vs
-200 +194
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · Oct 29, 2022 · Middleweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen Next Fight
Age 35
Height 5' 10"
Reach 73"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 30
Height 6' 4"
Reach 80.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - JunYong Park
4.64 SLpM
51.0% Str. Acc.
3.82 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
1.69 TD Avg
42.0% TD Acc.
54.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Joseph Holmes
2.88 SLpM
53.0% Str. Acc.
3.08 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
1.49 TD Avg
40.0% TD Acc.
50.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
JunYong Park
Moneyline
DraftKings -200
KO/TKO
FanDuel +500
Submission
BetRivers +575
Decision
FanDuel +130
Joseph Holmes
Moneyline
FanDuel +194
KO/TKO
BetRivers +750
Submission
BetRivers +750
Decision
FanDuel +550
JunYong Park - Fight History
LOSS vs Ikram Aliskerov
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 321 · Oct 25, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ikram Aliskerov 0 91 of 134 67% 126 of 174 5 of 7 71% 0 0 6:07
JunYong Park 0 78 of 132 59% 91 of 151 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ikram Aliskerov 0 35 of 46 76% 37 of 48 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:36
JunYong Park 0 17 of 43 39% 18 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ikram Aliskerov 0 35 of 52 67% 46 of 66 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:05
JunYong Park 0 38 of 55 69% 42 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
3 Ikram Aliskerov 0 21 of 36 58% 43 of 60 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:26
JunYong Park 0 23 of 34 67% 31 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ikram Aliskerov 91 of 134 67% 57 of 94 26 of 29 8 of 11 79 of 120 3 of 4 9 of 10
JunYong Park 78 of 132 59% 57 of 108 18 of 20 3 of 4 73 of 127 2 of 2 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ikram Aliskerov 35 of 46 76% 17 of 25 14 of 14 4 of 7 33 of 44 1 of 1 1 of 1
JunYong Park 17 of 43 39% 13 of 37 2 of 3 2 of 3 17 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ikram Aliskerov 35 of 52 67% 21 of 36 10 of 12 4 of 4 29 of 45 2 of 2 4 of 5
JunYong Park 38 of 55 69% 29 of 46 8 of 8 1 of 1 34 of 51 1 of 1 3 of 3
3 Ikram Aliskerov 21 of 36 58% 19 of 33 2 of 3 0 of 0 17 of 31 0 of 1 4 of 4
JunYong Park 23 of 34 67% 15 of 25 8 of 9 0 of 0 22 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Angelo picks Ikram Aliskerov, noting his superior striking and wrestling compared to Jun Young Park. He uses MMA math: Aliskerov knocked out Andre Muniz, while Park lost to Muniz via decision with 11 takedowns conceded. Angelo expects a decision due to Park's toughness but is confident Aliskerov wins.

I do expect a decision though because of how tough Park is.
"Park's not the better striker, he's not the better grappler, and I don't think he's winning this fight. Ikram's the pick. I do expect a decision though because of how tough Park is."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady leans toward Park Jun-yong as a live dog, citing Ikram Aliskerov's untested cardio and durability. He notes Aliskerov has finished all his UFC wins in the first round and questions what happens if the fight extends. Park is durable, has good volume and cardio, and has faced tougher competition. Brady expects Park to survive early danger, take over in rounds two and three, and win a decision. He admits it feels like a trap and is staying away from betting.

Park by decision; staying away from betting
"I'm kind of leaning towards the Park side. It just this whole fight to me feels like a big trap. I'm probably staying away from this one, but in terms of a pick, I'm going to go Park here. I'll …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Cody picks Ikram Aliskerov, but notes that if the fight extends past the first round, he would live bet Park. He believes Aliskerov's power and early finishing ability will get the job done, as Park's durability and cardio are his only paths. Cody suggests that Aliskerov likely finishes early, but if not, Park could grind out a win.

"Ikram's the play for me, but another one of these guys maybe similar to Asamat Bakoev last week."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Connor acknowledges Park's toughness and pocket combination fighting but believes Aliskerov's athleticism and natural timing will be too much. He notes that Park often meets athletic walls where he gets stopped, and Aliskerov has the speed and power to find a kill shot. Connor also points out that Aliskerov, while not deep technically, has enough offensive craft to exploit Park's aggression.

Aliskerov is a solid favorite at -225; Park is +190.
"Jun Young Park is a guy who, he's my favorite kind of fighter... but it does mean that he will regularly meet athletic walls where he just gets stopped."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Daniel Vreeland is wary of Aliskerov's cardio and chin, but believes his early power and the Abu Dhabi setting give him the edge. He notes that Aliskerov has been finished by uppercuts before, but thinks he can win the first round and possibly the second before Park takes over. He picks Aliskerov but admits it could get 'sketchy' past round one.

"Because we're in the desert, I'm going to take the guy with the OV as the last two letters of his last name. And I'm going to take Iram Aliscerov."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Lucrative James picks Ikram Aliskerov, citing his power and wrestling as a bad stylistic matchup for Park. He notes Park's poor takedown defense and tendency to walk into punches, while Aliskerov has the tools to exploit those weaknesses. He acknowledges Park's elite cardio and pressure, but believes Aliskerov's early power and takedowns will be decisive. He is less confident in the value at -270.

"I'm picking Ikram Aliskarov here. I can't say that there's much value on his money line currently."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

The host thinks Aliskerov will be exposed, struggling with Park's jab, pressure, and pace. He expects Park to take over in the second and third rounds and eventually find a finish.

finish in round 2 or 3
"I expect Park to really start running away with this matchup and eventually finding a finish in the second or third round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 22, 2025 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Paul leans towards Park as a dog or pass, preferring the under 2.5 rounds. He notes that Aliskerov is a one-round fighter who gasses if he doesn't finish early, and Park has shown durability and the ability to come back in later rounds, as seen against Islam Nurmagomedov. Paul believes that if the fight goes past the first, Park has a real chance to win by submission or decision.

under 2.5 rounds
"for me it's dog or pass. Like um I'm not laying chalk on a guy who seems mostly, at least in his UFC iteration, like a one-round fighter."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

The MMA Guru picks Ikram Aliskerov by TKO, believing Aliskerov's finishing potential will be too much for Jun Yong Park. He notes that Park is getting older and relies on volume grappling, but Aliskerov has good takedown defense and power. He references Aliskerov's loss to Robert Whittaker on short notice as understandable, but expects Aliskerov to put Park away in the first or second round. He also mentions that Park's lack of power on the feet will be a problem.

TKO in first or second round; also mentioned in a PrizePicks parlay for less than 2.5 total rounds
"I think Ikram Aliskerov's going to put him away by TKO, the same way he's put away near enough every opponent bar Whittaker."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ikram Aliskerov

Zane shares Connor's view, noting that Park's wrestling and grappling are his only safe areas, but getting there requires him to press into the pocket, leaving him open to Aliskerov's counters. He believes Aliskerov is good at finding openings and that Park will have success but will also be consistently vulnerable to a kill shot.

"I think he will also be consistently open to a kill shot. And Aliskerov is pretty damn good at finding them."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · Jun 21, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ismail Naurdiev 0 76 of 153 49% 84 of 164 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:25
JunYong Park 0 45 of 109 41% 92 of 187 2 of 8 25% 1 0 6:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ismail Naurdiev 0 52 of 105 49% 54 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
JunYong Park 0 26 of 77 33% 28 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Ismail Naurdiev 0 19 of 37 51% 25 of 45 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:25
JunYong Park 0 9 of 13 69% 28 of 37 1 of 6 16% 0 0 2:06
3 Ismail Naurdiev 0 5 of 11 45% 5 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
JunYong Park 0 10 of 19 52% 36 of 71 1 of 2 50% 1 0 4:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ismail Naurdiev 76 of 153 49% 44 of 104 25 of 39 7 of 10 67 of 132 8 of 17 1 of 4
JunYong Park 45 of 109 41% 41 of 102 4 of 7 0 of 0 38 of 96 4 of 10 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ismail Naurdiev 52 of 105 49% 33 of 73 16 of 27 3 of 5 48 of 96 4 of 9 0 of 0
JunYong Park 26 of 77 33% 25 of 74 1 of 3 0 of 0 24 of 70 2 of 7 0 of 0
2 Ismail Naurdiev 19 of 37 51% 8 of 22 7 of 10 4 of 5 15 of 27 3 of 6 1 of 4
JunYong Park 9 of 13 69% 9 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0 9 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ismail Naurdiev 5 of 11 45% 3 of 9 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 9 1 of 2 0 of 0
JunYong Park 10 of 19 52% 7 of 15 3 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 13 2 of 3 3 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ismail Naurdiev

Angelo picks Ismail Naurdiev, citing his takedown ability and the fact that Park has poor takedown defense, as shown in the Andre Muniz fight. He notes that Ismail is a good striker and grappler, and at $7,500 he is a great value. He thinks Ismail will exploit Park's weaknesses and get the win.

Mentions $7,500 price point as very affordable; calls him one of the better dogs on the card.
"I am on the Ishmael side here. He's going to be the pick and I will have him in my lineup at $7500."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2025 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady picks Park Jun-yong, citing durability and wrestling as key factors. He notes Naurdiev has been finished in four of seven losses and has poor takedown defense. Park completes takedowns at 47% accuracy and even took down Brad Tavares. Brady thinks Park can mix in takedowns if needed and has better cardio. He predicts a competitive decision win for Park.

decision
"I got to go Park here. I just think he's a lot more durable."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2025 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

The host is a big fan of Junyong Park and thinks this fight perfectly showcases his advantages in pace, pressure, and grappling. He expects Park to put Naurdiev through the ringer and easily win on the scorecards.

"I'm a big fan of Junyong Park and I think this is a fight that he can perfectly showcase his advantages with his pace, pressure, and eventually his grappling as he puts Nordivia through the ringer and I think he …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2025 (1 day before fight)
JunYong Park

The MMA Guru picks Park Jun-yong, praising his pace, striking, and composure. He notes Naurdiev's defensive grappling and submission threats but doubts his power and ability to dominate. He expects a three-round barn burner where Park's pressure in later rounds secures the win.

Fight goes to decision, Park wins by decision
"I'm gonna go with Yunyong Park over Ishmail Nerdy. I'm siding with Yunyong Park here, getting this one done, pouring on the pressure in the later rounds."
WIN vs Brad Tavares
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · Oct 12, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JunYong Park 0 65 of 149 43% 73 of 159 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Brad Tavares 0 99 of 177 55% 124 of 210 2 of 6 33% 0 0 6:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JunYong Park 0 26 of 57 45% 27 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Brad Tavares 0 19 of 46 41% 21 of 48 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:18
2 JunYong Park 0 31 of 80 38% 31 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brad Tavares 0 67 of 108 62% 68 of 109 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:35
3 JunYong Park 0 8 of 12 66% 15 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brad Tavares 0 13 of 23 56% 35 of 53 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JunYong Park 65 of 149 43% 55 of 136 2 of 3 8 of 10 62 of 143 0 of 1 3 of 5
Brad Tavares 99 of 177 55% 76 of 151 4 of 6 19 of 20 91 of 167 3 of 5 5 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JunYong Park 26 of 57 45% 21 of 52 0 of 0 5 of 5 23 of 52 0 of 0 3 of 5
Brad Tavares 19 of 46 41% 12 of 37 2 of 3 5 of 6 19 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 JunYong Park 31 of 80 38% 27 of 73 2 of 3 2 of 4 31 of 79 0 of 1 0 of 0
Brad Tavares 67 of 108 62% 52 of 93 1 of 1 14 of 14 64 of 103 3 of 5 0 of 0
3 JunYong Park 8 of 12 66% 7 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1 8 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brad Tavares 13 of 23 56% 12 of 21 1 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 18 0 of 0 5 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

Angelo picks Brad Tavares, citing his experience and takedown defense. He notes that Park Jun-yong is not dangerous enough to finish Tavares, lacking one-punch power and nasty takedowns. Angelo believes Tavares will defend takedowns and land clean strikes for a straightforward win.

"I think Brad tarus wins this fight... pretty straightforward win here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady picks Park Jun-yong by decision. He thinks the fight will be close and go to the judges, but he cannot pick Brad Tavares due to his decline. Tavares has taken a lot of damage and looked poor in recent fights, including a lackluster win over Chris Weidman. Park was on a five-fight win streak before a close loss to Andre Muniz. Brady expects the fight to stay on the feet and Park to do better work, though it could be a close decision.

Park by decision
"I'm sticking with my pick here it's it's Park I do think this fight is going to be close though"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Connor also picks Park but is hesitant, noting that Tavares still has great takedown defense and can strike. He points out that Park's best path is through grappling, but Tavares stuffs takedowns. Connor thinks Park can win a striking battle because Tavares doesn't throw combinations and is passive, but it's a risky fight for Park.

Same odds commentary.
"I trust him to win that scrap. Like I say he sets traps. He will work a low kick and work a jab until his opponent starts to provide openings."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2024 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Daniel highlights Park's well-rounded skills, pace, and wrestling ability, noting that he was close to knocking out RoboCop. He criticizes Tavares's recent decline, pointing out that RoboCop walked through him with zero respect. Daniel believes Park's physicality and durability will be key, and he predicts a knockout victory, citing that Park has been overdue for his first UFC KO.

by KO
"I think he's going to and I think he might even do it by knockout... I'm gonna go Jun Young Park the Iron Turtle to come out here and knockout Brad Tavares in Vegas."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Brad Tavares

Tavares is on a rough run but this is a winnable matchup if he keeps it in the striking realm. Park has decent power but not enough to catch Tavares. Tavares will land better strikes, leg kicks, stop takedowns, and win on the scorecards over 15 minutes.

"I think we'll see Tavares land the better strikes land some good leg kicks stop the takedowns and land the better shots over the course of 15 minutes winning this fight on the scorecards"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

The MMA Guru picks Brad Tavares, noting that Tavares cannot be taken down and has good cardio. He criticizes Park Jun-yong's striking and believes Tavares will out-strike him for a TKO or decision. He acknowledges Tavares has been KO'd recently but sees Park lacking the power to finish him.

TKO or decision
"I'm gonna say Brad tarez I don't see yunong Park having the power to put him away by TKO... I'm going to go with Brad tarez getting this one done by TKO on the feet or a decision"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Oct 10, 2024 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Zane picks Park but is hesitant because Tavares has excellent takedown defense, which neutralizes Park's best weapon. He notes that Park's striking is crafty but he is short and gets hit often, and Tavares is a durable defensive striker who doesn't leave many openings. Zane trusts Park to win a kickboxing match due to his volume and trap-setting, but acknowledges it's a tough fight.

Tavares opened at +147, now +159; Park opened at -166, now -180. Zane thinks the line could be wider.
"I think in that weird way is kickboxing is best served when his opponent is not a comfortable striker at all. And otherwise the highlight of his game tends to be his wrestling game."
LOSS vs André Muniz
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · Dec 09, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
André Muniz 0 27 of 60 45% 52 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 2 2:58
JunYong Park 0 14 of 30 46% 35 of 60 11 of 14 78% 0 1 9:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 André Muniz 0 13 of 17 76% 20 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:45
JunYong Park 0 3 of 4 75% 10 of 11 5 of 6 83% 0 0 3:07
2 André Muniz 0 6 of 12 50% 16 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
JunYong Park 0 9 of 16 56% 21 of 37 4 of 4 100% 0 0 4:16
3 André Muniz 0 8 of 31 25% 16 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:10
JunYong Park 0 2 of 10 20% 4 of 12 2 of 4 50% 0 1 2:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
André Muniz 27 of 60 45% 21 of 54 3 of 3 3 of 3 11 of 25 0 of 0 16 of 35
JunYong Park 14 of 30 46% 10 of 25 3 of 4 1 of 1 13 of 29 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 André Muniz 13 of 17 76% 11 of 15 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 2 0 of 0 11 of 15
JunYong Park 3 of 4 75% 0 of 1 2 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 André Muniz 6 of 12 50% 3 of 9 2 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
JunYong Park 9 of 16 56% 9 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 André Muniz 8 of 31 25% 7 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 11 0 of 0 5 of 20
JunYong Park 2 of 10 20% 1 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Cody picks Park Jun-yong, citing his tenacity and cardio. He notes that Park is a go-getter who keeps coming forward and has solid striking and grappling. Cody is concerned about Park's tendency to give up his back when taken down, but he thinks Muniz's heart is questionable. He points out that Muniz has looked terrible in his last two fights and was outworked by Paul Craig. Cody believes Park will outwork Muniz and get a late TKO or decision.

"Park just at works you know he's in a couple bad spots here and there sure but in the end he's going to Tire him out he's gonna beat on him he's gonna land the bigger shots and he's either …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Dec 9, 2023 (fight day)
André Muniz

Lucrative James believes the market is too low on Muniz after his recent losses, which he attributes to Paul Craig's unpredictability and a competitive fight against Brendan Allen. He highlights Muniz's powerful double-leg takedown and elite submission skills, noting that Park gets taken down in every fight and has given up his back. He sees a good chance of a submission in rounds 1-2, but acknowledges that if Muniz doesn't finish, Park's cardio could be a problem in later rounds. He agrees with the line movement and picks Muniz outright.

submission in round 1 or 2, points win if he doesn't finish
"I think there's a good chance that mun gets a submission in this spot if he doesn't get a submission yes it's going to be very very dangerous for him"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Paul also picks Park Jun-yong. He notes that Park is looking better than ever and mixes in submission skills. Paul is a little worried about Park giving up his back against a grappler like Muniz, but he thinks Park's volume and cardio will be decisive. He mentions that Uriah Hall survived Muniz's grappling for three rounds, and Park is a better striker. Paul believes the fight on the feet is not close and Park will win.

"I think it's Park Park who's looking better than kind of ever in his last few fights you know he's mixing in some submission skills"
WIN vs Albert Duraev
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 4:45 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · Jul 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JunYong Park 0 31 of 77 40% 35 of 83 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:14
Albert Duraev 1 50 of 96 52% 77 of 138 0 of 1 0% 3 0 1:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JunYong Park 0 20 of 47 42% 20 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Albert Duraev 0 25 of 54 46% 25 of 54 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:17
2 JunYong Park 0 11 of 30 36% 15 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:55
Albert Duraev 1 25 of 42 59% 52 of 84 0 of 0 --- 2 0 1:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JunYong Park 31 of 77 40% 18 of 57 7 of 8 6 of 12 31 of 76 0 of 1 0 of 0
Albert Duraev 50 of 96 52% 41 of 85 4 of 5 5 of 6 47 of 93 2 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JunYong Park 20 of 47 42% 10 of 31 5 of 6 5 of 10 20 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
Albert Duraev 25 of 54 46% 20 of 48 0 of 0 5 of 6 25 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 JunYong Park 11 of 30 36% 8 of 26 2 of 2 1 of 2 11 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0
Albert Duraev 25 of 42 59% 21 of 37 4 of 5 0 of 0 22 of 39 2 of 2 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Albert Duraev

Angelo picks Albert Duraev, liking his wrestling pace and takedowns. He notes Park is well-rounded with good takedown defense but is not dangerous enough to threaten Duraev. He is surprised Duraev is a plus-money underdog and plans to use the line movement tracker to bet him at the best price. He thinks Duraev can grind out a decision.

"I like albertareev in this fight ... I'm surprised he is a plus money Underdog right now"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady picks Park Jun-yong, calling him underrated. He notes Park has good durability, cardio, and well-rounded skills, while Duraev has four knockout losses and slows down in fights. He expects a close decision where Park's volume and cardio edge him ahead, possibly mixing in takedowns late. He thinks -150 is about right.

"I think Jung Young Park is super underrated ... I still think Jung Young Park does just enough to get this done and get it done by decision minus 150 um seems about about right to me"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Cody leans toward Park, citing Duraev's red flags: low takedown success rate (1/9 vs Coppola, 2/9 vs Buckley), gas tank issues, and being a low-output striker. He thinks Park's volume and durability will win striking exchanges, but acknowledges Duraev could win via takedowns or cage control. He expects a close, greasy decision and doesn't love the -150 price.

mentioned fight ends by Split Decision as a potential prop at wide odds
"I'm gonna lean versus slightly to park as well... I don't love the price there because I could see it really going either way"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

The host expects Park's pressure and cardio to wear down Duraev as the fight goes on. He thinks Duraev will have early wrestling success but fade, allowing Park to land damaging strikes and potentially get a late finish or decision. He notes the line is a bit steep but still sees value.

Park wins in round 3 or by decision
"give me either round three park or park by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Paul leans toward Park, noting Park's recent finishes via rear-naked chokes against grapplers, but thinks that path is off the table here. He expects Park to keep it on the feet and use his chin, while Duraev hasn't shown power. He thinks it goes the full 15 minutes and leans Park at -150, but acknowledges judging could swing either way.

mentioned over 44.5 significant strikes for Park on PrizePicks; also mentioned fight ends by Split Decision as a potential prop
"I'm gonna lean versus slightly to park as well... I like that to go over the over on that like Park's been finishing his last two fights"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Albert Duraev

The MMA Guru picks Albert Duraev over Park Jun-yong, citing Duraev's win over Roman Kopylov, which has aged well, and his finishing potential. He criticizes Park's split decision over Eric Anders and notes his wins came against opponents with clear weaknesses. He believes Duraev is more dangerous in multiple areas and predicts a finish.

"I've got to go derive here I think he's a little bit more dangerous in more areas of the fight than Young Park"
Technical submission (rear-naked choke) R1 4:05 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · Feb 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JunYong Park 0 25 of 38 65% 38 of 52 1 of 3 33% 1 0 2:58
Denis Tiuliulin 0 8 of 22 36% 8 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JunYong Park 0 25 of 38 65% 38 of 52 1 of 3 33% 1 0 2:58
Denis Tiuliulin 0 8 of 22 36% 8 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JunYong Park 25 of 38 65% 20 of 33 1 of 1 4 of 4 15 of 27 0 of 0 10 of 11
Denis Tiuliulin 8 of 22 36% 4 of 16 4 of 6 0 of 0 8 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JunYong Park 25 of 38 65% 20 of 33 1 of 1 4 of 4 15 of 27 0 of 0 10 of 11
Denis Tiuliulin 8 of 22 36% 4 of 16 4 of 6 0 of 0 8 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2023 (6 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady likes Park's cardio, volume, and underrated grappling. He notes Tiuliulin is hittable with poor striking defense and a suspect gas tank. He expects Park to drown Tiuliulin with grappling and eventually find a submission in the second or third round.

second round submission
"I'm gonna take Park to win by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Denis Tiuliulin

Cody picks Tiuliulin at plus money, noting his improved takedown defense and cardio. He thinks Park is prone to brawling and getting knocked out, as seen against Gregory Rodrigues. He expects Tiuliulin to land a knockout, especially if Park engages recklessly. He added Tiuliulin at +190.

"I'm tempted on the underdog here Cody in in Dennis chilulin... I'd be siding with Dennis to lulin on the money line at Plus 180"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Connor agrees, highlighting Park's ability to use aggression against Tiuliulin, running him into jabs and countering. He notes that Tiuliulin is heavily rooted and lumbering, making takedowns easier once Park establishes his jab. He has faith in Park's ability to figure out these matchups despite the physical disadvantages.

Odds: Park opened -245, now -214; Tiuliulin opened +185, now +174.
"I have faith in park, but uh, he uh, he certainly deserves matchups more worth the risk."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Denis Tiuliulin

Paul picks Tiuliulin, calling him a greasy underdog. He notes Tiuliulin's power and improved takedown defense, while Park has a tendency to brawl and get knocked out. He expects Tiuliulin to win by knockout, especially if Park engages in a firefight. He likes the plus money.

"I think I'm gonna take Dennis to Lynn as well I don't want a ton of exposure on it but yeah we're gonna need a couple greasy underdogs this one fits the description"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Zane expects Park to win due to his crafty striking and excellent ground and pound. He notes that Tiuliulin is a reckless, aggressive striker who is hyper durable but lacks structure. He believes Park's takedowns and positional grappling will be effective, though he acknowledges that Park often faces physical challenges due to size disadvantages.

Odds: Park opened -245, now -214; Tiuliulin opened +185, now +174.
"Picking jen young park, but every every fight for him in the ufc is gonna be a nail biter."
WIN vs Joseph Holmes
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 3:04 · UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · Oct 29, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JunYong Park 0 20 of 40 50% 21 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:39
Joseph Holmes 0 18 of 33 54% 48 of 76 2 of 4 50% 2 0 4:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JunYong Park 0 18 of 36 50% 19 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:39
Joseph Holmes 0 12 of 24 50% 22 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:55
2 JunYong Park 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joseph Holmes 0 6 of 9 66% 26 of 40 1 of 2 50% 2 0 2:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JunYong Park 20 of 40 50% 8 of 24 5 of 7 7 of 9 19 of 37 0 of 1 1 of 2
Joseph Holmes 18 of 33 54% 13 of 26 0 of 0 5 of 7 14 of 28 0 of 0 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JunYong Park 18 of 36 50% 7 of 21 5 of 7 6 of 8 17 of 33 0 of 1 1 of 2
Joseph Holmes 12 of 24 50% 8 of 19 0 of 0 4 of 5 12 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 JunYong Park 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joseph Holmes 6 of 9 66% 5 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 5
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady picks JunYong Park to win by decision. He notes that Park has fought much better competition and has superior cardio and striking volume. He acknowledges Holmes' height and reach advantage but believes Park can mix in takedowns and win minutes against the cage. Brady points out that Holmes has never been finished but expects Park to grind out a decision.

Park wins by decision
"give me a Jen Young Park to win I'll say wins by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Cody picks Jun Yong Park, noting his durability and forward pressure. He acknowledges Park's poor ring IQ (getting caught by Gregory Rodrigues) but believes Park will break Holmes down over time. Cody is concerned about Holmes' grappling if Park ends up on his back, but expects Park to win a decision.

"I just think Johnny and park will eventually Break On Through break the guy down take his best shots wear on him Tire him out maybe even get a few takedowns of his own"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2022 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Park as a clear favorite. He notes that Holmes is extremely raw and tentative, while Park is a busy, well-rounded fighter who can jab, take down, and grind. Connor mentions the size difference but believes Park's technical edge and pressure will be too much for Holmes.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"Yeah, it's very favorable looking for him."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Daniel Levi picks JunYong Park, citing his experience and veteran savvy. He acknowledges Holmes' physical advantages (height, reach) and improvement, but trusts Park's experience against tough competition. He notes Park has been rocked before, so an upset is possible, but leans with the experienced fighter.

"I'm gonna go with John Young park with the kind of Veteran Savvy the tactics."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Jacob picks Park as the safer pick, expecting him to be the cleaner striker and defend takedowns. However, he is hesitant because Park lacks danger and Holmes has dangerous jiu-jitsu. He calls the -230 odds insane and suggests Holmes is the value underdog.

inside the distance decision no action for Holmes; Holmes value underdog
"my official pick is Park but I think Holmes is the much more dangerous guy and the minus 230 odds are insane"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2022 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Park has excellent pace, pressure, and grappling. He gassed against Gregory Rodrigues only because he threw everything at him. Holmes relies on physical attributes but lacks the skill to handle Park's pressure. Park should finish Holmes in the second or third round. The fight doesn't go to decision prop at +120 is a good alternative.

Fight doesn't go to decision +120
"I feel very damn good about John Young Park here I think we're getting a very good price tag on him as well and I think he cruises in this matchup until he eventually gets that finish later on probably …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Paul leans toward Park but is not betting due to the -220 price. He notes Holmes' reach advantage and decent grappling, but is unimpressed with Holmes' stand-up. Paul says the market price seems about right and he will pick Park to win but stay away from betting.

"I like Park as well but you know the market tells me it's buying this 220 for Park to win this fight which seems about right"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

The MMA Guru picks JunYong Park over Joseph Holmes, questioning Holmes' gas tank and the quality of his wins. He notes Holmes' win over Alan Amadovsky is not impressive as everyone finishes him early. He praises Park's performances against Eric Anders and Gregory Rodriguez, and believes Park can survive Holmes' early explosiveness and then take over, predicting a third-round TKO.

"I'm gonna go with Park Hyun young here over Joseph Holmes"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2022 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Zane picks Park confidently, describing him as 'really quite good everywhere' with solid footwork, a good jab, takedowns, and brutal top control. He notes that Holmes is extremely raw, awkward, and uncoordinated, with only a puncher's chance. Zane acknowledges the size advantage Holmes has but believes Park's technical skills and pace will overwhelm him.

Holmes opened +195 now +193, Park opened -230 now -240.
"It should just be a walk for John Park, basically."
WIN vs Eryk Anders
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · May 21, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JunYong Park 0 65 of 142 45% 75 of 155 3 of 24 12% 0 0 4:45
Eryk Anders 0 105 of 184 57% 108 of 187 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JunYong Park 0 16 of 30 53% 22 of 37 1 of 6 16% 0 0 2:32
Eryk Anders 0 25 of 36 69% 26 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
2 JunYong Park 0 16 of 38 42% 20 of 44 2 of 6 33% 0 0 1:36
Eryk Anders 0 31 of 52 59% 33 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:24
3 JunYong Park 0 33 of 74 44% 33 of 74 0 of 12 0% 0 0 0:37
Eryk Anders 0 49 of 96 51% 49 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JunYong Park 65 of 142 45% 45 of 112 17 of 25 3 of 5 56 of 131 9 of 11 0 of 0
Eryk Anders 105 of 184 57% 74 of 152 16 of 17 15 of 15 85 of 161 20 of 23 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JunYong Park 16 of 30 53% 12 of 22 4 of 7 0 of 1 11 of 24 5 of 6 0 of 0
Eryk Anders 25 of 36 69% 11 of 21 11 of 12 3 of 3 16 of 27 9 of 9 0 of 0
2 JunYong Park 16 of 38 42% 9 of 29 6 of 7 1 of 2 12 of 33 4 of 5 0 of 0
Eryk Anders 31 of 52 59% 21 of 42 1 of 1 9 of 9 27 of 46 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 JunYong Park 33 of 74 44% 24 of 61 7 of 11 2 of 2 33 of 74 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eryk Anders 49 of 96 51% 42 of 89 4 of 4 3 of 3 42 of 88 7 of 8 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 15, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Eryk Anders

Angelo picks Eryk Anders because he believes Anders's toughness, power, and wrestling will be the difference. He notes that Park is the better overall fighter but lacks danger in his striking or submissions. Park relies on trips and pressure for takedowns, which Angelo doesn't think will work against Anders. He also suggests a plus 3.5 round bet on Anders.

Eryk Anders plus 3.5 round bet (buy a round on judge's scorecard) - available at BetOnline
"i'm on the honors side and honestly i think he's a perfect one you're this big of an underdog he's a perfect plus three and a half bet"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady picks JunYong Park to win by decision, favoring his higher volume and striking defense over Eryk Anders. He notes Anders is a low-volume, one-shot-at-a-time striker with poor striking defense. He expects Park to outland Anders on the feet and win rounds. He acknowledges Anders could have success with takedowns but doubts he can hold Park down.

"give me jungyeon park to win a buy decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Cody picks Park, citing his better pace, ground game, and consistency. He criticizes Anders for low volume, lack of urgency, and getting outstruck in many fights. He believes Park will come forward, outland Anders, and grind out a decision. He is confident in the moneyline.

"i gotta go with the logical thinking here and the logical thinking is park's just gonna come forward back him up outland him hopefully not get caught by anything and then uh slowly just grind away in route to what …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked May 21, 2022 (fight day)

The host is uncertain about this fight. He notes that it could be volatile and come down to who is stronger, with Anders being the stronger fighter. He finds the Park line too wide but does not have the courage to bet Anders at plus money. He passes on betting the moneyline and instead considers the over 2.5 rounds, which he thinks is around -160.

over 2.5 rounds (part of totals parlay)
"tough fight i'm passing man if anything i bet the over two and a half"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Paul agrees with Cody, saying Park is the logical pick. He notes Anders' inconsistency and low volume, and that Park should be able to outwork him. He is with Cody on this one.

"i'm with you on that one bro"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

The MMA Guru picks JunYong Park, citing his superior cardio, leg kicks, and combination striking. He thinks Eryk Anders is a simple fighter and may have less power after trimming down. He believes Park's grappling defense and pace will be too much, predicting a 29-28 decision with Park taking the last two rounds.

"i'm going to have to go of yoon yong park here over ericander's"
Joseph Holmes - Fight History
KO/TKO R2 3:21 · UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · May 06, 2023
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cláudio Ribeiro

Connor picks Ribeiro as well, noting that Holmes has never shown the ability to confidently pressure like Abdul Razak Alhassan did to beat Ribeiro. He sees Ribeiro's athleticism as the difference, though both are one-dimensional.

Holmes opened +177, now +150; Ribeiro opened -200, now -168.
"I'll take Ribeiro too, but I could easily see this going either way."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cláudio Ribeiro

Zane picks Ribeiro because of his athleticism and power, which often win at middleweight. He notes Holmes is awkward and limited, and Ribeiro's speed and strength should be enough. However, he acknowledges Holmes could win if he gets to body locks and tires Ribeiro.

Holmes opened +177, now +150; Ribeiro opened -200, now -168.
"I am going to pick Ribeiro because it's middleweight. Where middleweight is sort of the starting the dividing line where it becomes important to be that guy."
LOSS vs JunYong Park
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 3:04 · UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · Oct 29, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
JunYong Park 0 20 of 40 50% 21 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:39
Joseph Holmes 0 18 of 33 54% 48 of 76 2 of 4 50% 2 0 4:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 JunYong Park 0 18 of 36 50% 19 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:39
Joseph Holmes 0 12 of 24 50% 22 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:55
2 JunYong Park 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joseph Holmes 0 6 of 9 66% 26 of 40 1 of 2 50% 2 0 2:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
JunYong Park 20 of 40 50% 8 of 24 5 of 7 7 of 9 19 of 37 0 of 1 1 of 2
Joseph Holmes 18 of 33 54% 13 of 26 0 of 0 5 of 7 14 of 28 0 of 0 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 JunYong Park 18 of 36 50% 7 of 21 5 of 7 6 of 8 17 of 33 0 of 1 1 of 2
Joseph Holmes 12 of 24 50% 8 of 19 0 of 0 4 of 5 12 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 JunYong Park 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Joseph Holmes 6 of 9 66% 5 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 5
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady picks JunYong Park to win by decision. He notes that Park has fought much better competition and has superior cardio and striking volume. He acknowledges Holmes' height and reach advantage but believes Park can mix in takedowns and win minutes against the cage. Brady points out that Holmes has never been finished but expects Park to grind out a decision.

Park wins by decision
"give me a Jen Young Park to win I'll say wins by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Cody picks Jun Yong Park, noting his durability and forward pressure. He acknowledges Park's poor ring IQ (getting caught by Gregory Rodrigues) but believes Park will break Holmes down over time. Cody is concerned about Holmes' grappling if Park ends up on his back, but expects Park to win a decision.

"I just think Johnny and park will eventually Break On Through break the guy down take his best shots wear on him Tire him out maybe even get a few takedowns of his own"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2022 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Park as a clear favorite. He notes that Holmes is extremely raw and tentative, while Park is a busy, well-rounded fighter who can jab, take down, and grind. Connor mentions the size difference but believes Park's technical edge and pressure will be too much for Holmes.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"Yeah, it's very favorable looking for him."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Daniel Levi picks JunYong Park, citing his experience and veteran savvy. He acknowledges Holmes' physical advantages (height, reach) and improvement, but trusts Park's experience against tough competition. He notes Park has been rocked before, so an upset is possible, but leans with the experienced fighter.

"I'm gonna go with John Young park with the kind of Veteran Savvy the tactics."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Jacob picks Park as the safer pick, expecting him to be the cleaner striker and defend takedowns. However, he is hesitant because Park lacks danger and Holmes has dangerous jiu-jitsu. He calls the -230 odds insane and suggests Holmes is the value underdog.

inside the distance decision no action for Holmes; Holmes value underdog
"my official pick is Park but I think Holmes is the much more dangerous guy and the minus 230 odds are insane"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2022 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Park has excellent pace, pressure, and grappling. He gassed against Gregory Rodrigues only because he threw everything at him. Holmes relies on physical attributes but lacks the skill to handle Park's pressure. Park should finish Holmes in the second or third round. The fight doesn't go to decision prop at +120 is a good alternative.

Fight doesn't go to decision +120
"I feel very damn good about John Young Park here I think we're getting a very good price tag on him as well and I think he cruises in this matchup until he eventually gets that finish later on probably …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Paul leans toward Park but is not betting due to the -220 price. He notes Holmes' reach advantage and decent grappling, but is unimpressed with Holmes' stand-up. Paul says the market price seems about right and he will pick Park to win but stay away from betting.

"I like Park as well but you know the market tells me it's buying this 220 for Park to win this fight which seems about right"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

The MMA Guru picks JunYong Park over Joseph Holmes, questioning Holmes' gas tank and the quality of his wins. He notes Holmes' win over Alan Amadovsky is not impressive as everyone finishes him early. He praises Park's performances against Eric Anders and Gregory Rodriguez, and believes Park can survive Holmes' early explosiveness and then take over, predicting a third-round TKO.

"I'm gonna go with Park Hyun young here over Joseph Holmes"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2022 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Zane picks Park confidently, describing him as 'really quite good everywhere' with solid footwork, a good jab, takedowns, and brutal top control. He notes that Holmes is extremely raw, awkward, and uncoordinated, with only a puncher's chance. Zane acknowledges the size advantage Holmes has but believes Park's technical skills and pace will overwhelm him.

Holmes opened +195 now +193, Park opened -230 now -240.
"It should just be a walk for John Park, basically."
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 1:04 · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · May 21, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joseph Holmes 1 16 of 23 69% 16 of 23 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:21
Alen Amedovski 0 1 of 8 12% 1 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joseph Holmes 1 16 of 23 69% 16 of 23 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:21
Alen Amedovski 0 1 of 8 12% 1 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joseph Holmes 16 of 23 69% 11 of 17 2 of 2 3 of 4 9 of 14 1 of 1 6 of 8
Alen Amedovski 1 of 8 12% 1 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joseph Holmes 16 of 23 69% 11 of 17 2 of 2 3 of 4 9 of 14 1 of 1 6 of 8
Alen Amedovski 1 of 8 12% 1 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 15, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Joseph Holmes

Angelo picks Joseph Holmes because of his size, versatility, and ability to mix striking and grappling. He notes that Amedovski has been on a long layoff and has shown holes in his grappling. Holmes's length and takedown threat should open up his hands. Angelo will likely stay away from betting but trusts Holmes to get the win.

"i like joseph holmes here i love his size i love his versatility he can strike and he can grapple"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Joseph Holmes

Big Brady picks Joseph Holmes to win by first-round submission, but calls it a sketchy fight between two low-level fighters. He notes Holmes has a size advantage and a brown belt in BJJ, while Amedovski has poor takedown defense and ground game. However, Amedovski hits hard and could knock Holmes out early. He says laying -200 on Holmes is not ideal.

first round sub
"give me homes to win but yeah laying minus 200 on joseph holmes just not seemed like the best idea in the world holmes holmes first round sub"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Joseph Holmes

Cody picks Holmes, citing his size advantage (6'4", 80-inch reach), youth (26), and multiple paths to victory. He notes Amedovski's poor takedown defense, lack of ground game, and three-year layoff. He believes Holmes' length, clinch knees, and improved cardio after a full camp will be too much for Amedovski.

"multiple paths of victory i think for joseph holmes but we need to put a little faith in them right and again at 26 and i think he's still with james krause i think that those improvements are going to …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked May 21, 2022 (fight day)

The host does not discuss this fight in detail. He mentions Holmes in the context of live betting spots, suggesting Holmes after round one if grappling is heavy, but does not make a clear pick or provide analysis.

"holmes after round one i'd say"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Joseph Holmes

Paul is hesitant but leans Holmes. He notes Amedovski's terrible UFC performances and long layoff, but also acknowledges Holmes' green stand-up and cardio issues. He thinks Holmes' size and grappling should be enough, but is not fully confident.

"i'm really struggling with this one what's what's your take here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Joseph Holmes

The MMA Guru picks Joseph Holmes but is hesitant. He thinks Holmes has a massive advantage on the feet and will land good shots while Amedovski struggles with takedowns. He trusts Holmes more now that he has octagon experience. He predicts a second-round TKO with a fadeaway hook.

second round TKO
"i'm gonna go joseph holmes"
LOSS vs Jamie Pickett
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Chikadze · Jan 15, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jamie Pickett 0 50 of 122 40% 54 of 126 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:02
Joseph Holmes 0 51 of 93 54% 59 of 101 0 of 2 0% 0 0 3:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jamie Pickett 0 10 of 23 43% 12 of 25 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:24
Joseph Holmes 0 24 of 35 68% 26 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
2 Jamie Pickett 0 23 of 55 41% 24 of 56 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:18
Joseph Holmes 0 13 of 27 48% 18 of 32 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:08
3 Jamie Pickett 0 17 of 44 38% 18 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:20
Joseph Holmes 0 14 of 31 45% 15 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jamie Pickett 50 of 122 40% 22 of 86 19 of 24 9 of 12 40 of 108 10 of 14 0 of 0
Joseph Holmes 51 of 93 54% 30 of 65 13 of 19 8 of 9 41 of 82 10 of 11 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jamie Pickett 10 of 23 43% 4 of 15 3 of 3 3 of 5 9 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0
Joseph Holmes 24 of 35 68% 13 of 21 7 of 9 4 of 5 17 of 28 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Jamie Pickett 23 of 55 41% 12 of 42 9 of 10 2 of 3 18 of 50 5 of 5 0 of 0
Joseph Holmes 13 of 27 48% 9 of 22 1 of 2 3 of 3 13 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jamie Pickett 17 of 44 38% 6 of 29 7 of 11 4 of 4 13 of 36 4 of 8 0 of 0
Joseph Holmes 14 of 31 45% 8 of 22 5 of 8 1 of 1 11 of 27 3 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

Angelo leans toward Pickett due to UFC experience, but worries about Holmes' equal size and grappling threat. He notes Pickett's reach advantage is neutralized and that both can be gun-shy. He calls it a razor-thin pick and says he won't bet on it.

Not throwing any money at this fight; too close to call.
"i am leaning towards pickett because of the experience but i do worry that joseph holmes is a genuine athlete"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

Big Brady thinks the odds are off, as Joseph Holmes is inexperienced and has fought low-level competition, while Jamie Pickett has faced UFC-caliber fighters. He calls it a coin flip and says he would not bet it, but if forced to pick, he takes Pickett as a dog by decision. He notes both fighters have similar skill sets and low volume.

"i'm going to pick jamie pickett i'm going to pick him by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Joseph Holmes

Cody leans toward Holmes, citing his length and reach advantage. He notes Holmes's camp (James Krause) will have a good game plan. He expects Holmes to use his range striking and avoid grappling. However, he admits Holmes looked green and the fight could go either way.

"i would say holmes fight probably over one and a half over two and a half figures of distance"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Joseph Holmes

Daniel Levi leans toward Joseph Holmes, citing his physical advantages (6'4", 80-inch reach) and finishing ability (submission and KO). He notes that Pickett has folded under pressure in the past, losing by first-round finishes to Charles Byrd and Jordan Wright. Levi is hesitant because Holmes hasn't been tested at UFC level, but he believes Holmes will outwork Pickett in a close fight. He also mentions Pickett's mental struggles and that he's seeing a therapist.

"i'm going to go with joseph holmes here man"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Joseph Holmes

The host leans toward Joseph Holmes, expecting him to dictate the pace with clinch work and takedowns against the cage. He notes Pickett's durability but thinks Holmes' aggression and control will win rounds. The host is not confident in a finish, predicting a decision. He mentions the over 1.5 rounds as a possible bet due to both fighters' low finishing rates.

Over 1.5 rounds at -185 mentioned as a possible bet.
"i'm gonna be going joseph holmes and i'm actually gonna take him to win this fight via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jamie Pickett

Paul leans toward Pickett as an underdog, citing his experience and durability. He notes Holmes is very green and his striking is telegraphed. He expects Pickett's strength in the clinch to be a factor. However, he acknowledges Holmes's length and potential if he keeps the fight at range.

"i'm leaning towards pickett here as an underdog uh plus 120 is the price to pay just more way more experience"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Joseph Holmes

The MMA Guru picks Joseph Holmes to win by first-round TKO. He highlights Holmes' Muay Thai background, range, power, and accuracy on the feet, and notes that Holmes already beat Pickett on the regional scene by first-round destruction. He doesn't see Pickett's grappling as a threat, as Holmes is rangier and better at controlling distance. He expects Holmes to land a clean shot early and finish the fight quickly, similar to how Jordan Wright did.

"i'm gonna trust in joseph holmes to beat jamie picker here"
Expert Picks (9)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Big Brady picks JunYong Park to win by decision. He notes that Park has fought much better competition and has superior cardio and striking volume. He acknowledges Holmes' height and reach advantage but believes Park can mix in takedowns and win minutes against the cage. Brady points out that Holmes has never been finished but expects Park to grind out a decision.

Park wins by decision
"give me a Jen Young Park to win I'll say wins by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Cody picks Jun Yong Park, noting his durability and forward pressure. He acknowledges Park's poor ring IQ (getting caught by Gregory Rodrigues) but believes Park will break Holmes down over time. Cody is concerned about Holmes' grappling if Park ends up on his back, but expects Park to win a decision.

"I just think Johnny and park will eventually Break On Through break the guy down take his best shots wear on him Tire him out maybe even get a few takedowns of his own"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2022 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Park as a clear favorite. He notes that Holmes is extremely raw and tentative, while Park is a busy, well-rounded fighter who can jab, take down, and grind. Connor mentions the size difference but believes Park's technical edge and pressure will be too much for Holmes.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"Yeah, it's very favorable looking for him."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Daniel Levi picks JunYong Park, citing his experience and veteran savvy. He acknowledges Holmes' physical advantages (height, reach) and improvement, but trusts Park's experience against tough competition. He notes Park has been rocked before, so an upset is possible, but leans with the experienced fighter.

"I'm gonna go with John Young park with the kind of Veteran Savvy the tactics."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Jacob picks Park as the safer pick, expecting him to be the cleaner striker and defend takedowns. However, he is hesitant because Park lacks danger and Holmes has dangerous jiu-jitsu. He calls the -230 odds insane and suggests Holmes is the value underdog.

inside the distance decision no action for Holmes; Holmes value underdog
"my official pick is Park but I think Holmes is the much more dangerous guy and the minus 230 odds are insane"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2022 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Park has excellent pace, pressure, and grappling. He gassed against Gregory Rodrigues only because he threw everything at him. Holmes relies on physical attributes but lacks the skill to handle Park's pressure. Park should finish Holmes in the second or third round. The fight doesn't go to decision prop at +120 is a good alternative.

Fight doesn't go to decision +120
"I feel very damn good about John Young Park here I think we're getting a very good price tag on him as well and I think he cruises in this matchup until he eventually gets that finish later on probably second or third round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Paul leans toward Park but is not betting due to the -220 price. He notes Holmes' reach advantage and decent grappling, but is unimpressed with Holmes' stand-up. Paul says the market price seems about right and he will pick Park to win but stay away from betting.

"I like Park as well but you know the market tells me it's buying this 220 for Park to win this fight which seems about right"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
JunYong Park

The MMA Guru picks JunYong Park over Joseph Holmes, questioning Holmes' gas tank and the quality of his wins. He notes Holmes' win over Alan Amadovsky is not impressive as everyone finishes him early. He praises Park's performances against Eric Anders and Gregory Rodriguez, and believes Park can survive Holmes' early explosiveness and then take over, predicting a third-round TKO.

"I'm gonna go with Park Hyun young here over Joseph Holmes"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2022 (2 days before fight)
JunYong Park

Zane picks Park confidently, describing him as 'really quite good everywhere' with solid footwork, a good jab, takedowns, and brutal top control. He notes that Holmes is extremely raw, awkward, and uncoordinated, with only a puncher's chance. Zane acknowledges the size advantage Holmes has but believes Park's technical skills and pace will overwhelm him.

Holmes opened +195 now +193, Park opened -230 now -240.
"It should just be a walk for John Park, basically."