UFC on ESPN: Overeem vs. Harris

Big Brady picks Walt Harris by first-round knockout, citing Overeem's diminished chin and Harris' power. He notes that Overeem is likely the better fighter overall but cannot be trusted due to his chin, which has been knocked out 13 times. He believes Harris will land one shot and finish the fight. He acknowledges that Overeem could win if he takes Harris down, but doubts his wrestling is good enough. He mentions the emotional motivation for Harris after his daughter's passing.

Daniel Levi picks Walt Harris via vicious knockout. He believes Harris has turned a corner, putting things together, and has the proper technique and power to put away Overeem. He notes that Overeem is the more skilled fighter but has a small margin for error and is in denial about his recent KO loss. Levi emphasizes that Harris should stay composed and not fight too emotionally.

The host is torn but ultimately picks Overeem, citing his experience and ability to adjust after the Rozenstruik fight. He believes Overeem will be elusive, avoid Harris's early power, and take the fight to the ground for a TKO. He admits he's rooting for Harris due to his personal story but thinks Overeem's skills and tools will prevail.

Big Brady picks Cláudia Gadelha by decision, citing her wrestling and grappling advantage. He notes that Hill has improved but still gets taken down by lower-level opponents. He is worried about Gadelha's gas tank and expects Hill to win the third round on the feet, but believes Gadelha will win the first two rounds with takedowns and control. He also mentions a possible submission from Gadelha.

Daniel Levi picks Cláudia Gadelha via submission. He notes that historically Angela Hill loses when stepping up in competition, and Gadelha has good people behind her now. He expects Gadelha to take Hill down, pass guard, and submit her. He acknowledges that if Hill survives the first round, her striking volume could make things interesting, but ultimately believes Gadelha will play it smart.

The host picks Angela Hill, arguing that Gadelha has plateaued while Hill is still improving. He notes Hill's kickboxing and grappling defense, and believes she will out-strike Gadelha over three rounds for a decision win. He cites a decline in Gadelha's performance since her title fights.

Big Brady picks Dan Ige by decision, noting that Barboza is moving down a weight class and looked very skinny. He believes Ige will pressure Barboza and not let him get off his leg kicks. He acknowledges Barboza's takedown defense is good, but thinks Ige's pressure and volume will be key. He is worried about Barboza's chin at 145 and thinks Ige could even get a knockout. He notes that people sleep on Ige and he has been on him for his last five fights.

Daniel Levi picks Edson Barboza, stating that Barboza has levels above Ige in skill. He believes Barboza's speed advantage and kicks will light up Ige, and that Ige fades in round two every fight. He notes that Barboza has only been knocked out by champions and has beaten much higher competition. He predicts Barboza will out-strike Ige to a knockout or decision win.

The host picks Barboza, believing his size and reach advantage at featherweight will be too much for Ige. He thinks Ige lacks the power to crack Barboza's chin and that Barboza will chop away with leg kicks and win a decision. He notes Barboza's weight cut is a concern but thinks he will be a huge featherweight.

Big Brady picks Eryk Anders by second-round knockout, citing Anders' power and durability advantage over Jotko. He notes that Jotko is chinny and Anders hits hard, and that Anders has a better chin. He sees value in Anders at +135 underdog and expects a finish. He acknowledges the fight could be boring if it goes to decision, but believes Anders will land clean and put Jotko to sleep.

Daniel Levi leans towards Eryk Anders as the underdog. He notes that Jotko has lost confidence and has a habit of leaving his chin in the air. He believes Anders will touch Jotko's chin and put him down. He acknowledges that Jotko is more talented but thinks Anders can capitalize on Jotko's recent struggles.

The host picks Jotko, citing his ability to mix in grappling and his experience against better competition. He believes Jotko's reach and grappling advantage will allow him to drag Anders into deep waters and win a decision. He notes Anders' only chance is an early KO.

Big Brady picks Song Yadong by decision, noting that Yadong is a talented young fighter with good striking and takedown defense. He believes Vera does not have the wrestling to take Yadong down consistently, and that Yadong will win the first two rounds before potentially tiring in the third. He acknowledges Vera's finishing streak and danger in the third round, but thinks Yadong's durability and early rounds will carry him.

Daniel Levi picks Marlon Vera via third-round TKO. He believes Vera will take the early punishment and then turn it up late, similar to his previous comebacks. He notes that Song Yadong has cardio and chin questions, and that Vera has been improving with Jason Perillo. He thinks if Song doesn't get an early knockout, Vera will finish him late.

The host picks Vera but expresses worry. He thinks Song Yadong's explosiveness will cause him to gas out at featherweight, while Vera's slow and steady pace will allow him to survive the early storm and finish in the third round. He notes Vera's reach advantage and natural size at featherweight.

Big Brady picks Miguel Baeza by first-round knockout, but is hesitant. He notes that Baeza's leg kicks are a huge factor and that Brown is dangerous on the feet and has a path to victory via takedowns. He compares the fight to the Askarov vs. Kelleher fight where an undefeated fighter got knocked out. He does not agree with Baeza being a -175 favorite and thinks the line should be closer.

Daniel Levi slightly leans with Matt Brown. He acknowledges that Miguel Baeza is super talented and could blow Brown out with a liver kick, but he thinks Brown will drag him into deep waters and drown him. He notes that Brown has historically been weak to the body but has been fighting with his hands down lately. He sees this as a good lesson for Baeza regardless.

The host picks Matt Brown, believing his veteran experience and pressure against the cage will overwhelm the undefeated Baeza. He thinks Baeza has not faced adversity and will struggle when things don't go his way. He predicts a TKO finish in the second or third round.

Big Brady picks Anthony Hernandez by decision, citing Holland's poor fight IQ and takedown defense. He notes that Hernandez has good wrestling and BJJ, and can take Holland down and control him. He acknowledges Holland's talent but cannot trust him due to his low IQ. He sees a chance for Hernandez to submit Holland if Holland makes a mistake on the ground.

Daniel Levi picks Kevin Holland as the underdog. He thinks Holland is the better fighter but notes his inconsistency and tendency to lose position. He acknowledges that Hernandez has good takedown entries and power, but believes Holland's jiu-jitsu off his back and cleaner striking give him the edge. He calls it a close fight.

The host picks Kevin Holland, citing his toughness, submission game, and striking. He is unimpressed with Hernandez's recent win over Park and believes Holland's scrambles and submission defense will keep the fight standing where he can out-strike Hernandez for a decision win.

Big Brady does not give an official prediction for this fight because he has not watched film on Irwin Rivera. He notes that Chikadze has a significant height and reach advantage and likes what he has seen from Chikadze's striking, but cannot make a pick without more information. He says to check back tomorrow for a betting breakdown.

Daniel Levi picks Giga Chikadze via first-round knockout. He believes Chikadze will land his signature liver kick and finish Rivera. He notes that Rivera is taking the fight on short notice and will be outsized. He thinks Chikadze's dynamic kickboxing will be too much for Rivera.

The host picks Mike Davis, praising his technical striking and power. He is unimpressed with Giga Chikadze's recent performances and believes Davis will out-strike him and win a 30-27 decision. He notes Davis's toughness and ability to crack Chikadze with power shots.

Big Brady picks Darren Elkins by decision, citing Elkins' clear advantage in wrestling and grappling on the ground. He notes that Landwehr is a good striker and could win on the feet, and that Elkins has taken a lot of damage throughout his career and may be declining. He expects Elkins to use his wrestling to control the fight and win a close decision.

Daniel Levi picks Nate Landwehr to get his first UFC win. He believes father time has caught up with Elkins, whose durability is fading. He notes that Landwehr is younger, hungrier, and has good scrambling ability. He thinks Landwehr will put it on Elkins and knock him out.

The host picks Nate Landwehr, believing he will piece up the aging Darren Elkins. He thinks Landwehr will get a TKO finish in the second round, as Elkins is too old and past his prime. He notes Landwehr's bounce-back potential after his loss to Herbert Burns.

Big Brady picks Mara Romero Borella by decision, noting that Borella has a takedown advantage and Casey has poor takedown defense. He acknowledges that on the feet Casey is likely better, but believes Borella can get takedowns and control time on the ground. He mentions that Borella is chinny and has been knocked out multiple times, but still favors her due to the grappling edge.

Daniel Levi picks Cortney Casey. He notes that Casey is the far superior fighter and tougher, despite her questionable fight IQ. He believes Borella lacks chin and confidence, and if she can't get takedowns, she loses. He expects Casey to give up early takedowns but eventually land a big shot and win.

The host picks Mara Romero Borella, though he admits both fighters are not great. He cites Borella's physical advantages (shorter with longer reach) making it harder for Casey to get inside. He predicts a close, uneventful decision win for Borella.

Big Brady picks Rodrigo Nascimento (Rogério) to win by submission in the first round. He notes that Mayes has been taken down and submitted before, and Nascimento is very good on the ground. He acknowledges that on the feet it could be dicey due to Mayes' size and power, but believes Nascimento will get the takedown and finish quickly.

Daniel Levi leans with Rodrigo Nascimento due to his advantage on the mat. He notes that Mayes has an unorthodox striking style but suspect ground game and cardio. He acknowledges limited footage on Nascimento but believes his jiu-jitsu brown belt and training at ATT give him the edge. He has no confidence in this pick.

The host picks Rodrigo Nascimento, praising his submission skills and undefeated record. He believes Mayes lacks the grappling fundamentals to avoid submissions, and that Nascimento will get a submission in the first or second round. He notes Mayes' only chance is a knockout on the feet.