vs
+280 -105
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · May 16, 2026 · Flyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa Next Fight
Age 37
Height 5' 6"
Reach 66"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 32
Height 5' 5"
Reach 64.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Daniel Bárez
3.65 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
5.95 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
1.93 TD Avg
28.0% TD Acc.
80.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Luis Gurule
4.47 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
4.74 SApM
59.0% Str. Def.
0.58 TD Avg
14.0% TD Acc.
58.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Daniel Bárez
Moneyline
Pinnacle +280
KO/TKO
FanDuel +600
Submission
BetRivers +1400
Decision
BetRivers +300
Luis Gurule
Moneyline
Caesars -105
KO/TKO
Cloudbet 5.11
Submission
FanDuel +1100
Decision
Cloudbet 3.65
Daniel Bárez - Fight History
LOSS vs Luis Gurule
DEC R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · May 16, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Bárez 0 113 of 246 45% 117 of 252 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:48
Luis Gurule 0 149 of 299 49% 178 of 335 1 of 5 20% 1 1 2:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Bárez 0 20 of 41 48% 22 of 44 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:48
Luis Gurule 0 25 of 55 45% 30 of 62 0 of 1 0% 1 1 1:21
2 Daniel Bárez 0 42 of 69 60% 43 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Luis Gurule 0 51 of 107 47% 69 of 125 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:44
3 Daniel Bárez 0 51 of 136 37% 52 of 138 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luis Gurule 0 73 of 137 53% 79 of 148 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Bárez 113 of 246 45% 79 of 208 20 of 22 14 of 16 108 of 241 5 of 5 0 of 0
Luis Gurule 149 of 299 49% 129 of 273 8 of 13 12 of 13 133 of 278 16 of 21 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Bárez 20 of 41 48% 11 of 32 3 of 3 6 of 6 16 of 37 4 of 4 0 of 0
Luis Gurule 25 of 55 45% 21 of 50 2 of 2 2 of 3 22 of 50 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Daniel Bárez 42 of 69 60% 27 of 52 9 of 9 6 of 8 41 of 68 1 of 1 0 of 0
Luis Gurule 51 of 107 47% 45 of 99 1 of 3 5 of 5 49 of 103 2 of 4 0 of 0
3 Daniel Bárez 51 of 136 37% 41 of 124 8 of 10 2 of 2 51 of 136 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luis Gurule 73 of 137 53% 63 of 124 5 of 8 5 of 5 62 of 125 11 of 12 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule

Round 1
Jerin Valel is the referee. Barez uses his lead hand early, and then he tages Gurule with a right hand. Barez is also mixing in leg kicks well. Barez catches a kick and lands several strikes before relinquishing the limb. Gurule wakes up and pressures with a series of punches before punctuating the assault with an elbow. Barez slows it down with a clinch. Back at range, Gurule lands another heavy shot. Barez is able to get a takedown and take his foe’s back. Gurule scrambles into top position and hunts for a choke. Barez is eventually able to scramble up. Gurule lands a short elbow and they break. Barez pumps his jab to keep his adversary at bay. Gurule tags Barez with several right hands. Barez steps in with a knee and then shoots for a takedown, shoving Gurule into the wire. Gurule turns his man and lands some short shots before Barez breaks free. Another right gets through for Gurule. They trade before the horn, and it’s a Gurule right that seems to have the most impact.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gurule
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gurule
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gurule

Round 2
Barez targets the legs and then throws a jab. Gurule moves in but eats a hard counter from the Spainard. Gurule marches forward with a combination. Gurule with a hard kick to Barez’s lead leg. A couple rights land for Gurule, but Barez is firing back with combinations. Barez stings Gurule with a counter right, and the American shoots. Barez denies it and lands a combination, mixing punches to the head and body .A right over the top gets through for Barez. Barez is landing more combinations this round. Gurule forces the issue, and he starts landing a variety of punches. These two are trading willingly. A right from Gurule tags Barez. Gurule goes on the assault and Barez appears to be wobbled. Gurule follows him and unloads near the fence. Barez tries to slow things with a takedown, but Gurule takes the back and executes a beautiful suplex. Barez stands and they clinch near the fence. Gurule lands a stiff 1-2 and Barez shoots out of desperation. Gurule sprawls and pushes his man into the fence. He creates space and tees off with a combination. Barez answers with a spinning attack. Gurule backs up Barez with a left before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gurule
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gurule
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gurule

Round 3
Gurule lands a combination and follows with a low kick. Gurule is throwing in volume quite well, and he backs Barez into the fence, where he unloads with a barrage of short punches and elbows. Barez pushes Gurule off the fence and they separate. Gurule follows a punching combination with kicks to the body. Gurule tries a level change but Barez remains upright. Gurule measures and lands a right. They clinch in the center of the cage. They break and Barez tries to go on the attack. However, it’s Gurule with another solid right hand. Barez moves forward and connects with an impactful right. Barez is still throwing, but anytime he seems to be gaining momentum, Gurule has an answer. A right snaps Barez’s head back. The flyweights continue to trade, but again it’s Gurule who snaps the Spaniard’s head back with a right. Gurule is landing at will, rocking Barez with hooks to the dome. Barez has plenty of fight in him, as he continues to answer with offense of his own. The fight ends with one last spirited exchange, and Valel wraps up Barez before he can unleash a spinning attack after the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gurule (30-27 Gurule)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gurule (30-27 Gurule)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gurule (30-27 Gurule)

The Official Result
Luis Gurule def. Daniel Barez via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) R3 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 10, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Luis Gurule

Angelo picks Luis Gurule, viewing the fight as close to a coin flip. He notes that Barez struggled against forward pressure, which is Gurule's style. He expects Gurule's pressure and volume to earn a close decision, possibly a split. He is not betting on this fight.

"My money's on Luis Garu, not my literal money. I'm not betting on this [ __ ] My uh theoretical money is on Luis Gar here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 12, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Bárez

Big Brady leans toward Daniel Bárez despite concerns about his age and cardio. He believes Bárez's power and early finishing ability will be too much for Luis Gurule, whose chin he no longer trusts. He predicts a first-round knockout, but acknowledges the fight could turn ugly if it goes longer.

first round KO
"I'm going to lean Perez just because I think he's going to hit Gerle very hard and I just don't trust Gerilli's chin at this point of his career."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Luis Gurule

Cody picks Luis Gurule, noting that Daniel Bárez has a poor gas tank and fades after the first round. Gurule is slow to start but has good cardio and comes on late. Cody expects Bárez to win the first round but tire, allowing Gurule to take over in the second and third, possibly getting a late stoppage.

Suggests Gurule by TKO in round three.
"Gurule very slow in the first round. So this is a great opportunity that Guerle probably will lose the first round. ... If you do exactly that, you're going to win the second, you're going to win the third. You …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 15, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Luis Gurule

Connor picks Gurule, agreeing with Zane. He notes Bárez is 37 and was signed at 35, which is old for flyweight. Gurule is American and has a solid style, though he lacks a next gear at this weight.

Same odds as Zane. Connor calls Bárez 'undercooked' and notes the UFC signing older fighters.
"Yeah, I'll take grueling. Whatever."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked May 10, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Luis Gurule

Lucrative James hesitantly picks Luis Gurule, citing Gurule's superior cardio and will to win, while Bárez tends to fade after round one. He acknowledges Bárez's early power and knockout threat, but believes Gurule can win rounds two and three. He is not confident and may avoid betting.

"I'm going to pick Lewis Garle here. I'm going to pick Lewis Garle to get the fight one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 12, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Luis Gurule

The host feels this is the best stylistic matchup for Gurule to get his first UFC win, as Bárez doesn't have the same power or athleticism as Gurule's previous opponents. He expects Gurule's pressure and pace to wear down Bárez in the second and third rounds, leading to a decision win. He is confident in Gurule at -110.

"I feel pretty decent about him at minus 110. I kind of overtrusted him in past fights, but I feel like this is a good enough stylistic matchup for him to finally get back to the winning track."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Luis Gurule

The host picks Luis Corrales (Gurule) over Daniel Barres, believing Corrales will finally get his first UFC win. He expects Corrales to use pace, pressure, and forward movement to win on the scorecards.

"I believe Luis Corrales will be successful this weekend. I look for him to put a large a large amount of pace, pressure, and forward movement against Barz and then win this fight on the score cards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)

Paul does not make a clear pick for this fight, noting that both fighters are low-level flyweights and that the winner will likely face a Contender Series pickup next. He does not express a strong opinion.

"We're really scraping the bottom of the flyweight barrel here."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 15, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Luis Gurule

Zane picks Gurule because Bárez is an undercooked regional power striker, while Gurule has a nuts-and-bolts wrestle-boxer style. However, he notes Gurule is a step behind at flyweight and lacks a next gear. Bárez might land hard shots but won't follow up.

Odds: Bárez opened -110, now +128; Gurule opened -110, now -148. Zane says 'Don't even read the odds. Don't bet on this.'
"So I guess I'll take gruel or gruel. Yeah, I think it's grueling."
LOSS vs André Lima
Submission R3 3:05 · UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · Mar 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
André Lima 0 33 of 79 41% 34 of 80 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:17
Daniel Bárez 0 108 of 159 67% 161 of 220 2 of 2 100% 1 0 4:50
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 André Lima 0 26 of 50 52% 26 of 50 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:17
Daniel Bárez 0 47 of 74 63% 48 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
2 André Lima 0 6 of 22 27% 6 of 22 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Daniel Bárez 0 56 of 77 72% 76 of 101 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:57
3 André Lima 0 1 of 7 14% 2 of 8 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Daniel Bárez 0 5 of 8 62% 37 of 44 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
André Lima 33 of 79 41% 21 of 66 8 of 9 4 of 4 32 of 77 1 of 2 0 of 0
Daniel Bárez 108 of 159 67% 59 of 99 23 of 27 26 of 33 90 of 140 16 of 17 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 André Lima 26 of 50 52% 17 of 40 5 of 6 4 of 4 26 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Bárez 47 of 74 63% 21 of 45 12 of 13 14 of 16 47 of 74 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 André Lima 6 of 22 27% 3 of 19 3 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 20 1 of 2 0 of 0
Daniel Bárez 56 of 77 72% 36 of 50 11 of 14 9 of 13 39 of 59 16 of 17 1 of 1
3 André Lima 1 of 7 14% 1 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Bárez 5 of 8 62% 2 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 4 4 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Daniel Barez vs. Andre Lima
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Lima (-355), Barez (+280)

Round 1
Keeping things pushing in a lengthy lineup, a classic matchup of Spain vs. Brazil will play out between flyweights. Entram Gym representative Barez (17-6, 1-1 UFC) is aiming to go on a run, while Lima (10-0, 3-0 UFC) won his pro debut in 2022 and never looked back. The two will be joined in the cage by Octagon ranger Kerry Hatley, who is ready for wherever this fight takes them. Fists are bumped before they are traded, and Lima winds up and slams his shin on the lead leg. He does this three more times, until Barez responds with one of his own. Barez steps in with a thudding right hand, but the leg kicks from “Mascote” are damage-dealing and frequently coming. Lima has already reddened up his foe’s leg as he continues assaulting it, and he keeps his guard up to parry a few punches. Lima flashes out a jab and follow with a straight right, and he continues battering the front leg. Lima cracks the Spanish fighter with a huge right, and Barez bends over and briefly reevaluates his life decisions leading up to this point. Meanwhile. Lima marches him down with accurate, clubbing punches, and Barez is taking them well but still hurt. Barez grabs hold of his advancing opponent in pursuit of a takedown, and when that fails, he somehow circles around to take the back. Barez looks for a choke while riding the back, but Lima shimmies him off and gets back to pummeling his front leg. Barez fires back with impunity, and Lima loads up on several body shots to back Barez up. Lima nails the ribcage with a mean-spirited right hand, and he dips and rips the liver with his other fist. Lima spins with a back kick, and Barez slips out of the way and wipes at his bloodied nose. Lima keeps on the with the aggression, walking through jabs to load up. Barez backpedals, absorbs a few more body shots, and one particularly nasty left to the liver drops his hands for a second. Barez tries to back his man off with a step-in knee, and Lima ignores it and unleashes a hellacious kick to the lead leg that is welted up and swollen after four minutes of punishment. As they keep trading, Lima pushes off and his thumb jams into Barez’ eye. Hatley calls time, and Barez takes 30 seconds to recover. On the restart, Lima gest right back to attacking the front calf, with strikes landing with thumps and not slaps. Barez shoots for a takedown, and Lima stonewalls him and jams him up against the fence until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Lima
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Lima
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Lima

Round 2
The fighters clap hands and immediately pick up where they left off. Barez sticks out his jabs early to keep Lima from coming at him, but that does not slow “Mascote” one iota. Lima hammers the front leg with kicks, and he mixes in head and body shots as Barez’ nose busts open again. Lima turns his hips into his leg kicks, thrashing Barez with these blows until Barez has to turn or lift his leg up gingerly to take some of the sting out of it. Lima is far from a one-trick pony, as he pounds on Barez’ torso with bad intentions. Barez punches back a few times, but Lima is firmly in the driver’s seat putting it to the Spaniard. Barez circles away after taking a painful leg kick, limping as he tries to escape. Lima is a steamroller of offense, chewing up Barez’ midsection while putting his leg through a veritable wood chipper. Barez wobbles as he backs off, and Lima has to stop to shut down a feeble takedown effort before beating on Barez some more. It is a varied attack of head, body and legs, and when Lima gets in close, he starts shredding Barez with vicious elbows. Hatley wans Lima to not strike behind the head, and Lima changes things up once more and trips Barez up to deposit him to the canvas. Lima postures up in the guard, landing ground-and-pound while blood continues to flow out of Barez’ nose. Barez is able to slow Lima by hanging on in the guard, and he is sucking wind with deep breaths until Lima puts his hand over Barez’ mouth. Lima grinds his elbow down and works on Barez until the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Lima
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Lima
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-8 Lima

Round 3
Despite quite a shellacking, a swollen, bloodied and battered Barez is able to answer the bell and double high-five his opponent. Lima says hello with a hard leg kick, and he stays with the strike until Barez attempts to take him down. Lima not only stops it, but reverses him and tackles the Spanish fighter to his back. Barez closes up his guard, and Lima settles for occasional ground-and-pound that is not active enough for Hatley. Barez gets away with a borderline upkick as he throws his legs up for a triangle setup, and Lima stands up and then lowers himself back down in the guard. As Barez turns, Lima scrambles to claim his back, hooking his legs around the waist while fishing for a choke. Barez twists to his side, and
Lima actively pursues and eventually finds a rear-naked choke. The submission is instantly tight and partly a neck crank, a bit high on Lima’s right shoulder but gripped so tightly that Barez has no way out. Lima continues to crush on the windpipe until Barez says enough is enough and surrenders.
Hatley sees the tap and breaks them apart, and Lima walks off to celebrate with his team after earning his first career submission. “Mascote” is now a perfect 11-0 as a pro, and this performance will almost certainly put him as yet another talented flyweight to watch out for going forward.

The Official Result
Andre Lima
def.
Daniel Barez
R3 3:05 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
André Lima

Angelo picks André Lima over Daniel Bárez. He acknowledges Lima is a solid striker but criticizes him for cheating (grabbing fence, inside gloves) and for struggling against Felipe dos Santos. He thinks Lima should win but cannot bet him at -280, citing better value elsewhere on the card.

"Andre is going to be the pick but I can't touch him at minus 280 can't do it there's way better value on this card in other places."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2025 (5 days before fight)
André Lima

Big Brady picks André Lima, noting his skill advantage but criticizing his frequent cheating (cage grabbing, missing weight) and lack of urgency. He believes Lima is the better striker and has improved takedown defense and ground game, now a BJJ black belt. However, he worries Lima's low output and tendency to go to split decisions against lesser opponents could be an issue. He expects Lima to dictate where the fight takes place and win by decision.

Lima by decision
"I like lima here... give me lima by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (fight day)

Cody picks Gabriella Fernandez, noting her experience and wins over decent competition. He acknowledges that Julia Stoliarenko has submission skills but believes Fernandez can avoid submissions and win on the feet or by decision. He is not confident in Stoliarenko's ability to get the fight to the ground.

"I still got Fernandez. I can't get behind Julie Stoenko. just not my kind of fighter. I just I really don't want to lose on something like a minus 300 Gabrielle Fernandez bet when I don't think she's really all …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Jan 31, 2024 (409 days before fight)

Daniel does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses the matchup briefly but does not state a preference or bet.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
André Lima

The host believes Lima is the overall better fighter with defensive grappling that will keep the fight in Muay Thai or allow him grappling success. He expects Lima to touch up Barz and eventually find a finish.

finish
"I believe Lima is the overall better fighter here I believe his defensive grappling will allow him to keep this in the Muay thaam or even enjoy some grappling success of his own but look for Lima to touch up …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (fight day)

Paul also picks Fernandez, noting that Stoliarenko's submission wins have come against lower-level competition. He believes Fernandez has good takedown defense and can keep the fight standing. He is not tempted by the dog price on Stoliarenko.

"I won't be backing Stinko in this one."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Mar 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)
André Lima

The MMA Guru leans towards André Lima, calling him the more well-seasoned fighter with hidden kickboxing experience (10-12 matches). He notes Lima is undefeated (10-0) and a big dude for flyweight, with no massive weakness in his ground game. However, he warns that the UFC might favor Daniel Bárez because he's Spanish, so he advises watching for close controversial decisions. He acknowledges Bárez's grappling is a treat to watch but thinks Lima is more effective on the feet.

If it's a close fight, watch for swing in odds; UFC may favor Bárez due to Spanish talent push.
"I'm going to start with Andre lemur over Daniel Barz but I know the UFC are probably pull him for Daniel Barz because he's Spanish so keep an eye out if it's a close controversial fight"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · Sep 28, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Bárez 1 67 of 130 51% 78 of 142 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:09
Victor Altamirano 0 71 of 177 40% 76 of 184 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Bárez 1 22 of 34 64% 33 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:09
Victor Altamirano 0 15 of 43 34% 20 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Daniel Bárez 0 24 of 50 48% 24 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Victor Altamirano 0 21 of 55 38% 21 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Daniel Bárez 0 21 of 46 45% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Victor Altamirano 0 35 of 79 44% 35 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Bárez 67 of 130 51% 34 of 90 18 of 22 15 of 18 61 of 122 0 of 0 6 of 8
Victor Altamirano 71 of 177 40% 28 of 105 28 of 54 15 of 18 71 of 177 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Bárez 22 of 34 64% 12 of 22 5 of 6 5 of 6 16 of 26 0 of 0 6 of 8
Victor Altamirano 15 of 43 34% 3 of 23 6 of 13 6 of 7 15 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Daniel Bárez 24 of 50 48% 11 of 33 6 of 8 7 of 9 24 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Victor Altamirano 21 of 55 38% 5 of 27 9 of 20 7 of 8 21 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Daniel Bárez 21 of 46 45% 11 of 35 7 of 8 3 of 3 21 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
Victor Altamirano 35 of 79 44% 20 of 55 13 of 21 2 of 3 35 of 79 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Victor Altamirano vs. Daniel Barez

Round 1
Backs are against the wall in this flyweight affair, as 35-year-old Spaniard Barez (16-6, 0-1 UFC) hopes to right the ship against the struggling Altamirano (12-4, 2-3 UFC). A pink slip could be awarded to the losing fighter, depending on how things play out. The referee of this fast-paced contest will be Rich Mitchell, who clocks the fighters in and is ready for what happens next. The two 125ers share a glove touch to commence, as Altamirano almost sprints past him to get set up. Altamirano leads the dance with a body kick, and Barez trips the front leg with a short low kick. Barez misses on a second kick, and he reaches the belly with a right straight. Altamirano swings his way in with a big left hook that does not connect, and Barez goes to the body again with a right hand. Barez chambers and fires a massive right hand, sending “El Magnifico” hurtling to the canvas. Barez pounces, letting loose ground-and-pound as Altamirano gathers his bearings and tries to close down the guard. Barez calms himself rather than spending his gas tank pursuing a finish that might not be around the corner, and he stands back to let his adversary up. Altamirano follows him up and uses his front leg to go after a side kick, a lead-leg high kick and a wheel kick. The Spaniard dodges all three and corrals Altamirano towards the fence, reaching the body and avoiding a kick at the same time. Barez’ strategy of that specific body shot must have been studied, because he lands it again and does not get hit with a counter. Altamirano uses a body kick to keep distance, only for Barez to crowd him with a right hand. Altamirano sneaks a head kick up, and Barez dodges it and ignores the second, even signaling to the Texan that it was no big deal. Altamirano kicks the ribs as he circles away, and his calf gets kicked in response. As the two battle it out, the commentary booth battles on the correct Spanish pronunciation of Barez’ name. Altamirano lines up several powerful body kicks, giving the older fighter pause and discouraging him from coming in. Barez tries to crash the pocket, and Altamirano parries effectively to get away. A second blitz from Barez is more successful, ending the round with a clean combination.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barez
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Barez
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Barez

Round 2
The second round begins where the two left off, with Altamirano whipping kicks at his opponent while Barez tries to find a way in. Altamirano uses a side kick to aim at the head and body, preventing Barez from pursuing him constantly and instead forcing him to work in spurts. Barez manages to get inside, landing a few shots and slipping away. Altamirano charges forward and misses with every punch, and Barez is warned for outstretched fingers as he holds them towards his opponent. Altamirano dodges a haymaker to work the body, going to the lead leg and aiming a high kick in a rapidly transitioning combo. Altamirano’s activity is beginning to frustrate Barez, chipping and chopping with kicks at a safe berth. The more kicks he aims to the midsection and land on the right arm, the slower Barez’ right hands come back at him. Altamirano slips big, telegraphed blows while using that body kick to pepper the Spaniard again and again. Barez maintains a steady pace forward, but Altamirano is able to counter him and work away. Barez reaches him with two punches, dropping Altamirano to a knee, but it might be because of a trip and not a clean knockdown. When Altamirano gathers himself, Barez bears down on him and drills him in the head with a right hand, sending “El Magnifico” back down to the mat. Altamirano appears to be fine after the flash knockdown, with Barez chasing him and swinging until time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barez
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Altamirano
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Altamirano

Round 3
Gloves are touch to start the round, and the two are intense as can be. Altamirano does not slow down launching his rear-leg body kick, and Barez is giving Altamirano everything he can handle. Barez swings hard, and Altamirano’s primary weapon lands cleanly or is blocked cleanly—and either is a win for the Texan. Altamirano dips a left to the body and fires a right to the head, stunning the Spaniard for a moment. Altamirano capitalizes on the opening with an inside low kick, and he ducks a Barez charge to blast him in the face with a spinning back fist. Barez’ aggression works against him, and Altamirano pours it on and spams kicks to every target. Barez’ busted nose starts leaking, and his composure changes as his volume diminishes. Altamirano’s does not, keeping Barez honest with a constant stream of kicks to the head and midsection. Altamirano dances away from a looping right hand, resetting and firing a kick to the noggin. Altamirano jams a front kick to the body, and Barez walks him down and jabs him to the body. Barez swipes out with a left hand, and it is his right that lands. Altamirano slows his own pace until surging into action, rushing with a knee but extending a left hand that connects on the bloodied nose. Altamirano drills the ribs with a kick, and then hammers the raised guard with a kick. As Barez rushes towards him once more, Altamirano counters him with a spinning back fist, and it lands but not as cleanly as before. Altamirano comes up short with a wheel kick, and Barez gets his hands on him with a right hand. Both men land flush, and a furious brawl ensues. Barez eats a few shots and responds with a power right hand that sends Altamirano flying. Altamirano recovers instantly and swings it out until the back-and-forth scarp wraps.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Altamirano (29-28 Barez)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Altamirano (29-28 Altamirano)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Altamirano (29-28 Altamirano)

The Official Result
Daniel Barez def. Victor Altamirano via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 22, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Victor Altamirano

Angelo picks Victor Altamirano as an underdog. He notes that Victor has been competitive in all his losses and has better wrestling. Daniel Bárez is returning after a year away and can be reckless chasing submissions, which could lead to losing positions. Angelo believes Victor's slickness and overall wrestling give him the edge.

"I do like Victor here... it just seems wrong that Victor's the dog here... Victor's going to be the pick..."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Victor Altamirano

Big Brady picks Victor Altamirano by third-round submission, expecting Bárez to win the first round but fade due to poor cardio. He notes Bárez has a kill-or-be-killed style and empties his tank early, while Altamirano has a great chin and BJJ black belt. He believes Altamirano will weather the storm and finish Bárez late.

Altamirano by third round submission
"I got to go alaran here he's going to have to weather an early storm but I think he can give me alaran to win this fight by third round submission and and break Daniel Perez"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Victor Altamirano

Cody leans towards Altamirano due to his durability and pace. He notes that Bárez is a 35-year-old flyweight who gasses after the first round. Altamirano can take a punch and push a pace, potentially taking over in later rounds. However, he acknowledges Bárez's power and early threat.

"slight lean towards Al Morano"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Victor Altamirano

Connor agrees, picking Altamirano as well. He notes that Bárez will look good early, kicking Altamirano's spleen out, but Altamirano's innate toughness and scrappiness will carry him through. Connor likes Altamirano as a self-taught fighter who overperforms.

"Yeah, I think I'll pick him with you."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Bárez

Daniel Vreeland picks Daniel Bárez to win. He thinks Bárez is the better boxer in the pocket with more power, and that Altamirano's unorthodox style may not work as well. He notes Bárez's cardio and toughness, and that Altamirano has slowed in recent fights. He likes Bárez at plus money.

"I'm G to pick him to win but like I said it's not like if the price go up again a little bit I'm going to be interesting to play him for sure"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Sep 25, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Victor Altamirano

JP picks Victor Altamirano because he doesn't like that Daniel Bárez lost on the Contender Series and then got signed anyway. He notes Altamirano has UFC experience and has lost to tough opponents like Tim Elliott and Felipe dos Santos. He says the lines are close and he won't put money on it.

"I'm not going to put any money on this one with how close it is and [ __ ] but uh yeah give me a altim Morano"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Bárez

Paul picks Bárez, expecting him to do more damage in the first two rounds and hold on for a decision. He notes Bárez's power and submission threat, but acknowledges Altamirano's durability. He doesn't plan to bet heavily but leans Bárez.

"I'm going to flip the script I'm going to say say Barz does the more impressive things over the course of two rounds holds on and and gets the decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Victor Altamirano

The MMA Guru picks Victor Altamirano over Daniel Bárez, noting Bárez's age (35) and his history of beating low-level competition. He believes Altamirano is more proven at UFC level and will land better shots. He also mentions Altamirano's reach advantage and Bárez's poor takedown control.

"I'm going to go with Victor Al Morano he's more proven at UFC level"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Victor Altamirano

Zane thinks Altamirano will win because he is incredibly tough, has never been knocked out, and will gut through Bárez's early damage. He notes that Bárez is a kickboxer who hates MMA and tends to break when pressured. Altamirano will turn the fight into a brawl and scramble his way to victory.

"I think Ultimirano is going to win. The bar is probably going to nearly kill him. And then Ultimirano will gut through."
LOSS vs Jafel Filho
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R1 3:26 · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Jul 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jafel Filho 0 21 of 54 38% 23 of 62 1 of 4 25% 1 0 0:55
Daniel Bárez 1 18 of 30 60% 18 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jafel Filho 0 21 of 54 38% 23 of 62 1 of 4 25% 1 0 0:55
Daniel Bárez 1 18 of 30 60% 18 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jafel Filho 21 of 54 38% 11 of 40 8 of 9 2 of 5 21 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Bárez 18 of 30 60% 8 of 17 7 of 9 3 of 4 18 of 27 0 of 1 0 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jafel Filho 21 of 54 38% 11 of 40 8 of 9 2 of 5 21 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Bárez 18 of 30 60% 8 of 17 7 of 9 3 of 4 18 of 27 0 of 1 0 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Daniel Barez vs. Jafel Filho
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Filho (-125), Barez (+105)

Round 1
Returning to its favorite city in England, the UFC once more travels to London with a show crammed to the rafters with local talent. The matchmakers made certain that those from the U.K. battle it out against foreign opponents in hopes of getting the crowd lathered up, and the final 10 bouts will see just that kind of matchup. The first fight on the card, however, is simply South America vs. Spain, when Brazilian finisher Filho (14-3, 0-1 UFC) hunts for his first Octagon win against Burjassot native Barez (16-5, 0-0 UFC). Combined, the two flyweights celebrate just four decision wins across their 30 pro victories, so the UFC knows exactly what it is doing by putting these two spinning tops together. Before they clash, referee Marc Goddard fixes the cage door, and then he clocks them in. They meet in the middle of the Octagon without a touch of gloves, as Filho instead leads the dance with a sharp body kick. Filho dances back to avoid a one-two, and he tosses out another kick to the ribs. Following the blow with a takedown shot, Barez shoves him away. Barez sits down on a trio of leg kicks, with the third making Filho move awkwardly. Barez walks him down and slugs him in the face, and he proceeds to launch a right to the head and a left to the liver. The body shot sends him crashing down to the floor, and Barez backs off and lets him back off. From there, Barez stalks own his injured opponent and blasts him in the body again, forcing Filho once more to crumble to the mat. Barez is smart to not follow him into the guard, and he instead allows Filho to stand so he can line up a kick to the side. Filho is fired up, and instead of taking more punishment, he dishes it out and tags Barez. Barez is surprised, and he gathers his thoughts and smashes Filho in the dome with a right hand. Filho shakes it out and swings back with bad intentions, and in the middle of a furious exchange, he times a perfect takedown to deposit the surging Spaniard to the canvas. Filho meanders into the guard, passing to half guard fairly easily while putting his right arm behind the neck.
Filho sets up an arm-triangle choke and moves to full mount, and he transitions straight to the side to complete the submission. With his shoulder pressure tight and Filho going nowhere, it is only a matter of time at this point.
Barez thinks about what to do next, and his sole remaining option is to tap out before he drifts off to dreamland. When Goddard steps in, Filho has successfully completed the comeback after a wild three-plus minutes of action. The time of the stoppage is announced at 1:34 of the first round, but this is not the case, as there was instead 1:34 left in the opening frame.
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The Official Result
Jafel Filho def. Daniel Barez R1 3:26 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jul 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Bárez

Angelo sees Jafel Filho coming out hot but fading, while Daniel Bárez maintains a high pace and doesn't slow down. He notes that even if Filho gets takedowns, Bárez will force him to work and exhaust him. Angelo is not betting on this fight, indicating a lean rather than a strong pick.

"pick wise I'm gonna go slight lean towards Daniel barraz here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Bárez

Big Brady picks Daniel Bárez to win by knockout in the second round. He is impressed with Bárez's striking, especially his body work, and believes he can keep the fight standing to avoid Filho's dangerous grappling. He notes Bárez's age (34) and debut as red flags but likes his finishing ability.

by knockout, second round
"I'm gonna pick bars to win this fight I'm gonna take him to win this fight by knockout as well"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Bárez

Cody picks Bárez, noting his power and takedown ability. He thinks Bárez is physically stronger and has better striking. He is concerned about cardio but likes the plus money for a wild fighter.

"we're taking Underdog number three and uh yeah Daniel barraz"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Bárez

Daniel bet Daniel Bárez at +110 to win 2 units. He believes Bárez is a seasoned veteran who has fought top competition like Manel Kape and Carlos Hernandez, and should be the favorite. He praises Bárez's work rate, clean hands, body work, and leg kicks, contrasting with Filho's low output and reliance on opportunistic submissions. He is concerned about Filho's guillotine and back takes but thinks Bárez's pressure and activity will overwhelm him. He expects Bárez to win by TKO or decision.

Daniel bet Bárez at +110 to win 2 units. He says 'I put two units on him at plus 110' and expects a great UFC debut.
"I put two units on him at plus 110 and I think he's gonna have a great UFC debut"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Daniel Bárez

The host leans with Daniel Bárez, citing his striking advantage and aggressiveness as keys to victory. He acknowledges that Filho could have success if he takes the fight to the ground, but expects Bárez's damage-heavy approach to prevail. The fight is described as a pick'em, and the host predicts Bárez by decision.

"I'm gonna lean with the Spanish side here the Spaniard side and Daniel barraz as I believe his striking advantage and aggressiveness will allow him to push the pressure against filio"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Bárez

Paul agrees with Cody, citing Bárez's power and aggression. He notes Filho was submitted in his last fight and Bárez has finishing ability. He is willing to take a shot at plus money.

"sold for me as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jafel Filho

The MMA Guru picks Jafel Filho, citing his impressive performance against Muhammad Mokaev where he nearly ripped his leg off. He criticizes Daniel Bárez's competition level, noting his wins are against low-level opponents. He also questions Bárez's wrestling effectiveness in MMA, stating his takedowns lack control and his striking is not impressive. The Guru believes Filho's submission attempts and damage will earn him a close decision win.

"I'm gonna have to go with jeffel filho here I think he gets this one done"
Luis Gurule - Fight History
SCHED vs Rei Tsuruya
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Luis Gurule vs. Rei Tsuruya
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Tsuruya (-220); Gurule (+180)

Round 1
Gurule (11-3; 1-3 UFC), just two weeks removed from his first UFC win, looks to build on that momentum as he steps up on short notice against Tsuruya (10-1; 1-1 UFC), who was last in action over a year ago against now-champ Josh Van and most now rebound from that setback. The habitual flyweights have agreed to meet at 135 pounds here, and Marc Goddard is the referee. Tsuruya refuses the glove touch, and his southpaw stance against Gurule’s orthodox attack leads to immediate jostling of the lead hands. A few awkward, glancing exchanges result, but Tsuruya’s advantages in height and reach are stark. He lands a hard left that buckles Gurule’s legs momentarily, and he presses his advantage. He can’t land any more clean strikes, but hustles the American to the canvas, where he gradually moves to take back control. Gurule halts his positional advance, and Tsuruya punishes him with a brutal stream of ground punches that have Goddard looking on closely. Gurule survives and shells up, but when he tries to stand, Tsuruya hoists him, slams him back to the ground and takes back mount.
Tsuruya sinks a body triangle and starts fishing for a choke. He gets a neck crank and applies torque, and it’s enough: Gurule is forced to tap and Goddard is there for the save.
Impressive work from Rei Tsuruya to bounce back from his first professional loss in dominant fashion.

The Official Result
Rei Tsuruya def. Luis Gurule R1 3:19 via Submission (Neck Crank)
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Rei Tsuruya

AJ is confident in Rei Tsuruya, citing a clear grappling edge over Luis Gurule, who is a short-notice replacement. He notes that Gurule was dropped multiple times by Jesus Aguilar, whom Tsuruya was originally scheduled to fight. AJ expects Tsuruya to take Gurule's back and secure a rear-naked choke submission, as Tsuruya is a hyper-elite grappler with only one pro loss to Joshua Van.

Rei Tsuruya by submission +300 mentioned as a favorite prop; moneyline at -240
"I think Ray Seruya has a hyper elite ground game that's going to be on display here and odds are he's going to get Garle's back and he's probably going to end up sinking in that rear naked choke."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked May 26, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Rei Tsuruya

AJ is confident Tsuruya will out-grapple Gurule, citing his high-level grappling, takedowns, and jiu-jitsu. He notes Tsuruya's only loss is to Joshua Van and compares him to a 'great value Tatsuro Taira'. He predicts Tsuruya will hit takedowns, control position, and win by decision or submission, specifically a rear naked choke in the first or second round.

Tsuruya submission at +275; Tsuruya decision at +160; Tsuruya as parlay piece
"I think this is a Ray Borg fight where he really can shine. I think that he's going to be able to out-grapple Luis Gurule. ... I think Ray is going to be able to get a submission here. I …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 28, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Rei Tsuruya

Connor picks Rei Tsuruya, noting Gurule is not fast, dynamic, or powerful for flyweight, and cannot create separation. Tsuruya is faster and can impose his wrestling game. Gurule is also on short notice.

"Tsuruya is faster, knows exactly what he needs to do, and gets to impose his wrestling game."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 28, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Rei Tsuruya

Zane picks Rei Tsuruya because he is a strong, determined wrestler who gave Joshua Van a hard fight. Luis Gurule is a meat-and-potatoes flyweight who struggles against athletic opponents willing to push pace. Tsuruya is faster and knows exactly what he needs to do.

Odds mentioned: Tsuruya -240, Gurule +205
"Tsuruya is the pick. It is a bad style matchup, plus Gurule is flying across the world on short notice without a camp."
WIN vs Daniel Bárez
DEC R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · May 16, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Bárez 0 113 of 246 45% 117 of 252 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:48
Luis Gurule 0 149 of 299 49% 178 of 335 1 of 5 20% 1 1 2:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Bárez 0 20 of 41 48% 22 of 44 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:48
Luis Gurule 0 25 of 55 45% 30 of 62 0 of 1 0% 1 1 1:21
2 Daniel Bárez 0 42 of 69 60% 43 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Luis Gurule 0 51 of 107 47% 69 of 125 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:44
3 Daniel Bárez 0 51 of 136 37% 52 of 138 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luis Gurule 0 73 of 137 53% 79 of 148 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Bárez 113 of 246 45% 79 of 208 20 of 22 14 of 16 108 of 241 5 of 5 0 of 0
Luis Gurule 149 of 299 49% 129 of 273 8 of 13 12 of 13 133 of 278 16 of 21 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Bárez 20 of 41 48% 11 of 32 3 of 3 6 of 6 16 of 37 4 of 4 0 of 0
Luis Gurule 25 of 55 45% 21 of 50 2 of 2 2 of 3 22 of 50 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Daniel Bárez 42 of 69 60% 27 of 52 9 of 9 6 of 8 41 of 68 1 of 1 0 of 0
Luis Gurule 51 of 107 47% 45 of 99 1 of 3 5 of 5 49 of 103 2 of 4 0 of 0
3 Daniel Bárez 51 of 136 37% 41 of 124 8 of 10 2 of 2 51 of 136 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luis Gurule 73 of 137 53% 63 of 124 5 of 8 5 of 5 62 of 125 11 of 12 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule

Round 1
Jerin Valel is the referee. Barez uses his lead hand early, and then he tages Gurule with a right hand. Barez is also mixing in leg kicks well. Barez catches a kick and lands several strikes before relinquishing the limb. Gurule wakes up and pressures with a series of punches before punctuating the assault with an elbow. Barez slows it down with a clinch. Back at range, Gurule lands another heavy shot. Barez is able to get a takedown and take his foe’s back. Gurule scrambles into top position and hunts for a choke. Barez is eventually able to scramble up. Gurule lands a short elbow and they break. Barez pumps his jab to keep his adversary at bay. Gurule tags Barez with several right hands. Barez steps in with a knee and then shoots for a takedown, shoving Gurule into the wire. Gurule turns his man and lands some short shots before Barez breaks free. Another right gets through for Gurule. They trade before the horn, and it’s a Gurule right that seems to have the most impact.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gurule
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gurule
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gurule

Round 2
Barez targets the legs and then throws a jab. Gurule moves in but eats a hard counter from the Spainard. Gurule marches forward with a combination. Gurule with a hard kick to Barez’s lead leg. A couple rights land for Gurule, but Barez is firing back with combinations. Barez stings Gurule with a counter right, and the American shoots. Barez denies it and lands a combination, mixing punches to the head and body .A right over the top gets through for Barez. Barez is landing more combinations this round. Gurule forces the issue, and he starts landing a variety of punches. These two are trading willingly. A right from Gurule tags Barez. Gurule goes on the assault and Barez appears to be wobbled. Gurule follows him and unloads near the fence. Barez tries to slow things with a takedown, but Gurule takes the back and executes a beautiful suplex. Barez stands and they clinch near the fence. Gurule lands a stiff 1-2 and Barez shoots out of desperation. Gurule sprawls and pushes his man into the fence. He creates space and tees off with a combination. Barez answers with a spinning attack. Gurule backs up Barez with a left before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gurule
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gurule
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gurule

Round 3
Gurule lands a combination and follows with a low kick. Gurule is throwing in volume quite well, and he backs Barez into the fence, where he unloads with a barrage of short punches and elbows. Barez pushes Gurule off the fence and they separate. Gurule follows a punching combination with kicks to the body. Gurule tries a level change but Barez remains upright. Gurule measures and lands a right. They clinch in the center of the cage. They break and Barez tries to go on the attack. However, it’s Gurule with another solid right hand. Barez moves forward and connects with an impactful right. Barez is still throwing, but anytime he seems to be gaining momentum, Gurule has an answer. A right snaps Barez’s head back. The flyweights continue to trade, but again it’s Gurule who snaps the Spaniard’s head back with a right. Gurule is landing at will, rocking Barez with hooks to the dome. Barez has plenty of fight in him, as he continues to answer with offense of his own. The fight ends with one last spirited exchange, and Valel wraps up Barez before he can unleash a spinning attack after the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gurule (30-27 Gurule)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gurule (30-27 Gurule)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gurule (30-27 Gurule)

The Official Result
Luis Gurule def. Daniel Barez via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) R3 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 10, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Luis Gurule

Angelo picks Luis Gurule, viewing the fight as close to a coin flip. He notes that Barez struggled against forward pressure, which is Gurule's style. He expects Gurule's pressure and volume to earn a close decision, possibly a split. He is not betting on this fight.

"My money's on Luis Garu, not my literal money. I'm not betting on this [ __ ] My uh theoretical money is on Luis Gar here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 12, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Bárez

Big Brady leans toward Daniel Bárez despite concerns about his age and cardio. He believes Bárez's power and early finishing ability will be too much for Luis Gurule, whose chin he no longer trusts. He predicts a first-round knockout, but acknowledges the fight could turn ugly if it goes longer.

first round KO
"I'm going to lean Perez just because I think he's going to hit Gerle very hard and I just don't trust Gerilli's chin at this point of his career."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Luis Gurule

Cody picks Luis Gurule, noting that Daniel Bárez has a poor gas tank and fades after the first round. Gurule is slow to start but has good cardio and comes on late. Cody expects Bárez to win the first round but tire, allowing Gurule to take over in the second and third, possibly getting a late stoppage.

Suggests Gurule by TKO in round three.
"Gurule very slow in the first round. So this is a great opportunity that Guerle probably will lose the first round. ... If you do exactly that, you're going to win the second, you're going to win the third. You …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 15, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Luis Gurule

Connor picks Gurule, agreeing with Zane. He notes Bárez is 37 and was signed at 35, which is old for flyweight. Gurule is American and has a solid style, though he lacks a next gear at this weight.

Same odds as Zane. Connor calls Bárez 'undercooked' and notes the UFC signing older fighters.
"Yeah, I'll take grueling. Whatever."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked May 10, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Luis Gurule

Lucrative James hesitantly picks Luis Gurule, citing Gurule's superior cardio and will to win, while Bárez tends to fade after round one. He acknowledges Bárez's early power and knockout threat, but believes Gurule can win rounds two and three. He is not confident and may avoid betting.

"I'm going to pick Lewis Garle here. I'm going to pick Lewis Garle to get the fight one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Luis Gurule

The host picks Luis Corrales (Gurule) over Daniel Barres, believing Corrales will finally get his first UFC win. He expects Corrales to use pace, pressure, and forward movement to win on the scorecards.

"I believe Luis Corrales will be successful this weekend. I look for him to put a large a large amount of pace, pressure, and forward movement against Barz and then win this fight on the score cards."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 12, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Luis Gurule

The host feels this is the best stylistic matchup for Gurule to get his first UFC win, as Bárez doesn't have the same power or athleticism as Gurule's previous opponents. He expects Gurule's pressure and pace to wear down Bárez in the second and third rounds, leading to a decision win. He is confident in Gurule at -110.

"I feel pretty decent about him at minus 110. I kind of overtrusted him in past fights, but I feel like this is a good enough stylistic matchup for him to finally get back to the winning track."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)

Paul does not make a clear pick for this fight, noting that both fighters are low-level flyweights and that the winner will likely face a Contender Series pickup next. He does not express a strong opinion.

"We're really scraping the bottom of the flyweight barrel here."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 15, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Luis Gurule

Zane picks Gurule because Bárez is an undercooked regional power striker, while Gurule has a nuts-and-bolts wrestle-boxer style. However, he notes Gurule is a step behind at flyweight and lacks a next gear. Bárez might land hard shots but won't follow up.

Odds: Bárez opened -110, now +128; Gurule opened -110, now -148. Zane says 'Don't even read the odds. Don't bet on this.'
"So I guess I'll take gruel or gruel. Yeah, I think it's grueling."
LOSS vs Alden Coria
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · Feb 21, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alden Coria 0 79 of 175 45% 96 of 193 1 of 4 25% 0 1 1:42
Luis Gurule 0 50 of 150 33% 59 of 169 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alden Coria 0 24 of 51 47% 26 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
Luis Gurule 0 11 of 33 33% 15 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
2 Alden Coria 0 22 of 51 43% 29 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:02
Luis Gurule 0 12 of 38 31% 13 of 40 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:36
3 Alden Coria 0 33 of 73 45% 41 of 82 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:31
Luis Gurule 0 27 of 79 34% 31 of 92 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alden Coria 79 of 175 45% 52 of 137 15 of 26 12 of 12 70 of 165 6 of 7 3 of 3
Luis Gurule 50 of 150 33% 32 of 122 8 of 16 10 of 12 45 of 140 5 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alden Coria 24 of 51 47% 15 of 35 3 of 10 6 of 6 22 of 49 2 of 2 0 of 0
Luis Gurule 11 of 33 33% 5 of 24 3 of 5 3 of 4 10 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Alden Coria 22 of 51 43% 14 of 42 5 of 6 3 of 3 16 of 44 3 of 4 3 of 3
Luis Gurule 12 of 38 31% 8 of 31 0 of 3 4 of 4 10 of 33 2 of 5 0 of 0
3 Alden Coria 33 of 73 45% 23 of 60 7 of 10 3 of 3 32 of 72 1 of 1 0 of 0
Luis Gurule 27 of 79 34% 19 of 67 5 of 8 3 of 4 25 of 75 2 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Alden Coria vs. Luis Gurule

Round 1
Jeff Rexroad is the referee. Coria with an outside leg kick, and Gurule answers with one of his own. Gurule is warned to close his hands. Another leg kick for Coria. A right gets through for Coria. A stiff jab connects for Coria. Coria lands another jab. Coria counters Gurule with a nice combination. A quick left hand gets through for Coria, and Gurule follows a combination by shoving his man into the fence. Coria reverses position and lands a sneaky shoulder strike and a knee before they separate. Coria lands a body kick. Coria catches a kick and briefly dumps Gurule. Coria pumps his jab. Gurule wings a counter combination but can’t connect. Coria makes Gurule stumble with a calf kick. Coria knees the body and avoids a Gurule flurry at the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Coria
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Coria
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Coria

Round 2
Coria opens up with a lead hook and Gurule responds with a low kick. Gurule catches a kick, lands a couple shots and looks for a takedown. He lifts and slams Coria, but the Houston native is right back to his feet. Coria hurts Gurule in an ensuing exchange. Coria targets the lead leg and then lands a straightr right. Gurule has a head kick blocked, and Coria connects with a counter left. Coria with a front kick to the body. Coria steps in with an uppercut and follows up with a straight right. They clinch and Coria lands a knee before shoving his foe into the fence. A shoulder strike follows. Coria breaks with a slashing elbow and keeps the pressure on with straights. An uppercut by Coria snaps Gurule’s head back. Coria is just picking Gurule apart. Coria connects with a head kick and Gurule goes on the attack. He strings together a series of punches before changing levels against the fence. Coria defends well and they separate. Coria stabs his foe with a front kick, then lands a knee in close. Another uppercut finds the mark for Coria. Gurule ducks under a spinning attack and slams Coria to the mat. However, Coria ends up on top in side control. Gurule goes to all fours and Coria frames a choke to force his foe back to the floor. Coria ends the round in side control.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Coria
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Coria
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Coria

Round 3
Coria lands a jab and then an outside low kick. Gurule wades forward with power punches. He backs Coria into the fence and attacks before clinching. Gurule with a short elbow on the break. Coria lands a combination to back Gurule up. He works the body nicely before going upstairs. Gurule is firing back this round, however. Coria changes levels and gets a takedown in the center of the Octagon. Gurule stands, but Coria maintains a rear body lock. A quick mat return follows and then Coria shoves Gurule toward the fence. The Houston fighter peppers his foe with a flurry of punches on the release. Coria continues to find success with a uppercut. Coria is heating up, landing punches, knees and kicks to the body. Gurule wings punches but Coria slides out of reach. Coria catches a kick. Gurule is swinging wildly before Coria releases the limb. Coria lands a jab and then eludes an onrushing Gurule. Gurule wades forward with punches and Coria just misses on a spinning attack. Gurule falls after a kick and Coria kicks the body. Gurule goes on the attack one more time, but Coria remains defensively sound until the final horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Coria (30-27 Coria)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Coria (30-27 Coria)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Coria (30-27 Coria)

The Official Result
Alden Coria def. Luis Gurule via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) R3 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Alden Coria

Angelo picks Alden Coria, impressed by his UFC debut where he stopped Alessandro Costa as an underdog. He describes Coria as a busy grappler with slick scrambles and sneaky power, and believes his relentless style will overwhelm Luis Gurule, who had low volume in his last fight.

"Alden's the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Alden Coria

Big Brady picks Alden Coria to defeat Luis Gurule, citing Gurule's terrible chin and Coria's well-rounded skills. He notes Gurule gets hurt in every fight and lost a striking exchange to Jesus Aguilar, who has a 62-inch reach. He believes Coria will land something big and knock out Gurule, predicting a second-round knockout. He praises Coria's debut and training with Joshua Van.

Alden Coria by second-round knockout
"I like Korea here quite a bit. ... I think Korea's probably going to knock this guy out. I'll say second round knockout for Ode and Korea."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Alden Coria

Cody is high on Coria, citing his power, youth, and takedown defense. He thinks Gurule has poor cardio and chin, and that Coria will overwhelm him. He expects a KO or dominant decision.

"I really like this kid. I think he's got the goods. And Guru is a perfect first fight to establish yourself."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Alden Coria

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Coria. He notes that Gurule has not improved since his debut, while Coria has improved fight to fight, as shown in his win over Costa where he had to problem-solve. Gurule will be a free target for Coria.

"Gorilla is the very definition of what we tend to think of most mma fighters, which is he came out with a pretty decent game and has not improved at all since then"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Alden Coria

James picks Alden Coria to win inside the distance, predicting he will hurt and finish Gurule. He notes that Gurule has a questionable chin and has been hurt in recent fights, while Coria is a dangerous finisher with good grappling. James sees value in Coria inside the distance rather than the moneyline.

Coria inside the distance
"My official prediction, Cora to win inside the distance."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Alden Coria

Coria is a faster, more powerful striker with good takedown defense, as shown in his UFC debut. Gurule is 0-2 in the UFC and has underachieved, but he has good cardio and pressure. Coria should land the more damaging shots and win on the scorecards, but Gurule could make it competitive if he pushes a pace and uses clinch work. The chalk is a bit steep, so hesitant.

"So official prediction will be Korea by decision, but I'd be a little bit skeptical in terms of taking that kind of chalk on him."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Alden Coria

Paul agrees, calling Gurule possibly the worst flyweight on the roster. He notes Coria's impressive debut against a tough opponent and thinks Gurule's gas tank issues will be exposed. He expects Coria to win comfortably.

"I think Lewis Guru is like maybe the worst maybe the worst flyweight on the roster."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Alden Coria

The MMA Guru picks Alden Coria, citing his size advantage (5'8" vs 5'5") and finishing ability. He notes Coria beat Alessandro Costa, who is a dangerous version of Gurule on the feet. He expects Coria to rally as the fight goes on and get a late rounds TKO, possibly with knees and uppercuts against the cage.

late rounds TKO
"I'm going to go with Alden Correa and I'm going to say that he wins this fight by late rounds TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Alden Coria

Zane picks Coria easily, noting that Gurule is a 'quadruple A' fighter who couldn't beat Osbourne or Susag. Coria is a better striker, at least as good a wrestler, and much busier. Gurule has no range game and can't fight outside of close range, making him a free target.

"alvin korea should just go out there and put it on lewis guru le it's not interesting. He's a better striker, he's at least as good a wrestler, and he is a much busier fighter"
LOSS vs Jesus Aguilar
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · Sep 13, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jesus Aguilar 0 85 of 235 36% 87 of 237 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:38
Luis Gurule 0 65 of 186 34% 73 of 195 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jesus Aguilar 0 35 of 73 47% 35 of 73 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:18
Luis Gurule 0 12 of 49 24% 12 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jesus Aguilar 0 20 of 65 30% 20 of 65 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Luis Gurule 0 20 of 64 31% 22 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jesus Aguilar 0 30 of 97 30% 32 of 99 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:20
Luis Gurule 0 33 of 73 45% 39 of 80 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jesus Aguilar 85 of 235 36% 35 of 164 25 of 43 25 of 28 76 of 224 9 of 11 0 of 0
Luis Gurule 65 of 186 34% 43 of 157 12 of 18 10 of 11 59 of 174 2 of 5 4 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jesus Aguilar 35 of 73 47% 12 of 47 12 of 15 11 of 11 30 of 67 5 of 6 0 of 0
Luis Gurule 12 of 49 24% 5 of 41 4 of 5 3 of 3 12 of 47 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Jesus Aguilar 20 of 65 30% 9 of 46 3 of 8 8 of 11 19 of 64 1 of 1 0 of 0
Luis Gurule 20 of 64 31% 10 of 51 6 of 8 4 of 5 20 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jesus Aguilar 30 of 97 30% 14 of 71 10 of 20 6 of 6 27 of 93 3 of 4 0 of 0
Luis Gurule 33 of 73 45% 28 of 65 2 of 5 3 of 3 27 of 63 2 of 3 4 of 7
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jesus Santos Aguilar vs. Luis Gurule
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gurule (-220); Aguilar (+180)

Round 1
Jacob Montalvo is the referee. Aguillar wastes no time firing a big right hand. Aguilar goes on the attack with power punches. A hard leg kick lands for Aguilar, who moves forward behind punches. A solid uppercut lands during that barrage. Aguilar lands a calf kick. Agular puts Gurule on the defensive with a flurry of punches, then follows with a series of knees to the body against the fence. Gurule retreats to the center of the cage. Aguilar rushes forward and finishes a combination with a knee to the gut. Gurule counters a low kick with a right hand. guilar with a low kick, but Gurule answers with a combination. Aguilar jabs the body. A right gets through for Gurule. Gurule moves forward with a long combination this time, and Aguilar answers with a takedown. Gurule returns to his feet and breaks free. Aguilar with a straight right to the body. Gurule fires a jab. Aguliar looks to clinch but Gurule shucks him off. Gurule lands a kick to the body. Aguliar puts the pressure on and lands a knee in the clinch before the round expires.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Aguilar
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aguilar
Mike Pendleton scores the round: 10-9 Aguilar

Round 2
Aguilar gets an uppercut through his foe’s guard. An overhand right leads to the clinch, where Aguilar lands a knee in close. Gurule jabs the body, then moves in with a combination. Gurule lands the front kick to the body again. Another low kick lands for Aguilar. A counter left hook lands clean for Aguilar. Aguilar connects with a left hook in an ensuing exhange. Gurule continues to go back to the front kick. Aguilar lands a solid calf kick. Gurule blocks an overhand. Agular with a kick to the body, then avoids a counter offering from Gurule. Gurle jabs, then shucks off a takedown try from his opponent. Gurule lands a body kick. The pace is more methodical this round, which seems to favor Gurule. Aguilar kicks the leg then goes upstairs, but it’s blocked. An overhand by Aguilar doesn’t get through. Gurule lands a lead hand to the body. Aguilar changes levels and gets in deep on a takedown, but Gurule somehow defends it. Aguilar with an inside leg kick, and Gurule lands a right hand before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gurule
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Gurule
Mike Pendleton scores the round: 10-9 Gurule

Round 3
The fight could be up for grabs in this round. Aguilar forces the action early, and he lands a combination. Gurule ducks a high kick, but an ensuing spinning kick to the body lands for the Mexican. Gurule punctuates a punching combination with a body kick. Aguilar makes Gurule buckle with a jab and drops him with a shovel hook. Aguilar tries to jump for a guillotine, but Gurule shoves him to the floor and tees off with ground-and-pound. Gurule works to the back, but Aguilar scrambles up. Gurule goes back to the front kick to the body. They clinch briefly, then separate. Gurule grabs a leg then lets it go to land a power shot. Gurule counters a low kick with a two-punch combination. Aguilar moves forward and lands a knee in the clinch. A right from Gurule lands clean. Aguilar swings wildly and makes Gurule move back with a left. Aguilar lands a knee in close and then a jab as he slides back. Aguilar goes low kick high kick. Augilar with another aggressive combination, and he snaps Gurule’s head back. Gurule lands some powerful punches of his own. Aguilar lands a couple jabs then shoots for a takedown. He spins to the back, but Gurule frees himself and the flyweights fire off offense in one last wild exchange before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Aguilar (29-28 Aguilar)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aguilar (29-28 Aguilar)
Mike Pendleton scores the round: 10-9 Aguilar (29-28 Aguilar)

The Official Result
Jesus Santos Aguilar def. Luis Gurule via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28) R3 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Luis Gurule

Angelo picks Luis Gurule, noting he is a light-on-his-toes striker with forward pressure and decent power. He says Jesus Aguilar is a solid grappler with a knack for guillotines, but is a one-trick pony. He thinks everyone knows Jesus is looking for the guillotine, so if you expect it, you can avoid it. He calls Jesus a very good dog and says he'll probably try to find a prop bet like win inside distance or decision no action for Jesus.

Probably going to try to find some sort of prop bet like a win inside the distance decision. No action for Jesus because he's tough as [__]
"Luis is going to be the pick. But Jesus is a very good dog here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Luis Gurule

Big Brady picks Gurule as the much more well-rounded fighter with better striking and wrestling. He notes Aguilar's only threat is the guillotine, and if Gurule watches his neck, he should dominate. He predicts Gurule wins by decision, keeping the fight standing and picking Aguilar apart.

Decision win
"Gerilli by decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Luis Gurule

Despite Gurule's previous knockout loss, the host sees this as a winnable matchup. He believes Aguilar's power shots are telegraphed, allowing Gurule to avoid danger, apply pressure, and win on the scorecards.

"I think the power shots from Aguilar will be easily telegraphed and that will allow Guru to stay away from danger, put the pressure on Aguilar, chip away at him and win this fight on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jesus Aguilar

The MMA Guru picks underdog Jesus Aguilar, disagreeing with Gurule being a -200 favorite. He notes Aguilar's stocky, dangerous style and ability to trouble opponents, citing his KO of Shannon Ross. He sees Gurule as unproven in the UFC, coming off a KO loss, and believes Aguilar has shown more ability across distance.

Decision or finish
"I'm going to go with Jesus Aguila to get this one done by decision or a finish. ... He's a good underdog here."
LOSS vs Ode' Osbourne
TKO (punches) R2 1:54 · UFC on ESPN: Emmett vs. Murphy · Apr 05, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ode' Osbourne 1 18 of 43 41% 22 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Luis Gurule 0 12 of 34 35% 26 of 49 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ode' Osbourne 0 5 of 19 26% 5 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luis Gurule 0 7 of 19 36% 21 of 33 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:07
2 Ode' Osbourne 1 13 of 24 54% 17 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Luis Gurule 0 5 of 15 33% 5 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ode' Osbourne 18 of 43 41% 11 of 33 6 of 9 1 of 1 14 of 37 0 of 1 4 of 5
Luis Gurule 12 of 34 35% 3 of 13 0 of 7 9 of 14 11 of 32 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ode' Osbourne 5 of 19 26% 1 of 13 3 of 5 1 of 1 5 of 18 0 of 1 0 of 0
Luis Gurule 7 of 19 36% 1 of 7 0 of 3 6 of 9 7 of 18 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Ode' Osbourne 13 of 24 54% 10 of 20 3 of 4 0 of 0 9 of 19 0 of 0 4 of 5
Luis Gurule 5 of 15 33% 2 of 6 0 of 4 3 of 5 4 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Luis Gurule vs. Ode Osbourne
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gurule (-218), Osbourne (+180)

Round 1
His back likely against the wall in this flyweight pairing, Osbourne (12-8, 1 NC; 4-6 UFC) will try to put his three-fight skid in the past. He welcomes Factory X product Gurule (10-0, 0-0 UFC) to the promotion, with the latter working his way up the Fury FC circuit to reach the Contender Series last year. The 125ers will have referee Jason Herzog watching over the action to make sure nothing goes awry, and they elect to touch gloves first. Gurule leads off with a kid to the side, and Osbourne pays him back immediately with one. Gurule kicks low, and he darts away to the side and offers another. Osbourne kicks him in the side twice, and Gurule answers with a left hand and a high kick—both are blocked, but the sheer momentum budges him a bit. Osbourne walks Gurule down and punches him square in the face, and Gurule has to rebound off the fence to blink it out. “The Jamaican Sensation” goes after his foe with his rangy strikes, and he catches a body kick to come up with his other leg and boot Gurule in the face. They trade kicks on the outside, and Gurule ducks a punch and flips Osbourne all the way over to slam him down on his back. Gurule lands directly in side control and uses his shoulder to press down on Osbourne’s face and keep him flat on the canvas. Gurule looks for full mount, and he is bounced out of it while slashing down with an elbow. Osbourne pulls him back to half guard, and Gurule accepts this so he can elbow the Wisconsin native further. Gurule drops down some ground-and-pound, spurring Osbourne into desperately returning to his feet with 20 seconds left. Gurule drops for a single, and he lets it go to wing a left hand over the top. Gurule has a head kick bounce off the guard, and they clash with kicks at the same time to conclude the frame.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gurule
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Gurule
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gurule

Round 2
A fist bump leads into the action, where Gurule lets loose three kicks in rapid succession. Gurule ducks a strike to come up with a left hand, and he dances away from a one-two but is still in range for a front kick. Osbourne catches his man at the end of a right, and he times a ducking Gurule with an uppercut. The strike stops Gurule from completing the takedown, as Osbourne breaks free and jabs out a few times. Both men sting one another with long, straight punches, and Osbourne blocks a kick to drive a one-two down the pipe. When Gurule offers out a kick, Osbourne snipes him from his distance. This happens a second time, a naked kick from the unbeaten fighter is met with a concussive left hand that sends him to the floor in a heap.
Osbourne is surprised at the success of his blow, and he has to commit to finishing the fight rather than walking off. He leaps on the side of his opponent and hammers him with a number of unanswered right hands. As the punches continue to mount, Herzog says enough is enough and calls a halt to the match.
Just like that, the upset has been completed, while Gurule has been firmly ejected from the ranks of the unbeaten. Meanwhile, Osbourne can rest a little easier with that win on his belt, having put Gurule down with what he called a “Dewey Cooper special.”

The Official Result
Ode Osbourne def. Luis Gurule R2 1:54 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Luis Gurule

Angelo acknowledges Ode' Osbourne is better than his recent record and nearly won his last fight, but he thinks Osbourne may be dejected after three losses and that his grappling gaps remain. He picks Luis Gurule due to his pressure, power, and grappling, but warns that undefeated UFC debuts often lose and advises against betting. He calls it a trap fight where Osbourne could win out of nowhere.

"I'm going to go with Luis here because despite the experience Gap oday hasn't closed his grappling gaps and I think Luis can get the grappling going."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 1, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Luis Gurule

Big Brady picks Luis Gurule despite not being impressed with him. He notes Ode' Osbourne has durability and cardio issues, often fading after the first round. He expects Gurule's solid cardio and durability to take over as the fight progresses, leading to a decision win.

"I'm going to take Luis GLE to win this fight winning this fight by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Luis Gurule

Gurule is making his UFC debut with a 10-0 record and is expected to put on a pace and pressure that Osbourne cannot keep up with, leading to a third-round stoppage.

third round stoppage
"I really like Gru in the spot making his UFC debut with a 10 and0 record and I expect him to go out there and put on a pace and pressure that Osborne is unable to keep up with leading …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Luis Gurule

The Guru picks Luis Gurule, noting his undefeated record and grindy style. He criticizes Ode' Osbourne for losing to Ronaldo Rodriguez and having multiple submission losses. He expects a close decision but thinks the prospect will get the nod over Osbourne, who he considers not good enough.

"I'm going to go with Lewis Geru grling his way to a win with a grindy style on the inside. I'm going to pick Lewis Garul. Close decision."
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 10, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Luis Gurule

Angelo picks Luis Gurule, viewing the fight as close to a coin flip. He notes that Barez struggled against forward pressure, which is Gurule's style. He expects Gurule's pressure and volume to earn a close decision, possibly a split. He is not betting on this fight.

"My money's on Luis Garu, not my literal money. I'm not betting on this [ __ ] My uh theoretical money is on Luis Gar here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 12, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Bárez

Big Brady leans toward Daniel Bárez despite concerns about his age and cardio. He believes Bárez's power and early finishing ability will be too much for Luis Gurule, whose chin he no longer trusts. He predicts a first-round knockout, but acknowledges the fight could turn ugly if it goes longer.

first round KO
"I'm going to lean Perez just because I think he's going to hit Gerle very hard and I just don't trust Gerilli's chin at this point of his career."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Luis Gurule

Cody picks Luis Gurule, noting that Daniel Bárez has a poor gas tank and fades after the first round. Gurule is slow to start but has good cardio and comes on late. Cody expects Bárez to win the first round but tire, allowing Gurule to take over in the second and third, possibly getting a late stoppage.

Suggests Gurule by TKO in round three.
"Gurule very slow in the first round. So this is a great opportunity that Guerle probably will lose the first round. ... If you do exactly that, you're going to win the second, you're going to win the third. You could get a third round stoppage."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 15, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Luis Gurule

Connor picks Gurule, agreeing with Zane. He notes Bárez is 37 and was signed at 35, which is old for flyweight. Gurule is American and has a solid style, though he lacks a next gear at this weight.

Same odds as Zane. Connor calls Bárez 'undercooked' and notes the UFC signing older fighters.
"Yeah, I'll take grueling. Whatever."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked May 10, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Luis Gurule

Lucrative James hesitantly picks Luis Gurule, citing Gurule's superior cardio and will to win, while Bárez tends to fade after round one. He acknowledges Bárez's early power and knockout threat, but believes Gurule can win rounds two and three. He is not confident and may avoid betting.

"I'm going to pick Lewis Garle here. I'm going to pick Lewis Garle to get the fight one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Luis Gurule

The host picks Luis Corrales (Gurule) over Daniel Barres, believing Corrales will finally get his first UFC win. He expects Corrales to use pace, pressure, and forward movement to win on the scorecards.

"I believe Luis Corrales will be successful this weekend. I look for him to put a large a large amount of pace, pressure, and forward movement against Barz and then win this fight on the score cards."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 12, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Luis Gurule

The host feels this is the best stylistic matchup for Gurule to get his first UFC win, as Bárez doesn't have the same power or athleticism as Gurule's previous opponents. He expects Gurule's pressure and pace to wear down Bárez in the second and third rounds, leading to a decision win. He is confident in Gurule at -110.

"I feel pretty decent about him at minus 110. I kind of overtrusted him in past fights, but I feel like this is a good enough stylistic matchup for him to finally get back to the winning track."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
No clear pick

Paul does not make a clear pick for this fight, noting that both fighters are low-level flyweights and that the winner will likely face a Contender Series pickup next. He does not express a strong opinion.

"We're really scraping the bottom of the flyweight barrel here."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 15, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Luis Gurule

Zane picks Gurule because Bárez is an undercooked regional power striker, while Gurule has a nuts-and-bolts wrestle-boxer style. However, he notes Gurule is a step behind at flyweight and lacks a next gear. Bárez might land hard shots but won't follow up.

Odds: Bárez opened -110, now +128; Gurule opened -110, now -148. Zane says 'Don't even read the odds. Don't bet on this.'
"So I guess I'll take gruel or gruel. Yeah, I think it's grueling."