UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · Jan 18, 2020 · Heavyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy Next Fight
Age 48
Height 6' 2"
Reach 80.0"
Weight 240 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 39
Height 6' 7"
Reach 80.0"
Weight 258 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Aleksei Oleinik
3.29 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
3.8 SApM
44.0% Str. Def.
1.82 TD Avg
46.0% TD Acc.
37.0% TD Def.
1.9 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Maurice Greene
3.28 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
3.61 SApM
45.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
27.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Aleksei Oleinik - Fight History
LOSS vs Ilir Latifi
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · Oct 01, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ilir Latifi 0 38 of 48 79% 74 of 88 3 of 6 50% 0 0 8:29
Aleksei Oleinik 0 28 of 70 40% 68 of 113 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ilir Latifi 0 11 of 14 78% 45 of 51 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:16
Aleksei Oleinik 0 4 of 12 33% 24 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ilir Latifi 0 17 of 21 80% 19 of 24 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:45
Aleksei Oleinik 0 17 of 30 56% 30 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ilir Latifi 0 10 of 13 76% 10 of 13 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:28
Aleksei Oleinik 0 7 of 28 25% 14 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ilir Latifi 38 of 48 79% 32 of 40 6 of 8 0 of 0 18 of 27 5 of 6 15 of 15
Aleksei Oleinik 28 of 70 40% 9 of 46 7 of 9 12 of 15 27 of 66 1 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ilir Latifi 11 of 14 78% 8 of 10 3 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 9
Aleksei Oleinik 4 of 12 33% 1 of 8 0 of 1 3 of 3 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ilir Latifi 17 of 21 80% 15 of 18 2 of 3 0 of 0 10 of 14 1 of 1 6 of 6
Aleksei Oleinik 17 of 30 56% 5 of 17 5 of 6 7 of 7 17 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ilir Latifi 10 of 13 76% 9 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 8 4 of 5 0 of 0
Aleksei Oleinik 7 of 28 25% 3 of 21 2 of 2 2 of 5 6 of 25 1 of 3 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ilir Latifi

Cody picks Ilir Latifi to win, highlighting his power and the favorable matchup. He notes that Oleinik has a compromised chin and that Latifi's big hooks could knock him out. He expects Latifi to either knock out Oleinik early or grind out a decision. He mentions that Latifi has been training at All-Stars in Sweden and looks motivated.

Latifi by KO +195/+200; Latifi by decision +250
"I just think stylistically he gets this job done even if it's a knockout or a boring decision regardless I still just think he gets the job done"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ilir Latifi

Paul picks Ilir Latifi to win, citing his takedown ability and top control. He notes that Oleinik is unlikely to submit Latifi due to his lack of a neck, and that Latifi's power could lead to a knockout. He expects a slow, grinding fight but believes Latifi's style is a bad matchup for Oleinik. He is not betting due to emotional attachment to both fighters.

"I'm picking the sledgehammer I'm not going to be betting this fight because you know my heart's too invested on both sides"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Aleksei Oleinik

The MMA Guru picks Aleksei Oleinik, despite acknowledging the difficulty of submitting Latifi due to his lack of a neck. He believes Oleinik has the cardio advantage and can outlast Latifi, who hasn't knocked anyone out since 2016. He thinks Oleinik will win a decision by outworking Latifi with volume and grappling. He calls the plus money on Oleinik 'crazy' and bets on him.

Oleinik by decision
"Oleinik by decision is my pick... I think Oleinik has the gas and always kind of surprises with those weird shovel shots."
Submission (scarf hold) R1 3:39 · UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · Apr 09, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aleksei Oleinik 0 8 of 22 36% 8 of 22 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:44
Jared Vanderaa 0 15 of 40 37% 23 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aleksei Oleinik 0 8 of 22 36% 8 of 22 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:44
Jared Vanderaa 0 15 of 40 37% 23 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aleksei Oleinik 8 of 22 36% 3 of 16 2 of 3 3 of 3 8 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jared Vanderaa 15 of 40 37% 13 of 37 2 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 30 1 of 1 7 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aleksei Oleinik 8 of 22 36% 3 of 16 2 of 3 3 of 3 8 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jared Vanderaa 15 of 40 37% 13 of 37 2 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 30 1 of 1 7 of 9
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 30, 2022 (10 days before fight)
Aleksei Oleinik

Angelo picks Aleksei Oleinik despite his age (45). He notes that Oleinik is a submission threat anywhere on the ground, and that Latifi's low-volume wrestling style plays into Oleinik's strengths. He also mentions Latifi's recent illness and doubts about his conditioning.

"i like alexionic i liked him two weeks ago i like him now i think alexia olenek pulls off the upset here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Aleksei Oleinik

Big Brady picks Aleksei Oleinik to win by first-round submission. He notes Vanderaa has terrible takedown defense (20%) and striking defense (43%), and is coming in on short notice. Oleinik has good takedown accuracy and can take Vanderaa down or pull guard, then submit him quickly.

first round submission
"give me alexia olynyk to win by first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jared Vanderaa

Cody picks Vanderaa, arguing that Oleinik is too old and undersized. He notes Oleinik's cardio fades quickly and that Vanderaa has a 50-pound weight advantage. Cody thinks Vanderaa's volume and durability will overwhelm Oleinik in the later rounds. He expects Vanderaa by TKO, possibly after surviving an early submission attempt.

Vanderaa by TKO
"i got jared vander i got jared vander after the first round and i would like to save andra by tko"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Apr 8, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Aleksei Oleinik

Levi acknowledges Oleinik's age (turning 45) but notes heavyweights can have resurgences. He does not see UFC-caliber skills in Vanderaa, who has lost to better guys. He thinks Oleinik could get an Ezekiel choke, but is hesitant because of the age factor. He picks Oleinik but advises caution.

"i just can't pick jaren vader in a ufc fight period"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 5, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jared Vanderaa

I lean Vanderaa because he can keep Oleinik on the outside with his striking and movement, especially in the bigger cage. He's not a big knockout puncher but can use volume and leg kicks. If he can avoid takedowns for 12 minutes, he can cruise to a decision. However, it's a volatile fight and he's on short notice.

"The pick here is going to be Vanderaa slight lean towards him... if he's able to go out there and give us a solid 12 minutes without getting taken down I could see him cruising to a decision victory."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Aleksei Oleinik

Paul picks Oleinik at plus money, believing the old man has one more win. He notes Vanderaa's poor takedown defense, as seen against Romanov and Spivak. Paul thinks Oleinik can get takedowns and find his signature scarf hold or Ezekiel choke. He acknowledges Oleinik's cardio issues but thinks he can finish early. He has already bet Oleinik at +100.

Oleinik by submission +165
"i think the old man oh linux got another one in the tank cody i bet i'm at plus 100"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Aleksei Oleinik

The MMA Guru picks Aleksei Oleinik, expressing disdain for Jared Vanderaa's physique and performance. He expects Oleinik to get a first-round submission, possibly by arm triangle or rear-naked choke, citing Vanderaa's grappling issues and Oleinik's full camp.

first round submission prediction
"i'm gonna go with alexi olynyk here jared vandira is garbage"
LOSS vs Serghei Spivac
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: The Korean Zombie vs. Ige · Jun 19, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Serghei Spivac 0 59 of 121 48% 98 of 162 1 of 2 50% 1 0 3:31
Aleksei Oleinik 0 71 of 136 52% 112 of 181 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Serghei Spivac 0 25 of 59 42% 27 of 61 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:37
Aleksei Oleinik 0 23 of 53 43% 24 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Serghei Spivac 0 10 of 22 45% 16 of 29 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:51
Aleksei Oleinik 0 20 of 32 62% 37 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:54
3 Serghei Spivac 0 24 of 40 60% 55 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:03
Aleksei Oleinik 0 28 of 51 54% 51 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:57
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Serghei Spivac 59 of 121 48% 33 of 92 13 of 16 13 of 13 52 of 110 4 of 6 3 of 5
Aleksei Oleinik 71 of 136 52% 67 of 132 3 of 3 1 of 1 55 of 112 4 of 8 12 of 16
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Serghei Spivac 25 of 59 42% 11 of 45 8 of 8 6 of 6 23 of 55 1 of 3 1 of 1
Aleksei Oleinik 23 of 53 43% 21 of 51 2 of 2 0 of 0 22 of 51 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Serghei Spivac 10 of 22 45% 5 of 15 2 of 4 3 of 3 9 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 3
Aleksei Oleinik 20 of 32 62% 19 of 31 0 of 0 1 of 1 14 of 25 0 of 0 6 of 7
3 Serghei Spivac 24 of 40 60% 17 of 32 3 of 4 4 of 4 20 of 36 3 of 3 1 of 1
Aleksei Oleinik 28 of 51 54% 27 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 0 19 of 36 3 of 6 6 of 9
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Serghei Spivac

Angelo picks Serghei Spivac, citing his wrestling, ground and pound, and Oleinik's declining chin. He thinks Spivac will control the fight on top and avoid Oleinik's submissions. He bet the over on rounds (1.5) at +135, expecting the fight to last into the second round. He likes the over on strikes for both.

over 1.5 rounds (+135); monkey knife fight: more more
"i have spivak in my lineup i'm very confident in this."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Serghei Spivac

Big Brady picks Spivac due to youth and Oleinik's age (43) and poor cardio. He thinks Spivac should keep the fight standing to avoid Oleinik's submissions and finish him in the third round via TKO. He is not betting due to the high price.

win by TKO in round 3
"I'm gonna take sergey spivak to win I'm gonna say third round tko"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Serghei Spivac

Cody picks Spivac, emphasizing Oleinik's age (43) and decline, while noting Spivac's youth (27) and improved cardio and grappling. He predicts Spivac will win by TKO late in the second round, as Oleinik will struggle with Spivac's jab and clinch, and his cardio will fade.

Spivac by TKO late in the second round; price minus 140
"not only do i take speed back but speed probably gets a tko late in the second price is like minus 140 on that"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Serghei Spivac

Daniel Levi sees this as a passing of the torch fight. He notes the 18-year age gap and believes Spivac has shown he can make adjustments and handle adversity, as seen in his wins over Tai Tuivasa and Carlos Felipe. He thinks Spivac can grapple with Oleinik and even beat him at his own game, and that Oleinik's skills are declining. He expects Spivac to win, possibly by ground and pound or knockout.

"i got spit back for the win here um and you know i hope him and uh alexi can hug and you know raise his hand in the middle of the cage"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Serghei Spivac

Jacob picks Serghei Spivac, but worries about Spivac's willingness to grapple with Oleinik. He hopes Spivac keeps it standing and uses his striking to exploit Oleinik's chin. He has Spivac in his lineup at $9,200. He also likes the over on strikes.

"i went with sergey just because we've seen olynyk's chin lately."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Serghei Spivac

The host picks Serghei Spivac by decision, believing he can grind out Oleinik with cage clinching and striking. He notes Spivac's slight striking advantage and that Oleinik is dangerous on the ground but Spivac will play it safe. He expects a slow-paced fight and likes the over 1.5 rounds. He mentions Spivac's decision prop at +677 as an attractive line. He is not confident in paying -230 but thinks Spivac wins.

Spivac by decision at +677; over 1.5 rounds at +135; Spivac round 3 at +850 mentioned
"i'm going to go spivak i'm going to go with i think speedvac round three could be live here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Serghei Spivac

Paul picks Spivac but is hesitant due to his fandom for Oleinik. He notes Oleinik's age and recent poor performances, but acknowledges Spivac's lack of elite speed and power, making this a more favorable matchup for Oleinik than recent fights. Paul passes on betting.

"i'm gonna pick spivak if i had to but i can't i can't touch money i'll be cheering uh against my bed if i bet on sergey spivak so it's a straight up pass for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Serghei Spivac

The MMA Guru picks Serghei Spivac to win by second-round TKO via ground and pound. He expects Oleinik to try to earn respect on the feet but Spivac will stick a jab in his face. Oleinik will shoot takedowns, but Spivac will stuff them and land elbows. In round two, Oleinik will shoot a bad takedown, Spivac will take mount and land ground and pound for the TKO.

second round TKO, ground and pound
"i'm gonna go with sergey spivak round two ground and pound tko"
LOSS vs Chris Daukaus
TKO (punches) R1 1:55 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · Feb 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Daukaus 0 5 of 10 50% 6 of 11 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:24
Aleksei Oleinik 0 34 of 56 60% 34 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Daukaus 0 5 of 10 50% 6 of 11 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:24
Aleksei Oleinik 0 34 of 56 60% 34 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Daukaus 5 of 10 50% 3 of 8 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aleksei Oleinik 34 of 56 60% 32 of 54 2 of 2 0 of 0 28 of 49 2 of 3 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Daukaus 5 of 10 50% 3 of 8 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aleksei Oleinik 34 of 56 60% 32 of 54 2 of 2 0 of 0 28 of 49 2 of 3 4 of 4
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Chris Daukaus

Daniel Levi is impressed with Chris Daukaus's hand speed and accuracy, noting his quick knockouts of Parker Porter and Nascimento. He believes Daukaus only needs 20-30 seconds of pocket exchanges to knock out Oleinik, who is a liability standing. Levi acknowledges Oleinik's 45 submission wins but thinks Daukaus has the grappling skills to avoid submissions and keep the fight standing. He expects a first-round knockout and sees Daukaus as a rising heavyweight prospect.

first round knockout
"i'm going with chris dyches by first round starching of alexia olynyk getting into that top ten"
LOSS vs Derrick Lewis
TKO (punches) R2 0:21 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · Aug 08, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Derrick Lewis 1 35 of 42 83% 35 of 42 1 of 1 100% 0 1 2:39
Aleksei Oleinik 0 2 of 6 33% 3 of 7 1 of 1 100% 2 1 2:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Derrick Lewis 0 13 of 19 68% 13 of 19 1 of 1 100% 0 1 2:27
Aleksei Oleinik 0 2 of 4 50% 3 of 5 1 of 1 100% 2 1 2:21
2 Derrick Lewis 1 22 of 23 95% 22 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Aleksei Oleinik 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Derrick Lewis 35 of 42 83% 34 of 41 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 7 0 of 0 30 of 35
Aleksei Oleinik 2 of 6 33% 1 of 4 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Derrick Lewis 13 of 19 68% 13 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 10 of 14
Aleksei Oleinik 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Derrick Lewis 22 of 23 95% 21 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 0 of 0 20 of 21
Aleksei Oleinik 0 of 2 0% 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Derrick Lewis vs. Alexey Oleynik

Round 1
The headliner of the evening sees a fascinating style matchup between a knockout artist in Lewis (23-7, 1 NC; 14-5 UFC) against the submission wizardry of Oleynik (59-13-1, 8-4 UFC). This five-round heavyweight contest may very well end one of two ways, with Lewis one knockout away from the all-time UFC heavyweight record, while Oleynik could notch his 47th by tapout should he elicit a submission. Referee Herb Dean will be right there to make sure everything is copacetic as it all plays out, and the two large men – Lewis weighs 38 pounds more than his opponent – touch gloves to introduce themselves. Lewis opens with a head kick, and a hard one-two to hurt Oleynik and push him to the fence. Oleynik quickly sets up an Ezekiel choke, but he abandons it to try to gain a better position with his back to the fence. Lewis throws him down to the ground like Tim Boetsch’s hip toss, and he starts slamming the Russian in the head with punches. Oleynik sits up and looks for a leg, so Lewis spins out from on top to pop over to half guard. Oleynik ties him up from his back as he tries to sit up, but Lewis is content to press his full body weight down on his opponent. Oleynik gets back to his knees and ties up Lewis’ leg to land his own single and wind up on top. He gets to side guard with ease, and secures a scarf hold headlock and wrenches on Lewis’ neck. Lewis powers out of the bad spot and starts raining down punches, but Oleynik ties him back up and clings to him like Saran wrap. Oleynik reverses the position and gets back to side control, where he aims for a scarf hold headlock on the opposite side. He lets go to readjust, and Lewis wriggles and turns his head while Oleynik puts everything he has into the choke. Lewis appears unconcerned and rides it out as veins bulge on Oleynik’s forehead while he applies the torque. The Russian recommits to the choke, and Lewis is trapped but not entirely in danger. Oleynik bails on the choke and elects to take side control and set up a keylock. Time expires before he can land it.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Oleynik
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Oleynik
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Oleynik

Round 2
Oleynik reaches with a front kick, and Lewis leaps at him with a flying knee.
A bomb of a right hand takes the legs out from the Russian, and as “The Black Beast” rains down punch after punch from on top, Oleynik turns to his side. Unleashing a barrage of nasty punches. Lewis smells blood and knows the finish is right around the corner. Lewis keeps clubbing Oleynik in the face until Dean has seen enough and stops the fight.
Lewis is now the all-time leader in heavyweight knockouts, scoring his 11th inside the Octagon. Lewis survived adversity and got the Russian out of there to end the night with style points. See you next week, for a much higher stakes heavyweight contest at UFC 252.

The Official Result
Derrick Lewis def. Alexey Oleynik R2 0:21 via TKO (Punches)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 5, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Aleksei Oleinik

Big Brady picks Oleinik as an underdog, believing he can get the fight to the ground and secure a submission. He notes that Lewis has poor takedown defense and often rests on the ground, which could be dangerous against a submission specialist like Oleinik. However, he acknowledges Lewis's explosive power and ability to pop up from bottom, making this a tough call. He leans Oleinik by submission in the first round.

Oleinik by submission at plus 200 or plus 250; fight does not go to decision (minus 800); Lewis by KO at minus 150
"i'm gonna take alexia linux to win this fight um i do think he gets louis on the ground and louis is going to try to rest and and by the time you know lewis tries to get his rest …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Derrick Lewis

Daniel Levi picks Derrick Lewis to win by knockout. He notes that Lewis has a tendency to lose the first two rounds but then come back with his signature 'black beast blitz' and knock out his opponent. He also mentions that Oleinik has a 7-10 minute window to get a submission, but if he doesn't, Lewis will likely finish him. Levi acknowledges that Oleinik is dangerous on the ground but believes Lewis's power is a different level.

"i'm gonna go with lewis to get the knockout win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 4, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Derrick Lewis

Lewis has freakish power and can knock anyone out, but Oleinik is a dangerous submission artist who can get the fight to the ground. Lewis has shown the ability to get back to his feet, but Oleinik's jiu-jitsu is elite. The line at -265 is too wide; Oleinik offers value. Lewis likely wins by first-round KO, but it's not a bet.

Oleinik by submission, Oleinik moneyline +225
"I'm gonna go with Lewis to win by first round ko but definitely not a bet"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Aleksei Oleinik

The MMA Guru picks Aleksei Oleinik to win by first-round submission via rear naked choke. He criticizes the oddsmakers for making Lewis such a big favorite, citing Lewis's close fights against Ivanov and Latifi. He believes Oleinik's grappling will be too much for Lewis, who loads up on big shots and leaves himself open for takedowns. He notes that Oleinik has a reach advantage and will transition from position to position, eventually taking Lewis's back.

first round submission, rear naked choke
"i think olynyk is going to go out there he's going to engage in the grappling situations and hold lewis up against the cage eventually get him down in a bit of a tangle"
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · May 09, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aleksei Oleinik 0 94 of 183 51% 149 of 241 0 of 0 --- 0 1 3:53
Fabrício Werdum 0 53 of 83 63% 70 of 101 3 of 7 42% 1 1 3:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aleksei Oleinik 0 54 of 94 57% 71 of 112 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:31
Fabrício Werdum 0 25 of 37 67% 28 of 40 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:07
2 Aleksei Oleinik 0 26 of 63 41% 40 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:56
Fabrício Werdum 0 24 of 38 63% 29 of 43 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:19
3 Aleksei Oleinik 0 14 of 26 53% 38 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:26
Fabrício Werdum 0 4 of 8 50% 13 of 18 2 of 3 66% 1 1 2:29
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aleksei Oleinik 94 of 183 51% 79 of 167 10 of 10 5 of 6 72 of 149 22 of 33 0 of 1
Fabrício Werdum 53 of 83 63% 27 of 52 16 of 21 10 of 10 34 of 60 16 of 20 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aleksei Oleinik 54 of 94 57% 47 of 86 5 of 5 2 of 3 39 of 76 15 of 18 0 of 0
Fabrício Werdum 25 of 37 67% 14 of 24 7 of 9 4 of 4 17 of 26 8 of 11 0 of 0
2 Aleksei Oleinik 26 of 63 41% 21 of 58 3 of 3 2 of 2 22 of 53 4 of 10 0 of 0
Fabrício Werdum 24 of 38 63% 12 of 23 7 of 10 5 of 5 15 of 29 6 of 6 3 of 3
3 Aleksei Oleinik 14 of 26 53% 11 of 23 2 of 2 1 of 1 11 of 20 3 of 5 0 of 1
Fabrício Werdum 4 of 8 50% 1 of 5 2 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 5 2 of 3 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2020 (9 days before fight)
Fabrício Werdum

Big Brady picks Fabricio Werdum, citing a favorable stylistic matchup due to Werdum's superior submission game and Oleinik's poor ground game. He expects Werdum to take Oleinik down early and finish with ground and pound or submission, likely in the first round. He notes the line at minus 320 is steep but believes it's a good matchup.

Werdum by first round TKO/submission; fight ends inside first round
"I like Verdoom here. Um, due to the fact that I think it's a good, uh, stylistic match up for him."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 5, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Fabrício Werdum

Daniel Levi picks Fabricio Werdum, stating he is the better striker and has the ground game to handle Oleinik's submissions. He notes Oleinik is reckless and makes mistakes, and that Werdum's improved striking and Thai clinch will be key. Levi expects Werdum to capitalize on Oleinik's errors and win inside the distance.

Werdum inside the distance
"I'm actually gonna go with Fabricio Vacaville or doom here to win this fight inside the distance"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked May 6, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Fabrício Werdum

Matt picks Werdum but thinks the -300 line is too wide due to Werdum's long layoff and age. He believes Werdum has the advantage on the feet and can finish Oleinik in the second round, but he is hesitant to bet at the current price. He would consider a bet if the line drops to -250.

Werdum by second-round TKO, fight doesn't go to decision (-250)
"I'm gonna pick over doom to win here but that line is a little bit too wide for me"
Submission (armbar) R2 4:38 · UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · Jan 18, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aleksei Oleinik 0 7 of 22 31% 25 of 46 3 of 3 100% 3 0 7:25
Maurice Greene 0 13 of 29 44% 38 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aleksei Oleinik 0 1 of 7 14% 5 of 11 2 of 2 100% 1 0 4:13
Maurice Greene 0 3 of 6 50% 26 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
2 Aleksei Oleinik 0 6 of 15 40% 20 of 35 1 of 1 100% 2 0 3:12
Maurice Greene 0 10 of 23 43% 12 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aleksei Oleinik 7 of 22 31% 4 of 19 2 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 16 0 of 0 3 of 6
Maurice Greene 13 of 29 44% 10 of 25 1 of 2 2 of 2 10 of 26 3 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aleksei Oleinik 1 of 7 14% 1 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 1
Maurice Greene 3 of 6 50% 1 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Aleksei Oleinik 6 of 15 40% 3 of 12 2 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 10 0 of 0 3 of 5
Maurice Greene 10 of 23 43% 9 of 21 1 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 20 3 of 3 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jan 16, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Aleksei Oleinik

Daniel picks Aleksei Oleinik via rear-naked choke finish, but admits he's been going back and forth on this fight. He notes that Oleinik has 40+ submissions and is a total badass, while Greene has power and length but questionable grappling. He says someone is most likely getting finished.

finish, rear-naked choke
"I'm gonna roll the dice flip a coin and I'm gonna land on Alexei Olynyk via rear-naked choke finish."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jan 15, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Maurice Greene

The host picks Maurice Greene to win by TKO, likely in the second round, but expresses low confidence, stating he doesn't trust Greene. He notes Greene's speed and footwork as advantages, but worries about Oleinik's jiu-jitsu and the possibility of both fighters gassing. He sees the fight as risky and is not planning to bet on it.

Fight doesn't go to decision at -675 considered too steep; over/under 1.5 rounds at -165 sketchy; Greene by TKO in second round predicted.
"I like green here to get the TK over Olynyk probably in the second round but it's a very risky fight I don't trust green"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 6, 2020 (12 days before fight)
Maurice Greene

The host is surprised this fight is on the main card but picks Maurice Greene. He notes Greene's size and difficulty to take down, and Oleinik's age (42) and history of KO losses. He predicts Greene will land a good combo on Oleinik's chin and finish him in the first round.

first round finish
"I could see Maurice green landing a good combo on his chin and getting him out of there in the first round"
LOSS vs Walt Harris
KO (knee and punches) R1 0:12 · UFC on ESPN: dos Anjos vs. Edwards · Jul 20, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Walt Harris 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aleksei Oleinik 1 4 of 7 57% 4 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Walt Harris 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aleksei Oleinik 1 4 of 7 57% 4 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Walt Harris 1 of 3 33% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aleksei Oleinik 4 of 7 57% 2 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Walt Harris 1 of 3 33% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aleksei Oleinik 4 of 7 57% 2 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 2
Maurice Greene - Fight History
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · May 08, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marcos Rogério de Lima 0 5 of 8 62% 60 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maurice Greene 0 14 of 26 53% 166 of 228 3 of 4 75% 0 0 14:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marcos Rogério de Lima 0 4 of 5 80% 23 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maurice Greene 0 6 of 13 46% 58 of 88 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:29
2 Marcos Rogério de Lima 0 0 of 1 0% 16 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maurice Greene 0 8 of 13 61% 45 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:50
3 Marcos Rogério de Lima 0 1 of 2 50% 21 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maurice Greene 0 0 of 0 --- 63 of 74 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:47
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marcos Rogério de Lima 5 of 8 62% 3 of 6 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maurice Greene 14 of 26 53% 11 of 23 2 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 10 1 of 1 10 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marcos Rogério de Lima 4 of 5 80% 3 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maurice Greene 6 of 13 46% 3 of 10 2 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 10 1 of 1 2 of 2
2 Marcos Rogério de Lima 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maurice Greene 8 of 13 61% 8 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 8 of 13
3 Marcos Rogério de Lima 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maurice Greene 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 6, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Marcos Rogério de Lima

Big Brady likes de Lima's power and leg kicks, and thinks Greene's poor striking defense (45%) and chin issues will be exploited. He notes Greene has zero takedowns in the UFC, so he won't exploit de Lima's weak takedown defense. Brady predicts de Lima will win by first-round knockout, as de Lima is dangerous early but fades after the first round. He says the under and de Lima in round 1 are good looks, but he wouldn't lay -190 on the moneyline.

De Lima by first round knockout; under 1.5 rounds
"I'm gonna take delima to win by first round knockout i think the under could be a very good look."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 6, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Maurice Greene

Daniel Levi picks Maurice Greene as a dog, citing de Lima's tendency to get submitted or panic on the ground. He notes Greene's length, volume, and opportunistic submission ability. He acknowledges de Lima's power and early-round threat but thinks Greene can survive and find a finish, possibly via submission. He calls de Lima a 'stunt machine' and expects a volatile fight.

"i'm gonna go with uh maurice green here to submit uh marcos"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 7, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Marcos Rogério de Lima

The host picks de Lima to win by TKO, expecting his power to be too much for Greene. He notes de Lima's poor cardio and jiu-jitsu but believes his power will get the job done early. He suggests live betting Greene if he survives the first round.

de Lima by TKO +120, fight won't start round 2 -150
"i think i would go with de lima by tko plus 120."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 3, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Maurice Greene

The MMA Guru picks Maurice Greene over Marcos Rogério de Lima, expressing surprise that Greene is a nearly 2-to-1 underdog. He believes Greene's range management with oblique kicks and jabs will neutralize de Lima's counter-punching style. He predicts a unanimous decision win, possibly 30-27, and notes de Lima's only chance is a KO, which he doesn't see happening.

unanimous decision, 30-27
"i am 100 picking maurice green here ... i think people are really underrating him because he lost to greg hardy but greg hardy is not a bad heavyweight"
LOSS vs Greg Hardy
TKO (punches) R2 1:12 · UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · Oct 31, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Greg Hardy 0 17 of 37 45% 17 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maurice Greene 1 46 of 74 62% 56 of 85 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Greg Hardy 0 13 of 25 52% 13 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maurice Greene 0 25 of 43 58% 35 of 54 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:15
2 Greg Hardy 0 4 of 12 33% 4 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maurice Greene 1 21 of 31 67% 21 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Greg Hardy 17 of 37 45% 6 of 21 3 of 5 8 of 11 16 of 36 0 of 0 1 of 1
Maurice Greene 46 of 74 62% 32 of 55 5 of 5 9 of 14 19 of 36 0 of 0 27 of 38
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Greg Hardy 13 of 25 52% 3 of 10 3 of 5 7 of 10 12 of 24 0 of 0 1 of 1
Maurice Greene 25 of 43 58% 14 of 28 4 of 4 7 of 11 14 of 27 0 of 0 11 of 16
2 Greg Hardy 4 of 12 33% 3 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maurice Greene 21 of 31 67% 18 of 27 1 of 1 2 of 3 5 of 9 0 of 0 16 of 22
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 28, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Greg Hardy

Big Brady favors Hardy's power and athleticism, noting Greene's poor striking defense and chin. He thinks Greene's kicks leave openings and that the smaller cage will lead to a knockout. He predicts a second-round KO.

"give me greg hardy to win by a second round knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Oct 26, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Greg Hardy

Hardy has power and has shown improvement in his last few fights, but his cardio is questionable. Greene is mobile and can chip away from distance, but his cardio also fades. Hardy likely wins by KO in the second round, but the -310 line is too steep.

Hardy wins by KO in round 2
"I still like greg hardy here i think it's gonna come down to the power... final pick greg hardy via second round ko"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Greg Hardy

The MMA Guru picks Greg Hardy by unanimous decision, noting that Hardy is improving and has a similar reach to Greene. He believes Hardy will chop at Greene's legs, following the game plan that worked for John Valente, and that Greene lacks motivation and hasn't improved.

"i'm going to go with greg hardy getting it done by unanimous decision victory"
WIN vs Gian Villante
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R3 3:44 · UFC on ESPN: Poirier vs. Hooker · Jun 27, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maurice Greene 1 72 of 105 68% 91 of 126 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:37
Gian Villante 0 63 of 137 45% 64 of 139 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maurice Greene 0 23 of 32 71% 23 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gian Villante 0 30 of 58 51% 30 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Maurice Greene 0 23 of 39 58% 23 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gian Villante 0 26 of 67 38% 26 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Maurice Greene 1 26 of 34 76% 45 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:37
Gian Villante 0 7 of 12 58% 8 of 14 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maurice Greene 72 of 105 68% 35 of 59 11 of 16 26 of 30 51 of 79 0 of 0 21 of 26
Gian Villante 63 of 137 45% 24 of 87 12 of 19 27 of 31 62 of 136 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maurice Greene 23 of 32 71% 2 of 6 8 of 11 13 of 15 23 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gian Villante 30 of 58 51% 11 of 32 5 of 8 14 of 18 30 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Maurice Greene 23 of 39 58% 8 of 21 2 of 4 13 of 14 23 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gian Villante 26 of 67 38% 10 of 47 5 of 9 11 of 11 26 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Maurice Greene 26 of 34 76% 25 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 1 5 of 8 0 of 0 21 of 26
Gian Villante 7 of 12 58% 3 of 8 2 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Maurice Greene

Big Brady picks Maurice Greene, citing the size advantage (height and reach) and better cardio. He thinks Villante's power won't translate up a weight class, and that Greene will likely knock him out in the first round. He compares it to OSP vs Ben Rothwell. He advises against parlaying Greene due to trust issues but thinks a straight bet is fine.

Greene by KO in round 1; line too wide to bet straight; wouldn't parlay
"I think Green is gonna have a pretty decent sized advantage... give me Greene by knockout."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Maurice Greene

Daniel Levi picks Maurice Greene, noting Greene's physical advantages (6'7", long reach) and improvement in using range. He mentions Greene's move to Jackson Wink for better training partners and elevation, while Villante is training in a garage with closed gyms. Levi thinks Villante is on the decline, with poor cardio and decision-making, and expects Greene to win by knockout or lopsided decision. He cautions that Villante has power early but Greene should weather it.

Greene wins by knockout or decision
"I'm gonna go at green here by by knockout or a lopsided decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Gian Villante

The MMA Guru picks Gian Villante as a live dog, believing he will get the jump on Maurice Greene. He notes Villante's wrestling fundamentals and training with Weidman's team, predicting a takedown and rear-naked choke submission in the first or second round. He criticizes Greene's recent losses and questionable activity outside the cage, suggesting Greene might not even show up due to COVID-19 concerns.

Villante by submission (rear-naked choke) in first or second round; Villante as underdog
"John Volante is gonna get the job done against Maurice Greene... works a basic takedown... wins probably by rear naked choke submission in the first or second round"
LOSS vs Aleksei Oleinik
Submission (armbar) R2 4:38 · UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · Jan 18, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aleksei Oleinik 0 7 of 22 31% 25 of 46 3 of 3 100% 3 0 7:25
Maurice Greene 0 13 of 29 44% 38 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aleksei Oleinik 0 1 of 7 14% 5 of 11 2 of 2 100% 1 0 4:13
Maurice Greene 0 3 of 6 50% 26 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
2 Aleksei Oleinik 0 6 of 15 40% 20 of 35 1 of 1 100% 2 0 3:12
Maurice Greene 0 10 of 23 43% 12 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aleksei Oleinik 7 of 22 31% 4 of 19 2 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 16 0 of 0 3 of 6
Maurice Greene 13 of 29 44% 10 of 25 1 of 2 2 of 2 10 of 26 3 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aleksei Oleinik 1 of 7 14% 1 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 1
Maurice Greene 3 of 6 50% 1 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Aleksei Oleinik 6 of 15 40% 3 of 12 2 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 10 0 of 0 3 of 5
Maurice Greene 10 of 23 43% 9 of 21 1 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 20 3 of 3 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jan 16, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Aleksei Oleinik

Daniel picks Aleksei Oleinik via rear-naked choke finish, but admits he's been going back and forth on this fight. He notes that Oleinik has 40+ submissions and is a total badass, while Greene has power and length but questionable grappling. He says someone is most likely getting finished.

finish, rear-naked choke
"I'm gonna roll the dice flip a coin and I'm gonna land on Alexei Olynyk via rear-naked choke finish."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jan 15, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Maurice Greene

The host picks Maurice Greene to win by TKO, likely in the second round, but expresses low confidence, stating he doesn't trust Greene. He notes Greene's speed and footwork as advantages, but worries about Oleinik's jiu-jitsu and the possibility of both fighters gassing. He sees the fight as risky and is not planning to bet on it.

Fight doesn't go to decision at -675 considered too steep; over/under 1.5 rounds at -165 sketchy; Greene by TKO in second round predicted.
"I like green here to get the TK over Olynyk probably in the second round but it's a very risky fight I don't trust green"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 6, 2020 (12 days before fight)
Maurice Greene

The host is surprised this fight is on the main card but picks Maurice Greene. He notes Greene's size and difficulty to take down, and Oleinik's age (42) and history of KO losses. He predicts Greene will land a good combo on Oleinik's chin and finish him in the first round.

first round finish
"I could see Maurice green landing a good combo on his chin and getting him out of there in the first round"
TKO (punches) R1 2:11 · UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · Oct 26, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sergei Pavlovich 0 8 of 22 36% 8 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maurice Greene 1 20 of 37 54% 21 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sergei Pavlovich 0 8 of 22 36% 8 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maurice Greene 1 20 of 37 54% 21 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sergei Pavlovich 8 of 22 36% 1 of 11 1 of 2 6 of 9 8 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maurice Greene 20 of 37 54% 20 of 36 0 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 17 5 of 8 8 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sergei Pavlovich 8 of 22 36% 1 of 11 1 of 2 6 of 9 8 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maurice Greene 20 of 37 54% 20 of 36 0 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 17 5 of 8 8 of 12
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Sergei Pavlovich vs. Maurice Greene

Round 1
Back up to heavyweight, we get a "classic battle of Russia vs. the U.S.A." as Pavlovich (13-1, 1-1 UFC) collides with Greene (8-2, 3-0 UFC). Drawing the assignment for this 503-pound matchup is referee Herb Dean. Greene rushes out from his corner, and there is no touch of gloves as he throws two heavy leg kicks in rapid succession. Greene goes up top with a head kick, but Pavlovich blocks it in time, so Greene goes low with another kick. As Greene throws a naked kick, Pavlovich counters with a huge right hand over the top that staggers Greene. The American does this again, and again Pavlovich rings home a right hand that sends Greene crashing to the canvas. He does not appear to be hurt, as the punch may have been more impactful than damaging, as he gets right back up without any visible ill effects. Pavlovich sits on the counter, ready for Greene to throw those long kicks.
A serious left jab from Pavlovich snaps Greene's head back, and the Russian follows it up with a swarm of punches that do some damage. Although Greene survives, he is on wobbly legs, and Pavlovich pours it on with several more punches that make Greene topple over.
Dean stops the contest, and Greene immediately protests, and continues to do so loudly. His cries fall on deaf ears, as the fight is over and Pavlovich has recorded another knockout win -- the 11th in his 14 wins, and all in the opening round. He becomes the first fighter to finish the durable "Crochet Boss."

The Official Result
Sergei Pavlovich def. Maurice Greene R1 2:11 via TKO (Punches)
TKO (punches) R1 3:38 · UFC on ESPN: Ngannou vs. dos Santos · Jun 29, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maurice Greene 2 37 of 83 44% 39 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Júnior Albini 0 19 of 44 43% 22 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maurice Greene 2 37 of 83 44% 39 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Júnior Albini 0 19 of 44 43% 22 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maurice Greene 37 of 83 44% 17 of 57 9 of 11 11 of 15 31 of 66 4 of 10 2 of 7
Júnior Albini 19 of 44 43% 10 of 30 7 of 11 2 of 3 17 of 40 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maurice Greene 37 of 83 44% 17 of 57 9 of 11 11 of 15 31 of 66 4 of 10 2 of 7
Júnior Albini 19 of 44 43% 10 of 30 7 of 11 2 of 3 17 of 40 2 of 4 0 of 0
WIN vs Jeff Hughes
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. dos Santos · Mar 09, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maurice Greene 0 70 of 161 43% 72 of 163 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Jeff Hughes 0 66 of 143 46% 67 of 144 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maurice Greene 0 26 of 68 38% 27 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Jeff Hughes 0 22 of 47 46% 22 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:18
2 Maurice Greene 0 26 of 51 50% 27 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jeff Hughes 0 23 of 50 46% 24 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
3 Maurice Greene 0 18 of 42 42% 18 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jeff Hughes 0 21 of 46 45% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maurice Greene 70 of 161 43% 42 of 114 10 of 20 18 of 27 58 of 145 12 of 16 0 of 0
Jeff Hughes 66 of 143 46% 42 of 107 11 of 15 13 of 21 62 of 139 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maurice Greene 26 of 68 38% 18 of 49 6 of 12 2 of 7 16 of 55 10 of 13 0 of 0
Jeff Hughes 22 of 47 46% 10 of 31 5 of 6 7 of 10 20 of 45 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Maurice Greene 26 of 51 50% 14 of 36 2 of 4 10 of 11 24 of 49 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jeff Hughes 23 of 50 46% 15 of 39 6 of 7 2 of 4 21 of 48 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Maurice Greene 18 of 42 42% 10 of 29 2 of 4 6 of 9 18 of 41 0 of 1 0 of 0
Jeff Hughes 21 of 46 45% 17 of 37 0 of 2 4 of 7 21 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
Submission (triangle choke) R1 2:14 · The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale · Nov 30, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maurice Greene 0 9 of 15 60% 11 of 18 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Michel Batista 0 0 of 0 --- 4 of 10 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maurice Greene 0 9 of 15 60% 11 of 18 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Michel Batista 0 0 of 0 --- 4 of 10 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maurice Greene 9 of 15 60% 6 of 11 1 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 10 5 of 5 0 of 0
Michel Batista 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maurice Greene 9 of 15 60% 6 of 11 1 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 10 5 of 5 0 of 0
Michel Batista 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (3)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jan 16, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Aleksei Oleinik

Daniel picks Aleksei Oleinik via rear-naked choke finish, but admits he's been going back and forth on this fight. He notes that Oleinik has 40+ submissions and is a total badass, while Greene has power and length but questionable grappling. He says someone is most likely getting finished.

finish, rear-naked choke
"I'm gonna roll the dice flip a coin and I'm gonna land on Alexei Olynyk via rear-naked choke finish."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jan 15, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Maurice Greene

The host picks Maurice Greene to win by TKO, likely in the second round, but expresses low confidence, stating he doesn't trust Greene. He notes Greene's speed and footwork as advantages, but worries about Oleinik's jiu-jitsu and the possibility of both fighters gassing. He sees the fight as risky and is not planning to bet on it.

Fight doesn't go to decision at -675 considered too steep; over/under 1.5 rounds at -165 sketchy; Greene by TKO in second round predicted.
"I like green here to get the TK over Olynyk probably in the second round but it's a very risky fight I don't trust green"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 6, 2020 (12 days before fight)
Maurice Greene

The host is surprised this fight is on the main card but picks Maurice Greene. He notes Greene's size and difficulty to take down, and Oleinik's age (42) and history of KO losses. He predicts Greene will land a good combo on Oleinik's chin and finish him in the first round.

first round finish
"I could see Maurice green landing a good combo on his chin and getting him out of there in the first round"