vs
+134 -135
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Jul 22, 2023 · Heavyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura Next Fight
Age 30
Height 6' 4"
Reach 79.0"
Weight 265 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 30
Height 6' 3"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Mick Parkin
4.7 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
4.13 SApM
58.0% Str. Def.
1.38 TD Avg
46.0% TD Acc.
50.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Jamal Pogues
3.57 SLpM
46.0% Str. Acc.
3.97 SApM
49.0% Str. Def.
2.0 TD Avg
46.0% TD Acc.
70.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Mick Parkin
Moneyline
FanDuel +134
KO/TKO
BetRivers +420
Submission
BetRivers +600
Decision
FanDuel +700
Jamal Pogues
Moneyline
Caesars -135
KO/TKO
BetRivers +320
Submission
FanDuel +1100
Decision
BetRivers +210
Mick Parkin - Fight History
LOSS vs Marcin Tybura
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · Mar 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marcin Tybura 0 61 of 155 39% 64 of 158 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:01
Mick Parkin 0 60 of 145 41% 102 of 192 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marcin Tybura 0 21 of 56 37% 21 of 56 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:19
Mick Parkin 0 23 of 45 51% 24 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
2 Marcin Tybura 0 7 of 20 35% 10 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Mick Parkin 0 15 of 38 39% 41 of 69 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:24
3 Marcin Tybura 0 33 of 79 41% 33 of 79 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:25
Mick Parkin 0 22 of 62 35% 37 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marcin Tybura 61 of 155 39% 28 of 110 29 of 40 4 of 5 60 of 151 1 of 4 0 of 0
Mick Parkin 60 of 145 41% 47 of 130 1 of 2 12 of 13 49 of 118 2 of 2 9 of 25
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marcin Tybura 21 of 56 37% 4 of 34 15 of 20 2 of 2 21 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mick Parkin 23 of 45 51% 13 of 34 1 of 1 9 of 10 22 of 44 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Marcin Tybura 7 of 20 35% 4 of 15 3 of 5 0 of 0 7 of 19 0 of 1 0 of 0
Mick Parkin 15 of 38 39% 15 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 12 1 of 1 9 of 25
3 Marcin Tybura 33 of 79 41% 20 of 61 11 of 15 2 of 3 32 of 76 1 of 3 0 of 0
Mick Parkin 22 of 62 35% 19 of 58 0 of 1 3 of 3 22 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Mar 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

Angelo picks Mick Parkin, going against his bias for wrestlers. He notes Tybura's chin is fading after being wobbled in recent fights, but questions whether Parkin has one-punch knockout power. He thinks if Tybura can't get takedowns, he's in trouble, and Parkin's pace and control could be the difference. He admits it's a gut pick.

"I'm going to go with my gut... and I'm picking Mick Parkin"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Marcin Tybura

Brady is taking the underdog Tybura, questioning what a Mick Parkin win looks like. He notes Parkin's wins are against low-level competition and that he was outlanded by Kyle Machado. Brady thinks Tybura can win a close fight on the feet or dominate on top, and predicts a decision win.

Tybura by decision
"I'm going to take the underdog here and Marchin tabber to win this fight and I'm going to take him to win this fight by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

The host notes that the UFC has brought Parkin along slowly, and now he faces a tough veteran. Parkin's athletic advantages in striking and grappling will be too much for the aging Tybura, leading to a late finish or decision win.

finish late in the fight or decision
"I think Parkin's athletic advantages here from his striking advantage to even some grappling that people have yet to see will be too much for the aging Tyboro to deal with."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

The Guru is confident in Mick Parkin, praising his conditioning, patience, and well-rounded game. He notes that Tybura has beaten many heavyweights who rush for a finish, but Parkin is patient and won't make that mistake. He expects Parkin to chop at the legs, stay composed, and win a 29-28 decision, as he has seen Parkin answer grappling questions that other Tybura opponents could not.

decision 29-28
"I'm going with Mick Parkin guys Mick Parkin's going to get this one done"
KO (punches) R1 3:23 · UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · Jul 27, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mick Parkin 1 34 of 52 65% 34 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Łukasz Brzeski 0 24 of 42 57% 26 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mick Parkin 1 34 of 52 65% 34 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Łukasz Brzeski 0 24 of 42 57% 26 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mick Parkin 34 of 52 65% 29 of 46 0 of 1 5 of 5 28 of 44 3 of 4 3 of 4
Łukasz Brzeski 24 of 42 57% 12 of 28 3 of 5 9 of 9 20 of 38 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mick Parkin 34 of 52 65% 29 of 46 0 of 1 5 of 5 28 of 44 3 of 4 3 of 4
Łukasz Brzeski 24 of 42 57% 12 of 28 3 of 5 9 of 9 20 of 38 4 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 21, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

Angelo picks Mick Parkin as one of the most confident picks on the card, noting that Parkin is better everywhere and will control the pace. He expects Parkin's odds to balloon to -400 by fight night. Angelo admits the fight will be boring but is confident in Parkin's win.

"Mick Parkin one of the most confident picks on the card this fight's going to suck though"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

Cody picks Mick Parkin, citing his youth, cardio, and improving wrestling. He notes that Łukasz Brzeski has poor grappling and has been taken down repeatedly. Cody believes Parkin can use his wrestling to control the fight and win by decision, possibly with a late submission.

"Give me Mick parin again probably by decision but who knows man maybe you see a new wrinkle to his game and he submits brusi late in the fight."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

Daniel thinks Mick Parkin is technical and well-rounded, while Łukasz Brzeski has been fed to prospects and lost. He expects Parkin to outwork Brzeski.

"I'm gonna go with Mick Park and that come out here here and uh outwork him like all these other guys have"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

Paul also picks Parkin, noting that Brzeski's takedown defense is nonexistent and that Parkin can use his size and wrestling to grind out a win. He mentions that Parkin trains with Tom Aspinall and has a significant weight advantage. Paul expects Parkin to win, possibly by decision.

"Parkin will have like a at least a 30 pound on fighting I probably like a 40 pound advantage over breski... make it ugly."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 22, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

The MMA Guru picks Mick Parkin, expecting him to chew up Łukasz Brzeski's legs and mix in grappling when needed. He praises Parkin's underrated grappling and notes that Brzeski has had poor performances. The Guru believes Parkin is better than fighters like Karl Williams, who easily beat Brzeski. Training with Tom Aspinall is seen as a plus for Parkin's improvement. He predicts Parkin will win, possibly by decision or TKO.

"Michael Parkin is going to beat up on Lucas berski chew up his legs mix in the grappling when he needs to as well because his grappling is really underrated"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Ribas vs. Namajunas · Mar 23, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mick Parkin 0 57 of 167 34% 57 of 168 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mohammed Usman 0 72 of 150 48% 72 of 150 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mick Parkin 0 15 of 48 31% 15 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mohammed Usman 0 16 of 40 40% 16 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mick Parkin 0 18 of 51 35% 18 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mohammed Usman 0 20 of 41 48% 20 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Mick Parkin 0 24 of 68 35% 24 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mohammed Usman 0 36 of 69 52% 36 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mick Parkin 57 of 167 34% 26 of 114 30 of 52 1 of 1 57 of 167 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mohammed Usman 72 of 150 48% 37 of 109 4 of 4 31 of 37 71 of 149 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mick Parkin 15 of 48 31% 11 of 39 4 of 9 0 of 0 15 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mohammed Usman 16 of 40 40% 6 of 27 0 of 0 10 of 13 16 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Mick Parkin 18 of 51 35% 5 of 32 12 of 18 1 of 1 18 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mohammed Usman 20 of 41 48% 9 of 27 2 of 2 9 of 12 20 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Mick Parkin 24 of 68 35% 10 of 43 14 of 25 0 of 0 24 of 68 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mohammed Usman 36 of 69 52% 22 of 55 2 of 2 12 of 12 35 of 68 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

Angelo picks Mick Parkin because he is the more technical fighter with sharper striking and slightly better takedowns. He expects a boring, slow, sloppy heavyweight decision, possibly with a stoppage from Parkin via takedown and ground control. He will stay away from betting unless the over 1.5 rounds line is available, which he would hammer.

over 1.5 rounds if available
"Mick is going to be the pick here I'm going to stay away from this unless we get a very lucky one and a half round line hopefully The Bookies say ah they're heavyweights one and a half then we'll …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

Big Brady picks Mick Parkin, believing the fight will primarily be standing. He notes Parkin's striking looked good in his debut but was inconsistent against Kyle Machado. He thinks Parkin will land more strikes at range, while Usman has low volume and relies on power. Brady doubts Usman can knock out Parkin and expects a decision win for Parkin.

"I'm more so on the mick Parkin side... I'm taking Mick Park in here I'm taking to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

Cody picks Parkin, citing his size, mobility, and superior boxing. He criticizes Usman's low output and lack of power. Cody believes Parkin will outwork Usman and win a decision.

"Mick Parkin is going to find a way to just at work him."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Mar 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mohammed Usman

Daniel Vreeland leans toward Mohammed Usman, admiring his ability to find a way to win even in ugly fights. He notes Usman has power and wrestling, and can take Parkin down. He thinks Parkin is the cleaner striker but Usman's physicality and grit could carry him.

"I'm gonna lean towards the dog here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

Parkin has a great gas tank for a heavyweight, good output, and excellent scrambling ability. He will pressure Usman, who has a low-volume kickboxing style and tends to slow down late. Parkin can win by decision or even snatch a late submission, as Usman has been submitted before. Usman's only path is a flash KO, but Parkin should control the fight.

Round 3 submission at +3000
"I think Parkin is absolutely capable of doing that once again here and I think that we can see Parkin either cruise to a decision or I think he actually does snatch up a submission late in this fight which …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

Paul picks Parkin, noting his training with Tom Aspinall and his ability to go the distance. He acknowledges the line movement toward Usman but still favors Parkin's overall game.

"Parkin Parkin is the pick for me as well."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Mohammed Usman

The MMA Guru picks Mohammed Usman over Mick Parkin, citing Parkin's poor last performance where he arguably lost and looked bad. He believes Usman's athleticism and wrestling will wear on Parkin as the fight goes on, with Usman landing takedowns in rounds two and three. He notes Parkin's eye swelling in his last fight and thinks Usman's power and pressure will be too much. He predicts a decision win for Usman.

decision win
"I'm actually gonna go with Muhammad Usman over Mick Parkin... I think mosman's going to be able to wear on Mick Parkin as the fight goes on... by decision"
WIN vs Caio Machado
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · Nov 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mick Parkin 0 39 of 98 39% 69 of 139 3 of 10 30% 0 1 6:23
Caio Machado 0 76 of 132 57% 103 of 164 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mick Parkin 0 7 of 22 31% 11 of 30 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:45
Caio Machado 0 24 of 43 55% 34 of 54 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Mick Parkin 0 9 of 20 45% 35 of 53 1 of 3 33% 0 1 3:32
Caio Machado 0 17 of 21 80% 34 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
3 Mick Parkin 0 23 of 56 41% 23 of 56 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:06
Caio Machado 0 35 of 68 51% 35 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mick Parkin 39 of 98 39% 33 of 91 2 of 3 4 of 4 34 of 92 3 of 3 2 of 3
Caio Machado 76 of 132 57% 41 of 95 24 of 26 11 of 11 68 of 121 6 of 9 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mick Parkin 7 of 22 31% 4 of 19 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Caio Machado 24 of 43 55% 8 of 27 10 of 10 6 of 6 21 of 39 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Mick Parkin 9 of 20 45% 9 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0 6 of 16 1 of 1 2 of 3
Caio Machado 17 of 21 80% 14 of 17 1 of 2 2 of 2 12 of 16 3 of 3 2 of 2
3 Mick Parkin 23 of 56 41% 20 of 52 1 of 2 2 of 2 21 of 54 2 of 2 0 of 0
Caio Machado 35 of 68 51% 19 of 51 13 of 14 3 of 3 35 of 66 0 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 12, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

Angelo has a slight lean towards Mick Parkin because he can wrestle if needed, but he is very hesitant due to the wide odds (-330) and Parkin's unproven status. He notes Machado has more power and volume, and that the odds scare him. He advises passing or taking the underdog.

Odds comment: odds are way too wide, minus 330; suggests going underdog or passing
"the slightest of slight slight leans probably towards Mick because he can wrestle if he needs to but unproven and I can't spend my money on that"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Mick Parkin

Big Brady thinks Parkin will stick to the outside and be the better striker across 15 minutes, similar to his fight against Jamal Pogues. He finds the line a bit crazy but believes Parkin is the better fighter and should win a very uneventful heavyweight decision. He's not fully convinced in Parkin yet but expects him to get the job done.

"I do think he should go out there and be able to to beat Kyle Machado here I think he's the better fighter and I think he should win this across three rounds"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

Cody picks Mick Parkin, noting his better striking and wrestling. He acknowledges the heavy price but believes Parkin is more well-rounded. He mentions Machado's low level of competition and suspect cardio. Cody thinks Parkin can win by decision or TKO.

"I think Parkin's the more well-rounded guy he's got some better skills everywhere"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Mick Parkin

Parkin is a well-rounded heavyweight prospect with good striking output and grappling. He can win on the feet with volume or take the fight to the ground and grind out Machado. Machado has faced low-level competition and has been in trouble before. Parkin wins convincingly by decision, and over 1.5 rounds is a good prop.

over 1.5 rounds
"I think he wins this fight pretty uh convincingly and I think he gets it done by decision over one and a half not too bad of a line either"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

Paul picks Parkin but is not enthusiastic due to the price. He notes Machado's weak competition and Parkin's improvement. Paul thinks Parkin is better everywhere but the line is too high for comfort.

"I think Parkin's the more well-rounded guy"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

The MMA Guru picks Mick Parkin to win by TKO in round two. He praises Parkin's boxing and forward pressure, noting his easy win over Jamal Pogues. He criticizes Machado's Contender Series performance against a passive opponent and believes Parkin's crisp boxing and calf kicks will overwhelm Machado. He also mentions Parkin trains with Tom Aspinall.

TKO round two
"I'm going to go Mick Parkin TKO round two I reckon is what's going to happen here."
WIN vs Jamal Pogues
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Jul 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mick Parkin 0 95 of 156 60% 98 of 159 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jamal Pogues 0 36 of 135 26% 37 of 136 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mick Parkin 0 32 of 50 64% 32 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jamal Pogues 0 21 of 79 26% 22 of 80 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
2 Mick Parkin 0 19 of 34 55% 22 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jamal Pogues 0 7 of 30 23% 7 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:56
3 Mick Parkin 0 44 of 72 61% 44 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jamal Pogues 0 8 of 26 30% 8 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mick Parkin 95 of 156 60% 37 of 94 16 of 20 42 of 42 92 of 151 3 of 5 0 of 0
Jamal Pogues 36 of 135 26% 22 of 119 4 of 6 10 of 10 34 of 132 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mick Parkin 32 of 50 64% 12 of 30 2 of 2 18 of 18 32 of 48 0 of 2 0 of 0
Jamal Pogues 21 of 79 26% 13 of 71 1 of 1 7 of 7 20 of 78 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Mick Parkin 19 of 34 55% 5 of 17 3 of 6 11 of 11 17 of 32 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jamal Pogues 7 of 30 23% 5 of 27 1 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 28 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Mick Parkin 44 of 72 61% 20 of 47 11 of 12 13 of 13 43 of 71 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jamal Pogues 8 of 26 30% 4 of 21 2 of 3 2 of 2 8 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jul 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jamal Pogues

Angelo picks Jamal Pogues because he is faster and busier, and his offensive wrestling should be effective. However, he is concerned about Pogues' takedown defense and Mick Parkin's ability to get on top. He fades betting on this fight due to the uncertainty.

"I am going to pick Jamal here but I'm gonna fade this with bets because I don't trust the takedown defense of Jamal Pogues"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

Big Brady picks Mick Parkin to finish Jamal Pogues, but admits it's a shot in the dark. He notes Parkin is untested but looks good against weak competition and trains with high-level guys like Tom Aspinall. He is not high on Pogues, who he thinks looked out of shape in his last fight. He says Parkin could be the real deal or a fraud.

by knockout
"give me parking to win this fight I'm gonna say he finishes Pogues at some point whether it's a knockout whether it's a submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamal Pogues

Cody picks Pogues, citing his experience and better competition. He notes Parkin has fought low-level opponents and his cardio is unknown. He thinks Pogues's wrestling and top control will be enough to win a decision.

"it's Pogues pretty clearly here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jamal Pogues

Daniel picks Jamal Pogues, citing his athleticism and takedown ability, which he showed in his UFC debut against Josh Parisian. He acknowledges Mick Parkin has handled lower-level competition but thinks Pogues' experience and wrestling will be the difference. He admits he has been waiting to fade Pogues but was impressed by his debut. He is not confident enough to bet it, saying 'no conviction here'.

Daniel says he is not betting this fight. He mentions the line: Pogues -160, Parkin +140.
"I'm gonna pick him for that reason but I'm not betting it so you know no no conviction here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

The host picks Mick Parkin as a dog, citing his athleticism, scrambling, striking speed, and overall grappling. He believes Parkin's cardio and ability to reverse positions will be key as the fight goes longer. He predicts Parkin wins inside the distance and calls him one of the better underdogs on the card.

inside the distance
"give me parking and park into an inside the distance and probably one of the better underdogs on the card in my opinion"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamal Pogues

Paul initially considered Parkin as a dog but settled on Pogues due to experience. He thinks Pogues's wrestling and top control will wear down Parkin, who has never fought past the first round. He notes Pogues's low volume but expects him to win.

"I ended up just going towards Jamal Pogues who I think he's got a lot more experience is the better fighter"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

The MMA Guru picks Mick Parkin as an underdog, initially unsure but swayed by Jamal Pogues' unimpressive performance against Josh Parisian. He notes Parkin's training with Tom Aspinall and good get-ups, and believes Parkin's youth and strength will allow him to get back up from takedowns. The Guru expects Parkin to be tougher in the pocket and win a decision.

"I'm actually going to go with Mick Parkin as an underdog here"
Jamal Pogues - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · Feb 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Hamdy Abdelwahab 0 44 of 87 50% 52 of 103 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:57
Jamal Pogues 0 69 of 123 56% 69 of 123 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Hamdy Abdelwahab 0 11 of 23 47% 19 of 39 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:57
Jamal Pogues 0 22 of 40 55% 22 of 40 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Hamdy Abdelwahab 0 12 of 25 48% 12 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jamal Pogues 0 22 of 44 50% 22 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Hamdy Abdelwahab 0 21 of 39 53% 21 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jamal Pogues 0 25 of 39 64% 25 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Hamdy Abdelwahab 44 of 87 50% 25 of 65 3 of 4 16 of 18 40 of 81 0 of 0 4 of 6
Jamal Pogues 69 of 123 56% 43 of 94 0 of 0 26 of 29 68 of 122 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Hamdy Abdelwahab 11 of 23 47% 8 of 19 0 of 0 3 of 4 7 of 17 0 of 0 4 of 6
Jamal Pogues 22 of 40 55% 14 of 30 0 of 0 8 of 10 22 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Hamdy Abdelwahab 12 of 25 48% 6 of 18 0 of 0 6 of 7 12 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jamal Pogues 22 of 44 50% 12 of 33 0 of 0 10 of 11 22 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Hamdy Abdelwahab 21 of 39 53% 11 of 28 3 of 4 7 of 7 21 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jamal Pogues 25 of 39 64% 17 of 31 0 of 0 8 of 8 24 of 38 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jan 26, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Hamdy Abdelwahab

Angelo picks Hamdy Abdelwahab despite concerns about his two-year suspension and lack of recent fights. He believes Abdelwahab's Olympic-level wrestling will allow him to get takedowns, and notes that Jamal Pogues looked poor off his back in his last fight. He expects the line to flip and plans to monitor line movement before betting.

Plans to use line movement tracker; expects Hamdy to flip to favorite.
"I am going HDI here I'm going to keep an eye on the line I'm going to eat my own dog food drink my own champagne"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jan 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Jamal Pogues

Big Brady is not sold on either fighter. He notes Hamdy Abdelwahab has a long layoff due to a suspension and wasn't impressed with his performance against Dantel Ma. Jamal Pogues is a light heavyweight moving up, but he showed up heavy and with a weird haircut. Brady thinks Pogues has better cardio and striking down the stretch, and predicts a split decision win for Pogues. He calls the fight 'sloppy greasy gassy' and expects it to be terrible.

split decision
"I'm going to take Jamal poges to win a split here maybe get taken down early but have the better cardio down the stretch have the better striking down the stretch"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jamal Pogues

Pogues is the better striker and will use his jab from distance to outpoint Abdelwahab, who is returning from a long layoff after a USADA suspension. The pick is based on Pogues' striking advantage and Abdelwahab's potential ring rust.

"I believe the striking of Pogues will pose too much for the returning Abdelwahab... I think we'll see Pogues stick him from distance stay on that jab and win this fight on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Hamdy Abdelwahab

The MMA Guru picks Hamdy Abdelwahab, noting he is a physical specimen with good wrestling skills and more experience than his record suggests due to fights in Gamebred MMA. He acknowledges Abdelwahab's suspension for PEDs but believes he is more talented than Jamal Pogues and will likely win via takedowns. He mentions Abdelwahab's close fight with Don'Tale May but still favors him.

"I'm going to go with Hamdi Abdul wahab... he's a monster he's a physical specimen of a guy... he'll probably be able to take him down with his wrestling skill"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · Feb 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jamal Pogues 0 58 of 86 67% 116 of 153 1 of 6 16% 0 0 2:47
Thomas Petersen 0 65 of 124 52% 66 of 125 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jamal Pogues 0 9 of 17 52% 46 of 57 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:41
Thomas Petersen 0 24 of 43 55% 24 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jamal Pogues 0 22 of 32 68% 40 of 56 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:06
Thomas Petersen 0 22 of 35 62% 22 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jamal Pogues 0 27 of 37 72% 30 of 40 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Thomas Petersen 0 19 of 46 41% 20 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jamal Pogues 58 of 86 67% 26 of 50 30 of 34 2 of 2 54 of 81 4 of 5 0 of 0
Thomas Petersen 65 of 124 52% 43 of 94 15 of 23 7 of 7 56 of 111 9 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jamal Pogues 9 of 17 52% 5 of 13 4 of 4 0 of 0 9 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Thomas Petersen 24 of 43 55% 16 of 30 5 of 10 3 of 3 23 of 42 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jamal Pogues 22 of 32 68% 15 of 23 7 of 9 0 of 0 19 of 29 3 of 3 0 of 0
Thomas Petersen 22 of 35 62% 15 of 27 6 of 7 1 of 1 14 of 26 8 of 9 0 of 0
3 Jamal Pogues 27 of 37 72% 6 of 14 19 of 21 2 of 2 26 of 35 1 of 2 0 of 0
Thomas Petersen 19 of 46 41% 12 of 37 4 of 6 3 of 3 19 of 43 0 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Thomas Petersen

Angelo picks Thomas Petersen, the prospect, over Jamal Pogues. He notes that the UFC often sets up fights to test prospects, and Petersen's wrestling should be good enough to get Pogues to the ground. He acknowledges Petersen's striking is poor but believes his wrestling will carry him. He also mentions that Pogues lacks one-punch knockout power to turn the fight around.

Petersen included in a parlay
"Thomas Peterson is the pick and I do have a parlay with him"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Thomas Petersen

Big Brady picks Thomas Petersen to win by TKO ground and pound within the first two rounds. He notes Petersen is the bigger, stronger fighter with a wrestling background and vicious ground and pound, while Jamal Pogues has looked lackluster at heavyweight and has been taken down by smaller fighters. The main concern is Petersen's cardio, as he was knocked out in the third round in his only fight that went that far, but Brady expects an early finish.

TKO ground and pound, first two rounds
"give me Peterson here I think Peterson stops Jamal poges within the first two rounds I'll call it a TKO ground and pound"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Thomas Petersen

Cody leans to Petersen, but is wary of Pogues' potential if he makes weight. He notes Pogues' weight issues and poor performance against Parkin. He thinks Petersen's wrestling and cardio could be decisive, but he's not confident.

"I gotta go with Thomas Peterson to want it more"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Thomas Petersen

Petersen has good forward pressure and wrestling, but his gas tank is a concern after gassing in his only loss. Pogues has been to four straight decisions and may struggle to implement his striking or grappling. The host leans slightly to Petersen, expecting him to grind out a decision win if he avoids big shots and manages his cardio.

Over 1.5 rounds is mentioned at -220, and the host expects the fight to go to a decision.
"I lean ever so slightly with the Thomas Peterson side although minus 170 is a little bit wide considering the experienced disadvantage."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Thomas Petersen

Paul picks Petersen by submission, taking a small sprinkle at +750. He notes Petersen's wrestling and submission win last time, and Pogues' weight and cardio issues. He thinks the prop is overpriced.

Petersen by submission +750
"Peterson sub plus 750"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jamal Pogues

The MMA Guru picks Jamal Pogues over Thomas Petersen, calling both fighters 'fat middleweights' and an 'embarrassment to the sport.' He believes Pogues has the takedown defense to avoid being taken down by Petersen, and if it stays standing, Pogues has better boxing. He dismisses Petersen's win on the Contender Series as beating a 'gelatinous blob.'

"I'm going to have to go with Jamal poges funnily enough... I think Jamal poges has the takedown defense... and I think if he doesn't get taken down he has better boxing."
LOSS vs Mick Parkin
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Jul 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mick Parkin 0 95 of 156 60% 98 of 159 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jamal Pogues 0 36 of 135 26% 37 of 136 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mick Parkin 0 32 of 50 64% 32 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jamal Pogues 0 21 of 79 26% 22 of 80 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
2 Mick Parkin 0 19 of 34 55% 22 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jamal Pogues 0 7 of 30 23% 7 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:56
3 Mick Parkin 0 44 of 72 61% 44 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jamal Pogues 0 8 of 26 30% 8 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mick Parkin 95 of 156 60% 37 of 94 16 of 20 42 of 42 92 of 151 3 of 5 0 of 0
Jamal Pogues 36 of 135 26% 22 of 119 4 of 6 10 of 10 34 of 132 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mick Parkin 32 of 50 64% 12 of 30 2 of 2 18 of 18 32 of 48 0 of 2 0 of 0
Jamal Pogues 21 of 79 26% 13 of 71 1 of 1 7 of 7 20 of 78 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Mick Parkin 19 of 34 55% 5 of 17 3 of 6 11 of 11 17 of 32 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jamal Pogues 7 of 30 23% 5 of 27 1 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 28 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Mick Parkin 44 of 72 61% 20 of 47 11 of 12 13 of 13 43 of 71 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jamal Pogues 8 of 26 30% 4 of 21 2 of 3 2 of 2 8 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jul 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jamal Pogues

Angelo picks Jamal Pogues because he is faster and busier, and his offensive wrestling should be effective. However, he is concerned about Pogues' takedown defense and Mick Parkin's ability to get on top. He fades betting on this fight due to the uncertainty.

"I am going to pick Jamal here but I'm gonna fade this with bets because I don't trust the takedown defense of Jamal Pogues"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

Big Brady picks Mick Parkin to finish Jamal Pogues, but admits it's a shot in the dark. He notes Parkin is untested but looks good against weak competition and trains with high-level guys like Tom Aspinall. He is not high on Pogues, who he thinks looked out of shape in his last fight. He says Parkin could be the real deal or a fraud.

by knockout
"give me parking to win this fight I'm gonna say he finishes Pogues at some point whether it's a knockout whether it's a submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamal Pogues

Cody picks Pogues, citing his experience and better competition. He notes Parkin has fought low-level opponents and his cardio is unknown. He thinks Pogues's wrestling and top control will be enough to win a decision.

"it's Pogues pretty clearly here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jamal Pogues

Daniel picks Jamal Pogues, citing his athleticism and takedown ability, which he showed in his UFC debut against Josh Parisian. He acknowledges Mick Parkin has handled lower-level competition but thinks Pogues' experience and wrestling will be the difference. He admits he has been waiting to fade Pogues but was impressed by his debut. He is not confident enough to bet it, saying 'no conviction here'.

Daniel says he is not betting this fight. He mentions the line: Pogues -160, Parkin +140.
"I'm gonna pick him for that reason but I'm not betting it so you know no no conviction here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

The host picks Mick Parkin as a dog, citing his athleticism, scrambling, striking speed, and overall grappling. He believes Parkin's cardio and ability to reverse positions will be key as the fight goes longer. He predicts Parkin wins inside the distance and calls him one of the better underdogs on the card.

inside the distance
"give me parking and park into an inside the distance and probably one of the better underdogs on the card in my opinion"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamal Pogues

Paul initially considered Parkin as a dog but settled on Pogues due to experience. He thinks Pogues's wrestling and top control will wear down Parkin, who has never fought past the first round. He notes Pogues's low volume but expects him to win.

"I ended up just going towards Jamal Pogues who I think he's got a lot more experience is the better fighter"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

The MMA Guru picks Mick Parkin as an underdog, initially unsure but swayed by Jamal Pogues' unimpressive performance against Josh Parisian. He notes Parkin's training with Tom Aspinall and good get-ups, and believes Parkin's youth and strength will allow him to get back up from takedowns. The Guru expects Parkin to be tougher in the pocket and win a decision.

"I'm actually going to go with Mick Parkin as an underdog here"
WIN vs Josh Parisian
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · Feb 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jamal Pogues 0 37 of 113 32% 51 of 137 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:12
Josh Parisian 0 33 of 60 55% 49 of 79 5 of 11 45% 0 0 5:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jamal Pogues 0 12 of 28 42% 15 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Josh Parisian 0 7 of 18 38% 13 of 25 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:54
2 Jamal Pogues 0 13 of 39 33% 17 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:29
Josh Parisian 0 8 of 14 57% 17 of 24 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:20
3 Jamal Pogues 0 12 of 46 26% 19 of 56 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:43
Josh Parisian 0 18 of 28 64% 19 of 30 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jamal Pogues 37 of 113 32% 19 of 85 14 of 23 4 of 5 35 of 110 2 of 3 0 of 0
Josh Parisian 33 of 60 55% 29 of 56 3 of 3 1 of 1 20 of 47 9 of 9 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jamal Pogues 12 of 28 42% 7 of 20 3 of 6 2 of 2 11 of 27 1 of 1 0 of 0
Josh Parisian 7 of 18 38% 6 of 17 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 14 0 of 0 4 of 4
2 Jamal Pogues 13 of 39 33% 6 of 26 5 of 10 2 of 3 12 of 37 1 of 2 0 of 0
Josh Parisian 8 of 14 57% 8 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 10 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Jamal Pogues 12 of 46 26% 6 of 39 6 of 7 0 of 0 12 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
Josh Parisian 18 of 28 64% 15 of 25 3 of 3 0 of 0 13 of 23 5 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Josh Parisian

Angelo picks Parisian, citing his volume striking and UFC experience. He notes Parisian set heavyweight significant strike records and has a grappling win over Alan Baudot. Angelo thinks Pogues is a decent but not powerful heavyweight who doesn't move his head. He believes Parisian's higher-level experience will be the difference, and the line movement favoring Pogues is surprising. He considers a Parisian by decision bet at plus odds.

Angelo mentions Parisian plus 3.5 at -110 and Parisian by decision at plus money as potential bets.
"I like Josh Parisian this matchup... I think parisian's gonna win this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jamal Pogues

Big Brady sees a clear path for Pogues via wrestling, as Parisian has terrible takedown defense and get-up game, as shown in the Dontale Mayes fight. He notes that Pogues didn't wrestle in his last fight, which is a concern, but if he does, he should dominate. He predicts a decision win, but warns against betting the -250 line.

Pogues by decision
"Jamal poke should win this fight I mean he has a clear path to Victory with the wrestling"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamal Pogues

Cody picks Pogues but doesn't like the -240 line for an unproven UFC debutant. He notes Pogues is young (27), has good cardio for a heavyweight, and has a wrestling advantage. However, he warns that Pogues' striking is mechanical and he's there to get countered. He also mentions Parisian's only good characteristic is being a bona fide heavyweight, and if Parisian gets top position, it's a big body to move off. He says it's a greasy heavyweight spot and he's not confident.

Cody mentions Pogues came in at 248 on Contender Series. He says he'll pick Pogues but won't lay -240.
"I don't like laying you know low level heavyweights I don't like Lane minus two four I probably won't lay minus 240 here I will be picking Pogues."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Feb 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Josh Parisian

Connor picks Parisian because he is bigger and can make the fight brutal. He thinks Pogues' gas tank may not hold up against Parisian's pressure, and Parisian's toughness and aggression could wear Pogues down. Connor notes that Pogues has not faced a fighter like Parisian who will crash into him repeatedly.

"I'll take Parisian. I think that this is a fight where the fact, you know, we talked about pogues looking decent in on the Contender series... Parisian is bigger. He's just bigger."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jamal Pogues

Jacob picks Pogues but is not confident enough to bet. He thinks Pogues has a wrestling advantage and will be more active with his jab, outworking Parisian. However, he notes Pogues isn't a finisher and Parisian has a dog in him. Jacob expects a sloppy, close fight and might consider a live bet on Parisian if the fight is close in the third round.

"I'm gonna go with Jamal um just because I think he has a wrestling advantage."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jamal Pogues

Pogues has a strong grappling base and good cardio, which should overwhelm Parisian, who fades in deep waters. Parisian's striking is flashy but his gas tank is poor. Pogues can take him down and grind out a decision, or even finish late.

Pogues wins by decision
"I like Pogues here... I think he wins this fight via decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamal Pogues

Paul also picks Pogues but is hesitant. He notes Parisian's wrestling narrative is overblown, as he was taken down by Parker Porter and Dantale Maze. He says Pogues should have speed, technical striking, and cardio advantages. However, he acknowledges Parisian has a size advantage (20-25 pounds) and could use it against the cage. He says he loves betting underdogs but cannot get on board with Parisian.

Paul mentions Parisian's takedown defense is poor. He says he won't lay -240 but will pick Pogues.
"I will be picking Pogues because really outside of yeah holding him up against the cage using a little bit of size Advantage... I cannot cannot get on board playing Josh Parisian."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Feb 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jamal Pogues

The MMA Guru picks Jamal Pogues, though he wasn't impressed by his Contender Series performance. He notes Pogues has a long reach and somewhat crisp boxing, and is young enough to take his career seriously now. He criticizes Josh Parisian as a bottom-feeder heavyweight, but acknowledges Parisian is not complete garbage. He predicts a decision win in a great scrap.

"I think I'm going to take him here his boxing looked somewhat crisp and he's young and he reminds me the type of guy where if you give him the opportunity in the UFC starts really taking his career seriously"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jamal Pogues

Zane picks Pogues because he has faster, sharper hands and a good jab, and he showed the ability to increase his intensity late in fights. Parisian is a brawler who relies on toughness and chaos, but Pogues has a reach advantage and better technique. Zane notes that Parisian's only wins come when opponents fade, and Pogues has shown he can go the distance.

Pogues opened -170, now -246; Parisian opened +145, now +199. Zane says he doesn't understand the spread and thinks it should be a dead-even fight.
"I'll take pokes. He's got something resembling a prospects game. I mean, it's not good yet, but it's enough."
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jul 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jamal Pogues

Angelo picks Jamal Pogues because he is faster and busier, and his offensive wrestling should be effective. However, he is concerned about Pogues' takedown defense and Mick Parkin's ability to get on top. He fades betting on this fight due to the uncertainty.

"I am going to pick Jamal here but I'm gonna fade this with bets because I don't trust the takedown defense of Jamal Pogues"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

Big Brady picks Mick Parkin to finish Jamal Pogues, but admits it's a shot in the dark. He notes Parkin is untested but looks good against weak competition and trains with high-level guys like Tom Aspinall. He is not high on Pogues, who he thinks looked out of shape in his last fight. He says Parkin could be the real deal or a fraud.

by knockout
"give me parking to win this fight I'm gonna say he finishes Pogues at some point whether it's a knockout whether it's a submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamal Pogues

Cody picks Pogues, citing his experience and better competition. He notes Parkin has fought low-level opponents and his cardio is unknown. He thinks Pogues's wrestling and top control will be enough to win a decision.

"it's Pogues pretty clearly here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jamal Pogues

Daniel picks Jamal Pogues, citing his athleticism and takedown ability, which he showed in his UFC debut against Josh Parisian. He acknowledges Mick Parkin has handled lower-level competition but thinks Pogues' experience and wrestling will be the difference. He admits he has been waiting to fade Pogues but was impressed by his debut. He is not confident enough to bet it, saying 'no conviction here'.

Daniel says he is not betting this fight. He mentions the line: Pogues -160, Parkin +140.
"I'm gonna pick him for that reason but I'm not betting it so you know no no conviction here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

The host picks Mick Parkin as a dog, citing his athleticism, scrambling, striking speed, and overall grappling. He believes Parkin's cardio and ability to reverse positions will be key as the fight goes longer. He predicts Parkin wins inside the distance and calls him one of the better underdogs on the card.

inside the distance
"give me parking and park into an inside the distance and probably one of the better underdogs on the card in my opinion"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamal Pogues

Paul initially considered Parkin as a dog but settled on Pogues due to experience. He thinks Pogues's wrestling and top control will wear down Parkin, who has never fought past the first round. He notes Pogues's low volume but expects him to win.

"I ended up just going towards Jamal Pogues who I think he's got a lot more experience is the better fighter"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Mick Parkin

The MMA Guru picks Mick Parkin as an underdog, initially unsure but swayed by Jamal Pogues' unimpressive performance against Josh Parisian. He notes Parkin's training with Tom Aspinall and good get-ups, and believes Parkin's youth and strength will allow him to get back up from takedowns. The Guru expects Parkin to be tougher in the pocket and win a decision.

"I'm actually going to go with Mick Parkin as an underdog here"
Comments (1)
BR
brian 10 months, 3 weeks ago

Mick Parkin not to be confused with Porker Parker is in decent shape for HW. Training partner of Tom Aspinall. It showed, better slip and rip boxing. Utilised leg kicks which Jamal is susceptible to . Jamal weighs 265 but still looks like a bag of milk. Mark Hunt looking but without the power. Jamal is black belt in jiu-jitsu and Parkin is a purple belt.