Fight card

UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen

October 18, 2025 Rogers Arena Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
Fight 1 VS Middleweight Completed
Brendan Allen

Brendan Allen W

26-7
KO R4 5:00

Reinier de Ridder

Moneyline
BetRivers -210
KO/TKO
BetRivers +475
Submission
FanDuel +220
Decision
FanDuel +340

Brendan Allen

Moneyline
Caesars +200
KO/TKO
FanDuel +600
Submission
BetRivers +700
Decision
FanDuel +700
Fighter Stats

Reinier de Ridder

Age35
Height6' 4"
Reach78.0"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Brendan Allen

Age30
Height6' 2"
Reach75.0"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Reinier de Ridder

2.47SLpM
48.0%Str. Acc.
2.36SApM
46.0%Str. Def.
2.56TD Avg
29.0%TD Acc.
40.0%TD Def.
0.6Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Brendan Allen

3.59SLpM
53.0%Str. Acc.
3.62SApM
47.0%Str. Def.
1.56TD Avg
42.0%TD Acc.
56.0%TD Def.
1.1Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Reinier de Ridder

Angelo is confident Reinier de Ridder wins, citing his size, grappling, and durability. He notes de Ridder's impressive performances against Whittaker, Bo Nickal, and Cannonier. He believes Brendan Allen will fade, similar to his fight against Anthony Hernandez, and that Allen's camp change is a disadvantage.

De Ridder scores high fantasy points
"I think RDR wins this fight. I think he scores a ton of points."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Reinier de Ridder

Big Brady acknowledges de Ridder's unorthodox striking but highlights his size, power, and dangerous knees. He thinks de Ridder has better cardio than Allen on short notice and is more dangerous in both striking and grappling. He predicts de Ridder knocks out Allen in the second round.

de Ridder by KO in round 2
"I got to go Derritter. Um, give me Ditter to win this fight. I'll see who he wins this fight by second round KO."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Reinier de Ridder

Cody picks de Ridder, citing his size, physicality, and excellent jiu-jitsu. He notes de Ridder's funky striking and ability to tax opponents with cage control, as seen in the Whittaker fight. He believes Brendan Allen's cardio issues and short notice will be exploited over five rounds, leading to a late stoppage or decision.

"I'm going to lean towards Ren Ditter minus 200. I think it's a little bit deep. I think Brandon Allen poses lots of problems to him, right?"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Reinier de Ridder

Connor leans toward de Ridder but acknowledges Allen's chances. He notes that Allen is well-rounded and could be competitive if he pushes forward and stays confident. However, he thinks Allen is likely to grapple with de Ridder, which plays into de Ridder's strengths. Connor also mentions that de Ridder is defensively flawed and could be knocked out by a big shot.

Odds: de Ridder opened at -250, currently -220; Allen opened at +210, currently +185.
"I think there's a, there's a version of this fight, a couple of, you know, key decisions made on either side where Alan could be quite competitive and maybe even put Derrida in trouble."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Reinier de Ridder

James sees similarities between de Ridder and Dricus du Plessis, noting that de Ridder's unorthodox style, including a devastating step-in knee and judo trips, makes him difficult to prepare for. He believes Brendan Allen will start well but fade due to short notice and cardio issues, with de Ridder's pressure and grappling taking over in later rounds. James predicts a finish in rounds 3 or 4.

"I think as the fight plays out, like most DA fights, the Ritter starts to get going. He lands his knees up the middle. He hurts Brendan Allen. Brendan Allen's lack of training camp, four-week notice, starts to …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Reinier de Ridder

The host thinks de Ridder will utilize his aggressiveness to keep Allen on the back foot and mix in wrestling. He believes Allen's submission defense will be good enough to avoid a finish, but unless the short notice fight causes his gas tank to fail, de Ridder will keep top pressure and control to win on the scorecards.

win by decision
"I think that Ditter will do a good job in terms of utilizing his aggressiveness to keep Allen on the back foot from there."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Reinier de Ridder

Paul agrees with Cody, emphasizing de Ridder's size and grappling pressure. He highlights Brendan Allen's tendency to fade in later rounds, as seen against Vettori and Curtis, and believes de Ridder's full camp and five-round experience will be decisive. He expects de Ridder to win by late stoppage or decision.

"I echo most of the same sentiments as you. I haven't been the highest on Rainer Durator, but I also haven't been the highest on Brendan Allen."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Reinier de Ridder

The MMA Guru picks Reinier de Ridder over Brendan Allen. He references de Ridder's performance against Whittaker and his body knees. He believes Allen is stationary and will be vulnerable to body knees, leading to a submission or TKO. He predicts de Ridder will hurt Allen with a knee to the body and finish with a submission in round two or three.

submission win in round two or three
"I'm going to go with Reina De Ridder getting this one done. I think he'll hurt Brendan Allen with a knee to the body, and then he's going to score a submission win or a TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Reinier de Ridder

Zane picks de Ridder, citing his aggression and ability to finish. He notes that de Ridder is more aggressive and looks to finish, while Allen tends to have close fights against composed opponents. Zane believes de Ridder's size and ability to reverse positions will be key, and that Allen's attack-focused grappling may lead to losing positions.

Odds: de Ridder opened at -250, currently -220; Allen opened at +210, currently +185.
"So yeah, I'm going to take the ritter, but it's an interesting fight."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Fight 2 VS Welterweight Completed
Mike Malott

Mike Malott W

14-2-1
Decision R3 5:00

Kevin Holland

Moneyline
BetWay -105
KO/TKO
BetRivers +370
Submission
BetRivers +500
Decision
FanDuel +450

Mike Malott

Moneyline
BetMGM -105
KO/TKO
BetRivers +525
Submission
FanDuel +420
Decision
BetRivers +410
Fighter Stats

Kevin Holland

Age33
Height6' 3"
Reach81.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Mike Malott

Age34
Height6' 1"
Reach73.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Kevin Holland

4.26SLpM
49.0%Str. Acc.
3.22SApM
50.0%Str. Def.
0.83TD Avg
39.0%TD Acc.
56.0%TD Def.
0.5Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Mike Malott

3.93SLpM
48.0%Str. Acc.
3.06SApM
56.0%Str. Def.
1.88TD Avg
50.0%TD Acc.
14.0%TD Def.
0.8Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mike Malott

Angelo picks Mike Malott, citing his high fight IQ, technical improvements after the Magny loss, and well-rounded skills. He criticizes Kevin Holland's inconsistency and poor performance against Daniel Rodriguez, calling it an all-time low. He trusts Malott's control and power.

"I got to go with Mike Malott."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mike Malott

Big Brady has zero trust in Kevin Holland after his loss to Daniel Rodriguez, calling him a dumbass and declining. He questions Malott's durability and cardio but picks him by default. He predicts Malott takes Holland down and submits him, noting Holland's ground game stinks.

Malott by submission
"I'm going to pick Mike Malott. I'm gonna pick Mike Malot to win this fight by submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Cody picks Malott, citing Kevin Holland's recent durability issues and high fight frequency. He notes Holland was knocked down twice by Daniel Rodriguez, a sign of declining chin. Malott has a wrestling advantage and can mix takedowns with striking. Cody believes Malott will win by decision or late stoppage, especially with home crowd support.

"I'm not going to take Kevin Holland. I'm going to go with Mike Malot."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mike Malott

Connor picks Malott, emphasizing that Holland cannot be trusted to fight disciplined. He notes that Malott is proficient and consistent, with sharp boxing in the pocket. Connor points out that Holland's approach of 'having fun' leads to messy fights, and his chin may be deteriorating after getting hurt by Daniel Rodriguez. He believes Malott can outwork Holland.

Odds: Holland opened at +130, currently -110; Malott opened at -150, currently -110.
"I definitely have a lot more faith in Mike Molotu fight a smart fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Mike Malott

James admits he has a poor track record betting on Malott fights but picks Malott due to his skill set and potential improvements after the Neil Magny loss. He questions Kevin Holland's recent form and durability, noting Holland's poor performance against Daniel Rodriguez. James expects a slow-paced fight and predicts Malott via decision, though he is not confident.

"I will pick Mike Malot in this fight. I think that he's still coming into his own. I think he may have improved after that Neil Magny fight. I think he might manage his cardio a little bit …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Kevin Holland

The host thinks this is a tough stylistic matchup for Malott. He believes Holland can pick Malott apart from distance with his speed, range, and distance work, and will eventually find a big shot to put Malott away.

win by knockout
"I think Holland can really pick apart Melot from distance and Meot on paper is a better skill for skill fighter than Holland but I just don't think he can keep up with the speed, range or distance …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Holland

Paul picks Holland, arguing that the D-Rod fight was on short notice and Holland has had three months to prepare. He believes Holland's length and reach advantage will be key, and that Malott may gas as he did against Magny. Paul sees value in Holland as a dog and plans to bet him.

"Holland Holland's the pick for me at a pick on price."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mike Malott

The MMA Guru picks Mike Malott over Kevin Holland. He notes Malott's submission skills and takedowns, and his game plan against Neil Magny. He criticizes Holland's inconsistency and chin issues. He predicts Malott will chew at the leg, get takedowns, and finish by arm triangle submission in round two.

arm triangle submission in round two
"I'm going with Mike Malott, and I'm going to take Mike Malott by arm triangle submission."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mike Malott

Zane picks Malott, citing his composure, defensive soundness, and ability to pick targets. He notes that Malott can outwrestle Holland and kick his legs. Zane is concerned about Holland's inconsistency and recent poor performance against Daniel Rodriguez, where Holland made terrible errors and got hurt. He believes Malott will fight a smart fight.

Odds: Holland opened at +130, currently -110; Malott opened at -150, currently -110.
"So yeah, I'll take Molot over Holland, but it's not a bad test from a lot."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Fight 3 VS Bantamweight Completed
Aiemann Zahabi

Aiemann Zahabi W

14-2
Decision R3 5:00

Marlon Vera

Moneyline
Caesars +115
KO/TKO
BetRivers +600
Submission
BetRivers +1400
Decision
BetMGM +250

Aiemann Zahabi

Moneyline
FanDuel -132
KO/TKO
BetMGM +1100
Submission
BetMGM +3000
Decision
FanDuel +110
Fighter Stats

Marlon Vera

Age33
Height5' 8"
Reach70.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceSwitch

Aiemann Zahabi

Age38
Height5' 8"
Reach68.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Marlon Vera

4.18SLpM
47.0%Str. Acc.
5.34SApM
50.0%Str. Def.
0.47TD Avg
39.0%TD Acc.
71.0%TD Def.
0.8Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Aiemann Zahabi

4.54SLpM
47.0%Str. Acc.
4.08SApM
69.0%Str. Def.
0.12TD Avg
14.0%TD Acc.
83.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Marlon Vera

Angelo slightly leans Chito Vera, noting his durability, volume, and ability to win in scrambles. He questions Zahabi's win streak, calling the Aldo win lucky and the Basharat win a robbery. He worries about Vera's slow starts in three-round fights and potential chin decline.

"I think I'm going to slightly lean Chito Vera as far as a pick is concerned."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Marlon Vera

Big Brady is unsure which version of Vera shows up. He thinks if Vera is motivated, he can win with his striking and elbows. He notes Vera always loses the first round but could steal rounds two and three. He picks Vera by close decision, acknowledging the fight has split decision written all over it.

"I'm going to take Vera to win this fight. I do think it's going to be a close fight... give me vera to win by a close decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

Cody picks Zahabi, citing Marlon Vera's slow starts and accumulated damage. He notes Vera has been hit over 1600 times in the UFC and is slowing down. Zahabi's high volume, precision, and methodical game plan will allow him to win rounds. Cody expects Zahabi to win by decision.

Zahabi by decision, over
"I got Zahabi just fighting the good methodical game plan, breaking him down, winning a decision. So Zahabi, Zahabi by decision, and the over."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Marlon Vera

Connor picks Vera, but with hesitation. He notes that Vera is a slow-paced fighter who lets opponents rally early, then becomes more aggressive in later rounds. Connor thinks Zahabi will give Vera no choice but to get aggressive, and Vera's durability and power could pay off. However, he acknowledges that Vera's style doesn't deserve to win rounds and that Zahabi could be one of the fighters who works around it.

Odds: Vera opened at +210, currently +115; Zahabi opened at -250, currently -135.
"I think I'll go with Cheeto too. I mean, I just think, uh, you know, in a weird way, like he was, um, poised to make Aldo really very stressed out and uncomfortable."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

James calls this a close fight and struggles to pick a winner. He favors Zahabi due to the Canadian crowd and potential judging bias, as seen in Zahabi's win over Jose Aldo. He notes Vera's durability and cardio advantages but questions Vera's recent form and damage taken. James predicts a split decision for Zahabi.

"I'm going to go with Aan Zahabi here. I'm going to go with Aan Zahabi. Like maybe robbery decision, you know, or maybe split decision uh and then the Canadian judges score it for him."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Marlon Vera

The host thinks Vera's aggressive style will be too much for Zahabi, who prefers to sit back at distance and counter. He expects Vera to continuously push forward with aggressive output, leading to a late finish or a decision win.

late finish or decision
"I think his run ends here as the aggressive style of Vera should end up being too much for Zahabi to deal with."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

Paul leans Zahabi, noting his volume and precision. He mentions Vera's slow starts and that Zahabi is Canadian, which could help in a close decision. Paul expects a close fight but gives the edge to Zahabi.

"Slightly into Zahabi here. you know, another fight that I expect to be close and competitive."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

The MMA Guru picks Aiemann Zahabi over Marlon Vera. He criticizes Vera's recent performances, calling him a punching bag and easy to game plan against. He praises Zahabi's team and game planning, and his toughness shown against Aldo. He predicts Zahabi will use takedowns and clean striking to win a clear decision, 30-27.

decision win 30-27
"I'm going to go with Aiemann Zahabi getting this one done by decision, 30-27, clears the scorecards."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Marlon Vera

Zane picks Vera, but hesitantly. He notes that Vera's style is not built to win rounds, but he is dangerous and can rally in later rounds. Zane thinks Zahabi's physical limitations may catch up to him against elite talent, and Vera's power and durability could be the difference. However, he acknowledges Zahabi's impressive win over Aldo and his unique ability to fight off both front and back foot.

Odds: Vera opened at +210, currently +115; Zahabi opened at -250, currently -135.
"I'm just gonna pick Cheeto on the, like, I can't keep, I can't watch as a hobby against a really elite talent and see those moments where they just catch him out..."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Manon Fiorot

Manon Fiorot W

13-2
KO R1 1:14
Fight 4 VS Women's Flyweight Completed

Manon Fiorot

Moneyline
BetWay -225
KO/TKO
BetRivers +700
Submission
BetMGM +4000
Decision
FanDuel -135

Jasmine Jasudavicius

Moneyline
FanDuel +190
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1600
Submission
FanDuel +1100
Decision
BetRivers +320
Fighter Stats

Manon Fiorot

Age36
Height5' 7"
Reach65.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Jasmine Jasudavicius

Age37
Height5' 7"
Reach68.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Manon Fiorot

5.66SLpM
42.0%Str. Acc.
3.58SApM
66.0%Str. Def.
1.05TD Avg
29.0%TD Acc.
87.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Jasmine Jasudavicius

3.7SLpM
45.0%Str. Acc.
3.71SApM
51.0%Str. Def.
2.59TD Avg
44.0%TD Acc.
75.0%TD Def.
0.6Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Angelo picks Manon Fiorot, citing her size, takedown defense, and striking. He expects her to manage range and stuff Jasudavicius's wrestling. He notes Jasudavicius's wrestling credentials but doubts she can close distance against Fiorot. He prefers Jasudavicius as a fantasy dart due to lower salary.

Fiorot wins decision, low fantasy scoring for both
"I think Manon Fiorot wins this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Big Brady is impressed by Jasudavicius's improvements, especially her ground and pound and submissions. He thinks Fiorot's takedown defense hasn't been properly tested and believes Jasudavicius can get takedowns. He predicts Jasudavicius wins two rounds and takes a decision.

"I'm going to say Jasmine wins this fight. Picks up two rounds and wins this fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Cody picks Fiorot, citing her excellent takedown defense and superior striking. He notes Jasudavicius struggles when she can't get takedowns, as seen against Cortez. Fiorot's lateral movement and volume will keep Jasudavicius at bay. Cody expects Fiorot to win by decision.

Fiorot by decision
"So for me it's a FO pick and a FO by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Connor picks Fiorot, emphasizing her physicality and takedown defense. He notes that Fiorot is difficult to deal with physically and escapes quickly when taken down. Connor thinks Jasudavicius's path to victory is through repeated takedowns, which is hard to envision. He believes Fiorot will outwork Jasudavicius in a scrappy fight, as she has done against other high-volume opponents.

Odds: Fiorot opened at -200, currently -225; Jasudavicius opened at +170, currently +190.
"I think that that is really where Giussudevisius is going to land here."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

James views this as a striker vs grappler matchup, with Fiorot having elite takedown defense and superior striking. He acknowledges Jasudavicius's ground threat but doubts she can secure takedowns consistently. James notes Fiorot's toughness from her fight with Valentina Shevchenko (broken nose) and predicts a dominant decision win.

"I got to pick man on throw here. Too physical, too much of a better striker, powerful. I don't think she finishes Jazz just cuz Jazz is so effing tough, but I'm picking man on throw here via …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Manon Fiorot

The host thinks Fiorot's perpetual movement, footwork, and distance striking will cause Jasudavicius too many problems, leaving her a sitting duck on the feet. He expects a classic Fiorot performance leading to a decision victory.

"I think Fido's perpetual movement, footwork, uh, and her distance striking will cause Jaz Deviscious too many problems."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Paul picks Fiorot, agreeing with Cody. He highlights Fiorot's takedown defense against top grapplers like Blanchfield and Shevchenko. He believes Jasudavicius's striking is a hole and that Fiorot's speed and footwork will be too much. Paul expects Fiorot to win.

"I think it's a horrible stylistic matchup for her. Um Mopia Rose the side for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Manon Fiorot

The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot over Jasmine Jasudavicius. He notes Fiorot's close fight with Valentina Shevchenko and her takedown defense. He believes Jasudavicius's takedown-heavy style won't work against Fiorot, and that she lacks the striking to beat Fiorot. He predicts Fiorot will stuff takedowns and out-land Jasudavicius for a decision win.

decision win 29-28 or 30-27
"I'm going against Jasudavicius and I'm trusting in Manon Fiorot to get this one done by decision win, 29-28 or 30-27."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Manon Fiorot

Zane picks Fiorot, citing her technical striking and ability to outwork opponents. He notes that Fiorot has consistently outstruck high-volume fighters like Blanchfield and Semenara. Zane believes Jasudavicius, despite her drive and improved takedowns, will struggle to repeatedly take Fiorot down and will be outworked on the feet. He acknowledges Jasudavicius's top game but doubts she can maintain control.

Odds: Fiorot opened at -200, currently -225; Jasudavicius opened at +170, currently +190.
"But unfortunately, I think I have to pick Firo."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Charles Jourdain

Charles Jourdain W

18-8-1
Submission R1 3:05
Fight 5 VS Bantamweight Completed

Charles Jourdain

Moneyline
BetWay -175
KO/TKO
BetRivers +460
Submission
FanDuel +650
Decision
BetRivers +165

Davey Grant

Moneyline
FanDuel +160
KO/TKO
FanDuel +800
Submission
BetRivers +1800
Decision
FanDuel +280
Fighter Stats

Charles Jourdain

Age30
Height5' 9"
Reach69.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceSwitch

Davey Grant

Age40
Height5' 8"
Reach69.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Charles Jourdain

5.48SLpM
49.0%Str. Acc.
4.25SApM
56.0%Str. Def.
0.33TD Avg
21.0%TD Acc.
47.0%TD Def.
0.7Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Davey Grant

5.14SLpM
44.0%Str. Acc.
3.82SApM
55.0%Str. Def.
1.03TD Avg
40.0%TD Acc.
63.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Davey Grant

Angelo picks Davey Grant, citing his forward pressure, solid defense, and durability. He notes Charles Jourdain has cleaned up his wild style but may still be exploitable. Grant's age and chin are concerns, but his recent wins over Blackshear and a close fight with Marcos give confidence.

"I'm going to pick Davey Grant here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Big Brady likes Jourdain fighting at home and thinks the judges favor him. He notes Grant is 39 and father time is undefeated, especially at lower weight classes. He thinks Jourdain is getting Grant at the right time and picks him by decision, though he won't lay -170.

"I got to go with the Jordane side. Give me Charles Jordane to win this fight and win it by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

Cody picks Jourdain, citing his volume and unorthodox striking. He notes Grant doesn't wrestle much, which plays into Jourdain's strengths. Jourdain's takedown defense is a concern, but Grant doesn't shoot. Cody expects Jourdain to win by decision or late stoppage.

"I'm gonna go Charles Jordane on this one. Jump back on team Canada."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Davey Grant

Connor leans toward Davey Grant, citing Grant's consistent toughness, awkwardness, and ability to capitalize on retreating opponents. He notes that Jourdain can drift and have wrong ideas, and that Grant's pressure and durability could cause Jourdain trouble, especially given Jourdain's poor defensive wrestling and tendency to improvise. Connor also mentions the age gap (Grant is 39) but still favors Grant's reliability.

Grant opened at +170, dropped to -110, now +145; Jourdain opened -200, now -170. Connor notes the odds movement and suggests the line is influenced by age.
"I'm kind of leaning Davey Grant in this one."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

James finds this a tough fight to call, noting both fighters have struggled with certain styles. He leans toward Jourdain due to his better career trajectory and Grant's age (39). James mentions Jourdain's guillotine threat but expects a close fight.

"I'm going to end up going with Charles Jordane for my official prediction. I feel like his career trajectory is a little bit better than Davy Grant. Davy Grant is 39. At some point, he's going to fall …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Charles Jourdain

The host thinks Jourdain's youth, speed, unorthodox striking, and dangerous BJJ will help him chip away at Grant, pull off a desperation takedown, and eventually snatch a submission victory.

win by submission
"I think it's going to be the youth speed, unorthodox striking, and dangerous BJJ game of Davy Grant, which eventually helps him chip away at Grant, pull out a desperation takedown, and eventually lead to Jordane snatching up …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Davey Grant

Paul picks Grant, citing his value as a dog. He notes Grant is always game and has good volume. Jourdain's weight cut to 135 is a concern, and Grant can exploit that. Paul plans to bet Grant at plus money.

"you give me plus money on Dave David Grant. I'm not going to waste your time with two months. This is like plus 150."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Charles Jourdain

The MMA Guru picks Charles Jourdain over Davey Grant. He initially considered Grant due to his underdog success but believes Jourdain's skills are superior. He notes Jourdain's ability to beat opponents to the punch on the inside and his guillotine threats. He predicts Jourdain will catch Grant with a straight shot and possibly finish by TKO or guillotine, citing Grant's neck surgeries.

TKO or guillotine submission
"I'm going to go with Charles Jourdain getting this one done. And I think he'll chin Davey Grant."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Davey Grant

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Davey Grant. He emphasizes that Grant is always tough and crafty, and that Jourdain often shows up with the wrong plan or no plan, resorting to wild brawling that doesn't work well. Zane acknowledges that Grant's success can't last forever at 39, but he still expects Grant to deliver.

"Yeah, I think I'm gonna pick Davey Grant here, too."
Fight Notes
BR
brian 1 month, 3 weeks ago

Jourdain fighting at the weightclass he should be at 135 gets it done against a tough 39 year old. Blitzy moves land, and a standing knee to the face, crumbles Davy and a nice gully from Charles, a little slow locking it up but at the same Davy was concussed. Poor Davy, a war of attrition isnt a nice thing to be good at 39

Kyle Nelson

Kyle Nelson W

17-7-1
Decision R3 5:00
Fight 6 VS Lightweight Completed

Kyle Nelson

Moneyline
BetWay -105
KO/TKO
BetRivers +215
Submission
BetRivers +1800
Decision
FanDuel +410

Matt Frevola

Moneyline
FanDuel +112
KO/TKO
FanDuel +290
Submission
BetWay +900
Decision
BetRivers +500
Fighter Stats

Kyle Nelson

Age35
Height5' 11"
Reach71.0"
Weight145 lbs.
StanceSwitch

Matt Frevola

Age35
Height5' 9"
Reach71.0"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Kyle Nelson

3.6SLpM
45.0%Str. Acc.
4.58SApM
53.0%Str. Def.
1.18TD Avg
23.0%TD Acc.
66.0%TD Def.
0.5Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Matt Frevola

3.3SLpM
39.0%Str. Acc.
3.76SApM
56.0%Str. Def.
2.34TD Avg
41.0%TD Acc.
40.0%TD Def.
0.8Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Matt Frevola

Angelo leans Matt Frevola as the better fighter with good wrestling and power, but acknowledges Kyle Nelson's durability and power. He expects a finish either way and calls it a 50/50 fight. He picks Frevola but with low confidence.

Fight likely ends inside distance
"I pick Matt Frevola just because he's the better fighter."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Kyle Nelson

Big Brady doubts Frevola will wrestle and expects a stand-up brawl. He questions both fighters' chins but thinks Nelson has the better chin and power. He predicts Nelson lands a big shot in the first round, picking a first-round KO.

Nelson by KO in round 1
"I'm going to take Kyle Nelson for the slight upset to land that big shot. I just don't trust the chin of Matt Fvolola. I think it's going to be a Kyle Nelson KO1."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Matt Frevola

Cody picks Frevola, citing his wrestling advantage and power. He notes Nelson is moving up from 145 and has struggled against wrestlers. Frevola can take Nelson down and ground-and-pound. Cody believes Frevola's size and grappling will be decisive, but admits low conviction.

"I'm going to go with Matt Fravola. Uh yeah, I'm not an under one and a half kind of guy. This looks like an under one and a half kind of fight."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Kyle Nelson

Connor picks Nelson, agreeing that Frevola has shown bad signs recently. He notes that Frevola has not looked like he wants to fight in his last few outings. Connor believes Nelson's composure and range fighting will be effective, but acknowledges that Nelson has a history of melting down. He thinks Nelson should be a slight favorite.

Odds: Nelson opened at -170, currently -105; Frevola opened at +145, currently -115.
"I think Nelson should be a little bit more of a favorite, frankly."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Matt Frevola

James favors Frevola due to his wrestling, cardio, and natural lightweight frame, while Nelson is moving up from featherweight. He acknowledges Frevola's chin issues but believes his wrestling and pace will overwhelm Nelson. James predicts a decision win for Frevola.

"I'm going to take Matt Fravola in this fight. My prediction is going to be a decision win. You know, because Kyle Nelson is a tough guy and I feel like Matt Fravola to win, he's probably going …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Matt Frevola

The host thinks this fight could be a car crash, but if Frevola plays it safely and avoids Nelson's power, he can easily take the fight to the ground and rinse and repeat that style. He expects Frevola to win by submission or on the scorecards.

win by submission or decision
"If Fvola plays it safely and avoids the big power of Nelson, I think we can see Fvola easily take this fight to the ground."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Kyle Nelson

Paul picks Nelson, but with zero conviction. He notes both fighters love to brawl and have power. Paul thinks it's a pick'em and expects a finish. He leans Nelson but says it's a coin flip.

"gun to my head, I'll I'll say Kyle Nelson, but like zero conviction here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Matt Frevola

The MMA Guru picks Matt Frevola over Kyle Nelson. He acknowledges both are coming off losses but believes Frevola's competition has been tougher and his good moments are better. He thinks Frevola can mix in grappling and takedowns, and that Nelson is too rigid and simple. He predicts a decision win, 30-27.

decision win 30-27
"I'm going to go with Matt Frevola getting this one done. By decision, 30-27."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Kyle Nelson

Zane picks Nelson, citing his improved composure and range fighting. He notes that Nelson has become a cautious, consistent range fighter with good defense. Zane points out that Frevola has looked gun-shy and lacks a fight outside the pocket. He believes Nelson can win by using his jab and staying at range.

Odds: Nelson opened at -170, currently -105; Frevola opened at +145, currently -115.
"So yeah, I'm taking Nelson as well, but it's an interesting fight."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Fight 7 VS Lightweight Completed
Drew Dober

Drew Dober W

29-15
KO R3 1:16

Kyle Prepolec

Moneyline
BetWay +300
KO/TKO
BetMGM +800
Submission
BetRivers +2200
Decision
BetMGM +800

Drew Dober

Moneyline
Caesars -300
KO/TKO
BetRivers +112
Submission
FanDuel +1000
Decision
FanDuel +280
Fighter Stats

Kyle Prepolec

Age36
Height5' 10"
Reach70.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Drew Dober

Age37
Height5' 8"
Reach70.0"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Career Averages - Kyle Prepolec

3.25SLpM
34.0%Str. Acc.
5.69SApM
48.0%Str. Def.
0.0TD Avg
0.0%TD Acc.
45.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Drew Dober

4.48SLpM
41.0%Str. Acc.
4.33SApM
53.0%Str. Def.
0.61TD Avg
16.0%TD Acc.
58.0%TD Def.
0.1Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Drew Dober

Angelo picks Drew Dober to win, citing his technical striking and ability to grapple if needed. He notes Dober's recent chin issues but believes Kyle Prepolec is not a UFC-caliber fighter and lacks power. He expects Dober to find a finish, making him a good fantasy play at $9,400.

Dober wins by finish likely
"I think Drew Dober wins this fight. He's the better fighter."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Drew Dober

Big Brady is concerned about Drew Dober's age, fight mileage, and recent chin issues, but believes the skill gap is massive in Dober's favor. He notes Prepolec has never been knocked out and is likely more durable at this stage. He picks Dober by decision, staying away from the -550 price.

"I'm going to take Drew Dober to win this fight by decision just being the more skillful fighter."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Kyle Prepolec

Cody picks Prepolec, citing value. He notes Dober's chin is declining and he has been knocked out recently. Prepolec has never been knocked out and has a full camp. Cody believes Prepolec can catch Dober and win by knockout, but admits it's a value play.

"Kyle Prebbleick is the PRP pick. Let's go."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Drew Dober

Connor picks Drew Dober but is hesitant, acknowledging that Dober seems to have lost his confidence and timing after the Manuel Torres loss. He notes that Prepolec is a tough slugger who has never been knocked out, and that Dober's usual brawling approach may not work anymore. However, Connor still expects Dober to win because Prepolec is a step down in competition.

Dober opened -300, now -450; Prepolec opened +250, now +350.
"I'm still gonna pick drew... The end is nigh I'm gonna take the wild flyer on preplek for the hell of it."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Drew Dober

James picks Dober to win but notes value on Prepolec as an underdog. He questions Dober's recent chin issues after knockouts by Jean Silva and Matt Frevola, while Prepolec has never been knocked out. James expects a striking battle where Prepolec could land a head kick, but ultimately favors Dober's speed and experience.

"My prediction is Drew Dober, but I'm saying that the value is on Kyle Preple in my opinion because like I said, it really comes down to this and I'm going to say it for the third time, …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Drew Dober

The host is not a big fan of Dober at the super chalky line given his recent form and Prepolec being a striker himself. However, he still thinks Dober is the better all-around fighter and should mix striking and grappling to win on the scorecards, provided his durability holds up.

not a fan of the line
"I'm not a big fan of Dober at this super chalky line considering his recent form and Prepik obviously being a striker himself."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Kyle Prepolec

Paul leans Prepolec, agreeing with Cody on value. He notes Dober's durability is a question and Prepolec has power. Paul says he'll have a small bet on Prepolec but has low conviction.

"Dogger pass. I'll have a little bit on Prepik. I don't feel too much conviction there."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Drew Dober

The MMA Guru picks Drew Dober over Kyle Prepolec. He acknowledges Dober's recent KO loss to Manuel Torres but attributes that to Torres being a genetic freak with nasty power. He believes Dober still has it and will beat Prepolec easily, noting Prepolec shouldn't be in the UFC. He predicts a TKO in the second round.

TKO in the second round
"I'm going to go with Drew Dober to get this one done by TKO in the second round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Kyle Prepolec

Zane picks Kyle Prepolec as a wild flyer, citing Dober's recent struggles and loss of confidence. He notes that Prepolec is a tough slugger who has never been knocked out, and that Dober's path to victory is to slug it out, which may no longer work. Zane is not confident but sees value in the underdog.

"I'm gonna take the wild flyer on preplek for the hell of it."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Fight 8 VS Bantamweight Completed
Aoriqileng

Aoriqileng W

26-12
KO R1 0:21

Cody Gibson

Moneyline
BetRivers -182
KO/TKO
BetRivers +700
Submission
BetRivers +500
Decision
FanDuel +145

Aoriqileng

Moneyline
BetMGM +165
KO/TKO
BetRivers +450
Submission
FanDuel +3000
Decision
Unibet +380
Fighter Stats

Cody Gibson

Age38
Height5' 10"
Reach71.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Aoriqileng

Age32
Height5' 7"
Reach69"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Cody Gibson

3.63SLpM
46.0%Str. Acc.
3.22SApM
57.0%Str. Def.
2.12TD Avg
37.0%TD Acc.
69.0%TD Def.
0.6Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Aoriqileng

4.69SLpM
49.0%Str. Acc.
5.47SApM
48.0%Str. Def.
1.2TD Avg
46.0%TD Acc.
58.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Cody Gibson

Angelo picks Cody Gibson, citing his length, striking, and takedown ability. He expects Gibson to use a similar game plan as against Anne Hallegren, with multiple takedowns and control time. He notes Aori Qileng's vulnerability to takedowns, as seen against Raul Rosas.

"I'm going to pick Cody Gibson here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Cody Gibson

Big Brady sees a clear grappling edge for Gibson, noting Qileng's poor takedown defense. He compares it to Gibson's win over Chad Anheliger where he controlled the fight with takedowns. He questions Gibson's fight IQ and cardio but picks him by decision.

"Give me Cody Gibson to win this fight and win it by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Cody Gibson

Cody picks Gibson, citing his size, wrestling background, and durability. He notes Gibson has never been knocked out and has high volume. Qileng lacks power and has poor takedown defense. Cody expects Gibson to outwork Qileng and win by decision or late stoppage.

"Cody on Cody, let's uh let's let's pull one out for the Coody's and get the victory over in BC. So I I will take Gibson."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Cody Gibson

Connor picks Gibson, noting his improved boxing and technical proficiency. He points out that Gibson works hard on the technical side and showed sharp combinations against Blackshear. However, Connor notes Gibson's tendency to overpush and tire, which could be a problem against Aoriqileng's durability. He still favors Gibson's more purposeful game.

Odds: Gibson opened at +145, currently -170; Aoriqileng opened at -170, currently +145.
"I kind of feel like Gibson is going to bank a lot of early momentum."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Cody Gibson

James sees Gibson's wrestling as a clear path to victory, but worries about his age (38) and Qileng's improvements in takedown defense. He expects Gibson to grind out a decision with takedowns and top control, though Qileng's striking could be dangerous if the fight stays on the feet.

"I'm going to end up siding with Cody Gibson in this fight. And the reason is because I do think that even though Archici Lang has got better at his grappling defense, Cody Gibson will be able to …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Cody Gibson

The host believes Gibson is a better striker and wrestler than Qileng. As long as Gibson can muzzle Qileng's aggressive style, he should mix the martial arts well and win on the scorecards.

"I still believe Gibson is a better striker and better wrestler than Ari Lang."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Cody Gibson

Paul picks Gibson, agreeing with Cody. He notes Qileng's low volume and questionable takedown defense. Gibson's wrestling and pressure will be key. Paul sees Gibson winning about 70% of the time and thinks the line is fair.

"I don't see myself whatsoever getting to Ori Lang. Too low volume. Takedown defense is questionable."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Cody Gibson

The MMA Guru picks Cody Gibson over Aori Qileng. He likes Gibson's pressure and volume, noting Qileng has been walked down before. He believes Gibson will throw twice as many shots and win a decision if neither finishes. He admits neither has great wins but trusts Gibson's output.

decision win 29-28
"Cody Gibson's going to get this one done. ... 29-28 decision, by the way."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Cody Gibson

Zane picks Gibson, citing his more functional game and ability to bank early momentum. He notes that Gibson's boxing has improved and he fights with purpose, while Aoriqileng is a scrappy but less purposeful fighter. Zane worries about Gibson's tendency to fade in round three, but believes he will build a two-round lead before tiring.

Odds: Gibson opened at +145, currently -170; Aoriqileng opened at -170, currently +145.
"So yeah, I'm going to take Gibson too, but it'll be fun scrap."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Bruno Silva

Bruno Silva W

15-8-2
Submission R3 2:15
Fight 9 VS Flyweight Completed

Bruno Silva

No odds available.

Park Hyun-sung

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Bruno Silva

Age36
Height5' 4"
Reach65"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Park Hyun-sung

Age30
Height5' 7"
Reach66"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Bruno Silva

3.95SLpM
51.0%Str. Acc.
4.69SApM
51.0%Str. Def.
2.01TD Avg
25.0%TD Acc.
72.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Park Hyun-sung

3.38SLpM
41.0%Str. Acc.
3.14SApM
55.0%Str. Def.
1.5TD Avg
31.0%TD Acc.
47.0%TD Def.
1.8Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Bruno Silva

Angelo picks Bruno Silva as an underdog, arguing he is tough, gritty, and dangerous everywhere. He notes Silva's recent losses were to elite strikers (Joshua Van, Manel Kape) and believes he can win a dogfight. He acknowledges Park's grappling and power but questions his resume and durability.

Underdog pick, Bruno Silva wins by dogfight
"I am actually going to pick Bruno Silva here. I think he's a good underdog."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Park Hyun-sung

Big Brady notes Park is unproven against top competition but likes his youth, power, and slick grappling. He worries about Bruno Silva's age, damage taken, and questionable durability. He thinks Park will pressure and finish Silva as the fight goes on, predicting a third-round finish.

Park wins in round 3 (KO or sub)
"I'm going to side with uh Hung Park to get it done. I think he's going to kind of put it on Bruno Silva more and more as the fight goes on... give me Hong Park to win …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Cody picks Silva, citing his power and durability. He notes Park has been knocked down by lesser competition and has poor durability. Silva is a dog who fights for your dollar. Cody expects Silva to win by knockout or decision.

"Bruno Santos is one of those guys that overperforms. So, if you can get him at dog money, he's going to fight for your dollar."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Bruno Silva

Connor picks Bruno Silva, highlighting Silva's dynamic counter-punching and ability to find big shots even when losing. He notes that Park has thrived on athleticism and size but lacks technical depth, and that Silva's right hand is a major threat to Park's square stance. Connor also points out that Park's only real test was against Tatsuro Taira, who dominated him, and that Silva is a much tougher step up.

Park opened -300, now -210; Silva opened +250, now +180. Connor expects the odds to tighten further.
"I'm gonna take Bruno Silva and it might just be the wrong size of the age or the wrong part of the size and age demographic where Silva can't find that kill shot."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
No clear pick

James is torn on this fight. He acknowledges Bruno Silva's skills but questions his durability and age (35) after two brutal knockout losses. He also notes Park's finishing ability but doubts his cardio if the fight goes long. James plans to do more tape study before making a final decision.

"I can't help but feel like Bruno Silva might pull off the upset in this fight. But that's only if these things are true. One, Hung Park isn't as good as maybe his record shows... And then two, …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Park Hyun-sung

The host sees this as a great spot for Park to get back in the win column, utilizing his athleticism, speed, and power advantages over the veteran Bruno Silva. He expects Park to land a seminal blow in the second or third round and win by knockout.

win by knockout in round 2 or 3
"Look for Park to eventually land that seminal blow in the second or third round to win this fight by knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Paul picks Silva, agreeing with Cody. He notes Park's striking is not elite and his durability is questionable. Silva has fought tougher competition and has power. Paul sees value at plus 215.

"plus 215. It's dog or pass for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

The MMA Guru picks Bruno Silva over Kyung Ho Kang Park (Park Hyun-sung). He notes Silva's dangerous striking and BJJ, and believes he won't be submitted. He thinks Park's loss to Tatsuro Taira shows he is bottom-of-the-barrel flyweight level. He predicts a hard-fought split decision win for Silva, taking him as an underdog.

underdog pick, split decision victory
"I'm going to go with Bruno Silva getting this one done. ... Bruno Silva split decision victory."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Bruno Silva

Zane also picks Bruno Silva, citing Silva's underrated toughness and ability to figure out opponents who crash into him. He notes that Park has been pushed past his level of experience and has no easy answers to problems. Zane believes Silva is a lot more difficult than he gets credit for, and that Park's athleticism won't be enough.

"I'm going with Bruno Silva. I have a big soft spot for him and I still think Park is a great athlete with a ton of potential, but I think he's been pushed past the point of familiar."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Fight 10 VS Middleweight Completed
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos

Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos W

11-3
Decision R3 5:00

Danny Barlow

No odds available.

Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Danny Barlow

Age30
Height6' 2"
Reach79.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos

Age28
Height6' 0"
Reach75"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Danny Barlow

5.81SLpM
51.0%Str. Acc.
4.65SApM
52.0%Str. Def.
0.0TD Avg
0.0%TD Acc.
100.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos

6.64SLpM
42.0%Str. Acc.
6.35SApM
48.0%Str. Def.
0.51TD Avg
28.0%TD Acc.
85.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos

Angelo picks Jordan Santos (Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos) as an underdog, citing his high volume striking and forward pressure. He notes Danny Barlow struggles when backing up and may not land a knockout. Santos's insane volume and toughness make him a great dog at $7,000.

Underdog pick, high volume expected
"I think Jordan's a decent dog here. $7,000, incredible price point."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Danny Barlow

Big Brady dismisses Barlow's loss to Sam Patterson as not a bad look, while heavily criticizing Santos for losing to Azie Diaz. He thinks Barlow has UFC wins and power, while Santos is not UFC caliber. He predicts Barlow will knock out Santos, noting Santos eats a lot of punches and Barlow has power.

Barlow by KO in round 2
"I'm gonna take Danny Barlo to win this fight. I'll take Barlo to win this fight by second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos

Cody picks Santos, citing his volume and durability. He notes Barlow is moving up to 185 and may not carry power. Santos trains at American Top Team and has better cardio. Cody expects Santos to outwork Barlow and win by decision.

"I got Jordan Santos is actually the PRP pick because I I could see him losing, I'm sure. But for the price, oh man, this guy's definitely the value side here."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Danny Barlow

Connor picks Danny Barlow, emphasizing Barlow's superior athleticism and cleaner technique. He notes that Santos is a messy brawler who is wide open and uncoordinated, and that Barlow's straight shots and speed should be decisive. However, Connor cautions that Barlow is not that good and the odds are too wide.

Barlow opened -300, currently -300; Santos opened +250, currently +250. Connor says the odds shouldn't be that wide.
"I gotta pick Barlow like it's not... Barlow is so much cleaner a technician."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Danny Barlow

James is confident in Barlow due to his speed advantage moving up from welterweight and superior striking. He notes Barlow's chin issues but believes moving up in weight will help. James predicts a knockout in rounds 2 or 3 as Barlow's left hand piles up.

"I'm predicting Danny Barlow to win this one. Santos seems tough, but I'm going to go with a knockout in rounds two or rounds three. I'm going to say that the left hands pile up too much."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Danny Barlow

The host thinks Barlow has a good matchup to bounce back from his first pro loss. He expects Barlow to counter Santos' volume-heavy approach effectively, landing a straight left down the pipe and winning by knockout.

win by knockout
"I think Barlo will counter him effectively, land that straight left down the pipe and find the win by knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos

Paul picks Santos, citing Barlow's lack of volume and questionable cardio. He notes Barlow's wins have been unimpressive and he struggled against Veretennikov. Santos's pressure and volume will be key. Paul expects Santos to win by decision.

"I'm going with the dog here, Jordan Santos."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Danny Barlow

The MMA Guru picks Danny Barlow to spark out Jorgen De Castro (Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos) in round one. He considers it a mismatch, noting De Castro's close fight with Ozzy Diaz and his hittability on the feet. He believes Barlow's speed will be too much and predicts a first-round KO.

first round KO
"Danny Barlow's going to spark out Jorgen De Castro in round one."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Danny Barlow

Zane also picks Barlow, noting that Barlow has real athletic gifts and throws good straight shots, while Santos is a messy brawler who got away with things against a poor opponent. Zane expects Barlow to win but thinks it will be a struggle, and that the odds are too wide given Barlow's struggles against better competition.

"I'm taking Barlow... Barlow is the favorite here opened at minus 300 currently minus 300."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Stephanie Luciano

Stephanie Luciano W

7-2-1
Submission R3 2:50
Fight 11 VS Women's Strawweight Completed

Stephanie Luciano

Moneyline
Caesars -300
KO/TKO
FanDuel +650
Submission
BetMGM +1400
Decision
BetRivers -143

Ravena Oliveira

Moneyline
FanDuel +265
KO/TKO
BetWay +1400
Submission
BetMGM +1800
Decision
FanDuel +490
Fighter Stats

Stephanie Luciano

Age26
Height5' 6"
Reach65.0"
Weight115 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Ravena Oliveira

Age29
Height5' 5"
Reach65.0"
Weight115 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Stephanie Luciano

5.2SLpM
42.0%Str. Acc.
3.04SApM
64.0%Str. Def.
1.3TD Avg
71.0%TD Acc.
80.0%TD Def.
0.3Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Ravena Oliveira

1.91SLpM
30.0%Str. Acc.
3.72SApM
46.0%Str. Def.
0.88TD Avg
50.0%TD Acc.
46.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Stephanie Luciano

Angelo is confident Stephanie Luciano wins, estimating she wins 95 out of 100 times. He notes her busy striking, forward pressure, and cardio, but doubts she will get a finish. He highlights Ravena Oliveira's long layoff, knee surgery, and weight class drop as major disadvantages. He expects a dominant decision for Luciano.

Decision win likely, low fantasy scoring expected
"I think Stephanie wins this fight. I think she wins it if they fight 100 times, I think she wins 95 of them."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Stephanie Luciano

Big Brady notes Oliveira is coming down two weight classes and hasn't fought in two years, making her unpredictable. He likes Luciano's volume, cardio, and improving takedown defense. He thinks Luciano is the much better fighter but worries about Oliveira's potential improvements. He picks Luciano by decision.

"I gotta go Luciano here. I actually really like Luciano. I like the volume, the cardio, uh the takedown defense looks to be getting better... It's going to be Stephanie Luciano to win by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Stephanie Luciano

Cody picks Luciano, citing her volume and striking. He notes Oliveira is moving down two weight classes and has poor striking. Luciano's takedown defense has improved. Cody expects Luciano to win by decision.

"I'm going to go with Stephanie Luciano, but I don't feel good about this one."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ravena Oliveira

Connor picks Ravena Oliveira, believing she will be too big and strong for Luciano. He notes that Oliveira is a flyweight/bantamweight cutting to strawweight, and that she knows how to be a blanket. Connor dislikes the matchup but expects Oliveira to overwhelm Luciano physically.

Luciano opened -325, now -280; Oliveira opened +275, now +240. Connor is surprised Luciano is such a big favorite.
"I'm gonna take ravine Olivera. I think she's just gonna be too big and strong."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Stephanie Luciano

James sees Luciano as levels above Oliveira in all areas: striking, jiu-jitsu, wrestling, and cardio. He believes Luciano should be an even bigger favorite and expects a dominant win, though he is unsure about a finish. He plans to look for prop value closer to fight night.

"I feel like Stephanie Luciano is going to get the win. You know, I just feel like she's levels above Rava Olivea and it's reflected in her price tag. And I honestly believe that it could be even …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Stephanie Luciano

The host believes Oliveira will struggle in her return after two years away, and Luciano will put it on her with striking and takedowns. He expects a clear win for Luciano on the scorecards.

"I think that Olivera will struggle in her return after two years away from action and Luciano will really put it on her with her striking."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Stephanie Luciano

Paul picks Luciano, citing her volume and striking ability. He notes Oliveira's takedowns are ineffective and she loses striking exchanges. Luciano's improvements in takedown defense are key. Paul expects Luciano to win.

"Luchiano for volume, striking ability, everything like that, it's going to be the pick for me as well."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Stephanie Luciano

The MMA Guru picks Stephanie Luciano over Taila Santos (Ravena Oliveira). He notes both are not great but Luciano had a close fight with Sam Hughes, who he believes would dominate Santos. He sees Luciano as younger and possibly improving to Hughes' level. He predicts a decision win, 29-28.

decision win
"I'm going to go with Stephanie Luciano to win this fight by decision, a classic women's 29-28."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ravena Oliveira

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Oliveira. He notes that Luciano showed promise against Sam Hughes but was ultimately overwhelmed by power and size, and that Oliveira is even bigger. Zane thinks the odds are off and Luciano shouldn't be such a big favorite.

"I agree... Olivera... Hate to say it."
Fight Notes

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Fight 12 VS Middleweight Completed
Yousri Belgaroui

Yousri Belgaroui W

10-3
KO R3 0:55

Azamat Bekoev

Moneyline
FanDuel -295
KO/TKO
BetRivers +295
Submission
FanDuel +260
Decision
BetRivers +275

Yousri Belgaroui

Moneyline
BetWay +250
KO/TKO
BetRivers +450
Submission
BetRivers +4000
Decision
FanDuel +750
Fighter Stats

Azamat Bekoev

Age30
Height6' 0"
Reach72.0"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Yousri Belgaroui

Age34
Height6' 6"
Reach79"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Azamat Bekoev

4.57SLpM
52.0%Str. Acc.
6.83SApM
31.0%Str. Def.
3.48TD Avg
43.0%TD Acc.
62.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Yousri Belgaroui

6.1SLpM
64.0%Str. Acc.
2.17SApM
63.0%Str. Def.
0.29TD Avg
100.0%TD Acc.
66.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Azamat Bekoev

Angelo picks Azamat Murzakanov (likely referring to Azamat Bekoev) to win, citing his knockout power, wrestling ability, and versatility. He notes that Bekoev is undersized but can dictate where the fight takes place. He dismisses Yousri Belgaroui's kickboxing background, comparing him to Alex Pereira but stating he lacks the takedown defense to keep the fight standing.

"I think Murzakanov wins this fight. I do have him in a lineup."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Azamat Bekoev

Big Brady acknowledges Bekoev's hype and two first-round KOs but has questions about his cardio. He notes Belgaroui's kickboxing background and size advantage but believes Bekoev should resort to wrestling, where he has good control and a sneaky submission game. He sees Bekoev winning by any method but picks a decision.

"I think Bakov should win this fight as long as he comes in here with the right game plan... give me Ozamopov to win this fight and win it by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Azamat Bekoev

Cody leans Bekoev, citing his wrestling and power. He notes Belgaroui has poor takedown defense. However, Cody is wary of the price and Belgaroui's striking credentials. He plans to wait for better odds.

"I think I'm going to end up with BOV. And it's like you said, we got to trust some of these favorites."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Azamat Bekoev

Connor picks Bekoev, citing his violent performances and ability to dominate physically. He notes that Belgaroui is a kickboxing convert who lacks MMA wrestling and distance management, and that Bekoev's aggression and takedown threat will be decisive. Connor also mentions Belgaroui's size but doubts his ability to handle pressure.

Bekoev opened -500, now -320; Belgaroui opened +385, now +270.
"I like what I'm seeing out of him. Yeah, me too and I do not believe in Belga Rui at all."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Azamat Bekoev

James views this as a striker vs grappler matchup, with Bekoev's wrestling being the key. He acknowledges Belgaroui's high-level striking and dangerous knees but believes Bekoev will secure takedowns and control the fight. James predicts a decision win for Bekoev.

"I'm taking Azamat Beakov in this fight pretty confidently in this fight. I may even betting myself in this fight. ... I feel like Bakov gets this one done probably by decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Azamat Bekoev

The host thinks Belgaroui will struggle with Bekoev's wrestling and improved striking. He expects Bekoev to mix things up well and grind Belgaroui down to win on the scorecards.

"I think he's going to struggle with the wrestling of Booy, but also the improved striking of Booyv."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Azamat Bekoev

Paul leans Bekoev, citing his wrestling and power. He notes Belgaroui's grappling is a question mark. However, Paul is cautious about the line and expects it to move. He plans to use Bekoev in parlays sparingly.

"I like Boev here. I think Buer's kind of fraudulent."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Azamat Bekoev

The MMA Guru picks Azamat Murzakanov (Bekoev) over Yousri Belgaroui. He acknowledges Belgaroui's kickboxing background and training with Alex Pereira but notes his inexperience and poor performance in the Contender Series. He highlights Murzakanov's experience, training at American Top Team, and his first-round finish over Ryan Bader. He predicts Murzakanov will not fear Belgaroui's striking and will mix in grappling and KO blows, finishing by ground and pound in the first or second round.

first-round finish by ground and pound TKO
"I'm going to take Azamat Murzakanov to win this fight by first-round finish to ground and pound over Yusri Belgaroui."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Azamat Bekoev

Zane also picks Bekoev, emphasizing that Belgaroui has not faced a credible wrestling threat and that Bekoev will likely dash in and take him down. He notes that Belgaroui's kickboxing style is not well-attuned to MMA and that he subtracts tools due to takedown fear. Zane expects Bekoev to be aggressive and punishing.

"I expect that Bukayev is probably just going to dash at him and try to take him down immediately."
Fight Notes

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Melissa Croden

Melissa Croden W

8-3
KO R3 4:32
Fight 13 VS Women's Bantamweight Completed

Melissa Croden

Moneyline
BetWay -125
KO/TKO
BetWay +500
Submission
BetRivers +850
Decision
BetWay +225

Tainara Lisboa

Moneyline
BetMGM +115
KO/TKO
FanDuel +1200
Submission
BetWay +800
Decision
FanDuel +210
Fighter Stats

Melissa Croden

Age35
Height5' 9"
Reach68"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Tainara Lisboa

Age35
Height5' 7"
Reach67.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Melissa Croden

4.1SLpM
48.0%Str. Acc.
1.83SApM
53.0%Str. Def.
1.02TD Avg
50.0%TD Acc.
66.0%TD Def.
0.3Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Tainara Lisboa

2.01SLpM
44.0%Str. Acc.
2.88SApM
45.0%Str. Def.
1.67TD Avg
31.0%TD Acc.
53.0%TD Def.
0.3Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
No clear pick

Angelo discusses both fighters but does not make a clear pick. He notes that Iasmin Lucindo (the originally scheduled opponent) is a decent striker with takedown defense issues, and Melissa Croden is a tough striker making her UFC debut. He says he will fade both fighters for fantasy purposes, indicating no strong lean either way.

"I'm probably going to fade her as a UFC debut. I'm also going to fade Iasmin Lucindo... So I'm going to fade them both."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Melissa Croden

Big Brady likes Melissa Croden's toughness and forward pressure. He notes she is strong in the clinch, has sneaky grappling, and good ground and pound. He is not impressed by Tainara Lisboa's striking and thinks Croden can push her against the cage and potentially finish. He prefers Croden at the underdog price but still picks her to win by decision.

"I am liking Croin here. I liked her much better at an underdog price tag, but I think people are kind of seeing what I'm seeing... give me Melissa Croin. I'll take her to win this fight by …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Tainara Lisboa

Cody picks Lisboa, citing her striking advantage and experience. He notes Croden has retired twice and is making her UFC debut at 34. Lisboa has fought better competition. Cody expects Lisboa to win by decision or late stoppage.

"I decided to go the other way and go Liz Boa, but I got nothing really behind it."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Melissa Croden

Connor picks Croden, noting her good directional game and ability to clinch and be violent. He points out that Lisboa has poor footwork and distance management, making her vulnerable to Croden's clinch entries. Connor believes Croden will be able to crash in at will and dominate in the clinch.

Croden opened +235, now -122; Lisboa opened -275, now +102. Connor is glad the odds are moving in the right direction.
"I have to take rodent. That's really it."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Melissa Croden

James sees value on Croden as an underdog, noting her striking skills and potential grappling advantage if Lisboa shoots takedowns. He worries about Croden's boxing defense but believes the Canadian crowd could help in a close decision. James predicts a close decision win for Croden.

"I'm gonna pick Melissa Cronin in this fight in a very close fight. I'm going to say it goes to a decision. I'm going to say it's a close decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Melissa Croden

The host expects Croden to make an emphatic debut, utilizing her physicality, top control, and Muay Thai against the cage. He believes she will be far stronger than Lisboa and will grind out a finish in the second or third round.

finish in round 2 or 3
"I think this will be an emphatic statement making debut for Croin who I think who can utilize her physicality, top control, and even her Muay Thai against the cage."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Melissa Croden

Paul leans Croden, citing her size and clinch work. He notes she can control the fight against the cage. However, he has low conviction and says he'll wait for weigh-ins.

"I'm leaning Croin."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Tainara Lisboa

The MMA Guru picks Tainara Lisboa (referred to as Taila Santos) over Melissa Croden. He notes that Lisboa is a kickboxer with decent submission wins, while Croden has fought lesser competition. He acknowledges Lisboa's losses but justifies them by pointing to her experience against top fighters like Valentina Shevchenko in kickboxing. He leans towards Lisboa but admits there's not much to go off.

"I'm going to go with Taila Santos. She was a kickboxer, but she's also got some decent submission wins against some okay opponents."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Melissa Croden

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Croden. He notes that Croden knows what she wants to do (clinch and punish) and that Lisboa cannot get out of the way. Zane expects Croden to achieve clinches easily and be violent from there.

"Same. She's got a good directional game. She knows what she's aiming for."
Fight Notes

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