César Almeida
Career Averages
Win Methods (3)
Loss Methods (2)
Fight History
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Pinas (-225), Almeida (+185)
Round 1
Having gotten most of our giggles out of our system with a fighter name, we look to the middleweight division between two men that finish what they start. Pinas (9-1, 1-0 UFC) measures significantly longer than former kickboxer Almeida (7-2, 3-2 UFC) and will be 14 years his junior. Whether the old lion can still roar, or Pinas will pound him, the next 15 minutes or less will show us everything. The Octagon ranger for a bout he may get involved in before too long is referee Chris Tognoni. The fighters opt against touching gloves before letting one another have it.
Pinas starts first with a low kick, and Almeida switches stances and has a body kick brush the top of his cup. This prompts “careful, careful” warnings from Tognoni. Almeida beats Pinas to the kick, firing his leg to three targets low, body and head. Standing firm, the ex-kickboxer kicks away, only to encounter three crushing calf kicks that quickly add up. As Almeida kicks high, Pinas grabs his leg and tosses him to the mat. Almeida climbs back up and forces the clinch to lean on the younger man, pressing Pinas to the wall for a time. Almeida abandons the tie-up to land a low calf kick that makes a thudding sound when connecting. Pinas goes high with a head kick, and his foot skims the top of the dome as the crowd gasps.
Almeida checks a kick and steps in with a right hand, and Pinas stumbles back. “The Baba Yaga” regains his footing and gets back into kickboxing range to trade legs with his foe. Almeida kicks him in the stomach, and both fighters trade fists. Almeida weaves and moves to take the sting out of what comes at him, while chambering and firing kicks off in a hurry. He steps to penetrate Pinas’ guard with a long left hand, feigning a spin after to draw out a reaction.
He does this a few times and pitches a naked low kick, his hands down and wide open for a counter. Pinas sees the hole in Almeida’s defenses and lances the elder statesman with one devastating thrust. Almeida locks up as he collapses to the mat on his back, totally wrecked. Pinas walks off, thinking his work here is done, but Tognoni is not quite ready to intervene for some reason. Pinas looks to Tognoni as if to plead with him that he does not need to keep punishing Almeida, and he sighs and walks forward to smack Almeida with a finalizing right hand while Almeida is turned the other direction all messed up.
Tognoni does wave it off finally, and Pinas gets the walkoff he was seeking. The two embrace and are totally gracious with one another after a fun kicking battle which ended with a fist of fury.
The Official Result
Damian Pinas def. Cesar Almeida R1 4:44 via KO (Punch)
Expert Picks (19)
AJ picks Pinas to knock out Almeida, emphasizing Pinas's youth, power, and reach advantage. He compares Pinas to a Deontay Wilder type, believing his one-shot power will be too much for the 38-year-old Almeida. AJ notes that Almeida has been dropped before and that Pinas's explosiveness will be decisive.
AJ is confident in Damian Pinas, calling him a one-shot killer. He expects Pinas to knock out César Almeida in the first round, noting Almeida's vulnerability to straight shots and Pinas's power and speed. He sees Pinas as a blue-chip prospect.
AJ picks Damian Pinas by knockout, citing Pinas's 'touch of death' power and straight right hand. He believes Pinas's speed and reach advantage will allow him to land first on Almeida, who has been dropped before. He expects Pinas to knock out Almeida with a straight shot and ground and pound.
AJ is riding with Damian Pinas to get the knockout, believing in his heavy hands and that he will touch Almeida's chin. He picks Pinas KO round one at +275 (previously +300), noting that Almeida is ripe for the picking and has been caught with straight shots before.
AJ picks Damian Pinas, believing he will knock out Almeida. He cites Pinas's power, heavy hands, and explosiveness, and sees a straight punch landing on Almeida's chin. AJ thinks Almeida is there to be hit.
AJ picks Pinas but notes he is fighting a legit Glory kickboxer in the biggest fight of his career, implying risk. He also mentions he likes Gandra more than Pinas.
Angelo picks César Almeida because he is a much more accomplished striker with high-level kickboxing experience. He acknowledges concerns about Almeida's age (38) and that he has been dropped, but believes his striking is so good that he forces opponents to wrestle. He thinks if Pinas comes in trying to knock him out, things could get weird, but Almeida is the better striker and the pick.
Angelo picks Almeida as the better striker, but is hesitant due to age (38) and potential chin issues. He notes Pinas has fight-ending power and speed, but trusts Almeida's high-level kickboxing technique. He expects a striking match and hopes Almeida's chin holds up.
Big Brady passes on this fight despite joking about liking Pinas. He cannot lay -275 on Pinas in a striking fight against a high-level kickboxer, and neither fighter has ever been finished. He considers an under bet but decides against it.
Big Brady is confident Pinas wins, likely by KO. He thinks Pinas hits harder and is 14 years younger. He expects a stand-and-bang fight similar to Alasan vs Almeida, where both swing dicks until someone falls. He notes Almeida has never been KO'd but has been dropped badly. He might look at Pinas KO1 or under 1.5 rounds, as he doesn't like laying -210 if it leaves the first round.
Big Brady picks Damian Pinas to win by first-round knockout. He loves Pinas's power and believes he will be the first to knock out Almeida. He notes Almeida's kickboxing experience and never being knocked out, but points out he has been dropped in the UFC. He expects a striking battle and thinks Pinas's power will prevail.
Cody picks César Almeida, arguing he is the better striker with a diverse attack. He notes Pinas's power but questions his durability and cardio. He believes Almeida's veteran savvy and chin will carry him.
Daniel Levi confidently picks Damian Pinas, citing his youth, athleticism, and rapid improvement. He believes Pinas can strike with Almeida and may even showcase new wrestling wrinkles. Levi predicts Almeida, at 38, is about to fall off a cliff, while Pinas is a serious prospect with a bright future.
Jacob picks César Almeida but also likes the value on Damian Pinas first round KO. He compares Almeida to a poor man's Alex Pereira, noting his striking defense isn't great but he has power and a good chin. He thinks Pinas has power and could hurt Almeida early, but if the fight extends, Almeida's experience and striking will take over. He placed a bet on Pinas first round KO but picks Almeida.
Lucrative James picks Damian Pinas via KO, citing Pinas's power and Almeida's age (approaching 40) and history of being hurt. He acknowledges Almeida is the better striker but believes Pinas can catch him early. He notes he might also consider betting Almeida if the line moves, as Almeida could win if he survives the early onslaught.
The host favors technically superior fighters, especially when they are big underdogs. He picks Almeida to knock out Pinas with a perfectly timed counter.
The host favors Almeida's technical striking and kickboxing experience over Pinas's raw power, expecting Almeida to counter Pinas's aggression and find a knockout. He notes Pinas's youth and power are threats but believes Almeida's superior technique will prevail at plus money.
Paul picks César Almeida as a dog, citing his superior kickboxing and durability. He questions Pinas's wrestling and believes Almeida can win if it stays standing. He notes Almeida's experience against elite strikers.
The MMA Guru picks Damian Pinas to win by decision, despite being a -210 favorite. He thinks Pinas is explosive and big for the division, but notes that Almeida is a great kickboxer who trained with Alex Pereira. He expects Pinas to drop Almeida but Almeida to survive and the fight to go to a competitive decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| César Almeida | 0 | 12 of 20 | 60% | 25 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:29 |
| Cezary Oleksiejczuk | 0 | 14 of 19 | 73% | 113 of 126 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 0 | 1 | 11:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | César Almeida | 0 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cezary Oleksiejczuk | 0 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 33 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:39 | |
| 2 | César Almeida | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 10 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:29 |
| Cezary Oleksiejczuk | 0 | 6 of 10 | 60% | 32 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 3:15 | |
| 3 | César Almeida | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cezary Oleksiejczuk | 0 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 48 of 52 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 4:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| César Almeida | 12 of 20 | 60% | 2 of 7 | 7 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 |
| Cezary Oleksiejczuk | 14 of 19 | 73% | 9 of 13 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | César Almeida | 4 of 5 | 80% | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cezary Oleksiejczuk | 5 of 6 | 83% | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | César Almeida | 6 of 12 | 50% | 2 of 6 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 |
| Cezary Oleksiejczuk | 6 of 10 | 60% | 4 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | César Almeida | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cezary Oleksiejczuk | 3 of 3 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Oleksiejczuk (-200); Almeida (+170)
Round 1
It’s a battle of men named after Roman emperor Caesar in this middleweight “featured fight of the night.” Two hard-swinging gents will ply their trade against one another while referee Kerry Hatley keeps things on the up-and-up. Almeida (7-1, 3-1 UFC), former kickboxer, still hopes to one day rematch Alex Pereira in a cage. If he hopes to sniff another fight with the current light heavyweight king, he will have to get past Oleksiejczuk (16-3, 0-0 UFC) and then work his way up the 205-pound ladder. The strikers try to touch ‘em up before they start striking, but somehow they miss their connection a couple times.
When they start fighting, it is all about the feint and fake for Oleksiejczuk, who is in the center of the Octagon looking to pressure forward. The ex-kickboxer is fine staying at distance, as it is a place he would prefer so he can chamber his big right hand and power rear-leg kick. He blasts Oleksiejczuk with a body kick from said back leg, and he overswings a right hand that allows Oleksiejczuk to tackle him to the mat with excellent timing. Oleksiejczuk steps right over to side control, and he wraps up Almeida’s right arm beneath his leg in a partial crucifix. Almeida frees his wing after taking some strikes, and Oleksiejczuk smothers him with the heaviest of chest pressure.
Oleksiejczuk thumps his man with surprisingly effective shoulder strikes, pumping them one after another into the kickfighter’s jaw. Oleksiejczuk sits up to drive down left hands, and he reassumes half guard to keep Almeida from escaping. Almeida recovers to full guard, where he uses a single butterfly hook to push off the hip and get enough space to scoot his way to the wall. Oleksiejczuk leaps back on top of him into the closed guard, and he softens the Brazilian up with body shots. Oleksiejczuk stacks his man up to break the guard, positioning Almeida’s neck in the uncomfortable position between the cage wall and floor. Almeida bucks but is still stuck on the floor, albeit slowly squirming to his knees and then up to his feet. Oleksiejczuk knees his foe in the gut when standing, and he further wears on “Cesinha” with shoulder pressure. When the 10-second clapper sounds, Oleksiejczuk lashes out with an elbow and breaks, retreating until the horn blares.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk
Round 2
Almeida intercepts a rapidly advancing Oleksiejczuk at the start of the round with a body kick. Oleksiejczuk pays him back with a one-two down the pipe, but another kick to the ribs from the Brazilian doubles him over briefly. Oleksiejczuk dodges a sweeping low kick and blocks one to his shoulder, with Almeida now standing firm in the middle of the Octagon. They both pop one another with the jab, and Oleksiejczuk loads up on a right hand and gets clubbed with a right-hand counter. The land from the former kickboxer shakes Oleksiejczuk up, who immediately shoots for a takedown and puts Almeida on his back with relative ease. Almeida is able to get to his knees much faster this go-round, and he even stands up despite Oleksiejczuk lacing his own leg between Almeida’s. Almeida hangs on with a kimura grip to potentially threaten or at least reposition them, but Oleksiejczuk ends up wrangling his man to the mat with a body lock takedown. He lands flat on top of Almeida, who intends on implementing butterfly hooks again to push off the hips until Oleksiejczuk steps over to half guard.
Oleksiejczuk uses his shoulder to smack Almeida in the face a couple times, but he gets complacent on top and drops his guard. This allows Almeida to sweep him and flip him to his back, where the Brazilian establishes top position in the guard. Oleksiejczuk is quick to kick off Almeida’s chest, pushing the former kickboxer over to his back so that Oleksiejczuk can reassume top control. Oleksiejczuk gets to the side fairly comfortably, and he drums down a hammerfist or two while Almeida scrambles on his own side. Oleksiejczuk elbows him on the ear and moves to half guard to ride out the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk
Round 3
To the surprise of no one, Oleksiejczuk looks to implement his grappling and keep his 100% takedown rate tonight intact. He succeeds in tossing Almeida to his back, with each attempt coming easier than the last. He lands in side control with little resistance from the Brazilian, and he works the body with strikes. One elbow pounds directly into Almeida’s cup in a very rare foul from that angle, and Hatley takes a second and calls time. It is also observed on the replay that Almeida struck Oleksiejczuk to the head with his knee while they were grounded, which is a foul on his end as well. Penalties offset, repeat first down. The two re-engage after about a minute break, with Hatley resetting the fighters on their feet when they do. Oleksiejczuk takes a few seconds to gather a full head of steam, and he bulldozes Almeida over with his takedown tackle. Oleksiejczuk postures up every so often to drop down a strike, but he is much more content on shutting down the former kickboxer than banging it out with him.
Oleksiejczuk switches to elbows, and he isolates an arm-triangle choke and considers stepping into full mount. The Polish fighter bails on the choke attempt to remain in half guard keeping Almeida pinned flat on the canvas. Almeida slowly drags himself to his seat, then turns over to his knees, but no further before Oleksiejczuk climbs on his back. Oleksiejczuk drops down every pound of weight he has on top of Almeida to prevent him from standing, as Almeida spins about and still manages to wall-walk his way up. With 15 seconds left, Almeida flirts with a guillotine choke, jumping guard for it and losing it on the way down. The horn sounds, and the two middleweights have gone the distance. Oleksiejczuk collapses to his back in pain, while Almeida stands up and limps away.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk (30-27 Oleksiejczuk)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk (30-27 Oleksiejczuk)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Oleksiejczuk (30-27 Oleksiejczuk)
The Official Result
Cezary Oleksiejczuk def. Cesar Almeida via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Expert Picks (5)
Cody picks Oleksiejczuk, citing his youth, experience, and training at Fighting Nerds. He believes Oleksiejczuk's wrestling and power will be too much for Almeida, who is older and has poor takedown defense. He expects a finish, possibly by submission.
Connor also picks Oleksiejczuk, citing his youth, aggression, and more well-rounded game. He notes that Almeida's wrestling is bad and that Oleksiejczuk can take advantage of that. Connor also mentions that Almeida is durable but slow, and that Oleksiejczuk's ability to initiate exchanges will be key. He sees it as a coin flip but leans to Oleksiejczuk.
Lucrative James picks Cesari Oleksiejczuk (Michał's brother) but acknowledges it's a close fight. He notes Oleksiejczuk's youth, power, and improved grappling at Fighting Nerds, but warns about his takedown defense issues. He believes Oleksiejczuk needs to mix in takedowns to avoid Almeida's knockout power. He projects Oleksiejczuk as a -150 favorite.
Paul also picks Oleksiejczuk, noting his amateur grappling background and the improvements at Fighting Nerds. He thinks Oleksiejczuk can mix in wrestling to avoid Almeida's kickboxing and get a submission, liking the sub prop at plus 750.
Zane picks Oleksiejczuk because he is a young, aggressive prospect with a more well-rounded game than Almeida. He notes that Almeida's wrestling is a huge weakness, and Oleksiejczuk can exploit that by initiating exchanges and mixing in takedowns. Zane also mentions that Almeida is durable but slow-paced, and Oleksiejczuk's front-foot pressure should allow him to dictate the fight. He acknowledges that Almeida is hard to hurt but believes Oleksiejczuk's aggression will be enough.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| César Almeida | 1 | 20 of 29 | 68% | 21 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Abdul Razak Alhassan | 1 | 17 of 33 | 51% | 19 of 35 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | César Almeida | 1 | 20 of 29 | 68% | 21 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Abdul Razak Alhassan | 1 | 17 of 33 | 51% | 19 of 35 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| César Almeida | 20 of 29 | 68% | 3 of 9 | 9 of 11 | 8 of 9 | 16 of 25 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Abdul Razak Alhassan | 17 of 33 | 51% | 13 of 29 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 21 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | César Almeida | 20 of 29 | 68% | 3 of 9 | 9 of 11 | 8 of 9 | 16 of 25 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Abdul Razak Alhassan | 17 of 33 | 51% | 13 of 29 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 21 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 7 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
From one brawl to another we go, as flamethrowing Brazilian Almeida (6-1, 2-1 UFC) looks to build momentum after rebounding from his first career defeat. He meets fellow haymaker aficionado Alhassan (12-6, 1 NC; 6-6, 1 NC UFC) in what could be a wild one for as long as it lasts. Hoping to avoid any errant blows will be referee Mike Beltran, but he has a chin and can take one or two without batting an eye. The 185ers touch ‘em up, and Almeida is the initial aggressor as he stalks the former welterweight down. Almeida strikes first in about 25 seconds, landing a low kick and having a high kick glide off the guard. Alhassan surges forward hurling a right hand, and he springs after it with two more hooks. Alhassan shoots for a double, and he bails on it when the two reach the wall. Almeida gets out of the tie-up and kicks the front leg twice. Alhassan wings a right hand that hooks behind the ear, and he pitches a second as Almeida does not bat an eye and instead counters with kicks. Almeida calmly walks him down behind low kicks, and he splits the guard with a right hand and pounds a knee off his foe’s arms. Alhassan sneaks in a power right hand, and Almeida responds with a body kick. The middleweights boot the body, and when Almeida tries for a second, Alhassan is on him with an overhand right. Alhassan kicks from both legs for shooting for a takedown, and they result in a clinch again. Alhassan lifts Almeida up with a knee to the sternum, and the Brazilian gives him one back to think about. Almeida turns him to the side and hammers the front leg with a kick. Alhassan chambers and looses a bomb of a right hand, dropping Almeida and hurting him badly. Almeida on autopilot looks for a takedown, but Alhassan pushes him over and starts battering him with ground strikes. Still calm as a cucumber, Almeida climbs to a knee, gets bombed with a right hand and muscles his way to his feet. Alhassan wants to get the job done once and for all, and he bombards the Brazilian with huge punches.
Almeida bounces off the fence, still in the fight and willing to trade, and he connects with a picture-perfect left hand that ices Alhassan. As if he were frozen in rigor mortis, Alhassan collapses lifelessly to his back, arms locked by his side and the back of his head clattering scarily off the canvas. Alhassan is all the way gone, eyes stuck open as they stare into the abyss.
The abyss stares back, with the expression on Alhassan’s face reminiscent of Rashad Evans’ obliteration at the hands of Lyoto Machida. The Ghanaian fighter is out for quite some time, and thankfully, he recovers and is lifted on the stool. Medical officials tend to Alhassan, who manages to come to but is still in a bad, bad way. Meanwhile, “Knockout of the Year” has an early contender one show in thanks to the devastating power of Almeida.
The Official Result
Cesar Almeida def. Abdul Razak Alhassan R1 4:16 via KO (Punch)
Expert Picks (10)
Angelo picks César Almeida, reasoning that Abdul Razak Alhassan is essentially a striker despite his Judo background, and Almeida is the more accomplished kickboxer. He notes Alhassan's age (39) and that strikers decline faster. He believes Almeida's striking will be the difference, as Alhassan doesn't use his Judo. He has Almeida in a parlay with Uroš Medić.
Big Brady is baffled by the line and not high on Almeida. He notes Almeida's takedown defense is a serious concern, as he was taken down by Potieria and Kopylov. However, he thinks Alhassan's cardio and age (39) are issues, and Alhassan has never won a fight past 6 minutes. He predicts Almeida will win the last two rounds on the feet and win by decision, as Alhassan will slow down.
Cody fades Almeida as a -250 favorite, citing his poor takedown defense exposed by Roman Kopylov and Ihor Potieria. He notes Alhassan's power, improved cardio training at altitude, and veteran experience. He believes Alhassan can win by knockout or by grinding out a decision if he mixes in takedowns.
Connor picks Almeida because he is a more technical striker who does not get flustered, and he has shown ability to handle wrestling and grappling threats. Almeida is comfortable in the clinch and finds strikes on the break. Alhassan, despite his power, is structureless on the back foot and tends to fight off his back foot, which plays into Almeida's hands. Connor notes that Alhassan's only path is to land a big shot early, but Almeida's counter-striking and patience should prevail.
Daniel acknowledges Alhassan's devastating first-round KO power and judo background, but worries about his cardio and age (close to 40). He thinks Almeida's technical kickboxing will pick Alhassan apart if the fight goes past the first round. He leans Almeida but calls it a dog-or-pass situation for betting.
Lucrative James picks César Almeida to win, citing his superior kickboxing and cardio. He acknowledges Alhassan's power and wrestling threat, but believes Alhassan will gas if the fight goes past round one. He notes Almeida's poor grappling but thinks Alhassan won't be able to wrestle for three rounds. He also mentions a prop bet on over 1.5 rounds at -170, as he expects Almeida to survive the early storm.
Almeida has technical combinations while Alhassan has power. Almeida can shut down Alhassan's judo attempts, keep the fight on the feet, pick him apart, and win on the scorecards.
Paul also picks Alhassan, calling Almeida untrustworthy due to his grappling deficiencies. He notes that Alhassan has a judo base and has taken down good fighters. He placed a bet on under 1.5 rounds at +145, expecting a violent finish.
The Guru picks Almeida but is not fully confident. He was unimpressed by Almeida's performance against Ihor Potieria (despite the eye pokes) but notes Almeida is younger (36 vs 39), trains with Pereira, and has momentum. He acknowledges Alhassan's explosiveness and danger but points out his six losses and age. He predicts a TKO, thinking Almeida might chin Alhassan.
Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Almeida is a violent but limited kickboxer who has shown resilience and ability to adapt. He points out that Almeida's guillotine threat and comfort in the clinch make him dangerous. Alhassan is nearly 40 with only two wins since 2018, and his fight IQ is poor. Zane also mentions that Alhassan's tendency to fight off his back foot will allow Almeida to be first and land cleaner shots.
Oct 05, 2024
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| César Almeida | 0 | 57 of 113 | 50% | 78 of 137 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 2:15 |
| Ihor Potieria | 0 | 44 of 89 | 49% | 57 of 102 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 3:32 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | César Almeida | 0 | 23 of 41 | 56% | 24 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ihor Potieria | 0 | 16 of 32 | 50% | 17 of 33 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 | |
| 2 | César Almeida | 0 | 22 of 36 | 61% | 37 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 2:13 |
| Ihor Potieria | 0 | 10 of 17 | 58% | 13 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 | |
| 3 | César Almeida | 0 | 12 of 36 | 33% | 17 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Ihor Potieria | 0 | 18 of 40 | 45% | 27 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| César Almeida | 57 of 113 | 50% | 32 of 69 | 14 of 28 | 11 of 16 | 41 of 90 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 22 |
| Ihor Potieria | 44 of 89 | 49% | 22 of 64 | 9 of 12 | 13 of 13 | 42 of 85 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | César Almeida | 23 of 41 | 56% | 6 of 16 | 7 of 14 | 10 of 11 | 23 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ihor Potieria | 16 of 32 | 50% | 6 of 21 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 5 | 16 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | César Almeida | 22 of 36 | 61% | 17 of 29 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 22 |
| Ihor Potieria | 10 of 17 | 58% | 6 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 15 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | César Almeida | 12 of 36 | 33% | 9 of 24 | 2 of 8 | 1 of 4 | 12 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ihor Potieria | 18 of 40 | 45% | 10 of 30 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 16 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Almeida (-410), Potieria (+320)
Round 1
Fresh off his first career defeat—a decision against Roman Kopylov—Alex Pereira’s teammate Almeida (5-1, 1-1 UFC) will get back in the cage in hopes of reversing his fortunes. He greets struggling Ukrainian Potieria (20-6, 2-4 UFC), who has seen three of his last four go the wrong way. With a finish entirely possible between these two stoppage-friendly middleweights, referee Dave Seljestad is on his A-game for this encounter. The fighters do not bump fists, staying in close range early while trying to measure the other. Quick jabs and kicks come out from both fighters, with Potieria landing a solid left hand at the end of an exchange. Almeida chops down the front leg with a pair of quick strikes, and he backs away to dodge a wheel kick. Potieria lunges with a left hand, and Almeida digs a right to the ribs. Almeida tosses out a body kick and parries a few punches so he can go to the body with a hand and then a foot. Potieria connects with three punches before Almeida get away, and the Brazilian pursues more body shots with kicks and punches. Almeida jabs the body and kicks low, and Potieria jumps at him and swings wildly. While the Ukrainian tags Almeida, Almeida counters him back. Potieria pursues a single, and he lifts Almeida up but sets him down when he does not have the right angle to secure the takedown. Almeida gets away and lashes out with a head kick and a follow-up right hand that sends Potieria staggering back. Almeida goes for a few home run punches, and Potieria responds with a failed level change. Almeida continues attacking the body, and he catches a kick and goes after a takedown. When Potieria retaliates with a guillotine choke setup, Almeida bails to get back to kickboxing range, where he potshots Potieria with long punches and accurate kicks. Almeida slams his man in the leg with a kick, and he connects with a right hand to follow. Potieria wants to change levels, and he succeeds in sucking Almeida’s hips out to drag him down. Almeida wall-walks to get back to his feet, and Potieria stays tight against him until Almeida spins out. Potieria scores a right hand, attempts an elbow and gets caught with a right hand in response. Potieria sneaks in a right, blocks a right hand and dives after a takedown right at the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Almeida
Mike Fridley scores the round: 10-9 Almeida
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Almeida
Round 2
The middleweights meet in the middle to start the second stanza, and Potieria attacks first with a low kick. Almeida comes back at him with a high kick that is blocked, and he keeps jabbing with his feet. Potieria ducks a faked level change and walks into an eye poke, and he turns away even as Seljestad has not called it. Almeida walks him down and slugs him in the gut, but the punch goes low and slams into the cup. Seljestad calls this second foul, and Potieria walks away to lean on the cage and recover. Potieria blows his nose on the cage floor, and after about 75 seconds off, he is good to go. The fight resumes, and when Potieria advances, Almeida pushes off and his finger slides into the Ukrainian’s other eye socket. Potieria walks away again, upset from the numerous fouls, and Seljestad takes a moment before calling time. Potieria is not thrilled, but he takes a minute to get his bearings. The fight clocks back in, and Almeida remarkably pokes Potieria again after a body kick—that makes four in the span of two minutes, without so much as a warning, much less a merited point deduction. Seljestad does not call this one, and Potieria takes it upon himself to grit his teeth and tackle Almeida down to the mat. Almeida muscles his way upright before long, and he swings for the bleachers. Potieria takes a few punches on the chin and pursues a single, driving the kickboxer to the mat. Almeida defends with a guillotine choke, and he rolls over “The Duelist” while squeezing the life out of him. Potieria bucks and twists to get out of the submission, but Almeida is on top of him in full mount. Almeida bashes his man with an elbow, and he measures a few more heavy blows down while Potieria hangs on tight. Almeida unloads four elbows on the forehead, holding Potieria’s head down with his other hand while punching him in the face. Potieria sits up to put his face on Almeida’s chest, and he gives his back up without serious concern of a submission. Almeida tries a few one-armed rear-naked chokes as he has one hook in, and he smacks Potieria in the side of the head and rolls Potieria over to get back to mount. The round ends with some heavy punches and elbows from the Brazilian.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Almeida
Mike Fridley scores the round: 10-9 Almeida
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Almeida
Round 3
Seljestad informs Almeida between rounds to not have his fingers outstretched towards his opponent. The last round kicks off with Potieria leading the dance with a high kick and a left hand. Almeida backs him off with a thudding right hand, and a body kick answers him. Almeida pushes off and appears to jab Potieria in the eye again, and Seljestad does not call it and tells him to keep fighting. Potieria is mad, and Almeida shows that his fists were closed. Potieria swats his hand away, clearly frustrated, and Almeida wants to get the job done with haymakers. Almeida busts his man on the chops with several heavy blows, knocking Potieria’s head around, but Potieria is tough as nails and tries to clinch up. Seljestad separates them incredibly quickly—this is not a great showing for the local referee—and Almeida thanks him by cracking Potieria with a few punches. Potieria lowers his hands and attacks from odd angles, only to get driven back with a right hand behind the ear and a body kick. Potieria pushes Almeida into the clinch, and Seljestad calls for action within seconds and splits them up. This is not good. Not good at all. Almeida is glad to have the space to keep kicking, and Potieria is quick to tie him up again. Seljestad asks for activity and once more has an ultra-fast separation—we may not see Seljestad in many future UFC cards at this rate, and this is his only assignment today. Almeida loads up on full power strikes, smashing Potieria in the face and body without fear of reprisal. Potieria stuffs a takedown, bowling the Brazilian over. Without enough energy to pursue a final flurry, the mess of a fight mercifully comes to a conclusion as Potieria just hangs on. Someone in the cage is about to get a stern talking to in the next hour or two, and it will not likely be one of the competitors.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Almeida (30-27 Almeida)
Mike Fridley scores the round: 10-9 Almeida (30-27 Almeida)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Almeida (30-27 Almeida)
The Official Result
Cesar Almeida def. Ihor Potieria via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo picks César Almeida, citing his superior striking and kickboxing background, including a win over Alex Pereira. He notes Ihor Potieria is hittable and has poor takedown defense, but Almeida is the better striker. He wishes Almeida were more affordable at -400 but expects the win.
Big Brady confidently picks César Almeida, noting that Potieria will likely attempt takedowns but has poor wrestling (0 for 10 or 11 in the UFC). He believes Almeida will stuff takedowns and out-strike Potieria, eventually breaking him and winning by second-round knockout.
Cody picks Almeida, calling Potieria a 'bum' and noting Almeida's striking pedigree. He believes Potieria's poor chin and cardio will be exposed, and that Almeida will win by knockout. He dismisses Potieria's grappling threat.
Connor is confident Almeida will win, noting that Potieria's boxing is unstructured and he leaves massive openings. Almeida's low kicks will disrupt Potieria's tricky strikes, and Almeida's kickboxing pedigree should overwhelm Potieria, who cannot challenge him in that realm.
Daniel Vreeland leans toward César Almeida due to his superior kickboxing background, including a trilogy with Alex Pereira. However, he is concerned about Almeida's age (36) and transitioning to MMA, as he can be taken down. Vreeland notes that Potieria has improved and could win if he gets the fight to the mat, but he favors Almeida's striking.
The host acknowledges that Almeida let down many people last time against Roman Kopylov by not showing urgency to get back to his feet. However, he believes Potieria lacks that type of grappling and will be forced to strike with the better striker, leading to Almeida finding a knockout.
Paul is hesitant to pick either fighter. He acknowledges Almeida's flaws and Potieria's puncher's chance but doesn't like the minus 350 price. He calls it a 'dogger pass' and doesn't commit.
The MMA Guru picks César Almeida over Ihor Potieria, citing Almeida's superior striking and fewer flaws. He notes Almeida trains with Alex Pereira, which helps with takedown defense and striking. He believes Potieria makes mistakes on the feet and won't get takedowns, and at altitude, Almeida's better striking defense will prevail. He predicts Almeida gets the win.
Zane agrees, stating that Almeida is a great MMA kickboxer who will exploit Potieria's defensive flaws. He notes that Potieria's one-and-done strikes leave him out of position, and Almeida's low kicks will neutralize his boxing. This is a perfect matchup for a kickboxer dabbling in MMA.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Kopylov | 0 | 58 of 105 | 55% | 114 of 162 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| César Almeida | 1 | 41 of 71 | 57% | 74 of 114 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 0 | 0 | 8:39 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roman Kopylov | 0 | 23 of 42 | 54% | 28 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| César Almeida | 1 | 18 of 31 | 58% | 23 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:01 | |
| 2 | Roman Kopylov | 0 | 20 of 36 | 55% | 52 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| César Almeida | 0 | 9 of 19 | 47% | 17 of 31 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:58 | |
| 3 | Roman Kopylov | 0 | 15 of 27 | 55% | 34 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| César Almeida | 0 | 14 of 21 | 66% | 34 of 47 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:40 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Kopylov | 58 of 105 | 55% | 18 of 52 | 24 of 30 | 16 of 23 | 51 of 97 | 6 of 6 | 1 of 2 |
| César Almeida | 41 of 71 | 57% | 34 of 63 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 32 of 61 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 10 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roman Kopylov | 23 of 42 | 54% | 4 of 15 | 7 of 10 | 12 of 17 | 23 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| César Almeida | 18 of 31 | 58% | 13 of 26 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 7 | |
| 2 | Roman Kopylov | 20 of 36 | 55% | 7 of 19 | 11 of 13 | 2 of 4 | 16 of 31 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 1 |
| César Almeida | 9 of 19 | 47% | 8 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Roman Kopylov | 15 of 27 | 55% | 7 of 18 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| César Almeida | 14 of 21 | 66% | 13 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Almeida (-112), Kopylov (-108)
Round 1
A pair of knockout artists grace the cage for the preliminary headliner, with Almeida (5-0, 1-0 UFC) and Kopylov (12-3, 4-3 UFC) tallying 15 knockouts opposite zero submissions on their respective ledgers. Referee Herb Dean steels himself for what’s about to come next. Before going all-out, the two middleweight strikers bump fists. Kopylov lands one kick, and Almeida answers with five of his own. Almeida goes after a head kick, and Kopylov lines up a right to the body and left to the head. Almeida pays it no mind and looks to set up a step-in knee when Kopylov comes after him. Almeida slams his shin on the inside and outside of Kopylov’s front leg, and he slips away from a jab. Almeida lands a low kick, and Kopylov catches the kick and trips the Brazilian up to put him down on the ground. Kopylov backs off instead of climbing into top position, and he retreats when a few big kicks fly at him. The threat of the takedown opens up a massive left hand for the Russian, who hurts Almeida badly but does not take advantage of it. Almeida resets, and the two proceed to fire off heavy blows. Almeida scores a body kick, and Kopylov shoots in for a takedown and plants the kickboxer on his back. Almeida wall-walks his way up, and Kopylov measures him to blast him with two right hands before Almeida stands back up. Almeida goes to the body, and he wipes his eye after taking a straight left hand. Kopylov takes advantage of body kick by busting Almeida in the chops with a straight left, sending Almeida crashing to the canvas. Kopylov backs away to let his man up, and he skirts away from two kicks and shoots for a takedown to take Almeida off his feet. Kopylov lands the double and puts himself in side control, keeping tight chest pressure to pin “Cesinha” down. Almeida gets the guard back and is warned for punches to the back of the head. Kopylov rides out the rest of the round on top.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kopylov
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Kopylov
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Kopylov
Round 2
The middleweights double bump fists, and Almeida reintroduces himself with two body kicks. The second lands, and he leans back to let a head kick buzz past him. Almeida digs the body with two push kicks, and he turns his hips into a body kick. Almeida walks Kopylov down and kicks his lead leg, only to get countered with a powerful right hook. Almeida ducks a punch to jab the body, and his subsequent head kick glances off the shoulder. Almeida loops a left hand around the guard, and two more punches land before Kopylov shoots in for a takedown. Almeida stifles him and digs a left to the liver, and he connects with a few more punches and retreats when Kopylov measures him with a one-two. Kopylov rushes forward to take the fight down, and Almeida leans his back against the wall and slides his arm beneath the chin with a guillotine choke. From this position, the Brazilian knees Kopylov in the chest a few times. Almeida escapes, and they jab at one another. Fists fly, and Kopylov catches his man with a right hand. Almeida fires off a head kick, and he lands a body shot and chains it into a knee from up close before pushing Kopylov away. Almeida kicks the ribs, and Kopylov sweeps him off his feet and dumps him on the mat. Kopylov retains top control in half guard, keeping Almeida stuck on his back and pushing him over when Almeida sits up. Almeida kicks the side with his heel from off his back, and Dean asks for Kopylov to do more as Kopylov is just grinding. Kopylov stays tightly pressed on his foe’s chest, and the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Almeida
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Almeida
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Almeida
Round 3
The fighters shake hands and bow to one another before engaging in the final frame. Almeida strikes first, with a front kick and a body kick. Kopylov doubles up a jab and lets go with a head kick, but Almeida pushes through it swinging his mighty fists. Kopylov ducks into a right hand and he wobbles back, and Almeida takes advantage of it by planting a knee on the forehead and a right hand on the way out. Almeida lines up another right hand, and as he rushes forward to throw more, Kopylov tackles him to the floor. Kopylov climbs into the open guard of his foe, and it only takes a few seconds of inaction for Dean to clap for more activity. Dean asks a second time, and Kopylov does not oblige him. Almeida closes his guard around the waist, and Dean calls for action a third time. Kopylov gets off a left hand over the top, and there have now been four claps from Dean to improve his position or do some damage. Almeida hangs on tight, and Kopylov lands two punches after Dean claps a fifth time while saying “work.” Kopylov does just enough to keep going, and chants boom in the area to “stand them up.” Commentator Joe Rogan joins them momentarily in those calls. Kopylov stays doing nothing, and Dean finally stands them up with 90 seconds to spare as the crowd is thrilled by him. Almeida thanks him with a blitz of fists, and he cracks the Russian with a combination. To take all the wind out of his sails, Kopylov rushes ahead and take Almeida down to the ground easy as can be. Almeida kicks him off, forcing Kopylov upright again, and Dean tells Kopylov to do something rather than lord over him slapping with occasional kicks. Kopylov drops down into side control, and he clings to the Brazilian until the prolonged endeavor draws to a close.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kopylov (29-28 Kopylov)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Kopylov (29-28 Kopylov)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Kopylov (29-28 Kopylov)
The Official Result
Roman Kopylov def. Cesar Almeida via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Roman Kopylov because although César Almeida is the better pure kickboxer, Kopylov has shown he can shoot takedowns and has good takedown defense. He believes the MMA aspect, specifically Kopylov's ability to mix in wrestling, will be the difference. He notes Almeida's takedown defense in the center of the cage is poor.
Big Brady is targeting this fight heavily, expecting both guys to stand and bang with power. He thinks Roman Kopylov will be lower owned and may implement a wrestling-heavy game plan for takedown upside. He sees either guy live for a knockout. He also likes César Almeida but notes he will be very popular.
Cody picks Kopylov, arguing he can mix in wrestling to neutralize Almeida's kickboxing. He notes Kopylov has trained wrestling in Dagestan and has shown takedown defense. Cody believes Kopylov can take Almeida down and grind him out, or catch him overextending. He acknowledges Almeida's kickboxing credentials but thinks Kopylov's MMA skills will prevail. He takes a shoey bet on Kopylov.
Daniel flips a coin to decide, acknowledging both are good strikers. He notes Almeida's elite kickboxing credentials but questions the transition to MMA. He says it's a pick'em and goes with Almeida due to the coin flip.
The host is impressed with Almeida's defensive grappling and striking, predicting he will outwork Kopylov. Almeida's ability to get back to his feet and his superior striking should wear down Kopylov, who has cardio issues. Even if Kopylov tries to grapple, Almeida's defensive skills will nullify him, leading to a knockout for Almeida.
Paul picks Almeida, citing his world-class kickboxing and win over Alex Pereira (though long ago). He notes Almeida is working on his MMA skills and believes if it's a striking match, Almeida has the edge. Paul took Almeida at plus 120 earlier and likes the line movement. He acknowledges Almeida is 36 but thinks his standup is on point.
The MMA Guru picks Roman Kopylov, stating that César Almeida hasn't finished anyone legit and that his striking is not elite. He believes Kopylov is more proven in the UFC and will work into the fight, possibly mixing in grappling. He predicts Kopylov by decision, possibly finishing later rounds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| César Almeida | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 6 of 11 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 5:53 |
| Dylan Budka | 0 | 29 of 38 | 76% | 87 of 101 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | César Almeida | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 6 of 8 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:32 |
| Dylan Budka | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 43 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | César Almeida | 0 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:21 |
| Dylan Budka | 0 | 28 of 36 | 77% | 44 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| César Almeida | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dylan Budka | 29 of 38 | 76% | 21 of 29 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 11 | 19 of 21 | 3 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | César Almeida | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dylan Budka | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | César Almeida | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dylan Budka | 28 of 36 | 77% | 21 of 28 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 9 | 19 of 21 | 3 of 6 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Budka (-148), Almeida (+124)
Round 1
A pair of pickups from Dana White’s Contender Series’ 2023 Season will be making their debuts against one another. In the one corner, “The Mindless Hulk” Budka (7-2, 0-0 UFC) aims to display his above-average fight IQ while Almeida (4-0, 0-0 UFC) comes in with just four bouts on his ledger. The middleweights will receive oversight from referee Mark Smith, and they touch gloves to make things official. Budka immediately takes to the outer edge of the cage, strafing back and forth before loosing a head kick that gets blocked. Almeida slowly works his way forward, eating a body kick as he scores a left hook. Budka races forward, tackling Almeida clean off his feet with a powerful double-leg entry. Almeida hits his seat and scoots his way towards the fence, only for Budka to interlock his legs around his foe’s to trap him. Any time Almeida posts off his right arm, Budka yanks it out and keeps him down. Almeida eventually explodes back to his feet, and Budka drops down in pursuit of a single-leg takedown. Budka lifts his man up but cannot ground him, as Almeida recovers his balance before hitting the deck. Budka sells out for a double, and he scoops the Brazilian up and dumps him to the mat. Once more, Budka traps Almeida’s legs beneath his own. Almeida slowly wall-walks until he wriggles his legs out and forces his way back to his feet, but Budka remains stuck on him like a cheap suit. Smith asks for more action when the two stall out, and Almeida delivers a few short punches to the side of the head as Budka attempts another takedown. Budka switches from double to single, and Almeida’s defense holds up well enough even as he is otherwise nullified. Almeida looks for any punch he can find from a strange angle, but no blow has any particular power behind it. The round ends with the two tied up.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Budka
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Almeida
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Budka
Round 2
Budka begins the round again backing off to the outer reach of the fencing, and he takes a few distance strikes before blitzing ahead with a double that puts the Brazilian on his back. Almeida immediately worms his way back and climbs up with the chain links behind him, and in no time, Budka is on him going for a single. Almeida drops down a few elbows to the side of the head when he finds the right leverage, and he works Budka on both sides of the head using short but growingly effective punches. Almeida’s strikes start swelling up Budka’s right cheek, and when he fights his way out of the grip, he sees Budka sucking wind. Almeida aims several strikes to the body to continue to exhaust him, and Budka shoots for a desperate takedown with nothing behind it.
Almeida slams elbows on the side of the head, and Budka’s legs crumble. Budka turns to his knees, in big trouble and trying to shell up, and Almeida lays waste to him with a number of right hands. With Budka nothing more than a punching bag at this point, Smith waves the fight off
, and Almeida has staged the mighty comeback while keeping his record flawless as a pro.
The Official Result
Cesar Almeida def. Dylan Budka R2 2:13 via TKO (Elbows and Punches)
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo leans Dylan Budka (whom he accidentally calls Gillan) because he is a grappler facing a striker. He expects Budka to shoot takedowns instantly and not stand and strike with César Almeida, a high-level kickboxer. He notes that Almeida's takedown defense is unknown and that defending trips on Contender Series is different from defending actual shots. However, he acknowledges the unknowns with UFC debuts.
Big Brady picks César Almeida as the underdog, citing that Almeida is the much better striker with an extensive kickboxing background. He notes that the judges have been emphasizing damage over control, which favors Almeida's big shots. However, he acknowledges that Budka could rack up control time with wrestling, but doubts Budka will do much with it. He sees a close fight with Almeida landing bigger shots and winning a decision.
Cody picks Almeida as a dog, citing his win over Alex Pereira in kickboxing and his striking advantage. He notes Budka is a one-dimensional wrestler with poor cardio, and that Almeida's takedown defense, while not great, may be enough to get back to his feet. Cody thinks Almeida's striking will be the difference, especially if Budka tires.
Daniel Vreeland picks César Almeida, expecting him to overcome early grappling scares and take over on the feet in later rounds. He notes Almeida's kickboxing pedigree from fighting Patan three times and his ability to get back up after takedowns. Vreeland believes Almeida's body shots, leg kicks, and jab will slow Budka's takedown attempts, allowing Almeida to finesse him on the feet.
Almeida is technically the better striker with kickboxing experience, including a win over Alex Pereira. He showed improved grappling in his last fight, which should help nullify Budka's clinch and grinding. Budka is physically strong but lacks technique; Almeida can damage him in close with knees and elbows, then win by decision.
Paul picks Budka but with low conviction. He notes Budka is a one-dimensional wrestler, while Almeida is a kickboxer with poor takedown defense. Paul thinks Budka can grind out a win by takedowns and control, but acknowledges Almeida's striking pedigree and the possibility of a knockout. He calls it a pass fight.
The host emphasizes Budka's elite high school wrestling credentials (87-5 record, national champion, All-American) and contrasts it with Almeida's kickboxing background. He notes that Almeida was taken down by Lucas Fernando, who has no wrestling background, and argues Budka's wrestling will be the decisive factor. He predicts Budka will dominate with takedowns and calls it a lock, threatening to quit covering the sport if Budka doesn't outwrestle Almeida.
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