UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · Jan 18, 2020 · Light Heavyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy Next Fight
Age 30
Height 6' 1"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 37
Height 6' 4"
Reach 80.0"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Aleksa Camur
4.73 SLpM
57.0% Str. Acc.
4.26 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
0.46 TD Avg
22.0% TD Acc.
50.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Justin Ledet
3.35 SLpM
39.0% Str. Acc.
4.82 SApM
49.0% Str. Def.
0.23 TD Avg
50.0% TD Acc.
42.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Aleksa Camur - Fight History
LOSS vs Tanner Boser
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Font · Aug 05, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tanner Boser 0 120 of 215 55% 145 of 253 0 of 0 --- 0 0 5:27
Aleksa Camur 0 68 of 136 50% 105 of 175 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tanner Boser 0 33 of 71 46% 38 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Aleksa Camur 0 23 of 45 51% 24 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:50
2 Tanner Boser 0 46 of 70 65% 56 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:02
Aleksa Camur 0 19 of 41 46% 37 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Tanner Boser 0 41 of 74 55% 51 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:13
Aleksa Camur 0 26 of 50 52% 44 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tanner Boser 120 of 215 55% 78 of 163 24 of 32 18 of 20 87 of 174 33 of 41 0 of 0
Aleksa Camur 68 of 136 50% 34 of 97 25 of 28 9 of 11 46 of 108 22 of 28 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tanner Boser 33 of 71 46% 17 of 50 7 of 10 9 of 11 28 of 64 5 of 7 0 of 0
Aleksa Camur 23 of 45 51% 11 of 29 8 of 10 4 of 6 15 of 36 8 of 9 0 of 0
2 Tanner Boser 46 of 70 65% 36 of 59 6 of 7 4 of 4 31 of 51 15 of 19 0 of 0
Aleksa Camur 19 of 41 46% 8 of 30 9 of 9 2 of 2 9 of 27 10 of 14 0 of 0
3 Tanner Boser 41 of 74 55% 25 of 54 11 of 15 5 of 5 28 of 59 13 of 15 0 of 0
Aleksa Camur 26 of 50 52% 15 of 38 8 of 9 3 of 3 22 of 45 4 of 5 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Tanner Boser vs. Aleksa Camur
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Boser (-162), Camur (+136)

Round 1
Justin Brown will be in charge for this light heavyweight matchup. Boser opens with an outside leg kick. Boser catches Camur coming in withh a jab. They trade in close, and Camur lands heavy leather before clinching with Boser against the fence. Camur lands a short elbow in the clinch. Camur separates and lands a jab. Bose with another jab. Camur ducks under a punch and shoves Boser into the fence, landing a pair of knees in the clinch. Boser with an outside leg kick. Boser jabs and Camur responds with a lowkick. Boser lands a right, then a knee in close. Camur responds with a stiff jab. Another jab from Camur before he clinches with Boser. Camur eats an elbow and briefly sweeps Boser, but he’s up immediately. They clinch and Boser connects with a short elbow. Boser doubles up on his jab. He sticks another jab, then lands a two-punch combo. Camur counters a low kick with a solid left hook. Camur forces the clinch, but Boser lands a left on the break. Boser follows up with a head kick, and Camur forces the clinch before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Boser
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Boser
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Boser

Round 2
Both men swing and miss, but Boser lands a kick after the exchnage. Boser ties up with Camur and presses him into the cage. Boser lands a punch on the break. Camur lands a jab but a Boser left stings Camur. The Canadian lands punches in bunches, but Camur keeps his cool. Another big right lands for Boser. Boser moves into the clinch and connects with a short elbow. Boser keeps head pressure against the fence, then lands another short elbow. Boser continues to make Camur work. He creates space and fires off a quick combination — including another elbow. Camur breaks free and attacks the body. That’s short-lived, as Boser flurries with volume, backing up Camur and shoving him into the fence. Boser grinds away in the clinch, adding a few knees to the thigh. They break and Boser tags Camur with multiple punches. Camur lands a knee and elbow in the clinch, but Boser shoves him into the cage again. Boser gives up on a single leg and punches the body. Camur answers with a right and they trade before Boser shoves him back into the wire. Boser backs off in the last 10 seconds and avoids a final offering from Camur.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Boser
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Boser
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Boser

Round 3
Boser with a leg kick. Camur has a head kick blocked and they clinch again. Boser makes Camur think about the single leg again. Boser digs the body with punches and Camur answers with a knee before they break. Boser follows a body kick with a series of heavy punches to the head. The Canadian then uses the single to push Camur into the fence again. Boser backs away and they trade. A foot sweep from Camur makes Boser stumble. Camur lands in the pocket, but Boser shoves him back into the fence. The crowd is not pleased with Boser’s approach. Camur breaks free. They collide in the center, with both men swinging . Camur shoves Boser backward but eats a knee to the chin for his efforts. Boser reverses and grinds away in the clinch. Boser backs off and lands a couple jabs. They trade in close, but Boser tags Camur with a series of six to eight unanswered punches. Camur eats them all and remains upright, but he’s exhausted. Boser shoves his man into the fence one more time and lands an elbow before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Boser (30-27 Boser)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Boser (30-27 Boser)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Boser (30-27 Boser)

The Official Result
Tanner Boser def. Aleksa Camur via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) R3 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Aleksa Camur

Angelo leans toward Aleksa Camur as an underdog, noting his technical striking and takedowns. He is concerned about Camur's two-year layoff but finds +160 appealing. He suggests the UFC might be feeding Tanner Boser to build up Camur. Angelo plans to watch weigh-ins and may bet if Camur looks good, comparing it to Derrick Lewis's return. He criticizes Boser's -185 price given his 1-4 record and recent knockout loss.

Potential bet on Camur if weigh-ins look good
"I am going to go the Alexa side plus 160 is very appealing"
BI
Big Brady Expert picked Aug 1, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Aleksa Camur

Big Brady calls this the worst fight on the card and has very low confidence. He notes Camur hasn't fought in two years and could have improved, but it's a shot in the dark. He picks Camur by decision with zero confidence, saying if Camur looks the same it's a close fight, but if improved he could beat Boser. He admits he wants nothing to do with this fight.

"I'll take Kamer with the zero confidence and I'll pick him to win by a greasy greasy decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Tanner Boser

Cody picks Boser based on volume and cardio, expecting a 15-minute decision. He notes Camur's poor cardio and tendency to fade, and believes Boser's leg kicks and output will win the later rounds. He acknowledges Camur's durability and early power, but thinks Boser's gas tank and volume are decisive.

Over 57.5 significant strikes (Boser)
"Tanner Bowser is all volume I think wins this fight down the stretch based on volume"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Aleksa Camur

Daniel Levi leans toward Aleksa Camur, citing the upside of a young fighter with a two-year layoff to improve. He notes that Boser is a finished product who gave up his speed advantage by dropping to light heavyweight, and that Boser's debut at 205 was poor. Levi is concerned about Camur's potential shoulder injury but thinks if healthy, Camur's wrestling and athleticism could trouble Boser. He has zero interest in laying a price on Boser and sees this as a dog-or-pass fight.

No specific prop bet mentioned. Notes that the line should be tighter and Camur is getting disrespected.
"I'll pick Kamer to pull off the upside here."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Aug 4, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Aleksa Camur

James sides with the dog Camur. He notes Boser is coming off a first-round KO and may be chinny or tentative. Camur is gritty, walks forward, and could get takedowns against Boser, who is terrible off his back. He says if Boser fights a grappler, you bet the grappler.

"I think Alexa Camur... I honestly do."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 4, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Tanner Boser

Boser has combination striking, output, and leg kicks, but struggles with takedown defense. Camur likes to crash the pocket but has been out with nerve damage. Boser should keep on the move, use footwork and leg kicks to damage Camur from distance. I like the over 2.5 rounds most, but no real conviction. Give me Boser by decision.

over 2.5 rounds
"I like the over two and a half the most uh but you know no real convicted spot on this matchup"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Aleksa Camur

Paul leans towards Camur at plus money, citing his youth, training with Stipe Miocic, and potential improvements during his two-year layoff. He thinks Cody may have overrated Boser's durability and notes Camur's power. However, he is not confident enough to bet it.

"I'm gonna side with K more the time off... I'm going to lean ever so slightly to Kmart but I don't think I'm actually gonna pull the Traeger on an actual bet"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Aleksa Camur

The host picks Aleksa Camur as an underdog, calling Tanner Boser an 'absolute flake' who is mentally unreliable. He believes Camur, training with Stipe Miocic, will be a step ahead and more well-rounded. He sees Camur winning by decision or possibly a finish. He is surprised Camur is the dog and advises against betting Boser at -185.

line opened +144, now +136; suggests Camur wins by decision or early finish
"give me Alexa Kamer to get the job done"
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: The Korean Zombie vs. Ige · Jun 19, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nicolae Negumereanu 0 102 of 148 68% 118 of 166 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Aleksa Camur 0 71 of 193 36% 99 of 224 1 of 5 20% 0 0 4:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nicolae Negumereanu 0 39 of 66 59% 44 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aleksa Camur 0 29 of 78 37% 32 of 81 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:46
2 Nicolae Negumereanu 0 32 of 40 80% 37 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aleksa Camur 0 18 of 45 40% 29 of 56 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:31
3 Nicolae Negumereanu 0 31 of 42 73% 37 of 49 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Aleksa Camur 0 24 of 70 34% 38 of 87 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nicolae Negumereanu 102 of 148 68% 68 of 110 29 of 33 5 of 5 88 of 131 14 of 17 0 of 0
Aleksa Camur 71 of 193 36% 65 of 182 2 of 7 4 of 4 61 of 178 10 of 15 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nicolae Negumereanu 39 of 66 59% 29 of 53 9 of 12 1 of 1 34 of 60 5 of 6 0 of 0
Aleksa Camur 29 of 78 37% 29 of 76 0 of 2 0 of 0 25 of 70 4 of 8 0 of 0
2 Nicolae Negumereanu 32 of 40 80% 15 of 23 14 of 14 3 of 3 25 of 31 7 of 9 0 of 0
Aleksa Camur 18 of 45 40% 15 of 41 1 of 2 2 of 2 17 of 44 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Nicolae Negumereanu 31 of 42 73% 24 of 34 6 of 7 1 of 1 29 of 40 2 of 2 0 of 0
Aleksa Camur 24 of 70 34% 21 of 65 1 of 3 2 of 2 19 of 64 5 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Nicolae Negumereanu

Angelo picks Nicolae Negumereanu, agreeing with Jacob that the odds are flipped. He notes Negumereanu's 100% finish rate and aggressive style, but also acknowledges his lack of head movement and looping shots. He thinks Camur's straight punches could be a problem, but still picks Negumereanu as the underdog. He would not bet on Camur at -240.

may look at Negumereanu prop bets; monkey knife fight: less on Camur, more on Negumereanu
"my pick is also nikolai i would never do minus 240 on a on a six in one dude."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Aleksa Camur

Big Brady is not impressed with Camur but thinks he has a massive speed advantage and is the better striker. He is concerned about Camur's takedown defense after being taken down by William Knight. He predicts Camur wins by decision but would not lay -250 on him.

win by decision
"I'll go with k-more by decision I don't love the line at all"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Aleksa Camur

Cody picks Camur, dismissing Negumereanu's inflated record and poor UFC debut. He notes Negumereanu's cardio and wrestling were non-existent, and despite a two-year layoff, he doesn't expect significant improvements. Camur is not great but should win against this level of competition.

over 2.5 rounds -150
"i think k-mer gets the job done here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Aleksa Camur

Daniel Levi picks Aleksa Camur, but is not confident due to the high price. He notes that Camur has fought better competition, beating Justin Ledet and William Knight, while Negumereanu has faced very low-level opponents. However, he acknowledges that Camur is still green and has holes in his game, and that laying a big price on him is risky. He thinks Camur has more physicality and tools, but is not fully convinced.

"i'm gonna go with alexa camera i just personally can't lay this price on a guy like that he needs to prove himself a little more"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lock picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Nicolae Negumereanu

Jacob is extremely confident in Negumereanu, calling him the lock of the week. He highlights Negumereanu's suplexes, powerbombs, and 100% finish rate, and questions why he is a +205 underdog. He believes Negumereanu will take Camur down and finish him. He has Negumereanu in his DraftKings lineup at $6,900.

lock of the week; monkey knife fight: less on Camur, more on Negumereanu
"that's the lock of the week i mean it doesn't get it this is like the most confident lock of the week i think i've ever i know that i've ever had."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Aleksa Camur

The host picks Aleksa Camur, believing he is the more complete fighter with takedown ability and a solid upside. He notes Negumereanu's sketchy regional competition and long layoff, and expects Camur to grind out a decision by taking the fight to the ground. He thinks Camur will play it safe and avoid Negumereanu's power. He mentions Camur's potential but acknowledges the William Knight loss, though he sees this as a favorable matchup.

Camur by decision at +135 mentioned as the spot he likes
"kamore by decision is currently sitting at plus 135 that's the spot that i like"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Aleksa Camur

Paul picks Camur, agreeing with Cody that Negumereanu is not UFC level. He notes Negumereanu's poor performance against Safarov and long layoff. Paul suggests the over 2.5 rounds as a better play, as both fighters have questionable cardio and finishing ability.

over 2.5 rounds -150
"i wouldn't touch uh nick nico moreno i don't think he would be a good bet at all"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Aleksa Camur

The MMA Guru picks Aleksa Camur to win by unanimous decision (30-27). He expects a lackluster contest where Camur lands decent shots and sticks the jab. He thinks Negumereanu may have moments of aggression, but Camur will ride out those storms and win the middle ground of the fight by landing more overall shots.

"i'm gonna go with alexa kamur and i think he wins this one by probably decision... 30-27 unanimous decision"
LOSS vs William Knight
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · Sep 27, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
William Knight 0 38 of 54 70% 58 of 77 4 of 5 80% 1 1 6:39
Aleksa Camur 0 17 of 30 56% 59 of 72 1 of 4 25% 0 0 5:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 William Knight 0 9 of 15 60% 12 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:48
Aleksa Camur 0 5 of 10 50% 23 of 28 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:34
2 William Knight 0 16 of 21 76% 21 of 26 2 of 2 100% 1 1 2:37
Aleksa Camur 0 5 of 11 45% 24 of 30 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:44
3 William Knight 0 13 of 18 72% 25 of 32 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:14
Aleksa Camur 0 7 of 9 77% 12 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
William Knight 38 of 54 70% 29 of 40 3 of 6 6 of 8 10 of 24 9 of 9 19 of 21
Aleksa Camur 17 of 30 56% 8 of 18 8 of 11 1 of 1 9 of 22 8 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 William Knight 9 of 15 60% 6 of 9 1 of 3 2 of 3 5 of 11 4 of 4 0 of 0
Aleksa Camur 5 of 10 50% 1 of 6 4 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 6 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 William Knight 16 of 21 76% 13 of 16 1 of 2 2 of 3 2 of 6 1 of 1 13 of 14
Aleksa Camur 5 of 11 45% 2 of 5 2 of 5 1 of 1 4 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 William Knight 13 of 18 72% 10 of 15 1 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 7 4 of 4 6 of 7
Aleksa Camur 7 of 9 77% 5 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 6 3 of 3 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Aleksa Camur

Big Brady picks Camur, stating he is the better fighter despite Knight's power. He notes Camur has good durability and has finished 80% of his wins. He attributes Camur's unimpressive UFC debut to octagon jitters and expects a second-round knockout.

Camur by second-round knockout
"i like camera here i'm going to pick him to win uh i'm going to say bye i'm going to say a second round knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2020 (2 days before fight)
William Knight

Daniel Levi picks William Knight for the upset, comparing him to a green Derrick Lewis with heart and finishing ability. He believes Knight will capitalize on Camur's inexperience and tense striking, eventually finding a finish. He notes Camur looked tense in his debut and has fought weak competition.

"i think william knight's gonna find the finish so i'm gonna take him here for the upset shaq"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 26, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Aleksa Camur

The host leans toward Aleksa Camur but is not confident, calling the fight a pass. He notes that Camur has a better training camp and may be more active, but both fighters are green with many unknowns. He suggests the over 1.5 rounds is the best bet, as both may feel each other out.

over 1.5 rounds (-125)
"I'll go with kamore to win this by decision... but the over one and a half is probably the best spot and again i'm just passing on it."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Aleksa Camur

The MMA Guru picks Aleksa Camur, citing his training at Staphae Meochit, youth (24), and good striking defense. He believes Camur will survive the first round and then KO William Knight in the first round with a counterpunch. He notes Knight is past his prime and has not faced high-level competition.

Win by KO in round 1
"i think he's going to go out there and ko william knight in the first round"
WIN vs Justin Ledet
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · Jan 18, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aleksa Camur 0 80 of 165 48% 88 of 174 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:00
Justin Ledet 0 44 of 131 33% 60 of 148 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aleksa Camur 0 22 of 58 37% 23 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justin Ledet 0 7 of 34 20% 7 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
2 Aleksa Camur 0 34 of 56 60% 35 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Justin Ledet 0 24 of 54 44% 37 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
3 Aleksa Camur 0 24 of 51 47% 30 of 58 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:00
Justin Ledet 0 13 of 43 30% 16 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aleksa Camur 80 of 165 48% 40 of 104 24 of 34 16 of 27 62 of 141 17 of 23 1 of 1
Justin Ledet 44 of 131 33% 34 of 117 10 of 14 0 of 0 38 of 123 6 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aleksa Camur 22 of 58 37% 10 of 36 4 of 9 8 of 13 20 of 55 2 of 3 0 of 0
Justin Ledet 7 of 34 20% 7 of 33 0 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Aleksa Camur 34 of 56 60% 19 of 36 11 of 13 4 of 7 22 of 39 12 of 17 0 of 0
Justin Ledet 24 of 54 44% 15 of 44 9 of 10 0 of 0 19 of 47 5 of 7 0 of 0
3 Aleksa Camur 24 of 51 47% 11 of 32 9 of 12 4 of 7 20 of 47 3 of 3 1 of 1
Justin Ledet 13 of 43 30% 12 of 40 1 of 3 0 of 0 12 of 42 1 of 1 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jan 16, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Aleksa Camur

Daniel picks Aleksa Camur by split decision, but is very hesitant. He notes that Camur has power and athleticism but has faced low-level competition, while Ledet has seen a higher level of the sport. He mentions that contender series winners win 60% of the time in their UFC debut, but advises not going big until Camur proves himself.

"I'll go Alexa comb or by split decision and and we'll see what happens."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 6, 2020 (12 days before fight)
Aleksa Camur

The host criticizes the favoritism shown to Contender Series guys but picks Aleksa Camur because Justin Ledet has been knocked out twice in a row. He believes Camur, being younger and stronger, will land a knockout on Ledet's suspect chin, predicting a first-round finish.

first round finish
"Alexa cameras gonna get the job done 24 years old undefeated guy coming into the UFC gonna make the most of his spotlight come in there and get just in the day out of there in the first round"
Justin Ledet - Fight History
LOSS vs Dustin Jacoby
TKO (leg kicks and punches) R1 2:38 · UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · Oct 31, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Jacoby 2 22 of 38 57% 22 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Justin Ledet 0 10 of 31 32% 10 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Jacoby 2 22 of 38 57% 22 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Justin Ledet 0 10 of 31 32% 10 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Jacoby 22 of 38 57% 10 of 22 2 of 5 10 of 11 17 of 29 0 of 1 5 of 8
Justin Ledet 10 of 31 32% 8 of 29 0 of 0 2 of 2 10 of 30 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Jacoby 22 of 38 57% 10 of 22 2 of 5 10 of 11 17 of 29 0 of 1 5 of 8
Justin Ledet 10 of 31 32% 8 of 29 0 of 0 2 of 2 10 of 30 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 28, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Big Brady favors Jacoby due to his kickboxing background and higher output. He notes Ledet's low output and potential submission threat but doubts Ledet's wrestling to get the fight down. He predicts a decision win for Jacoby, though he thinks the line is a bit steep for a parlay.

"i'm going to take jacoby here to win a decision i don't think a finish is completely crazy as well"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Jacoby is the much better striker with solid kickboxing experience and movement. Ledet is on a three-fight losing streak and hasn't evolved his game. Jacoby should win by second-round KO, though the -310 line is a bit wide.

Jacoby wins in round 2
"I like jacoby here... I think he's the much better fighter overall and he's really going to get a striking going here which should allow him to get a finish in the second round"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

The MMA Guru picks Dustin Jacoby to win by unanimous decision, citing Jacoby's kickboxing background and better striking. He notes that Justin Ledet has been ragdolled by wrestlers and hasn't shown the ability to take Jacoby down, so Jacoby should keep it standing and outpoint him.

"i'm definitely going to be picking dustin jacoby to keep this stand in be a better kickboxer and probably take this to a unanimous decision"
LOSS vs Aleksa Camur
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · Jan 18, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aleksa Camur 0 80 of 165 48% 88 of 174 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:00
Justin Ledet 0 44 of 131 33% 60 of 148 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aleksa Camur 0 22 of 58 37% 23 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justin Ledet 0 7 of 34 20% 7 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
2 Aleksa Camur 0 34 of 56 60% 35 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Justin Ledet 0 24 of 54 44% 37 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
3 Aleksa Camur 0 24 of 51 47% 30 of 58 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:00
Justin Ledet 0 13 of 43 30% 16 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aleksa Camur 80 of 165 48% 40 of 104 24 of 34 16 of 27 62 of 141 17 of 23 1 of 1
Justin Ledet 44 of 131 33% 34 of 117 10 of 14 0 of 0 38 of 123 6 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aleksa Camur 22 of 58 37% 10 of 36 4 of 9 8 of 13 20 of 55 2 of 3 0 of 0
Justin Ledet 7 of 34 20% 7 of 33 0 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Aleksa Camur 34 of 56 60% 19 of 36 11 of 13 4 of 7 22 of 39 12 of 17 0 of 0
Justin Ledet 24 of 54 44% 15 of 44 9 of 10 0 of 0 19 of 47 5 of 7 0 of 0
3 Aleksa Camur 24 of 51 47% 11 of 32 9 of 12 4 of 7 20 of 47 3 of 3 1 of 1
Justin Ledet 13 of 43 30% 12 of 40 1 of 3 0 of 0 12 of 42 1 of 1 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jan 16, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Aleksa Camur

Daniel picks Aleksa Camur by split decision, but is very hesitant. He notes that Camur has power and athleticism but has faced low-level competition, while Ledet has seen a higher level of the sport. He mentions that contender series winners win 60% of the time in their UFC debut, but advises not going big until Camur proves himself.

"I'll go Alexa comb or by split decision and and we'll see what happens."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 6, 2020 (12 days before fight)
Aleksa Camur

The host criticizes the favoritism shown to Contender Series guys but picks Aleksa Camur because Justin Ledet has been knocked out twice in a row. He believes Camur, being younger and stronger, will land a knockout on Ledet's suspect chin, predicting a first-round finish.

first round finish
"Alexa cameras gonna get the job done 24 years old undefeated guy coming into the UFC gonna make the most of his spotlight come in there and get just in the day out of there in the first round"
LOSS vs Johnny Walker
TKO (spinning back fist and punches) R1 0:15 · UFC Fight Night: Assunção vs. Moraes 2 · Feb 02, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Johnny Walker 1 7 of 8 87% 7 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Justin Ledet 0 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Johnny Walker 1 7 of 8 87% 7 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Justin Ledet 0 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Johnny Walker 7 of 8 87% 6 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 4
Justin Ledet 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Johnny Walker 7 of 8 87% 6 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 4
Justin Ledet 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (30–25, 30–24, 30–24) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · Jul 22, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aleksandar Rakić 0 12 of 26 46% 28 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Justin Ledet 1 104 of 144 72% 263 of 317 3 of 4 75% 0 0 12:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aleksandar Rakić 0 1 of 3 33% 14 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Justin Ledet 0 30 of 42 71% 66 of 79 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:07
2 Aleksandar Rakić 0 7 of 17 41% 7 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justin Ledet 0 50 of 70 71% 115 of 141 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:35
3 Aleksandar Rakić 0 4 of 6 66% 7 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justin Ledet 1 24 of 32 75% 82 of 97 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aleksandar Rakić 12 of 26 46% 12 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 2 12 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Justin Ledet 104 of 144 72% 88 of 122 5 of 5 11 of 17 24 of 42 2 of 4 78 of 98
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aleksandar Rakić 1 of 3 33% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Justin Ledet 30 of 42 71% 24 of 34 1 of 1 5 of 7 7 of 10 0 of 0 23 of 32
2 Aleksandar Rakić 7 of 17 41% 7 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0 7 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Justin Ledet 50 of 70 71% 44 of 61 1 of 1 5 of 8 14 of 26 0 of 0 36 of 44
3 Aleksandar Rakić 4 of 6 66% 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Justin Ledet 24 of 32 75% 20 of 27 3 of 3 1 of 2 3 of 6 2 of 4 19 of 22
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · Sep 16, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Justin Ledet 0 36 of 126 28% 36 of 126 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Azunna Anyanwu 0 37 of 84 44% 37 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Justin Ledet 0 13 of 39 33% 13 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Azunna Anyanwu 0 7 of 19 36% 7 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Justin Ledet 0 13 of 45 28% 13 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Azunna Anyanwu 0 13 of 24 54% 13 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Justin Ledet 0 10 of 42 23% 10 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Azunna Anyanwu 0 17 of 41 41% 17 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Justin Ledet 36 of 126 28% 35 of 124 1 of 2 0 of 0 36 of 126 0 of 0 0 of 0
Azunna Anyanwu 37 of 84 44% 28 of 60 9 of 24 0 of 0 36 of 82 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Justin Ledet 13 of 39 33% 13 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0 13 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Azunna Anyanwu 7 of 19 36% 2 of 7 5 of 12 0 of 0 7 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Justin Ledet 13 of 45 28% 12 of 43 1 of 2 0 of 0 13 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
Azunna Anyanwu 13 of 24 54% 11 of 19 2 of 5 0 of 0 13 of 23 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Justin Ledet 10 of 42 23% 10 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0 10 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
Azunna Anyanwu 17 of 41 41% 15 of 34 2 of 7 0 of 0 16 of 40 1 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Mark Godbeer
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 2:16 · UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · Nov 19, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Justin Ledet 0 3 of 11 27% 8 of 17 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:16
Mark Godbeer 0 5 of 11 45% 7 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Justin Ledet 0 3 of 11 27% 8 of 17 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:16
Mark Godbeer 0 5 of 11 45% 7 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Justin Ledet 3 of 11 27% 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1
Mark Godbeer 5 of 11 45% 2 of 6 0 of 1 3 of 4 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Justin Ledet 3 of 11 27% 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1
Mark Godbeer 5 of 11 45% 2 of 6 0 of 1 3 of 4 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Chase Sherman
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · Aug 06, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Justin Ledet 0 59 of 166 35% 60 of 167 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chase Sherman 0 113 of 230 49% 114 of 231 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Justin Ledet 0 30 of 78 38% 31 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chase Sherman 0 45 of 99 45% 46 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Justin Ledet 0 19 of 54 35% 19 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chase Sherman 0 39 of 71 54% 39 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Justin Ledet 0 10 of 34 29% 10 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chase Sherman 0 29 of 60 48% 29 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Justin Ledet 59 of 166 35% 26 of 120 7 of 14 26 of 32 58 of 164 1 of 2 0 of 0
Chase Sherman 113 of 230 49% 111 of 228 2 of 2 0 of 0 110 of 226 3 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Justin Ledet 30 of 78 38% 11 of 53 4 of 7 15 of 18 30 of 78 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chase Sherman 45 of 99 45% 45 of 99 0 of 0 0 of 0 43 of 96 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Justin Ledet 19 of 54 35% 8 of 39 3 of 5 8 of 10 18 of 53 1 of 1 0 of 0
Chase Sherman 39 of 71 54% 37 of 69 2 of 2 0 of 0 38 of 70 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Justin Ledet 10 of 34 29% 7 of 28 0 of 2 3 of 4 10 of 33 0 of 1 0 of 0
Chase Sherman 29 of 60 48% 29 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0 29 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (2)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jan 16, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Aleksa Camur

Daniel picks Aleksa Camur by split decision, but is very hesitant. He notes that Camur has power and athleticism but has faced low-level competition, while Ledet has seen a higher level of the sport. He mentions that contender series winners win 60% of the time in their UFC debut, but advises not going big until Camur proves himself.

"I'll go Alexa comb or by split decision and and we'll see what happens."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 6, 2020 (12 days before fight)
Aleksa Camur

The host criticizes the favoritism shown to Contender Series guys but picks Aleksa Camur because Justin Ledet has been knocked out twice in a row. He believes Camur, being younger and stronger, will land a knockout on Ledet's suspect chin, predicting a first-round finish.

first round finish
"Alexa cameras gonna get the job done 24 years old undefeated guy coming into the UFC gonna make the most of his spotlight come in there and get just in the day out of there in the first round"