighter. He notes that You's wrestling is legit but Smith has the physicality to force scrambles and may shut down takedowns. Connor sees Smith's potential as higher.
James picks Elijah Smith to win by decision, but admits he hasn't done enough tape study and is not very confident. He notes Smith's boxing advantage and athleticism but worries about his fight IQ and tendency to engage in grappling. He believes Smith can win if he keeps the fight on the feet.
The host favors Elijah Smith due to his speed, strength, and well-roundedness. He expects Smith to defend Su-young's grappling and keep the fight standing, where his striking combinations and power will be decisive. He predicts Smith will land the more damaging shots and win a decision, noting that Smith's grappling defense and ability to counter leg kicks will be key.
Paul leans Su-young as a dog, citing his experience and ring IQ. He thinks Su-young can exploit Smith's mistakes and win a close decision. He notes the fight is tricky.
The Guru picks Elijah Smith, rating his win over Vince Morales and noting his patience and size advantage (6-inch reach). He thinks Smith's athleticism and ability to go three rounds will overcome Su-young, who has fought close decisions against lesser competition. He predicts a decision, possibly a late TKO.
Zane picks Elijah Smith, noting that Smith has real physicality and natural pocket awareness, while You is a finished product with less dynamism. He believes Smith can stop enough takedowns to win two out of three rounds, even if he gives up some takedowns. Zane sees Smith's potential as higher than You's.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| You Su-young | 0 | 68 of 214 | 31% | 81 of 229 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 58 of 110 | 52% | 66 of 120 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | You Su-young | 0 | 11 of 35 | 31% | 11 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 10 of 15 | 66% | 12 of 17 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | You Su-young | 0 | 16 of 78 | 20% | 18 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 25 of 50 | 50% | 25 of 52 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 3 | You Su-young | 0 | 41 of 101 | 40% | 52 of 114 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 23 of 45 | 51% | 29 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| You Su-young | 68 of 214 | 31% | 53 of 169 | 7 of 21 | 8 of 24 | 38 of 173 | 30 of 41 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 58 of 110 | 52% | 44 of 94 | 10 of 11 | 4 of 5 | 47 of 95 | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | You Su-young | 11 of 35 | 31% | 6 of 18 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 13 | 11 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 10 of 15 | 66% | 6 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | You Su-young | 16 of 78 | 20% | 9 of 57 | 4 of 11 | 3 of 10 | 15 of 77 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 25 of 50 | 50% | 18 of 42 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 23 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | You Su-young | 41 of 101 | 40% | 38 of 94 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 61 | 29 of 40 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 23 of 45 | 51% | 20 of 42 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 34 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is confident in You Su-young, calling him a nonstop wrestler who shoots takedowns early and is aggressive on the ground. He notes that Xiao Long is a grappler but not particularly dangerous, and that You Su-young is better almost everywhere. He expects a grappling match and leans You Su-young regardless of whether it becomes a striking match or a grappling match.
Big Brady picks Xiao Long as an underdog, citing his good defensive wrestling and anti-grappling. He notes that Xiao Long stuffed 7 of 9 takedowns against Chungho Lee, who is a strong grappler, and that Xiao Long is the better striker with improved striking. He believes Su-young Yu will struggle to get takedowns and that Xiao Long will win a decision on the feet.
Connor picks Suyong Yu, citing his straightforward wrestling game and good takedowns. He notes that Long Zhao's wrestling hasn't been tested much and that Suyong Yu's singles and pipe runs could be effective. He acknowledges that if Long Zhao can stuff shots, he could win, but leans toward the wrestler.
The host is a big fan of You Su-young but thinks he will struggle to get the fight to the ground. This will allow Xiao Long to dictate the pace in the striking realm with high volume, winning most pocket exchanges. The host predicts Xiao Long will eventually find a knockout within two and a half rounds.
The MMA Guru picks You Su-young because he has proven himself against non-Asian competition, specifically outgrappling an American with a wrestling background. He views You Su-young as a specialist with a clear strength, while Xiao Long appears to be a well-rounded regional scrapper. He also notes that Xiao Long's split decision win over a Korean fighter on Road to UFC doesn't impress him, as that opponent didn't amount to much.
Zane picks Xiao Long (Long Zhao), noting that he puts offense together and looked improved in his last fight. He acknowledges that Suyong Yu is a good wrestler with solid takedowns, but believes Long Zhao's striking and ability to get up from takedowns could be enough to win. He admits it's a close fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| You Su-young | 0 | 18 of 32 | 56% | 77 of 96 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 7:54 |
| AJ Cunningham | 0 | 16 of 52 | 30% | 19 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | You Su-young | 0 | 7 of 10 | 70% | 20 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:26 |
| AJ Cunningham | 0 | 9 of 26 | 34% | 9 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | You Su-young | 0 | 10 of 18 | 55% | 36 of 47 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:07 |
| AJ Cunningham | 0 | 6 of 19 | 31% | 9 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | You Su-young | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 21 of 25 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 3:21 |
| AJ Cunningham | 0 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| You Su-young | 18 of 32 | 56% | 8 of 21 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 18 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| AJ Cunningham | 16 of 52 | 30% | 11 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 16 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | You Su-young | 7 of 10 | 70% | 1 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| AJ Cunningham | 9 of 26 | 34% | 5 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | You Su-young | 10 of 18 | 55% | 6 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| AJ Cunningham | 6 of 19 | 31% | 6 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | You Su-young | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| AJ Cunningham | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks You Su-young over AJ Cunningham. He notes that You is a relentless wrestler who will shoot takedowns constantly, while Cunningham's takedown defense is poor. He sees no value in the moneyline but suggests round line or takedown props.
Big Brady picks You Su-young, noting that AJ Cunningham has taken severe damage in recent fights and is likely not UFC caliber. He describes You as a wrestler with good cardio and slick jiu-jitsu (nicknamed 'Yu Jitsu'), who will take Cunningham down and control him. Brady expects a decision win for You, though he mentions a possible finish if Cunningham's weight cut is tough.
Cody picks Elijah Smith, citing his athleticism and wrestling background. He notes that Kazama has a dangerous submission game but has been knocked down and finished in losses. He believes Smith's power and wrestling will be too much, though he is wary of submission threats. He considers Smith by TKO as a prop.
Daniel does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses the matchup briefly but does not state a preference or bet.
The host believes You will utilize his grappling advantage to get the fight to the ground and twist up Cunningham into a pretzel. He expects You to win with relative ease by submission.
Paul also picks Smith, noting that Kazama has been knocked down in all his UFC losses and that Smith has power. He believes Smith will avoid submissions and ground and pound for a finish. He is concerned about Smith's inexperience but still expects a win.
The MMA Guru hesitantly picks You Su-young, despite being tempted by AJ Cunningham as an underdog. He notes Cunningham trains with Bryce Mitchell and has potential, but lacks momentum and was badly beaten by Ludovic Klein. He thinks Su-young is underrated, coming through Road to UFC, and has good momentum. However, he admits he doesn't understand why Su-young is a 7-1 favorite and sees value on Cunningham, but ultimately goes with Su-young.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| You Su-young | 0 | 9 of 72 | 12% | 48 of 114 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Baergeng Jieleyisi | 0 | 42 of 87 | 48% | 85 of 131 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 4:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | You Su-young | 0 | 1 of 14 | 7% | 18 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Baergeng Jieleyisi | 0 | 9 of 15 | 60% | 42 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:29 | |
| 2 | You Su-young | 0 | 5 of 28 | 17% | 19 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Baergeng Jieleyisi | 0 | 16 of 34 | 47% | 26 of 45 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 | |
| 3 | You Su-young | 0 | 3 of 30 | 10% | 11 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Baergeng Jieleyisi | 0 | 17 of 38 | 44% | 17 of 38 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| You Su-young | 9 of 72 | 12% | 4 of 63 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 72 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Baergeng Jieleyisi | 42 of 87 | 48% | 28 of 71 | 4 of 6 | 10 of 10 | 36 of 77 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | You Su-young | 1 of 14 | 7% | 0 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Baergeng Jieleyisi | 9 of 15 | 60% | 7 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 5 | |
| 2 | You Su-young | 5 of 28 | 17% | 2 of 23 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Baergeng Jieleyisi | 16 of 34 | 47% | 10 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 16 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | You Su-young | 3 of 30 | 10% | 2 of 27 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Baergeng Jieleyisi | 17 of 38 | 44% | 11 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 36 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks the underdog Baergeng Jieleyisi, noting You Su-young's sloppy wrestling and one-dimensional game. He acknowledges Jieleyisi's long legs make him easy to take down but praises his cross-face and knees on entries. He admits the fight could go either way and won't bet on it.
Big Brady picks You Su-young to win by decision. He emphasizes You's wrestling, averaging six takedowns per 15 minutes in his Road to UFC fights, and believes he will dictate where the fight takes place. He expects a scrambly grappling match that goes to a split decision, similar to You's last fight. Brady thinks Jieleyisi can be taken down and makes mistakes on the mat.
Cody picks the Korean fighter, citing his more refined grappling and experience against tougher competition. He notes that both are grapplers with low volume, but the Korean has fought better opponents and shown more polish. He expects a close split decision and leans toward the Korean due to his strength and clinch work.
Daniel Vreeland considers both fighters low-level but gives the edge to Jieleyisi (referred to as Junal) because he is taller, longer, and has better striking. He notes that Su-young has flashy moves but lacks effectiveness, and Jieleyisi is more well-rounded. He picks Jieleyisi as the underdog to win the Road to UFC.
You Su-young has superior jiu-jitsu and scrambling ability to stay out of bad positions. He will get dominant positions and control time, winning by decision and earning a UFC contract.
Paul also leans toward the Korean fighter, noting that Korean fighters generally have solid grappling and physicality. He admits it's a blind pick but trusts the Korean development system. He expects a close decision and sees value in the underdog.
The MMA Guru picks Baergeng Jieleyisi (referred to as Balin Jen) over You Su-young. He lists several of Baergeng's wins, including over Naken Nakanishi, which sold him. He acknowledges You Su-young is a good prospect but favors Baergeng's resume and recent win over Shin Nosov.
Xiao Long - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Garbrandt | 0 | 28 of 54 | 51% | 28 of 54 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 59 of 108 | 54% | 70 of 119 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cody Garbrandt | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 10 of 20 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 20 of 31 | 64% | 20 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Cody Garbrandt | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 7 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 21 of 41 | 51% | 22 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Cody Garbrandt | 0 | 11 of 19 | 57% | 11 of 19 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 18 of 36 | 50% | 28 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Garbrandt | 28 of 54 | 51% | 13 of 39 | 11 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 42 | 11 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 59 of 108 | 54% | 11 of 41 | 19 of 28 | 29 of 39 | 51 of 99 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cody Garbrandt | 10 of 20 | 50% | 6 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 20 of 31 | 64% | 3 of 10 | 2 of 4 | 15 of 17 | 20 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Cody Garbrandt | 7 of 15 | 46% | 4 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 21 of 41 | 51% | 3 of 16 | 6 of 7 | 12 of 18 | 21 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Cody Garbrandt | 11 of 19 | 57% | 3 of 11 | 7 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 13 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 18 of 36 | 50% | 5 of 15 | 11 of 17 | 2 of 4 | 10 of 28 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 5 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Xiao (-148), Garbrandt (+124)
Round 1
The preliminary headliner will conclude the de facto “Cody against the world” series, with gentlemen named Cody sporting a record of 0-2 so far today. Garbrandt (14-7, 9-7 UFC) would like to turn things around for his namesake when he faces the well-traveled Xiao (27-10, 1-2 UFC). Fists and feet are sure to fly in this bantamweight encounter, and they do just as soon as referee Herb Dean clocks them in.
The fighters do not touch gloves, as Garbrandt is loaded for bear and promptly puts three fists on Xiao’s face. Garbrandt backs off to circle around, and he works the lead leg with a kick but is booted with a shin to his chin. Garbrandt retreats in a hurry, and Xiao largely lets him off the hook with little more than a low kick. Garbrandt crashes the pocket, and he is met with a knee to the body, and when he takes a step back, he gets kicked in the stomach. Xiao swats out with kicks from both sides, following the former champ around without anything coming back at him. The Chinese fighter side kicks the body, and Garbrandt locks him up in a clinch when Xiao gets in close. Garbrandt thumps the body when tied up, and he lashes out with a ferocious elbow that drops Xiao.
Xiao pops back up and hoots, with the strike apparently a flash knockdown as he gets back in Garbrandt’s grill to chase him around. Garbrandt spins with an elbow that tags Xiao in the forehead, and Xiao raises his arms as if to ask for more. Xiao takes a step back and slips, his balance possibly not fully back with him, but he proceeds to stalk down the former bantamweight king and work his lead leg. Xiao motions to Garbrandt to trade when he gets struck, and he thumps Garbrandt in the face with another head kick. Xiao loads up with a hard inside leg kick that makes Garbrandt switch stances, goofing around and swinging his hands around while they are well out of range. Xiao peppers the front leg and charges in, but Garbrandt greets him with a double and tackles him to his seat. Xiao springs right back up, and Garbrandt tries to kick him in the head but is too close to get it off. Xiao responds with a step-in elbow, and he fires off a body kick and resets to attack with a wheel kick that misses. Garbrandt strings together three punches, but only one partially lands. The horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Xiao
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Garbrandt
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Xiao
Round 2
Xiao comes out of his corner with a strategy: attack Garbrandt’s lead leg. Garbrandt lines up a few punches and offers out a takedown, and Xiao sprawls and the two reset. Garbrandt digs a right hand to the ribcage and goes upstairs, causing a thin trickle of blood to drip from the Chinese fighter’s nostril. Xiao goes high with a kick, and he stays busy with offense to any target he can find. He just misses a step-in elbow when Garbrandt crashes the pocket, and Garbrandt wings a right hand that misses the mark. Xiao thumps the body with his shin, and he kicks the front leg to force a stance switch. Xiao kicks his foe’s leg out from beneath him when Garbrandt is about to engage, and Garbrandt gingerly stands back up and immediately absorbs one or two more for his effort.
Garbrandt crowds his opponent to pursue a level change, and Xiao breaks and blocks a spinning back fist on the break. Garbrandt shoots for a single, and Xiao scrambles out of the way and responds with a low kick. The 27-year-old nearly bashes Garbrandt with another head kick, but it is his calf kick that is hampering the former champ in a major way. Xiao chambers and fires a high kick, and he pushes off the stomach with a side kick and narrowly misses one up high. Garbrandt signals that he missed by this much, and then takes a right hand on the chin. The two crash together, with Garbrandt attempting a takedown and headbutting his opponent, and Xiao tumbles to his seat. Dean calls time, and Xiao wants to get back to it and high-fives Garbrandt and is alright. The tepid round comes to a close.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Xiao
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Xiao
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Xiao
Round 3
Xiao reintroduces himself by offering up a steady diet of kicks to all targets. His body kicks lead to low kicks, and one bumps into Garbrandt’s cup when Garbrandt is ducking down for a takedown. Dean sees it and calls time, and the former champ takes about 50 seconds before he is all good. Xiao immediately pushes the pace once more, going after Garbrandt and dodging a wheel kick. Xiao rushes after him and boots Garbrandt square in the groin, who topples to the mat and dislodges his mouthguard in serious pain. Dean again calls time, and Garbrandt starts dry heaving. The dry heaving turns to actual vomiting in a bucket, which should mean the fight should be over. Somehow, the fight is not actually stopped, even though the rules clearly indicate that a fighter who vomits during a fight “shall be stopped by the referee and the fighter shall lose the contest by a technical knockout due to medical stoppage”—quoting the Unified Rules directly. No one has a clue what the rules of MMA are anymore, and Dean deducts one point from Xiao but restarts the match. Garbrandt gets back to his feet and goes ballistic a la James Thompson against Aleks Emelianenko, screaming at Xiao and preparing to assault him violently. Garbrandt comes out swinging for the fences, and they crash together and end up in a clinch. Remarkably, Xiao knees Garbrandt in the groin again, and Dean stops the fight and takes another point from Xiao, while threatening that there will be a DQ with one more. When they resume, Xiao leaps forward with a flying knee, and Garbrandt motions that he missed by a mile. Xiao points to the ground, and Garbrandt does not bite and engage foolishly.
Xiao chases after the former champ, and he walks directly into a right hand. Garbrandt retreats rather than engaging, possibly still compromised from the multiple fouls, while Xiao wings kicks at him. Garbrandt keeps moving, landing a body shot and one to the head. Xiao runs at Garbrandt and kicks him in the head, and when Garbrandt drops down, Xiao knees him in the head potentially illegally. Garbrandt stands back up and knees him back, but it is almost exclusively Xiao who is attacking. Xiao sprints forward and clinches up, where he hits a trip takedown and lands in full mount. He hits the floor with one second left, and lands at least one punch after the bell. When time mercifully expires, Garbrandt has to shove his opponent off of him, and there is very nearly a brawl in the cage but for Dean getting between them. They proceed to bury the hatchet after one of the worst fights in UFC history, and it just so happens to be the second fight that many new MMA fans will be seeing on the CBS airwaves. Talk about a disaster.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 9-8 Garbrandt (28-27 Xiao)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 9-8 Garbrandt (28-27 Garbrandt)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 9-8 Garbrandt (28-27 Xiao)
The Official Result
Cody Garbrandt def. Long Xiao via Unanimous Decision (28-27, 28-27, 28-27)
Angelo picks Cody Garbrandt to win based on his striking and footwork, but strongly advises against betting on him, calling it a ridiculous thing to do in 2026. He notes Cody's age and recent loss to an older fighter, and says he would never put money on Cody. He separates pick from bet.
Big Brady picks Cody Garbrandt as an underdog over Xiao Long, but with low confidence. He believes Garbrandt is washed and can't take a shot, but Long Xiao lacks KO power and has poor takedown ability. Garbrandt still has elite takedown defense and anti-grappling. Brady expects a boring fight where Garbrandt uses movement and clinching to win a decision, similar to his fight against Trevin Jones. He warns fans will boo.
Cody picks Garbrandt as a dog, citing his superior competition and wrestling ability. He notes that Xiao Long has been taken down frequently and that Garbrandt can use wrestling to win. He acknowledges the risk but sees value at plus money.
Connor believes Garbrandt should win easily based on speed and the level of competition. He notes that Long Zhao has struggled against low-level bantamweights and that Garbrandt, despite his psychological and technical flaws, has a massive advantage in athleticism. He is shocked that Garbrandt is an underdog and thinks the line is inaccurate.
Daniel Vreeland reluctantly picks Cody Garbrandt as an underdog, citing his higher level of competition and former champion status. He notes that Garbrandt's chin and cardio are concerns, but he believes Garbrandt has enough to beat a relatively unproven opponent. Vreeland warns that picking Garbrandt is scary but sees value.
The host acknowledges Garbrandt is technically superior on the feet but is on a steep decline, with poor durability and gun-shy tendencies. He compares Garbrandt to other declining fighters like Moreno and Cyborg. Xiao Long is a high-volume, tough striker who throws double the strikes per minute. The host would back Long if forced to bet, but personally passes due to Long being average and the possibility of Garbrandt outclassing him.
James picks Cody Garbrandt as an underdog, believing this is a massive step down in competition for Garbrandt. He notes Garbrandt's speed advantage and better boxing, and expects him to win round one. However, he acknowledges Garbrandt's poor chin and cardio, but thinks he can survive if he builds an early lead. James sees the fight as close to 50/50, making Garbrandt the value side at plus odds.
Garbrandt is washed with a compromised chin and cardio. Long is durable, aggressive, and has good takedown defense. After a competitive first round, Long will walk Garbrandt down and likely knock him out in the second or third round.
Paul also picks Garbrandt, noting his speed and technique. He thinks the fight will be close and dicey, but at plus money, he takes the former champion. He acknowledges the possibility of a knockout loss.
The MMA Guru picks Cody Garbrandt, believing he will outclass Xiao Long at range. He notes Garbrandt's speed and footwork, and predicts a decision or late KO. He acknowledges Garbrandt's inconsistency but thinks Xiao Long is not top-level.
Zane agrees that Garbrandt should win, emphasizing that Long Zhao is a significant step down from Garbrandt's recent opponents. He notes that Garbrandt has shown some improvement in recent losses, but still has major flaws. He is also surprised by the betting line and thinks Garbrandt should be a healthy favorite.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| You Su-young | 0 | 68 of 214 | 31% | 81 of 229 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 58 of 110 | 52% | 66 of 120 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | You Su-young | 0 | 11 of 35 | 31% | 11 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 10 of 15 | 66% | 12 of 17 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | You Su-young | 0 | 16 of 78 | 20% | 18 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 25 of 50 | 50% | 25 of 52 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 3 | You Su-young | 0 | 41 of 101 | 40% | 52 of 114 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 23 of 45 | 51% | 29 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| You Su-young | 68 of 214 | 31% | 53 of 169 | 7 of 21 | 8 of 24 | 38 of 173 | 30 of 41 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 58 of 110 | 52% | 44 of 94 | 10 of 11 | 4 of 5 | 47 of 95 | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | You Su-young | 11 of 35 | 31% | 6 of 18 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 13 | 11 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 10 of 15 | 66% | 6 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | You Su-young | 16 of 78 | 20% | 9 of 57 | 4 of 11 | 3 of 10 | 15 of 77 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 25 of 50 | 50% | 18 of 42 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 23 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | You Su-young | 41 of 101 | 40% | 38 of 94 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 61 | 29 of 40 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 23 of 45 | 51% | 20 of 42 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 34 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is confident in You Su-young, calling him a nonstop wrestler who shoots takedowns early and is aggressive on the ground. He notes that Xiao Long is a grappler but not particularly dangerous, and that You Su-young is better almost everywhere. He expects a grappling match and leans You Su-young regardless of whether it becomes a striking match or a grappling match.
Big Brady picks Xiao Long as an underdog, citing his good defensive wrestling and anti-grappling. He notes that Xiao Long stuffed 7 of 9 takedowns against Chungho Lee, who is a strong grappler, and that Xiao Long is the better striker with improved striking. He believes Su-young Yu will struggle to get takedowns and that Xiao Long will win a decision on the feet.
Connor picks Suyong Yu, citing his straightforward wrestling game and good takedowns. He notes that Long Zhao's wrestling hasn't been tested much and that Suyong Yu's singles and pipe runs could be effective. He acknowledges that if Long Zhao can stuff shots, he could win, but leans toward the wrestler.
The host is a big fan of You Su-young but thinks he will struggle to get the fight to the ground. This will allow Xiao Long to dictate the pace in the striking realm with high volume, winning most pocket exchanges. The host predicts Xiao Long will eventually find a knockout within two and a half rounds.
The MMA Guru picks You Su-young because he has proven himself against non-Asian competition, specifically outgrappling an American with a wrestling background. He views You Su-young as a specialist with a clear strength, while Xiao Long appears to be a well-rounded regional scrapper. He also notes that Xiao Long's split decision win over a Korean fighter on Road to UFC doesn't impress him, as that opponent didn't amount to much.
Zane picks Xiao Long (Long Zhao), noting that he puts offense together and looked improved in his last fight. He acknowledges that Suyong Yu is a good wrestler with solid takedowns, but believes Long Zhao's striking and ability to get up from takedowns could be enough to win. He admits it's a close fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xiao Long | 1 | 87 of 192 | 45% | 92 of 198 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Quang Le | 0 | 64 of 155 | 41% | 68 of 160 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xiao Long | 0 | 40 of 82 | 48% | 41 of 83 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Quang Le | 0 | 29 of 68 | 42% | 30 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Xiao Long | 0 | 35 of 89 | 39% | 37 of 91 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Quang Le | 0 | 25 of 67 | 37% | 26 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 3 | Xiao Long | 1 | 12 of 21 | 57% | 14 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Quang Le | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 12 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xiao Long | 87 of 192 | 45% | 66 of 158 | 8 of 16 | 13 of 18 | 80 of 178 | 5 of 11 | 2 of 3 |
| Quang Le | 64 of 155 | 41% | 39 of 126 | 23 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 59 of 148 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xiao Long | 40 of 82 | 48% | 30 of 67 | 2 of 5 | 8 of 10 | 38 of 78 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 |
| Quang Le | 29 of 68 | 42% | 18 of 55 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 29 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Xiao Long | 35 of 89 | 39% | 27 of 75 | 4 of 7 | 4 of 7 | 35 of 85 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Quang Le | 25 of 67 | 37% | 15 of 55 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 64 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Xiao Long | 12 of 21 | 57% | 9 of 16 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 15 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
| Quang Le | 10 of 20 | 50% | 6 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Xiao Long, noting Quang Le's striking defense issues despite forward pressure. He expects Xiao to shoot takedowns and control on the ground. He admits it's a tough pick and not his most confident.
Big Brady picks Xiao Long to win by decision. He thinks Quang Le is overrated after his loss to Chris Gutierrez, noting Le had low volume and landed less than 10 significant strikes. He was more impressed with Xiao Long's loss against a tough grappler, where he showed takedown ability and higher output. Brady expects the fight to stay on the feet and favors the more active striker.
Cody picks Quang Le, citing his power and experience against better competition. He notes that Xiao Long has 35 fights but has not been tested, and his recent fights have been close decisions. Quang Le's confidence from his UFC debut and his power give him the edge in a close fight.
Daniel Vreeland sees this as a close fight between Xiao Long's activity and Quang Le's power and impactful moments. He gives the edge to Quang Le because of his experience fighting Chris Gutierrez and his counter-striking ability. He expects a controversial split decision where Quang Le's harder shots sway the judges.
Quang Le is the better martial artist with advantages in striking speed and power. He will dictate the pace and land more damage over 15 minutes to win on the scorecards.
Paul also leans toward Quang Le, noting the market movement and Quang's power. He thinks Xiao Long's split decision losses indicate he is not elite, and Quang Le's ability to finish gives him an edge. He expects a close fight and likes the plus money.
The MMA Guru picks Quang Le based on his finishing potential shown on Road to UFC, contrasting with Xiao Long who tends to scrape by in close decisions. He notes Quang Le is younger at 26 and has fought at WLF Wars, where Shavkat Rakhmonov competed. He believes Quang Le's dominance and finishing ability give him the edge.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Chang-ho | 0 | 68 of 103 | 66% | 135 of 187 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 6:19 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 84 of 119 | 70% | 173 of 228 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 1:48 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Chang-ho | 0 | 22 of 30 | 73% | 43 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:41 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 24 of 38 | 63% | 50 of 66 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 2 | Lee Chang-ho | 0 | 28 of 52 | 53% | 53 of 81 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:46 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 38 of 53 | 71% | 71 of 95 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 3 | Lee Chang-ho | 0 | 18 of 21 | 85% | 39 of 46 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:52 |
| Xiao Long | 0 | 22 of 28 | 78% | 52 of 67 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:29 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Chang-ho | 68 of 103 | 66% | 27 of 49 | 33 of 46 | 8 of 8 | 26 of 44 | 42 of 59 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 84 of 119 | 70% | 28 of 47 | 54 of 68 | 2 of 4 | 18 of 33 | 66 of 86 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Chang-ho | 22 of 30 | 73% | 8 of 13 | 13 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 9 | 17 of 21 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 24 of 38 | 63% | 5 of 10 | 17 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 10 | 19 of 28 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lee Chang-ho | 28 of 52 | 53% | 12 of 27 | 12 of 21 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 24 | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 38 of 53 | 71% | 14 of 23 | 24 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 16 | 30 of 37 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Lee Chang-ho | 18 of 21 | 85% | 7 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 11 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Xiao Long | 22 of 28 | 78% | 9 of 14 | 13 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 | 17 of 21 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo sees Xiao Long as the grappler with a wrestle-at-all-costs attitude, durable and composed even when things go wrong. He believes Xiao Long's wrestling is more prominent and that he should have been the favorite, not the underdog. Despite being told he mixed up the fighters, he rewatched the tape and stuck with his read. He notes Xiao Long has 34 fights of experience and stays composed under pressure.
Big Brady picks Lee Chang-ho based on his relentless wrestling and never-quit style, which he finds more impressive than Xiao Long's striking. He notes that Lee has a crazy motor and showed a third-round TKO in a Road to UFC fight after his opponent slowed down. However, he expects a close split decision due to both fighters' durability and toughness, making this a hesitant pick.
Cody picks Xiao Long, citing his experience, takedown defense, and striking. He notes Long has faced better competition in the tournament and has shown the ability to get back up and outwork grapplers. He expects Long to win a decision and earn a UFC contract.
Daniel Vreeland picks Xiao Long based on experience, having seen him on Contender Series. He admits he is not very familiar with either fighter but goes with the more experienced fighter. He notes Lee Chang-ho's finishes but prefers Long's proven track record.
Jacob disagrees with Angelo, calling Lee Chang-ho the better wrestler who wants to be the 'Korean Khabib.' He highlights Lee's resilience, pointing to his last fight where he was outwrestled for two rounds but never stopped and finished the opponent in the third. Jacob believes Lee's non-stop pressure and finishing ability will wear down Xiao Long, who is not a finisher. He made Lee his lock of the week and placed a moneyline bet.
JP picks Lee Chang-ho based on his 3-0 record in Top Fighting Championship and a 4-fight win streak, noting that Lee has more finishing power with his hands. He sees both fighters as similar but gives Lee the edge in striking and potential to finish. Brevan agrees, citing Lee's stopping power and Xiao's tendency to go to decision, but both are hesitant to bet due to the close odds.
Paul picks Xiao Long, agreeing with Cody's analysis. He notes Long's youth, activity, and improvement since his Contender Series loss. He believes Long's sprawl-and-brawl style will be effective against Lee's wrestling.
The MMA Guru picks Lee Chang-ho over Xiao Long, citing Chang-ho's superior competition and consistent method of victory via ground and pound. He notes that Xiao Long lost to Christian Quinones on the Contender Series and has fought lesser competition. He believes Chang-ho's ground game and top positioning will lead to a second-round TKO.
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo is confident in You Su-young, calling him a nonstop wrestler who shoots takedowns early and is aggressive on the ground. He notes that Xiao Long is a grappler but not particularly dangerous, and that You Su-young is better almost everywhere. He expects a grappling match and leans You Su-young regardless of whether it becomes a striking match or a grappling match.
Big Brady picks Xiao Long as an underdog, citing his good defensive wrestling and anti-grappling. He notes that Xiao Long stuffed 7 of 9 takedowns against Chungho Lee, who is a strong grappler, and that Xiao Long is the better striker with improved striking. He believes Su-young Yu will struggle to get takedowns and that Xiao Long will win a decision on the feet.
Connor picks Suyong Yu, citing his straightforward wrestling game and good takedowns. He notes that Long Zhao's wrestling hasn't been tested much and that Suyong Yu's singles and pipe runs could be effective. He acknowledges that if Long Zhao can stuff shots, he could win, but leans toward the wrestler.
The host is a big fan of You Su-young but thinks he will struggle to get the fight to the ground. This will allow Xiao Long to dictate the pace in the striking realm with high volume, winning most pocket exchanges. The host predicts Xiao Long will eventually find a knockout within two and a half rounds.
The MMA Guru picks You Su-young because he has proven himself against non-Asian competition, specifically outgrappling an American with a wrestling background. He views You Su-young as a specialist with a clear strength, while Xiao Long appears to be a well-rounded regional scrapper. He also notes that Xiao Long's split decision win over a Korean fighter on Road to UFC doesn't impress him, as that opponent didn't amount to much.
Zane picks Xiao Long (Long Zhao), noting that he puts offense together and looked improved in his last fight. He acknowledges that Suyong Yu is a good wrestler with solid takedowns, but believes Long Zhao's striking and ability to get up from takedowns could be enough to win. He admits it's a close fight.
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