Dustin Jacoby

"The Hanyak"
10-10-1
Record
Age / DOB 38
(Apr 04, 1988)
Height 6' 3"
Weight 205 lbs.
Reach 76.0"
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages
5.4 Sig. Strikes / Min
48.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
3.92 Absorbed / Min
57.0% Strike Defense
0.32 TD Avg / 15 min
25.0% TD Accuracy
62.0% TD Defense
0.0 Sub. / Fight
Win Methods (10)
KO/TKO 7
Submission 0
Decision 3
Loss Methods (10)
KO/TKO 1
Submission 5
Decision 4

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Jacoby 1 42 of 71 59% 47 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:59
Julius Walker 0 7 of 21 33% 12 of 26 3 of 7 42% 0 0 2:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Jacoby 0 13 of 20 65% 16 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Julius Walker 0 5 of 15 33% 10 of 20 3 of 6 50% 0 0 2:29
2 Dustin Jacoby 1 29 of 51 56% 31 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
Julius Walker 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Jacoby 42 of 71 59% 35 of 64 3 of 3 4 of 4 22 of 38 9 of 10 11 of 23
Julius Walker 7 of 21 33% 3 of 17 1 of 1 3 of 3 4 of 12 2 of 7 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Jacoby 13 of 20 65% 7 of 14 3 of 3 3 of 3 13 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julius Walker 5 of 15 33% 3 of 13 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 6 2 of 7 1 of 2
2 Dustin Jacoby 29 of 51 56% 28 of 50 0 of 0 1 of 1 9 of 18 9 of 10 11 of 23
Julius Walker 2 of 6 33% 0 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Angelo picks Dustin Jacoby confidently, calling him too good of a striker and grappler with too much experience. He notes Jacoby's high-level kickboxing, technical striking, and solid takedown defense. He dismisses Julius Walker as sloppy and reliant on raw athleticism, and believes Jacoby will win easily. He hopes the odds are reasonable and will include Jacoby in parlays.

"Dustin Jacobe wins this fight. He's too good of a striker, too good of a grappler, has too much experience."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Big Brady picks Dustin Jacoby, citing his superior striking and elite takedown defense. He notes that Julius Walker was pieced up by Raphael Sakara on the feet, which bodes poorly against a much better striker in Jacoby. He expects Jacoby to knock out Walker, likely in the first round.

by first round knockout
"I think Jacobe knocks him out. I'm going to go into Dustin Jacobe here. I think it's a first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Cody hesitantly picks Dustin Jacoby, acknowledging the experience gap but noting Jacoby's travel and short notice. He admits his heart wants Walker but struggles to overlook Jacoby's experience. Cody does not bet on Jacoby and expects a competitive fight.

"I haven't bet Dustin Jacobe. Everything in my being tells me to bet Dustin Jacobe."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Jacobi is still dangerous with single shots and that Walker's style of walking in will give Jacobi opportunities. He thinks Jacobi will respond with offense if put in a scary situation, but the fight could be a grind. He calls it a sucky fight between two failed experiments.

Same odds discussion.
"I'm going to pick Jacobi here."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Lucrative James picks Dustin Jacoby to win, citing his massive experience and striking advantage, as well as good takedown defense. However, he is hesitant due to Jacoby's age and potential chin decline. James notes that if Jacoby is an underdog, he would bet him, but he acknowledges Walker's grappling could be a threat.

"I'm gonna go with Dustin Jacobe for the win though, guys. And the reason is because he has too much of a experience advantage and a massive massive striking advantage and very good takedown defense."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

The host picks Jacoby by knockout, but notes reduced confidence due to Jacoby cornering a teammate in Australia a week before the fight. He believes Jacoby's superior striking and defensive grappling will allow him to pick Walker apart and eventually land a big shot. He expects Walker to struggle to get takedowns and be forced to strike, where Jacoby has the advantage.

knockout win
"So, give me Jacobe and Jacobe by knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Julius Walker

Paul picks Julius Walker as a dog, citing Jacoby's short notice, travel from Australia, and age (37). He notes Walker's youth, athleticism, and improvement, especially his wrestling. Paul believes Walker can take Jacoby down and control the fight, though he admits bias due to connections.

"I am actually going to end up taking a dog play on Julius Walker. Not super confident."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Dustin Jacoby

The host picks Dustin Jacoby over Julius Walker. He thinks Jacoby is underrated, citing his win over Vitor Petrino and competitive fight with Azamat Murzakanov. He notes Walker looked sloppy against Rafael Cacara. He predicts a decision win for Jacoby, 29-28 or 30-27.

decision 29-28 or 30-27
"I'm going to go with Jacoby. I think he's on a level another level of experience to Julius Walker."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Zane picks Jacoby because he is a good technical kickboxer who can finish with single shots. He notes that Walker is tough but walks in with his chin up and feet flat, making him vulnerable. However, he warns that Jacoby's hesitancy could make the fight ugly, similar to his fight against Alonzo Menifield.

Jacoby opened at -135, currently -185; Walker opened at +115, currently +160.
"I'm going to pick Dustin Jacobi."
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Jacoby 1 17 of 29 58% 17 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Bruno Lopes 0 3 of 9 33% 5 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Jacoby 1 17 of 29 58% 17 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Bruno Lopes 0 3 of 9 33% 5 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Jacoby 17 of 29 58% 16 of 28 0 of 0 1 of 1 11 of 21 6 of 8 0 of 0
Bruno Lopes 3 of 9 33% 1 of 4 1 of 2 1 of 3 2 of 7 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Jacoby 17 of 29 58% 16 of 28 0 of 0 1 of 1 11 of 21 6 of 8 0 of 0
Bruno Lopes 3 of 9 33% 1 of 4 1 of 2 1 of 3 2 of 7 1 of 2 0 of 0
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 18, 2025 (13 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Angelo picks Dustin Jacoby as the better striker with good takedown defense, but plants a seed of doubt about Jacoby's ability to handle forward pressure. He notes that Jacoby was losing to Vitor Petrino before a comeback KO, and that Bruno Lopes pressures forward well. He advises caution but believes Jacoby wins.

Warns against overexposure in parlays.
"I'm going to pick Dustin here because he is the better striker and he's got very good takedown defense."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 26, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Big Brady picks Dustin Jacoby, believing Bruno Lopes is reckless on the feet and leaves openings. He notes Lopes has a path via grappling but doubts he will use it, citing Lopes' tendency to stand and trade. Jacoby has good get-up game and is hard to hold down. Brady predicts Jacoby will clip Lopes and knock him out in the first round, as Jacoby has many first-round KOs.

first round knockout
"I'll go Dustin Jacobe here. And I think it's early. I think Dustin Jacobe gets a first round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Bruno Lopes

Connor also picks Lopes, citing that Jacoby's chin issues have made him hesitant and his game has lost its structure. Lopes, despite being a brawler, has a clear goal and is confident in his aggression. Connor notes that Jacoby used to be able to adjust to wrestlers, but now he seems aimless, making Lopes the safer pick.

"Yeah, also that Jacoby has historically had issues with wrestlers. Yeah. And, you know, he used to be able to adjust to that and, and, and start getting a read on the takedowns and doing a better job of enforcing the range. So they were harder to get. And, but like I said, he's just, I think it, I have to agree that it's like the chininess has something to do with it that he's like, I don't, I don't want to fall into patterns or the guy will figure me out. And as a result, he's like, his game just doesn't work anymore."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Matt picks Dustin Jacoby to win by decision. He notes that Jacoby is a volume-based striker with good takedown defense, while Lopes is a BJJ black belt who struggles against better strikers. Jacoby should outwork Lopes on the feet, though his durability is a concern. Matt likes the decision prop at +250.

Jacoby by decision +250, Lopes by decision +480, Lopes by KO +400, fight goes to decision +125
"I'm going to pick Jacobe. I I think he wins this fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 28, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

The MMA Guru picks Dustin Jacoby by TKO in rounds 2 or 3. He believes Jacoby's striking is too technical for Bruno Lopes, who has power but is less impressive. He notes Jacoby's good chin and ability to recover, and sees a kickboxing advantage. He predicts Jacoby will piece up Lopes after a shaky first round.

TKO in rounds 2 or 3
"I think Jacob is very underrated... I think he beats Bruno Lopez... I got Jacob by TKO in rounds two or three."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Bruno Lopes

Zane picks Lopes because Jacoby's game has deteriorated significantly; he no longer fights with a clear plan, hesitates, and does wacky things like switching stances needlessly. Lopes, while limited, at least has a simple game plan of aggression, either brawling or pushing to the cage and looking for takedowns. Zane notes that Jacoby historically had issues with wrestlers, and his current indecisiveness makes him vulnerable to Lopes' pressure.

"I think I have to pick Lopez. Yeah. I think I'm kind of feeling that too. He at least want his, what his game still clearly at least seems to revolve around aggression, even if that aggression is just putting someone on the fence, he's got a plan. He's got a simple goal in mind, you know? And like Jacoby is just fighting without a plan every single time now."
KO (punch) R3 3:44
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Jacoby 0 40 of 96 41% 40 of 96 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:40
Vitor Petrino 1 45 of 96 46% 47 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Jacoby 0 10 of 26 38% 10 of 26 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Vitor Petrino 0 12 of 32 37% 12 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
2 Dustin Jacoby 0 19 of 47 40% 19 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Vitor Petrino 0 18 of 36 50% 18 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Dustin Jacoby 0 11 of 23 47% 11 of 23 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:38
Vitor Petrino 1 15 of 28 53% 17 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Jacoby 40 of 96 41% 27 of 79 6 of 7 7 of 10 40 of 96 0 of 0 0 of 0
Vitor Petrino 45 of 96 46% 23 of 69 7 of 9 15 of 18 39 of 87 5 of 8 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Jacoby 10 of 26 38% 5 of 19 2 of 2 3 of 5 10 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Vitor Petrino 12 of 32 37% 5 of 22 1 of 2 6 of 8 8 of 25 4 of 7 0 of 0
2 Dustin Jacoby 19 of 47 40% 16 of 42 2 of 3 1 of 2 19 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
Vitor Petrino 18 of 36 50% 8 of 24 3 of 4 7 of 8 18 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Dustin Jacoby 11 of 23 47% 6 of 18 2 of 2 3 of 3 11 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Vitor Petrino 15 of 28 53% 10 of 23 3 of 3 2 of 2 13 of 26 1 of 1 1 of 1
Expert Picks (10)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 8, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Vitor Petrino

Angelo picks Petrino because he hits hard and Jacoby's chin is declining. He notes Petrino's power, evolving grappling, and takedowns, while Jacoby is a high-level kickboxer with okay power and 60% takedown defense. He expresses concern about Petrino's smiling reaction after his submission loss to Anthony Smith, but believes it was a fluke. He thinks Jacoby could turn it into a dogfight but Petrino's power is the difference.

"I am going to pick patrino here because he hits so damn hard and Dustin's chin doesn't seem to be what it once was."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Vitor Petrino

Big Brady picks Vitor Petrino to win by decision. He thinks Petrino is younger, improving, and has more ways to win, including power and takedowns. He notes Jacoby has been dropped often and was recently knocked out by Reyes. He expects Petrino to mix in takedowns and land big shots, but not finish.

"I'll say patrino mixes in the takedowns maybe land some big shots here and there maybe drops jacobe because jacobe likes getting dropped but I'll say patrino does enough to win a decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Vitor Petrino

Cody picks Vitor Petrino but with low confidence, noting his poor gas tank and green technique. He believes Petrino will rely on takedowns and top control to win rounds, but Jacoby's striking advantage could be problematic. Cody suggests a live bet on Jacoby after the first round if Petrino tires.

Over 1.5 rounds (-167), fight goes to decision (+170)
"I'm willing to take the dog shot on Covington and Bruno Silva but I'm going to pass on this jacobe one."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Connor picks Jacoby as well, agreeing that Petrino's new style is ineffective. He notes that Petrino's game is 'empty' and that Jacoby is a good outboxer who can take advantage. However, Connor also worries about Jacoby's durability, citing his knockout loss to Reyes and shaky moments against Alonzo Menifield.

Jacoby opened at +212, now +254; Petrino opened at -247, now -303
"I'm picking Jacobi as well, but, uh, odd that the odds are against him."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Vitor Petrino

Daniel Vreeland picks Vitor Petrino to get back on track after his loss to Anthony Smith. He acknowledges Dustin Jacoby's technical kickboxing but worries about Jacoby's durability and tendency to get hurt. Vreeland believes Petrino's freak athleticism and power can change the fight with one shot, even if he's being outpointed. He also notes Petrino can mix in takedowns if needed.

"I'm going go with vtor patrino to come out here and uh get back on track"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Vitor Petrino

Lucrative James picks Vitor Petrino to win, citing Petrino's multiple paths to victory including knockout and grappling. He notes Jacoby's kickboxing background and takedown defense, but believes Petrino's physicality and raw power will be too much. He expresses low interest in betting the fight unless prop odds are wide, but confidently predicts Petrino as the winner.

"I do think berrino wins I do think he's the better fighter I think that he's got way more ways to win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Vitor Petrino

Petrino will crash the pocket effectively and land big shots on Jacoby, who struggles against opponents with big power. The finish is expected within the first two rounds.

wins in round 1 or 2
"I do believe patrino will be able to crash the pocket effectively here and that will allow him to land those big shots on jacobe who just can't seem to get out of the way of opponents with big Power look for patrino to crash that pocket make jacoe uncomfortable and eventually find a finish within the first two rounds"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Paul picks Dustin Jacoby as an underdog, citing Petrino's struggles against strikers and Jacoby's striking volume. He notes that Petrino's takedowns are his only path, but Jacoby's takedown defense and ability to get back up could neutralize that. Paul is surprised Petrino is such a big favorite.

"I'm surprised that he's such a big favorite like um there does seem to be some action coming in on the jacobe side."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Dec 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

The MMA Guru picks Dustin Jacoby as an underdog, questioning why he is such a big underdog. He notes Jacoby's kickboxing experience and ability to invest in strikes, though he acknowledges Jacoby's chin has let him down. He believes Petrino's win over Smith was unimpressive (guillotine) and that Jacoby's layers and conditioning will give him an edge. He admits the oddsmakers might know something he doesn't.

underdog bet (implied odds comment)
"I'm going to go Dustin jacobe in his kickboxing experience being able to invest enough and do enough to patrino"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Zane picks Jacoby because Petrino has abandoned his effective bullying style for a technical out-fighting game that doesn't work. He notes that Petrino's recent losses to Anthony Smith and Tyson Pedro show he has no plan, and Jacoby should have plenty of time and space to outbox him. However, Zane is concerned about Jacoby's chin and age.

Jacoby opened at +212, now +254; Petrino opened at -247, now -303; Zane says the odds are 'too wide on Petrino'
"I'm still picking him against Vito Petrino, because Petrino's game as it stands right now is just empty."
KO (punches) R1 2:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dominick Reyes 2 20 of 33 60% 20 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Dustin Jacoby 0 6 of 16 37% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dominick Reyes 2 20 of 33 60% 20 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Dustin Jacoby 0 6 of 16 37% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dominick Reyes 20 of 33 60% 15 of 26 3 of 4 2 of 3 16 of 24 2 of 3 2 of 6
Dustin Jacoby 6 of 16 37% 1 of 7 0 of 1 5 of 8 6 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dominick Reyes 20 of 33 60% 15 of 26 3 of 4 2 of 3 16 of 24 2 of 3 2 of 6
Dustin Jacoby 6 of 16 37% 1 of 7 0 of 1 5 of 8 6 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Angelo picks Dustin Jacoby, believing Dominick Reyes is done after three knockout losses. He notes that Reyes hasn't won in years and his chin is compromised. Jacoby is a high-level kickboxer who can outpoint Reyes. He thinks the sport has passed Reyes by, and Jacoby's technical striking will be too much.

"I think Dustin jacobe wins this fight while he is a very high level technical kickboxer"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Big Brady picks Dustin Jacoby to win by decision with little confidence. He questions whether Dominick Reyes is washed, noting his losses to Jon Jones, Jan Blachowicz, and Jiri Prochazka are not bad, but the Ryan Spann KO is concerning. He thinks Jacoby might be the minute winner but has been disappointing in fights like the Menifield loss. He calls it a total pass and advises against betting.

"I'm taking Dustin jacobe to win this fight I'll take him to Win It by decision but I want nothing to do with this one"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Dominick Reyes

Cody picks Reyes as a greasy underdog, noting that Reyes has faced elite competition and his four-fight losing streak includes fights against Jon Jones (arguably a win), Jan Błachowicz, and Jiri Prochazka. He believes Reyes' power and durability could be a problem for Jacoby, who is a decision fighter prone to close losses. Cody thinks the year and a half off may have helped Reyes recover his chin, and he expects a close fight that could go Reyes' way via split decision.

Dominick Reyes to win by split or majority decision
"I have to take a couple greasy dogs and Rees is one of those greasy dogs so I'll take Dom Rees and just hope to God that the year off the couple years off the time off I should say was good for his chin good for his uh his head and you know he he comes back reinvigorated Dominic Reyes to win by split or majority decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Daniel is confident in Jacoby because he believes Reyes has never recovered mentally or physically from the Jon Jones fight, citing three brutal knockout losses and a diminished chin. He notes Jacoby is still competitive with top fighters and can point fight or knock out Reyes. He expects Jacoby to win by knockout, as Reyes' confidence is shattered.

knockout
"I think uh I think jacobe actually comes out here and knocks him out"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Jacob picks Dustin Jacoby, but he is rooting for Reyes. He thinks Jacoby's jab will wear down Reyes, who has a suspect chin. He notes that Jacoby isn't the most powerful, but his jab can set up a knockout. He warns that Reyes might get too comfortable and get caught. He expects Jacoby to win by decision or late stoppage.

"I think that jab is eventually just going to wear down Dominic ryes I'm going be rooting for him man I hope he comes through"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Jacoby is a technical striker with good range and output, while Reyes has durability issues and a long layoff. Jacoby should outland Reyes from distance and may knock him out, though Reyes has power of his own. The -225 line is a bit wide, but Jacoby by KO is the pick.

knockout
"I'm going to lean jacobe here minus 225 just makes me a little bit queasy... I'm going to lean Jobe by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
No clear pick

Paul is tempted to bet Reyes but lacks the courage to pull the trigger. He notes Reyes' three consecutive knockout losses and questions his chin, while Jacoby tends to be in close fights. Paul thinks it's a pass from a betting perspective but might change his mind after weigh-ins.

"I am tempted to bet Dominic Reyes but like for what purpose like he's he's obviously shown that you know Ryan span knocking him out in the first round that's the other guys Yuri and and yon bovic two guys top top end guys in the division it's like yeah that happens to some of the best guys but the span one looks really really bad obviously in hindsight as well I don't know I Dustin jacobe finds a way to be in very very close competitive fights most of the time he has shown a little bit of Pop before but um I think it's dogger pass but I'm gonna probably pass from a betting perspective"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

The Guru says you can't pick Reyes until he proves you wrong, citing his losing streak and the damage he took from Yuri (orbital fracture, shattered nose). He likes Jacoby in a three-rounder because Reyes lacks finishing potential and is coming off TKO losses. He expects Jacoby to get started sooner, landing low kicks, jabs, and body shots, and win a decision (29-28 or 30-27). He also notes Jacoby beat Khalil Rountree in his eyes.

Decision win prediction; mentions 29-28 or 30-27 scorecards
"you can't pick Reyes until he proves you wrong... I'm going to say that jacobe wins a decision"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alonzo Menifield 1 68 of 117 58% 95 of 145 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:03
Dustin Jacoby 0 93 of 150 62% 113 of 171 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alonzo Menifield 0 14 of 30 46% 25 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:27
Dustin Jacoby 0 28 of 44 63% 38 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:17
2 Alonzo Menifield 0 27 of 48 56% 28 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Dustin Jacoby 0 31 of 55 56% 31 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Alonzo Menifield 1 27 of 39 69% 42 of 54 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:35
Dustin Jacoby 0 34 of 51 66% 44 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:51
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alonzo Menifield 68 of 117 58% 58 of 104 2 of 4 8 of 9 51 of 94 14 of 20 3 of 3
Dustin Jacoby 93 of 150 62% 69 of 122 15 of 18 9 of 10 78 of 135 15 of 15 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alonzo Menifield 14 of 30 46% 14 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0 12 of 25 2 of 5 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 28 of 44 63% 16 of 32 9 of 9 3 of 3 22 of 38 6 of 6 0 of 0
2 Alonzo Menifield 27 of 48 56% 20 of 39 0 of 1 7 of 8 25 of 44 2 of 4 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 31 of 55 56% 25 of 46 1 of 4 5 of 5 29 of 53 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Alonzo Menifield 27 of 39 69% 24 of 35 2 of 3 1 of 1 14 of 25 10 of 11 3 of 3
Dustin Jacoby 34 of 51 66% 28 of 44 5 of 5 1 of 2 27 of 44 7 of 7 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Dustin Jacoby vs. Alonzo Menifield
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jacoby (-270), Menifield (+220)

Round 1
The preliminary headliner has changed on fight week, and it will now come between two light heavyweight strikers in what could be a real barnburner. Menifield (14-3-1, 7-3-1 UFC) is looking to push his unbeaten streak to five, and Jacoby (19-7-1, 7-4-1 UFC) wants to string some momentum together to make another run up the ladder. Referee Chris Tognoni dons his proverbial hard hat as these two men will be swinging with bad intentions for as long as it lasts. Before they swing for the fences, the 205ers bump their gloves together while nodding in excitement. Both men are cautious to engage for the first 25 seconds, until Menifield wings two hooks that both come up short. Menifield reaches out with a jab, and Jacoby answers him with one of his own. Menifield again misses with an overhand right, and Jacoby prods out a few more jabs to keep the power swinging Menifield at bay. Jacoby kicks the inside thigh and loops a left hand around the guard, and he ducks away from a huge strike from Menifield. Jacoby stays busy with jabs and leg kicks, and he keeps his guard high to block the worst of the blows. Menifield scores a single left hook, and Jacoby puts his foot on the gas and gives chase. Menifield just misses a right hand that bumps into the chest, and he swings for the bleachers with wide, inaccurate punches. Jacoby sees the majority of those home run strikes coming and is able to block or evade them, and he crowds Menifield until Menifield sprints at him in search of a takedown. Jacoby tosses him to the side and allows Menifield to stand back up, and he just blocks a left hook. Jacoby rings Menifield’s bell with a right hand, and he gets stung with a counter. Jacoby crowds his man, and Menifield welcomes the clinch and tries to turn him around or throw him to the floor. Jacoby stays on his feet and knees the body, as the two jockey for position from up close. Jacoby continues to press his weight on his opponent, and Menifield eventually turns him around and lands a single right hook. Jacoby does not like this, lines up a knee down the middle, and the slow round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jacoby
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Jacoby
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Jacoby

Round 2
The 205ers meet in the middle with a glove touch, and Jacoby gets right back into his jabbing groove. Menifield gets tired of playing the jab and miss game, and he bites down on his mouthpiece and drives out a straight left that blasts Jacoby in the face. Jacoby stumbles from one side of the cage to the other, but he manages to gather his thoughts when ricocheting off the fence before Menifield can pounce. Jacoby recovers, but Menifield drives home two fierce leg kicks that give him pause. Jacoby lands a few jabs, and Menifield tries his own and lands a leg kick on the inside. Jacoby takes the left hand flush and is no worse for wear, and he parries a second. Menifield cracks the former Glory kickboxer with a right hand, stunning him but not putting him down. Jacoby hands on tight and hurts Menifield with a counter. Menifield shakes it off and crashes forward, landing blazing hooks on the side of the head and making Jacoby briefly rethink his life decision leading to that point. Jacoby tries to fire back, but Menifield is on him throwing merciless punches. Jacoby bounces off the cage and looks to settle down with his rangy jab, but Menifield has found his range and connects with effective counters. Jacoby snaps the head back with a jab, and Menifield backpedals as his right eye begins to swell. Jacoby kicks low, and Menifield returns fire with a far heavier blow that force a stance switch. Jacoby whiffs on a head kick but rifles a jab down the middle, and Menifield dodges a follow-up punch and grazes the side of the head with a left hook. The two clash shins together, and Jacoby gets the worse of it. Jacoby attacks, and Menifield meets him with his own punches until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Menifield
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Menifield
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Jacoby

Round 3
There is a final glove touch to begin the last round. Jacoby flashes out a leg kick, and Menifield is right there to counter him. Jacoby lines up several jabs, and Menifield dodges to the side to avoid most of them but not all. Menifield comes back with an overhand right, and he hops away to avoid a leg kick. Menifield loads up on a big left hook, and Jacoby tanks it and prods out a front kick. Jacoby snipes his man with a one-two, and when Menifield comes up short, Jacoby lands another. Menifield draws his foe into a short firefight, and he bangs a left hook off the temple of “The Hanyak.” Jacoby skillfully lands jab after jab, busting Menifield’s nose up and connecting in great numbers. Menifield gets sick of eating those punches, and he knocks Jacoby clean off his feet with a thunderous left hook. Jacoby falls to his seat, and Menifield tries to seal the deal with several clubbing undercuts beneath Jacoby’s armpit. Jacoby muscles his way back to his feet, and Menifield beats on him with a long series of punches and uppercuts. Jacoby tries to fire back, and Menifield drops down and hits a takedown to put the former kickboxer on his seat. Menifield connects with several jackhammering punches until Jacoby forces Menifield to fall off him and explode back up. The two stay tight in the clinch, and Jacoby considers a takedown that is thwarted. Menifield turns the tables, dropping down for a single, and he bails on it when Tognoni tells him to stay busy. Jacoby looks for inside or outside trips, and Menifield keeps his balance with his back to the wire. Menifield turns him around and knees him in the belly, and he gains enough space to wing a right hand that hurts Jacoby. Menifield gives chase and clubs Jacoby in the face with a pair of hooks, and the bloody battle comes to a conclusion when time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Menifield (29-28 Menifield)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Menifield (29-28 Menifield)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Menifield (29-28 Jacoby)

The Official Result
Alonzo Menifield def. Dustin Jacoby via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Dec 10, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Angelo leans Dustin Jacoby due to his superior kickboxing, noting he was once ranked #2 in the world. He acknowledges Menifield's power and Jacoby's recent vulnerability to being dropped, but believes the technical striking advantage will prevail. He is undecided on betting.

Undecided on betting; concerned about Menifield's power
"I'm gonna lean jacobe here... Dustin's going to be the pick I'm still deciding if I trust him enough to bet"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Big Brady picks Dustin Jacoby to win by decision, citing Jacoby's advantages in age, height, striking volume, and cardio. He notes Menifield's inconsistency and poor performances, and believes Menifield's only path is a knockout, which is unlikely given Jacoby's chin (only 1 KO loss in 27 fights). Brady expects Jacoby to use his kicks and volume to outpoint Menifield over three rounds, similar to his fight against Khalil Rountree.

"I'm kind of leaning more towards a decision here for Dustin jacobe though I think he plays this fight smart sticks to the outside use his kicks us his volume and just picks apart Alonzo manafield across 15 minutes"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Cody picks Jacoby, agreeing that he is the better striker with superior cardio. He notes that Menifield's wins are over lower-level competition and that Jacoby has fought at a higher level. Cody believes Jacoby will outwork Menifield and potentially get a late TKO or decision. He acknowledges the risk of Menifield's power but thinks Jacoby's volume and experience will prevail.

"Justin job's fighting at a higher level he appears to have the better skill set he has the better cardio it's Striker versus Striker and he's a better Striker yeah he's the pick"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Dec 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
No clear pick

Lucrative James does not have a strong read on this fight. He feels Dustin Jacoby should win by decision, but he has a nagging feeling that Alonzo Menifield could catch him early with power. He considers it a pass fight, though he mentions that Menifield inside the distance at big odds might be worth a small play.

Maybe Alonzo KO at +700 or similar.
"I don't feel like I mean I don't feel like Dustin will really finish Manfield though... that's a pass fight for me."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

The host picks Jacoby but thinks the minus 270 line is too wide against a dangerous fighter like Menifield. He praises Jacoby's technical striking, footwork, and precision, and believes he can keep Menifield at bay with kicks and combinations. He notes that Menifield has improved his cardio and clinch work but still expects Jacoby to outpoint him. He suggests a nibble on Jacoby by decision prop.

Jacoby by decision
"I'm still going to go with jacobe here though the minus 270 too wide I'm I'm going to I'm going to pass on that line um I might take a nibble on jacobe by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Paul picks Jacoby, stating that the price looks better than other big favorites on the card. He notes that Jacoby is a better striker with Glory kickboxing experience and has remarkable cardio. He believes Menifield will start hot but fade, and Jacoby will dissect him with volume and potentially get a late TKO or decision. Paul acknowledges Menifield's power but thinks Jacoby's skill set is superior.

"I'm on the camp with Dustin jacobe here and I think the price looked a lot better earlier in the week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

The Guru picks Dustin Jacoby over Alonzo Menifield, calling Jacoby one of the most underrated light heavyweights. He highlights Jacoby's impressive wins (e.g., Khalil Rountree, Anthony Smith) and takedown defense. He argues that if Menifield couldn't finish Jimmy Crute on the feet, he won't finish Jacoby. He predicts Jacoby will pick Menifield apart and win by decision or TKO.

Jacoby by decision (30-27) or TKO in round 2
"I'm going with Dustin Jacob I think he's one of the most underrated like heavyweights that's on the roster right now... I'm definitely going to go if Jacob be picking apart Alonzo manyfield and maybe getting a TKO at some point in the second round but I'll say decision 3027"
TKO (punches) R1 1:22
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Jacoby 1 10 of 33 30% 10 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Kennedy Nzechukwu 0 4 of 18 22% 4 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Jacoby 1 10 of 33 30% 10 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Kennedy Nzechukwu 0 4 of 18 22% 4 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Jacoby 10 of 33 30% 5 of 28 0 of 0 5 of 5 10 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 7
Kennedy Nzechukwu 4 of 18 22% 3 of 14 0 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Jacoby 10 of 33 30% 5 of 28 0 of 0 5 of 5 10 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 7
Kennedy Nzechukwu 4 of 18 22% 3 of 14 0 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 30, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Angelo picks Kennedy Nzechukwu despite acknowledging Dustin Jacoby is the better striker. He notes that Kennedy is bigger, more dangerous, and has fought higher competition. He warns that Kennedy is never out of a fight and can come from behind, but also mentions that Jacoby was dropped in his last fight, which is concerning. Angelo admits he would love Jacoby as an underdog if not for that, but ultimately goes with Kennedy's danger factor.

"the pick's gonna be Kennedy but I'm going to be rooting for Dustin"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 1, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Big Brady is uncertain but leans toward Nzechukwu. He argues that if Nzechukwu strikes with Jacoby he'll lose, but his path to victory is wrestling. He notes Nzechukwu's takedown defense is good and his grappling has improved, as seen in recent fights. He thinks Nzechukwu can take Jacoby down and control him, especially since Jacoby has been taken down many times before. He predicts a decision win but admits Nzechukwu fights are hard to predict.

Nzechukwu by decision
"I'll pick him to win by decision but the more I think about this one the more I don't feel amazing about it"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Cody leans towards Nzechukwu on the moneyline, but his main interest is a small poke on Kennedy by submission at +950. He believes Kennedy will rely on grappling and can submit Jacoby, who has faced few grapplers. He notes Jacoby's kickboxing base and cardio, but thinks Kennedy's improvements in grappling and size could be decisive.

Kennedy by submission +950 (small poke)
"I see like a plus 950 on Kennedy by sub... I'm probably gonna take a little small poke on that"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Daniel Levi leans toward Kennedy Nzechukwu but is not confident. He acknowledges Jacoby's striking credentials and past success, but worries about Jacoby's age (35-36) and potential decline. Levi notes Nzechukwu's physical advantages (7-inch reach, southpaw) and his knack for comebacks, but also his slow starts and durability concerns. He sees this as a dog-or-pass situation and prefers Nzechukwu at the current price, though he would have picked Jacoby two years ago.

Mentions that he would take a comeback at dog odds but not at -150. No specific prop bet.
"I'm gonna lean Kennedy but it's a tough fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

James changed his mind after tape. He thinks Nzechukwu is younger, more athletic, and on an upward trajectory while Jacoby is declining. Nzechukwu's height and reach advantage will disrupt Jacoby's outside kickboxing game. He expects Nzechukwu to force pressure, clinch, and possibly finish inside the distance.

inside the distance
"I think Kennedy will win this fight... probably even inside the distance."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Jacoby loves combination striking, leg kicks, and body work. He had a 6-1-1 run until a split decision loss to Khalil Rountree and a bad KO loss. If he can stay safe and not get dropped, he should outpoint Nzechukwu, who is explosive but wears down. Jacoby's durability is a concern, but I'm sticking with Jacoby as a dog shot. He wins by decision.

"I'm going to stick with Jacoby here's the dog shot I think he's worth the play here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 2, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Paul takes Jacoby at plus money, citing his volume, leg kicks, and takedown defense. He notes Kennedy's suspect cardio and tendency to get rocked, and believes Jacoby can outland him in a kickboxing match. However, he acknowledges Jacoby's fights are often close decisions and only takes him at plus money.

"I'll take a dog poke here at Dustin Jacoby at the slight plus money"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

The host picks Kennedy Nzechukwu, citing his youth (31), durability, and recent momentum. He believes Nzechukwu will out-volume Jacoby and has a granite chin. He notes Jacoby is 35 and coming off a loss. He thinks Nzechukwu wins by decision but could finish. He warns that if the line goes above -165, value shifts to Jacoby.

line opened -126, now -156; suggests decision win for Nzechukwu; value on Jacoby if line exceeds -165
"I gotta lean Kennedy and shaku in the spot"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Azamat Murzakanov 0 64 of 131 48% 96 of 167 1 of 6 16% 0 0 3:06
Dustin Jacoby 1 67 of 127 52% 70 of 130 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Azamat Murzakanov 0 19 of 39 48% 19 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dustin Jacoby 0 25 of 50 50% 25 of 50 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:12
2 Azamat Murzakanov 0 21 of 40 52% 37 of 56 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:17
Dustin Jacoby 1 26 of 45 57% 29 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
3 Azamat Murzakanov 0 24 of 52 46% 40 of 72 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:49
Dustin Jacoby 0 16 of 32 50% 16 of 32 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Azamat Murzakanov 64 of 131 48% 36 of 95 8 of 12 20 of 24 60 of 126 4 of 5 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 67 of 127 52% 51 of 110 12 of 13 4 of 4 64 of 122 3 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Azamat Murzakanov 19 of 39 48% 8 of 24 2 of 4 9 of 11 19 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 25 of 50 50% 20 of 44 4 of 5 1 of 1 25 of 48 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Azamat Murzakanov 21 of 40 52% 12 of 27 2 of 4 7 of 9 20 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 26 of 45 57% 20 of 39 5 of 5 1 of 1 24 of 43 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Azamat Murzakanov 24 of 52 46% 16 of 44 4 of 4 4 of 4 21 of 48 3 of 4 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 16 of 32 50% 11 of 27 3 of 3 2 of 2 15 of 31 1 of 1 0 of 0
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Angelo picks Dustin Jacoby as the better technical striker, noting he was ranked 2nd in the world in kickboxing. However, he is not betting because Jacoby lacks power and Murzakanov hits very hard and has comeback KO power. He expects Jacoby to need to point-fight perfectly for 15 minutes to win, which is risky.

"Dustin's gonna be the pick but I'm not gonna bet him because he's gonna have to point fight his way to a win here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Big Brady picks Dustin Jacoby to win by decision. He cites Jacoby's size, reach, and volume advantages, as well as his good takedown defense and chin. He doubts Murzakanov's cardio and ability to take Jacoby down, and believes Jacoby will outpoint him over three rounds. He notes Murzakanov's power but thinks Jacoby can absorb it.

"give me a Dustin Jacoby to win this fight give me Dustin Jacoby to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Cody notes Murzakanov is a first-round finisher but low volume, while Jacoby throws high volume (120+ strikes). He thinks Jacoby's reach and cardio will be key, and that Murzakanov's power shots may not be enough to overcome Jacoby's output. He prefers to bet Jacoby live after the first round.

Live bet after first round
"I would take Justin Jacoby but these are big boys that are going to be largely in a striking Affair"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Connor also picks Jacoby, agreeing that Murzakanov's power-punching style is ill-suited for Jacoby's rangey, technical approach. He notes that Jacoby is durable and has only been knocked out by elite punchers like King Mo and Alex Pereira. Connor believes Murzakanov's lack of combination punching and setup will leave him vulnerable to Jacoby's consistent output and counter-striking.

"I came to the same conclusion. I'm just not that impressed with Azamat Murzakanov."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Jacoby's range, footwork, and kicks will keep Murzakanov at distance. Murzakanov's cardio and wrestling are questionable, and he tends to fade. Jacoby's disciplined striking and cardio advantage should lead to a clear decision victory. Murzakanov is difficult to finish, so expect a full 15 minutes.

Fight goes to decision
"I think we see Dustin Jacoby control his fight pretty easily from his kicks and utilizing his range and his height Advantage."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Paul sides with Jacoby's volume and reach advantage (5 inches). He notes Murzakanov may be undersized at 205 and that Jacoby's output should overwhelm him. He agrees with Cody that the live market may offer better value.

"I'll side with the volume again I'm going to decide with the the numbers and Jacoby's got a five inch reach advantage"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

The MMA Guru picks Dustin Jacoby to win by unanimous decision, citing Jacoby's length, footwork, and striking output. He warns Jacoby must avoid a war and use leg kicks from the outside to outpoint Murzakanov, who has fight-ending power but slow starts. He notes the -190 line is a bit high and would prefer -170, but still sides with Jacoby.

Jacoby wins by decision
"Dustin Jacoby will be the pick"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Zane picks Jacoby, citing his volume, durability, and technical kickboxing as too much for Murzakanov. He notes that Murzakanov is a one-dimensional power puncher who relies on timing and rhythm changes, but Jacoby's jab, kicks, and counter-punching will keep him at range. Zane also points out that Murzakanov's wins have come against lower-level competition, while Jacoby has proven himself against tougher opponents like Khalil Rountree.

"I think Jacoby's volume here carries the day."
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 120 of 255 47% 122 of 257 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:05
Dustin Jacoby 0 85 of 237 35% 88 of 241 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 34 of 66 51% 35 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Dustin Jacoby 0 20 of 57 35% 22 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 39 of 105 37% 40 of 106 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Dustin Jacoby 0 35 of 88 39% 36 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 47 of 84 55% 47 of 84 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Dustin Jacoby 0 30 of 92 32% 30 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khalil Rountree Jr. 120 of 255 47% 69 of 194 27 of 34 24 of 27 116 of 250 4 of 5 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 85 of 237 35% 49 of 193 18 of 23 18 of 21 80 of 231 5 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khalil Rountree Jr. 34 of 66 51% 12 of 38 12 of 16 10 of 12 34 of 66 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 20 of 57 35% 11 of 44 3 of 4 6 of 9 19 of 55 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Khalil Rountree Jr. 39 of 105 37% 30 of 93 5 of 7 4 of 5 39 of 105 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 35 of 88 39% 20 of 72 7 of 8 8 of 8 35 of 88 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Khalil Rountree Jr. 47 of 84 55% 27 of 63 10 of 11 10 of 10 43 of 79 4 of 5 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 30 of 92 32% 18 of 77 8 of 11 4 of 4 26 of 88 4 of 4 0 of 0
Expert Picks (7)
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

Big Brady picks Khalil Rountree Jr. to win by knockout, but admits it's a tough fight to call due to Rountree's inconsistency. He notes that if the best version of Rountree shows up, he can knock out Jacoby, who has been dropped before. He mentions the smaller cage favors Rountree's pressure. However, he acknowledges that Jacoby is the better striker and could easily outpoint Rountree if the inconsistent version appears.

Rountree wins by knockout
"give me round three to pull off the upset and knock out Dustin Jacoby in this matchup"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Cody picks Dustin Jacoby, citing his Glory kickboxing experience, superior cardio, and technical striking. He notes that Jacoby has shown durability (surviving knockdowns against Max Grisham) and should win on volume if he doesn't get knocked out. Cody acknowledges Khalil Rountree's power and potential but believes Jacoby's kickboxing skills will prevail in a 15-minute striking battle.

"I mean that practical fight kind of leaves me to believe that like Jacoby at -160 doesn't seem like a Bad Bet"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Daniel Levi picks Dustin Jacoby, citing his consistency, kickboxing experience (Glory), and titanium plate in his forearm that adds power. He acknowledges Khalil Rountree's knockout power and inconsistency, but trusts Jacoby's process. He is not betting due to the risk of Rountree's power, but picks Jacoby to win.

"Give me Jacoby For the Win not interested in betting it but my pick will be Jacoby."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Jacob is confident in Dustin Jacoby, calling him a real deal striker with great kickboxing. He acknowledges Rountree's power and inconsistency but believes technique wins. Jacoby can defend takedowns and should outpoint Rountree, though he admits bias.

"my official pick for this matchup is my dude Dustin Jacoby"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Jacoby's disciplined striking, footwork, and distance management will neutralize Rountree's power. Rountree's confidence is high but he struggles against technical strikers. Jacoby has more paths to victory and should win a decision. A small one-unit bet on Jacoby is recommended.

Jacoby by decision
"I like the favorite here I think it's a perfectly priced fight I don't mind a small shot here on uh Jacoby to even just win one unit"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

Paul is tempted by Khalil Rountree as a plus-money underdog, noting his sheer power and aggression. He mentions that when Rountree is in shape and motivated (as seen against Modestas Bukauskas and Karl Roberson), he can be dangerous. Paul says he needs to see the weigh-ins and dig into Rountree's personal life before deciding, but considers Rountree the most live underdog on the card.

"I'm super nervous on this one like uh in terms of which Underdog have we talked about so far that I would like the most is cool around tree listen if you're gonna give him plus money with what he brings to the table in terms of sheer power and aggression uh he's got a good chance"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

The MMA Guru picks Dustin Jacoby over Khalil Rountree, noting that Rountree's wins are against low-level opponents and he lost to Marcin Prachnio, who Jacoby should outperform. He highlights Jacoby's kickboxing credentials, reach, and chin, and believes Jacoby will fight on the outside, avoid Rountree's power, and win by 30-27 decision. He expects Rountree to have moments but fade.

"I'm gonna go if Dustin Jacob be winning this fight by a 30-27 decision"
KO (punch) R1 3:13
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Jacoby 1 14 of 23 60% 14 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Da Woon Jung 0 14 of 39 35% 14 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Jacoby 1 14 of 23 60% 14 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Da Woon Jung 0 14 of 39 35% 14 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Jacoby 14 of 23 60% 6 of 14 1 of 2 7 of 7 14 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Da Woon Jung 14 of 39 35% 6 of 26 1 of 4 7 of 9 14 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Jacoby 14 of 23 60% 6 of 14 1 of 2 7 of 7 14 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Da Woon Jung 14 of 39 35% 6 of 26 1 of 4 7 of 9 14 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 10, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Angelo picks Dustin Jacoby but is worried about Da Woon Jung's wrestling. He believes Jacoby's leg kicks will be the difference, slowing Jung down and allowing Jacoby to work his striking. He acknowledges Jung's impressive grappling and unbeaten streak, making this a tough pick.

"personally i am going to go dustin while the wrestling does worry me i think dustin's leg kicks will probably be the difference here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Big Brady picks Dustin Jacoby to win by decision. He favors Jacoby's volume and striking over Jung's power. He notes that Jung's takedown game is overrated, as he only showed it against William Knight. He thinks Jacoby's get-up game will neutralize takedowns and that Jacoby will outwork Jung over three rounds.

"i'm going to slightly lean with dustin jacoby to win this fight based off a volume based off of activity across three rounds"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 13, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Da Woon Jung

Cody leans towards Jung as a slight underdog, citing his power and wrestling as x-factors. He notes that Jacoby has holes in his game, including questionable chin and takedown defense. Cody believes Jung could exploit these with his power or takedowns, but he is not confident enough to bet.

Da Un Jung over 2 takedowns
"i got myself leaning towards it being a dogger pass"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Daniel Levi picks Dustin Jacoby, but jokingly notes he is wrong on every Da Woon Jung fight, so picking Jacoby means Jung will win. He praises Jacoby's kickboxing background and ability to overcome adversity, while noting Jung's power and length. He expects Jacoby to outwork Jung down the stretch to a decision.

decision win likely; line flip noted
"since i'm wrong on every single darwin junk fight i'm going to pick dustin jacoby so that don jung wins this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 13, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Da Woon Jung

Paul also leans towards Jung, noting his power and the fact that Jacoby has been taken down and hurt in past fights. He mentions Jung's win over Kennedy Nzechukwu and his ability to finish fights. However, he is not confident and calls it a dogger pass.

Da Un Jung over 2 takedowns
"jung for you jung for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Da Woon Jung

The MMA Guru picks Da Woon Jung as an underdog over Dustin Jacoby, citing Jung's grappling ability and power. He notes Jung's win over William Knight, where he dominated grappling exchanges, and believes Jung's takedown threat will neutralize Jacoby's kicking game. He also mentions Jacoby's close fights and age (34) as concerns, while Jung is younger (28) and improving rapidly.

underdog pick
"i'm gonna be siding with darun young here he's the underdog and i'm gonna pick him"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Jacoby 0 89 of 243 36% 107 of 269 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:10
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 69 of 173 39% 72 of 176 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Jacoby 0 22 of 80 27% 25 of 84 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:12
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 27 of 71 38% 27 of 71 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:06
2 Dustin Jacoby 0 36 of 80 45% 39 of 83 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:14
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 24 of 52 46% 25 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
3 Dustin Jacoby 0 31 of 83 37% 43 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:44
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 18 of 50 36% 20 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Jacoby 89 of 243 36% 74 of 222 13 of 19 2 of 2 70 of 214 18 of 28 1 of 1
Michał Oleksiejczuk 69 of 173 39% 59 of 160 10 of 13 0 of 0 66 of 170 3 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Jacoby 22 of 80 27% 13 of 69 8 of 10 1 of 1 22 of 80 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 27 of 71 38% 21 of 64 6 of 7 0 of 0 27 of 71 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Dustin Jacoby 36 of 80 45% 33 of 76 3 of 4 0 of 0 19 of 55 16 of 24 1 of 1
Michał Oleksiejczuk 24 of 52 46% 22 of 49 2 of 3 0 of 0 21 of 49 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Dustin Jacoby 31 of 83 37% 28 of 77 2 of 5 1 of 1 29 of 79 2 of 4 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 18 of 50 36% 16 of 47 2 of 3 0 of 0 18 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 25, 2022 (8 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Angelo picks Jacoby confidently, agreeing with the odds. He highlights Jacoby's leg kicks and technical striking. He notes Oleksiejczuk has a speed advantage but Jacoby's leg kicks will neutralize it. He expects Jacoby to win by TKO or one-sided decision.

"pretty confident here in dustin jacoby"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Big Brady picks Dustin Jacoby to win by decision. He notes that Jacoby has a significant size and reach advantage, and that Oleksiejczuk is small for light heavyweight. Brady believes Jacoby's kickboxing background and leg kicks will be key, and that Oleksiejczuk will have to close distance to land power shots. He also mentions that both fighters prefer to strike, and Jacoby is the more technical striker. Brady thinks the odds are about right and that Jacoby should win a decision.

Jacoby by decision
"i think dustin jacoby wins this fight and let's say he does win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Cody believes Jacoby is a bad matchup for Oleksiejczuk. He notes Jacoby's kicking game is a staple, while Oleksiejczuk throws almost no kicks and is a pure boxer. Jacoby can stay on the outside and kick, while Oleksiejczuk is undersized for 205 and may struggle to close distance. Cody expects Jacoby to win a decision or late finish.

"i think dustin jacoby absolutely uh absolutely eats his lunch makes it look pretty easy"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Daniel Levi picks Michał Oleksiejczuk as a dog, citing the plus 180 odds. He thinks the line is off and that this is a close fight. He acknowledges Jacoby's diverse weapons but believes Oleksiejczuk's pressure and power could lead to a knockout. He notes that Jacoby gets hit and has a kickboxing chin, and that Oleksiejczuk is a dangerous striker. He says he slightly leans Oleksiejczuk from a betting perspective.

plus 180 odds
"i think it is you know mccall is the side if you're going to play this fight i just don't feel comfortable laying jacoby"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Jacoby is a technically superior striker with great feints, jabs, and leg kicks. Oleksiejczuk is a power puncher who struggles against technical strikers, as seen in the Bukowski fight. Jacoby's size and reach will allow him to control the distance and counter effectively. Oleksiejczuk's only chance is to land a big shot, but Jacoby's chin is solid. Jacoby should win a decision or get a late finish.

sprinkle on round 3 prop
"i already pulled the trigger at minus 194 i think that's a damn good spot i think he has a field day with mihal"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Paul picks Oleksiejczuk but is not confident. He notes Oleksiejczuk's boxing and aggression could be effective if he can back Jacoby up, but Jacoby's kicking and veteran savvy are concerns. Paul calls it a dog-or-pass fight and leans Oleksiejczuk due to his youth and improvements.

"i think i'm going to take prince michael but you like princess again i don't i don't love it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

The MMA Guru picks Dustin Jacoby over Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing Jacoby's superior striking technique, cardio, range control, and chin compared to Modestas Bukauskas, who gave Oleksiejczuk a close fight. He believes Jacoby's kicks will be the difference, keeping Oleksiejczuk at range, and predicts a close 29-28 decision, possibly with a scare where Oleksiejczuk drops Jacoby in one round. He notes Oleksiejczuk has a power advantage but trusts Jacoby's full camp preparation.

"i'm going to side with dustin jacoby here over macau alexey chuck"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Jacoby 0 153 of 321 47% 153 of 321 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
John Allan 0 77 of 189 40% 78 of 190 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Jacoby 0 48 of 105 45% 48 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
John Allan 0 25 of 56 44% 25 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Dustin Jacoby 0 57 of 119 47% 57 of 119 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
John Allan 0 25 of 68 36% 26 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Dustin Jacoby 0 48 of 97 49% 48 of 97 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
John Allan 0 27 of 65 41% 27 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Jacoby 153 of 321 47% 110 of 270 21 of 28 22 of 23 152 of 319 1 of 2 0 of 0
John Allan 77 of 189 40% 43 of 149 11 of 14 23 of 26 76 of 184 1 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Jacoby 48 of 105 45% 29 of 85 9 of 10 10 of 10 48 of 105 0 of 0 0 of 0
John Allan 25 of 56 44% 10 of 38 6 of 7 9 of 11 25 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Dustin Jacoby 57 of 119 47% 43 of 103 9 of 11 5 of 5 56 of 118 1 of 1 0 of 0
John Allan 25 of 68 36% 13 of 54 3 of 4 9 of 10 24 of 66 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Dustin Jacoby 48 of 97 49% 38 of 82 3 of 7 7 of 8 48 of 96 0 of 1 0 of 0
John Allan 27 of 65 41% 20 of 57 2 of 3 5 of 5 27 of 62 0 of 3 0 of 0
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Angelo picks Dustin Jacoby, a high-level kickboxer with good power and volume. He notes Jacoby's leg kicks and technical striking, and believes his composure and technique will overcome John Allan's wrestling. He acknowledges Jacoby's takedown defense is not great but points to his draw against Kudalaba where he was taken down nine times yet still performed well on the feet. He expects a decision win.

Parlay addition (suggested by Jacob)
"i like dustin's composure i like his technique i like his power it is likely a decision because we've seen how tough john allen is but i do like short notice dustin jacoby here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 1, 2021 (5 days before fight)
John Allan

Big Brady is very hesitant on this fight, calling it a complete pass for betting. He notes Jacoby has a striking advantage but poor takedown defense, while Allan has a wrestling background but has been submitted multiple times. Brady picks Allan as a dog, expecting him to get takedowns and win a greasy decision, but admits he has very little confidence in the pick.

"if i absolutely had to it's going to be the dog and the dog and john alon i'll take the dog shot in terms of a pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Cody picks Jacoby but with low confidence due to short notice and cardio concerns. He notes Jacoby's striking edge but worries about Allan's wrestling. He suggests passing or live betting.

"i pretty much agree with the large majority of your points i think i am going to still take dustin jacoby"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 4, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Daniel Levi picks Dustin Jacoby, citing his high-level kickboxing and improved MMA game. He notes that Jacoby's jab and low kicks are effective, and that John Allan was dropped by a jiu-jitsu guy (Roman Dolidze) and was hesitant on the feet. Levi expects Jacoby to win by decision or finish, as he has fought many similar opponents in kickboxing. He mentions that Jacoby is always in shape and has a good camp.

"i gotta go with justin jacoby here"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Jacob agrees with Angelo, picking Dustin Jacoby. He emphasizes that Jacoby is a 3-to-1 favorite despite taking the fight on short notice, which usually hurts odds. He believes if this were a full camp fight, Jacoby would be a 5-to-1 favorite. He suggests using Jacoby in a parlay to mitigate the high moneyline odds. He also notes John Allan's 'steroid nipples' as a potential factor.

Parlay addition
"dustin jacoby should actually absolutely dominate this fight and honestly that three to one money is probably still good money"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

The host is confident Jacoby wins, citing his cardio, striking from the outside, and ability to get back to his feet after takedowns. He expects Jacoby to win a dominant decision, though he notes Allen is durable. He considers Jacoby a good parlay piece despite the high price.

"i like jacoby a lot in the spot so once again final prediction we're going with dustin jacoby to win this fight for your decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Paul leans Jacoby but is wary of the short notice and Jacoby's inconsistent cardio. He notes Jacoby's striking advantage but worries about takedowns. He wants to see weigh-ins before committing.

"i am going to still take dustin jacoby but i really want to see the weigh-ins"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

The Guru picks Dustin Jacoby (referred to as Alexa Kamur), believing he should have beaten Nikolai Negumereanu. He notes Jacoby's solid chin, cardio, and fundamental soundness, training at Stipe Miocic's gym. He criticizes John Allan's performance against Roman Dolidze, especially his cardio issues. The Guru predicts a 29-28 decision win for Jacoby.

"I'm going to go with alexa kamur here i actually really like alexa kamur and i thought he beat nikolai nagumianu."
TKO (punches) R1 3:04
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Jacoby 0 37 of 61 60% 38 of 63 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
Darren Stewart 0 18 of 33 54% 22 of 37 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Jacoby 0 37 of 61 60% 38 of 63 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
Darren Stewart 0 18 of 33 54% 22 of 37 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Jacoby 37 of 61 60% 33 of 53 3 of 6 1 of 2 30 of 52 6 of 8 1 of 1
Darren Stewart 18 of 33 54% 11 of 26 4 of 4 3 of 3 13 of 28 5 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Jacoby 37 of 61 60% 33 of 53 3 of 6 1 of 2 30 of 52 6 of 8 1 of 1
Darren Stewart 18 of 33 54% 11 of 26 4 of 4 3 of 3 13 of 28 5 of 5 0 of 0
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Angelo picks Jacoby, citing his Muay Thai striking adapted to MMA, size advantage, and Stewart's chin issues. He notes Stewart is moving up in weight and has lost two in a row. He has an inside the distance bet on Jacoby and likes the less less on monkey knife fight.

Angelo has an inside the distance bet on Jacoby; he likes the less less on monkey knife fight.
"i absolutely love dustin jacoby in general i love him in this fight he is in my draftking lineup and i have an inside the distance bet on him"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Cody leans toward Jacoby but is not confident. He notes Jacoby's poor cardio and unimpressive UFC performances, but thinks his striking should be enough against Stewart, who is a natural middleweight. Cody considers Stewart's wrestling a threat but believes Jacoby's size and striking will allow him to pull away. He says the smart move is a pass but he'll probably end up taking Jacoby in parlays.

"the smart move is probably a pass but what we'll end up doing is probably end up ending taking jeff and jacoby and keeping him on the the later end of the parlays"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Jacob picks Jacoby, emphasizing his ability to dictate pressure and steal rounds with fight IQ. He notes Stewart took an easy way out in his last fight and that Jacoby's takedowns are better. He expects Jacoby to win, possibly by decision.

"i actually like jacoby in this matchup as well"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 27, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Lock picks Jacoby by KO at +300, citing the size and striking skill advantage. He thinks Stewart will struggle to close distance and Jacoby's leg kicks and boxing will be effective. Lock likes the under 2.5 rounds at +150 as well, expecting a striking match that ends early. He notes Stewart has power but is hittable and has been knocked out before.

under 2.5 rounds +150, Jacoby by KO +300
"i do like jacoby here i think he's the rightful favorite i do think the line is a little bit wide uh jacoby via ko plus 300 not too bad of a line in my opinion"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Paul leans toward Jacoby but is hesitant. He notes Jacoby's cardio issues and Stewart's wrestling, but thinks Jacoby's kickboxing should give him an edge. Paul says he'll watch the weigh-ins and might add Jacoby to parlays. He is not fully confident and considers passing.

"i think this is another one of these spots that i'd rather pass or you know end up with justin jacoby on some later stuff"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

The Guru picks Dustin Jacoby, noting his size and reach advantage over Darren Stewart, who is a small middleweight moving up. He expects Jacoby's takedown defense and striking to be too much, predicting a TKO in the second round via leg kicks and body work. The Guru believes Stewart's only path is grappling, but Jacoby's improved defense will nullify that.

Jacoby by TKO in round 2
"i'll say dustin jacoby tko in the second round chops darren stewart's legs up chops up the body as well and then starts going to work with the hands in the second round"
Draw (split) (28–29, 29–28, 28–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ion Cuțelaba 0 71 of 152 46% 111 of 201 9 of 19 47% 0 0 4:27
Dustin Jacoby 0 84 of 148 56% 100 of 164 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ion Cuțelaba 0 26 of 31 83% 45 of 59 8 of 11 72% 0 0 3:19
Dustin Jacoby 0 11 of 19 57% 11 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
2 Ion Cuțelaba 0 19 of 57 33% 21 of 59 1 of 7 14% 0 0 0:50
Dustin Jacoby 0 40 of 68 58% 43 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
3 Ion Cuțelaba 0 26 of 64 40% 45 of 83 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:18
Dustin Jacoby 0 33 of 61 54% 46 of 74 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ion Cuțelaba 71 of 152 46% 62 of 139 5 of 9 4 of 4 44 of 123 8 of 8 19 of 21
Dustin Jacoby 84 of 148 56% 67 of 130 8 of 9 9 of 9 80 of 142 3 of 5 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ion Cuțelaba 26 of 31 83% 24 of 29 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 8 2 of 2 19 of 21
Dustin Jacoby 11 of 19 57% 8 of 16 1 of 1 2 of 2 10 of 17 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Ion Cuțelaba 19 of 57 33% 16 of 52 3 of 5 0 of 0 17 of 55 2 of 2 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 40 of 68 58% 30 of 58 4 of 4 6 of 6 40 of 67 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ion Cuțelaba 26 of 64 40% 22 of 58 1 of 3 3 of 3 22 of 60 4 of 4 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 33 of 61 54% 29 of 56 3 of 4 1 of 1 30 of 58 2 of 2 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ion Cutelaba vs. Dustin Jacoby

Round 1
The strikes will be fast and furious for this next contest, as light heavyweights Cutelaba (15-6, 1 NC; 4-5 UFC) and Jacoby (14-5, 2-2 UFC) come to blows in what has suddenly become a grudge match. The two combine for 21 knockouts in their 29 career wins, and one more could be added before it’s all said and done. Referee Mark Smith will have his hands full with this brawl, and there is no glove touch as these two would rather smash the other in the face immediately. Cutelaba begins with a stomp kick on the lower leg as well as a left hand, and Jacoby backs away and scores a thumping leg kick. Cutelaba nails Jacoby with a left hand, and the huge right hand that follows hits nothing but air. Jacoby scores another big leg kick, and a few jabs mark up Cutelaba’s face. Cutelaba charges in to attack, throwing looping shots and scoring a few. The Moldovan shoots in low out of nowhere to hit a takedown, and he puts Jacoby on his back. The former kickboxer climbs back to his feet, only to get dragged right back down. “The Hanyak” does not stay grounded for long, although he grabs the fence to get back up and is admonished for it. Cutelaba grinds on Jacoby before hitting a mat return, and Jacoby pops right back up. Cutelaba drags him down and lands a few punches, including one that lands to the back of the head, and he is warned for his foul. Cutelaba keeps a tight grip and trips Jacoby’s legs out from beneath him, before landing a few heavy but short right hands. Cutelaba wrestles Jacoby back down, and Jacoby continues to climb back up. Jacoby once more grabs the fence to stand, and he is again warned. Cutelaba tosses him down, and when Jacoby crawls to the fence, Cutelaba deals some serious damage with short elbows that have Jacoby in sudden trouble. Cutelaba keeps elbowing him on the side of the head as Jacoby is pinned to the fence, and when Jacoby stands up, the Moldovan trips him right back down. Cutelaba pounds away a few times when Jacoby is on his knees, and he thinks about kneeing Jacoby but does not because Jacoby is grounded. Cutelaba lands a few punches and elbows. Jacoby breaks free by grabbing the fence, and Smith shouts at him but does not do anything more. Jacoby gets to the center of the cage and plants his fist on Cutelaba’s face a few times, and to the surprise of many, we have reached the end of Round 1.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Cutelaba
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-8 Cutelaba
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Cutelaba

Round 2
Jacoby tries to time a knee at the very beginning of the round, because Cutelaba charges in for a takedown. Even though it partially connects, Cutelaba easily scoops him up and puts him on the ground. Like many times in the previous round, Jacoby walks his way up the fence. Cutelaba greets him with a knee on the chin, but “The Hanyak” is no worse for wear. Jacoby chops at the leg, and he tries to time another knee as Cutelaba rushes in. Cutelaba lifts up a single, and Jacoby stuffs it this time and may have used the fence as his ally. Jacoby slings up a head kick, and Cutelaba slugs with him and lands a big right hand. When Jacoby tries to counter, Cutelaba rips the body with a left. Jacoby eats a crisp left hand without concern, and he defends himself from a takedown by pushing Cutelaba into the fence. Jacoby sticks out a few jabs and lands a solid uppercut, and he stuffs a takedown. Cutelaba gets in a left hand, and Jacoby reaches with his hands outstretched as if to motion that it did not hurt. Cutelaba sits down on a left hand again, and Jacoby walks through it like a champ. “The Hanyak” lands leg kick, and marches forward into a few big punches. Jacoby lands with his own strikes, and he has successfully gotten Cutelaba to take backwards steps. Cutelaba bursts forward and attacks, and Jacoby blocks some of the strikes but not all of them. Jacoby paws out with a few jabs, and Cutelaba is still exclusively loading up on power punches. A few sharp jabs break up wild strikes from the Moldovan, but “The Hulk” rages forward and slings with all his might. Jacoby rocks him with a right hand, and Cutelaba stumbles back before swinging with all his might. Jacoby backs out of the way and reaches out with several straight left hands, all while ducking the looming, looping right hands. The light heavyweight reach the 10-minute mark.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jacoby
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Jacoby
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jacoby

Round 3
The sluggers finally show a sign of respect to one another, touching gloves before they come out swinging. Both get off some leg kicks, and Cutelaba lands a left hand only to get touched up with a big body kick. Cutelaba bites down on his mouthpiece to throw a monster left and a right, and Jacoby lets him throw so he can counter. The two trade single strikes one after the other, and Jacoby walks him down and lands a high body kick. The two jab at the same time, and Cutelaba leaps forward with a left hook. Jacoby scores right back, and they are taking turns connecting fairly solidly every time. Two big punches make Jacoby retreat, but Jacoby got one off right before that. The strikes are almost all to the head, as Cutelaba is headhunting with big looping shots that still connect. Jacoby flicks out a few jabs but is also throwing heavy punches back at him. The two both loop left hands at the same time, and Cutelaba doubles up a jab to go over the top with a right. “The Hanyak” backs off and leaps in with a knee, which clatters off the Moldovan’s head. Cutelaba grabs on to him and pushes him into the clinch. There is no takedown attempt this time for Cutelaba, who appears too fatigued to change levels. Smith asks them to work once Jacoby pushes his man into the fence, and it is the kickboxer who ducks down for a single. Cutelaba defends it and keeps his balance, and he cracks Jacoby with a right hand. Jacoby, who may be rocked, pushes into the clinch again. After they grind on the cage, Jacoby pushes off and jabs out a few times. Jacoby shoots in low for a double, and he hits it. Jacoby lands one single punch as he tugs Cutelaba’s legs away from him, and this 205-pound slugfest has surprisingly gone the distance.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cutelaba (29-27 Cutelaba)
Lev Pisarsky scores the round: 10-9 Jacoby (28-28)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jacoby (28-28)

The Official Result
Ion Cutelaba vs. Dustin Jacoby is ruled a Split Draw (28-29, 29-28, 28-28)
Expert Picks (6)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ion Cuțelaba

Big Brady picks Ion Cuțelaba to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Cuțelaba has faced tough competition and has good takedown accuracy, while Jacoby is coming in on short notice and had a close fight with Maxim Grisham. Brady expects the fight to end early, likely by Cuțelaba's ground-and-pound. He mentions that both fighters have cardio concerns, but Cuțelaba's takedown game will be key.

under 1.5 rounds, first round knockout
"i'm gonna go ian kuru laba by first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ion Cuțelaba

Cody believes Cuțelaba has the wrestling and grappling advantage, and that Jacoby's cardio is not good either. He notes that if Cuțelaba makes it an MMA fight and uses his grappling, he can land big bombs and toss Jacoby to the ground. He points out that Jacoby's path to victory is striking, but Cuțelaba can exploit his grappling deficiency. He gives Cuțelaba the benefit of the doubt at 27 years old, while Jacoby is 33 and not making vast improvements.

"if eon just decides to fight a decent game plan which listen i know a lot of people are probably sitting at home laughing now eon fight a decent game plan but like if he just decides to wrestle and grapple a little bit here he's going to have big pockets of success"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Daniel Levi picks Dustin Jacoby to win, reasoning that Cuțelaba is a front-runner who gasses after the first round. He notes Jacoby's kickboxing background and ability to weather the early storm. Levi also mentions that Cuțelaba's wrestling is rarely used and that Jacoby's experience against elite kickboxers gives him an edge in later rounds.

"i'm gonna go with dustin uh for the upset"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Ion Cuțelaba

The host picks Ion Cuțelaba by KO, expecting him to use his wrestling to take Jacoby down and finish with ground and pound. He notes Jacoby's poor cardio and recent performance against Maxim Grishin. He likes the over 1.5 rounds as well.

Ion Cuțelaba by KO at +120; Over 1.5 rounds at +100
"I like kutsulaba kutilaba by ko i plus 120 not so bad of the line"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Ion Cuțelaba

Paul agrees with Cody that Cuțelaba is the rightful favorite. He notes that Cuțelaba is aggressive, throws heat, and has decent wrestling, but his cardio is poor. However, Jacoby's cardio is also not good. He thinks Cuțelaba can use his grappling to win, and that Jacoby's wrestling deficiency is well-known. He mentions that the line is close to even money and his heart leans toward Cuțelaba.

"i'm actually gonna agree with that and take uh ian kudalaba as a favorite"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Ion Cuțelaba

The MMA Guru picks Ion Cuțelaba to win by first-round TKO over Dustin Jacoby. He believes Cuțelaba is not just a brawler but has good grappling, as shown in his fight against Khalil Rountree. He notes that Jacoby is a stand-up fighter who relies on leg kicks, which could be dangerous against a grappler. He also mentions that Jacoby is taking the fight on short notice.

first round TKO
"i'm picking ion kuta laba to do very well in the grappling here and finish jacoby in the first round by tko on the ground and pound"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Jacoby 0 57 of 137 41% 60 of 141 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
Maxim Grishin 2 66 of 156 42% 80 of 172 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Jacoby 0 13 of 32 40% 13 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Maxim Grishin 2 21 of 39 53% 32 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:08
2 Dustin Jacoby 0 18 of 48 37% 18 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maxim Grishin 0 18 of 42 42% 18 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Dustin Jacoby 0 26 of 57 45% 29 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Maxim Grishin 0 27 of 75 36% 30 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Jacoby 57 of 137 41% 25 of 88 7 of 15 25 of 34 55 of 133 2 of 4 0 of 0
Maxim Grishin 66 of 156 42% 31 of 110 8 of 16 27 of 30 59 of 144 2 of 5 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Jacoby 13 of 32 40% 4 of 15 3 of 8 6 of 9 11 of 28 2 of 4 0 of 0
Maxim Grishin 21 of 39 53% 12 of 26 2 of 6 7 of 7 14 of 27 2 of 5 5 of 7
2 Dustin Jacoby 18 of 48 37% 6 of 33 2 of 4 10 of 11 18 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maxim Grishin 18 of 42 42% 7 of 28 4 of 6 7 of 8 18 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Dustin Jacoby 26 of 57 45% 15 of 40 2 of 3 9 of 14 26 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maxim Grishin 27 of 75 36% 12 of 56 2 of 4 13 of 15 27 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Big Brady picks Dustin Jacoby to win by second-round knockout. He thinks Jacoby is the much faster and crisper striker with higher volume, and that leg kicks will be a big factor in the small cage. He notes Grishin is older, has low volume, and lacks wrestling despite having a potential advantage there. He says the line at -175 is not awful but he is personally passing on betting it.

knockout in round 2
"i'm going to take jacoby here to win i'm going to say by by second round knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Daniel Levi picks Dustin Jacoby, noting the difference in striking level. He believes Jacoby's kickboxing background and leg kicks will be decisive, as Grishin prefers stand-up but has been knocked out before. Levi acknowledges Grishin's experience but thinks Jacoby's power and technique will secure the win.

"I'm gonna actually go with dustin jacoby here... i think the difference in level here on the feet is big enough to where i'll go with the favorite dustin jacoby to get it done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Jacoby's striking, especially his calf kicks, will be a major problem for Grishin, who tends to back up and accept pressure. Jacoby has shown improved confidence and efficiency. Grishin is slow and doesn't excel in any one area. Jacoby should win via TKO in the second round, as Grishin's durability is questionable.

Jacoby inside the distance at +175
"i like jacoby uh personally i'd like better odds on on him too as well i'll probably stay away from this fight but i'd maybe peak the jacobi inside the distance line"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Maxim Grishin

The MMA Guru picks Maxim Grishin as an upset winner, citing Grishin's grappling advantage and ability to mix in takedowns against the kickboxer Jacoby. He notes Jacoby's time away for kickboxing may have hindered his wrestling development, and expects Grishin to wear him down with clinch work and grappling in the second and third rounds. He acknowledges Jacoby could win the first round but believes Grishin's cardio and pressure will take over. He also mentions Grishin's only recent loss was on short notice at heavyweight to Marcin Tybura, and that he has been successful in PFL.

"i believe we're gonna start this card off with an upset win with grisham getting the job done against dustin jacoby"
TKO (leg kicks and punches) R1 2:38
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Jacoby 2 22 of 38 57% 22 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Justin Ledet 0 10 of 31 32% 10 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Jacoby 2 22 of 38 57% 22 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Justin Ledet 0 10 of 31 32% 10 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Jacoby 22 of 38 57% 10 of 22 2 of 5 10 of 11 17 of 29 0 of 1 5 of 8
Justin Ledet 10 of 31 32% 8 of 29 0 of 0 2 of 2 10 of 30 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Jacoby 22 of 38 57% 10 of 22 2 of 5 10 of 11 17 of 29 0 of 1 5 of 8
Justin Ledet 10 of 31 32% 8 of 29 0 of 0 2 of 2 10 of 30 0 of 1 0 of 0
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 28, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Big Brady favors Jacoby due to his kickboxing background and higher output. He notes Ledet's low output and potential submission threat but doubts Ledet's wrestling to get the fight down. He predicts a decision win for Jacoby, though he thinks the line is a bit steep for a parlay.

"i'm going to take jacoby here to win a decision i don't think a finish is completely crazy as well"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

Jacoby is the much better striker with solid kickboxing experience and movement. Ledet is on a three-fight losing streak and hasn't evolved his game. Jacoby should win by second-round KO, though the -310 line is a bit wide.

Jacoby wins in round 2
"I like jacoby here... I think he's the much better fighter overall and he's really going to get a striking going here which should allow him to get a finish in the second round"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Dustin Jacoby

The MMA Guru picks Dustin Jacoby to win by unanimous decision, citing Jacoby's kickboxing background and better striking. He notes that Justin Ledet has been ragdolled by wrestlers and hasn't shown the ability to take Jacoby down, so Jacoby should keep it standing and outpoint him.

"i'm definitely going to be picking dustin jacoby to keep this stand in be a better kickboxer and probably take this to a unanimous decision"
Submission (guillotine choke) R3 1:08
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Camozzi 0 44 of 128 34% 44 of 128 0 of 1 0% 2 0 0:06
Dustin Jacoby 0 30 of 126 23% 31 of 127 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Camozzi 0 22 of 58 37% 22 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Dustin Jacoby 0 16 of 63 25% 16 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Chris Camozzi 0 18 of 56 32% 18 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dustin Jacoby 0 10 of 49 20% 11 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Chris Camozzi 0 4 of 14 28% 4 of 14 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:06
Dustin Jacoby 0 4 of 14 28% 4 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Camozzi 44 of 128 34% 24 of 103 4 of 8 16 of 17 42 of 122 2 of 5 0 of 1
Dustin Jacoby 30 of 126 23% 16 of 100 7 of 16 7 of 10 29 of 124 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Camozzi 22 of 58 37% 10 of 42 3 of 7 9 of 9 20 of 53 2 of 5 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 16 of 63 25% 8 of 49 5 of 9 3 of 5 15 of 61 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Chris Camozzi 18 of 56 32% 12 of 49 0 of 0 6 of 7 18 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 10 of 49 20% 7 of 42 1 of 4 2 of 3 10 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Chris Camozzi 4 of 14 28% 2 of 12 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 1
Dustin Jacoby 4 of 14 28% 1 of 9 1 of 3 2 of 2 4 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Submission (guillotine choke) R3 1:08
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Camozzi 0 44 of 128 34% 44 of 128 0 of 1 0% 2 0 0:06
Dustin Jacoby 0 30 of 126 23% 31 of 127 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Camozzi 0 22 of 58 37% 22 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Dustin Jacoby 0 16 of 63 25% 16 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Chris Camozzi 0 18 of 56 32% 18 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dustin Jacoby 0 10 of 49 20% 11 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Chris Camozzi 0 4 of 14 28% 4 of 14 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:06
Dustin Jacoby 0 4 of 14 28% 4 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Camozzi 44 of 128 34% 24 of 103 4 of 8 16 of 17 42 of 122 2 of 5 0 of 1
Dustin Jacoby 30 of 126 23% 16 of 100 7 of 16 7 of 10 29 of 124 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Camozzi 22 of 58 37% 10 of 42 3 of 7 9 of 9 20 of 53 2 of 5 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 16 of 63 25% 8 of 49 5 of 9 3 of 5 15 of 61 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Chris Camozzi 18 of 56 32% 12 of 49 0 of 0 6 of 7 18 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 10 of 49 20% 7 of 42 1 of 4 2 of 3 10 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Chris Camozzi 4 of 14 28% 2 of 12 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 1
Dustin Jacoby 4 of 14 28% 1 of 9 1 of 3 2 of 2 4 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Submission (guillotine choke) R3 1:08
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Camozzi 0 44 of 128 34% 44 of 128 0 of 1 0% 2 0 0:06
Dustin Jacoby 0 30 of 126 23% 31 of 127 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Camozzi 0 22 of 58 37% 22 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Dustin Jacoby 0 16 of 63 25% 16 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Chris Camozzi 0 18 of 56 32% 18 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dustin Jacoby 0 10 of 49 20% 11 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Chris Camozzi 0 4 of 14 28% 4 of 14 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:06
Dustin Jacoby 0 4 of 14 28% 4 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Camozzi 44 of 128 34% 24 of 103 4 of 8 16 of 17 42 of 122 2 of 5 0 of 1
Dustin Jacoby 30 of 126 23% 16 of 100 7 of 16 7 of 10 29 of 124 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Camozzi 22 of 58 37% 10 of 42 3 of 7 9 of 9 20 of 53 2 of 5 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 16 of 63 25% 8 of 49 5 of 9 3 of 5 15 of 61 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Chris Camozzi 18 of 56 32% 12 of 49 0 of 0 6 of 7 18 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 10 of 49 20% 7 of 42 1 of 4 2 of 3 10 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Chris Camozzi 4 of 14 28% 2 of 12 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 1
Dustin Jacoby 4 of 14 28% 1 of 9 1 of 3 2 of 2 4 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Submission (guillotine choke) R3 1:08
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Camozzi 0 44 of 128 34% 44 of 128 0 of 1 0% 2 0 0:06
Dustin Jacoby 0 30 of 126 23% 31 of 127 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Camozzi 0 22 of 58 37% 22 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Dustin Jacoby 0 16 of 63 25% 16 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Chris Camozzi 0 18 of 56 32% 18 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dustin Jacoby 0 10 of 49 20% 11 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Chris Camozzi 0 4 of 14 28% 4 of 14 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:06
Dustin Jacoby 0 4 of 14 28% 4 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Camozzi 44 of 128 34% 24 of 103 4 of 8 16 of 17 42 of 122 2 of 5 0 of 1
Dustin Jacoby 30 of 126 23% 16 of 100 7 of 16 7 of 10 29 of 124 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Camozzi 22 of 58 37% 10 of 42 3 of 7 9 of 9 20 of 53 2 of 5 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 16 of 63 25% 8 of 49 5 of 9 3 of 5 15 of 61 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Chris Camozzi 18 of 56 32% 12 of 49 0 of 0 6 of 7 18 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 10 of 49 20% 7 of 42 1 of 4 2 of 3 10 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Chris Camozzi 4 of 14 28% 2 of 12 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 1
Dustin Jacoby 4 of 14 28% 1 of 9 1 of 3 2 of 2 4 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Submission (guillotine choke) R3 1:08
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Camozzi 0 44 of 128 34% 44 of 128 0 of 1 0% 2 0 0:06
Dustin Jacoby 0 30 of 126 23% 31 of 127 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Camozzi 0 22 of 58 37% 22 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Dustin Jacoby 0 16 of 63 25% 16 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Chris Camozzi 0 18 of 56 32% 18 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dustin Jacoby 0 10 of 49 20% 11 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Chris Camozzi 0 4 of 14 28% 4 of 14 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:06
Dustin Jacoby 0 4 of 14 28% 4 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Camozzi 44 of 128 34% 24 of 103 4 of 8 16 of 17 42 of 122 2 of 5 0 of 1
Dustin Jacoby 30 of 126 23% 16 of 100 7 of 16 7 of 10 29 of 124 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Camozzi 22 of 58 37% 10 of 42 3 of 7 9 of 9 20 of 53 2 of 5 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 16 of 63 25% 8 of 49 5 of 9 3 of 5 15 of 61 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Chris Camozzi 18 of 56 32% 12 of 49 0 of 0 6 of 7 18 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 10 of 49 20% 7 of 42 1 of 4 2 of 3 10 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Chris Camozzi 4 of 14 28% 2 of 12 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 1
Dustin Jacoby 4 of 14 28% 1 of 9 1 of 3 2 of 2 4 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Clifford Starks 0 18 of 72 25% 35 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dustin Jacoby 0 26 of 82 31% 81 of 147 3 of 3 100% 0 0 5:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Clifford Starks 0 6 of 29 20% 7 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dustin Jacoby 0 9 of 41 21% 14 of 46 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:29
2 Clifford Starks 0 11 of 27 40% 20 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dustin Jacoby 0 10 of 22 45% 31 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:01
3 Clifford Starks 0 1 of 16 6% 8 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dustin Jacoby 0 7 of 19 36% 36 of 53 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Clifford Starks 18 of 72 25% 14 of 67 4 of 4 0 of 1 17 of 71 1 of 1 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 26 of 82 31% 23 of 76 3 of 6 0 of 0 19 of 65 0 of 1 7 of 16
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Clifford Starks 6 of 29 20% 5 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 9 of 41 21% 7 of 38 2 of 3 0 of 0 9 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Clifford Starks 11 of 27 40% 8 of 23 3 of 3 0 of 1 11 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 10 of 22 45% 9 of 20 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 13 0 of 0 4 of 9
3 Clifford Starks 1 of 16 6% 1 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0
Dustin Jacoby 7 of 19 36% 7 of 18 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 11 0 of 1 3 of 7