UFC 329

AJ thinks Conor McGregor's best chance is early in the first two rounds, but expects Max Holloway to be powerful at welterweight and doubts McGregor's timing after the layoff. He believes Holloway is more likely to win as the fight continues, and suggests Holloway by KO under 3.5 rounds at +125. He also notes that if McGregor wins, it would likely be a KO in round one or two.

AJ picks Max Holloway to win, likely by knockout. He notes Holloway is minus 210 and thinks McGregor's long layoff makes a decision win unlikely. He suggests Holloway by KO in rounds 2 or 3 as prop bets, but doesn't love the main event betting lines overall.

AJ picks Max Holloway over Conor McGregor, citing McGregor's long layoff, partying, and injury history. He believes Holloway's activity, durability, and cardio will be decisive, and expects a later-stage TKO as McGregor fades. AJ notes that McGregor's best performances were at lower weights and that his 170-pound cardio has been questionable.

AJ picks Max Holloway to win, citing McGregor's five-year layoff, age (37), and the fact that Holloway is in-season and has superior cardio and durability. He believes McGregor will fade after the first round and that Holloway's volume and body work will lead to a late stoppage. AJ also notes that McGregor's power is his only path, but Holloway's mobility and chin make that unlikely.

AJ acknowledges the temptation to pick McGregor due to his aura and recent upsets, but ultimately sides with Holloway. He notes Holloway's proven chin at 170 and that he only loses when held down all fight, while McGregor has been out for over 4 years. He believes Holloway's durability and activity give him the edge.

AJ picks Max Holloway by knockout in the second or third round. He believes Holloway's pace, cardio, and combination punching will overwhelm McGregor, who is returning after a five-year layoff and a serious leg injury. He notes Holloway's recent wins over top competition and expects McGregor to fade after the first round.

Angelo picks Max Holloway confidently, stating Conor McGregor has no chance. He cites McGregor's five-year layoff, age (38), loss of speed and timing, and never having good cardio. He compares McGregor's leg break to Anderson Silva and Chris Weidman's similar injuries leading to decline. He believes Holloway will respect McGregor early but take over and finish him.

Angelo believes Max Holloway is better everywhere: striking, grappling, cardio, fight IQ. He notes Conor is old, slow, rusty, and hasn't fought in 5 years, with no cardio even in his prime. He expects Holloway to finish McGregor.

Big Brady is heavily backing Max Holloway, taking the -5.5 point spread at -150 for 3 units. He believes Conor McGregor's five-year layoff, leg injury, and partying lifestyle leave him with only a couple minutes of explosiveness. He expects Holloway to drown McGregor in deep waters and finish him in rounds 2-3, as McGregor cannot win more than one round. He also has 5 units on the fight not going to decision across two parlays, calling a McGregor decision a 'rigged outcome.'

Big Brady picks Max Holloway, citing Conor McGregor's five-year layoff, injury, and one win in the last decade. He notes Holloway's durability (most significant strikes absorbed) and believes McGregor's only chance is an early KO, but Holloway will weather the storm and finish him in rounds 2-4. He doubts McGregor has 15 good minutes in him.

Big Brady is leaning towards Max Holloway but is very hesitant due to the suspicious line movement and McGregor's early KO threat. He notes Holloway's elite durability and cardio, but acknowledges his chin was cracked by Topuria. He gives McGregor a 25% chance, mostly via round 1 KO, and is waiting to see if Holloway's odds drop further before betting.

Big Brady picks Max Holloway to win by second-round knockout. He is surprised by the betting line and money coming in on McGregor, citing McGregor's one win in nine years and five-year layoff. He acknowledges McGregor's early power but believes Holloway's volume and pressure will break him. He thinks Holloway will finish McGregor in the second round.

Cody picks Max Holloway, emphasizing McGregor's inactivity, age (38), leg injury, and lack of durability. He believes Holloway's volume, cardio, and recent elite competition give him a clear edge. He expects Holloway to win by TKO and thinks the fight doesn't go the distance.

Daniel Levi picks Max Holloway to finish Conor McGregor, citing McGregor's five-year layoff, leg break, and history of fading in fights. He notes that McGregor's best chance is an early knockout, but Holloway's durability and volume will overwhelm him as the fight progresses. Levi references Holloway's slow starts but believes he can weather the early storm and take over.

Jacob picks Conor McGregor for sentimental reasons, acknowledging it's unlikely. He believes McGregor still has power and accuracy, and that Holloway's chin has shown cracks. He thinks if McGregor lands his left hand early, he could knock Holloway out. However, he admits McGregor's cardio is a major issue and that Holloway should win. He says to pick Max but bet Max, but he's sticking with his boy.

Lucrative James picks Max Holloway to win via knockout, likely in rounds 2 or 3. He acknowledges Conor McGregor's puncher's chance early but believes Holloway's durability, cardio, and five-round experience will overwhelm McGregor, who has been inactive and suffered a severe leg injury. He notes that McGregor's power fades after round one and that Holloway has faced much tougher competition recently.

The host recalls that McGregor used grappling to edge out the first fight in 2013, but notes Holloway has since transcended to a much higher level. He expects Holloway's high pace, volume, and pressure to drown McGregor, leading to a second, third, or fourth round TKO stoppage.

The host is confident in Holloway winning by TKO, citing McGregor's long layoff, ring rust, likely decline in speed, and the damage he has done to his body. He expects Holloway's volume and pressure to drown McGregor in the middle rounds, and recommends waiting for a better line on Holloway as McGregor money comes in.

Paul picks Max Holloway citing activity, durability, and McGregor's long layoff and distractions. He notes Holloway's volume and cardio advantages, and that McGregor's best days are behind him. He mentions he already placed a small bet on Holloway and expects the line to move further.

The MMA Guru picks Max Holloway to win by TKO in the third or fourth round. He doubts McGregor's ability to return after five years off and believes Holloway's improved striking and cardio will be decisive. He predicts McGregor will start strong but fade, and Holloway will put him away with body shots and combinations against the cage.

AJ likes Paddy Pimblett as a dog and specifically likes the submission prop at +650. He feels BSD is horrible off his back and that Paddy will win by submission. He notes that the chat overwhelmingly agrees with Paddy by sub.

AJ is extremely confident in Paddy Pimblett as an underdog. He believes Paddy's jiu-jitsu is superior and that BSD's bottom game is questionable. He expects Paddy to weather early pressure, then take over in rounds 2-3 with a submission, specifically a rear-naked choke. He notes Paddy's iron chin and will, and that BSD has been finished before.

AJ picks Paddy Pimblett, believing he will catch BSD in a submission later in the fight. He notes that BSD's striking is sloppy and that Paddy's wild style can lead to a late stoppage. AJ also mentions that he bet on Paddy moneyline.

AJ picks Paddy Pimblett as a live underdog, emphasizing Paddy's granite chin, superior jiu-jitsu, and ability to counter BSD's reckless pressure. He expects BSD to have early success but fade, allowing Paddy to take over with grappling and potentially a submission. AJ notes that BSD is technically flawed and overaggressive, which plays into Paddy's strengths.

AJ picks Paddy Pimblett, emphasizing that Paddy's game is grappling-first and people underestimate his grappling skills. He believes Paddy will bust up BSD and sees a clear pathway to victory. He also mentions that Paddy is a dog and likes him as an underdog.

AJ picks Paddy Pimblett as an underdog by submission, citing Pimblett's high-level BJJ and iron chin. He believes Pimblett can counter BSD's pressure, land big shots, and take the fight to the ground where his grappling advantage will shine. He expects Pimblett to find a rear-naked choke or ground-and-pound finish.

Angelo picks Paddy Pimblett after flipping from BSD. He was originally on BSD but changed after considering Pimblett's durability and the news that BSD had staff issues. He notes that Pimblett has a granite chin and dangerous jiu-jitsu, and that BSD is sloppy. He believes if Pimblett gets takedowns, he can win, but acknowledges it's a coin flip and won't bet on it.

Angelo originally picked BSD but switched to Paddy due to staph infection rumors about BSD. He thinks if both are healthy, BSD wins via wrestling. He notes Paddy is tough and almost finished Justin Gaethje, but BSD's wrestling and pressure are concerns. He is not betting this fight.

Big Brady picks Paddy Pimblett to win by finish, taking Pimblett finish only at +150 for 1 unit. He argues that while BSD has better wrestling, his striking defense is poor and he makes many grappling mistakes, often ending up in submission attempts. He believes Pimblett's durability and awkward striking give him opportunities to snatch a submission or land a big shot, especially if he gets on top. He also has a half-unit on Pimblett by submission at +700, noting BSD's tendency to put himself in bad positions.

Big Brady leans towards Paddy Pimblett as a live dog, arguing that Paddy has more ways to win: KO, sub, or decision. He notes both have poor striking defense (42%), but Paddy is more durable and has never been KO'd. He thinks Saint Denis will make grappling mistakes and get caught in submissions, similar to Moicano's performance. He sees Saint Denis' path as only decision, while Paddy can finish.

Big Brady picks Paddy Pimblett to win by second-round submission. He highlights Pimblett's durability and ability to eat shots, while noting Saint Denis's history of being hurt and making grappling mistakes. He believes Pimblett can hurt Saint Denis on the feet and then catch him in a submission when Saint Denis shoots. He sees multiple paths to victory for Pimblett.

Cody picks Paddy Pimblett, citing his durability, improved striking, and ability to scramble. He believes Benoît Saint Denis will tire after a fast start, and Pimblett can take over in later rounds. He also took the over 2.5 rounds at plus money.

Daniel Levi leans toward Benoît Saint Denis, citing Paddy Pimblett's recent title fight loss and potential letdown. He acknowledges both fighters have defensive liabilities and that the fight could go either way, but favors Saint Denis's momentum and physicality. Levi notes that Pimblett's weight cuts and Saint Denis's pressure could be decisive.

Jacob picks Paddy Pimblett, impressed by his durability in the Justin Gaethje fight. He notes that BSD squares up too much in his striking and could get caught by Pimblett's big shots. He sees a potential club-and-sub scenario where Pimblett hurts BSD and then submits him. He acknowledges both fighters have ways to lose and that it's a tough fight to bet on.

Lucrative James picks Paddy Pimblett as the underdog, predicting a submission win after hurting BSD with a knee or uppercut. He believes Pimblett is the better striker, more durable, and more dangerous on top, while BSD's aggressive wrestling will create opportunities for Pimblett to scramble or reverse. He notes BSD's poor takedown entries and Pimblett's ability to time knees and uppercuts.

The host notes both fighters prefer grappling and are not comfortable striking. Saint Denis is more aggressive but puts himself in danger that Pimblett can exploit. He expects Pimblett to land big shots and use submission threats to win on the scorecards in the second and third rounds.

The host picks Pimblett by decision, expecting his strength and grappling to neutralize Saint Denis's early pressure and then take over in later rounds as Saint Denis fades. He believes Pimblett chose this matchup because he knows he can outgrapple Saint Denis over 15 minutes.

Paul picks Paddy Pimblett as an underdog, believing Benoît Saint Denis will fade after a strong first round. He notes Pimblett's improved striking, durability, and submission threat off his back. He expects to get a better price after round one and sees a third-round finish as possible.

The MMA Guru picks Paddy Pimblett to win by second round KO or submission. He believes Saint Denis is vulnerable on the feet and will gas out. He thinks Pimblett's power and jiu-jitsu will be too much, and predicts a hip toss or guillotine. He also mentions that Saint Denis's chin is up in the air.

AJ thinks Sandhagen most likely wins by decision, noting that Sandhagen decision at +190 makes sense. He acknowledges the possibility of a submission again but leans toward a decision win. He mentions the fight is expected to go over 2.5 rounds and that the distance is likely.

AJ picks Cory Sandhagen to win a decision in a competitive fight with Mario Bautista. He mentions Sandhagen by decision at plus 180 as a prop, indicating he sees it as a likely outcome but not a finish.

AJ leans toward Cory Sandhagen, believing his getup game is superior and that he won't be on his back long. He thinks Sandhagen will mix it up striking and take two out of three rounds. AJ also mentions the fight going over 2.5 rounds.

AJ picks Cory Sandhagen to win a decision, citing his crafty striking, dynamic weapons, and superior submission grappling. He believes Sandhagen's footwork and distance management will give Bautista trouble, and that Bautista's volume-based style won't be enough to outwork Sandhagen. AJ also notes that Sandhagen has fought better competition and has a clear edge in the grappling exchanges.

AJ picks Sandhagen by decision in a competitive three-round affair, noting Bautista is tough but Sandhagen is too much. He wishes it were five rounds.

AJ picks Cory Sandhagen by decision, highlighting his elite long-range striking, footwork, and improved wrestling. He believes Sandhagen's precision and ability to create space will neutralize Bautista's pressure and clinch game. He expects a hard-fought three-round fight with Sandhagen doing more damage and avoiding takedowns.

Angelo picks Mario Bautista because he believes Bautista is the better overall wrestler with incredible scrambles, and has leveled up significantly since their first fight. He notes that Sandhagen's losses are to wrestlers and Bautista is the better wrestler. He thinks Bautista will wrestle and control the fight, and that Sandhagen's striking advantage may not be enough.

Angelo thinks Mario has improved more than Cory over the years, becoming the cleaner boxer and better wrestler. He notes Cory's awkwardness could trouble Mario but believes Mario's scrambles and overall evolution give him the edge. He placed a quarter unit on Mario at +125.

Big Brady passes on this fight entirely. He acknowledges Bautista as a live dog but lacks confidence to bet, expecting a close decision that could go to the judges. He does not make a pick.

Big Brady does not have a clear pick for this fight. He calls it a close, high-level bantamweight fight that he doesn't plan to bet on. He notes Sandhagen has better volume and tools on the feet, while Bautista has more power and can win minutes in the clinch and on the mat. He expects a split decision and sees value on Bautista at plus money, but is not committing.

Big Brady picks Mario Bautista to win by split decision. He acknowledges Sandhagen's striking advantage but notes Bautista's improved grappling and Sandhagen's poor takedown defense. He thinks Bautista can mix in takedowns and control the fight. He calls it an extremely close fight and doesn't have a strong read.

Cody picks Cory Sandhagen, highlighting his superior striking, scrambling ability, and takedown defense. He notes Sandhagen's success against elite wrestlers like Umar Nurmagomedov and Moraes, and believes Bautista's wrestling is not at that level. He expects Sandhagen to edge out a decision.

Daniel Levi picks Mario Bautista to upset Cory Sandhagen, citing Sandhagen's tendency to choke in big fights and his recent title fight loss. He notes that Bautista is hungry, coming off a career-best performance, and has a competitive history with Sandhagen. Levi expects a close fight that could go either way, but leans toward the underdog.

Jacob picks Cory Sandhagen because he believes the fight will be mostly striking and Sandhagen rarely loses striking matches. He notes that Sandhagen is more active and lands more strikes, and that Bautista's wrestling may not be enough to overcome Sandhagen's movement and volume. He thinks Sandhagen will outpoint Bautista to a decision win.

Lucrative James picks Mario Bautista via decision, citing Bautista's improved boxing, cage control, and career trajectory. He sees it as a 50/50 fight but favors Bautista as the underdog due to Sandhagen's recent chin issues and Bautista's superior training environment at MMA Lab. He notes Sandhagen's slight edge in kicks and submissions but believes Bautista's advantages in close rounds will be decisive.

The host acknowledges Sandhagen won the first meeting via first-round armbar in 2019, but expects Bautista's improvements and physical confidence to help him muzzle Sandhagen, push him against the cage, and edge out a decision.

The host believes Bautista's improvements in physicality, defensive grappling, and clinch work will allow him to make the fight ugly and grind out a decision win. He thinks Bautista can replicate the style he used against Aldo to neutralize Sandhagen's unorthodox striking.

Paul picks Sandhagen but is torn, acknowledging both fighters have improved. He sees Sandhagen's volume as the key but respects Bautista's growth. He prefers to watch live and possibly bet in-play.

The MMA Guru picks Mario Bautista to win. He is frustrated with Cory Sandhagen, calling him a nerd and stating he is done with him. He believes Bautista will mix in grappling and be the aggressor, which will sway judges. He notes that Sandhagen often lets fights get away from him when the opponent is the lead.

AJ believes Lone'er Kavanagh will knock out Brandon Royval, calling it a statement performance. He likes Kavanagh KO at +240 and thinks it could happen early, with round one at +650. He dismisses Royval's chances, though notes a Royval KO is possible at +400.

AJ is confident in Lone'er Kavanagh, calling him a blue-chip prospect with technical striking and knockout power. He believes Kavanagh will knock out Brandon Royval, who may be past his prime after a bad loss. He notes Kavanagh's improved cardio and sees him as a showcase fighter.

AJ picks Lone'er Kavanagh, calling him his lock of the week. He believes Kavanagh gets an early KO, noting his KO on Contender Series was crazy. AJ acknowledges Royval's underdog potential but is confident in Kavanagh.

AJ picks Kavanagh to outclass Royval, emphasizing Kavanagh's technical striking, speed, and high fight IQ. He believes Kavanagh's clean combinations and body work will overwhelm Royval's chaotic style, and that Royval's recent KO loss raises durability concerns. AJ sees Kavanagh winning by decision or late stoppage.

AJ mentions Royval's best days may be behind him and that Kavanagh could knock him out, but does not make a definitive pick. He suggests he'd rather believe in Kavanagh straight.

AJ picks Lone'er Kavanagh to win, praising his high-level Muay Thai, speed, and technical striking. He believes Kavanagh's educated pressure and combinations will outclass Royval, who is on a two-fight losing streak and coming off a knockout loss. He sees Kavanagh winning by decision or knockout, and notes Royval's best chance is a wild strike.

Angelo picks Lone'er Kavanagh because he is a fast, clean, technical striker with good cardio, as shown in his five-round win over Brandon Moreno. He believes Kavanagh's speed and power will be too much for Royval, who can be wild and has been knocked out before. He notes that Royval has two hours of octagon time and is dangerous, but Kavanagh should win.

Angelo believes Kavanagh's speed and footwork will be the difference. He thinks Royval is less technical and will struggle to swarm Kavanagh. He notes Kavanagh's cardio concerns but points out he fought 25 minutes against Moreno. He expects Kavanagh to win.

Big Brady picks the fight to end by knockout, taking it at +195 for 1.25 units. He believes Kavanagh will have multiple opportunities to knock out Royval due to Royval's poor striking defense (43%), questionable chin from recent concussions, and willingness to eat shots. He notes Royval's chaotic style creates openings, and Kavanagh's speed and power should connect. He also mentions Royval's only loss by knockout and the possibility of Royval hurting Kavanagh, but leans heavily on Kavanagh's finishing ability.

Big Brady leans towards Kavanagh, citing Royval's recent injuries, concussion issues, and hittability. He thinks the fight will take place standing and Kavanagh's striking is fast and powerful. However, he is concerned about Kavanagh's fluke KO loss to Charles Johnson. He might look at Kavanagh by KO prop.

Big Brady picks Lone'er Kavanagh to win by second-round knockout. He praises Kavanagh's improvement and power, noting his impressive performance against Charles Johnson and Brandon Moreno. He criticizes Royval's poor striking defense and chin issues, believing Kavanagh will land multiple big shots. He thinks Royval's grappling won't be a factor.

Cody picks Kavanagh but is hesitant, citing Royval's inconsistency and durability concerns. He notes Kavanagh's power and youth, and the impressive win over Moreno at altitude. However, he acknowledges Royval's proven level and that Kavanagh has looked inconsistent.

Daniel Levi confidently picks Lone'er Kavanagh, citing Brandon Royval's recent concussion issues, beatdown by Josh Van, and knockout loss to Minnell Cap. He believes Kavanagh is catching Royval at the right time and has the skills to win by decision or knockout. Levi notes that Kavanagh's point-fighting style and Royval's tendency to engage could lead to a dominant performance.

Jacob picks Lone'er Kavanagh, noting that he was impressed by his win over Moreno and that he looked dialed in. He believes Kavanagh's power and speed could trouble Royval, who has been hurt before. He warns that Royval is a wild card and could surprise, but thinks Kavanagh should win if he doesn't try to make a statement and stays patient.

Lucrative James picks Lone'er Kavanagh via KO, praising his elite striking, movement, and counter-punching. He acknowledges Kavanagh's chin issues and potential cardio fade but believes Royval is too hittable and lacks the wrestling to force a grappling war. He warns that if Kavanagh wrestles, Royval's jiu-jitsu could be dangerous, but expects Kavanagh to finish on the feet.

The host believes Kavanagh is ready for this level of competition, as shown in his previous win over Brandon Moreno. He expects Kavanagh to use his speed, calf kicks, and power to touch up Royval and win by knockout.

The host picks Kavanagh by knockout, believing his speed and precision will find Royval's chin. He notes Royval's pace could be a problem and would prefer Kavanagh at a better price than -220, but likes the under 2.5 rounds or fight doesn't go to decision.

Paul picks Kavanagh by KO, believing his power and youth will be decisive. He notes Royval's recent knockout loss and durability questions. He is less interested in a decision win and prefers the KO prop at +240.

The MMA Guru picks Lone'er Kavanagh to win by KO in the first round. He believes Kavanagh's calf kicks and speed will be too much for Brandon Royval, who is coming off a KO loss. He notes that Royval throws with his chin up and is vulnerable to hooks over the top. He predicts Kavanagh will target the body and legs early, then land a hook upstairs.

AJ thinks McKinney will win by first-round blitz, typical of his style. He notes that if McKinney wins, it's almost certainly round one, and the fight is expected to end in round one. He suggests betting McKinney round one and having a live bet option for later rounds. He also mentions King Green decision at +1300 as a meme bet.

AJ picks Terrance McKinney to win by knockout in the first round. He expects McKinney to blitz King Green early, noting Green keeps his hands down. He suggests McKinney wins under half a round by KO as a live prop.

AJ is on the fence about this fight, calling it a 50/50. He notes Green is fun to watch but McKinney's quick slime out is live. He mentions the under 1.5 rounds at minus 360 but does not commit to a winner.

AJ picks McKinney to win by first-round blitz, citing Green's hands-down defense as a major vulnerability against McKinney's explosive start. He believes McKinney's speed and power will catch Green early, and that Green's durability is questionable. AJ notes that if Green survives the initial storm, he could win, but he favors McKinney's early finish.

AJ picks Terrance McKinney, citing Green's three-win streak as weak (decisions over Lance Gibson, Zahuber, and a washed Jeremy Stephens). He worries about Green's low hands and McKinney's blitz, and believes if Green survives the first minute, he becomes a live betting spot. He also notes Green should be the favorite or even odds but is plus 120.

AJ picks Terrance McKinney by first-round finish, citing McKinney's explosive blitzing style and King Green's low-hand defense. He believes McKinney's early onslaught will overwhelm Green, who is nearly 40 and has been knocked out before. He notes that if Green survives the first three minutes, he likely wins, but expects McKinney to land a knockout or submission early.

Angelo picks Terrance McKinney because he is more talented, faster, and hits harder. He acknowledges King Green is the better fighter in terms of experience and high-level competition, but believes McKinney's raw talent and athleticism will overwhelm Green early. He expects the fight not to last long and thinks the odds should be closer.

Angelo picks McKinney due to his early danger and tools, but has low confidence because of respect for King Green's experience and durability. He notes McKinney has never seen a third round and tends to gas. He thinks McKinney wins early or loses.

Big Brady does not pick a winner but bets on the under 0.5 rounds at +200 for 1 unit, citing McKinney's 13-13 record under 1.5 rounds and his tendency to either finish early or get finished. He also includes the under 1.5 rounds in a parlay. He does not explicitly pick a fighter to win, focusing on the round total.

Big Brady picks the under 1.5 rounds, noting that all 13 of Terrance McKinney's UFC fights have gone under 1.5 rounds. He highlights McKinney's extreme first-round finishing ability but poor cardio, leading to a likely early finish either by McKinney or King Green. He suggests McKinney wins under 0.5 rounds if he wins, but does not pick a side on the moneyline.

Big Brady is confident McKinney wins by early knockout, likely in the first minute or two. He notes Green's hands-down style is dangerous against McKinney's pressure. He points out that McKinney has never won a fight lasting more than 2.5 minutes in the UFC, and if he doesn't finish early, he often gets finished himself. He plans to bet the under if the price is right, expecting people to bet the over as a 'sick fetish'.

Big Brady picks Terrance McKinney to win by first-round knockout. He likes McKinney's forward pressure and power, and criticizes King Green's hands-down style, which has led to knockouts before. He notes McKinney's cardio issues but believes he will finish within the first two and a half minutes. He thinks Green's recent wins are over lower-level competition.

Cody picks Bobby Green, emphasizing McKinney's lack of heart and durability. He believes Green's experience, power, and submission game will be key. He notes Green's ability to survive the initial onslaught and then take over.

Daniel Levi picks Bobby Green to weather the storm and finish Terrance McKinney, despite Green's age (39). He compares the matchup to McKinney's fight with Eshmael Bonfam, where Bonfam was boxing McKinney up before getting caught. Levi acknowledges McKinney's kill-or-be-killed style and notes that both fighters could win inside the distance, but he has a soft spot for Green and expects him to find a finish.

Jacob picks King Green because he believes McKinney is not that good and can be overwhelmed early. He notes that Green has wrestling of his own and knows how to weather the storm. He thinks Green is a better fighter and if he survives the early onslaught, he will win. He also mentions that McKinney has no cardio and no chin, and that Green is a precise counter boxer.

Lucrative James leans toward Terrance McKinney via KO, calling the fight a coin flip due to McKinney's explosive but inconsistent style. He believes McKinney's athleticism and speed will overwhelm an aging Bobby Green, whose chin is fading. He suggests betting on under 1.5 rounds or specific round-one finishes rather than the moneyline.

The host loves playing McKinney under 1.5 rounds because they always hit. He expects McKinney's speed, explosivity, and power to find the chin of Green early, resulting in a round one knockout.

The host picks McKinney by first-round knockout, citing his power and the fact that all his UFC fights have ended under 1.5 rounds. He recommends betting the under 1.5 rounds regardless of the price, as McKinney's volatility makes the moneyline risky.

Paul picks Bobby Green at plus money, viewing it as a coin flip. He notes McKinney's wild style and tendency to fade, while Green has power and submission threats. He also plans to bet under 1.5 rounds.

The MMA Guru picks Terrance McKinney to win by KO in the first round. He notes McKinney's speed and power, and criticizes Bobby Green's hands-down defense. He thinks McKinney will be too dangerous early and will chin Green. He also mentions a personal anecdote about McKinney's strength.

AJ believes Robert Whittaker will be faster and cleaner, and expects him to look good. He likes the moneyline at -135 and thinks Whittaker is live for a KO at +230. He notes Krylov has a suspect chin and expects Whittaker to win by knockout, possibly over 1.5 rounds.

AJ is confident in Robert Whittaker in his light heavyweight debut. He believes Whittaker's speed and precision will be too much for Nikita Krylov, who has been knocked out recently. He expects a stoppage, possibly by knockout, and sees Whittaker as a contender at 205.

AJ picks Robert Whittaker, believing he is live for the finish and that Krylov is washed. He thinks Whittaker at light heavyweight will be a beast and that Krylov has no path to victory.

AJ picks Whittaker to win by knockout, emphasizing his speed advantage and superior technique. He believes Whittaker's footwork and striking will be too much for Krylov, who has shown a weak chin recently. AJ notes that Whittaker's move to light heavyweight should benefit him, and that Krylov's offensive wrestling won't be a factor.

AJ is excited for Whittaker at light heavyweight, calling him a new mythical fighter. He believes Whittaker will be fast and strong at 205 and sees a pathway to gold there, unlike at middleweight where Chimaev and Du Plessis block him.

AJ picks Robert Whittaker by knockout in his light heavyweight debut. He believes Whittaker's speed and power will increase at 205, and that his karate-based striking and footwork will be too much for Krylov, who he considers washed. He expects Whittaker to fend off takedowns and land hard counters.

Angelo picks Robert Whittaker despite concerns about the weight move. He believes Whittaker is the better fighter everywhere—faster, cleaner striking, better wrestling. He thinks Krylov is not elite and Whittaker should win. He is surprised the odds are close and thinks Whittaker's skills will overcome the size disadvantage.

Angelo thinks Whittaker is the better fighter and should win, but questions the move to light heavyweight. He notes Whittaker was a welterweight and never a big middleweight, and that Krylov will be much larger. He believes Whittaker's skill will overcome the size disadvantage.

Big Brady does not pick a winner but bets on the under 2.5 rounds at -120 for 1.5 units. He notes both fighters are chinny and have been finished multiple times, and Krylov is one of the most violent fighters in the division with a high finish rate. He sees multiple ways the fight can end early, including a knockout from either side or a submission from Krylov. He does not express a preference for either fighter.

Big Brady leans towards Whittaker but is not confident. He calls it the '1800 gambler fight of the week' between two washed fighters. He notes Whittaker is moving up to light heavyweight and will be undersized, but Krylov has looked awful and no longer grapples. He thinks Whittaker is the better striker and might have better durability, but doesn't love the current -210 price. He might consider Whittaker by KO if the line is good.

Big Brady picks Robert Whittaker to win by second-round knockout. He questions which fighter is more washed and concludes it's Krylov, noting Krylov's age, wars, and lack of wrestling recently. He acknowledges Whittaker's recent losses but believes he is still skilled and will be the better striker. He is concerned about Whittaker's move to light heavyweight and size disadvantage but thinks he can land a big shot on Krylov's suspect chin.

Cody picks Whittaker, arguing that Krylov lacks heart and is a glass cannon. He believes Whittaker's experience and skill will overcome the weight jump, and that Krylov's wild style leaves openings. He notes Whittaker has fought bigger guys before.

Daniel Levi picks Nikita Krylov for the upset, questioning why the odds are not closer to pick'em. He notes that both fighters are past their prime, but Krylov has the size advantage and is an opportunistic finisher. Levi is concerned about Whittaker's chin and his move up to light heavyweight, believing Krylov's power and size could be decisive.

Jacob picks Robert Whittaker but worries about his chin and the power jump to light heavyweight. He notes that Krylov is chinny and Whittaker has blitzes down the middle that could knock him out. He placed a bet on Whittaker inside the distance because Krylov is hittable. He is cautious about the weight move but believes Whittaker is the better fighter.

Lucrative James picks Nikita Krylov via KO, comparing Whittaker's move to light heavyweight to Chris Weidman's failed attempt. He believes Whittaker's chin won't hold up against the size and power of a natural light heavyweight, and that Krylov's physicality will be too much. He notes Whittaker's skill advantage but expects a knockout finish inside the distance.

The host notes that Whittaker's odds have moved from -190 to -125, making it a more bettable line. He expects Whittaker's speed to be the difference, finding the chin early and often to secure a knockout.

The host leans with Whittaker's speed and power to find Krylov's chin for a knockout, but has low confidence due to Whittaker's move to light heavyweight and questions about durability and size. He would need a better price than -190 to bet.

Paul picks Whittaker but is very hesitant due to the move to 205 and Whittaker's age and recent performances. He notes Krylov's wildness and questionable chin, but worries about Whittaker's durability and power translation.

The MMA Guru picks Robert Whittaker to win by KO in the first or second round. He believes Whittaker's technical striking and speed will be too much for Krylov. He notes that Krylov's only path to victory is power and aggression, but Whittaker can defend that. He predicts Whittaker will catch Krylov with a lead left hook as Krylov throws a high kick.

Big Brady is extremely confident Gable Steveson wins by first-round KO. He notes Steveson's phenomenal wrestling and nasty ground-and-pound, while Ellison is terrible off his back, has horrible cardio, and made a mistake pulling guard in his debut. He expects the under 1.5 rounds to be the most chalky in UFC history, possibly -600, but still a good bet.

AJ thinks Adrian Yañez is due for a highlight reel knockout and that Cody Garbrandt is the perfect opponent. He calls Yañez a true lock on the card, predicting a second or third round KO. He notes that Garbrandt is past his prime and will get clipped.

AJ is confident in Adrian Yañez, believing he will knock out Cody Garbrandt. He notes Garbrandt's decline and that Yañez has a speed and boxing advantage. He expects Yañez to force a firefight and get the KO, as Garbrandt's chin is vulnerable.

AJ picks Adrian Yañez by KO, believing Garbrandt is about to get slimed out and busted up with big shots. He thinks Yañez's KO feels right and that Garbrandt may run around avoiding the fight.

AJ picks Yañez to knock out Garbrandt, citing Garbrandt's inactivity, decline, and recent losses. He believes Yañez's pressure, speed, and combinations will overwhelm Garbrandt, who is no longer the same fighter. AJ notes that Garbrandt's chin has been cracked before and that Yañez is hungry and more active.

AJ picks Yañez by KO, stating Garbrandt is cooked and a step behind, and that he got lucky in his last fight. He expects a violent, brutal KO from Yañez.

AJ picks Adrian Yañez by violent knockout, citing Yañez's fast hands, slick boxing combinations, and knockout power. He believes Cody Garbrandt is past his prime, slower, and more passive, and that Yañez's timing and reach advantage will lead to a knockout. He notes that Garbrandt hasn't been knocked out since 2021 and Yañez is due for a knockout win.

Angelo picks Adrian Yañez because he is faster, cleaner, more technical, and younger. He notes that Cody Garbrandt is not the same fighter as 10 years ago, with seven losses in the last decade and a chinny style. He believes Yañez's takedown defense (75%) should be enough to handle Garbrandt's wrestling, and that Yañez should win by decision. He also likes the plus 200 odds on Yañez by decision.

Angelo believes Yañez is the better striker at this point, with better chin and speed. He notes Cody is a shell of his former self, with a 4-7 record in the last 10 years. He doubts a finish and expects Yañez to win a striking match.

Big Brady picks Adrian Yañez to win inside the distance at -105 for 1.5 units, calling the line a 'wild line' given Yañez is nearly -500 on the moneyline. He notes Garbrandt has no chin and Yañez finishes most of his wins by knockout. He also has a half-unit on Yañez by KO in rounds 2 or 3 at +280, expecting Garbrandt to run early but eventually get caught. He admits the fight has 'trap written all over it' but sees value.

Big Brady is confident in Adrian Yañez, citing Cody Garbrandt's low volume and tendency to fight not to lose. He believes Yañez will come forward, land big shots, and knock out Garbrandt, who has a weak chin and has been knocked out multiple times. He notes Yañez is a knockout artist and that Garbrandt's only path is an early KO, which is unlikely.

Big Brady is confident Yañez wins by KO, calling it a fine parlay piece. He notes Garbrandt has no chin, doesn't throw anything, and almost lost his last fight. He thinks Yañez at -250 was a phenomenal bet, but at -410 it's wide. He expects the KO prop to be juiced and the under to be scary because Cody might try not to get hit.

Big Brady picks Adrian Yañez to win by second-round knockout. He believes Garbrandt is due to get knocked out again, noting his low volume and defensive style. He highlights Yañez's high volume, power, and recent knockouts. He thinks Garbrandt's chin is vulnerable and Yañez will land a big shot.

Cody picks Adrian Yañez, citing Garbrandt's decline in durability, speed, and volume. He notes Garbrandt's 0-for-15 takedown streak and poor recent performances. Yañez has better cardio, speed, and is the more reliable fighter at this stage.

Daniel Levi picks Adrian Yañez to knock out Cody Garbrandt, citing Garbrandt's suspect chin and decline since his back injury. He notes that Yañez has better durability and confidence, though he acknowledges Garbrandt could land an early knockout. Levi expects Yañez to find the finish, possibly later in the fight if Garbrandt is cautious.

Jacob picks Adrian Yañez, emphasizing that the key is to stay balanced and not chase the knockout. He advises Yañez to touch and move, making Garbrandt overthrow and then counter. He believes Yañez is capable in wrestling and grappling, and should be the better striker. He warns that if Yañez tries to knock Garbrandt out, he gives Garbrandt opportunities.

Lucrative James picks Adrian Yañez via KO, stating that Cody Garbrandt is washed and his chin is gone. He notes Garbrandt's early speed and power but expects him to fade after round one, allowing Yañez to land a knockout. He highlights Yañez's durability and recent performances against tough competition.

The host loves Yanez in this spot, especially if his early durability holds up. He notes Garbrandt often fades in the second and third rounds, and expects Yanez to take full advantage and win by knockout.

The host is confident in Yañez's striking and defensive responsibility, expecting him to counter Garbrandt and eventually find a knockout in rounds two or three. He views Garbrandt as a faded fighter with durability issues and likes Yañez as a parlay piece.

Paul picks Adrian Yañez by KO, noting Garbrandt is overdue for a knockout loss. He mentions Yañez's KO prop at -115 and plans to bet it. He doesn't love the moneyline at -450.

The MMA Guru picks Adrian Yañez to win by KO in the first or second round. He is highly critical of Cody Garbrandt, stating that Garbrandt's head is not in the game and that he has been backing away in recent fights. He notes that Yañez has a solid jab that will give Garbrandt problems, similar to Rob Font's jab. He believes Yañez will pepper Garbrandt and put him away.

AJ feels Luke Riley is a confident pick, noting that Kamaka doesn't offer much damage threat. He thinks Riley will touch Kamaka's chin and possibly get a KO in the second or third round, or win by decision. He mentions Riley by KO round 2 at +850 and Riley by decision at +120.

AJ picks Luke Riley to beat Kai Kamaka, citing Riley's striking and Kamaka's lack of power. He believes Riley's clean boxing and leg kicks will overwhelm Kamaka, who is a journeyman. He sees a potential knockout or decision win for Riley.

AJ picks Luke Riley, noting he is a big favorite and should win. He acknowledges Kamaka is a tough journeyman but believes Riley will pull it off.

AJ picks Luke Riley to win a decision, emphasizing his sharp kickboxing, speed, and power advantage. He believes Kamaka is durable but lacks finishing power, and that Riley's cleaner striking will outpoint him. AJ notes that Riley is a prospect on the rise and that Kamaka's recent loss to Diego Brandao is a concern.

AJ picks Luke Riley but emphasizes it will be a hard-fought win. He notes Kamaka is well-rounded, very experienced, and has fought in UFC, PFL, and Bellator. He warns that Riley's price tag is incredibly high and that betting on him is risky.

AJ picks Luke Riley by decision, praising his precise straight punches and speed. He believes Riley's technical striking will outwork Kai Kamaka's pressure boxing, and that Kamaka's takedown threats won't be enough. He notes the odds are too wide but still favors Riley.

Angelo picks Luke Riley because he is faster, cleaner, and more technical. He notes that Riley's takedown defense is okay and he stays busy. He worries about Cage Warriors signings when they face gritty opponents, but believes Riley should win straightforwardly. He thinks the matchup is favorable and Riley is the better striker.

Angelo picks Luke Riley, citing his cleaner striking, speed, and range management. He is slightly nervous due to past English prospects failing in the UFC. He expects a decision win, not a finish, due to Kai's toughness and Luke's outside fighting style.

Big Brady passes on this fight, calling it a 'close but clear winner' for Luke Riley based on power and big moments, but expects a decision. He notes Kamaka is tough and his fights are often close, so he does not bet.

Big Brady is confident Riley wins by decision. He thinks Riley will have the bigger moments and land bigger shots, but Kamaka is stupid tough and the fight likely goes the distance. He notes the -400 opener was wild, but still thinks Riley wins. He might look at a decision prop or fight goes the distance.

Big Brady picks Luke Riley to win by decision. He highlights Riley's power and better defense, expecting him to land harder shots than Kamaka. He notes Kamaka's toughness and solid skills but believes Riley's power will be the difference. He acknowledges Kamaka might mix in takedowns but thinks Riley will get back up and out-strike him.

Cody picks Luke Riley, citing his superior striking and power. He notes Kamaka's tendency to go to decision and be in close fights. However, he is cautious about the price and expects a competitive fight, possibly a split decision.

Daniel Levi picks Luke Riley to defeat Kai Kamaka, citing Riley's speed, athleticism, and power advantage. He acknowledges Kamaka's experience and well-rounded skills but believes Riley can do enough to win at least two rounds. Levi does not predict a knockout but expects a clear decision win.

Jacob picks Luke Riley but is not confident, having been anti-Riley in the past. He notes that Kai Kamaka is a tough veteran who doesn't get pushed around, and that Riley has been taken down and controlled before. However, he believes Riley is the better striker in a mostly striking matchup and should win, but warns that if Kamaka gets in his face early, it could get interesting.

Lucrative James picks Luke Riley via decision, expecting a competitive striking fight. He believes Riley is the better boxer with more power and will defend takedowns after round one. He notes Kamaka's toughness but thinks Riley's offensive boxing will pull away in the later rounds.

The host acknowledges the fight will be closer than odds indicate and that an underdog shot on Kamaka could be warranted. However, he believes Riley will land more significant and eye-catching shots, leading to a decision win.

The host picks Riley to win by decision, believing his striking will land the more eye-catching shots. However, he considers Kamaka a live underdog due to his experience and well-roundedness, and notes the -305 line is too steep.

Paul picks Luke Riley by decision, noting Kamaka's durability and tendency to go to split decisions. He likes the split decision prop at +550. He acknowledges Riley's grappling deficiencies but believes his boxing will be enough.

The MMA Guru picks Luke Riley to win by KO in the first or second round. He likes Riley's boxing advantage and believes Riley will catch a kick and counter. He notes that Kamaka is no joke but thinks Riley's power and timing will be the difference. He also mentions that Riley should not be a -290 favorite, more like -190 or -200.

AJ is not very interested in betting this fight but leans toward Wang winning by decision. He notes that Wang by decision at +250 is a possibility, though he thinks Cortez might try takedowns but Wang's ground game is underrated. He mentions the fight is expected to go over 2.5 rounds.

AJ leans toward Wang Cong, noting her striking is sick and fast, and her getup is fine. He thinks Cortez's takedowns and control don't bring a massive sub threat, so Wang should be chilling. He also mentions Wang survived Eduarda Moura's jiu-jitsu which is better than Cortez's.

AJ picks Wang Cong, citing her superior kickboxing, speed, and elusiveness. He acknowledges the takedown threat from Cortez but believes Wang's takedown defense and ability to get back up will be key. AJ expects a close decision win for Wang, though he notes there are more confident bets on the card.

AJ picks Wang Cong nervously, indicating a hesitant lean. No further reasoning is provided in the transcript.

AJ picks Kong Wang to win, citing her elite kickboxing, takedown defense, and improved grappling. He believes Wang's striking will be too much for Tracy Cortez, who relies on wrestling. He notes Wang survived a bad position against Eduardo Mora and expects her to fend off takedowns and out-strike Cortez.

Angelo picks Wang Cong because she is a former professional kickboxer with fast, powerful striking and improved takedown defense. He believes Tracy Cortez's only path is grinding out a decision with wrestling, but judges may favor Cong's striking. He notes that Cong has multiple ways to win while Cortez has only one, and the line movement makes sense.

Angelo leans towards Wang Cong, citing her superior striking and rapid improvement, while Tracy Cortez has stagnated. He notes Tracy's wrestling is good but Wang's takedown defense is improving. He thinks the fight will be one-sided either way, with Wang likely winning by striking.

Big Brady passes on this fight after missing the line on Cortez at plus money. He thinks Cortez should win due to her ground advantage but is worried about her mentality and infrequent fighting. He does not make a pick.

Big Brady leans towards Cortez as a live dog, citing her grappling advantage. He notes Wang Cong has terrible grappling and ground game, as seen in the Mara fight, while Cortez has excellent control and a big butt that makes it hard to get her off. However, he worries Cortez might not care anymore. He sees the path: take Wang down, win rounds. He might bet Cortez by decision.

Big Brady picks Tracy Cortez to win by decision. He criticizes Wang Cong's poor ground game, citing rookie mistakes in her last fight, and believes Cortez's wrestling and top control will be decisive. He notes Cortez's underrated striking and ability to keep opponents down once she takes them down. He expresses slight concern about Cortez's motivation but sees her as the clear pick.

Cody picks Tracy Cortez, emphasizing her wrestling background and ability to take down opponents. He notes Wang Cong's striking credentials but questions her takedown defense and durability. He believes Cortez can grind out a win.

Daniel Levi picks Tracy Cortez to upset Wang Cong, contingent on Cortez implementing her wrestling. He notes Cortez's skills are there but her mental focus is questionable. Levi believes Cortez can get a submission or win a decision if she is mentally prepared, but acknowledges Wang Cong's striking advantage and Cortez's potential distractions.

Jacob picks Wang Cong, noting that Tracy Cortez is solid but doesn't excel anywhere and has squeaked by against lesser competition. He believes Cong's takedown defense has improved and if she defends takedowns, Cortez will be in trouble. He thinks Cortez is too willing to exchange on the feet and goes to wrestling too late.

Lucrative James picks Tracy Cortez via decision, citing her superior wrestling and grappling. He acknowledges Wang's striking advantage but believes Cortez can take Wang down and control her, as Wang's bottom game was exposed against Eduarda Moura. He notes Wang's slow-building style and Cortez's durability, predicting a close fight where Cortez's grappling edge wins rounds.

The host believes Cortez's grappling and experience will prevail. He expects her to find spots to drag Wang to the ground and make it look easier as the fight goes deeper, winning by decision.

The host believes Cortez's wrestling will be the decisive factor, as she can take Wang down and grind her out. He acknowledges Wang's striking advantage but thinks the grappling gap is wider, and Cortez's cardio will hold up better than Wang's previous opponents.

Paul has no pick for this fight, calling it a 'pick 'em' and saying he will steer clear entirely. He notes question marks around both fighters and does not have a take.

The MMA Guru picks Wang Cong to win by TKO finish. He believes Wang Cong is more committed and has better striking than Tracy Cortez. He notes that Cortez is decent but has other options, while fighting is everything to Wang Cong. He expects Wang Cong to unload shots and finish Cortez.

AJ is riding with Damian Pinas to get the knockout, believing in his heavy hands and that he will touch Almeida's chin. He picks Pinas KO round one at +275 (previously +300), noting that Almeida is ripe for the picking and has been caught with straight shots before.

AJ is confident in Damian Pinas, calling him a one-shot killer. He expects Pinas to knock out César Almeida in the first round, noting Almeida's vulnerability to straight shots and Pinas's power and speed. He sees Pinas as a blue-chip prospect.

AJ picks Damian Pinas, believing he will knock out Almeida. He cites Pinas's power, heavy hands, and explosiveness, and sees a straight punch landing on Almeida's chin. AJ thinks Almeida is there to be hit.

AJ picks Pinas to knock out Almeida, emphasizing Pinas's youth, power, and reach advantage. He compares Pinas to a Deontay Wilder type, believing his one-shot power will be too much for the 38-year-old Almeida. AJ notes that Almeida has been dropped before and that Pinas's explosiveness will be decisive.

AJ picks Pinas but notes he is fighting a legit Glory kickboxer in the biggest fight of his career, implying risk. He also mentions he likes Gandra more than Pinas.

AJ picks Damian Pinas by knockout, citing Pinas's 'touch of death' power and straight right hand. He believes Pinas's speed and reach advantage will allow him to land first on Almeida, who has been dropped before. He expects Pinas to knock out Almeida with a straight shot and ground and pound.

Angelo picks César Almeida because he is a much more accomplished striker with high-level kickboxing experience. He acknowledges concerns about Almeida's age (38) and that he has been dropped, but believes his striking is so good that he forces opponents to wrestle. He thinks if Pinas comes in trying to knock him out, things could get weird, but Almeida is the better striker and the pick.

Angelo picks Almeida as the better striker, but is hesitant due to age (38) and potential chin issues. He notes Pinas has fight-ending power and speed, but trusts Almeida's high-level kickboxing technique. He expects a striking match and hopes Almeida's chin holds up.

Big Brady passes on this fight despite joking about liking Pinas. He cannot lay -275 on Pinas in a striking fight against a high-level kickboxer, and neither fighter has ever been finished. He considers an under bet but decides against it.

Big Brady is confident Pinas wins, likely by KO. He thinks Pinas hits harder and is 14 years younger. He expects a stand-and-bang fight similar to Alasan vs Almeida, where both swing dicks until someone falls. He notes Almeida has never been KO'd but has been dropped badly. He might look at Pinas KO1 or under 1.5 rounds, as he doesn't like laying -210 if it leaves the first round.

Big Brady picks Damian Pinas to win by first-round knockout. He loves Pinas's power and believes he will be the first to knock out Almeida. He notes Almeida's kickboxing experience and never being knocked out, but points out he has been dropped in the UFC. He expects a striking battle and thinks Pinas's power will prevail.

Cody picks César Almeida, arguing he is the better striker with a diverse attack. He notes Pinas's power but questions his durability and cardio. He believes Almeida's veteran savvy and chin will carry him.

Daniel Levi confidently picks Damian Pinas, citing his youth, athleticism, and rapid improvement. He believes Pinas can strike with Almeida and may even showcase new wrestling wrinkles. Levi predicts Almeida, at 38, is about to fall off a cliff, while Pinas is a serious prospect with a bright future.

Jacob picks César Almeida but also likes the value on Damian Pinas first round KO. He compares Almeida to a poor man's Alex Pereira, noting his striking defense isn't great but he has power and a good chin. He thinks Pinas has power and could hurt Almeida early, but if the fight extends, Almeida's experience and striking will take over. He placed a bet on Pinas first round KO but picks Almeida.

Lucrative James picks Damian Pinas via KO, citing Pinas's power and Almeida's age (approaching 40) and history of being hurt. He acknowledges Almeida is the better striker but believes Pinas can catch him early. He notes he might also consider betting Almeida if the line moves, as Almeida could win if he survives the early onslaught.

The host favors technically superior fighters, especially when they are big underdogs. He picks Almeida to knock out Pinas with a perfectly timed counter.

The host favors Almeida's technical striking and kickboxing experience over Pinas's raw power, expecting Almeida to counter Pinas's aggression and find a knockout. He notes Pinas's youth and power are threats but believes Almeida's superior technique will prevail at plus money.

Paul picks César Almeida as a dog, citing his superior kickboxing and durability. He questions Pinas's wrestling and believes Almeida can win if it stays standing. He notes Almeida's experience against elite strikers.

The MMA Guru picks Damian Pinas to win by decision, despite being a -210 favorite. He thinks Pinas is explosive and big for the division, but notes that Almeida is a great kickboxer who trained with Alex Pereira. He expects Pinas to drop Almeida but Almeida to survive and the fight to go to a competitive decision.

AJ thinks Farid Basharat is the obvious pick, though he has been a decision merchant. He feels Basharat can win by finish, with the finish line at +110. He notes that Basharat's opponent is a pressure fighter but Basharat is crafty and should win. He also mentions Basharat by KO at +1000 as a long shot.

AJ picks Basharat to win inside the distance, citing his experience, well-rounded game, and the short-notice debut of his opponent. He believes Basharat's submission grappling is a key advantage and that he will finish Garza via submission or TKO. AJ notes that Garza has cardio issues and that Basharat is a lock.

AJ discusses the fight being canceled due to Ewing's injury. He does not make a pick as the fight is off.

AJ picks Ethan Ewing by decision in a close fight. He believes Ewing's pressure boxing and combination striking will outwork Basharat's distance kickboxing and wrestling. He notes Basharat's craftiness but thinks Ewing's boxing and takedown defense will be the difference. He calls it a 50/50 fight but leans Ewing.

Angelo picks Farid Basharat confidently, noting he is a technical striker with good wrestling who likes to stay at distance. He believes John Garza is a short notice opponent who is mostly a boxer and fades, and that Farid will not play into Garza's game. He expects Farid to win easily and recommends parlaying him.

Big Brady passes on this fight, calling it a coin flip between Basharat decision or submission. He does not bet.

This fight was removed from the card due to Ewing pulling out. Big Brady mentions it was one of the best fights on the prelims and expresses disappointment. No pick is made.

Big Brady picks Ethyn Ewing to win by decision. He highlights Ewing's forward pressure, cardio, volume, and power, noting that Ewing has a huge head and is hard to knock out. He acknowledges Farid Basharat's well-rounded skills and wrestling but believes Ewing can stuff takedowns and keep the fight on the feet. He expects a close fight but sees Ewing's momentum as a prospect killer continuing.

Cody picks Farid Basharat, citing his high ring IQ and ability to win close fights. He notes Garza's lack of UFC experience and durability concerns. He expects Basharat to win by decision but acknowledges the risk of a finish if the UFC pressures him.

Jacob picks Farid Basharat but notes that John Garza has clean boxing and could make it interesting if he stuffs takedowns. He thinks Farid is a bit overrated but his wrestling and grappling should give him the advantage. He warns that if Farid tries to stand and trade, he could get clipped.

The host considers Basharat too experienced, well-rounded, and skilled for the UFC newcomer Garza, who is still green. He expects Basharat to win by decision.

Paul picks Farid Basharat, noting his undefeated record and ability to win. He is a fan of John Garza but believes the step up in competition is too much. He plans to take a small shot on Garza but expects Basharat to win.

The MMA Guru picks Farid Basharat to win by competitive decision. He notes that Basharat often scrapes by against mid-level opponents and that John Gaza (Ethyn Ewing) is stepping in on six days' notice. He is not confident in Basharat's ability to dominate, but thinks Gaza is not ready for this jump.

AJ sees this as a close-range boxing mismatch where Gandra will blitz Reese. He thinks Gandra has sensational knockout power and will start fast, likely winning by KO. He notes that Gandra KO is at +100 and under 1.5 rounds at +135. He also mentions Gandra by decision at +1000 as a long shot.

AJ picks Gandra to win by knockout, emphasizing his power, forward pressure, and physicality. He believes Reese's striking defense is suspect and that Gandra's aggressive style will overwhelm him. AJ notes that Gandra's power is a major factor and that Reese's recent loss to Pereira shows vulnerability.

AJ picks Gandra, stating he thinks Gondrez (likely Gandra) will knock Reese out flat. He mentions money line odds at minus 190.

AJ picks Ryan Gandra by first-round knockout, highlighting Gandra's power and pressure boxing. He believes Gandra's close-range boxing and overhand shots will overwhelm Zachary Reese, who is a kicker but susceptible to being walked down. He notes Gandra's quick UFC debut knockout and expects a violent finish.

Angelo picks Ryan Gandra because he is a busy forward pressure striker who lets his hands go and is tough. He notes that Zack Reese is inconsistent and has a special place in his heart for the wrong reasons, having cost him a parlay. He believes Gandra is too tough and will move forward, making him the pick, but sees live bet opportunity if Reese survives early.

Angelo picks Ryan Gandra, believing he will land whatever he wants and keep coming forward. He respects Zachary Reese's toughness but thinks he won't have an answer, especially on the ground where Gandra can control and strike. He notes the fight is low stakes but fun.

Big Brady picks Ryan Gandra to win in round one at +215 for 1 unit. He believes Gandra has a couple minutes of explosive offense to finish the chinny Zach Reese, who has poor striking defense and gets hurt often. If the fight extends past round one, he favors Reese's experience and cardio. He also suggests a live bet on Reese if he survives the first round.

Big Brady picks Lone'er Kavanagh, citing Brandon Royval's age (33), accumulated damage, poor striking defense, and questionable chin. He believes Kavanagh is on the rise, with sharp, accurate, and powerful striking, and will clip Royval. He expects a knockout or a damage-based decision, and is surprised the KO prop is plus money.

Big Brady is confident Gandra wins by first-round KO, but only at the right price. He laughs at the +190 opener, saying Gandra should be -250 or -300. He thinks Gandra will knock out Reese early, but if it goes past round one, it gets gross due to Gandra's poor cardio. He might bet under 1.5 rounds or KO1, but won't lay -200 on the moneyline.

Big Brady picks Ryan Gandra to win by first-round knockout. He praises Gandra's power and takedown defense, expecting him to walk down Reese and land big shots. He criticizes Reese's poor striking defense and suspect chin, noting he has been hurt and knocked out before. He believes Gandra will stuff takedowns and finish early.

Cody picks Ryan Gandra, citing his power and Reese's durability issues. He notes Reese's poor cardio and defensive liabilities. He expects a finish, likely by Gandra, and recommends under 2.5 rounds.

Daniel Levi leans toward Zachary Reese, citing his experience and recent strong performance against Michelle Pereira. He acknowledges Gandra's power and physicality but wants to see more from him against real competition. Levi believes Reese can find his range and take over if he weathers the early storm.

Jacob picks Ryan Gandra by first round knockout. He criticizes Zach Reese's defense, saying he doesn't move his head and has typical tall guy defense with his chin up. He believes Gandra's right hand down the middle will connect and hurt Reese, leading to an early knockout. He is not worried about the moneyline and specifically plays the first round knockout prop.

Lucrative James picks Zachary Reese via KO, despite Reese's chin issues. He believes Reese is more proven with a diverse skill set and that Gandra's wild striking will be exposed. He notes Gandra's early knockout power but thinks Reese's experience against higher-level competition will prevail.

The host believes Gandra is technically superior and that will be the difference maker, leading to a stoppage. He specifically picks Gandra by submission.

The host leans with Gandra due to his superior all-around skills, judo, and top control, predicting a submission in the first two rounds. However, he acknowledges Reese's early power and speed could cause an upset, and he would need a better price than -150 to bet.

Paul picks Ryan Gandra, agreeing with Cody. He notes the line movement and believes Gandra's power will be decisive. He plans to bet Gandra round 1 at plus money.

The MMA Guru picks Ryan Gandra to win by KO in the first round. He criticizes Zachary Reese's coordination and chin, noting that Reese has a long neck and tiny head, making him hittable. He trusts Gandra's knockout ability and momentum, but acknowledges that if the fight goes to later rounds, Reese's grappling could be a factor.

AJ thinks Alessandro Costa is a lock to win, likely by finish. He notes Costa's well-rounded skills, including grappling and power, and believes he will stop Durden. He specifically likes Costa by submission at +450, citing Costa's six submission wins, all in the first round. He also mentions Costa inside the distance at +110 and Costa by KO at +110.

AJ is extremely confident in Alessandro Costa, calling him a lock. He believes Costa's boxing, body work, and ground skills are a nightmare matchup for Cody Durden. He expects Costa to finish Durden, possibly by submission or knockout, and sees it as one-way traffic.

AJ picks Alessandro Costa, believing he should win. He notes Costa is live for a submission as a crafty grappler, but also mentions a decision win is possible.

AJ picks Costa to win, likely by submission, citing his low center of gravity, physical grappling, and knockout power. He believes Durand will struggle with Costa's striking and wrestling, and that Costa's jiu-jitsu is a threat. AJ notes that Durand's recent win was at bantamweight and that cutting back to flyweight may not serve him well.

Angelo picks Costa because of his power and ability to knock out a chinny Cody Durden. He notes Costa's striking style with a high guard and patient approach, and that he should knock out Durden early. However, he expresses concern about Costa's cardio and short notice, but still believes Costa should win.

Angelo picks Costa but is worried about his cardio due to two short-notice fights in six weeks. He notes Costa is dangerous early with power, while Durden is chinny but a dog who pressures forward. He thinks Costa wins early or Durden grinds him out. He is not betting at -300 odds.

Big Brady does not pick a winner but bets on the under 2.5 rounds at -125 for 1.25 units. He notes Costa has power and can finish, while Durden has been finished seven times. He expects a violent fight regardless of who wins, with Costa likely finishing or Durden possibly catching Costa, who is chinny. He does not express a preference for either fighter.

Cody picks Cody Durden as an underdog, citing his wrestling, durability, and constant activity. He notes Costa's cardio issues and short notice. He believes Durden can win rounds early and possibly hold on.

Jacob picks Cody Durden because he's done betting against him, noting Durden always shows up and has dog in him. He believes Durden will get early takedowns, control Costa, and slow him down, potentially finding a finish in the second or third round. He acknowledges the risk if Durden can't get takedowns and gets chinned.

Lucrative James picks Alessandro Costa via KO, citing Costa's power and Durden's history of being hurt. He notes Durden's toughness and cardio but believes Costa can finish early. He admits he doesn't trust Costa at -250 and won't bet it, but predicts a knockout win.

The host acknowledges that many overlooked Durden previously but now respects his pace and pressure. He expects Durden to push a high pace and pressure that Costa may not keep up with, leading to a close decision victory, provided Durden's durability holds against Costa's BJJ.

Paul picks Alessandro Costa but is hesitant, acknowledging Durden's strong first rounds. He expects Costa to wear Durden down as the fight goes on. He prefers to bet Costa live after round one.

The MMA Guru picks Alessandro Costa to win by body shot TKO in the second round. He notes Costa has two finishes in a row by body shots and that Cody Durden is weak to the body. He also mentions that Costa is a short, stocky, powerful fighter who is hard to grapple, but sometimes takes a while to get going.