Career Averages - Daniil Donchenko
Career Averages - Andreas Gustafsson
Daniil Donchenko - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Morono | 0 | 40 of 146 | 27% | 48 of 154 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Daniil Donchenko | 1 | 100 of 162 | 61% | 134 of 214 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:20 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Morono | 0 | 16 of 38 | 42% | 22 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Daniil Donchenko | 1 | 39 of 59 | 66% | 70 of 108 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:44 | |
| 2 | Alex Morono | 0 | 6 of 43 | 13% | 7 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Daniil Donchenko | 0 | 27 of 40 | 67% | 30 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:35 | |
| 3 | Alex Morono | 0 | 18 of 65 | 27% | 19 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Daniil Donchenko | 0 | 34 of 63 | 53% | 34 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Morono | 40 of 146 | 27% | 37 of 138 | 2 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 36 of 137 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniil Donchenko | 100 of 162 | 61% | 45 of 99 | 21 of 28 | 34 of 35 | 82 of 134 | 7 of 11 | 11 of 17 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Morono | 16 of 38 | 42% | 13 of 33 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 35 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniil Donchenko | 39 of 59 | 66% | 23 of 42 | 8 of 9 | 8 of 8 | 25 of 37 | 3 of 5 | 11 of 17 | |
| 2 | Alex Morono | 6 of 43 | 13% | 6 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 39 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniil Donchenko | 27 of 40 | 67% | 9 of 18 | 7 of 10 | 11 of 12 | 24 of 37 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alex Morono | 18 of 65 | 27% | 18 of 63 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 63 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniil Donchenko | 34 of 63 | 53% | 13 of 39 | 6 of 9 | 15 of 15 | 33 of 60 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Daniil Donchenko despite believing Alex Morono is the better fighter skill-for-skill. He explains that Morono is a 'moron' who will stand and trade instead of using his high-level jiu-jitsu. Donchenko hits hard and Morono is on a three-fight skid. He thinks Morono has the easiest path to victory by grappling but won't do it, so he picks Donchenko.
Big Brady picks Daniil Donchenko, praising his aggressive style and dangerous striking. He questions Alex Morono's commitment to fighting, noting he has other pursuits and has looked poor in recent fights. He expects Donchenko to pressure and finish Morono early, similar to Carlos Liao's win over Morono.
Cody agrees, highlighting Donchenko's power and Morono's chin issues. He notes Donchenko's tendency to gas but expects an early finish. Cody suggests betting Donchenko live after the first round if he doesn't finish, but overall picks Donchenko.
Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Morono is a subpar athlete who has lost his speed and durability. He notes that Donchenko is young and technical, and that Morono's wins were over past-prime fighters. Connor concludes that Donchenko will win purely based on age and physical decline.
Lucrative James picks Daniil Donchenko to win by TKO in round two or three. He trusts Donchenko's youth, physicality, and improvement, while noting that Morono is aging and has a questionable chin. James expects Morono to start well but fade as the fight progresses.
The host picks Donchenko by first-round knockout, calling it a horrible stylistic matchup for Morono. He highlights Donchenko's Muay Thai, especially his elbows and knees, and his aggressive pressure. He notes Morono's chin is fading and he struggles with cardio, making him vulnerable to an early finish.
Paul picks Daniil Donchenko, citing his power and aggression. He notes Morono's recent losses and declining durability. Paul expects Donchenko to finish early but warns about his cardio if it goes past the first round. He suggests betting Donchenko but not at heavy favorite odds.
The host picks Daniil Donchenko over Alex Morono. He is very confident, predicting a first-round TKO. He notes Donchenko's aggressive style, elbows, body work, and low kicks. He thinks Morono can take a beating but Donchenko's cutting shots and pressure will overwhelm him early.
Zane picks Donchenko based on age and decline of Morono. He notes that Morono is slower and more fragile, and that Donchenko is a young, technical, and violent fighter who can execute at multiple levels. Zane believes Donchenko will simply wreck Morono, as Morono has lost to late-career Niko Price and is past his prime.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Sezinando | 0 | 10 of 36 | 27% | 10 of 36 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:02 |
| Daniil Donchenko | 1 | 39 of 68 | 57% | 42 of 71 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodrigo Sezinando | 0 | 10 of 36 | 27% | 10 of 36 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:02 |
| Daniil Donchenko | 1 | 39 of 68 | 57% | 42 of 71 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Sezinando | 10 of 36 | 27% | 7 of 30 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniil Donchenko | 39 of 68 | 57% | 29 of 55 | 8 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 23 of 44 | 6 of 9 | 10 of 15 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodrigo Sezinando | 10 of 36 | 27% | 7 of 30 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniil Donchenko | 39 of 68 | 57% | 29 of 55 | 8 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 23 of 44 | 6 of 9 | 10 of 15 |
Angelo picks Donchenko because he sees him as the more well-rounded fighter overall. He notes that Donchenko is a nasty striker with power who chops down the tree with leg kicks and fires clean rights, though he can fade. He acknowledges that Sezinando is a gritty grinder with good cardio and jiu-jitsu, but limited skill set. Angelo says 'boring ass control from Sezinando would not surprise me' but ultimately goes with Donchenko.
Donchenko's aggressive Muay Thai style is expected to shut down Sezinando's grappling. The host predicts Donchenko will secure a finish in the second or third round, indicating confidence in his striking advantage and ability to overwhelm his opponent.
The MMA Guru picks Daniil Donchenko, citing his superior conditioning, toughness, power, and high volume. He notes that Donchenko is devastating on the inside with hooks and combinations, which will be key when Rodrigo tries to push him against the cage. He predicts a round two TKO, as Donchenko will capitalize on Rodrigo's stalling wrestling style.
Andreas Gustafsson - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Gustafsson | 0 | 5 of 19 | 26% | 5 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rinat Fakhretdinov | 0 | 23 of 42 | 54% | 23 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andreas Gustafsson | 0 | 5 of 19 | 26% | 5 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rinat Fakhretdinov | 0 | 23 of 42 | 54% | 23 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Gustafsson | 5 of 19 | 26% | 4 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Rinat Fakhretdinov | 23 of 42 | 54% | 19 of 38 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 29 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andreas Gustafsson | 5 of 19 | 26% | 4 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Rinat Fakhretdinov | 23 of 42 | 54% | 19 of 38 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 29 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 2 |
Angelo picks Andreas Gustafsson but with low confidence, noting the line has flipped from Rinat being favorite to underdog. He acknowledges Rinat's wrestling credentials but points out his poor takedown efficiency (2 for 19 in last fight) and chinny nature. He thinks Gustafsson's relentless pressure and grinding style could cause problems, especially if he defends takedowns. However, he admits Rinat is more experienced and accomplished, and calls this a huge test for Gustafsson. He placed a small bet at +125.
Big Brady picks Andreas Gustafsson, praising his unique clinch game and unlimited cardio. He acknowledges Gustafsson's striking is poor at range but believes he will impose his clinch, wearing on Fakhretdinov with elbows and knees. He sees a potential late finish but predicts a decision win.
The host acknowledges the hype around Gustafsson after his last performance but warns not to overlook Fakhretdinov's wrestling and smothering approach. He leans with Gustafsson winning on the scorecards by landing more damage and getting more meaningful control.
The Guru picks Andreas Gustafsson because he believes Rinat Fakhretdinov has been fortunate in close decisions and that his opponents often fall short. He argues that Gustafsson's constant pressure and volume will overwhelm Fakhretdinov, who won't be able to impose his wrestling. He predicts a 29-28 decision for Gustafsson, winning the last two rounds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khaos Williams | 0 | 39 of 74 | 52% | 95 of 134 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:17 |
| Andreas Gustafsson | 0 | 98 of 128 | 76% | 151 of 185 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 9:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khaos Williams | 0 | 21 of 40 | 52% | 49 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:02 |
| Andreas Gustafsson | 0 | 30 of 44 | 68% | 36 of 50 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 | |
| 2 | Khaos Williams | 0 | 13 of 28 | 46% | 32 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Andreas Gustafsson | 0 | 35 of 46 | 76% | 44 of 56 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 3:43 | |
| 3 | Khaos Williams | 0 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 14 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Andreas Gustafsson | 0 | 33 of 38 | 86% | 71 of 79 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 0 | 0 | 4:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khaos Williams | 39 of 74 | 52% | 29 of 63 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 26 of 57 | 13 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| Andreas Gustafsson | 98 of 128 | 76% | 67 of 95 | 21 of 23 | 10 of 10 | 27 of 50 | 52 of 57 | 19 of 21 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khaos Williams | 21 of 40 | 52% | 16 of 34 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 28 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Andreas Gustafsson | 30 of 44 | 68% | 15 of 27 | 14 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 22 | 19 of 22 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Khaos Williams | 13 of 28 | 46% | 10 of 25 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 24 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Andreas Gustafsson | 35 of 46 | 76% | 25 of 36 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 13 of 23 | 20 of 21 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Khaos Williams | 5 of 6 | 83% | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Andreas Gustafsson | 33 of 38 | 86% | 27 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 5 | 13 of 14 | 17 of 19 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Williams (-192), Gustafsson (+160)
Round 1
Our first welterweight fight of the night is overseen by Mike Beltran. Gustafsson comes out charging and clinches with Williams. Gustafsson lands a knee and is looking to use his Greco-Roman wrestling to take the fight to the ground. Williams defends well, as both men land knees in the clinch. Gustafsson is doing more damage, but it's largely a stalemate as the crowd boos. Beltran breaks the fighters up. Gustafsson wastes no time, charging forward and landing an uppercut. A big right hand lands for Gustafsson, who follows it up with a right hook. It's reckless offense, but it's undeniably working for him. Gustafsson clinches again but can't keep Williams there. A left hook lands for Gustafsson, who is throwing wild hooks. Most are missing, but Williams hasn't been able to land much in response. They clinch with Williams staying on his feet but eating more knees. This is an exhausting pace by Gustafsson. Williams landing some hard knees of his own. The round ends with Gustafsson slipping a knee and an elbow in.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson
Round 2
Williams looks tired to start the second frame. Gustafsson charges forward and gets back into the clinch where the last round left off. Knees to the leg of Williams lands for Gustafsson. Williams is able to exit. A nice right straight lands for Williams, but Gustafsson is closing space. A jab for Gustafsson hurts Williams, and the two men wind up back in the clinch again. An uppercut for Gustafsson lands, and then a huge left hook. Williams is trying to pick his shots, but simply can't keep up with this pace. Gustafsson lands a knee and then trips Williams to the ground. Gustafsson allows Williams up and then puts him back on the ground. Williams is back to his feet and then eats a knee to the face. Gustafsson drags his opponent to the ground. This is a one-sided beatdown. Gustafsson cuts Williams, who gets to his feet only to eat more knees. Big elbows from Gustafsson. Williams is back to his feet but just eating knees. Gustafsson slips in an uppercut and then an elbow. Brutal offense from Gustafsson, who ends the round in the clinch with another elbow.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson
Round 3
Gustafsson begins the round as expected, charging forward and getting Williams into the clinch. Williams isn't able to escape and is getting kneed and shoulder-checked. They are fighting as if they're in a phone booth. Uppercuts and elbows are being landed by Gustafsson. Williams is occasionally throwing back, but doesn't have the power to keep Gustafsson honest at this point. Gustafsson takes the back of Williams while standing. Gustafsson trips Williams to the floor and unloads with elbows while in side control. Williams is able to scramble to his feet, but is eating knee after knee. Gustafsson takes him down again. Williams has nothing less. Gustafsson has his back and is landing punch after punch until the fight ends. A total thrashing.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gustafsson (30-27 Gustafsson)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Gustafsson (30-26 Gustafsson)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-8 Gustafsson (30-26 Gustafsson)
The Official Result
Andreas Gustafsson def. Kalinn Williams via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-26, 30-26); R3, 5:00.
Angelo picks Khaos Williams but is hesitant due to the unusual circumstances. He notes Andreas Gustafsson is a live underdog with good grappling and power, but the double weight cut (cutting weight for a canceled fight then cutting again) could hurt his performance. He thinks if Andreas is fine, he could win by pressure. He doesn't love the pick.
Big Brady picks Khaos Williams, citing his durability and fight IQ compared to Gustafsson's previous opponent. He notes Gustafsson is hittable, slow, and only dangerous in the clinch, while Williams is much more durable and has never been knocked out. He expects Williams to knock Gustafsson out in the second round when the fight is at range.
Khaos Williams was closer to -250 earlier in fight week but now finds himself around -190, which is considered a perfect entry. He is expected to land more shots, shut down Gustafsson's grappling, and outdamage him on the way to a decision victory.
The MMA Guru picks Khaos Williams by KO, confident in his one-punch power. He notes Andreas Gustafsson's pressure style will play into Williams' hands, as Gustafsson will enter the danger zone. He acknowledges Williams is not fundamentally sound but has nasty knockout power. He predicts a first round KO.
Big Brady picks Andreas Gustafsson, impressed by his relentless pressure and cardio, describing him as a fighter who fights like a man possessed. He criticizes Trevin Giles for not fighting to his strengths, lacking urgency, and having poor durability (gets knocked out often). He expects Gustafsson to land a big elbow in the clinch and finish Giles in the second round.
Matt picks Andreas Gustafsson to win by knockout. He notes that Giles is on a three-fight losing streak and seems to have lost durability, allowing opponents to dictate pace. Gustafsson is a strong clinch fighter who wears opponents down. Matt expects Gustafsson to control Giles in the clinch and finish him in the second or third round.
The MMA Guru picks Andreas Gustafsson by TKO, citing Trevin Giles' lack of durability and full-time commitment (police officer). He notes Giles often takes short-notice fights and has been finished many times. He believes Gustafsson, a full-time fighter, will put Giles away.
Angelo picks Andreas Gustafsson but is hesitant, citing the risk of a UFC debutant making dumb decisions. He notes Gustafsson's wrestling, power, and youth, but draws a parallel to Gabe Green's recent win over a debutant who made a mistake. He explicitly says he is not betting on this fight due to unknown fight IQ.
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