Zhang Weili
"Magnum"Career Averages
Win Methods (10)
Loss Methods (3)
Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 41 of 68 | 60% | 137 of 186 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 0 | 0 | 13:24 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 32 of 98 | 32% | 80 of 161 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 21 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:30 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 15 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 9 of 10 | 90% | 34 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:09 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 12 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 7 of 18 | 38% | 19 of 32 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 9 of 26 | 34% | 12 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 | |
| 4 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 13 of 21 | 61% | 31 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:16 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 10 of 30 | 33% | 19 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Valentina Shevchenko | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 32 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:46 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 5 of 17 | 29% | 22 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentina Shevchenko | 41 of 68 | 60% | 21 of 44 | 14 of 17 | 6 of 7 | 27 of 47 | 8 of 14 | 6 of 7 |
| Zhang Weili | 32 of 98 | 32% | 9 of 59 | 13 of 26 | 10 of 13 | 25 of 90 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 8 of 13 | 61% | 4 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 8 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Zhang Weili | 7 of 17 | 41% | 4 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 14 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Valentina Shevchenko | 9 of 10 | 90% | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 |
| Zhang Weili | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Valentina Shevchenko | 7 of 18 | 38% | 5 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 13 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 2 |
| Zhang Weili | 9 of 26 | 34% | 1 of 15 | 4 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Valentina Shevchenko | 13 of 21 | 61% | 5 of 11 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Zhang Weili | 10 of 30 | 33% | 3 of 17 | 4 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Valentina Shevchenko | 4 of 6 | 66% | 1 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Zhang Weili | 5 of 17 | 29% | 1 of 11 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (10)
Angelo leans towards Zhang Weili, citing her superior wrestling and athleticism. He believes Weili's clean double-leg takedowns will be effective against Valentina Shevchenko, who relies on striking to set up takedowns. He acknowledges Shevchenko's experience and durability but thinks Weili's speed and wrestling will be the difference.
Big Brady leans Valentina Shevchenko, citing her size advantage and natural weight class. He notes Shevchenko's wrestling ability, having taken down Manon Fiorot, and believes she can get takedowns on Zhang Weili, who was taken down multiple times by Rose Namajunas. However, he acknowledges Zhang's physical strength and says it wouldn't shock him if Zhang gets top position. Brady is not betting on this fight and predicts a decision win for Shevchenko.
Cody picks Valentina due to her size, experience, and well-rounded skills. He notes that she is an elite kickboxer and wrestler, and that her trilogy with Grasso was a blip. He highlights that Zhang has had takedown defense issues in the past, and that Valentina consistently scores takedowns. He believes Valentina's size and strength will be key, and that she will win by decision.
Connor picks Shevchenko but is hesitant, calling it a coin flip. He argues that Shevchenko's simple, patient style and mental stamina will frustrate Zhang, who struggles with distance and initiating exchanges. He notes that Zhang's wrestling might be neutralized by Shevchenko's clinch and top control, and that Zhang has been vulnerable when taken down.
Daniel respects Shevchenko's technical striking and well-rounded game, but sees Zhang as the fighter making rapid improvements, especially in wrestling. He notes that Zhang has outgrappled elite wrestlers like Carla Esparza and Tatiana Suarez, while Shevchenko hasn't shown the same evolution. He also likes the dog odds on Zhang and believes she can become a double champ.
Lucrative James picks Valentina Shevchenko to win, stating she is the greatest women's fighter of all time. He believes her wrestling and grappling are superior to Zhang's, and she can outskill her on the feet. He notes both fighters have losses due to grappling, but trusts Shevchenko's takedown accuracy and experience against tougher opponents. He expects Shevchenko to control the fight and win a decision or possibly a late submission.
Shevchenko's size and overall MMA advantages muzzle Zhang's style. She mixes martial arts well, sets up takedowns behind strikes, and wins on the scorecards.
Paul agrees with Cody, citing Valentina's size advantage and superior wrestling. He notes that both fighters are similar in age but that Valentina is the bigger fighter and has a better takedown ratio. He thinks the fight will come down to grappling and top position, and that Valentina will win those exchanges. He also mentions that Valentina is more technical on the feet.
The Guru picks Zhang Weili to win by split decision. He believes Zhang is a better fighter than Alexa Grasso and Manon Fiorot, who gave Shevchenko close fights. He notes Shevchenko's recent performances have been less dominant, and Zhang's grappling and striking should be competitive. The Guru also suggests promotional favoritism towards the Chinese market could influence a close decision.
Zane also picks Shevchenko hesitantly, emphasizing that Zhang's game plan may not work against Shevchenko's patience. He notes that Zhang has become a punch-and-clutch fighter but still struggles with range, and Shevchenko will force her to initiate. He sees Shevchenko's ability to maintain a low-risk fight as key.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 53 of 87 | 60% | 232 of 299 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 10:54 |
| Tatiana Suarez | 0 | 12 of 36 | 33% | 63 of 95 | 1 of 15 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 5:56 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 31 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:09 |
| Tatiana Suarez | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 23 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:08 | |
| 2 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 10 of 17 | 58% | 52 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:19 |
| Tatiana Suarez | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 3 of 6 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 | |
| 3 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 19 of 42 | 45% | 33 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Tatiana Suarez | 0 | 8 of 21 | 38% | 9 of 22 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 | |
| 4 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 7 of 7 | 100% | 53 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:27 |
| Tatiana Suarez | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 21 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 16 of 19 | 84% | 63 of 75 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:53 |
| Tatiana Suarez | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 7 of 14 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Weili | 53 of 87 | 60% | 32 of 56 | 16 of 21 | 5 of 10 | 29 of 62 | 11 of 11 | 13 of 14 |
| Tatiana Suarez | 12 of 36 | 33% | 1 of 16 | 2 of 6 | 9 of 14 | 10 of 33 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zhang Weili | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tatiana Suarez | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Zhang Weili | 10 of 17 | 58% | 7 of 10 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 |
| Tatiana Suarez | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Zhang Weili | 19 of 42 | 45% | 11 of 28 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 4 | 16 of 39 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Tatiana Suarez | 8 of 21 | 38% | 0 of 7 | 2 of 5 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Zhang Weili | 7 of 7 | 100% | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Tatiana Suarez | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Zhang Weili | 16 of 19 | 84% | 9 of 12 | 6 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 7 of 7 | 5 of 6 |
| Tatiana Suarez | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (5)
Big Brady picks Tatiana Suarez, believing her grappling will be a level above Zhang Weili's. He notes that Zhang has been taken down easily by lesser grapplers like Yan Xiaonan and Rose Namajunas. He is concerned about Suarez's cardio, as she has never gone 25 minutes, but thinks she will get a submission in the second round. He predicts a second-round submission.
Connor picks Zhang, citing her striking advantage and Suarez's questionable cardio. He thinks Zhang can use her kicks and movement to keep Suarez at range and tire her out. He notes that Suarez has never faced a five-round fight and faded in the third round against Nina Nunes. He also points out that Zhang has good takedown defense and can get back to her feet. However, he admits he could see Suarez winning if she gets top position early.
Daniel Levi mentions the co-main event where Zhang Weili defends her belt against undefeated Tatiana Suarez. He notes that the fight is a dead pick at -110 each and asks the audience whether they think Zhang Weili retains or if Suarez becomes champion. He does not express a personal opinion or pick a winner.
Suarez's smothering wrestling and improving BJJ are expected to open up a submission opportunity. Zhang has the striking advantage but will struggle to stop Suarez's chain wrestling and strength. Zhang's wrestling has improved but not enough to overcome Suarez. The pick is for Suarez to find the neck and force a submission.
Zane picks Suarez despite acknowledging Zhang's advantages in striking and cardio. He believes Suarez's wrestling will be the difference, as Zhang tends to tie up and Suarez is a better wrestler. He is concerned about Suarez's cardio and lack of five-round experience, but thinks she can get a submission or control on top. He notes that Zhang's best path is to jab and kick from range, but he doubts she will do that consistently.
Apr 13, 2024
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 106 of 157 | 67% | 256 of 327 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 2 | 0 | 12:44 |
| Yan Xiaonan | 1 | 43 of 85 | 50% | 73 of 116 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 2:20 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 17 of 30 | 56% | 20 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:04 |
| Yan Xiaonan | 0 | 7 of 23 | 30% | 7 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 | |
| 2 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 54 of 59 | 91% | 66 of 71 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:51 |
| Yan Xiaonan | 0 | 4 of 13 | 30% | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:10 | |
| 3 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 12 of 25 | 48% | 39 of 56 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Yan Xiaonan | 1 | 26 of 34 | 76% | 33 of 41 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:42 | |
| 4 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 19 of 33 | 57% | 59 of 86 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:42 |
| Yan Xiaonan | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 10 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 5 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 72 of 81 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:50 |
| Yan Xiaonan | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 16 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Weili | 106 of 157 | 67% | 84 of 119 | 13 of 19 | 9 of 19 | 34 of 78 | 4 of 4 | 68 of 75 |
| Yan Xiaonan | 43 of 85 | 50% | 21 of 60 | 4 of 6 | 18 of 19 | 24 of 64 | 3 of 4 | 16 of 17 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zhang Weili | 17 of 30 | 56% | 9 of 16 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 8 | 13 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
| Yan Xiaonan | 7 of 23 | 30% | 6 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Zhang Weili | 54 of 59 | 91% | 51 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 48 of 49 |
| Yan Xiaonan | 4 of 13 | 30% | 4 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Zhang Weili | 12 of 25 | 48% | 4 of 14 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 5 | 8 of 21 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Yan Xiaonan | 26 of 34 | 76% | 7 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 16 | 9 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 15 | |
| 4 | Zhang Weili | 19 of 33 | 57% | 16 of 26 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 19 |
| Yan Xiaonan | 4 of 10 | 40% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Zhang Weili | 4 of 10 | 40% | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Yan Xiaonan | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo is most confident in Zhang Weili, calling her better in every aspect of MMA. He notes her dominant performance against Amanda Lemos and believes she will easily defeat Yan Xiaonan. He recommends using her as a parlay anchor.
Cody sees a clear path for Zhang Weili via wrestling. He notes Yan Xiaonan has been taken down easily by Carla Esparza, Marina Rodriguez, and Mackenzie Dern, and has no get-up game. In contrast, Zhang Weili has excellent grappling, taking down Rose Namajunas five times and Joanna Jedrzejczyk three times. Cody believes Zhang can win on the feet too, but the path of least resistance is takedowns and ground control. He expects Zhang to grind Yan down and possibly secure a rear-naked choke or TKO.
Daniel Vreeland picks Yan Xiaonan as a massive underdog, citing his history of betting on her in every UFC fight and her value at plus odds. He acknowledges Zhang Weili's grappling advantage but believes Yan's improved takedown defense and striking can keep the fight standing, where she has the edge. He notes Yan's survival against McKenzie Dern as evidence of her improved ground game.
Daniel Vreeland picks Zhang Weili, stating that Yan Xiaonan's path to victory is unclear. He notes that Weili is always balanced and in the right position, and that she can match volume. He also mentions that Weili beat Yan J at her own game, and that she has a huge grappling advantage if she chooses to use it.
Jeff Fox picks Zhang Weili, agreeing with Vreeland. He notes that Weili is better everywhere in this fight, and that she will put on a one-sided beating. He also mentions that if she chose to grapple, she could finish the fight.
Lucrative James does not make a pick for this fight. He mentions it as the all-Chinese women's title fight but does not give a prediction. He only discusses it in the context of the card's strength.
Weili should put together a better body of work with a mixture of takedowns and striking damage to retain her title and win on the scorecards. However, -500 is not accurate as Yan Xiaonan is much livelier than the underdog price indicates and will provide resistance.
Paul sees this as a dogger pass situation, noting that women's strawweight fights are often close and go the distance. He acknowledges Zhang Weili should be the favorite but thinks the 4-to-1 price is too wide. Paul mentions Yan Xiaonan's path to victory is a first-round knockout, pointing out that Zhang has been knocked out before (by Rose Namajunas head kick) and that Yan just knocked out Jessica Andrade in the first round. He's tempted by the +385 underdog and the 30-to-1 round one prop.
The MMA Guru picks Zhang Weili to win by decision, dominating Yan Xiaonan. He praises Zhang's improvement and her performance against Amanda Lemos. He sees no path to victory for Yan and expects Zhang to use her grappling and striking to control the fight.
Aug 19, 2023
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Weili | 1 | 163 of 217 | 75% | 296 of 358 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 0 | 0 | 16:07 |
| Amanda Lemos | 0 | 24 of 63 | 38% | 29 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 44 of 55 | 80% | 74 of 90 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:33 |
| Amanda Lemos | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 16 of 20 | 80% | 49 of 54 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:47 |
| Amanda Lemos | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 20 of 29 | 68% | 31 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:58 |
| Amanda Lemos | 0 | 5 of 12 | 41% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 4 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 28 of 45 | 62% | 28 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
| Amanda Lemos | 0 | 13 of 37 | 35% | 13 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 5 | Zhang Weili | 1 | 55 of 68 | 80% | 114 of 129 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:05 |
| Amanda Lemos | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Weili | 163 of 217 | 75% | 106 of 150 | 37 of 42 | 20 of 25 | 50 of 77 | 17 of 18 | 96 of 122 |
| Amanda Lemos | 24 of 63 | 38% | 19 of 57 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 23 of 61 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zhang Weili | 44 of 55 | 80% | 36 of 47 | 6 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 41 of 52 |
| Amanda Lemos | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Zhang Weili | 16 of 20 | 80% | 10 of 13 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 8 |
| Amanda Lemos | 4 of 10 | 40% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Zhang Weili | 20 of 29 | 68% | 11 of 19 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 14 | 8 of 9 | 4 of 6 |
| Amanda Lemos | 5 of 12 | 41% | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Zhang Weili | 28 of 45 | 62% | 7 of 17 | 9 of 12 | 12 of 16 | 26 of 43 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Lemos | 13 of 37 | 35% | 11 of 34 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Zhang Weili | 55 of 68 | 80% | 42 of 54 | 11 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 44 of 56 |
| Amanda Lemos | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo is very confident in Zhang Weili, believing she is head and shoulders above the division. He notes her improved wrestling and jiu-jitsu, impressive volume and cardio, and power. While Amanda Lemos has knockout power and good takedown defense, he thinks Weili can win everywhere and will keep the belt. He has her in a parlay with Marlon Vera.
Big Brady picks Zhang Weili to win by third-round knockout, acknowledging Lemos is dangerous early. He notes Lemos has power and can finish early, but her cardio fades after the first round. Zhang is improving and can wrestle, and Brady expects her to weather the early storm and take over in the later rounds.
Cody views Zhang as a complete fighter with high-level striking, wrestling, and cardio, while Lemos has not faced top competition and struggled against Angela Hill. He expects Zhang to dominate and likely win by decision, though he acknowledges women's MMA can be unpredictable. He leans towards the fight going the distance.
Daniel Levi picks Zhang Weili, believing she is one of the best athletes in the UFC and has shown tremendous improvement, especially in grappling after training with Henry Cejudo. He notes that Lemos is dangerous early with heavy hands and a guillotine, but her cardio fades after round two due to weight cuts. Levi expects Zhang to take the fight to the ground and possibly finish via submission or ground and pound. He is confident but acknowledges that the early stand-up exchanges will be a sweat for backers at -330.
Lucrative James picks Amanda Lemos as a value underdog, believing she hits like a truck and has a good chance of knocking out Zhang Weili. He acknowledges Zhang has more ways to win and better cardio, but at plus 250 he sees it as an easy system play. He advises against being greedy and sticking to the moneyline.
Zhang is well-rounded with power striking and strong wrestling. Lemos fades late and has been submitted before. Zhang will mix in takedowns and wear on Lemos, eventually finding a finish in the later rounds. The inside distance prop and under 3.5/4.5 rounds are good options.
The MMA Guru picks Zhang Weili over Amanda Lemos. He notes Lemos' age (36) and past losses to Jessica Andrade and Angela Hill. He believes Zhang's athleticism, speed, power, and improved grappling will be too much. He cites Zhang's dominant grappling performances against Joanna Jędrzejczyk and Carla Esparza. He expects Zhang to win, possibly by submission or TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 6 of 32 | 18% | 19 of 50 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 0:55 |
| Carla Esparza | 0 | 37 of 78 | 47% | 42 of 90 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 1:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 5 of 27 | 18% | 18 of 45 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 0:53 |
| Carla Esparza | 0 | 33 of 65 | 50% | 38 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:00 | |
| 2 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Carla Esparza | 0 | 4 of 13 | 30% | 4 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Weili | 6 of 32 | 18% | 6 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Carla Esparza | 37 of 78 | 47% | 20 of 58 | 8 of 9 | 9 of 11 | 24 of 63 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 15 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zhang Weili | 5 of 27 | 18% | 5 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Carla Esparza | 33 of 65 | 50% | 19 of 48 | 6 of 7 | 8 of 10 | 20 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 15 | |
| 2 | Zhang Weili | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Carla Esparza | 4 of 13 | 30% | 1 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo believes Weili is the more dangerous fighter with power and improved wrestling. He expects Esparza to shoot takedowns but thinks Weili's athleticism and preparation will allow her to defend and possibly out-grapple Esparza. He notes that Esparza's takedown defense is not great and that Weili could even get takedowns of her own. He picks Weili to win and expects Esparza to lose the belt quickly.
Big Brady picks Zhang Weili to win inside the distance, expecting a brutal beatdown. He believes Esparza's wrestling won't be enough to control Zhang for 25 minutes, and that on the feet it's not close. He compares it to Esparza's loss to Joanna Jedrzejczyk, where she couldn't get takedowns and got finished. He notes Zhang knocked out Joanna with a spinning back fist and looks like a killer.
Cody picks Zhang Weili to win inside the distance, specifically by TKO. He compares the fight to Esparza's first title loss to Joanna Jedrzejczyk, where Esparza was pressured against the cage and ate shots until the ref stopped it. He notes that Zhang hits very hard and that Esparza needs a perfect fight to get takedowns without taking damage. Cody believes Zhang's power and pressure will lead to a stoppage, and he prefers the inside distance prop over the moneyline.
Daniel Levi picks Zhang Weili to become a two-time champion, but he is hesitant due to the price (-350) and the danger of Carla Esparza's wrestling and top control. He acknowledges that Carla has a history of mauling opponents like Yan Xiaonan and making Rose Namajunas gun-shy. Levi believes Weili is more well-rounded, powerful, and athletic, and he predicts a finish. However, he warns that if Weili gets laid on, it could be a repeat of Carla's past upsets. He advises against betting Carla again after her big dog win over Rose, calling it a 'one-time well.'
The host believes Zhang will get an early knockout, likely in the first two rounds. He notes Esparza's grappling is a threat, especially if the fight goes long, but Zhang's power and improved grappling should be enough to finish early. He recommends Zhang inside the distance rather than the moneyline, expecting a KO or submission. He also notes the under 4.5 rounds at +100 as a good bet.
Paul also picks Zhang Weili inside the distance, but specifically likes the TKO prop. He notes that Esparza's takedown defense is suspect and that when she is forced to exchange, she tends to swell up. Paul highlights Zhang's pace, accuracy, and power, and believes that Esparza will not be able to get Zhang down. He warns against taking the KO prop specifically, recommending the inside distance prop instead to avoid being burned like he was with Poliana Viana.
The MMA Guru picks Zhang Weili, citing her improved grappling under Henry Cejudo and her ability to stuff takedowns and land knees and elbows. He notes Esparza's poor striking and her loss to Joanna Jedrzejczyk, who stuffed 16 takedowns. He predicts a first-round TKO, with Weili dominating on the feet and stuffing all takedowns.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Weili | 1 | 69 of 102 | 67% | 94 of 130 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:51 |
| Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 0 | 43 of 85 | 50% | 44 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 47 of 66 | 71% | 72 of 94 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 2:39 |
| Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 0 | 22 of 39 | 56% | 23 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Zhang Weili | 1 | 22 of 36 | 61% | 22 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
| Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 0 | 21 of 46 | 45% | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Weili | 69 of 102 | 67% | 52 of 80 | 12 of 15 | 5 of 7 | 29 of 59 | 5 of 5 | 35 of 38 |
| Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 43 of 85 | 50% | 20 of 56 | 9 of 9 | 14 of 20 | 39 of 81 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zhang Weili | 47 of 66 | 71% | 41 of 58 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 24 | 4 of 4 | 35 of 38 |
| Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 22 of 39 | 56% | 14 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 9 | 20 of 37 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Zhang Weili | 22 of 36 | 61% | 11 of 22 | 10 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 21 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 21 of 46 | 45% | 6 of 28 | 7 of 7 | 8 of 11 | 19 of 44 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Zhang Weili, citing her activity and improvements since the first fight. He acknowledges Joanna arguably won the first fight and has better wins, but believes the two-year layoff will hurt Joanna's timing. He notes Zhang has added wrestling and has been fighting top competition, while Joanna has been inactive.
Big Brady picks Zhang Weili to win by decision, but is hesitant due to the close nature of their first fight and Joanna's two-year layoff. He notes that Zhang has power and has been more active, while Joanna relies on volume and movement. He expects a razor-close decision and is not confident in the judges.
Cody picks Zhang, believing the three-round fight favors her power and aggression. He notes Zhang's wrestling improvements with Henry Cejudo and thinks she can steal rounds with takedowns. He acknowledges Joanna's cardio but thinks Zhang's power will be decisive.
Daniel Levi is on the fence for this fight. He acknowledges that the first fight was very close and that Joanna won the early rounds on the scorecards. He notes that Zhang has power and could land a big shot, but also that Joanna has better volume and defense. He mentions the layoff for Joanna could be a positive or negative, and that the fight being in Singapore might favor Zhang. He ultimately picks Zhang but says he has no idea and is not betting the fight.
Weili has more power and her shots are more impactful. Joanna is coming off a long layoff and this is a three-round fight, which favors Weili's power. Joanna's output may not be enough to overcome the damage Weili lands. Weili also has a wrestling edge. I think Weili wins a close decision or late finish.
Paul takes Joanna as an underdog, citing her speed and volume. He thinks Joanna won two of the first three rounds in the first fight and that a three-round fight favors her. He acknowledges Zhang's power but believes Joanna's pace and experience can edge a decision.
The MMA Guru picks Zhang Weili to win by 29-28 decision. He argues that the three-round fight favors Zhang's power over Joanna's volume, and that Zhang has improved her grappling significantly, which she may mix in. He criticizes Joanna's two-year layoff and lack of dedication compared to Zhang's focused training. He expects Joanna to win the third round but too little too late. He notes that Zhang's power shots were more effective in their first fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 86 of 168 | 51% | 130 of 219 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 7:00 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 83 of 173 | 47% | 162 of 272 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 3:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 20 of 36 | 55% | 22 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 22 of 38 | 57% | 36 of 56 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 | |
| 2 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 20 of 45 | 44% | 22 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 16 of 39 | 41% | 21 of 44 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 | |
| 3 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 14 of 38 | 36% | 16 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 25 of 51 | 49% | 29 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:57 | |
| 4 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 14 of 23 | 60% | 39 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 2:32 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 12 of 27 | 44% | 32 of 50 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 | |
| 5 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 18 of 26 | 69% | 31 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:55 |
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 44 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Namajunas | 86 of 168 | 51% | 57 of 131 | 12 of 17 | 17 of 20 | 60 of 136 | 6 of 6 | 20 of 26 |
| Zhang Weili | 83 of 173 | 47% | 36 of 112 | 14 of 16 | 33 of 45 | 64 of 138 | 5 of 8 | 14 of 27 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rose Namajunas | 20 of 36 | 55% | 11 of 25 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 6 | 17 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Zhang Weili | 22 of 38 | 57% | 6 of 19 | 5 of 5 | 11 of 14 | 19 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Rose Namajunas | 20 of 45 | 44% | 12 of 36 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 4 |
| Zhang Weili | 16 of 39 | 41% | 6 of 28 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 6 | 13 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Rose Namajunas | 14 of 38 | 36% | 11 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 13 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Zhang Weili | 25 of 51 | 49% | 13 of 33 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 14 | 19 of 43 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | |
| 4 | Rose Namajunas | 14 of 23 | 60% | 9 of 16 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
| Zhang Weili | 12 of 27 | 44% | 6 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 6 | 9 of 16 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 9 | |
| 5 | Rose Namajunas | 18 of 26 | 69% | 14 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 17 |
| Zhang Weili | 8 of 18 | 44% | 5 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 |
Expert Picks (8)
Angelo picks Zhang Weili, believing she will make adjustments after the first fight. He thinks Weili will protect her chin, push the pace, and use her boxing to outwork Rose. He notes that Rose's win came from a single head kick and that there wasn't much to analyze from the short fight. He sees Weili's power and determination as key factors.
Big Brady picks Zhang Weili to win by decision. He notes Zhang's power, volume, and cardio advantage, while Rose may slow down as the fight goes on. Brady thinks the first few rounds will be competitive, but Zhang's pressure and durability will wear on Rose. He also mentions Zhang's move to Fight Ready and her takedown potential, though Rose is dangerous on the ground. He expects Zhang to win down the stretch, possibly with a late finish.
Cody agrees with Paul, citing Rose's precision striking and ability to find openings. He notes Zhang's durability but believes Rose's technique and submission game give her the edge. He compares it to Rose's first win over Joanna and sees value in the champion as an underdog.
Daniel Levi picks Rose Namajunas to defend her belt, expressing that the line is disrespectful to Rose at plus 105. He believes Rose is the better striker with more power and setups, and that Zhang Weili may be in denial about the first fight. Levi expects adjustments from Zhang, such as calf kicks, but thinks Rose's toughness and experience in rematches (3-0) will carry her. He notes that Rose is undefeated at Madison Square Garden and that Zhang's cardio advantage may be overstated.
Jacob picks Rose Namajunas, saying he will never bet against her again. He believes Weili's new focus on wrestling with Henry Cejudo could backfire, as Rose has excellent jiu-jitsu. He has a moneyline bet and a submission prop on Rose. He thinks Rose has the 'it factor' and thrives in big moments.
The host leans Zhang by decision, expecting her to use takedowns to sway judges in close rounds. He thinks the fight goes 25 minutes and likes the over 4.5 rounds at -125. He notes Zhang's new camp but limited time to adjust.
Paul picks Rose as a live underdog, noting she knocked Zhang out in the first fight and is being undervalued. He questions Zhang's wrestling improvements with Cejudo and believes Rose's precision striking and submission threat are key. He sees the line as too easy to pass up.
The Guru picks Rose Namajunas, citing her youth, reach advantage, and grappling edge. He believes Zhang's mindset will be affected by her first KO loss and the crowd booing her. The Guru predicts a third-round rear-naked choke submission, noting Namajunas' ability to bounce back and her training with Trevor Wittman.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 7 of 11 | 63% | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Zhang Weili | 1 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 7 of 11 | 63% | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Zhang Weili | 1 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Namajunas | 7 of 11 | 63% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 6 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Zhang Weili | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rose Namajunas | 7 of 11 | 63% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 6 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Zhang Weili | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Expert Picks (6)
Big Brady picks Zhang Weili to win by fifth-round knockout. He believes Zhang's power and durability will be too much for Rose, who slowed down in her last fight. He notes Rose has only one KO win and lacks power, while Zhang has a 100% takedown defense and can go five rounds. He expects Zhang to break Rose down late.
Cody leans toward Zhang, noting her pressure and power. He thinks Rose's technical striking could give her success early but doubts she can finish Zhang. He likes the over 4.5 rounds and mentions that Zhang's chin and cardio are advantages. He also notes that Rose's mental state could be a factor but ultimately sees Zhang retaining.
Daniel picks Zhang Weili, citing her evolution and ability to pull away in later rounds. He notes Rose Namajunas has a history of breaking in the third round and beyond, while Weili has shown heart and durability. He expects Weili to possibly get a finish in the third, fourth, or fifth round.
I think Zhang's power and pressure will be too much for Rose over five rounds. Rose tends to fade in later rounds, and Zhang has shown she can break opponents down. Zhang's leg kicks and combinations will slow Rose down. I like Zhang to finish late, so Zhang by KO at +255 and the round 4/5 props are appealing. The over 3.5 at -170 is also a good play as the fight should be competitive early.
Paul picks Zhang Weili, citing her durability, cast-iron mentality, and power. He acknowledges Rose's technical striking and footwork but believes Zhang's pressure and power will be decisive. He expects the fight to go the distance and likes the over 4.5 rounds. He notes Rose's mental fragility as a potential factor but thinks Zhang's chin and cardio will carry her.
The MMA Guru picks Zhang Weili by fourth-round TKO. He believes Zhang has more power, better cardio, and a higher pace in five-round fights. He thinks Rose slows down and that Zhang will chop at the legs, slow Rose's footwork, and finish her later. He also notes Zhang's grappling is good enough to avoid being exposed on the ground.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 165 of 408 | 40% | 170 of 413 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 1:13 |
| Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 0 | 186 of 360 | 51% | 196 of 370 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 30 of 76 | 39% | 30 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 0 | 30 of 64 | 46% | 30 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 20 of 65 | 30% | 23 of 68 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 0 | 32 of 62 | 51% | 38 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 | |
| 3 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 38 of 73 | 52% | 39 of 74 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
| Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 0 | 38 of 76 | 50% | 40 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 4 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 40 of 91 | 43% | 41 of 92 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 0 | 40 of 79 | 50% | 41 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 | |
| 5 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 37 of 103 | 35% | 37 of 103 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 0 | 46 of 79 | 58% | 47 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Weili | 165 of 408 | 40% | 96 of 305 | 11 of 22 | 58 of 81 | 158 of 393 | 7 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
| Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 186 of 360 | 51% | 96 of 230 | 32 of 47 | 58 of 83 | 171 of 342 | 15 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zhang Weili | 30 of 76 | 39% | 14 of 47 | 2 of 5 | 14 of 24 | 30 of 76 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 30 of 64 | 46% | 13 of 32 | 2 of 7 | 15 of 25 | 30 of 64 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Zhang Weili | 20 of 65 | 30% | 12 of 47 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 15 | 18 of 62 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 32 of 62 | 51% | 15 of 43 | 10 of 11 | 7 of 8 | 26 of 55 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Zhang Weili | 38 of 73 | 52% | 19 of 53 | 1 of 2 | 18 of 18 | 37 of 70 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 38 of 76 | 50% | 17 of 48 | 8 of 12 | 13 of 16 | 37 of 74 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Zhang Weili | 40 of 91 | 43% | 27 of 75 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 13 | 36 of 82 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 40 of 79 | 50% | 28 of 60 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 14 | 34 of 72 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Zhang Weili | 37 of 103 | 35% | 24 of 83 | 3 of 9 | 10 of 11 | 37 of 103 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Joanna Jędrzejczyk | 46 of 79 | 58% | 23 of 47 | 9 of 12 | 14 of 20 | 44 of 77 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (3)
Daniel picks Zhang Weili to retain her title, citing her power and ability to mix in takedowns. He notes Joanna has been dropped multiple times in her career and has a suspect chin. He believes Zhang can win a decision by landing harder shots and using body locks and trips, which have worked against Joanna in the past.
Weili has heavy hands and good ground game; she is stronger than Joanna. She can mix in takedowns to make Joanna hesitant. If Weili hurts Joanna early and often, she can finish, likely in the third or fourth round. However, if it goes 25 minutes, Joanna's volume could win rounds. Weili's power and strength are key advantages.
The MMA Guru picks Zhang Weili, citing concerns about Joanna's weight cut and the damage she has taken in recent fights (e.g., against Michelle Waterson, Rose Namajunas). He believes Zhang has more power and confidence, and will finish Joanna by TKO in the first or second round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Jéssica Andrade | 1 | 29 of 38 | 76% | 29 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Jéssica Andrade | 1 | 29 of 38 | 76% | 29 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Weili | 4 of 12 | 33% | 2 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jéssica Andrade | 29 of 38 | 76% | 16 of 25 | 7 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 15 of 23 | 13 of 13 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zhang Weili | 4 of 12 | 33% | 2 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jéssica Andrade | 29 of 38 | 76% | 16 of 25 | 7 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 15 of 23 | 13 of 13 | 1 of 2 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 30 of 62 | 48% | 33 of 65 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:09 |
| Tecia Pennington | 0 | 63 of 142 | 44% | 118 of 204 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 4:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 5 of 17 | 29% | 5 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Tecia Pennington | 0 | 16 of 52 | 30% | 18 of 54 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:16 | |
| 2 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 14 of 30 | 46% | 17 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:59 |
| Tecia Pennington | 0 | 24 of 46 | 52% | 39 of 62 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:36 | |
| 3 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 11 of 15 | 73% | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Tecia Pennington | 0 | 23 of 44 | 52% | 61 of 88 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:50 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Weili | 30 of 62 | 48% | 14 of 41 | 5 of 7 | 11 of 14 | 25 of 54 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 5 |
| Tecia Pennington | 63 of 142 | 44% | 29 of 76 | 6 of 21 | 28 of 45 | 43 of 117 | 6 of 8 | 14 of 17 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zhang Weili | 5 of 17 | 29% | 5 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Tecia Pennington | 16 of 52 | 30% | 4 of 24 | 2 of 10 | 10 of 18 | 16 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Zhang Weili | 14 of 30 | 46% | 6 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 8 | 11 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
| Tecia Pennington | 24 of 46 | 52% | 8 of 20 | 1 of 6 | 15 of 20 | 20 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | |
| 3 | Zhang Weili | 11 of 15 | 73% | 3 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 6 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Tecia Pennington | 23 of 44 | 52% | 17 of 32 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 7 | 7 of 25 | 6 of 7 | 10 of 12 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 45 of 58 | 77% | 63 of 79 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 2 | 0 | 2:31 |
| Jessica Aguilar | 0 | 9 of 12 | 75% | 11 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 45 of 58 | 77% | 63 of 79 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 2 | 0 | 2:31 |
| Jessica Aguilar | 0 | 9 of 12 | 75% | 11 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Weili | 45 of 58 | 77% | 36 of 48 | 7 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 39 of 46 |
| Jessica Aguilar | 9 of 12 | 75% | 0 of 2 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zhang Weili | 45 of 58 | 77% | 36 of 48 | 7 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 39 of 46 |
| Jessica Aguilar | 9 of 12 | 75% | 0 of 2 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Aug 04, 2018
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Weili | 0 | 34 of 123 | 27% | 35 of 124 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Danielle Taylor | 0 | 77 of 194 | 39% | 83 of 200 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 9 of 29 | 31% | 10 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Danielle Taylor | 0 | 27 of 61 | 44% | 33 of 67 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 | |
| 2 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 13 of 42 | 30% | 13 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Danielle Taylor | 0 | 24 of 70 | 34% | 24 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Zhang Weili | 0 | 12 of 52 | 23% | 12 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Danielle Taylor | 0 | 26 of 63 | 41% | 26 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Weili | 34 of 123 | 27% | 22 of 104 | 8 of 11 | 4 of 8 | 31 of 120 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Danielle Taylor | 77 of 194 | 39% | 31 of 107 | 15 of 30 | 31 of 57 | 71 of 185 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zhang Weili | 9 of 29 | 31% | 6 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 26 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Danielle Taylor | 27 of 61 | 44% | 10 of 35 | 9 of 10 | 8 of 16 | 21 of 52 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Zhang Weili | 13 of 42 | 30% | 8 of 35 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 13 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Danielle Taylor | 24 of 70 | 34% | 9 of 37 | 4 of 13 | 11 of 20 | 24 of 70 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Zhang Weili | 12 of 52 | 23% | 8 of 44 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 5 | 12 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Danielle Taylor | 26 of 63 | 41% | 12 of 35 | 2 of 7 | 12 of 21 | 26 of 63 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
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