Career Averages - Danny Barlow
Career Averages - Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos
Danny Barlow - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Barlow | 0 | 93 of 171 | 54% | 106 of 186 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 0 | 99 of 216 | 45% | 109 of 232 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 32 of 49 | 65% | 32 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 0 | 27 of 49 | 55% | 27 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 45 of 83 | 54% | 45 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 0 | 42 of 105 | 40% | 42 of 105 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 16 of 39 | 41% | 29 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 0 | 30 of 62 | 48% | 40 of 78 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:55 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Barlow | 93 of 171 | 54% | 56 of 129 | 12 of 15 | 25 of 27 | 92 of 170 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 99 of 216 | 45% | 74 of 182 | 11 of 18 | 14 of 16 | 95 of 211 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Barlow | 32 of 49 | 65% | 8 of 24 | 5 of 6 | 19 of 19 | 32 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 27 of 49 | 55% | 17 of 37 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 7 | 27 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Danny Barlow | 45 of 83 | 54% | 32 of 68 | 7 of 8 | 6 of 7 | 45 of 83 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 42 of 105 | 40% | 35 of 93 | 4 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 42 of 105 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Danny Barlow | 16 of 39 | 41% | 16 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 15 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 30 of 62 | 48% | 22 of 52 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 26 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 |
Angelo picks Jordan Santos (Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos) as an underdog, citing his high volume striking and forward pressure. He notes Danny Barlow struggles when backing up and may not land a knockout. Santos's insane volume and toughness make him a great dog at $7,000.
Big Brady dismisses Barlow's loss to Sam Patterson as not a bad look, while heavily criticizing Santos for losing to Azie Diaz. He thinks Barlow has UFC wins and power, while Santos is not UFC caliber. He predicts Barlow will knock out Santos, noting Santos eats a lot of punches and Barlow has power.
Cody picks Santos, citing his volume and durability. He notes Barlow is moving up to 185 and may not carry power. Santos trains at American Top Team and has better cardio. Cody expects Santos to outwork Barlow and win by decision.
Connor picks Danny Barlow, emphasizing Barlow's superior athleticism and cleaner technique. He notes that Santos is a messy brawler who is wide open and uncoordinated, and that Barlow's straight shots and speed should be decisive. However, Connor cautions that Barlow is not that good and the odds are too wide.
James is confident in Barlow due to his speed advantage moving up from welterweight and superior striking. He notes Barlow's chin issues but believes moving up in weight will help. James predicts a knockout in rounds 2 or 3 as Barlow's left hand piles up.
The host thinks Barlow has a good matchup to bounce back from his first pro loss. He expects Barlow to counter Santos' volume-heavy approach effectively, landing a straight left down the pipe and winning by knockout.
Paul picks Santos, citing Barlow's lack of volume and questionable cardio. He notes Barlow's wins have been unimpressive and he struggled against Veretennikov. Santos's pressure and volume will be key. Paul expects Santos to win by decision.
The MMA Guru picks Danny Barlow to spark out Jorgen De Castro (Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos) in round one. He considers it a mismatch, noting De Castro's close fight with Ozzy Diaz and his hittability on the feet. He believes Barlow's speed will be too much and predicts a first-round KO.
Zane also picks Barlow, noting that Barlow has real athletic gifts and throws good straight shots, while Santos is a messy brawler who got away with things against a poor opponent. Zane expects Barlow to win but thinks it will be a struggle, and that the odds are too wide given Barlow's struggles against better competition.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Barlow | 0 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 15 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Patterson | 1 | 18 of 34 | 52% | 18 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 15 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Patterson | 1 | 18 of 34 | 52% | 18 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Barlow | 15 of 30 | 50% | 10 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 15 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Patterson | 18 of 34 | 52% | 14 of 28 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Barlow | 15 of 30 | 50% | 10 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 15 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Patterson | 18 of 34 | 52% | 14 of 28 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
Angelo picks Danny Barlow, noting his longer reach and better use of range compared to Sam Patterson, who relies too much on his length. He believes Barlow will control the striking and potentially find a finish, though he has concerns about Barlow's ground game if the fight goes there. He sees Patterson as unlikely to win.
Big Brady picks Danny Barlow, citing his powerful left hand and Sam Patterson's poor striking defense. He notes Patterson's chin is exposed and he's been knocked out before. He predicts a first-round knockout, but warns that if the fight goes to the ground, Patterson could be dangerous.
Connor picks Barlow all day, emphasizing that Patterson's defense is still awful and he is unconscionably hittable. He notes that Barlow has size parity and is a good athlete who fights at range, which will force Patterson to reach and expose his chin. Connor recalls his previous criticism of Patterson and sees this as a clear win for Barlow.
The host expects a fun striking battle where Patterson may try to take the fight to the ground, but Barlow's wrestling defense will keep it upright. He believes Barlow's power striking, specifically his left straight, will catch Patterson and knock him out clean.
The Guru picks Sam Patterson as an underdog over Danny Barlow. He believes Patterson's grappling and reach advantage will be key, and that he can avoid Barlow's power. He notes Patterson's submission wins at 170 and his experience at 155. He predicts a submission win, likely a rear-naked choke in the first or second round.
Zane picks Barlow confidently, noting that Barlow is a long-range outboxer who just fought a similar tall fighter and was comfortable. He points out that Patterson's defense is awful and his chin is exposed, and Barlow has size parity, negating Patterson's usual advantages. Zane sees this as a nightmare matchup for Patterson.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Barlow | 0 | 47 of 99 | 47% | 52 of 107 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:16 |
| Nikolay Veretennikov | 0 | 50 of 92 | 54% | 59 of 101 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 17 of 32 | 53% | 18 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Nikolay Veretennikov | 0 | 10 of 15 | 66% | 10 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 11 of 25 | 44% | 15 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
| Nikolay Veretennikov | 0 | 11 of 29 | 37% | 19 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 3 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 19 of 42 | 45% | 19 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Nikolay Veretennikov | 0 | 29 of 48 | 60% | 30 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Barlow | 47 of 99 | 47% | 25 of 63 | 7 of 13 | 15 of 23 | 46 of 98 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Nikolay Veretennikov | 50 of 92 | 54% | 23 of 59 | 22 of 28 | 5 of 5 | 45 of 87 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Barlow | 17 of 32 | 53% | 5 of 14 | 4 of 7 | 8 of 11 | 17 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Nikolay Veretennikov | 10 of 15 | 66% | 2 of 5 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Danny Barlow | 11 of 25 | 44% | 7 of 16 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 6 | 10 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Nikolay Veretennikov | 11 of 29 | 37% | 3 of 18 | 5 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Danny Barlow | 19 of 42 | 45% | 13 of 33 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 6 | 19 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Nikolay Veretennikov | 29 of 48 | 60% | 18 of 36 | 10 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 28 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Barlow (-355), Veretennikov (+280)
Round 1
Welterweights are next to the stage, as the undefeated Barlow (8-0, 1-0 UFC) takes on Veretennikov (12-4, 0-0 UFC) in a three-round attraction. Barlow, who missed weight, has stopped six of his first eight opponents, five of them inside one round. Beltran administers the law and order. Glove touch gets us started. Feeling-out process unfolds. Inside leg kick from Barlow, who gets warned for extending his fingers. Veretennikov targets the body with a right hand. Barlow jumps into a knee to the body, then swipes away a front kick from his opponent. Standing hammerfist from Barlow, who steps into a left hand moments later. Barlow heavy on the kicks so far. Inside leg kick from the Memphis, Tennessee, native. Veretennikov crashes into the clinch but goes nowhere. Barlow extricates himself and floats back into open space. Barlow shoots a left hand, dodges the return fire and jumps into another knee. Front kick to the body from Veretennikov. Neither man has seized the initiative yet. Back-to-back body kicks from Barlow. They clinch in the center of the cage. Veretennikov avoids the takedown. Barlow misses a left hand over the top and wanders into the clinch once more. The horn sounds while Barlow was completing a takedown.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Barlow
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Barlow
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Barlow
Round 2
Barlow probes with low kicks. Veretennikov seems a little gun-shy to this point. Barlow counters a leg kick with an overhand left. Jabs from Barlow, though not much behind them. Veretennikov blocks a head kick. Output an issue for both welterweights. Jab from Barlow, who avoids a two-punch volley from the Kazakhstan native. They circle one another in the center of the cage. Jab from Barlow. Midway through the round. Barlow walks him into a clubbing left hand and forces Veretennikov to briefly shell up. He engages Barlow in the clinch but loses the battle for head position and winds up with his back to the fence. Barlow feeds him knees to the legs. A knee from Veretennikov strays south of the border and prompts Beltran to pause the action. They restart in the clinch. Ninety seconds on the clock. Barlow bails on double underhooks and moves back to the center of the cage. Veretennikov throws out his jab but fails to find a home for it. Jab from Barlow, who is doing just enough to stay in front. Uneventful round.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Barlow
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Barlow
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Barlow
Round 3
Veretennikov tests the waters with his jab, but his punches lack conviction. He airmails an overhand right. Barlow alternating stances. Veretennikov steps into a right hand to the chest, fires an overhand behind it and wanders into the clinch. Front kick to the body from Veretennikov. One-two narrowly misses for the newcomer. Barlow chops away with punches. Veretennikov answers with a multi-punch volley. He then clips Barlow with a right hand and follows up with sharp jabs. Veretennikov lands a left hand over the top. Barlow responds with a jab. Leg kick from Barlow. Veretennikov picking up the pace with his jabs, finally showing some urgency. He steps into a right hand and sneaks in a looping left hook. Barlow on the defensive here, perhaps believing he has already salted away two rounds. Thirty seconds left. They trade left hands. Veretennikov plods forward, throws shots with both hands and connects with a body kick. He lands a right hand over the top before the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Veretennikov (29-28 Barlow)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Veretennikov (29-28 Barlow)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Veretennikov (29-28 Barlow)
The Official Result
Danny Barlow def. Nikolay Veretennikov—Split Decision (29-28, 27-30, 29-28)
Angelo picks Danny Barlow due to his well-roundedness and range striking, but is hesitant because Barlow is unproven with only 8 fights and the odds are too wide at 3-to-1. He notes that Veretennikov is durable, powerful, and pressures forward, which could exploit Barlow's weakness against pressure. He advises staying away from betting this fight due to lack of value.
Barlow is a talented prospect with speed and power, especially his straight left. He has good takedown defense and should showcase it against Veretennikov, who may look to grapple. Barlow's striking advantage should lead to a knockout within the first two rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Danny Barlow, noting his reach advantage (79 inches) and power. He acknowledges Veretennikov's good first round against Michael Morales but worries about his short notice and tendency to slow down. He predicts a first-round TKO for Barlow, calling it a 'star-making performance.'
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Barlow | 0 | 39 of 90 | 43% | 39 of 90 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Quinlan | 1 | 95 of 185 | 51% | 96 of 186 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 11 of 37 | 29% | 11 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Quinlan | 0 | 35 of 69 | 50% | 35 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 21 of 41 | 51% | 21 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Quinlan | 0 | 36 of 79 | 45% | 36 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Josh Quinlan | 1 | 24 of 37 | 64% | 25 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Barlow | 39 of 90 | 43% | 22 of 68 | 14 of 18 | 3 of 4 | 39 of 90 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Quinlan | 95 of 185 | 51% | 77 of 161 | 13 of 18 | 5 of 6 | 88 of 175 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Barlow | 11 of 37 | 29% | 6 of 28 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Quinlan | 35 of 69 | 50% | 23 of 55 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 35 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Danny Barlow | 21 of 41 | 51% | 12 of 31 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Quinlan | 36 of 79 | 45% | 32 of 71 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 36 of 79 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Danny Barlow | 7 of 12 | 58% | 4 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Josh Quinlan | 24 of 37 | 64% | 22 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 8 |
Angelo picks Danny Barlow but thinks the line is crazy and the fight should be closer to a pick'em. He notes Barlow's patience, power, and grappling, while Quinlan struggled to get his hands going in his last fight. He believes Barlow can control the striking pace.
Big Brady picks Danny Barlow to win by first-round knockout. He highlights Barlow's massive 80-inch reach (8-inch advantage), devastating left hand, and power. He notes that Josh Quinlan struggled against Trey Waters' reach and that Barlow hits much harder. He believes Quinlan's never been knocked out but that will change here, with Barlow landing a big shot early.
Cody picks Barlow, sharing a story about Barlow's punching power at a Nashville event. He notes Quinlan's inactivity and poor performance after his suspension. He believes Barlow's power and skills will be too much for Quinlan, who is primarily a striker. He expects a knockout.
Daniel picks Danny Barlow as well, agreeing with Jeff. He notes that Barlow is a big, long knockout artist facing a guy on less than a full camp. He thinks Barlow's reach and power will be too much for Quinlan.
Daniel Vreeland picks Josh Quinlan at dog odds, but admits he is not confident. He notes Quinlan's heavy hitting and BJJ black belt, while Barlow is green. He says if forced, he takes the plus money, but is not betting this fight.
Jeff picks Danny Barlow, citing his range and power. He notes that Barlow's nickname 'Left Hand of God' is fitting as he puts people out with that hand. He points out that Quinlan is on short notice and that Barlow shares similarities with Quinlan's last opponent, Trey Waters, who outworked him. He sees great value on Barlow.
Barlow is a solid striker with power and speed, especially from southpaw. He has a wrestling background to defend takedowns. Quinlan may rely on BJJ but Barlow keeps it upright and finds a knockout in the first or second round.
Paul picks Barlow, noting his speed and slick striking from Contender Series. He mentions Quinlan's poor performance after a USADA suspension and questions his activity. He sees Barlow as the rightful favorite and a good parlay piece.
The MMA Guru picks Danny Barlow, calling him 'nasty work' with explosive but composed striking. He notes Barlow's seven-inch reach advantage and believes he can keep Quinlan at range and sting him with vicious shots. He predicts a brutal first-round KO, citing Quinlan's limitations shown against Trey Waters.
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baisangur Susurkaev | 0 | 107 of 213 | 50% | 136 of 242 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 | 0 | 2:16 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 0 | 78 of 211 | 36% | 89 of 222 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baisangur Susurkaev | 0 | 21 of 58 | 36% | 21 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 0 | 19 of 58 | 32% | 19 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Baisangur Susurkaev | 0 | 56 of 104 | 53% | 66 of 114 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 0 | 45 of 108 | 41% | 51 of 114 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 | |
| 3 | Baisangur Susurkaev | 0 | 30 of 51 | 58% | 49 of 70 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 2:16 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 0 | 14 of 45 | 31% | 19 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baisangur Susurkaev | 107 of 213 | 50% | 56 of 143 | 31 of 48 | 20 of 22 | 98 of 202 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 9 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 78 of 211 | 36% | 69 of 198 | 5 of 8 | 4 of 5 | 70 of 201 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baisangur Susurkaev | 21 of 58 | 36% | 6 of 34 | 7 of 15 | 8 of 9 | 21 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 19 of 58 | 32% | 15 of 53 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 18 of 55 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Baisangur Susurkaev | 56 of 104 | 53% | 29 of 69 | 17 of 24 | 10 of 11 | 54 of 102 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 45 of 108 | 41% | 42 of 102 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 40 of 103 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Baisangur Susurkaev | 30 of 51 | 58% | 21 of 40 | 7 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 23 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 9 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 14 of 45 | 31% | 12 of 43 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 43 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Susurkaev (-625), Santos (+455)
Round 1
Multiple bouts tonight feature nearly prohibitive betting lines, and this is one of them. Undefeated Chechen finisher Susurkaev (11-0, 2-0 UFC) has most of the bettors on his side as he pushes a line around -800, but he will not be the most highly favored athlete from that perspective tonight. Odds don’t fight, and Santos (11-2, 1-1 UFC) will instead as he tries to stage quite an upset. The middleweights will receive oversight from referee Gasper Oliver, and they acknowledge him and one another with a fist bump.
It is a cautious hand-fighting strategy from the two that starts things off, with Susurkaev eventually offering out a front kick to the midsection about 20 seconds in. Susurkaev sinks a low kick on his intended target before dodging a few kicks, and he just misses a head kick and celebrates his own handiwork. Santos moves in, so Susurkaev greets him with a one-two and a body kick. Santos catches it and dodges a spinning elbow, pawing out a right hand to force Susurkaev to wipe his nose. Santos swats out with a jab and a shovel uppercut, chopping at the front leg as well when Susurkaev shrugs at him. Susurkaev lines up two right hands over the top, and the Brazilian wears them well and checks a low kick to hurl a right hand up top. Susurkaev keeps chewing up the front leg, which is lumped up and beaten already.
Susurkaev switches stances to lull Santos in, and he comes up hitting nothing when he spins with a back kick. He settles down and hammers the front leg with a slapping kick, lunging after it with a right hand. Santos pays him back with a one-two, and he gets popped when standing around too long with a long, straight right hand. Susurkaev ducks a punch to shoot in on the hips, but Santos shuts him down and forces him to stand again. The middleweights trade blows one after the other, seeing the reaction from one before swinging back. As Santos lands a solid right hand, Susurkaev slips and looks at his footing. Santos jabs and power punches have marked up Susurkaev’s face, with a shiner developing around the right eye and a shallow cut on the bridge of his nose. Santos flicks out his jab, dodges a high kick and motions at it. Susurkaev spins with something else upstairs, and Santos evades that as well and showboats a little more as the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Susurkaev
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Susurkaev
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Susurkaev
Round 2
Fists are bumped, and Santos immediately follows it with his jab. Santos found its home regularly towards the end of the first round, and he is repeating the success and giving Susurkaev fits. Susurkaev loads up with heavy power to get Santos to slow down, but it is instead drawing a firefight out of the Brazilian. Susurkaev slips a left hand around the guard, and Santos doubles up his jab and puts a one-two after it. Susurkaev wades face-first into an uppercut, and he sweeps the leg with a hard kick. Santos remains on his feet and drills Susurkaev with an overhand right. Susurkaev reels and fires one back. Santos partially checks a leg kick and has hands to deal with shortly thereafter. Santos gets in the pocket to trade, eating a right hand behind the hear and pushing off with an uppercut. Santos strings several punches together, catching his opponent at least once more twice in the midst of his lengthy combos. Susurkaev punches and kicks him back, varying his offense well to drive Santos back.
Susurkaev confidently presses forward, landing punches in bunches. Santos is still very much in this one, throwing almost as often as Susurkaev swings at him. Santos goes to the well a few times with spins, never thumping Susurkaev with one but coming close. He manages to grab hold of the Russian and bully him to the wall, and when fans start booing, Susurkaev encourages them to get louder. Santos decides against a level change and backs off, putting his jab right back in Susurkaev’s face. Santos sways back to absorb a right hand up top, and his blows bounce Susurkaev off the wall. Susurkaev scores to get Santos’ attention, and Santos dings him with an elbow. Susurkaev has a low kick checked and sets up an elbow to stagger Santos. Susurkaev splits a cut open on the top of Santos’ forehead, with blood leaking down his face right into his eye. The horn sounds with hands and feet flying every which way.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Susurkaev
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Susurkaev
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Susurkaev
Round 3
Santos strides out of his corner loaded for bear, and he puts hands on Susurkaev almost immediately. Susurkaev spins twice, landing both times with them, and he rips an elbow as Santos meanders towards him. Susurkaev takes a left hand he goes not like, so he has to take a moment to blink it out and chop down with a low kick. Santos takes a right hand on the chin without batting an eye, and Susurkaev follows it with two more, a low kick and a level change. Santos leans himself on the fencing to stay afloat, with Susurkaev grabbing him from behind. Santos posts off the floor to adjust his position, and he breaks out of the clinch only to take a flush uppercut on the chin. Susurkaev is too close to score a head kick, and he takes a flush right hand and shrugs at Santos like a Diaz brother. Santos throws valiantly, and Susurkaev starts talking to him, telling him to bring it on. When Santos is about to engage, Susurkaev shoots for a takedown.
Susurkaev pushes Santos to the wall, with Santos clinging to a high standing guillotine. Susurkaev works the body with his free right hand while appearing overall unconcerned about the choke effort. Santos leans back, but he still does not have the leverage he is seeking to make it tight. Santos knees the body once or twice before Susurkaev redoubles his effort in to get hold of a single. He lifts Santos in the air and slams him down to his other leg, where he begins to smack Santos in the back of the head while Santos is scrambling. Santos works his way to the fencing, but he leaves his neck exposed so he can work back up. Susurkaev snatches up this opportunity in a hurry, wrapping a rear-naked choke up and securing it under the chin. Santos turns over, looking for any way to take off the leverage, but this is not the best plan.
The choke around his throat is disablingly tight, as Santos’ resistance quickly fade as his arms go limp. Oliver sees this and needs to slap Susurkaev on the sides a few times to release the submission.
It may have taken the unbeaten fighter 14-plus minutes to get the stoppage, but he keeps his 0 and hands the Brazilian his first finish defeat.
The Official Result
Baisangur Susurkaev def. Djorden Santos R3 4:12 via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo picks Baisangor but is not confident in the value at the current odds. He notes that Baisangor had trouble with Eric McConico's pressure and that Jordan Santos could do the same with his high volume. He expects a competitive fight and will stay away from betting on it.
Angelo picks Baisangur Susurkaev, stating he is more dangerous and well-rounded. He notes Susurkaev's power, flashy techniques, and solid takedown defense. He acknowledges Santos is tough and busy, and that Susurkaev had some trouble in his last fight. He expects the odds to be too expensive (minus 1000) and advises against betting unless the line is better.
Big Brady confidently picks Baisangur Susurkaev, noting he is better everywhere and should win easily. However, he criticizes Susurkaev for showboating and not finishing fights, as seen in his previous performances. Brady expects Susurkaev to win by decision rather than finish, given his tendency to mess around.
Cody picks Susurkaev, citing his power and wrestling advantage. He notes Santos's volume but thinks Susurkaev's power and grappling will be too much. Cody expects Susurkaev to win, possibly by knockout.
Connor also picks Susurkaev confidently, emphasizing his athleticism and ability to control the pace. He notes that Susurkaev is defensively mindful enough to avoid trouble and has the confidence to overwhelm Santos. Connor expects Susurkaev to 'dance all over Santos' and finish him if needed.
Daniel picks Susurkaev, praising his striking style influenced by Anderson Silva and Nick Diaz, and his confidence. He acknowledges Santos' inspiring story but believes Susurkaev is a special talent who will show out.
The host does not bet this fight. He notes Susurkaev is a big favorite (1.14) but unplayable due to wide odds. He mentions Santos has weaknesses but could be a live underdog. He considers the over 1.5 rounds at 1.64 interesting but does not lock it in, preferring to do more research.
Predicted method: KO/TKO Round 1. Susurkaev is undefeated with two finishes, showing KO power and submission skills, while Santos is making his UFC debut with a 0-0 record and has been knocked out in his only professional fight. Susurkaev's reach advantage (79" vs 75") and takedown threat (2.76 per round) will be too much for Santos, who has poor striking defense (48%). This is a clear mismatch; Susurkaev should win by knockout or submission in the first round.
Jacob is high on Jordan Santos, calling him an 'absolute killer' and a 'zombie' who keeps coming forward. He believes Santos's jab and calf kicks will be effective against Baisangor's cocky style, and that if Baisangor doesn't get an early knockout, he will be in trouble. Jacob thinks Santos will ruin parlays and that this is the fight where Baisangor gets caught.
Lucrative James picks Baisangur Susurkaev because he believes Susurkaev has multiple paths to victory, including striking and grappling. He notes that Susurkaev has been immature in past fights but expects him to be more serious here. He predicts Susurkaev wins by submission, as he respects Santos' chin but thinks Susurkaev's jiu-jitsu will be the difference.
The host picks Susurkaev by knockout, citing his slick striking, power, and speed. He notes that Santos is hittable and reckless entering the pocket, which will allow Susurkaev to find a big shot. He is slightly queasy about the -650 moneyline but likes the KO prop at +125. He acknowledges Santos has durability but believes Susurkaev's sniping style will prevail.
Paul picks Susurkaev, citing his power and grappling. He notes Santos's volume but thinks Susurkaev's power and wrestling will be decisive. Paul expects Susurkaev to win.
The MMA Guru picks Baisangur Susurkaev, noting he is a heavy favorite at -700. He acknowledges Santos is a crafty vet who can make it messy, but believes Susurkaev has overcome tricky situations before, like against Tom Nolan. He thinks Susurkaev is being given a showcase opponent and should win, though he's not fully sold on the hype.
Zane is confident in Susurkaev, noting his speed, confidence, and well-rounded game. He contrasts Susurkaev's playful, experimental style with Santos's slow, cumbersome approach. Zane believes Susurkaev will easily outclass Santos and if Santos has a moment, Susurkaev will respond with aggression rather than doubt.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Barlow | 0 | 93 of 171 | 54% | 106 of 186 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 0 | 99 of 216 | 45% | 109 of 232 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 32 of 49 | 65% | 32 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 0 | 27 of 49 | 55% | 27 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 45 of 83 | 54% | 45 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 0 | 42 of 105 | 40% | 42 of 105 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Danny Barlow | 0 | 16 of 39 | 41% | 29 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 0 | 30 of 62 | 48% | 40 of 78 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:55 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Barlow | 93 of 171 | 54% | 56 of 129 | 12 of 15 | 25 of 27 | 92 of 170 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 99 of 216 | 45% | 74 of 182 | 11 of 18 | 14 of 16 | 95 of 211 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Barlow | 32 of 49 | 65% | 8 of 24 | 5 of 6 | 19 of 19 | 32 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 27 of 49 | 55% | 17 of 37 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 7 | 27 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Danny Barlow | 45 of 83 | 54% | 32 of 68 | 7 of 8 | 6 of 7 | 45 of 83 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 42 of 105 | 40% | 35 of 93 | 4 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 42 of 105 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Danny Barlow | 16 of 39 | 41% | 16 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 15 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 30 of 62 | 48% | 22 of 52 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 26 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 |
Angelo picks Jordan Santos (Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos) as an underdog, citing his high volume striking and forward pressure. He notes Danny Barlow struggles when backing up and may not land a knockout. Santos's insane volume and toughness make him a great dog at $7,000.
Big Brady dismisses Barlow's loss to Sam Patterson as not a bad look, while heavily criticizing Santos for losing to Azie Diaz. He thinks Barlow has UFC wins and power, while Santos is not UFC caliber. He predicts Barlow will knock out Santos, noting Santos eats a lot of punches and Barlow has power.
Cody picks Santos, citing his volume and durability. He notes Barlow is moving up to 185 and may not carry power. Santos trains at American Top Team and has better cardio. Cody expects Santos to outwork Barlow and win by decision.
Connor picks Danny Barlow, emphasizing Barlow's superior athleticism and cleaner technique. He notes that Santos is a messy brawler who is wide open and uncoordinated, and that Barlow's straight shots and speed should be decisive. However, Connor cautions that Barlow is not that good and the odds are too wide.
James is confident in Barlow due to his speed advantage moving up from welterweight and superior striking. He notes Barlow's chin issues but believes moving up in weight will help. James predicts a knockout in rounds 2 or 3 as Barlow's left hand piles up.
The host thinks Barlow has a good matchup to bounce back from his first pro loss. He expects Barlow to counter Santos' volume-heavy approach effectively, landing a straight left down the pipe and winning by knockout.
Paul picks Santos, citing Barlow's lack of volume and questionable cardio. He notes Barlow's wins have been unimpressive and he struggled against Veretennikov. Santos's pressure and volume will be key. Paul expects Santos to win by decision.
The MMA Guru picks Danny Barlow to spark out Jorgen De Castro (Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos) in round one. He considers it a mismatch, noting De Castro's close fight with Ozzy Diaz and his hittability on the feet. He believes Barlow's speed will be too much and predicts a first-round KO.
Zane also picks Barlow, noting that Barlow has real athletic gifts and throws good straight shots, while Santos is a messy brawler who got away with things against a poor opponent. Zane expects Barlow to win but thinks it will be a struggle, and that the odds are too wide given Barlow's struggles against better competition.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 0 | 131 of 345 | 37% | 134 of 348 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Ozzy Diaz | 0 | 135 of 261 | 51% | 136 of 262 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 0 | 25 of 70 | 35% | 25 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ozzy Diaz | 0 | 20 of 36 | 55% | 20 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 0 | 49 of 135 | 36% | 49 of 135 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Ozzy Diaz | 0 | 51 of 97 | 52% | 51 of 97 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 0 | 57 of 140 | 40% | 60 of 143 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Ozzy Diaz | 0 | 64 of 128 | 50% | 65 of 129 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 131 of 345 | 37% | 115 of 323 | 8 of 14 | 8 of 8 | 130 of 342 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Ozzy Diaz | 135 of 261 | 51% | 119 of 240 | 9 of 13 | 7 of 8 | 130 of 255 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 25 of 70 | 35% | 17 of 61 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 25 of 70 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ozzy Diaz | 20 of 36 | 55% | 16 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 5 | 20 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 49 of 135 | 36% | 45 of 128 | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 49 of 135 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ozzy Diaz | 51 of 97 | 52% | 46 of 92 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 51 of 97 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos | 57 of 140 | 40% | 53 of 134 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 56 of 137 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Ozzy Diaz | 64 of 128 | 50% | 57 of 118 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 59 of 122 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo picks Jordan Santos (Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos) as an underdog, citing his high volume striking and forward pressure. He notes Danny Barlow struggles when backing up and may not land a knockout. Santos's insane volume and toughness make him a great dog at $7,000.
Big Brady dismisses Barlow's loss to Sam Patterson as not a bad look, while heavily criticizing Santos for losing to Azie Diaz. He thinks Barlow has UFC wins and power, while Santos is not UFC caliber. He predicts Barlow will knock out Santos, noting Santos eats a lot of punches and Barlow has power.
Cody picks Santos, citing his volume and durability. He notes Barlow is moving up to 185 and may not carry power. Santos trains at American Top Team and has better cardio. Cody expects Santos to outwork Barlow and win by decision.
Connor picks Danny Barlow, emphasizing Barlow's superior athleticism and cleaner technique. He notes that Santos is a messy brawler who is wide open and uncoordinated, and that Barlow's straight shots and speed should be decisive. However, Connor cautions that Barlow is not that good and the odds are too wide.
James is confident in Barlow due to his speed advantage moving up from welterweight and superior striking. He notes Barlow's chin issues but believes moving up in weight will help. James predicts a knockout in rounds 2 or 3 as Barlow's left hand piles up.
The host thinks Barlow has a good matchup to bounce back from his first pro loss. He expects Barlow to counter Santos' volume-heavy approach effectively, landing a straight left down the pipe and winning by knockout.
Paul picks Santos, citing Barlow's lack of volume and questionable cardio. He notes Barlow's wins have been unimpressive and he struggled against Veretennikov. Santos's pressure and volume will be key. Paul expects Santos to win by decision.
The MMA Guru picks Danny Barlow to spark out Jorgen De Castro (Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos) in round one. He considers it a mismatch, noting De Castro's close fight with Ozzy Diaz and his hittability on the feet. He believes Barlow's speed will be too much and predicts a first-round KO.
Zane also picks Barlow, noting that Barlow has real athletic gifts and throws good straight shots, while Santos is a messy brawler who got away with things against a poor opponent. Zane expects Barlow to win but thinks it will be a struggle, and that the odds are too wide given Barlow's struggles against better competition.
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