Career Averages - Yi Zha
Career Averages - Westin Wilson
Yi Zha
Westin Wilson
Yi Zha - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaan Ofli | 0 | 48 of 107 | 44% | 53 of 114 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:57 |
| Yi Zha | 1 | 68 of 124 | 54% | 75 of 133 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaan Ofli | 0 | 23 of 38 | 60% | 28 of 44 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:20 |
| Yi Zha | 0 | 19 of 34 | 55% | 22 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 2 | Kaan Ofli | 0 | 10 of 38 | 26% | 10 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Yi Zha | 1 | 31 of 57 | 54% | 34 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 | |
| 3 | Kaan Ofli | 0 | 15 of 31 | 48% | 15 of 31 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
| Yi Zha | 0 | 18 of 33 | 54% | 19 of 34 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaan Ofli | 48 of 107 | 44% | 22 of 78 | 19 of 22 | 7 of 7 | 38 of 91 | 7 of 11 | 3 of 5 |
| Yi Zha | 68 of 124 | 54% | 44 of 93 | 17 of 24 | 7 of 7 | 58 of 109 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaan Ofli | 23 of 38 | 60% | 10 of 24 | 12 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 26 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 5 |
| Yi Zha | 19 of 34 | 55% | 14 of 26 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 18 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Kaan Ofli | 10 of 38 | 26% | 5 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yi Zha | 31 of 57 | 54% | 20 of 44 | 9 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 26 of 48 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 7 | |
| 3 | Kaan Ofli | 15 of 31 | 48% | 7 of 21 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 27 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Yi Zha | 18 of 33 | 54% | 10 of 23 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 28 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Kaan Ofli as a slight lean, stating he is the better grappler and if he shoots first, he can have success because Yi Zha's takedown defense sucks. He acknowledges Yi Zha is the better striker and offensive grappler, but thinks Ofli's jiu-jitsu is better on the ground. He says betting moneyline would be dumb, but plus 3.5 might make sense.
Big Brady picks Yi Zha based on activity, as Kaan Ofli does nothing in fights. He notes Zha is aggressive with wrestling and grappling, while Ofli has shown no output. He expects a decision win for Zha, though he doesn't love the -215 price.
Cody is picking Ofli as a value underdog, noting that Yi Zha has been outmuscled by stronger opponents and that Ofli has shown durability and a strong clinch game. He expects Ofli to win by decision or late stoppage.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Ofli. He notes that Yi Zha's competition is weak and Ofli's power and bullying style should be effective. Connor also comments that the odds are not too bothersome, as both fighters are similar in level.
Daniel Vreeland picks Yi Zha, viewing him as a tough, battle-tested journeyman who is hungrier and more durable than Ofli. He dismisses Ofli as a mid-level fighter and believes Yi Zha's experience and toughness will carry him to victory.
James picks Yi Zha, citing his better boxing, takedown ability, and veteran savvy. He believes Yi Zha can reverse Ofli's takedowns and win scrambles, and that his experience will lead to a decision victory.
Ofli is a BJJ black belt with good wrestling and striking, though he has had some losses. Yi Zha is a grappler but not as aggressive or dominant as Ofli's previous opponents. Ofli should be able to stuff takedowns and have success on the feet, where he has an edge in explosiveness. The host is surprised Ofli is an underdog and expects him to win by decision, possibly pulling off the upset.
Paul also leans toward Ofli, noting that Yi Zha was knocked out by Myron Santos and that Ofli has shown he will cheat to win. He sees value in the underdog.
The Guru picks Yi Zha, calling him underrated and noting his impressive debut knockout of Weston Wilson. He highlights Yi's grappling ability, chin advantage, and striking power. He predicts a first-round TKO, citing Yi's aggression and experience from Road to UFC.
Zane picks Kaan Ofli because he is a powerful, bullying fighter who will overwhelm Yi Zha with aggression. He notes that Yi Zha's record is padded with low-level competition and he does not have applicable skills for the UFC. Ofli's power and athleticism should be too much for Yi Zha.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yi Zha | 2 | 13 of 18 | 72% | 17 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Westin Wilson | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yi Zha | 2 | 13 of 18 | 72% | 17 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Westin Wilson | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yi Zha | 13 of 18 | 72% | 10 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 |
| Westin Wilson | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yi Zha | 13 of 18 | 72% | 10 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 |
| Westin Wilson | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is picking Yi Zha but with low confidence, calling the -400 odds an atrocity. He describes Yi Zha as a powerful grappler who uses kicks to manage range and is constantly looking for submissions, but can struggle to maintain position. He notes Westin Wilson is a karate-style striker who is very tall and can be hesitant. He ultimately picks Yi Zha because of his insane toughness shown in his last fight, but warns against betting on this fight.
Big Brady picks Yi Zha to win by first-round submission, noting that Yi Zha is a grappler who will take the fight to the mat and that Westin Wilson has been submitted four times by questionable competition. He acknowledges the -1200 line is ridiculous but believes Yi Zha should get the win. He predicts an armbar or rear-naked choke.
The host sees Yi Zha as a big favorite and expects him to wear down Wilson and eventually find a finish within a round and a half. He believes the finish will likely come by submission.
The MMA Guru picks Yi Zha to win by KO, citing his competitive performance against Gabriel Santos and a close fight with Lerone Murphy. He criticizes Westin Wilson's side-on stance, which leaves him open to fast lower-weight fighters. He notes that Wilson has been finished early before and is older (36-38), while Yi Zha has more experience and a better record. He concludes that he simply won't pick Wilson to win fights.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Santos | 0 | 41 of 92 | 44% | 96 of 160 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Yi Zha | 1 | 76 of 112 | 67% | 110 of 150 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 6:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Santos | 0 | 23 of 41 | 56% | 23 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Yi Zha | 1 | 46 of 73 | 63% | 46 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 2 | Gabriel Santos | 0 | 15 of 40 | 37% | 23 of 51 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Yi Zha | 0 | 19 of 27 | 70% | 32 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:23 | |
| 3 | Gabriel Santos | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 50 of 68 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Yi Zha | 0 | 11 of 12 | 91% | 32 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Santos | 41 of 92 | 44% | 26 of 71 | 8 of 13 | 7 of 8 | 40 of 90 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Yi Zha | 76 of 112 | 67% | 45 of 79 | 17 of 18 | 14 of 15 | 53 of 85 | 5 of 5 | 18 of 22 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Santos | 23 of 41 | 56% | 14 of 31 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 23 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Yi Zha | 46 of 73 | 63% | 23 of 48 | 12 of 13 | 11 of 12 | 34 of 57 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 12 | |
| 2 | Gabriel Santos | 15 of 40 | 37% | 11 of 33 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yi Zha | 19 of 27 | 70% | 12 of 20 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | |
| 3 | Gabriel Santos | 3 of 11 | 27% | 1 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Yi Zha | 11 of 12 | 91% | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 |
Angelo picks Yi Zha as an underdog because he is a powerful grappler who averages almost five takedowns per fight and is always looking for submissions. He believes Yi can find success even if Gabriel Santos gets the first takedown, and that Yi's grappling is good enough to stay safe and make something happen. He notes that Yi is plus 214 and may have value in prop bets like plus 3.5 rounds or win inside distance.
Big Brady picks Gabriel Santos to win by decision. He is very high on Santos despite his 0-2 UFC record, believing he was robbed against Murphy. Brady thinks Santos is better everywhere: better striker, and his BJJ black belt should neutralize Yi Zha's grappling. He notes Yi Zha's record is misleading and that Santos is much better than his record indicates.
Cody agrees with Paul, citing Santos' strong wrestling and striking. He notes Zha's takedown defense is poor and Santos has fought tougher competition. He expects Santos to neutralize Zha and win a decision or get a finish.
Daniel is a big fan of Santos's exciting style but acknowledges his defensive flaws. He criticizes Yi Zha's padded record and boring wrestling style. He thinks Santos's volume, pressure, and activity off his back will overwhelm Zha, and that Zha's takedowns won't be enough to win. He expects Santos to get his first UFC win.
Santos is the better mixed martial artist despite being 0-2 in the UFC. He has slick BJJ and striking, and should be able to handle Yi Zha's pressure and wrestling. Yi Zha is aggressive but leaves openings. Santos can reverse positions and win on the feet. The under 2.5 rounds at plus money is also favored due to both fighters' pace.
Paul picks Santos, noting his wrestling and striking are superior to Zha's. He believes Santos can take Zha down and control him, and has a better plan B if the wrestling fails. He acknowledges Santos' cardio concerns but thinks he can win two of three rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Gabriel Santos over Yi Zha. He dismisses Yi Zha's record as inflated from the Road to UFC show, noting that anyone good has beaten him. He praises Santos for taking Lerone Murphy to a split decision on short notice and for his training at a good gym. He notes Santos is on a two-fight losing streak but believes this is his last chance and he will win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Jeong-yeong | 0 | 25 of 57 | 43% | 66 of 105 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:50 |
| Yi Zha | 0 | 24 of 58 | 41% | 37 of 74 | 5 of 21 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 8:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Jeong-yeong | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 27 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Yi Zha | 0 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 8 of 11 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 4:15 | |
| 2 | Lee Jeong-yeong | 0 | 12 of 31 | 38% | 18 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Yi Zha | 0 | 9 of 28 | 32% | 12 of 31 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 1:19 | |
| 3 | Lee Jeong-yeong | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 21 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Yi Zha | 0 | 12 of 27 | 44% | 17 of 32 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 2:45 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Jeong-yeong | 25 of 57 | 43% | 18 of 50 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 49 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Yi Zha | 24 of 58 | 41% | 17 of 48 | 6 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 46 | 7 of 7 | 4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Jeong-yeong | 3 of 6 | 50% | 1 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Yi Zha | 3 of 3 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Lee Jeong-yeong | 12 of 31 | 38% | 10 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 27 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Yi Zha | 9 of 28 | 32% | 7 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Lee Jeong-yeong | 10 of 20 | 50% | 7 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yi Zha | 12 of 27 | 44% | 8 of 20 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 4 |
Big Brady highlights Lee's power and finishing ability, noting his quick finishes on Road to UFC. He thinks Yi Zha is uncomfortable on the feet and will be knocked out. He predicts a first-round knockout for Lee.
Cody picks Yi Zha as an underdog, noting his experience and wrestling advantage. He thinks Lee is untested and may struggle if taken down. He acknowledges Yi Zha's split decision win over Matsushima was controversial, but sees value at +210. He is not confident enough to bet but picks him for the show.
Connor agrees, adding that Korean fighters tend to cut weight well and Lee is a big, solidly built featherweight. He notes that Yi Zha's wrestling is aimless and lacks physicality, and that Lee's size will make it difficult for Yi to get takedowns. He expects Lee to shrug off grappling and land punches consistently.
Paul picks Lee for the show but is not confident. He notes Lee's quick finishes and power, but has many question marks due to lack of tape. He thinks Yi Zha is a guard puller who loses positions, but the line is too high. He prefers to pass on betting.
Zane sees Lee as a prototypical Korean prospect who plants his feet and trades, confident in his ability to land punches while accepting hits. He notes that Yi Zha is a wrestle-grappler with poor athleticism and shot wrestling, and that Lee's size and physicality will allow him to shrug off takedowns and land punches. He believes Lee's takedown defense is sufficient because he is expecting everything.
Westin Wilson - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yi Zha | 2 | 13 of 18 | 72% | 17 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Westin Wilson | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yi Zha | 2 | 13 of 18 | 72% | 17 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Westin Wilson | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yi Zha | 13 of 18 | 72% | 10 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 |
| Westin Wilson | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yi Zha | 13 of 18 | 72% | 10 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 |
| Westin Wilson | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is picking Yi Zha but with low confidence, calling the -400 odds an atrocity. He describes Yi Zha as a powerful grappler who uses kicks to manage range and is constantly looking for submissions, but can struggle to maintain position. He notes Westin Wilson is a karate-style striker who is very tall and can be hesitant. He ultimately picks Yi Zha because of his insane toughness shown in his last fight, but warns against betting on this fight.
Big Brady picks Yi Zha to win by first-round submission, noting that Yi Zha is a grappler who will take the fight to the mat and that Westin Wilson has been submitted four times by questionable competition. He acknowledges the -1200 line is ridiculous but believes Yi Zha should get the win. He predicts an armbar or rear-naked choke.
The host sees Yi Zha as a big favorite and expects him to wear down Wilson and eventually find a finish within a round and a half. He believes the finish will likely come by submission.
The MMA Guru picks Yi Zha to win by KO, citing his competitive performance against Gabriel Santos and a close fight with Lerone Murphy. He criticizes Westin Wilson's side-on stance, which leaves him open to fast lower-weight fighters. He notes that Wilson has been finished early before and is older (36-38), while Yi Zha has more experience and a better record. He concludes that he simply won't pick Wilson to win fights.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Westin Wilson | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 4 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Jeka Saragih | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 3 | 0 | 0:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Westin Wilson | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 4 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Jeka Saragih | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 3 | 0 | 0:35 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Westin Wilson | 4 of 8 | 50% | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Jeka Saragih | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Westin Wilson | 4 of 8 | 50% | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Jeka Saragih | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jeka, citing his one-punch power and the fact that Westin Wilson gets hit and has been knocked out. He notes Jeka also has grappling as a backup. He acknowledges Westin's length and karate style could cause trouble if Jeka headhunts and gasses, but ultimately believes Jeka's power is the difference. He suggests betting Jeka inside the distance or by KO.
Cody picks Westin Wilson as a live underdog, noting his size and reach advantage, and that Saragih is a low-volume striker with poor grappling. He acknowledges Wilson's poor chin but thinks he can use distance management and possibly submit Saragih. Cody calls it a 'sprinkle' and expects Wilson to either win by decision or get knocked out.
Daniel Vreeland is critical of Westin Wilson's athleticism, head movement, durability, and confidence at the UFC level. He believes Jeka Saragih, despite being green, has knockout power and will knock out Wilson. He sarcastically notes that Wilson is a favorable matchup for Saragih.
Jacob picks Jeka but does not trust him, recalling Jeka's previous loss as a lock of the week where he looked lost on the ground. He notes that Westin Wilson has been competitive against better fighters and can land shots that could clip Jeka. He thinks Jeka should win but is not confident and is not betting him.
Saragih has knockout power and should eventually find Wilson's chin and put him out. However, the odds are not worth it. Wilson is a poor man's Wonderboy and could be dangerous with a submission, but Saragih's power is the deciding factor.
Paul picks Jeka Saragih but is hesitant, noting that Saragih has power but is low-volume and has shown poor grappling. He thinks Saragih will likely land a big shot and knock out Wilson, but the price is too high for comfort. Paul prefers to look for a prop like Wilson by submission.
The MMA Guru picks Jeka Saragih, calling him a knockout artist with explosive power. He believes Saragih will land brutal KO shots early, referencing his spinning backfist and straight right hand. He dismisses Westin Wilson's flashy techniques and thinks Wilson has a good chin for KO shots, meaning Saragih will find the finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Silva | 0 | 11 of 36 | 30% | 11 of 36 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Westin Wilson | 1 | 25 of 36 | 69% | 25 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Silva | 0 | 11 of 36 | 30% | 11 of 36 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Westin Wilson | 1 | 25 of 36 | 69% | 25 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Silva | 11 of 36 | 30% | 8 of 28 | 0 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Westin Wilson | 25 of 36 | 69% | 24 of 32 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 23 of 34 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Silva | 11 of 36 | 30% | 8 of 28 | 0 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Westin Wilson | 25 of 36 | 69% | 24 of 32 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 23 of 34 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jean Silva, acknowledging his savage striking and creativity, but notes that the -800 odds are inflated due to low respect for Westin Wilson. He sees a small chance of Wilson winning via submission if he gets Silva to the ground, but considers it unlikely. He will not bet or parlay Silva at these odds for a UFC debutant.
Big Brady is very high on Jean Silva, citing his impressive performance on the Contender Series and his power. He criticizes Westin Wilson's lack of process and poor striking defense, predicting Silva will knock him out early. However, he warns that if the fight goes to the ground, Wilson is dangerous with submissions, but believes the knockout comes first.
Cody picks Silva, stating that Wilson doesn't belong in the UFC and has durability issues. He notes Silva's power and ability to finish, and that Wilson's long frame makes him prone to getting hit. He expects a first-round knockout, but acknowledges the price is too high to bet.
Daniel Vreeland picks Jean Silva to win in devastating fashion. He highlights Silva's highlight-reel finishes and toughness, contrasting with Wilson's non-committal style and weak chin. Vreeland expects Silva to get a knockout and become a fighter to watch.
James does not discuss this fight in the transcript.
Jean Silva is a 27-year-old debutant on a winning streak, training at MMA Fight Nerds under Kyle Bajayo. He uses unorthodox and flashy strikes to hurt opponents and has solid Jiu-Jitsu. Westin Wilson is a 34-year-old who is clearly not UFC-level, with losses to former UFC fighters and a short-notice debut loss. Wilson's karate style and blitz attacks are ineffective against higher competition. Silva should make quick work of Wilson, likely finishing him early. The under 1.5 rounds is chalky but likely to cash.
Paul picks Silva, agreeing that Wilson is not UFC caliber. He notes Silva's proven cardio from the Contender Series fight and believes he can go 15 minutes if needed. He thinks Silva will win, possibly by mixing in grappling, but the price is too high to bet.
The MMA Guru picks Jean Silva, dismissing Westin Wilson as not UFC level. He criticizes Wilson's padded record and losses to low-level opponents, including a loss to Teruto Ishihara. He believes Silva has a legitimate career and will win easily.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanderson Brito | 0 | 22 of 30 | 73% | 24 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:08 |
| Westin Wilson | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 14 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanderson Brito | 0 | 22 of 30 | 73% | 24 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:08 |
| Westin Wilson | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 14 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanderson Brito | 22 of 30 | 73% | 21 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 17 |
| Westin Wilson | 4 of 8 | 50% | 0 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joanderson Brito | 22 of 30 | 73% | 21 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 17 |
| Westin Wilson | 4 of 8 | 50% | 0 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Brito (-1400), Wilson (+850)
Round 1
The biggest betting favorite on the card by a country mile, Brito (14-3-1, 2-1 UFC) at -1400 odds is widely expected to blaze through his short-notice replacement foe. Rather than fighting Khusein Askhabov, the well-traveled Wilson (16-7, 0-0 UFC) steps in for his UFC debut as around a +800 underdog. The sport is a wild one and even massive favorites can lose – just look at Kutateladze earlier tonight – and Wilson does celebrate a 100% finish rate across his 16 pro victories. Referee Chris Tognoni will need to be on his A-game for what should be a fast and furious affair for as long as it lasts. Before the two featherweights engage, they touch gloves to signal they are glad to be competing tonight. Brito is the one to push the pace early, and Wilson fades back and eats a right hand. Brito wings another overhand right, and Wilson is out of the way in time. The karate style and stance from Wilson works against him, as Brito busts him in the chops with a pair of furious hooks. Wilson wobbles back to the fence, and Brito is so aggressive that Wilson grabs him to slow him down. Brito wings a right hand over the top, and Wilson responds with a potential trip attempt. Brito presses Wilson tightly on the fence, and he takes a knee to the chest. Brito slings him to the mat, and Wilson pulls on the cage with his toes. Brito lands in side control, keeping his shoulder pressed tightly on the Utah native. Wilson is again warned for grabbing the fence, and Brito stands up and grabs it to fight off a sudden, unexpected leglock. Tognoni swats his fingers out of the fence, and Brito drops down and busts Wilson in the face with a right hand.
Wilson latches on to a sudden kneebar, and Brito pushes off and batters Wilson with thunderous right hands. As Wilson hangs on, rolled to his side with the submission no longer a serious option, Brito does not let him off the hook. “Tubarao” concludes his bombardment with fierce flurry of fists, and Tognoni jumps in to stop the fight as Wilson’s lights go out.
The enormous favorite made short work of the late replacement, having now performed three first-round finishes in a row. An energized Brito loudly and angrily calls out Dan Ige for a future fight, flipping off double birds and calling for a main event spot. If not Ige, he will also take Alex Caceres, as he is very interested in a ranked adversary.
The Official Result
Joanderson Brito def. Westin Wilson R1 2:54 via KO (Punches)
Angelo picks Joanderson Brito to win inside the distance. He describes Brito as an absolute savage with fast, athletic striking and solid top pressure. He believes Westin Wilson, despite high fight IQ, is outmatched by Brito's size, strength, and aggression. He plans to parlay Brito if under -400 or bet the finish prop.
Big Brady picks Joanderson Brito to win by first-round knockout, calling it one of the most lopsided matchups he's ever seen. He notes Wilson has no takedown defense, poor striking defense, and has been knocked out several times. Brito is a black belt in BJJ with power and can finish anywhere. Brady expects a finish within the first 60 seconds.
Cody is very confident Brito wins, likely by submission. He notes Brito's significant advantages in striking, wrestling, and grappling. Wilson is a regional fighter making his UFC debut at 34, with losses to lower-level competition. Cody thinks Brito will take him down and submit him, possibly by rear-naked choke. He prefers the submission prop at +200.
Daniel confidently picks Brito to finish Wilson, predicting a first-round submission. He notes Brito's high ceiling, as praised by UFC matchmakers, and his dangerous grappling. He sees Wilson as a 'kill or be killed' fighter who will be outmatched physically and technically. He expects Brito to dominate wherever the fight goes, and calls it a mismatch.
Paul agrees Brito wins inside the distance, likely by KO. He notes the huge disparity in experience and skill, with Wilson being a career regional fighter. Paul thinks Brito will knock him out by backing him up and landing a big shot. He mentions Brito's cauliflower ears as a sign of his toughness.
The Guru picks Joanderson Brito, noting his momentum with two wins in a row over decent competition, including a KO and a submission. He believes Brito's grappling will be too much for Westin Wilson, who trains at Upstate Karate with Stephen Thompson but has a tendency to give up his back. He predicts a rear-naked choke submission in the first round.
Expert Picks (4)
Angelo is picking Yi Zha but with low confidence, calling the -400 odds an atrocity. He describes Yi Zha as a powerful grappler who uses kicks to manage range and is constantly looking for submissions, but can struggle to maintain position. He notes Westin Wilson is a karate-style striker who is very tall and can be hesitant. He ultimately picks Yi Zha because of his insane toughness shown in his last fight, but warns against betting on this fight.
Big Brady picks Yi Zha to win by first-round submission, noting that Yi Zha is a grappler who will take the fight to the mat and that Westin Wilson has been submitted four times by questionable competition. He acknowledges the -1200 line is ridiculous but believes Yi Zha should get the win. He predicts an armbar or rear-naked choke.
The host sees Yi Zha as a big favorite and expects him to wear down Wilson and eventually find a finish within a round and a half. He believes the finish will likely come by submission.
The MMA Guru picks Yi Zha to win by KO, citing his competitive performance against Gabriel Santos and a close fight with Lerone Murphy. He criticizes Westin Wilson's side-on stance, which leaves him open to fast lower-weight fighters. He notes that Wilson has been finished early before and is older (36-38), while Yi Zha has more experience and a better record. He concludes that he simply won't pick Wilson to win fights.
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