Brad Riddell

"Quake"
4-3
Record
Age / DOB 34
(Sep 30, 1991)
Height 5' 7"
Weight 155 lbs.
Reach 71.0"
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages
4.71 Sig. Strikes / Min
53.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
3.53 Absorbed / Min
53.0% Strike Defense
1.77 TD Avg / 15 min
36.0% TD Accuracy
63.0% TD Defense
0.0 Sub. / Fight
Win Methods (4)
KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 4
Loss Methods (3)
KO/TKO 1
Submission 2
Decision 0

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 3:20
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Renato Moicano 0 14 of 25 56% 14 of 25 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
Brad Riddell 0 10 of 33 30% 11 of 35 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Renato Moicano 0 14 of 25 56% 14 of 25 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
Brad Riddell 0 10 of 33 30% 11 of 35 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Renato Moicano 14 of 25 56% 6 of 16 6 of 7 2 of 2 14 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brad Riddell 10 of 33 30% 10 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 1 10 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Renato Moicano 14 of 25 56% 6 of 16 6 of 7 2 of 2 14 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brad Riddell 10 of 33 30% 10 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 1 10 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Brad Riddell

Angelo believes Riddell is the better striker and expects the fight to stay standing. He notes that Moicano's losses are mostly to strikers who out-struck him, and his chin is questionable. He thinks Riddell can mix in takedowns if needed and protect his neck. He will wait for props to drop before betting.

"I think Brad is the just definitely the better Striker I think he's going to win this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Renato Moicano

Big Brady picks Renato Moicano to win by submission. He notes Moicano's height and reach advantage, and that his ground game is excellent with many submissions. He believes Moicano will take the fight to the mat, where he has a clear advantage. He points out Riddell's 62% takedown defense and that he has been finished before (by Jalin Turner and Rafael Fiziev). He trusts Moicano to wrestle and get the submission.

Moicano by submission
"I like mokana to win here I like him to take it down to the mat I like him to be competitive on the feet but you know once he does hit the mat I mean this guy's ground game is no joke"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Brad Riddell

Cody picks Brad Riddell by decision, but is not confident. He notes that Riddell at his best wins this fight as the better striker with good takedown defense, but he has concerns about Riddell's recent performances, including being gun-shy against Fiziev and getting submitted by Turner. Cody thinks Riddell's confidence may be an issue, but he still sees a path to victory by staying at range and countering.

"The official pick for me is going to be Brad Riddell Brad Riddell by decision I just don't love it."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Brad Riddell

Connor picks Brad Riddell because Riddell's counter-punching style and ability to gather data over the course of a fight make him more reliable. He notes that Moicano has shown a tendency to shut down when hurt, as seen in the Alex Hernandez fight, and that Riddell consistently improves round to round. Connor also mentions that Moicano's submission threats are unlikely to work against Riddell, who has never been submitted.

Surprised Moicano is a favorite; thinks Riddell should be favored.
"I'm going to pick Brad Riddell, but I think it's a very interesting matchup..."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Brad Riddell

Daniel Levi leans toward Brad Riddell as a slight underdog, believing Riddell's kickboxing combinations can exploit Moicano's tall-man's defense and chin. He notes that Moicano has been clipped before and that Riddell's striking is more technical and powerful. However, he is worried about Moicano's back-taking ability and submissions if the fight goes to the ground. Levi thinks the line should be flipped with Riddell as a slight favorite, and he is considering a bet at plus money.

Possible bet on Riddell at +105; odds mentioned: Moicano -125, Riddell +105 at DraftKings
"I'm gonna go with Browder Delta get back on track here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Brad Riddell

The host expects violence and an early finish, likely by Riddell via KO. He notes Moicano's early submission threat but believes Riddell's takedown defense and striking advantage will prevail as the fight goes on. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds at -110 over betting Riddell's moneyline, expecting a finish from Riddell's power.

under 2.5 rounds (-110)
"I do lean Brad rodel I think he is the better Striker... but rather than taking the plus 105 on him I'd rather just take that near even money under two and a half"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Renato Moicano

Paul picks Moicano, noting that Riddell leans on his wrestling when things get shaky, which could be a recipe for disaster against Moicano's grappling. He is impressed by Moicano's recent improvements, especially his takedowns against Herbert and Hernandez. Paul does not see crazy power from Riddell and thinks Moicano's chin is a concern, but he leans slightly to Moicano unless a good submission prop appears.

"My official pick for me is going to be Moy Kano... I've been kind of outside of the rda5 and kind of impressed by like the recent improvements from uh from moycano."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Renato Moicano

The MMA Guru picks Renato Moicano, citing Riddell's vulnerability after being KO'd by Fiziev and rocked by Dober. He believes Moicano will pressure, find a scramble, take Riddell's back, and choke him out. He notes Riddell's lack of offensive grappling and Moicano's experience and submission skills, predicting a rear-naked choke in the second or third round.

rear-naked choke, second or third round
"I'm going Renato moycano man"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Brad Riddell

Zane picks Brad Riddell, emphasizing that Riddell's ability to rally from bad rounds is proven, while Moicano's recent rally against Alex Hernandez was against a fighter prone to breaking. He notes that Moicano has been knocked out by various heavy-handed punchers and that Riddell's training with Fiziev could be instructive. Zane also points out that Moicano's submission wins come from guillotines, which are unlikely against Riddell.

Surprised Moicano is a favorite; thinks Riddell should be favored.
"I got to pick Riddell. I just, I still don't have enough faith that Moicano..."
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 0:45
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jalin Turner 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Brad Riddell 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jalin Turner 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Brad Riddell 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jalin Turner 2 of 3 66% 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brad Riddell 3 of 5 60% 1 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jalin Turner 2 of 3 66% 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brad Riddell 3 of 5 60% 1 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Angelo picks Jalin Turner, citing his length, raw power, and superior grappling. He notes that Turner mixes in kicks well and has higher volume and takedown accuracy than Riddell. He believes Riddell may be more technically sound but Turner's physical advantages will prevail.

Moneyline bet at -119
"I got a moneyline bet on jalen turner at minus 119"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 28, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Big Brady is confident in Jalin Turner, citing his massive size advantage (8-inch height, 4-inch reach) and 100% finish rate. He believes Turner's length and power will be too much for Brad Riddell, despite Turner's poor striking defense. He predicts a first-round finish.

Turner by first round finish
"i think jalen turner wins this fight and does it inside the distance"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 29, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Brad Riddell

Cody thinks Riddell is a slow starter but has great cardio and technical kickboxing. He expects Turner to win the first round but tire, allowing Riddell to take over. He recommends betting Riddell live after the first round for a better price.

Riddell by decision
"I'm gonna go with Rodell Riddell by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 30, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

Daniel Levi leans toward Jalin Turner, citing his impressive improvements and physical attributes (6'3" with 77" reach). He notes Turner's variety of strikes and submission threat, and believes he is ready to usher out the old guard. However, he acknowledges that Brad Riddell is a world champion kickboxer and that the fight is a tough call. He considers the value on Riddell at +125 but ultimately leans Turner without placing a bet.

Value on Riddell at +125; no bet placed.
"my heart is telling me jalen because of the improvements... i don't know, lean turner"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Jalin Turner

Turner has length, speed, and creativity. He uses his lead right hook effectively from southpaw. Riddell needs to close distance to land, but Turner can counter him. Turner's cardio is a concern if the fight goes long, but he likely finishes early. The submission prop at +700 is good value.

Turner by submission at +700
"i think that turner clips riddell early club and subs him"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 29, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Brad Riddell

Paul is waiting for a better price on Riddell, possibly +150 or more. He likes Riddell's durability and pressure, and thinks he can win if he survives the first round. He plans to bet live.

"I'll probably end up with some money on Brad Riddell"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

The MMA Guru picks Jalin Turner to win by TKO, citing his massive height and reach advantage at lightweight (6'3" with 75.5" reach). He notes Turner's power and unorthodox striking, and that Brad Riddell has been hurt in fights before. He expects Turner to hurt Riddell in the late second round and finish him with a flurry of strikes.

TKO in round 2
"i'm going to go if jalen turner getting this one done"
KO (spinning wheel kick) R3 2:20
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rafael Fiziev 0 59 of 115 51% 62 of 118 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:14
Brad Riddell 0 66 of 123 53% 66 of 123 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rafael Fiziev 0 21 of 41 51% 21 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brad Riddell 0 19 of 35 54% 19 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Rafael Fiziev 0 22 of 50 44% 23 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Brad Riddell 0 30 of 59 50% 30 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
3 Rafael Fiziev 0 16 of 24 66% 18 of 26 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:14
Brad Riddell 0 17 of 29 58% 17 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rafael Fiziev 59 of 115 51% 23 of 72 20 of 26 16 of 17 59 of 114 0 of 1 0 of 0
Brad Riddell 66 of 123 53% 36 of 78 22 of 30 8 of 15 64 of 121 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rafael Fiziev 21 of 41 51% 9 of 28 7 of 8 5 of 5 21 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brad Riddell 19 of 35 54% 10 of 18 7 of 10 2 of 7 19 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Rafael Fiziev 22 of 50 44% 8 of 30 8 of 13 6 of 7 22 of 49 0 of 1 0 of 0
Brad Riddell 30 of 59 50% 14 of 38 13 of 17 3 of 4 28 of 57 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Rafael Fiziev 16 of 24 66% 6 of 14 5 of 5 5 of 5 16 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brad Riddell 17 of 29 58% 12 of 22 2 of 3 3 of 4 17 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Rafael Fiziev

Angelo picks Fiziev, citing his volume and diversity of strikes. He notes Riddell has more power but waits for the perfect shot, while Fiziev will already have landed kicks. Angelo is nervous about Riddell's power but sticks with Fiziev.

Inside the distance/decision no action spot (not specified which side)
"i'm going to stick with rafael fizzav i think his volume and his diversity and strikes will be the difference"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 30, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Brad Riddell

Big Brady picks Brad Riddell as a slight underdog, but with low confidence. He notes the fight is very even and should be a pick'em. He highlights Fiziev's tendency to slow down in later rounds, while Riddell maintains his pace. He also notes Riddell may mix in takedowns, though Fiziev has 100% takedown defense. Brady thinks Riddell's volume and cardio advantage could be key, but acknowledges Fiziev lands harder shots. He sides with Riddell slightly.

"i'm going to side with brad riddell here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Brad Riddell

Cody also picks Riddell, emphasizing his volume and technical striking. He points out that Fiziev's power shots led to him gassing out against Bobby Green, while Riddell has superior cardio and accuracy. Cody believes Riddell's takedown defense has improved and that he can win by outworking Fiziev, especially in the later rounds.

"gotta go with my guy brad riddell for sure and when we're talking about volume over power i think that's a great example"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Dec 2, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Rafael Fiziev

Daniel Levi picks Rafael Fiziev by a close decision, acknowledging that Fiziev is explosive and accurate in the first two rounds but tends to slow down and get hit more in the third. He notes that Fiziev's output remains high throughout, but his defense deteriorates. He expects Fiziev to win the first two rounds and edge out a decision, though he admits it could go either way.

"I'm going to say rafael fazeev just barely gets past brad riddell"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Rafael Fiziev

Jacob picks Fiziev, noting his wild style may impress judges. He thinks Fiziev's aggression and volume will sway scorecards in a close fight. Jacob acknowledges it's a coin toss but leans Fiziev.

"i'm going to pick physio because he gets wild because i think that this this this fight is going to be so back and forth"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Brad Riddell

I like Riddell. He is the better boxer with better cardio and tends to get stronger as fights go on. Fiziev starts fast but slows down, and he has lost round three in every fight. Riddell will punish Fiziev's naked kicks and land cleaner shots. I expect Riddell to win a decision, and the decision prop at plus 190 is solid. A round three finish is also live.

Riddell by decision +190, Riddell round 3 +1700
"i like rideau redoubt decision is the spot but uh i do think the round three is live here as well"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Brad Riddell

Paul picks Riddell, citing his volume and technical kickboxing. He notes that Fiziev was out-struck by Bobby Green and faded in the third round, while Riddell has shown cardio and takedown defense improvements. Paul believes Riddell's familiarity with Fiziev from training together gives him an edge, and that Riddell can win by outworking him over three rounds.

"i gotta go with brad riddell again here i mean he's not failed me so far he's been you know one of these guys ever since he's come to the ufc i've backed him in every single fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2021 (fight day)
Brad Riddell

The MMA Guru picks Brad Riddell to win by 29-28 decision. He expects Fiziev to win the first round with kicks and takedown defense, but Riddell's body shots and takedown pressure will wear Fiziev down. Riddell will take over in the second and third, landing heavy body hooks and knees, winning the last two rounds.

"29-28 decision and i think this is going to be based on cardio again"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brad Riddell 0 73 of 168 43% 78 of 173 1 of 5 20% 0 1 1:05
Drew Dober 0 89 of 137 64% 113 of 161 5 of 11 45% 0 0 2:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brad Riddell 0 32 of 71 45% 37 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Drew Dober 0 28 of 48 58% 28 of 48 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:53
2 Brad Riddell 0 21 of 52 40% 21 of 52 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:27
Drew Dober 0 27 of 38 71% 36 of 47 3 of 4 75% 0 0 1:25
3 Brad Riddell 0 20 of 45 44% 20 of 45 0 of 4 0% 0 1 0:22
Drew Dober 0 34 of 51 66% 49 of 66 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brad Riddell 73 of 168 43% 52 of 144 18 of 20 3 of 4 67 of 161 2 of 2 4 of 5
Drew Dober 89 of 137 64% 66 of 100 15 of 28 8 of 9 78 of 125 5 of 5 6 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brad Riddell 32 of 71 45% 24 of 61 5 of 7 3 of 3 28 of 66 1 of 1 3 of 4
Drew Dober 28 of 48 58% 21 of 36 4 of 9 3 of 3 27 of 47 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Brad Riddell 21 of 52 40% 14 of 44 7 of 7 0 of 1 20 of 51 0 of 0 1 of 1
Drew Dober 27 of 38 71% 20 of 28 4 of 6 3 of 4 26 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Brad Riddell 20 of 45 44% 14 of 39 6 of 6 0 of 0 19 of 44 1 of 1 0 of 0
Drew Dober 34 of 51 66% 25 of 36 7 of 13 2 of 2 25 of 41 3 of 3 6 of 7
Expert Picks (6)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Brad Riddell

Big Brady picks Brad Riddell, emphasizing his better cardio, output, and potential takedown game against Dober's weak takedown defense (55%). He notes Riddell has secured a takedown in every UFC fight and expects him to win a close decision, possibly using wrestling to edge out rounds.

Riddell by decision
"i will take brad riddell to win i think this first you know round and a half two rounds are gonna be close but i do think brad riddell is going to win that third round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Brad Riddell

Cody leans towards Riddell as an underdog, citing his combination punching and volume. He thinks Riddell's takedown defense and get-up game will be enough to keep the fight standing, and that he will edge out a decision. He notes Dober's power but believes Riddell's slickness and output will win out.

"i got myself leaning towards brad riddell"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jun 10, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Brad Riddell

Daniel Levi picks Brad Riddell by close decision, citing Riddell's better decision-making and counter-striking in later rounds. He acknowledges Dober's power and speed but thinks Riddell's kickboxing IQ and cardio will be key. He notes that Dober may fatigue and that Riddell has shown a second wind in fights. He calls it a 50-50 fight.

by close decision
"i'm going to take brad riddell uh by close close decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2021 (fight day)
Drew Dober

Dober has more experience and power, and he can mix in takedowns to disrupt Riddell's Muay Thai. Riddell is a talented striker but may struggle with Dober's pressure and clinch work. Dober's cardio and ability to land impactful shots should give him the edge. The fight likely goes to a decision, as both are durable.

Dober by decision, under 2.5 rounds (+150) is a trap
"I do still go with Drew Dober in the spot... I think that Dober with his ability to kind of change levels fake the takedowns... I'm going to be taking Mr. Drew Dober to go out there and win this fight via decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Drew Dober

Paul leans towards Dober but is not confident. He notes Dober's power and recent improvements, but acknowledges Riddell's skills. He sees it as a pick'em and is not betting it.

"gun to my head i guess i'll pick dober"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Brad Riddell

The MMA Guru picks Brad Riddell, citing his youth, better cardio, and versatility. He expects Dober to win the first round by headhunting, but Riddell will take over in later rounds with body work and volume. He sees a stand-up war with Riddell winning by decision or late finish.

"i'm going with brad riddell i like drew doba i think he's a little bit sloppy on the feet"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brad Riddell 0 67 of 166 40% 86 of 185 1 of 6 16% 0 0 1:24
Alex da Silva Coelho 0 54 of 112 48% 70 of 133 3 of 9 33% 1 1 5:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brad Riddell 0 7 of 18 38% 13 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:18
Alex da Silva Coelho 0 13 of 20 65% 19 of 30 3 of 3 100% 1 1 3:22
2 Brad Riddell 0 25 of 59 42% 37 of 71 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:29
Alex da Silva Coelho 0 18 of 43 41% 22 of 48 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:15
3 Brad Riddell 0 35 of 89 39% 36 of 90 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:37
Alex da Silva Coelho 0 23 of 49 46% 29 of 55 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:40
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brad Riddell 67 of 166 40% 47 of 142 13 of 16 7 of 8 61 of 158 5 of 7 1 of 1
Alex da Silva Coelho 54 of 112 48% 35 of 91 10 of 12 9 of 9 49 of 105 4 of 6 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brad Riddell 7 of 18 38% 4 of 15 2 of 2 1 of 1 7 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alex da Silva Coelho 13 of 20 65% 6 of 13 3 of 3 4 of 4 10 of 17 2 of 2 1 of 1
2 Brad Riddell 25 of 59 42% 16 of 49 6 of 7 3 of 3 22 of 54 3 of 5 0 of 0
Alex da Silva Coelho 18 of 43 41% 10 of 34 4 of 5 4 of 4 18 of 42 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Brad Riddell 35 of 89 39% 27 of 78 5 of 7 3 of 4 32 of 86 2 of 2 1 of 1
Alex da Silva Coelho 23 of 49 46% 19 of 44 3 of 4 1 of 1 21 of 46 2 of 3 0 of 0
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Brad Riddell

Big Brady picks Riddell, impressed by his hands and pace. He thinks da Silva's competition is weak and that Riddell will out-strike him, forcing bad takedowns and finishing in the third round. He acknowledges da Silva's submission threat but believes Riddell's get-up game is strong.

Riddell by third-round knockout
"i'm gonna go with riddell here to get a knockout uh dasilva has never been knocked out but he's also you know not fought the best competition"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 25, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Brad Riddell

Daniel Levi leans Brad Riddell because he has been more impressed with his precision, calmness, and improvements in takedown defense. He notes Alex da Silva Coelho has not shown his Muay Thai in the UFC and may not be confident striking. He is not sure about laying -340 but picks Riddell to win.

"i have to lean riddell just because i've been more impressed with what i've seen so far he's so precise so calculated so calm"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Alex da Silva Coelho

The host picks Alex da Silva as a live underdog, believing the line on Riddell is too wide. He notes that da Silva has a solid path to victory via grappling and that Riddell's wins are not dominant. He expects a close fight and predicts da Silva wins by decision.

"I'd be happy taking a small shot at da silva here i think the kid's talented and i think he's gonna upset some people."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Brad Riddell

The MMA Guru picks Brad Riddell, emphasizing his experience against high-level UFC competition, including a win over Magomed Mustafaev. He thinks Riddell is one fight away from a ranked opponent and will make a statement with a TKO finish. He notes Alex da Silva has lost to gatekeepers and hasn't jumped that level.

Win by TKO finish
"i think brad riddell is going to go out there and make a statement against alex de silva getting it done by tko finish"
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brad Riddell 1 38 of 72 52% 60 of 97 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:02
Magomed Mustafaev 0 28 of 46 60% 36 of 56 8 of 11 72% 0 0 7:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brad Riddell 1 3 of 5 60% 9 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
Magomed Mustafaev 0 12 of 17 70% 15 of 20 4 of 4 100% 0 0 3:05
2 Brad Riddell 0 17 of 29 58% 20 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Magomed Mustafaev 0 12 of 22 54% 15 of 25 3 of 3 100% 0 0 2:00
3 Brad Riddell 0 18 of 38 47% 31 of 54 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:24
Magomed Mustafaev 0 4 of 7 57% 6 of 11 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:55
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brad Riddell 38 of 72 52% 21 of 49 12 of 17 5 of 6 20 of 45 3 of 3 15 of 24
Magomed Mustafaev 28 of 46 60% 10 of 23 7 of 11 11 of 12 12 of 27 8 of 10 8 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brad Riddell 3 of 5 60% 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1
Magomed Mustafaev 12 of 17 70% 2 of 4 3 of 6 7 of 7 1 of 3 4 of 6 7 of 8
2 Brad Riddell 17 of 29 58% 8 of 17 5 of 8 4 of 4 15 of 27 2 of 2 0 of 0
Magomed Mustafaev 12 of 22 54% 6 of 14 3 of 4 3 of 4 7 of 17 4 of 4 1 of 1
3 Brad Riddell 18 of 38 47% 10 of 28 7 of 9 1 of 1 3 of 14 1 of 1 14 of 23
Magomed Mustafaev 4 of 7 57% 2 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (2)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Mustafaev

Daniel Levi picks Magomed Mustafaev, citing his explosive striking and dynamic kicks. He believes Mustafaev is the more seasoned fighter and will knock out Brad Riddell in the first round. Levi notes that Riddell was dropped by Jamie Mullarkey, who lacks knockout power, and that Mustafaev's power is a serious threat. He acknowledges Riddell's path to victory in later rounds if Mustafaev gasses, but expects an early finish.

first round knockout
"I'm personally going Magomed Mustafaev via first round knockout."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Feb 14, 2020 (9 days before fight)
Brad Riddell

The host hesitantly picks Brad Riddell, expressing confusion about Dagestani fighters. He notes Mustafaev lost to Kevin Lee, which is not a bad loss, but he can't trust Dagestanis. He predicts an upset victory for Riddell without strong conviction.

"I'm gonna go with Bob Redell okay there we go we did we're doing Brad Bird L I think Robert our wins there you go yeah we're just gonna go without Brad Brunel wins by upset victory"
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 30–26, 30–26) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brad Riddell 0 91 of 153 59% 104 of 167 1 of 1 100% 0 1 3:01
Jamie Mullarkey 0 36 of 95 37% 41 of 100 3 of 15 20% 1 1 3:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brad Riddell 0 13 of 35 37% 13 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jamie Mullarkey 0 13 of 38 34% 14 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:54
2 Brad Riddell 0 17 of 31 54% 20 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:15
Jamie Mullarkey 0 8 of 17 47% 10 of 19 2 of 8 25% 0 1 1:58
3 Brad Riddell 0 61 of 87 70% 71 of 98 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:46
Jamie Mullarkey 0 15 of 40 37% 17 of 42 1 of 6 16% 1 0 0:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brad Riddell 91 of 153 59% 70 of 129 14 of 16 7 of 8 63 of 121 3 of 3 25 of 29
Jamie Mullarkey 36 of 95 37% 25 of 83 4 of 4 7 of 8 35 of 93 0 of 0 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brad Riddell 13 of 35 37% 6 of 25 3 of 5 4 of 5 13 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jamie Mullarkey 13 of 38 34% 8 of 32 1 of 1 4 of 5 13 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Brad Riddell 17 of 31 54% 12 of 26 3 of 3 2 of 2 11 of 25 1 of 1 5 of 5
Jamie Mullarkey 8 of 17 47% 5 of 14 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 2
3 Brad Riddell 61 of 87 70% 52 of 78 8 of 8 1 of 1 39 of 61 2 of 2 20 of 24
Jamie Mullarkey 15 of 40 37% 12 of 37 2 of 2 1 of 1 15 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0