UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · Jun 20, 2026 · Flyweight · Scheduled
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi Next Fight
Age 32
Height 5' 5"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 35
Height 5' 5"
Reach 66.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Manel Kape
5.04 SLpM
56.0% Str. Acc.
4.08 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
0.4 TD Avg
30.0% TD Acc.
81.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Kyoji Horiguchi
3.77 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
2.13 SApM
63.0% Str. Def.
1.61 TD Avg
40.0% TD Acc.
61.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Manel Kape

No odds available

Kyoji Horiguchi

No odds available

Manel Kape - Fight History
SCHED vs Kyoji Horiguchi
KO R1 3:18 · UFC on ESPN: Royval vs. Kape · Dec 13, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brandon Royval 0 17 of 26 65% 17 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Manel Kape 1 17 of 23 73% 18 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brandon Royval 0 17 of 26 65% 17 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Manel Kape 1 17 of 23 73% 18 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brandon Royval 17 of 26 65% 5 of 10 6 of 8 6 of 8 17 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Manel Kape 17 of 23 73% 6 of 10 5 of 6 6 of 7 15 of 21 0 of 0 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brandon Royval 17 of 26 65% 5 of 10 6 of 8 6 of 8 17 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Manel Kape 17 of 23 73% 6 of 10 5 of 6 6 of 7 15 of 21 0 of 0 2 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Brandon Royval vs. Manel Kape
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Kape (-300); Royval (+240)

Round 1
This main event is a flyweight tilt many have circled on the calendar the day it was announced. Always in a wild scrap, Royval (17-8, 7-4 UFC) has reached all but the pinnacle of his division as bounces around the top five. After some delays and scrubbed pairings, he finally gets to take on the brick-fisted Kape (21-7, 6-3 UFC). The talk is over, the prep is finished, and it’s time for some action. Referee Herb Dean ushers the two to the center of the Octagon to issue final instructions and elicit a glove touch, which is heard and answered by the athletes. It’s on with the show, this being the final UFC bout on ESPN (unless they sign back with ESPN in 2033).
Kape marches Royval down immediately lobbing a hard calf kick at him to greet him. Royval answers him back. Violent pleasantries exchanged, the two get to it for real. Royval lands a side kick to the ribs, and Kape keeps targeting the lead leg. Royval answers in kind, and swipes out with a right hand on the way back. Kape chips at the front wheel once more with his low kick, and Royval makes sure to pay him back immediately. Royval lets rip a body kick that lands with a loud slap, and he kicks with the other leg which makes a thumping sound instead. Royval punches his way into a low kick combination, and he tags Kape upstairs to interrupt a combo. Another hefty body kick from “Raw Dawg” lands flush, who then targets the calf. Kape swings himself off-balance with a big kick, gathering himself in time to dodge a kick flying at his face.
Royval tosses up a high kick, and Kape rushes him. Something appears to bother Kape, who has to suddenly back off and put his hand on the fence. Oddly enough, the same thing happens to Royval, who looks to have jammed his toes on a kick. Kape walks him down and blasts him in the face with a ferocious right hand that puts him down for the count. “Starboy” unleashes a final barrage of fists while Royval tries to sit up and recover, knocking the Factory X fighter clean out and then switching him back online again. Dean sees when Royval goes limp a second time, and he intervenes. Royval is trying to stand at the time, but he is on wobbled legs and thinks to protest but decides against it. Cooler heads bring him over to his corner so that he can sit down and talk to his team now that the fight is over, and Kape hurries over to talk to someone seated outside of the cage. Ending the ESPN era with one destructive flurry, Kape ties the UFC flyweight record for the most knockouts in divisional history, tying Joe Benavidez with five.
The triumphant Kape challenges new flyweight king Joshua Van for his belt, claiming that he will, and we can’t make this up, “take his diapers.” Sometimes these things happen in MMA. With this 12-fight show in the books, the ESPN era of the UFC is now complete. With the winter break upcoming, there will be a whopping six weeks until the next UFC card on Jan. 24, a gap with no events not seen since the COVID-19 pandemic shut the sport down for a few months in 2020. There will be a few more major fight cards in 2025, with PFL Africa next week and Rizin’s NYE spectacular coming up soon. We will be there for them, and we hope you are too.

The Official Result
Manel Kape def. Brandon Royval R1 3:18 via KO (Punches)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Cody picks Royval as a plus money underdog, citing his infinite cardio, pressure, and volume. He believes Royval's improved striking and grappling will allow him to outwork Kape over five rounds, especially in deeper waters. He notes Kape's power but thinks Royval's chin can hold up and that Royval will win a close decision by outlanding him in significant strikes.

"I am going to chase that plus money on Brandon Royval. It's a five-round fight. And again, as far as I'm concerned, Brandon Royval is built for these 25-minute long fights."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Dec 7, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Lucrative James picks Manel Kape confidently, arguing that Brandon Royval's aggressive, pressure-heavy style plays into Kape's hands. He notes Kape's superior boxing, timing, and power, and believes Kape will hurt Royval multiple times, though a knockout is uncertain given Royval's durability. He projects Kape as a -250 favorite.

"I'm going to pick Manel Cape in this fight. I'm going to pick Minnel Cape fairly confidently in this fight."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 10, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Brandon Royval

Paul agrees with Cody, also taking Royval at plus 250. He highlights the Felipe dos Santos fight as evidence that Kape can be pushed in a striking battle, and doubts Kape can maintain high volume for 25 minutes. He sees Royval's durability and output as key factors.

"It's Brandon Royval plus 250 for me as well."
WIN vs Asu Almabayev
KO R3 2:16 · UFC Fight Night 253 · Mar 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Manel Kape 0 61 of 115 53% 62 of 119 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:29
Asu Almabayev 0 40 of 80 50% 40 of 81 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Manel Kape 0 19 of 40 47% 20 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Asu Almabayev 0 14 of 28 50% 14 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Manel Kape 0 14 of 27 51% 14 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Asu Almabayev 0 18 of 40 45% 18 of 40 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Manel Kape 0 28 of 48 58% 28 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:29
Asu Almabayev 0 8 of 12 66% 8 of 13 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Manel Kape 61 of 115 53% 47 of 95 11 of 17 3 of 3 46 of 94 9 of 15 6 of 6
Asu Almabayev 40 of 80 50% 19 of 55 13 of 17 8 of 8 38 of 77 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Manel Kape 19 of 40 47% 15 of 33 3 of 6 1 of 1 19 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
Asu Almabayev 14 of 28 50% 7 of 20 6 of 7 1 of 1 14 of 27 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Manel Kape 14 of 27 51% 10 of 23 2 of 2 2 of 2 14 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Asu Almabayev 18 of 40 45% 7 of 27 6 of 8 5 of 5 17 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Manel Kape 28 of 48 58% 22 of 39 6 of 9 0 of 0 13 of 27 9 of 15 6 of 6
Asu Almabayev 8 of 12 66% 5 of 8 1 of 2 2 of 2 7 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Manel Kape vs. Asu Almabayev
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Kape (-205), Almabayev (+170)

Round 1
Rather than throwing hands with Brandon Royval, Kape (20-7, 5-3 UFC) gets a new foe on relatively short notice. Having prevailed in his last 17 outings including four in the UFC, Kazakhstan’s own Almabayev (21-2, 4-0 UFC) is ready to become a title contender. The wild flyweight stylistic clash will be overseen by referee Mike Beltran, who brings the two to the center of the cage to issue final instructions and bump fists. It’s on with the show. In alternate stances, they hand-fight early without engaging. Both men have their lead hands pop into each other until Almabayev springs into action with a powerful, audible body kick. Kape circles away and kicks the lead leg back. A lull in fight leads to a funny call from the audience, and Kape suddenly explodes forward with two left hands. Almabayev bounces off the wall and responds with an overhand right that comes up short, and Kape again charges him with a left. Almabayev ducks down and fires off a right hook and follows with a body kick, and Kape takes some time before again bursting straight ahead. Two quick blitzes from “Starboy” make Almabayev shrug his shoulders before kicking the body, and Kape brushes his arm to signals the kick did not land. Kape crashes in with a left, getting close enough to push himself past a spin kick from the Kazakhstan native. Kape reaches his opponent with two punches and wipes at his eye, with Almabayev possibly scraping him in the left eye when pushing off to escape. Kape cracks Almabayev again with his explosive, leaping punch, and Almabayev rebounds and stumbles off the fencing before gathering himself. Kape times a left and opens up with a right, hurting the streaking Almabayev and opening a cut around his left eye. Almabayev has a head kick blocked, and Kape attacks with a fury, snapping Almabayev’s head back and bouncing him off the fencing once more. Almabayev jabs, and he shoots for a single as Kape races at him. Kape shuts it down without concern, walks through a spinning elbow and puts six punches in rapid succession on Almabayev’s head and body. Kape’s swinging fists lead to Almabayev trying to grab hold of him, and Kape shoves him back and walks off. The round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kape
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kape
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Kape

Round 2
Almabayev’s eye has taken some serious damage from Kape’s knuckles, with blood appearing in the eyeball itself and not just leaking down his nose. Almabayev starts off the rounds in hopes of not letting Kape reach him by measuring out front kicks. A failed level change from Almabayev allows Kape to catch him with a punch, and Kape allows him to kick him so he can find his way in. As Kape backs off, he ducks to anticipatorily evade a spinning back kick. Kape measures more carefully than before, not lunging nearly as often, perhaps due to the threat of the takedown. Almabayev scores a left hand, and Kape brushes his shoulder off. When Kape threatens to come in, Almabayev fires off a head kick, and he leaps at Kape with a knee. Kape stands back, marches in to swing and gets clipped with a left hook. “Starboy” shrugs it off entirely and keeps advancing, backing off only when a spin kick flies by his face. Almabayev loads up on a power leg kick, turning his hips into the strike, and Kape quickly changes stances. Almabayev scores a left hand and fires off a head kick, and Kape barely blocks the kick in time. Almabayev splits the guard with an effective front kick, and Kape is stuck staring at him, feinting but not engaging with much more than single strikes. One such right hand scores, and Kape settles himself down and then suddenly leaps forward with a flying knee. When landing, he dings Almabayev with a right hand, and he lets Almabayev rebound off the wall and wags his finger at him. Almabayev rips a left hand to the body and narrowly misses a right over the top, and Kape walks him down and slips, recovering his footing to wipe his foot off. Kape then spins with a wheel kick, and he runs at Almabayev with fists flying. Almabayev signals to Beltran that he was poked in the eye, and Kape declares that it was a punch. After just a couple seconds, the replay official states it was a punch, and he restarts the fight. Kape charges again with leaping punches, catching Almabayev at the end of a right before the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kape
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kape
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Kape

Round 3
The flyweights are so amped to get back to it, Beltran has to back them off before clocking them in. Kape takes the center of the cage and has his guard up to defend a body kick, but a low kick from Almabayev lands cleanly and trips Kape up. Kape strides forward, hurling punches at the midsection of his opponent, and Almabayev circles away to take the sting out of them. Kape probes his way in and has his front leg kicked hard, and he shrugs it off to punch Almabayey square in the jaw. Almabayev strikes back just as cleanly, and Kape maintains the pressure to make Almabayev have to sprint away. Almabayev shoots for a takedown, and when it fails, he has to back off. Kape surges forward throwing hands, and Almabayev claims he was poked again in the eye and tries to call time out. Beltran is having none of it—even though it was actually a swipe on his eyeball—and Almabayev desperately shoots. Kape shuts it down and lays into Almabayev with concussive punches.
As Kape lays it on with knees and punches, Almabayev turns tail and runs away, and Kape sprints after him hitting him whenever he can reach him. Beltran follows them closely as the 125ers speed around the Octagon, and after he catches up to a retreating Almabayev, he decides to wave the fight off.
At that moment, Almabayev was shooting for a double, but Beltran may have interpreted the running from one end of the cage to the other as physically surrendering and intervened. There will be much to discuss regarding Beltran and how this fight played out, including two uncalled eye scrapes—but Beltran is the sole arbiter of the bout, and fighters cannot call time-out. There may also be some debate on the specific nature of the stoppage, as Beltran stepped in several seconds after Kape landed any strikes, and therefore would be classified differently than a standard finish like via punches or some specific blow. No matter the exact method, it goes down as a technical knockout for “Starboy,” who demands two things: a title shot, and for his daughter to be allowed in the cage and into his arms. The promotion ushers her in, and she asks if Kape won. He proudly says he did, and that he is the best. It is very likely that Kape will have an opportunity to prove he is indeed the best flyweight in the world in his next encounter, in a rematch with champion Alexandre Pantoja, who bested him in 2021. If that fight happens next, we will be here for it. We hope you are too.

The Official Result
Manel Kape def. Asu Almabayev R3 2:16 via TKO (Retirement)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Angelo picks Manel Kape because of his explosive striking and southpaw pressure, noting that Almabayev's takedown success (1/6 in his last fight) is a major concern. He believes Almabayev needs to threaten takedowns to neutralize Kape's striking, but doubts he can do so effectively. Angelo also mentions a potential live bet opportunity if Almabayev fails to secure early takedowns.

Live bet opportunity if Almabayev fails to secure early takedowns
"cop is going to have to be the pick here but it is possible that a su could win this fight the same boring ass way Manel lost to MV threaten the takedowns paralyze the Striking"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Big Brady picks Manel Kape, citing his improved takedown defense and striking advantage. He notes Asu Almabayev is stepping up in competition and likely cannot hold Kape down. He expects Kape to stuff takedowns and win by decision, but warns that Kape sometimes fights passively.

Kape by decision
"I got to go cop here I think cop is going to be able to stuff the takedowns... I'm going to pick cop to win this fight by decision"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Connor picks Kape, emphasizing that Kape is a pressure counter-puncher who will make Almabayev work under pressure, unlike Nicolau who gave Almabayev free distance. He notes that Almabayev's approach against Nicolau was rudimentary and that Kape's speed and power will be a problem. Connor also mentions that Kape is much more talented than Nicolau and that Almabayev's level of competition hasn't been high.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I'm gonna pick top two. But yeah it could be one of those fights where we're literally just watching two people circle each other for two rounds until one of them hits the other one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Manel Kape

The host expects Kape to use his defensive grappling to shut down Almabayev's game. Once Almabayev decides to strike, that will be the beginning of the end, as Kape should land more effective strikes and possibly find a knockout, but ultimately win on the scorecards over 25 minutes.

"cap to utilizes defensive grappling to shut down that game of alv and once alv decides to strike with him that will be the beginning of the end as cap should be able to land more effective strikes might be …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Manel Kape

The Guru picks Manel Kape over Asu Almabayev. He believes Kape is the truth and will become champion. He praises Kape's recent performance against Bruno Silva and his takedown defense. He notes Kape's power advantage and finishing potential, predicting a TKO in the second or third round.

"I'm going with Manel cap... I'm actually going to go with Manel capap getting himself a TKO in the second or third round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Zane picks Kape because he is faster, more powerful, and more dynamic than Almabayev. He notes that Almabayev struggled against a similar counter-puncher in Nicolau, and Kape is a pressure counter-puncher who will maintain distance aggressively, forcing Almabayev to work under pressure. Zane acknowledges the risk of a boring decision loss but believes Kape's speed and power will find openings over five rounds.

Kape opened at -264, now -205; Almabayev opened +197, now +190. Zane says he wouldn't like to see it get any wider, implying the line is fair.
"But I'm still gonna pick mental cop. I think yeah rounds five rounds is a lot of time for cop to simply find a few openings."
WIN vs Bruno Silva
TKO (body kick and punches) R3 1:57 · UFC on ESPN: Covington vs. Buckley · Dec 14, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Manel Kape 1 111 of 168 66% 111 of 168 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Bruno Silva 0 57 of 112 50% 60 of 115 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Manel Kape 0 32 of 48 66% 32 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bruno Silva 0 19 of 34 55% 21 of 36 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Manel Kape 0 39 of 66 59% 39 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bruno Silva 0 27 of 43 62% 28 of 44 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Manel Kape 1 40 of 54 74% 40 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Bruno Silva 0 11 of 35 31% 11 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Manel Kape 111 of 168 66% 71 of 127 18 of 19 22 of 22 109 of 165 2 of 2 0 of 1
Bruno Silva 57 of 112 50% 27 of 74 21 of 29 9 of 9 55 of 110 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Manel Kape 32 of 48 66% 21 of 37 2 of 2 9 of 9 31 of 47 1 of 1 0 of 0
Bruno Silva 19 of 34 55% 7 of 18 10 of 14 2 of 2 18 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Manel Kape 39 of 66 59% 25 of 52 5 of 5 9 of 9 38 of 65 1 of 1 0 of 0
Bruno Silva 27 of 43 62% 13 of 27 7 of 9 7 of 7 26 of 42 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Manel Kape 40 of 54 74% 25 of 38 11 of 12 4 of 4 40 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 1
Bruno Silva 11 of 35 31% 7 of 29 4 of 6 0 of 0 11 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Manel Kape vs. Bruno Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Kape (-345), Silva (+275)

Round 1
Keith Peterson will referee the final flyweight fight on the UFC calendar. Kape's striking looks extremely quick. Silva throws out some kicks but eats a right hand for leaving it out. Nice leg kick by Kape, who then follows it up with punches. A big overhand right for Silva lands. A low blow hits Kape. The fight is restarted after a brief break. Silva keeps getting caught by Kape after he throws out leg kicks. Kape is the faster fighter. Kape gets kicked in the groin again. No point is taken. Kape finishes off the round in control and misses a spinning back fist.

Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Kape
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kape
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kape

Round 2
Silva charges forward, trying to get a takedown attempt, but it's unsuccessful. Kape catches Silva with a hook. Silva gets hurt with a right hook. Kape taunts him and then lands a huge right hand as well. Silva's power is just not respected by Kape. Yet another low blow as Kape goes down. Peterson finally takes a point from Silva. Kape looks reenergized. After hitting Silva with a right hook, Kape mocks him and dances as he avoids another punch. Incredible theater here and quite embarrassing for Silva, who is getting clowned up despite landing several illegal strikes. A solid right hand lands for Silva. Kape finishes the round with a solid body kick.

Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-8 Kape
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Kape
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Kape

Round 3
Silva comes out recklessly swinging as he knows he needs a finish. A right hand cracks Kape, but he doesn't show any signs of being hurt. Kape is continuing to piece up Silva, landing a combination of punches to the body. Silva walks backward into the fence while Kape lands hooks to the body. Silva charges forward and lands a left hook.
Kape lands a brutal body kick, and Silva turtles up. Kape continues with a flurry of punches, and Silva falls to the floor.
Peterson waves it off as Silva has no fight left in him.

The Official Result
Manel Kape def. Bruno Silva via TKO (Punches); R3, 1:57.
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 8, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Angelo picks Kape as the cleaner, more technical striker with better footwork. He notes Kape's speed, explosiveness, and ability to bounce in and out of range, while Silva is a tough bruiser who is good everywhere but not technical. He expects Kape to win by decision due to Silva's toughness, and sees value in Kape's odds.

Likely decision win; sees value in odds.
"Bruno Silva is good but Manel cop is better it's literally that simple... cop wins this fight likely a decision because of the toughness on the other side and I think there's still some value in his odds."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Dec 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Big Brady picks Manel Kape to win by second-round knockout, but is hesitant due to Kape's inconsistency. He notes Kape has looked like a star in some fights but has also had terrible performances where he did nothing. He thinks Kape has a major skill advantage and should finish Silva, but is not sure he will show up.

"I'll go Manel cop I'll take him to win this fight by second round knockout I think he has a major skill Advantage here but the problem with cop is I don't think he always um utilizes all his skills"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Cody picks Bruno Silva as a live underdog, citing Manel Kape's history of tentative performances and poor output. He notes Silva's power, durability, and recent knockout wins, and believes Silva's willingness to push the pace will expose Kape's tendency to sit back. Cody also mentions Silva's training at Fight Ready with high-level partners.

"I actually got Bruno Silva yeah partly because this is a crazy number and one it's a flya away fight but that aside it's like Bruno Silva is one of these guys that's going to give you full effort."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Connor picks Kape, acknowledging Silva's toughness and well-roundedness but noting that Kape's athleticism and speed are superior. He thinks Silva's best chance is to pressure, but that plays into Kape's counterpunching. Connor expects a slow fight where Kape eventually lands a big shot.

Kape opened at -254, now -357; Silva opened at +219, now +293
"I would, if I had to guess, I think we'd see a bit of both. Slow burn. Silva gets touched a little more, gets frustrated, comes out really hot, trying to get some momentum back and gets nuked."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Daniel Vreeland picks Manel Kape to win by knockout, citing Kape's fast hands and explosiveness. He notes that Bruno Silva is tough and will stand and trade, which plays into Kape's strengths. Vreeland believes Kape can hurt Silva more than Cody Durman did, and that a finish is likely. He mentions Kape's past issues with overconfidence but thinks he will perform well here.

by KO
"I'm gonna go manell cap to come out here knock out Bruno Bulldog Silva and earn a title shot"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Lucrative James picks Manel Kape to win, citing Kape's accuracy, athleticism, and durability. He acknowledges Bruno Silva's power and grappling upside, but believes Kape's sharpshooting and ability to land heavy blows will prevail. He notes Silva's recent poor performance against Cody Durden and Kape's overall skill advantage, though he admits Silva has value as an underdog.

"I think Manel cape's going to win I just think he's too much of a sharp shooter I think he's too accurate I think he's too athletic I think he hits too hard."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Kape's explosiveness, power, and speed will be too much for Bruno Silva. He will land the more damaging strikes, which could lead to a finish, but the prediction is for Kape to win on the scorecards.

wins by decision
"I believe the explosiveness power and speed of cop will end up being too much for Bruno here I look for a cap to land the more damaging and significant strikes which could lead to a finish But ultimately my …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Paul leans towards Bruno Silva, agreeing with Cody that the price is too high on Kape. He notes Kape's inconsistency and Silva's power and durability. Paul sees this as a dogger pass situation and is willing to take the plus money on Silva.

"I think it's another dogger pass type of situation I just don't really know how invested I want to be in Bruno Silva this week."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Manel Kape

The MMA Guru picks Manel Kape, acknowledging Bruno Silva's underrated skills and finishing ability but believing Kape's takedown defense and durability are underrated. He notes that Kape has never been finished and has gone the distance with champions like Pantoja. He predicts Kape will win by TKO or decision, possibly with a flying knee. He dismisses Silva's wins as against lower-level competition.

flying knee TKO possibility
"I'm going to go with Manel cap regardless and I'm going to say he gets this one done by TKO maybe a decision where he hurts Bruno Silva on a few occasions though instead"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Zane picks Kape despite his low-output style, because Kape's speed and explosiveness are too much for Silva. He notes that Silva is a counterpuncher who may struggle to time Kape's sporadic attacks, and that if Silva pressures, he risks getting countered. Zane thinks Silva will eventually get frustrated and get 'nuked'.

Kape opened at -254, now -357; Silva opened at +219, now +293
"I think it might be close, but it just hard, very hard to see burn herself actually winning. Isn't it?"
LOSS vs Muhammad Mokaev
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · Jul 27, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muhammad Mokaev 0 30 of 82 36% 47 of 102 3 of 8 37% 0 0 2:11
Manel Kape 0 20 of 48 41% 34 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muhammad Mokaev 0 10 of 29 34% 10 of 29 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Manel Kape 0 7 of 16 43% 7 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
2 Muhammad Mokaev 0 10 of 32 31% 10 of 32 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:12
Manel Kape 0 10 of 19 52% 11 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Muhammad Mokaev 0 10 of 21 47% 27 of 41 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:59
Manel Kape 0 3 of 13 23% 16 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muhammad Mokaev 30 of 82 36% 11 of 39 13 of 22 6 of 21 27 of 78 2 of 2 1 of 2
Manel Kape 20 of 48 41% 16 of 39 4 of 7 0 of 2 20 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muhammad Mokaev 10 of 29 34% 2 of 10 5 of 8 3 of 11 10 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Manel Kape 7 of 16 43% 6 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 1 7 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Muhammad Mokaev 10 of 32 31% 2 of 12 6 of 12 2 of 8 9 of 31 1 of 1 0 of 0
Manel Kape 10 of 19 52% 7 of 13 3 of 5 0 of 1 10 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Muhammad Mokaev 10 of 21 47% 7 of 17 2 of 2 1 of 2 8 of 18 1 of 1 1 of 2
Manel Kape 3 of 13 23% 3 of 12 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Manel Kape vs. Muhammad Mokaev
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Mokaev (-130), Kape (+110)

Round 1
Sparks are soon to fly as the prelims—on ESPNews for the time being—will treat fans to a grudge match. Initially booked against one another a few months ago, Kape (19-6, 4-2 UFC) failed to make weight and the flyweight scrap against Mokaev (12-0, 1 NC; 6-0 UFC) fell through. Bad blood brewed as the two jawed at one another constantly and may have even come to blows at least once before settling it in the cage. They get to handle their business once and for all, and referee Mike Beltran and added security in the cage make sure that things do not get out of hand. Unsurprisingly, the flyweights have no interest in touching gloves as the battle begins. Mokaev sprints at his opponent, and Kape is ready to wing a right hand and stumbles after throwing it so hard. Mokaev nods at him and lets loose with a high kick that skims off the shoulder, and he tosses out a low kick that partially lands. Kape parries a front kick as the crowd releases “ole ole ole” chants, and the pace is surprisingly calm given the intensity of the pre-fight antics. Kape walks his man down but does not commit to any strikes of note, and Mokaev gets away with slapping the lead leg with a kick. The audience is quick to grow restless after the fever pitch of anticipation leading up to it, as the two flyweights do practically nothing. Mokaev prods with kicks while Kape just stands and measures him. When Kape lands a strike, he sends Mokaev staggering back, and he does not follow him and stays calm. Mokaev splits the guard with a front kick off the abdomen, and Mokaev is warned for outstretched fingers as he keeps his hand pointed out. Mokaev misses on two low kicks, and the fans hammer the fighters with boos while Beltran calls for action. Kape lunges with a straight left hand, and he slips when stepping back. Mokaev lands a push kick to the groin, and Kape waves him off and lets Mokaev land another body kick. Mokaev keeps slapping with low kicks, and he spins with a sudden wheel kick that grazes off Kape’s head. Kape darts forward with fists outstretched, and Mokaev defends against them. Kape crowds him again and gets off a left to the body, and he resets and eats a low kick. Kape throws one back, and he gets jabbed and kicked in response. Mokaev kicks up high, and Kape walks through a left hook and another groin kick before leaping at Kape with a knee. Mokaev drops down and goes for a takedown, and Kape stops it and cracks him with a few punches. Kape opens up with a left hand that hurts Mokaev, who shoots for a takedown that is easily thwarted. The disappointing round ends with Kape bouncing back.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kape
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Mokaev
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Mokaev

Round 2
Mokaev does not take a seat between rounds, staring his opponent down the whole time. The second round begins and the two meet in the middle, and they pump-fake with hips but do not throw anything. Kape hops around switching stances, and he blocks a jump knee. Mokaev pushes out a front kick to the sternum, and Kape is warned for outstretched fingers. Mokaev tags him with a right hand, and he blocks a kick that breaks his toe. Kape goes to adjust his busted toe, and Mokaev runs at him attempting a knee but does not get to him. Kape continues to shake out his right foot, and he is ginger on it. Kape stops a takedown in the open cage, but a scramble results in Mokaev on top. Mokaev yanks on Kape’s shorts several times, nearly pulling them off, and Beltran calls time and angrily shouts at Mokaev for the egregious foul. Beltran takes away the position—a point should be taken but is not for some reason—and tells Mokaev it is his final warning. Kape appears better, and Mokaev reaches out and pokes him in the eye. Kape turns around, and Beltran notes the foul but does not call time, instead telling Kape to fight on. Kape suddenly turns around and stops a takedown, and he is irritated but gathers his thoughts and manages to get off a short left hand. Mokaev gets off a body kick, and Kape adjusts his shorts a few times. Kape smiles, and he times a counter left hand when Mokaev overextends. Kape walks through a punch and starts talking the Dagestani fighter down, landing two punches and eating a knee on the way as well. Mokaev gets enough space to push out a few kicks, and Kape throws a low kick and dips his way in but elects not to strike. Kape jumps at his man with two hooks, and he lands at the end of a left hand. Kape powers off another left hand, and Mokaev responds with a body kick. The horn sounds, and scorecards could be all over the map already.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Mokaev
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Mokaev
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Mokaev

Round 3
Before the last round opens, Beltran brings in the doctor to examine Kape’s toe, and he is cleared to continue although Beltran says he will keep an eye on it. They begin the final frame, and Kape stands in the center of the Octagon pawing out jabs. Mokaev slaps him in the face with a high kick, who races at him and misses on punches. Mokaev threatens back with a single, and Kape stonewalls him and leaps forward with a left hook that comes up short. Kape lets go with three punches, but only one partially connects. Mokaev jabs to intercept the advancing Kape, and he has a head kick disrupt him as well. Mokaev jumps after a takedown and is stopped in his tracks, and he gets to his feet and hops away from the lunging Angolan. Kape plants a one-two on the jaw, and he is met with a quick head kick that slaps him upside the head. Mokaev reaches with a low kick to the rear leg, and he retreats around the outer edge of the cage to not let Kape land on him. Mokaev beats his man to the punch, but he eats a left hand as his head is leaning against the wall. Mokaev goes after a single, and Kape defends with a guillotine choke as soon as he hits his back. Mokaev signals that he is not concerned, and he tries to yank his head out of danger and eventually succeeds. Kape goes wild from his back, spamming hacking elbows that stun Mokaev. Kape continues elbowing his man on the top of the head, and Mokaev gets busy with a few punches to the body. Kape pushes off the hips and rolls for a kneebar, and he lets it go to stand back up and push Mokaev away with 40 seconds left. Mokaev points to the floor to signal that they brawl, and Kape does not bite and fall victim to a takedown. Kape shoots for a low single, and Mokaev stops it and punches him in the face. Kape dings him back, and he gets dragged to his seat as he complains about an eye poke. Mokaev holds him down, and the audience boos them heartily. The flyweights immediately bury the hatchet, hugging it out as security watches closely. It’s anyone’s guess how this fight will be scored, but neither man put forth an effort worthy of a title fight in their next outing.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kape (29-28 Kape)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Mokaev (30-27 Mokaev)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Mokaev (30-27 Mokaev)

The Official Result
Muhammad Mokaev def. Manel Kape via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 21, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Muhammad Mokaev

Angelo picks Muhammad Mokaev despite his poor striking performance in his last fight, attributing it to a staph infection. He believes Mokaev's relentless wrestling will be the difference, as Manel Kape may be hesitant to let his hands go due to takedown fear. Angelo notes that Kape is a much better striker but expects Mokaev's pace and wrestling to win out.

"I still think Muhammad Mia is going to win this fight he is the pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Muhammad Mokaev

Cody picks Muhammad Mokaev, citing his improving wrestling and grappling. He notes that Mokaev has been getting better at controlling opponents on the ground and that Manel Kape has shown poor takedown defense and cardio. Cody believes Mokaev's constant takedown threats will neutralize Kape's striking and lead to a decision win.

Muhammad Mokaev by decision
"I'll take Makai of Makai of by decision but uh it's a flyweight fight Paul like you know expect the unexpected."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Daniel believes Manel Kape is the more well-rounded fighter with superior striking and experience. He thinks Mokaev's takedowns won't be enough to hold Kape down, and Kape will hurt Mokaev on the feet, potentially finishing him. He predicts a knockout.

wins by KO
"I'm gonna go manell cap to hand Muhammad makv his first ever UFC defeat"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Jeff picks Manel Kape as his dog of the week. He admits he may have faded Mokaev too much in the past, but believes Kape is one of the best flyweights. He thinks what Mokaev showed against Alex Perez is not enough to beat Kape.

"I'm gonna go manil k uh I I've maybe been fading Mohamad MV more than I ought to in the past but like I just don't think what we saw out of him in that Alex Perez fight is enough …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Paul leans towards Manel Kape as a dog, citing the value at plus 130. He believes if the fight stays on the feet, Kape has a clear advantage. However, he acknowledges that Mokaev's wrestling is a major threat and that Kape has been taken down before. Paul calls it a 'dogger pass' situation but is tempted by the line.

"I want to bet Manel cop and that line keeps kind of growing and they're just like begging me to bet him."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 22, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Manel Kape

The MMA Guru picks Manel Kape by TKO in the second round. He believes Kape is levels above Mokaev on the feet and has better takedown defense, having trained with Dagestani wrestlers. The Guru notes that Mokaev has struggled on the feet against Alex Perez and often needs to clutch wins in the third round. He expects Kape to stuff takedowns and land damaging strikes, possibly cutting Mokaev and finishing him in round two. He also mentions Kape's potential for fouling as a factor in his favor.

TKO in round 2
"I'm going to go with Manel cap I think he's way better on the feet and after watching makv on the feet against Perez he has no idea what he's doing on the feet at times"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · Sep 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Manel Kape 1 112 of 182 61% 116 of 186 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:45
Felipe dos Santos 0 99 of 304 32% 101 of 310 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Manel Kape 1 36 of 55 65% 38 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:28
Felipe dos Santos 0 32 of 96 33% 32 of 96 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:08
2 Manel Kape 0 37 of 61 60% 37 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Felipe dos Santos 0 35 of 102 34% 35 of 103 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Manel Kape 0 39 of 66 59% 41 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:17
Felipe dos Santos 0 32 of 106 30% 34 of 111 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Manel Kape 112 of 182 61% 77 of 137 24 of 30 11 of 15 92 of 149 6 of 9 14 of 24
Felipe dos Santos 99 of 304 32% 53 of 215 28 of 60 18 of 29 94 of 292 4 of 8 1 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Manel Kape 36 of 55 65% 18 of 35 13 of 15 5 of 5 28 of 43 2 of 2 6 of 10
Felipe dos Santos 32 of 96 33% 13 of 65 13 of 20 6 of 11 31 of 92 1 of 4 0 of 0
2 Manel Kape 37 of 61 60% 26 of 46 7 of 8 4 of 7 32 of 53 3 of 6 2 of 2
Felipe dos Santos 35 of 102 34% 19 of 69 9 of 22 7 of 11 34 of 100 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Manel Kape 39 of 66 59% 33 of 56 4 of 7 2 of 3 32 of 53 1 of 1 6 of 12
Felipe dos Santos 32 of 106 30% 21 of 81 6 of 18 5 of 7 29 of 100 2 of 2 1 of 4
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Felipe dos Santos vs. Manel Kape
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Kape (-410), dos Santos (+320)

Round 1
The UFC lost a terrific flyweight matchup of Kape (18-6, 3-2 UFC) vs. Kai Kara-France due to the latter’s concussion issue, and it tried to make the most of a bad situation by shuttling in a fighter who was going to make his mark on the Contender Series a few weeks ago. Instead of an audition, dos Santos (7-0, 1 NC; 0-0 UFC) is thrust right into a pay-per-view main card, with the lights blindingly shining. A win for the Brazilian would be one for the ages as he would immediately jump into the rankings, but the hard-charging Kape will not go easy on him. Referee Greg Kleynjans takes charge of the cage for this “featured fight of the night,” and Kape is happy to still be fighting tonight so he offers a glove touch that is accepted. The two fighters clash together with immediate kicks, and Kape throws back with higher volume. The Brazilian wings a left hand over the top, and Kape gets stung but fires back with a vengeance. Kape connects with a low kick, and he gets knocked back with a jab. “Starboy” launches a rocket of a right hand that separates dos Santos from his balance, and Kape jumps on top of him and starts dropping strikes down until dos Santos throws his legs up for a desperation submission. Kape backs off to let him up, and he drives his fists into dos Santos’ dome a few more times to rock the newcomer once again. Dos Santos swings wild, and Kape is more composed and snipes him with a left hand. Kape paws out his jab and clips dos Santos on the way in with a short left, and when he kicks, dos Santos catches it. Kape tumbles to the mat, and as they scramble, Kape moves on top of him and busts him in the chops with several heavy punches. Kape gets pushed off and the two get back to striking, and dos Santos surprises the big favorite with a right hand and a knee up the middle. Kape is surprised but ready to keep attacking, and he walks into a front kick. Dos Santos is met with a leg kick, and he powers forward throwing hard but missing by a small margin. The Brazilian follows a jab with a head kick, and the two clinch up and start trading knees. Kape breaks with a big left hand, and dos Santos rolls with it and walks forward to swing with a haymaker. Kape times a spinning back elbow right on the dome, and the younger dos Santos eats it like a sandwich and keeps powering forward. Kape has a foot grabbed when kicking, and dos Santos tries to throw him down but Kape grabs the fence to stay upright. Kape muscles his man down to the mat, only to back off and keep trading. The two men get off power punches, and Kape scores a body kick and an elbow. Kape walks him down and smashes him in the face with a right hand, and dos Santos gives him one right back. A furious trading of fists ends the exciting round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kape
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Kape
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Kape

Round 2
The flyweights do not race out of their corners this round, and instead dos Santos slowly wades forward reaching out with kicks. Kape slides out of the way of all of them, including a head kick that grazes his hair, and he returns fire with a low kick. When dos Santos commits to one in response, Kape drills him with a left hook. Dos Santos spams front kicks until charging forward with a right hook, and Kape takes the punches and counters, only to have his head snapped back with a right. Dos Santos kicks high as it bounces off the guard, and he spins with something but does not let it go. Instead, he settles down to fire off a right hand, and Kape trips him to the mat with a stern leg kick. Dos Santos climbs back up and connects with two low kicks, and he rushes forward and gets popped by a shovel uppercut of a right hand. Kape puts everything behind a right hand, and dos Santos slips it and counters, and Kape keeps his head movement active as well to make for an exciting near-miss exchange. Kape sits down on a right hand as dos Santos crashes the pocket, and the newcomer’s chin is impressive. Dos Santos gets off a jumping front kick, and both men smack one another in the face with right hooks. The two trade jabs, and Kape goes to the body and slips the long left that aims past his head. Kape counters a jab with three punches, and he staggers dos Santos with a left hook. The Brazilian wears it well once more, and he chains two punches together on the inside to drive dos Santos back. Kape digs his shin into dos Santos’ thigh, and he cracks dos Santos with a few punches. From up close, dos Santos spins with a kick, and it brushes into the cup but it is not called. Kape motions to his groin, and when it goes ignored, Kape surges into action and starts ripping into dos Santos with a flurry of ferocious fists. Dos Santos survives the assault and races forward, and Kape times an elbow right on the way in. Kape pierces the guard with a right hand, and he puts his hands behind his back. Dos Santos motions to him to hit him, and the two showboat and taunt at one another until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kape
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Kape
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Kape

Round 3
Kape allows dos Santos to come at him so he can lean back and bat dos Santos in the jaw with a clubbing right hand. Dos Santos meanders forward, letting Kape kick him so he can try to front kick his way in. Kape does not allow him to close the distance, and instead tags the unbeaten fighter with a right hand. Dos Santos, not to be outdone, runs at him and reaches Kape with two punches. When Kape knocks him back, dos Santos replies, but Kape works the body as well. Dos Santos kicks the chest and swings hard, and he clips Kape and gets popped in return. The Brazilian lands a kick and gets tripped up, and when he gets back up, he connects with several punches that rock and cut Kape on the corner of his left eye. Despite the damage, Kape is excited when he gets blasted, and he chambers and fires a right hand that stuns dos Santos and knocks him down to a knee. Dos Santos races forward with a jump knee, and he pressures forward giving Kape everything he can handle with high volume and decent power. Kape moves enough to take the sting out of the shots, and puts himself in position for an effective counter. Kape times a huge right hand that snaps dos Santos’ chin to the side, but dos Santos is not shaken and he continues moving forward. Kape lets go with a flurry of hands, and dos Santos blinks it out and has entered “Terminator” mode. Despite taking shots, dos Santos will not back down, and even throws a spinning kick. Kape is composed and calm enough to time his counters, and he lets dos Santos charge at him and busts him in the chops. As dos Santos gets a bit too wild, Kape times a takedown and takes dos Santos off his feet. When on top, Kape rains down a final barrage of punches to conclude the fantastic scrap. Both men climb on top of the cage to motion to the crowd, and despite the all-out battle that Kape delivered, the crowd boos him heartily. What a fight.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kape (30-27 Kape)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Kape (30-27 Kape)
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Kape (30-27 Kape)

The Official Result
Manel Kape def. Felipe dos Santos via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Angelo picks Manel Kape, saying it should be Kape all day. He notes that Kape can control range and pace with more technical striking. Felipe is dangerous but hittable and reckless. Kape should be safe to parlay. Angelo sees a clear path for Felipe but doesn't think he can walk through Kape's shots.

Safe to parlay
"This should be Manel cop all day cops should be able to control the range the pace and have the far more technical striking"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Big Brady confidently picks Manel Kape, citing his high-level competition and recent finishes. He notes dos Santos is a big step down and can be taken down. He thinks Kape will knock him out in the first round.

"I see monel cop knocking out Felipe dos Santos in the very first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Cody picks Kape confidently, citing his explosive power, superior striking, and experience against top competition. He notes that dos Santos is a young, green replacement on short notice with limited tape, and that Kape should win either by early finish or smart game plan. Cody acknowledges flyweight volatility but believes Kape is the clear pick.

"this is cops fight to lose man no I think he's got a milk gun pretty much everywhere"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Daniel Levi is very confident in Manel Kape, having placed a bet on him at minus 340. He believes Kape should be a much heavier favorite, lining him at 83-88% to win. Levi notes that dos Santos stands straight up and walks forward, leaving openings to the body and head. He predicts a body shot knockout. He respects dos Santos's potential but thinks Kape is on the road to a title shot.

Bet placed at minus 340. Levi says he lined Kape at 83-88% and should be minus 500 to minus 750. Predicts body shot KO.
"This is my first bet of the night I took Manel cap actually at minus 340 a few days ago and here's why."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Lucrative James believes Manel Kape is the better striker and will likely knock out Felipe dos Santos in round one. He notes that dos Santos fights like a lunatic, walking forward with pressure, but that style won't work against Kape's level. James acknowledges Kape can be low volume and has shown quit under pressure, but he thinks dos Santos's aggression will force Kape to crack him. He also mentions Kape's takedown and submission potential as additional paths.

"I think monarchy is going to roll here guys"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Kape has tremendous experience and is difficult to deal with in the striking realm. He crashes the pocket and lands big shots. Dos Santos is a UFC newcomer who was scheduled for the contender series; this is a massive step up. Kape should be motivated and finish emphatically, possibly earning a highlight reel finish.

"I fully expect cop to eventually land that big shot and get the win in this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Paul picks Kape, noting that dos Santos is too green and that Kape's takedown defense and striking should be enough. He mentions that Kape may even be able to wrestle to secure rounds. Paul's only concern is that Kape might not throw enough, making the fight close, but he believes Kape covers the price.

"cop minus 370 no I don't like it but pretty pretty clear pick for me cop"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Manel Kape

The MMA Guru picks Manel Kape over Felipe dos Santos, calling him 'the based one.' He notes that Kape has improved since his debut loss to Pantoja, with impressive finishes over Zhalgas Zhumagulov and David Dvorak. Dos Santos is 7-0 but has a split decision over a 5-2 regional opponent, which is not enough to pick him over Kape. He predicts Kape will have some trouble in round one but find a finish in round two or three.

finish in round 2 or 3
"I'm gonna go with manil cap"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · Dec 17, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Manel Kape 0 33 of 94 35% 55 of 122 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:42
David Dvořák 1 58 of 119 48% 67 of 136 0 of 0 --- 2 1 0:57
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Manel Kape 0 6 of 15 40% 16 of 26 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:59
David Dvořák 0 2 of 9 22% 7 of 18 0 of 0 --- 2 1 0:17
2 Manel Kape 0 14 of 33 42% 25 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:29
David Dvořák 1 37 of 63 58% 38 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:40
3 Manel Kape 0 13 of 46 28% 14 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
David Dvořák 0 19 of 47 40% 22 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Manel Kape 33 of 94 35% 17 of 68 6 of 12 10 of 14 31 of 91 1 of 2 1 of 1
David Dvořák 58 of 119 48% 33 of 85 19 of 26 6 of 8 44 of 99 5 of 5 9 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Manel Kape 6 of 15 40% 2 of 9 0 of 2 4 of 4 5 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 1
David Dvořák 2 of 9 22% 2 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 1 2 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Manel Kape 14 of 33 42% 6 of 19 5 of 8 3 of 6 13 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0
David Dvořák 37 of 63 58% 22 of 45 14 of 16 1 of 2 24 of 44 4 of 4 9 of 15
3 Manel Kape 13 of 46 28% 9 of 40 1 of 2 3 of 4 13 of 45 0 of 1 0 of 0
David Dvořák 19 of 47 40% 9 of 33 5 of 9 5 of 5 18 of 46 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
David Dvorak vs. Manel Kape
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Kape (-240), Dvorak (+200)

Round 1
Flyweights grace the cage next in a surprisingly important matchup for divisional relevance, surprising in how low this fight is placed for one that will determine a top-10 fighter at 125 pounds. Dvorak (20-4, 3-1 UFC) currently resides within that range, while Kape (17-6, 2-2 UFC) aims to break in and likely hunts for a dramatic finish to get there. With only five decisions across their 37 pro wins, referee Keith Peterson expects no nonsense here. There is no bad blood, as the contenders touch ‘em up before aiming to knock the other’s block off. The fighters are tentative to begin, heavily respecting the power of the other. Dvorak stays on the outside well out of striking range, and he scores one calf kick before darting away. Kape lines up his heavy overhand right but does not launch it, as Dvorak strafes away. Kape begins to showboat by putting his hands behind his back, hoping that he will draw Dvorak into an engagement, and he switches stances to give chase. Dvorak sinks in another powerful calf kick, and Kape is quick to changes stances to protect that lead wheel. Kape walks into a kick, and Dvorak continues to move and do circles around the cage. When Dvorak goes after another kick, Kape springs into action with a few punches, and Dvorak escapes in the nick of time. Kape charges and scores an uppercut, and as he attempts to follow it, Dvorak intercepts him and hits a speedy takedown to land in side control. When “The Undertaker” looks to pass to mount, Kape drags him back to his guard and closes it. Dvorak exerts heavy shoulder pressure and tries to weigh heavily, and Kape throws a few strikes from off his back. Kape gets stacked up and cracked with a left hand, and he fights off a Kape triangle or armbar setup. Kape isolates the left arm for a kimura, possibly looking to sweep his foe, and Dvorak settles for elbows to the thigh and side to answer. Kape keeps cranking the arm, and he gets it out and puts it behind Dvorak’s back and rolls his foe over. Dvorak fights with all his might to tough it out, and Kape torques it to a nasty angle but does not get the tap he seeks. The round ends before he can achieve the submission, but it might have won him the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kape
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kape
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Kape

Round 2
Doctors check Dvorak between rounds to make sure his left arm has not taken any serious damage, as he held it walking back to his corner. He shows the medical staff he can stretch his arms just fine, and he is cleared to continue. The second round begins cautiously again, as Dvorak does not throw much from that hurt wing, but he doubles down with right hands when Kape comes at him. Kape waits for the perfect shot, staying in the center of the cage without using much offense, and springing into action every so often. Dvorak sees the blitzes coming and circles away from the power, moving laterally when Kape changes stances to chase. Kape bears down on his man and cracks him with two short punches, and he hops away when “The Undertaker” wings a right hand at him. Dvorak times a big right over the top, but it is one-and-done as Kape counters and misses. Dvorak thumps a calf kick home to prompt a change in stances, and he walks straight into a flying knee. Kape lines up a right hook and ducks straight into a head kick, but he eats it without issue and plods forward. Kape points at his damaged opponent and staggers him with a short salvo, doing enough to make Dvorak falls to his back. Dvorak aims upkicks while Kape attempts to finish the job, and he survives and even throws a wild kick off his back to nearly slap Kape in the face. “Starboy” calls him to stand back up, and he marches forward to rip the body with a pair of punches, Kape knows his foe is in trouble, and he bust him up with punches to the head and ribcage. Dvorak is tough, and he absorbs a clean spinning back elbow on the jaw and times the movement perfectly to shove Kape over, move on top and take Kape’s back. Nearly able to reach for a rear-naked choke, Dvorak elects to heel kick the side and posterior until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kape
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kape
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Kape

Round 3
Fists get bumped to start off the last round, and Dvorak’s movement and footwork is back beneath him after having the minute to clear his head. Dvorak swings and misses with two lunging hooks, and he dips back when Kape swats at him with a left hook. Dvorak begins to press forward, and he reaches up with spinning high kick. Kape dodges and showboats to look around and away, and Dvorak lunges in to strike. Kape intercepts him with a low kick and a short left hand, but Dvorak continues to move and throw in response. Dvorak gets a right hand over the top, and he closes in and gets uppercutted for his work. Kape is in his element, sniping with strikes and busting the Czech fighter’s nose open. When Kape leaps in, Dvorak pushes off with his fingers out, and Kape calls an eye poke. Peterson sees the possible foul, assesses that it was a legal but odd push-off, and restarts them. Dvorak goes low with a calf kick and scores a left, and Kape begins to start dribbling an invisible basketball. Dvorak races in with a takedown, knowing he is likely down on the scorecards, and Kape is too slick to get hold of him for long. Dvorak comes in with a jab, and Kape puts his hands behind his back and leans forward. When Kape attempts to set up a knee, Dvorak catches him with a left hook, but Kape does not mind. Dvorak lands again, and Kape gets caught but still continues to motion and make fun of his opponent. Dvorak gets hit on the way in, but he connects with his own punches until they crash together. Peterson checks to make sure the two did not clash heads, and he resets them in the clinch. Dvorak pushes off and swings with all his might, tagging Kape with a left and a right. Kape dances out of the way and swaggers off, with “The Undertaker” unable to catch him before the final bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kape (30-27 Kape)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kape (30-27 Kape)
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Kape (30-27 Kape)

The Official Result
Manel Kape def. David Dvorak via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2022 (6 days before fight)
David Dvořák

Angelo picks David Dvořák, believing his technical soundness and leg kicks will neutralize Manel Kape's explosiveness. He expects a somewhat boring fight similar to Dvořák's last one, with Dvořák chopping down the tree and taking a decision. He notes Kape can be hesitant and lets opponents set the pace.

Plans to bet on Dvořák plus 3.5 (bet online exclusive) because he thinks Dvořák can win or at least lose a 29-28 decision
"I like Dvorak to chop down the tree and take the decision this is a striker for Striker but I do think it's gonna be a pretty boring fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Big Brady likes Kape to finish Dvořák, noting Kape's 94% finish rate as a flyweight. He acknowledges Kape can be low-volume and has lost decisions when he doesn't let his hands go, but in recent fights he's been more active. He thinks Kape's takedown defense has improved, and if he keeps it on the feet he'll land a big shot. He predicts a second-round knockout.

Kape wins by KO in round 2
"I like cop here I think is very dangerous I like him to finish Dvorak and I will say he does finish him in the second round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Cody picks Kape, noting his dynamic striking and power. He thinks Kape has turned a corner with his aggression and volume. He notes Dvořák is durable but low output, and Kape's shots will matter more. He expects Kape to get the job done.

"sign me up from mental copy get the job done"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Connor picks Kape, citing his fight-changing power and athleticism. He notes Dvořák got rocked multiple times by Nicolau and Kape is faster and more powerful. He thinks Kape's pressure will be effective and that Dvořák's consistency may not overcome Kape's danger.

"I just can't really look at that nikolov fight in particular and see dvorak just getting rocked so many times without leaning towards mano cop"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 17, 2022 (fight day)
David Dvořák

Dvořák has many paths to victory if he stays safe. He was a -125 favorite against Nico last time, showing his potential. After one loss, Kape is now a big favorite, which doesn't make sense. If the fight goes the full 15 minutes, the +205 will look good. Dvořák needs to stay conscious.

1 unit at +205
"Dvorak has a lot of uh paths to Victory here if he can stay safe uh which is possible"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Paul picks Kape but is not confident, noting both fighters are low volume. He thinks the minus 235 is scary if it goes to decision. He sees Dvořák as the value side but picks Kape for the show.

"I'll pick cop for the purposes of the show but not a spot that I have very very much confidence in"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Dec 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Manel Kape

The MMA Guru picks Manel Kape over David Dvořák, believing Kape should have beaten Matheus Nicolau and has looked impressive against Zhalgas Zhumagulov and Ode' Osbourne. He questions Dvořák's level, noting his close fight with Nicolau and lack of explosiveness. He sees Kape as more explosive with higher finishing potential and good work on the outside, where Dvořák operates. He predicts a 29-28 or 30-27 decision win for Kape.

"I'm going to be going with manil cap here over David Dvorak"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Zane picks Kape, noting he is a more dangerous, faster, harder-hitting fighter. He thinks Dvořák is consistent but Kape's power is rare at flyweight. He acknowledges Dvořák could find a back take in a scramble but expects Kape to hit him hard enough to prevent that.

"It is really just a simple athleticism pick like cop it's just a more dangerous faster harder hitting fighter"
TKO (punches) R1 4:02 · UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Aldo · Dec 04, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Manel Kape 2 53 of 72 73% 54 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Zhalgas Zhumagulov 0 31 of 79 39% 31 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Manel Kape 2 53 of 72 73% 54 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Zhalgas Zhumagulov 0 31 of 79 39% 31 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Manel Kape 53 of 72 73% 39 of 56 5 of 7 9 of 9 53 of 72 0 of 0 0 of 0
Zhalgas Zhumagulov 31 of 79 39% 19 of 61 6 of 11 6 of 7 31 of 78 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Manel Kape 53 of 72 73% 39 of 56 5 of 7 9 of 9 53 of 72 0 of 0 0 of 0
Zhalgas Zhumagulov 31 of 79 39% 19 of 61 6 of 11 6 of 7 31 of 78 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Manel Kape vs. Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Round 1
When this flyweight fight ends, one of the two competitors between Kape (16-6, 1-2 UFC) and Zhumagulov (14-5, 1-2 UFC) will likely lift their UFC record to .500 and earn their second victory under the organization’s banner. In this classic battle of Angola vs. Kazakhstan, referee Keith Peterson may have his hands full overseeing what could be a fast-paced contest, but there will be no nonsense allowed while it takes place. Kape is amped up, and Peterson backs him off several times, and there is no sign of respect with a glove touch. Kape leaps out of his corner when the round begins in an attempt to beat Jorge Masvidal’s record, but Zhumagulov sees it come and pushes it away. Kape pops him with a right hand on the way out, but Zhumagulov is not fazed and pressures Kape with a few big punches. As Kape goes low with a kick, Zhumagulov tags him with an overhand right that knocks Kape back to the wall and draws a huge smile on his face. Zhumagulov does not get too aggressive, instead finding his range with an uppercut and a right hand. Zhumagulov trips, but he gathers himself before Kape can take advantage of it. The Kazakh marches Kape down, but he does not do so recklessly into a counter that Kape sets up in the form of a huge right hand. Zhumagulov steps forward with a knee, and he snaps a jab out that surprises Kape. They trade quick punches, and Zhumagulov follows up an exchange with a leg kick. When Kape lands with another kick to the calf, Zhumagulov jumps forward to drill him in the face. Zhumagulov checks one such kick, and he evades the leaping knee that soars at his chin. Kape tries to stick and move, only for Zhumagulov to follow him with a pair of punches that land flush. Zhumagulov swings a kick that collides into the thigh, and he rushes in with a punch salvo that Kape cannot escape in time. Kape lands with a left and a right, only for him to get countered on the way out. Kape continues to connect with leg kicks, and he sits down on a right hand that knocks Zhumagulov to his seat. Kape cannot keep Zhumagulov down, so when Zhumagulov stands, he busts him up with a few big right hands that send him careening to the wall.
Seeing he has his man hurt, Kape opens up with a brutal series of punches to the head and body and tees off on Zhumagulov. Zhumagulov tries to shell up and protect himself from the onslaught, but lightning-quick strikes get through and drop Zhumagulov down to the ground.
Peterson intervenes as soon as Zhumagulov slumps over, and Kape may very well have saved himself from a pink slip with an emphatic knockout over an opponent that had only been finished once in his career, back in 2015.

The Official Result
Manel Kape def. Zhalgas Zhumagulov R1 4:02 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Angelo picks Zhalgas, liking the odds at +190. He notes Zhalgas is a chain wrestler with relentless pressure, and Manel has a negative striking differential and makes IQ mistakes. Angelo thinks Zhalgas can win via takedowns or cage control, but is nervous about the line moving.

1 unit at +190 (considered but not yet placed)
"i like zalgas here i i like the odds are worrisome before i even saw the odds i just saw the match up and i was like well zalgas right that's easy"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Big Brady picks Manel Kape to win by knockout. He believes Kape is the more skilled and well-rounded fighter, with better striking, wrestling, and BJJ. However, he expresses frustration with Kape's low volume, noting that if Kape would throw more, he could be a serious problem. He thinks Kape's 94% finish rate suggests he will finish Zhumagulov, who has been knocked out before. Brady is confident but not overly so due to Kape's tendency to underperform.

by knockout
"give me uh manel cop to win by knockout here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Cody agrees with Paul, not making a pick. He thinks Kape's price is too high given his low output and that Zhumagulov's volume could cause problems. Cody says he can't recommend betting Kape at -250.

"yep i agree with you on all fronts there"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 2, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Manel Kape

Daniel Levi picks Manel Kape to knock out Zhalgas Zhumagulov. He believes Kape has ridiculous speed, movement, and punching power, and that Zhumagulov is small for the weight class and can be bullied. He notes that Zhumagulov is always on the back foot and that Kape can eat his best shots. He thinks Kape will finish him, possibly after working for it.

knockout
"I'm gonna go with manila cape to knock him out"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Jacob picks Zhalgas, placing a plus 3.5 round bet at -110. He notes Zhalgas is intelligent and will time takedowns, and Manel is overconfident and has decision losses. Jacob thinks Zhalgas will find a way to win, possibly by stealing rounds.

Plus 3.5 round bet on Zhalgas at -110
"i have a three and a half bet on him um you know if kate finds a way to uh you know pull out another win then maybe i'll i'll jump on his bandwagon"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Dec 3, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Manel Kape

I lean Kape. He is the more talented striker with power and speed, but his output is a concern. Zhumagulov keeps a decent pace and is durable. I think Kape's power will be the difference, but the fight is likely to go the distance. I like the fight goes to decision prop at minus 165 and Kape by decision at plus 130.

Kape by decision +130, fight goes to decision -165
"i am leaning on the cop side here i'm not paying minus 260 at this point in time because again it could be a very very close fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Paul does not make a clear pick, expressing skepticism about Kape's -250 price. He notes Kape's low output and lack of urgency, and that Zhumagulov is a high-volume fighter who could make it close. Paul thinks the line is too high and that Kape might not finish, making it a risky bet.

"for minus 250 this is a walk in the park i don't necessarily think it's a walk in the park knocking out zogus good luck body good luck so you're gonna have to fight him for 15 minutes"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2021 (fight day)
Manel Kape

The MMA Guru picks Manel Kape to win by third-round TKO via knee. He expects a slow first round with clinch work, then Kape's leg kicks and body knees will take effect. In the third, Zhumagulov will be compromised, and Kape will land a fight-ending knee in the clinch, similar to his fight against Matias Nicolau.

third round tko
"i'm going to go manila cap third round tko that's what i'm going to do"
Kyoji Horiguchi - Fight History
SCHED vs Manel Kape
WIN vs Amir Albazi
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · Feb 07, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amir Albazi 0 16 of 67 23% 20 of 75 0 of 7 0% 0 0 3:50
Kyoji Horiguchi 0 73 of 136 53% 99 of 163 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amir Albazi 0 3 of 17 17% 4 of 19 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:27
Kyoji Horiguchi 0 14 of 26 53% 26 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:48
2 Amir Albazi 0 8 of 27 29% 9 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:10
Kyoji Horiguchi 0 34 of 58 58% 45 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
3 Amir Albazi 0 5 of 23 21% 7 of 25 0 of 4 0% 0 0 2:13
Kyoji Horiguchi 0 25 of 52 48% 28 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amir Albazi 16 of 67 23% 12 of 62 4 of 5 0 of 0 12 of 60 4 of 6 0 of 1
Kyoji Horiguchi 73 of 136 53% 65 of 123 3 of 6 5 of 7 71 of 133 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amir Albazi 3 of 17 17% 2 of 15 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 15 2 of 2 0 of 0
Kyoji Horiguchi 14 of 26 53% 10 of 20 1 of 2 3 of 4 14 of 25 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Amir Albazi 8 of 27 29% 6 of 25 2 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0
Kyoji Horiguchi 34 of 58 58% 30 of 52 2 of 3 2 of 3 33 of 57 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Amir Albazi 5 of 23 21% 4 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 19 1 of 3 0 of 1
Kyoji Horiguchi 25 of 52 48% 25 of 51 0 of 1 0 of 0 24 of 51 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Amir Albazi vs. Kyoji Horiguchi
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Horiguchi (-350); Albazi (+275)

Round 1
The flyweight title picture is foggy given the unknown status of ex-champ Alexandre Pantoja, while current beltholder Joshua Van is practically begging for the next challenge. It could come from this co-headliner that pits Albazi (17-2, 5-1 UFC) against Horiguchi (35-5, 1 NC; 8-1 UFC), depending on how everything else shakes out. Referee Keith Peterson is on this one. Better not be any nonsense while he’s on top of things.
Horiguchi offers a glove touch, and Albazi shakes his head and wants to fight. When the bout begins, he marches forward but pulls back before engaging. Horiguchi’s open stance and active movement give him pause, as Horiguchi lands first with a low kick from an unorthodox angle. The fighter from Japan hurls a one-two over the top and slams a low kick after. Horiguchi ducks down to avoid a strike and change levels, where he pushes “The Prince” up against the links. Knees come from both fighters, and Peterson tells them they need more than this. Horiguchi decides to break off and find a new way in. He jumps forward with a knee that he does not raise up, and he avoids a right hand counter to score with a couple punches.
Albazi bullies the Japanese fighter back, looping a big right hand at him but getting caught with one as well. Horiguchi slips in a left hook and a one-two, beating the larger Albazi to the punch and reddening his nose. Horiguchi pins down a one-two on the beak, and Albazi waves him on. They both wing hooks at one another, and a big left hand sends Horiguchi somersaulting backwards. Horiguchi springs back up, and the power of Albazi has caught him by surprise. Albazi drops to a knee when going after his man, and he grabs hold of the body and knees Horiguchi in the chest. Albazi lets go of the attempt and keeps him pinned against the cage for some time, until Horiguchi wants to escape and does. Horiguchi sticks Albazi with a left hand and stutter-steps his way in to deliver a body kick to the ribs. The round ends with plenty of feints.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Albazi
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Albazi
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Albazi

Round 2
Albazi moves right to the center of the cage, darting away from a big right hand and a kick but getting clipped when charging in. Albazi jams Horiguchi up against the fence, dropping low for a double and clasping his hands around the waist. Horiguchi breaks that grip and frames off with his knee, and he escapes without much concern. Horiguchi finds his range and scores on Albazi, marking up the Iraqi athlete with punches including a left hand that opens a cut on the temple. Horiguchi darts in and out, throwing Albazi off-balance and blasting him with a right hand that wobbles him. Albazi backs away quickly to gather his thoughts, and Horiguchi is on him, cracking him with another left that draws a wobble. Horiguchi plants a one-two on the chin, and his speed is frazzling “The Prince.”
Albazi tries to stalk down Horiguchi, who is out of range or the way when Albazi gets to him. Horiguchi keeps his hands moving constantly to never let Albazi establish a pattern, and his right and left find their home on the sides of Albazi’s head. Albazi is taking shots and trying to throw back, but Horiguchi is far more active and accurate. Albazi reaches with a right, producing a mouse under Horiguchi’s left eye, and the Japanese fighter pays it no mind. Horiguchi ducks, dips and dodges to get on the inside, where he uses a right hand so that he can initiate a tie-up. Albazi muscles him around, leaning heavily on him and even briefly holding him from behind, but Horiguchi is able to scoot away and reset. Horiguchi lashes out with a right hand and a jab, and he spins with a wheel kick that bangs into the side of Albazi’s head. Albazi blinks it out and is caught with a front kick to the body, and Horiguchi sticks him with a right hand at the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Horiguchi
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Horiguchi
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horiguchi

Round 3
The very first strike of the last round comes two seconds in, with "The Karate Kid" clipping Albazi behind the ear. Albazi is quick to back off, and Horiguchi leaps at him with a flying knee. Albazi grabs him on the way down and looks to wrestle him, dragging Horiguchi around the cage from behind when Horiguchi tries to spin out. Albazi looks to trip out his foe from behind, and Horiguchi posts off his right arm to stay afloat. Horiguchi leans his face on the fence to take some weight off his frame, and Albazi slashes with an elbow on the break. Horiguchi is right on him, striking out with long jabs that bloody Albazi’s nose further. Horiguchi beats Albazi to the punch with a right hand, and he is able to break up Albazi’s attempt as well. Horiguchi connects with a flush left hand on the temple, and Albazi takes a second before realizing that he is way more hurt than he realizes. His legs almost give out like a baby deer, but he is able to get away and avoid a spinning wheel kick by a matter of inches.
Albazi grabs hold of Horiguchi to slow down the assault, but he cannot keep him there for long as Horiguchi breaks free and plugs him with a left hand. Albazi stumbles back and trips on the edge of the wall, regaining his footing and returning to the center of the Octagon. Horiguchi’s jab is money, messing up Albazi’s timing and further disrupting his balance. Albazi’s face is rapidly transforming to that of the Doomguy when taking damage, as it dissolves to a bloody mess. He pushes the action despite the wounds, pushing Horiguchi back and popping him with a right hand. Horiguchi splits out of the clinch to flick out his jab, and he swipes out a left, a right and a chasing left hand to make Albazi stumble yet again. A hug is where the flyweight fight ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Horiguchi (29-28 Horiguchi)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Horiguchi (29-28 Horiguchi)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horiguchi (29-28 Horiguchi)

The Official Result
Kyoji Horiguchi def. Amir Albazi via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Kyoji Horiguchi

Angelo picks Kyoji Horiguchi, citing his spectacular performance against Tagir Ulanbekov where he dominated in all facets. He notes Horiguchi's footwork, striking, and takedown defense were incredible. He questions whether Horiguchi looked that good because Ulanbekov is overrated or because Horiguchi is that good, but ultimately rides the momentum from that win. He also mentions that despite Horiguchi being older, he may have fewer miles due to fewer surgeries compared to Albazi.

"I'm going to pick Kioji because I saw him in his return to the UFC in a high pressure situation against the freaking Dagistani as a 3 to1 dog or two to1 dog or whatever he was. I saw him …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Kyoji Horiguchi

Big Brady picks Kyoji Horiguchi, impressed by his dominant win over Tagir Ulanbekov. He notes that Amir Albazi has fought only once in three years, looked poor against Amil Marino, and likely lost to Kai Kara-France. He believes Horiguchi's striking and takedown defense will be too much, and he wins by decision.

by decision
"Give me Horiguchi to win this fight and win this fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Kyoji Horiguchi

Cody agrees with Paul, emphasizing Albazi's inactivity and poor takedown success. He notes Horiguchi's dynamic striking and improved grappling at American Top Team. Cody believes Horiguchi's volume and damage will be decisive, especially in the Apex, and that Albazi's path to victory via control time is unlikely.

"Ultimately I do end up with Kio Jaguchi, but for a flyweight fight, learn my lesson. I can't put it on the top."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kyoji Horiguchi

Connor agrees with Zane, calling the matchup 'nonsense' and a waste of Horiguchi. He notes that Albazi is not a contender and has been inactive, while Horiguchi is a star who should be fighting for a title. He picks Horiguchi but warns that if Horiguchi has a flat performance, it will feel like a stupid booking.

Same odds discussion.
"Kyoji Horiguchi has to be picked."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Kyoji Horiguchi

Lucrative James picks Kyoji Horiguchi to win by decision. He highlights Horiguchi's striking advantage, experience, and ability to control range, which he believes will be kryptonite for Albazi's grappling-heavy style. James notes that Albazi has been out of action for a long time and looked poor in his last fight against Brandon Moreno, while Horiguchi is on a strong run.

"I'm picking Koji Horuchi to win this fight. Does he get done inside the distance? It's kind of hard for me to see Amir Albazi getting finished here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Kyoji Horiguchi

The host picks Horiguchi by knockout, calling him far superior in every aspect. He believes Horiguchi's takedown defense and kicking game will cause Albazi trouble, and that Albazi will be forced to strike where Horiguchi has a clear advantage. He notes Horiguchi's suspect chin is an anomaly and expects him to make it look easy.

knockout win; minus 350 is a steal
"So once again, I'm going to go Horuchi. Horuchi by knockout. Very interested to see what those odds are when those drop for that prop, but I think Horaguchi makes this look easy and I think minus 350 ends up …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Kyoji Horiguchi

Paul picks Kyoji Horiguchi, noting Albazi's long layoff, injury history, and low striking output. He highlights Horiguchi's speed, volume, and well-rounded skills, and doubts Albazi's takedown efficiency (32% success rate). Paul expects Horiguchi to outwork Albazi and win a decision.

"I think Kyoji Horiguchi wins, but this is a big moneyline price tag to be taking on a flyweight fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Kyoji Horiguchi

The host picks Kyoji Horiguchi over Amir Albazi. He notes Horiguchi is a legend with wins over Manel Kape and Asakura, and has a karate style with power and grappling. He thinks Albazi is overrated due to a robbery win over Kai Kara-France and a poor performance against Moreno. He predicts a 30-27 decision for Horiguchi.

decision 30-27, minus 400 favorite
"I'm going to go with Kyoji Horiguchi getting this one done. Um and I'm going to take him to win this one by decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kyoji Horiguchi

Zane picks Horiguchi because Albazi's slow-paced style gives Horiguchi time to set up entries. He notes that Horiguchi is a better athlete and has more tools, though he acknowledges Horiguchi's recent reliance on control wrestling and his vulnerability to being taken down. He criticizes the matchup as a waste of Horiguchi's time.

Horiguchi opened at -220, currently -365; Albazi opened at +185, currently +290.
"I'm picking Horiguchi because Albazi has a slow paced style as well."
Submission R3 2:18 · UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · Nov 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tagir Ulanbekov 0 6 of 27 22% 10 of 32 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:25
Kyoji Horiguchi 2 49 of 77 63% 120 of 157 0 of 1 0% 1 0 5:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tagir Ulanbekov 0 5 of 24 20% 5 of 25 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:25
Kyoji Horiguchi 0 16 of 25 64% 36 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Tagir Ulanbekov 0 1 of 3 33% 5 of 7 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Kyoji Horiguchi 0 13 of 24 54% 47 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:32
3 Tagir Ulanbekov 0 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kyoji Horiguchi 2 20 of 28 71% 37 of 48 0 of 0 --- 1 0 2:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tagir Ulanbekov 6 of 27 22% 3 of 18 2 of 8 1 of 1 6 of 25 0 of 2 0 of 0
Kyoji Horiguchi 49 of 77 63% 36 of 60 4 of 4 9 of 13 25 of 41 0 of 3 24 of 33
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tagir Ulanbekov 5 of 24 20% 3 of 16 1 of 7 1 of 1 5 of 23 0 of 1 0 of 0
Kyoji Horiguchi 16 of 25 64% 7 of 14 2 of 2 7 of 9 16 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Tagir Ulanbekov 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 0
Kyoji Horiguchi 13 of 24 54% 11 of 20 1 of 1 1 of 3 5 of 12 0 of 3 8 of 9
3 Tagir Ulanbekov 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kyoji Horiguchi 20 of 28 71% 18 of 26 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 4 0 of 0 16 of 24
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Tagir Ulanbekov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ulanbekov (-200); Horiguchi (+170)

Round 1
Originally unceremoniously dumping the return of former title challenger Horiguchi (34-5, 1 NC; 7-1 UFC) on the prelims, the UFC came to its senses and put him on the main card. With his lone defeat in the Octagon after eight walks against all-time great Demetrious Johnson, Horiguchi is back at the age of 35 to go on another run. He will have to contend with surging Dagestani Ulanbekov (17-2, 6-1 UFC), who has technically never knocked someone out—his only TKO win came when he made Almabayev tap to strikes in 2017. What should be a solid flyweight tilt will be officiated by referee Rich Mitchell. Gloves are touched before the fists inside of them fly.
Horiguchi says hello right out of the gate with a sweeping low kick. He kicks the Russian who has a wide stance again, staying well out of range otherwise. Ulanbekov’s response goes wide, and Horiguchi whiffs with a fireball of a right hand that buzzes the tower. Ulanbekov digs a kick to the side of his foe, and Horiguchi releases another hard leg kick. Ulanbekov kicks him back, and he tries to stumble his way into a takedown shot but Horiguchi is way out of harm’s way. Horiguchi just misses a huge right, and he walks through a knee to the body so he can wrest Ulanbekov to his knees. The Russian pops out of this odd position and back to his feet, and he stalks the shorter man down. Horiguchi is light on his feet strafing from side to side, and he bounces his way in and escapes before Ulanbekov can set up a clinch. Horiguchi works the leg that is welting fast with another kick.
Ulanbekov pushes out with the ball of his foot, and Horiguchi ducks down to hurl a left hand at his foe. The Dagestan native gets Horiguchi in his clutches and shoves him to the fence, and he uses the posture to knee Horiguchi one or twice before sweeping the former Rizin champ to his seat. Horiguchi stays composed with his backside on the corner between the floor and the wall, slowly working his way upright with the fencing at his back. Horiguchi separates before absorbing much offense, and he darts in with a left hand that is shy of his intended target. Leg kicks fly from both flyweights, and Horiguchi rings Ulanbekov’s bell with a solid right. He lands another and chains it into a jumping switch kick to the torso. Horiguchi kicks Ulanbekov in the calf and trips, but he gets back up no worse for wear and lets his hands fly until the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Horiguchi
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Horiguchi
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Horiguchi

Round 2
The fighters double clap their hands before engaging. When they start fighting, Horiguchi blasts the Russian with a right hand and kicks his leg out with a powerful blow. Ulanbekov falls to his back, and the American Top Team corner bellows out nearly in unison for him to Horiguchi to start lashing out with elbows. Ulanbekov bides his time on his back and sets up a guillotine choke from his back, and Horiguchi stands up to pull his way out of the choke. Horiguchi lands strikes from on top to bust up the Russian’s nose, and Ulanbekov spins to get to his knees. Horiguchi drapes himself on the back of Ulanbekov’s neck to keep him grounded, and he threatens with a knee to the face when Ulanbekov pushes off to stand. This keeps Ulanbekov down so he does not get blasted with no way to defend himself.
Ulanbekov wall-walks to stand up, appearing a bit labored compared to the Japanese fighter with a spring in his step. Horiguchi lets go with body shots, including a powerful kick to the ribs, and Ulanbekov keeps a stiff upper lip but is feeling it now. When Ulanbekov tries for a level change, Horiguchi stifles it and forces him to stand back up. Horiguchi fires off a head kick, and he allows Ulanbekov to try to wrestle him so he can keep him grounded and work on him. This continues until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Horiguchi
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Horiguchi
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Horiguchi

Round 3
The fighters touch gloves, and it is clear who is in the driver’s seat at this point. Feeling himself, Horiguchi fires off a kick that sets up a massive flying left hook. Ulanbekov crumbles to the mat, and Horiguchi follows him down and continues to bludgeon him mercilessly. When Ulanbekov scoots his way to the wall, Horiguchi hammers him with right hands that appear to open a cut on his left eyebrow. Ulanbekov stands, and Horiguchi backs off and measures a picturesque head kick as Ulanbekov was planning on changing levels. Horiguchi follows up with a right hand that puts Ulanbekov down for the count on his backside. Horiguchi darts down to the ground and decides that rather than strike, he will remind fans that he has some submission chops too.
He promptly sinks his forearm beneath the Russian’s jaw and cinches up a rear-naked choke, and Ulanbekov has nothing left to offer in defense. Horiguchi cranks on it and tells Mitchell that he believes Ulanbekov went out, but Ulanbekov is still with it…for now. Going out on his shield, the Eagles MMA fighter does not surrender, and Mitchell recognizes when Ulanbekov passes out and intervenes.
Medical professionals attend to the defeated man, who cones to and is crestfallen after suffering his first stoppage loss. Horiguchi is back and bad to the bone, and he calls for a title shot against teammate Alexandre Pantoja, declaring while sporting an ear-to-ear smile, “I will beat your ass!”

The Official Result
Kyoji Horiguchi def. Tagir Ulanbekov R3 2:18 via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Tagir Ulanbekov

Angelo picks Tagir Ulanbekov over returning Kyoji Horiguchi. He describes Ulanbekov as a dominant forward wrestler with decent striking, while Horiguchi is older and less athletic. The stylistic matchup favors Ulanbekov, who can get Horiguchi against the cage and drag him down. Angelo expects a dominant win with many takedowns and control.

"Togeear is going to win this fight. I expect this to be very dominant."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Tagir Ulanbekov

Big Brady picks Tagir Ulanbekov by decision, citing his size, underrated striking, and grappling advantage over an aging Horiguchi. He expects Ulanbekov to win the grappling exchanges and control the fight, making it frustrating for Horiguchi.

decision
"I'm going to say Tagir Ulanbekov wins this fight and wins it by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Kyoji Horiguchi

Cody picks Kyoji Horiguchi confidently, noting his superior striking and experience. He believes Horiguchi's ability to scramble and defend takedowns will be key. Cody points out that Ulanbekov has only fought lower-ranked opponents and has struggled against better competition.

"I actually have Kyoji Huruchi as well, Paul, so we're on the same page."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Nov 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Kyoji Horiguchi

Connor picks Horiguchi, relying on his elite athleticism and championship-level experience. He notes that Horiguchi's takedown game and top control are strong, but Ulanbekov's scrambling and submission threats make it risky. Connor acknowledges Ulanbekov's pressure and wrestling could cause problems, but believes Horiguchi's speed and strength will prevail.

Horiguchi by decision; could be an ugly fight
"I am I think still gonna pick Horiguchi here because he is more than being a blanketing top control fighter. He is still a very elite athlete."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Tagir Ulanbekov

Lucrative James picks Tagir Ulanbekov, citing Horiguchi's declining chin and recent knockout losses. He believes Ulanbekov has more power and a better chin. He expects a striking fight where Ulanbekov lands the harder shots, possibly a knockout. He also notes Horiguchi's age (35) and potential deterioration.

"I think Tear can crack him and drop him in this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Tagir Ulanbekov

Ulanbekov has a smothering wrestling style and a reach advantage. Horiguchi is well-rounded but may struggle with Ulanbekov's pressure and takedowns. Ulanbekov should win a decision by controlling the fight.

"I really believe the wrestling of Ulen Beakov will be the difference... that should lead to an Ulbeov decision victory."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Kyoji Horiguchi

Paul picks Kyoji Horiguchi, citing his high-level competition and skills. He notes that Ulanbekov is the weak link of the Khabib team and has been taken down by lesser fighters. Paul believes Horiguchi's striking and scrambling will be too much.

"I already bet Kioji Horiguchi Cody, but tell me why I shouldn't put Mora on."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Kyoji Horiguchi

The MMA Guru picks Kyoji Horiguchi over Tagir Ulanbekov, though hesitantly. He notes Horiguchi's experience and wins over Sergio Pettis and Naoki Inoue. He worries about Tagir's size but believes Horiguchi's craftiness and grappling will earn a close 29-28 decision.

win by decision 29-28
"I'm actually going to go with Kyoji Horiguchi winning his return to the UFC against Tagir Ulanbekov by close 29-28 decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Tagir Ulanbekov

Zane picks Ulanbekov, citing his relentless pressure and solid defensive wrestling. He notes that Horiguchi's top game is not elite and that Ulanbekov's scrambling and submission hunting could catch him. Zane criticizes the booking as unfair to Horiguchi, but sees Ulanbekov as the more consistent fighter in the UFC context.

Ulanbekov by decision or submission
"I think I might break all the hardcore MMA fans hearts and take Ulambukov here."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · Nov 19, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kyoji Horiguchi 0 55 of 92 59% 115 of 161 4 of 9 44% 0 0 4:32
Ali Bagautinov 0 36 of 84 42% 48 of 97 2 of 6 33% 0 0 2:50
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kyoji Horiguchi 0 9 of 15 60% 29 of 37 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:05
Ali Bagautinov 0 13 of 18 72% 15 of 20 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:54
2 Kyoji Horiguchi 0 12 of 27 44% 39 of 56 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:58
Ali Bagautinov 0 11 of 27 40% 16 of 32 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:19
3 Kyoji Horiguchi 0 34 of 50 68% 47 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:29
Ali Bagautinov 0 12 of 39 30% 17 of 45 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kyoji Horiguchi 55 of 92 59% 47 of 81 4 of 7 4 of 4 26 of 58 27 of 32 2 of 2
Ali Bagautinov 36 of 84 42% 9 of 47 17 of 25 10 of 12 21 of 66 12 of 15 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kyoji Horiguchi 9 of 15 60% 5 of 9 2 of 4 2 of 2 3 of 8 4 of 5 2 of 2
Ali Bagautinov 13 of 18 72% 1 of 5 9 of 10 3 of 3 4 of 9 6 of 6 3 of 3
2 Kyoji Horiguchi 12 of 27 44% 10 of 24 2 of 3 0 of 0 9 of 21 3 of 6 0 of 0
Ali Bagautinov 11 of 27 40% 4 of 16 4 of 7 3 of 4 7 of 20 4 of 7 0 of 0
3 Kyoji Horiguchi 34 of 50 68% 32 of 48 0 of 0 2 of 2 14 of 29 20 of 21 0 of 0
Ali Bagautinov 12 of 39 30% 4 of 26 4 of 8 4 of 5 10 of 37 2 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ali Bagautinov vs. Kyoji Horiguchi

Round 1
Bagautinov comes in with a leg kick in the first exchange, while Horiguchi misses a counter. About a minute in and both flyweight contenders are still feeling each other out. Bagautinov comes with a flying knee followed by a kick to the body. Horiguchi goes for a knee of his own, which Bagautinov catches and converts into a takedown. “The Puncher King” rides his foe near the fence, but the Japanese fighter gets up and turns Bagautinov into the cage. Horiguchi lands short knees on the inside. Horiguchi attempts to drag Bagautinov to the floor with a body lock. The Japanese fighter grapevines Bagautinov’s leg as he lands short punches to the side of the head. Horiguchi continues to hammer away as we approach the 1:00 mark. Bagautinov works his way up and eventually reverses the position. The Dagestani fighter slams his man down from the body lock position, but Horiguchi gets up quickly. The flyweights end the frame standing.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi
Tristen Critchfield scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi

Round 2
Bagautinov just misses on a spinning high kick. Horiguchi pressures his foe near the fence and ties up with the “Puncher King.” Horiguchi lands a couple knees and separates. Bagautinov lands a two-punch combo in an exchange. Horiguchi buckles Bagautinov with a punch, and the American Top Team product pushes Bagautinov into the fence. Horiguchi grinds away, then lands a left hand on the break. A body kick form Bagautinov finds its mark. Horiguchi throws a combination and Bagautinov ties his man up. Horiguchi turns Bagautinov into the fence and gets him down. He grapevines the leg and begins landing short right hands to the side of the head. The shots aren’t especially powerful, but Horiguchi is staying busy. Bagautinov stands and grabs a single leg. Horiguchi maintains his balance and Bagautinov lets go. The fighters again end the frame on the feet.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi
Tristen Critchfield scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi

Round 3
Bagautinov throws a body kick but it’s partially blocked. Baguatinov lands several punches in an exchange, but Horiguchi finds his mark as well. Bagautinov looks for a takedown. Horiguchi defends and lands some elbows to the side of the head. Bagautinov switches to a single leg but that’s unsuccessful and they separate. Horiguchi rushes forward with a multi-punch combination. Horiguchi lands a spinning back kick to the side of Bagautinov’s head, but it’s a glancing blow. After another exchange, Bagautinov shoots for a single leg against the fence. Horiguchi responds with more elbows to the side of the head. Horiguchi turns out and returns to the center of the Octagon. Bagautinov shoots again and pushes his man into the fence. Bagautinov drives for the takedown, but Horiguchi denies him. Horiguchi catches Bagautinov with a knee to the head as the Dagestani moves forward. Horiguchi pushes Bagautinov against the fence and changes levels for a takedown. Bagautinov returns to his feet but can’t offer any more offense as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi (30-27 Horiguchi)
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi (30-27 Horiguchi)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi (30-27 Horiguchi)

The Official Result
Kyoji Horiguchi def. Ali Bagautinov via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) R3 5:00
WIN vs Neil Seery
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Arlovski · May 08, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kyoji Horiguchi 2 72 of 145 49% 83 of 158 6 of 8 75% 0 0 5:47
Neil Seery 0 40 of 101 39% 51 of 112 0 of 5 0% 1 0 0:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kyoji Horiguchi 2 25 of 52 48% 30 of 59 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:26
Neil Seery 0 10 of 20 50% 15 of 25 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:08
2 Kyoji Horiguchi 0 24 of 47 51% 27 of 50 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:25
Neil Seery 0 12 of 42 28% 14 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Kyoji Horiguchi 0 23 of 46 50% 26 of 49 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:56
Neil Seery 0 18 of 39 46% 22 of 43 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kyoji Horiguchi 72 of 145 49% 44 of 108 18 of 27 10 of 10 50 of 109 12 of 15 10 of 21
Neil Seery 40 of 101 39% 36 of 91 2 of 8 2 of 2 34 of 91 3 of 5 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kyoji Horiguchi 25 of 52 48% 19 of 43 5 of 8 1 of 1 14 of 31 1 of 1 10 of 20
Neil Seery 10 of 20 50% 9 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 1 7 of 15 0 of 0 3 of 5
2 Kyoji Horiguchi 24 of 47 51% 14 of 33 5 of 9 5 of 5 22 of 44 2 of 3 0 of 0
Neil Seery 12 of 42 28% 10 of 36 2 of 6 0 of 0 12 of 41 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Kyoji Horiguchi 23 of 46 50% 11 of 32 8 of 10 4 of 4 14 of 34 9 of 11 0 of 1
Neil Seery 18 of 39 46% 17 of 36 0 of 2 1 of 1 15 of 35 3 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Neil Seery

Round 1
Horiguchi flashes a body kick at the onset and then tags Seery with a hard right hand. The next punch from Horiguchi sends Seery slumping to the mat, but the Irishman recovers quickly and tangles up as Horiguchi pounces. One minute into the round, Seery works back to his feet, but 10 seconds later, Horiguchi has dumped him to the canvas again. Horiguchi stands and stacks up Seery to escape an armbar attempt, but he allows “2 Tap” to climb back to his feet again in the process. Horiguchi lands another cracking right hand on the incoming Seery, then plunges a straight left down the center and puts Seery on his seat again. Seery is getting lit up on the feet and may be dropping to guard intentionally, as he’s quickly able to stand when Horiguchi gives him the space. Inside the two-minute mark, Horiguchi lands a takedown and passes to side control on Seery’s right, looking for full mount or a mounted crucifix. Seery squirms underneath and escapes to his feet once more, only to be met with more Horiguchi punches and a hard kick to the gut.

Sherdog Scores
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi

Round 2
Horiguchi closes the distance in a hurry, swinging heavy punches in Seery’s direction before wrapping up the veteran on the fence. He trips Seery to the ground but can’t do much with the position before abandoning it, and now the flyweights return to striking. Seery ties up and tries a head-and-arm throw, but he’s stuffed by Horiguchi and has to defend a takedown from the rear waistlock position. The fighters are back to swinging punches once again as they hit the midway point of the round and the fight. Horiguchi scores with a few hard kicks to the inside of southpaw Seery’s lead leg. Now it’s a kick to the body from Horiguchi, a right hand on the ribs and a two-piece combo to Seery’s face. Seery is hanging tough but it’s Horiguchi’s speed and power winning the day so far. Inside 30 seconds, Horiguchi changes levels and plows Seery to the ground near the fence, and that’s where the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi

Round 3
Horiguchi sticks to the outside for the first minute and then comes in to clinch with Seery on the fence. A takedown goes for the Krazy Bee fighter, but again Seery is able to maneuever his way back to his feet. Seery may have done better to stay on the mat, as Horiguchi begins scoring with hard right hands to the body and head once the striking exchanges resume. At the halfway mark, Seery shoots for Horiguchi’s legs at the fence, but Horiguchi turns him around. It’s a late takedown for Horiguchi with under 90 seconds left to fight. Seery works his way back up the fence and takes a couple knees to the gut before he’s able to circle away. Seery tries to barge inside for a clinch or trip takedown, but he’s reversed and placed on his back by Horiguchi one final time.

Sherdog Scores
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi (30-27 Horiguchi)
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi (30-27 Horiguchi)
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi (30-27 Horiguchi)

The Official Result
Kyoji Horiguchi def. Neil Seery via Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-27, 30-27) R3 5:00
WIN vs Chico Camus
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs. Nelson · Sep 27, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kyoji Horiguchi 0 78 of 224 34% 80 of 226 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:20
Chico Camus 0 63 of 191 32% 66 of 196 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kyoji Horiguchi 0 27 of 60 45% 29 of 62 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Chico Camus 0 12 of 41 29% 14 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:24
2 Kyoji Horiguchi 0 34 of 98 34% 34 of 98 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:03
Chico Camus 0 14 of 54 25% 14 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Kyoji Horiguchi 0 17 of 66 25% 17 of 66 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:17
Chico Camus 0 37 of 96 38% 38 of 97 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kyoji Horiguchi 78 of 224 34% 59 of 195 17 of 26 2 of 3 74 of 219 4 of 5 0 of 0
Chico Camus 63 of 191 32% 53 of 175 8 of 14 2 of 2 58 of 184 5 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kyoji Horiguchi 27 of 60 45% 17 of 46 8 of 11 2 of 3 24 of 56 3 of 4 0 of 0
Chico Camus 12 of 41 29% 9 of 37 2 of 3 1 of 1 7 of 34 5 of 7 0 of 0
2 Kyoji Horiguchi 34 of 98 34% 28 of 88 6 of 10 0 of 0 34 of 98 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chico Camus 14 of 54 25% 13 of 52 1 of 2 0 of 0 14 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Kyoji Horiguchi 17 of 66 25% 14 of 61 3 of 5 0 of 0 16 of 65 1 of 1 0 of 0
Chico Camus 37 of 96 38% 31 of 86 5 of 9 1 of 1 37 of 96 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Chico Camus

Round 1
Horiguchi cuts angles on the outside and throws a leg kick, then a body shot at Camus in the center. Camus eats a right hand upstairs and tries to grab hold of Horiguchi, but the Japanese prospect slips free and moves back to the outside. Horiguchi scores with a lunging overhand right, shoots for a takedown and has to fight his way out of Camus’ Thai clinch. From his back foot, Horiguchi catches Camus with a counter right hook. Camus stuffs another high double-leg attempt and then grabs a standing rear waistlock as he catching Horiguchi missing a spinning backfist. Horiguchi turns around, but Camus lands a knee in the clinch before Horiguchi can get away. Lots of circling from both guys as the round hits the final 90 seconds. Camus is keeping control of the center and catching Horiguchi with sporadic right hands down the stretch.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi
Jeff Sherwood scores the round 10-9 Camus

Round 2
The flyweights get straight to business with a punching exchange in the center, and Horiguchi comes away with the hardest shot, a big right hand on the cheek that has Camus backing up. Another shot lands on top of Camus’ head, and as he turns to sprint away, Horiguchi tries to jump on his back. Camus blocks the back-take and escapes, but Horiguchi continues to tag him from range, rocking Camus with one-twos and mixing in a few hard kicks to the body. Camus is finding a counter right hand here and there, but Horiguchi is starting to overwhelm the American with volume in the first half. The pace slows a bit near the middle of the round, but now Horiguchi comes alive with another combination and a left hook behind it that worsens Camus’ already cut right cheek. Camus returns the favor by bloodying Horiguchi’s nose with a jab, but Horiguchi gets him back with a short left hook. Camus answers with a right cross, backs up to the center and takes a plunging left hand on the chin. Horiguchi finishes the round by knocking Camus’ head back with a straight right.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi
Jeff Sherwood scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi

Round 3
Horiguchi ducks under a right hand from Camus and presses the American against the cage, but Camus breaks away after only a few seconds. Camus is chasing Horiguchi around the outside until he’s forced to back off when Horiguchi slaps his face with a left high kick. Backpedaling away from Camus’ quick jabs, Horiguchi continues to find a home for his counter hook. The flyweights circle and parry punches in the last two minutes, but there’s not much landing cleanly. With 30 seconds left, Horiguchi has a shot stuffed and comes back to crack Camus with a blistering right hand. Camus staggers back to the fence, Horiguchi tries to polish him off but can’t find the mark. Camus recovers within a few seconds and comes off the fence swinging just as time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi (30-27 Horiguchi)
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi (30-27 Horiguchi)
Jeff Sherwood scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi (29-28 Horiguchi)

The Official Result
Kyoji Horiguchi def. Chico Camus via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) R3 5:00
Submission (armbar) R5 4:59 · UFC 186: Johnson vs. Horiguchi · Apr 25, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Demetrious Johnson 0 66 of 121 54% 149 of 208 14 of 22 63% 1 0 13:43
Kyoji Horiguchi 0 31 of 91 34% 61 of 127 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Demetrious Johnson 0 14 of 24 58% 24 of 34 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:43
Kyoji Horiguchi 0 8 of 22 36% 10 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Demetrious Johnson 0 13 of 34 38% 22 of 44 5 of 6 83% 0 0 2:37
Kyoji Horiguchi 0 7 of 23 30% 17 of 35 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:35
3 Demetrious Johnson 0 10 of 19 52% 27 of 37 2 of 5 40% 0 0 3:13
Kyoji Horiguchi 0 7 of 15 46% 16 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Demetrious Johnson 0 18 of 31 58% 30 of 44 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:50
Kyoji Horiguchi 0 7 of 23 30% 9 of 25 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:26
5 Demetrious Johnson 0 11 of 13 84% 46 of 49 5 of 5 100% 1 0 4:20
Kyoji Horiguchi 0 2 of 8 25% 9 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Demetrious Johnson 66 of 121 54% 21 of 56 31 of 40 14 of 25 39 of 86 16 of 23 11 of 12
Kyoji Horiguchi 31 of 91 34% 18 of 70 8 of 13 5 of 8 21 of 75 10 of 16 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Demetrious Johnson 14 of 24 58% 5 of 11 6 of 6 3 of 7 11 of 21 3 of 3 0 of 0
Kyoji Horiguchi 8 of 22 36% 2 of 13 4 of 7 2 of 2 8 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Demetrious Johnson 13 of 34 38% 6 of 22 6 of 8 1 of 4 6 of 25 3 of 5 4 of 4
Kyoji Horiguchi 7 of 23 30% 6 of 21 1 of 1 0 of 1 5 of 19 2 of 4 0 of 0
3 Demetrious Johnson 10 of 19 52% 0 of 5 5 of 6 5 of 8 8 of 13 1 of 4 1 of 2
Kyoji Horiguchi 7 of 15 46% 3 of 9 2 of 2 2 of 4 3 of 11 4 of 4 0 of 0
4 Demetrious Johnson 18 of 31 58% 4 of 10 10 of 16 4 of 5 10 of 21 6 of 8 2 of 2
Kyoji Horiguchi 7 of 23 30% 5 of 19 1 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 17 3 of 6 0 of 0
5 Demetrious Johnson 11 of 13 84% 6 of 8 4 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 6 3 of 3 4 of 4
Kyoji Horiguchi 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 6 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
UFC Flyweight Title Fight: Demetrious Johnson vs. Kyoji Horiguchi

Round 1
Canadian referee Yves Lavigne is the third man in the cage for tonight’s championship bout, with judges Richard Bertrand, Sal D’Amato and David Therien scoring at cageside. Horiguchi opens with a kick to the body, and Johnson switches stances a few times before settling in orthodox. Back to southpaw goes Johnson, landing a reaching right hand on the backpedaling challenger. Johnson lands a couple kicks on Horiguchi’s lead leg, then stumbles backward as he dodges a combination. Johnson catches a body kick and rushes Horiguchi against the fence, dropping levels to work an ankle pick. Horiguchi spreads out his base and stays standing, so Johnson comes back up to pin him on the cage with an underhook. Horiguchi raises a knee to defend body shots and soon escapes the clinch. Back to the center go the flyweights. Johnson closes the distance, moving Horiguchi toward the cage again, and lands a few speedy right hands upstairs before hitting a double-leg takedown. With 90 seconds remaining, Johnson has Horiguchi seated at the base of the fence, where he pops the challenger with a pair of shoulder shrugs to the face. Horiguchi stands and disengages with 55 seconds on the clock, then puts a hard kick on Johnson’s lead leg. Horiguchi leaps into range with a flying knee and sprawls as Johnson tries to hit another double.

Sherdog Scores
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 Johnson
TJ De Santis scores the round 10-9 Johnson
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Johnson

Round 2
Johnson rushes Horiguchi to start round two, landing a flying knee behind a flurry of punches. Horiguchi retaliates with a burst of his own, a left hook touching the jaw of “Mighty Mouse” before Horiguchi finishes with a clean jump knee. Horiguchi puts Johnson on the fence, reaps a leg and trips him to the ground. The challenger tries to wrap up Johnson’s legs but can’t keep him down. Johnson stands and gets socked in the face with a left hand before Horiguchi sprints away. Horiguchi cuts angles on the outside now, ducking under a punch but succumbing to a body lock takedown behind it. Johnson tries to pull out Horiguchi’s legs and pass to mount, but Horiguchi finds the space to stand up. Johnson keeps him near the fence for a few seconds until he can change levels for another takedown with 2:00 on the clock. Horiguchi posts and stands, taking a knee to the chest along the way. The flyweights dash to the other side of the cage, where Johnson scores another easy takedown. Again, Horiguchi is able to stand up, and the 125ers move back to the center. They only stay there for a few seconds, then it’s another takedown from “Mighty Mouse” up against the fence. Johnson stands to drive a knee into Horiguchi’s chest, allowing the Japanese fighter to stand as well. Horiguchi catches a body kick but can’t capitalize, as Johnson catches him with an overhand right on the other side and scores one more takedown to close out the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 Johnson
TJ De Santis scores the round 10-9 Johnson
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Johnson

Round 3
Johnson ducks a punch, slips around the back to wrap up Horiguchi and then releases. The champ shoots for a long takedown against the fence and gets sprawled on, and Horiguchi circles off the fence one minute into the round. Johnson catches up with him a few seconds later and gets the takedown he wanted. Horiguchi sits up at the fence, then stands and tries to pry away Johnson’s hands. Horiguchi breaks free and catches Johnson chasing after him with a looping left hand on the ear. Halfway through the round now, Johnson tags Horiguchi with a punching combination, drops levels and grounds him with a takedown a few feet from the fence. Horiguchi holds Johnson in half guard, pushes him back to full guard, but Johnson jumps right over to side control with 90 seconds on the clock. Johnson seems to be thinking about a kimura on the far side, can’t trap the arm and instead socks Horiguchi in the face with a couple short punches. Johnson gets a mounted crucifix with 30 seconds to go and drops some peppering left hands on Horiguchi’s head to end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 Johnson
TJ De Santis scores the round 10-9 Johnson
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Johnson

Round 4
Johnson opens the championship rounds with a kick to Horiguchi’s midsection, and the challenger comes back with a right hand over the top. Horiguchi sprawls on a shot, catches a kick from Johnson but can’t capitalize. Johnson closes the distance and grabs a standing rear-waist lock, then moves to the front as Horiguchi puts his back against the fence. They break from the clinch, Johnson comes back grabbing for a single, but Horiguchi defends. The next takedown attempt from Johnson lands, but Horiguchi is quickly back on his feet, jogging back to the center. A low kick from Johnson takes out the lead leg of Horiguchi, who stands a split second before Johnson can catch up to him. Johnson slips under a punch to grab another single-leg, but this time Horiguchi stands and reverses to push the champ against the fence. The flyweights disengage, Horiguchi now bleeding from his nose. Horiguchi swings into range with a noticeably slower right hand, tries to hold Johnson on the fence but cannot. Horiguchi finishes the round leaping at Johnson with a knee and gets cut off by a body kick.

Sherdog Scores
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 Johnson
TJ De Santis scores the round 10-9 Johnson
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Johnson

Round 5
Johnson hits a quick takedown in the middle of the cage, then passes to side control as Horiguchi tries an ineffective rubber guard. Horiguchi throws up leg scissors, but it’s only a few seconds before Johnson pops his head free and passes completely to the challenger’s right side. Horiguchi tries to twist around and put Johnson in guard but winds up on his belly, then on his knees as the flyweights work over to the fence. Johnson tries to take the back, so Horiguchi stands up, and now they’re back in the middle with 3:30 on the clock. Johnson grabs a leg and scores another easy takedown straight to side control. Johnson tries the kimura again, loses it and tries to take Horiguchi’s back as they stand. Horiguchi dashes away, but once again Johnson catches up to him and drags him to the mat. Horiguchi is breathing heavy, sitting up against a cage post as Johnson controls his legs. Johnson flattens him out and moves to side control on Horiguchi’s left, then tries to take his back when the challenger sits up. The cage blocks Johnson’s progress, so he stands up and drills Horiguchi with a knee to the chest. Horiguchi stands with under one minute remaining and walks forward on Johnson, who dumps him to the ground one last time. Johnson gets a crucifix from side control and starts dropping unfettered right hands. With seconds remaining, Johnson switches to an armbar, extends Horiguchi’s right arm all the way and coaxes a tap just before the final horn sounds.

The Official Result
Demetrious Johnson def. Kyoji Horiguchi via Submission (Armbar) R5 4:59
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 182: Jones vs. Cormier · Jan 03, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kyoji Horiguchi 0 44 of 108 40% 59 of 123 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:58
Louis Gaudinot 0 23 of 89 25% 29 of 95 0 of 1 0% 2 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kyoji Horiguchi 0 11 of 27 40% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Louis Gaudinot 0 8 of 29 27% 10 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Kyoji Horiguchi 0 17 of 35 48% 29 of 47 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:02
Louis Gaudinot 0 8 of 21 38% 9 of 22 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
3 Kyoji Horiguchi 0 16 of 46 34% 17 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Louis Gaudinot 0 7 of 39 17% 10 of 42 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kyoji Horiguchi 44 of 108 40% 30 of 89 10 of 15 4 of 4 43 of 106 1 of 2 0 of 0
Louis Gaudinot 23 of 89 25% 6 of 57 2 of 10 15 of 22 21 of 84 2 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kyoji Horiguchi 11 of 27 40% 5 of 20 4 of 5 2 of 2 11 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Louis Gaudinot 8 of 29 27% 3 of 18 1 of 4 4 of 7 6 of 24 2 of 5 0 of 0
2 Kyoji Horiguchi 17 of 35 48% 13 of 29 2 of 4 2 of 2 17 of 34 0 of 1 0 of 0
Louis Gaudinot 8 of 21 38% 1 of 10 1 of 3 6 of 8 8 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Kyoji Horiguchi 16 of 46 34% 12 of 40 4 of 6 0 of 0 15 of 45 1 of 1 0 of 0
Louis Gaudinot 7 of 39 17% 2 of 29 0 of 3 5 of 7 7 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Louis Gaudinot

Round 1
Gaudinot opens up with some inside leg kicks, including one which nearly knocks Horiguchi to the ground. The Japanese prospect keeps his balance and resets in the center of the cage, switching from southpaw to orthodox stance. Horiguchi flashes some kicks of his own, using a push kick to the stomach to send Gaudinot backwards. Horiguchi lands a right hand to the body of Gaudinot, who counters with a kick to the gut, then another a few seconds later. Horiguchi has a pair of punches blocked, so he uses another push kick to back up the American. Gaudinot keeps a high guard to block Horiguchi’s punches but keeps taking hard shots to the gut. Horiguchi instigates a clinch on the cage and drags Gaudinot to the ground, but “Goodnight” is back up a second later and finishes the round on his feet.

Sherdog Scores
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi
TJ De Santis scores the round 10-9 Gaudinot
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-10

Round 2
Horiguchi puts together a body kick-right hand combination that knocks Gaudinot backward to the fence. Gaudinot recovers quickly and steps forward on Horiguchi, who hits him with an unintentional kick to the cup. Referee Herb Dean calls time but Gaudinot only needs a few seconds to recover. As Horiguchi rushes into range, Gaudinot tries to jump guard with a standing arm-triangle choke. Horiguchi seems unconcerned as he throws short punches at Gaudinot’s head until the New Yorker releases the choke and drops back to his feet. Horiguchi keeps the green-haired flyweight pressed on the fence for a few seconds, then backs out. With 1:40 left in the round, Horiguchi strikes with a pair of punches and a left high kick. Gaudinot circles the outside until Horiguchi catches up to blast him with a straight right hand. The right-handed counter is there for Horiguchi the next two times Gaudinot gets into range. Horiguchi catches a kick and slugs Gaudinot with a right straight before dumping him to the ground to end the second period.

Sherdog Scores
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi
TJ De Santis scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi

Round 3
Gaudinot backs up Horiguchi with an early right hand, but the Krazy Bee fighter recovers quickly and comes back to launch a couple kicks in Gaudinot’s direction. Horiguchi comes down the center with a hard right, then cracks Gaudinot’s body with a loud kick. Good work from Horiguchi on both ends now, as he explodes forward with short bursts of offense -- right straights and body kicks -- and then sits back to answer Gaudinot’s advances with left-handed counterpunches. The flyweights clash kicks and Gaudinot apologizes for a possible low blow, but Horiguchi wants to fight on. Gaudinot looks to jump guard with a guillotine in the final 70 seconds but can’t get Horiguchi’s neck. Instead, they wind up in a clinch on the fence, Horiguchi on the outside. They break and wind up back in the center of the cage, trading strikes as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi (30-27 Horiguchi)
TJ De Santis scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi (29-28 Horiguchi)
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Horiguchi (30-28 Horiguchi)

The Official Result
Kyoji Horiguchi def. Louis Gaudinot via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28) R3 5:00