UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · Oct 02, 2021 · Bantamweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Age 36
Height 5' 6"
Reach 67"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 47
Height 5' 7"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Alejandro Pérez
3.45 SLpM
35.0% Str. Acc.
3.18 SApM
61.0% Str. Def.
0.54 TD Avg
22.0% TD Acc.
70.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Johnny Eduardo
2.95 SLpM
39.0% Str. Acc.
3.22 SApM
63.0% Str. Def.
0.22 TD Avg
20.0% TD Acc.
58.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Alejandro Pérez
Moneyline
BetRivers -250
KO/TKO
FanDuel +175
Submission
FanDuel +950
Decision
DraftKings +250
Johnny Eduardo
Moneyline
DraftKings +235
KO/TKO
FanDuel +550
Submission
FanDuel +1200
Decision
DraftKings +600
Alejandro Pérez - Fight History
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · Feb 26, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jonathan Martinez 1 52 of 146 35% 52 of 146 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Alejandro Pérez 0 74 of 144 51% 74 of 144 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jonathan Martinez 1 9 of 30 30% 9 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Alejandro Pérez 0 22 of 45 48% 22 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jonathan Martinez 0 18 of 49 36% 18 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alejandro Pérez 0 17 of 38 44% 17 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jonathan Martinez 0 25 of 67 37% 25 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Alejandro Pérez 0 35 of 61 57% 35 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jonathan Martinez 52 of 146 35% 34 of 125 8 of 11 10 of 10 50 of 144 2 of 2 0 of 0
Alejandro Pérez 74 of 144 51% 36 of 92 23 of 34 15 of 18 72 of 139 2 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jonathan Martinez 9 of 30 30% 3 of 23 1 of 2 5 of 5 8 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 0
Alejandro Pérez 22 of 45 48% 5 of 21 10 of 16 7 of 8 20 of 40 2 of 5 0 of 0
2 Jonathan Martinez 18 of 49 36% 14 of 43 2 of 4 2 of 2 18 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alejandro Pérez 17 of 38 44% 6 of 24 4 of 5 7 of 9 17 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jonathan Martinez 25 of 67 37% 17 of 59 5 of 5 3 of 3 24 of 66 1 of 1 0 of 0
Alejandro Pérez 35 of 61 57% 25 of 47 9 of 13 1 of 1 35 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jonathan Martinez

Big Brady picks Jonathan Martinez to win by decision. He praises Martinez's striking volume, accuracy, and takedown defense. He criticizes Perez's recent performance against a 45-year-old Johnny Eduardo, where Perez was outlanded and looked poor on the feet. Brady believes Martinez is younger, improving, and training at a good camp. He thinks Perez's takedown attempts will be ineffective and that Martinez will pick him apart on the feet.

Martinez by decision
"I gotta go martinez here i don't know what it is with perez is he on a decline you know was it the layoff but you know he was on a two-fight losing streak takes a a couple year layoff …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jonathan Martinez

Cody picks Martinez confidently, citing his striking, takedown defense, and youth. He notes Pérez's declining chin, low volume, and poor takedown accuracy. Cody believes Martinez wins by volume and suggests watching weigh-ins due to Martinez's past weight issues.

"i think martinez wins the fight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jonathan Martinez

Daniel Levi picks Jonathan Martinez to win, possibly by knockout. He notes Martinez has superior striking and range control, and that Pérez has looked older and less durable. Levi warns that Martinez can be complacent and Pérez could weasel a split decision, but believes Martinez's technique and knees will be the difference. He calls it a dog-or-pass situation betting-wise.

"i'm going to go with uh martinez to knock him out"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jonathan Martinez

The host is confident in Martinez, citing his length, striking from the outside, and 72% takedown defense. He expects Martinez to keep the fight standing and pick apart Pérez with kicks and punches, similar to his performance against Zviad Lazishvili. He notes Pérez is flat-footed and may struggle to close distance. He predicts a decision win for Martinez.

"i like martinez here -210 is roughly accurate in terms of where i think the odds should be"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jonathan Martinez

Paul agrees with Martinez, noting his superior striking and takedown defense. He points out Pérez's poor volume and recent KO loss. Paul thinks the line is fair and expects Martinez to win by decision or late stoppage.

"the line the line probably does make sense to be perfectly honest here yeah martinez wins likely by volume"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jonathan Martinez

The MMA Guru picks Jonathan Martinez to win, possibly by third-round finish. He criticizes Alejandro Pérez's striking, calling it terrible with poor range control, and notes that Pérez was clipped by Johnny Eduardo. He highlights Martinez's takedown defense improvements, as seen against Vince Morales, and believes Martinez will stuff takedowns and beat up Pérez on the feet. The Guru expects Martinez to dominate and potentially finish Pérez in the third round.

third round finish
"i'm gonna bet he stuffs the takedowns and beats up perez and maybe finishes him in the third round"
Submission (scarf hold armlock) R2 4:13 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · Oct 02, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alejandro Pérez 0 23 of 55 41% 34 of 66 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:14
Johnny Eduardo 0 31 of 59 52% 38 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alejandro Pérez 0 12 of 31 38% 12 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Johnny Eduardo 0 20 of 35 57% 20 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alejandro Pérez 0 11 of 24 45% 22 of 35 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:14
Johnny Eduardo 0 11 of 24 45% 18 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alejandro Pérez 23 of 55 41% 11 of 40 10 of 12 2 of 3 18 of 49 2 of 2 3 of 4
Johnny Eduardo 31 of 59 52% 7 of 33 8 of 9 16 of 17 28 of 55 2 of 3 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alejandro Pérez 12 of 31 38% 5 of 22 6 of 7 1 of 2 12 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Johnny Eduardo 20 of 35 57% 3 of 17 5 of 5 12 of 13 20 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alejandro Pérez 11 of 24 45% 6 of 18 4 of 5 1 of 1 6 of 18 2 of 2 3 of 4
Johnny Eduardo 11 of 24 45% 4 of 16 3 of 4 4 of 4 8 of 20 2 of 3 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

Angelo picks Alejandro Pérez despite the long layoff, citing his fresher chin, better striking, and wrestling backup plan. He notes that Pérez has good boxing and speed, though not insane power, and that his wrestling background is used defensively to keep the fight standing. Angelo is hesitant because both fighters have been out for years and are coming off two losses, making this a high-variance matchup. He explicitly says he is not betting on Pérez due to too many unknowns, but he did bet on the fight not going the distance at -115.

fight does not go the distance at -115
"i like alejandro perez in this fight he's a decent favorite i get why he's got the fresher chin he's got the better striking"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 30, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

Big Brady picks Alejandro Pérez to win by finish, citing Eduardo's age (43 years old) and long layoff (3 years 3 months). He notes Eduardo is dangerous early but fades, and Pérez is over 10 years younger. He expects Pérez to survive the first round and then take over for a finish, possibly by submission given Eduardo has been submitted nine times.

Pérez by finish (submission or KO)
"i gotta go perez i'm gonna take perez to win by finish could be uh submission or knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

Cody picks Perez but is not confident. He notes that Eduardo is 41 and hasn't fought in three years, but Perez has chin issues and poor takedown accuracy. He expects Perez to win by decision or inside the distance, but acknowledges Eduardo's early power. He suggests betting Perez inside the distance or the under.

Perez inside the distance at +175; Under 1.5 rounds at -140
"i will go with eduardo i can't see myself betting a 41 year old bantamweight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

Daniel Levi picks Alejandro Pérez, citing Eduardo's age (42 at bantamweight) and tendency to fade after the first round. He notes Pérez is younger, fresher, and coming off a long layoff after a KO loss, which may have allowed him to heal. Levi warns that Eduardo is dangerous early with his Muay Thai power, but if Pérez survives the first five minutes, he can win a decision or get a late finish. He has a soft spot for Eduardo but picks Pérez.

"my pick is going to be alejandro perez to get this one done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

I think Pérez's durability will carry him through Eduardo's early aggression. Eduardo tends to fade as the fight goes on, and Pérez should take over later. I'm not worried about Eduardo's power compared to Song Yadong, who finished Pérez. I like Pérez by decision at +250 as a prop, but the moneyline is fine too.

Pérez by decision +250
"I feel like you got to go with perez here man he's been showing his durability"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

Paul picks Perez, noting that Eduardo is 41 and has been out for three years. He believes Perez's youth and activity will be key. He expects Perez to win by decision or late stoppage. He also mentions that Eduardo has poor fight IQ, as seen in his submission loss to Nathaniel Wood.

Perez inside the distance at +175
"it's got to be alejandro perez in this spot"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

The MMA Guru picks Alejandro Pérez, noting that Johnny Eduardo is 43 years old and returning after three years off. He believes Pérez is in his athletic prime and has shown good grappling against Cody Stamann. Eduardo's only chance is a first-round KO, but Pérez has only been KO'd once. He predicts Pérez will wear down Eduardo and get a late second-round TKO.

Pérez by TKO in round 2 or 3
"i'm going with perez by third round tko just wearing down an older man in johnny eduardo and piecing him up maybe a late second round tko for alejandro perez"
LOSS vs Song Yadong
KO (punch) R1 2:04 · UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · Jul 06, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Song Yadong 0 1 of 14 7% 1 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alejandro Pérez 1 8 of 20 40% 8 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Song Yadong 0 1 of 14 7% 1 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alejandro Pérez 1 8 of 20 40% 8 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Song Yadong 1 of 14 7% 0 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alejandro Pérez 8 of 20 40% 6 of 15 1 of 2 1 of 3 7 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Song Yadong 1 of 14 7% 0 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alejandro Pérez 8 of 20 40% 6 of 15 1 of 2 1 of 3 7 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Alejandro Perez vs. Yadong Song

Round 1
It’s time for a bantamweight bout between Alejandro Perez and Yadong Song. The referee is Herb Dean. They touch gloves and the fight is on. Perez takes the center of the Octagon and lands a straight right. Song gets inside and lands a left hook. He lands another left hook over the top. Song lands a counter straight right as Perez moves towards him. Perez lands a jab and Song returns with a left hook.
Perez lands a low kick and drops his hands as Song capitalizes and lands a brutal counter overhand right that sendings Perez flying to the canvas. Song lands some nasty ground and pound and the referee jumps in and saves Perez from any further damage
. Tremendous finish by Song.

The Official Result
Yadong Song def. Alejandro Perez via KO (Punches) R1, 2:04
LOSS vs Cody Stamann
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · Mar 02, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cody Stamann 0 48 of 121 39% 49 of 122 0 of 8 0% 0 0 1:21
Alejandro Pérez 0 41 of 121 33% 51 of 133 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cody Stamann 0 12 of 32 37% 13 of 33 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:20
Alejandro Pérez 0 13 of 37 35% 14 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Cody Stamann 0 14 of 42 33% 14 of 42 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:23
Alejandro Pérez 0 10 of 32 31% 14 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
3 Cody Stamann 0 22 of 47 46% 22 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:38
Alejandro Pérez 0 18 of 52 34% 23 of 57 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cody Stamann 48 of 121 39% 21 of 77 19 of 30 8 of 14 46 of 117 2 of 4 0 of 0
Alejandro Pérez 41 of 121 33% 17 of 87 8 of 13 16 of 21 33 of 108 3 of 8 5 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cody Stamann 12 of 32 37% 5 of 19 3 of 7 4 of 6 11 of 30 1 of 2 0 of 0
Alejandro Pérez 13 of 37 35% 7 of 28 3 of 4 3 of 5 10 of 30 1 of 5 2 of 2
2 Cody Stamann 14 of 42 33% 6 of 26 5 of 10 3 of 6 13 of 41 1 of 1 0 of 0
Alejandro Pérez 10 of 32 31% 3 of 24 2 of 3 5 of 5 9 of 30 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Cody Stamann 22 of 47 46% 10 of 32 11 of 13 1 of 2 22 of 46 0 of 1 0 of 0
Alejandro Pérez 18 of 52 34% 7 of 35 3 of 6 8 of 11 14 of 48 1 of 1 3 of 3
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: dos Santos vs. Ivanov · Jul 14, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alejandro Pérez 0 48 of 183 26% 48 of 183 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Eddie Wineland 0 53 of 214 24% 53 of 214 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alejandro Pérez 0 22 of 65 33% 22 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Eddie Wineland 0 22 of 74 29% 22 of 74 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
2 Alejandro Pérez 0 10 of 58 17% 10 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Eddie Wineland 0 13 of 70 18% 13 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Alejandro Pérez 0 16 of 60 26% 16 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Eddie Wineland 0 18 of 70 25% 18 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alejandro Pérez 48 of 183 26% 23 of 135 20 of 43 5 of 5 47 of 181 1 of 1 0 of 1
Eddie Wineland 53 of 214 24% 40 of 197 4 of 7 9 of 10 52 of 212 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alejandro Pérez 22 of 65 33% 10 of 47 9 of 15 3 of 3 22 of 65 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eddie Wineland 22 of 74 29% 17 of 68 2 of 3 3 of 3 21 of 72 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Alejandro Pérez 10 of 58 17% 5 of 46 3 of 10 2 of 2 10 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 1
Eddie Wineland 13 of 70 18% 10 of 66 1 of 2 2 of 2 13 of 70 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alejandro Pérez 16 of 60 26% 8 of 42 8 of 18 0 of 0 15 of 59 1 of 1 0 of 0
Eddie Wineland 18 of 70 25% 13 of 63 1 of 2 4 of 5 18 of 70 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Matthew Lopez
TKO (knees and punches) R2 3:42 · UFC on Fox: Poirier vs. Gaethje · Apr 14, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alejandro Pérez 0 22 of 36 61% 32 of 47 3 of 7 42% 2 0 3:07
Matthew Lopez 0 44 of 100 44% 81 of 142 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alejandro Pérez 0 9 of 15 60% 18 of 25 3 of 4 75% 2 0 2:59
Matthew Lopez 0 8 of 24 33% 45 of 66 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
2 Alejandro Pérez 0 13 of 21 61% 14 of 22 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:08
Matthew Lopez 0 36 of 76 47% 36 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alejandro Pérez 22 of 36 61% 14 of 28 7 of 7 1 of 1 19 of 33 1 of 1 2 of 2
Matthew Lopez 44 of 100 44% 27 of 79 8 of 8 9 of 13 39 of 92 5 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alejandro Pérez 9 of 15 60% 6 of 12 3 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 2
Matthew Lopez 8 of 24 33% 3 of 16 0 of 0 5 of 8 6 of 22 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Alejandro Pérez 13 of 21 61% 8 of 16 4 of 4 1 of 1 12 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
Matthew Lopez 36 of 76 47% 24 of 63 8 of 8 4 of 5 33 of 70 3 of 6 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · Dec 09, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alejandro Pérez 0 35 of 97 36% 38 of 100 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:54
Iuri Alcântara 0 38 of 99 38% 39 of 100 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alejandro Pérez 0 7 of 29 24% 8 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Iuri Alcântara 0 12 of 30 40% 12 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alejandro Pérez 0 13 of 30 43% 13 of 30 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:07
Iuri Alcântara 0 18 of 36 50% 19 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
3 Alejandro Pérez 0 15 of 38 39% 17 of 40 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:47
Iuri Alcântara 0 8 of 33 24% 8 of 33 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alejandro Pérez 35 of 97 36% 16 of 72 4 of 4 15 of 21 29 of 90 6 of 7 0 of 0
Iuri Alcântara 38 of 99 38% 9 of 63 15 of 21 14 of 15 38 of 98 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alejandro Pérez 7 of 29 24% 5 of 25 0 of 0 2 of 4 7 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Iuri Alcântara 12 of 30 40% 3 of 18 4 of 7 5 of 5 12 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Alejandro Pérez 13 of 30 43% 5 of 20 2 of 2 6 of 8 13 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0
Iuri Alcântara 18 of 36 50% 5 of 21 6 of 7 7 of 8 18 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alejandro Pérez 15 of 38 39% 6 of 27 2 of 2 7 of 9 9 of 32 6 of 6 0 of 0
Iuri Alcântara 8 of 33 24% 1 of 24 5 of 7 2 of 2 8 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · Aug 05, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alejandro Pérez 0 44 of 141 31% 97 of 195 1 of 6 16% 0 0 2:13
Andre Soukhamthath 3 43 of 107 40% 44 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alejandro Pérez 0 15 of 44 34% 15 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:07
Andre Soukhamthath 2 13 of 29 44% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Alejandro Pérez 0 13 of 42 30% 58 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:05
Andre Soukhamthath 1 16 of 32 50% 16 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
3 Alejandro Pérez 0 16 of 55 29% 24 of 64 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:01
Andre Soukhamthath 0 14 of 46 30% 15 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alejandro Pérez 44 of 141 31% 22 of 107 6 of 9 16 of 25 38 of 128 3 of 7 3 of 6
Andre Soukhamthath 43 of 107 40% 26 of 86 9 of 11 8 of 10 42 of 102 1 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alejandro Pérez 15 of 44 34% 5 of 30 1 of 2 9 of 12 14 of 42 1 of 2 0 of 0
Andre Soukhamthath 13 of 29 44% 8 of 24 0 of 0 5 of 5 13 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alejandro Pérez 13 of 42 30% 10 of 32 1 of 3 2 of 7 11 of 37 2 of 3 0 of 2
Andre Soukhamthath 16 of 32 50% 8 of 22 6 of 7 2 of 3 15 of 29 1 of 3 0 of 0
3 Alejandro Pérez 16 of 55 29% 7 of 45 4 of 4 5 of 6 13 of 49 0 of 2 3 of 4
Andre Soukhamthath 14 of 46 30% 10 of 40 3 of 4 1 of 2 14 of 44 0 of 2 0 of 0
Johnny Eduardo - Fight History
Submission (scarf hold armlock) R2 4:13 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · Oct 02, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alejandro Pérez 0 23 of 55 41% 34 of 66 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:14
Johnny Eduardo 0 31 of 59 52% 38 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alejandro Pérez 0 12 of 31 38% 12 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Johnny Eduardo 0 20 of 35 57% 20 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alejandro Pérez 0 11 of 24 45% 22 of 35 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:14
Johnny Eduardo 0 11 of 24 45% 18 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alejandro Pérez 23 of 55 41% 11 of 40 10 of 12 2 of 3 18 of 49 2 of 2 3 of 4
Johnny Eduardo 31 of 59 52% 7 of 33 8 of 9 16 of 17 28 of 55 2 of 3 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alejandro Pérez 12 of 31 38% 5 of 22 6 of 7 1 of 2 12 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Johnny Eduardo 20 of 35 57% 3 of 17 5 of 5 12 of 13 20 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alejandro Pérez 11 of 24 45% 6 of 18 4 of 5 1 of 1 6 of 18 2 of 2 3 of 4
Johnny Eduardo 11 of 24 45% 4 of 16 3 of 4 4 of 4 8 of 20 2 of 3 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

Angelo picks Alejandro Pérez despite the long layoff, citing his fresher chin, better striking, and wrestling backup plan. He notes that Pérez has good boxing and speed, though not insane power, and that his wrestling background is used defensively to keep the fight standing. Angelo is hesitant because both fighters have been out for years and are coming off two losses, making this a high-variance matchup. He explicitly says he is not betting on Pérez due to too many unknowns, but he did bet on the fight not going the distance at -115.

fight does not go the distance at -115
"i like alejandro perez in this fight he's a decent favorite i get why he's got the fresher chin he's got the better striking"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 30, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

Big Brady picks Alejandro Pérez to win by finish, citing Eduardo's age (43 years old) and long layoff (3 years 3 months). He notes Eduardo is dangerous early but fades, and Pérez is over 10 years younger. He expects Pérez to survive the first round and then take over for a finish, possibly by submission given Eduardo has been submitted nine times.

Pérez by finish (submission or KO)
"i gotta go perez i'm gonna take perez to win by finish could be uh submission or knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

Cody picks Perez but is not confident. He notes that Eduardo is 41 and hasn't fought in three years, but Perez has chin issues and poor takedown accuracy. He expects Perez to win by decision or inside the distance, but acknowledges Eduardo's early power. He suggests betting Perez inside the distance or the under.

Perez inside the distance at +175; Under 1.5 rounds at -140
"i will go with eduardo i can't see myself betting a 41 year old bantamweight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

Daniel Levi picks Alejandro Pérez, citing Eduardo's age (42 at bantamweight) and tendency to fade after the first round. He notes Pérez is younger, fresher, and coming off a long layoff after a KO loss, which may have allowed him to heal. Levi warns that Eduardo is dangerous early with his Muay Thai power, but if Pérez survives the first five minutes, he can win a decision or get a late finish. He has a soft spot for Eduardo but picks Pérez.

"my pick is going to be alejandro perez to get this one done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

I think Pérez's durability will carry him through Eduardo's early aggression. Eduardo tends to fade as the fight goes on, and Pérez should take over later. I'm not worried about Eduardo's power compared to Song Yadong, who finished Pérez. I like Pérez by decision at +250 as a prop, but the moneyline is fine too.

Pérez by decision +250
"I feel like you got to go with perez here man he's been showing his durability"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

Paul picks Perez, noting that Eduardo is 41 and has been out for three years. He believes Perez's youth and activity will be key. He expects Perez to win by decision or late stoppage. He also mentions that Eduardo has poor fight IQ, as seen in his submission loss to Nathaniel Wood.

Perez inside the distance at +175
"it's got to be alejandro perez in this spot"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

The MMA Guru picks Alejandro Pérez, noting that Johnny Eduardo is 43 years old and returning after three years off. He believes Pérez is in his athletic prime and has shown good grappling against Cody Stamann. Eduardo's only chance is a first-round KO, but Pérez has only been KO'd once. He predicts Pérez will wear down Eduardo and get a late second-round TKO.

Pérez by TKO in round 2 or 3
"i'm going with perez by third round tko just wearing down an older man in johnny eduardo and piecing him up maybe a late second round tko for alejandro perez"
LOSS vs Nathaniel Wood
Submission (D'Arce choke) R2 2:18 · UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · Jun 01, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nathaniel Wood 0 37 of 88 42% 37 of 88 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Johnny Eduardo 0 33 of 97 34% 33 of 97 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nathaniel Wood 0 31 of 73 42% 31 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Johnny Eduardo 0 24 of 73 32% 24 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Nathaniel Wood 0 6 of 15 40% 6 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Johnny Eduardo 0 9 of 24 37% 9 of 24 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nathaniel Wood 37 of 88 42% 27 of 72 3 of 8 7 of 8 35 of 86 2 of 2 0 of 0
Johnny Eduardo 33 of 97 34% 20 of 73 3 of 7 10 of 17 33 of 97 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nathaniel Wood 31 of 73 42% 24 of 61 1 of 5 6 of 7 29 of 71 2 of 2 0 of 0
Johnny Eduardo 24 of 73 32% 14 of 53 1 of 5 9 of 15 24 of 73 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Nathaniel Wood 6 of 15 40% 3 of 11 2 of 3 1 of 1 6 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Johnny Eduardo 9 of 24 37% 6 of 20 2 of 2 1 of 2 9 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Matthew Lopez
TKO (punches) R1 2:57 · UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · Jun 03, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Matthew Lopez 0 16 of 30 53% 16 of 30 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Johnny Eduardo 0 43 of 57 75% 59 of 73 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Matthew Lopez 0 16 of 30 53% 16 of 30 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Johnny Eduardo 0 43 of 57 75% 59 of 73 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Matthew Lopez 16 of 30 53% 11 of 23 0 of 1 5 of 6 16 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Johnny Eduardo 43 of 57 75% 43 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 12 0 of 0 39 of 45
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Matthew Lopez 16 of 30 53% 11 of 23 0 of 1 5 of 6 16 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Johnny Eduardo 43 of 57 75% 43 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 12 0 of 0 39 of 45
TKO (punches) R2 0:46 · UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira 2 · Nov 19, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Johnny Eduardo 1 26 of 54 48% 28 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
Manvel Gamburyan 0 11 of 24 45% 13 of 26 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Johnny Eduardo 0 12 of 33 36% 14 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:25
Manvel Gamburyan 0 10 of 22 45% 12 of 24 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Johnny Eduardo 1 14 of 21 66% 14 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Manvel Gamburyan 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Johnny Eduardo 26 of 54 48% 14 of 38 0 of 1 12 of 15 16 of 42 0 of 0 10 of 12
Manvel Gamburyan 11 of 24 45% 6 of 18 3 of 3 2 of 3 8 of 21 3 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Johnny Eduardo 12 of 33 36% 3 of 20 0 of 1 9 of 12 12 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Manvel Gamburyan 10 of 22 45% 6 of 17 3 of 3 1 of 2 7 of 19 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Johnny Eduardo 14 of 21 66% 11 of 18 0 of 0 3 of 3 4 of 9 0 of 0 10 of 12
Manvel Gamburyan 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Submission (guillotine choke) R2 4:18 · UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · Dec 10, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aljamain Sterling 0 23 of 61 37% 49 of 90 2 of 2 100% 1 0 3:28
Johnny Eduardo 0 4 of 24 16% 7 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aljamain Sterling 0 3 of 20 15% 24 of 43 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:17
Johnny Eduardo 0 2 of 5 40% 5 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Aljamain Sterling 0 20 of 41 48% 25 of 47 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:11
Johnny Eduardo 0 2 of 19 10% 2 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aljamain Sterling 23 of 61 37% 14 of 40 6 of 14 3 of 7 10 of 39 1 of 1 12 of 21
Johnny Eduardo 4 of 24 16% 0 of 11 0 of 5 4 of 8 4 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aljamain Sterling 3 of 20 15% 1 of 12 1 of 5 1 of 3 2 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 4
Johnny Eduardo 2 of 5 40% 0 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 3 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Aljamain Sterling 20 of 41 48% 13 of 28 5 of 9 2 of 4 8 of 24 0 of 0 12 of 17
Johnny Eduardo 2 of 19 10% 0 of 9 0 of 5 2 of 5 2 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Aljamain Sterling vs. Johnny Eduardo

Round 1
Eduardo takes up a spot in the center of the cage, while Sterling cuts angles around the outside, switching between orthodox and southpaw stances. The bantamweights exchange leg kicks, then Sterling flicks out a few side kicks and fakes a takedown attempt. Sterling steps inside again, ducking low and then going upstairs with a high kick which Eduardo deflects. The Brazilian puts a loud kick on Sterling’s lead leg, which is constantly changing as the “Funkmaster” switches stances. Sterling shoots near the fence and hits a takedown with just over two minutes on the clock. Eduardo gets flattened out on his back and tries to hold Sterling in half guard as the American presses to advance. With few strikes being thrown on the mat, referee Marc Goddard calls for action. Sterling gets busy with a few short left hands and then drops a heavy right on Eduardo’s face, opening a small cut on the outside of his left eye. Eduardo works back to his feet in the closing seconds but is held in a headlock and cracked with a Sterling knee as time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 Sterling
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Sterling
Jeff Sherwood scores the round 10-9 Sterling

Round 2
Sterling continues to switch stances at the onset of the second stanza, this time doing a better job of avoiding Eduardo’s heavy leg kicks. There’s not much action through the first minute as Sterling circles the perimeter, steering clear of Eduardo altogether. Another minute passes with little offense of which to speak, save a few low kicks from Eduardo, answered by Sterling with a couple kicks to the body. Eduardo begins to let his hands go midway through the round, then sprawls on a shot and tries to catch Sterling in a guillotine. The submission attempt weakens Eduardo’s takedown defense and allows Sterling to complete the shot near the fence. Sterling gets busy with heavy ground-and-pound, landing a dozen or more right hands to Eduardo’s face. Eduardo sits up to try and stand, but Sterling immediately catches him in a guillotine and forces him back to the mat. Sterling steps over to full mount, squeezes the choke and elicits a tap.

The Official Result
Aljamain Sterling def. Johnny Eduardo via Submission (Guillotine Choke) R2 4:18
KO (punches) R1 4:37 · UFC Fight Night: Brown vs. Silva · May 10, 2014
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Johnny Eduardo 0 6 of 56 10% 6 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Eddie Wineland 1 11 of 20 55% 11 of 20 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Johnny Eduardo 0 6 of 56 10% 6 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Eddie Wineland 1 11 of 20 55% 11 of 20 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Johnny Eduardo 6 of 56 10% 3 of 53 1 of 1 2 of 2 6 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eddie Wineland 11 of 20 55% 3 of 11 1 of 1 7 of 8 10 of 19 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Johnny Eduardo 6 of 56 10% 3 of 53 1 of 1 2 of 2 6 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eddie Wineland 11 of 20 55% 3 of 11 1 of 1 7 of 8 10 of 19 1 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Jeff Curran
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 149: Faber vs. Barao · Jul 21, 2012
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Johnny Eduardo 0 31 of 152 20% 31 of 152 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Jeff Curran 0 51 of 154 33% 51 of 154 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Johnny Eduardo 0 5 of 39 12% 5 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jeff Curran 0 13 of 40 32% 13 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Johnny Eduardo 0 6 of 44 13% 6 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jeff Curran 0 18 of 56 32% 18 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Johnny Eduardo 0 20 of 69 28% 20 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jeff Curran 0 20 of 58 34% 20 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Johnny Eduardo 31 of 152 20% 21 of 133 5 of 12 5 of 7 30 of 151 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jeff Curran 51 of 154 33% 25 of 122 4 of 4 22 of 28 49 of 152 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Johnny Eduardo 5 of 39 12% 0 of 31 2 of 3 3 of 5 5 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jeff Curran 13 of 40 32% 6 of 30 2 of 2 5 of 8 12 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Johnny Eduardo 6 of 44 13% 6 of 41 0 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jeff Curran 18 of 56 32% 6 of 43 1 of 1 11 of 12 18 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Johnny Eduardo 20 of 69 28% 15 of 61 3 of 6 2 of 2 19 of 68 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jeff Curran 20 of 58 34% 13 of 49 1 of 1 6 of 8 19 of 57 1 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Jeff Curran
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on FX: Johnson vs. McCall 2 · Jun 08, 2012
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Johnny Eduardo 0 31 of 152 20% 31 of 152 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Jeff Curran 0 51 of 154 33% 51 of 154 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Johnny Eduardo 0 5 of 39 12% 5 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jeff Curran 0 13 of 40 32% 13 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Johnny Eduardo 0 6 of 44 13% 6 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jeff Curran 0 18 of 56 32% 18 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Johnny Eduardo 0 20 of 69 28% 20 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jeff Curran 0 20 of 58 34% 20 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Johnny Eduardo 31 of 152 20% 21 of 133 5 of 12 5 of 7 30 of 151 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jeff Curran 51 of 154 33% 25 of 122 4 of 4 22 of 28 49 of 152 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Johnny Eduardo 5 of 39 12% 0 of 31 2 of 3 3 of 5 5 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jeff Curran 13 of 40 32% 6 of 30 2 of 2 5 of 8 12 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Johnny Eduardo 6 of 44 13% 6 of 41 0 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jeff Curran 18 of 56 32% 6 of 43 1 of 1 11 of 12 18 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Johnny Eduardo 20 of 69 28% 15 of 61 3 of 6 2 of 2 19 of 68 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jeff Curran 20 of 58 34% 13 of 49 1 of 1 6 of 8 19 of 57 1 of 1 0 of 0
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

Angelo picks Alejandro Pérez despite the long layoff, citing his fresher chin, better striking, and wrestling backup plan. He notes that Pérez has good boxing and speed, though not insane power, and that his wrestling background is used defensively to keep the fight standing. Angelo is hesitant because both fighters have been out for years and are coming off two losses, making this a high-variance matchup. He explicitly says he is not betting on Pérez due to too many unknowns, but he did bet on the fight not going the distance at -115.

fight does not go the distance at -115
"i like alejandro perez in this fight he's a decent favorite i get why he's got the fresher chin he's got the better striking"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 30, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

Big Brady picks Alejandro Pérez to win by finish, citing Eduardo's age (43 years old) and long layoff (3 years 3 months). He notes Eduardo is dangerous early but fades, and Pérez is over 10 years younger. He expects Pérez to survive the first round and then take over for a finish, possibly by submission given Eduardo has been submitted nine times.

Pérez by finish (submission or KO)
"i gotta go perez i'm gonna take perez to win by finish could be uh submission or knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

Cody picks Perez but is not confident. He notes that Eduardo is 41 and hasn't fought in three years, but Perez has chin issues and poor takedown accuracy. He expects Perez to win by decision or inside the distance, but acknowledges Eduardo's early power. He suggests betting Perez inside the distance or the under.

Perez inside the distance at +175; Under 1.5 rounds at -140
"i will go with eduardo i can't see myself betting a 41 year old bantamweight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

Daniel Levi picks Alejandro Pérez, citing Eduardo's age (42 at bantamweight) and tendency to fade after the first round. He notes Pérez is younger, fresher, and coming off a long layoff after a KO loss, which may have allowed him to heal. Levi warns that Eduardo is dangerous early with his Muay Thai power, but if Pérez survives the first five minutes, he can win a decision or get a late finish. He has a soft spot for Eduardo but picks Pérez.

"my pick is going to be alejandro perez to get this one done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

I think Pérez's durability will carry him through Eduardo's early aggression. Eduardo tends to fade as the fight goes on, and Pérez should take over later. I'm not worried about Eduardo's power compared to Song Yadong, who finished Pérez. I like Pérez by decision at +250 as a prop, but the moneyline is fine too.

Pérez by decision +250
"I feel like you got to go with perez here man he's been showing his durability"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

Paul picks Perez, noting that Eduardo is 41 and has been out for three years. He believes Perez's youth and activity will be key. He expects Perez to win by decision or late stoppage. He also mentions that Eduardo has poor fight IQ, as seen in his submission loss to Nathaniel Wood.

Perez inside the distance at +175
"it's got to be alejandro perez in this spot"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Alejandro Pérez

The MMA Guru picks Alejandro Pérez, noting that Johnny Eduardo is 43 years old and returning after three years off. He believes Pérez is in his athletic prime and has shown good grappling against Cody Stamann. Eduardo's only chance is a first-round KO, but Pérez has only been KO'd once. He predicts Pérez will wear down Eduardo and get a late second-round TKO.

Pérez by TKO in round 2 or 3
"i'm going with perez by third round tko just wearing down an older man in johnny eduardo and piecing him up maybe a late second round tko for alejandro perez"