Career Averages - Krzysztof Jotko
Career Averages - Eryk Anders
Krzysztof Jotko - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 21 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:33 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 12 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 2:24 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 21 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:33 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 12 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 2:24 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 3 of 6 | 50% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 3 of 6 | 50% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 3 of 6 | 50% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 3 of 6 | 50% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Two of the quieter middleweights in the division with solid records and an eye on the rankings will come to blows now. Jotko (24-5, 11-5 UFC), who has earned 10 of his 11 UFC victories on the scorecards, will tangle with Allen (19-5, 7-2 UFC) and his 79% finish rate. The match will be officiated by referee Kerry Hatley, and the bad blood brewing this past week results in no touch of gloves. Jotko claims the center of the cage and takes a stomp kick to the knee when coming forward. Allen swats at him with several left hands, but a body kick is the strike that gets through and lands with a thud that echoes through the empty building. When Allen kicks again, he falls over, and Jotko climbs on top of him. Allen throws his legs up and sets up a straight armlock, but the Polish fighter is savvy enough to twist the right way through it to free his limb and keep top position. Jotko presses heavily with his full body weight while in half guard, smothering Allen and occasionally landing a punch or two. After a stalemate with Jotko holding him down, Allen explodes out of the position and flips Jotko over to his back. Jotko clings with a closed guard to trap Allen from delivering any ground-and-pound, and he holds Allen behind the neck as well. Allen cranks his foe’s neck from behind to open up the guard, and when he begins to open up with strikes, Jotko scrambles and works his way up. When clinched up, Allen muscles Jotko to the mat, and through sheer force of will, he manages to power Jotko to his back. Allen initially claims mount, but he settles for half guard as he fishes for a submission setup. Allen uses his shoulder and right arm to keep Jotko pinned to the mat, and Jotko bucks to turn to his knees.
Allen seizes on this moment expertly, following Jotko every step of the way and claiming his back. From there, Allen instantly finds the neck with a rear-naked choke grip, and it is academic at this point. Jotko rolls to his back, but the choke is going nowhere, so he has to surrender.
Allen is now the first fighter in over eight years to land a submission on Jotko, while notching his fourth sub since joining the UFC in 2019. After getting the finish, Allen goes over to squash the beef with his former opponent, and cooler heads appear to prevail.
The Official Result
Brendan Allen def. Krzysztof Jotko R1 4:17 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Cody picks Brendan Allen by decision, citing Allen's youth and improvement. He notes that Jotko's style of controlling against the cage may not be enough to win rounds if he doesn't do damage. He expects a greasy, close fight and takes the slight underdog.
Paul leans towards Brendan Allen as a slight underdog, believing the fight is 50/50. He notes that Jotko's control-heavy style may not impress judges, and Allen has shown improvements and a willingness to push the pace. He expects a close fight and gives a slight edge to Allen on the feet.
The MMA Guru picks Krzysztof Jotko, calling him a well-rounded fighter who is better than people admit. He believes Jotko's defensive wrestling and kickboxing will frustrate Brendan Allen, who he views as 'wolf tickets' and unlikely to be ranked. He expects Jotko to win a decision by blending his skills and avoiding Allen's grappling. He considers Jotko a significant favorite and includes him in his parlay.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 65 of 124 | 52% | 129 of 195 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 5:25 |
| Gerald Meerschaert | 0 | 37 of 91 | 40% | 46 of 101 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:54 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 30 of 55 | 54% | 34 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
| Gerald Meerschaert | 0 | 13 of 38 | 34% | 16 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 | |
| 2 | Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 21 of 38 | 55% | 58 of 78 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:52 |
| Gerald Meerschaert | 0 | 9 of 23 | 39% | 14 of 28 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:09 | |
| 3 | Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 14 of 31 | 45% | 37 of 54 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:38 |
| Gerald Meerschaert | 0 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 16 of 32 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Jotko | 65 of 124 | 52% | 51 of 102 | 8 of 15 | 6 of 7 | 52 of 110 | 7 of 8 | 6 of 6 |
| Gerald Meerschaert | 37 of 91 | 40% | 17 of 70 | 8 of 9 | 12 of 12 | 28 of 80 | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krzysztof Jotko | 30 of 55 | 54% | 23 of 43 | 3 of 7 | 4 of 5 | 28 of 53 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Gerald Meerschaert | 13 of 38 | 34% | 5 of 30 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 35 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Krzysztof Jotko | 21 of 38 | 55% | 17 of 32 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 31 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 |
| Gerald Meerschaert | 9 of 23 | 39% | 3 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Krzysztof Jotko | 14 of 31 | 45% | 11 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
| Gerald Meerschaert | 15 of 30 | 50% | 9 of 23 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 25 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
A clash between two drastically different styles comes to a head to open up the main card, when unabashed point fighter Jotko (23-5, 10-5 UFC) – with a finish rate of 30% and one win inside the distance dating back to 2012 -- stands across the cage from Meerschaert (34-14, 9-6 UFC) and his own stoppage rate of 94%. Whether this middleweight matchup goes the distance or not, referee Herb Dean is ready for what comes next. There is no disrespect between the two, and they gladly touch gloves ahead of their scrap. Meerschaert leads off with a left hand over the top, and he walks into a leg kick. He lunges forward and gets countered, and he wears the strike well and fires off a left hand down the pipe. Jotko lands a left and gets popped, and Jotko is faster but still absorbing strikes. Jotko lands cleanly with a two-punch combination, and he intercepts a low kick and absorbs a left that reddens his nose. Jotko sits back with an uppercut, and he tries to time a left hook as Meerschaert rushes in recklessly. The Polish fighter smacks Meerschaert in the face with the ball of his foot, but he does not rush in to hurry and instead stays composed. As Meerschaert advances, Jotko circles around to grab hold of him and push him to the wall. “GM3” shoves his way out as Jotko backs off to reset, and he blocks a front kick but gets stood up with two punches. Meerschaert comes in swinging, and he leans back just as a right hand soars past his face. Jotko cracks his man with a few straight punches, and his short right hook is finding the mark again and again. They trade leg kicks, and Meerschaert just dodges a left hook. Meerschaert leans forward to attack, and Jotko is able to quickly step out of the way and avoid anything damaging coming his way. Jotko takes a right hand to throw one back of his own, and he snaps out a jab to back Meerschaert up. Jotko continues to do work when Meerschaert comes out swinging, and the American changes things up with a punch to the body. Jotko goes after a standing up-elbow, and Meerschaert pushes through it to tie Jotko up and pursue a takedown in the open cage. Jotko turns him around and presses him into the wire, and he is warned when a knee strike lands on the cup. Jotko grabs his hand on top of the fence to keep Meerschaert trapped, and he is warned of this three times. The clinch is where this round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jotko
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Jotko
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jotko
Round 2
The middleweights touch gloves to seal the cage around them, and a brief brawl ensues with both men getting off glancing strikes. Meerschaert bites down on his mouthpiece to throw heavy punches, and Jotko slips them and replies effectively. Jotko connects with a low kick and a few punches, and then pops Meerschaert with a front kick. Meerschaert ignores them so that he can rush ahead, and Jotko takes a right hand and gets shoved into the fence. Meerschaert then goes after a takedown, and Jotko is able to defend it and knee his man on the chin. “GM3” swats away punches that come at him after they separate, and he is forced to deal with a front kick and a swarm of punches. Meerschaert kicks low and goes over the top with a left hand, and Jotko pays it no mind and slams his shin on the calf of his opponent. Meerschaert absorbs several straight punches on his way forward, and he gets kneed as well when he pursues the clinch again. Meerschaert turns Jotko around and drags him to the mat, but Jotko is able to work his way back up and not allow “GM3” to successfully ground him. Jotko turns him around to the fence, and Meerschaert drops to a knee so that he will not absorb knees to the head. Meerschaert turns the corner and tries to ground Jotko again, but Jotko is strong and able to push him back. Jotko spams short knees to the thigh in this position, and Jotko grinds him against the wall and even manages to take Meerschaert down. Meerschaert accepts this by snatching up a guillotine choke, and Jotko struggles and wriggles his neck free from the sudden, unexpected danger. Meerschaert is quick to toss his legs up for a possible triangle setup, and Jotko shoves them aside to work the body with punches. Jotko holds on from this safe top position, dropping down a few elbows and punches until the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jotko
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Jotko
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jotko
Round 3
The respect flows as the gloves get touched to commence the final round, and Jotko lands a jab as Meerschaert reaches low with a kick. Jotko punches through a low kick, and Meerschaert’s strikes are labored as he meanders forward, but he is still pressuring Jotko. Jotko scores a front kick to the body, and he picks and pokes while Meerschaert comes towards him. Meerschaert surprises him with a one-two, and he reaches a right hand over the top. Jotko considers a takedown, possibly stung from the strikes absorbed, and Meerschaert stuffs him and works forward. When Meerschaert presses, Jotko scoops him up and drops him down on the mat. When on the ground, “GM3” goes after isolating an arm with both wrists, and then considers a triangle choke as well. Jotko moves, and as he does, they both climb back to their feet with one arm locked. Meerschaert drops down for a double-leg takedown, and he abandons it when Jotko’s defense holds up. Meerschaert cannot keep Jotko trapped against the wire, so he backs off and throws a few fists. Jotko passes by then so that he can connect with a knee, and Meerschaert counters with a left hand. A pair of high kicks from Jotko make them fall a little off-balance, and Jotko recovers faster and dives in to go after a takedown. Meerschaert pursues a triangle choke, and Jotko moves through it and keeps Meerschaert on his back, not allowing Meerschaert to scramble. Jotko sprawls when Meerschaert turns the corner, and he steps over to sit down and put Meerschaert on his back once more. Jotko pins Meerschaert down and drops down a couple light elbows to the waist, and Meerschaert closes his guard up. Jotko drills down a single elbow, and Meerschaert sits up and looks for a sweep or a reversal of any kind. Time is not on his side, and although Meerschaert gets back to his feet, it is too late. Jotko raises his fist in the air with five seconds to spare, and Meerschaert runs at him swinging his left hand. Jotko escapes to survive to the final bell, and boos rain down from the cramped UFC Apex.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jotko (30-27 Jotko)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Jotko (30-27 Jotko)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jotko (30-27 Jotko)
The Official Result
Krzysztof Jotko def. Gerald Meerschaert via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Angelo picks Jotko, emphasizing his speed, athleticism, and high-volume striking. He notes Jotko's 83% takedown defense and believes he is smart enough not to grapple with Meerschaert, unlike previous opponents who made that mistake. He expects Jotko to stick and move, lighting up Meerschaert on the feet.
Big Brady picks Jotko despite being a self-proclaimed hater, citing Jotko's elite takedown defense and fight IQ. He expects Jotko to keep the fight standing, outpoint Meerschaert, and win a boring decision. He acknowledges Meerschaert's danger but thinks Jotko's style is a bad matchup.
Cody picks Jotko, believing his style stifles Meerschaert. He notes Jotko's solid takedown defense and cardio, and that Meerschaert's wins often come against opponents who gas. Cody thinks Jotko can even take Meerschaert down and control him, as Meerschaert's takedown defense is poor. He references Jotko's training at American Top Team and his experience against grapplers like Misha Cirkunov.
Daniel Levi leans toward Gerald Meerschaert as the underdog. He notes Meerschaert's opportunistic submission game and deceptive striking, while describing Jotko as a European point fighter who avoids risks. Levi questions if Jotko will give Meerschaert a finishing opportunity and mentions that Jotko was reportedly injured in his last loss. He sides with the dog in a fight he sees as close.
The host picks Jotko, citing his superior striking, movement, and takedown defense. He notes Meerschaert relies on opponents' mistakes and cardio issues, but Jotko is disciplined and won't gas. Jotko's lateral movement and jab will keep him safe, and he has good BJJ to avoid submissions. He expects Jotko to win a decision, as he is not a finisher.
Paul leans towards Jotko but is hesitant to bet at -165. He thinks Jotko should win by staying on the feet and avoiding grappling, but notes Jotko's low volume leads to close decisions. Paul acknowledges Meerschaert's submission danger but believes Jotko's takedown defense and cardio will be enough. He doesn't plan to bet it himself.
The Guru picks Gerald Meerschaert, noting his finishing ability and size advantage over Jotko. He believes Meerschaert has better hands and grappling, and that Jotko is mediocre. The Guru points out that if the fight goes to decision, it will be close, but the finishing ability heavily favors Meerschaert. He also mentions that Meerschaert is an underdog, which adds value.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 41 of 91 | 45% | 55 of 106 | 5 of 17 | 29% | 0 | 0 | 4:06 |
| Misha Cirkunov | 0 | 41 of 95 | 43% | 56 of 115 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 13 of 27 | 48% | 21 of 35 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:09 |
| Misha Cirkunov | 0 | 8 of 21 | 38% | 12 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 2 | Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 14 of 38 | 36% | 18 of 42 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Misha Cirkunov | 0 | 17 of 32 | 53% | 19 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 3 | Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 14 of 26 | 53% | 16 of 29 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:06 |
| Misha Cirkunov | 0 | 16 of 42 | 38% | 25 of 55 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Jotko | 41 of 91 | 45% | 13 of 59 | 10 of 13 | 18 of 19 | 28 of 76 | 6 of 8 | 7 of 7 |
| Misha Cirkunov | 41 of 95 | 43% | 23 of 76 | 6 of 7 | 12 of 12 | 37 of 89 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krzysztof Jotko | 13 of 27 | 48% | 6 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 11 of 25 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Misha Cirkunov | 8 of 21 | 38% | 2 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 6 | 8 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Krzysztof Jotko | 14 of 38 | 36% | 4 of 24 | 5 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 10 of 33 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Misha Cirkunov | 17 of 32 | 53% | 9 of 24 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Krzysztof Jotko | 14 of 26 | 53% | 3 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 8 | 7 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 7 |
| Misha Cirkunov | 16 of 42 | 38% | 12 of 38 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 38 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Misha Cirkunov, believing he will eventually get a takedown and dominate on the ground. He notes that Cirkunov is a very good grappler with big shots and well-timed takedowns, while Jotko is a fast, athletic striker with 87% takedown defense. However, Angelo thinks Jotko's takedown defense will be tested and that once on the mat, Cirkunov has a huge advantage. He likes Cirkunov in DraftKings at $7,600 and may place a moneyline bet. He also likes the more more monkey knife fight pick.
Big Brady picks Misha Cirkunov to win by first-round submission, liking him as a dog. He notes Cirkunov is coming down from light heavyweight and will be the bigger fighter, with dangerous submission skills. Jotko has only one KO win in eight UFC years and has been submitted before. Cirkunov has fought much better competition (Glover Teixeira, Johnny Walker, Ryan Spann) and though he gets knocked out when he loses, Jotko is not a power puncher. Brady thinks one takedown is all it takes for Cirkunov to finish Jotko on the ground.
Cody picks Jotko, citing Cirkunov's poor chin and tendency to fade after the first round. He notes that Cirkunov is dropping to 185 for the first time, which could be a difficult weight cut. Jotko has good cardio and volume, and if he survives the first round, he should take over. He also mentions that Jotko's grappling has improved and that Cirkunov is a one-round fighter.
Daniel Levi picks Krzysztof Jotko, citing Cirkunov's tendency to fold when adversity hits, while Jotko is durable and has never quit. He notes Cirkunov's dangerous submissions but questions his chin and heart, especially at middleweight after cutting weight. Levi thinks Jotko can outpoint him or possibly knock him out, but he is not fully confident due to Cirkunov's early burst potential.
I think Cirkunov is the better fighter everywhere. Jotko is a point fighter with no finishing ability, while Cirkunov has excellent jiu-jitsu and decent striking. The only concern is Cirkunov's chin at 185, but Jotko doesn't hit hard. I like Cirkunov by submission at +300 or by decision at +550.
Paul leans towards Cirkunov as a dog, but wants to see the weigh-ins first. He notes that Jotko is not a power puncher and that Cirkunov has good grappling and strength. However, he is concerned about Cirkunov's chin and cardio. He suggests that if Cirkunov makes weight comfortably, he could be a live dog.
The MMA Guru picks Krzysztof Jotko, citing Misha Cirkunov's poor decision-making and chin issues after moving down 20 pounds. Jotko has good grappling defense and stand-up. He predicts Jotko will stuff takedowns and get a second-round TKO against the cage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Strickland | 0 | 84 of 182 | 46% | 84 of 182 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 37 of 196 | 18% | 37 of 196 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Strickland | 0 | 26 of 54 | 48% | 26 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 14 of 65 | 21% | 14 of 65 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Sean Strickland | 0 | 23 of 50 | 46% | 23 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 11 of 66 | 16% | 11 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Sean Strickland | 0 | 35 of 78 | 44% | 35 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 12 of 65 | 18% | 12 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Strickland | 84 of 182 | 46% | 46 of 130 | 24 of 32 | 14 of 20 | 84 of 182 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 37 of 196 | 18% | 17 of 163 | 14 of 27 | 6 of 6 | 37 of 196 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Strickland | 26 of 54 | 48% | 19 of 47 | 6 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 26 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 14 of 65 | 21% | 7 of 55 | 5 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 65 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sean Strickland | 23 of 50 | 46% | 10 of 33 | 7 of 9 | 6 of 8 | 23 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 11 of 66 | 16% | 4 of 52 | 4 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sean Strickland | 35 of 78 | 44% | 17 of 50 | 11 of 17 | 7 of 11 | 35 of 78 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 12 of 65 | 18% | 6 of 56 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 65 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Shifting now to the middleweight category, both Strickland (22-3, 9-3 UFC) and Jotko (22-4, 9-4 UFC) are on quiet but impressive three-fight win streaks leading up to their pairing. The Octagon ranger for this 185-pound tilt is referee Herb Dean, and there is nothing but respect between these two that both look to move up the rankings as they touch gloves before coming out swinging. Jotko begins the fight with a big overhand left, and Strickland takes it on the chin and laughs it off. Jotko gets off a few leg kicks, and he circles away as Strickland looks to reach him with his punches. Strickland sticks him with a left hand, and he swats away a few punches from the Polish fighter that come back his way. Jotko has a punch blocked, and a body kick gets caught as Strickland tries to make him pay. The American wades forward with a short chain of punches, and Jotko circles away and tries to get a jab going. Jotko again sinks his left hand home, and Strickland ignores it and score a right of his own. Strickland stalks his man down, and Jotko gets his left through again. Strickland recklessly wades forward and eats a left hand twice, as Jotko has found the range of that. Strickland is not fazed as he clips Jotko with a straight right hand, and a one-two nearly takes Jotko’s legs out from beneath him. Strickland sees the finish may be coming, and he unloads with several punches as Jotko defends against the cage wall. Strickland stuffs a takedown in the process, and Jotko tries to sneak in an up-elbow. Strickland marks up Jotko’s face with a straight right hand, and Jotko’s overhand left counter gets blocked. Strickland’s face has not changed through the whole exchange, and he steps away when Jotko attempts the up-elbow again and spins. Strickland goes back to plodding forward, landing a few punches and evading the counters. Jotko rushes in with flurry, only to get backed off when Strickland’s right finds its target again. Strickland kicks the body and lands a left, and Jotko returns fire with a popping body kick. Jotko is reaching while Strickland’s strikes are straight as an arrow, and the American jumps in the air with a knee only to land a crisp right hand on the way down. Jotko is shaken up a bit, but he survives to the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Strickland
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Strickland
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Strickland
Round 2
Jotko begins the next round aggressively, with looping shots that Strickland does not bite on. Instead, he remains composed and sticks him with a few jabs and laser-focused right hands. Jotko ducks down and wings a right, but Strickland parries it and allows his man to throw a few more wild shots. Strickland slowly walks Jotko down, chasing his foe across the cage as Jotko sits on a big left that stings Strickland. Dean warns the two to close their fists, and Jotko slings a heavy body kick. Jotko reaches out with a pair of jabs and gets kicked in the chest. Strickland lances him with a right hand that splits the guard, and another snaps Jotko’s head back. Jotko wades in with haymakers that get blocked, and they trade kicks at the same time. Jotko spins with a kick, and Strickland times him and punches him in the side of the head. Jotko escapes just in time to not take much damage, and he comes out swinging. Strickland calmly blocks most of the strikes, walks through a jab and tries to tee up a left hand. A pair of leg kicks from Strickland get through on either side, and when he aims a kick to the body, Jotko counters him. The Polish fighter sticks out his foot with a push kick, and Strickland gives him a left straight down the pipe. Jotko wings heavy leather in the form of an overhand left, only for Strickland to block it and land a thudding kick to the leg. Both get off body kicks, and Jotko looks to time a kick with an overhand right. Jotko catches a kick and whiffs on a big punch, and Strickland’s calf kick reply has drawn a reaction from him. Jotko begins to limp as the calf kick continue to mount, and blood trickles from his nose after jabs pile up. The round ends as Jotko backs away to catch his breath.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Strickland
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Strickland
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Strickland
Round 3
There is a glove touch to begin the last round, and Strickland kicks out at the knee. Jotko bears down on him but is interrupted on the way in with a left hand. Strickland continues his Terminator-like aggression of constantly walking forward, and never backing down no matter what may land on him. Jotko swings with booming shots, and Strickland avoids the brunt of them. Both square up and land big punches at the same time, and neither takes so much as a bad step. Strickland breaks up a punching barrage with a front kick, and he jumps in the air with a knee that allows him to punch as he lands. A trio of push kicks come from the American, and he snaps Jotko’s head back again with a stiff right hand. Jotko tries to time a kick with a left hand, and he gets off a right hand that surprises Strickland. Another big left also catches Strickland on the chin, but “Tarzan” swings through it without batting an eye. Strickland plants his foot on Jotko’s torso, and he does this again while Jotko swings wildly. A left hand rings Strickland’s bell, but Strickland replies with a leg kick and a heavy right hook. Jotko leaps forward with a punch barrage, and Strickland’s technical boxing defense allows him to protect himself from the majority of the harm. A body kick gets followed by a right hand, and Jotko stumbles backwards. The Polish fighter attempts to reach down for a takedown, and Strickland ignores it and lands a flying knee. Strickland sticks him with a straight right hand, and he spins with a punch. A crisp knee catches Jotko on the chin, and the two turn it up with a brawl at the end. Both fire off a pair of head kicks, and Jotko’s spinning shot lands right on the chest. One final head kick from Strickland that glances off the shoulder ends this stand-up battle.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Strickland (30-27 Strickland)
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Strickland (30-27 Strickland)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Strickland (30-27 Strickland)
The Official Result
Sean Strickland def. Krzysztof Jotko via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Big Brady picks Sean Strickland to win by comfortable decision. He praises Strickland's boxing, volume, and takedown defense, noting that Jotko's low output will be a disadvantage. Brady believes Strickland is the better fighter everywhere and that Jotko's takedown attempts will be stuffed. He mentions that Strickland's losses are to elite competition, while Jotko has been knocked out by lesser fighters. A knockout would not surprise him.
Cody is high on Sean Strickland since his return from injury. He notes that Strickland shook off rust in the Jack Marshman fight and then looked even better against Brendan Allen, landing 94 significant strikes before a knockout. He praises Strickland's takedown defense (81% career, not taken down in 4 years) and his sharp jab. He thinks Jotko will try to grapple but Strickland's training at Dan Henderson's gym will help him keep it standing and butcher Jotko on the feet. However, he acknowledges the -260 price tag is too high for a top ticket play.
Daniel Levi picks Sean Strickland to win, citing his higher output, better boxing, and renewed confidence since moving to middleweight. He acknowledges Jotko's footwork and point-fighting style but believes Strickland's volume and pressure will be decisive. Levi also notes that the line is wide but still favors Strickland.
The host picks Sean Strickland by decision, expecting him to out-strike Jotko and stuff takedowns. He notes Jotko's recent losses by finish and his tendency to grind, but believes Strickland's striking and takedown defense will prevail. He also mentions a possible TKO.
Paul likes Strickland to win but is not excited about the -260 price. He agrees with Cody's assessment of Strickland's improvements and takedown defense. He thinks Jotko is serviceable but slowing down, and that Strickland's striking will be too much. He notes that Jotko's durability seems to be an issue and he is more tentative now, relying on grappling. Paul sees Strickland as the better fighter but the odds are prohibitive.
The MMA Guru picks Sean Strickland to win by second-round TKO over Krzysztof Jotko. He praises Strickland's takedown defense and boxing, noting that no one has taken him down since Kamaru Usman in 2017. He believes Jotko's chin is suspect and that Strickland will piece him up on the feet, eventually finishing him.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 41 of 97 | 42% | 73 of 132 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 5:51 |
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 66 of 116 | 56% | 101 of 154 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 10 of 35 | 28% | 26 of 51 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 |
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 22 of 36 | 61% | 36 of 50 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 | |
| 2 | Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 14 of 31 | 45% | 21 of 41 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:12 |
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 20 of 39 | 51% | 31 of 52 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 17 of 31 | 54% | 26 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:22 |
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 24 of 41 | 58% | 34 of 52 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Jotko | 41 of 97 | 42% | 19 of 68 | 22 of 27 | 0 of 2 | 23 of 66 | 18 of 31 | 0 of 0 |
| Eryk Anders | 66 of 116 | 56% | 47 of 92 | 13 of 17 | 6 of 7 | 53 of 99 | 13 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krzysztof Jotko | 10 of 35 | 28% | 7 of 31 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 21 | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Eryk Anders | 22 of 36 | 61% | 13 of 25 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 5 | 15 of 27 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Krzysztof Jotko | 14 of 31 | 45% | 4 of 18 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 22 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Eryk Anders | 20 of 39 | 51% | 15 of 32 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Krzysztof Jotko | 17 of 31 | 54% | 8 of 19 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 23 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Eryk Anders | 24 of 41 | 58% | 19 of 35 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 20 of 36 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Eryk Anders by second-round knockout, citing Anders' power and durability advantage over Jotko. He notes that Jotko is chinny and Anders hits hard, and that Anders has a better chin. He sees value in Anders at +135 underdog and expects a finish. He acknowledges the fight could be boring if it goes to decision, but believes Anders will land clean and put Jotko to sleep.
Daniel Levi leans towards Eryk Anders as the underdog. He notes that Jotko has lost confidence and has a habit of leaving his chin in the air. He believes Anders will touch Jotko's chin and put him down. He acknowledges that Jotko is more talented but thinks Anders can capitalize on Jotko's recent struggles.
The host picks Jotko, citing his ability to mix in grappling and his experience against better competition. He believes Jotko's reach and grappling advantage will allow him to drag Anders into deep waters and win a decision. He notes Anders' only chance is an early KO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 39 of 77 | 50% | 62 of 102 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:15 |
| Marc-André Barriault | 0 | 40 of 117 | 34% | 98 of 181 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 1 | 4:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 24 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:56 |
| Marc-André Barriault | 0 | 11 of 30 | 36% | 25 of 44 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:39 | |
| 2 | Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 13 of 21 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Marc-André Barriault | 0 | 15 of 34 | 44% | 33 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 | |
| 3 | Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 18 of 33 | 54% | 25 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Marc-André Barriault | 0 | 14 of 53 | 26% | 40 of 82 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:39 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Jotko | 39 of 77 | 50% | 18 of 51 | 11 of 16 | 10 of 10 | 18 of 52 | 21 of 25 | 0 of 0 |
| Marc-André Barriault | 40 of 117 | 34% | 20 of 92 | 17 of 22 | 3 of 3 | 19 of 85 | 21 of 32 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krzysztof Jotko | 13 of 29 | 44% | 4 of 16 | 3 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 9 of 22 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Marc-André Barriault | 11 of 30 | 36% | 5 of 22 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 21 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Krzysztof Jotko | 8 of 15 | 53% | 4 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Marc-André Barriault | 15 of 34 | 44% | 6 of 24 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 22 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Krzysztof Jotko | 18 of 33 | 54% | 10 of 25 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 21 | 11 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Marc-André Barriault | 14 of 53 | 26% | 9 of 46 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 42 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 43 of 69 | 62% | 111 of 149 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 9:37 |
| Alen Amedovski | 0 | 6 of 17 | 35% | 6 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 12 of 20 | 60% | 16 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:25 |
| Alen Amedovski | 0 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:13 | |
| 2 | Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 17 of 32 | 53% | 45 of 69 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:38 |
| Alen Amedovski | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 14 of 17 | 82% | 50 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:34 |
| Alen Amedovski | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Jotko | 43 of 69 | 62% | 37 of 56 | 4 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 35 of 44 |
| Alen Amedovski | 6 of 17 | 35% | 6 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krzysztof Jotko | 12 of 20 | 60% | 9 of 13 | 1 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 6 |
| Alen Amedovski | 4 of 12 | 33% | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | |
| 2 | Krzysztof Jotko | 17 of 32 | 53% | 17 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 26 |
| Alen Amedovski | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Krzysztof Jotko | 14 of 17 | 82% | 11 of 13 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 12 |
| Alen Amedovski | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Tavares | 0 | 24 of 74 | 32% | 40 of 90 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 1 | 46 of 96 | 47% | 62 of 115 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:33 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Tavares | 0 | 7 of 23 | 30% | 13 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 14 of 39 | 35% | 18 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:33 | |
| 2 | Brad Tavares | 0 | 12 of 26 | 46% | 22 of 36 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 12 of 25 | 48% | 24 of 38 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:56 | |
| 3 | Brad Tavares | 0 | 5 of 25 | 20% | 5 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 1 | 20 of 32 | 62% | 20 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Tavares | 24 of 74 | 32% | 18 of 62 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 6 | 13 of 55 | 11 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 46 of 96 | 47% | 23 of 64 | 6 of 15 | 17 of 17 | 33 of 76 | 7 of 10 | 6 of 10 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Tavares | 7 of 23 | 30% | 4 of 14 | 0 of 3 | 3 of 6 | 4 of 17 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 14 of 39 | 35% | 3 of 22 | 3 of 9 | 8 of 8 | 12 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Brad Tavares | 12 of 26 | 46% | 9 of 23 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 17 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 12 of 25 | 48% | 7 of 18 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Brad Tavares | 5 of 25 | 20% | 5 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 21 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Krzysztof Jotko | 20 of 32 | 62% | 13 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 6 | 11 of 18 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 10 |
Eryk Anders - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Tavares | 1 | 48 of 86 | 55% | 55 of 95 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 35 of 84 | 41% | 68 of 133 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 9:20 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Tavares | 0 | 18 of 35 | 51% | 18 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 20 of 41 | 48% | 33 of 56 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:10 | |
| 2 | Brad Tavares | 1 | 18 of 31 | 58% | 21 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 11 of 31 | 35% | 22 of 52 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:25 | |
| 3 | Brad Tavares | 0 | 12 of 20 | 60% | 16 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 13 of 25 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 3:45 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Tavares | 48 of 86 | 55% | 29 of 64 | 17 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 31 of 59 | 14 of 21 | 3 of 6 |
| Eryk Anders | 35 of 84 | 41% | 26 of 69 | 9 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 47 | 19 of 36 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Tavares | 18 of 35 | 51% | 7 of 23 | 10 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 18 | 12 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| Eryk Anders | 20 of 41 | 48% | 17 of 34 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 14 | 16 of 27 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Brad Tavares | 18 of 31 | 58% | 11 of 22 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 21 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 6 |
| Eryk Anders | 11 of 31 | 35% | 6 of 24 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 21 | 3 of 9 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Brad Tavares | 12 of 20 | 60% | 11 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Eryk Anders | 4 of 12 | 33% | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Brad Tavares but with very low confidence, calling it too close to bet. He notes both fighters have declining chins and the fight could be a quick knockout or a sloppy decision. He thinks Tavares is more well-rounded and faster, but Eryk Anders could bull his way forward. He ultimately goes with Tavares due to technical edge.
Big Brady hesitantly picks Eryk Anders by split decision, calling it a '1-800 Gambler fight.' He thinks both fighters are washed but gives Anders the edge due to slightly harder punching and ability to control against the cage. He predicts a low-quality fight and even considered predicting a draw.
Cody picks Tavares, citing his experience, takedown defense, and ability to outpoint Anders. He notes Anders' declining durability and retirement announcement. He expects a close decision but Tavares edges it.
Connor does not make a clear pick for this fight, calling it a toss-up and meaningless. He criticizes both fighters as old and irrelevant, suggesting the fight should not be happening in the UFC. He does not express a preference.
James picks Eryk Anders as an underdog, citing his grappling advantage and power. He notes that both fighters have fading durability and that Anders is more explosive. He calls the fight volatile and says no result would shock him.
The host picks Tavares to win by decision, citing his superior striking and takedown defense. He believes Anders will struggle to land a knockout and that Tavares's combinations and effective damage will win rounds. He notes that both fighters are aging but Tavares is the better striker and should outwork Anders over 15 minutes.
Paul has no clear pick, expressing uncertainty about both fighters. He notes Tavares' recent losses and Anders' inconsistency. He doesn't want to bet either side.
The Guru picks Brad Tavares, emphasizing his low kicks as the key difference. He notes Anders has a wide stance and has struggled with low kicks before, and that Tavares has fought higher-level competition. He predicts a decision win, 30-27, as he doesn't see Anders finishing Tavares early.
Zane picks Brad Tavares, noting that Tavares looked decent in his fight against GM3 but struggled against Robert Brishik, who pushed a pace. He believes Anders is also slow and throws single strikes, giving Tavares enough space to look like his old self. However, he acknowledges Tavares tends to lose a round due to passivity.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 18 of 24 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:18 |
| Christian Leroy Duncan | 1 | 24 of 43 | 55% | 27 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eryk Anders | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 18 of 24 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:18 |
| Christian Leroy Duncan | 1 | 24 of 43 | 55% | 27 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eryk Anders | 7 of 12 | 58% | 2 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Christian Leroy Duncan | 24 of 43 | 55% | 9 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 13 | 20 of 37 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eryk Anders | 7 of 12 | 58% | 2 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Christian Leroy Duncan | 24 of 43 | 55% | 9 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 13 | 20 of 37 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 3 |
Angelo picks Christian Leroy Duncan despite questioning his fight IQ. He notes Duncan is the better striker with solid takedown defense and cardio, but he can be an idiot with game plans. If Duncan decides to wrestle, Anders could bully him. However, Anders' chin is declining, so Duncan should win if he strikes.
Big Brady is confident in Christian Leroy Duncan, though he notes Duncan sometimes lacks effort. He points out that Anders has been knocked down in his last three fights by lesser strikers like Jamie Pickett and Chris Weidman, indicating a decline. Brady believes if Duncan cares even a little, he will knock out Anders early. He predicts a first-round knockout for Duncan.
Connor picks Duncan, noting that Anders is limited as a strategist and technician, and that Duncan's dynamic striking and range management will be too much. He points out that Anders has only beaten low-level opponents in recent years and is slow-footed, while Duncan is dangerous and annoying to fight. Connor expects Duncan to win and move toward a top 15 matchup.
The host believes Duncan's speed and power will be too much for Anders, who is slowing down and was hurt badly by Weidman in his last fight. He thinks it's just a matter of time before Duncan lands a clean shot and puts Anders down and out.
The MMA Guru picks Christian Leroy Duncan, calling it a potential schooling. He notes Anders' recent wins are over old fighters and that Anders has become too technical. He expects Duncan to piece up Anders and win a dominant decision, possibly with a 10-8 round.
Zane agrees, calling Duncan a meme fighter with flashy skills but noting that Anders is a limited opponent who has struggled against similar fighters. He highlights that Anders has only beaten Kyle Daukaus, Jamie Pickett, and an aged Chris Weidman in recent years, while Duncan's athleticism and tricky style will cause problems. Zane thinks Duncan will win and eventually get exposed against top competition.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eryk Anders | 1 | 16 of 36 | 44% | 27 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 2:15 |
| Chris Weidman | 0 | 62 of 102 | 60% | 121 of 193 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 4:24 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eryk Anders | 1 | 13 of 26 | 50% | 20 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:10 |
| Chris Weidman | 0 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 12 of 29 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 | |
| 2 | Eryk Anders | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Chris Weidman | 0 | 51 of 79 | 64% | 109 of 164 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:43 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eryk Anders | 16 of 36 | 44% | 11 of 30 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 23 | 0 of 2 | 4 of 11 |
| Chris Weidman | 62 of 102 | 60% | 56 of 96 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 25 | 7 of 12 | 48 of 65 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eryk Anders | 13 of 26 | 50% | 8 of 20 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 2 | 4 of 11 |
| Chris Weidman | 11 of 23 | 47% | 8 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 10 | 7 of 12 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Eryk Anders | 3 of 10 | 30% | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Chris Weidman | 51 of 79 | 64% | 48 of 76 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 47 of 64 |
Angelo flips his pick from Chris Weidman to Eryk Anders. He cites Weidman's age (40), potential frustration from not getting paid after the canceled fight, and the loss of the Madison Square Garden atmosphere. He believes Anders' physicality, power, and aggression will overwhelm Weidman, who has a questionable chin. Angelo acknowledges the fight is at 195 lbs, which may favor Anders.
Cody picks Weidman, citing his wrestling advantage and experience. He notes Anders' inconsistency and recent losses. He expects a close decision win for Weidman, possibly by outworking Anders.
Connor is very confident in Anders, stating he will never pick Chris Weidman to win again. He notes that Weidman is washed and that his recent win over Bruno Silva was against a shot fighter. Connor points out that Anders has been slowly improving technically over the years, while Weidman has not shown any improvement and is only getting older. He believes Anders' athleticism and steady development will be too much for Weidman.
Daniel picks Weidman, noting Anders' tendency to choke in big fights and his recent knockdowns. He expects a clinch-heavy fight and believes Weidman's grappling will be the difference. He mentions he previously bet Weidman at better odds.
This is a tough matchup to predict given both fighters are further along in their careers. However, Weidman showed impressive activity and comfort in the striking realm against Bruno Silva earlier this year. He will utilize that to mix in his clinch grappling and striking to win on the scorecards.
Paul picks Weidman, noting his superior wrestling and fight IQ. He criticizes Anders' cardio and durability, and thinks Weidman can grind out a decision. He acknowledges Weidman's age but believes he has enough left.
The MMA Guru picks Weidman, noting the fight is at a catchweight which benefits the older Weidman. He thinks Weidman's wrestling and game plan will be too much for Anders, who he considers a B-level middleweight. He predicts Weidman out-wrestles Anders and wins by decision 30-27.
Zane agrees with Connor, picking Anders confidently. He notes that Weidman is completely washed and that Anders has been getting better year after year, albeit slowly. Zane points out that Weidman's only recent win was against a similarly shot Bruno Silva, and that his other recent fights have been close against aging opponents. He believes Anders' athleticism and improved technique will be enough to beat Weidman.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 23 of 59 | 38% | 83 of 147 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 0 | 0 | 10:08 |
| Jamie Pickett | 1 | 20 of 55 | 36% | 26 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eryk Anders | 0 | 7 of 19 | 36% | 20 of 32 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 2:42 |
| Jamie Pickett | 1 | 8 of 19 | 42% | 9 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 2 | Eryk Anders | 0 | 10 of 23 | 43% | 33 of 59 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:57 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 11 of 24 | 45% | 14 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Eryk Anders | 0 | 6 of 17 | 35% | 30 of 56 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 4:29 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 1 of 12 | 8% | 3 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eryk Anders | 23 of 59 | 38% | 14 of 48 | 7 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 38 | 7 of 9 | 4 of 12 |
| Jamie Pickett | 20 of 55 | 36% | 11 of 45 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 46 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eryk Anders | 7 of 19 | 36% | 2 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 16 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamie Pickett | 8 of 19 | 42% | 3 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Eryk Anders | 10 of 23 | 43% | 6 of 18 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 16 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 1 |
| Jamie Pickett | 11 of 24 | 45% | 8 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 19 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Eryk Anders | 6 of 17 | 35% | 6 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 11 |
| Jamie Pickett | 1 of 12 | 8% | 0 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Eryk Anders, citing his athleticism, durability, and ability to bully his way to a win. He notes Anders is a large favorite at -330, which is too wide for him, but he expects Anders to win. He suggests there might be value on inside the distance props.
Big Brady picks Anders, calling it a cage-pushing fight. He notes Anders has higher volume, more power, and is physically stronger. He expects Anders to push Pickett against the cage and take him down, similar to his 24-takedown-attempt fight. He predicts a greasy decision win for Anders.
Cody picks Anders, calling him a gatekeeper who beats lower-level opponents like Pickett. He notes Pickett's terrible output and lack of finishing ability, and that Anders has been competitive with better fighters. Cody believes Anders will win but calls it a bad bet at minus-500, though he admits he'll include Anders in parlays as a degenerate.
Anders should be able to force the action, push Pickett against the cage, and land takedowns. However, Anders is 36 and slowing down, and -400 is not a number to trust with him. The fight is expected to be closely competitive and go to the scorecards, with Anders likely getting his hand raised. The host prefers the over or fight goes to decision.
Paul picks Anders but is hesitant due to the minus-500 price. He notes Anders has been inconsistent but has faced better competition and has shown improved cardio and output recently. He thinks Pickett is on a losing streak and lacks volume or power. Paul expects Anders to win but acknowledges the price is steep and that Pickett could make it close.
The MMA Guru initially considered Pickett but decided Anders is the pick. He notes Anders was close with Marc-André Barriault and had a scrap, while Pickett is on a four-fight losing streak and has no impressive wins. He calls Pickett 'awful' and says his wins are unimpressive.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc-André Barriault | 1 | 95 of 192 | 49% | 103 of 200 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 83 of 169 | 49% | 87 of 173 | 1 of 11 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 3:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marc-André Barriault | 1 | 30 of 49 | 61% | 37 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 37 of 62 | 59% | 38 of 63 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:40 | |
| 2 | Marc-André Barriault | 0 | 24 of 61 | 39% | 24 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 24 of 51 | 47% | 24 of 51 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:59 | |
| 3 | Marc-André Barriault | 0 | 41 of 82 | 50% | 42 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 22 of 56 | 39% | 25 of 59 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc-André Barriault | 95 of 192 | 49% | 62 of 148 | 32 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 67 of 154 | 26 of 35 | 2 of 3 |
| Eryk Anders | 83 of 169 | 49% | 42 of 122 | 39 of 45 | 2 of 2 | 41 of 115 | 42 of 52 | 0 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marc-André Barriault | 30 of 49 | 61% | 23 of 41 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 25 | 18 of 21 | 2 of 3 |
| Eryk Anders | 37 of 62 | 59% | 18 of 42 | 19 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 25 | 27 of 35 | 0 of 2 | |
| 2 | Marc-André Barriault | 24 of 61 | 39% | 11 of 44 | 13 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 54 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Eryk Anders | 24 of 51 | 47% | 12 of 36 | 10 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 41 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marc-André Barriault | 41 of 82 | 50% | 28 of 63 | 12 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 37 of 75 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Eryk Anders | 22 of 56 | 39% | 12 of 44 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 49 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Marc-André Barriault to win, but plans to bet on Eryk Anders by inside the distance. He explains that Barriault is more well-rounded and technical, but Anders is more dangerous and powerful. He expects Anders to either finish Barriault or lose a decision, so he will bet on Anders inside the distance (no action if decision).
Big Brady picks Marc-André Barriault by decision. He notes that Barriault is high volume (6 significant strikes per minute) while Anders is low volume and will likely try to wrestle, but his takedown attempts are inefficient and will tire him. Barriault should win the striking exchanges and take over as the fight goes on, winning the second and third rounds.
Cody picks Barriault, expecting a close competitive fight that will likely go to a decision. He notes that Anders relies heavily on clinch work, but Barriault thrives in the clinch and has better cardio. He thinks Anders will slow down in the third round, allowing Barriault to pull ahead. He also mentions that Canadian judging may favor Barriault in a close fight.
Connor picks Anders, citing his recent technical improvement and physical advantages. He notes that Anders has learned to put combinations together and use his jab effectively. He believes Anders' strength and wrestling will be too much for Barriault, who is not a power puncher. He acknowledges Barriault's improvement but thinks Anders' ceiling is higher.
Daniel Levi picks Eryk Anders in a coin-flip fight, noting that Anders looked good against Dacus and has better defense, while Barriault has more volume but is slower. He is unsure about Canadian judges and the fact that Anders is no longer at Fight Ready, which could affect his conditioning. He sees this as a close fight that could go either way, so he takes the dog, but warns against making Anders a heavy play.
James has no strong opinion on this fight. He sees both fighters as similar and expects a close fight if it goes to decision. He notes it could finish inside the distance due to pace, but he is leaning towards the fight going over. He passes on betting because he doesn't like betting on fights he expects to be very close unless there is a big number.
Barriault's cardio and forward pressure are his key weapons; he wears opponents down with volume and durability. Anders relies on physical advantages but has shown limited technical improvements. Barriault should outwork Anders, especially in later rounds, and could even secure a late finish. Anders' only path is an early KO, but Barriault's durability is underrated.
Paul picks Barriault, citing volume as the key factor. He notes that Anders will need to make it ugly with takedowns, but he is not confident in Anders' wrestling to hold Barriault down. He expects Barriault to outwork Anders over three rounds, similar to the Daukaus fight. He also likes the over on Barriault's significant strikes.
The MMA Guru picks Marc-André Barriault, criticizing Eryk Anders for being stiff and having a history of injuries and beatings. He notes Barriault is fluid and coming off a great performance, and that Anders must finish early or he fades. He expects Barriault to pick up the pace and win by decision or late finish in front of his Canadian home crowd.
Zane picks Anders, emphasizing his physicality and improved striking. He notes that Anders' strength makes him difficult to take down and that he has become more fluid. He believes Barriault's volume will not be enough to overcome Anders' power and wrestling. He also mentions that Barriault is not a power puncher.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eryk Anders | 1 | 49 of 94 | 52% | 97 of 159 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:26 |
| Kyle Daukaus | 0 | 37 of 79 | 46% | 38 of 83 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eryk Anders | 1 | 29 of 62 | 46% | 36 of 75 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Kyle Daukaus | 0 | 33 of 63 | 52% | 33 of 63 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 2 | Eryk Anders | 0 | 20 of 32 | 62% | 61 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:28 |
| Kyle Daukaus | 0 | 4 of 16 | 25% | 5 of 20 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eryk Anders | 49 of 94 | 52% | 27 of 70 | 14 of 14 | 8 of 10 | 23 of 55 | 6 of 8 | 20 of 31 |
| Kyle Daukaus | 37 of 79 | 46% | 14 of 55 | 8 of 9 | 15 of 15 | 35 of 76 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eryk Anders | 29 of 62 | 46% | 12 of 43 | 9 of 9 | 8 of 10 | 20 of 46 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 9 |
| Kyle Daukaus | 33 of 63 | 52% | 13 of 43 | 8 of 8 | 12 of 12 | 31 of 61 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Eryk Anders | 20 of 32 | 62% | 15 of 27 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 16 of 22 |
| Kyle Daukaus | 4 of 16 | 25% | 1 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Daukaus (-215), Anders (+185)
Round 1
Middleweights open up the main card in a fight that will get one man back up to .500 inside the Octagon. Whether that is former light heavyweight Anders (14-7, 1 NC; 6-7, 1 NC UFC) or submission specialist Daukaus (11-3, 1 NC; 2-3, 1 NC UFC), that remains to be seen. They bump fists in front of referee Keith Peterson, who clocks them in right after ejecting nonsense from the Amway Center. Anders strikes first with a body kick, and Daukaus strides forward with two punches and two low kicks in response. Anders stutter-steps his way forward, and Daukaus intercepts him with a few punches and makes Anders turn around. As they trade leather, commentators Michael Bisping and Daniel Cormier talk about popular television shows. Daukaus gets off a knee to the body, and he shoots in for a double but is stuffed by the brick wall former football player. Daukaus sticks out a jab, and when he kicks the body, Anders lifts him up and throws him to the ground like a sack of potatoes. Anders lords over his grounded opponent with several slapping low kicks, and Daukaus considers a leglock before Anders hops away. Daukaus allows his opponent to adjust his shorts, and they touch ‘em up before re-engaging. Daukaus feints and gets kicked, and he wings a left hand over the top that slams into the side of Anders’ head. Anders backs his man up and punches the body, prompting Daukaus to spring into action. The Philadelphia native leaps forward, and after landing a few, Anders clips him with a right hand and sends Daukaus tumbling to the mat. Anders considers kicking the legs a few times before letting Daukaus back up, and Daukaus takes a few deep breaths when coming back to his feet. Anders is swinging heavily, and Daukaus does not shy away from these exchanges as he similarly slugs back. Daukaus scores thudding hooks on the side of Anders’ head, but Anders is tough and throws back with a ferocious uppercut that snaps the head back. Anders reddens the nose with a one-two, and he continues to push the pace as he works the body and head. The fighters rush together, and the crown of Anders’ head slams square into Daukaus’ face and drops him to his knees. Peterson sees it and immediately calls it, and he informs the outside officials that it was an accidental clash of heads. Daukaus takes the time he needs and gets right back to it, but Anders is on him and belts him with a few punches with a left hand that send Daukaus straight back to the floor. As Daukaus attempts to scramble and look for some kind of late submission, the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Anders
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Anders
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Anders
Round 2
Anders senses that Daukaus may not be fully recovered, and he immediately pushes the pace to start Round 2 with a vengeance. A few heavy strikes prompt “The D’Arce Knight” to shoot for a takedown, and he chains singles into doubles as Anders gets away with a fence grab. Anders slugs Daukaus on the side of the head, and these punches may be hurting Daukaus, as he lets go and flops to his back. Anders kicks the legs a few times, and this time, he lowers himself to the ground to drop a few hammerfists. Anders lands several standing-to-ground punches in rapid succession, and Daukaus kicks him back. Peterson lets Daukaus stand back up, and
Anders coils his fist and cracks Daukaus in the face with a brutal left hand. Daukaus awkwardly slumps to his knees and half-heartedly pursues a low single takedown, only to get shoved to his back, as Anders beats him down with right hand after merciless right hand. The hammerfists and punches continue to get through while Daukaus is shelled up, and Peterson has no choice but to call it on account of rain.
The knockout victory for Anders is his first finish in almost three and a half years, while he also snaps a two-fight skid in the process.
The Official Result
Eryk Anders def. Kyle Daukaus R2 2:45 via TKO (Punches)
Angelo picks Eryk Anders as a solid underdog, expecting him to bully Kyle Daukaus with better wrestling and power. He criticizes Daukaus's chin and mediocre striking, calling him a 'jiu jitsu nerd' who can snatch submissions but lacks wrestling control. He believes Anders will avoid submissions and take Daukaus's head off with strikes.
Big Brady picks the underdog Anders, citing his takedown defense (75%) and power advantage on the feet. He notes Daukaus is hittable (40% striking defense) and not a great wrestler. He expects Anders to keep the fight standing and win a close decision, though he acknowledges it could go either way.
Cody provides a detailed breakdown of Anders' career, calling him untrustworthy. He thinks Daukaus will land combinations and has a grappling advantage. He expects a boring decision win for Daukaus.
Daniel Levi leans Daukaus to slightly out-hustle Anders, but he has concerns about Daukaus not putting a stamp on fights and Anders' physicality. He notes Anders' lack of activity and tendency to not pull the trigger. He picks Daukaus but is not confident.
The host leans towards Daukaus but is not confident enough to bet the minus 200 line. He thinks Daukaus may have a slight striking advantage and could win by decision, but he is concerned about Anders' strength and grappling. He prefers the over 2.5 rounds as a bet, expecting a clinch-heavy fight that goes to decision.
Paul picks Daukaus, noting Anders' inconsistency and poor performances. He thinks Daukaus has a grappling edge and will land more strikes. He is cautious about betting but expects Daukaus to win cleanly.
The MMA Guru picks Kyle Daukaus, believing Eryk Anders has lost his touch. He notes Anders looked bad against Jun Yong Park and Darren Stewart, while Daukaus has more potential and looked good against Jamie Pickett. He predicts Daukaus will win a decision with grappling and submission attempts.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JunYong Park | 0 | 65 of 142 | 45% | 75 of 155 | 3 of 24 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 4:45 |
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 105 of 184 | 57% | 108 of 187 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JunYong Park | 0 | 16 of 30 | 53% | 22 of 37 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 2:32 |
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 25 of 36 | 69% | 26 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 2 | JunYong Park | 0 | 16 of 38 | 42% | 20 of 44 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:36 |
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 31 of 52 | 59% | 33 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:24 | |
| 3 | JunYong Park | 0 | 33 of 74 | 44% | 33 of 74 | 0 of 12 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 49 of 96 | 51% | 49 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JunYong Park | 65 of 142 | 45% | 45 of 112 | 17 of 25 | 3 of 5 | 56 of 131 | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Eryk Anders | 105 of 184 | 57% | 74 of 152 | 16 of 17 | 15 of 15 | 85 of 161 | 20 of 23 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JunYong Park | 16 of 30 | 53% | 12 of 22 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 11 of 24 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Eryk Anders | 25 of 36 | 69% | 11 of 21 | 11 of 12 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 27 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | JunYong Park | 16 of 38 | 42% | 9 of 29 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 33 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Eryk Anders | 31 of 52 | 59% | 21 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 9 | 27 of 46 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | JunYong Park | 33 of 74 | 44% | 24 of 61 | 7 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 33 of 74 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Eryk Anders | 49 of 96 | 51% | 42 of 89 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 42 of 88 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Eryk Anders because he believes Anders's toughness, power, and wrestling will be the difference. He notes that Park is the better overall fighter but lacks danger in his striking or submissions. Park relies on trips and pressure for takedowns, which Angelo doesn't think will work against Anders. He also suggests a plus 3.5 round bet on Anders.
Big Brady picks JunYong Park to win by decision, favoring his higher volume and striking defense over Eryk Anders. He notes Anders is a low-volume, one-shot-at-a-time striker with poor striking defense. He expects Park to outland Anders on the feet and win rounds. He acknowledges Anders could have success with takedowns but doubts he can hold Park down.
Cody picks Park, citing his better pace, ground game, and consistency. He criticizes Anders for low volume, lack of urgency, and getting outstruck in many fights. He believes Park will come forward, outland Anders, and grind out a decision. He is confident in the moneyline.
The host is uncertain about this fight. He notes that it could be volatile and come down to who is stronger, with Anders being the stronger fighter. He finds the Park line too wide but does not have the courage to bet Anders at plus money. He passes on betting the moneyline and instead considers the over 2.5 rounds, which he thinks is around -160.
Paul agrees with Cody, saying Park is the logical pick. He notes Anders' inconsistency and low volume, and that Park should be able to outwork him. He is with Cody on this one.
The MMA Guru picks JunYong Park, citing his superior cardio, leg kicks, and combination striking. He thinks Eryk Anders is a simple fighter and may have less power after trimming down. He believes Park's grappling defense and pace will be too much, predicting a 29-28 decision with Park taking the last two rounds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Muniz | 0 | 8 of 16 | 50% | 12 of 20 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 | 0 | 2:18 |
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 3 of 13 | 23% | 3 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | André Muniz | 0 | 8 of 16 | 50% | 12 of 20 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 | 0 | 2:18 |
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 3 of 13 | 23% | 3 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Muniz | 8 of 16 | 50% | 6 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 |
| Eryk Anders | 3 of 13 | 23% | 0 of 8 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | André Muniz | 8 of 16 | 50% | 6 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 |
| Eryk Anders | 3 of 13 | 23% | 0 of 8 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Eryk Anders as an underdog, but with low confidence. He notes that Muniz is a phenomenal grappler with a wizard-like BJJ, but his striking is poor and he has been knocked out in all four losses. Anders has good takedown defense (76%) and power, and if he can stuff takedowns and extend the fight, he can finish Muniz by knockout. However, if the fight hits the mat, Muniz is extremely dangerous. Brady is concerned about Muniz's cardio and Anders' fight IQ.
Daniel Levi picks Eryk Anders to upset André Muniz. He argues that Muniz will have difficulty taking Anders down due to Anders' size and strength, and that Anders' jiu-jitsu is good enough to survive on the mat. Levi notes that Anders has never been submitted and rarely taken down. On the feet, he believes Anders throws more and has knockout power. Levi acknowledges Muniz's elite jiu-jitsu but thinks Anders can sprawl-and-brawl to a decision or KO.
The MMA Guru picks André Muniz to win by first-round submission (rear-naked choke). He highlights Muniz's dangerous grappling, as seen in his armbar win over Jacaré. He notes Anders is taking the fight on short notice and has been taken down before. He suggests a live bet on Anders if the fight goes to the third round, as Muniz has slowed down in the past.
Expert Picks (3)
Big Brady picks Eryk Anders by second-round knockout, citing Anders' power and durability advantage over Jotko. He notes that Jotko is chinny and Anders hits hard, and that Anders has a better chin. He sees value in Anders at +135 underdog and expects a finish. He acknowledges the fight could be boring if it goes to decision, but believes Anders will land clean and put Jotko to sleep.
Daniel Levi leans towards Eryk Anders as the underdog. He notes that Jotko has lost confidence and has a habit of leaving his chin in the air. He believes Anders will touch Jotko's chin and put him down. He acknowledges that Jotko is more talented but thinks Anders can capitalize on Jotko's recent struggles.
The host picks Jotko, citing his ability to mix in grappling and his experience against better competition. He believes Jotko's reach and grappling advantage will allow him to drag Anders into deep waters and win a decision. He notes Anders' only chance is an early KO.
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