Ronnie Lawrence

Angelo picks Dan Argueta as a low confidence underdog. He notes that Ronnie Lawrence is a great offensive wrestler but struggled when pressured in his last fight. Argueta's forward pressure and wrestling could cause similar issues. Angelo likes the plus 135 moneyline but hasn't bet yet, saying he's keeping an eye on it.

Big Brady picks Ronnie Lawrence to win by decision. He is high on Lawrence, praising his relentless wrestling, cardio, and underrated striking. Lawrence averages 7 takedowns per 15 minutes with 77% accuracy. Argueta is also a wrestler, but Brady thinks Lawrence's relentless pace will be too much. He notes that Lawrence can attempt 20+ takedowns if needed. He disagrees with the initial -550 opener for Lawrence, saying -155 is about right, but still expects Lawrence to win a decision.

Cody picks Lawrence, noting that despite his poor takedown performance against Said Khamzatov, he got up nine times and learned from the experience. He thinks Lawrence is a talented striker with good footwork and speed, and that Argueta's takedown defense is not great and his volume is low. Cody believes Lawrence can stuff takedowns and win on the feet.

Connor picks Argueta, arguing that Lawrence is not a strong athlete and will struggle with Argueta's strength and wrestling. He notes that Argueta is a featherweight cutting down and will be able to spend time on top. Connor believes Lawrence will give up tie-ups and Argueta will end up in dominant positions. He expects Argueta to grind out a decision or get a late finish.

Daniel Levi picks Ronnie Lawrence, citing his significant striking edge and power. He notes Argueta's poor striking defense and cardio issues. He acknowledges Lawrence's bad loss to Saydokub but attributes it to a broken nose and tough opponent. He got Lawrence at -150 and thinks he wins at a decent clip, though weight cut concerns exist.

Argueta has superior technical wrestling compared to Lawrence, who is more of a pace-based wrestler. Lawrence's takedown-heavy style may not work against a better wrestler like Argueta. Argueta can get top position and grind out a decision. The plus 155 underdog line offers value.

Paul is tempted by Argueta at plus money, noting that Lawrence has been rocked before and that Argueta is a strong grappler with low center of gravity. He thinks this fight is best approached live, as the first wrestling exchanges will reveal a lot. He picks Argueta for the show but is not confident pre-fight.

The MMA Guru picks Ronnie Lawrence, stating a massive talent difference. He argues Lawrence should not have been cut from the UFC after a close loss to Said Nurmagomedov, and that Dan Argueta lacks the power to trouble Lawrence. He praises Lawrence's transitions and scrambling, expecting him to be too much for Argueta's simple style.

Angelo picks Ronnie Lawrence based on his relentless wrestling pressure and high takedown volume. He notes Lawrence averages over 9 takedowns per 15 minutes with 78% accuracy, and has shown he can survive dangerous striking exchanges. He acknowledges Kakhramonov has cleaner striking but slows down and gets taken down, as seen in his PFL loss. Angelo already has a moneyline bet on Lawrence but cautions that betting the first fight of the night is tricky.

Big Brady slightly leans toward Ronnie Lawrence, highlighting his exceptional takedown rate (9 per 15 minutes) and cardio. He notes that Lawrence is well-rounded and showed power in his last fight. He acknowledges Kakhramonov's power and potential, but believes Lawrence's pace and wrestling will be key, especially as Kakhramonov has slowed down in past fights. He predicts a decision win for Lawrence.

Cody is high on Lawrence, citing his improved wrestling, cardio, and tenacity. He thinks Lawrence's volume and grappling will overwhelm Kakhramonov, who has low output and was controlled in the clinch by Trevin Jones. He believes Lawrence is the more proven fighter.

The host makes this his dog of the night play with 2 units at +115. He believes Kakhramonov has good enough defensive grappling to deal with Lawrence's relentless takedowns and can dish out more damage on the feet. He thinks Kakhramonov could win by finish or decision, especially with the emphasis on damage. He notes that Lawrence is not a big damage inflictor when grappling.

Paul is leaning towards Kakhramonov as a dog, noting his talent and performance against Umar Nurmagomedov. He's worried about Lawrence's durability after nearly being finished by Mana Martinez. He thinks the line moving towards Lawrence might offer value on Kakhramonov.

Angelo is confident in Lawrence due to his relentless wrestling, noting his insane takedown numbers. He acknowledges that Martinez has power and will have opportunities on the feet when Lawrence's opponents get up, but believes Lawrence will shoot a million takedowns and control Martinez to remove the power threat. He calls it a parlay piece rather than a straight moneyline bet due to the odds.

Big Brady likes Lawrence's wrestling and fight IQ, noting he has landed 20 takedowns in two fights. He believes Lawrence will take Martinez down early and often, grinding out a decision. He acknowledges Martinez has power and could knock Lawrence out, but thinks Lawrence is smart enough to avoid that. Brady also notes Martinez's last performance was poor due to personal issues, but expects a better version. He picks Lawrence by decision.

Cody agrees, noting Martinez has shown poor takedown defense and cardio. He thinks Lawrence's pressure and grappling will be too much, and that Martinez's only path is an early knockout. He expects Lawrence to win decisively.

Daniel Levi picks Ronnie Lawrence, praising his relentless takedown attempts and work rate. He notes that Martinez has power but tends to wait, and that Lawrence's pressure will grind him down. Levi expects Lawrence to win a decision, as Martinez's knockout power is overrated against better competition.

Lawrence is a strong wrestler with excellent takedowns and top control. He should easily take Martinez down and overwhelm him. Martinez has decent striking but poor takedown defense. Lawrence's only concern is his weight cut, but if he makes weight, he should finish Martinez. The inside the distance line is a good play.

Paul is high on Lawrence, calling him a top prospect. He notes Lawrence's relentless pressure, takedowns, and cardio. He thinks Martinez is a first-round banger with no backup plan and that Lawrence will dominate on the ground.

Big Brady picks Ronnie Lawrence to win by decision, but he is not confident. He notes Lawrence has a wrestling advantage and can get takedowns, while Cachero has poor takedown defense. However, he thinks the line at -160 is too wide and sees this as a close fight. He says he would not bet on it and considers it a low-level fight.

Daniel Levi picks Ronnie Lawrence, citing his wrestling and takedown ability, which exploits Cachero's weakness in takedown defense. He notes Cachero has been taken down and finished by higher-level opponents. Levi believes Lawrence's mix of strikes and takedowns will overwhelm Cachero, leading to a decision win.

Lawrence mixes strikes and takedowns well, keeping opponents guessing. Cachero has weak takedown defense and Lawrence should be able to secure takedowns and control the fight. Lawrence's movement and kicking game will keep Cachero at range. Expect a decision win for Lawrence.