vs
-155 +140
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Oct 23, 2021 · Flyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori Next Fight
Age 28
Height 5' 6"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 30
Height 5' 6"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Switch
Career Averages - Jeff Molina
7.25 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
5.04 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Daniel Lacerda
3.95 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
8.28 SApM
34.0% Str. Def.
2.32 TD Avg
50.0% TD Acc.
0.0% TD Def.
1.2 Sub. Avg
Jeff Molina
Moneyline
DraftKings -155
KO/TKO
FanDuel +460
Submission
FanDuel +950
Decision
BetMGM +150
Daniel Lacerda
Moneyline
BetWay +140
KO/TKO
BetRivers +550
Submission
FanDuel +600
Decision
FanDuel +550
Jeff Molina - Fight History
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · Jun 04, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jeff Molina 0 56 of 148 37% 129 of 226 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Zhalgas Zhumagulov 0 37 of 112 33% 68 of 146 2 of 13 15% 0 0 5:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jeff Molina 0 14 of 35 40% 30 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Zhalgas Zhumagulov 0 14 of 32 43% 22 of 40 0 of 4 0% 0 0 2:16
2 Jeff Molina 0 13 of 33 39% 60 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Zhalgas Zhumagulov 0 7 of 25 28% 20 of 40 2 of 6 33% 0 0 2:37
3 Jeff Molina 0 29 of 80 36% 39 of 90 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Zhalgas Zhumagulov 0 16 of 55 29% 26 of 66 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jeff Molina 56 of 148 37% 43 of 133 6 of 7 7 of 8 49 of 139 5 of 7 2 of 2
Zhalgas Zhumagulov 37 of 112 33% 10 of 74 17 of 26 10 of 12 28 of 103 9 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jeff Molina 14 of 35 40% 11 of 31 1 of 1 2 of 3 11 of 31 3 of 4 0 of 0
Zhalgas Zhumagulov 14 of 32 43% 4 of 21 5 of 5 5 of 6 8 of 26 6 of 6 0 of 0
2 Jeff Molina 13 of 33 39% 7 of 27 3 of 3 3 of 3 13 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Zhalgas Zhumagulov 7 of 25 28% 3 of 18 3 of 6 1 of 1 5 of 23 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Jeff Molina 29 of 80 36% 25 of 75 2 of 3 2 of 2 25 of 75 2 of 3 2 of 2
Zhalgas Zhumagulov 16 of 55 29% 3 of 35 9 of 15 4 of 5 15 of 54 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 29, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jeff Molina

Angelo describes Jeff Molina as a good striker with volume and kicks, while Zhalgas Zhumagulov is tough with power and chain wrestling. He notes Molina has been taken down multiple times but still won those fights. He leans Molina but warns about Molina's kicks being caught, which could lead to a Zhumagulov decision win.

"i'm gonna lean molina here because even in two fights where he was taken down multiple times he was able to keep the pressure and control the striking to win those fights"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 30, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jeff Molina

Big Brady picks Jeff Molina to win by decision. He likes Molina's volume striking (over 8 significant strikes per minute) and well-rounded game, and thinks Molina will outwork Zhumagulov on the feet. He notes that Zhumagulov is a good fighter but has not had success with takedowns in the UFC, and even if he gets them down, Molina is good at getting back up. He expects the fight to stay standing and Molina's volume to be the difference.

Molina by decision
"I feel like molina has what it takes to win this by decision here so give me uh molina give me molina by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 1, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jeff Molina

Cody picks Molina but is uneasy, noting Molina's volume and potential but also his untested competition. He thinks Molina's future is bright but this fight could be competitive. He is not confident enough to bet heavily.

"i think molina is the rightful favorite here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 2, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jeff Molina

Daniel Levi leans toward Jeff Molina, citing his high volume and well-rounded skills. He acknowledges Zhumagulov's ability to make fights close and his experience, but believes Molina's output and takedown defense will be key. He will not lay -185, preferring to watch or take the dog.

"i'm gonna lean with molina here but i'm laying that price tag my man"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 1, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Paul picks Zhumagulov as an underdog, citing his experience against tougher competition. He notes Molina's hype may be premature and that Zhumagulov has faced better fighters. He thinks it will be a close decision and sees value in the dog.

"i'm going to put zuma gulab i think he's my underdog shot number two"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 30, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jeff Molina

The MMA Guru picks Jeff Molina to win by 29-28 unanimous decision. He highlights Molina's height and reach advantage, good takedown defense, and improving skills. He expects Molina to win the first round via grappling, then pick up the pace on the feet in the last two rounds. He doesn't see Zhumagulov bullying Molina and thinks Molina will land kicks and punches at range.

"i'm going to go jeff molina 29-28 unanimous decision"
TKO (elbows and punches) R2 0:46 · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Oct 23, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jeff Molina 1 47 of 62 75% 106 of 131 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:26
Daniel Lacerda 0 20 of 25 80% 31 of 37 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jeff Molina 0 30 of 40 75% 66 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:00
Daniel Lacerda 0 18 of 22 81% 29 of 34 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:55
2 Jeff Molina 1 17 of 22 77% 40 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Daniel Lacerda 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jeff Molina 47 of 62 75% 39 of 54 6 of 6 2 of 2 9 of 13 0 of 0 38 of 49
Daniel Lacerda 20 of 25 80% 7 of 11 7 of 8 6 of 6 14 of 16 0 of 1 6 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jeff Molina 30 of 40 75% 26 of 36 3 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 27 of 34
Daniel Lacerda 18 of 22 81% 7 of 11 7 of 7 4 of 4 12 of 13 0 of 1 6 of 8
2 Jeff Molina 17 of 22 77% 13 of 18 3 of 3 1 of 1 6 of 7 0 of 0 11 of 15
Daniel Lacerda 2 of 3 66% 0 of 0 0 of 1 2 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Lacerda

Angelo likes Lacerda's forward pressure, kicks, and finishing ability. He notes that all 11 of Lacerda's wins are by stoppage, and while he's making his UFC debut, Angelo believes he's a legit threat. He thinks Molina will invest in body and leg kicks, but Lacerda may not need much time to get the finish. He's not sure about a moneyline bet but likes Lacerda at 7500 in DraftKings.

likes Lacerda at 7500 in DraftKings; considering under 2.5 rounds (less on the fight line)
"i like daniel laserda a lot"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Lacerda

Big Brady picks the underdog Lacerda, citing Molina's 16% takedown defense as a major red flag. He notes Lacerda's 100% finish rate and brown belt in BJJ, predicting an early submission. He acknowledges limited tape on Lacerda but likes what he saw, and believes Molina's takedown defense is a serious liability.

first round submission
"i'm actually gonna take the dog here i'm gonna take a shot on laserda"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jeff Molina

Cody picks Jeff Molina, but prefers to bet him live after the first round. He notes that Lacerda is a powerful finisher who may win the first round, but Molina has proven cardio and durability. Cody believes Molina can weather the early storm and take over as Lacerda fades. He sees Molina as a lower-tier parlay piece.

Bet live after round 1; fight doesn't go to decision
"molina will be lower down yeah i'm gonna i'm gonna attack the the unders and the fight doesn't go to decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jeff Molina

Lock picks Molina based on discipline and cardio. He notes Lacerda is wild and has never seen the third round. Molina should weather the early storm and then take over, likely finishing by KO. He likes the under and Molina by KO.

Molina by KO +450, under 2.5 rounds +120
"i like the under two and a half uh again plus 120 i think that's a solid spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Paul does not pick a winner but likes the under 2.5 rounds or fight doesn't go to decision prop. He notes that Lacerda is an aggressive finisher and Molina is durable, leading to a high-paced fight that likely ends inside the distance. Paul is not confident in either fighter to win outright.

Under 2.5 rounds; fight doesn't go to decision
"the under in this fight is just staring at me fight doesn't go to the desert doesn't go to decision and under two and a half rounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Jeff Molina

The MMA Guru picks Jeff Molina, viewing him as a strong prospect. He criticizes Daniel Lacerda's record and believes Molina's cardio, stand-up, and grappling defense will carry him to a unanimous decision win. He notes Molina trains at Glory MMA with James Krauss.

"i'm gonna be going with jeff molina here i trust jeff molina to get this one down"
WIN vs Aoriqileng
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · Apr 24, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jeff Molina 0 116 of 258 44% 125 of 269 3 of 4 75% 0 0 2:00
Aoriqileng 2 189 of 356 53% 210 of 378 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jeff Molina 0 17 of 40 42% 24 of 49 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:44
Aoriqileng 0 18 of 35 51% 35 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:40
2 Jeff Molina 0 42 of 93 45% 42 of 93 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:06
Aoriqileng 2 44 of 101 43% 45 of 102 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
3 Jeff Molina 0 57 of 125 45% 59 of 127 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:10
Aoriqileng 0 127 of 220 57% 130 of 223 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jeff Molina 116 of 258 44% 77 of 214 33 of 38 6 of 6 111 of 248 5 of 10 0 of 0
Aoriqileng 189 of 356 53% 167 of 328 18 of 22 4 of 6 178 of 345 10 of 10 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jeff Molina 17 of 40 42% 9 of 31 7 of 8 1 of 1 13 of 33 4 of 7 0 of 0
Aoriqileng 18 of 35 51% 11 of 25 6 of 7 1 of 3 11 of 28 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Jeff Molina 42 of 93 45% 26 of 76 13 of 14 3 of 3 42 of 93 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aoriqileng 44 of 101 43% 36 of 90 5 of 8 3 of 3 42 of 99 1 of 1 1 of 1
3 Jeff Molina 57 of 125 45% 42 of 107 13 of 16 2 of 2 56 of 122 1 of 3 0 of 0
Aoriqileng 127 of 220 57% 120 of 213 7 of 7 0 of 0 125 of 218 2 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jeff Molina vs. Qileng Aori

Round 1
Up next at flyweight, two Octagon newcomers come to blows as Dana White’s Contender Series signee Molina (8-2, 0-0 UFC) greets Aori (18-7, 0-0 UFC) inside the cage. Overseeing this match is referee Josh Rutgers, and there is an offered but retracted touch of gloves to start things off. Aori comes out firing, with looping punches as Molina retreats. Aori swarms him with a couple hooks, and Molina counters with a left hand on the way in. The American keeps his distance on the outside, swatting away Aori’s reaching punches, but Aori dings him with an overhand right. Molina takes a body kick and comes up short with a right hand, and the two try for hooks that are blocked on either side. Molina chops down the lead leg as Aori stalks him down, and the Chinese fighter throws four punches that Molina ducks until Aori ducks down for a takedown attempt. Molina stuffs it and the fans are already booing the grappling exchange, so they start brawling wildly. Aori tags Molina with a right hand, and Molina lands back but takes the brunt of the exchange. Aori crashes in with an uppercut into a takedown attempt, and this time, he lifts Molina into the air to slam him down. In his foe’s guard, Aori lands a few punches and scrambles around to take Molina’s back when Molina rolls to his knees. Molina ignores this and stands back up, all while Aori is holding on to him from behind. Molina breaks the grip and Aori tags him with a knee that sends his mouthpiece flying. The two are tied up against the fence, with Molina attempting his own takedown as the two jockey for position. The action stalemates until they break, and Rutgers replaces the mouthpiece on the pause. Aori charges at him with a few wide punches, and “El Jefe” blocks the majority of them and comes back with a body kick. Molina tries to keep him at bay with right hands, and Aori ignores them, counters and bullies into the clinch. The horn sounds, and the two are chippy with one another.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aori
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Aori
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Aori

Round 2
The two flyweights engage right out of the gate, meeting one another in the center of the cage and throwing down. Aori backs his foe off with a few overhand rights, and he causes Molina to stumble. The Chinese fighter swirls around to take his back, but like the previous round, Molina does not pay attention to this and instead gets back to his feet with ease. The two trade single strikes one after the other, with Molina looking to counter with left hands while Aori loads up on heavy shots. Molina scores a body kick and starts to flick out his jab, and he gets clocked with a right hand when reaching out. Molina takes a kick to the body, and he tries to catch and counter but he comes up short. Molina goes back to his jabs, disrupting the movement but still eating big right hands from Aori. Molina returns fire with a solid one-two, and “The Mongolian Murderer” walks through it to score a heavy right hand. Molina is comfortable from his range with jabs, but Aori is still able to close the distance on him and land shots. A left to the body and right to the head come for Aori, and Molina gathers himself and blasts Aori with a right hand. Aori falls to the ground and springs right back up, so Molina goes after him with a head kick and falls over. Molina hops back up as well, and Aori comes at him throwing leather. Molina jabs out to try to break up a rampaging Aori, but Aori is shrugging them off and rushing forward and leaping in the air with a flying knee. Aori stalks his man down and starts targeting the body, while Molina slaps him once. Aori pours on the pressure as Molina is retreating, and Aori times a right hand that splits the guard. A one-two from Molina comes shortly thereafter, and Aori does not register he has been punched as he lands strikes right back that make Molina nod at him. Molina shoots in low for a takedown, and he is easily rebuffed and stood back up. On the 10-second clapper, Aori blitzes forward with a wild flurry, and Molina catches him with a straight right hand and puts Aori on his backside. Molina dives down to try to finish the job, but there is no time left in the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Molina
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Molina
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Molina

Round 3
The round begins with Aori continuing where he left off, marching his man down, but Molina is on his bike clipping Aori with strikes. Aori loads up on power punches, and Molina catches him with a knee to pause him for a moment. Aori swings wildly with punches, and when he ducks down, he hits a takedown that puts Molina down for a second. The American is able to scramble back up without issue, and the two pick up where they left off. Aori tags him with a right hand, and a left that follows also gets Molina’s attention. Molina sits down on an uppercut, and his jab lands often while Aori is relentlessly pursuing his target. Molina scores a right hand, and a left hand stuns Aori momentarily. Molina chains together a barrage of strikes to make Aori shell up, and he backs off to let Aori reset. Molina flicks out his jab to frustrate Aori, who is practically throwing nothing but power shots. Molina has started to time them; landing jabs and knees up the middle while Aori loads up often. “El Jefe” works the body a few times while Aori is starting to slow, but Aori’s chin is not in question as he absorbs strike after strike. Molina might have finally hurt his opponent with a few strikes, and a knee up the middle catches Aori flush. Molina tattoos his man with crisp combinations, and Aori swings single shots. Molina tees of on him and the tide has thoroughly turned, with Aori’s nose busted up and Molina now the advancing man. Molina continues to land whenever he wants, and a right hand swells up the eye of Aori. Molina eats a body kick to land four punches, and his combinations begin to lengthen as Aori flails wildly. Molina is feeling himself, and he sticks and moves as Aori swings and hits the air. Aori eats a right hand and Molina pays him back with one of his own. Molina scores a standing elbow, and he continues to score repeatedly as Aori is fading fast. With seconds to spare, Aori bites down on his mouthpiece for one final, blistering salvo of punches. "The Mongolian Murderer" hurts Molina, and Molina wobbles back to the fence as Aori is unloading on him. Molina is in the danger zone from a few right hands, and he tries to clinch up and drag Aori down to ride out the rest of the round. The two fall to the ground, and this wild fight is now over.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Molina (29-28 Molina)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Molina (29-28 Molina)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Molina (29-27 Molina)

The Official Result
Jeff Molina def. Qileng Aori via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 20, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jeff Molina

Big Brady picks Molina to win by submission, citing Molina's good ground game and purple belt in BJJ, training with James Krause. He notes Aoriqileng has been submitted three times and there is limited tape on him. However, he is not confident due to the lack of footage and says he would not bet this fight.

Molina by submission
"i'm going to take molina... i'm gonna say molina wins by submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jeff Molina

Cody picks Molina, praising his work ethic and improvement. He notes Aoriqileng's aggression but thinks Molina's technical striking and game plan will prevail. He mentions Molina's broken foot in his last fight but expects him to be fully healed. He likes Molina at even money.

"jeff molina is only 23 years old he won two awards at the 2020 glory mma and fitness you know awards ceremony he wins most improved"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Apr 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jeff Molina

Daniel picks Jeff Molina, favoring his better technique and volume over Aoriqileng's physicality and experience. He notes that Aoriqileng's first time fighting outside Asia and the long flight could be a factor. However, he acknowledges the fight is tough to call and that Molina's lack of physicality is a concern.

"i'm gonna go with jeff molina to get it done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jeff Molina

I like Molina ever so slightly here but with utmost confidence. He's a great striker with submission game, trained by James Krauss, and has shown rapid improvement. Aoriqileng is an unknown with power, but Molina's speed and cardio should give him an edge. I think it goes to decision, and Molina by decision at +190 is a decent play.

Molina by decision +190
"i do like molina ever so slightly here but just now whatever the utmost confidence"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jeff Molina

Paul picks Molina, citing his technical striking and training at Glory MMA with James Krause. He notes Aoriqileng's wild style and lower level of competition. He thinks Molina's game plan and cardio will be key, and that Aoriqileng's recklessness could leave him open. He likes Molina at even money.

"much more technical striker i'm with you i like molina here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

The MMA Guru picks Aoriqileng over Jeff Molina. He notes that Aoriqileng has better experience and has fought better competition, while Molina's Contender Series win was unimpressive. He predicts a competitive decision win for Aoriqileng, 29-28.

"i'm going to go with aori lang"
Daniel Lacerda - Fight History
LOSS vs Édgar Cháirez
SUB R1 2:17 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · Feb 24, 2024
LOSS vs Édgar Cháirez
No Contest (overturned) R1 3:47 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · Sep 16, 2023
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Edgar Chairez (131: Missed Weight) vs. Daniel da Silva (127: Missed Weight)
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Chairez (-355), da Silva (+280)

Round 1
Running back a meeting from September that went awry due to an early stoppage from Chris Tognoni, overturning the fight to a no contest, Chairez (10-5, 1 NC; 0-1, 1 NC UFC) and da Silva (11-5, 1 NC; 0-4, 1 NC UFC) will settle their business in the second go-round. Chairez had snared his foe in a standing guillotine choke that mistakenly was identified at one that rendered da Silva unconscious, so da Silva will need to protect his neck this time around. Both fighters ended up missing weight for what was supposed to be a catchweight contest, as the Brazilian came in a pound heavy while Chairez whiffed by five pounds. The referee for the rematch will be Marc Goddard, and the fighters decide to touch gloves despite their history. Chairez reintroduces himself with a faked high kick, and da Silva sits down on offense to counter. Both men fire off kicks at the same time, and Chairez’ slides up and might have bumped the cup but there is no pause. They aim kicks at one another from a distance, taking turns and loading up on one after the other. Chairez spins with a wheel kick that slides off the shoulder, and he recovers and pushes out a front kick. The Brazilian responds with two kicks to the body, and Chairez drives him back with a thudding one-two. Chairez gives chase, and da Silva takes his momentum and repurposes it to tackle Chairez to the ground. Chairez starts talking to the man on top of him, and da Silva answers by elbowing him in the face repeatedly. Chairez kicks off to get some space, and he wraps up a high guard and sets up a triangle choke.
Chairez switches his leg grip to an omoplata, and then goes back to a triangle choke. “Puro Chicali” fastens his legs tight and uses his arms to pull da Silva’s head down to complete the submission. It only takes seconds for da Silva to realize he is beaten, and he taps out on the hip.
Chairez immediately releases, and both men hug it out and express great respect for one another by bowing. The rivalry is complete with no early stoppage this time, and da Silva is now winless in six walks to the Octagon. In victory, the Mexican fighter's coach wraps a purple belt around Chairez' waist, who maintains his 100% finish rate while landing his seventh career submission.

The Official Result
Edgar Chairez def. Daniel da Silva R1 2:17 via Submission (Triangle Choke)
LOSS vs C.J. Vergara
TKO (punches) R2 4:04 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Sandhagen · Mar 25, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
C.J. Vergara 0 83 of 144 57% 98 of 164 0 of 0 --- 1 0 2:54
Daniel Lacerda 2 48 of 117 41% 51 of 120 1 of 2 50% 2 0 0:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 C.J. Vergara 0 20 of 38 52% 24 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Daniel Lacerda 2 44 of 103 42% 46 of 105 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:40
2 C.J. Vergara 0 63 of 106 59% 74 of 122 0 of 0 --- 1 0 2:51
Daniel Lacerda 0 4 of 14 28% 5 of 15 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
C.J. Vergara 83 of 144 57% 57 of 103 16 of 29 10 of 12 34 of 65 0 of 2 49 of 77
Daniel Lacerda 48 of 117 41% 32 of 94 11 of 17 5 of 6 42 of 106 4 of 7 2 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 C.J. Vergara 20 of 38 52% 8 of 21 4 of 8 8 of 9 20 of 36 0 of 2 0 of 0
Daniel Lacerda 44 of 103 42% 30 of 84 9 of 13 5 of 6 38 of 92 4 of 7 2 of 4
2 C.J. Vergara 63 of 106 59% 49 of 82 12 of 21 2 of 3 14 of 29 0 of 0 49 of 77
Daniel Lacerda 4 of 14 28% 2 of 10 2 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
C.J. Vergara

Angelo is very confident in Vergara, calling him one of his most confident picks. He notes that Vergara is a high-pressure fighter who stays busy and is tough. He thinks da Silva is dangerous early but fades, and Vergara's pressure will be too much. He recommends betting 'fight doesn't go to decision' rather than a moneyline.

Fight doesn't go to decision (recommended parlay piece)
"CJ Vergara is one of my most confident picks on this entire card."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
C.J. Vergara

Big Brady picks C.J. Vergara by first-round knockout, calling Daniel da Silva not UFC caliber. He notes da Silva's poor cardio (2.5 minutes of gas), lack of durability, and tendency to fold under adversity. Brady believes Vergara's pressure and toughness will overwhelm da Silva, who has been finished in all three UFC losses. He expects a quick finish as soon as da Silva faces any adversity.

Vergara by KO/TKO in round 1
"I like Vergara here I like vegara by finish first round finish even"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
C.J. Vergara

Cody picks Vergara, calling the line bad and favoring Vergara's heart and cardio. He notes da Silva is explosive but fades after the first round, while Vergara is tenacious and breaks opponents down. He suggests Vergara inside the distance and likes the over 1.5 rounds on PrizePicks (over 5 minutes).

Vergara inside the distance; over 1.5 rounds
"Pick would be varaguera to improve this thing bear gear inside the distance"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
C.J. Vergara

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Vergara without hesitation. He describes Lacerda as a 'flyweight Eric Silva' who is dangerous in the first minute but then falls apart. Vergara is a proven tough guy who hangs around and doesn't get blown out, making him a reliable pick against a fighter with no regulation or longevity in his style.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I'm with you all the way on this one."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
C.J. Vergara

Jacob picks Vergara, agreeing that he should win with toughness. He notes that da Silva is dangerous early but fades, and Vergara's toughness should carry him. However, he feels da Silva is 'due' for a win and might pull off an upset, but still picks Vergara.

"CJ is a play because you should get it done but there's just something about Daniel it's like it feels like this might be his moment."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Daniel Lacerda

The host picks Daniel da Silva as a big underdog, believing his speed, explosiveness, and power advantage will be too much for Vergara. He notes da Silva is fighting for his job and expects a calculated but reckless style. He predicts a first-round finish, possibly by submission, and likes the prop 'fight doesn't go to decision' and under 1.5 rounds.

fight doesn't go to decision, under 1.5 rounds, Daniel da Silva round 1
"I'm gonna go Daniel Da Silva first round I'm gonna call it via club and sub"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
C.J. Vergara

The Guru picks Vergara, heavily criticizing da Silva's fight IQ and defensive mistakes. He believes Vergara is more reliable and can tough out danger. He predicts a second or third round TKO.

second or third round TKO
"I'm gonna go for CJ fagara here... I think he's consistently more trustworthy as a fighter than Daniel de Silva is"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
C.J. Vergara

Zane picks C.J. Vergara because he sees Daniel Lacerda as a self-destructive fighter who explodes and fades quickly, while Vergara is tough, reliable, and consistently puts forward pressure. Vergara may be slow and not athletic, but he is durable and will be in Lacerda's face the whole time. Zane notes that Lacerda has imploded in every UFC fight so far, and Vergara is exactly the kind of grinder who can survive the initial storm and take over.

Odds: Lacerda opened at +220, currently +203; Vergara opened at -216, currently -256. Zane likes Vergara as a reasonable favorite.
"I can't pick the dude who just got his shit wrecked by Victor Altamorano."
TKO (punches and elbows) R1 3:39 · UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards 2 · Aug 20, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Victor Altamirano 1 22 of 45 48% 27 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Daniel Lacerda 1 58 of 83 69% 94 of 123 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Victor Altamirano 1 22 of 45 48% 27 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Daniel Lacerda 1 58 of 83 69% 94 of 123 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:55
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Victor Altamirano 22 of 45 48% 14 of 36 3 of 4 5 of 5 16 of 33 2 of 6 4 of 6
Daniel Lacerda 58 of 83 69% 48 of 71 9 of 10 1 of 2 15 of 28 2 of 2 41 of 53
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Victor Altamirano 22 of 45 48% 14 of 36 3 of 4 5 of 5 16 of 33 2 of 6 4 of 6
Daniel Lacerda 58 of 83 69% 48 of 71 9 of 10 1 of 2 15 of 28 2 of 2 41 of 53
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 14, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Lacerda

Angelo picks Daniel Lacerda (da Silva) over Victor Altamirano. He calls it a razor-thin fight that should be a pick'em. He notes that both are solid strikers with okay wrestling and good BJJ, but believes Lacerda is the better striker and more dangerous fighter. He acknowledges Altamirano's takedown defense isn't great but he sweeps well. Angelo is concerned about Lacerda's poor wrestling but thinks he can still get it done. He admits he doesn't love the pick but is going with the underdog due to Lacerda's danger.

"i'm gonna go the underdog here but if i'm gonna be honest with you i i don't love this pick right out of the gate but i do like daniel da silva to get it done because of how incredibly …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 15, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Victor Altamirano

Big Brady sees this as a tricky fight. He notes that Daniel Lacerda (da Silva) is dangerous early with a 100% finish rate but fades badly if the fight extends, as seen in his loss to Jeff Molina. Victor Altamirano has terrible takedown defense but is durable and has cardio. Brady expects Lacerda to look good early but fade, with Altamirano taking over and finishing by submission in the second or third round. He is hesitant because Lacerda could win the first round if he lands early.

Altamirano by submission, round 2-3
"i'm gonna take all toronto to win i'm going to say second round submission but i do think daniel da silva is going to look very good very early"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 17, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Victor Altamirano

Cody picks Altamirano, emphasizing his Mexican toughness and durability. He notes Lacerda's cardio issues and thinks Altamirano can break him down. He likes the under 12.5 minutes as it covers both fighters' finishing potential.

under 12.5 minutes (fight time)
"i got all to murano"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 17, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Victor Altamirano

Daniel Levi picks Victor Altamirano to win a decision. He notes that Daniel Lacerda is hell on wheels early but fades, and in the elevation, Lacerda will gas even faster. Levi believes Altamirano's Mexican heart and long strikes will take over in the second and third rounds. He acknowledges that Lacerda could get an early finish, but if he doesn't, Altamirano wins.

Mentions that Lacerda is a 'killer be killed' type and that Altamirano gives up takedowns too easily. No specific odds or bet size.
"I think Victor altamarada wins that fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Victor Altamirano

Victor Altamirano is the lock of the night play with 4 units at -168. He expects Altamirano to survive early trouble from Lacerda's takedowns and jiu-jitsu, then take over as Lacerda's cardio fades after the first few minutes. Altamirano's striking advantage and ability to create scrambles should lead to a finish in the second or third round. He also took 2 units on under 2.5 rounds at -165 as a hedge.

Lock of the night play: 4 units on Altamirano moneyline at -168. Also 2 units on under 2.5 rounds at -165. Mentions Lacerda round 1 prop as a possible hedge.
"I actually went four units on victor alto moreno to making my lock of the night play this week at minus 168."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 17, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Victor Altamirano

Paul picks Altamirano, citing his durability and cardio advantage. He notes Lacerda's explosive style but poor cardio. He likes the under 12.5 minutes on Prize Picks and thinks Altamirano can weather the early storm and take over.

under 12.5 minutes (fight time) on Prize Picks
"i don't think ulta murano is a great finisher by any stretch of the imagination either but um daniel da silva hasn't really shown 15-minute cardio whatsoever we talked about the under 12 and a half minutes on um on …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2022 (fight day)
Victor Altamirano

The Guru predicts Victor Altamirano wins via 29-28 unanimous decision. He describes a sloppy, chaotic fight where Lacerda gives Altamirano problems early with takedowns and punches, but Altamirano lands leg kicks and body kicks. He sees Altamirano wearing Lacerda down in the second and third rounds, beating him up badly in the third.

Wins by unanimous decision 29-28
"victor altamirano is going to win this one via 29-28 unanimous decision"
Submission (kneebar) R1 1:18 · UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Vera · Apr 30, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Francisco Figueiredo 0 4 of 6 66% 5 of 7 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:28
Daniel Lacerda 0 5 of 5 100% 5 of 5 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Francisco Figueiredo 0 4 of 6 66% 5 of 7 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:28
Daniel Lacerda 0 5 of 5 100% 5 of 5 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Francisco Figueiredo 4 of 6 66% 1 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Lacerda 5 of 5 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 4 5 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Francisco Figueiredo 4 of 6 66% 1 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Lacerda 5 of 5 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 4 5 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Francisco Figueiredo

Angelo picks Figueiredo, noting he is a good fighter in his own right, not just Deiveson's brother. He highlights Figueiredo's wrestling, averaging three takedowns per fight with 75% accuracy and 90% takedown defense. He thinks Figueiredo will get takedowns and grind out a win, despite the odds favoring Lacerda.

"i do like figuerado to get the takedowns and grind out a win"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Daniel Lacerda

Big Brady picks Daniel Lacerda (da Silva), citing his striking, kicks, volume, and willingness to engage. He criticizes Figueiredo's low volume, poor cardio, and unimpressive performances. He predicts a first-round KO finish, as Lacerda is the more dangerous and active fighter.

first round KO
"i'm gonna take daniel de silva to win i'm gonna take him to win by first round finish"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 27, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Francisco Figueiredo

Cody also sides with Figueiredo, noting Lacerda's over-aggression and poor cardio. He thinks Figueiredo's experience training with his brother Deiveson will help, and that his wrestling and grappling are superior. Cody expects a close fight but believes Figueiredo can edge it out, though his commitment isn't high.

"i think i mean frankie figure eight will probably there's nothing that uh that daniel lacerda can do to him that he hasn't seen in the gym"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Apr 28, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Francisco Figueiredo

Daniel Levi slightly leans toward Francisco Figueiredo as an underdog. He notes Figueiredo's mistakes in his last fight (dropping back for leg locks) are correctable, while Lacerda is a wild brawler who may gas. Levi sees it as a 50/50 fight and takes the dog, but is not highly confident.

"slightly lean with francisco but ... it's a 50 50 fight give me the dog"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 28, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Francisco Figueiredo

The host leans Figueiredo as an underdog, citing Lacerda's reckless style and poor cardio. He notes Lacerda fights at a frantic pace and gasses after the first round, while Figueiredo has decent takedowns and top control. Figueiredo's BJJ and clinch strength can neutralize Lacerda's early burst. He expects Figueiredo to win a decision if he survives the first round.

Figueiredo by decision +275
"i'm gonna go with another underdog shot here in francisco figuerado"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 27, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Francisco Figueiredo

Paul picks Francisco Figueiredo as a slight underdog, citing Lacerda's inexperience and tendency to gas. He notes Lacerda is a first-round finisher but fades quickly, as seen against Jeff Molina. Paul thinks Figueiredo's wrestling and clinch strength will be key, and that he can take Lacerda down and control him. He acknowledges Figueiredo's own cardio issues but believes Lacerda's are worse.

"i'm gonna take a shot on it why"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Daniel Lacerda

The Guru picks Daniel Lacerda (referred to as Daniel de Silva), criticizing Francisco Figueiredo's poor decision-making and suspect grappling. He notes that Figueiredo's UFC entry was a robbery and that he has not looked good. The Guru believes Lacerda looked good against Jeff Molina in the early rounds and has good grappling. He predicts Lacerda will get a submission win early in the fight.

Lacerda by submission
"i'm going to trust on a full camp daniel de silva is going to have a great performance against francisco figuerado... gets himself like a submission win some point early on in the fight"
LOSS vs Jeff Molina
TKO (elbows and punches) R2 0:46 · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Oct 23, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jeff Molina 1 47 of 62 75% 106 of 131 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:26
Daniel Lacerda 0 20 of 25 80% 31 of 37 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jeff Molina 0 30 of 40 75% 66 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:00
Daniel Lacerda 0 18 of 22 81% 29 of 34 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:55
2 Jeff Molina 1 17 of 22 77% 40 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Daniel Lacerda 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jeff Molina 47 of 62 75% 39 of 54 6 of 6 2 of 2 9 of 13 0 of 0 38 of 49
Daniel Lacerda 20 of 25 80% 7 of 11 7 of 8 6 of 6 14 of 16 0 of 1 6 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jeff Molina 30 of 40 75% 26 of 36 3 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 27 of 34
Daniel Lacerda 18 of 22 81% 7 of 11 7 of 7 4 of 4 12 of 13 0 of 1 6 of 8
2 Jeff Molina 17 of 22 77% 13 of 18 3 of 3 1 of 1 6 of 7 0 of 0 11 of 15
Daniel Lacerda 2 of 3 66% 0 of 0 0 of 1 2 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Lacerda

Angelo likes Lacerda's forward pressure, kicks, and finishing ability. He notes that all 11 of Lacerda's wins are by stoppage, and while he's making his UFC debut, Angelo believes he's a legit threat. He thinks Molina will invest in body and leg kicks, but Lacerda may not need much time to get the finish. He's not sure about a moneyline bet but likes Lacerda at 7500 in DraftKings.

likes Lacerda at 7500 in DraftKings; considering under 2.5 rounds (less on the fight line)
"i like daniel laserda a lot"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Lacerda

Big Brady picks the underdog Lacerda, citing Molina's 16% takedown defense as a major red flag. He notes Lacerda's 100% finish rate and brown belt in BJJ, predicting an early submission. He acknowledges limited tape on Lacerda but likes what he saw, and believes Molina's takedown defense is a serious liability.

first round submission
"i'm actually gonna take the dog here i'm gonna take a shot on laserda"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jeff Molina

Cody picks Jeff Molina, but prefers to bet him live after the first round. He notes that Lacerda is a powerful finisher who may win the first round, but Molina has proven cardio and durability. Cody believes Molina can weather the early storm and take over as Lacerda fades. He sees Molina as a lower-tier parlay piece.

Bet live after round 1; fight doesn't go to decision
"molina will be lower down yeah i'm gonna i'm gonna attack the the unders and the fight doesn't go to decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jeff Molina

Lock picks Molina based on discipline and cardio. He notes Lacerda is wild and has never seen the third round. Molina should weather the early storm and then take over, likely finishing by KO. He likes the under and Molina by KO.

Molina by KO +450, under 2.5 rounds +120
"i like the under two and a half uh again plus 120 i think that's a solid spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Paul does not pick a winner but likes the under 2.5 rounds or fight doesn't go to decision prop. He notes that Lacerda is an aggressive finisher and Molina is durable, leading to a high-paced fight that likely ends inside the distance. Paul is not confident in either fighter to win outright.

Under 2.5 rounds; fight doesn't go to decision
"the under in this fight is just staring at me fight doesn't go to the desert doesn't go to decision and under two and a half rounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Jeff Molina

The MMA Guru picks Jeff Molina, viewing him as a strong prospect. He criticizes Daniel Lacerda's record and believes Molina's cardio, stand-up, and grappling defense will carry him to a unanimous decision win. He notes Molina trains at Glory MMA with James Krauss.

"i'm gonna be going with jeff molina here i trust jeff molina to get this one down"
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Lacerda

Angelo likes Lacerda's forward pressure, kicks, and finishing ability. He notes that all 11 of Lacerda's wins are by stoppage, and while he's making his UFC debut, Angelo believes he's a legit threat. He thinks Molina will invest in body and leg kicks, but Lacerda may not need much time to get the finish. He's not sure about a moneyline bet but likes Lacerda at 7500 in DraftKings.

likes Lacerda at 7500 in DraftKings; considering under 2.5 rounds (less on the fight line)
"i like daniel laserda a lot"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Lacerda

Big Brady picks the underdog Lacerda, citing Molina's 16% takedown defense as a major red flag. He notes Lacerda's 100% finish rate and brown belt in BJJ, predicting an early submission. He acknowledges limited tape on Lacerda but likes what he saw, and believes Molina's takedown defense is a serious liability.

first round submission
"i'm actually gonna take the dog here i'm gonna take a shot on laserda"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jeff Molina

Cody picks Jeff Molina, but prefers to bet him live after the first round. He notes that Lacerda is a powerful finisher who may win the first round, but Molina has proven cardio and durability. Cody believes Molina can weather the early storm and take over as Lacerda fades. He sees Molina as a lower-tier parlay piece.

Bet live after round 1; fight doesn't go to decision
"molina will be lower down yeah i'm gonna i'm gonna attack the the unders and the fight doesn't go to decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jeff Molina

Lock picks Molina based on discipline and cardio. He notes Lacerda is wild and has never seen the third round. Molina should weather the early storm and then take over, likely finishing by KO. He likes the under and Molina by KO.

Molina by KO +450, under 2.5 rounds +120
"i like the under two and a half uh again plus 120 i think that's a solid spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
No clear pick

Paul does not pick a winner but likes the under 2.5 rounds or fight doesn't go to decision prop. He notes that Lacerda is an aggressive finisher and Molina is durable, leading to a high-paced fight that likely ends inside the distance. Paul is not confident in either fighter to win outright.

Under 2.5 rounds; fight doesn't go to decision
"the under in this fight is just staring at me fight doesn't go to the desert doesn't go to decision and under two and a half rounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Jeff Molina

The MMA Guru picks Jeff Molina, viewing him as a strong prospect. He criticizes Daniel Lacerda's record and believes Molina's cardio, stand-up, and grappling defense will carry him to a unanimous decision win. He notes Molina trains at Glory MMA with James Krauss.

"i'm gonna be going with jeff molina here i trust jeff molina to get this one down"