vs
+146 -160
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · Nov 01, 2025 · Women's Bantamweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama Next Fight
Age 34
Height 5' 8"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 35
Height 5' 7"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Ketlen Vieira
2.76 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
3.75 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
1.33 TD Avg
44.0% TD Acc.
90.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Norma Dumont
3.89 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
2.12 SApM
65.0% Str. Def.
1.56 TD Avg
56.0% TD Acc.
68.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Ketlen Vieira
Moneyline
FanDuel +146
KO/TKO
FanDuel +1600
Submission
FanDuel +1200
Decision
BetRivers +215
Norma Dumont
Moneyline
Caesars -160
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1200
Submission
BetRivers +950
Decision
FanDuel +105
Ketlen Vieira - Fight History
DEC R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · May 16, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ketlen Vieira 0 30 of 92 32% 66 of 158 1 of 4 25% 0 0 4:42
Jacqueline Cavalcanti 0 53 of 110 48% 72 of 130 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ketlen Vieira 0 11 of 47 23% 11 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jacqueline Cavalcanti 0 24 of 46 52% 24 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ketlen Vieira 0 2 of 6 33% 38 of 72 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:42
Jacqueline Cavalcanti 0 1 of 3 33% 20 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ketlen Vieira 0 17 of 39 43% 17 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jacqueline Cavalcanti 0 28 of 61 45% 28 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ketlen Vieira 30 of 92 32% 27 of 86 2 of 5 1 of 1 29 of 90 0 of 0 1 of 2
Jacqueline Cavalcanti 53 of 110 48% 15 of 62 16 of 25 22 of 23 53 of 110 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ketlen Vieira 11 of 47 23% 9 of 44 1 of 2 1 of 1 11 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jacqueline Cavalcanti 24 of 46 52% 6 of 23 4 of 8 14 of 15 24 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ketlen Vieira 2 of 6 33% 1 of 4 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 2
Jacqueline Cavalcanti 1 of 3 33% 0 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ketlen Vieira 17 of 39 43% 17 of 38 0 of 1 0 of 0 17 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jacqueline Cavalcanti 28 of 61 45% 9 of 38 12 of 16 7 of 7 28 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 10, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Angelo picks Jacqueline Cavalcanti, trusting her speed and footwork. He expects Cavalcanti to win the striking exchanges and that Vieira's takedowns won't matter to the judges. He also likes the over 2.5 rounds as a lock. He notes Vieira may have won her last fight but expects a similar decision loss here.

over 2.5 rounds
"I trust the speed. I trust the footwork. I think Jacquelini gets it done. ... The over two and a half here is about as big of a lock as you're going to get."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 12, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Big Brady leans toward Jacqueline Cavalcanti, believing she is the better striker with superior volume. He thinks she can stuff takedowns and keep the fight standing, winning by decision. He acknowledges Ketlen Vieira's path to victory via takedowns but doubts she will execute.

"I'm going to take Kavaki to win this fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Cody picks Jacqueline Cavalcanti, citing her high striking volume (6.5 significant strikes per minute) and youth. He notes that Ketlen Vieira often gets out-struck but wins via cage control, but believes Cavalcanti's takedown defense has improved and she is physically strong enough to avoid being smothered. He expects Cavalcanti to out-land Vieira and win a 29-28 decision, though he acknowledges the risk of judges favoring control time.

Suggests Cavalcanti by decision or split decision.
"Calvocanti is going to outland her, but there's a good probability that she will give up the control time."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 15, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Connor picks Cavalcanti, agreeing with Zane. He notes Vieira has no progression in her game and only changes aggression level per opponent. Cavalcanti is defensively minded, moves her feet well, and has a jab, making it hard for Vieira to charge in. He hopes Vieira doesn't drag Cavalcanti into the mud.

Same odds as Zane. Connor calls Vieira 'stuck in the mud'.
"The only hope is that she doesn't stick the only, uh, bright spot in the division in the mud with her."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked May 16, 2026 (fight day)
Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Cavalcanti is better everywhere: more technical striker, higher pace, better fight IQ, difficult to take down, great cardio. Vieira has low volume and bad fight IQ. Cavalcanti will outpoint Vieira and win a comfortable decision.

"I think Ketlen Vieira is going to win relatively convincingly."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked May 10, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Lucrative James leans toward Jacqueline Cavalcanti, citing her superior striking and consistent volume. He believes Vieira's takedowns may not be enough to win two rounds, and Cavalcanti's composed striking will earn a decision. He notes the fight could be close and split.

"I'm going to say Cavalcante wins the decision. I'm going to say it's 1-1 going into round three and she isn't able to get a takedown."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jacqueline Cavalcanti

The host picks Jacqueline Cavalcanti over Ketlen Vieira, believing this fight will launch Cavalcanti into title contention. He cites Cavalcanti's improved grappling defense and striking edge to pick apart Vieira and win on the scorecards.

"I believe Cavalcanti's grappling defense improvements and her striking edge here will allow her to pick apart Vieira and win this fight on the score cards."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked May 12, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jacqueline Cavalcanti

The host thinks Cavalcanti is a slicker striker with a better gas tank, but he is hesitant to bet her at -155 due to Vieira's grappling threat and live dog status. He predicts Cavalcanti wins by decision, but would only bet if the line drops closer to -120.

"I think Cavalcanti has the better gas tank. I think she can land with a little bit more output and I believe enough in her grappling to predict her to win this fight, but not so much to bet her …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 13, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Paul picks Jacqueline Cavalcanti by split decision, noting that both fighters are likely to go to decision and that Vieira has been involved in many split decisions. He believes Cavalcanti's volume and more impactful strikes will earn her the nod, but expects it to be contentious. He bet the fight ends in a split decision at plus 400.

Bet on fight ends in split decision at plus 400.
"I took the fight ends in split decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 15, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Zane picks Cavalcanti because she is a sharp technical striker with good footwork and a jab, while Vieira is stuck in the mud with no progression in her game. He expects Cavalcanti to pick Vieira apart at range, as Vieira's only path is to overpower her in the clinch, but she often spends time at range not knowing what to do.

Odds: Vieira opened +120, now +145; Cavalcanti opened -140, now -170. Zane calls it a 'good fight if Vieira doesn't win it'.
"If that happens, uh, it's basically just the cub Swanson versus Nate Landware or body green versus Jeremy Stevens equation. Again, here's somebody with some idea of positioning with long straight efficient strikes, she should be able to run circles …"
LOSS vs Norma Dumont
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · Nov 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ketlen Vieira 0 25 of 83 30% 58 of 121 2 of 4 50% 1 0 5:19
Norma Dumont 0 62 of 101 61% 87 of 127 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ketlen Vieira 0 7 of 23 30% 7 of 23 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:36
Norma Dumont 0 17 of 23 73% 25 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ketlen Vieira 0 8 of 29 27% 32 of 57 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:53
Norma Dumont 0 17 of 37 45% 20 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ketlen Vieira 0 10 of 31 32% 19 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:50
Norma Dumont 0 28 of 41 68% 42 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ketlen Vieira 25 of 83 30% 10 of 60 5 of 10 10 of 13 25 of 79 0 of 2 0 of 2
Norma Dumont 62 of 101 61% 24 of 60 18 of 21 20 of 20 57 of 96 5 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ketlen Vieira 7 of 23 30% 1 of 13 1 of 4 5 of 6 7 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Norma Dumont 17 of 23 73% 5 of 10 2 of 3 10 of 10 17 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ketlen Vieira 8 of 29 27% 1 of 19 4 of 5 3 of 5 8 of 26 0 of 1 0 of 2
Norma Dumont 17 of 37 45% 5 of 25 5 of 5 7 of 7 14 of 34 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Ketlen Vieira 10 of 31 32% 8 of 28 0 of 1 2 of 2 10 of 30 0 of 1 0 of 0
Norma Dumont 28 of 41 68% 14 of 25 11 of 13 3 of 3 26 of 39 2 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Norma Dumont vs. Ketlen Vieira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dumont (-150); Vieira (+120)

Round 1
In the previous match, two athletes vied to save their place on the ever-churning roster. In this fourth fight of the evening, the promotion decided to plug in the most relevant matchup of the whole card, as the winner of this bantamweight pairing will most likely be closest to the next title shot come Monday. While Brazil’s Vieira (15-4, 9-4 UFC) already came up short against champ Kayla Harrison, perhaps it would change should they lock horns for five rounds. Standing in her way of all that is “The Immortal” Dumont (12-2, 8-2 UFC), who has heard the final bell in nine straight outings. Whether they make it 10 straight for the streaking Dumont or get out of their early, referee Mark Smith will handle the necessities from here. There is a sporting clap of hands that precedes the action.
Dumont moves to the center of the cage standing as tall as she can, and she hand-fights a pawing Vieira who is just looking for her range. At 40 seconds in, Vieira finally commits to a strike, albeit a leg kick. Dumont responds immediately with one of her own. Vieira sits down on another calf kick to disrupt her opponent, and Dumont says “two can play that game” and gives it back any time Vieira lands on her. They trade hands from up close, drawing a smile out of Dumont as if she felt Vieira’s power and was not concerned. Vieira darts in behind her jab, and the two are just picking and poking at one another with single strikes. Vieira scores first, and Dumont comes back at her.
“Fenomeno” looks for her right hand several times, but Dumont is able to see them coming in time and avoid them. Leg kicks are traded, and Dumont doubles up on a heavy one. Vieira rushes forward, banging into Dumont and forcing her to awkwardly rebound during a takedown effort. Vieira uses the momentum to drag Dumont down, where she takes her back and looks for a rear-naked choke. Dumont flips over to her back to break up the sub, so Vieira transitions to an arm-triangle choke. Dumont once more twists to get out of the worst of it, so Vieira readjusts and presses her shoulder down to complete the sub. Vieira laces her leg between Dumont’s to give her more leverage to crush her shoulder down, and Dumont stays calm and punches Vieira in the side until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Vieira

Round 2
The round begins with kicks, with Vieira throwing first and last. Dumont hurls a one-two her way, and Vieira is not standing there any longer to get hit. When Dumont does reach her with a right hand, Vieira strafes to the side to reset. Dumont is one-and-done with a kick, and Vieira leans in to score and then leans back. Dumont starts to put more than one strike together in her attacks, sometimes doubling or tripling up on offense or stringing a few back-to-back. Vieira nails the inside leg a few times, prompting Dumont to pitch one back on the outside. Vieira checks the second, and they go tit-for-tat with these strikes for a time.
Vieira leaps forward and gets caught with a right hand from Dumont, and she shoots in from a double from too far out. Dumont shuts it down, so Vieira backs off and tries again from another angle. This time, she puts Dumont on her back with about 1:45 left in the round. Like a snake slowly coiling around to consume its prey, Vieira calmly slithers through to advance to half guard and pursue an arm-triangle choke. This takes a great deal of time to get there, so before she can cinch anything up, the second round is over.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Vieira

Round 3
The top contenders reach the final frame, and they approach one another in it like the previous two. Dumont moves forward but is generally cautious, and Vieira stays defensively composed from most of what comes her direction. Dumont pushes the action with a storming right hand, colliding with Vieira and putting them on the fence. Vieira quickly turns her foe around, where she imposes her body weight on the streaking Dumont. She leans on Dumont for a time, until Smith calls for them to do more.
Dumont separates first, and she lets loose with her hands. Reaching out with a left and a right, and she looses this two-punch flurry again and again. Vieira stays on the outside edge with her guard high, and Dumont goes to the body when the hands of her foe are up. Dumont swarms forward behind a low kick to open up punches, and she lands cleanly in the midst of her combinations. Vieira is fine to stay on her back heel offering counters and the occasional kick as time ticks off, as Vieira likely expects she is up on the scorecards. Dumont is fighting like she needs the finish, in terms of her own style. She does not bite down on her mouthpiece to bang it out, and she does not point to the ground to force a brawl, but instead remains at kickboxing range leaning in and out to attack. The slow, arduous bantamweight match comes to an end, and both women raise their arms in the air. Could it go either way?

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (29-28 Vieira)
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (29-28 Vieira)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (29-28 Vieira)

The Official Result
Norma Dumont def. Ketlen Vieira via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Norma Dumont

Angelo picks Norma Dumont confidently, citing her technical striking, patience, and takedown defense. He notes Ketlen Vieira is bigger but slower and less technical, relying on cage control. He thinks Norma's speed and accuracy will be too much, and expects a decision win. He is very confident in Norma but doesn't see many points in DFS due to a lack of finishes.

"Very confident in Norma, but I don't think there's a lot of points to be had."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Norma Dumont

Big Brady picks Norma Dumont, noting she looked great in her last fight against Aldana with faster hands. He acknowledges Ketlen Vieira has elite takedown defense but believes the fight will stay standing, where Dumont is the better striker. He predicts a decision win for Dumont.

decision
"I'm going to go Dumont. She looked really good in her last fight against Aldana. ... I think the better striker is going to be Dumont. So yeah, Dumont for me and Dumont to win this fight by decision there."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Norma Dumont

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Dumont is a sharpshooter who can even things up with one hit. He thinks Vieira is not capable of putting pressure on Dumont, and if the fight is a coin flip, Dumont has the edge because she can push a pace Vieira never has.

Dumont opened at -150, now -163; Vieira opened at +130, now +143.
"I think dumont is enough of a sharpshooter that she can even things up with with one hit."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Oct 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Lucrative James picks Norma Dumont, but acknowledges it's a close fight. He believes Dumont is the better striker with better range control and takedown defense, and that she can stop Vieira's takedowns. However, he notes that Vieira's path to victory is through grappling, and if she can get top position, she could win. James sees value in the fight going to decision.

fight goes to decision
"I'm going to pick Dumont. I think she's the better striker."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Norma Dumont

Dumont will get her sixth straight victory by putting it on Vieira with her striking and physicality, possibly landing a few takedowns. Dumont is in much better shape and a better state of her career, leading to a decision win.

"I believe Dant will be successful in getting her six sixth straight victory here as she really puts it on Vieier with her striking, her physicality, maybe landing a few takedowns. But I think Dont is in much better shape …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

The MMA Guru picks Norma Dumont, highlighting her recent sharp stand-up performance against Irene Aldana. He criticizes Ketlen Vieira's inconsistency and poor recent performances. He believes Dumont has momentum and will win by decision, possibly 29-28.

"I'm going to say that Norma Dumont's got the momentum right now and I'm going to say that Norma Dumont pulls this one off by decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Norma Dumont

Zane picks Dumont because she is a sharp striker who can push a pace that Vieira cannot match. He notes that Vieira is stiff and wide open, and Dumont has the ability to land fight-changing shots. Even if Dumont has a bad fight, he expects a narrow contest, and if she has a good one, she wins clearly.

Dumont opened at -150, now -163; Vieira opened at +130, now +143.
"I think I have to pick norma dumont here because even if she comes out and tries to be a neutralizing fighter, I simply do not have the trust that viera will win that fight."
WIN vs Macy Chiasson
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · May 31, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ketlen Vieira 0 28 of 64 43% 106 of 174 0 of 1 0% 0 0 10:06
Macy Chiasson 0 22 of 43 51% 52 of 77 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ketlen Vieira 0 18 of 48 37% 29 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:06
Macy Chiasson 0 17 of 31 54% 18 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
2 Ketlen Vieira 0 2 of 4 50% 39 of 56 0 of 1 0% 0 0 4:47
Macy Chiasson 0 0 of 1 0% 9 of 10 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:07
3 Ketlen Vieira 0 8 of 12 66% 38 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:13
Macy Chiasson 0 5 of 11 45% 25 of 35 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ketlen Vieira 28 of 64 43% 25 of 60 3 of 3 0 of 1 15 of 47 5 of 6 8 of 11
Macy Chiasson 22 of 43 51% 8 of 25 6 of 9 8 of 9 20 of 39 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ketlen Vieira 18 of 48 37% 15 of 44 3 of 3 0 of 1 13 of 43 5 of 5 0 of 0
Macy Chiasson 17 of 31 54% 5 of 16 5 of 7 7 of 8 17 of 29 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Ketlen Vieira 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 4
Macy Chiasson 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ketlen Vieira 8 of 12 66% 8 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 1 6 of 7
Macy Chiasson 5 of 11 45% 3 of 8 1 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 9 2 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ketlen Vieira vs. Macy Chiasson
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Chiasson (-118), Vieira (-102)

Round 1
What was once a likely bantamweight title eliminator has become a featherweight fight of little import, thanks to Vieira (14-4, 8-4 UFC) being unable to get down to the 136-pound limit. Chiasson (10-3, 8-3 UFC), with eyes to the future, gladly accepts 25% of Vieira’s purse before getting to punch her in the face for her transgression. Referee Mark Smith stands by to keep things on the up-and-up, although the match still opens with the ladies clapping hands first. Vieira takes to the center of the Octagon, with Chiasson circling around her probing her with low kicks and jabs. The Louisiana native manages her distance well, staying active and not letting Vieira strike her. Chiasson fires up a head kick, and uses it as a way to open a left hand up. Vieira looks to counter, but Chiasson is out of range from everything besides a pair of body shots. Vieira sits down on a right hand, shaking Chiasson up a little and forcing her to reset. Chiasson goes for a spinning wheel kick that misses the mark significantly, and Vieira tracks her down and smashes her in the face with a ferocious right hand. Chiasson wears it well but is not a fan, scooting out of the way before Vieira can pin her down again. Chiasson prods the body with jabs and kicks, and Vieira counters with a right hand over the top. Vieira connects with a few fast hands, and when Chiasson clinches, she lays into her with another flurry of blows. Both women try to land elbows from up close, but they sway just enough to let them soar past one another. Vieira bullies Chiasson against the fencing, and Chiasson slowly but methodically fights her way out while using a knee to get some space. Vieira pushes her close again and back to the wall, and she punches her way out rather than glom on to the taller woman. Chiasson chips at the front leg a few times, and she catches Vieira on the temple with a long right hand. Vieira scores a combo of punches to end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vieira

Round 2
The moment gloves are touched, Chiasson shoots in for a takedown. Vieira’s defense spikes them both on their faces, and she recovers just the faster to turn to the side to establish top position. The Brazilian hops a few times to get herself in the conventional guard, but she is intent on passing to somewhere better and clinging to an arm-triangle choke setup. Chiasson is wise to it and she fights back with elbows and even flirts with an armbar setup, but she is stifled when Vieira stays flatly pressed to her. Chiasson pushes off the hips, and she turns to a knee but inadvertently gives up her back. As she rolls, Chiasson finds herself still in Vieira’s clutches. Vieira gets herself back on top in the guard, smothering the American while not otherwise utilizing much offense. Vieira lands punches every so often, preferring to rack up control time while shutting down anything Chiasson can do. Chiasson slashes off her back with her elbow, and she scores two more when Vieira postures up. Vieira rides out the remainder of the round on top.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vieira

Round 3
Before the third round begins, Smith calls in a cutman to slice the tape off of Vieira’s glove. The two touch gloves, and Chiasson comes out shot out of a cannon. Punching her way into a single, Chiasson finds that the Brazilian is not about to go down and falls to her back. Vieira establishes herself on top again, and she embraces the grind immediately. It does not take Smith long to ask for more activity, with Vieira content to work the body with short strikes and remain busy enough to keep her position. Vieira sits up and drills Chiasson with a pair of punches that lead her corner to hoot and holler, and Chiasson fails to employ butterfly hooks to get some space. Vieira’s smothering ground control is sucking the energy out of the building, and when Chiasson attempts to escape, the Brazilian is there to shut her down completely. Smith again asks for Vieira to do more, and it is Chiasson who does some damage with a vicious elbow that rips open a cut on Vieira’s forehead. Chiasson uses the moment to explode to her feet, where she starts laying into Vieira with punches and elbows. Vieira tries to clinch, and Chiasson bails on it and leaps at her with lunging punches and kicks. Chiasson drills the Brazilian with exhausted one-twos, and her late onslaught may sway a judge or two because of the damage inflicted. The not-so-thrilling fight comes to an end.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (30-27 Vieira)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (30-27 Vieira)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (30-27 Vieira)

The Official Result
Ketlen Vieira def. Macy Chiasson via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 18, 2025 (13 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

Angelo picks Ketlen Vieira, believing she can bully Macy Chiasson by closing the distance and negating Chiasson's length. He notes that Vieira lost to Kayla Harrison (potential champion) while Chiasson's win was due to a cut. He is cautious about betting on someone coming off a loss but would bet on Vieira as a dog if odds flip.

Would bet on Ketlen Vieira if she becomes an underdog.
"I still think Kelan wins this fight. She is big. She is strong."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 26, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

Big Brady picks Ketlen Vieira with low confidence, citing her elite takedown defense (88%) as the key factor. He notes that even Kayla Harrison struggled to take Vieira down. He believes Vieira is the better striker if the fight stays standing and may even take Chiasson down, as Chiasson has been taken down by lesser fighters. He expects a close decision.

"I'll take Vieira. Uh, I even think Vieira might be able to get on top."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Macy Chiasson

Connor picks Chiasson for being crazy and aggressive, and because Vieira looks consistently uncomfortable on the feet. He notes that if Vieira cannot get takedowns, Chiasson could be the more aggressive clinch striker. However, he acknowledges the fight is low-level and hard to call.

"I'll take Jason for being crazy and aggressive. I suppose for looking, uh, looking consistently more uncomfortable. Yeah. I mean, all, all it seems like it would take is for Vieira to just get into clinches consistently and put Jason …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Macy Chiasson

Matt picks Macy Chiasson to win by decision. He values Chiasson's physicality and improving striking, which he believes will overcome Vieira's technical striking. He notes that Chiasson blends her striking with grappling effectively and sees value at -125, estimating her true odds around -150 to -185. He expects a decision win.

Chiasson by decision +150, Vieira by decision +175
"I'm going to lean on the physicality of Kasan to grind this fight out."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 28, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Macy Chiasson

The MMA Guru picks Macy Chiasson over Ketlen Vieira, citing Chiasson's volume, pressure, and physicality advantage. He criticizes Vieira's recent performance against Miesha Tate and believes Chiasson's grit will force a high-output fight. He worries about a potential submission from Vieira but overall favors Chiasson.

"I'm going to go with Macy Shasson. I think her volume's good. I think her pressure is good... She's got a physicality advantage here."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

Zane picks Vieira because he believes she can out-wrestle and out-grapple Chiasson, and that her strength and top control will be decisive. He notes that Chiasson has improved but still struggles in the clinch and is easy to hit. However, he acknowledges that if Vieira cannot get takedowns, she will struggle due to her poor striking confidence.

"I got to pick Vieira. I'll pick Jason who gives a fuck low level MMA. I mean, the fact that this is the other fight with two ranked fighters in it is a, is a cruel joke about women's banter …"
LOSS vs Kayla Harrison
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · Oct 05, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kayla Harrison 0 24 of 61 39% 67 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ketlen Vieira 0 55 of 94 58% 98 of 149 2 of 8 25% 0 0 7:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kayla Harrison 0 5 of 16 31% 27 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ketlen Vieira 0 17 of 27 62% 37 of 53 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:46
2 Kayla Harrison 0 14 of 32 43% 29 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ketlen Vieira 0 15 of 35 42% 27 of 50 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:02
3 Kayla Harrison 0 5 of 13 38% 11 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ketlen Vieira 0 23 of 32 71% 34 of 46 1 of 4 25% 0 0 3:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kayla Harrison 24 of 61 39% 12 of 38 4 of 15 8 of 8 21 of 58 3 of 3 0 of 0
Ketlen Vieira 55 of 94 58% 34 of 69 14 of 16 7 of 9 19 of 50 15 of 17 21 of 27
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kayla Harrison 5 of 16 31% 1 of 8 0 of 4 4 of 4 5 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ketlen Vieira 17 of 27 62% 7 of 17 9 of 9 1 of 1 4 of 12 9 of 11 4 of 4
2 Kayla Harrison 14 of 32 43% 8 of 22 3 of 7 3 of 3 11 of 29 3 of 3 0 of 0
Ketlen Vieira 15 of 35 42% 8 of 25 4 of 6 3 of 4 9 of 29 6 of 6 0 of 0
3 Kayla Harrison 5 of 13 38% 3 of 8 1 of 4 1 of 1 5 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ketlen Vieira 23 of 32 71% 19 of 27 1 of 1 3 of 4 6 of 9 0 of 0 17 of 23
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kayla Harrison vs. Ketlen Vieira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Harrison (-800), Vieira (+550)

Round 1
Even though she is currently ranked higher than her opponent, Vieira (14-3, 8-3 UFC) finds herself as a massive betting underdog at around +700 against enormous favorite Harrison (17-1, 1-0 UFC). Anything can happen in this glorious sport, and it often does. This grappling-centric affair will draw oversight from referee Marc Goddard, and the main card commences as the bantamweights touch ‘em up. Vieira flicks out a jab towards the jittery Harrison, and she gets knocked back by a left hand. Vieira reaches out with her right hand, and chants in support of her opponent rain down in the form of “USA!” Harrison does not channel this energy immediately, taking to the center of the cage and checking a low kick. Harrison kicks her to the chest, and Vieira skirts out the outer edge of the cage. Harrison tries to hit a trip, and Vieira slips away. Harrison fires off a high kick, and Vieira blocks it as the judoka stumbles. Harrison springs back to her feet and grasps Vieira around the waist, delivering knees to the body as Vieira tries to catch them fruitlessly. Harrison goes for a knee up top, and she hunts for a few trips to no avail. Harrison slams a knee in the ribs, and she uses her other to smack the Brazilian in the face with it. Goddard asks for more activity, and the audience turns on the ladies as they spend a lot of time in the clinch. Vieira tries to escape, and she blocks a knee and wings as right hand that bounces off the guard. Harrison checks another kick and parries a body kick, and she returns fire with her own kick to the stomach. Harrison sticks and moves with a low kick and one high, and Vieira swings and misses. This allows Harrison to close in on her, and she bowls Vieira over and ultimately lands in half guard. “USA” chants for Harrison rain down again, and she moves to mount and blasts Vieira in the face with an elbow. Vieira turns around to give up her back, and Harrison follows her every step of the way, battering her with elbows and punches. Vieira rides out the position under fire until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Harrison
Mike Fridley scores the round: 10-9 Harrison
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Harrison

Round 2
The ladies meet in the middle, and they lob inaccurate strikes at one another. The first one landed is a low kick from the American, and she dances out of the way of a few long right hands from Vieira. Vieira sits down on a right hand to catch Harrison on the chin, and she gets tripped out with an inside low kick. Vieira stands back up without issue, and she parries a high kick. Vieira gets off her own leg kick, and she again tags Harrison with a right on the side of the head. Vieira digs a right to the body, and Harrison punches her way into a takedown attempt where she grabs the leg and puts her hand behind the neck to throw her foe down. Vieira fights it off and resets, blocking another head kick so she can jab Harrison in the ribs. Harrison shoots for a takedown and complains of an eye poke when Vieira posted off, and Harrison signals she is fine and does not need to pause. Vieira stops two more attempts and lands a few strikes, and Harrison plants her feet to connect with a heavy leg kick. Harrison pushes in tight to the clinch, and she is warned for holding the fence. Vieira breaks away, and Harrison plows forward with a knee to the body before clinching up again. While Vieira answers with an elbow, she cannot gain any space. Vieira rings her bell with another elbow, and Harrison pushes through it to get back up close and personal with knees to the body. Vieira blasts her with another elbow, and swelling has developed above Harrison’s right eye. Harrison digs several more knees to the body, and blood trickles out of the lump on her head. Goddard asks for more action, and he splits them up with 20 seconds left in the round. Vieira kicks low, gets checked, and pushes past a head kick to throw one back. The round ends with both ladies whiffing on kicks.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Mike Fridley scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Harrison

Round 3
The ladies bump fists and then bow to one another to start the round. Harrison comes out aggressively, blocking a kick and shooting in for a double. Vieira breaks out of it and lobs back a one-two that busts open Harrison’s nose, with blood flowing immediately. Harrison tries for another takedown, and that fails again. Harrison gets off an inside leg kick that disrupts Vieira’s balance, and she pursues a takedown and comes up short. Harrison checks a calf kick and goes for a takedown that is nowhere close to landing. Vieira swipes a right to the body, and her guard is high to block a head kick. Harrison crashes forward for a takedown, lifts Vieira’s leg up and cannot get her down. On Harrison’s second attempt, she succeeds in wrenching the Brazilian to the mat. Vieira tries to tug on the fencing to stop it, but she is placed on her back with Harrison raining down elbows. Vieira pushes her back, and Harrison comes back to drill her with a left hand. Harrison stays busy with ground-and-pound, and Vieira pulls her toes on the wire to get to a more advantageous position. Harrison postures up to drop down three left hands, and Vieira throws her legs up for a high guard or a triangle choke. Harrison is wise to it and continues slamming down punches, and she brings down the hammer with a few high-amplitude elbows. Harrison passes to half guard, and she slices over to mount with 45 seconds to spare. Harrison slashes down with a few elbows, and Vieira clings to her tightly. Vieira turns over, and Harrison spins with her and wrenches on her neck with a brute force crank more than a choke. Harrison swirls over to half guard when Vieira turns, and she gets pushed to her feet as the match concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Harrison (29-28 Harrison)
Mike Fridley scores the round: 10-9 Harrison (29-28 Harrison)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Harrison (30-27 Harrison)

The Official Result
Kayla Harrison def. Ketlen Vieira via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Kayla Harrison

Angelo picks Kayla Harrison to dominate, citing her Olympic gold medal judo and physical strength. He notes Ketlen Vieira relies on being big and strong to bully opponents, but that won't work against Harrison. He expects Harrison to toss Vieira and control the fight. He also suggests looking at the under 2.5 rounds line for potential value.

Look at under 2.5 rounds line for value
"Kayla Harrison dominates here she's absolutely the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Kayla Harrison

Big Brady picks Kayla Harrison confidently, acknowledging Vieira is solid but believes Harrison is on a different level. He expects Harrison's judo to overcome Vieira's takedown defense, and once on top, Harrison will control and win a decision, possibly with a finish. He notes the weight cut is something to monitor.

"I'll go Kayla Harrison to win this fight and Win It by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kayla Harrison

Cody picks Harrison, believing her Judo and ground-and-pound will be effective. He acknowledges Vieira's takedown defense and altitude concerns but thinks Harrison's UFC debut win over Holly Holm showed her potential. He warns against betting the heavy favorite.

"Harrison will be the pick"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Kayla Harrison

Connor also picks Harrison, echoing Zane's reasoning. He notes that Vieira has never believed in her hands since being knocked out by Raquel Pennington and relies on clinch work, which plays into Harrison's strengths. Connor expects Harrison to win impressively and set up a title fight.

Same odds commentary.
"Hey, if they're if they're hoping for a pania win that then sets up harrison in a uh for a title fight where that actually has like not just two b sides."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Kayla Harrison

Daniel Vreeland picks Kayla Harrison. He admits he hasn't been the biggest Harrison fan and has faded her before, but notes that her one-dimensional grappling is so elite that it doesn't matter. He points out that Harrison's takedown game is elite and she is physically very strong for the weight class, even though she is cutting a lot of weight. He believes she will pile things on and get a win, possibly by submission.

Harrison by submission +350
"I like Kayla Harrison here I think we see her absolutely pile things on"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kayla Harrison

Daniel Vreeland confidently picks Kayla Harrison, calling her a once-in-a-lifetime athlete. He notes that Harrison's drop to 135 has made her more explosive and athletic. While Vieira has 92% takedown defense, Vreeland believes Harrison's Judo and wrestling will overcome that. He expects Harrison to win and secure a title shot, though he is unsure of the method.

"Kayla Harrison coming out here getting this win securing a title shot"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Kayla Harrison

Jeff Fox picks Kayla Harrison. He notes that Harrison is a two-time Olympic gold medalist in judo and has elite grappling. He believes her takedown game and physical strength will be too much for Ketlen Vieira, even though Vieira has a grappling base. Fox thinks Harrison will dominate on the ground and likely get a finish.

"I'm taking Kayla Harrison obviously"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Kayla Harrison

The host thinks the odds are a bit wide for his liking but still believes Harrison will go out and grind the fight out. He notes Harrison is the superior grappler and may be at a disadvantage in striking, but not enough to prevent her from closing distance and using judo. He expects Harrison to win on the scorecards, as Vieira will show enough resistance to avoid a finish.

odds a little bit wide for my liking
"the odds a little bit wide for my liking but that still does not take away from the fact that I think that Harrison goes out there and grinds this fight out"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Kayla Harrison

Paul picks Harrison, noting her world-class grappling and the fact that she can now use elbows in the UFC. He mentions Vieira's cardio issues and Harrison's ability to grind out a win, but cautions about the weight cut and altitude.

"I'm picking Kayla Harrison"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kayla Harrison

The MMA Guru picks Kayla Harrison over Ketlen Vieira, citing Harrison's dominant grappling and physicality. He notes Harrison's ability to toss around training partners like Alex Pereira and her past performance against Holly Holm. He believes Harrison will be the champion and that Vieira is not on her level. He also mentions the fight is three rounds, so altitude is less of a concern.

"I'm going to go Kayla Harrison you guys I just got a hunch that she's going to get this one done"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Kayla Harrison

Zane picks Harrison confidently, noting that Vieira is a swing-and-clinch artist who lacks the nuance to deal with Harrison's superior judo and grappling. He highlights Harrison's adjustment in the Holly Holm fight where she let go of a hip toss to land in top position. Zane expects Harrison to dominate in the clinch and win decisively.

Harrison opened at -769, now -1042. Vieira opened at +483, now +659.
"Kayla harrison's gonna win. what is I know shocker."
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Jul 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ketlen Vieira 0 15 of 33 45% 65 of 103 3 of 3 100% 3 0 10:49
Pannie Kianzad 0 22 of 51 43% 92 of 144 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ketlen Vieira 0 5 of 15 33% 23 of 40 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:53
Pannie Kianzad 0 4 of 16 25% 7 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ketlen Vieira 0 7 of 13 53% 25 of 34 1 of 1 100% 2 0 4:18
Pannie Kianzad 0 4 of 9 44% 15 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ketlen Vieira 0 3 of 5 60% 17 of 29 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:38
Pannie Kianzad 0 14 of 26 53% 70 of 104 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ketlen Vieira 15 of 33 45% 13 of 31 1 of 1 1 of 1 8 of 25 1 of 2 6 of 6
Pannie Kianzad 22 of 51 43% 17 of 45 3 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 30 0 of 0 12 of 21
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ketlen Vieira 5 of 15 33% 4 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 1
Pannie Kianzad 4 of 16 25% 2 of 13 1 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ketlen Vieira 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 3 of 3
Pannie Kianzad 4 of 9 44% 3 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ketlen Vieira 3 of 5 60% 2 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 2
Pannie Kianzad 14 of 26 53% 12 of 24 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 12 of 21
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Pannie Kianzad vs. Ketlen Vieira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Vieira (-150), Kianzad (+130)

Round 1
The fight with arguably the greatest title implications tonight is buried in the middle of the prelims, as the women’s bantamweight division is still championless and the perceived “uncrowned queen” of Holly Holm was knocked down a peg last week. Both women on the outside of the UFC’s top five looking in, Vieira (13-3, 7-3 UFC) and Kianzad (16-6, 5-3 UFC) will engage in a crucial contest at 135 pounds. With neither woman sporting a stoppage rate over 50%, referee Jason Herzog could be in it for the long haul here. Vieira offers a glove touch, but Kianzad wants nothing to do with it. Instead, Kianzad races forward pushing out straight punches down the middle. Vieira dodges back and reaches out with a heavy right hand, and Kianzad is out of the way in time. Vieira sticks out a jab, and Kianzad catches her with a left hand and a right over the top. Kianzad pokes out a jab, and she follows with a left hook that bounces off the guard. Vieira shoots in for a low single-leg takedown, and she lifts Kianzad’s leg up and throws her down to land right in side control. Kianzad recovers to half guard when Vieira sets up an arm-triangle choke, and the Brazilian still has her left arm hooked around the head of her opponent. Vieira looks to isolate Kianzad’s left arm for a potential armlock, and Kianzad turns to her side to stop it from coming together. Vieira powers her back over with shoulder pressure, smothering “Banzai” and returning her flat to her back. Kianzad gets back to a guard and she sets up butterfly hooks to push off, and this allows Vieira to punch her square in the face. Kianzad responds with a few strikes off her back, but the ones she absorbs from “Fenomeno” are far heavier. Kianzad looks to push off the midsection, but Vieira stays heavy as a ton of bricks and steps into the half guard. Vieira controls her adversary and presses her shoulder into Kianzad’s face and neck, and frustrating the Swede. Vieira grabs hold of the left arm and isolates it to grip for a kimura, and Kianzad protects herself by putting it under her back. As Vieira shifts to north-south position, the bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vieira

Round 2
The ladies meet in the middle of the cage, and Kianzad leads off with a looping left hook. Vieira blocks it and replies in kind, and the strike from the Brazilian glances off the raised guard. When Kianzad kicks low, Vieira gives her three punches over the top. Kianzad steps in to punch, and Vieira snatches up the lead leg and easily throws Kianzad to the canvas. Vieira goes right to half guard, and a desperate Kianzad is able to pull her into her guard and closes it up. Kianzad times a moment in transition to push her foot off Vieira’s body, but Vieira is able to casually shift back over the half guard. Vieira starts hunting for a kimura, and Kianzad defends it but starts taking heavy body shots. Vieira gloms onto her, and she hops into full mount and quickly locks down an arm-triangle choke. Vieira squeezes with her full body weight, and Kianzad defends it with her left arm between the grip of her opponent and her own neck. Kianzad turns the proper way to protect her neck, and Vieira abandons the submission. Kianzad explodes to her side, and she attempts to turn over and get to her knees so she can get back up. Vieira bowls her over and puts her on her back again. With 30 seconds remaining, Vieira tries to lock down an arm-triangle choke on the other side, but Kianzad is wise to it and is not in submission danger. The round ends with Vieira on top.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vieira

Round 3
A fire seemingly lit under her backside, Kianzad springs right into action, rushing at Vieira with punches in bunches. When Kianzad overextends on a left hook, Vieira smartly changes levels, coming up with a clean double-leg takedown to put Kianzad on her back 15 seconds into the final frame. Kianzad does everything she can to scoot her way to the wall, and this gives up her back in the process. Vieira leans with her back against the fencing, holding onto Kianzad from behind and sliding her hooks in. The leverage for any submission is not there, until she turns to lower herself to the floor. Vieira sets up a rear-naked choke, and Kianzad hand-fights to save herself from getting tapped. When Kianzad thwarts the choke, Vieira locks up a body triangle to further make Kianzad’s life miserable. Kianzad is able to defend from the choke setups, and she grits her teeth and spins around to secure top position with about two minutes left in the fight. Kianzad opens up with punches when she winds up on top, and Vieira clings to her to shut down the offense. Kianzad frees herself and stands up, and she jumps down to nail Vieira with a diving right hand. As Kianzad does damage from the guard, the commentary team starts discussing people walking their cats in strollers. All the while, Kianzad is doing anything she can to hunt for a finish, flailing with punches and hammerfists. Vieira pushes off with the ball of her foot, and she smacks Kianzad in the face with one illegally. Herzog checks on Kianzad, who says she is fine and wants to keep going. Kianzad rains down punches to any target, marking up Vieira’s right eye, and swinging frantically. Vieira throws her legs up high for a triangle choke, and she simultaneously grips an armbar, and the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (30-27 Vieira)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (30-27 Vieira)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (30-27 Vieira)

The Official Result
Ketlen Vieira def. Pannie Kianzad via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Angelo favors Pannie Kianzad's footwork, speed, athleticism, and jab over Ketlen Vieira's size and strength. He notes Vieira's recent performances have been spotty and that her lack of speed could be exploited. He also likes the over 2.5 rounds and a plus 3.5 betting line on Kianzad.

over 2.5 rounds likely a lock; plus 3.5 on Pannie Kianzad (buying points)
"the pick is going to be Pawnee I like the footwork I like the speed I like the athleticism I like the jab"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Big Brady picks Pannie Kianzad by decision, but says he doesn't care about the fight and won't bet it. He likes Kianzad's volume striking and believes she can keep the fight standing with 80% takedown defense. He notes Vieira lands harder shots but Kianzad will outwork her. He is concerned if Vieira gets takedowns.

by decision
"give me Kanza to win this fight give me to Win It by decision but I will not be putting a dollar on this matchup"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

Cody picks Vieira, noting her superior competition and grappling advantage. He thinks she will use clinch and takedowns to control Kianzad. He acknowledges it could be a close decision but sees value at -140.

"minus 140 seems pretty fair for for Viera"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

Daniel slightly leans toward Ketlen Vieira, noting she has historically been on a higher level and is stronger in the clinch with better top control. However, he thinks she hasn't looked the same since her injury and surgery after the Zingano fight. He acknowledges Pannie Kianzad has better hands and durability, and expects a closely contested fight that could go either way. He is not surprised if Kianzad wins a split decision.

Daniel says 'I slightly lean with Catlin' but does not bet. He mentions the line: Vieira -140, Kianzad +120.
"I slightly lean with Catlin I've always viewed her kind of on a higher level"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

The host picks Ketlen Vieira, believing her damaging strikes will outweigh Kianzad's volume. He notes Vieira's power and ability to hurt opponents, while Kianzad struggles against higher competition and takes damage poorly. He expects Vieira to storm back and win by decision.

"I think Catelyn storms back here and picks up a victory gets back into the win column"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

Paul picks Vieira, citing her size, strength, and grappling. He notes Kianzad struggles in the clinch and has been knocked down. He thinks Vieira's boxing improvements will help, but expects a close decision.

"the pick would be ketling there for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

The MMA Guru leans towards Ketlen Vieira, calling it a coin flip but favoring her based on level of competition. He notes that Amanda Nunes' retirement may motivate contenders. He dismisses Pannie Kianzad's win over Lina Länsberg and criticizes her performance against Alexis Davis. The Guru believes Vieira's size, strength, and reach advantage will lead to a 29-28 split decision win.

"I am gonna lean towards Caitlin Vieira just based on level of competition that she's been fighting recently"
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · Jan 14, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Raquel Pennington 0 64 of 152 42% 138 of 230 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:45
Ketlen Vieira 0 81 of 159 50% 104 of 184 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Raquel Pennington 0 23 of 71 32% 29 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Ketlen Vieira 0 27 of 58 46% 27 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Raquel Pennington 0 21 of 51 41% 42 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:28
Ketlen Vieira 0 29 of 61 47% 32 of 64 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:37
3 Raquel Pennington 0 20 of 30 66% 67 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:04
Ketlen Vieira 0 25 of 40 62% 45 of 62 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Raquel Pennington 64 of 152 42% 41 of 122 5 of 10 18 of 20 56 of 143 8 of 9 0 of 0
Ketlen Vieira 81 of 159 50% 37 of 111 32 of 35 12 of 13 59 of 134 22 of 25 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Raquel Pennington 23 of 71 32% 15 of 58 3 of 7 5 of 6 21 of 69 2 of 2 0 of 0
Ketlen Vieira 27 of 58 46% 14 of 44 9 of 9 4 of 5 24 of 54 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Raquel Pennington 21 of 51 41% 10 of 39 2 of 3 9 of 9 19 of 48 2 of 3 0 of 0
Ketlen Vieira 29 of 61 47% 14 of 43 11 of 14 4 of 4 21 of 51 8 of 10 0 of 0
3 Raquel Pennington 20 of 30 66% 16 of 25 0 of 0 4 of 5 16 of 26 4 of 4 0 of 0
Ketlen Vieira 25 of 40 62% 9 of 24 12 of 12 4 of 4 14 of 29 11 of 11 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Raquel Pennington vs. Ketlen Vieira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Vieira (-115), Pennington (-105)

Round 1
In terms of pure rankings, no fight on the billing is more relevant than this fight that is not on the marquee. This women’s bantamweight pairing, one pitting the second-ranked Vieira (13-2, 7-2 UFC) against the no. 5 Pennington (14-8, 11-5 UFC), could have immediate title implications depending on how it plays out. One woman will take her first defeat in quite some time, and referee Chris Tognoni will be the first to know who that is. The ladies sportingly clap hands ahead of their important fight, and they are jittery and not ready to engage. At the 20-second mark, Pennington leaps forward with a superwoman punch, and Vieira backs her off with a solid right hand in response. Vieira walks through a low kick on the inside and a jab to the body so that she can swing a swatting left hook, but this misses the mark. The Brazilian whiffs on a big right as well, prompting Pennington to charge in with a stream of jabs. Vieira parries two looping strikes to catch “Rocky” with a short right hand on the way in. Pennington appears no worse for wear as she goes for another kick on the inside of the knee, and she ducks back when a big left hook whizzes past her face. Vieira grabs a charging Pennington to knee her right in the chest, and she sends her backpedaling with a clean right hand across the bow. Pennington slams her shin on the low calf of her opponent, and she fakes a second to draw an exaggerated reaction out of the Brazilian. Vieira snipes with a left hand to open a cut on the top of Pennington’s forehead, and she chains together a combination of punches and a low kick to keep Pennington guessing. Vieira absorbs a kick to the ribs as she closes the distance, and she reaches her foe with a left hook in a short salvo. Vieira paws out a trio of low kicks before lunging with a straight punch to the body, and Pennington answers with a similar punch before swinging a left hand at her. Vieira lands at the end of her left hook, and another superwoman punch from Pennington allows her to close the distance and tie the Brazilian up to the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Keith Shillan scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Vieira

Round 2
The bantamweight contenders touch hands before re-engaging, and engage they do almost immediately, when Pennington coming out firing. Vieira answers with a counter left hook, as she measures this strike to draw ever closer to the mark. Vieira takes one on the chin to throw back two, and she has a handful of punches ricochet off the guard. Pennington connects with a heavy one-two, and Vieira blinks it out but cannot keep an advancing Pennington off of her. “Rocky” grabs hold of Vieira from behind, where she considers elevating the Brazilian to drop her on the mat, or otherwise force Vieira to carry her body weight. Vieira gets warned for bragging the fence, and she turns back around in the clinch and belts Pennington in the face with a stern elbow. Vieira opens up with a one-two, and she starts slugging it out with her opponent and gets marked up as well. The right side of Pennington’s face is growingly covered in blood, while Vieira’s mouth is also turning a brilliant shade of scarlet. Vieira spins Pennington around, and a knee from the former title challenger slams square into Vieira’s groin. Tognoni recognizes the foul as Vieira appears in clear pain, and the action is paused for about 45 seconds until they get back to it. Pennington starts off the initial aggressor, slinging a high kick and a few lancing punches while Vieira throws back in volume. Vieira gets off with a right hand, and Pennington replies in kind to snap the head back. Pennington nails her with another right over the top before latching on to the clinch and clubbing the body with a pair of knees. Pennington checks the clock when pinned to the fence – it reads about 58 seconds – and she tries with all her might to break off. When she cannot get out of the clinch, she settles for knee after unanswered knee to the chest and midsection. Vieira is sticking to her tightly without striking back, and Pennington remains the busier of the two with body shots. Vieira slithers around to the back with seconds to spare, and there is nothing to be had before the bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pennington
Keith Shillan scores the round: 10-9 Pennington
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Pennington

Round 3
The ladies double touch hands, hug and then bump fists again to start the last round. They immediately go for broke, with Pennington not wasting any time engaging and throwing hands. Pennington cracks Vieira with a superwoman punch, and Vieira answers with several speedy punches in response. The two close the distance and end up tied up, with Vieira pushing the former title challenger against the wall. Pennington grinds her elbow on the chin as Vieira stays close enough to not take many knees as she did the end of the last round. When Pennington sets up a Thai plum, Vieira disengages. Vieira resets and dings Pennington with a right hand, stringing together a few strikes before Pennington closes in to grab hold of her. They trade short single punches up close, and both try to attempt a throw or toss to change position. When neither succeed, Vieira spins her around in the tie-up, and Pennington looks for a Thai clinch again. This time, Pennington is able to score a knee before they separate, and Vieira leaps forward suddenly with a crushing elbow. Pennington takes it cleanly and tries to escape, so Vieira follows her and nails her with another before snagging here again up close. Vieira targets elbows, and Pennington rips the body with a knee. When in the clinch, Vieira slips around to nearly take the back, and she knees the thigh while Pennington punches her from over her own shoulder. Vieira looks to elevate Pennington, but she cannot throw her as Pennington’s base is too solid. Vieira stays clung to her adversary right to the bitter end, and the judges have their hands full with this one.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (29-28 Vieira)
Keith Shillan scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (29-28 Vieira)
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (29-28 Vieira)

The Official Result
Raquel Pennington def. Ketlen Vieira via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

Angelo picks Vieira, citing her size, power, and Judo. He thinks she will be busier in the clinch and work off the cage, making Pennington look boring. He acknowledges Pennington's toughness but believes Vieira's recent win over Holly Holm and physical advantages will secure a decision. He is willing to bet on her.

"I like Caitlin to win this fight I think minus 117 I actually think that's good money on her"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jan 9, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

Big Brady picks Ketlen Vieira but is not confident, calling it his least favorite fight on the card. He sees Vieira having a grappling advantage if she gets on top, but notes she often does nothing with control time, as seen in fights against Yana Kunitskaya and Holly Holm. He also acknowledges Pennington's clinch work and ability to push Vieira against the cage. He predicts a close, ugly decision that judges might get wrong, and he will not bet on the fight.

Not betting on this fight; Vieira by decision
"I'm gonna stick with with Vera though I don't love it I will not be betting on this fight but I will pick Viera to win"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Raquel Pennington

Cody leans slightly towards Pennington, noting her striking output against Aspen Ladd and potential bulldog choke. He sees it as a close fight and prefers to bet it live after seeing who is stronger in the clinch.

"I'll lean ever so slightly to Rocky Pennington... but uh no way I'm getting money invested in it early"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

Connor picks Vieira because she is physically stronger and more powerful, and has a wrestling advantage that can neutralize Pennington's boxing. He notes that Pennington often gets taken down at least once per fight, and Vieira's clinch work and top control can sway judges. Connor also mentions that Vieira showed renewed confidence against Holly Holm, throwing off her back foot and in clinches.

Odds: Vieira opened -145, jumped to -105, currently -123. Pennington opened +125, jumped to -112, currently +101. Connor expects a split decision either way.
"I'm going to pick her here. ... Vieira is more she's more powerful. She's she's the bigger hitter and at least the little bit of confidence renewed confidence. She showed against home to at least throw off her back foot …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

Connor also picks Vieira, agreeing that she has improved and has more options. He notes that Pennington has power and patience, which could create opportunities, but Vieira's grappling and overall game should prevail. Connor mentions that Pennington has made herself interesting but Vieira is the better fighter.

"I'm gonna take you banks as well but uh yeah I you know it I would I will be interested to see if if cash aware I can win a fight like this"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jan 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Raquel Pennington

Jacob picks Pennington, calling Vieira overrated and Pennington underrated. He argues Pennington's recent wins are more impressive and she is the better overall fighter. He notes Vieira's split decision losses and that Pennington's clinch control and striking looked sharp. He is confident enough to bet $100 against Angelo.

Bet $100 with Angelo
"I'll pick Rocky in this fight I think she's the better fighter"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

Paul leans towards Vieira, citing her size and recent five-round experience. He expects a clinch-heavy fight and thinks Vieira may get the better of it, but admits he has low confidence and sees it as a pass or live-bet situation.

"the official pick will be Kellen Vieira but it's like you know there's Fighters that you can trust... I couldn't tell you"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Raquel Pennington

Zane picks Pennington because she has steadily improved her boxing and showed excellent counter-punching against Aspen Ladd. He notes that Pennington is a solid defensive wrestler who doesn't give up much even when taken down, and that she makes good decisions as the fight goes on. Zane also points out that Vieira's striking has become overly cautious since her knockout loss, relying on clinch work rather than developing her forward striking.

Odds: Vieira opened -145, jumped to -105, currently -123. Pennington opened +125, jumped to -112, currently +101. Zane expects a close fight and thinks Pennington's technical acumen could earn her a decision.
"I'm going to take Pennington though. ... Pennington is just she is a very solid defensive wrestling grappler even when she gets surprised by somebody's strength or you know gets put in a bad position. She doesn't give a lot …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

Zane picks Vieira, noting that she has shown improvements in tactical depth and technique over her last few fights. He believes she has too many options and has gotten better at connecting phases of her game, defense, and counterpunching. However, he worries about her last fight against Melissa Gatto where she couldn't finish and got reversed. He still thinks she should be a lock to win.

Odds mentioned: Vieira opened at -160, currently -248; Pennington opened at +140, currently +200.
"I'm gonna take you banks as well but uh yeah I you know it I would I will be interested to see if if cash aware I can win a fight like this"
WIN vs Holly Holm
Decision (split) (47–48, 48–47, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · May 21, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ketlen Vieira 0 96 of 157 61% 188 of 263 0 of 6 0% 0 0 10:03
Holly Holm 0 85 of 151 56% 122 of 190 1 of 7 14% 1 0 1:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ketlen Vieira 0 6 of 9 66% 33 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:36
Holly Holm 0 19 of 22 86% 40 of 45 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:19
2 Ketlen Vieira 0 14 of 21 66% 33 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:46
Holly Holm 0 10 of 22 45% 17 of 29 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:56
3 Ketlen Vieira 0 18 of 30 60% 42 of 56 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:50
Holly Holm 0 23 of 37 62% 27 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
4 Ketlen Vieira 0 37 of 68 54% 37 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Holly Holm 0 23 of 51 45% 23 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
5 Ketlen Vieira 0 21 of 29 72% 43 of 54 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:42
Holly Holm 0 10 of 19 52% 15 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ketlen Vieira 96 of 157 61% 26 of 79 34 of 40 36 of 38 76 of 133 20 of 24 0 of 0
Holly Holm 85 of 151 56% 49 of 109 29 of 34 7 of 8 49 of 110 32 of 37 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ketlen Vieira 6 of 9 66% 2 of 4 0 of 1 4 of 4 3 of 5 3 of 4 0 of 0
Holly Holm 19 of 22 86% 3 of 5 14 of 15 2 of 2 3 of 6 14 of 14 2 of 2
2 Ketlen Vieira 14 of 21 66% 6 of 13 2 of 2 6 of 6 8 of 15 6 of 6 0 of 0
Holly Holm 10 of 22 45% 7 of 15 2 of 5 1 of 2 6 of 15 2 of 5 2 of 2
3 Ketlen Vieira 18 of 30 60% 4 of 13 9 of 11 5 of 6 13 of 25 5 of 5 0 of 0
Holly Holm 23 of 37 62% 11 of 25 11 of 11 1 of 1 13 of 26 10 of 11 0 of 0
4 Ketlen Vieira 37 of 68 54% 5 of 33 16 of 18 16 of 17 36 of 66 1 of 2 0 of 0
Holly Holm 23 of 51 45% 19 of 46 2 of 3 2 of 2 20 of 47 3 of 4 0 of 0
5 Ketlen Vieira 21 of 29 72% 9 of 16 7 of 8 5 of 5 16 of 22 5 of 7 0 of 0
Holly Holm 10 of 19 52% 9 of 18 0 of 0 1 of 1 7 of 16 3 of 3 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Holly Holm vs. Ketlen Vieira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Holm (-240), Vieira (+195)

Round 1
Jason Herzog will oversee the evening’s bantamweight headliner. After having multiple fights fall through, Holm makes her first appearance since a dominant win over Irene Aldana in October 2020. Vieira, meanwhile, will attempt to add another notable name to her ledger after besting ex-champ Miesha Tate this past November. Holm opens up with an outside leg kick and Vieira answers with a heavy inside leg kick. Holm with a side kick to the knee of her opponent. Vieira closes distance and shoves Holm into the fence. The Jackson-Wink product quickly reverses position. Vieira attempts to execute a throw and then lands a few punches as Holm scrambles up. They remain in the clinch, with Holm in control, pushing Vieira into the fence. Holm with a few short punches to the head. Holm defends a trip and lands a few punches. Holm is controlling the clinch and appears to be the stronger fighter, but there’s not a ton of action in this position. They trade knees and Holm drops for a single leg. Holm gives up on it and continues to grind away against the fence. Holm lands a few knees to the thigh of Vieira, who responds with knees of her own to the midsection. Holm defends another throw and the round ends in the clinch.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Holm
Keith Shillan scores the round: 10-9 Holm
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Holm

Round 2
Holm begins with an outside leg kick. Vieira just misses the mark on a head kick. The Brazilian moves forward and fires off a straight right. Vieira closes the distance behind a combination, but Holm circles out. Another leg kick for Holm. Holm with a leg kick yet again, and she moves away from Vieira’s counter. Holm punches her way into the clinch and Vieira executes a nice hip toss. Holm immediately slides to the fence and posts an arm before standing. Vieira shoves Holm into the cage, but “The Preacher’s Daughter” turns off the cage and separates. Holm with a standing side kick to the head. Holm gets in on a single leg. Vieira hops on one leg while attacking a guillotine. Holm clings to the leg and atttempts to drag Viera to the mat. She leaves her neck exposed and Vieira briefly has a really tight standing rear-naked choke. Somehow Holm, with her face red and eyes bulging, turns out of it and shoves Vieira into the cage. Holm fires off a hard elbow from the clinch. Another elbow for Holm with time winding down. The round ends with Holm controlling position against the fence.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Keith Shillan scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tudor Leonte scores the round:10-9 Vieira

Round 3
Holm goes back to the outside leg kick and Vieira answers with an inside low kick. Holm with a punching flurry, but Vieira counters her. Moments later, a front kick to the face from Vieira appears to catch Holm, who keeps her bearings and turns her foe into the cage. Holm is content to grind away from the clinch, but Vieira breaks free. Holm with an outside leg kick followed by a side kick to the midsection. Holm goes with a high kick, but Vieira blocks it. A right hand from Vieira lands flush, so Holm punches her way into the clinch. Vieira does a good job landing a few knees up the middle with her back to the cage. Holm continues to control head positioning with an underhook while occasionally flurrying with left hands. Holm with more short left hands to the head, and Vieira breaks free and lands a solid right hand. Holm lands a standing side kick but Vieira marches forward and sticks a stiff right nad to the chin. Holm ends the frame with a few knees in close quarters.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Keith Shillan scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Vieira

Round 4
Holm moves forward behind a combination, but Vieira answers with a clean right hand. Holm attempts to close the distance, but she’s stung by a right nand from Vieira. A front kick to the face lands for Holm but Vieira eats it without issue. Holm rushes forward but Vieira counters with the more significant punches. Vieira tags Holm with a combination. They briefly clinch and Vieira sticks another right. Holm’s blitzes aren’t effectively, but a standing side kick puts Vieira on her seat and Holm follows with a body kick when she stands. Another Vieira right hand catches Holm coming in. Holm forces the clinch but eats an uppercut in the process. Vieira is able to separate and circle away. A straight right snaps Holm’s head back. It’s another close round, but Vieira counters effectively with a punching combination yet again as Holm wades forward. Holm continues to throw a variety of kicks, but the punching exchanges are going Vieira’s way. Holm with another furious flurry before the bantamweights clinch at the end of the round.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Holm
Keith Shillan scores the round: 10-9 Holm
Tudor Leonte scores the round:10-9 Holm

Round 5
The combatants hug to start the round. Vieira gets Holm’s attention with a head kick. They clinch, and Vieira breaks with a spinning elbow. Holm with a big left hand into the clinch. Vieira breaks free and Holm attacks with a front kick to the body. Holm forces the clinch again and the fighters stall before they reach the fence. Holm lands a short elbow on the break. Vieira counters a kick with a solid right hand. Holm forces the clinch and shoves Vieira into the cage, where she lands a knee. Vieira separates, but Holm lands a pair of nice front kicks to the face. A glancing head kick also finds the mark for Holm. Vieira counters an onrushing Holm with an uppercut. Holm changes levels and grabs a single leg. She shoves Vieira into the fence with less than 2:00 to go. Holm lets go of the leg but maintains the underhook. A short right hook lands for Holm on the break. Holm with a kick to the body and they clinch again. Holm shoves Vieira back into the fence. On the break, Holm with a flurry of punches. Holm stuffs an ensuing takedown from Vieira, turns her foe into the fence and lands several short punches. Holm drops for a takedown, can't get it and then lands some punches to the thigh before the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Holm (48-47 Holm)
Keith Shillan scores the round: 10-9 Holm (48-47 Holm)
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Holm (48-47 Holm)

The Official Result
Ketlen Vieira def. Holly Holm via Split Decision (47-48, 48-47, 48-47) R3 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 15, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Holly Holm

Angelo picks Holly Holm because she can turn the fight into a kickboxing match and has excellent takedown defense. He notes that Vieira's charging forward plays into Holm's counter-striking. He doesn't factor in the layoff because Holm has never been an active fighter. He expects a decision win for Holm and suggests a prop bet on Holm by decision.

Holly Holm by decision
"holly holm by decision is probably the best bet in this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Holly Holm

Big Brady picks Holly Holm to win by decision, citing her superior striking, cardio, and competition level. He notes Vieira has a grappling advantage but doubts she can out-grapple Holm for five rounds. His only concern is Holm's age (40) and 19-month layoff, but he believes if she looks like she did against Irene Aldana, she should cruise. He sees no path to victory for Vieira unless Holm is old.

"i like holly holm to win i like calling him to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Holly Holm

Cody believes Holly Holm's striking volume, improved wrestling, and five-round experience will be too much for Ketlen Vieira. He notes Holm's lateral mobility and speed, and that Vieira has been outstruck in most of her UFC fights. He is confident Holm wins but finds the -240 moneyline a bit steep, preferring to bet Holm by decision or late-round finishes.

Holm round 4 (+2500), Holm round 5 (+3000), Holm by decision
"i'm willing to pay if i need to but i'd like to improve it and whereas normally i would just hammer up this holly holm by decision i almost do get that bad impression as you mentioned that home could …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked May 21, 2022 (fight day)

The host discusses the main event but does not make a clear pick. He mentions Holly Holm's age and questions whether she can still compete at 40, but does not state a preference. He also notes that the fight could go to decision and includes it in a totals parlay (over 4.5 rounds), but does not pick a winner.

over 4.5 rounds (part of totals parlay)
"home vieta over four and a half"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Holly Holm

Paul likes Holly Holm to win but is hesitant due to the -240 price and Holm's age (40). He notes Holm's striking and improved wrestling, but says he doesn't love the moneyline. He is interested in sprinkling on Holm round 4 (+2500) and round 5 (+3000) if Vieira shows up like she did against Yana Kunitskaya, as Holm could finish her late.

Holm round 4 (+2500), Holm round 5 (+3000)
"i like holly holm to win -240 scares me a little bit off she obviously she's 40 years old um but like i mean she's still in damn good shape for her age the volume is always there obviously she's …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Holly Holm

The MMA Guru picks Holly Holm, citing her superior striking, conditioning, and athleticism. He thinks Ketlen Vieira lacks KO power and will struggle to get the fight to the ground. He predicts Holm will lose the first round but win the next four via decision.

"i'm going to go with holly holm i'm going to go decision win"
WIN vs Miesha Tate
Decision (unanimous) (48–47, 48–47, 49–46) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · Nov 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ketlen Vieira 0 113 of 263 42% 156 of 313 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Miesha Tate 0 122 of 276 44% 145 of 302 1 of 6 16% 0 0 2:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ketlen Vieira 0 14 of 38 36% 18 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Miesha Tate 0 13 of 38 34% 16 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:52
2 Ketlen Vieira 0 29 of 54 53% 29 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Miesha Tate 0 21 of 54 38% 21 of 54 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Ketlen Vieira 0 20 of 55 36% 28 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Miesha Tate 0 24 of 57 42% 26 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:26
4 Ketlen Vieira 0 20 of 43 46% 50 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Miesha Tate 0 31 of 54 57% 44 of 70 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:34
5 Ketlen Vieira 0 30 of 73 41% 31 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Miesha Tate 0 33 of 73 45% 38 of 78 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ketlen Vieira 113 of 263 42% 95 of 243 14 of 16 4 of 4 105 of 254 8 of 9 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 122 of 276 44% 52 of 175 60 of 88 10 of 13 110 of 260 12 of 16 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ketlen Vieira 14 of 38 36% 12 of 36 1 of 1 1 of 1 13 of 36 1 of 2 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 13 of 38 34% 8 of 24 4 of 11 1 of 3 13 of 37 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Ketlen Vieira 29 of 54 53% 24 of 48 2 of 3 3 of 3 29 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 21 of 54 38% 14 of 42 6 of 10 1 of 2 21 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ketlen Vieira 20 of 55 36% 18 of 52 2 of 3 0 of 0 20 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 24 of 57 42% 4 of 28 15 of 24 5 of 5 21 of 54 3 of 3 0 of 0
4 Ketlen Vieira 20 of 43 46% 16 of 39 4 of 4 0 of 0 15 of 38 5 of 5 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 31 of 54 57% 8 of 27 21 of 25 2 of 2 24 of 45 7 of 9 0 of 0
5 Ketlen Vieira 30 of 73 41% 25 of 68 5 of 5 0 of 0 28 of 71 2 of 2 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 33 of 73 45% 18 of 54 14 of 18 1 of 1 31 of 70 2 of 3 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ketlen Vieira vs. Miesha Tate

Round 1
At long last, we have reached the main event. It’s been a journey tonight. Vieira (11-2, 5-2 UFC) will try to get back in the win column against former champ Tate (19-7, 6-4 UFC). The cage commander for this final fight of the night is referee Jason Herzog, and both with an eye on a crack at the bantamweight belt in the future touch hands to start things out. Vieira captures the center of the cage in the early going, but they keep a very safe range from the other to not land punches or kicks. They take turns following the other, until Vieira sits down with a right hand to smack Tate in the face. Tate tries to jab the body a few times, and Vieira is there to pop her with a left hand over the top. Tate swings, misses, and gets countered by the Brazilian. Vieira sticks out a crisp jab, and her range is giving Tate pause at how to get in on her. When Tate jumps forward into a one-two, Vieira swats it out of the way and dances back when Tate aims a kick at her leg. Tate appears jittery as she hops back and forth to try to get in on Vieira, throwing a single front kick to the body. Vieira tags Tate with a right hand when Tate closes in on her, and the former champ lands a pair of successful punches. Caught celebrating her work a little too long, Vieira counters her with heavier blows before Tate can escape. The distance between the two is vast, and Tate resorts to staggering and stutter-stepping her way in. Tate chases Vieira down and slugs her in the face with a combination, and when Vieira tries to answer her with strikes of her own, Tate ties her up and presses her into the wall. Although Vieira separates, Tate knees her once to the body. Tate ducks a punch combination to push Vieira back into the wire, and like before, Vieira is able to separate without issue. From a distance, Vieira shoots in for a takedown, and Tate is able to stop it from succeeding. They end the round in an awkward position with Tate’s hand on her foe’s backside.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tate
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Tate
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Tate

Round 2
A tense exchange begins the second round, and Vieira lands cleanly on Tate’s left eye, forcing some reddening and immediate swelling. Tate pays it no mind as she kicks Vieira in the head, but it is only a glancing blow as the Brazilian rolls with it. Tate keeps reaching out to try to get in on her opponent, and she eats a Vieira punch so that she can score a solid right hand. The former champ plants the fall of her foot on Vieira’s torso, interrupting Vieira from landing a strike. Tate winds up with a stiff right hand, nailing Vieira and forcing her to reel. In response, Vieira scores a left hand down the pipe. Vieira chops at the leg, and they both start trading heavy leather in front of one another. Tate lands, and Vieira is stuck countering instead of leading the exchanges. This allows Tate to land on her first before replying. Tate connects with a big kick to Vieira’s face, and she sees that it has done some damage as she follows it with a chain of punches. Tate strings together a few one-twos, and Vieira shakes it off and lands her own thudding left hook on the side of Tate’s head. The woman formerly known as “Takedown” attempts one in the open cage, and Vieira stuffs it without issue. She tries again, and Vieira stops that one as well and separates. Tate walks Vieira down with kicks and punches, while not appearing too worried about the single counters that come back at her. Tate scores with a pair of clean right hands, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tate
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Tate

Round 3
Tate comes out firing to start off the second round, surprising the Brazilian early with a short blitz of blows. Backing away before the counters follow suit, Tate changes things up with an inside leg kick and then one on the outside. Vieira leans into a left hand, and after a lull in the action, Tate reaches out with a left hand to stop a punch and she pokes Vieira square in the eyeball. Herzog acknowledges this and brings in the doctor, and after a minute to clear things out, Vieira is ready to go again. Tate wants to capitalize on this accident by chasing Vieira down with jabs and follow-up right hands. Tate keeps a low stance, and she punches the body while Vieira is sitting firmly on counters. Tate punches, slips the response and jabs out again. Tate gives chase, and a big right hand gets caught under Vieira’s armpit. Tate lands a right, tries to clinch up and eats a short right hand for her effort. Tate goes up high with a kick, and when it collides off of Vieira’s guard, Vieira aims a right hand down the middle. Tate advances, and Vieira swings a pair of looping hooks to keep Tate honest. The former champ lands a single strike, while Vieira’s prepared counter of an uppercut and a right hand knocks Tate back. The Brazilian lands cleanly in another exchange, forcing Tate to change levels and pursue a takedown. Vieira defends it well and separates without going down to her knees. When Vieira gets up, Tate meets her outstretched leg with a kick, and Vieira lances her with a right hand in a sharp retort. Tate rushes forward to clinch her up to end the round, and she holds on to the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Tate
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vieira

Round 4
They meet and touch gloves in the center of the cage to initiate the championship rounds. Tate starts off aggressively, chasing her opponent down and landing punches. Tate clubs her opponent with a crisp right hand, and she escapes when Vieira sets up a counter. The Brazilian lands a few punches from a distance, and they trade heavily suddenly. Tate mixes things up with a takedown attempt, and she finally hits it and gets Vieira down. As “Fenomeno” stands up, Tate takes her back and looks to hit a mat return by tripping Vieira down. Clinched up, Tate gives up on the takedown entry so that she can land short strikes to the body and head. Staying tight keeps Tate away from eating any counters, and she presses her full body weight on her opponent that had never before fought beyond the third round. Vieira grits her teeth and pushes Tate away, and she starts lunging out with jabs. Tate marks her up with a big punch, and Vieira blasts her right back. Both women wear it well, and Tate kicks Vieira in the body from afar. Tate lands a few punches before coming in to clinch, and she knees Vieira in the body once. Vieira gives several punches back to the midsection, until Tate has had enough of that and pushes away. A Tate leg kick is met with a straight left hand, and Vieira catches Tate coming in with a string of punches. Vieira loads up on a right hand, and she elbows Tate when Tate tries to clinch. Vieira welcomes the clinch again in the open cage, as she repeatedly punches Tate in the side as she did before. Tate holds on tight with a clinch, and she releases a knee to the head. Another knee scores for the former champ, who ends the round in the Thai clinch.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Tate

Round 5
The bantamweights touch hands and then come in to hug to commence the last round. Vieira lets her hands go when they start fighting, and she connects cleanly with power punches as Tate looks to be safe. They come together in a clinch, and Tate works the body before Vieira separates. Vieira tags her opponent with an uppercut and a left hand, and Tate is forced to back off and gather her thoughts. When she does, the ex-champ kicks the body and then tries to get a knee off to the chest. Tate kicks the body, but Vieira is there to bang with her as she starts throwing hard. As Tate backs off, Vieira leans on a long jab, and she busts Tate’s nose open with a powerful knee and a few punches up top. Tate misses on one-twos as Vieira appears to be the fresher, more composed woman right now. Tate springs back and forth, jabbing out but not throwing nearly as much as she did before the nose got cracked. Tate sneaks a right hand over the top, but Vieira throws three back at her that are much heavier. They trade single jabs, and Tate steps forward into a one-two that knocks Vieira back. Vieira returns fire with jabs that continue to pound into Tate’s bloodied nose, and the former champion’s face has transformed into a crimson mask. Hardly recognizable, Tate does not care, as she continues to swing punches while Vieira is tight and crisp with her boxing. The jabs have shut Tate’s left eye as well as making her nose bleed furiously, and Tate marches on and kicks her in the side. Tate continues to pour it on as Vieira stays on her bicycle, successfully scoring with laser-accurate strikes that barely register for Tate. The fight comes to an end after 25 minutes of action, and it could be anyone’s guess who wins this fight based on how close most of the rounds were. UFC Fight Night 198, and a consecutive weekend stretch of 10 UFC cards, comes to an end with an event that brought 10 decisions in 11 bouts. We all could use a week off, and we will have it. When the UFC returns in December, it will be on ESPN for U.S. audiences with a barnburner of a main event between Rob Font and Jose Aldo. We will be here for it, and we hope you are too.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (48-47 Vieira)
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (48-47 Vieira)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (48-47 Tate)

The Official Result
Ketlen Vieira def. Miesha Tate via Unanimous Decision (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

Angelo picks Ketlen Vieira, citing her power, size, and solid takedown defense (92%). He notes Miesha Tate's striking is poor and she relies on takedowns, but Vieira has stuffed takedowns from Olympic wrestler Sarah McMahon. He expects Vieira to win by decision or late stoppage, and placed a moneyline bet at even money (+100). He also mentions live betting opportunities.

Moneyline bet at +100, 1 unit; DraftKings price 7900; monkey knife fight more/more; mentions live betting if Tate has takedown success early
"caitlyn is the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Miesha Tate

Big Brady picks Miesha Tate to win by late finish (4th or 5th round). He notes that Ketlen Vieira has never fought five rounds and tends to slow down in the third round, as seen in fights against Eubanks and Kanutsukai. He believes Tate's improved striking and wrestling will allow her to survive early and take over as Vieira fades. He sees a late stoppage as very live.

win by TKO or submission, fourth or fifth round
"I'm gonna take misha tate to win give me like a fourth or fifth round late late round uh later on stoppage here for tate"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Miesha Tate

Cody believes Miesha Tate is undervalued as a slight underdog. He points to Tate's championship pedigree, improved striking, and excellent conditioning for a five-round fight. He highlights Ketlen Vieira's history of gassing in the third round of her fights, including against Yana Kunitskaya where she was out-struck 44-7. Cody argues that Tate's wrestling is good enough to stuff takedowns and that if the fight stays standing, Tate has the advantage. He expects Tate to take over in rounds four and five as Vieira fades.

"what am i missing here paul like what i don't under 100 and understand why uh it's misha tate's slight underdog status versus ket and vieira"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Nov 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

Daniel Levi picks Ketlen Vieira despite her history of mental lapses and cardio issues. He notes that Vieira has superior skills across the board, including judo and power, but worries about her hitting a wall in later rounds. He believes Miesha Tate is stiff and slow, and that Vieira has no pressure on her in this fight. However, he acknowledges Tate's toughness and comeback ability, making this a hesitant pick.

"i think vieira's the better fighter honestly across the board... i'm gonna go with kellen vieira she's been very quiet very business business-minded approach this week"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Miesha Tate

Lock sees this as a classic early Vera vs late Tate fight. He thinks Vera gasses badly after round two, and Tate will take over with takedowns and top control. He notes Tate is hunting a finish and might get it late. Lock likes the under 4.5 rounds at +140 and Tate inside the distance at +375. He also sprinkled Tate round 4 and round 5 props.

Under 4.5 rounds +140, Miesha Tate inside the distance +375, Miesha Tate round 4 +2500, Miesha Tate round 5 +3000, Ketlen Vieira by KO +600
"I like the under four and a half at plus 140ish... I think those takedowns will come a little bit easier for tate as the fight wears on."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Miesha Tate

Paul agrees with Cody's assessment, noting that Vieira's gas tank is a major concern, especially in a five-round fight. He references the Yana Kunitskaya fight where Vieira missed weight and gassed hard at the end of round three. Paul believes that if Vieira cannot put Tate away early, Tate will take over late. He also mentions that this could be a good live bet opportunity if Vieira slows down in round three and Tate is still available at plus money.

Paul mentions this could be an even better live bet if we get into round three and Vieira starts slowing down; he notes Tate was plus money (-105) at DraftKings.
"i'm gonna have some money on misha tape straight up but i feel like potentially this could be an even better live bet"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Miesha Tate

The MMA Guru picks Miesha Tate over Ketlen Vieira. He notes that Vieira slows down in later rounds, as seen against Yana Kunitskaya and Sijara Eubanks. He highlights Tate's championship experience, composure, and conditioning. He expects a stalemate on the feet early, but Tate to win scrambles and land ground and pound in the later rounds, finishing with a fourth-round TKO.

fourth round TKO via ground and pound
"i'm going with misha tate as the favorite here i reckon she's got this one in the bag"
Norma Dumont - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · Apr 25, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Norma Dumont 0 51 of 100 51% 66 of 117 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:09
Joselyne Edwards 0 70 of 152 46% 121 of 207 0 of 3 0% 0 1 2:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Norma Dumont 0 6 of 14 42% 14 of 23 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:09
Joselyne Edwards 0 6 of 13 46% 37 of 48 0 of 2 0% 0 1 1:31
2 Norma Dumont 0 24 of 45 53% 29 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joselyne Edwards 0 27 of 61 44% 39 of 73 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:20
3 Norma Dumont 0 21 of 41 51% 23 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joselyne Edwards 0 37 of 78 47% 45 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Norma Dumont 51 of 100 51% 20 of 54 16 of 22 15 of 24 44 of 93 7 of 7 0 of 0
Joselyne Edwards 70 of 152 46% 20 of 63 32 of 51 18 of 38 68 of 150 1 of 1 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Norma Dumont 6 of 14 42% 0 of 7 4 of 5 2 of 2 2 of 10 4 of 4 0 of 0
Joselyne Edwards 6 of 13 46% 2 of 6 3 of 5 1 of 2 5 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Norma Dumont 24 of 45 53% 9 of 20 5 of 9 10 of 16 23 of 44 1 of 1 0 of 0
Joselyne Edwards 27 of 61 44% 6 of 25 9 of 14 12 of 22 26 of 60 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Norma Dumont 21 of 41 51% 11 of 27 7 of 8 3 of 6 19 of 39 2 of 2 0 of 0
Joselyne Edwards 37 of 78 47% 12 of 32 20 of 32 5 of 14 37 of 78 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Norma Dumont vs. Joselyne Edwards
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dumont (-240); Edwards (+200)

Round 1
A potential women’s bantamweight title eliminator will serve as the co-main event of this Apex extravaganza. The winner of six straight, Dumont (13-2, 9-2 UFC) will throw down with
Sherdog’s 2025 Ms. All-Violence
Edwards (17-6, 8-4 UFC), and we can only hope some fireworks ensue before it is all settled. The Octagon ranger for this high-stakes 135-pound offering will be referee Jason Herzog, who bears witness to a glove touch.
Both women stay on the outer edge looking to pick their shots with kicks. Edwards finds a way in and throws fire with a fast flurry of punches. Dumont shrugs them off but is forced to fight off her back foot, with the Panamanian advancing behind a jab and a sharp two. Edwards connects with a solid low kick and jacks Dumont in the jaw with a right hand. Dumont grabs hold of her, bell rung, and hurls Edwards to the floor with an unorthodox body lock from the side. Edwards bounces back to her feet as if she had springs in her shorts, and Dumont leans against her on the fencing. Edwards turns her foe about and starts kneeing her in the thigh.
Dumont fires back with knees to the stomach, and Edwards drops to her knees to grab hold of a double. She isolates Dumont’s leg and is nearing completing it, but Dumont regains her footing. Dumont uses the leverage against her foe, body locking Edwards down to her back. In the open cage, Dumont lands on top in half guard, pinning the Panama native to the mat. Dumont uses her left shoulder to press down on Edwards’ windpipe, possibly setting up an arm-triangle choke. Edwards elbows from her back, and she bucks and twists when Dumont jumps into mount. Edwards bursts all the way through to flip Dumont over, but Dumont clings to her mightily to not give her any space to break out and stand back up. Edwards lifts Dumont up in the top position and slams her down chest-to-chest, and the round ends with the ladies high-fiving.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Edwards
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Edwards
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Edwards

Round 2
The first strike thrown in the second round is from the Brazilian, as is the second and third. Two low kicks and a jab come from her, prompting Edwards to return fire with similar strikes. Edwards works the lead leg and stands back to check a response. Dumont turns her hips into a heavier kick, so Edwards does the exact same. It is tit-for-tat as they engage with single strikes, with Dumont trying but failing to break up the pattern a few times with a one-two or a second kick behind the first. Edwards is content to kickbox at range, with both women not committing fully to their swings. Edwards tosses out a feeler of an overhand right, and she uses a knee shield to block one of two front kicks aimed at her. Dumont chips at the front leg and sways back, but Edwards catches up to her and delivers a front kick to the belly. Edwards secures a jumping switch kick that draws an involuntary smile out of her foe.
Dumont aims back a body kick with a lot less mustard on it, and she leans back when Edwards zings an overhand right at her. Edwards is stuck throwing single strikes, but she is starting to put something behind them. Dumont blocks a jumping kick again that bounces harmlessly off the guard. Dumont slips a punch and returns with one over the top, and Edwards nods at her and charges with an overhand right. Dumont gives back two to the body and one upstairs, and Edwards takes the cue and makes Dumont smile giving a trio of strikes right back. It is an asymmetrical mirror match at this point, with Edwards a day late and a dollar short even if she still remains in the bout. Edwards absorbs a body kick and considers taking the fight down from it, bullying the Brazilian to the fencing to knee her in the stomach and thigh. Edwards concludes the round with a sharp elbow upstairs.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Edwards
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Edwards

Round 3
The women high-five and hug to open up the last stanza, and they pick up where they left off taking turns with single strikes. Dumont lands a powerful body kick, and this lights a fire under the Panamanian. Edwards explodes her way in, bloodying the bridge of Dumont’s nose with a fast flurry of fists. Dumont circles away after absorbing a body kick, and Edwards spins after her with a body kick. Edwards doubles up on a low kick to body kick, scoring the second and jabbing to keep Dumont at bay. Dumont whiffs on a pair of high kicks, and Edwards darts after her but pulls back before engaging. Edwards kicks her foe in the stomach and goes to the front leg after it, blinking out when Dumont jabs her in the nose. Edwards cleanly connects on the jaw, backing Dumont off in a hurry. Dumont circles away and tries to counter, but all she can do is parry some of the blows.
When Edwards sits down and throws, she gets Dumont’s attention regularly. The threat of the grappling takes Edwards out of her game for minutes at a time. The two clinch up, and Dumont delivers a bouquet of knees to the body to force a separation. Edwards backs to the center of the cage and puts her hands on her hips as if to draw Dumont into a trap, but when Dumont does not bite, Edwards chases her down like before. Edwards stalks after the Brazilian with single, effective strikes. Edwards keeps her hands on her hips when not hurling punches, and she puts a crisp three-punch salvo on Dumont’s jaw. Dumont smiles and blocks the head kick that comes after. Edwards jogs in place before pursuing Dumont, and she kicks into a spinning back fist that bumps into the knot on top of Dumont’s hair. Edwards drills her opponent with a spinning back elbow, and she keeps swinging right to the bell. They embrace for a while after the full 15 minutes elapse.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Edwards (29-28 Edwards)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Edwards (30-27 Edwards)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Edwards (30-27 Edwards)

The Official Result
Joselyne Edwards def. Norma Dumont via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Apr 19, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Angelo leans on Norma Dumont, calling her the far cleaner striker. He acknowledges that her takedown defense is worse than it should be and fears some MMA karma from her last decision win. He notes that Joselyne Edwards does a good job sneaking in takedowns but doesn't like pressure. He believes Dumont's hands are much better and she will stay more mobile.

"I'm going to lean Norma here. I think Norma's hands are just much better here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 21, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Big Brady picks Norma Dumont over Joselyne Edwards (referred to as Josiane Nunes). He believes Dumont is better everywhere, with takedown ability, clinch work, and striking. He notes Edwards' wins are against lower-level competition and expects Dumont to win by decision, though the money line is getting high.

Dumont wins by decision
"I like Dumont here. I think it's by decision."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2026 (fight day)
Norma Dumont

The host believes Dumont should win as she is better everywhere: more technical striker, better MMA grappler. Edwards has an advantage in cardio but is on short notice and has bad fight IQ. Dumont can be passive but Edwards has similar issues. The host sees no interesting betting opportunities in fight spreads or over/under.

No interesting prop bets; fight likely goes to decision but odds not mentioned
"Dumont should win this. Not a lot more to say, really."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

James picks Norma Dumont, believing she is a level above Edwards with superior boxing. He thinks Edwards' path via takedowns is unlikely due to Dumont's takedown defense and Edwards' inconsistent wrestling. He predicts a decision win.

"I'm predicting Norma Deont to win this fight. I'm fairly confident in that prediction."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

James picks Norma Dumont as his Hammer of the Week, calling it a 'levels fight' despite the -200 price. He argues Dumont is better everywhere: striking, wrestling, and grappling, with superior competition and fight IQ. He notes Dumont is the best boxer in the division and can stuff takedowns, while Edwards has only beaten low-level opponents and lacks a plan C when her A and B fail. James expects Dumont to win via decision, as finishes are rare in women's MMA at this level.

Norma Dumont via unanimous decision; Norma Dumont -3.5 point spread; James got Dumont earlier at -155 in his private group
"The hammer of the week this week is Norma Dumont Money Line. outwards of minus 200."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 21, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

Edwards is on a four-fight winning streak with improved grappling and finishing ability. Dumont is on a six-fight winning streak but has looked less dominant against better competition and is hittable. Edwards has a reach advantage and can use her kickboxing and grappling to outwork Dumont. She should be able to secure a submission win, especially at plus odds.

Edwards by submission
"I think Edwards will stay busy with throwing up submissions, creating scrambles, uh maybe looking for reversals. And then when they're back on the feet, I think Edwards will show a good enough aggression game... that it's going to catch …"
WIN vs Ketlen Vieira
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · Nov 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ketlen Vieira 0 25 of 83 30% 58 of 121 2 of 4 50% 1 0 5:19
Norma Dumont 0 62 of 101 61% 87 of 127 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ketlen Vieira 0 7 of 23 30% 7 of 23 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:36
Norma Dumont 0 17 of 23 73% 25 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ketlen Vieira 0 8 of 29 27% 32 of 57 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:53
Norma Dumont 0 17 of 37 45% 20 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ketlen Vieira 0 10 of 31 32% 19 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:50
Norma Dumont 0 28 of 41 68% 42 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ketlen Vieira 25 of 83 30% 10 of 60 5 of 10 10 of 13 25 of 79 0 of 2 0 of 2
Norma Dumont 62 of 101 61% 24 of 60 18 of 21 20 of 20 57 of 96 5 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ketlen Vieira 7 of 23 30% 1 of 13 1 of 4 5 of 6 7 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Norma Dumont 17 of 23 73% 5 of 10 2 of 3 10 of 10 17 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ketlen Vieira 8 of 29 27% 1 of 19 4 of 5 3 of 5 8 of 26 0 of 1 0 of 2
Norma Dumont 17 of 37 45% 5 of 25 5 of 5 7 of 7 14 of 34 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Ketlen Vieira 10 of 31 32% 8 of 28 0 of 1 2 of 2 10 of 30 0 of 1 0 of 0
Norma Dumont 28 of 41 68% 14 of 25 11 of 13 3 of 3 26 of 39 2 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Norma Dumont vs. Ketlen Vieira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dumont (-150); Vieira (+120)

Round 1
In the previous match, two athletes vied to save their place on the ever-churning roster. In this fourth fight of the evening, the promotion decided to plug in the most relevant matchup of the whole card, as the winner of this bantamweight pairing will most likely be closest to the next title shot come Monday. While Brazil’s Vieira (15-4, 9-4 UFC) already came up short against champ Kayla Harrison, perhaps it would change should they lock horns for five rounds. Standing in her way of all that is “The Immortal” Dumont (12-2, 8-2 UFC), who has heard the final bell in nine straight outings. Whether they make it 10 straight for the streaking Dumont or get out of their early, referee Mark Smith will handle the necessities from here. There is a sporting clap of hands that precedes the action.
Dumont moves to the center of the cage standing as tall as she can, and she hand-fights a pawing Vieira who is just looking for her range. At 40 seconds in, Vieira finally commits to a strike, albeit a leg kick. Dumont responds immediately with one of her own. Vieira sits down on another calf kick to disrupt her opponent, and Dumont says “two can play that game” and gives it back any time Vieira lands on her. They trade hands from up close, drawing a smile out of Dumont as if she felt Vieira’s power and was not concerned. Vieira darts in behind her jab, and the two are just picking and poking at one another with single strikes. Vieira scores first, and Dumont comes back at her.
“Fenomeno” looks for her right hand several times, but Dumont is able to see them coming in time and avoid them. Leg kicks are traded, and Dumont doubles up on a heavy one. Vieira rushes forward, banging into Dumont and forcing her to awkwardly rebound during a takedown effort. Vieira uses the momentum to drag Dumont down, where she takes her back and looks for a rear-naked choke. Dumont flips over to her back to break up the sub, so Vieira transitions to an arm-triangle choke. Dumont once more twists to get out of the worst of it, so Vieira readjusts and presses her shoulder down to complete the sub. Vieira laces her leg between Dumont’s to give her more leverage to crush her shoulder down, and Dumont stays calm and punches Vieira in the side until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Vieira

Round 2
The round begins with kicks, with Vieira throwing first and last. Dumont hurls a one-two her way, and Vieira is not standing there any longer to get hit. When Dumont does reach her with a right hand, Vieira strafes to the side to reset. Dumont is one-and-done with a kick, and Vieira leans in to score and then leans back. Dumont starts to put more than one strike together in her attacks, sometimes doubling or tripling up on offense or stringing a few back-to-back. Vieira nails the inside leg a few times, prompting Dumont to pitch one back on the outside. Vieira checks the second, and they go tit-for-tat with these strikes for a time.
Vieira leaps forward and gets caught with a right hand from Dumont, and she shoots in from a double from too far out. Dumont shuts it down, so Vieira backs off and tries again from another angle. This time, she puts Dumont on her back with about 1:45 left in the round. Like a snake slowly coiling around to consume its prey, Vieira calmly slithers through to advance to half guard and pursue an arm-triangle choke. This takes a great deal of time to get there, so before she can cinch anything up, the second round is over.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Vieira

Round 3
The top contenders reach the final frame, and they approach one another in it like the previous two. Dumont moves forward but is generally cautious, and Vieira stays defensively composed from most of what comes her direction. Dumont pushes the action with a storming right hand, colliding with Vieira and putting them on the fence. Vieira quickly turns her foe around, where she imposes her body weight on the streaking Dumont. She leans on Dumont for a time, until Smith calls for them to do more.
Dumont separates first, and she lets loose with her hands. Reaching out with a left and a right, and she looses this two-punch flurry again and again. Vieira stays on the outside edge with her guard high, and Dumont goes to the body when the hands of her foe are up. Dumont swarms forward behind a low kick to open up punches, and she lands cleanly in the midst of her combinations. Vieira is fine to stay on her back heel offering counters and the occasional kick as time ticks off, as Vieira likely expects she is up on the scorecards. Dumont is fighting like she needs the finish, in terms of her own style. She does not bite down on her mouthpiece to bang it out, and she does not point to the ground to force a brawl, but instead remains at kickboxing range leaning in and out to attack. The slow, arduous bantamweight match comes to an end, and both women raise their arms in the air. Could it go either way?

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (29-28 Vieira)
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (29-28 Vieira)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (29-28 Vieira)

The Official Result
Norma Dumont def. Ketlen Vieira via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Norma Dumont

Angelo picks Norma Dumont confidently, citing her technical striking, patience, and takedown defense. He notes Ketlen Vieira is bigger but slower and less technical, relying on cage control. He thinks Norma's speed and accuracy will be too much, and expects a decision win. He is very confident in Norma but doesn't see many points in DFS due to a lack of finishes.

"Very confident in Norma, but I don't think there's a lot of points to be had."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Norma Dumont

Big Brady picks Norma Dumont, noting she looked great in her last fight against Aldana with faster hands. He acknowledges Ketlen Vieira has elite takedown defense but believes the fight will stay standing, where Dumont is the better striker. He predicts a decision win for Dumont.

decision
"I'm going to go Dumont. She looked really good in her last fight against Aldana. ... I think the better striker is going to be Dumont. So yeah, Dumont for me and Dumont to win this fight by decision there."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Norma Dumont

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Dumont is a sharpshooter who can even things up with one hit. He thinks Vieira is not capable of putting pressure on Dumont, and if the fight is a coin flip, Dumont has the edge because she can push a pace Vieira never has.

Dumont opened at -150, now -163; Vieira opened at +130, now +143.
"I think dumont is enough of a sharpshooter that she can even things up with with one hit."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Oct 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Lucrative James picks Norma Dumont, but acknowledges it's a close fight. He believes Dumont is the better striker with better range control and takedown defense, and that she can stop Vieira's takedowns. However, he notes that Vieira's path to victory is through grappling, and if she can get top position, she could win. James sees value in the fight going to decision.

fight goes to decision
"I'm going to pick Dumont. I think she's the better striker."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Norma Dumont

Dumont will get her sixth straight victory by putting it on Vieira with her striking and physicality, possibly landing a few takedowns. Dumont is in much better shape and a better state of her career, leading to a decision win.

"I believe Dant will be successful in getting her six sixth straight victory here as she really puts it on Vieier with her striking, her physicality, maybe landing a few takedowns. But I think Dont is in much better shape …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

The MMA Guru picks Norma Dumont, highlighting her recent sharp stand-up performance against Irene Aldana. He criticizes Ketlen Vieira's inconsistency and poor recent performances. He believes Dumont has momentum and will win by decision, possibly 29-28.

"I'm going to say that Norma Dumont's got the momentum right now and I'm going to say that Norma Dumont pulls this one off by decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Norma Dumont

Zane picks Dumont because she is a sharp striker who can push a pace that Vieira cannot match. He notes that Vieira is stiff and wide open, and Dumont has the ability to land fight-changing shots. Even if Dumont has a bad fight, he expects a narrow contest, and if she has a good one, she wins clearly.

Dumont opened at -150, now -163; Vieira opened at +130, now +143.
"I think I have to pick norma dumont here because even if she comes out and tries to be a neutralizing fighter, I simply do not have the trust that viera will win that fight."
WIN vs Irene Aldana
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 306: O'Malley vs. Dvalishvili · Sep 14, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Norma Dumont 0 69 of 183 37% 69 of 183 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Irene Aldana 0 159 of 309 51% 159 of 309 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Norma Dumont 0 12 of 46 26% 12 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Irene Aldana 0 32 of 75 42% 32 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Norma Dumont 0 25 of 59 42% 25 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Irene Aldana 0 58 of 114 50% 58 of 114 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Norma Dumont 0 32 of 78 41% 32 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Irene Aldana 0 69 of 120 57% 69 of 120 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Norma Dumont 69 of 183 37% 47 of 145 12 of 23 10 of 15 67 of 180 2 of 3 0 of 0
Irene Aldana 159 of 309 51% 89 of 229 34 of 42 36 of 38 156 of 305 3 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Norma Dumont 12 of 46 26% 7 of 30 1 of 9 4 of 7 12 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
Irene Aldana 32 of 75 42% 14 of 54 4 of 5 14 of 16 31 of 74 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Norma Dumont 25 of 59 42% 16 of 46 4 of 6 5 of 7 25 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
Irene Aldana 58 of 114 50% 28 of 80 16 of 20 14 of 14 58 of 114 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Norma Dumont 32 of 78 41% 24 of 69 7 of 8 1 of 1 30 of 75 2 of 3 0 of 0
Irene Aldana 69 of 120 57% 47 of 95 14 of 17 8 of 8 67 of 117 2 of 3 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Irene Aldana vs. Norma Dumont
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aldana (-112), Dumont (-108)

Round 1
Wrapping the abbreviated prelims is a potential no. 1 contender bout at 135 pounds. Former title challenger Aldana (15-7, 8-5 UFC) washed the bad taste out of a one-sided loss to Amanda Nunes out of her mouth with buckets of blood courtesy of her titanic tussle with Karol Rosa in December. With the division starved for contenders, the Lobo Gym fighter might get another crack at gold if she gets past Dumont (11-2, 7-2 UFC). Fresh out of the 145-pound division, Dumont has shown she can successfully make weight, making her a viable contender as well. A clap of hands seals the cage that also contains referee Herb Dean. Aldana reaches out with a low kick but is out of range, and Dumont takes a few steps forward and lands her own. Dumont connects with another kick, and she just misses with a jab. Aldana jabs her back, and she checks a leg kick as marching forward. Dumont scores a solid low kick, and her one-two bounces harmlessly off the raised guard. Aldana catches her opponent with a left hook, and Dumont shakes her head at it. Dumont sneaks out a jab, with Aldana keeping her own jab active. Aldana jabs to the head and chest, and she walks through low kicks to get in range as Dumont is constantly fighting off her back foot. Dumont tries to force out three punches, but Aldana parries all three and chips away with the front leg. Aldana flashes out a jab and is countered with a right over the top, and she takes a hard kick to the side of her knee. Dumont overswings on power strikes, and Aldana remains in her face, composed and largely utilizing straight strikes while she maintains a grin. Aldana lands again and makes Dumont smile, and then clips her with a right hook that makes the smile disappear. Dumont gets in a clean low kick, and she lands at the end of a right hand and a left to drive Aldana back briefly. The Mexican continues stalking Dumont around, and she connects with a left hand and then pushes Aldana away with a front kick. Aldana reaches her opponent with a left hook and a right, and Dumont grins and swings back harder. Aldana leans back to dodge a high kick and jabs to the body, and she plods forward to deliver a left hook on the jaw. Dumont crashes forward to connect with a right hand, and she waves her hand at her to signal she landed cleanly. Aldana hits air with a left hook, and Dumont stays on her bike potshotting her freely. Aldana misses the mark a few times before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dumont

Round 2
Gloves are touched to start the second round, and Aldana leads off well with a sharp left hook. Dumont smacks her with a front-leg low kick, and she is met with a right hand and quick left. Dumont tries to box her back, but Aldana beats her to the punch and kicks her in the posterior. Dumont peppers the front leg with kicks and uses a long jab to keep Aldana away, and Aldana dips to go after a right to the body and misses with a big left up top. Aldana whiffs on another left hook, and she lets Dumont walk into an overhand right. Aldana sticks out a jab and a low kick, and her guard protects her from two punches but not the two kicks that follow. They land punches at the same time, and Dumont jabs her back to the ribs and kicks the same spot. Aldana eats a left hand and swings back up top, and she gets in a left hook and tries to reach her with a right that comes up short. Both ladies are grinning as they trade punches, having a blast in the cage as they smack one another in the chops. Aldana stings Dumont with a right and a left, and Dumont races at her swinging for the bleachers. Aldana largely blocks the worst of the blows, but a few manage to sneak in. Aldana walks face-first into a left hand, and she continues chasing Dumont around and boops her with a jab. Aldana scores as left and is met with a counter right, and Dumont kicks her front leg for good measure. Dumont skirts away from a left hook to go after the body, and she ducks a looping punch to level change. Aldana pushes her away before a takedown can materialize, and she dings her foe with a long right hand. Dumont counters with an overhand right, and she sits down on a left hook that gets Aldana’s attention. Aldana does not falter as she chases the Brazilian down, but Dumont is outlanding her and hitting her harder. Dumont draws blood on the forehead, and Aldana rocks her with a short combination. Dumont is in her face, slugging it out and cutting Aldana again on the bridge of the nose. Aldana wipes her face, irritated by the bleeding, and the round comes to a close.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dumont

Round 3
The replay shows that the cut on Aldana’s forehead is much larger than it first appeared, and it was caused due to a clash of heads and not a strike. Her corner is nowhere close to closing it, and she wipes the blood all across her face as Dumont is willing to smear it with her own strikes. Dumont chases after Aldana early, like she has in the last 10 minutes, but she appears to have finally found her range to a larger degree. Dumont uses an effective jab, but Aldana plodding towards her releasing big hooks find their mark a few times. Dumont chips at the front leg enough to make Aldana take a second thought at approaching, and Aldana is covered in blood. The Mexican does not mind, stalking Dumont fearlessly and obliging in each and every striking exchange. Aldana keeps powering forward, and Dumont tries to take her down. Aldana smashes her in the face with an elbow, causing some unexpected damage, and Dumont is backpedaling and not enjoying herself anymore. Aldana hurries after her, wiping blood all the while, and she keeps working Dumont over with her strikes. Dumont tries all her might to keep Aldana away from her, using her jabs and front kicks to destabilize the oncoming Mexican. Aldana uses her shirt to wipe the blood away, and as she does, Dumont catches her with a left that makes her eye swell. Dumont may be a bit bloodied as well around the nose, but she relishes in the exchanges. Aldana coming at her opponent so fiercely, she is practically sprinting. Aldana wipes her face, strikes, lather, rinse, repeat. Dumont is constantly backing away, and with 10 seconds to spare, she shoots for a takedown that fails. With one final Superwoman punch from Aldana, the bloody match concludes. The enormous cut on the former title challenger’s face is shown in its full form when cleaned up, stretching practically from the top of her forehead to the bottom of her eyelid in a gash that would make Marvin Eastman blush. Just bleed.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aldana (29-28 Dumont)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Aldana (29-28 Dumont)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (30-27 Dumont)

The Official Result
Norma Dumont def. Irene Aldana via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 8, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Angelo picks Norma Dumont as an underdog but with caution. He likes her size, ability to slow the pace, and grappling, but notes she took too long to start wrestling in her last fight and was getting touched up on the feet. He prefers betting the over 2.5 rounds instead of the moneyline, as Dumont might not get takedowns and Aldana could piece her up. He is picking Dumont but being wiser with his money.

Prefers betting over 2.5 rounds instead of moneyline; notes moneyline would be plus money.
"I am still picking Norma as an underdog here but I'm likely going to bet the over two and a half instead of the money line"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Irene Aldana

Big Brady finds this fight close and difficult to call. He picks Aldana because she is the better striker and can keep the fight at range, despite Dumont possibly getting takedowns. He notes Aldana's takedown defense is decent and she pops back up quickly. He expects a close decision win for Aldana.

"I'm going to Pi pick Alon here... give me alonna by decision"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Sep 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Daniel picks Norma Dumont via coin flip, admitting he has no strong read on the fight due to Irene Aldana's inconsistency. He notes Aldana can be gun-shy against respected opponents, while Dumont has good fight IQ and game plans. He sees Dumont grinding out a win.

"Tails baby hey we're gonna go with Norma Dumont here to grind this one out my friends"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Jun 2, 2025 (fight day)

The transcript does not discuss this fight.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 13, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Norma Dumont

A pick'em fight between striker and grappler. Leaning on Dumont's grappling. Aldana may have some success early off her back, but Dumont will be too strong in top positions and grind out a decision win.

"I'm going to have to lean on the grappling of Dumont as I think Delana may have some success early here being active off of her back but I think Dumont will be a little bit too strong for her"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 9, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Irene Aldana

The MMA Guru picks Irene Aldana. He notes Aldana has better finishing potential and power at bantamweight, and Dumont is a flyweight moving up which may affect her ability to cut weight. He sees Aldana's lead hook as a weapon and can see her knocking out Dumont, who has been finished before. He recommends a small bet on Aldana by KO.

Aldana by KO recommended as a small bet
"I actually could see her getting shined she got put away by uh Megan Anderson I could see her getting chinned here by aldana so if you want to maybe sprinkle some money on an aldana KO that would be …"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · Apr 06, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Norma Dumont 0 11 of 29 37% 49 of 76 6 of 8 75% 0 0 10:04
Germaine de Randamie 0 16 of 33 48% 91 of 126 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Norma Dumont 0 0 of 5 0% 15 of 22 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:49
Germaine de Randamie 0 3 of 4 75% 23 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
2 Norma Dumont 0 8 of 18 44% 28 of 41 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:44
Germaine de Randamie 0 9 of 20 45% 32 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:12
3 Norma Dumont 0 3 of 6 50% 6 of 13 3 of 3 100% 0 0 4:31
Germaine de Randamie 0 4 of 9 44% 36 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Norma Dumont 11 of 29 37% 6 of 21 5 of 7 0 of 1 4 of 20 5 of 6 2 of 3
Germaine de Randamie 16 of 33 48% 7 of 21 7 of 8 2 of 4 8 of 24 8 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Norma Dumont 0 of 5 0% 0 of 3 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1
Germaine de Randamie 3 of 4 75% 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 3 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Norma Dumont 8 of 18 44% 3 of 12 5 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 10 5 of 6 2 of 2
Germaine de Randamie 9 of 20 45% 4 of 14 5 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 11 8 of 9 0 of 0
3 Norma Dumont 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Germaine de Randamie 4 of 9 44% 3 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 1 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Germaine de Randamie vs. Norma Dumont
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dumont (-175), de Randamie (+145)

Round 1
For the first time in years, Dumont (10-2, 6-2 UFC) successfully made the bantamweight limit, hitting the scales at 136 pounds. In her return to the division still maintained by the organization, she draws former featherweight champ de Randamie (10-4, 7-2 UFC), who is coming back after nearly a four-year layoff. The victor could be right in the title picture, and they have the next 15 minutes or less to make their case. Referee Keith Peterson will keep things on the up-and-up and not allow any nonsense in the Apex, and the bout starts with a sporting clap of hands. De Randamie leads off with a front kick up the middle, and she follows it with a low kick after Dumont misses with a right up top. Dumont whiffs on a leg kick, and de Randamie steps in and spins her around with a thudding calf kick. Dumont flicks out a jab, and she catches a leg kick and tackles de Randamie down to the ground. De Randamie hits her back and threatens with a heel hook, but the Brazilian is quick to push past it and climb into the half guard. Dumont keeps de Randamie pressed flat on her back, and de Randamie tries to scoot her way towards the fence to sit up. The Dutchwoman regains full guard and closes it, and Dumont tries to break out of it with a short burst of ground-and-pound. Dumont leans one side to pursue an arm-triangle choke, but the leverage is not right and she bails on it. Dumont keeps smothering without landing any offense, and de Randamie shrugs and looks to Peterson to do something. Peterson asks for more activity from the Brazilian, and she stands up and tries to pass guard but is stopped from getting anywhere while lowering herself down. Dumont steps over at the same time that de Randamie explodes back to her feet, and she dumps de Randamie down to the ground to end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Dumont

Round 2
The ladies clap hands to get things started, and de Randamie follows it with a jab. Dumont sits down on a big right hand, and she shoots in for a takedown. De Randamie stands her up and pops her with a jab, and when she looks to come after it with an overhand right, Dumont shoots in on her hips. The Dutchwoman again thwarts the takedown, and she turns Dumont towards the wall and starts landing short knees to the thigh and body. Dumont gives her one back before attempting to turn and throw her, but she bails when de Randamie keeps her balance. De Randamie finds the midsection with a few knees, and Dumont keeps a knee shield up to defend from a few more of them. De Randamie opens up with two clean right hands that make Dumont turn around, and Dumont gets away with a fence grab to turn herself in a more advantageous position. De Randamie keeps working the body with knees, and Dumont’s efforts to free herself or turn the tables largely fall short. Dumont does manage to put “The Iron Lady” and her back to the cage, but de Randamie responds with a knee up the middle that makes Dumont rethink her approach. De Randamie walks Dumont down and kicks her in the head, and Dumont shakes her head at her. De Randamie chains a few punches together, and she allows Dumont to throw hands because hers are more accurate and powerful. De Randamie looses a body kick, and the Brazilian catches it and slings her to the mat. Dumont lands and hacks down with an elbow, and she lifts de Randamie up and slams her on her back again to open up the guard around her waist. De Randamie maintains a high guard to keep Dumont honest, all while throwing elbows or punches off her back. De Randamie looks for butterfly hooks, and Dumont stands up and finds herself in immediate armbar danger. The round ends with Dumont surviving the sudden submission setup.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 de Randamie
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 de Randamie
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 de Randamie

Round 3
The bantamweights hug it out to start the final frame, and de Randamie is ready and willing to strike from her preferred range. Dumont swings back with bad intentions, but the straight, sharp strikes from the Dutchwoman keep her at bay. Dumont charges like a bull, grabbing hold of a double leg and sending de Randamie from one side of the cage to the other. De Randamie urgently moves to her knees and stands up with the wall at her back, and Dumont manages to hit a body lock and trip to dump her back down. De Randamie gives up her back when escaping, and Dumont sets up a rear-naked choke and stays with it while de Randamie turns to her back. Dumont lets the choke go and shifts to side control, where she sets up an arm-triangle choke. Dumont presses her shoulder down when the choke is not locked up, as she is on the other side. Dumont looks to pass as de Randamie turns to her side, and in the process she gives her back up. Dumont jumps on and sneaks a hook in, and she hand-fights while de Randamie protects against a potential choke. De Randamie keeps moving, turning all the way around and back to her knees. The Dutchwoman nearly slides Dumont off of her, but she manages to work to her feet and lean against the fence. Dumont laces one leg between her foe’s and wrangles de Randamie back down to the mat. A desperate de Randamie hacks with elbows or punches as Dumont lays on her, and this continues until time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (29-28 Dumont)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (29-28 Dumont)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (29-28 Dumont)

The Official Result
Norma Dumont def. Germaine de Randamie via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 31, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Angelo picks Norma Dumont but acknowledges that Germaine de Randamie is much better than people give her credit for, with only losses to Amanda Nunes and wins over three champions. However, he notes that those wins are old (3.5 to 7 years ago) and that Germaine is 39. He thinks Norma's technical striking and sound takedown defense will be enough. He also mentions that Germaine might be a good plus 3.5 spread bet if she can win one round.

Angelo mentions Germaine de Randamie as a potential plus 3.5 spread bet (buying points) if she can win one round
"I got to go Norma here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 4, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Germaine de Randamie

Big Brady picks Germaine de Randamie despite a 3.5-year layoff and many question marks. He notes that de Randamie has only lost to Amanda Nunes in the last 10 years and is the better striker. However, he worries about her takedown defense and the layoff, and acknowledges that the line has moved from +180 to +115, making it less attractive. He is not confident and would not bet on this fight.

"I still think I'm going with gdr here the 39y old with a three and a half year layoff"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Germaine de Randamie

Cody agrees, noting Dumont's low output and reliance on clinch control, which doesn't score well. He highlights de Randamie's striking, body work, and improved cardio. Cody also mentions that Dumont will likely miss weight, which could affect her performance. He sees de Randamie as the better athlete and striker.

"I think it's gdr all day... it's a total dogger pass situation"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Germaine de Randamie

Daniel Vreeland picks Germaine de Randamie despite her four-year layoff, citing her championship-level resume and improvements in takedown defense before the break. He notes Norma Dumont has been dropped by lesser fighters like Megan Anderson and has only one path to win: extended top control. Vreeland believes even 70% of de Randamie is enough to beat Dumont, given the massive step down in competition.

"I think that Germaine de Randamie might have a little something for her so I'm going with the former champ here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Germaine de Randamie

De Randamie is more skilled overall with striking advantages and improved grappling. She has size and reach advantages and can keep the fight upright. However, the three-and-a-half-year layoff and recent pregnancy are major concerns. If she comes in shape, she should win by decision.

de Randamie by decision
"give me durandy and toand me by decision um not a bad Underdog shot but be wary about all the things that I just laid out for you guys"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Germaine de Randamie

Paul picks de Randamie as a dog, citing her superior striking and experience. He notes Dumont is a decision fighter with low volume and no power, and that she will likely miss weight. Paul thinks de Randamie's cardio and durability are solid, and that her striking will be the difference. He calls it a quintessential dogger pass.

"it's a total dogger pass situation and Jermain randomy you could be doing a lot worse"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 2, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

The host uses a mayonnaise bottle flip to decide, but then provides reasoning. He notes Dumont had a close fight with Macy Chiasson, nearly finishing her, showing good grappling. He criticizes de Randamie for being 39, inactive since 2020, and not impressive on the feet. He predicts Dumont will take her down and win on the ground.

"Norma's probably going to win she had a close fight with Macy chasson who I think is actually pretty good of a fighter and has good grappling so Norma jamont arguably nearly beat her"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · Jul 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Norma Dumont 0 47 of 76 61% 98 of 141 3 of 3 100% 0 0 8:58
Chelsea Chandler 0 22 of 61 36% 72 of 124 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Norma Dumont 0 18 of 24 75% 44 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:24
Chelsea Chandler 0 8 of 20 40% 31 of 51 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:20
2 Norma Dumont 0 22 of 38 57% 31 of 51 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:47
Chelsea Chandler 0 9 of 25 36% 23 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
3 Norma Dumont 0 7 of 14 50% 23 of 38 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:47
Chelsea Chandler 0 5 of 16 31% 18 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:40
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Norma Dumont 47 of 76 61% 30 of 59 12 of 12 5 of 5 28 of 49 10 of 12 9 of 15
Chelsea Chandler 22 of 61 36% 14 of 51 6 of 7 2 of 3 13 of 44 9 of 17 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Norma Dumont 18 of 24 75% 10 of 16 7 of 7 1 of 1 10 of 14 8 of 9 0 of 1
Chelsea Chandler 8 of 20 40% 3 of 14 3 of 3 2 of 3 3 of 14 5 of 6 0 of 0
2 Norma Dumont 22 of 38 57% 14 of 30 4 of 4 4 of 4 14 of 28 2 of 3 6 of 7
Chelsea Chandler 9 of 25 36% 8 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 21 1 of 4 0 of 0
3 Norma Dumont 7 of 14 50% 6 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 7 0 of 0 3 of 7
Chelsea Chandler 5 of 16 31% 3 of 13 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 9 3 of 7 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Chelsea Chandler vs. Norma Dumont
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dumont (-140), Chandler (+120)

Round 1
Stop us if you’ve heard this one: this might be the final women’s featherweight bout in UFC history. This next bout will officially serve as the first between ranked combatants, although neither are ranked in the division in which they are competing because there is no ranking for featherweights. Both in the top 15 at 135 pounds, little should be at stake when Dumont (9-2, 5-2 UFC) faces off against Chandler (5-1, 1-0 UFC). Bad blood has entered this matchup, and they do not touch gloves in front of referee Jacob Montalvo. While they were wild on weigh-in day, they are anything but to lead off the bout. Chandler plods forward slowly, and she reaches out with a front kick and a few jabs. Chandler backs Dumont to the fence, and Dumont suddenly springs to life, with a fierce and furious combination of punches. Chandler is stunned and worse, and she actively turns her back and sprints from one end of the cage to the other in a bizarre display. Dumont chases after her, backing her up to the wall, and Chandler gathers her thoughts and tries to fight back. Dumont get off a body kick ad she circles away, and Chandler walks her down and walks into a punch. Chandler connects with her own left hand, and they end up tied up. Chandler looks for an outside trip or some way to put Dumont to the floor, but her attempts fail as Dumont turns her around. Chandler drives a knee to the torso, and she presses her weight on her opponent to slow things to a crawl. When Chandler commits to a takedown, the Brazilian reverses her and puts Chandler on her back. Chandler utilizes a high guard in an attempt to trap Dumont, but Dumont is wise to the triangle setup and keeps her body weight squeezed down as tightly as she can. Dumont smothers her foe without getting little else going in the way of offense, grinding and wearing Chandler down. With seconds to spare, Dumont drops down a short elbow and raps Chandler on the side of the head a few times before the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dumont

Round 2
Chandler marches out of her corner willing to engage, but Dumont throw back with a vengeance to make Chandler think twice. Dumont gets off a calf kick, and she reaches out an overhand right. Chandler clips Dumont with a left hand, and her lead leg is kicked hard to make her change stances. Dumont kicks the other leg, and Chandler checks it. Chandler telegraphs a left hook, leading to a clinch when Dumont snatches her up and turns her around. Chandler breaks free and starts slugging, but she gets bopped with a one-two and her head snaps back. Chandler continues pressing forward, even coming up short in the exchanges, largely because her hands are too low and Dumont beats her to the punch. Dumont blasts her opponent in the face with a one-two, and she follows it with another as Chandler’s head movement is the kind that would force Coach Edmund to yell “head movement.” Dumont trips Chandler up and dumps her to the floor, where she falls flat on top of her and smothers again. Chandler gets put in a position where her neck is between the floor and the wall, but she still lifts her legs up high enough to potentially threaten with an armbar or a triangle choke. Dumont shucks out of it without concern and keeps top position. Chandler pushes Dumont up with her foot, and she drills her in the face with an upkick. Dumont gloms back down and imposes her weight and will, and Chandler still manages to muscle her way back up with the fence behind her. Chandler jockeys for position, turning about and leaning her shoulder on Dumont. They trade short knees to little effect, and the round ends with a push-off and a left hook from the Brazilian.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dumont

Round 3
The two featherweights nod at one another before starting off the last round, and Dumont strikes first in the form of a one-two. Chandler bobs her head up and down, but Dumont is easily able to time her movement and smack her in the face. Dumont then rushes forward, where she goes for a double or some sort of takedown to put her foe down. Chandler turns the tables on the Brazilian, taking Dumont for a ride. Dumont stands back up, and Chandler hangs on with a standing arm-triangle choke as she leans on Dumont against the wire. Dumont ignores it, gets out of the clinch and is followed with Chandler punching towards her. Dumont uses Chandler’s momentum against her and procures a body lock takedown. Dumont lowers herself on top, and Chandler rolls for a leglock. Dumont is able to move the proper direction to shut it down entirely, to the degree that she rolls Chandler over to her knees so that she can pound on her from behind. Chandler is unable to stand back up, as Dumont shoves her back over to her side. Dumont grinds an elbow on the cheek, and she sets up an arm-triangle choke with half guard on the other side. Chandler senses it being set up and thwarts it by getting her arm between the gripping arm and her head. Dumont postures up with 45 seconds to go, slugging Chandler in the face from above. Chandler throws her legs up high for a possible armbar, and when Dumont stands up, Chandler swings upkicks at her. Dumont warily lowers herself back into the active guard, and she ends the exhausting fight in this position.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (30-27 Dumont)
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (30-27 Dumont)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (30-27 Dumont)

The Official Result
Norma Dumont def. Chelsea Chandler via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Angelo picks Chelsea Chandler for the upset, calling her the far more dangerous fighter. He notes Norma has a clear advantage in experience and fight IQ, but she got rocked by Carol Rosa, and Chelsea can do the same. He recommends betting on Chelsea wins inside the distance with decision no action, meaning if it goes to decision he gets a refund. He believes Norma is not dangerous and Chelsea is tough, so if anyone is finished, it's Norma.

wins inside the distance (decision no action)
"I'm gonna go with Chelsea for the upset but the BET should absolutely be wins inside the distance decision no action"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Big Brady picks Chelsea Chandler, citing her aggression and dog mentality. He admits Dumont is probably the better fighter but thinks Chandler's aggressiveness will go a long way. He expects a close decision where Chandler does a little more across 15 minutes, possibly landing harder shots or getting takedowns. He calls the fight 'greasy' and says he's not betting on it.

"I'm gonna side with Chelsea Chandler and for this reason I think the better fighter is probably actually Dumont at this point but you know Chelsea Chandler has that dog in her she's aggressive she's gonna be the more aggressive …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Cody leans toward Chandler as a value play at plus money, noting Dumont's low volume and Chandler's aggressive style. He thinks Chandler lands the better shots and that the judges may favor damage and output over cage control. He acknowledges it's a 50/50 fight and prefers the plus money. He also considers the under 2.5 rounds, thinking Chandler could overwhelm Dumont early.

under 2.5 rounds at +180; fight doesn't go to decision
"I think this is the kind of play that at plus money you're maybe just gonna take whoever it is is the value side... if you're going to lean it towards a 50 50 type fight based on which judges …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

The host believes Dumont is the better striker and will put together solid combinations to damage Chandler. He thinks Chandler's lack of experience and raw game will be exposed, and Dumont may even get a TKO finish due to the skill gap on the feet.

Dumont by TKO
"I'm going to be taking Dumont via TKO"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Paul leans toward Chandler as an underdog, citing her bruiser style and high pace in her debut. He thinks her forward pressure and volume could overwhelm Dumont, who has low output. He notes the price is attractive at +120 and expects a close fight. He also considers the under 2.5 rounds at +180, thinking Chandler might finish early.

under 2.5 rounds at +180; fight doesn't go to decision at +155/+170
"I'm leaning towards the underdog Chelsea Chandler to get the job done here... Chandler showed in that stoliaranko fight that like you know she if she can keep that pace... big Norm's going to be in big trouble"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

The MMA Guru picks Norma Dumont over Chelsea Chandler, emphasizing Dumont's proven track record against higher-level competition, including wins over Karol Rosa and a close fight with Irene Aldana. He dismisses Chandler's win over Julija Stoliarenko and notes her losses to Alexis Davis and Julia Avila. He predicts Dumont wins.

"I'm gonna have to go with Norma jammont because she's literally had decent scraps with decent level competition"
WIN vs Karol Rosa
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · Apr 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Norma Dumont 1 33 of 68 48% 144 of 194 0 of 2 0% 0 0 3:13
Karol Rosa 0 35 of 87 40% 63 of 129 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Norma Dumont 0 8 of 19 42% 25 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Karol Rosa 0 11 of 26 42% 15 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:30
2 Norma Dumont 0 7 of 18 38% 47 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:57
Karol Rosa 0 11 of 28 39% 27 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:05
3 Norma Dumont 1 18 of 31 58% 72 of 88 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:16
Karol Rosa 0 13 of 33 39% 21 of 47 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Norma Dumont 33 of 68 48% 19 of 43 8 of 11 6 of 14 20 of 53 13 of 15 0 of 0
Karol Rosa 35 of 87 40% 18 of 64 9 of 13 8 of 10 27 of 76 8 of 11 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Norma Dumont 8 of 19 42% 3 of 7 3 of 5 2 of 7 6 of 17 2 of 2 0 of 0
Karol Rosa 11 of 26 42% 5 of 17 2 of 4 4 of 5 9 of 24 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Norma Dumont 7 of 18 38% 4 of 13 3 of 4 0 of 1 4 of 13 3 of 5 0 of 0
Karol Rosa 11 of 28 39% 7 of 22 4 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 21 4 of 7 0 of 0
3 Norma Dumont 18 of 31 58% 12 of 23 2 of 2 4 of 6 10 of 23 8 of 8 0 of 0
Karol Rosa 13 of 33 39% 6 of 25 3 of 3 4 of 5 11 of 31 2 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Norma Dumont vs. Karol Rosa
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dumont (-115), Rosa (-105)

Round 1
An all-Brazil battle at the rare women’s featherweight category is about to play out, with the victor here between Rosa (16-4, 5-1 UFC) and Dumont (8-2, 4-2 UFC) very possibly a win away from a crack at the belt in that division – should the champ wish to defend. Unlike the previous matchup that expected a knockout that did not get delivered, these ladies have gone the distance a combined 19 times in their 30 pro outings, while accounting for all nine of their UFC wins. Referee Chris Tognoni might be in this one for the long haul, and it opens up with a touch of gloves. The featherweights are tentative to engage, with Rosa reaching out with a low kick and a front kick from out of range to account for the first minute. They spring into action, throwing alternating hooks, and they catch one another as Rosa gets the worst of it and blinks it out. Dumont moves to the center of the Octagon and throws the low kick, and she swats out with a left to follow. A person from the crowd shows “let’s go” to spur the ladies into action, as they stand in front of one another doing nothing. Tognoni asks them to fight, and they do, briefly, with looping hooks aimed at one another. After the exchange, they get back to a lull of inactivity, with Rosa landing a single leg kick. Dumont answers with one, and Tognoni implores them to do something. Dumont crashes the pocket and ties Rosa up, and she is warned for hooking her fingers in the fence to keep Rosa stuck against it. Rosa punches her opponent on the posterior as Dumont gloms onto her, and Dumont pays it no mind as she presses on the Parana Vale Tudo fighter. Tognoni tells Dumont to stay busy, and Rosa punches her in the backside a few more times before Dumont knees her in the belly. Tognoni breaks the two up after nothing happens in the clinch, and they start slinging leather in short bursts. Dumont calms down and lands a leg kick, one that Rosa meets immediately after. Dumont springs forward with two punches that split the guard, and she takes punches and a pair of knees in response before the slow round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Dumont

Round 2
The second round kicks off as the two ladies high-five, and Dumont gets her engine roaring as she throws down. Fists fly, and Rosa takes a few on the chin that knock her back to the wall. Dumont tags her a few more times, until the featherweights clinch up, and Dumont immediately grabs it and is warned. The punches from “The Immortal” cause some serious damage on Rosa’s eye, as a cut appears to have formed on or around the eyelid to make Rosa look as if she were weeping blood a la Le Chiffre. It is not a derangement of the tear duct, and instead a result of Dumont’s effective left hand, but they slow down in the clinch. Tognoni considers breaking them, until Rosa sets up a Thai clinch and knees the body a few times. Dumont squeezes her against the wall even tighter, and is once more warned for hooking her fingers in the chain links. Rosa is able to escape the clinch and still seems to be able to see, as she swings her way into a combination that ends up with another tie-up. Rosa pursues a body lock takedown, and Dumont stays upright as Tognoni watches on to make sure no funny business happens. Dumont tries to counter throw her opponent, and Rosa stops it from succeeding and knees her on the chin. Dumont gives her a knee back to the body, and Rosa is content to jam Dumont up in this position. Try as she might, Dumont cannot escape, and Rosa belts her in the face with a cheeky elbow. The round concludes as Rosa breaks off to throw hands, with Dumont replying with a knee to the body.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Dumont

Round 3
A glove touch starts off the last round at range, and Dumont opens up with two leg kicks and one to the midsection. Rosa throws one back, prompting Dumont to retaliate with a one-two down the middle. Rosa is caught when throwing by Dumont’s oncoming clinch attempt, but they do not tie one another up and instead return to kickboxing range. Dumont sticks out a jab on that damaged eye and scores a low kick, and it is partially checked as she hops on it when recoiling. Dumont jabs the body as Rosa kicks her in the body, and Rosa gets off a quick right hand over the top. Rosa charges her way into a clinch, landing a few shots before closing the distance, and Dumont turns her around with ease. Dumont hangs on with this position, slowing down any offense from either fighter to practically nothing, as Rosa wriggles her arms while Dumont holds both underhooks. Rosa gains space by a matter of inches to use her elbow to frame off and push away, and Dumont counters with a throw that dumps the PRVT fighter to her back. Rosa jumps right back up instead of settling on her back, and she whips a one-two at her opponent. Rosa loads up on a right hand, and Dumont drops to a knee and shakes her head out. Rosa crashes towards her, and she ends up clinching instead of throwing more strikes. Rosa gets off a couple short elbows and a right hand from up close, and Dumont recovers by holding on and turning her about in the tie-up. Rosa gets some space with 30 seconds to spare, and Rosa walks her down and slugs her in the face with her right hand. Dumont backs off, and she seeks a clinch to slow things down. Rosa throws her foe down on her face, and when they stand up, Rosa spins with a back elbow that drills into the face of “The Immortal.” Dumont is stunned but still with it, and the horn blows to end this drudge of a potential eliminator.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-28 Dumont)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-28 Dumont)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-28 Dumont)

The Official Result
Norma Dumont def. Karol Rosa via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Angelo picks Norma Dumont as an underdog, surprised she is +125. He trusts her size, takedown defense, and striking acumen. He notes that while Rosa has high volume, she gets hit twice as often. He thinks Dumont's technical striking will be the difference and that she can pull off the upset.

"I like Norma Dumont here she's sitting at plus 125 right now and I'm surprised... Norma Dumont Underdog pick on this card I think she's gonna pull off the upset."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Big Brady leans with Norma Dumont to win by split decision, but has no confidence in the pick. He notes that the fight is at featherweight, which favors Dumont's size, and that the grappling exchanges will decide the winner. He sees both fighters having been taken down in the past, but gives a slight edge to Dumont's size to get on top and win minutes on the ground. He is passing on betting this fight entirely.

passing on betting
"I'm going to take her I'm going to say she does get take down Sierra she does get on top she uses that size to kind of win minutes on the ground but just no no confidence in this fight …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Apr 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Cody picks Rosa, hoping she can use her volume and speed to outwork Dumont. He notes Dumont doesn't wrestle enough and Rosa has good takedown defense. However, he admits it's a close fight and he is relying on Dumont fighting a bad game plan. He acknowledges Dumont's wrestling could be a problem if she uses it.

"I'm gonna go roast to the other side but uh I hear you I think it's gonna come down to the takedown with Carol Rosa"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Connor picks Karol Rosa, arguing that Dumont is too patient and doesn't know how to grapple, which will be a problem against Rosa's willingness to wrestle. He notes that Rosa flourishes when she can dictate the nature of the fight, and Dumont's lack of pressure will allow Rosa to work. Connor also criticizes Dumont's resume, saying she has mostly beaten non-threatening opponents.

Odds comment: Rosa opened at -142, currently -103; Dumont opened at +128, now -114. Connor says that line movement doesn't make sense.
"I think that this probably makes this Dumont fight a pretty good one for Hosa, frankly."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Karol Rosa is the more well-rounded fighter with better output, technical striking, and ground game. However, she is moving up to featherweight, where Norma Dumont has a size and strength advantage. Rosa struggled against the physicality of Sarah McMahon in the past. Dumont is a wild card with inconsistent performances and weight issues. Rosa should use her footwork and volume to outpoint Dumont, but it's a close fight. Prediction: Rosa by decision, with low confidence.

Over 2.5 rounds might be a good play
"I'm still going to lean with the hostess side thinking that she has more paths to Victory here... I'm thinking that we're going to see a horse out Striker here win this five-year decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Paul picks Dumont, noting he got her at plus 125 earlier. He believes Dumont has the power and wrestling advantage, and can take Rosa down and control her. He acknowledges Rosa's volume and speed but thinks Dumont's size and strength will be decisive. He mentions the line has moved to minus 120 and there may not be much value left.

"big Norm will be my pick I'm already on her um but at a significantly better price as this becomes more like minus 120 minus 130 I mean I don't know if there's too much meat on the bone"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

The MMA Guru picks Norma Dumont, agreeing with a coin flip. He thinks Dumont is a much better fighter than Karol Rosa, noting Rosa's lack of takedown ability and Dumont's decent takedown defense. He cites Dumont's clean win over Danielle Wolfe and believes she will outclass Rosa on the feet. He predicts a decision win, 29-28 or 30-27.

decision
"I am going to go with Norma Jamon here I just think she's like such a better fighter than Carol Rosa is"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Karol Rosa. He notes that Dumont is a solid counter puncher but too patient and doesn't seize initiative. Zane believes Rosa will get a ton of time to work and that Dumont struggles when put on her back. He also points out that Rosa is a willing wrestler and that Dumont's wins are over weak competition.

"I think so too. I mean, I do think it has the potential to... we might see some interesting clashes here because Dumont for all of her overpatience, it is because she is a pretty solid counter puncher."
WIN vs Danyelle Wolf
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · Sep 10, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Norma Dumont 1 52 of 110 47% 99 of 161 2 of 2 100% 0 0 6:41
Danyelle Wolf 0 20 of 95 21% 44 of 120 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Norma Dumont 0 17 of 46 36% 17 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Danyelle Wolf 0 9 of 48 18% 9 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Norma Dumont 1 22 of 48 45% 28 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:04
Danyelle Wolf 0 10 of 40 25% 26 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Norma Dumont 0 13 of 16 81% 54 of 60 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:37
Danyelle Wolf 0 1 of 7 14% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Norma Dumont 52 of 110 47% 32 of 80 8 of 10 12 of 20 33 of 84 6 of 7 13 of 19
Danyelle Wolf 20 of 95 21% 12 of 80 7 of 13 1 of 2 18 of 92 2 of 2 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Norma Dumont 17 of 46 36% 8 of 30 3 of 3 6 of 13 17 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danyelle Wolf 9 of 48 18% 5 of 42 3 of 5 1 of 1 9 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Norma Dumont 22 of 48 45% 12 of 35 5 of 7 5 of 6 15 of 36 6 of 7 1 of 5
Danyelle Wolf 10 of 40 25% 6 of 32 4 of 7 0 of 1 8 of 38 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Norma Dumont 13 of 16 81% 12 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 12 of 14
Danyelle Wolf 1 of 7 14% 1 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Norma Dumont vs. Danyelle Wolf

Round 1
Rounding out the prelims is a rare women’s featherweight contest, as relative divisional mainstay Dumont (7-2, 3-2 UFC) looks to bounce back from her first career decision loss against the debuting MMA neophyte Wolf (1-0, 0-0 UFC). Wolf, eight years the elder at 39, will try to get things going in a hurry, on the heels of a decent amateur boxing career that amassed her a record of 30-14 – albeit without landing a single knockout. Referee Jason Herzog draws the charge for this highly relevant tilt at 145 pounds, where the winner could be on the short list for Amanda Nunes’ next defense. There is a sporting touch of hands between the two, and they are tense to start off the match. Dumont slaps the leg with a kick and hops back when Wolf throws a straight right hand at her. The Brazilian lands another leg kick, and a third is greeted by a right hook by the ex-boxer. Wolf jabs her way forward, and Dumont slaps them down one after the other. Dumont sits down on another low kick, and she aims a side kick at her opponent to mix things up. Wolf reaches with jabs that miss, and a front kick that barely connects to the body. Wolf steps into a right hand, and has subsequent blows swatted away by “The Immortal.” Wolf whips a body kick, and she bullies into close range to loose a right hand. Dumont winds up with a leg kick, and Wolf takes a funny step and measures her jab a few more times. Dumont slides one and lands her own, and she rings Wolf’s bell with a hard right hand. A stunned Wolf takes a second to recover, and she gathers her thoughts and pops Dumont with a left hand. Wolf throws up a high kick that comes up short, and she spins around before Dumont can make her pay for the inaccurate strike. Dumont keeps working the lead leg, and Wolf plods forward with three punches, while only landing with the last one. Wolf connects with a left hand as she starts getting her range, and Dumont catches her with a right hand again. Wolf replies with a front kick, and Dumont counters her with two looping rights. Dumont ends this brief combination with a low kick, and a welt has formed on the lower thigh of the American. Dumont scores a right hook when Wolf charges forward, and she connects with a few more punches and grins as the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dumont

Round 2
Gloves get touched to start off the second frame, and Wolf begins the round intending on jabbing. Dumont walks through one to swat out a right hand, and she kicks the lead leg to follow. Another low kick comes from the Brazilian, and Wolf punches the body in response. They collect with quick punches, and Wolf fires out jabs that do not land but keep Dumont at bay. Dumont chops at the lead leg, and Wolf works the body with a straight fight hand. When Wolf dips a punch, Dumont comes after her ducking head with another. Wolf blinks it out and keeps working the jab, with few actually landing. Dumont pushes her back with a solid right, and Wolf chains two punches together that get the Brazilian’s attention. Dumont grabs hold of her, knees her in the belly, and trips the boxer out to take her down to the canvas. Wolf frames off with her long legs, and Dumont lets her up so that she can bully her up against the fence with elbows and short shots. Dumont scores short knees and grinds the 1-0 fighter against the cage, and she lets go to find a better angle. Dumont has her head snapped back by an oncoming jab, and she spins with a hook kick that Wolf dodges. Wolf powers forward with winging punches, and Dumont counters her with a clean right hand. A subsequent overhand right rocks Wolf badly, and the former boxer is on roller skates as she gets shoved back to the wire. Dumont lines up a knee and a few short punches on the inside, and Wolf appears to have gotten her bearings as she pushes away. Wolf throws heavily with inaccurate punches, and Dumont responds with a leg kick and a huge overhand right that knocks the American down to the mat again. Dumont climbs on top and starts hammering her, but the round ends before a finish can materialize. Wolf’s right eye starts swelling up fast as she walks back to her corner in a daze.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Dumont
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Dumont
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Dumont

Round 3
The featherweights clap hands to start off the last round, and they both trade jabs early. Dumont ducks one to elevate her opponent, and she slams Wolf down to the mat with ease. The Brazilian moves right into full mount, and she elects to move back to half guard so that she can keep Wolf grounded. Dumont presses her shoulder heavily to keep Wolf trapped, and she starts slugging Wolf in the face with hammerfists. Wolf throws her legs up to isolate an arm, and Dumont gets her left arm trapped under Wolf’s knee. Wolf, with her hands free and Dumont trapped on top of her, starts punching her opponent, and several land to the back of the head. Dumont wriggles her arm out and stands up, and Wolf uses her long legs to keep Dumont from climbing on top of her. Push kicks from her back allow Wolf to stop Dumont from advancing, until the Brazilian hits an angle and slides in to side control. Wolf tries to buck off and stand back up, so Dumont answers this by moving to mount. “The Immortal” drops down left hands until Wolf ties her up, and she grinds her forehead on Wolf’s chin to make her miserable. Wolf recovers to half guard, and Dumont squeezes down with her shoulder in an unsuccessful arm-triangle choke. Dumont sits up and pummels Wolf with punches, and blood trickles out the ex-boxer’s nose from the strikes. Dumont covers Wolf’s mouth when she is not laying into her with her fists, and Wolf is out of options as she is trapped while Dumont holds her there in three-quarter mount. Dumont hammers her foe with punches and elbows, and Wolf’s face contorts into pain and discomfort as Dumont beats on her like Wolf owes her money. Wolf hangs on for dear life, and Dumont smashes her with elbows until the final bell rings, saving the formerly undefeated fighter from any further punishment.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Dumont (30-25 Dumont)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 Dumont (30-25 Dumont)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Dumont (30-25 Dumont)

The Official Result
Norma Dumont def. Danyelle Wolf via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Angelo picks Norma Dumont, noting she is a technical striker with takedowns, which should be the difference against a boxer with no MMA experience. He thinks Dumont will grapple heavily and take Wolf down. He has no bets because the odds are too high, but he expects Dumont to win.

no bets due to high odds
"Norma does have the takedowns that she does she's got five takedowns and I imagine she's gonna grapple heavy in this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 8, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Big Brady picks Norma Dumont to win by first-round submission, emphasizing her clear path to victory via takedowns and ground control. He notes Danyelle Wolf is a 39-year-old boxing convert with only one MMA fight and a BJJ white belt, while Dumont is a BJJ brown belt. He warns that if Dumont chooses to strike, she won't look like a -450 favorite, but expects her to be smart and finish early.

first round submission
"I like Dumont here to win by first round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Cody picks Norma Dumont, noting that Danyelle Wolf is 38 and looked terrible in her debut. He believes Dumont should win, but is wary of the -425 price. He mentions that Dumont's wrestling is not great, but Wolf's ground game is likely worse. He picks Dumont to win but says it's a weird spot.

Dumont over 1.5 takedowns on PrizePicks
"i'm picking big norm to win but uh yeah i'm kind of just weirded out by this whole situation"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Daniel Levi picks Norma Dumont confidently. He notes that despite Wolf's boxing background, MMA is different with kicks and takedowns. He believes Dumont should cover the -410 price if she fights smart, but he personally won't lay the chalk.

"I think norma dumont should cover this price tag."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Jacob also picks Norma Dumont as the safe play, but thinks Wolf could surprise people with improved takedown defense after two years at Kings MMA. He notes Dumont is a striker who was taken down repeatedly by Macy Chiasson, so if Wolf can stuff takedowns, she could land big shots. He might sprinkle Wolf into a DraftKings lineup.

might sprinkle Wolf into a DraftKings lineup
"My picks will be Norma I think if you pick against her that's fine the safe play is Norma but I think Wolf's gonna surprise some people."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 9, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Norma Dumont

The host picks Norma Dumont but is flabbergasted at the -410 line. He expects Dumont to have a grappling advantage and get a submission or TKO, but notes her inconsistency. He also took a small shot on Wolf at +330 and the under 2.5 rounds as a hedge.

under 2.5 rounds (+175), small shot on Danyelle Wolf (+330)
"Official prediction is going to be Dumont by submission and I think the under two and a half is probably the best way to go about it."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Paul picks Norma Dumont but is hesitant, noting that women's MMA is unpredictable. He points out that Wolf is a boxer with no ground game, but Dumont's striking volume is low and she has been taken down before. He thinks Dumont should win but the price is not attractive.

"big norm like you know we i've been a supporter for a lot of her fights on here picked her up on a couple dog shots but minus 425 ain't it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2022 (fight day)
Norma Dumont

The MMA Guru picks Norma Dumont to win by decision, 30-27. He expects Dumont to outbox and outgrapple Wolf, mixing in takedowns and ground control. He notes Wolf can box a bit, so Dumont may chop at the legs and use grappling to secure the win. He dismisses the fight as unimportant, noting Wolf is 39 and not ready for the UFC.

decision 30-27
"Norma demons versus Daniel wolf I'm gonna go Norma Jamon wins this one by decision 3027"
LOSS vs Macy Chiasson
Decision (split) (30–27, 28–29, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · May 07, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Macy Chiasson 0 32 of 89 35% 131 of 194 6 of 12 50% 0 0 7:34
Norma Dumont 0 38 of 75 50% 96 of 136 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Macy Chiasson 0 19 of 57 33% 19 of 57 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:02
Norma Dumont 0 16 of 41 39% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Macy Chiasson 0 10 of 25 40% 42 of 62 2 of 6 33% 0 0 3:13
Norma Dumont 0 10 of 17 58% 33 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
3 Macy Chiasson 0 3 of 7 42% 70 of 75 3 of 5 60% 0 0 4:19
Norma Dumont 0 12 of 17 70% 42 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Macy Chiasson 32 of 89 35% 14 of 59 8 of 13 10 of 17 27 of 84 5 of 5 0 of 0
Norma Dumont 38 of 75 50% 27 of 60 8 of 10 3 of 5 28 of 62 10 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Macy Chiasson 19 of 57 33% 9 of 38 3 of 6 7 of 13 19 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Norma Dumont 16 of 41 39% 14 of 38 1 of 1 1 of 2 15 of 40 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Macy Chiasson 10 of 25 40% 3 of 15 4 of 6 3 of 4 6 of 21 4 of 4 0 of 0
Norma Dumont 10 of 17 58% 3 of 7 5 of 7 2 of 3 5 of 9 5 of 8 0 of 0
3 Macy Chiasson 3 of 7 42% 2 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
Norma Dumont 12 of 17 70% 10 of 15 2 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 13 4 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Macy Chiasson vs. Norma Dumont (146.5: Missed Weight)
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dumont (-220), Chiasson (+180)

Round 1
In this unexpected 147-pound catchweight affair, this time, it is not Chiasson (7-2, 5-2 UFC) who tipped the scales above the featherweight limit. Instead, it is Dumont (7-1, 3-1 UFC), who continues her issue with weigh-ins as she could not find the bantamweight cap well either. Depending on the result, and due to the thinness of the division, the victor here could be up next for a crack at Amanda Nunes’ 145-pound throne. Referee Keith Peterson is on call for this nonsense-free title eliminator, and the fighters are intense and but still touch gloves to start things off. Chiasson keeps a wide berth and prods out with a front kick to the knee, and she switches things up with a high kick that gets blocked. Chiasson targets another high head kick, and wades forward with a pair of punches. They trade leg kicks, and Chiasson stays a little more active from distance as Dumont watches on. When Chiasson leaves a kick out too long, she gets knocked back from an overhand right. Chiasson fakes a level change, and Dumont is ready to meet her and delivers a right hand over the top. A front kick from Chiasson slaps into Dumont’s face, and Dumont tries and fails to toss out a leg kick. The pace is slow but deliberate, as Chiasson comes out with a body kick and a straight left hand. “The Immortal” charges and whiffs on a handful of punches, and she loads up with a right hand that makes Chiasson turn. Chiasson goes after another low kick, and Dumont smacks her again with a right hook. Dumont grabs hold of a clinch, and Chiasson breaks free and plants her left fist on Dumont’s jaw. Dumont shakes her head, but she absorbed the blow cleanly without reprisal. Dumont blocks a head kick, and she hunts for her overhand when Chiasson is kicking at her. Dumont reaches out with two punches, but Chiasson is out of range and dodges. Chiasson stings her with a right hand, and Dumont wobbles her knees and slings a right back her foe’s way. Chiasson steps in with a left hand, and she dodges and slips a right hand to hit a takedown as Dumont attempts to spin. The round ends right after the ladies hit the ground.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Chiasson
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Chiasson
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Chiasson

Round 2
The featherweights clap hands to start off Round 2, and Chiasson is ready to throw a head kick. It partially gets through, and Dumont responds with a front kick only to get kicked back. Chiasson navigates at her own range, keeping Dumont guessing and staying active enough to shut down Dumont’s typical hard-charging offense. Dumont lands a solid right hand when getting kicked, and Chiasson slides back and chops at the knee with her shin. Chiasson keeps moving and has a leg kick checked, leading her to shoot in to get hold of a body lock and try to take the fight down. Tying Dumont up against the fence, Chiasson pursues a single down low, but the Brazilian stands tall and keeps herself on her feet. Chiasson muscles her down to the ground, and as Dumont leans forward to try to get up, Chiasson looks to take her back. Chiasson does not get her hooks in, and instead falls over when Dumont turns. Chiasson manages to fight her way back up again, not willing to stay grounded when Dumont plants her on her backside. Chiasson lands a few middling knees to the thigh as she holds Dumont in this position, and she grinds her foe until she trips her down. Chiasson falls to her back when trying to take her opponent down, and she gets back up when Dumont cannot hold her there. Chiasson knees Dumont in the chest as she clinches her up and pushes her to the wall, and the color commentators of Joe Rogan and Daniel Cormier relentlessly bash the ladies competing while essentially stating that they are nowhere near championship-level fighters. As they do, Chiasson tries for a trip, and she settles to lean heavily to keep Dumont pinned there until the disappointing round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Chiasson
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Chiasson
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Chiasson

Round 3
There is a touch of gloves to start off the last round, and Dumont opens up with a left hand that rings Chiasson’s bell. The Brazilian continues her assault with a few punches that rattle Chiasson, and force Chiasson to take her down. Dumont gets back up, shoved to the wall, and dragged back down with a single from Chiasson. Dumont once more returns to her feet, and Chiasson holds on tight while trying to get her bearings back after getting tagged in the opening seconds. The crowd begins to loudly voice its disapproval as Chiasson grinds her foe into the wire, and Peterson asks them to keep working. Chiasson fails to get a takedown, but she settles for a knee up the middle and gets popped with a right hand. When eating that punch, Chiasson charges again to take her down. Dumont is only on her back for a few seconds before walking up the wall, and Chiasson hangs on to her in that position again. The crowd lets them have it as Chiasson embraces the grind, and Peterson lets them keep at it as Chiasson delivers a plethora of short knees to the thigh. Seeing that Peterson will not step in, Dumont tries for herself to score a knee up the middle. Chiasson goes for a trip, and it fails, allowing Dumont to fall on top of her. They both stand up, and Chiasson throws a head kick recklessly. While Chiasson has her leg in the air, Dumont gets off two stinging punches that rock Chiasson again. Chiasson dives desperately for a double, hurt again from the blows and totally fatigued, and all she can do is push Dumont to the wall. Chiasson allows control time to rack up as she hangs on, and Dumont gets hold of the neck and sets up a guillotine choke with seconds left in the round. Chiasson punches the thigh repeatedly to no effect, and the grueling, exhausting fight finally ends as they are clinched up.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (29-28 Chiasson)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (29-28 Chiasson)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (29-28 Chiasson)

The Official Result
Macy Chiasson def. Norma Dumont via Split Decision (30-27, 28-29, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Angelo picks Norma Dumont, liking her to crowd Macy and light her up in the pocket. He thinks Dumont will work takedowns against the cage but expects a striking match. He notes that the odds are wide and Dumont should be around -130, not -270.

Odds comment: Dumont should be around -130, not -270
"norma's the pick but i think that she should be like a minus 130 favorite nowhere near the minus 270"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Big Brady picks Norma Dumont to win by decision. He believes Dumont is the more well-rounded fighter with good striking and grappling. Chiasson has a size advantage in height and reach, but her takedown defense is a liability, as seen against Renaud and Lansberg. Dumont can mix in takedowns and control Chiasson on the mat. Brady thinks the line is wide but agrees Dumont should be the favorite. He expects a competitive fight on the feet but Dumont's path to victory is through takedowns and control.

decision
"I think dumont wins I think she should win I think she should be the favorite but you know minus 220 it's definitely wide"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Cody picks Norma Dumont but is not confident at -225. He notes that Chiasson is moving up to 145 and has defensive liabilities. Dumont has a slight grappling and striking advantage, and her technical boxing is sharper. However, Cody thinks the price is too high and that the fight is closer to a coin flip. He will keep an eye on weigh-ins.

"official pick will be dumont for now i'm going to keep my eye on wayne's to see what json looks like"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 5, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Daniel Levi picks Norma Dumont confidently, citing her fundamentals, jab, leg kicks, and well-rounded game. He questions Chiasson's mental toughness and heart, noting she has been outworked despite size advantages. He expects Dumont to win a decision. However, he does not bet the fight because he does not want to lay -220.

Daniel does not bet this fight. He mentions Dumont wins but passes at the price.
"I'm going to pick Dumont to come out here and win this decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 6, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Norma Dumont

The host picks Norma Dumont, believing she is the better striker and physically strong enough to negate Chiasson's bullying style. He notes Chiasson's success comes from being the bigger fighter, but Dumont is thick and strong. He expects Dumont to land the more significant strikes and possibly get a knockdown. He is not keen on betting Dumont at -220 but prefers the decision prop at +100. He also likes 'fight goes to decision' at -220.

Dumont wins by decision +100; fight goes to decision -220
"i like dumont uh give me fight goes to decision as well i do think that this will be a a little bit of a back and forth fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Paul does not make a clear pick. He is torn on this fight and mentions liking the under 2.5 rounds at +180. He notes that Dumont has won by cage control and greasy decisions, but he doesn't love the fight. He does not express a preference for either fighter.

under 2.5 rounds at +180
"i'm really really torn on this one i don't my i know it's a women's mma fight so this is kind of silly but i don't mind the under two and a half plus one eighty"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

The MMA Guru picks Norma Dumont, praising her technical boxing as some of the best in women's MMA above strawweight. He notes she beat Felicia Spencer and had a close fight with Raquel Pennington. He believes Dumont will pick Chiasson apart at range for three rounds, winning 30-27. He mentions he bet on Dumont.

bet on Norma Dumont
"i bet on norma jamont um she lost to megan anderson but megan anderson is a massive woman happened to catch her with a big ko blow"
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Norma Dumont

Angelo picks Norma Dumont confidently, citing her technical striking, patience, and takedown defense. He notes Ketlen Vieira is bigger but slower and less technical, relying on cage control. He thinks Norma's speed and accuracy will be too much, and expects a decision win. He is very confident in Norma but doesn't see many points in DFS due to a lack of finishes.

"Very confident in Norma, but I don't think there's a lot of points to be had."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Norma Dumont

Big Brady picks Norma Dumont, noting she looked great in her last fight against Aldana with faster hands. He acknowledges Ketlen Vieira has elite takedown defense but believes the fight will stay standing, where Dumont is the better striker. He predicts a decision win for Dumont.

decision
"I'm going to go Dumont. She looked really good in her last fight against Aldana. ... I think the better striker is going to be Dumont. So yeah, Dumont for me and Dumont to win this fight by decision there."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Norma Dumont

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Dumont is a sharpshooter who can even things up with one hit. He thinks Vieira is not capable of putting pressure on Dumont, and if the fight is a coin flip, Dumont has the edge because she can push a pace Vieira never has.

Dumont opened at -150, now -163; Vieira opened at +130, now +143.
"I think dumont is enough of a sharpshooter that she can even things up with with one hit."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Oct 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Lucrative James picks Norma Dumont, but acknowledges it's a close fight. He believes Dumont is the better striker with better range control and takedown defense, and that she can stop Vieira's takedowns. However, he notes that Vieira's path to victory is through grappling, and if she can get top position, she could win. James sees value in the fight going to decision.

fight goes to decision
"I'm going to pick Dumont. I think she's the better striker."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Norma Dumont

Dumont will get her sixth straight victory by putting it on Vieira with her striking and physicality, possibly landing a few takedowns. Dumont is in much better shape and a better state of her career, leading to a decision win.

"I believe Dant will be successful in getting her six sixth straight victory here as she really puts it on Vieier with her striking, her physicality, maybe landing a few takedowns. But I think Dont is in much better shape and in a better state of her career and that …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

The MMA Guru picks Norma Dumont, highlighting her recent sharp stand-up performance against Irene Aldana. He criticizes Ketlen Vieira's inconsistency and poor recent performances. He believes Dumont has momentum and will win by decision, possibly 29-28.

"I'm going to say that Norma Dumont's got the momentum right now and I'm going to say that Norma Dumont pulls this one off by decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Norma Dumont

Zane picks Dumont because she is a sharp striker who can push a pace that Vieira cannot match. He notes that Vieira is stiff and wide open, and Dumont has the ability to land fight-changing shots. Even if Dumont has a bad fight, he expects a narrow contest, and if she has a good one, she wins clearly.

Dumont opened at -150, now -163; Vieira opened at +130, now +143.
"I think I have to pick norma dumont here because even if she comes out and tries to be a neutralizing fighter, I simply do not have the trust that viera will win that fight."