UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Santos · Feb 23, 2019 · Welterweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Santos Next Fight
Age 41
Height 6' 1"
Reach 76.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Switch
Age 32
Height 5' 11"
Reach 75.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Dwight Grant
3.29 SLpM
36.0% Str. Acc.
2.66 SApM
60.0% Str. Def.
0.61 TD Avg
100.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Carlo Pedersoli Jr.
4.17 SLpM
37.0% Str. Acc.
4.12 SApM
61.0% Str. Def.
2.91 TD Avg
44.0% TD Acc.
0.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Dwight Grant - Fight History
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · Jul 16, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Stoltzfus 0 52 of 100 52% 54 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dwight Grant 0 49 of 112 43% 102 of 173 2 of 5 40% 0 0 4:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Stoltzfus 0 23 of 35 65% 23 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dwight Grant 0 17 of 43 39% 17 of 43 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:26
2 Dustin Stoltzfus 0 14 of 28 50% 16 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dwight Grant 0 20 of 38 52% 31 of 52 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:51
3 Dustin Stoltzfus 0 15 of 37 40% 15 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dwight Grant 0 12 of 31 38% 54 of 78 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Stoltzfus 52 of 100 52% 35 of 79 7 of 9 10 of 12 50 of 97 2 of 3 0 of 0
Dwight Grant 49 of 112 43% 23 of 81 7 of 8 19 of 23 35 of 88 3 of 4 11 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Stoltzfus 23 of 35 65% 19 of 30 1 of 1 3 of 4 21 of 32 2 of 3 0 of 0
Dwight Grant 17 of 43 39% 7 of 30 2 of 3 8 of 10 15 of 40 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Dustin Stoltzfus 14 of 28 50% 5 of 16 5 of 7 4 of 5 14 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dwight Grant 20 of 38 52% 12 of 29 4 of 4 4 of 5 10 of 21 1 of 1 9 of 16
3 Dustin Stoltzfus 15 of 37 40% 11 of 33 1 of 1 3 of 3 15 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dwight Grant 12 of 31 38% 4 of 22 1 of 1 7 of 8 10 of 27 0 of 0 2 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 10, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Dwight Grant

Angelo picks Dwight Grant as the overall better fighter, but is hesitant due to Grant's chin and cardio issues, and Stoltzfus's power. He notes both fighters have flaws and advises against betting due to too many traps.

advises not to bet on this fight
"i think dwight grant is the overall better fighter so he's going to be my pick but dustin's live for a stoppage here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Dwight Grant

Big Brady picks Dwight Grant to win by decision, but with very low confidence. He notes that Grant is hit-or-miss and hard to predict. He thinks Grant's takedown defense and striking should be enough to outpoint Stoltzfus, who is a grappler but may not be able to get the fight down. He mentions Grant is moving up a weight class, which is a concern.

"i'm gonna take dwight grant um just stylistically it should be a winnable matchup for him"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 13, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Stoltzfus

Cody picks Stoltzfus as a slight underdog, citing his policy of fading Dwight Grant as a favorite. He notes Grant's low output, poor cardio, and tendency to lose close fights. He believes Stoltzfus can take Grant down and grind out a win, but he is not betting it.

"i'm so done with dwight grant there's no world that exists that i'm willing to pay minus 135"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Dustin Stoltzfus

Daniel Levi picks Dustin Stoltzfus for the upset, believing he is better across the board. He notes Grant's low output, age, and recent decline, while Stoltzfus's 0-3 UFC start was against grapplers, not strikers like Grant. He expects Stoltzfus to land takedowns and possibly get a submission, and considers betting him at underdog odds.

underdog bet; possible submission
"i'm gonna go dustin stoltzfus for the upset and i'm actually considering uh betting him at the underdog price"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 13, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Stoltzfus

Paul also picks Stoltzfus, arguing that Grant's power will be less effective at 185 and that Stoltzfus has better grappling. He notes that Grant has been taken down by lesser fighters and that Stoltzfus can exploit that. However, he calls it a dogger pass and won't bet it.

"it's dogger pass for me i'm gonna go soul foods the guy who actually fights at 185 pounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Dwight Grant

The MMA Guru picks Dwight Grant over Dustin Stoltzfus, emphasizing Grant's power advantage and tougher division background. He criticizes Stoltzfus's lack of impressive wins, noting losses to Kyle Daukaus and Rodolfo Vieira, and believes Grant's size and reach will be decisive. He predicts a KO victory for Grant, as Stoltzfus has been finished in kickboxing and Grant's power exceeds that of Stoltzfus's previous opponents.

predicts KO
"i'm going with dwight grant in the middleweight division dustin stoltzfus other than looking like tom hardy um there's no real impressive part of his career whatsoever"
TKO (punches) R2 4:15 · UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · Apr 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sergey Khandozhko 1 42 of 110 38% 47 of 115 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:20
Dwight Grant 2 49 of 125 39% 49 of 125 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sergey Khandozhko 1 25 of 63 39% 30 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Dwight Grant 1 18 of 52 34% 18 of 52 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:46
2 Sergey Khandozhko 0 17 of 47 36% 17 of 47 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:08
Dwight Grant 1 31 of 73 42% 31 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sergey Khandozhko 42 of 110 38% 35 of 103 5 of 5 2 of 2 38 of 105 2 of 2 2 of 3
Dwight Grant 49 of 125 39% 35 of 109 13 of 15 1 of 1 47 of 120 0 of 0 2 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sergey Khandozhko 25 of 63 39% 21 of 59 3 of 3 1 of 1 21 of 58 2 of 2 2 of 3
Dwight Grant 18 of 52 34% 12 of 46 6 of 6 0 of 0 18 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Sergey Khandozhko 17 of 47 36% 14 of 44 2 of 2 1 of 1 17 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dwight Grant 31 of 73 42% 23 of 63 7 of 9 1 of 1 29 of 68 0 of 0 2 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 17, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Dwight Grant

Angelo picks Dwight Grant, citing experience and speed, but notes his gut says Sergey due to pressure and willingness to chase stoppage. He says Grant has more power but Sergey has better counter-striking. He warns that if Grant's cardio slips, Sergey's pressure will steal rounds. He also notes Sergey is coming off a two-year layoff and will watch weigh-ins.

"i gotta go with grant here but if his cardio slips up even a little bit sergey's pressure is gonna steal rounds"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 19, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Dwight Grant

Big Brady picks Dwight Grant to win a close decision, citing his power advantage and recent activity. He notes that Sergey Khandozhko has been out for over two years, which is a concern. He expects a low-volume striking match and thinks Grant lands the harder shots. He has low confidence and says he wants nothing to do with the fight.

"I'll take dwight grant to land the harder shots... dwight grant wins like a very close and competitive decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Sergey Khandozhko

Cody picks Khandozhko but is not confident. He notes Khandozhko's long layoff and low volume striking. He thinks the over 2.5 rounds is a good parlay piece. He expects a low-volume striking affair and avoids heavy betting.

Over 2.5 rounds (-170)
"I'll pick the candy man just cause i think i'm the only person who calls him that"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 23, 2022 (fight day)
Sergey Khandozhko

The host picks Sergey Khandozhko in his quick picks list but does not elaborate or place a bet on this fight. No strong reasoning is provided.

"sergey kandosko"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Dwight Grant

Paul leans Grant, citing his higher level of competition and Khandozhko's inactivity. He notes Grant's fights often go to split decision and that Khandozhko hasn't fought in three years. He expects a boring striking battle and avoids heavy betting.

"ever so slightly i'll lean towards dwight grant but he burns me all the time"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Dwight Grant

The MMA Guru picks Dwight Grant by KO in the second or third round. He notes Grant's power and awkward style, comparing him to Uriah Hall. He believes Khandozhko's long layoff will cause jitters and that Grant can catch him as the fight goes on. He mentions Grant's close fight with Francisco Trinaldo and his power to put away opponents. He also notes Grant is a slight underdog, which he likes.

KO in second or third round, slight underdog
"i'm gonna go with dwight grant here i'm gonna go with him by ko in the third round or the second round late second round third round ko"
Decision (split) (29–27, 27–29, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Oct 23, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Francisco Trinaldo 0 36 of 70 51% 61 of 101 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:45
Dwight Grant 0 31 of 133 23% 41 of 145 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Francisco Trinaldo 0 11 of 20 55% 11 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dwight Grant 0 14 of 51 27% 14 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Francisco Trinaldo 0 15 of 28 53% 16 of 31 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:08
Dwight Grant 0 8 of 48 16% 13 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:11
3 Francisco Trinaldo 0 10 of 22 45% 34 of 50 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:37
Dwight Grant 0 9 of 34 26% 14 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Francisco Trinaldo 36 of 70 51% 20 of 50 11 of 14 5 of 6 26 of 57 4 of 5 6 of 8
Dwight Grant 31 of 133 23% 20 of 114 7 of 14 4 of 5 28 of 128 1 of 1 2 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Francisco Trinaldo 11 of 20 55% 4 of 12 5 of 6 2 of 2 11 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dwight Grant 14 of 51 27% 6 of 39 4 of 7 4 of 5 14 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Francisco Trinaldo 15 of 28 53% 9 of 19 4 of 6 2 of 3 11 of 23 4 of 5 0 of 0
Dwight Grant 8 of 48 16% 8 of 44 0 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 43 1 of 1 2 of 4
3 Francisco Trinaldo 10 of 22 45% 7 of 19 2 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 14 0 of 0 6 of 8
Dwight Grant 9 of 34 26% 6 of 31 3 of 3 0 of 0 9 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 20, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

Angelo leans Trinaldo because he thinks the shorter, stockier fighter can get inside Grant's reach, get to the hips, and grind. He notes Grant has questionable cardio and was knocked out in his last fight despite winning early. However, he's worried about Trinaldo's age (43) and when he'll start to decline. He likes the more/more on the monkey knife fight and will have Trinaldo in his DraftKings lineup.

considering a +3.5 bet on Grant or a 'wins inside distance, decision no action' bet on Grant; likes more/more on monkey knife fight; will spend 8400 on Trinaldo in DraftKings
"i'm leaning trinaldo i like ronaldo here styles make fights short stocky guy should be able to get inside the range bully dwight grant to the ground"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Dwight Grant

Big Brady picks Grant to knock out the 43-year-old Trinaldo, citing Trinaldo's age, size disadvantage, and recent knockdowns. He notes Grant's power and Trinaldo's never-been-KO'd record, but believes the chin will crack. He predicts a first-round knockout.

first round knockout
"i think dwight grant knocks him out here he's now 43 years old we've seen him hurt a lot"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

Cody picks Francisco Trinaldo, admitting it's a heart-over-mind bet. He notes Trinaldo's durability and veteran savvy, and criticizes Dwight Grant's tendency to run away and his unimpressive UFC performances. Cody points out that Grant has looked abysmal, losing to low-level competition and barely beating Stefan Sekulich. He believes Trinaldo's toughness and forward pressure will be enough to win, though he acknowledges the risk.

Heart over mind bet; legend
"i'm betting grandpa again here bud um if i lose i lose i'll still be up on grandpa trinaldo bets over the course of my life by by a wide margin love the guy legend"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

Lock picks Trinaldo based on pressure and durability. He notes Trinaldo has never been knocked down and should stalk Grant, who tends to backpedal. He expects Trinaldo to win by decision, citing Grant's lack of volume and Trinaldo's superior kickboxing.

Trinaldo by decision +195
"i like trinaldo minus 135. i think it's a solid spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Paul does not make a clear pick. He notes that Trinaldo is now the favorite and he is not interested at that price. He also points out that Dwight Grant could win by staying on the outside and landing chip shots. Paul seems to lean towards passing on the fight.

"now that he's the favorite i'm not interested in taking a shot on francisco tripp"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

The MMA Guru picks Francisco Trinaldo, trusting his chin and durability. He criticizes Dwight Grant for being gun-shy and compares him to Uriah Hall. He believes Trinaldo's pressure and chin will carry him to a decision win, though he notes Grant has KO power.

"i'm gonna trust francisco trinaldo to get this one done"
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · Apr 24, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dwight Grant 0 49 of 156 31% 52 of 160 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:25
Stefan Sekulić 0 33 of 52 63% 39 of 59 3 of 7 42% 1 0 2:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dwight Grant 0 14 of 49 28% 16 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Stefan Sekulić 0 7 of 13 53% 12 of 19 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:26
2 Dwight Grant 0 18 of 58 31% 18 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Stefan Sekulić 0 12 of 20 60% 13 of 21 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:56
3 Dwight Grant 0 17 of 49 34% 18 of 51 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:25
Stefan Sekulić 0 14 of 19 73% 14 of 19 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dwight Grant 49 of 156 31% 28 of 126 10 of 17 11 of 13 45 of 152 2 of 2 2 of 2
Stefan Sekulić 33 of 52 63% 14 of 31 5 of 7 14 of 14 31 of 50 0 of 0 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dwight Grant 14 of 49 28% 6 of 37 3 of 5 5 of 7 14 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Stefan Sekulić 7 of 13 53% 2 of 7 2 of 3 3 of 3 5 of 11 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 Dwight Grant 18 of 58 31% 11 of 47 2 of 6 5 of 5 16 of 56 2 of 2 0 of 0
Stefan Sekulić 12 of 20 60% 4 of 12 1 of 1 7 of 7 12 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Dwight Grant 17 of 49 34% 11 of 42 5 of 6 1 of 1 15 of 47 0 of 0 2 of 2
Stefan Sekulić 14 of 19 73% 8 of 12 2 of 3 4 of 4 14 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Dwight Grant

Big Brady picks Grant to win by first-round knockout. He notes Grant has power and a 70% finish rate by KO, while Sekulić is hittable with poor striking defense and has been knocked out before. He has concerns about Grant's chin and cardio after his last fight, but expects Grant's power to be too much early. He suggests the under is a better bet.

Grant by KO in round 1; under
"i'm going to say why grant knocks out secular in that first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Stefan Sekulić

Cody also leans toward Sekulić, noting Grant's low output and cardio problems. He thinks Sekulić can implement a grinding gameplan and take Grant down. He acknowledges Grant's power but believes Sekulić's wrestling and durability will be key. He passes on betting Grant at -210.

"if sekolich can clench him get him up against the cage shoot some takedowns work them it'll be a jacob malcoon type performance"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Dwight Grant

Daniel picks Dwight Grant, citing his vicious knockout power and the fact that Stefan Sekulić is coming off jaw surgery. He notes Grant's low volume and age as concerns, but expects Grant to catch Sekulić. He mentions that if Grant lays an egg, he could be outworked.

"i'm going to go with dwight grant to get it done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Dwight Grant

I think Grant's power and explosiveness will be too much for Sekulić, who is coming off a long layoff and a USADA suspension. Grant has low volume but big power, and if he lands, he can finish. I like Grant by KO at +120, but I'm not a huge fan of Grant overall. The under 2.5 at -130 is also a consideration.

Grant by KO +120
"i think that power that explosiveness and that speed of dwight grant is going to be a little bit too much for secular chair and i think he ends up finding that knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Stefan Sekulić

Paul leans toward Sekulić, citing Grant's low output and cardio issues. He thinks Sekulić can grind Grant against the cage and take him down, similar to how others have beaten Grant. He notes Grant's power but believes Sekulić's wrestling and cardio will be decisive. He avoids the -210 favorite price on Grant.

"my worry is on a card full of favorites do i grant minus 210 there's your pie so i'm looking to avoid that one"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Dwight Grant

The MMA Guru picks Dwight Grant by first-round KO. He notes that Sekulić hasn't fought since 2018 and has been KO'd before, while Grant has power and a quick turnaround after a KO loss that wasn't devastating. He believes Grant will catch Sekulić early and finish him.

KO in first round
"i'm gonna go with dwight grants by ko in the first round"
KO (punches) R1 2:24 · UFC on ESPN: Munhoz vs. Edgar · Aug 22, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Rodriguez 3 15 of 32 46% 15 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Dwight Grant 1 30 of 68 44% 31 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Rodriguez 3 15 of 32 46% 15 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Dwight Grant 1 30 of 68 44% 31 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Rodriguez 15 of 32 46% 10 of 26 3 of 4 2 of 2 11 of 27 0 of 0 4 of 5
Dwight Grant 30 of 68 44% 25 of 61 2 of 2 3 of 5 13 of 24 0 of 0 17 of 44
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Rodriguez 15 of 32 46% 10 of 26 3 of 4 2 of 2 11 of 27 0 of 0 4 of 5
Dwight Grant 30 of 68 44% 25 of 61 2 of 2 3 of 5 13 of 24 0 of 0 17 of 44
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Rodriguez

Big Brady picks Daniel Rodriguez to win by second-round knockout. He was surprised by the line (-185) and thinks it's a little wide, but after watching tape, he believes Rodriguez is the more talented fighter with better durability and volume (9.5 significant strikes per minute). Sato has been rocked multiple times and knocked out before, including by Ben Saunders. Rodriguez has never been finished. Brady expects Rodriguez to land a knockout in the later rounds.

If line drops to -150/-140, might take a shot on Rodriguez
"i'm going to pick rodriguez to win here... i'm going to say second round knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2020 (fight day)
Daniel Rodriguez

Daniel Levi picks Daniel Rodriguez to win by decision. He notes Rodriguez has underrated boxing and high volume, while Grant is a power-punching specialist with low output and long layoffs due to shoulder surgery. Levi believes Grant needs a knockout to win, as he tends to lose rounds when he doesn't land big shots. He expects Rodriguez to outwork Grant and stay upright even if clipped.

decision
"i'ma go with rodriguez for the decision win but maybe he's a little hesitant to throw because you know he knows what's coming back"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Rodriguez

Rodriguez is a southpaw with a great jab and power in his left hand, and he trains with Joe Schilling. He's efficient and calm under pressure. Sato has power but is more linear and hittable. Rodriguez should keep Sato at range and finish him in the second round. The under 2.5 rounds is also intriguing at -130.

Under 2.5 rounds at -130 is a good bet.
"i'm taking rodriguez to win this fight by uh let's say second round tko"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 17, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Daniel Rodriguez

The MMA Guru picks Daniel Rodriguez (though he initially says Jared Gooden vs Dwight Grant, then corrects to Daniel Rodriguez vs Takashi Sato). He favors Rodriguez due to his superior striking volume, chin, and pace, predicting a third-round TKO. He notes Sato's lack of top competition and Rodriguez's recent win over Tim Means.

third round tko
"daniel rodriguez i believe is gonna win this fight he's got great stand up"
WIN vs Alan Jouban
Decision (split) (29–28, 27–30, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · Apr 13, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dwight Grant 0 24 of 100 24% 25 of 101 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:29
Alan Jouban 0 38 of 122 31% 39 of 123 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dwight Grant 0 5 of 31 16% 5 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Alan Jouban 0 10 of 35 28% 11 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Dwight Grant 0 9 of 27 33% 9 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Alan Jouban 0 13 of 37 35% 13 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Dwight Grant 0 10 of 42 23% 11 of 43 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:13
Alan Jouban 0 15 of 50 30% 15 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dwight Grant 24 of 100 24% 9 of 77 3 of 6 12 of 17 19 of 89 1 of 4 4 of 7
Alan Jouban 38 of 122 31% 13 of 88 4 of 8 21 of 26 37 of 121 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dwight Grant 5 of 31 16% 1 of 26 1 of 2 3 of 3 5 of 29 0 of 2 0 of 0
Alan Jouban 10 of 35 28% 5 of 28 1 of 2 4 of 5 9 of 34 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Dwight Grant 9 of 27 33% 3 of 20 1 of 2 5 of 5 8 of 25 1 of 2 0 of 0
Alan Jouban 13 of 37 35% 4 of 23 1 of 4 8 of 10 13 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Dwight Grant 10 of 42 23% 5 of 31 1 of 2 4 of 9 6 of 35 0 of 0 4 of 7
Alan Jouban 15 of 50 30% 4 of 37 2 of 2 9 of 11 15 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
TKO (punches) R1 4:59 · UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Santos · Feb 23, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dwight Grant 1 20 of 53 37% 22 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 0 17 of 45 37% 17 of 45 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dwight Grant 1 20 of 53 37% 22 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 0 17 of 45 37% 17 of 45 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dwight Grant 20 of 53 37% 14 of 47 2 of 2 4 of 4 12 of 44 2 of 3 6 of 6
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 17 of 45 37% 7 of 32 9 of 11 1 of 2 14 of 41 3 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dwight Grant 20 of 53 37% 14 of 47 2 of 2 4 of 4 12 of 44 2 of 3 6 of 6
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 17 of 45 37% 7 of 32 9 of 11 1 of 2 14 of 41 3 of 4 0 of 0
LOSS vs Zak Ottow
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on Fox: Lee vs. Iaquinta 2 · Dec 15, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zak Ottow 0 14 of 71 19% 22 of 82 1 of 6 16% 0 0 2:53
Dwight Grant 0 25 of 84 29% 33 of 93 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zak Ottow 0 5 of 28 17% 5 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dwight Grant 0 7 of 29 24% 7 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:04
2 Zak Ottow 0 3 of 27 11% 3 of 27 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Dwight Grant 0 7 of 25 28% 11 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
3 Zak Ottow 0 6 of 16 37% 14 of 27 1 of 5 20% 0 0 2:51
Dwight Grant 0 11 of 30 36% 15 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zak Ottow 14 of 71 19% 5 of 53 7 of 14 2 of 4 11 of 67 2 of 3 1 of 1
Dwight Grant 25 of 84 29% 15 of 71 7 of 9 3 of 4 19 of 77 5 of 6 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zak Ottow 5 of 28 17% 2 of 22 2 of 5 1 of 1 5 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dwight Grant 7 of 29 24% 4 of 26 2 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 28 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Zak Ottow 3 of 27 11% 2 of 21 0 of 4 1 of 2 3 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dwight Grant 7 of 25 28% 3 of 20 2 of 2 2 of 3 5 of 23 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Zak Ottow 6 of 16 37% 1 of 10 5 of 5 0 of 1 3 of 12 2 of 3 1 of 1
Dwight Grant 11 of 30 36% 8 of 25 3 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 26 3 of 4 0 of 0
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. - Fight History
LOSS vs Dwight Grant
TKO (punches) R1 4:59 · UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Santos · Feb 23, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dwight Grant 1 20 of 53 37% 22 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 0 17 of 45 37% 17 of 45 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dwight Grant 1 20 of 53 37% 22 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 0 17 of 45 37% 17 of 45 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dwight Grant 20 of 53 37% 14 of 47 2 of 2 4 of 4 12 of 44 2 of 3 6 of 6
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 17 of 45 37% 7 of 32 9 of 11 1 of 2 14 of 41 3 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dwight Grant 20 of 53 37% 14 of 47 2 of 2 4 of 4 12 of 44 2 of 3 6 of 6
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 17 of 45 37% 7 of 32 9 of 11 1 of 2 14 of 41 3 of 4 0 of 0
LOSS vs Alex Oliveira
KO (punches) R1 0:39 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Anders · Sep 22, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Oliveira 0 7 of 10 70% 10 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Oliveira 0 7 of 10 70% 10 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Oliveira 7 of 10 70% 7 of 9 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 6
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 2 of 4 50% 0 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Oliveira 7 of 10 70% 7 of 9 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 6
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 2 of 4 50% 0 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Brad Scott
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · May 27, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 1 58 of 155 37% 63 of 160 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Brad Scott 0 67 of 179 37% 68 of 181 3 of 4 75% 0 0 1:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 1 22 of 48 45% 22 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brad Scott 0 18 of 51 35% 18 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
2 Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 0 16 of 57 28% 16 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brad Scott 0 27 of 65 41% 27 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:27
3 Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 0 20 of 50 40% 25 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Brad Scott 0 22 of 63 34% 23 of 64 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 58 of 155 37% 32 of 104 16 of 39 10 of 12 55 of 152 2 of 2 1 of 1
Brad Scott 67 of 179 37% 39 of 137 22 of 35 6 of 7 65 of 176 0 of 0 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 22 of 48 45% 13 of 29 6 of 16 3 of 3 19 of 45 2 of 2 1 of 1
Brad Scott 18 of 51 35% 10 of 38 6 of 11 2 of 2 18 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 16 of 57 28% 7 of 38 4 of 13 5 of 6 16 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brad Scott 27 of 65 41% 15 of 48 9 of 14 3 of 3 27 of 65 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 20 of 50 40% 12 of 37 6 of 10 2 of 3 20 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brad Scott 22 of 63 34% 14 of 51 7 of 10 1 of 2 20 of 60 0 of 0 2 of 3