Career Averages - JunYong Park
Career Averages - Joseph Holmes
JunYong Park
Joseph Holmes
JunYong Park - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ikram Aliskerov | 0 | 91 of 134 | 67% | 126 of 174 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 0 | 0 | 6:07 |
| JunYong Park | 0 | 78 of 132 | 59% | 91 of 151 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ikram Aliskerov | 0 | 35 of 46 | 76% | 37 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
| JunYong Park | 0 | 17 of 43 | 39% | 18 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Ikram Aliskerov | 0 | 35 of 52 | 67% | 46 of 66 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
| JunYong Park | 0 | 38 of 55 | 69% | 42 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 3 | Ikram Aliskerov | 0 | 21 of 36 | 58% | 43 of 60 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:26 |
| JunYong Park | 0 | 23 of 34 | 67% | 31 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ikram Aliskerov | 91 of 134 | 67% | 57 of 94 | 26 of 29 | 8 of 11 | 79 of 120 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 10 |
| JunYong Park | 78 of 132 | 59% | 57 of 108 | 18 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 73 of 127 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ikram Aliskerov | 35 of 46 | 76% | 17 of 25 | 14 of 14 | 4 of 7 | 33 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| JunYong Park | 17 of 43 | 39% | 13 of 37 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 17 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ikram Aliskerov | 35 of 52 | 67% | 21 of 36 | 10 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 29 of 45 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 |
| JunYong Park | 38 of 55 | 69% | 29 of 46 | 8 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 34 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | |
| 3 | Ikram Aliskerov | 21 of 36 | 58% | 19 of 33 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 4 |
| JunYong Park | 23 of 34 | 67% | 15 of 25 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Ikram Aliskerov, noting his superior striking and wrestling compared to Jun Young Park. He uses MMA math: Aliskerov knocked out Andre Muniz, while Park lost to Muniz via decision with 11 takedowns conceded. Angelo expects a decision due to Park's toughness but is confident Aliskerov wins.
Big Brady leans toward Park Jun-yong as a live dog, citing Ikram Aliskerov's untested cardio and durability. He notes Aliskerov has finished all his UFC wins in the first round and questions what happens if the fight extends. Park is durable, has good volume and cardio, and has faced tougher competition. Brady expects Park to survive early danger, take over in rounds two and three, and win a decision. He admits it feels like a trap and is staying away from betting.
Cody picks Ikram Aliskerov, but notes that if the fight extends past the first round, he would live bet Park. He believes Aliskerov's power and early finishing ability will get the job done, as Park's durability and cardio are his only paths. Cody suggests that Aliskerov likely finishes early, but if not, Park could grind out a win.
Connor acknowledges Park's toughness and pocket combination fighting but believes Aliskerov's athleticism and natural timing will be too much. He notes that Park often meets athletic walls where he gets stopped, and Aliskerov has the speed and power to find a kill shot. Connor also points out that Aliskerov, while not deep technically, has enough offensive craft to exploit Park's aggression.
Daniel Vreeland is wary of Aliskerov's cardio and chin, but believes his early power and the Abu Dhabi setting give him the edge. He notes that Aliskerov has been finished by uppercuts before, but thinks he can win the first round and possibly the second before Park takes over. He picks Aliskerov but admits it could get 'sketchy' past round one.
Lucrative James picks Ikram Aliskerov, citing his power and wrestling as a bad stylistic matchup for Park. He notes Park's poor takedown defense and tendency to walk into punches, while Aliskerov has the tools to exploit those weaknesses. He acknowledges Park's elite cardio and pressure, but believes Aliskerov's early power and takedowns will be decisive. He is less confident in the value at -270.
The host thinks Aliskerov will be exposed, struggling with Park's jab, pressure, and pace. He expects Park to take over in the second and third rounds and eventually find a finish.
Paul leans towards Park as a dog or pass, preferring the under 2.5 rounds. He notes that Aliskerov is a one-round fighter who gasses if he doesn't finish early, and Park has shown durability and the ability to come back in later rounds, as seen against Islam Nurmagomedov. Paul believes that if the fight goes past the first, Park has a real chance to win by submission or decision.
The MMA Guru picks Ikram Aliskerov by TKO, believing Aliskerov's finishing potential will be too much for Jun Yong Park. He notes that Park is getting older and relies on volume grappling, but Aliskerov has good takedown defense and power. He references Aliskerov's loss to Robert Whittaker on short notice as understandable, but expects Aliskerov to put Park away in the first or second round. He also mentions that Park's lack of power on the feet will be a problem.
Zane shares Connor's view, noting that Park's wrestling and grappling are his only safe areas, but getting there requires him to press into the pocket, leaving him open to Aliskerov's counters. He believes Aliskerov is good at finding openings and that Park will have success but will also be consistently vulnerable to a kill shot.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismail Naurdiev | 0 | 76 of 153 | 49% | 84 of 164 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 |
| JunYong Park | 0 | 45 of 109 | 41% | 92 of 187 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 6:39 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ismail Naurdiev | 0 | 52 of 105 | 49% | 54 of 108 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| JunYong Park | 0 | 26 of 77 | 33% | 28 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Ismail Naurdiev | 0 | 19 of 37 | 51% | 25 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 |
| JunYong Park | 0 | 9 of 13 | 69% | 28 of 37 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 2:06 | |
| 3 | Ismail Naurdiev | 0 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| JunYong Park | 0 | 10 of 19 | 52% | 36 of 71 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 4:31 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismail Naurdiev | 76 of 153 | 49% | 44 of 104 | 25 of 39 | 7 of 10 | 67 of 132 | 8 of 17 | 1 of 4 |
| JunYong Park | 45 of 109 | 41% | 41 of 102 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 38 of 96 | 4 of 10 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ismail Naurdiev | 52 of 105 | 49% | 33 of 73 | 16 of 27 | 3 of 5 | 48 of 96 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| JunYong Park | 26 of 77 | 33% | 25 of 74 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 70 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ismail Naurdiev | 19 of 37 | 51% | 8 of 22 | 7 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 15 of 27 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 4 |
| JunYong Park | 9 of 13 | 69% | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ismail Naurdiev | 5 of 11 | 45% | 3 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| JunYong Park | 10 of 19 | 52% | 7 of 15 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 |
Angelo picks Ismail Naurdiev, citing his takedown ability and the fact that Park has poor takedown defense, as shown in the Andre Muniz fight. He notes that Ismail is a good striker and grappler, and at $7,500 he is a great value. He thinks Ismail will exploit Park's weaknesses and get the win.
Big Brady picks Park Jun-yong, citing durability and wrestling as key factors. He notes Naurdiev has been finished in four of seven losses and has poor takedown defense. Park completes takedowns at 47% accuracy and even took down Brad Tavares. Brady thinks Park can mix in takedowns if needed and has better cardio. He predicts a competitive decision win for Park.
The host is a big fan of Junyong Park and thinks this fight perfectly showcases his advantages in pace, pressure, and grappling. He expects Park to put Naurdiev through the ringer and easily win on the scorecards.
The MMA Guru picks Park Jun-yong, praising his pace, striking, and composure. He notes Naurdiev's defensive grappling and submission threats but doubts his power and ability to dominate. He expects a three-round barn burner where Park's pressure in later rounds secures the win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JunYong Park | 0 | 65 of 149 | 43% | 73 of 159 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Brad Tavares | 0 | 99 of 177 | 55% | 124 of 210 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 6:32 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JunYong Park | 0 | 26 of 57 | 45% | 27 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Brad Tavares | 0 | 19 of 46 | 41% | 21 of 48 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:18 | |
| 2 | JunYong Park | 0 | 31 of 80 | 38% | 31 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brad Tavares | 0 | 67 of 108 | 62% | 68 of 109 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 | |
| 3 | JunYong Park | 0 | 8 of 12 | 66% | 15 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brad Tavares | 0 | 13 of 23 | 56% | 35 of 53 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 4:39 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JunYong Park | 65 of 149 | 43% | 55 of 136 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 10 | 62 of 143 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 5 |
| Brad Tavares | 99 of 177 | 55% | 76 of 151 | 4 of 6 | 19 of 20 | 91 of 167 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JunYong Park | 26 of 57 | 45% | 21 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 | 23 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
| Brad Tavares | 19 of 46 | 41% | 12 of 37 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 6 | 19 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | JunYong Park | 31 of 80 | 38% | 27 of 73 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 4 | 31 of 79 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Tavares | 67 of 108 | 62% | 52 of 93 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 14 | 64 of 103 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | JunYong Park | 8 of 12 | 66% | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Tavares | 13 of 23 | 56% | 12 of 21 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 |
Angelo picks Brad Tavares, citing his experience and takedown defense. He notes that Park Jun-yong is not dangerous enough to finish Tavares, lacking one-punch power and nasty takedowns. Angelo believes Tavares will defend takedowns and land clean strikes for a straightforward win.
Big Brady picks Park Jun-yong by decision. He thinks the fight will be close and go to the judges, but he cannot pick Brad Tavares due to his decline. Tavares has taken a lot of damage and looked poor in recent fights, including a lackluster win over Chris Weidman. Park was on a five-fight win streak before a close loss to Andre Muniz. Brady expects the fight to stay on the feet and Park to do better work, though it could be a close decision.
Connor also picks Park but is hesitant, noting that Tavares still has great takedown defense and can strike. He points out that Park's best path is through grappling, but Tavares stuffs takedowns. Connor thinks Park can win a striking battle because Tavares doesn't throw combinations and is passive, but it's a risky fight for Park.
Daniel highlights Park's well-rounded skills, pace, and wrestling ability, noting that he was close to knocking out RoboCop. He criticizes Tavares's recent decline, pointing out that RoboCop walked through him with zero respect. Daniel believes Park's physicality and durability will be key, and he predicts a knockout victory, citing that Park has been overdue for his first UFC KO.
Tavares is on a rough run but this is a winnable matchup if he keeps it in the striking realm. Park has decent power but not enough to catch Tavares. Tavares will land better strikes, leg kicks, stop takedowns, and win on the scorecards over 15 minutes.
The MMA Guru picks Brad Tavares, noting that Tavares cannot be taken down and has good cardio. He criticizes Park Jun-yong's striking and believes Tavares will out-strike him for a TKO or decision. He acknowledges Tavares has been KO'd recently but sees Park lacking the power to finish him.
Zane picks Park but is hesitant because Tavares has excellent takedown defense, which neutralizes Park's best weapon. He notes that Park's striking is crafty but he is short and gets hit often, and Tavares is a durable defensive striker who doesn't leave many openings. Zane trusts Park to win a kickboxing match due to his volume and trap-setting, but acknowledges it's a tough fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Muniz | 0 | 27 of 60 | 45% | 52 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 2 | 2:58 |
| JunYong Park | 0 | 14 of 30 | 46% | 35 of 60 | 11 of 14 | 78% | 0 | 1 | 9:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | André Muniz | 0 | 13 of 17 | 76% | 20 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:45 |
| JunYong Park | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 10 of 11 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 0 | 0 | 3:07 | |
| 2 | André Muniz | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 16 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| JunYong Park | 0 | 9 of 16 | 56% | 21 of 37 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:16 | |
| 3 | André Muniz | 0 | 8 of 31 | 25% | 16 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 2:10 |
| JunYong Park | 0 | 2 of 10 | 20% | 4 of 12 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 2:11 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Muniz | 27 of 60 | 45% | 21 of 54 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 35 |
| JunYong Park | 14 of 30 | 46% | 10 of 25 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | André Muniz | 13 of 17 | 76% | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 15 |
| JunYong Park | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | André Muniz | 6 of 12 | 50% | 3 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| JunYong Park | 9 of 16 | 56% | 9 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | André Muniz | 8 of 31 | 25% | 7 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 20 |
| JunYong Park | 2 of 10 | 20% | 1 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Cody picks Park Jun-yong, citing his tenacity and cardio. He notes that Park is a go-getter who keeps coming forward and has solid striking and grappling. Cody is concerned about Park's tendency to give up his back when taken down, but he thinks Muniz's heart is questionable. He points out that Muniz has looked terrible in his last two fights and was outworked by Paul Craig. Cody believes Park will outwork Muniz and get a late TKO or decision.
Lucrative James believes the market is too low on Muniz after his recent losses, which he attributes to Paul Craig's unpredictability and a competitive fight against Brendan Allen. He highlights Muniz's powerful double-leg takedown and elite submission skills, noting that Park gets taken down in every fight and has given up his back. He sees a good chance of a submission in rounds 1-2, but acknowledges that if Muniz doesn't finish, Park's cardio could be a problem in later rounds. He agrees with the line movement and picks Muniz outright.
Paul also picks Park Jun-yong. He notes that Park is looking better than ever and mixes in submission skills. Paul is a little worried about Park giving up his back against a grappler like Muniz, but he thinks Park's volume and cardio will be decisive. He mentions that Uriah Hall survived Muniz's grappling for three rounds, and Park is a better striker. Paul believes the fight on the feet is not close and Park will win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JunYong Park | 0 | 31 of 77 | 40% | 35 of 83 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
| Albert Duraev | 1 | 50 of 96 | 52% | 77 of 138 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 3 | 0 | 1:59 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JunYong Park | 0 | 20 of 47 | 42% | 20 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Albert Duraev | 0 | 25 of 54 | 46% | 25 of 54 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:17 | |
| 2 | JunYong Park | 0 | 11 of 30 | 36% | 15 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
| Albert Duraev | 1 | 25 of 42 | 59% | 52 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 1:42 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JunYong Park | 31 of 77 | 40% | 18 of 57 | 7 of 8 | 6 of 12 | 31 of 76 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Albert Duraev | 50 of 96 | 52% | 41 of 85 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 47 of 93 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JunYong Park | 20 of 47 | 42% | 10 of 31 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 10 | 20 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Albert Duraev | 25 of 54 | 46% | 20 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 | 25 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | JunYong Park | 11 of 30 | 36% | 8 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Albert Duraev | 25 of 42 | 59% | 21 of 37 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Albert Duraev, liking his wrestling pace and takedowns. He notes Park is well-rounded with good takedown defense but is not dangerous enough to threaten Duraev. He is surprised Duraev is a plus-money underdog and plans to use the line movement tracker to bet him at the best price. He thinks Duraev can grind out a decision.
Big Brady picks Park Jun-yong, calling him underrated. He notes Park has good durability, cardio, and well-rounded skills, while Duraev has four knockout losses and slows down in fights. He expects a close decision where Park's volume and cardio edge him ahead, possibly mixing in takedowns late. He thinks -150 is about right.
Cody leans toward Park, citing Duraev's red flags: low takedown success rate (1/9 vs Coppola, 2/9 vs Buckley), gas tank issues, and being a low-output striker. He thinks Park's volume and durability will win striking exchanges, but acknowledges Duraev could win via takedowns or cage control. He expects a close, greasy decision and doesn't love the -150 price.
The host expects Park's pressure and cardio to wear down Duraev as the fight goes on. He thinks Duraev will have early wrestling success but fade, allowing Park to land damaging strikes and potentially get a late finish or decision. He notes the line is a bit steep but still sees value.
Paul leans toward Park, noting Park's recent finishes via rear-naked chokes against grapplers, but thinks that path is off the table here. He expects Park to keep it on the feet and use his chin, while Duraev hasn't shown power. He thinks it goes the full 15 minutes and leans Park at -150, but acknowledges judging could swing either way.
The MMA Guru picks Albert Duraev over Park Jun-yong, citing Duraev's win over Roman Kopylov, which has aged well, and his finishing potential. He criticizes Park's split decision over Eric Anders and notes his wins came against opponents with clear weaknesses. He believes Duraev is more dangerous in multiple areas and predicts a finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JunYong Park | 0 | 25 of 38 | 65% | 38 of 52 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 2:58 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 0 | 8 of 22 | 36% | 8 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JunYong Park | 0 | 25 of 38 | 65% | 38 of 52 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 2:58 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 0 | 8 of 22 | 36% | 8 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JunYong Park | 25 of 38 | 65% | 20 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 11 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 8 of 22 | 36% | 4 of 16 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JunYong Park | 25 of 38 | 65% | 20 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 11 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 8 of 22 | 36% | 4 of 16 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady likes Park's cardio, volume, and underrated grappling. He notes Tiuliulin is hittable with poor striking defense and a suspect gas tank. He expects Park to drown Tiuliulin with grappling and eventually find a submission in the second or third round.
Cody picks Tiuliulin at plus money, noting his improved takedown defense and cardio. He thinks Park is prone to brawling and getting knocked out, as seen against Gregory Rodrigues. He expects Tiuliulin to land a knockout, especially if Park engages recklessly. He added Tiuliulin at +190.
Connor agrees, highlighting Park's ability to use aggression against Tiuliulin, running him into jabs and countering. He notes that Tiuliulin is heavily rooted and lumbering, making takedowns easier once Park establishes his jab. He has faith in Park's ability to figure out these matchups despite the physical disadvantages.
Paul picks Tiuliulin, calling him a greasy underdog. He notes Tiuliulin's power and improved takedown defense, while Park has a tendency to brawl and get knocked out. He expects Tiuliulin to win by knockout, especially if Park engages in a firefight. He likes the plus money.
Zane expects Park to win due to his crafty striking and excellent ground and pound. He notes that Tiuliulin is a reckless, aggressive striker who is hyper durable but lacks structure. He believes Park's takedowns and positional grappling will be effective, though he acknowledges that Park often faces physical challenges due to size disadvantages.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JunYong Park | 0 | 20 of 40 | 50% | 21 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:39 |
| Joseph Holmes | 0 | 18 of 33 | 54% | 48 of 76 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 4:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JunYong Park | 0 | 18 of 36 | 50% | 19 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:39 |
| Joseph Holmes | 0 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 22 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:55 | |
| 2 | JunYong Park | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joseph Holmes | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 26 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 2:42 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JunYong Park | 20 of 40 | 50% | 8 of 24 | 5 of 7 | 7 of 9 | 19 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Joseph Holmes | 18 of 33 | 54% | 13 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 | 14 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JunYong Park | 18 of 36 | 50% | 7 of 21 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 8 | 17 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Joseph Holmes | 12 of 24 | 50% | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 12 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | JunYong Park | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Joseph Holmes | 6 of 9 | 66% | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
Big Brady picks JunYong Park to win by decision. He notes that Park has fought much better competition and has superior cardio and striking volume. He acknowledges Holmes' height and reach advantage but believes Park can mix in takedowns and win minutes against the cage. Brady points out that Holmes has never been finished but expects Park to grind out a decision.
Cody picks Jun Yong Park, noting his durability and forward pressure. He acknowledges Park's poor ring IQ (getting caught by Gregory Rodrigues) but believes Park will break Holmes down over time. Cody is concerned about Holmes' grappling if Park ends up on his back, but expects Park to win a decision.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Park as a clear favorite. He notes that Holmes is extremely raw and tentative, while Park is a busy, well-rounded fighter who can jab, take down, and grind. Connor mentions the size difference but believes Park's technical edge and pressure will be too much for Holmes.
Daniel Levi picks JunYong Park, citing his experience and veteran savvy. He acknowledges Holmes' physical advantages (height, reach) and improvement, but trusts Park's experience against tough competition. He notes Park has been rocked before, so an upset is possible, but leans with the experienced fighter.
Jacob picks Park as the safer pick, expecting him to be the cleaner striker and defend takedowns. However, he is hesitant because Park lacks danger and Holmes has dangerous jiu-jitsu. He calls the -230 odds insane and suggests Holmes is the value underdog.
Park has excellent pace, pressure, and grappling. He gassed against Gregory Rodrigues only because he threw everything at him. Holmes relies on physical attributes but lacks the skill to handle Park's pressure. Park should finish Holmes in the second or third round. The fight doesn't go to decision prop at +120 is a good alternative.
Paul leans toward Park but is not betting due to the -220 price. He notes Holmes' reach advantage and decent grappling, but is unimpressed with Holmes' stand-up. Paul says the market price seems about right and he will pick Park to win but stay away from betting.
The MMA Guru picks JunYong Park over Joseph Holmes, questioning Holmes' gas tank and the quality of his wins. He notes Holmes' win over Alan Amadovsky is not impressive as everyone finishes him early. He praises Park's performances against Eric Anders and Gregory Rodriguez, and believes Park can survive Holmes' early explosiveness and then take over, predicting a third-round TKO.
Zane picks Park confidently, describing him as 'really quite good everywhere' with solid footwork, a good jab, takedowns, and brutal top control. He notes that Holmes is extremely raw, awkward, and uncoordinated, with only a puncher's chance. Zane acknowledges the size advantage Holmes has but believes Park's technical skills and pace will overwhelm him.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JunYong Park | 0 | 65 of 142 | 45% | 75 of 155 | 3 of 24 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 4:45 |
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 105 of 184 | 57% | 108 of 187 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JunYong Park | 0 | 16 of 30 | 53% | 22 of 37 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 2:32 |
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 25 of 36 | 69% | 26 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 2 | JunYong Park | 0 | 16 of 38 | 42% | 20 of 44 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:36 |
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 31 of 52 | 59% | 33 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:24 | |
| 3 | JunYong Park | 0 | 33 of 74 | 44% | 33 of 74 | 0 of 12 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 49 of 96 | 51% | 49 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JunYong Park | 65 of 142 | 45% | 45 of 112 | 17 of 25 | 3 of 5 | 56 of 131 | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Eryk Anders | 105 of 184 | 57% | 74 of 152 | 16 of 17 | 15 of 15 | 85 of 161 | 20 of 23 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JunYong Park | 16 of 30 | 53% | 12 of 22 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 11 of 24 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Eryk Anders | 25 of 36 | 69% | 11 of 21 | 11 of 12 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 27 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | JunYong Park | 16 of 38 | 42% | 9 of 29 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 33 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Eryk Anders | 31 of 52 | 59% | 21 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 9 | 27 of 46 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | JunYong Park | 33 of 74 | 44% | 24 of 61 | 7 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 33 of 74 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Eryk Anders | 49 of 96 | 51% | 42 of 89 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 42 of 88 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Eryk Anders because he believes Anders's toughness, power, and wrestling will be the difference. He notes that Park is the better overall fighter but lacks danger in his striking or submissions. Park relies on trips and pressure for takedowns, which Angelo doesn't think will work against Anders. He also suggests a plus 3.5 round bet on Anders.
Big Brady picks JunYong Park to win by decision, favoring his higher volume and striking defense over Eryk Anders. He notes Anders is a low-volume, one-shot-at-a-time striker with poor striking defense. He expects Park to outland Anders on the feet and win rounds. He acknowledges Anders could have success with takedowns but doubts he can hold Park down.
Cody picks Park, citing his better pace, ground game, and consistency. He criticizes Anders for low volume, lack of urgency, and getting outstruck in many fights. He believes Park will come forward, outland Anders, and grind out a decision. He is confident in the moneyline.
The host is uncertain about this fight. He notes that it could be volatile and come down to who is stronger, with Anders being the stronger fighter. He finds the Park line too wide but does not have the courage to bet Anders at plus money. He passes on betting the moneyline and instead considers the over 2.5 rounds, which he thinks is around -160.
Paul agrees with Cody, saying Park is the logical pick. He notes Anders' inconsistency and low volume, and that Park should be able to outwork him. He is with Cody on this one.
The MMA Guru picks JunYong Park, citing his superior cardio, leg kicks, and combination striking. He thinks Eryk Anders is a simple fighter and may have less power after trimming down. He believes Park's grappling defense and pace will be too much, predicting a 29-28 decision with Park taking the last two rounds.
Joseph Holmes - Fight History
Connor picks Ribeiro as well, noting that Holmes has never shown the ability to confidently pressure like Abdul Razak Alhassan did to beat Ribeiro. He sees Ribeiro's athleticism as the difference, though both are one-dimensional.
Zane picks Ribeiro because of his athleticism and power, which often win at middleweight. He notes Holmes is awkward and limited, and Ribeiro's speed and strength should be enough. However, he acknowledges Holmes could win if he gets to body locks and tires Ribeiro.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JunYong Park | 0 | 20 of 40 | 50% | 21 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:39 |
| Joseph Holmes | 0 | 18 of 33 | 54% | 48 of 76 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 4:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JunYong Park | 0 | 18 of 36 | 50% | 19 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:39 |
| Joseph Holmes | 0 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 22 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:55 | |
| 2 | JunYong Park | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joseph Holmes | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 26 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 2:42 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JunYong Park | 20 of 40 | 50% | 8 of 24 | 5 of 7 | 7 of 9 | 19 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Joseph Holmes | 18 of 33 | 54% | 13 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 | 14 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JunYong Park | 18 of 36 | 50% | 7 of 21 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 8 | 17 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Joseph Holmes | 12 of 24 | 50% | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 12 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | JunYong Park | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Joseph Holmes | 6 of 9 | 66% | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
Big Brady picks JunYong Park to win by decision. He notes that Park has fought much better competition and has superior cardio and striking volume. He acknowledges Holmes' height and reach advantage but believes Park can mix in takedowns and win minutes against the cage. Brady points out that Holmes has never been finished but expects Park to grind out a decision.
Cody picks Jun Yong Park, noting his durability and forward pressure. He acknowledges Park's poor ring IQ (getting caught by Gregory Rodrigues) but believes Park will break Holmes down over time. Cody is concerned about Holmes' grappling if Park ends up on his back, but expects Park to win a decision.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Park as a clear favorite. He notes that Holmes is extremely raw and tentative, while Park is a busy, well-rounded fighter who can jab, take down, and grind. Connor mentions the size difference but believes Park's technical edge and pressure will be too much for Holmes.
Daniel Levi picks JunYong Park, citing his experience and veteran savvy. He acknowledges Holmes' physical advantages (height, reach) and improvement, but trusts Park's experience against tough competition. He notes Park has been rocked before, so an upset is possible, but leans with the experienced fighter.
Jacob picks Park as the safer pick, expecting him to be the cleaner striker and defend takedowns. However, he is hesitant because Park lacks danger and Holmes has dangerous jiu-jitsu. He calls the -230 odds insane and suggests Holmes is the value underdog.
Park has excellent pace, pressure, and grappling. He gassed against Gregory Rodrigues only because he threw everything at him. Holmes relies on physical attributes but lacks the skill to handle Park's pressure. Park should finish Holmes in the second or third round. The fight doesn't go to decision prop at +120 is a good alternative.
Paul leans toward Park but is not betting due to the -220 price. He notes Holmes' reach advantage and decent grappling, but is unimpressed with Holmes' stand-up. Paul says the market price seems about right and he will pick Park to win but stay away from betting.
The MMA Guru picks JunYong Park over Joseph Holmes, questioning Holmes' gas tank and the quality of his wins. He notes Holmes' win over Alan Amadovsky is not impressive as everyone finishes him early. He praises Park's performances against Eric Anders and Gregory Rodriguez, and believes Park can survive Holmes' early explosiveness and then take over, predicting a third-round TKO.
Zane picks Park confidently, describing him as 'really quite good everywhere' with solid footwork, a good jab, takedowns, and brutal top control. He notes that Holmes is extremely raw, awkward, and uncoordinated, with only a puncher's chance. Zane acknowledges the size advantage Holmes has but believes Park's technical skills and pace will overwhelm him.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Holmes | 1 | 16 of 23 | 69% | 16 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Alen Amedovski | 0 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joseph Holmes | 1 | 16 of 23 | 69% | 16 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Alen Amedovski | 0 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Holmes | 16 of 23 | 69% | 11 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 |
| Alen Amedovski | 1 of 8 | 12% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joseph Holmes | 16 of 23 | 69% | 11 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 |
| Alen Amedovski | 1 of 8 | 12% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Joseph Holmes because of his size, versatility, and ability to mix striking and grappling. He notes that Amedovski has been on a long layoff and has shown holes in his grappling. Holmes's length and takedown threat should open up his hands. Angelo will likely stay away from betting but trusts Holmes to get the win.
Big Brady picks Joseph Holmes to win by first-round submission, but calls it a sketchy fight between two low-level fighters. He notes Holmes has a size advantage and a brown belt in BJJ, while Amedovski has poor takedown defense and ground game. However, Amedovski hits hard and could knock Holmes out early. He says laying -200 on Holmes is not ideal.
Cody picks Holmes, citing his size advantage (6'4", 80-inch reach), youth (26), and multiple paths to victory. He notes Amedovski's poor takedown defense, lack of ground game, and three-year layoff. He believes Holmes' length, clinch knees, and improved cardio after a full camp will be too much for Amedovski.
The host does not discuss this fight in detail. He mentions Holmes in the context of live betting spots, suggesting Holmes after round one if grappling is heavy, but does not make a clear pick or provide analysis.
Paul is hesitant but leans Holmes. He notes Amedovski's terrible UFC performances and long layoff, but also acknowledges Holmes' green stand-up and cardio issues. He thinks Holmes' size and grappling should be enough, but is not fully confident.
The MMA Guru picks Joseph Holmes but is hesitant. He thinks Holmes has a massive advantage on the feet and will land good shots while Amedovski struggles with takedowns. He trusts Holmes more now that he has octagon experience. He predicts a second-round TKO with a fadeaway hook.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 50 of 122 | 40% | 54 of 126 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:02 |
| Joseph Holmes | 0 | 51 of 93 | 54% | 59 of 101 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamie Pickett | 0 | 10 of 23 | 43% | 12 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 |
| Joseph Holmes | 0 | 24 of 35 | 68% | 26 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:54 | |
| 2 | Jamie Pickett | 0 | 23 of 55 | 41% | 24 of 56 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Joseph Holmes | 0 | 13 of 27 | 48% | 18 of 32 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:08 | |
| 3 | Jamie Pickett | 0 | 17 of 44 | 38% | 18 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:20 |
| Joseph Holmes | 0 | 14 of 31 | 45% | 15 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Pickett | 50 of 122 | 40% | 22 of 86 | 19 of 24 | 9 of 12 | 40 of 108 | 10 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Joseph Holmes | 51 of 93 | 54% | 30 of 65 | 13 of 19 | 8 of 9 | 41 of 82 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamie Pickett | 10 of 23 | 43% | 4 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Joseph Holmes | 24 of 35 | 68% | 13 of 21 | 7 of 9 | 4 of 5 | 17 of 28 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jamie Pickett | 23 of 55 | 41% | 12 of 42 | 9 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 18 of 50 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Joseph Holmes | 13 of 27 | 48% | 9 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jamie Pickett | 17 of 44 | 38% | 6 of 29 | 7 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 13 of 36 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Joseph Holmes | 14 of 31 | 45% | 8 of 22 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans toward Pickett due to UFC experience, but worries about Holmes' equal size and grappling threat. He notes Pickett's reach advantage is neutralized and that both can be gun-shy. He calls it a razor-thin pick and says he won't bet on it.
Big Brady thinks the odds are off, as Joseph Holmes is inexperienced and has fought low-level competition, while Jamie Pickett has faced UFC-caliber fighters. He calls it a coin flip and says he would not bet it, but if forced to pick, he takes Pickett as a dog by decision. He notes both fighters have similar skill sets and low volume.
Cody leans toward Holmes, citing his length and reach advantage. He notes Holmes's camp (James Krause) will have a good game plan. He expects Holmes to use his range striking and avoid grappling. However, he admits Holmes looked green and the fight could go either way.
Daniel Levi leans toward Joseph Holmes, citing his physical advantages (6'4", 80-inch reach) and finishing ability (submission and KO). He notes that Pickett has folded under pressure in the past, losing by first-round finishes to Charles Byrd and Jordan Wright. Levi is hesitant because Holmes hasn't been tested at UFC level, but he believes Holmes will outwork Pickett in a close fight. He also mentions Pickett's mental struggles and that he's seeing a therapist.
The host leans toward Joseph Holmes, expecting him to dictate the pace with clinch work and takedowns against the cage. He notes Pickett's durability but thinks Holmes' aggression and control will win rounds. The host is not confident in a finish, predicting a decision. He mentions the over 1.5 rounds as a possible bet due to both fighters' low finishing rates.
Paul leans toward Pickett as an underdog, citing his experience and durability. He notes Holmes is very green and his striking is telegraphed. He expects Pickett's strength in the clinch to be a factor. However, he acknowledges Holmes's length and potential if he keeps the fight at range.
The MMA Guru picks Joseph Holmes to win by first-round TKO. He highlights Holmes' Muay Thai background, range, power, and accuracy on the feet, and notes that Holmes already beat Pickett on the regional scene by first-round destruction. He doesn't see Pickett's grappling as a threat, as Holmes is rangier and better at controlling distance. He expects Holmes to land a clean shot early and finish the fight quickly, similar to how Jordan Wright did.
Expert Picks (9)
Big Brady picks JunYong Park to win by decision. He notes that Park has fought much better competition and has superior cardio and striking volume. He acknowledges Holmes' height and reach advantage but believes Park can mix in takedowns and win minutes against the cage. Brady points out that Holmes has never been finished but expects Park to grind out a decision.
Cody picks Jun Yong Park, noting his durability and forward pressure. He acknowledges Park's poor ring IQ (getting caught by Gregory Rodrigues) but believes Park will break Holmes down over time. Cody is concerned about Holmes' grappling if Park ends up on his back, but expects Park to win a decision.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Park as a clear favorite. He notes that Holmes is extremely raw and tentative, while Park is a busy, well-rounded fighter who can jab, take down, and grind. Connor mentions the size difference but believes Park's technical edge and pressure will be too much for Holmes.
Daniel Levi picks JunYong Park, citing his experience and veteran savvy. He acknowledges Holmes' physical advantages (height, reach) and improvement, but trusts Park's experience against tough competition. He notes Park has been rocked before, so an upset is possible, but leans with the experienced fighter.
Jacob picks Park as the safer pick, expecting him to be the cleaner striker and defend takedowns. However, he is hesitant because Park lacks danger and Holmes has dangerous jiu-jitsu. He calls the -230 odds insane and suggests Holmes is the value underdog.
Park has excellent pace, pressure, and grappling. He gassed against Gregory Rodrigues only because he threw everything at him. Holmes relies on physical attributes but lacks the skill to handle Park's pressure. Park should finish Holmes in the second or third round. The fight doesn't go to decision prop at +120 is a good alternative.
Paul leans toward Park but is not betting due to the -220 price. He notes Holmes' reach advantage and decent grappling, but is unimpressed with Holmes' stand-up. Paul says the market price seems about right and he will pick Park to win but stay away from betting.
The MMA Guru picks JunYong Park over Joseph Holmes, questioning Holmes' gas tank and the quality of his wins. He notes Holmes' win over Alan Amadovsky is not impressive as everyone finishes him early. He praises Park's performances against Eric Anders and Gregory Rodriguez, and believes Park can survive Holmes' early explosiveness and then take over, predicting a third-round TKO.
Zane picks Park confidently, describing him as 'really quite good everywhere' with solid footwork, a good jab, takedowns, and brutal top control. He notes that Holmes is extremely raw, awkward, and uncoordinated, with only a puncher's chance. Zane acknowledges the size advantage Holmes has but believes Park's technical skills and pace will overwhelm him.
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